Latest / Simply Bitcoin / They're Buying While You're Panicking (And Supply Is Running Out) | Simply SatoSHE
Transcript
- 0:0062% That's how many people on Polymarket think their Bitcoin
- 0:04is going below $50,000 this year.
- 0:07The Fear and Greed Index has been sitting in extreme fear for
- 0:10three weeks straight. 5 red monthly calendars in a row.
- 0:16And while all of that is happening, the Dubai Sovereign
- 0:19Wealth Fund just doubled their position in BlackRock CTF $1.38
- 0:24billion billion dollars. While you were panicking, they
- 0:30were buying. That's the whole show right
- 0:33there. Let's go.
- 0:34It's Satoshi time. Welcome back to simply Bitcoin
- 0:39Satoshi. I'm Sophie and today we're
- 0:41breaking down 7 stories, ETFs, sovereign wealth funds, Jim
- 0:45Cramer doing Jim Cramer things, Sailor doing sailor things, the
- 0:50US government's Bitcoin reserve, the regulation mess in
- 0:54Washington, and one number that's going to make you put
- 0:57your phone down and just stack. See ya four months, November,
- 1:03December, January, February, all net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs.
- 1:07People were pulling money out and then last Monday happened
- 1:12$458,000,000 in one day, 0 outflows across every single US
- 1:19spot Bitcoin ETF, not one fund bled a single dollar and that's
- 1:24just Monday. The full week $801 million in
- 1:28net that inflows, the money is coming back.
- 1:31We're back. And it's not retail Twitter
- 1:37doing this, it's institutions rebalancing.
- 1:40The big players who know what they're doing just told you
- 1:44exactly where they stand. Sound familiar?
- 1:47They buy when you sell, every single time.
- 1:50Now here's the story that should embarrass every retail bear out
- 1:54there. Mubadala Investment Company, Abu
- 1:57Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund. They manage $330 billion.
- 2:02They just filed with the SEC in the fourth quarter while Bitcoin
- 2:06was dropping 23%, they increased to their BlackRock Bitcoin ETF
- 2:12position by 46% and they now hold $630 million in IBIT
- 2:19partner fund Al Warda, another 408 million together, $1.38
- 2:26billion in one Bitcoin ETF bought on the way down.
- 2:31This isn't some hedge fund gambling.
- 2:34This is a government, a sovereign nation saying we
- 2:38believe in this enough to put in over a billion dollars of our
- 2:42country's money in it during a crash.
- 2:46What do they know that panic sellers don't?
- 2:49OK, I have to talk about this one.
- 2:51Jim Cramer, CNB, CS Jim Cramer has officially gone 100% bearish
- 2:57on Bitcoin. Robin Hood reports people are
- 2:59starting to get unnerved by how closely aligned this stock is
- 3:02with the price of Bitcoin. Even today's dramatic rebound,
- 3:05Bitcoin still feels like it's lost.
- 3:07It's lost her the precipitous decline of the cryptocurrency
- 3:09occurring at the same time I was a weakening dollar calls into
- 3:13question whether it's a real store holder value or even a
- 3:15hedge against inflation. We know nothing We we we this
- 3:20volatile thing we used to think it could be a currency that's
- 3:22not obviously not going to happen.
- 3:24It's a great speculative asset, I guess until it started
- 3:26plummeting. So, Robin, it may be the
- 3:28repository of something that's become toxic and I think a lot
- 3:32less dependable. Now, for anyone who's been
- 3:34around the space for more than 5 minutes, you know what this
- 3:38means. The inverse Kramer effect is so
- 3:42real. So real that someone literally
- 3:44made an ETF to bet against his stock picks.
- 3:47When Kramer calls something dead, it tends to come back.
- 3:55So thank you, Jim. Genuinely, this might be the
- 3:58most bullish signal of this week.
- 4:00Real quick, you just heard about sovereign wealth funds dropping
- 4:03over a billion dollars into custody Bitcoin ETFs, meaning
- 4:07someone else holds their Bitcoin.
- 4:09That's fine for Abu Dhabi, but for you, you need to hold your
- 4:12own keys. And that's where the Bitcoin way
- 4:14comes in. Your personal Bitcoin IT team,
- 4:18self custody training, cybersecurity, Plan B residency,
- 4:22Over 20 years of expertise. They simplify the whole thing so
- 4:26that you can stay in complete control of your stack.
- 4:30Book a free 30 minute consultation at the
- 4:32bitcoinway.com/simply. Tell them Satoshi sent you on
- 4:38the same day that the fear and greed index is screaming sell
- 4:42everything. Michael Saylor the Chad posts
- 4:45this on X this morning. I'm buying Bitcoin right now.
- 4:49Are you? That man holds 720,000 Bitcoin.
- 4:53He just bought 3000 more last week and when CNBC sat him down
- 4:59last month and asked point blank what happens if Bitcoin falls
- 5:0290%? If Bitcoin falls 90% for the
- 5:05next 4 years, we'll refinance the debt.
- 5:09You refinance. Where Michael?
- 5:11We'll refinance the debt. We'll roll it forward.
- 5:14Becky Quick's face, by the way, Priceless Strategy has 2 1/2
- 5:19years of cash on the balance sheet.
- 5:21They're not selling. They're buying every quarter,
- 5:24forever, forever. You can disagree with his
- 5:28strategy, but you cannot argue with his conviction.
- 5:31OK, this one's big and not enough people are talking about
- 5:35it. the US government already has a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 5:38As we know, Trump signed that executive order a year ago. the
- 5:42US currently holds around 328,000 Bitcoin, but Senator
- 5:47Cynthia Lummis is pushing the Bitcoin Act legislation to
- 5:51codify this into law and buy 1,000,000 Bitcoin over five
- 5:55years. Budget neutral, no new taxes.
- 5:58The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve can help people in my generation
- 6:04right the wrongs that we did to your generation and generations
- 6:10to follow, and I feel deeply committed to making that happen.
- 6:15Let me say that again. the United States government, led by
- 6:19bitcoiners in Congress, wants to buy a million Bitcoin using
- 6:23existing Federal Reserve remittances, not your tax
- 6:27dollars. The bill that's moving through
- 6:29Congress right now, HR 2112, was introduced to give Trump's
- 6:34executive order the full force of law. the US government is
- 6:38officially a Bitcoin bull. Still think this is a fad?
- 6:42So the US government is stacking, Abu Dhabi is stacking
- 6:45sailors stacking, but what about you?
- 6:47If you're watching all of this and thinking, OK, I need to
- 6:50start buying, let me make it easy Bitcoin.
- 6:53Well, the self custody Bitcoin on ramp.
- 6:56You buy Bitcoin directly into your wallet.
- 6:59No middle men holding your coins, no custodial risk, non
- 7:03custodial by design. Actually trusted by over 50,000
- 7:08users and they're publicly traded on the TSX Venture
- 7:12Exchange. Set up daily recurring buys and
- 7:15stack automatically Sign up at bitcoinwell.com.
- 7:19Simply BTC. That's my link.
- 7:21And right now you get three chances to win 1,000,000 sats
- 7:25just for signing up. That's 0.01 Bitcoin, not
- 7:31nothing. bitcoin.com/simply BTC. So let's talk about what's not
- 7:37working in Washington. The Digital Asset Market Clarity
- 7:41Act, the big crypto regulation bill if you will, is dead in the
- 7:46water. It passed the House with
- 7:47bipartisan support last summer, 294 to 134.
- 7:51Actually impressive. But then it got to the Senate
- 7:54and Coinbase, the largest US crypto exchange, pulled their
- 7:58support. They said the bill could
- 8:00restrict petition and hamper innovation.
- 8:02Within hours, Senate leadership postponed the markup committee
- 8:06vote. No new date.
- 8:08Here's the thing though, Bitcoin doesn't need a bill.
- 8:11Bitcoins not waiting on Congress to figure out its jurisdiction.
- 8:15Bitcoins protocol doesn't care about the SEC or the CFTC.
- 8:20And while senators argue about who gets to regulate what, you
- 8:24can be sitting there holding your own keys outside of the
- 8:28whole system. Regulate that.
- 8:31And I saved this one for last because it deserves to close the
- 8:35show. In about 12 days, around March
- 8:3815, the 20 millionth Bitcoin is going to be mined. 20 million
- 8:44out of 21,000,000 total that will ever exist.
- 8:48That's 95% of all the Bitcoin already out there.
- 8:52The remaining 1,000,000 will take 114 years to mine.
- 8:56The last Bitcoin won't be mined until the year 2140.
- 9:01Now let's make this worse, better for us.
- 9:04Somewhere in between 2 and 4 million Bitcoin are already lost
- 9:09forever. Wallets with forgotten
- 9:11passwords, hard drives at the bottom of landfills, people who
- 9:15passed away without passing on their keys.
- 9:18So the real number of Bitcoin that can actually be bought,
- 9:21sold or held is actually closer to 16 or 17,000,016 or
- 9:2717,000,000 coins for for 8 billion people.
- 9:31While Abu Dhabi's government is buying a billion dollars worth
- 9:35while strategy is hoarding 720,000 while the US government
- 9:40is talking about buying 1,000,000.
- 9:43And the fear and greed index still says extreme fear.
- 9:47You want to know what scarcity looks like?
- 9:49You're watching it happen in real time, so stack accordingly.
- 9:53We just talked about the 20 millionth Bitcoin getting mined,
- 9:56so it's only right that we talk about the people doing the
- 9:59mining. Mining Disrupt is the world's
- 10:02largest Bitcoin mining Expo, the biggest names in the industry,
- 10:06cutting edge rigs, Bitcoin and AI integration, live streamed
- 10:10keynotes, and the best networking you'll find anywhere
- 10:13in the space. Go to miningdisrupt.com and grab
- 10:17your tickets. Use code simply Bitcoin for 20%
- 10:20off. Check miningdisrupt.com for the
- 10:22latest event date and location and we'll see you there.
- 10:25Here's what I want you to walk away with today.
- 10:27The fear and greed index says panic. 62% of Poly market says
- 10:32Bitcoin is going below 50,005 red months in a row.
- 10:36And yet Abu Dhabi is buying, Sailor is buying, the US
- 10:41government is accumulating, and 95% of all Bitcoin that will
- 10:46ever exist is already out there. The dip is real, the fear is
- 10:51real, but the supply cap is also real, and big money knows it.
- 10:56The struggle is real. So this is not the end, this is
- 11:03the discount. Thanks for watching Simply
- 11:05bitcoins Satoshi. Don't forget to smash the like
- 11:08button. Share the show with your
- 11:09friends. Drop a comment below.
- 11:10I read all of them. Follow me on X at Internet.
- 11:13Sophie without an E at the end. And as always, stack, slay and
- 11:18stay bullish, baby.