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Astros/Blue Jays MLB + WNBA Best Bets Tuesday 9/9/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:02
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man with bookends slump that I'm on. The slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Burn my browins hat Man, I don't know what is
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: March eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. I don't even
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, act with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump yesterday, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you better off dead,
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: which I am. Tuesday, September nine is out. This is
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: oh and two On the show yesterday are two road favorites.
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: Both lost really really great. Obviously, the Mets. I mean
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: it was a close game, they lost one to nothing.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: I was just really really surprised that Aaron Nola was
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: able to pitch as well as he did. We got
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: basically what we expected out of Nola McClain on the
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: Mets side, but way better pitching for Philadelphia than expected.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: And then the other game Milwaukee Texas, I think that
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: was a little bit misleading many. I'm surprised that Texas
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: bullpen completely shut Milwaukee out, but I'm pretty sure I
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: was gonna say Milwaukee actually out hit Texas in the game.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: They didn't.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: They actually had the same amount of hits six to six,
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: but the game was not as lopsided as the final score. Looked, man,
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: Kintana outlasted Lats in the game, out latsed him.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know.
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: The game is nothing to nothing to get to the
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: fifth inning, and Kintana just had one bad inning basically,
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: and then that was it. And yeah, again, both teams
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: only had six hits. You're talking about the Rangers, who
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: can't hit, getting five runs off of six hits.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: That's kind of bullshit. Man. It makes me more angry.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: Because I had like the I gave out the over
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: as a a lean in, like the Anaheim Minnesota game.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: I believe the Washington Miami game might have been another
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: one of those. Those are both easy overs. And then
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: I was correct about the Monday night football game as well,
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: which looked like it wasn't gonna be the case. But
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: you know, Caleb Williams, he's not good JJ McCarthy man,
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, he didn't have a great game, but he
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: won in his debut. He's the first quarterback in their
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: NFL debut to overcome a double digit deficit in the
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter since Steve Young in the mid eighties. So
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: good company there. I saw some others. What was the
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: other stat that I saw? I forget it was something
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: about a quarterback throwing multiple touchdowns in their debut, like
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: that hadn't happened for a while.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Either, I don't. I don't remember exactly what the stat
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: was on that, so I'd have to look that up again.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: But again, he didn't have a great game, but it
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: was good enough, and he kept his composure after he
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: threw a pick six and it looked like his team
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: was done, but he's I told you he had the
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: talent around in. Minnesota's defense played a good game. Yeah,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: so they were able to get the job done.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: I like being right. So there we go.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: Caleb Williams, he's not the guy man, as I keep saying,
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: he's not good. I mean, the Cubs are the Cubs.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: The Bears scored less than it looks like they did
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: on the scoreboard because one of those scores is they
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: picked six.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: So yeah, let's move on to today. Man, I'm gonna have.
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: Four baseball plays today. We have a full baseball card.
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: I like some of the angles today. Talking about w
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: NBA first though, WNBA, we're coming down to the end
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: of the season here, man, so there are some situations
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: where motivation is a big factor here. I'm still not
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: gonna give out any w NBA plays though, I guess
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: until the playoffs at this point, I know, much to
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: people's chagrin, I guess because my WNBA plays have won
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: this season. But I just I don't see a great
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: enough angle, man. I mean, I'll talk about these games here.
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: Washington at New York.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: New York is the only one of these teams.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: With anything to play for here really, because Washington is
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: out of it. So if we're talking about playoff positioning,
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: the Liberty are fighting for I believe they're fighting for
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: the two seed in the playoffs or the three seed now,
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: whatever it is, so they have something to play for
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: at least. But they are returning home from a road
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: trip where they went to the West Coast. So it's
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: not the easiest spot for the Liberty. As I say,
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: when you return home from a road trip, it's not
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: really the greatest spot. You can tend to be a
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: little bit distracted, and maybe the Liberty will be because
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: they did also beat Washington in their last game on
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: this floor before they went on the road trip. They
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: beat them easily by twenty six points, so the Liberty
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: might actually not take them completely seriously. Liberty are up
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: to a fourteen and a half point favorite from an
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: eleven point favorite, and eighty percent of tickets on them
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: at seventy percent of the cash coming in a Washington.
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if the line moved just because
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: there's some injuries on the Washington side. I mean, it
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: looks like Sheldon is out.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: I guess.
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that would move the line three
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: points though, but I leaned to taking the points with Washington.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: I mean the Liberty.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they want to win, but it's it's a difficult
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: spot for them. They might have to show up totally
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: focused in this one. And of course they're still going
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: to make the playoffs. Minnesota at Indiana. Minnesota drop from
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: six point favorites or two and a half point favorite,
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of tickets are on Indiana, eighty two
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming to Minnesota. Though Indiana has
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: clinched a playoff spot, I believe they could potentially fall
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: back into the number eight spot, though I think they're
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: in the seven right now, and if they fall into
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: the eight, they would have to play Minnesota in the
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: first one out of the playoffs, which they probably don't
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: want to do. Even though I know Indiana beat them
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: in the Commissioner Cup Final. Indiana, I mean without Cunningham,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: now without Clark, they're not coming back for the season.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: Indiana got a bunch of injuries, man, which I don't.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Really under well.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: I do understand a bit why Minnesota dropped on the
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: line though, because coll here, who is potentially gonna be
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: the league MVP. She's not gonna play in this game
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: from Minnesota. She's injured. But I think in a way
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: they might just be trying to rest her for the
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: playoffs as well. Because Minnesota they already clinched the one seed,
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: so they really don't have anything to play for here,
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: so I wouldn't really want to lay the points here.
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: Indiana at least has some playoff positioning to try to
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: play for, and I believe they want to get this,
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: make sure they get the seven seeds so they don't
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: have to play in Minnesota. I would guess in the
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: first round, but we'll see how that pans out. I
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: would slightly need to taking the points with Indiana, and
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: that what even though the line really really dropped. I
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: think it's why you see the cash coming in on
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: Minnesota now thinking that maybe there's value there because that
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: line dropped maybe too much, But again, I wouldn't want
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: to have my money on Minnesota as a road underdog
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: when they literally have nothing to play for. So and
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: they already got their revenge on Indiana for the Commissioner
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: Cup lost because Minnesota's already beaten Indiana at least twice
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: since then, beating them twice recently.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: So do with that info what you will. At least
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I think that's correct.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Let me see, yeah, Indiana right here, they lost both
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: of a home and home against Minnesota, not that long ago.
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: Chicago at Vegas. Vegas is battling for a playoffs spot.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: Vegas is not lost for I don't know two months now,
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, what is this? Over a month at least
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: Vegas has won. I can't even count how many games
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: in a row that is that they wont They won
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: a ton of games in a row. They I believe,
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: put themselves in a tie for the second seed, or
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: maybe they're ahead now, but they're trying to get the
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: best seat that they can in the playoffs. But they're
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: playing in Chicago again if you're just playing them, and
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: they did beat them by fourteen points on this floor
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: though they actually didn't cover. They were sixteen and a
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: half point favorite. It was an easy win, though Chicago
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: shot really poorly from the field forty point three percent
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: from the field, lost the turnover a battle badly. Chicago
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: actually out rebounded Vegas in the game. I think it
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: might have been a situation where maybe Vegas rested some
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: of their players late in the game. Like I said,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: that is something that Becky Ham intends to do there,
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: especially when you have the playoffs up ahead. You don't
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: want to like overwork your best players. So in a
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: game that really doesn't matter and you already have it
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: in hand, you're probably gonna rest your starters. That might
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: happen again here, so I probably lean to Chicago getting
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: the points again. And this time Vegas is up to
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: an eighteen point favorite even though they didn't cover in
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: the previous game, so I would lean to Chicago covering
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: that again. But I mean, it is a mismatch between
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: those two teams though, it's just a matter of if.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: I think Vegas might just try to get in and
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: get out with an easy win and not really care
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: about blowing.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: Them out LA at Phoenix.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: These last two games are the most important games really
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: because LA and Seattle are both in.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: The battle for the final playoff.
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: Spot LA is having to go to Phoenix, which is
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: not easy. Phoenix is still fighting to try to get
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: the best seeding that they can as well.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: They just lost a win streak though they'd won six
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: games in a row and then they just lost.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: And you know, I say, sometimes when you lose a
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: win streak like that, it can hang you over into
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: the next game. Although they lost to a really bad
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: Connecticut team, so maybe they will be angry about that loss.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: But then again, they're also returning over road trip. I
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: know it was only a two game road trip, but
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: they're returning home from the East Coast, so it could
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: be a bit of a distraction. You know, you get
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: back home, you have stuff to do back at home.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: They did already beat LA on the road not that
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: long ago, so really, the only thing that worries me
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: about going with LA here is that Phoenix might be
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: embarrassed that they lost to Connecticut I and their plan
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: for seeding. But other than that, this looks like some
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: decent angles for LA here, and you have Phoenix in
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: the return home. Spot LA has more to play for
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: because they're trying to make the playoffs at all. And
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: when a team that's in desperation mode is getting a
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: ton of points, that's kind of what you want because
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: you know you're gonna get their full effort, even if
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: the pressure is on them. They don't need to win to.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Get you the cover.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: So that might be a good situation there. And then
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: of course it is revenge. Like I said, it's road revenge.
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: Phoenix is up from six to seven and a half
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: with Juice, which I don't understand that move. I would
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: lean to LA or not play the game. Don't really Well,
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: it looks like Kelsey Plumb, I guess, is the biggest
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: injury concern there, so I guess that is important. You
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: got to pay attention to that. I guess she's one
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: of the better players on LA. She's a game time
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: decision right now. I'm assuming if she's able to play,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: she's gonna be out there, though, but maybe that has
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: to do with why the line is moved like that.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: There is some uncertainty there.
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: But again I think it's either you take the points
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: with LA or you don't play that game. And then
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: Golden State at Seattle Seattle fighting for that last playoff
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: spot as well, they're in the last playoff spot right now,
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: only one game above five hundred. They were one and
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: a half games above LA. But they want to win
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: to make sure they're gonna make this US last playoff
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: spot here. But they did play a close game last
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: time out against the Liberty and they lost only by eight,
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if it's the greatest spot for
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: Seattle here. And though you know you're gonna get their focus,
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: will they be able to cover a favorite spread?
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Man.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: They did lose to LA, which didn't help their cause
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: the game before the Liberty game as well, so that
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: wasn't great for Seattle. They've lost two straight home games,
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: which in a way should refocus them, even though they
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: are coming off that big game against the Liberty. When
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: you're fighting for to get into the playoffs at all,
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: you're not gonna lose focus. Golden State, they're coming off
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: a big game themselves.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: They did just lose. They just lost a win streak.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: They'd won five games in a row and they lost
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: to Minnesota, so that might hang them over.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: That was a close.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: Loss to the best team in the league. Now they
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: are going out on the road. Golden State they still
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: have seeding to play for. Hero though they're in the playoffs.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: It's just a matter of which see they're gonna get.
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be one of the lower four seeds, I believe,
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: but I would lean somewhat to Seattle here they're up
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: from six to seven, fifty percent tickets, eighty percent of
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: the cash on Golden State, though, but slightly in to Seattle.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: For me, I think the best play in the WNBA
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: is grabbing La plus the points, though that is close
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: to being a play for me. It's just those two
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: factors worrying me just a little bit.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: Other than that, I would probably recommend to but I mean, plumb,
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: you gotta make.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Sure that she's gonna be in there.
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: Though, even if A knocks a little bit off the line,
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: you want to try to get plus seven on LA.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: If you do like LA, I mean seven being the
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: key number in basketball because it's what breaks the three
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: to three tie. Let's go to Major League baseball. You
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: got a full baseball slate here. Hopefully you can get
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: this done quick man. Pittsburgh got Baltimore. Neither team played yesterday,
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: Neither team really has anything left to play for. Baltimore
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: had won five games in a row and then finally lost.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: They were on the verge of sweeping both.
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: They had swept San Diego and then they were on
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: the version of also sweeping the Dodgers.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Weren't able to do that. They are staying at home.
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: But again, when you take a loss like that, it
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: can kind of hang you over. And I don't know
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: if Baltimore is really going to be totally focused on
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh here. Pittsburgh coming in after getting swept at home,
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: after they swept the Dodgers. Dodgers is not playing very
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: well right now. Pittsburgh got swept after that by Milwaukee,
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: so it might be a good thing for Pittsburgh to
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: just get out of there go on the road. Maybe
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh will be folks because for the first game of
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: a road trip, both bullpen's arrested because the teams didn't
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: play yesterday. Pittsburgh has the slightly better of the two bullpens,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: and though neither bullpen is that good, both offenses aren't
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: very good either. Though the starting pitching matchup is interesting,
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: there's a lot of unfamiliarity with the starting pitching matches here.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: Mike Burrows is gonna return to the starting rotation for
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: the Pirates.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: He's a rookie. I believe he's had a decent season.
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: Four point eighty RA, one point two to six whip,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: a little bit high, a little bit worse on the.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Road, four point one to five roady RA.
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: He was good over his last three outings, which I
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: think we're all out of the bullpen if I'm not mistaken.
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: He gave up only one arm run over that span
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: in nine innings, so that's decent.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: Although he is now returning to the rotation.
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: Like I said, he also had nine strikeouts and two
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: walks over that span. Last time out, he shut out
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers for three innings, so he is in decent
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: form right now. It's kind of a matter of is
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: he going to be good again when he returns to
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: the starting rotation, because it looks like they sent him
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: to the bullpen because he wasn't pitching that well as
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: a starter anymore. But sometimes that will like get a
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: starter to refocus, and then he rejoins the starting rotation
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: and he is pumped up for it and pitches well
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: the next time out. And Baltimore has never faced Borrows before,
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: so he does have a little bit of an unfamiliarity
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: advantage there. As I always say, when a pitcher is
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar to the opposing hitters, that could be a bit
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: of an advantage to the pitcher the first couple of
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: times the hitters have to face and they have to
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: figure him out.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: Kyle Bradish is pitching for the Orioles.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: He just returned from injury not that long ago, and
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: he's been good since then. A three point six ERA
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: and a one whip a three ERA at home, so
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: he's in better at home.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: He's only made.
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: Two starts, so he returned really recently. Didn't last that
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: long in his last start, only lasted four innings, but
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: he's allowed only two earned runs and each starts so far.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: He did really well in his first start against the
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: Red Sox, where he lasted six innings struck out ten. Overall,
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: he has a fifteen to two strike a walk ratio
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: and fewer hits for in pitch, so he is pitching well.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: He's been in pretty good command.
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: He's going up against a really weak Pittsburgh lineup here.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh only has four hitters have ever faced him before,
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: and they're three for twenty off and with no extra base.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: It's nine strikeouts in one walk, so on one fifty
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: average and three forty oh ps, so it seems to
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: be like both pitchers line up fairly nicely in this one.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: I would lean to an under in this game, and
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: maybe a slightly into Baltimore, but Baltimore is not getting
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: the market indicators right now. Is Baltimore up for minus
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: one forty five to minus one forty seven but sixty
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets only fifty three percent of the cash
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: on them, So the money looks like it's coming in
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: against Baltimore, which does indicate that the pros. Pros might
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: think there is some value with Borrows there as an underdog,
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: but again I think the under is the better way
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: to look. The money is definitely moving towards the under.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: This would be close to being a play for me.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: I'm leaving it off my card, but this is one
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: of the ones just off my card. The total has
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: dropped down down from eight and a half to eight
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: eight and a half juice to the over to eight
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: juice to the under, fifty percent of tickets on the
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: under ninety six percent of the couch, and the under
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: some strong indicators there on the under in that game,
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: and again I do agree with that, so that would
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: be the way I would lean. I worry a little
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: bit about Burrows, but he does have the unfamiliarity edge there,
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: so that's close to being a play for me. Kansas
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: City at Cleveland. This series started yesterday and Cleveland won.
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: They've won four games in a row, even though they're
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: probably resigned to the fact that they're out of it,
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: but they just overtook Kansas City in the standing, so
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: Kansas City might be feeling like they're They pretty much
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: kind of know they're almost out of it now as well,
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: which is interesting because Cleveland sold Cleveland, Yeah, sold off
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: at the trade deadline and lost their closer to gambling,
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: and Kansas City bought at the trade deadline and got
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: a couple of pitchers.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: And Kansas City is the team that's now behind Cleveland. Again.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: It's just insane, man, But it was an embarrassing loss
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: for Kansas City yesterday, losing ten to two to a
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: Cleveland team that can't really hit.
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: So Kansas City might be pissed about that, and maybe
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: they will show up in this particular game.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Both teams have pretty solid bullpens.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: Cleveland actually has the better bullpen despite losing their closer,
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: and they only use one relief pitcher yesterday, so Cleveland's
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen's in good shape. Kansas City used three. They've used
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: more of their bullpen over the last couple of days.
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: Cleveland gets the bullpen edge. Kansas City, believe it or not,
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: actually is the better offense of the two teams, which
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: is not what it appeared yesterday, but results can be misleading.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Kansas City does have their talented rookie Noah came run
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: on the mound here. He's having a good season for
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: his rookie campaign here three point zero three ERA, one
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: point one to three whip. He's done a little bit
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: better on the road to two point nine to four ERA,
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: even though Kansas City has a pitcher friendly ballpark. One
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: thing you gotta worry about with Cameron, though, is he's
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: a rookie. He's not used to throwing this many innings
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: in a season before, so it looks to me like
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: he might be wearing down a little bit, which I
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: should have taken it into a out with his last game,
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: because I think I was on Kansas City in that
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: last game. We got to win on that. Well, we
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: got to win on the money line portion of it.
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: I think it was a small win because I had
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: a split bet run line money line and we kind
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: of got away with it. But Cameron, He's only gone
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: five innings that each his last couple of starts. He's
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: allowed nine runs nine one runs over that ten inning
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: span against the White Sox, who really cannot hit, and Anaheim,
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: who's a mediocre offense. And maybe more alarming than that
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: is that he struck out nobody against the White Sox
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: and had five walks against Anaheim. So Cameron does look
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: like he might be wearing down here. So I would
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: be a little bit wary of him. Although his numbers
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: are good against Cleveland, only fourteen at bats, so Cleveland,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: I think has only seen him once before because he
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: is a rookie, and he did well in that game.
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's only two for fourteen but no extra base hits
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: off and four strikeouts, one walk of one forty three
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: average and a three forty three oh PS.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: But I worry about Cameron for two reasons.
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: That means because I think he might be wearing down
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: a little bit, but also now he doesn't have that
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: advantage of being unfamiliar. So now Cleveland has seen him once,
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: So now that they have, that doesn't mean that maybe
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: Cleveland'll do better against him the next time out, although
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: it would be more advantageous for Cleveland if they had
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: just seen him.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: But it wasn't that long ago though it was late July.
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: Cameron went five shutout innings against them, so which was good.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: But you know, he might do worse this time out.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: It looks like the odds are that he probably will
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: be worse this time out.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying he's necessarily gonna be.
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: Bad, because I don't think he is bad, and Cleveland
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: is still a bad offense. Joey Cantillo is pitching for Cleveland.
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: He's been pretty up and down. I think he's been
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: in the bullpen, he's been in the starting rotation. His
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: ERA is three point seventy three, which is alright, one
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: point or better than alright, but one point four whip
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: is not alright, so his whip is worse, indicating that
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: his era is a little bit misleading. He's been bad
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: at home four point seventy right at home, that's not good.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: Last couple outings for him were decent. He's allowed one
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: to run in three straight outings each. But besides last
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: down agree he had seven strikeouts against the Red Sox
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: in a six inning performance which was a really nice.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: Start and only allowed two walks.
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: He had four walks in the outing before that against Atlanta,
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: which is not great.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: Multiple walks in.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: Four straight outings every OUTINGX is the beginning of August.
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: So some causes for alarm there with Cantillo because he
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: walks too many guys. His numbers are fairly good against
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: Kansas City and twenty one at bats seven to three
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratium isn't that great, but at two thirty
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: eight average seven to fourteen ops, so he doesn't have
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: bad numbers against them. I mean, there are some arguments
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: for an under here. The total has gone down from
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: eight to seven half. But I think you do have
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: to worry a bit about Cameron's recent form. Maybe he's
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: wearing down the fact that Cleveland has seen him once.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Now you gotta worry.
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: About Cantillo walking too many guys. So the total down
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: to seven and a half, It is a low total.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: Seventy percent takes ninety five percent of the cash on
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: the over there's not a whole lot of leeway with
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: that total there, and there are some concerns with that.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: Kansas City sixty two tickets seventy four percent of the
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: cash though, so it looks like they might be public
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: with professional money. Also agreeing with Kansas City, Cameron, I
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: think generally is the better picture over Cantillo, but again
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: I worry that he might be just wearing down at
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: the end of the season. Cleveland's up for minus one
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: away to minus one thirteen.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: It's a tricky game.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: To handicap man. So we will see what happens in
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: that game. Washington and Miami. I being to give out
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: a play on this and hopefully it's the same as yesterday,
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: but this time I'm actually giving it out as a play.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: We'll go back to that. We'll talk about that at
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: the end of the show. So you already probably know
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: what it is. Mets and Philly. I'm not gonna try
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: to give out a play this time.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: Philly.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: As I pointed out one one to nothing yesterday, this
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: is a bigger series for the Mets, though, man as
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: I pointed out going into that game, the Mets there's
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: still trying to hang onto wildcard spot.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: They're behind Philadelphia, in the division. Philadelphia, he's got a
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: lot of padding in the division, even though yeah they're
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: playing for like seeding in the playoffs and whatever. But
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: I think the Mets their situation is a little bit
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: more desperate here, and you're arguing them as an underdog
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: price so sometimes that is the way you want to
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: look man towards the desperate dogs. And after getting shut
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: out yesterday, they might bounce back because the Mets their
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: offense has been good recently, as I pointed out yesterday
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: as well, so seeing them get shut out by Nola,
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: who had been really struggling was kind of crazy to see.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: Although Nola, as I pointed out, he is better than
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: he was pitching. It was just a matter of was
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: he going to be able to get that old form
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: back coming back from surgery and stuff. Maybe he is,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess we'll see, but yeah, we'll see
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: if he gets sustain that. But anyway, I think the
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: Mets too of the slightly better offense here at this point.
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: Even though Philly hits a little bit better at home,
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: the Mets offense has been in really good form and
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: they overtook Philadelphia in the standings. As far as which
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: team has the better ops. As you can see here,
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: Mets are actually up at fourth now in ops on
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: the season. Mets also have the better of the two
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: bullpens here, Philly's bullpen not great.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: They also had some use suggest today.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: They used Duran who is their closer right now after
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: they picked him up as one of That was one
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: of their acquisitions of the trade deadline.
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: The Mets.
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: Lighter bullpen usage over the last couple of days. If
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: it's a pretty light bullpen usage. So the Mets have
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: the bullpen edge here. Do they have the starting pitching
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: edge though, I'm gonna say they don't. Sean and I
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: as pitching for the Mets, he's started to struggle a bit.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: He came back from injury, had a late start to
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: the season, came back not too long known. He was
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: pretty hot for his first few starts, but then he
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: started to do worse.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: He's got a five point six ERA, one point two
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: four whip is about where you expect his whip to be,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: so his ERA should be lower than this.
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: But he does tend to walk too many guys throughout
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: his career, which wasn't the case in his first few
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: starts this season. He is really bad on the road
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: this year, six point five to three err on the road.
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: He's failed to make it five innings in three straight
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: out and he's including one against Philadelphia at home where
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: he allowed two and runs and four to two thirds,
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: eight strikeouts, no.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: Walks, so it wasn't a terrible outing.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: Six hits allowed though, and he threw ninety pitches, so
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: he's really really inefficient with his pitches right now. He's
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: still not walking that many guys. His walk rate is
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: actually way lower than you usually get from Manaiah gave
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: up five urned runs last time out against Detroit. That's
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: pretty alarming as well, even though he again he had
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: a good strikeout to walk ratio, so.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: His command numbers are remaining good.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: But he's actually getting hit too hard, which is usually
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: not his problem, which is kind of.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Wild to say.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia just saw him and their numbers are good against
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: Manaia in ninety five at best, twenty six to eight
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio is pretty good for him, but
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: two to eighty four batting average, nine to fifty ops,
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: and they have eight home runs off him, including three
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: from Castellanos, even though he's only six for twenty one
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: off him, which is still a decent batting average as well,
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: but Manaiah doesn't do well against Philadelphia. Ronyr Suarez is
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Phillies. He's had a good season, man,
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: I mean I expected some regression on him, just like
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: last year. Hasn't totally come into effect this year. Two
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: point eight nine ERA for him, one point one to
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: eight whip. He's been a little bit worse at home,
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: though a bit worse at home three point six eight ERA.
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: At home, he's allowed two or fewer runs of four
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: straight starts, going at least five innings in all of them,
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: so that's a decent sign he's pitching pretty well. Those
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate came back down over his last couple of outings,
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: but he only gave up one on run over those
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: last eleven innings. Give up too many hits though against
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: at Land and somehow bailed himself out.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Had a good start.
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: Against Milwaukee last time out of six inning shutout along
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: six hits, only four strikeouts though in two walks, so
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: he's in pretty decent form right now. As numbers against
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: the Mets are also good. In one hundred and forty
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: four bats thirty one to nineteen strike a walk ratio
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: isn't that good, so the walks are kind of a
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: concern there. But a Tool one batting average allowed at
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: six fifty six ops. So Suarez does have pretty good
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: numbers overall against the Mets. So I would have to
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: lean to Philly in this game, man, but the money
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: is disagreeing with that. Philly down for minus one thirty
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: five to minus one twenty three. We see some reverse
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: line movement on this one. Seventy one percent of tickets
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: on Philly they're public, and the lines moving against them
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: only sixty six percent of the cash on them. Again,
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Philly because of that starting pitching matchup.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: Maybe Philly first five innings only so you can avoid
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: the bullpen situation everybody.
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: I do think.
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: Suarez has the edge over Manaia early in the game
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: Detroit at the Yankees.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: Neither of these teams played yesterday.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: The Yankees coming off a big series though against Detroit,
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: where the Yankees moved to within two games of Toronto.
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: Yankees coming up a big series against Toronto, excuse me,
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: a huge al least series which may factor into one
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: of my plays here, and that'll give out not this game,
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: but the next game Houston Toronto.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: So the Yankees are coming up a big.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: Series, but they are still fighting to try to win
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: their division. Detroit may have a little bit less to
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: play for because they have a lot of padding in
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: their division, but they did just lose a series to
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: the White Sox, which is pretty embarrassing, and now they're
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: going on out on the road going to the Bronx.
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: So that's something that will draw your focus. So I
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: expect both teams are gonna show up here try to
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: win this game, both with things to play for. The
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: Yankees have the better offense of the two. Both teams
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: can hit pretty well, Yankees more so, though Detroit has
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen of the two.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: So then what do we do with the.
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: Starting pitching matchup? I think the starting pitching favors the Yankees.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: Casey Miz pitching for Detroit, I just don't buy it.
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: I don't buy his era three point eighty seven this year.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: I know he has a pretty good win loss record
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: this year too, thirteen to five, backed by a lot
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: of run support, but his one point three whip indicates
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: he's not as good as his era looks. He's been
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: one of the guys that I've called out is a
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: guy who should regress at some point here. He's not
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: as good as he looks, and he looks good, man,
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: He's a handsome fella. He isn't as good on the
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: road either. Four point two to six the r on
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: the road, he's He was good in his last start
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: against the Mets, give hip one on run of five innings,
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: three strikeouts, no walks.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: Didn't do well the previous month, though.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: He was definitely suffering some regression with a five point
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: eight one y ra you know, August, even though his
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: team won four of his five outings, it wasn't a
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: great month for him. Twenty three to six strike a
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is alright, but he gave up a.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: Lot of home runs.
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: He just he gave up too many runs, man, Although
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: he's kind of pitching consistently in that he's allowing mostly
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: like three four runs when he gets out there. But
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: he's gonna face one of the best lineups in baseball here,
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: so that's gonna be difficult. His numbers against the Yankees
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: are not as bad as.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: You would expect.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: In forty three at bats, sixteen to five strike out
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not horrible. Two fifty six batting average allowed
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: seven to fifty two OPS, so that OPS is only
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: slightly high. So MYZ is actually not that bad.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Against the Yankees.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: But I actually think Will Warren for the eight Kies,
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: is actually the preferred pitcher here. Even though his numbers
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: don't look like at four point two eighty RA one
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: point three to nine wimp, I think he has more
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: upside than Myze. Warren is the younger pitcher, and he's
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: showed the better talent and strikeout stuff. Some of his
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: problems have been walks man, but he's better at home,
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: so he has the home road split advantage over MYZ
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: three point three ERA at home. Well. By the way,
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: I never talked about day night splits, but his are
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: really significant. He has a way lower RA at night,
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: even though it's in way more innings a three point
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: four to four R at night. His daytime RA is
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: way worse and every game is a night game today,
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: so Warren is in the better of that split as well,
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: even though again his day his daytime split as a
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: small sample size, Warren's been okay over his last two outing.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: He's only allowed two horned runs over the last two.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: Outings over ten innings decent seven strikeouts, two walks, A
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate has gone down, but he's pitched a bit better.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: He had a two point eight four ERA over the
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: month of August, so he is settling in pitching less
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: wild than he was, at least to some degree.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: His numbers against Detroit.
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: Don't worry those if you saw those numbers, those bad numbers,
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: I just show over against torontom against Detroit. Detroit has
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: actually never seen Warren before, so he has an unfamiliarity
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: edge there too, so Detroit might struggle to try to
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: figure him out. So I think the Yankees are probably
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: the right side here. You're getting a price on the
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: Yankees that isn't as steep as a lot of times
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: it would be other because Warren just doesn't have great numbers.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: So I think you're actually getting maybe value on the Yankees.
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: Go figure.
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: I don't want to say it as a Red Sox fan.
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: Yankees are up for minus one forty eight, minus one
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: forty nine, seventy two percent tickets, eighty five percent of
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: the cash coming in on them.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: I would agree with the Yankee side.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: Probably would only do it first five innings though, because
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: I think you do still have to worry about their bullpen,
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: although their bullpen is rested, but both bullpens are so
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: Detroit does have a bullpen advantage. Ste money looks like
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: it's coming in on the under as well, down from
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: nine to eight and a half all the way to
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: eight and a half juice to the under. Seventy one
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the sixty five percent of the
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, so money is coming in on
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: the under. I would worry about that too, because I
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: don't trust mys I don't necessarily trust either start really
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: and I don't trust.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: The Yankees bullpen.
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: So I think Yankees first five is the best way
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: to look at that game. Houston Toronto will give that
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: out as a play at the end of the show.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: Cubs at Atlanta interesting pitching matchup in this one. Atlanta
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: did win yesterday four to one, even though Atlanta really
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: doesn't have a whole lot left to play for. I mean,
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: they're just playing out the stretch at this point. But
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: when you're hosting a team like the Cubs, you'll show
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: up for that series. Cubs actually have something legitimate to
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: play for us. They're trying to make sure they hang
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: on to at least a wild card spot here, as
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: it looks like they're probably not gonna catch a Milwaukee
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: in their division. The Cubs have the better offense, The
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: Cubs have the better bullpen. The Cubs have the more
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: arrested bullpen as they only use Savali out of the bullpen.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: I guess I didn't even realize. Like gott Savale, he's
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: been around, man, he's getting uh, he's getting tossed around
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: like the like the town whore or whatever. This year
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: hasn't he hasn't settled settled in on it uh in
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: any team here. But he's probably happy to be with
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: chicat with the Cubs, to be honest, because he gets
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: a chance to play with a contender at least, even
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: if they will be using him out of the bullpen. Anyway,
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: The Cubs bullpen is rested because they only used him
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: yesterday Atlanta.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: I mean their bullpen is an in terrible shape either.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: They used three relief pitchers lightly yesterday. But still I'm
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: gonna give the Cubs the bullpen edge here. Cubs, you
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: might actually have to give them the starting pitching edge too. Man.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: With Cad Horton the.
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: Way he's been playing, he's a young guy, and he's
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: having a really good season, uh two point seven eighty
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: or one point one four whip.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's reached the.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: Point where we really have to worry about his innings
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: pitched total. Yet maybe we're getting there. He is over
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: one hundred innings pitched now in his rookie season here.
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: I think he might have a little bit left though,
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: because he's not really showing signs of slowing down.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: I'll think although he.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: Is a little bit worse on the road, four point
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: h three year ra on the road, so it kind
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: of significantly worse on the road, so that is a
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: little bit of a worry. Although he's allowed two or
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs in every start going all the way
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: back into early July, so he's been really good since then.
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: A five inning no hit bid last time out against Atlanta.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: They didn't leave him in to go for the no hitter,
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: though he only throwed seventy five pitches. But the Cubs,
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: you know, they're they're trying to weigh their options here,
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: and if Horton is gonna be in their playoff rotation,
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: it makes sense why they don't want to overextend him here,
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: so they care more about that than getting him a
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: no hitter, although I kind of hate all that, Like
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: I'm an old school man. I'm like, don't be a
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: pussy man, like, just go for the no hitter. They're
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: just way too man guys to get pulled from their
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: no hitters when they could, you know, make history there.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: But he was good.
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: But that was again, that was against Atlanta, and I
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: think that might have been the first time Atlanta saw him.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: So as I keep saying, the pitcher has that big.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Unfamiliarity as the first time they face that lineup, and
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: if that lineup just saw him, they'll probably do better
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: the next time out.
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: But what does that mean exactly?
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, how could Horton do any better than what
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: he did last time except for going longer into the game. Again,
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: he had five went five innings, didn't allow a hit,
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: six strikeouts, one walk, Horton against Atlanta, they're zero for
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: seventeen off of them, six strikeouts, one walk.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: So yeah, take from all that what you will.
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: But again, Horton should be a little bit less good
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: this time out, but that's still might mean he'll give
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: you a good start here, man, But remember they are
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: keeping him on a little bit of a pitch count
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: here too, but the Cubs willpend, I mean, I trust
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: them over Atlanta's bullpend. So all that to take into
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: account here. Spencer Strider is pitching for Atlanta, and he's
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: the guy with a bit more experience and is used
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: to throwing innings here. And he's over one hundred innings
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: this year as well. But he's used to doing that.
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, he did it in twenty twenty three, threw
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: a lot of innings and he had a good year.
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: He's trying to bounce back from injury man, that's been
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: his thing. He hasn't had a great season though He's
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: he had some signs that he was coming back into
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: form and it's that hasn't been the case recently.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: He's got a.
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: Four point nine to seventy RA one point three to
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: nine whip not good, a little bit better at home
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: four point eight one e RA. Had a couple I mean,
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: his last couple of starts were not horrible, and that
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: he went twelve innings only a line, four and runs
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: and eight hits, which isn't too bad.
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: But his strikeout rate was way down, which is really concerned.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: He had a four to five strikeout walk ratio of
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: those two outings more walks and strikeouts.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: That is very concerning. And his last autum was against
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: the Cubs.
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: The Cubs just saw him and he had three walks
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: one strikeout in five innings and that one give it
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: three on runs. So there's something not right with strider Man.
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: And he's not striding right now. He has not hit
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: his stride again. He's not striking guys out. I mean,
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: he was a high strikeout rate pitcher.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: Something is wrong with him right now against the Cubs. Overall,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: he does have good numbers.
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: Some of it is that last start thirty five at bats,
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: six to three, strike a walk ratio not great, two
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: hundred batting average six oh six ops. So he does
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: hold the Cubs lineup down. But I worry, I really
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: worry about strider Man. I mean, the money is coming
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: in in the under and if you're gonna get Horton,
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: you know, throwing a decent game still even though Atlanta
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: saw him once, and if you're gonna get Strider somehow
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: returning to form, I could see the argument for the under,
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: but I think it's very dangerous in this game.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: It could happen. But yeah, I mean I wouldn't want
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: to do it.
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: The matchup numbers look pretty good for it, but again
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: you do there are things to worry about.
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: Sixty per tickets.
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: Only fifty nine percent of the cash on the over,
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: so money is coming in towards the under, and the
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: money looks like it's backing Atlanta, which is very interesting.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Cubs flipped from plus one o six to minus one
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: aweight eighty five percent, takes only eighty two percent of
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: the cash though, so their public road I guess slight favorite,
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: if you want to call it that, and Atlanta looks
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: like they're taking the money here. Again, professional money seems
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: to come in on Atlanta very very often this year
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: because they're better than the record looks, which is true.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: But I think it's you got to take it on
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: a case by case basis.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: Man. This one, it would.
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: Worry me because I think Horton he's been in the
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: better form over stride Er, so that is something you
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: really have to consider here.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would worry about all that.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't even know if I have a
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: particular lean in this game, to be honest, I just
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: think it's really difficult to handicap both the side and
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: the total in that game Tampa Bay at the White Sox.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: These teams didn't play yesterday. The White Socks that were
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: turning on from a road trip. They only went to
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: Minnesota and Detroit, and they had a really good road trip.
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: They won six of the seven games.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: They swept Minnesota on a four game series and then
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: took two out of three from Detroit. Crazy to think
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: about that. They didn't go too far on the road trip.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: But they are returning home, so again, return home spot.
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: Sometimes you get back to family life, you know, with
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: the day off.
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: I heard a stat.
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: I forget exactly what the stat was when I know
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: that professional betters have the numbers on this and teams
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: that are bad, teams like Chicago is like, I don't
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: know if it's just Pulow five hundred or whatever it is.
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: When they return home from a road trip with the
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: day off and they're an underdog in the game. They
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: have a really really poor record in those games. So
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: that's something to consider. I don't know if they will
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: be an underdog here because it looks like Tampa has
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: not actually decided on a starter, even though yespn is
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: one listed here. Tampa's in minus one forty five. So yeah,
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: it looks like that will be the case. But if
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: you might perceive maybe some value on the White Sox
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: as a home underdog, I would worry about it. Again,
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: returning home from a road trip and beating Detroit is
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: a big, pretty big deal for the White Sox. I mean,
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: they just want a series against the top team of
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: the division. And with the White Sox having not a
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: whole lot left to play for, they might come into
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: this game, you know, get a little bit distracted here
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: by having a return to home life Tampa Bay. They
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: might be a bit pissed themselves because they just lost
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: three games in a road to Cleveland. They also didn't
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: play yesterday. Now they're going out on the road, they
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: might take out some of their frustrations on the on
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: the White Sox. Tampa is definitely the better of these
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: two teams. Tampa, they're in a difficult division, man, I mean,
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: they're not that bad this year. They run differential indicates
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: that they're one of the better teams in the American League. Really,
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: it's just that they have had a difficult schedule. Things
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: have not gone their way. But they are definitely the
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: better team over the White Sox. Tampa is the better bullpen,
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: Tampa is the better offense as well. Adrian Houser was
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: listed as a starter for Tampa, even though it looks
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: like they now are undecided. If it is going to
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: be Houser, he is good. That does mean that will
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: That would mean that he is going.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: To pitch against his former team.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: Houser was good this year with the White Sox, a
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: three point one ERA this year overall, one point two
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: to nine whip is a little bit high, though, and
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: three point four to ora on the road. But keep
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: in mind that he pitched at home for most of
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: the season, and at home he had a two point
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: five to four ERA. But I don't know if that
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: was because the home crowd was behind him or if
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: it was because he pitches well in the stadium.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: Difficult to figure that out. Since being acquired by Tampa.
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: He has not been anywhere near as good, though his
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: RA has been close to five over that span, so
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: that's not a good sign. But again, he might not
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: pitch today, but if he does, he might get pumped
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: up to pitch against his former team. But then again,
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: is he really gonna be pissed?
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: Like? Oh, the White Sox let me go.
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: They let me go to a team that's better than you, Like,
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: does that really piss a player off if you get
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: traded away to a better team.
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: I don't really know.
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: The White Sox would know his tendencies too, But again,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: he might not pitch in this game.
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: The White Sox have two hitters who have actually faced.
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: Him before and they're zero for five Taukman and Taylor
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: three walks, two strikeouts against not a whole lot to
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: really look at there. He might not pitch, like I said,
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: so who knows. Jendris Gomez is listed as a starter
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: for the White Sox. He's been around, man, you want
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: to talk about the the the town bicycle or whatever.
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: Everybody's everybody's tried him out the town test drive car.
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: Everybody's taking him up, taking him out for a ride
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: this year, and man, he's been on multiple different teams
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: this year. His era is not good. Four point seventy
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: nine is whip one point five to five. That's even
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: worse at home over the course of the season three
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: point seventy five the Arra, though he's been better as
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: a home pitcher. Some of that with the White Sox
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: he was mostly a relief pitcher. He was with the Yankees,
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: then the Dodgers, then the White Sox, so he might
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: actually be pissed that he's now on a terrible team.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: But he's pitched.
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: Fairly well for the White Sox for the most part.
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: His first month with the White Sox was rough, but
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: then he settled in and Zra was in the threes
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: in August and one decent start this month. I held
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: Minnesota to one and run in five innings, five strikeouts,
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: one walk, But last month was a little bit misleading
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: three point eight sixty RA. But twenty two to eleven
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio is not actually good.
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: So I don't think Gomez is actually that good. He
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: is young, so.
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: There is room for improvement there, but his overall career numbers,
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: his whip is still in the one point fives.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's not great, obviously, it's it's not good either.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: It's not good at all. Up against who were you
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: talking about here?
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember now, Tampa Bay, right, Tima Bay
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: has never seen him before, so maybe he has a
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: little bit of an unfamiliarity edge there.
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Because they haven't faced him before.
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: But I would worry about that a bit, and yeah,
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: it's hard to handicap because they don't even know who
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: Tampa starter is gonna be, so it's very difficult to
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: figure that game out. So that game is certainly a pass.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee at Texas, that's gonna be a play. I'm gonna
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: give out. Minnesota at Anaheim. Anaheim got absolutely annihilated yesterday
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: twelve to three against the Minnesota team that really can't hit.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: Anaheim has the better offense of these two teams. Minnesota
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: probably has the better bullpenal. These bullpens are both bad.
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: Looking at the bullpen usage, Minnesota has had's a fairly
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: heavy usage over the last couple of days.
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: Anaheim, let me see if this thing load.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: Anaheim has lighter bullpen usage over the last couple of days,
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: So that kind of counteracts the fact that I think
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: Anheim's bullpen is actually is actually worse than Minnesota's.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: They're both bad though.
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: Looking at the starting pitching matchup here, interesting with Zebbie
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: Matt he was pitching for Minnesota here.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: Again, he's a young guy. He does have room to
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: improve here.
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: He does have decent strikeout stuff four point seven to
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: three ERA, one point four to two, whip on the
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: season not great obviously, and he's been pretty bad on
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: the road five point seven to seven road ERA, although
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: his last couple starts are okay and win six innings
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: and each of them allowed three earned runs total. Over
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: that man had an eight to two strike a walk ratio,
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: so he pitched fairly well there against San Diego and
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: the White Sox both at home for him though, so
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: Matthews is still worse on the road. That White Sox
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: offense is really not good. Matthews up against Anaheim, they
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: only have two hitters. I've ever seen it before. Nido
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: and Ward they only have one hit although it is
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: a home run from Ward, one strikeout from him as well,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: and no walks against Matthews. But it's such a small
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: sample size. I don't know what you really do with that.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: There's not a lot to really put into that. Kyle
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: Hendrix is pitching for Anaheim. Very mediocre season for him.
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's an aging veteran who's basically is just
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: a back end of the rotation type of guy. Four
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: point eight one ERA one point three whip. He's a
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: little bit better at home four point seven to four ERA,
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: really close home road splits, though, he was pretty good
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: in his last two outings at Houston and at Kansas City.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: So both on the road.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: But he only give up three or in runs combined
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: over those twelve innings, only a two strikeouts though in
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: three walks.
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: That's a bit of a concern there.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's not really a strikeout pitcher, but more
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: walks at strikeouts is not good. Up against Minnesota, He's
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: actually been pretty awful in twenty eight at bats.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: I know it's not a big sample size.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: Twelve to three strike a walk ratio is good, but
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: a three twenty one batting average allowed nine to twenty
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: three ops that is not good. So Hendrix doesn't do
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: well against Minnesota, and Matthews has that unfamiliarity edge built in.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: I think I would lean to Minnesota in the first
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: five innings in this game, man, and just not deal
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: with what the hell is gonna happen with the bullpens
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: here Minnesota with I guess a little bit more bullpen usage.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: I think that was what I said yesterday.
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: But if you want to keep the bullpens in, I
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: do think Minnesota does still have the better bullpen over
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: and I man, I's third worse than all baseball, but
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: Minnesota not that much above them.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: Really again, yeah, that's probably the way that I would look.
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: But the money's coming in just like yesterday and Anaheim
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: and I it did not work out yesterday.
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: Even though Nido you can go find the highlights of this.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: Needo had a really crazy catch on like a not
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: really a pop fly, but on like kind of a
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: weird ball that I think kind of went over the
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: infield or whatever, and Nito like somehow bounce off of
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: his glove and he still wanted to catching it before
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: it hit the ground. Go watch the video. It was crazy,
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: crazy play. But it didn't even matter because Anaheim got
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: blown out anyway. But fifty six percent of tickets around
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: Minnesota here seventy seven percent of the cash coming in
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: on Anaheim. Though the money is backing Anaheim, just seems
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: a little bit odd to me. I mean, I don't
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: really see the reasoning behind that for putting your money
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: on Kyle Hendrix here. I just don't get it. Even
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: though they might be pissed about yesterday's loss, I think Anaheim,
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: as I keep saying they're a team, they have a
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: really bad run differential. They're really really bad run differential
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: is the worst in the American League, so they're even
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: worse than the record looks man. So that's another part
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: of that equation that I I don't really understand there
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: why the money is coming in that heavily on Anaheim.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: And it was yesterday too, although yesterday I kind of
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: more was inclined to agree with it. Yesterday today not
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: really so kind of strange, but yeah, I mean slightly
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: into Minnesota first five for me and that one with
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: that starting pitching matchup. There was one other thing I
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: was gonna say about that, and now I forget what
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: it was.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe that's all I was gonna say. Cincinnati San Diego.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out a play on that one as well,
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: And I think that's the last play that I have
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis Seattle, so I will have four plays. Seattle
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: has won three in a row now. They did win yesterday,
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: despite being in a return home spot from the East Coast,
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: they still won against Saint Louis, and I pointed out
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: there were some issues that I have with that Seattle
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: was a big favorite, but I wasn't really jumping, you know,
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: jumping out of my seat to fade them there with
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: Brian Woo on the mound, and it looks like he's
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: still pitched pretty well. So Seattle. They got that game
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: out of the way in the return homes. But Seattle
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: doesn't want to play for Oh yeah, I was gonna
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: say Minnesota and Ana. I'm also have nothing left to
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: play for, That's what I was gonna say. Seattle is
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: trying to play for potentially their division. They're trying to
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: make the playoffs. They're in the wild card hunt. Saint
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: Louis is done for the season, so there might be
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: some more motivation on the Seattle side. Both bullpens are
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: fairly good and pretty well rested after the last couple
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: of days, so the bullpen situation looks pretty decent for
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: both teams. Matthew Libratory is gonna be pitching for the
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: Cardinals here. His numbers are not great four point one
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: five ERA, one point three, whip is not good, very
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: very similar home roads split's very insignificant.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: Was good last time out against the A's.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: Had seven strikeouts, one walk, four hits alloted of nowhere,
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: and runs alloted five and a third. Wasn't very good
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: over the past month, though. In August nineteen to ten
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio five point four e RA. So
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: I'm not ready to say that he's all of a
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: sudden like pitching well against Seattle. He does have good
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: numbers in a small seventeen at bat samples eyes though
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: one strikeout two walks isn't good, but he's tell him
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: to one seventy six average, four ninety eight oh ps
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: and the only extra base hit is.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: A double from Garver.
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: So Lebratory has done well against them, but will he
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: continued to do well in this game.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure.
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: George Kirby pitching for Seattle's number is a pretty mediocre
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: this year, four point four to seven e RA, one
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: point two to three whip. I mean, he just has
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: games where he just completely implodes, but he also was
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: really good, Like more often than he isn't at home,
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: he is good three point one sixty RA at home. Again,
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: these Seattle pitchers do way better at home. He just
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: got roughed up completely on the road against Tampa, another
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: one of his awful, awful starts. But that was a
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: very picture a very hit or friendly ballpark, excuse me,
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: in Sinburner Field, the spring training stadium that Tampa plays
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: and so maybe you give him a pass for that,
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: even though he got really really wrecked in that game
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: when he lasted two winnings, seven are and runs, ten hits, allowed,
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: one strike out, no walks, But the prior month in August,
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: he did get blown up against the Mets, but other
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: than that he was really good.
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: And even including that Mets.
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: Start, he had a three point five to two RN
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: twenty nine to eight strike a walk ratium over that span,
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: going back into late July, he's allowed two or fewer
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: runs and all but two starts, so he's usually good.
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: And then when he's bad, he's really bad. So you
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: just have to avoid those like minefields. Basically with Kirby,
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: is this gonna be one of those games where he
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: does really bad? I don't think so, because Saint Louis
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: their offense has been one of the worst since the
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: All Star Break, very bad offense. Seattle definitely has the
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: offensive edge here, as I knock my mic court down there,
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: Kirby not a lot of familiarity with Saint Louis.
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis lane is nine at bats against him, three strikeouts,
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: no walks, two twenty two batting average allowed five to
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: fifty six ohps, So Kirby does pretty well against Saint
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: Louis when he does see them. As far as that
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: game is concerned, I mean, Seattle, they're a bit favorite.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: They're up to minus two o four, so the money
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: line is ticked up a little bit for minus two
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: hundred and seventy five percent of tickets. Only seventy two
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash though, so they're public. Looks like
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in against Kirby. I mean, maybe there
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: are some reasons to look towards an under in this game.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, the bullpens are pretty intact here. They're decent bullpens.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Kirby's good at home. Both pitchers are pretty unfamiliar with
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: the opposing hitters, and when they have faced them, they
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: have been good. Seventy one percent of tickets, only sixty
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the over, and it's
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: a total of seven and a half even though it's
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: flipped to seven and a half.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: Juice to the over. I mean, the under may be
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: worth considering.
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe that is actually the better way to look at
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: this game, but I do have hesitations about that. Hard
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: rr what's up man? Thanks for hanging out, Arizona at
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: San Francisco.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: This is.
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: You know, this is a battle of really contrasting styles
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: of teams here, as Arizona has the way better offense,
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: San Francisco has the way better bullpen. Both teams are
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: really close in the standings to San Francisco won yesterday
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: though in one big time eleven to five. That's not
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: something you usually see San Francisco putting up eleven runs,
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: especially at home. The San Francisco offense is not good,
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: and especially at home they're not This is a very
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly park for the most part. But San Francisco
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: padded their leading the division against Arizona. But I don't
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: know if that really matters, because I don't think either
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: of these teams are going anywhere this year, and I
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: think they both know that. As far as the starting pitching,
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: Zach Gallen is pitching up for Arizona. Arizona, by the way,
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: he might be pissed off about losing eleven to five yesterday.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Zach Gallon has not had a great season really, and
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: again I keep pointing out he is better, Like if
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: you'll get his career numbers, he's better than his season
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: numbers suggests four point seven to seventy array, one point
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: two eight whip not.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: Great in the season.
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: He is slightly better on the road four point seventy
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: ra in the road, and he might pitch better in
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: this game because it's a pitcher friendly ballpark. Not a
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: very strong offense. Gallen's been really good over the last
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: month plus though, going back to the beginning of August.
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: He had a two point five seventy r ray in
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: August to twenty eight to nine strike a walk ratio
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: not bad.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: This month. He kicked it off with a six.
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: Inning shutout against Texas, not a good offense, but still
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: he shut them down five strikeouts, one walk, four hits.
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: Loud hasn't allowed to run in his last two starts,
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: including one against the Dodgers, so he's in pretty good
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: form right now. Man had a high strikeout rate against
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers and the Reds. He's allowed no more than
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: the three and runs throughout that entire span going back
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: through the beginning of August, so he is pitching well
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: right now. His numbers against the Giants are good in
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: ninety four bats. The twenty seven to thirteen strike a
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not good. Too many walks, but one
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: to eighty one. Batting average allowed at six to twenty
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: one oh ps is a little bit high again just
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: because of the walks basically, but Gallin he is a
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: little bit better on the road. He's in better form
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: right now, and he does do well against San Francisco,
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: so some things look good for him coming into this game.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: Robbie Ray is pitching for the Giants. He had he's
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: having a good season man three point three to one,
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: three point three one e R one point one to
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: eight whip.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: One thing you might have to.
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: Worry about with him is is he wearing down at all?
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: But maybe he isn't because I mean, he's been around
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: for so long he has used to throwing this many
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: innings in a season, although he hasn't done it since
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: twenty twenty two because he was I believe injured for
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: a bit.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: I think, I don't know, or maybe he was just
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: out of the major leagues. I don't know.
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: Uh, But this has been like kind of an outlier
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: of a season for him. But he's kept it up
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: this whole season, so you do have to put stock
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: into the fact that he's been doing it.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: For the entire season.
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: Three point three three ERA at home so he's only
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: slightly worse at home. But the question is is he
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: actually wearing down because I said he hasn't thrown this
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: many innings for a few years now. His last two
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: starts were both bad. He didn't last five innings in
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: either of them. I know his team won both of them,
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: but he allowed ten or and runs combined across whatever
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: that is nine innings pitch.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: That's not a good sign. One of them was.
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: Against Baltimore, which is pretty inexcusable. At home too, when
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: this pitcher friendly park gave up six n runs, that's
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: not good.
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could give him a pass.
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: It was just the Rockies game, because pitching at course
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: field a little bit difficult, and maybe he just doesn't
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: handle the elevation that well. But two bad starts in
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: a row. Did have a lot of strike cuts against
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: the Rockies eight strike outs, one walk, but the prior
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: to starts he had seven walks and only five strike
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: cuts against Milwaukee and Baltimore. So there are definitely some
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: concerns with Ray right now. His numbers are good against Arizona, though,
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: in thirty seven at bats ten to three strike a
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: walk ratio won, thirty five average allowed four ninety seven ops,
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: although two of the five hits he's a lot of
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: home runs Samarte and McCann. But I actually think that
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: maybe there's a reason to lean towards Arizona in the
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: first five innings here. Gallon to me looks like he
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: actually has the sneaky advantage against Ray in this one
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: based on their recent form. So maybe that's the way
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: that I would lean in this game. I wouldn't want
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: to include Arizona's bullpen in any form at all, though,
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: so it would be a first five inning lean there.
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is down for.
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: One forty one thirty five, but fifty four percent of
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: tickets on them sixty four percent of the cash on them,
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: so the money looks like it is kind of coming
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: in on San Francisco.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Again. I would only agree with Arizona in the first
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: five though.
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: You get them at an underdog price there and hope
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: the Gallon duels Ray into the latter part of the game.
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on the under as well, seventy
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: five percent of tickets on the over, sixty three percent
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the under.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: I guess take from all that what you will.
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with the under but you do
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: have to worry about Ray possibly being in a spot
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: in a situation where he's wearing down at the end
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: of the season.
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. My Red Sox are at the A's. The
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: Red Sox, the team get the job done. Yesterday.
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: I got a good start from Crochet, shut the A's
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: out seven and nothing, so a.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Win for the Red Sox.
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: The A's are in a return home spot, and you know,
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: I point out then when a team returns home from
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: a long road trip like that, and if they don't
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: do well in that first game, it can be a
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: bounced back spot in the next game and they will focus.
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: But you gotta think the A's will have focus anyway
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: because it's the Red Sox coming into their place. Whenever
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: you get one of those bigger name teams coming into
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: your park, I think you tend to want to step
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: up and do better. The A's don't do particularly well
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: at home, though, I mean it's not really a home stadium.
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: They're playing in a triple A stadium. The A's have
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: the worst of the two bullpens. They used a little
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: bit more of there is yesterday too, so the Red
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: Sox definitely have a bullpen edge. The A's have the
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: better offense, although it's a slight offensive advantage.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: Part of it also because the Red Sox just.
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: They have some injuries here that they're dealing with very
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: unfortunately Roman Anthony, we want him to come back.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: A lot of these young guys just injure for the
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: Red Sox, and if they're injury prone, that's gonna be
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: a real problem. Dustin May is pitching for the Red Sox.
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm not a fan. Don't think it was
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: a good acquisition for the Red Sox. His numbers are
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: not great this year between being with the Dodgers and
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: with the Red Sox. Four point nine to six cra
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: one point four to two whip. He's in really bad
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: on the road six point five to nine Rody ra Way,
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: higher strike way, higher home run rate on the road
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: as well, more home runs, a lot of fumuratings pitched,
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: so that's a concern as well. Man Dustin May pitching
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: in this ballpark, that could be an issue. He only
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: lasted three innings last time out against Cleveland.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he had a.
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: Shortened start or came out of the bullpender because he
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: wasn't actually bad in that outing, gave up one in run,
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: but he did have one strike on the two walks.
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: That's not a great sign. Again, the walks have been bad, Man.
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: He's got fourteen strikeouts over his last four appearances, but
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: over that same span he has eleven walks. I think
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: is what that is, so really really bad strikeout walk ratio.
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: He's not pitching well right now. Man. And the two
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: outings before that Cleveland outing gave up eleven earned runs
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: over a span of nine and two thirds innings or
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: whatever that is. That's pretty bad. One of them against Pittsburgh.
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: That's inexcusable giving up that many runs against Pittsburgh very
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: very weak offense, and it was at Feenway Park, Pittsburgh
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: very very weak offensively on the road. So I don't
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: trust may Man. I do not, even though the A's
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: basically have no experience off him. Only Blade has ever
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: seen him, and he's zero for two with two strikeouts
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: in a walk, So may at least has an unfamiliarity
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: ed year against the A's.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: But I think you gotta worry about him, man. Jeffrey
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Springs is pitching for the A's.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: He's been pretty decent this year four point one to
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: three ERA, one point one to eight whip.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: He is worse at home.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: I mean again, it's a very difficult part to pitch in.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: He's allowed more home runs in the stadium and fewer
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: innings pitched, So both pitchers are in. They're bad of
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: the they're bad side of the home road splits, and
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: they're bad side of the home run home road splits.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: Uh springs four point seven to three ERA.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: At home, he's been decent over the past month or so. Really,
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: I mean he's allowed more than three and runs only twice,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: going all the way back into late July, more than
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: four and runs only once.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: He's been our right, I mean, is he rra still
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: wasn't that great?
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: I guess the August five point oh four had one
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: start this month and it was pretty good. Six innings
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: allowed touring runs against Saint Louis, but he got absolutely
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: no run support and it took the loss in the
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: game four to one strike a walk ratio. But against
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis they've basically packed it in. Their offense has
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: been terrible at the end of like basically in the
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: latter half of the season, So I don't know if
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: I'm ready to say Springs is in really good form.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: But he's not pitching horribly either against the Red Sox.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: Weird numbers against the Red Sox. It's a small sample size.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: Twenty three at bats, three strikeouts, two walks. Not a
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: good ratio there. He's on the two seventeen batting average though,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: because he's only allowed five hits to them, but he's
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: allowed eighty nine oh piast because three of the hits
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: have been home runs from low ref Snyder and Story,
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: so when the Red Sox hit him, they have taken
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: him yard.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: So I mean that could be kind of fluky.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: The home run stats are pretty fluky, so I in
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: like a small sample size like that. At the very least,
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: I think the home run stats pitching in this stadium
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: or whatever more something you really have to take into account.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: Though I don't know, man. I would slightly lean to
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: the A's in this game. It is a bounce backspot
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: for them after a bad game in the return home spot.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: I don't trust Dustin May. Springs has been a bit
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: better than he has this year. Seventy percent of tickets,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: only sixty one percent of the cash on the Red
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: Sox Unfortunately, Red Sox are public road team here with
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: less of the money coming in on them, and the
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: A's look like they've kind of shifted towards being a favorite,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: from plus one h three to minus one o five.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: So it also looks way too easy to take the
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: Red Sox as an underdog. And you know I warn
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: you about public road underdogs, man, So I think the
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: A's could be the right side here. The money seems
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: to be coming in on the over as well. It's
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: going up to ten with heavy juice on the over.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: Fifty six percent of the casual on the under makes
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: no sense to me. I don't know why the public
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: would want anything to do with an under in this game.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: Sixty one percent of the couch on.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: The over, though I don't necessarily disagree with that, I
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: could potentially see both offenses doing something. I mean, the
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: A's bullpen is really bad, though. I guess that's one
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: thing I should point out in leaning to the A's.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: I think you should limit it to the first five
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: innings if you play the A's here, because their bullpen
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: is it a major disadvantage. So I would only do
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: it in the first five innings and the over somewhat
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: makes sense to but you do have to worry about
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: the fact that the Red Sox.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: Bullpen is decent.
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: But if may is out of the game early, that
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: will kind of domino into the bullpen. So I wouldn't
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: disagree with an over in that game LA against Colorado.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: I did say yesterday, I thought Colorado would hold the
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: game close in the first five innings because we knew
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: Donander was pitching for them, and he's not that bad
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: on the road, and the Dodgers had not listed a
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: starter yet, so I was like, yeah, maybe you take
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: a shot. And Colorado was actually winning after the first
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: five innings. What I didn't realize was gonna happen was
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers. We're gonna go with Glass though, and he
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: wound up pitching well and getting the win. But the
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: Dodgers scored all their runs after the fifth inning, so
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: that's crazy. So if you did take my suggestion and
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: go with Colorado anyway, despite Glasno being on the mountain,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: you know how good he is, still would have gotten
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: the win on that one in Colorado first five innings,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: So I like that, why not? I don't like the
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: both of my actual plays failed yesterday Dodgers only use
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: two relief pitchers yesterday. Their bullpen's not good, but it
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: is better than the Colorado bullpen. In Colorado's bullpen used
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: to just been pretty crazy over the last few days,
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: although some of it was Sendza Tella, who I guess
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: they sent to the bullpen because he sucks and he
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: was not good in their starting rotation. Herman Marquez is
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: gonna be pitching for Colorado here, and obviously the Dodgers
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: had the better offense here. Dude, Colorado really weak offensively
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: on the road, and the Dodgers are really really good
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: offensively at home. Marquees for the Rockies not great, obviously,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: worse than that six point one ninety one point seven
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: to one whip is really bad. He is less bad
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: on the road of a five point nine to five
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: rm me and pitching a course field sucks. He hasn't
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: been good recently. I mean, he missed a lot of time.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: He missed over a month Brillian, and then he came
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: back and he got hammered by the Cubs for eight
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: runs and four and third innings eight earned. And then
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: sanar Francisco, he did a little bit better in that game.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: Gave four and runs both those games in course field, though,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: but he had more more walks than strikeouts over that span,
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: six walks to two strikeouts. So I'm not ready to
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: put any faith in Marquez, although his numbers against the
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are not really as bad as you would think.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: In one hundred and fifty eight at bats, thirty eight
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: to fourteen strike a walk ratio, two forty seven batting
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: average eight eight ops. The ops is high. He's allowed
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: twelve home runs to them, so that's a lot of
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: home runs.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: The rest of the numbers are.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: Not too bad, but he's going up against Emmett Shean,
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: who was a very talented young pitcher for the Dodgers,
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: and he's turned his numbers around this season too. Three
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: point five to nine e RA, one point one to
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: six WHIP. He's been good. He's been better at home
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: as well, two point six three ERA at home. His
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: last outing wasn't great at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has been playing
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: pretty well at home though, but he only lasted four
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: and two thirds innings. He even up tour in runs, both
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: on home runs. Diad have six strikes, mikeouts, two walks,
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: five hits loud it wasn't a horrendous start for him,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: but it was against a bad offense. He didn't get
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: any run support in the game. He threw too many pitches.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: But leading up to that, he was pitching well in
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: the month of August three point five two ERA twenty
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: eight to six strikeout walk ratio. She And he is good,
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: and he's up against a lineup that just really is
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: not good on the road or really even that good
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: in general. Colorado, though they have seen him in thirty
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: two at bats, he does have eleven strikeouts and two
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: walks against him, so a lot of strikeouts two fifty
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: average allowed, seven thirty two on ps. So Shean's numbers
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: are okay against Colorado. I mean, they probably should be
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: better against a lineup that's that bad, but actually we
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: should look because I think she And may have actually
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: faced them in course Field.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he did, so that was basically.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: That was I think all of his stats against them
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: were recently. In August he pitched at course Field six innings.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: He gave a four and run still seven strikeouts, two walks,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: So that start wasn't actually that bad.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: It was in high elevation.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: But that does is that Colorado was recently familiar with
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: him now. So sometimes when these young pitchers the like
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: I say, the hitters see them for the first time,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: they don't do as well, and then the next they
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: don't do that well, and then the next time out
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: they do a little bit better. So I guess that
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: would worry me a little bit about Sheen here. But
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers do have the edge across the board in
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: this game. They have the better starting pitching, the better bullpen,
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: they have the better hitting. But you're paying a huge
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: price for minus two ninety to minus three h five
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent take us ninety eight percent of the
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: cash coming in on the Dodgers here. I think if
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: you want to look at this game, I think probably
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: the better way to do it is again Dodgers team
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: total over. Probably just to go with the Dodgers to
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: score more than they did last night.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: They score a lot at home.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: Typically they're facing a bad starting pitcher, a bad bullpen.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: That's probably the way that I would go with that game.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: All right, So that was the breakdown. I forgot to
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: put the graphic up again. Let's go to the best bets. Man,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: It's gonna take a little while. We got four best bets,
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: But I do like these plays.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: Hopefully we can get this done and won't be a
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: too long of a video. First one was one that
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: I give out a lean on yesterday. I'm actually gonna
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: go with it this time and watch it lose this time,
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: even though it was one hundred correct yesterday it was
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: a really easy one. But we're gonna go over Washington
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: Miami in this the first play that I have here. Again,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: I just think this is a bad pitching matchup. You're
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: looking at bad bullpens. Washington's bullpen is one of the worst.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen usage is still in a pretty pretty bad
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: shape as well, so I don't love it for them.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: I don't really love it for Miami either, a lot
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: of bullpen usage. Although the bullpen usage coming into yesterday
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: was actually worse for both teams, and yesterday's game went
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: way over the total.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: They scored twenty two.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: Runs in the game yesterday, but I think that can
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: kind of carry over to this game. You're looking at
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: two teams that really don't have a whole lot left
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: to play for, and sometimes that can lean to just
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: kind of loose hitting, and you know, the pitchers don't
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: really give as much of a shit, you know what
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, It kind of becomes like a fun.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: Or so, you know what I mean.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: I know it's a divisional game and teams might want
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: to beat each other for that reason, but the starting
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: pitching this is also a train wreck man, Mitchell Parker
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: for Washington. Like yesterday, the pitchers were a bit more unknown,
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: and I thought the pictures, you know, maybe it was
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: a little bit less likely to go over the total
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: yesterday and looking at the starting pitching matchup than this
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: So again, watch this one not go over. Hopefully it does.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: But Mitchell Parker, I mean, he's been awful this season
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: five point eight to seventy RA, one point four to
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: eight whip. He's been even worse on the road, so
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: you get the better of the home road split going
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: against him here six point six' eight ROADIE.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: Ra not in good recent for him.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: EITHER i, mean he didn't last five innings last time
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: out and that was Against, miami So miami just saw,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: him so again pitching Against miami again right, Away they
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: just faced, him so they'll be used to hitting against.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: Him so that's another advantage to the bats For. Miami
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: here he had one decent start Against Tampa bay the
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: start before, that but the starts prior to, that he
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: allowed four or more runs in all of Them throughout
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: the month Of. August august was unbelievably. Bad ten point
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: two onety r rain In august twenty to eleven strike
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: out walk, ratio and it really didn't get a whole
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: lot better with that starting Against, miami even though he
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: only allowed two horn runs and four and two thirds
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: four strikeouts one. Walk But i'm not ready to trust
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: him at. All and his numbers Against miami overall are not.
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: Good in fifty one at bats eight four strike a
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not, good two ninety four batting average not,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: good eight thirty six ops not, good three on runs,
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: loud though two of them are From, ramirez But august And.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: Ramirez but even.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: Still, Yeah, PARKER i, mean he's definitely a pitcher that
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: is a fade. LIKE i don't know if there's a
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: situation where you'd never want to play on A Mitchell
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: parker And Adam mazer is pitching From miami.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: Here, MAZOR i don't know how he pronounce his. Name
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: he's a young.
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: Guy maybe there's some upside, there but looking at his career,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: stats it's. Ugly he was On San diego last, Year
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: wich means he pitched a pitcher friendly, park and his
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: numbers were. Horrific last YEAR'S era was over, seven HIS
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: whip was one point eight. One this year not much,
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: better five point seven FOUR, era one point five to three,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: whip putting a lot of guys on, base and he's
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: in the worst of his home road split being at,
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: home so we get the pitchers in the worst of
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: the home road splits on both. Sides, here he has
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: a six point three to FIVE yrra at.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: Home that's.
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: Bad last time, out he Faced washington and they obliterated
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: him for ten hits and six. Innings somehow he held
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: him to four and. Runs it should have been worse than.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: That he didn't walk. Anybody he had five, strikeoups so
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: that's pretty. Good but even that's kind of unlike. HIM i,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: mean he usually has problems with the. Walks he's only
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: made three appearances this, season and that was his longest.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: Appearance was Against.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: Washington but this will be the first time this season
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: he's facing a team for the second. Time they just
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: saw him and they already did well against, him so
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: the hitting another edge in this game because they both
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: lineups just saw both these starting. Pitchers that's another disadvantage
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: for both. Pictures, yeah this looks like a train wreck to.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: Me man for the starting pitchers here. Too it looks
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: like basically every factor you look for for an over
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: is coming into playing this. Game so it's an over for.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: Me eighty three percent, tickets only sixty nine percent of
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: the cash on the. Over but the total did go
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: up for eight and a half juice to the over
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: all the way to nine juice to the. Over nine
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: is a key. Number SO i don't know IF i
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: buy these percentages here because it does look like the
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: money is coming in at least at least it drove
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: the total up through a significant, number which is, nine
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: a key. Number you want to get the best of
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: that number nine if you. Can but, YEAH i think
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: it's an. Over and then as far as the side
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: in that, game sixty five percent, tickets only fifty one
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash On, washington So washington is actually
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: public for whatever. Reason miami down for minus one twenty
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: five to minus one. Sixteen do with that info what you.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: Will washington did win. Yesterday they were the team to
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: put up fifteen runs. Yesterday so even though the money
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: line dropped On, miami it does look Like miami is
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: the anti public home favorite there as. Well BUT i
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: think the over is the way to look. There we're
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: also gonna Go houston plus one thirty. FIVE i think
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: we get a good price on The Houston astros, here
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: AND i think they're flying under the radar.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Here. MAN i actually like this.
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: One, actually hold on a, Minute i'm gonna scratch this.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: ONE i, Apologize, MAN i.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: Actually worry About i'm gonna handicap this game, anyway But
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna scratch that one BECAUSE i liked. It it
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: was supposed to Be barrios Against, garcia Which i'll show you.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: Here that's what it, was SO i was gonna go
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: with them Because barrios has not been pitching WHILE i was, like, oh,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: MAN i like this for A houston here With.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: Garcia But i'm gonna rehandicap.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: This BUT i worry about it now Because Shane bieber
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: is pitching For toronto, now So i'm gonna rehandicap this
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: game right. NOW i don't Think i'm gonna give out
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: a play on it, now BUT i wish it Was
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: barrios because he hasn't really been a good. Form, man
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: his numbers Against houston are not really that. Good so
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: that's WHAT i was gonna go. With but now it's
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: gonna be beebe or so we'll hand to gap this. Game,
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: Anyway toronto's returning over from a road. Trips that was
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: part of the reason WHY i was gonna fade them.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: Again returning over from a road, trip teams can tend
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: to lack a little bit of. Focus ALTHOUGH i know
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: they're Facing, houston that is a big. Series it's a
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: big series for both, teams both teams fighting for playoff
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: positioning and trying to maintain leads in their. Divisions But
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: toronto's coming off that series against The. Yankees, man that
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: was a huge, series plus the return home, spot PLUS
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: i Think toronto's a little bit.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: OVERRATED i don't think they're quite as good as their record.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: LOOKS i believe The yankees and The Red sox both
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: have a better run differential than The toronto AND i
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: Think tampa is actually pretty close as. Well So toronto's
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: not really as good as they. Look so all that being,
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: considered And houston's coming off a series Against, texas WHERE
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: i believe they didn't do too. Well they lost two
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: out of the. Three SO i Think houston it's better
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: for them to just leave. Town although they weren't at,
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: home they were on the road.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: There but leave.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: Town it feels like you're basically starting a road trip
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: at this. Point just get out of, there go up.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: There SO i liked the spot For. Houston houston does
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: have the better bullpen as. Well toronto's bullpen has been
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: a mess, recently, man So houston's bullpen is the better
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: one to go. WITH i know they're both rested here
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: after yesterday because both teams are off, yesterday But houston
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: definitely has the better. Bullpen toronto does have the better offense,
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: though But Luis, GARCIA i mean, again part of the
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: reason WHY i Liked houston initially is BECAUSE i Think
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: garcia is flying out of the raidar, man because he's
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: been a guy who was. INJURED i MISSED i think
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: the entirety of last year basically or something like that
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: or most of, it and he came back this year
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: and he's been. Okay four point FIVE ra point five
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: whip is really. Good of, course it's a very limited sample,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: size so for its one start where he Faced, anaheim
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: went six, Innings he gave up three on runs on
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: only three, hits two of them, runs so maybe a
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: little bit of a fluke, there had six, strikeouts no.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: Walks it was a good start from. Him So, garcia.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: If you look at his stats, overall he was good
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: when he last Had he actually last had a full
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: season in twenty twenty, two and his career numbers are
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: actually really good with AN era in the mid threes
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: and a whip in the one point.
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: Ones so he's been good.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: Man So i'm Expecting garcia to return to what he once,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: was even though he missed all of last, year probably
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: Had Tommy john, surgery because that's the thing, now all
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: these guys going out there getting a LITTLE t AND
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: j over. There but his numbers Against toronto are also
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: pretty good and eighty at bats twenty two to one
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: strike a walk, ratio really good numbers for that strike
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio that's, crazy really good, command two fifty
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: batting average six twenty. Two Oh, Yester garcia does do
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: well Against. Toronto so that was leading me to want
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: to go On houston, here and if it Was, Barrios
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: i'd be doing it, Man but now it's gonna Be Shane.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: Bieber The, beebes and he is. Good.
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: Man bieber is another guy who Had Tommy john. Surgery
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: he just came back from injury this year as, well
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: so very. Similar so this is the battle of THE
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: tj MAN i. Had bieber has been good since he
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: came back as. Well he's got a four point one
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: five yard which is not, great but point eight to
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: one whip indicates he has been pitching.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: Well he's been better at home three point three eighty
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: r at.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: Home his one bad start was last time, up but
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: it was At Great American, ballpark so it's a hitter friendly.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: Ballpark although he didn't give up any home, runs he
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: kind of got unlucky. Man he gave up five and
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: runs on only five hits and two, walks So cincinnati
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: was very efficient with runners in scoring position in that.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: Game it looks like six to two strike up walk
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: ratio is good.
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: Overall he has a twenty one to two strike up
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: walk ratio in his three starts this season so.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: Far he went six innings in two of the.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: Three faced pretty good lineup the last couple times On
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: milwaukee and Then cincinnati's not too bad, Either So, bieber
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: he's faced some good offenses up Against. Houston those numbers
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: are actually. Bad DO i still want to go With houston?
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: Here forty six at, bats thirteen to four strike up
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not that, terrific three h four average
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: and eight eighty. Two oh, yes it's, interesting. Man so
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: actually still somewhat lean To houston in this. One toronto's
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: down might one sixty minus one forty, seven which is
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: also interesting because you think that When toronto announced that
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: It's bieber instead Of, barrios you would think that the
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: line would move Towards toronto Because bieber is better Than.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: Barrios but that's not what. Happened so that's. Interesting In
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: toronto's public seventy five percent of, tickets seventy eight percent
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: of the. Cash But i'm not SURE i buy. THAT
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: i think the money might still be coming in Towards houston.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: Here i'm just.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: Less i'm less tempted to do, it THOUGH i was
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: gonna do it to Fade brios With.
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: BIEBER i Like.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: BIEBER i Think i'm just gonna stay away from this,
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: game BUT i still lean To houston. Slightly you get
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: a pretty good underdog price on. THEM i think they
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: do have a pretty big bullpen edge. Here money also
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: on the under fifty four percent of tickets fifty eight
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming in on the.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: Under you do have rested.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: Bullpens toronto's bullpen is definitely a, concern though they've been bad,
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: recently so that's kind of the one component for the
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: under that worries me the. Most Although bieber's numbers Against
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: houston are still pretty bad as, well so that would
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: worry me a little bit as. Well but, YEAH i,
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: MEAN i don't really disagree with an. UNDER i could
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: see you doing it in the first five. INNINGS i
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: THINK i think both starting pitchers are actually pitched pretty well.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: Here but if it's.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: A, close low scoring, game that also still means That
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: houston probably as like there's value On houston as an underdog. Here,
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: man if you're saying, that, well the game's gonna be
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: at least close Between garcia And bieber and Then houston
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: has a better, bullpen it does seem like the value
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: is still On houston as the underdog. There SO i
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: would lean that way, Still BUT i am mad that
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: it's that the pitching change happened There milwaukee At. Texas
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give out the Under milwaukee At texas eight
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: and a half under eight and a half in this.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: One the starting pitching matchup has a lot of unfamiliarity.
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: HERE i see seventy three percent of tickets and cash
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: on the, under which kind of worries.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: Me at eight and a. Half the numbers just sitting
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: there at eight.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: And a, half and the money's coming inut In, milwaukee
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: so that makes me less worried about the under Because
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: Jack lighter is the pitcher who is in better form
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: right now out of the, two and the money's coming
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: in Against texas down for ten to minus one oh
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: five sixty two sentate tickets on, them fifty four percent
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: of the cash coming Into, milwaukee so the money's coming Into.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee milwaukee didn't get it done for me.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: Yesterday man with The kintana outlasted, lasts LIKE i, said
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: In texas was just ridiculously efficient and. Scoring they only
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: had six hits and they scored five runs off of.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: It.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous of, Course milwaukee has the better offense, here so
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: that maybe part of the reason why the money's coming
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: in Towards. Milwaukee they only us one relief pitcher, yesterday so.
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: The bullpens the both decent.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: Bullpens milwaukee is the more rested of the two, bullpens
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: so you might actually have to Give milwaukee a slight
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge. Here The eras are fairly close on the,
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: Season texas a little bit less rested then the starting
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: Pitching Chad patrick is. Pitching the reason WHY i like
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: the under is you got a lot of unfamiliarity here
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: Man Chad.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: Patrick he's been decent For.
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee he's facing a bad line up here In, texas
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: so remember, that and a lot of low scoring games
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: happened in this stadium as.
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: Well it's a pitch your friendly.
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: BALLPARK a three point SIXTY ra For patrick one point
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: three whip is not that. Great he's a worse on the,
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: road SO i know we're going against his worse of
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: the home road split here four point four to THREE
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: era on the. Road this makes it look, like, OH
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: i guess he was down in the miners for a little.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: BIT i was, like where the hell was? He so
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: he missed his last start in the. Majors they sent
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: him down to the, miners but he wasn't terrible over
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: his last few, starts to give up three or fewer
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: earned runs in his last four, starts so he actually
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: was pitching a little bit, better and then they sent him.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: Down his walk numbers were a little bit, high but
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: overall he wasn't, bad just pretty. Mediocre AND i think
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: mediocrity is decent enough to help us get this under,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: here in my, opinion and it might be decent enough
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: to hold This texas lineup down because they're not a good.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: Lineup patrick also again has never Faced texas, before so
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: he has a little bit of an extra edge. There
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: when you have these young pitchers that haven't been seen
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: before by these opposing, lineups that's an extra advantage. HARD
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: i don't know If i'm making any appearances on any.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: SHOWS i don't have anything lined up right, now So
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: i'm not. SURE i don't think. So the last ONE
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: i was on WAS i was On Stu peters maybe
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: like two weeks, ago BUT i don't Think i've done
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: anything since.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: THEN i did do a space actually more recently.
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Than, that on The Golden Shower Power hour because they
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: stole every idea From Tower gang from which used to
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: be The Tower Power, hour and they even stole the
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: nine to eleven start. Time BUT i was on their
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: show within the last week or. SO i think it
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: was me And Perry, abbassi who was a really funny.
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: DUDE i think it was. Good it was a funny.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: Space you can go find that On. Twitter it was a.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Space it was audio. Only Jack lighter For.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: Texas he's having a good season at this, point, man
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: because he's been really good. Recently three point seven FOUR
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: era one point two to nine whip is still a
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: little bit, high but he's turned it, around, Man. Lighter
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: he's definitely a talented, pitcher, man and it's starting to.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: Show he's been good in this stadium three point zero
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: NINE era here his last three, starts he's gone at
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: least six innings in all, three and he's allowed two
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: or fewer and runs in all.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: Three his strikeout rate went way up.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: Again he had fifteen strikeouts and five walks over that
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: excuse you, know he had twenty five strikeouts and five
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: walks over that, span so really high strikeout, rate.
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: Really good numbers, There.
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: Lighter he's in good form right, now, Man he's lighting
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: it up right. Now and over that span he also
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: only gave up ten hits in nineteen.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: Innings pitch or whatever that. Is The lighter is in
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: form right. Now.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: Man one of those games is at The a's and
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: another one was At arizona, too so those are good
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: offenses in really hit or friendly. Ballparks and he's still pitched.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: Well So lighter has found, Something. Man And milwaukee only
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: has two hitters we've ever seen him, Before jansen And,
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: vaughan and they're zero for four off in lifetime with
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: two strikeouts and no. Walks So lighter has completely shut them.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: Out and the rest of the lineup has never faced him,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: before so, again a lot of unfamiliarity. Here So lighter
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: should be able to do well here Against milwaukee with
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: the fact that they've never seen it. Before so we're
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: gonna go under in that, Game, Man Milwaukee texas under
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: the eight and a half Tower, GANG i think it's, Dead,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: MAN i don't think it's coming. Back Todd lobbs is
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: not gonna work With clint. Anymore it all.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: SUCKS i love all these.
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: Guys cole is about to have his second baby or
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: his wife is about to have their second, baby so
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: he has a lot on his plate and he's dealing
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: with a lot of work stuff as. Well so, YEAH
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: i don't think it's coming, back which makes me probably
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: want to kill myself BECAUSE i need a comedy, outlet,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: man and this is not really, it even though it'd
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: be somewhat funny on this.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: Show it's like a different. MINDSET i can't quite get
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: into that.
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: Mindset and, Finally i'm gonna give out a run line
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: play on a home.
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: TEAM i know it's a little bit.
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: WORRISOME i know it's a picture friendly, ballpark and if
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: the team doesn't have enough runs later in the game
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: and they're, winning they won't bat in the ninth. INNING
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: i know there's a concern. There But San diego minus
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: one and a half at plus one point, FIFTEEN i
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: think they have an edge in this. Game, man both,
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: teams this Is San diego Against. Cincinnati both teams are fighting. Here,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: man San diego's one game, out But cincinnati and they
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: might be feeling like maybe they're out of it at this.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: Point.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: MAN i know they're technically still in the wildcard, race
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: but they're probably not feeling as.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: Good San.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: Diego they're really trying to keep pace with The dodgers right.
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: Now they're in the wildcard. Hunt, yes both teams will show,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: up But San diego does also have the. Momentum they
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: won three games in a, row including Beating cincinnati. Yesterday
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: San diego has the better. Bullpen they did have a
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: lot of bullpen usage, yesterday which does worry me a little.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: Bit they use.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: Six relievers and they used three of them for single digit,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: Pitches SO i think those guys are available again today
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: if they really want to use. Them So i'm gonna
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: Keep San diego. Win, plus if you're going run, line
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: you kind of have to go full. Game but, also
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: look at What cincinnati did. Yesterday they literally used every
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: one of their, relievers So San diego does still have.
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: Them were rested bullpen. Here that must have been an
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: extra inning, game, RIGHT i didn't look it was a
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: four to three. Game, YEAH i was ten inning game
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: And San diego won in a dramatic fashion with a
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: walk off sack fly By Fernando. Tatis but, again that
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: could actually kind of be a dagger To cincinnati as.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: Well man losing dramatically like, THAT i think that actually
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: will Give San diego a little bit of momentum coming
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: into this game and kind of Wreck cincinnati's mindset a little, bit.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean if both those teams are going on
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: to face different, SERIES i would kind of look to
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: maybe go against both, teams but in the same. SERIES i,
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: MEAN i don't, know. MAN i think that's kind of
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: a heartbreaking loss For. Cincinnati SO i think that helps
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: San diego's mindset. Here and of, course If i'm doing
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: this run line situation here With San, diego you, KNOW
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: i like San diego starting pitching, better AND i.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: Do Zach lttel is pitching for The.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: REDS i know his numbers look good on the, season
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: three point eight ONE, era one point one four, whip
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: and it's more impressive given than he's been doing this
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: At Tampa bay and At, cincinnati because those are the
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: two teams that have had him this, year and both
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: those stadiums are hit her. Friendly BUT i just don't
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: Think lttell is actually as good as he. Looks he
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: doesn't walk a lot of, guys but he gives up
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: a lot of hard. Contact he's been a little bit
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: worse on the road three point nine to three e
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: ra go figure he actually pitches better at, home makes no.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: Sense he's a.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: Lot of whopping thirty four home runs this year, though
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: and allowed more of them on the, road although in
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: more innings, pitch but his home run rate doesn't really
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: change between a home and, away which is. Ridiculous his
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: last outing was not good Against. Toronto he gave it
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: five and runs of four and a, third six strikeouts
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: one walk was.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: Good, again he always.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: Has a good strikeout walk, ratio but he gave up
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: four home runs in that. Game and he's allowed seven
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: home runs in his last three, starts so he's getting.
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: Obliterated AND i know that this is not a home
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: run friendly ballpark, here but he's not a good form right.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: MAN i know his the ray was good In august
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: three point ninety, ray but he's failed to go five
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: innings with two of his last three. OUTINGS i know
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: one of them was At, arizona a difficult park to pitch,
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: him but STILL i Think lttel is just not a
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: great form here.
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: Man And San diego lights him.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: Up seventy six, side thirteen to four strike a walker
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: issues all right for, him but three forty two average
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: a lot in eight to fifty seven, ops so he
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: has not done well Against San. Diego they've been able
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: to hit him and he's going up Against Michael. King
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: The king is, back, baby the return of The.
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: King here we.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: Go, Man it's uh that is That's lord of The, rings,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: Right hopefully this is An oscar winning performance here from
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: the return of The king Here Michael. King, man he's
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: a good, starter and he's been on the injured. List
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: but you, KNOW i talk about this when veterans Like
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: king who've been in the league for a.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: WHILE i, mean he's thirty years, old he's been in
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: the league for a.
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: While when veterans like that come back from the injured,
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: list especially when they're returning to a contending team like,
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: THIS i think they're like super pumped to come back
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: and make that.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: Start.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: Man AND i didn't look at what he did in the,
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: myners But king is a very good, pitcher SO i
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: think he's gonna be ready to.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: Go.
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: MAN i mean there's in a playoff race like, This
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: they're not gonna bring him back in unless they know
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: that he can do. This SO i like. THAT i
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: think the team's gonna be pumped to. Have SO i
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: think that's gonna be extra focus For San. Diego And
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: king was good before he went down this. Year man
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: two point one point zero nine. Whip he was Basically
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: San diego's best starting. Pitcher he was better at home as,
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: well two point four to five r at.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: Home he did pitch In.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: August On august, ninth it looks like he maybe tried
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: to come back against The Red. SOX i don't remember
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: that at, all and he only lasted two, winnings so
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: that wasn't. Great he threw a lot of pitches fifty
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: seven pitches give hip tour in, runs one, strikeout two.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: Walks then he went back on the injured.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: LIST i don't know something happened as far as his injury,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: situation so he didn't pitch that well, There but overall
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: he's definitely a good. Pitcher man does tend to walk
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: a few too many, guys but he's very hard to.
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: Hit he strikes guys.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: Out his numbers are good on the, season and then
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: we look at his numbers against.
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: The Cincinnati. Reds, here he's done really well against The.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 2: Reds in fifty one at, bats they only have nine
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: hits against. Him in two extra base, hits you're both
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: doubles from And. Stevenson seventeen, strikeouts four. Walks that's a
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: good ratio one seventy six batting average alloted of four
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: to fifty two. Ohps So king has done well against.
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: THEM i know when we look at the mark at
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: the market's gonna be Against San. DIEGO i know they will.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: Be actually it's not their public eighty nine percent of
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: tickets been ninety two percent of the, cash and they're
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: up from minus one seventy to minus one eighty. Four
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: although maybe some of that movement was because Maybe king
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: wasn't announced right, away and then when.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: He, was the number moved.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: Up could try to figure that, out BUT i Think
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: San diego is the right side. Here man looks like
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: maybe the money is actually agreen with. It the money's
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: coming in in the under as. Well total drop from
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: eight to eight juice to the, under so significant move
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: towards the, under and it's headed towards seven and a
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: half seventy percent of tickets on the over ninety four
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the. UNDER i, MEAN i
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: could see the argument for the under maybe and that
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: both starting pitchers have good, numbers BUT i Think lattel
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: is sneakily not really that. Good king is definitely the
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: guy with the better, stuff the guy that's much more
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: difficult to. Hit so that's WHAT i prefer. Here and
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: if you we're gonna do the, under you'd have. TO
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: i would say you would have to take the bullpens
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: out of the equation because both bullpens pretty used after.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: Yesterday But San diego has an elite, bullpen, man so
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: their bullpen's gonna be in better shape against The cincinnati
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: pen that used every single.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: Arm so that's where we're gonna go With San diego.
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: There maybe that'll help us get some extra runs in the,
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: game which we want on The San diego, side of.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: Course oh thank, you. SIR i dropped some bangers on that.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: Space start my own comedy. Show it's gonna be difficult
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i, mean IF i was gonna do, that it
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: would have to just Be Tower gang, again right like
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: try to get those guys. Back BUT i don't know
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: what would, happen BECAUSE i Think clint And jose would do,
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: it BUT i don't, know, Man but, yeah it all sucks.
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: ANYWAY i gotta get out of. Here so stuff to do.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: Today those are the best bets long video, again even
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: though it's basically just baseball. Today basically once, again the
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: three plays THAT i have, Now miami And washington Are,
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: Washington miami over the total of nine under in The
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: brewers And rangers And San Diego padres run line and
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: lean To houston for, sure AND i do have a
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: lean to the under in That pirates game as. Well
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: houston was the first One i'm leaving off my car
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: just Because bieber is good AND i don't really want
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: to fade, him BUT i still Think houston is the
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: preferred side. There and AGAIN i do like the under
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: in The pirates game, Too so watch those win and
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: all three my actual plays, lose, Man but that's gonna do.
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: It i'll be. BACK i, mean it's a busy week
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: every time during football. Season.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: Man we Have Thursday NIGHT nfl And Thursday Night college
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: football to talk. About there's some of the there's some
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: big conference game On thursday with college.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: FOOTBALL i forget what it. Is i'm pretty sure there.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: Is we're not in the midweek maction section of the
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: college football season, yet where you have football literally every single.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: Day that happens later in the, Season we'll see what.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: Happens MY nfl was good, though if you followed my
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: stuff to try to help out your like pick them
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: entries and. Whatever AND i didn't do well with my
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: money entry because THE i went two and three in
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: my top five picks and my bets were only two and,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: two so that's not good or my actual PLAYS i
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: gave it on the. Show one of them we couldn't
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: use in the pick five, though because that would have
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: helped me. OUT i would have gone three and two
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i would have Had dallas instead of The. Falcons
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: with The falcons fucked. Me so what do you want to?
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: Do BUT i went eleven and five in my overall
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: spread pool where you pick every single, game BUT espn
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: had some stale lines that you could take advantage of.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: There but still eleven and five good start for me
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: in that. One but, Anyway i'll be back later on
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: tomorrow morning and we'll talk about The wednesday card And
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: i'll see you, THEN i, guess Assuming i'm still. Live
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: peace out for, now HARD. R thanks for being the
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: only member of the chat this. Morning everybody have a
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: good one, today Titty. Tuesday peace for, Now man