Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / What the collapse of trade talks means for U.S. alcohol sales
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right.
- 0:00Speaker 2: One of the demands from the US was to end
- 0:02Speaker 2: the booze ban on US liquor, because alcohol has taken
- 0:04Speaker 2: center stage of this entire trade negotiation.
- 0:07Speaker 1: So now that the trade.
- 0:08Speaker 2: Talk is suspended, how's the alcohol and spirits industry in
- 0:11Speaker 2: the United States reacting to this news? For that, we've
- 0:14Speaker 2: reached Chris Swanger in Washington. He is a president and
- 0:16Speaker 2: CEO of the Distilled Spirits Council of the United States.
- 0:20Speaker 1: Chris Marr's good to see against her.
- 0:21Speaker 2: I think last time we spoke you mentioned you weren't Democrat,
- 0:23Speaker 2: you weren't Republican.
- 0:24Speaker 1: You were the party party, even more or less, the
- 0:28Speaker 1: cocktail party. That's what it was. How are you feeling today?
- 0:32Speaker 2: I might have had a few cocktails, but I don't
- 0:34Speaker 2: know if it would have been a party.
- 0:36Speaker 3: Sure. Well, look on behalf of the Distilled Spirits Council
- 0:41Speaker 3: of the United States, and I had the privilege of
- 0:43Speaker 3: representing many great Canadian spirits brands as well. Down in
- 0:50Speaker 3: the dumps. I have to say, really really disappointed. We
- 0:54Speaker 3: had high hopes leading up to late yesterday afternoon, and
- 0:59Speaker 3: then obviously the news broke. So this is devastating. It's
- 1:03Speaker 3: been devastating for the US distilled spirits industry over the
- 1:08Speaker 3: last year and a half, as many of the provinces
- 1:11Speaker 3: have stopped the purchase of American distilled spirits. And we
- 1:19Speaker 3: wake up this morning with a fifty percent tariff being
- 1:23Speaker 3: imposed on Canadian distilled spirits, and it's going to be
- 1:28Speaker 3: brutally hard for our friends and our colleagues in Canada,
- 1:33Speaker 3: where the United States represents ninety three percent of the
- 1:38Speaker 3: market for Canada. So we hope, hope that the government
- 1:42Speaker 3: leaders on both sides of the border can find a resolution.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Look, the economic courage of all of this is pretty
- 1:50Speaker 2: obvious to anyone who pays attention to the data. That
- 1:53Speaker 2: is not what is the stock market at today right
- 1:57Speaker 2: People are losing jobs, People are losing money.
- 2:00Speaker 1: Kentucky, Tennessee.
- 2:01Speaker 2: You know a lot of the key distilling economies and
- 2:04Speaker 2: states are getting absolutely hammered by this. So why is it,
- 2:09Speaker 2: you know, Chris Wander, do you have any better insight
- 2:11Speaker 2: as to why the US administration just kind of doesn't
- 2:14Speaker 2: see it that way? Because we keep hearing the President
- 2:16Speaker 2: saying tarras are making us richer and the economy is
- 2:18Speaker 2: doing great, and that's just not what's happening.
- 2:22Speaker 3: Yeah, well, again, we've lost seventy three percent of our exports.
- 2:28Speaker 3: The United States year on year, in normal times would
- 2:34Speaker 3: export about over two hundred and twenty plus million annually
- 2:40Speaker 3: to Canada and American distilled spirits products, and in return,
- 2:46Speaker 3: Canada exports over five hundred million in Canadian distilled spirits products.
- 2:54Speaker 3: You know, American consumers and American citizens love our friends
- 3:00Speaker 3: in Canada, and American consumers appreciate and love Canadian distilled
- 3:04Speaker 3: spirits products. So when you apply fifty percent tariff on
- 3:10Speaker 3: that five hundred plus million in revenue coming into the
- 3:15Speaker 3: United States, it's going to be pretty devastating. And you know,
- 3:19Speaker 3: we have felt the brunt of that pain, certainly on
- 3:21Speaker 3: the US side, and I think economic carnage is a
- 3:26Speaker 3: good way to put it. And you know, unfortunately, our
- 3:30Speaker 3: industry should have never been involved. Obviously, there are high
- 3:34Speaker 3: octane politics at play and this administration, the US administration
- 3:41Speaker 3: has a different view and bringing more American manufacturing back
- 3:44Speaker 3: to the United States and so forth. But you know,
- 3:47Speaker 3: under NAFTA, under USMCA, the hospitality economy in Canada and
- 3:54Speaker 3: in the United States thrived, and it has suffered mightily
- 3:58Speaker 3: over the last year and a half here in the
- 4:01Speaker 3: United States, great states like Tennessee and Kentucky, but even
- 4:07Speaker 3: craft distillers all around the country have been hurting as
- 4:11Speaker 3: a result of the provincial band and unfortunately, as a
- 4:16Speaker 3: result of what happened yesterday, the significant pain, you know,
- 4:21Speaker 3: I worry is going to be imposed on the Canadian
- 4:26Speaker 3: distilled spirits industry. And we're unique, we're intertwined, We're an
- 4:30Speaker 3: industry of one. So we hope, hope cooler heads will prevail,
- 4:35Speaker 3: get us back on the store shelves and hand it ultimately,
- 4:38Speaker 3: and of course thwart that fifty percent tariff on Canadian
- 4:42Speaker 3: spirits products as well, So just.
- 4:44Speaker 2: On that's obviously the provincial governments and territorial government instead
- 4:48Speaker 2: have made the decision because they control the purchase of
- 4:51Speaker 2: alcohol and the sale of alcoholic our constitution in Canada.
- 4:55Speaker 2: Even if you get the market access back, because that
- 4:57Speaker 2: was seeming like a possibility at the middle of this week,
- 5:01Speaker 2: right which is where your optimism came from, do you
- 5:04Speaker 2: get the brand loyalty back? Because people are mad even
- 5:07Speaker 2: if this goes away, They've found other options. They've made decisions,
- 5:10Speaker 2: and you know, Canadians are seized with this on a level,
- 5:13Speaker 2: I don't think your day to day American necessarily is right.
- 5:17Speaker 2: I mean, do you think they'll start buying again? Even
- 5:19Speaker 2: if you get back.
- 5:20Speaker 3: It's going to take It's going to take a while.
- 5:22Speaker 3: There's no denying that. And even you know, having the
- 5:26Speaker 3: privilege of participating in Canadian media, you know, I've been
- 5:32Speaker 3: the brunt of some of those emotions. And again I'm
- 5:36Speaker 3: not you know, I represent the distilled spirits industry on
- 5:39Speaker 3: both sides of the border. You know, I started my
- 5:42Speaker 3: career having the privilege of representing Canadian Club out of Windsor, Canada,
- 5:49Speaker 3: and so, uh, you know, it's it's unfortunate, but I
- 5:56Speaker 3: recognize the emotions in Canada are very, very high, and
- 6:00Speaker 3: I've received some of those strong emotions directly from Canadians
- 6:06Speaker 3: where I'm just kind of caught up on behalf of
- 6:08Speaker 3: our industry or industry is caught up. Unfortunately, what has
- 6:13Speaker 3: transpired over the last twenty four hours is going to
- 6:17Speaker 3: be pretty significant to the Canadian distilled spirit economy as well.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Well.
- 6:22Speaker 2: Look, I remember some of that blowback Chris Swanger, because
- 6:25Speaker 2: I think one of the last times we had you
- 6:26Speaker 2: on my show during the weekday and the coverage of it.
- 6:30Speaker 2: You're really keen to get back on the shelves because
- 6:34Speaker 2: you're advocating for the economic interests of your members. And
- 6:39Speaker 2: we can understand that because and the Prime Innist talked
- 6:41Speaker 2: about this today, it goes we're taking this step reluctantly
- 6:44Speaker 2: on the counterterers that they're going to unveil next week
- 6:47Speaker 2: because we recognized it will raise costs for Canadians, but
- 6:49Speaker 2: because we recognized some US companies and US states are
- 6:53Speaker 2: innocent bystanders in a dispute they did not want and
- 6:57Speaker 2: you would be in that category.
- 6:58Speaker 1: Right. It's not like the Distill Spirits.
- 7:01Speaker 2: Council of the United States was going to the White
- 7:03Speaker 2: House and saying, you know what would be a good
- 7:04Speaker 2: idea start a trade war with our biggest market.
- 7:07Speaker 1: Your collateral damage and this just like ordinary Canadians.
- 7:10Speaker 3: Are absolutely absolutely and look, we recognize when and if
- 7:16Speaker 3: we ever get back on the shelves in Canada on
- 7:19Speaker 3: behalf of the US distilled spirits industry, you know it's
- 7:22Speaker 3: going to be an incumbent on those great brands to
- 7:25Speaker 3: work hard to try to earn the trust and respect back,
- 7:29Speaker 3: and at some point we may never be able to
- 7:32Speaker 3: do that, but let Canadian consumers choose. But we are
- 7:37Speaker 3: and our industry, and I talk about our industry, the
- 7:41Speaker 3: Canadian and American spirits industry thrives with no trade barriers,
- 7:47Speaker 3: no tariffs, and open markets. So we have a saying
- 7:53Speaker 3: we want to compete on sippentaste. And the industry is
- 7:59Speaker 3: great and has been great for both countries over the
- 8:03Speaker 3: last thirty plus years because they no trade bearers and
- 8:07Speaker 3: NAFTA and USMCA, and unfortunately, our industry got kind of
- 8:12Speaker 3: swallowed up in some of the broader issues and that
- 8:15Speaker 3: we recognize, you know, I got to stay in my lane,
- 8:18Speaker 3: but recognize there's big issues related to dairy and autos
- 8:22Speaker 3: and steal aluminum. But our industry collectively is an unfortunate
- 8:28Speaker 3: victim and the pain's only going to get greater.
- 8:31Speaker 2: Well, that's just what I wanted to ask you. Is
- 8:33Speaker 2: a final point, Chris Swannger, Because not only are talks
- 8:37Speaker 2: off negotiators back in Canada, counter tariffs going up and
- 8:41Speaker 2: support programs rolling out to weather the storm here in Canada.
- 8:45Speaker 2: The Prime Minister talked a lot today about trust just
- 8:48Speaker 2: being gone. Signature is written in pencil and the reliability
- 8:51Speaker 2: that any new deal would endure. There's a real lack
- 8:54Speaker 2: of faith on the Canadian side that the Americans will
- 8:56Speaker 2: be good to the word, because, let's face it, we're
- 8:58Speaker 2: in a war on a deal President negotiated himself back
- 9:01Speaker 2: in twenty eighteen. So when you look at being stuck
- 9:04Speaker 2: in that dynamic as collateral damage, and I fully accept
- 9:08Speaker 2: that it's the situation you're in. I mean, how much
- 9:11Speaker 2: worse can it get for your industry in terms of
- 9:13Speaker 2: job losses and maybe business closures.
- 9:16Speaker 3: It's going to be significant because that fifty percent tariff
- 9:20Speaker 3: applied on Canadian spirits coming into the United States ultimately
- 9:24Speaker 3: impact that American consumer that enjoys a great Canadian whiskey.
- 9:29Speaker 3: It's going to impact the bartender. It's going to impact farmers.
- 9:35Speaker 3: You know, we have a sand grain to glass farmers
- 9:38Speaker 3: in certainly Canada. So it's going to be across the
- 9:42Speaker 3: board pain and please let me just convey our industry
- 9:48Speaker 3: here in the United States will continue to aggressively make
- 9:52Speaker 3: the case to this administration and the industry will be
- 9:56Speaker 3: the same I think in Canada to try to get
- 10:00Speaker 3: this industry out of these water issues because uh, you know,
- 10:04Speaker 3: I think at one point we were thought to be
- 10:06Speaker 3: maybe a leverage point and uh uh you know, we're
- 10:11Speaker 3: caught up in that whirlwind and the economic pain is
- 10:14Speaker 3: going to be significant for both countries.
- 10:17Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 10:17Speaker 2: One one person's leverage is another person's victim, right, And
- 10:20Speaker 2: this is the situation we're in as as this plays out.
- 10:24Speaker 2: Chris Swanger, I appreciate the time it was Chris Wanger
- 10:27Speaker 2: with the Stilled Spirits Council of the United States Regional Washington.
- 10:30Speaker 1: Thank you for enjoy the rest of your Saturday.
- 10:31Speaker 3: Hang in there. Cheers everyone, Thanks, Cheers,