Latest / Best of Business / Shane Solly: Harbour Asset Management spokesperson on the US potentially cutting interest rates
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talk Z'B. Follow
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- 0:17Speaker 2: US FED Reserve Chair j Powell has said that the
- 0:19Speaker 2: time has come for interest rate cuts. He's speaking at
- 0:21Speaker 2: the fed's annual Jackson Hole Retreat, and Shane Solely from
- 0:24Speaker 2: Harbor Asset Management is with us on the say, Shane,
- 0:27Speaker 2: how did the markets react to this? How did he sound?
- 0:29Speaker 2: What was the tone?
- 0:31Speaker 3: Well, the time has come. Jay has certainly pulled the
- 0:33Speaker 3: pin on this, and he said, look the upside rest inflation,
- 0:36Speaker 3: they're diminished, so we're actually seeing a deflation disinflationary period
- 0:40Speaker 3: of time. And he's more worried about this down so
- 0:42Speaker 3: risk to the employment in the US. So he didn't
- 0:45Speaker 3: commit to a particular pace of rate cuts. So that's
- 0:48Speaker 3: left market's a little bit wary the timing and the
- 0:50Speaker 3: pace that's to be depending on data. It's always data
- 0:53Speaker 3: dependent when it comes to central bankers. But overall it
- 0:57Speaker 3: struck the right tabe with markets. We saw interest rates
- 0:59Speaker 3: fall across the board, and we saw share markets up
- 1:03Speaker 3: and the US dollar down, and I think we really
- 1:05Speaker 3: have seen something the market had expected. But this confirmation
- 1:09Speaker 3: here so I've gottle bit more data out this week,
- 1:12Speaker 3: certainly in the next few days, and some house price data
- 1:14Speaker 3: and some consumer confidence data. But it's going to put
- 1:16Speaker 3: more fuel on the when rather than if and how much.
- 1:21Speaker 2: Man in New Zealand, it has been busy with all
- 1:23Speaker 2: of the companies reporting in the last week or so.
- 1:26Speaker 2: You seeing any trends here and what you're actually witnessing.
- 1:28Speaker 3: Yeah, Unfortunately, we're seeing more misses against expectations. The companies
- 1:33Speaker 3: are coming in slightly lower than expected than beats. But look,
- 1:37Speaker 3: it's a feeling there's a little bit of a green
- 1:39Speaker 3: shoots out there. We've seen a couple of big misses
- 1:41Speaker 3: from companies like Fletcher Building in spar The literacity companies
- 1:44Speaker 3: obviously had a bit of an impact from this dry year.
- 1:47Speaker 3: But there's some green shoots coming through, a bit of
- 1:49Speaker 3: costs peaking and certainly some companies starting to show some
- 1:53Speaker 3: confidence in terms of talking about the future, in terms
- 1:55Speaker 3: of growth, a couple talking about buying back their own shares.
- 1:58Speaker 3: Even so, there is a sort of a feeling we're
- 2:00Speaker 3: bounced along the bottom. It's a bit hazy, but certainly
- 2:03Speaker 3: this sort of suggestion we're seeing the worst of things.
- 2:06Speaker 2: And then this upcoming week we've got a whole bitch
- 2:08Speaker 2: as well. I think the New Zealand's probably going to
- 2:10Speaker 2: be one of the big ones and probably not that flash.
- 2:11Speaker 2: What else is going on?
- 2:13Speaker 3: Yeah, look we've got another thirty end companies reporting this week.
- 2:15Speaker 3: We had Chorus the Lions company out today, better result
- 2:20Speaker 3: than expected driven Sorry that actually result wasn't That wasn't better,
- 2:24Speaker 3: but they provided a high dividend income payment which saw
- 2:27Speaker 3: the stock price cup nine percent. A couple of others
- 2:30Speaker 3: out to day property for Ministry Steel and Tube Somerset
- 2:32Speaker 3: all online and they were just noting a bit of
- 2:34Speaker 3: a caution around the recovery in the border of New
- 2:36Speaker 3: Zealand economy. Tomorrow, I've got Media Company in Adme, Tourism Holdings,
- 2:40Speaker 3: the victor of Vulcan Steel. Wednesday, Meridian Precinct Properties Scales
- 2:45Speaker 3: and then Thursdays you say a New Zeon and Heartland groups.
- 2:47Speaker 3: So assuming another bunch of companies, some exposed to domestic economy,
- 2:52Speaker 3: some less so. But you know, with fingers christ we
- 2:55Speaker 3: might be seeing the bottom of the innings a downgrade
- 2:58Speaker 3: cycle for New Zealand.
- 2:59Speaker 2: Yeah, here's hoping, Shane, it's good to talk to you.
- 3:00Speaker 2: As always, we talk to you next week again. Look
- 3:02Speaker 2: after yourself. Shane Solely harbor Assic Management.
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