Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / Buccaneers vs Cowboys - TNF Showdown Shippers | NFL Week 5 | DFS Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:05Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff.
- 0:35Speaker 3: What's up, everyone? Tyler Tamerlene here, a.k.a. Toe Tagging Tambo.
- 0:39Speaker 3: Back for another edition of Thursday Night Football Showdown Shippers
- 0:42Speaker 3: here on the Ship It Nation YouTube station. We've got
- 0:44Speaker 3: week five, Tampa Bay at Dallas. Got hoop, got title.
- 0:48Speaker 3: I'm back in the booth. Better than I was feeling
- 0:50Speaker 3: last week, so I appreciate everybody that reached out. But
- 0:52Speaker 3: we're going to break this game down as usual. We'll
- 0:54Speaker 3: get to the captains, the captain ownership, position by position,
- 0:57Speaker 3: roster construction, how you can handle the slate, a little
- 1:00Speaker 3: bit of fan duel at the end, and more hoop.
- 1:02Speaker 3: Bring you in first. So man, another week, week five begins.
- 1:05Speaker 3: We got the game.
- 1:07Speaker 1: Glad to have you back, man. Glad to have you
- 1:08Speaker 1: back in the saddle. You don't realize how valuable somebody
- 1:11Speaker 1: is until you got to get into that hosting booth.
- 1:13Speaker 1: And I mean, I always value, you know, you know,
- 1:16Speaker 1: I value, but hosting is no joke, man. I mean,
- 1:18Speaker 1: you got to give you credit because you do a
- 1:19Speaker 1: hell of a job hosting these shows, always keeping the
- 1:23Speaker 1: conversation going, good transition. It's not easy to do. People
- 1:26Speaker 1: do not understand how difficult it is to consistently host
- 1:30Speaker 1: shows at a high level. And you're definitely one.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Of the best.
- 1:33Speaker 1: So glad to have you back. Appreciate it. So I
- 1:36Speaker 1: don't have to host. And we have a good game.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Got my Cowboys going tonight. Well, not my Cowboys, I guess.
- 1:40Speaker 1: But the Cowboys going tonight.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Big total.
- 1:44Speaker 1: Big spread. Yeah. And it should be a good game.
- 1:47Speaker 1: So excited to break it down with you guys.
- 1:49Speaker 3: Your jersey says otherwise, though. You did get the here
- 1:51Speaker 3: we go on. We got the deck ready to rock
- 1:53Speaker 3: and roll.
- 1:53Speaker 1: That's just because he was printing money for us. Was
- 1:54Speaker 1: that two seasons ago? I can't remember if it was
- 1:56Speaker 1: two or three. It was just a free printer. Just
- 1:59Speaker 1: two years ago.
- 2:00Speaker 3: Quarter milli week for yourself amongst you know another half
- 2:03Speaker 3: milli for the community that week that was the craziest
- 2:05Speaker 3: DAC week ever but title.
- 2:07Speaker 1: Season really because we were ahead of the curve on
- 2:08Speaker 1: it like we were we were beating that drum all
- 2:10Speaker 1: season long these guys are going to continue to keep
- 2:13Speaker 1: their foot on the gas it doesn't matter if they're
- 2:15Speaker 1: up by three touchdowns four touchdowns they're just going to
- 2:17Speaker 1: keep going and it was at least three or four
- 2:20Speaker 1: weeks I think over the course of the season where
- 2:22Speaker 1: it paid off so maybe we get a little bit
- 2:24Speaker 1: of that tonight but I mean limited these are main
- 2:26Speaker 1: slates not showdown tonight limited options so it won't be
- 2:29Speaker 1: as a unique, I mean, Dak was like 5% of
- 2:31Speaker 1: them when we were playing them that season, I remember.
- 2:34Speaker 3: He won't be that alone tonight. We'll get to that
- 2:35Speaker 3: in a second.
- 2:36Speaker 1: We'll get to the captain.
- 2:36Speaker 3: You said main slate there for a second. I unfortunately
- 2:39Speaker 3: had to miss the Monday festivities, and it was a
- 2:42Speaker 3: close call for your boy over there last week. It
- 2:44Speaker 3: was a nice run. But, Tidal, what happened to the
- 2:47Speaker 3: Rasheed Rice bet? Because Parker Washington, I told everybody, this
- 2:50Speaker 3: guy don't put up no 20-point games, and then gone.
- 2:54Speaker 3: And he had the worst game, but then didn't Rice
- 2:56Speaker 3: get injured like before? Still, you didn't get it done?
- 3:00Speaker 1: How did that happen?
- 3:00Speaker 3: How did that work out?
- 3:01Speaker 2: I've been waiting for this to come up. You've won, right?
- 3:05Speaker 3: I won.
- 3:05Speaker 1: We covered it. We covered it on Thursday. I thought
- 3:09Speaker 1: we– or on Monday. I thought we agreed that it's
- 3:11Speaker 1: like the DraftKings fan duel policy where if someone– the
- 3:15Speaker 1: early exit insurance– Well.
- 3:17Speaker 4: I mean, all I'll say is we didn't agree on anything.
- 3:20Speaker 4: Hoop talked to himself, and I didn't say anything back.
- 3:23Speaker 4: But I'm not saying anything. This is on Hoop. All
- 3:27Speaker 4: I'll say is I would have wore it.
- 3:29Speaker 2: That's all I'll say.
- 3:30Speaker 3: I know.
- 3:31Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah.
- 3:33Speaker 3: It's okay though. We got our early eggs.
- 3:34Speaker 1: That's all right. That's all right.
- 3:36Speaker 3: You got the brew crew. All the people are happy
- 3:37Speaker 3: about that. Shout out to my boy, Garrett Mitchell. Got
- 3:39Speaker 3: me a couple of mega tickets last night with that
- 3:42Speaker 3: big save over Machado. I did see a clip. It's
- 3:44Speaker 3: crazy when you go, I know we're off topic a little,
- 3:46Speaker 3: but I haven't been in the booth. So I'm excited
- 3:47Speaker 3: to be back. The Machado robbery 10 years apart, the
- 3:51Speaker 3: exact way that is.
- 3:53Speaker 2: Same spot. Yeah.
- 3:54Speaker 3: I mean, all this stuff is just incredible. Shout out
- 3:57Speaker 3: to our man, Sean Sully. Happy birthday to you. Hopefully
- 3:59Speaker 3: you get a shipper tonight. Our guy BG Little Neck
- 4:02Speaker 3: made a joke yesterday. Actually, he said, if you want
- 4:04Speaker 3: to get a NBA preseason ship, check me out. The
- 4:07Speaker 3: guy goes and ships it for himself for 2K, wins
- 4:09Speaker 3: the slate. But I told him, I said, you won't
- 4:12Speaker 3: see me in those streets. If I was, I'd be
- 4:13Speaker 3: following you. But then I got the two mega tickets
- 4:16Speaker 3: last night. So we're going back to back weeks. We
- 4:18Speaker 3: get a chance to hit up the mega. That's pretty cool.
- 4:20Speaker 3: So Yeah, a lot of fun stuff going on. This
- 4:22Speaker 3: week's going to be crazy with Detroit, Arizona on the slate.
- 4:25Speaker 3: That'll be Hoop, Title, and myself Sunday morning breaking that
- 4:28Speaker 3: all down for you. Got a bunch more shows before
- 4:30Speaker 3: then as well. But let's get to this one, Hoop.
- 4:32Speaker 3: Grand scheme overview. You mentioned the Dak situation over there
- 4:35Speaker 3: and being on him early. Low ownership back in the day. Well,
- 4:38Speaker 3: that's not going to be the case here. He's going
- 4:39Speaker 3: to be extremely high owned in the captain tonight. Big
- 4:42Speaker 3: favorites at home for the Cowboys against the Buccaneers. Jalen
- 4:45Speaker 3: Daniels running it back here. Another shot for him. What's
- 4:48Speaker 3: your thoughts on this game, Hoop? Give us your grand
- 4:49Speaker 3: scheme overview.
- 4:51Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, so Tampa Bay has been one of
- 4:54Speaker 1: the most disappointing teams in football prior to the Baker injury.
- 4:58Speaker 1: I mean, that just was kind of insult to injury,
- 5:01Speaker 1: you know, gasoline on the fire sort of scenario. It
- 5:04Speaker 1: was already bad, and it's not going to get any better, obviously,
- 5:07Speaker 1: with this Jalen Daniels guy who's looked horrible in terms
- 5:10Speaker 1: of passing the ball. The thing that saves him from
- 5:12Speaker 1: a fantasy perspective is that he runs a little bit.
- 5:15Speaker 1: I think it was eight rushes last game for 55 yards.
- 5:18Speaker 1: So that saves them a little bit from a fantasy perspective,
- 5:22Speaker 1: but from a real life football perspective, it's a really
- 5:25Speaker 1: bad situation for Tampa Bay in terms of winning football
- 5:28Speaker 1: games and fantasy as well. So I don't know, like
- 5:33Speaker 1: obviously the Dallas stuff is going to be way more popular.
- 5:36Speaker 1: The Dallas captains, Dallas everywhere, 5-1 Dallas. And I get
- 5:40Speaker 1: probably wanting to go against the grain. You guys might
- 5:43Speaker 1: have the argument for it, but Man, I'll be loading
- 5:46Speaker 1: up on Dallas tonight and hoping they absolutely smoke Tampa,
- 5:50Speaker 1: which I think they do. I mean, Dallas has always
- 5:52Speaker 1: been better at home. They have the guys that you want.
- 5:55Speaker 1: They got the Dax. They got CD. They have Pickens.
- 5:58Speaker 1: They have Javante Williams, who's had, I think, a three-touchdown
- 6:01Speaker 1: game this season. I'm just going to be loading Dallas
- 6:05Speaker 1: and hope they smoke Tampa and see what ends up
- 6:11Speaker 1: happening because I don't see a path for Tampa to
- 6:15Speaker 1: hang around in this game. So all in Dallas for me.
- 6:19Speaker 3: Title. I'll kick it over to you on the same
- 6:21Speaker 3: thought here. I mean, who went to it already? I
- 6:22Speaker 3: was going to bring up the roster construction angle. Definitely
- 6:25Speaker 3: looks like, again, we know the captains are more popular
- 6:27Speaker 3: on the Dallas side. They're the home favorite, the big favorite,
- 6:29Speaker 3: all of these factors and more are the easy part
- 6:31Speaker 3: to figure out. But again, You know, it looks like
- 6:34Speaker 3: it could be heavy 5-1 and 4-2 as well. So,
- 6:37Speaker 3: you know, there's just not enough on the other side.
- 6:38Speaker 3: People kind of want to pick one of Egbuka, Godwin,
- 6:41Speaker 3: or if they're playing a value guy, it's like, is
- 6:43Speaker 3: it Hurst? Is it Tez? We'll get to the receivers later.
- 6:46Speaker 3: I don't think they're super high on, you know, Bucky,
- 6:49Speaker 3: for example, because his price is so high and you'll
- 6:51Speaker 3: see all that. So how do you see the roster
- 6:53Speaker 3: construction playing out and anything different on this game that
- 6:55Speaker 3: you're seeing? And then you can get into the captain conversation.
- 6:58Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I see it pretty similar. 5-1s will be
- 7:00Speaker 4: very popular, 4-2 Dallas. It's just really hard on the
- 7:03Speaker 4: Buccaneers side when they have a quarterback that, I mean,
- 7:06Speaker 4: just runs the ball pretty much. These receivers aren't even
- 7:09Speaker 4: getting targets. He can't even push it downfield. It makes
- 7:12Speaker 4: it really difficult to click these names. Then you look
- 7:14Speaker 4: at the prices, 8,200 Igbuka, 7,200 Godwin. I mean, I
- 7:19Speaker 4: don't even know if they're going to be 20 and 19%.
- 7:21Speaker 4: They might even be lower than that. It's really tough
- 7:24Speaker 4: when you get on the buck side, the ones that
- 7:26Speaker 4: are appealing, like Jalen Daniels has a good price at 8,600.
- 7:30Speaker 4: Kate Otten has a good price at 4,400, but that's
- 7:32Speaker 4: where people are going to go on that team. So
- 7:35Speaker 4: I'm definitely struggling to get difference. The nice thing is though,
- 7:38Speaker 4: at least for the Cowboys is they have that they
- 7:41Speaker 4: have CD, they have pickings. You can Javante, then you
- 7:45Speaker 4: can add Ferguson or Flournoy. Like I'm fine mixing Flournoy
- 7:48Speaker 4: and Ferguson at captain as ways to get different on
- 7:51Speaker 4: this slate. Cause I'm not going to play, Any Buccaneers
- 7:53Speaker 4: that captain outside.
- 7:54Speaker 2: Of maybe Jalen Daniels.
- 7:56Speaker 4: But then I look at captain ownership and he's 10%.
- 8:00Speaker 4: It feels like if how he gets to the optimal
- 8:02Speaker 4: is almost just garbage time, like they're down 21, nothing
- 8:05Speaker 4: or whatever. And then Dallas plays prevent and he can
- 8:07Speaker 4: just dink and dunk. And I guess that's the case.
- 8:10Speaker 4: If you do want to go the Godwin route, I
- 8:12Speaker 4: think it's probably not in a competitive game where they
- 8:15Speaker 4: get there.
- 8:16Speaker 2: And then, yeah, you talk about Bucky.
- 8:18Speaker 4: It's hard to play an 8,400 running back is nine
- 8:20Speaker 4: and a half point underdogs. especially when you add in
- 8:23Speaker 4: Sean Tucker, vaulted him at the goal line, and there's
- 8:25Speaker 4: been coach speak that they want to get him a
- 8:27Speaker 4: little more involved. So I'm struggling as a way to
- 8:31Speaker 4: get different on this slate. You can always leave salary,
- 8:34Speaker 4: but roster construction-wise, for sure. As far as my captains, yeah,
- 8:37Speaker 4: I mean, I'm going to– I think it's Seedy, Javante, Dak, Pickens,
- 8:40Speaker 4: and I think Flournoy is my low-owned one that I'm
- 8:43Speaker 4: going to add in there. He's just on the field
- 8:44Speaker 4: a ton in three-receiver sets, and if Flournoy gets the
- 8:48Speaker 4: job done, that means it's not Seedy more than likely.
- 8:50Speaker 2: It's not Pickens.
- 8:51Speaker 4: More than likely as much, maybe a little more pickings
- 8:54Speaker 4: than Seedy to the field, just because Seedy's looking almost
- 8:58Speaker 4: double the ownership coming off that massive game, pickings disappointed.
- 9:01Speaker 4: So maybe a little recency bias and just go the
- 9:04Speaker 4: pickings route. But I really struggled to get contrarian at
- 9:08Speaker 4: the captain spot on this one.
- 9:10Speaker 3: I like the Pickens one quite a bit, actually. I
- 9:11Speaker 3: think that's the one that's most interesting to me when
- 9:13Speaker 3: he's the fourth highest owned captain on the Cowboys and
- 9:17Speaker 3: maybe the fifth on the slate because of Jalen Daniels,
- 9:19Speaker 3: if he actually does exceed him up top there. I
- 9:22Speaker 3: think it's, again, we always look at the stone. That's
- 9:24Speaker 3: what I use for my process. I'm seeing some leverage there.
- 9:27Speaker 3: I still see some leverage, by the way, on Lamb
- 9:29Speaker 3: and Prescott and all that. They could be under-owned even more.
- 9:32Speaker 3: as a whole, but just, you know, they're going to
- 9:33Speaker 3: be very popular, but just noting it Pickens would be
- 9:36Speaker 3: the guy that you can just steal some of those
- 9:37Speaker 3: CD lamb points from in your model. We do this
- 9:39Speaker 3: all the time with Higgins over chase. And some of
- 9:42Speaker 3: those games we saw last year, Pickens have a bunch
- 9:44Speaker 3: of big games that lamb did not. I know lamb
- 9:46Speaker 3: is coming off of a huge game. Uh, that was
- 9:48Speaker 3: a big part of a lot of the success of
- 9:49Speaker 3: the ship and nation community last week with the Stroud,
- 9:52Speaker 3: Nico Collins, and then run it back with lamb. What
- 9:54Speaker 3: a game for CD lamb that was, but I think
- 9:57Speaker 3: a lot of that carries over, right? People just auto
- 9:58Speaker 3: assume it's going to be back to that. Why not
- 10:01Speaker 3: use the spot like this to get your guy pickings
- 10:03Speaker 3: heated up to and get him some confidence and get
- 10:05Speaker 3: him rolling. So I like pickings quite a bit up top. He's,
- 10:09Speaker 3: you know, not any of the other guys. He's going
- 10:10Speaker 3: to leverage the popular Dak and lamb spot that they're in.
- 10:13Speaker 3: You could run some unique lineups that way. But I
- 10:16Speaker 3: think you said it, it's tough on the other side,
- 10:18Speaker 3: especially when my process is to trust the stone. How
- 10:20Speaker 3: does a guy like Godwin get up top? Well, to me,
- 10:23Speaker 3: the way he gets up top is he just continuously
- 10:25Speaker 3: gets peppered, gets a touchdown. And then the Dallas side
- 10:28Speaker 3: spreads it out so much. but that's not really how
- 10:31Speaker 3: they play or do things. I know they have multiple
- 10:33Speaker 3: guys that they could spread it out to, but it's
- 10:34Speaker 3: just not what they do. So I'm trusting the stone
- 10:37Speaker 3: a little bit on that side as well. It's tougher
- 10:39Speaker 3: to imagine that. I think it's, you know, how you
- 10:41Speaker 3: have to get there though, is you're playing for that scenario,
- 10:44Speaker 3: that game hoop. And for me, it's more than likely
- 10:47Speaker 3: if I have a Godwin or a Buka type, you know,
- 10:49Speaker 3: captain up there, you know, wide receiver from the Buccaneers,
- 10:53Speaker 3: something like that. It's going to be probably in a two, four.
- 10:55Speaker 3: I'm still going to want those Dallas guys coming back
- 10:57Speaker 3: the other way. I'm just going to hope it spreads
- 10:58Speaker 3: out a little bit and maybe the price difference, but
- 11:01Speaker 3: even then it's not that different, right? It's, I don't know.
- 11:04Speaker 3: I guess it's somewhat different. If you've got like Godwin 10,
- 11:05Speaker 3: eight in the captain, that's a lot less than, you know, 15, six, 16,
- 11:10Speaker 3: two 17, seven or 14, one for the four main
- 11:13Speaker 3: Dallas guys. So you'd fit a little bit more of
- 11:15Speaker 3: a unique lineup, but you'll also just land in a
- 11:17Speaker 3: lot of the same spots. Others would that do go
- 11:19Speaker 3: there and he's going to be, you know, two to
- 11:22Speaker 3: 5% up top, but who, what's your thoughts of the
- 11:23Speaker 3: captain tonight? Oh, we got the first mute of the season.
- 11:30Speaker 1: First of the season.
- 11:31Speaker 2: I think you had the, you had one.
- 11:33Speaker 3: Your first, I should say.
- 11:34Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 11:35Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 11:36Speaker 1: It's very difficult for me to make the case for
- 11:39Speaker 1: really any of those guys up top. Like, I just
- 11:43Speaker 1: don't know how they get there. And then like, you
- 11:46Speaker 1: don't need a Dallas guy instead of them. It would just,
- 11:50Speaker 1: I just don't see it. Like, I get it, I guess,
- 11:53Speaker 1: just from a contrarian standpoint, that's the only reason like
- 11:57Speaker 1: you would be doing it. I just don't see the
- 11:59Speaker 1: game script where it actually comes true. So for me,
- 12:03Speaker 1: I'm looking at it like, okay, you know, I know
- 12:06Speaker 1: a lot of people don't want to just go with
- 12:08Speaker 1: the popular plays or the popular side, but Daniel's 10,
- 12:13Speaker 1: 11% on, right? Okay. If you don't play him, that's
- 12:16Speaker 1: 10 potentially gone. Bucky four to 5%. So now we're
- 12:20Speaker 1: up to 15. You know you're going to have some
- 12:22Speaker 1: Otten up there, 2% to 3%. You know there's going
- 12:25Speaker 1: to be some Ibuka. You know there's going to be
- 12:27Speaker 1: some Godwin up there. So then you start adding all
- 12:30Speaker 1: this stuff up, and you might get 20% to 25%
- 12:32Speaker 1: Tampa Bay captain. And if you just X all those
- 12:35Speaker 1: guys out and just play Dallas and get overweight on
- 12:39Speaker 1: all the Dallas guys, that's the sort of strategy I'm
- 12:42Speaker 1: interested in tonight. And then for the Tampa stuff in
- 12:46Speaker 1: the flex, I think there's ways to get different. Like
- 12:49Speaker 1: when we get to running back, If you have a
- 12:52Speaker 1: team that has Bucky Irving in there, just say, you
- 12:55Speaker 1: know what? I think this is going to be a
- 12:56Speaker 1: Dallas blowout. They're going to go to their backups. I'm
- 12:58Speaker 1: just going to take out Bucky and plug in Gainwell. 4,400
- 13:04Speaker 1: left on the table right there. It's going to be
- 13:07Speaker 1: less duped sort of situation. So that's kind of how
- 13:09Speaker 1: I'm looking. I want to be all in Dallas captain tonight.
- 13:13Speaker 1: My favorites are definitely CeeDee Lamb. Like his connection with
- 13:17Speaker 1: Dak is insane right now. And the stats over the last,
- 13:21Speaker 1: three games i mean he's looking to him over pickings
- 13:25Speaker 1: almost every single play i mean this guy has 189
- 13:31Speaker 1: 112 153 like the connection is absolutely insane now i
- 13:35Speaker 1: still want some pickings and it's easy to get overweight
- 13:37Speaker 1: on pickings if i'm not playing the tampa guys so
- 13:41Speaker 1: i can get overweight on all these guys really the
- 13:43Speaker 1: only one i'm gonna be just with the field on
- 13:47Speaker 1: or maybe a little below ironically is the guy's jersey
- 13:50Speaker 1: that I have on in Dak because I just feel
- 13:52Speaker 1: like anytime Dak does it someone does more whether it's
- 13:56Speaker 1: CD whether it's Pickens could even be Flournoy or you
- 14:00Speaker 1: know Ferguson I'll keep in the mix at the captain
- 14:03Speaker 1: just a little bit so Dak I'm fine being right
- 14:06Speaker 1: at what are we showing for ownership on him we
- 14:09Speaker 1: have him at 20 I'd be fine being right around
- 14:12Speaker 1: there or upper teams I want to be over on
- 14:15Speaker 1: CD I want to be over on Javante Javante is
- 14:18Speaker 1: my number two uh, at, uh, what did we have
- 14:20Speaker 1: him at 12? If I get around 20 or something,
- 14:23Speaker 1: I'd be happy with that. Pickens, you know, probably a
- 14:26Speaker 1: little above. And then I I'd keep Ferguson in there.
- 14:30Speaker 1: I'd keep Flournoy in there. And then that's what I'm
- 14:32Speaker 1: looking at. Dak, CD, Javante, Pickens, Ferguson, Flournoy, and then
- 14:37Speaker 1: just whacking out all the Tampa. And then how do
- 14:40Speaker 1: you get unique in those lineups? The CD lineups or
- 14:43Speaker 1: the Dak captain lineups is, some of this other stuff,
- 14:46Speaker 1: leaving salary on the table, making those pivots where you're
- 14:49Speaker 1: just dropping from, you know, player A down to player B.
- 14:52Speaker 1: I use the Bucky example. So that's how I want
- 14:54Speaker 1: to play it today. I'm just, if I can't make
- 14:56Speaker 1: the case in my head or really come up with
- 14:58Speaker 1: a reasonable game script where I think Tampa is needed
- 15:01Speaker 1: in captain, I'm just not going to do it.
- 15:02Speaker 3: Yeah, title. I'll kick back over to you for quarterbacks
- 15:05Speaker 3: in a second. But anything else you want to add
- 15:07Speaker 3: at the captain, you can chime in. I'll just say
- 15:08Speaker 3: to hoop strategy there, like for those at home, you're
- 15:11Speaker 3: not following along. It's like he just rolls those guys.
- 15:13Speaker 3: Let's just say 20 on Dak. That'd be field 20
- 15:16Speaker 3: on job. I know he said be a little under
- 15:18Speaker 3: just noting it, but 20 on Javante. If he's 12
- 15:20Speaker 3: and you got 20, you're almost double the field. Lamb,
- 15:23Speaker 3: you'd still be slightly over the field. Pickens, you'll be
- 15:25Speaker 3: double the field. That would leave you enough to be
- 15:29Speaker 3: triple the field on Flournoy, triple the field on Ferguson,
- 15:32Speaker 3: and even have a little bit left over to spread
- 15:34Speaker 3: around if you want to be a little more aggressive
- 15:36Speaker 3: on one of those guys. I think that's where people struggle, Hoop,
- 15:38Speaker 3: is even with a portfolio approach, is they'll say, hey,
- 15:42Speaker 3: I don't want to play all the chalk or I
- 15:43Speaker 3: don't want to do this. That's fine, but you can
- 15:45Speaker 3: get leverage on all the chalk even further. Plus, there's
- 15:48Speaker 3: bad lineups. Let's say Dak is 20% title, going back
- 15:50Speaker 3: to you now. If Dak's 20% up top, there's going
- 15:54Speaker 3: to be a bunch of like 50K max lineups and
- 15:58Speaker 3: versions where it's like just the worst build that has
- 16:00Speaker 3: no chance of anything that's decent. I mean, you know,
- 16:03Speaker 3: maybe a little bit of money left over, but like 3K, 2K,
- 16:06Speaker 3: 1K when it's supposed to be 500K to first. I'm
- 16:08Speaker 3: not saying you're going to get all the way there,
- 16:09Speaker 3: but just noting it. that's the thing. So if you
- 16:12Speaker 3: have like, you know, whoever you choose, if it's Javante
- 16:14Speaker 3: and you've got 20 of them, there's going to be
- 16:16Speaker 3: a bad chunk of Javante lineups. If you build accordingly
- 16:19Speaker 3: and you've actually got 20, you're going to be really
- 16:22Speaker 3: leveraged to the field and be able to get those
- 16:24Speaker 3: other good lineups cycled within where it leaves 2000 on
- 16:28Speaker 3: the table, but as this, that makes sense or whatever
- 16:30Speaker 3: it might be. Any other thoughts of the captain you
- 16:32Speaker 3: want to finalize with before talking about the quarterbacks further?
- 16:35Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm on the exact same page.
- 16:37Speaker 4: I like, I probably will hardly have any Tampa, maybe
- 16:40Speaker 4: a little again, Jalen Daniels. And I can just see
- 16:42Speaker 4: the path where he has first half's terrible, but maybe
- 16:45Speaker 4: he gets rushed like prevent defense.
- 16:47Speaker 2: The Cowboys are up 21, nothing.
- 16:48Speaker 4: He could just rush for 10 yards here, 10 yards there,
- 16:51Speaker 4: get a rushing touchdown and the 8,600 price tags.
- 16:54Speaker 2: Good.
- 16:54Speaker 4: So he's the one I'm fine keeping in, but yeah,
- 16:57Speaker 4: in total agreement, we have it about a little over
- 17:00Speaker 4: 20% Tampa captains.
- 17:01Speaker 2: That's paying the rake.
- 17:03Speaker 4: If they're not there, then like you said, 88,000 people
- 17:04Speaker 4: are in this, contests on DraftKings. So even though these
- 17:08Speaker 4: guys will be owned, you should trust yourself to build
- 17:10Speaker 4: better lineups. So yeah, I'm going to eat the chalk
- 17:13Speaker 4: at captain. As far as quarterbacks, yeah, I have a
- 17:16Speaker 4: little more interest.
- 17:16Speaker 1: Let me just add one thing before we go into
- 17:19Speaker 1: that portion, because I think this is an important point.
- 17:21Speaker 1: Our guy, the prophet Tampa Bay locks down wide receiver
- 17:26Speaker 1: ones and running backs do not feast on them either.
- 17:28Speaker 1: This is where early on in the season, you have
- 17:30Speaker 1: to look deeper into that sort of thing. It can't
- 17:33Speaker 1: just be defense first position. They've played the Browns, right?
- 17:37Speaker 1: The Browns are, they're winning football games, horrible offense. They've
- 17:41Speaker 1: played the Vikings, the worst offense, I'd say, probably in
- 17:44Speaker 1: football outside of the really shitty teams. And they played
- 17:47Speaker 1: the Packers who, sorry, title, but their offense is fucking
- 17:51Speaker 1: horrible too. So they played three of the worst offenses
- 17:55Speaker 1: in football. So you have to dig a little deeper
- 17:58Speaker 1: into that. Don't let that be the decision point on
- 18:00Speaker 1: what you do for the slate. Just wanted to point
- 18:03Speaker 1: that out.
- 18:03Speaker 2: Yeah. And you don't got to say, sorry, the Packers
- 18:05Speaker 2: are dust. Go Brewers, go Brewers.
- 18:08Speaker 4: But I think, yeah, I think I have a little
- 18:11Speaker 4: more interest at the captain for Dak than Hoop just
- 18:15Speaker 4: because I like Florin A and we can see Ferguson
- 18:17Speaker 4: get a touchdown. And yeah, I think like we're showing
- 18:21Speaker 4: Dak is the highest own at 20%. I wouldn't be
- 18:23Speaker 4: surprised if like CD and Dak flip. And I know
- 18:27Speaker 4: that's $ 1, 400. Like that still is a lot of money,
- 18:30Speaker 4: but Quarterbacks, especially non-running quarterbacks, are ones that just aren't
- 18:34Speaker 4: known for that. People get a little more skeptical. And
- 18:36Speaker 4: Seedy just coming off that massive game. Again, he is
- 18:39Speaker 4: more expensive, so I could be wrong. But, yeah, I mean,
- 18:42Speaker 4: I like the quarterbacks a lot, though. Jalen Daniels in
- 18:44Speaker 4: the flex, 8,600 for a running quarterback. That's going to
- 18:47Speaker 4: be out there for four quarters, even if they're down
- 18:49Speaker 4: a ton, since he's not the starter. Like, there's just
- 18:51Speaker 4: so many outs he has, even if he plays terrible
- 18:54Speaker 4: all game. So I like him a lot in the flex.
- 18:57Speaker 4: I like Dak a ton. I'm going to play plenty
- 18:59Speaker 4: of quarterbacks.
- 19:00Speaker 3: Real quick on this, too. You just got to be
- 19:01Speaker 3: careful with that. I know, Andrew, you're always here supporting
- 19:04Speaker 3: and with us. We appreciate you, man. But, you know,
- 19:06Speaker 3: when you do that, you will just get the same
- 19:08Speaker 3: line everybody else has of that lineup. If it's a high-stakes,
- 19:12Speaker 3: smaller-field tournament, maybe you can get away with it a
- 19:14Speaker 3: little bit more. There's 200 people in the FFWCQ with
- 19:18Speaker 3: $ 500 buy-in and most don't go this route. So maybe
- 19:22Speaker 3: there's one or two of you that have this and
- 19:23Speaker 3: then you could be in good shape. But for the
- 19:25Speaker 3: most part, it's not really the best idea because you're
- 19:28Speaker 3: going to land on a lineup that just so many...
- 19:29Speaker 3: People say, oh, but he's only 2% in captain. Yeah,
- 19:31Speaker 3: but almost all that 2% look exactly like this lineup.
- 19:35Speaker 3: So if you're doing that, let's say it lands on
- 19:38Speaker 3: Pickens as one of the guys you're calling all the
- 19:40Speaker 3: guys in the flex. Well, you might want to hope
- 19:42Speaker 3: that Flournoy is the one catching the Pickens bombs. that
- 19:46Speaker 3: others are not. So while you can fit Pickens with
- 19:49Speaker 3: a Flournoy captain, you might leave him out of it
- 19:51Speaker 3: and just drop down to somebody else and say, who cares?
- 19:53Speaker 3: Leave the money because I'm saying this is the script instead,
- 19:56Speaker 3: but it's still going to be a big enough game.
- 19:57Speaker 3: The tricky part then is if raw points get beat,
- 20:01Speaker 3: you know, get him with lamb or something, you could
- 20:03Speaker 3: have just afforded that to flip them. And then you're
- 20:05Speaker 3: in a tricky spot. So it doesn't work out very often,
- 20:08Speaker 3: just so you know. Hoop, anything else you want to
- 20:10Speaker 3: add at quarterback when it comes to the flex, right?
- 20:13Speaker 3: I mean, use them with certain guys up top. I
- 20:15Speaker 3: recognize that, but let me ask you this another way,
- 20:18Speaker 3: because it's pretty obvious, you know, put, put the quarterback
- 20:20Speaker 3: sometimes in the flex when you've got a receiver up top,
- 20:22Speaker 3: not always, but most of the time, but let's use
- 20:24Speaker 3: Jalen Daniels. He is basically the same price. He's 200
- 20:27Speaker 3: bucks more than Bucky, 400 bucks more than Igbuka. 1400
- 20:30Speaker 3: more than Godwin. Is there any world? What do you think,
- 20:34Speaker 3: or how much do you love a five one with
- 20:36Speaker 3: Daniels on the other side and just hope that he's
- 20:38Speaker 3: all the production and it's none of his guys versus
- 20:40Speaker 3: sometimes we don't do that because you're saying, well, if
- 20:42Speaker 3: they're going to be down, it's going to be the
- 20:43Speaker 3: receiver that's catching all the passes or whatever it might be.
- 20:46Speaker 3: What do you think of that?
- 20:47Speaker 1: I like it, but I do think in this scenario,
- 20:49Speaker 1: that'll be the common path that most people take. Like
- 20:52Speaker 1: it's going to, if they are doing a five one,
- 20:54Speaker 1: they're going to say, all right, well, I got this
- 20:55Speaker 1: running quarterback on the other side. Like I'll just, you know,
- 20:58Speaker 1: bank on that sort of floor. So I think a
- 21:00Speaker 1: lot of people do it, but I do like it.
- 21:04Speaker 1: I mean, I think it does make the most sense
- 21:06Speaker 1: to me because you're capturing a lot of the offense
- 21:08Speaker 1: and the price is fair at 8,600. So yeah, I'm
- 21:13Speaker 1: fine with it. I do think it's going to be
- 21:15Speaker 1: the route that most people take, but I like them
- 21:18Speaker 1: in the flex for sure. Like a team I don't
- 21:20Speaker 1: think is going to score many points tonight, real life
- 21:23Speaker 1: points and fantasy points. I get a running quarterback, You know,
- 21:27Speaker 1: eight rush attempts. Dallas defense is not great. So he
- 21:31Speaker 1: could do something in garbage time. Like the way I
- 21:33Speaker 1: see this game going, I just think they're going to
- 21:35Speaker 1: be down by so much where it's not going to
- 21:37Speaker 1: end up, you know, mattering in terms of the actual game.
- 21:39Speaker 1: But I think he can do enough. Like I would
- 21:42Speaker 1: put him in the, you know, the projection for him
- 21:45Speaker 1: is mid to high teens fantasy points. I think that's
- 21:47Speaker 1: probably where he ends up. I just don't see much
- 21:49Speaker 1: of a ceiling. So prefer him in the flex for sure.
- 21:53Speaker 3: Yeah, anything else at quarterback that you're thinking about? Like Dak,
- 21:55Speaker 3: you mentioned being a little bit lower on him. in
- 21:58Speaker 3: the captain than his number, not overall, but then his
- 22:01Speaker 3: actual current percentage. But is there, you know, is that
- 22:03Speaker 3: just saying that when he's not up top, he's almost
- 22:05Speaker 3: always in the, in the flex for you or what
- 22:07Speaker 3: do you think?
- 22:07Speaker 1: Very, very likely that he's in the optimal lineup tonight.
- 22:12Speaker 1: Like I just, there's not many scenarios where he's not
- 22:15Speaker 1: in the optimal lineup in, in my eyes, how I
- 22:18Speaker 1: see this thing playing out. It's like a past first team.
- 22:21Speaker 1: He has all the weapons. Like the, the way he's
- 22:23Speaker 1: not as obviously he's, a Javante captain team. So the
- 22:27Speaker 1: only spot where I feel, if I was hand-building, the
- 22:30Speaker 1: only spot I feel comfortable not playing Dak and Flex
- 22:33Speaker 1: would be Javante Williams' captain teams.
- 22:36Speaker 3: Yeah, so we have Flex Optimal and Captain Optimal on
- 22:39Speaker 3: the stone. I think the only higher than Dak tonight,
- 22:42Speaker 3: because just the way these two teams break out, I
- 22:44Speaker 3: think was probably like Bijan situations or Gibbs situations. Like
- 22:48Speaker 3: when you get those guys, of course, they're in almost
- 22:50Speaker 3: every version. But it's over, I think it's over 85,
- 22:54Speaker 3: almost 85% anyway, close enough to it that, you know,
- 22:57Speaker 3: at least it makes it somewhat interesting. And we'll get
- 22:59Speaker 3: to the receivers in a bit, but I do think
- 23:01Speaker 3: that is the, you know, finally finalizing the quarterback in
- 23:04Speaker 3: flex conversation. I do think that's the spot where a
- 23:07Speaker 3: lot of the, once you go away from a Dak
- 23:10Speaker 3: or a CD lamb captain, like even the Javon, I'm sorry.
- 23:13Speaker 3: And Javante, he's up there as well. But I'm saying
- 23:14Speaker 3: once you get to like Pickens or Ferguson or anything
- 23:16Speaker 3: else like that, um, you just have the money for
- 23:19Speaker 3: Jalen Daniels. And I think a lot of people, because
- 23:21Speaker 3: of optimizers, projections, things like that, he runs or can
- 23:24Speaker 3: run people think. So it's, they're going to go to him,
- 23:27Speaker 3: but you could just play like an Ibuka, a Godwin,
- 23:30Speaker 3: a Teddy Hearst, whatever you want to drop it down to,
- 23:32Speaker 3: and just hope that that's the run back on a
- 23:34Speaker 3: five one. And it works better on a five one
- 23:37Speaker 3: two title. I'll kick it over to you for running back.
- 23:39Speaker 3: But beforehand, On a 5-1, you're more likely to get
- 23:45Speaker 3: away with the 1 being a drop-down price guy, right?
- 23:50Speaker 3: Because it's not like someone's going to flip it. You
- 23:51Speaker 3: already might have lamb up top. It's not like Flournoy
- 23:53Speaker 3: in the captain when you're like, yeah, but if you're
- 23:55Speaker 3: not playing pickings there and you still have lamb, you'd
- 23:58Speaker 3: be able just to flip lamb back up and then
- 24:00Speaker 3: it's not as good of a build. On the 1
- 24:02Speaker 3: for the 5-1 build, It's if it's not, you know,
- 24:06Speaker 3: Jalen Daniels, that just doesn't automatically mean it's next man
- 24:09Speaker 3: up in Bucky Irving or next man up in a book.
- 24:12Speaker 3: Like it could easily just be Godwin and leave the money.
- 24:14Speaker 3: Or it could literally be like Tez or Teddy Hearst
- 24:18Speaker 3: catch a late bomb. And they're the one on the
- 24:20Speaker 3: other side that you need. And it's like, damn, they
- 24:22Speaker 3: overrode everybody else. But the Cowboys did have so many
- 24:25Speaker 3: points outscoring those other guys that you just needed that
- 24:28Speaker 3: one off with five grand on the table. So just
- 24:30Speaker 3: so people know how the one can work in your favor.
- 24:33Speaker 3: That's one thing I would add there, but I'll let
- 24:34Speaker 3: you take us into running back.
- 24:36Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point.
- 24:37Speaker 4: Like my favorite one builds, uh, like if I played
- 24:40Speaker 4: one Buccaneer is either Jalen Daniels or just like a punt,
- 24:43Speaker 4: like an odd and a like, cause I don't really, they,
- 24:46Speaker 4: maybe they score five points and that's just enough from
- 24:48Speaker 4: a Buccaneer. Cause all the studs, it gets you all
- 24:50Speaker 4: the studs on the Cowboys side, the Schultz game.
- 24:53Speaker 3: You just brought me up. Remember the Dalton Schultz game
- 24:55Speaker 3: when he had like nine catches in the fourth quarter.
- 24:57Speaker 2: Oh my gosh.
- 24:58Speaker 3: Yeah. That's an example. That was from classic slate, but
- 25:00Speaker 3: I'm saying that's an example where like, imagine it is
- 25:02Speaker 3: like none of the Tampa guys are really putting up shit.
- 25:05Speaker 3: And then you just get the Otten six, seven catches
- 25:07Speaker 3: down the stretch or something like, damn, now it's Otten
- 25:09Speaker 3: just racking up all these points. Anything like that could happen.
- 25:12Speaker 3: So that's where, again, how many people would just leave the,
- 25:16Speaker 3: what is it? $ 4, 200 from Jalen Daniels down to Otten
- 25:20Speaker 3: and just hope that it's him. And Daniels gets beat
- 25:23Speaker 3: up on all game, but Otten racks up the catches
- 25:24Speaker 3: and you need five guys from Dallas. That's how that
- 25:27Speaker 3: can work in your favor. I'll let you go ahead
- 25:28Speaker 3: into running back with great points there.
- 25:30Speaker 2: Yeah. Running back is relatively tough.
- 25:34Speaker 4: Like I think my favorite ones, again, Javante is a
- 25:37Speaker 4: great place. Minus 200 to score by far the best,
- 25:39Speaker 4: but I think it's mainly just the value. Like Sean
- 25:42Speaker 4: Tucker and Tyler Goodson are my favorites. Like Bucky is
- 25:45Speaker 4: clearly overpriced as nine and a half point underdogs. Jalen Daniels.
- 25:49Speaker 4: I mean, he's a running quarterback. Like he's not really
- 25:52Speaker 4: checking the ball down as much. Can he gain well
- 25:54Speaker 4: at 4K? It doesn't feel, with Jalen Daniels back there,
- 25:58Speaker 4: that his 42% snap share or whatever is going to
- 26:01Speaker 4: be enough. Just give me all the savings. Like I'm saying,
- 26:04Speaker 4: maybe I'll play five Cowboys and then play Sean Tucker
- 26:07Speaker 4: because he's 2,400. He got a touchdown last week. Some
- 26:10Speaker 4: coach speak. They said they wanted to get Sean Tucker
- 26:12Speaker 4: a little more involved. So I like that. We need
- 26:15Speaker 4: value on this slate. And Tyler Goodson, he's 2K. He's
- 26:18Speaker 4: running back two now for this team. Played 16 snaps
- 26:23Speaker 4: last week. If they're up 21 or 28 or something,
- 26:26Speaker 4: you're not going to see Javante playing a ton in
- 26:28Speaker 4: the fourth quarter. Tyler Goodson's out there, and a lot
- 26:31Speaker 4: of random stuff can happen. So, yeah, it's weird to say. Obviously,
- 26:35Speaker 4: Javante's my favorite. But after Javante, give me the punts.
- 26:38Speaker 4: Give me Goodson at 2K. Give me Sean Tucker at 2,400.
- 26:41Speaker 4: I don't love Gainwell. I do not love Bucky Irving.
- 26:44Speaker 4: I'd pick Gainwell over Bucky because of the price. But, yeah,
- 26:48Speaker 4: I'm dumpster diving at running back.
- 26:50Speaker 3: What about this? You know, we just saw it again.
- 26:51Speaker 3: This is, um, two times now that we've seen this
- 26:55Speaker 3: Brian Robinson, Bijan.
- 26:56Speaker 2: Packers on Thursday and Monday. Yep.
- 26:59Speaker 3: Yeah. So what, uh, what about that? You think people
- 27:01Speaker 3: actually go to this tonight with like a Williams Goodson?
- 27:05Speaker 2: I mean, not really.
- 27:06Speaker 4: I don't think so because we saw it with Brian
- 27:08Speaker 4: Robinson once before. And I mean, Brian Robinson has a
- 27:12Speaker 4: real role to an extent, like he's.
- 27:14Speaker 2: Going to play roughly 30%.
- 27:15Speaker 4: He'll spell Bijan and, They've obviously been willing to, I mean,
- 27:18Speaker 4: Brian Robinson's been in the league for multiple years. He
- 27:21Speaker 4: was a real running back in Washington. Like he's a
- 27:24Speaker 4: power back. It's not a Tyler Goodson. So I don't
- 27:28Speaker 4: think people are really going to do that because of
- 27:30Speaker 4: what happened on Monday.
- 27:31Speaker 2: It's a different situation.
- 27:32Speaker 3: I agree. I think that's the case. Kenny Gainwell is
- 27:35Speaker 3: a different conversation on the other side, but again, that's
- 27:37Speaker 3: another buck. So I'll get to hoop in a second.
- 27:39Speaker 3: Speaking of Kenny's though, shout out to our man. Kenny
- 27:41Speaker 3: Z said, nice to just open my app and see
- 27:43Speaker 3: you guys getting the team prepped. You got the logo there,
- 27:45Speaker 3: but I saw you last night with the logo. You
- 27:47Speaker 3: were chasing me before I fell asleep in that baseball streets,
- 27:50Speaker 3: but we appreciate you rocking the logo still, man. So
- 27:52Speaker 3: shout out to you. I actually, um, when I saw Kenny,
- 27:55Speaker 3: Kenny might remember this. I think I saw what I
- 27:58Speaker 3: was talking to you guys about pre-show. I think I
- 28:00Speaker 3: saw Kenny in Chicago, uh, And it might've been at the,
- 28:03Speaker 3: was it at a White Sox game or was it
- 28:05Speaker 3: when we went to Wrigley? Damn, it might've been at
- 28:07Speaker 3: Wrigley actually, my bad. But we were saying today how
- 28:08Speaker 3: like the White Sox were so horrible. We went to
- 28:11Speaker 3: a game there for one of the live finals a
- 28:12Speaker 3: year or two ago. And now they're like in, you know,
- 28:15Speaker 3: leading the series in the ALDS. It's just crazy how
- 28:17Speaker 3: baseball flips around. And then this one, before I go
- 28:21Speaker 3: to you Hoopa, I'm running back. I almost play no
- 28:24Speaker 3: lineups with 50 K max. Like typically, because again, I
- 28:27Speaker 3: just don't be like, Oh, don't you want the 5k?
- 28:29Speaker 3: I get it. And yeah, it's nice, but I'm saying like,
- 28:31Speaker 3: if I get it and it somehow gets into my
- 28:33Speaker 3: pool and that's what I get for my money and
- 28:35Speaker 3: it's the best lineup. Great. But I'm really not trying
- 28:37Speaker 3: to win five grand when it's 500 K up top.
- 28:40Speaker 3: And the most I'm willing to leave on the table
- 28:42Speaker 3: probably would shock you. Cause I don't know what it'll
- 28:44Speaker 3: be till I get to the slate, but very most
- 28:46Speaker 3: there's slates where there's 10,000 on the table. No problem.
- 28:49Speaker 3: So it's just, it's playing the game. for the what
- 28:52Speaker 3: if titles coined it many years ago and said it,
- 28:54Speaker 3: but it's not how often you're right. It's how much
- 28:56Speaker 3: you win when you are right. I just, if I'm
- 28:58Speaker 3: right once during NFL showdown season, it could be all
- 29:00Speaker 3: the money. We saw Knowlesman win 500 K shot of
- 29:03Speaker 3: G Rison's buddy Knowlesman. He got the 500 K the
- 29:06Speaker 3: other night was a nice chop. What was it?
- 29:07Speaker 2: 130 each or, Oh, I thought it was two 25.
- 29:10Speaker 3: It might've been two 28 or something.
- 29:13Speaker 2: Yeah. You're right. Maybe or something.
- 29:16Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 29:17Speaker 3: So that's what I'm playing for.
- 29:18Speaker 1: No quarterback.
- 29:19Speaker 4: No quarterback, which is the reason. You look at the lineup,
- 29:22Speaker 4: you don't think it's crazy. Then when you break down
- 29:24Speaker 4: the roster construction and see no quarterback. And again, when
- 29:27Speaker 4: you see a nine and a half point spread today,
- 29:30Speaker 4: random stuff can happen. Again, if this game does get
- 29:32Speaker 4: out of hand, you're going to see garbage time, random
- 29:34Speaker 4: guys out there, and that's how you can leave the money.
- 29:37Speaker 4: So yeah, it's not, like you said, not how often
- 29:39Speaker 4: you win wins.
- 29:40Speaker 2: You win, how much.
- 29:41Speaker 4: Noelsman, I can promise you, he's not going to lose
- 29:43Speaker 4: money in showdown this year, unless I guess he does
- 29:46Speaker 4: something crazy.
- 29:46Speaker 2: He fires hard.
- 29:48Speaker 4: I said showdown, just showdown, not his whole year, but
- 29:53Speaker 4: he fires.
- 29:54Speaker 3: He fires Knowlesman's the man got, got to beat him
- 29:56Speaker 3: at some of the live finals and G rise. And
- 29:58Speaker 3: I was sends us the pictures of his house. He's
- 30:00Speaker 3: living pretty good. He's not going to, let me tell
- 30:02Speaker 3: you this. He could give back all that money somehow,
- 30:05Speaker 3: and he's still going to be okay. Let me promise
- 30:07Speaker 3: you that Knowlesman is the man. So, All right, Hoop,
- 30:09Speaker 3: that's enough back and forth. I'll let you get to
- 30:11Speaker 3: running back now. The Kenny Gainwell, the Bucky Irving. One
- 30:14Speaker 3: thing is we did add the grades to the stone.
- 30:17Speaker 3: People just beg for these early. So to Timmy's point
- 30:20Speaker 3: here with the new grading system, don't you think? Yeah,
- 30:22Speaker 3: they'll probably want to try. I guarantee you the Bucks
- 30:24Speaker 3: will want to try and get a lot of things
- 30:25Speaker 3: going early. It's just whether or not they do. But
- 30:28Speaker 3: also to Hoop's point, the grades usually are like weeks six, seven.
- 30:33Speaker 3: I know the the thing, but I'm saying usually that's
- 30:35Speaker 3: when we bring it out. We busted it out a
- 30:36Speaker 3: little bit early this year because people have been begging
- 30:38Speaker 3: for it. I wouldn't be putting too much into this
- 30:41Speaker 3: yet to Hoop's point of some of these matchups, what
- 30:44Speaker 3: they faced, all of that. Um, if it, if it
- 30:46Speaker 3: works great, but, uh, you know, it won't be victory
- 30:48Speaker 3: lapping that one too hard. It's just too early still
- 30:50Speaker 3: same with DVP and all that type of stuff. You
- 30:52Speaker 3: got to really give a little bit more time. Go ahead.
- 30:54Speaker 1: It's very tough position. Like Javante Williams have already talked
- 31:00Speaker 1: about him, you know, good play in the flex, uh, captain,
- 31:04Speaker 1: love him, want to be overweight and him being the captain.
- 31:06Speaker 1: I want to play some of these cheap running backs
- 31:09Speaker 1: and probably will have to, but it's like, I just,
- 31:11Speaker 1: I don't like the Goodson stuff as much. Like they
- 31:15Speaker 1: just ride their guys, like their main guys, like so hard,
- 31:18Speaker 1: even if they're up by three touchdowns, like they still
- 31:20Speaker 1: ride these guys. And I'm going to have some like
- 31:23Speaker 1: Goodson in the pool for sure. But man, I just don't,
- 31:27Speaker 1: Love it. If there's cheap wide receivers over these cheap
- 31:31Speaker 1: running backs, I want those guys, but I just looked
- 31:33Speaker 1: at wide receiver and I don't think there's many cheap
- 31:36Speaker 1: wide receivers, so it's going to be a necessary evil
- 31:38Speaker 1: to probably play some of these guys. Don't like Bucky.
- 31:41Speaker 1: Definitely prefer Gainwell over Bucky if you're trying to get
- 31:44Speaker 1: a one or two situation and not go down to Tucker.
- 31:46Speaker 1: Definitely will just take my chance on Gainwell and hopefully
- 31:51Speaker 1: get some dump offs. Sean Tucker, fine as a full
- 31:55Speaker 1: punt at 24, but It's just– these guys are going
- 31:59Speaker 1: to have to be played out of necessity to probably
- 32:02Speaker 1: make things work because, again, I didn't see much at
- 32:06Speaker 1: wide receiver in terms of cheap options, and the same
- 32:10Speaker 1: can be said for tight ends. So probably– especially if
- 32:13Speaker 1: you're doing 150, if you're not making 150– or even
- 32:16Speaker 1: 50 lineups. If you're only making like five to ten lineups,
- 32:19Speaker 1: you really don't need to be here all that much
- 32:20Speaker 1: at all. You don't even have to mess with it.
- 32:22Speaker 1: Just fade it all, play Javante Williams, and move on
- 32:25Speaker 1: because I'm not seeing– Much that I do like here.
- 32:30Speaker 1: If I'm going to rank these guys, Javante for sure won. Gainwell.
- 32:36Speaker 1: Then Sean Tucker, I guess. Then Bucky and Goodson, I guess,
- 32:40Speaker 1: are the last options for me. And the thing with Bucky,
- 32:43Speaker 1: it's $ 8, 400. People are going to look at it and say,
- 32:47Speaker 1: I don't want to play him. But people are just
- 32:48Speaker 1: going to play him because he's the starting running back
- 32:51Speaker 1: for one of two teams on the slate. We're showing.
- 32:56Speaker 5: Flex ownership at 25%. Like if you don't play them
- 33:02Speaker 5: 25% of the field, potentially bye-bye or take an underweight
- 33:06Speaker 5: stance on them. So all these little moves you make
- 33:09Speaker 5: add up to a big move.
- 33:10Speaker 1: If you're going to be Dallas heavy and avoid Bucky,
- 33:14Speaker 1: avoid Godwin, avoid Igbuka, who we'll talk about next. So that's,
- 33:18Speaker 1: that's my path for sure tonight is avoiding as many
- 33:22Speaker 1: Tampa guys as I can. uh in the flux and
- 33:25Speaker 1: obviously i'm not playing any in the captain so that's
- 33:27Speaker 1: what i'm looking at here tonight but it's a weak
- 33:29Speaker 1: position very weak all these running backs i.
- 33:32Speaker 3: Like one thing that you said there a lot actually
- 33:34Speaker 3: was about the point about like the little moves adding
- 33:37Speaker 3: up to a big move the thing i'll say is
- 33:39Speaker 3: like i guess and i know it's just wording i
- 33:41Speaker 3: know what you meant but i'm so like we don't
- 33:42Speaker 3: know if it's a big move because we don't get
- 33:43Speaker 3: the results yet but it is a very valuable move
- 33:46Speaker 3: because that's what people need to see is like when
- 33:47Speaker 3: you said it best with the bucky irving thing if
- 33:49Speaker 3: he's 25 And you take an underweight stance on him.
- 33:52Speaker 3: You can get 15. You still got plenty of Bucky,
- 33:55Speaker 3: but you're 10% underweight. But if you shift some of
- 33:57Speaker 3: that to Gainwell and Tucker and that type of stuff,
- 34:00Speaker 3: like that's where the valuable setup is. Obviously, if Bucky
- 34:03Speaker 3: goes off, you're in trouble. But it's like you weren't
- 34:04Speaker 3: taking that stance ever anyway. So this move can work
- 34:08Speaker 3: in your favor quite nicely if you do that. Our guy, Gary,
- 34:11Speaker 3: I love this. So I got to meet him at
- 34:12Speaker 3: a few of these finals, too. He says, I met
- 34:14Speaker 3: Nolzman at FFWC, went to FSU, so we hit it off.
- 34:17Speaker 3: He's a cool dude and a maniac at the same time.
- 34:20Speaker 3: So we get along great. Gary's a maniac of his own.
- 34:22Speaker 3: So love that stuff. I want to show you guys
- 34:24Speaker 3: this real quick because we did add a couple of
- 34:27Speaker 3: new things over at Ship It Nation. If you go
- 34:30Speaker 3: to the shows page and just click shows, Right now,
- 34:34Speaker 3: if you're watching this on playback and let's say you're like, damn,
- 34:36Speaker 3: I'm running out of time or I don't know what's
- 34:37Speaker 3: going on, you can go in to a show. This
- 34:40Speaker 3: is the one from Monday that I wasn't able to
- 34:41Speaker 3: be on with these guys. And you could find out
- 34:43Speaker 3: exactly the timestamps, what they broke down. It knew that
- 34:46Speaker 3: I wasn't there. And this is all set to go.
- 34:49Speaker 3: You could find each timestamp, what they said about each player.
- 34:52Speaker 3: Really cool research tool. If you're unsure of any terms,
- 34:55Speaker 3: there's a full glossary now. that you guys can go
- 34:57Speaker 3: and check out. That'll take you directly to, I'll tell
- 34:59Speaker 3: you a little blurb here, or you can go get
- 35:01Speaker 3: the full explanation, which will then load the glossary page.
- 35:04Speaker 3: And you can read more about that. If you're looking
- 35:07Speaker 3: to get better at DFS, we also added, there's gonna
- 35:09Speaker 3: be a new whole website coming soon to break this
- 35:11Speaker 3: out even better. But if you go to articles under more,
- 35:15Speaker 3: there's now 10 brand new articles that we've started with
- 35:17Speaker 3: that you can go into and see by topic or
- 35:21Speaker 3: what they are and get all the differences from that
- 35:23Speaker 3: and be able to go in and see what you
- 35:25Speaker 3: want to learn from it. If you go into an article,
- 35:27Speaker 3: let's say you're looking at, you know, only playing one
- 35:29Speaker 3: to three lineups, make sure to grab your free copy
- 35:32Speaker 3: of the DFS mastermind blueprint. You just put your email
- 35:34Speaker 3: in there. You'll get the 59 page PDF guide sent
- 35:37Speaker 3: over to you as well. Um, one to look at
- 35:40Speaker 3: the Bucky Irving thing though, and bring this up at
- 35:41Speaker 3: our friends, DFSOS.com. You guys can use code ship it
- 35:44Speaker 3: to get half price. But if you go to Sean
- 35:47Speaker 3: Tucker here, hoop, it says this is from two days ago,
- 35:50Speaker 3: Mike nuggets, NFL. And they, they only, they don't take
- 35:52Speaker 3: anything from beat writers. I'm learning. I talked to these
- 35:55Speaker 3: guys over at Mike nuggets and, um, it's all from
- 35:58Speaker 3: coaches or players speak. They don't know beat beat writers.
- 36:00Speaker 3: You can get that from wherever. And they're all just guessing,
- 36:03Speaker 3: but it said this from two days ago. Robinson says
- 36:06Speaker 3: Tampa Bay needs to get Sean Tucker and Kenny Gainwell
- 36:09Speaker 3: more involved. Zach Robinson says we got to get tuck
- 36:14Speaker 3: going some more for sure. Did a great job on
- 36:16Speaker 3: that short yard run, carrying the pile for a gain
- 36:18Speaker 3: of eight. That was outstanding. And then the line blocked it.
- 36:21Speaker 3: You can go read the whole thing there, but title
- 36:23Speaker 3: anything else on the Tampa side of, you know, the
- 36:26Speaker 3: risk stuff and what, what hoop talked about or who
- 36:28Speaker 3: you got something you want to add and go ahead first.
- 36:30Speaker 1: Just the one thing I was going to add is
- 36:31Speaker 1: this is great when we're talking for the showdown site, these,
- 36:34Speaker 1: this little bit of information, but imagine being, involved in
- 36:38Speaker 1: an organization, right? An NFL team or this guy, I'm
- 36:41Speaker 1: assuming is relatively high up and thinking that getting Sean
- 36:46Speaker 1: Tucker and Kenny Gainwell more involved in your offense is
- 36:49Speaker 1: going to lead to more success for your team. Like,
- 36:52Speaker 1: you know, you're fucked at that point, right? Like, you know,
- 36:55Speaker 1: you know, it's, you know, it's game over.
- 36:57Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 36:57Speaker 3: It makes it tricky. What do you think?
- 37:02Speaker 4: All I see is Tyler Goodson has a higher rushing
- 37:04Speaker 4: prop than Sean Tucker and Kenny Gainwell. Now, again, that's
- 37:09Speaker 4: just rushing yards. The pass catching is more of a
- 37:11Speaker 4: game while the touchdown equity is on those guys' side. But, yeah,
- 37:15Speaker 4: I mean, I think that shows. I like Goodson a
- 37:17Speaker 4: ton today. I think he has multiple outs to get there.
- 37:19Speaker 4: But that shows a lot when he has a higher
- 37:21Speaker 4: rushing prop than those two.
- 37:23Speaker 3: I'll let you go on wide receiver in a second.
- 37:25Speaker 3: But I think, again, sometimes we just say things, then
- 37:27Speaker 3: I think about things in my way. And the way
- 37:29Speaker 3: I'm thinking about what you just said is actually critical
- 37:31Speaker 3: probably because if you look at it, It's when we
- 37:33Speaker 3: get to wide receiver here in a second, the $ 2, 800
- 37:35Speaker 3: Teddy Hurst. pretty good ownership on him versus the others.
- 37:40Speaker 3: Tez Johnson is the guy they're thinking about right behind him.
- 37:43Speaker 3: Nobody's really on Sean Tucker. So you could argue like
- 37:46Speaker 3: that could be the way over there. But to me,
- 37:48Speaker 3: it's also the other side. If you need to flip
- 37:50Speaker 3: the build a little bit, it's like any lineup that's
- 37:53Speaker 3: using Tez or Teddy Hurst could be Goodson finishing out
- 37:58Speaker 3: the running back conversation, letting you take over for wide receiver.
- 38:00Speaker 3: So sometimes that can work in your favor if you
- 38:03Speaker 3: do find something like that. Obviously it could be Sean
- 38:05Speaker 3: Tucker for a little bit more money then those guys
- 38:07Speaker 3: are right in between them. But I like that from
- 38:10Speaker 3: the Goodson perspective and then putting it in with the
- 38:13Speaker 3: prop as well. So good call out there. Take us
- 38:15Speaker 3: into wide receiver.
- 38:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I just saw this comment.
- 38:19Speaker 4: Hey, I still do think he's dust, but I mean,
- 38:21Speaker 4: you don't want to watch a show when no one
- 38:22Speaker 4: has any takes and conviction.
- 38:24Speaker 2: I mean, we're going to be wrong so many times.
- 38:25Speaker 2: We can't see the future.
- 38:27Speaker 4: If I did as much as I love what I do,
- 38:29Speaker 4: I would not be on here because I'd have all
- 38:31Speaker 4: the money and not tell anyone what would happen.
- 38:33Speaker 2: So. Just wanted to say that.
- 38:35Speaker 1: Speak poorly about Rasheed Rice as well. You know, it's
- 38:37Speaker 1: the same, same title.
- 38:37Speaker 3: You got him injured title. You got Rice.
- 38:39Speaker 1: Yeah. You took my guy down. All your negativity took
- 38:42Speaker 1: him down.
- 38:43Speaker 4: The guy is so good and he works so hard
- 38:46Speaker 4: in the off season. He can't run an end around
- 38:48Speaker 4: or whatever it was. He pulls his hand.
- 38:50Speaker 1: There's a tough off season for him. You know, he
- 38:51Speaker 1: had a lot going on.
- 38:52Speaker 4: That's what I was trying to tell you. He wasn't,
- 38:54Speaker 4: he's not locked in, but you can't victory lap an injury.
- 38:57Speaker 4: My guy was way worse all games. So I can't
- 39:00Speaker 4: say a word. As far as receiver, uh, I mean,
- 39:03Speaker 4: I think Godwin Urbuka, the worst plays on the slate
- 39:05Speaker 4: by a mile. I can imagine paying that price to
- 39:08Speaker 4: pay up to be contrarian. Sure, it's not for me.
- 39:11Speaker 4: Give me the value at wide receiver. Ted Hurst, Ted Johnson,
- 39:14Speaker 4: Ryan Flournoy, Kevontae Turpin. If I want to play Seedy, Pickens, Dak, Kevontae,
- 39:19Speaker 4: a captain, we play a salary-based game and we need
- 39:22Speaker 4: salary savings.
- 39:23Speaker 2: So I mentioned Sean Tucker.
- 39:25Speaker 4: I mentioned Goodson, Ted Hurst, and all Tez Johnson, Turpin, $ 1, 200,
- 39:31Speaker 4: get some design plays. Flournoy's my favorite though. I mean,
- 39:34Speaker 4: one of these games, he's out there a ton. It
- 39:36Speaker 4: just hasn't connected yet, but he has so many opportunities.
- 39:39Speaker 4: Hoping today is the day. You can leave plenty of
- 39:42Speaker 4: money going from I mean, you can go Pickens to Florida. No,
- 39:46Speaker 4: it's a one-game slate. Is it my favorite way? No,
- 39:48Speaker 4: but it's something if you want to win 500K by yourself. Yeah,
- 39:52Speaker 4: like Pickens and CD are fine. Again, Buka, Godwin, absolutely
- 39:56Speaker 4: no thank you. It is interesting, though, because everyone is–
- 39:59Speaker 4: like Ted Hurst is everyone's boy. Last week it finally flipped, though.
- 40:03Speaker 4: Tez Johnson out-snapped Hurst 35-25. The weeks prior, it was
- 40:08Speaker 4: Hurst playing about three times more snaps than So that's
- 40:12Speaker 4: just something interesting to note. I think Tez Johnson, a
- 40:15Speaker 4: little more interesting at lower ownership than her seeing that.
- 40:18Speaker 2: But I like all of these these cheapies.
- 40:20Speaker 4: Again, I'm playing studs up top, so I need cheap players.
- 40:23Speaker 4: And that's definitely where I'm going. Kabuka Godwin. I mean,
- 40:26Speaker 4: I can get made fun of, but the worst plays
- 40:28Speaker 4: on the slate, in my opinion.
- 40:30Speaker 3: Our chat is so good. We said hard to be
- 40:32Speaker 3: locked in when you're locked up. And then Andrew said
- 40:34Speaker 3: the only thing good at rice is good at running
- 40:36Speaker 3: away from.
- 40:36Speaker 1: That's how he gets, that's how he gets his off
- 40:41Speaker 1: season workouts in.
- 40:42Speaker 3: Does anybody care about this one either? Like what, what
- 40:44Speaker 3: just happened?
- 40:45Speaker 2: I don't even think, I think he's done. He might
- 40:47Speaker 2: be dust.
- 40:48Speaker 3: One of you two said it on Sunday and he
- 40:49Speaker 3: most means nothing. Yeah. It was like that. That's just whatever. Like,
- 40:54Speaker 3: I don't know the more interesting guy coming from a
- 40:56Speaker 3: Pittsburgh team that I'd be talking about. Somebody mentioned up
- 40:59Speaker 3: top there and I know we moved off it, but
- 41:01Speaker 3: I actually thought that was a little bit somewhat interesting
- 41:03Speaker 3: from our projections and ownership and all that type of
- 41:05Speaker 3: stuff is if you were going to try and split
- 41:07Speaker 3: the middle on it, I actually think Gainwell would be
- 41:09Speaker 3: the one that's a little bit more interesting just because
- 41:11Speaker 3: he has shown capability, whether or not that matters in
- 41:14Speaker 3: a game like this or against this team or whatever
- 41:16Speaker 3: that might be. But I think he's interesting at more
- 41:18Speaker 3: than half the price. He's good.
- 41:20Speaker 2: He just hasn't played more than 50% of snaps. There's
- 41:23Speaker 2: three guys they want to mix in.
- 41:25Speaker 1: Their team is complete dog shit at this point. I mean,
- 41:28Speaker 1: when your team is not good, it's, it's difficult for,
- 41:31Speaker 1: you know, secondary offensive pieces to, to do anything. I mean,
- 41:35Speaker 1: the team has been horrible.
- 41:37Speaker 3: JPJ, he does got a couple of J's in that
- 41:39Speaker 3: name though, for those that know the inside joke.
- 41:41Speaker 1: That's one thing that, man, I'll just continue to, to
- 41:45Speaker 1: harp on. And I think all three of us kind
- 41:47Speaker 1: of do. It's like these top, not even the top
- 41:49Speaker 1: wide receivers, like mediocre wide receivers can just beat good cornerbacks.
- 41:56Speaker 1: Like there's such an advantage the way, the way the
- 41:58Speaker 1: NFL set up. It's just like, they are, there's very
- 42:01Speaker 1: few guys. I don't even know the guys title. You
- 42:03Speaker 1: do a better job of knowing the absolute like lockdown guys.
- 42:06Speaker 1: Like I don't even know who they are, but it's
- 42:08Speaker 1: very few and far between where I'm like, Dan, he
- 42:11Speaker 1: might be matched up with this dude. I got to
- 42:13Speaker 1: stay away. It just don't like, that's one thing I
- 42:15Speaker 1: would just beat in everyone's head. Just don't even, We.
- 42:18Speaker 2: Lost one in Sertan last week.
- 42:20Speaker 1: Yeah. And these guys, they all move around so much.
- 42:22Speaker 1: The top dudes are all over the field. They're in
- 42:25Speaker 1: the slot. Some are in the backfield. Like Puka's in
- 42:28Speaker 1: the backfield sometimes. They had CD in the backfield. So
- 42:31Speaker 1: they're all over.
- 42:33Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely agree with that. The Flournoy call I really
- 42:37Speaker 3: like too here, actually, because I think Dak, one, I
- 42:40Speaker 3: agree with you earlier. I could see CD and him
- 42:42Speaker 3: flipping a little bit if we get the 2017 flip-flop.
- 42:45Speaker 3: I agree that's very likely or possible at least. But
- 42:48Speaker 3: if you got Dak up top, it's so easy to
- 42:51Speaker 3: afford Lamb in the flex on this slate. And I'm
- 42:55Speaker 3: not talking about leaving Lamb down to Flournoy. I'm just
- 42:57Speaker 3: saying building differently or whatever it might be. But I
- 42:59Speaker 3: definitely think there's an opportunity to have like a Pickens-Flournoy
- 43:03Speaker 3: in the flex and then see how you want to
- 43:05Speaker 3: fill it out from there. Because yes, you'll probably end
- 43:07Speaker 3: up leaving money. But remember, everybody that does that is like,
- 43:10Speaker 3: oh man, but 4,500 left? I can just move Pickens
- 43:13Speaker 3: up to Lamb. Yeah, you just did the same thing
- 43:15Speaker 3: everybody else did. You just have to get comfortable being
- 43:18Speaker 3: uncomfortable and move on. And I know it's tricky when
- 43:20Speaker 3: you're hand building. He's like, oh, just click, click. I
- 43:22Speaker 3: got the money. Think of that as like removing money
- 43:26Speaker 3: from your $ 500, 000 pool up top. That's what you just
- 43:30Speaker 3: did essentially. It's like you said, I don't want 500.
- 43:33Speaker 3: You guys watch all these beast game shows and Mr.
- 43:35Speaker 3: Beast videos and stuff. It's like you are, when you're
- 43:37Speaker 3: doing that and then maxing out your lineup with the
- 43:39Speaker 3: same construction and all the money used, you're saying like, yeah,
- 43:42Speaker 3: I want to live in this grocery store for two years,
- 43:45Speaker 3: but take half the money away too. You don't want
- 43:47Speaker 3: to do that. If you're going to make this effort
- 43:49Speaker 3: and put this money on the line, try and win
- 43:51Speaker 3: it all. Not saying you got to be that crazy,
- 43:53Speaker 3: but we're just noting it. It's on like a one
- 43:54Speaker 3: game slate. You could see the lineup set up differently
- 43:57Speaker 3: and you don't have to just leave all the money,
- 43:59Speaker 3: but you could just build without lamb in the flex
- 44:02Speaker 3: with Dak up top, have Flournoy Pickens and then see
- 44:04Speaker 3: where it goes from there. On the Tampa side for me, Hoop,
- 44:07Speaker 3: and then I'll kick it over to you. He did
- 44:09Speaker 3: lean Daniels on Godwin quite a bit, but two titles point.
- 44:14Speaker 3: It's the pricing on these guys and what they need
- 44:16Speaker 3: to achieve for those prices. Anything can happen. They'll be
- 44:19Speaker 3: in the pool and mix them in. But I am
- 44:22Speaker 3: more likely to go to Teddy Hurst and Tez Johnson
- 44:25Speaker 3: down there, even Kate Otten when we get to it
- 44:27Speaker 3: next at tight end. And in a lot of cases,
- 44:29Speaker 3: that would be where I am just leaving that money
- 44:31Speaker 3: because it's not really about the money. It's just if
- 44:33Speaker 3: I only think one or two of them are going
- 44:35Speaker 3: to perform, then I want the ones that I think
- 44:37Speaker 3: are going to do it and have me a chance
- 44:38Speaker 3: to win the most money when doing it. So could
- 44:41Speaker 3: see both those guys, Teddy Hurst and Tez Johnson, being
- 44:44Speaker 3: in the mix. I like where their price is at
- 44:46Speaker 3: on the slate. And in a lot of cases, you
- 44:47Speaker 3: are going to be leaving money on the table by
- 44:49Speaker 3: doing it. So fits all my criteria. Hoop, what do
- 44:51Speaker 3: you got at wide receiver?
- 44:53Speaker 1: Yeah, this is, now we're talking my language. Our guy
- 44:57Speaker 1: Nick Cat, Aubrey going to score more fantasy points than
- 45:00Speaker 1: Igbuka and Godwin combined? I actually think there's a chance
- 45:04Speaker 1: that that happens. I know it's a hot take, but like,
- 45:06Speaker 1: I think Aubrey could get 15 easily in this game.
- 45:10Speaker 1: And those guys could get like, seven and seven or
- 45:13Speaker 1: seven and six. I think there's a legit chance that happened.
- 45:16Speaker 3: So that's like a good bet though. I don't know
- 45:18Speaker 3: what the odds would be on that.
- 45:19Speaker 1: I mean, yeah. What would the odds be?
- 45:21Speaker 2: It'd be the question.
- 45:21Speaker 1: Obviously it's heavily in favor of.
- 45:24Speaker 2: I mean, what's the math.
- 45:27Speaker 4: If you got them combined project of like 17 and
- 45:29Speaker 4: a half versus 10.
- 45:31Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 45:32Speaker 3: What do we got here?
- 45:33Speaker 1: Minus seven and a half. So minus seven and a
- 45:35Speaker 1: half favor, right. Are we thinking about this? Right. So
- 45:37Speaker 1: that's like minus 300 minus 400.
- 45:39Speaker 2: Something in that range. Yeah.
- 45:42Speaker 1: Actually, so pull up, what's the Texans, what are their
- 45:46Speaker 1: win odds? They're minus what? They're minus seven and a half.
- 45:49Speaker 2: Seven and a half are the Jags' favorite. Minus 345.
- 45:51Speaker 2: So four to one. Yeah, four to one about.
- 45:54Speaker 1: Seems fair. Seems fair. Okay.
- 45:56Speaker 3: Does anybody want that?
- 45:57Speaker 2: I don't. I don't either.
- 46:00Speaker 4: But I mean, the receiving props, 33 and a half
- 46:03Speaker 4: for Godwin, like 32 and a, it's just, it's terrible
- 46:06Speaker 4: at their price. But again, if you play it, when
- 46:08Speaker 4: you win, how much you win, if you're on them today, like,
- 46:11Speaker 4: Don't let us not have you play it. Like I'm
- 46:13Speaker 4: not going to have zero, maybe, maybe I'll like 5%.
- 46:16Speaker 4: Your lineup should all tell the story though. But man, it's,
- 46:19Speaker 4: it's tough.
- 46:20Speaker 3: Every time you don't play them though, it goes to
- 46:21Speaker 3: Hoops point earlier with the Bucky stuff. It's like, anytime
- 46:23Speaker 3: you're not on them, you're getting more of what you
- 46:25Speaker 3: want in there. And that's more towards what you're comfortable
- 46:28Speaker 3: with and happy with how it pays out and all
- 46:30Speaker 3: that type of thing. So it really does. it is
- 46:32Speaker 3: a game, right? Like we always talk about, it's a
- 46:33Speaker 3: puzzle and how you're putting it together. It should make sense.
- 46:36Speaker 3: If you're not interested as much in those guys, then
- 46:38Speaker 3: you can allocate that somewhere else or to different build styles,
- 46:42Speaker 3: styles as well. So, um, the thing is if Aubrey
- 46:45Speaker 3: scores 15, 20 points, I don't know, it'd be, what's
- 46:47Speaker 3: that mean for the rest of the guys might still
- 46:49Speaker 3: not matter to be honest. It might be just fine.
- 46:51Speaker 3: So yeah, we'll see how it goes.
- 46:53Speaker 1: Uh, yeah, not much more to add, like on the
- 46:56Speaker 1: Dallas side, CD pickings, uh, or noise, just like, uh,
- 47:02Speaker 1: in the class of his own in terms of like
- 47:04Speaker 1: wide receivers threes in this league, there's not many like
- 47:07Speaker 1: wide receiver threes that get as much action as this
- 47:10Speaker 1: guy does. Like title said, he's always on the field.
- 47:12Speaker 1: It's not like we see a lot of these guys
- 47:15Speaker 1: that are always on the field and they're literally just
- 47:16Speaker 1: out there running sprints and getting exercise. This guy gets
- 47:20Speaker 1: targets four, six, eight, five. Right. And he hasn't had
- 47:24Speaker 1: the massive game. But he doesn't need the massive game.
- 47:27Speaker 1: Like if you're playing him in flex, I mean, might
- 47:29Speaker 1: need him just to get 10, 11, 12 fantasy points.
- 47:32Speaker 1: And he's going to pop off for a massive game,
- 47:34Speaker 1: like Title said, at some point this season. This offense
- 47:36Speaker 1: just passes way too much. So in DAC captain teams,
- 47:41Speaker 1: I think he's a phenomenal, phenomenal play. And then one
- 47:45Speaker 1: last random cheapie, Turpin as well. I'd include Turpin in
- 47:50Speaker 1: my player pool, DAC captain teams. $ 1, 200, he's out there.
- 47:56Speaker 1: And they run gimmicky stuff for him too, which is
- 47:59Speaker 1: very important. If he's on the field, it's probably some
- 48:03Speaker 1: sort of gimmicky play and he can take it to
- 48:05Speaker 1: the house. I love him as a full punt. And
- 48:10Speaker 1: I do think Igbuka and Goblin have a chance to
- 48:12Speaker 1: be even higher owned than what we're showing because people
- 48:16Speaker 1: are just going to be able to spend that money.
- 48:19Speaker 1: And there's not much in that range in terms of salary,
- 48:22Speaker 1: so they might just settle with those guys. I mean,
- 48:24Speaker 1: we're showing 20 for Ibuka, 20 for Godwin. It really
- 48:27Speaker 1: could be like 25-ish range or something like that, and
- 48:30Speaker 1: I hope it's up there because I have no interest.
- 48:33Speaker 1: I'll definitely just take my chances on the cheapies, Hurst
- 48:36Speaker 1: and Tez Johnson. And, again, if you're building a team,
- 48:39Speaker 1: we kind of talked about it at running back, but
- 48:41Speaker 1: I think it's even more applicable here. If you're building
- 48:43Speaker 1: a team and you end up on Ibuka or you
- 48:46Speaker 1: end up on Godwin, be all right just going down
- 48:49Speaker 1: to Hurst or Tez Johnson and leaving that money on
- 48:53Speaker 1: the table. Someone asked about the $ 50, 000. In showdown, if
- 48:57Speaker 1: you're new to the show, they're never going to say
- 49:00Speaker 1: that you have to spend all the salary. You can
- 49:02Speaker 1: leave tons. Tambo was saying $ 10, 000. It's such a different
- 49:07Speaker 1: game than the main slate where you're leaving a lot
- 49:10Speaker 1: on the table. If you're leaving big chunks of salary
- 49:13Speaker 1: on the table, you're probably leaving too much on the table.
- 49:16Speaker 1: and showdown totally different. So be okay making those pivots,
- 49:19Speaker 1: but I like the cheapies here a ton.
- 49:23Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 49:23Speaker 3: Let's do a quick look ahead for Sunday. Cause the
- 49:25Speaker 3: chat brought up a funny name there. You know, your
- 49:28Speaker 3: boy Tesla who right now, if you had to choose
- 49:31Speaker 3: for Sunday in this Detroit, Arizona game, would you want,
- 49:34Speaker 3: you can only pick one Tesla or born on the
- 49:39Speaker 3: other side.
- 49:43Speaker 1: I got to stick with my guy, Tesla. I think
- 49:45Speaker 1: I just, yeah, Tesla.
- 49:48Speaker 3: Okay. What about you title?
- 49:50Speaker 4: Probably boring because I think Marv, like his snap shares
- 49:53Speaker 4: continue to go down and I think they're about to
- 49:55Speaker 4: just pull the plug.
- 49:56Speaker 2: So I'm going to, that's a good point.
- 49:57Speaker 3: They got to feature them because it's.
- 49:59Speaker 1: Still annoying though, man. It's so not featuring.
- 50:01Speaker 4: I'm not going to help him with anything that dude,
- 50:03Speaker 4: literally anytime you put them on the field, his trade
- 50:06Speaker 4: value goes down because he doesn't try.
- 50:07Speaker 3: So he had a nice touchdown last week, didn't he?
- 50:10Speaker 4: Yeah, he did have a– didn't he do nothing after
- 50:13Speaker 4: that touchdown?
- 50:13Speaker 1: No, yeah. You can tell they forced it. It all
- 50:15Speaker 1: fell into place perfectly.
- 50:16Speaker 2: It was like pure luck.
- 50:18Speaker 1: They forced it to him early. They wanted to maybe
- 50:20Speaker 1: get something going.
- 50:21Speaker 4: I will say, Tesla might have watched our show because
- 50:25Speaker 4: right when you chirped on week two or whatever, like
- 50:27Speaker 4: you started doing something.
- 50:28Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 50:30Speaker 1: He makes plays.
- 50:31Speaker 2: Yeah, you didn't chirp him. You chirped his role. No, no, no, no, no.
- 50:33Speaker 1: I'm just saying in general, like, the dude makes plays. Like,
- 50:36Speaker 1: if you are an offensive coordinator, like, I'd be trying
- 50:39Speaker 1: to get the guy the ball. Like, he can make
- 50:41Speaker 1: difficult catches. But for the main slit, though, it is
- 50:44Speaker 1: annoying because this is the spot I've attacked all year,
- 50:46Speaker 1: and it's worked out well. I just– that is going
- 50:49Speaker 1: to be the most– probably the most popular spot of forever.
- 50:54Speaker 1: I mean, it's like they're– the total in that game,
- 50:56Speaker 1: I think, is like, almost 10 higher than anything else
- 50:59Speaker 1: on the slate yep.
- 51:01Speaker 3: And week five so jaylen daniels had to he has
- 51:04Speaker 3: to come back jayden daniels sorry not jaylen he's on
- 51:07Speaker 3: jaylen daniels night but jayden had to come back for
- 51:10Speaker 3: uh for week five his mom said because he's number
- 51:12Speaker 3: five right nobody else can have that he's got to
- 51:14Speaker 3: have full control so we'll see how it goes we'll
- 51:16Speaker 3: get to that on sunday though let's go to tight
- 51:18Speaker 3: end and title i'll kick it over to you the
- 51:20Speaker 3: chat mentioned it so we're not quite there yet but
- 51:22Speaker 3: Jake Ferguson looking tasty up top in the captain. What
- 51:25Speaker 3: do you think about that comment, and what are you
- 51:27Speaker 3: doing here at the tight end position?
- 51:29Speaker 2: I don't love it.
- 51:30Speaker 4: I like Flournoy more than Ferguson for a good bit cheaper,
- 51:33Speaker 4: and I very well might just play Dak, Gervonta, Seedy, Pickens, Flournoy,
- 51:38Speaker 4: and then maybe a little Daniels. I'm going to keep
- 51:39Speaker 4: it more condensed. I'm fine with him in the flex.
- 51:42Speaker 4: Kay Dotton looks good. I wouldn't be surprised, though, if
- 51:44Speaker 4: he caught a little steam just because you have to
- 51:47Speaker 4: play someone on the Buccaneers.
- 51:49Speaker 2: And he's 4,400.
- 51:50Speaker 4: He pretty much has the same receiving prop as Godwin
- 51:53Speaker 4: and Ibuka for way less. So I like him. I'm
- 51:56Speaker 4: a little worried with steam, but I'm going to play some.
- 51:58Speaker 4: But after that, I mean, it's this one of the
- 52:01Speaker 4: worst tight end slates after that. Like no one really
- 52:03Speaker 4: plays outside of Kate Otten on the Buccaneers. And then
- 52:06Speaker 4: for the Cowboys, Spanford and Schoonmaker. But like they're like
- 52:10Speaker 4: the 15th option when they're out there. Like I don't
- 52:12Speaker 4: think 1.8 is really enough.
- 52:14Speaker 2: Give me.
- 52:15Speaker 4: Tez Johnson, Hurst, Turpin when he's on the field, Sean Tucker, Goodson.
- 52:21Speaker 4: Tight end room's really weak in my opinion. You're playing
- 52:23Speaker 4: the starters.
- 52:24Speaker 2: They're fine. I don't love it. I like Otten, but again,
- 52:27Speaker 2: I'm worried that he does get a little steam.
- 52:29Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't got any Instagram accounts to show off
- 52:31Speaker 3: this week for tight end. I can tell you that much,
- 52:33Speaker 3: but this would be where I would say just to
- 52:35Speaker 3: those earlier, and Hoop brought one up at wide receiver,
- 52:37Speaker 3: and I'll go to tight end with him in a second,
- 52:39Speaker 3: but with Turpin or the Spanfords of the world, the Durams,
- 52:43Speaker 3: those guys, that's where you would see my, my lineup
- 52:46Speaker 3: construction probably spend more money, right? If I'm bringing a
- 52:49Speaker 3: one percenter into the mix, it's like, maybe it is
- 52:51Speaker 3: a 49 five or a 49 six or something. You'll
- 52:54Speaker 3: just see that because then I'm not as worried about it.
- 52:56Speaker 3: Obviously when you're putting somebody that's just so low own,
- 52:59Speaker 3: but also remember you get a zero out of those
- 53:01Speaker 3: guys a lot of the time too. So got to
- 53:03Speaker 3: think about that when you're doing it and make it
- 53:04Speaker 3: make sense at least, but who I'll go to you,
- 53:06Speaker 3: anything else to add at tight end between Otten and
- 53:08Speaker 3: Ferguson or any thoughts there?
- 53:11Speaker 1: It's just Ferguson, Otten.
- 53:13Speaker 2: And I like Otten quite a bit.
- 53:17Speaker 1: Out of all the Tampa guys, just give me the
- 53:20Speaker 1: cheapest guy. And I guess I hope title's wrong in
- 53:25Speaker 1: terms of the ownership coming up. Because all those guys
- 53:28Speaker 1: are right. Now it seems pretty clear. All those guys
- 53:31Speaker 1: are going to be between 20% and 25%. Bucky, Godwin, Otten.
- 53:35Speaker 1: and uh ibuka and otten probably going to be right
- 53:39Speaker 1: in that range and i hope that remains true because
- 53:42Speaker 1: i mean he legitimately has like in my eyes similar
- 53:46Speaker 1: fantasy output of all of them and he's much cheaper
- 53:49Speaker 1: and again another way to to build some lineups and
- 53:53Speaker 1: leave a lot of salary on the table where you're
- 53:54Speaker 1: just taking out bucky or you're taking out ibuka and
- 53:56Speaker 1: you're just putting in otten like you see it all
- 53:59Speaker 1: the time with these young quarterbacks like it's just been
- 54:02Speaker 1: proven like Where are they looking? Like, there's a reason
- 54:05Speaker 1: why Godwin got a lot of attention because he's running
- 54:07Speaker 1: those small little routes. Like, and the tight ends are
- 54:10Speaker 1: right there, too. So, like, Otten, I think, is a
- 54:13Speaker 1: phenomenal play on the slate. And I hope it remains
- 54:17Speaker 1: right around, what do we have it at? We have
- 54:20Speaker 1: it at 20. It's probably more like 25. And I'm
- 54:23Speaker 1: fine with that. Like, I think he's by far the
- 54:24Speaker 1: best Tampa play on the slate when you factor everything
- 54:28Speaker 1: into it.
- 54:29Speaker 3: Yeah, one thing I'll think about just conceptually on a
- 54:31Speaker 3: slate like this and a game like this with the
- 54:33Speaker 3: totals and that, Ferguson is usually involved in big boy games.
- 54:37Speaker 3: We saw it when our man Rio almost won the Millie.
- 54:39Speaker 3: That was a big, high-scoring game. So if that's the case, again,
- 54:43Speaker 3: it could be a high scoring five, one, I guess,
- 54:45Speaker 3: you know, it can definitely get to that route with,
- 54:47Speaker 3: you know, that's have a route with the Buccaneers here,
- 54:49Speaker 3: but I'm just noting it is like, if people are
- 54:51Speaker 3: loving him in the captain, they're saying all this stuff
- 54:52Speaker 3: could work out. It's like, then it would kind of
- 54:54Speaker 3: be that or not as much for me. And I
- 54:56Speaker 3: think there will be a lot of lineups just looking
- 54:58Speaker 3: at this that have Ferguson and one of Hearst or
- 55:02Speaker 3: Tez or something cheap on the other side. And if
- 55:05Speaker 3: it's actually going to be that type of five, one,
- 55:07Speaker 3: pretty much any lineup that has Ferguson in the flex
- 55:09Speaker 3: with a cheap Tampa Bay receiver is could be the
- 55:14Speaker 3: setup where you have like a or an Otten or an,
- 55:18Speaker 3: or a Godwin and have Goodson in the lineup on
- 55:21Speaker 3: the other side, it would actually make more sense to
- 55:23Speaker 3: be honest for a five one, but that would be
- 55:26Speaker 3: what one fifth by the looks of it from ownership.
- 55:28Speaker 3: Like that's just not going to be a popular combo.
- 55:30Speaker 3: So the way you can kind of flip the build
- 55:32Speaker 3: title even might like it with, um, you know, Ted
- 55:35Speaker 3: Hurst and Goodson instead of the money to go up
- 55:37Speaker 3: to a Buka or Godwin. And that's an example where
- 55:39Speaker 3: you're leaving the money, but it's still, you're telling the
- 55:40Speaker 3: story in a way that could probably make more sense
- 55:43Speaker 3: for As opposed to the other situation that people are
- 55:45Speaker 3: looking at just to play it, to play it. Cause
- 55:47Speaker 3: it's the big name they know and, and recognize and
- 55:50Speaker 3: why not put them in there, right? I'm already on, um,
- 55:52Speaker 3: Dak or I'm already on Javante or something like that.
- 55:54Speaker 3: So they just automatically put Ferguson in. You could just
- 55:57Speaker 3: flip the bill a little bit that way. So not
- 55:59Speaker 3: too much else for me to add there. Um, running
- 56:01Speaker 3: backs and D or sorry, um, kickers and defense title
- 56:04Speaker 3: to round it out.
- 56:06Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, Aubrey's got one of the biggest legs.
- 56:08Speaker 4: I mean, man, last week it was I mean, they
- 56:10Speaker 4: trust this man so much. It was like a 62
- 56:13Speaker 4: yarder that they they let him roll with to give
- 56:16Speaker 4: the ball to the Houston with a decent amount of time.
- 56:18Speaker 4: It was like 45 seconds or it was a really ball.
- 56:20Speaker 1: I remember that play. I was like, damn, I can't
- 56:23Speaker 1: believe they're buying.
- 56:24Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 56:25Speaker 1: If he misses, it's just 10 yards the other way
- 56:27Speaker 1: for 50.
- 56:27Speaker 2: For sure.
- 56:28Speaker 4: Right before half, like very few coaches would ever do that.
- 56:31Speaker 4: And I'm not saying he's dumb. I mean, that's the
- 56:33Speaker 4: faith you have in the best kicker in the league.
- 56:35Speaker 4: I mean, it didn't work out for him. But yeah,
- 56:37Speaker 4: if anyone is willing to make a play like that,
- 56:40Speaker 4: I definitely have interest in Aubrey. I have a lot
- 56:42Speaker 4: of interest in Cowboys defense. I mean, I don't think
- 56:44Speaker 4: this Jalen Daniels guy's very good. He's a running quarterback.
- 56:48Speaker 4: So sacks are going to be there. Turnovers are going
- 56:50Speaker 4: to be there. Yeah, you can leave money from Godwin, Ibuka, whatever,
- 56:54Speaker 4: and play Cowboys defense.
- 56:55Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised. if they scored double digits today.
- 56:58Speaker 4: As far as the other side, I think McLaughlin's my
- 57:01Speaker 4: least favorite, just because if I do think they're down
- 57:04Speaker 4: a lot early, like you're not going to kick field goals.
- 57:06Speaker 4: You're going to need touchdowns and go for it on
- 57:08Speaker 4: close decisions. Buccaneers defense. I mean, I guess they're 8%
- 57:13Speaker 4: on at 3K. Like it takes one play. So I
- 57:16Speaker 4: guess I'll probably just be overweight. Naturally, I'm almost always overweight,
- 57:19Speaker 4: underdog defenses, and it never works out. But again, when
- 57:23Speaker 4: it works out, it worked out like three years ago.
- 57:24Speaker 4: It felt like almost every single week hasn't really worked
- 57:28Speaker 4: out as much lately, but with how bad the Buccaneers.
- 57:31Speaker 2: Have been, I don't know. I guess I'll throw it
- 57:33Speaker 2: to you this.
- 57:33Speaker 4: What do you think on five, one Cowboys builds with
- 57:36Speaker 4: Buccaneers defense, just hoping it's like one play or, and
- 57:40Speaker 4: like five points is enough because of their pricing. I
- 57:43Speaker 4: don't love the idea, but I'm trying to get a,
- 57:45Speaker 4: I'm trying to get different than 8% for, I mean,
- 57:49Speaker 4: you have every chance they're going to be out there
- 57:50Speaker 4: a ton. Like defenses can score points at any time
- 57:54Speaker 4: during the game. It takes one place.
- 57:55Speaker 2: So. I'm going to play some, but McLaughlin's my least
- 57:58Speaker 2: favorite for sure.
- 57:58Speaker 3: I was going to say, I think it's, again, it's
- 58:00Speaker 3: two grand in the difference. So it's not really, you know,
- 58:02Speaker 3: comparable for me, but I would, I would say they're
- 58:05Speaker 3: the bucks are more likely to kick field goals when
- 58:07Speaker 3: they should definitely not be kicking field goals that he
- 58:10Speaker 3: could be the one that might be on a five,
- 58:11Speaker 3: one with McLaughlin and you're the, his, you can't spell
- 58:14Speaker 3: his name without laughing. And we'll just be the ones
- 58:16Speaker 3: laughing at them because they're kicking field goals when it's
- 58:19Speaker 3: like the dumbest spots. I forget who the team was
- 58:21Speaker 3: on Sunday, obviously under the weather. So I don't remember much,
- 58:24Speaker 3: but it was like, Man, one team finally did it.
- 58:27Speaker 3: They were like going for it when they were supposed
- 58:28Speaker 3: to and like not doing stupid shit. And I was like, yeah,
- 58:31Speaker 3: just lose big or play proper. That's how you should
- 58:34Speaker 3: keep your job and do things right. Because it doesn't matter. Yeah,
- 58:37Speaker 3: you're going to lose some games. Like you said, we're
- 58:38Speaker 3: going to have takes that are wrong and stuff like that.
- 58:40Speaker 3: But you actually play the damn game properly and then
- 58:43Speaker 3: see what happens. Don't play just safe and, oh, at
- 58:46Speaker 3: least we put a few points on the board. It
- 58:48Speaker 3: looks horrible. It looks worse. Yeah. Hoop, anything from you
- 58:51Speaker 3: on these? There is like a running joke. I think
- 58:53Speaker 3: it's definitely a rumor. The guy's like 6'3, 218 pounds.
- 58:57Speaker 3: But did you ever hear the joke on social media
- 58:58Speaker 3: that Brandon Aubrey wears a size 7 shoe?
- 59:01Speaker 1: I can't imagine that.
- 59:05Speaker 3: Jerry Jones doesn't want to extend them because they're not
- 59:07Speaker 3: sure if the size seven's gonna hold up that's the
- 59:10Speaker 3: the rumor mill anyway.
- 59:11Speaker 1: Whatever size his foot is it's clearly working for his
- 59:15Speaker 1: uh current uh place of employment because it might be.
- 59:18Speaker 3: The secret like big tall yeah frame small.
- 59:21Speaker 2: Foot just google that it does say seven.
- 59:23Speaker 3: Really like the only three.
- 59:27Speaker 2: This kid sticks through with a sledgehammer of a right leg.
- 59:29Speaker 2: That's what I'm... Yeah.
- 59:31Speaker 1: It's... Easier to square up the football with a smaller
- 59:34Speaker 1: foot or something. Who knows?
- 59:35Speaker 3: It might be the thing. It might be his cheat code, man.
- 59:37Speaker 3: That might be a thing.
- 59:38Speaker 1: And don't kickers always wear, like, tighter shoes, right? I
- 59:42Speaker 1: think so.
- 59:43Speaker 2: Like, almost soccer cleats.
- 59:44Speaker 1: Or something like that. Maybe he's really like an eight
- 59:47Speaker 1: and a half or something.
- 59:48Speaker 2: Where did you see that, Tambo? I know you're.
- 59:51Speaker 1: All over the web.
- 59:54Speaker 3: I was going to just do a joke, see how
- 59:56Speaker 3: big his leg actually is, just to compare. Does he
- 59:59Speaker 3: have a big leg or is he just a good kicker?
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: But apparently they said this size 7 is a real thing.
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: That's wild. That is absolutely wild.
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: The Cowboys fans know about that one. They'll probably come
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: at me with the rumor mill and all that. Cowboys
- 1:00:11Speaker 3: fans can't take a joke usually, but it's okay. We
- 1:00:14Speaker 3: still love you. Same.
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: I mean, always on Aubrey. I mean, the dude's an
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: absolute stud kicker. Anytime, like Title said, they're going to
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: kick six in crunch time where you're fucked if he misses,
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: like 62 yarder. Like, sign me up for that. I mean, it's...
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: That's a good one, Hurricane.
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: I was thinking that too.
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: Easy hammer.
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: Oh, shoot.
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: That's good.
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: Yeah, just pull it up. I mean, 12, 11, 16
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: fantasy points the last three games. So he can put
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: up the points.
- 1:00:51Speaker 3: Good news is that sample runs deep because Hoop just
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: finished telling us we don't want to look at early
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: season numbers too much or matchups. But for a kicker game.
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: Log, anything goes. Anything goes, man. Give me a half
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: a game sample size.
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: We need Jordan to put out 30 scores. Then you'll
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: read every single number from him.
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: All right. Same thing. And I will definitely make sure
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: to get some Cowboys defense in there.
- 1:01:17Speaker 3: All right. What about FanDuel hoop? While you're looking at
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: it here now, I see a Kenny Gainwell goes up
- 1:01:22Speaker 3: to $ 7, 000. That's a tough click.
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: And the scoring does not fit him there at all.
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: That's very difficult. Bucky at 11, two, like Bucky, Bucky's
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: my goodness, $ 600 cheaper than Dak where, I mean, like
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: on FanDuel, like it favors quarterbacks and, D values past
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: catching running back.
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: So the MVP on Vandal and just hope it goes
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: your way.
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: Cause if you're doing it, just do it that way
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: for sure. 11 to, I mean, uh, man, that's, uh,
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: at the tough click for sure. Um, you know, Chris
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: Godwin's probably a tough click over there just because he's
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: going to get there by catching a bunch of passes.
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: He's eight to a Guka eight, six Gainwell seven K it's, it's,
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: it's tough. I mean, again, my favorite is going to be, uh, and, uh,
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: You know, he's 5.8K. Flournoy, 5.2, I think is a
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: good play. Got some cheapies down there. The kickers are
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: priced very fairly. Where's Dallas? So Dallas defense is right
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: there with the kickers. So, yeah, it's like the running
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: backs for Tampa are very overpriced. Where is Tucker? Tucker
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: is even $ 4, 200. $ 4, 200, yeah. It's tough.
- 1:02:33Speaker 3: Goodson's only 34 over there. If you want to play
- 1:02:36Speaker 3: that angle and like I said, it could favor more.
- 1:02:37Speaker 3: If it is a blowout, he gets a touchdown late
- 1:02:39Speaker 3: or something like that. It could really add up. But title,
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: did you see anything else? Obviously we called out some
- 1:02:44Speaker 3: of the big boy, like, like lamb goes 11, eight
- 1:02:47Speaker 3: to 12, six from DraftKings to FanDuel with 10 K
- 1:02:49Speaker 3: more to spend. Bucky goes 8,400 to 11, two. Like
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: that type of stuff's crazy.
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:02:55Speaker 4: It looks like a pretty similar slate for me where five, one, four,
- 1:02:58Speaker 4: two Cowboys will be really heavy. The Buccaneers are going
- 1:03:02Speaker 4: to be low owned. I think the, like, Schoonmakers at 1,400,
- 1:03:06Speaker 4: Mingo's 1,800, maybe even Span 4, 2,200, Payne Durham, 12. Like,
- 1:03:11Speaker 4: I think they're more in play. Like, if all the
- 1:03:13Speaker 4: studs really do something. Again, I wouldn't want to leave
- 1:03:16Speaker 4: as much money when you are fully punting it there.
- 1:03:19Speaker 4: But Foley, Stars, and Scrubs, I think, is a little
- 1:03:21Speaker 4: more viable on FanDuel than DraftKings. Just because, yeah, like,
- 1:03:25Speaker 4: Sean Tucker, 42, Hurst, 48, Flournoy, 5. Like, these guys
- 1:03:29Speaker 4: still have real prices in the mid-tier games. So you
- 1:03:32Speaker 4: can save three, four K and that can go a
- 1:03:35Speaker 4: long way. There's zero or one point. Like if you're
- 1:03:38Speaker 4: going like a CD lamb and a pain Durham who
- 1:03:41Speaker 4: gets you zero versus, I don't know again what the
- 1:03:44Speaker 4: math is, but something like a Kate Otten and Bucky
- 1:03:47Speaker 4: Irving or something like CD by himself can outscore those guys.
- 1:03:50Speaker 4: So I think I'd be more willing to include full punts,
- 1:03:53Speaker 4: even if you expect a zero, but again, don't leave
- 1:03:56Speaker 4: three K off of someone that will be on the
- 1:03:58Speaker 4: field versus like hardly will.
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: As a 1v1.
- 1:04:01Speaker 3: That might be the only thing today, because just especially
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: with the way you like the slate, it's like when
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: you're over there, if you're not going to be on
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: Igbuka at 86 and Godwin at 82 as much, I'm saying,
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: and with Bucky being a tough click, it's like you
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: might not even need to go that low and you
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: might be able to still fit a Tez Johnson or
- 1:04:18Speaker 3: a Flournoy or something like that in with the little
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: and still leave money because it's only 11-8. I mean,
- 1:04:24Speaker 3: if you go up to the captain, I guess it
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: gets a little bit more or MVP, I should say,
- 1:04:27Speaker 3: it's going to be What would it be? 30 for
- 1:04:30Speaker 3: it's 40 K for a Dak MVP with CDM Pickens,
- 1:04:34Speaker 3: which let's just say people go that route. You do
- 1:04:36Speaker 3: still have 20,000 left though. And if you don't love
- 1:04:39Speaker 3: the Tampa Bay side, it's, you might not even have
- 1:04:41Speaker 3: to do that, but definitely a really good point for
- 1:04:44Speaker 3: FanDuel in general that people don't do enough over there,
- 1:04:46Speaker 3: but that's how you get to the unique lineups. And
- 1:04:48Speaker 3: sometimes you just need that extra stud. If you can
- 1:04:50Speaker 3: fit them in and if you get anything out of your,
- 1:04:52Speaker 3: your punt even better, then you're in really good shape. So,
- 1:04:55Speaker 3: all right. Any other final thoughts from your title before
- 1:04:58Speaker 3: we get out of here?
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: No, I mean, it's not really the most exciting game
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: in the world.
- 1:05:03Speaker 4: Like, I mean, big favorites, like everyone seems to be
- 1:05:05Speaker 4: on the same thing, but I mean, something that for MMA,
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: like I always love MMA and look at the odds.
- 1:05:10Speaker 4: We just had a 20 minus 2,600 favorite lose like
- 1:05:14Speaker 4: two weeks ago.
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: Right now you're locked.
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: Absolutely rocked.
- 1:05:19Speaker 2: So right now, plus three 80, the Buccaneers are on
- 1:05:21Speaker 2: the money line. That's 20% chance to win.
- 1:05:22Speaker 4: And it, If you've played poker, anything with odds, like
- 1:05:27Speaker 4: 20% is still there. One in five times, the Buccaneers
- 1:05:30Speaker 4: will win. So everything that we've shit on and all
- 1:05:32Speaker 4: this on the show, just know that in the back
- 1:05:34Speaker 4: of your head, if you have four Buccaneers and two
- 1:05:37Speaker 4: Cowboys or even three, three or whatever that way, and
- 1:05:39Speaker 4: you want to, you don't agree with us. And our take, again,
- 1:05:42Speaker 4: it sounds like all of us are more on the
- 1:05:43Speaker 4: leaf salary. Um, think the Buccaneers, like the 20% that
- 1:05:47Speaker 4: people will play will be dead.
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: All of that.
- 1:05:49Speaker 4: You can take it the other approach when you just
- 1:05:51Speaker 4: look at numbers, um, Buccaneers have a 20% chance to
- 1:05:54Speaker 4: win this game, which yeah, people will, how we talk
- 1:05:58Speaker 4: and how like I even am thinking and acting like it,
- 1:06:00Speaker 4: it feels like it's like a 5% or 10%, but
- 1:06:03Speaker 4: books are very efficient on the numbers.
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: So yeah, I just wanted to mention that, but yeah,
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: good luck.
- 1:06:08Speaker 3: Hoops over there loading up the Wong teasers early, starting
- 1:06:11Speaker 3: with the Knights game. He got a home favorite, just
- 1:06:13Speaker 3: great spot, you know, run that thing down and just
- 1:06:15Speaker 3: jam it with every other one on the main slate.
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: Am I right, Hoop?
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: Yeah, big-time implications for Survivor as well. I mean, I
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: know a lot of people are going to be on Dallas,
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: but we've seen this spot on Thursday. People are hesitant
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: to kind of go super all-in on these Thursday teams,
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: so the ownership has been a little bit lower, like
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: we saw with the Packers a few weeks ago. I
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: lost a couple teams on that, but it was Thursday night,
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: and I thought they'd be way more popular than they
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: ended up being, so I'm curious to see tonight on Dallas.
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: I mean, this is clearly their best spot of the season.
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: I know a lot of people will be there. I'm
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: going to be playing some Dallas, so see how that goes.
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: But yeah, excited to get, where are we at? Week five.
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: It's moving. So excited to get week five started. And yeah,
- 1:06:59Speaker 1: we'll be back, obviously, Sunday morning. Main slate, big main slate,
- 1:07:02Speaker 1: and a lot of talking points for that one. We
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: kind of touched on it a little bit, but Dallas, Arizona.
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: I mean, 55 total. The next closest is, did I
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: say Dallas?
- 1:07:13Speaker 3: Yeah, you can't say Dallas.
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: Detroit, Arizona.
- 1:07:17Speaker 3: Your real team, Detroit.
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah. Then my other team, 55 total. The next
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: closest is like nine points. So that's going to be
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: a massive talking point for Sunday. So make sure to
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: tune in Sunday morning.
- 1:07:29Speaker 3: Mrs. Hoop, man, she's the best. But Hoop's over there
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: talking about the mistress and the wife. He's dropping the
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: Dallas in with the Detroit with the double whammy. So
- 1:07:36Speaker 3: you got to be careful over there, Hoop.
- 1:07:37Speaker 2: Come on.
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: It's going to be a good slate, though, on Sunday.
- 1:07:40Speaker 3: I know title will be back tomorrow for the cash
- 1:07:43Speaker 3: game countdown. I'll be back Saturday with Blickle for Leverage Lane.
- 1:07:46Speaker 3: And then the three of us will be back Sunday morning.
- 1:07:48Speaker 3: for Sunday Shippers, the main show. That's at 9 a.m.
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- 1:08:52Speaker 3: hope you guys enjoyed. Good luck tonight in your contest
- 1:08:55Speaker 3: for hoop, for title, and for myself, toe tag, and tambo.
- 1:08:58Speaker 3: Let's ship it.