Latest / DEEP INSIGHT / Nicolle on embarrassed GOP BEGGING toxic Trump NOT to campaign with them
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: A lot of the things he seems like he's doing,
- 0:03Speaker 1: he's focusing on trying to make him greater, himself greater,
- 0:06Speaker 1: instead of the American people greater. He ran on make
- 0:10Speaker 1: America great again, but he's trying to make Donald Trump.
- 0:13Speaker 2: Great again, I think.
- 0:15Speaker 1: Does America feel great again?
- 0:17Speaker 3: I don't think so, not right now. You don't think so,
- 0:21Speaker 3: not right now. That, importantly, was coming from a three-time
- 0:25Speaker 3: Trump voter in a state Donald Trump won three times.
- 0:29Speaker 3: realizing the phrase promises kept was a little more than
- 0:32Speaker 3: a slogan to Donald Trump. Despite promising to reduce inflation
- 0:36Speaker 3: and to lower gas prices and to elevate economic prosperity
- 0:41Speaker 3: for all Americans, especially his voters on the campaign trail
- 0:44Speaker 3: as a candidate, Donald Trump has instead enriched himself by
- 0:48Speaker 3: billions of dollars while his voters and all Americans are
- 0:52Speaker 3: left struggling to get by. While a better-than-expected jobs report
- 0:57Speaker 3: today showed the U.S. added 162,000 jobs last month, Americans'
- 1:02Speaker 3: wage growth remains at a standstill. And oil prices, due
- 1:05Speaker 3: to Donald Trump's war with Iran, could boost inflation even further.
- 1:10Speaker 3: As of today, that war has already sent diesel to
- 1:12Speaker 3: a new high of nearly $ 6 per gallon. Meanwhile, mortgage
- 1:16Speaker 3: rates have climbed to their highest level in more than
- 1:18Speaker 3: a year. These struggles aren't on Trump's radar or seemingly
- 1:23Speaker 3: on the radar of anyone who works for him. They're
- 1:25Speaker 3: not a priority. Instead, he is wholly focused on making
- 1:29Speaker 3: the nation's capital some sort of shrine to his ego
- 1:32Speaker 3: and ineptitude. The Trump administration says he will soon break
- 1:36Speaker 3: ground on that 250-foot triumphal arch, despite not having received
- 1:43Speaker 3: approval for its construction. Meanwhile, Republicans fighting for their seats
- 1:47Speaker 3: in Congress... seem to be feeling anything but triumphant, and
- 1:51Speaker 3: Trump's apathy toward the struggles of the American people is
- 1:54Speaker 3: becoming so politically toxic, some candidates are begging him not
- 1:59Speaker 3: to show up on the campaign trail alongside them. A
- 2:01Speaker 3: new Politico report that interviewed more than two dozen Republican lawmakers,
- 2:05Speaker 3: candidates and operatives found this, quote, Many of these candidates
- 2:10Speaker 3: privately admit they're stuck in an uncomfortable spot. By running
- 2:14Speaker 3: too far from Trump, Republicans risk alienating the MAGA faithful
- 2:18Speaker 3: or the president himself. But if they keep Trump close,
- 2:21Speaker 3: they could be dragged down by the president as the
- 2:23Speaker 3: unpopular war in Iran has increased costs for Americans across
- 2:27Speaker 3: the country. That is where we begin the hour with
- 2:29Speaker 3: some of our favorite reporters and friends. Author of the
- 2:31Speaker 3: Substack newsletter, To the Contrary, Charlie Sykes is back. Also
- 2:35Speaker 3: joining us, Democratic strategist and former senior aide for Hillary
- 2:38Speaker 3: for America, Joel Payne is back. And back with me
- 2:41Speaker 3: at the table, MSNOW political analyst, professor of practice at
- 2:45Speaker 3: the School of Professional Studies at Columbia University. Basil Smichels here. Basil,
- 2:49Speaker 3: I start with you. Your thoughts on this moment.
- 2:52Speaker 4: You know, I was thinking a lot because I'm about
- 2:54Speaker 4: to start teaching my classes. I teach a class in
- 2:57Speaker 4: communications and marketing for the public sector. And I always
- 3:00Speaker 4: teach the Reagan Morning in America ad, 1984. It's a
- 3:06Speaker 4: brilliant ad for its time. Reagan's not in it, and
- 3:09Speaker 4: you don't hear his voice. But you see these images
- 3:11Speaker 4: of America where they talk about inflation getting lower, people
- 3:16Speaker 4: getting their jobs, people moving into their first-time homes. Great images.
- 3:21Speaker 4: If you're a Republican at that time, you can draw
- 3:23Speaker 4: down from that and talk about how that relates to
- 3:26Speaker 4: you in your district. What is a Republican to do today?
- 3:29Speaker 4: The arch.
- 3:30Speaker 3: Just on the ad, I'm so glad you mentioned it.
- 3:32Speaker 3: I should have had it.
- 3:33Speaker 1: It's also.
- 3:35Speaker 3: about the future.
- 3:36Speaker 1: That's very aspirational.
- 3:38Speaker 4: Right?
- 3:38Speaker 3: Like, whatever the shrines are, they're not about the future.
- 3:42Speaker 3: And it's very sunny, right? So it's like very, I mean,
- 3:45Speaker 3: like the actual shots are all very bright and sunny.
- 3:47Speaker 4: And it is literally, they show morning in America, right?
- 3:50Speaker 4: It is incredibly aspirational. But there's nothing about what Donald
- 3:54Speaker 4: Trump is doing now that a Republican could say, this
- 3:56Speaker 4: is meant for you. The arch does not connect. The
- 4:01Speaker 4: ballroom does not connect. And Day after day, what is
- 4:05Speaker 4: connecting are the ICE raids. It's what's happening to my
- 4:08Speaker 4: brothers and sisters, my Haitian brothers and sisters in Ohio,
- 4:11Speaker 4: which we will talk about. It's all of those things
- 4:14Speaker 4: that are affecting neighbors and neighborhoods. That's why, you know,
- 4:18Speaker 4: Republicans can't nationalize their election, but Democrats certainly can nationalize
- 4:22Speaker 4: this election. And that's what you're seeing in terms of
- 4:24Speaker 4: the incredible mobilization that we've seen thus far.
- 4:27Speaker 3: Charlie Sykes, what are you seeing in this moment?
- 4:30Speaker 2: Well, yeah, nothing says I care about the average American
- 4:33Speaker 2: more than building another multimillion dollar monument to your own narcissism.
- 4:38Speaker 2: I mean, this really is a split screen. The only
- 4:41Speaker 2: thing I would quibble with is that Republicans are not
- 4:43Speaker 2: stuck in this situation. They put themselves in this situation.
- 4:47Speaker 2: They signed up for this. And at the very moment
- 4:51Speaker 2: when you would think that they would be trying to
- 4:52Speaker 2: have a little bit of daylight, Donald Trump is making
- 4:55Speaker 2: this campaign all about himself. And I was really struck
- 4:58Speaker 2: by Basil saying that 1984 Reagan ad, because can you
- 5:03Speaker 2: even imagine a Trump ad in which Trump does not appear,
- 5:06Speaker 2: in which you simply have the images that make people
- 5:11Speaker 2: feel good about America and where we are going? Everything
- 5:15Speaker 2: that Trump puts out is all about himself. And I
- 5:18Speaker 2: think that's part of the split screen. As Americans are
- 5:21Speaker 2: looking around and going, I'm not actually feeling great about America.
- 5:24Speaker 2: I'm not actually feeling great about myself. And when you
- 5:27Speaker 2: turn on television, you see a Trump ad where you
- 5:30Speaker 2: read about the Republican Party. All you hear about is
- 5:33Speaker 2: Donald Trump. And Donald Trump's endless neediness and desire to
- 5:38Speaker 2: aggrandize himself. Here's a guy that got elected saying, I
- 5:42Speaker 2: will be the voice of the little man. I feel
- 5:45Speaker 2: your pain. I will be your spokesman. But all he
- 5:50Speaker 2: talks about these days is himself. And that's not lost
- 5:54Speaker 2: on voters.
- 5:55Speaker 3: Let me just. Try to deepen this conversation, though. That
- 5:58Speaker 3: has been the case since day one.
- 6:00Speaker 4: Right.
- 6:00Speaker 3: So it starts with Elon Musk and the chainsaw with
- 6:03Speaker 3: the belly showing. And they proudly, in their own words, quote,
- 6:06Speaker 3: traumatize the federal workforce. Voters turn out at Republican town
- 6:11Speaker 3: halls immediately. They see what's happening immediately. They have never
- 6:16Speaker 3: had a Steve Bannon campaign. voice in the ear of
- 6:20Speaker 3: this West Wing. They have never acted in a way
- 6:24Speaker 3: that is politically beneficial to Trump or any of the Republicans.
- 6:27Speaker 3: What does that say to you, Charlie?
- 6:30Speaker 2: Well, it says to me that Trump 2.0 is different
- 6:33Speaker 2: from Trump 1.0 in many ways, which you have covered extensively.
- 6:37Speaker 2: But one of the ways that it has changed has
- 6:39Speaker 2: been the incredible tone deafness, has been the fact that
- 6:44Speaker 2: he has surrounded himself with a group of toadies and
- 6:47Speaker 2: loyalists who tell him what he wants to hear and
- 6:51Speaker 2: never tell him no.
- 6:52Speaker 1: And as a.
- 6:52Speaker 2: Result of that, I think he's become increasingly disconnected, not
- 6:56Speaker 2: just from reality, because we see that every day, but
- 6:59Speaker 2: from his own base. I mean, you think about the
- 7:02Speaker 2: coalition he put together in 2024. Almost everything that has
- 7:07Speaker 2: happened to him since then has been self-inflicted as he
- 7:09Speaker 2: has squandered that message and that coalition, which increasingly looks
- 7:15Speaker 2: at him and says, this is not what you said
- 7:16Speaker 2: you were going to do. This is not what you promised.
- 7:19Speaker 2: And here we are.
- 7:20Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Joel, I wonder sometimes if the.
- 7:28Speaker 3: No one knows where Mitch McConnell is right now. Donald
- 7:31Speaker 3: Trump is so crazy on social media that if he
- 7:34Speaker 3: were at the top of any industry other than politics,
- 7:37Speaker 3: if he were a star athlete, if he were a
- 7:39Speaker 3: famous actor, if he were a famous singer, if he
- 7:43Speaker 3: were a famous artist. The press around those institutions, ESPN
- 7:49Speaker 3: or sort of the bro-y podcast around sports would be
- 7:52Speaker 3: talking about it incessantly. If any athlete posted the kinds
- 7:56Speaker 3: of things Trump posts and the way he posts so
- 7:59Speaker 3: insanely in all caps and weird things and the speech
- 8:03Speaker 3: he's giving. Three times he has now talked about how
- 8:05Speaker 3: you spell dumb and said people don't know there's a B.
- 8:08Speaker 3: I mean, I think like everyone older than five knows
- 8:11Speaker 3: there's a B. Like he says things that are so
- 8:13Speaker 3: crazy now. that there's this gaslighting upside down. I think
- 8:17Speaker 3: this is like a WTF election. I don't actually know
- 8:20Speaker 3: the answer to the question I just asked Charlie Sykes.
- 8:23Speaker 3: Maybe they don't care about the politics of Doge or
- 8:26Speaker 3: the politics of, you know, a lot of the jobs
- 8:28Speaker 3: they killed were veterans. I mean, I have never been
- 8:30Speaker 3: alive when Republicans didn't even pretend to give a you-know-what
- 8:34Speaker 3: about veterans. I don't know what that is. I don't
- 8:36Speaker 3: know what that ideology is. I don't know what that
- 8:39Speaker 3: principle is. I've never been alive when Republicans haven't cared
- 8:43Speaker 3: about corruption. Even if they didn't care morally, it's a
- 8:45Speaker 3: political loser. And so I wonder how you sort of,
- 8:48Speaker 3: as someone with a finger on the pulse and an
- 8:51Speaker 3: idea of what Democrats are doing, how do you message
- 8:54Speaker 3: in a sort of WTF moment?
- 8:57Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 8:57Speaker 1: And I'm fighting the urge to nerd out here because
- 8:59Speaker 1: both Basil and Charlie went to ads and so did you.
- 9:02Speaker 1: And I'd love to spend the next couple of minutes
- 9:04Speaker 1: talking about that, but I'll resist.
- 9:07Speaker 3: I'll just say this.
- 9:10Speaker 1: The coalition that Trump put together now, this 2024 coalition,
- 9:15Speaker 1: is fundamentally different than the one in 2016. And I
- 9:18Speaker 1: think that that's a part of the story here as well,
- 9:21Speaker 1: because there are different voters with different interests that have
- 9:23Speaker 1: different expectations of this president. The first Trump coalition was, frankly,
- 9:29Speaker 1: a little bit closer to what I would call, like,
- 9:32Speaker 1: Republican classic democracy. And I think maybe some of the
- 9:36Speaker 1: things that Trump feels like he has license to get
- 9:40Speaker 1: away with, I actually think he was maybe given the
- 9:42Speaker 1: space to get away with. Combined with the fact, to
- 9:44Speaker 1: build off of Charlie's point, he had people around him.
- 9:47Speaker 1: I mean, he had the bumpers, like when you go to,
- 9:50Speaker 1: you know, do bowling and, you know, little three-year-olds are bowling.
- 9:52Speaker 1: He had bumpers on the bowling alley to make sure
- 9:56Speaker 1: that he didn't.
- 9:57Speaker 3: Crap out every time he messed up.
- 9:59Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 10:00Speaker 1: So he had people around him that would fight back
- 10:03Speaker 1: on the worst impulses and prevent the worst possible thing
- 10:06Speaker 1: from happening every single time. And it distorted what the
- 10:10Speaker 1: American people experienced and Trump won. So that when they
- 10:14Speaker 1: got an opportunity to have another shot at voting for Trump,
- 10:18Speaker 1: They forgot about it. And there's a lot of cultural
- 10:21Speaker 1: reasons why that might be the case. But the coalition
- 10:24Speaker 1: being different, I think, is central to this conversation and
- 10:27Speaker 1: central to the failure to meet people's expectations. When you
- 10:31Speaker 1: have a more broad working class coalition of people of color,
- 10:35Speaker 1: they expect different things than that coalition that's a little
- 10:38Speaker 1: bit closer to a Republican classic coalition. So you can't
- 10:42Speaker 1: spend people out of transferring a trillion dollars of wealth
- 10:45Speaker 1: in the big, beautiful bill like you may have been
- 10:47Speaker 1: able to do the first time around with that TCJA
- 10:50Speaker 1: Act you passed back in, I believe it was 2017.
- 10:53Speaker 1: So the coalition is being different, I think, is central
- 10:55Speaker 1: here as well.
- 10:56Speaker 3: What was the ad you were going to? I promised
- 10:58Speaker 3: you to since you went third.
- 11:00Speaker 1: Well, well, so, you know, I've actually made some ads myself.
- 11:03Speaker 1: I worked on the Hillary Clinton campaign in 2016. And
- 11:05Speaker 1: I remember one of the things we were trying to
- 11:08Speaker 1: counteract was this feeling of people saying, well, what do
- 11:10Speaker 1: I have to lose? In fact, I remember Trump on
- 11:13Speaker 1: the campaign trail would talk about what do I have
- 11:15Speaker 1: to lose? And we actually made an ad that. that
- 11:18Speaker 1: took that sound of him saying, what do you have
- 11:19Speaker 1: to lose? And then we pointed out all the things
- 11:22Speaker 1: that people could lose. And I think, you know, it's
- 11:26Speaker 1: not funny. It's more ironic that every single day, I mean,
- 11:30Speaker 1: with each passing headline, we are seeing what was at
- 11:33Speaker 1: stake for people in that election and obviously in 2024
- 11:37Speaker 1: and the price that people are paying for buying into
- 11:40Speaker 1: the charlatan that is Donald Trump.