Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 298 - 6/12/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 298 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:36Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week rolls on as we get
- 0:40one day closer to Friday and of course, a big weekend.
- 0:43Upcoming guys, we're going to get right back to what we love
- 0:45doing. Of course, breaking down sports
- 0:47betting opportunities in Major League Baseball here with some
- 0:51sharp line moves, Couple bigger favorites common of a modest
- 0:54favorite here. Of course, the goal with another
- 0:56another three pack today is to go 2IN1 eke out a winning day
- 1:00and we do want to make a couple quick announcements real quick.
- 1:02Number one, there will not be a podcast tomorrow because
- 1:06tomorrow morning pretty much very early on, I'm going to jump
- 1:10in the car with the wife. We're going to drive down down
- 1:12to New Jersey to go spend the weekend with my my sister and
- 1:16her family. They got 2 little nieces, 1 is
- 1:18graduating pre-K. So we are going for the
- 1:21graduation tomorrow. And then of course what I've
- 1:24been waiting for my whole life. We're going to have dinner, a
- 1:26graduation dinner at Holston's tomorrow night.
- 1:29And a few of you actually sent me some direct messages on
- 1:32Twitter saying Holston's is awesome.
- 1:35A lot of you are Sopranos fans. A lot of you just like the food
- 1:37there. So stay tuned.
- 1:39I'm looking for, I'm actually trying to find the same shirt.
- 1:42It's like the bowling shirt, you know, the Tony Soprano shirt.
- 1:44And I would love to sit at the table, take a picture of myself,
- 1:47you know, do the whole Tony Soprano, Holsten's experience.
- 1:50But a lot of you been saying, yeah, Holsten's is awesome.
- 1:52So I appreciate that. And then Saturday, we're going
- 1:55to spend the afternoon in New York City.
- 1:58So we're going to be looking around at the sights and the
- 2:00sounds and they'll be driving back on Sunday.
- 2:02So with that being said, no pod tomorrow, but I will have a
- 2:05sharp report for you tomorrow as well as Saturday and Sunday.
- 2:09So if you want to check out the sweats, I'll be writing about
- 2:12them for visa.com. You can always follow me on
- 2:14Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
- 2:16It'll be, you know, three more baseball plays for Saturday,
- 2:20Sunday and of course for tomorrow.
- 2:23You can follow me at Josh under score Insights.
- 2:24But then, as always, like to mention, hey, if you like the
- 2:27pod, support the pod by getting the all systems go official best
- 2:31bet picks exclusively and only on the juicer app.
- 2:34So if you want to sign up on the juicer app and follow the ASG
- 2:38under score podcast by cell tab, you can go to the the profile
- 2:43and all the plays that I'll be sweating, I'll be right there on
- 2:45the app and you can tail fade do whatever you like.
- 2:47But I do want to give Juicer a shout out because I noticed they
- 2:50added a CLV indicator, so you now get a percentage closing
- 2:53line value percentage once you place a bet.
- 2:55So that's a cool new feature that I just saw Juice Reel
- 2:58unveil. So again, no pod tomorrow I'll
- 3:00be driving to New Jersey. I'll be at Holstein's tomorrow
- 3:03night, Holsteins and then I'll be in New York City over the
- 3:07weekend. So should be a good time.
- 3:09With that being said, yesterday, good bounce back.
- 3:13Day three and 1 + 1.2 units. Had a great day in baseball, a
- 3:17clean sweep. 3 and O Angels came through.
- 3:19They were down much of the game and their bats came alive.
- 3:22I think they scored six runs in the seventh inning or something
- 3:24like that, but I saw they came back and hung on.
- 3:27So that was a nice hit there with the Angels.
- 3:30Then we all said the Yankees come through for the team.
- 3:32I was actually flipping through the channels and I went to the
- 3:36Yankee game, didn't know the score and I saw the score. 5
- 3:39nothing Yankees. So that was great to see and
- 3:41they cruised the rest of the way.
- 3:42Then the Twinkies, big home run by Byron Buxton got a big winner
- 3:46there over the Texas Rangers. Only loser was the NBA Finals
- 3:50over. And to tell you what, guys, I
- 3:52knew we were in trouble because we got over 227 1/2.
- 3:55Remember, at the time, the total was two 28228 1/2 across the
- 3:58market. But there was a lot of late
- 4:00money coming in on that under. It actually closed two 26226
- 4:041/2. So once I saw that number fall,
- 4:06I was like, oh, that's not a good sign.
- 4:08And I thought we're going to, you know, rob the bank and get
- 4:10away with it because the first half they scored a ton of points
- 4:13and then second-half they came up short.
- 4:14So that landed on what was it, 223?
- 4:18So basically a couple buckets and OK, see, kept missing free
- 4:21throws at the end, which is annoying.
- 4:22Either way, guys, winning night will take it 3 and 1 + 1.2
- 4:26units. We'll put it in our back pocket,
- 4:28add it to the bankroll and reinvest it for today.
- 4:31So with that being said, let's see if we can finish off the
- 4:33week because again, I know, I know there's a big day tomorrow.
- 4:36But again, I'll write the sharp report and have the plays on the
- 4:39juicer lap, but there won't be a podcast.
- 4:41So let's finish up the last part of this week, hopefully on a
- 4:43high note. That being said, 3 plays
- 4:46overall, let's not waste any more time.
- 4:47Dive right in. So first one on the board for
- 4:50me. Let's look at a early game here.
- 4:526:35 PM Eastern Time the Detroit Tigers visiting the Baltimore
- 4:56Orioles so set the stage for this one.
- 4:59This is the rubber match of a three-game series.
- 5:01The Tigers who are 44 and 25 on the year they won the opener 5
- 5:05to 3 came through as a + 110 Rd. dog.
- 5:08Then we saw the O's 27 and 39 in the year bounce back with a big
- 5:1110 to one win. Yesterday took care of business
- 5:14as a -, 140 home favorite. So in tonight's series finale we
- 5:19have the Tigers going to lefty Tarik school six and two 2.16
- 5:23ERA having another great year. The favorite again to in the Cy
- 5:26Young, the Orioles had a bit of a a change with their pitching.
- 5:30Who's going to pitch today? Basically because at the
- 5:33beginning we thought it was going to be Dean Kramer, the
- 5:34righty who's four and five, 4.98 ERA.
- 5:38But we did see Kramer get pushed back.
- 5:40It looks like he will still pitch, but he's going to come in
- 5:42relief in the bulk relief role and looks like Keegan Aiken, a
- 5:47lefty, not Clay Aiken, the American Idol fans.
- 5:50Keegan Aiken the lefty will start and maybe only go one
- 5:53inning or an inning 1/2, who knows.
- 5:55But it looks like it's going to be Keegan Aiken to start, Kramer
- 5:58to come in. Aiken on the air 1 and O 2.89
- 6:01ERA. So I've just seen across the
- 6:03market for this one list. Game open.
- 6:05Detroit listed around a -. 180 Rd. favorite Baltimore a + 150
- 6:10home dog. And what's notable to me is that
- 6:12even though this is a big number, sharps are still laying
- 6:14it with Detroit and with Tarcs. Google the Cy Young winner on
- 6:17the bump because we have seen Detroit get steamed up -180 now
- 6:22up to as high as -200 across the board.
- 6:25Now, I jumped on Detroit -190 at Bet MGM.
- 6:27I believe they're still available -190 at Bet MGM.
- 6:31But you again, shop around because a lot of books are at
- 6:33-195 - 200. I saw -2 O 5 out there.
- 6:37So make sure you have multiple outs and you can always get the
- 6:39best price. And of course, you can use odds
- 6:41logic to benefit you in that regard.
- 6:43Remember Odds logic.com/josh 123 for your 7 day free trial and
- 6:4850% off your first month. Aside from the line move toward
- 6:51the Tigers, we also have Detroit getting 87% of money line bets
- 6:55but nearly 95% of money line dollars at DraftKings.
- 6:59So tells us we got both pro and Joe Publix.
- 7:02Probably just saying hey late with school wise guys are saying
- 7:05hey maybe we got this game closer to -200 so -180 -. 190
- 7:09was actionable value at that point.
- 7:11Do have some system matches here on Detroit 1 is Rd. favorites
- 7:15off a loss, playing an opponent off a win.
- 7:18That system is 87 and 57 this year, 60% with a 3% ROI.
- 7:23Favorites off a loss who made the playoffs the previous year.
- 7:26Those teams are 134 and 8063% with a 3% ROI.
- 7:32And we also have in particular Detroit in a non division
- 7:35favorite spot here playing a team outside their division,
- 7:38which is always a good sign that lack of familiarity benefiting
- 7:41quote UN quote the better team. But the Tigers in the spot.
- 7:44Tigers off a loss 17 and seven on the year. 71 percent, 24%
- 7:50ROI. That's the 4th best bounce back
- 7:52team in baseball. Detroit is also 30 and 1370%.
- 7:57Eleven percent ROI as a favorite.
- 7:58That's the third best chalk team in baseball.
- 8:01We also have some Detroit correlative betting value.
- 8:03So you have a favorite that became more of a favorite and a
- 8:06low total game. The total is 8.
- 8:08So the fair amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
- 8:11from quote UN quote, the better team who's expected to win the
- 8:14game. Scubal, obviously, I can give
- 8:16you all the numbers about how great he is.
- 8:18But if you just look at his last 11 starts, we have Detroit nine
- 8:22and two in those games. And in particular, Baltimore
- 8:25against lefties, they're only hitting 205 against southpaws.
- 8:29That is tied for the worst or dead last, whichever way you
- 8:32want to look at it. Batting average against lefties
- 8:34this year, Tigers are 21 and 16 on the road, Orioles just 13 and
- 8:3918 at home. And Detroit by the way, is 4 and
- 8:42one against Baltimore, so I know it's a bigger number, but we got
- 8:45line movement toward Detroit, We got school on the bump, we got
- 8:48some good system matches. Favorite low total.
- 8:50Baltimore, knock on wood, has struggled against lefties.
- 8:53I'm laying it with Detroit here guys.
- 8:55I got Detroit -190 at Bet MGM again.
- 8:58Shop around cuz some oaks are closer to -200 and remember it's
- 9:02always bet Tris first bet to win.
- 9:03So if you are playing Detroit with me, you're not risking 1.9
- 9:07units or two units to win a half unit.
- 9:10You're risking your one unit as always trying to get a little
- 9:13bit more than 1/2 unit back or a half unit back.
- 9:16So always that that's that's always important because I hope
- 9:19Detroit wins. But if they lose, anything can
- 9:20happen. We want to only lose 1 unit
- 9:23instead of 1.9 or two. That's the whole point of
- 9:26betting to risk, not betting to win next one for you.
- 9:31If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Let's go right back to Kansas
- 9:33City, the New York Yankees visiting the Kansas City Royals.
- 9:37So this is a 7:40 PM Eastern Time.
- 9:39First pitch Yankees came through for us last night.
- 9:42They've won the first two games of this three-game series.
- 9:44New York is now 41 and 25 on the year.
- 9:48Won the first game 1:50 as a -, 200 Rd. favorite.
- 9:51And then they won again yesterday six to three as a -,
- 9:54130 Rd. favorite. So for tonight's series finale,
- 9:58the Yankees are going with the ready Will Warren.
- 10:00He's four and three with a 5.34 ERA.
- 10:03The Royals, meanwhile, are going to go with fellow ready Seth
- 10:05Lugo. He's three and five with a 3.46
- 10:08ERA. So what do you see across the
- 10:10market here? Well, nothing but movement on
- 10:13the Yankees. Another ain't broke, don't fix
- 10:15and play. Sharps look to be riding the
- 10:17Yankees. They open -135 Kansas City
- 10:20around a + 115 home dog. And now we've seen the Yankees
- 10:23get but up to -145 I got Yankees -145 at BET MGM.
- 10:28But again, shop around. Some books are -150 even I saw
- 10:31-155 out there. So always have those multiple
- 10:34outs get the best price. You know, if I get -145 and you
- 10:37get -155 and the Yankees win, that's great.
- 10:40We both win. But I'm going to win more on the
- 10:42back end because I'm laying a lower, better price.
- 10:45So always keep that in mind. But anyway, aside from that,
- 10:48steam on New York Yankees have a really good bet split at Circa
- 10:52out in Vegas. Circa is showing 57% of money
- 10:57line bets and 87% of money line dollars on the Yankees.
- 11:01So really good low bets, higher dollar split tells me those wise
- 11:04guy wagers right back on New York here for today.
- 11:07Yankees do have quite a few system matches For me, one would
- 11:10be a sweet spot non division Rd. favorite.
- 11:13So if you're a non division Rd. favorite between -135 and -160
- 11:18which the Yankees match that here, those teams are 41 and
- 11:212364 percent, 8% ROI. Yankees are also 39 and 2066
- 11:28percent, 6% ROI as a favorite. That's the fifth best chalk
- 11:31favorite in baseball. And then if you layer in a
- 11:34little bit deeper, another non division favorite system match.
- 11:37But the Yankees are 32 and 1470 percent, 12% ROI as a favorite
- 11:43against a non division opponent. Yankees do have the better
- 11:47offense. Again, they've been scoring runs
- 11:48so far this series. I hope it continues tonight.
- 11:51But on the year, the Yankees are hitting 261 with 108 home runs,
- 11:55365 runs scored. Royals, meanwhile, hitting only
- 11:59two 5346 homers, 231 runs scored, and oh, by the way, the
- 12:03Yankees are the number one Rd. hitting team in baseball.
- 12:07They're hitting two 7273 on the road, first in MLB and then
- 12:11again, knock on wood. Hope this continues, but New
- 12:13York is five and OA perfect five and O against the Yankees this
- 12:17season. So they've taken two or three.
- 12:19Let's look for the sweep. Got some steam system matches
- 12:22Rd. favorite sweet spot. I'm going once again with the
- 12:26Yankees. I got them at -145 at Bet MGM.
- 12:30Last bet of the night, Pittsburgh Pirates visiting the
- 12:33Chicago Cubs. Let's go to Wrigley Field here
- 12:35for this 18 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time, First pitch.
- 12:38The Pirates come in 28 and 41. Did just take two of three,
- 12:42though, against the Marlins. Don't you love it when they take
- 12:45two of three? In the one game that I bet on
- 12:47them? They lost.
- 12:47That's always funny in baseball. Anyway, they won that series
- 12:51finale 5 to 2 as a -, 160 home favorite.
- 12:54On the other hand, the Cubbies are 41 and 27, but they just
- 12:58dropped two of three against the Phils.
- 13:01They lost that series finale 7 to 2 as a - 1 O 5 Rd. dog.
- 13:05For tonight's series opener, Pirates are going to go with the
- 13:07lefty Andrew Haney. He's three and four 3.24 ERA.
- 13:11He'll be opposed by the Cubs righty Jameson Tion.
- 13:14He's six and three with a 3.54 ERA.
- 13:17Now, what have we seen across the market here?
- 13:19Well, even though this is a big number, it's moving further
- 13:22toward the Chicago Cubs. Cubs open this game around a -,
- 13:26185 -, 190 home favorite. We've seen Pittsburgh open
- 13:29around plus 160 ish. We've seen nothing but movement
- 13:33further in favor of the Cubs. The Cubs have now gone from -190
- 13:38up to around -200 some shops even as high as -2 O 5I jumped
- 13:42on Chicago -198 that was available at FanDuel.
- 13:46I believe it's still available. So anything you can get sub 200.
- 13:49I think that's the goal for this one.
- 13:51Now if we look at DraftKings, pretty good bet split on the
- 13:54Cubs. 88% bets over 90% money, so both pro and Joe support in
- 13:59favor of Chicago in this one. And then we layer in a bunch of
- 14:02system matches on the Cubs Thursday home favorites -175 or
- 14:06more. Again, it has to be on Thursday.
- 14:08I know it's a little bit wonky, but again, Thursday's kind of a
- 14:10weird day because you got a smaller than usual slate.
- 14:13It's either the first game of a new series or the last game of
- 14:16an old series. But in the spot we have again,
- 14:20it's also like getaway day. You have that factor as well out
- 14:23anyway. Thursday home favorites -175 or
- 14:26more. They're 12 and four this year,
- 14:2875 percent, 8% ROI. If you're a big home favorite
- 14:32-170 or more in the opening game of a new series, those teams are
- 14:3656 and 1876 percent, 10% ROI. Then we get to some of our
- 14:41favorite system matches. One would be the Cubs off a
- 14:44loss. They're the number one bounce
- 14:45back team in baseball at when the Cubs lose, they come back
- 14:48the next day and they've gone 19 and 579 percent, 43% ROI.
- 14:54Cubs are also 32 and 1371 percent, 15% ROI as a favorite,
- 14:59the best chalk team in baseball. Cubs also have some correlative
- 15:03betting. There's a very low total, 7 1/2.
- 15:05It's just under -115 -, 120. If it's a low total, just under,
- 15:10you know, wins at play. If it's a Wrigley Field game and
- 15:12wind is blowing in about 10 mph here, But the fair amount of
- 15:16expected runs scored, again, more likely to come from quote
- 15:19UN quote that better team. Chicago's offense has been
- 15:22better this year than the Pirates.
- 15:24They're hitting 25894 homers, 376 runs scored.
- 15:28Pittsburgh, meanwhile, hitting 22949 homers, 225 runs scored.
- 15:33And some classic home Rd. splits the Cubs 20 and 11 at home this
- 15:38year at Wrigley Field versus the Pirates.
- 15:40Just 9 and 22 on the road. So another big number here,
- 15:44guys. But we open as a big favorite.
- 15:46We become more of a favorite. You can still get -198 to
- 15:49FanDuel. We got some good correlative
- 15:51betting, good system matches. I'm banking on the Cubbies
- 15:54hopefully come through tonight in the opener of this series at
- 15:58Wrigley against the Pirates. I got Cubs -198 again.
- 16:01Shop around some books as high as -200 -. 2 O 5 S Yankees,
- 16:06Tigers and Cubs. Can we get 2 out of 3?
- 16:09Bettress not bet to win. That's the goal.
- 16:11Let's get some of these these chalk favorites to come through
- 16:13tonight. So that about does it for
- 16:16episode 298 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
- 16:20powered by rhythm. Of course.
- 16:21This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 16:24And I start first, as always, by saying thank you.
- 16:27Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 16:29busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
- 16:32sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
- 16:34If you do enjoy the pod, if it's become part of your handicapping
- 16:37routine, whether you tail fade, pick and choose, just sit back
- 16:41and listen to the breakdowns. I appreciate you.
- 16:43If you want to do me a solid, give this podcast a five star
- 16:46review on Spotify or iTunes. I would go a long way to helping
- 16:50us to continue to grow the podcast.
- 16:52If you want to leave a nice comment under the review
- 16:54section, I will take it. If you want to click the follow
- 16:57button, that way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
- 16:59That would also be much appreciated if you want to
- 17:02recommend the pod to a friend. Word of mouth is always
- 17:06something I think you take a little more seriously then then
- 17:08maybe just an ad that you see next.
- 17:12If you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
- 17:15sharp contrarian betting. If that's the case and you want
- 17:17to learn more about data-driven betting or you know someone in
- 17:20your life who could use a few data-driven betting tips, or
- 17:23maybe you just enjoy the pod and you want to let me know you
- 17:25appreciate the pod, then I would love for you guys to go to
- 17:28Amazon.com and type in the NFL or sorry, the everything guide
- 17:33to sports betting. My first baby that I ever wrote.
- 17:36It's great for brand new betters, especially, you know,
- 17:39people who are looking to break in for the first time and really
- 17:41don't know what the different bet types available to you are.
- 17:44How to read line movement or an approach of identifying sharp
- 17:47action and going contrarian. It's really the data-driven
- 17:50blueprint for all sports. And if you want to pick up the
- 17:53everything guide to sports betting on Amazon, you would
- 17:56make my day. I actually had a couple people
- 17:58tweet me last couple days that they bought a copy.
- 18:00So I appreciate you guys. I want actually want to give a
- 18:03special shout out to unacceptable Vern at VK Noop 40
- 18:10who had a picture of him holding up the everything guy to sports
- 18:13betting saying got some new reading material.
- 18:14So I appreciate you my guy and also want to give a shout out to
- 18:18my guy wise guy profits at ROI breathe sports.
- 18:22He had a picture and said, I'm so excited for your new book,
- 18:24Josh, as an owner of your OG God, I can't wait till August
- 18:2612th. I appreciate you man.
- 18:29Thank you to wise guy profits and and my guy unacceptable
- 18:32Vern. But if you want to also stay on
- 18:35Amazon.com and then type in the NFL sharp betting playbook, you
- 18:39can pre-order a copy of my new book, which would make my day
- 18:41and make me very happy and make my publishers very happy and
- 18:44believe it or not guys, it comes out two months from today comes
- 18:48out August 12th. Can you believe it's already
- 18:50June 12th? But guess what pre-order a copy
- 18:53Amazon will Bezos will drop a drone on your house or a copy of
- 18:58the book will come out of the drone on your front porch when
- 19:00it comes out August 12th. So whether it's the everything
- 19:03guide or pre-order a copy of the NFL sharp betting playbook,
- 19:06bring them to the sports book and I'll sign them for you.
- 19:08Buy a beer or ginger ale. We'll sweat some games together.
- 19:11Get some nachos. How about that next, if you
- 19:15haven't done it yet, you got to go to the App Store and then
- 19:17download rhythm and Juice reel, my two favorite sports betting
- 19:20apps. They help me win.
- 19:21They're going to help you win. So rhythm fantastic for their AI
- 19:24backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 19:28I got Anna, we got baseball going right now.
- 19:30If you're a big and a Major League Baseball prop better,
- 19:33there's a lot of great prop recommendations available as
- 19:36well as side total. Of course, then you got WNBA and
- 19:40then of course you got NBA Finals.
- 19:41So that's all available in the rhythm app along with their
- 19:44brand new power trends, which are really cool.
- 19:47Basically, they just identified their their sharpest predictions
- 19:50of the day based on a set of recurring model conditions.
- 19:55And then also you got to go download Juice Reel.
- 19:57Juice Reel is the all-encompassing app with a lot
- 19:58of great features. First off, I'm passing the hat.
- 20:02If you got a $5.00 bill and you want to support the pod go sign
- 20:04up to get the all systems go official best bet picks from the
- 20:07Juice Reel app. That's the only place they're
- 20:09posted. So if you want to support the
- 20:12pod, it's $4.99 a week to get the plays.
- 20:15You'll get them a little bit earlier.
- 20:17Hope you'll beat some closing lines, but hopefully you feel
- 20:20like the pod is worth. Again, this pod is free.
- 20:23It cost you nothing to listen. But hopefully you feel like it's
- 20:25giving you a dollar's worth of insights each day, which I'm
- 20:29pretty confident. I hope that it is.
- 20:30But then also you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet
- 20:33picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage
- 20:35opportunities, the shop for the best line futures as well as
- 20:38syncing up your sports books to the app, getting a running
- 20:41report card of your action all available when you downloaded
- 20:44Juice reel. So download rhythm and download
- 20:46Juice reel. Give them a five star review in
- 20:48the App Store. Lastly, do you have a live odds
- 20:51page? If you don't, you need a live
- 20:53odds page. There's a lot out there.
- 20:55Some are great but very expensive.
- 20:58Some are free, but they're delayed and you don't know where
- 21:01the lines are coming from and you don't know where the
- 21:03percentages are coming from. So you know you got to do, you
- 21:06got to go with Odds Logic. Odds Logic is the best live odds
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- 21:59So that about does it for episode 298 of the ASG Pod.
- 22:02As always, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City,
- 22:06Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 22:08Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 22:11Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield, or
- 22:14the Nash in my neck of the woods in Nashua, NH.
- 22:17Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
- 22:20down, where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the
- 22:22lowest juice possible is found at the South Point or sweat and
- 22:25sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool
- 22:28when he catch a big ticket at Circa.
- 22:29You're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a nice
- 22:33MLB slate from last night. Show me a Twin Twins ticket,
- 22:36Yankees ticket, Angels ticket. Whatever you do, don't show me
- 22:40that. OK, see over.
- 22:41Even though the line went away from us, we still should have
- 22:43gotten that over. They kind of dried up there in
- 22:45the third and fourth quarter. But what are you going to do?
- 22:47We'll take a winning night every time and then guess what?
- 22:50First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 22:52We'll sweat some baseball games at the book together tonight.
- 22:55So as always, guys, three and one, one and three, O and four,
- 22:58four and O2 and two. Grinding hot, cold, somewhere in
- 23:02the middle. We just got to stick to the
- 23:03model, stick to the blueprint, never get too high when things
- 23:06are going well. Never get too low and things are
- 23:08not going our way. Just got to stick to the model,
- 23:11stick to the blueprint and keep grinding as always.
- 23:14And if we can do that, bypass the games that I've read red
- 23:17flags, but get down on the games that that check off our boxes
- 23:20against the public with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
- 23:23avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that long term.
- 23:27And I'm and I'm confident that we can and guess what?
- 23:30We're going to be successful sports vendors.
- 23:32So have a great Thursday night, everybody.
- 23:33I will be on SiriusXM tonight. It's a Thursday, so that means
- 23:37I'll be joining my 2 good friends, Patrick and Dustin on
- 23:40SiriusXM for V sin bet tonight. And then remember, I will be in
- 23:45New Jersey tomorrow and then New York City over the weekend.
- 23:47So no pod tomorrow, but you can of course, sweat some games with
- 23:50me by checking out the sharp reports for visa.com.
- 23:54You can check them out that I'll tweet out each day kind of late
- 23:58morning at Josh under score insights or you can follow the
- 24:01best bets from the Juice Real app.
- 24:03But have a great Friday. Have an even better weekend,
- 24:05guys. I will see you back on Monday
- 24:07for episode 299 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
- 24:11podcast, Owered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody, and I'll
- 24:15meet you at Holsten's.