Latest / Mike Check - A College Football Podcast / BIG GAME PREVIEW: OHIO STATE VS IOWA
Transcript
- Jackson: Next game, Ohio State. Good on the road to play Iowa. line is Ohio State minus thirteen and a half. What you got for this one, Davis? Davis: Yeah, so this game is really strength on strength. You have Ohio State's prolific offense against I was very good defense. I was coming off of a last second win against Michigan, which was a led by a Hank Brown like eighty yard drive as time expired. So big win for them. And then you have Jeremiah Smith who absolutely went nuclear last week against Illinois, put up, you know, two hundred and seventeen yards and four touchdowns. So we'll be interesting to see, you know, which mismatch takes advantage. Jackson: Yeah. I don't think Iowa's defence is necessarily as stout as they as maybe we think they are. I know Davis: I agree. Jackson: the points per game allowed says eight and you know, you give up nineteen to Michigan, which is not much, but Buchanan and March for Michigan last week both had over a hundred yards. So Michigan was able to throw the ball, and to me that is a little bit concerning if you're Iowa, with a team like Ohio State coming into town with their you know, all the explosive weapons and then Jeremiah Smith, Julian Saiyan, just all the guys they have. You you have Michigan whose passing offense is essentially non existent, Davis: Yeah. Jackson: with two guys going over a hundred yards, and then here comes Ohio State and I don't know. I I just don't think it this matches up well for Iowa. To be honest, I think Ohio State's gonna, get out to an early lead and Iowa's just never gonna be able to catch up. Michigan's defense Davis: Yeah. Jackson: is good, so is Ohio State's defense. Davis: Yeah. I'm I'm really glad that you said that actually. I know that when we were doing the preview last week we were talking about how good the mission or the Iowa defense is against the pass and we didn't expect Bryce Underwood to be able to push the ball through the air, which was kind of the opposite of what actually happened. I was still fortunate enough to win that game. But Bryce Underwood I thought had one of his best days given the opponent He went 17 of 28, 276, two touchdowns, and an interception. So really able to move the ball. And kind of going back to last week, I did touch on I was like EPA per pass allowed and how that number was very elite. Well, one of the problems with like citing these metrics so early in the season is that It is such a small sample size. That number, which I think last week was in the top five against the pass, is already dropped to the like mid fifties. So I I think I definitely agree with you when you said that Iowa's defense may not be everything that it was hyped up to be. And for that reason, I'm gonna go with Ohio State minus thirteen and a half here as well. Jackson: Yeah, I mean the other thing about Iowa's offense, I mean, I know you can read into the numbers, the rush yards, pass yards per game stuff as much as you want, but honestly at this point of the season it's kind of just a lot to do. I mean you can look at numbers first power force. Right, right. It's like Davis: Lot of it is who have you played? And you can try to adjust as much as you can for that, but it only gets you so so much. I I do agree. Jackson: Right. And and to me, I was strength of their offense has actually been the passing game. I mean the Michigan di Davis: Hank Browns look good. Jackson: Yeah, and the Michigan game was so stagnant last week. I mean they had the two kind of they had the two minute drive they scored on the last play of the game. You take that touchdown off the board, they only score fourteen points and then I think they had like a tip pass or something, touchdown. I didn't watch the whole game, but Their their pass their pass game is actually the strength of the the of their offense. It's not the rush game, so or the rushing attack. Davis: No, it is not. Jackson: Ohio State, their strength is their pass defense. their if you want to call it a weakness, would I would say would be their rushing defense. So I think that is also a little bit unfortunate for Iowa. they're only averaging around six yards per completion. So it's a lot of this like you know, dink and dunk, five yard stops, five yard outs, spot routes. drags, so it's it's not it's not really much of a passing attack. The offense just isn't very good. the mismatch is too big in this one, so I got Ohio State laying the thirteen and a half. Davis: Yeah. Last two times they've played against each other, which was sorry, I know you already went to the next slide. Twenty twenty four, Jackson: No, you're good. Go ahead. Davis: Ohio State won by twenty eight and twenty twenty two, Ohio State won by forty four. Jackson: Yeah. And I I know it's like different years, but to me it's different years, but it's the same style and the same scheme to it to an extent. So Davis: Yeah. Jackson: I think that definitely matters somewhat.