Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Jamie Dimon's Bitcoin Pivot CONFIRMS 2025 Will MELT Faces | EP 1280
Transcript
- 0:00Jamie Dimon's Bitcoin pivot might have just triggered the
- 0:03biggest wave of FOMO into Bitcoin we've ever seen.
- 0:07This week we've seen banks from every continent make
- 0:10announcements from Italy, Belgium, Germany, Spain, Russia,
- 0:14and everyone's favorite $1.4 trillion giant standard Charter
- 0:19has once again called for 200 K Bitcoin this year.
- 0:23But the real question is, this is the defining question.
- 0:27Why are they all getting into Bitcoin?
- 0:30Is it because of Larry Fink coming out?
- 0:32Is it because Jamie Dimon is pivoted?
- 0:34Is it because they see the writing on the wall?
- 0:37We don't know, but we will speculate on that with a bunch
- 0:40of different news. So of course, I'm not alone
- 0:42here. I do have my boy Chris filling
- 0:44in for Nico. Chris, thank you so much for
- 0:47coming on. Let me get to some of these news
- 0:49stories because there is some huge stuff.
- 0:51As you guys know, I covered it earlier this week.
- 0:53We saw Russia is first and second largest bank in the world
- 0:57is starting to get some Bitcoin exposure.
- 1:00But I do want to start with this news story.
- 1:03Of course, we've heard Jamie Dimon a while ago come out and
- 1:07say, hey, look, you know, I may not like that you like Bitcoin,
- 1:11but I will defend your right to buy Bitcoin.
- 1:13And of course, this was in May. JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon says
- 1:16the bank will let clients buy Bitcoin.
- 1:18We've covered this on the show before as well as this news.
- 1:22You know, JP Morgan owns 300 million of MSTR, which is very
- 1:27interesting considering now we have some of the biggest players
- 1:31in Tradfi tacitly giving Bitcoin, you know, some
- 1:35approval. They're they're sitting here,
- 1:36they're like, you know what, I don't like it, but if you guys
- 1:39want it, my clients want it. We will let you guys buy Bitcoin
- 1:43of course, through the trusted institutions, but this week this
- 1:47is what we really want to talk about.
- 1:49We see Kazakhstan, the central Bank of Kazakhstan wants to
- 1:53establish a national crypto reserve and, as you can see in
- 1:57this headline set to establish a state-run crypto reserve likely
- 2:01funded by and this probably the worst part here seize digital
- 2:04assets and government link mining.
- 2:06The government link mining better than the first part of
- 2:09this. Of course, it is an official
- 2:11yet, but Kazakhstan has been taking moves to acquire Bitcoin
- 2:15their own strategic Bitcoin reserve, which is what we've
- 2:18been saying for a long time on the show.
- 2:20Whether you love or hate President Trump, ever since he
- 2:24came out and said we are going to be the Bitcoin superpower of
- 2:27the world, everyone is coming out and saying, OK, we got to
- 2:31take this seriously. Though it is interesting, you
- 2:34know, a central bank wants Bitcoin exposure.
- 2:37The central bank wants Bitcoin, which from a Bitcoin
- 2:41perspective, you're kind of like, I thought we were here to
- 2:43separate money from state. Well, you know, Bitcoin is for
- 2:46anyone. Of course, if anyone really
- 2:48needs Bitcoin, it's probably the central banks that have this hot
- 2:52fire IOU that is just melting ice cubes as Sailor always says.
- 2:56Now, furthermore, we have the Italian bank UniCredit Spa
- 3:01announces investment on Blackrock's Bitcoin ETF.
- 3:04I bit, so it's not just banks wanting to get Bitcoin as a
- 3:08strategic reserve. It's not just Jamie Dimon
- 3:12saying, hey, you know, we're going to sell you the Bitcoin,
- 3:14we'll buy some MSTR, we'll get some Bitcoin exposure here.
- 3:18Now we have one of the Italy's banks come out and say, hey, we
- 3:23are going to buy a lot of this BlackRock Bitcoin ETF.
- 3:26And you guys saw yesterday, I brought it up during the news
- 3:28segment, actually in the beginning of the show,
- 3:31Blackrock's ETF is now outperforming the S&P 500.
- 3:37They get more money from the Bitcoin ETF than they do the SP,
- 3:41the SP500 fund. So this the writing's on the
- 3:44wall. Wall Street really wants
- 3:46Bitcoin. They want Bitcoin exposure if
- 3:48you're selling your Bitcoin right now, you're selling it to
- 3:51the very people that I think Bitcoin was meant to let me say
- 3:54not so nicely destroy here. So let's let's read this a
- 3:57little bit. The bank offers professional
- 3:58clients A5 year structured product with protection against
- 4:01losses and exposure to Bitcoin ETF performance.
- 4:04Obviously it's like, hey man, just buy Bitcoin.
- 4:06But these banks, they got some red tape to get through.
- 4:10So Italy based UniCredit Spa announced today it will offer to
- 4:13its professional clients a structured investment product
- 4:16tied to Blackrock's I bit offered bring their clients full
- 4:19capital protection against losses quote.
- 4:21The bank plans to issue A5 year dollar denominated investment
- 4:24certificate linked to the iShares Bitcoin trust ETF, which
- 4:28will offer 100% capital protection at maturity and then
- 4:32just kind of going in here a little bit looking at the data
- 4:34here, the maximum return of the investment is up to 85% of the
- 4:37ETS performance with a minimum investment requirement of
- 4:41$25,000. The UNI credit certificate will
- 4:44only be available to the bank's professional client.
- 4:46So again, they may want Bitcoin exposure.
- 4:50Of course, they're trying to protect themselves.
- 4:52From our perspective, you're like, why don't you just buy
- 4:55Bitcoin? I mean, obviously the bank
- 4:58probably can't do that yet, but from a personal perspective,
- 5:02from an individual perspective out there, I wouldn't be buying
- 5:05these products. But it does go to show Bitcoin
- 5:09is taking over the world. They they are getting
- 5:11everywhere. You probably should get some
- 5:14because it is catching on. And then to wrap this part up or
- 5:17actually not. Yeah, to wrap up this first
- 5:19segment, KBC Bank from Belgium to offer Bitcoin and the mother
- 5:23of all shit coin to retail customers.
- 5:26Belgium's KBC Bank plans to let retail customers invest in
- 5:29Bitcoin and it's mother of all shit coin via it's Bolero
- 5:32platform pending regulatory approval later this year.
- 5:35So this one isn't official yet, but you can see the trend here.
- 5:38We have the banks from every continent now going around and
- 5:42of course we've covered in the past.
- 5:44We have Spain, we have Brazil, we have banks in the Middle
- 5:47East. Everyone is kind of positioning
- 5:49themselves in this perspective of, hey, look, we probably need
- 5:55some Bitcoin exposure. Whether they like it or not,
- 5:58they need to get into Bitcoin. If they don't adopt Bitcoin, if
- 6:02they don't allow their clients to get Bitcoin, then they're
- 6:05going to get left in the dust. Now, I think this is of, you
- 6:08know, a further trend of what we've been talking about here on
- 6:11the show for a long time. It's this idea of a, of an idea
- 6:14whose time has come here. People want Bitcoin.
- 6:19Now, you could argue that maybe this isn't how it was supposed
- 6:22to happen. You know, you could say, oh,
- 6:25this isn't what Satoshi intended for it to happen.
- 6:28But this is where we are in the story right now.
- 6:31And yes, there is concerns about centralization.
- 6:34Yes, even in the Bitcoin communities, there's concern
- 6:37about the decentralization of the network.
- 6:39Can Bitcoin withstand decentralization players?
- 6:42Can Bitcoin withstand the huge leviathan that is the Fiat
- 6:46system Tradfi world? This is going to be, I think,
- 6:49the test of our times. But I think the tacit approval
- 6:52here rather, you know, the the acceptance, the acknowledgement
- 6:56of Bitcoin of something that needs to be held, even if it's
- 6:58just, you know, what is it 13510 percent or what we just heard
- 7:02recently, 40% of your portfolio, you need to have some Bitcoin.
- 7:07And it really kind of lends to this idea that maybe this time
- 7:09is different. So Chris, I have one more story
- 7:12just to kind of spice things up. But what's your thoughts on all
- 7:15the banks coming into Bitcoin? You are a long time Bitcoiner.
- 7:18You're you're a purist here. You're a maxi.
- 7:22I guess the question is, is this a good thing?
- 7:24Do obviously do we need the banks?
- 7:27What's your thoughts hearing all this multiple news come out
- 7:29about banks starting to pivot into Bitcoin?
- 7:32I wouldn't trust them as far as I can throw them.
- 7:34So that's kind of how I'm going to start off the RIP here.
- 7:36I mean, not even six months ago, I was helping one of our very
- 7:39own here at Simply Bitcoin and they were having issues sending
- 7:43money into a Bitcoin only exchange to buy Bitcoin.
- 7:46And it kept saying that there was an error on the exchanges
- 7:48end. And when they reached out to
- 7:50their customer support, they got a customer service Rep.
- 7:52They're like, hey, it's not an issue on our end.
- 7:54The bank and the bank is Chase was literally blocking them from
- 7:57sending money to this exchange in order to buy Bitcoin.
- 8:01So I think that's very funny that Chase is like, you know,
- 8:03Jamie Dimon's been not keen on Bitcoin for all this time.
- 8:07You know, I know he was shit talking it.
- 8:08Obviously they were buying I bid or they wanted to get into the
- 8:11ETF game. You know, they're buying
- 8:13MicroStrategy as you show there, like I wouldn't trust them as
- 8:16far as I can throw them. So they're talking shit on it
- 8:18and then they're pumping their bags.
- 8:19And it's the same way when like people are pumping their bags,
- 8:22they're saying this is so great while they're selling on the
- 8:24back end. I just think that this is like
- 8:25Fiat games play Fiat games basically.
- 8:28So, you know, when, when someone like if Jim Cramer says he loves
- 8:32the stock, he's probably selling it and he says he hates the
- 8:34stock, he's probably buying it. So just I, I wouldn't take
- 8:37advice from them. I wouldn't use them if you could
- 8:39avoid it. Yeah.
- 8:40So I, I would like, like I said, I don't trust them as far as I
- 8:43can throw them. Also, you know, obviously the
- 8:46previous administration at choke point 2.0, they're very hostile
- 8:49to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
- 8:51We saw developers being jailed. We saw DOJ pressing cases even
- 8:55when Fin Cen was saying, we don't think you have a case
- 8:57here. So like a lot of things are just
- 8:58up in the air And obviously Bitcoin is, is good for
- 9:01everyone. Like even your enemies or people
- 9:03you don't like are going to use Bitcoin, they're going to buy
- 9:05Bitcoin, they're going to transact in Bitcoin.
- 9:07Like this is kind of what Hal Finney prophesized.
- 9:09This is kind of what we've all been saying for years now.
- 9:11But like with the at the same time, like I, I think it's
- 9:15disingenuous or you can get yourself in a lot of trouble
- 9:17with going into a lot of the Bitcoin treasury companies or
- 9:19going into the ETFs. Like obviously I understand
- 9:22there's reasons why people do it.
- 9:24You have an ET, you have an IRA or you have a four O 1K or you
- 9:28have a money account that you can't buy Bitcoin itself.
- 9:30I understand that. Like there's obviously a time
- 9:32and a place for that, but I definitely think the highest
- 9:35order of what you should strive to do is take, you know, your
- 9:38salary or your or money for your business or if you have just
- 9:41money set aside in cash. I think that you should really
- 9:44try and put that that into Bitcoin and take it in self
- 9:46custody yourself. Don't trust banks, don't trust
- 9:49third party custodians. Like I think that you're in your
- 9:53own best interest for you and your family to self custody
- 9:55Bitcoin, buy Bitcoin yourself, take it into self custody.
- 9:57I think that's ultimately what you want to get to.
- 10:00But like, like I was saying, going back to tying this into
- 10:02all the banks and stuff, like obviously they were blocking one
- 10:05of our Co workers from buying Bitcoin on exchange not even six
- 10:08months ago. I think this was in, yeah, in
- 10:09like February, basically January, February and then not
- 10:13even a year ago. So there was this new account
- 10:16called Minet where it's basically like a minute to
- 10:18connect. I know it was something that's
- 10:20spun up by Patrick Bette David. And I saw a lot of people on
- 10:23there that were like, hey, like you're an expert and like you
- 10:26can message me or call me in order to get advice.
- 10:28Well, I saw a lot of bad advice on this platform.
- 10:31There was people like there was crypto experts and I was like,
- 10:34oh, like I was just kind of reading, like there was like a
- 10:36message board of reading people giving advice and it was like,
- 10:38oh, this is really shitty advice.
- 10:39So like, I'm going to try and be a Bitcoin only guy and go on on
- 10:42this platform and try and, you know, disparage myths or like
- 10:46give people actually sound advice.
- 10:47I wasn't even about for the money.
- 10:49I set my limits at the lowest limits that you could that and
- 10:52all that. Not even 24 hours later, my
- 10:54account was banned. So I had a stripe account at
- 10:57STRIPE. So Stripe and not even 24 hours
- 11:01later, it says my account's being banned.
- 11:03The and like, it was very vague in the messaging.
- 11:06So I reached out to customer service.
- 11:07I'm like, hey, why is this? And they're like, Oh, well, we
- 11:09have you're not allowed to interact or talk about or
- 11:13transact with Bitcoin and crypto.
- 11:15I was like, bro, on your own app that you're a banking partner
- 11:18for one of the drop down options are I'm an expert in accounting,
- 11:23finance, real estate, crypto, Bitcoin.
- 11:25Like it was literally like an option.
- 11:27I'm like, it's in the like the app that you are a banking
- 11:30partner for. Did you guys like not even look
- 11:32at the app? Did you guys just like say we're
- 11:34banking being a banking partner with this?
- 11:36So it's just very funny that the banks are coming in like, you
- 11:38know, rules for thee but not for me.
- 11:40So like they're like shit talking Bitcoin and crypto.
- 11:42They make it very difficult to use their services at the very
- 11:45same time they're loading up their bags.
- 11:48You know, they're, they're dealing with like they're
- 11:49obviously like Jamie Dimon's not having issues using Chase to buy
- 11:52Bitcoin personally if he wants it, or even on their own bank
- 11:55balance sheet. But like, if you're an everyday
- 11:56real, like retail pleb, like fuck you.
- 12:00Like we're going to ban your account, we're going to shut you
- 12:01down like you have. No, I had no recourse.
- 12:03I was like, hey, can I open up a new account?
- 12:05But like, no, if you do that, like there's a 30 day ban on
- 12:08your name and your account, your Social Security.
- 12:09Like basically it was just all more of a headache than it was
- 12:11worth. So I'm like, fuck this.
- 12:12Like I'm done with the banks. I'm glad I'm in Bitcoin.
- 12:14I'm glad. Like it wasn't, it wasn't like a
- 12:16big deal, but I just think, you know, be care, be careful, like
- 12:19who you trust. I wouldn't trust them as far as
- 12:21I could throw them. So I'll just leave it at that.
- 12:23Yeah, that's an interesting story because we are seeing, you
- 12:26know, now the regulatory approvals around banks are
- 12:30basically saying, hey, you can custody Bitcoin.
- 12:32But I think we still see, are seeing this like remnant of them
- 12:36fighting Bitcoin. And again, I know a lot of
- 12:38Bitcoiners are maybe this is just my echo Chamber of friends,
- 12:41a lot of Bitcoiners that that maybe I came up in Bitcoin with.
- 12:45They they they have this idea that all these banks don't know
- 12:48what's going to hit them. You know, they're going to get
- 12:50blindsided. They don't understand Bitcoin
- 12:52because they say the buzzwords and I've always like, maybe when
- 12:56I first got in Bitcoin, I, I thought very similar being kind
- 12:59of naive. But thinking about it now with
- 13:01everything we've learned in the last couple of years, it's I
- 13:04think it's the opposite. I think they fully understand
- 13:06what is at stakes and This is why they actively fight the
- 13:09industry so much. If Chuck point 2.0 was any
- 13:11example of what's going on here, they know exactly what's at
- 13:15stake here. This is why there's the classic,
- 13:18you know, quote from Christine Lagarde essentially saying like,
- 13:20if there's an exit route, people will use it.
- 13:23They don't just come up with these ideas out of nowhere.
- 13:25They, they know exactly what the stakes are.
- 13:27And so I, I find that really interesting that you got banned
- 13:30as just being a pure bitcoiner versus selling all of this hot
- 13:34garbage shit coins to people. But it is interesting because I
- 13:38do 100% agree with you on the fact is like, hey, I, I wouldn't
- 13:42trust these banks, but we, I, you know, we're, we're probably
- 13:47really far down the Internet rabbit holes here and the
- 13:50majority of people still trust their banks.
- 13:52They, you know, for, for whatever reason it is, they
- 13:54still trust their banks. So I think the, you know, the
- 13:58acknowledgement of Bitcoin from these banks, I think probably
- 14:03does carry some weight around to people that they're like, oh,
- 14:06hey, you know what, Jamie Dimon will finally sell me Bitcoin.
- 14:08This must mean Bitcoin might be a good thing.
- 14:11On the on the other side, though, I do remember how
- 14:14Finney's one of his earliest quotes, like there will be
- 14:16Bitcoin banks in the future. Now, will these Trat 5 banks be
- 14:19those Bitcoin banks? I don't think so.
- 14:22It's probably going to be sailor as like the new central Bank of
- 14:26Bitcoin because he has all of this Bitcoin.
- 14:29So you know, a lot of good points.
- 14:31Now let's, you know, Yeah, go on, Chris.
- 14:34I'll add one more point. So I, I definitely think it's
- 14:36like I said, like rules for thee and not for me.
- 14:39Like it's very funny that they're making it really
- 14:41difficult for many people that I know, but like it's no issue for
- 14:45anyone that works there themselves.
- 14:46Like, you know, and I definitely think it's going to be like kind
- 14:48of the carrot in the stick. So meaning that they're like,
- 14:51hey, we'll give you better interest rates if you custody
- 14:53your Bitcoin here, but like, yo, you're not allowed to pull it
- 14:56out. Like we can do that, but we're
- 14:57not going to do that. But like you can do that, but
- 14:59like we're not going to allow it.
- 15:00So it's like definitely like they're, you know, show me the
- 15:03incentives, I'll show you the outcome.
- 15:04Like it is in their own best interest at Bitcoin on their
- 15:06balance sheet and whether they're holding it or cussing it
- 15:09for you and not letting you withdraw it.
- 15:10That's definitely, I think in the future in the cards.
- 15:12But it like he's like you were saying, it'd be funny if Michael
- 15:15Saylor is like, you know, the new Federal Reserve of like
- 15:18Bitcoin. It's like Sailor, the economy is
- 15:20crashing. Like what do we invest?
- 15:22We need to take some of your money to borrow it and get you
- 15:24Bitcoin back on it. It would be pretty funny in the
- 15:26future instead of Jerome Powell. It really, it really does seem
- 15:30like that's where he's positioning himself to be like
- 15:33the central bank, for lack of better terms of the new economy
- 15:38as the huge and biggest Bitcoin bank out there.
- 15:41But who knows what his final plans are.
- 15:43Who knows what his actual end game is.
- 15:45But I see my boys back in the chat and he's been trolling me
- 15:49and I was actually Dming him this morning about that.
- 15:52You know, we have a bull flag set up and you know, I'm chart
- 15:55bullying him this morning. So you know, we have some of the
- 15:59biggest banks now saying what I've been saying and I, you
- 16:02know, I love to confirm my bias here.
- 16:04We brought this up before on the show.
- 16:07They're doubling down South Standard Chartered has doubled
- 16:10down on their Bitcoin prediction for end of year.
- 16:14They're actually expecting Bitcoin to hit new highs OF135K
- 16:17in Q3, which is again dunking on my buddy in the chat here
- 16:22because he thinks it's over if we don't break 115K in like 12
- 16:26days now or something. But let's look at what their
- 16:29reasoning is, and I think this kind of all ties together when
- 16:33you hear their reasoning. So the Bitcoin having cycle is
- 16:36unlikely to hurt the Bitcoin price in the second-half of 2025
- 16:39due to strong ETF and corporate buying, says Standard Charter
- 16:43Global bank is still bullish or Standard Chartered is still
- 16:46bullish on Bitcoin for the rest of the year, again citing the
- 16:49increase in corporate treasury buying, which as Chris and I and
- 16:52even Nico and everyone that's in Bitcoin is saying, you know,
- 16:55that there should be some caution here and of towards
- 16:57strong ETF inflows. They expect Bitcoin to print new
- 17:01highs of 135 K by the end of the third quarter, so three months
- 17:06and then break 200K by the end of the year.
- 17:08The bank's digital asset research head Jeff Kendrick said
- 17:11on Wednesday. Quote, thanks to increased
- 17:14investor flows, we believe Bitcoin has moved beyond the
- 17:18previous dynamic whereby prices fell 18 months after a halving
- 17:22cycle. Did he just say super cycle?
- 17:25Did he just say super cycle? Chris, I think that's what they
- 17:28said here again, doubling down, the halving cycle was dead.
- 17:32Now I don't know, I don't know about all of that.
- 17:36But quote, we expect prices to resume their uptrend supported
- 17:39by continued strong ETF and Bitcoin treasury buying at the
- 17:43same time. They don't they, they don't rule
- 17:46out that it might be a little choppy towards the end of the
- 17:48year. On that note though, I did see
- 17:52David Bailey, maybe I can pull it up Chris while we go live.
- 17:56He is essentially saying, actually I saw two different
- 18:00data points. So David Bailey said on Twitter,
- 18:03you don't have to pull up. I'll pull it up and then you can
- 18:05go. David Bailey's like I think
- 18:07we're going to see two more years of pumping which would
- 18:10fundamentally break the halving cycle.
- 18:12And then check Matey did a pod on TFTC and looking at on chain
- 18:16data, he is saying something similar that we are going to see
- 18:20the stair step, which I've kind of been talking about on the
- 18:23show to $1,000,000 forever here on out.
- 18:28So there's a lot of data. Obviously we have no clue what's
- 18:31going to happen here, but we are starting to lean towards this
- 18:36idea that we might not be in the halving cycle.
- 18:41Yeah, here we go. Thank you, Chris.
- 18:44Let me pull that up and then I'll I'll pass it to you and
- 18:46we'll speculate a bit a little bit here, but David Bailey says
- 18:50Bitcoin treasury companies are Bitcoin beta.
- 18:52As long as management executes and the Bitcoin prices rising,
- 18:55they're going to perform in a bear market.
- 18:57The strategies shift, but in my opinion, we have two years left
- 19:00in this bull. So focus on vacuuming up as many
- 19:03Bitcoin as possible ASAP. That's I don't know man.
- 19:10I don't want to say the having cycles over, you know, super
- 19:14cycle 'cause I already get called a bull tarred every
- 19:16single day, but it is starting to feel like things have
- 19:21fundamentally shifted under our feet here.
- 19:23So, Chris, you don't have to go and do the price predictions
- 19:27here. 135K in three months sounds cool. 200K by end of
- 19:31year. Yeah, I've been saying that for
- 19:32a while, but you haven't been on the show for a while.
- 19:36Do you think the halving cycle is dead?
- 19:40I, I, I'm still believe in the having cycle.
- 19:42In my opinion, I think it's like until it's dead.
- 19:45Like, I mean, maybe it can be elongated or like the cycle can
- 19:48be a little bit longer, but I think there's going to be cycles
- 19:51till there's not any cycles. And I don't think it's ending
- 19:53anytime soon. I say that because it seems like
- 19:57we're getting that point in the cycle.
- 19:58And Opti, you've been in a long enough that, you know, like
- 20:01people are like, oh, this is a top.
- 20:03This is a top. And then we keep going up or,
- 20:05you know, people are like, oh, like Bitcoin feels like it's
- 20:07underperformed, which is like normally what means right before
- 20:10it rips. And, you know, and a lot of
- 20:13people are, I feel like distracted, like, oh, you know,
- 20:15and this is no shade at anyone in their business, but it's
- 20:18like, OK, so we have Nakamoto from David Bailey.
- 20:20We have sailors at MSTR and all his different offerings we have.
- 20:24Jack Mallers along with Tether, with 21 or XXI, there's a lot of
- 20:30different companies that are like doing a Bitcoin treasury
- 20:32company. And I think that it's gonna come
- 20:35to a point where all these people are trying to do it and
- 20:38people are gonna eventually have to sell their Bitcoin.
- 20:40And then it's kind of like a cascading cycle that kind of
- 20:43shakes out this rotten around. Obviously, I think probably
- 20:46MicroStrategy is probably the best position to not sell their
- 20:48Bitcoin. I can't say the same for all the
- 20:50other companies. And it's like it's easy to say
- 20:52you're bullish and things are good in the bear, in the bull
- 20:55markets. It's very difficult to say
- 20:57things and everything's going to be all right in the bear
- 20:59markets. So I don't know.
- 21:00I, I still think we're going to have a cycle.
- 21:02I think things can maybe be a little delayed because we
- 21:04haven't seen the high highs of Bitcoin, but we also haven't
- 21:07seen the low lows. We've seen a few drops,
- 21:09obviously. But yeah, maybe it's an
- 21:11elongated cycle, but I, I still think we're going to have like
- 21:14this four to five year cycles there thereabouts basically.
- 21:17Yeah. Well, I mean, what actually
- 21:20invalidates the HAVING cycle? You know, obviously it's it
- 21:24might still be a four year cycle, but could that mean a
- 21:28shorter kind of a longer bull run, but a shorter bear market
- 21:33could still fit into a four year cycle, right.
- 21:36So maybe it is getting elongated, maybe it will pump
- 21:40for you know 2 1/2 years drop for 2027 and then kind of
- 21:46continue to do that U Cup that we're so familiar with.
- 21:49So who really knows. The only thing that really
- 21:51matters guys is like yes, we're seeing all this interest come
- 21:56in. A lot of people are wondering
- 21:58what's going on with the Bitcoin.
- 21:59Don't listen to my buddy that's literally telling me to sell my
- 22:02Bitcoin because we're double topping bro.
- 22:05Trust me bro, it's over. Just keep buying Bitcoin.
- 22:09Keep storing the Bitcoin. If anything is evident from all
- 22:13the different news stories we are seeing right now is that
- 22:16Bitcoin is only from here going to become more entrenched into
- 22:20the system. Everyone around in the world
- 22:23will eventually come to that conclusion that they need some
- 22:26Bitcoin. And actually, Chris sent me a
- 22:28clip here and it was from the Pat McAfee show.
- 22:31I'm going to play it in the culture because I, I found it
- 22:33kind of interesting. We're starting to see Bitcoin or
- 22:36even, you know, Bitcoin media, Bitcoin exposure start to
- 22:39saturate the culture. And I think soon enough it's
- 22:43going to become like ubiquitous with the culture and it's going
- 22:46to be a silent kind of underlying thing.
- 22:49And and I'll talk about that later in the show.
- 22:51But I do have a clip here of pomp.
- 22:54He is talking about a Bitcoin treasury.
- 22:56But there's an interesting thing that I really want to talk about
- 22:59that he says at the end of the clip.
- 23:00And then Senator Lummus announced something else this
- 23:03morning that we will break down for you guys.
- 23:06But of course, before we move on, guys, smash the like button
- 23:09comment on the show. Are we double topping?
- 23:13Is 150 K the top? I want to know your guys's
- 23:15response in the chat and of course, hit the subscribe button
- 23:18guys. We drop the best content in
- 23:20Bitcoin daily for you guys. On that note, I do want to give
- 23:24a huge shout out to the boys over at Bitcoin Well.
- 23:28Make sure you Sign up today because you can win three
- 23:31chances to win a million sets in the Bitcoin wishing well.
- 23:34And of course, the reason we partner with Bitcoin well is
- 23:37because they do Bitcoin right. You need to have a Bitcoin
- 23:40wallet to buy Bitcoin from them. They have never lost a SAT.
- 23:44They will never lose a SAT because when you send money,
- 23:47they send the Bitcoin directly to your cold storage.
- 23:50Self custody is the revolution. Self custody by default is the
- 23:55best way to do this. OK, on that note, let's get into
- 23:59the numbers. I want to tell you guys about
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- 25:35Yeah, I'm getting trolled in Rumble.
- 25:37OK, All right, guys, Rumble. Rumble Savage.
- 25:42All right, we're over here on Clark When's Dashboard and the
- 25:44current Bitcoin price is 109,340.
- 25:49You know, if you're a chart borer out there, it's looking
- 25:51kind of bullish. It's looking like we just got
- 25:53that breakout. So testing all time high soon
- 25:56and we are at a -2.4% decline from all time high.
- 26:00And guess what guys, it's over. It's it's we had a good run.
- 26:04We're we're never gonna break all time high.
- 26:05It's gonna be a two year bear market.
- 26:07No, I'm trolling. I'm trolling the block height,
- 26:10AKA probably the most important number here, 903,857, the market
- 26:15cap in Fiat terms is 2.17 trillion and we are at 9.24% of
- 26:20the gold market cap. Still 90% to run guys, we're
- 26:23we're taking over. We are taking over the gold
- 26:26market cap, which is again, I think like 20 trillion ish.
- 26:29Maybe it's 22. So yeah, a cool 10 or 11X from
- 26:32here. All right, guys, as I said, as
- 26:35Chris was mentioning, Bitcoin treasuries are like all the rage
- 26:38right now. That's all the hype.
- 26:39It's what's getting getting, you know, clicks on the media and
- 26:44pomp did just announce this. We cover this on the show.
- 26:46I think it was what a week ago or something like that.
- 26:49So I do want to give some context to this.
- 26:51At first this in this clip he kind of talks about like his his
- 26:57Bitcoin treasury company, but that's not what I want you guys
- 26:59to focus on. I think there's a strong message
- 27:02at the end of this that Chris and I will chat about that.
- 27:05I think this might be a message that either we need to stress
- 27:10more and not just us here, but on our personal level.
- 27:13And then I think this is the message that is starting to make
- 27:16its rounds on Wall Street and all financial institutions.
- 27:19So again, listen closely to the second part of this clip.
- 27:23I think it's very important. First mover advantage to the
- 27:27core. Your pro Cap BTC is pursuing a
- 27:29Bitcoin treasury, a strategy that Michael Saylor kind of
- 27:32invented over a strategy you plan to accumulate up to $1
- 27:36billion of Bitcoin on your balance sheet.
- 27:38What kind of timeline are you looking at to achieve that?
- 27:40Well, we are starting with the first billion or so.
- 27:43We obviously raised $750 million in equity and convert.
- 27:46We're merging into a spec that is $250 million.
- 27:48So that'd be the billion dollars to buy with Bitcoin.
- 27:51We've already purchased over 4900 Bitcoin that we've publicly
- 27:54announced and we'd like to buy as much as we possibly can.
- 27:58So I think that part of this is really trying to figure out a
- 28:01creative ways to raise capital, go put it into Bitcoin.
- 28:04But the thought process of Bitcoin in particular is Bitcoin
- 28:07is the new hurdle rate for an entire generation, right?
- 28:09I think, you know, our grandparents, our parents, they
- 28:11grew up with the S&P as the hurdle rate.
- 28:13That's not the hurdle rate anymore because I have an asset
- 28:16that is again, my benchmark, which is Bitcoin.
- 28:18If I can't beat the benchmark, I have to buy it.
- 28:21And I think that's really what Bitcoin has become is if Bitcoin
- 28:23is that hurdle rate, what a ton of investors are realizing is
- 28:26they can't beat it for the last five years or so.
- 28:28So the compounding growth rate is 60% destroyed stocks.
- 28:31And so now that is I think the big message here, Bitcoin is the
- 28:38new hurdle rate. We've been hearing this
- 28:39recently, but obviously you don't have to put it in
- 28:42financial terms when you're talking to your friends and
- 28:44family, but the idea of like, look, if you can't outperform
- 28:49Bitcoin, why are you putting your money in it?
- 28:50I think that should be kind of like a very, very strong message
- 28:55that we should stress to our friends and family.
- 28:56It's like, like if you're not beating at minimum 30% returns
- 29:00per year, why are you investing at it?
- 29:03If you can't beat 60% returns over the, you know, compounding
- 29:07annual growth over the last five years, why are you investing in
- 29:10it? Everything that everyone thinks
- 29:12is a good investment right now is, is freaking doing nothing
- 29:16compared to Bitcoin. And like Pomp was saying, you
- 29:18know, the S&P 500 was the hurdle rate for our grandparents real
- 29:23estate returns, which, you know, they can be outsized.
- 29:26Like that's a hurdle rate for a lot of people.
- 29:27But literally sitting back and doing nothing, doing your normal
- 29:31job, saving in Bitcoin gives you what, 60% returns, 50% returns
- 29:36year over year at minimum 30% returns.
- 29:40I don't know, it's kind of hard to outperform Bitcoin at this
- 29:43point. But I really like that framing.
- 29:46Bitcoin is a new hurdle, right? Obviously you can make it like a
- 29:49little more layman friendly. Like if you can't outperform
- 29:51Bitcoin, why are you investing it?
- 29:53And I know there's probably some Keynesians out there.
- 29:56They're like, oh, the velocity of money, bro.
- 29:57Like if everyone's just saving in Bitcoin, like no one's going
- 30:01to be productive and the economy is not going to grow and no
- 30:04one's going to buy anything. And it's like, yeah, cool story,
- 30:08bro. Like you save your money, your
- 30:11purchasing power goes up. You know, you start to feel
- 30:14rich. You want to buy things, you want
- 30:15to increase your life, like your money's here to essentially live
- 30:20and provide a better life. Like there, people will buy
- 30:22things forever. But if you're doing an
- 30:24investment right now. And I actually had a
- 30:26conversation with one of my friends, He was a huge Bitcoin
- 30:28skeptic for years. I've been trying to orange peel
- 30:30him for like 7 or 8 years. And he finally called me this
- 30:33week and he get, he did the like, man, everything's more
- 30:37expensive. People are getting laid off, you
- 30:40know, like I have some, I have, you know, a couple $1000 in
- 30:44stocks at that. Like his brother is managing
- 30:48because he works at Morgan Chase.
- 30:50And he's like, and the returns aren't good.
- 30:52And I'm like, dude, like, come here.
- 30:55Like, come on, you're ready. You're almost ready for Bitcoin.
- 30:58And he's like, yeah, I might, I might have to actually do it.
- 31:01So we're getting to the point where people are starting to
- 31:03feel the pain. And I think it's just one last
- 31:06push. It's like, hey, if you can't
- 31:07beat 60% returns this year, 50 percent, 30% returns this year,
- 31:13what are you doing? Just sit back, chill, buy
- 31:15Bitcoin, live your life. It's like the easiest, it's
- 31:18easiest pitch ever. So Chris, what's your thoughts
- 31:23on the idea of Bitcoin as a hurdle rate and why you probably
- 31:27shouldn't invest in whatever else you're thinking about
- 31:30investing? I mean, if you're comparing it
- 31:33to the best performing asset of all time, everything else is
- 31:36underperforming. You want to pull up the one
- 31:39website I I forget it's priced in bitcoin.com.
- 31:42I don't know if it works. Let me let me see.
- 31:44Last time I checked it, it's like price in Bitcoin 20.
- 31:47The last time I checked it wasn't it, it was down.
- 31:50So let me see if I can pull it up.
- 31:52But yeah. I remember we pulled it up
- 31:53before in the. Past it it like it acts up.
- 31:56Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.
- 31:58So. Price in Bitcoin 21 Here it is.
- 32:01Is is yours working? Mine's not working.
- 32:05It's not working. It's not working anyway.
- 32:08Trust us, bro. Hold on, hold on.
- 32:10Trust us bro. Well, it used to be a great
- 32:14website price in Bitcoin basically showing the comparison
- 32:17of oil, housing, food, energy, you name it.
- 32:21Basically it was price in Bitcoin and it was comparing
- 32:23basically using the best performing asset against
- 32:26everything else. Obviously in the short term, you
- 32:28know, three months, 6 month, year, even three years,
- 32:31sometimes Bitcoin can underperform if you're in a bear
- 32:33market or a brutal bear market. But overall, like you want to
- 32:36perform against the best asset of all time.
- 32:39You had a great point. You're saying the kinesins or
- 32:42the? Keynesians.
- 32:44Keynesians, there we go. The Keynesians were basically
- 32:47saying that, you know, oh, like, dude, if I, if I buy something
- 32:51and no one's buying anything, like the economy will collapse.
- 32:54It's like you're only at a risk of the economy collapsing if
- 32:57you're levered to the tits. Like if you have a fucked ton of
- 32:59debt that you need to pay off, whether it's, you know, monthly
- 33:02or yearly or whatever it may be, the only risk that you have of
- 33:05like pricing going down or things getting cheaper or like
- 33:08the economy not growing is if you have a ton of debt, If you
- 33:10have no debt, you can basically be like, Hey, we're going to
- 33:13spend a little bit less money this year versus we need to
- 33:15grow. We need more money.
- 33:17What needs to be a larger percentage that we had last
- 33:19year, because we are, our debt is growing just as fast or
- 33:22slower. If you're the US government
- 33:23slower than we're bringing in money and, and tax receipts.
- 33:26So if you have a hard money like Bitcoin, I find it funny when
- 33:29those, the, the Keynesians are always like, well, if people
- 33:32stop spending or if they delay buying, that's going to fuck
- 33:35over the economy. It's like, dude, I need to buy
- 33:37food everyday. I need to pay for my Internet
- 33:39every day, I need to pay for a roof over my head.
- 33:41I need to pay like all these different things that like even
- 33:44if I like want to spend 0 money. There is just costs that are
- 33:47built into life that we have right now.
- 33:49But if you're, if people are using their things productively,
- 33:53like Elon, you know, it's like one of the most underrated
- 33:56things of Elon. And you know, not a hater or a
- 33:58lover of Elon, but like SpaceX is and basically the, the
- 34:02Starlink satellites is probably the most underrated thing that
- 34:04Elon does. Obviously, they talk about
- 34:06Tesla, they talk about, you know, the sending the Rockets in
- 34:09space. But like by far, Starlink might
- 34:11be the best thing that he's ever done in terms of getting like
- 34:13fast and reliable Internet anywhere in the world via
- 34:16satellites in the sky. But like, like I was saying,
- 34:19that being said, like we have a lot of things that money's being
- 34:22allocated in ways that the economy doesn't want or is not
- 34:26necessarily necessary. Like we don't need a billion
- 34:28more AI companies. We don't need like a billion
- 34:30more fake meat companies. We don't need a billion more
- 34:33pharmaceutical companies or a billion more like, you know,
- 34:37large agricultural companies. Like there's things that would
- 34:40progress and push our society forward.
- 34:42And then there's other things that are basically just because
- 34:44of cheap, cheap or free money, basically propping up these
- 34:47businesses that we didn't even be there in the 1st place.
- 34:49And obviously we see the ebbs and flows of the economies.
- 34:51I know, Oh my gosh, we're talking about the fourth turning
- 34:57and like, you know, the 80 year cycle, the 240 year cycle.
- 35:01And obviously we're kind of reaching an inflection point.
- 35:03I know Ray Dalio has talked about, you know, the rise and
- 35:06fall of empires. Obviously the US they say is
- 35:08coming to an end and he believes China's coming to be the new
- 35:11frontier. But I think if we relate more to
- 35:15the, Oh my God, what is I have the book on my shelf right here.
- 35:19What is CK's favorite book? The sovereign individual.
- 35:22If we like say more of the sovereign individual, if we say
- 35:24the US empire is falling and Ray Dalia says that China is the
- 35:28rising empire, I disagree. I think it's like the digital
- 35:30nomad or like the self sovereign individual that has Bitcoin.
- 35:34Like they are the rising empire. And obviously I think there's
- 35:36going to be many of us around the world.
- 35:38Obviously there's only 21 million Bitcoin in existence or
- 35:41that will ever be in existence. But I definitely think that
- 35:43that's like kind of the way that we're going.
- 35:45It doesn't have to be on this same cyclical Fiat cycle.
- 35:48I think Bitcoin is the one that's breaking that cycle.
- 35:50Obviously there are cycles in Bitcoin, partly because of Fiat,
- 35:53but I do think that overall the trend is that Bitcoin and the
- 35:57rise of the Bitcoin digital nomad is what's going to be the
- 35:59rise of the next great empire, Empower.
- 36:02Yeah, no, 100%. And I think you're totally
- 36:06right. And I think it's the writing's
- 36:07on the wall. It's becoming very obvious.
- 36:09Obviously, I have a bias. I confirm my bias every single
- 36:12day when I come on this show because I'm a Bitcoiner and I
- 36:14see the world through a Bitcoin lens.
- 36:16But I totally agree with you though, just kind of going back
- 36:20to this, what I said earlier, like if you are investing in
- 36:24something and it's not beating bitcoins returns per year, like
- 36:29why are you investing in it? And it reminded me of something
- 36:32I said to a friend the other day on the phone call and it's
- 36:36Warren Buffett's average annual compounded return.
- 36:39So I'm going to pull that up again.
- 36:41I'm using a perplexity here. And the only reason I'm bringing
- 36:44up Warren Buffett is because, as you know, if you aren't sleeping
- 36:49under a rock, you've probably heard that name.
- 36:52He's a legendary investor, kind of called, you know, what's it,
- 36:55what's the name? Like the prophet from Omaha or
- 36:57whatever. Like he, the Oracle.
- 36:59Yeah, the Oracle from Omaha. He's regarded as one of the best
- 37:03investors ever, basically, like, you know, one of the best
- 37:07investors, extremely wealthy. Now, I really want you to zone
- 37:10in on this metric right here. Warren Buffett through Berkshire
- 37:14Hathaway has received an average annual compounded return of
- 37:18approximately 19.9% since taking control of the company in 1965.
- 37:24Why am I bringing this up is because what I just told you.
- 37:27You know, if you can't beat bitcoins hurdle rate, why are
- 37:30you doing anything other than just buying Bitcoin now?
- 37:32Warren Buffett, the Oracle from Omaha, considered one of the
- 37:35best investors ever. His average yearly return or
- 37:41compounded return, his kegger is roughly 20% and that's
- 37:45considered one of the best returns you can possibly get.
- 37:48This is how you get to legendary status.
- 37:50And let's just look at the Bitcoin ones again just to
- 37:53compare it here. You know, here we are.
- 37:55Oh, this is this is out of date a little bit Bipo update your
- 37:58charts, but you can see here on the bottom bitcoins 10 year
- 38:02kegger is 82% sounds like a solid what 4X from what Warren
- 38:09Buffett done. And even if you cut that in
- 38:12half, the five year annual compounding returns, it's 63.6%.
- 38:17I think that's what a 3X for what Warren Buffett's done.
- 38:20And even in the last four years, which you could argue hasn't
- 38:24been the best in Bitcoin cycle history, it's 32.2%.
- 38:29So literally every single one of us is outperforming Warren
- 38:34Buffett by literally sitting on her hand buying Bitcoin, taking
- 38:38in the cold storage like this is the new hurdle rate.
- 38:40This is exactly what Pomp is saying.
- 38:42If you can't beat this, what are you doing?
- 38:45You're you're literally playing an old game that doesn't work
- 38:47anymore. So hey, you want to be a better
- 38:50investor than Warren Buffett? All you have to do is literally
- 38:53buy Bitcoin and store it for yourself.
- 38:56End of story. You don't even have to watch the
- 38:58charts. That's all you need to do.
- 39:00Yeah, and I've even got crazier news.
- 39:02So like went Warren Buffett started investing at like 11
- 39:05years old. He bought into like, you know,
- 39:06that was his first time buying socks at 11 with like money that
- 39:09he made from like running a paper route.
- 39:11But even at 26 years old, he started his own, you know,
- 39:15Buffett Associates L limited liability company.
- 39:19And basically he started with a total of $105,000.
- 39:22So he was 26 years old. And imagine starting with
- 39:24$105,000. Imagine.
- 39:26So bitcoins right now we're about 109 thousand, $110,000.
- 39:30I know that's a tall order and that's hard to get.
- 39:32Obviously with him, he raised money.
- 39:34So he put $100 down and then collected $104,900 from family
- 39:39and friends. And basically it was like, you
- 39:40know, starting his company with seed money from family and
- 39:42friends. But if you have a whole Bitcoin
- 39:45and you're 26 years old, you're 30 years old, you're 35 years
- 39:48old. The only thing there's two
- 39:49things that prevent you from getting as well, like as as
- 39:52wealthy. I think in the long run as
- 39:53Warren Buffett. There's two things.
- 39:55It's one staying alive and two, making sure that your Bitcoin
- 39:58does not get stolen, but and you know, or losing it or selling it
- 40:01or doing anything stupid like Warren Buffett's what, 9394
- 40:05years old. Like if if you have the ability
- 40:07to have one whole Bitcoin, the only thing that's stopping you
- 40:10is spending the money, losing the money, getting it stolen,
- 40:12hacked, whatever. You know, doing something stupid
- 40:14and your health. Like that's literally the only
- 40:16like CK always talks about my old buddy, you know my old boss
- 40:19talks about like. Everyone has a sad amount of
- 40:22Bitcoin that they're going to earn over their lifetime, the
- 40:24Max that you'll ever earn. And the only issue is getting
- 40:27your Bitcoin from point A to point B.
- 40:29And that's hopefully from your time being alive till when you
- 40:32die, when I hope for everyone is a very long time from now.
- 40:35Or if you're very old, you live even longer than that and
- 40:37passing it down hopefully to your kids, to your grandkids, to
- 40:40your great grandkids, if that is obviously in your future.
- 40:42But I really think like having Bitcoin is that level of a cheat
- 40:45code. Because think of it, he had
- 40:47$105,000 and he earned just shy of 20% a year.
- 40:51If you have Bitcoin and you're averaging right now 60% returns
- 40:54year over year. Obviously, I know it's not going
- 40:56to stay that way for forever. You know, it's going to people
- 40:59talk about the compression of returns, but even 60% kagger,
- 41:02you know, year over year returns for the foreseeable future,
- 41:05you're going to become a very incredibly, incredibly,
- 41:08incredibly, incredibly wealthy person.
- 41:10You know, there there is a a quote that was attributed to
- 41:14it's Einstein and I don't know if it's actually his, but it's
- 41:16attributed to him. It's like the eighth wonder of
- 41:18the world is compound interest. And those who do not understand
- 41:21it will lose money and those that understand it will reap the
- 41:24benefits of it. So that I'm just going to leave
- 41:26that there. So I don't know.
- 41:28Chris, I love that you know he Warren Buffett started with
- 41:31literally the price of one Bitcoin today.
- 41:34At 26 years old, I mean, if you're 26, yeah, if you're like
- 41:3718/20/24, if you're younger than 26 and you have 10,000 dollars,
- 41:4250,000 whatever small amount $1000 into Bitcoin.
- 41:45Like you can see those level of returns at like extrapolated
- 41:49over a lifetime. Obviously.
- 41:50You know, The thing is like people don't want to talk about
- 41:53like Warren Buffett getting to his status of where he is.
- 41:55Like Warren Buffett wasn't like I'm blowing it on super yachts
- 41:58and all this. That the other thing I mean, he
- 41:59could have, he literally could have at the end of his life when
- 42:01when he was 70 plus or whatever, when he became over a billion
- 42:04dollars or worth over a billion dollars.
- 42:06But he lived in the same, you know, hunt like $50,000 house he
- 42:10bought back in like the 40s or whatever it is.
- 42:13I understand that inflation has made those things way more
- 42:15expensive, but it's one of those things that like you don't need
- 42:18to live beyond your means. It's basically do what Warren
- 42:19Buffett did, live below your means, Take all of your retained
- 42:22earnings or your excess purchase power, lump it into Bitcoin and
- 42:25wait. And that that's really, it
- 42:27sounds simple. It is incredibly difficult.
- 42:29I'm speaking from experience. It is incredibly difficult to
- 42:31sit on your hands. That's why even the IRS even has
- 42:34stats every year that people that like outperform the best in
- 42:37terms of Iras or 4 O1 KS are people that are normally that
- 42:41set it and forget it or die. Like those are like the two
- 42:43categories of people that like outperform like every.
- 42:47I mean, it is, but like they just say, oh, like, wow, what
- 42:49what happened with the money in this count?
- 42:50It's like, oh, they were, they've been dead for 20 years.
- 42:52And that's why the account's grown to this astronomical
- 42:55amount of money. So if you can be the person
- 42:57that's a don't not die, set it and forget it.
- 42:59And then just, you know, 500 bucks, 100 bucks a month, 50
- 43:02bucks a month, 10 bucks a month, whatever you can contribute and
- 43:05then just set it and forget it. And as you make more money over
- 43:08your career, hopefully you contribute a little bit more.
- 43:10Or if you do it on percentage basis, if you're only making
- 43:12$50,000, but then you get a raise up to $60,000, you
- 43:15contribute on a 10% basis or 5% basis, whatever it is, that
- 43:19money will grow as your salary goes in the long run.
- 43:21But yeah, I don't know. Sorry for my rant, I'm just
- 43:23trying to. No, it was great.
- 43:25It was honestly great. We're, we're in a, you know,
- 43:27symbiotic relationship here. But this is not financial
- 43:31advice, but coming straight from Chris's mouth.
- 43:33If you want to be, if you want to be Warren Buffett, just set
- 43:37it and forget it. Make sure your DCA Bitcoin is
- 43:40locked in and go live your life. I've been saying this forever.
- 43:44It's the easiest, easiest way to win.
- 43:46Anyways, let's, let's, let's transition into the news today
- 43:50because Senator Lummus is back issuing something that I think
- 43:54it's very interesting. I, I am going to be a little
- 43:57critical of it, but I think it's still an interesting
- 44:00development. So let's get into it.
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- 46:31All right, guys. So I talked about it yesterday.
- 46:36You know, the big beautiful bill I passed.
- 46:39What was it? The House, I guess it's still a
- 46:42deliberation they're voting on. I don't know if it fully got
- 46:45voted on this morning, but I know they were still kind of
- 46:48voting on it last night. But we had talked about it from
- 46:51a Bitcoin perspective. It looked like they were going
- 46:53to implement or trying to squeeze in some sort of
- 46:57elimination of capital gains tax.
- 47:00Well, that got cut and they basically said that that was
- 47:04because they ran out of time. But this morning, literally
- 47:08about an hour before the show started, Senator Lumm has
- 47:11dropped this. And it's kind of doing the same
- 47:16thing, though I again, I'm, I'm going to be a little critical of
- 47:18it personally, but Senator Lumm has tweeted the tax code
- 47:22shouldn't punish Americans for using new technology.
- 47:25My bill fixes the broken rules around Bitcoin and digital
- 47:28assets. So let's go to the actual press
- 47:33release here. So Lummis unveils digital asset
- 47:37tax legislation. US Senator Cynthia Lummis from
- 47:40Wyoming introduced comprehensive digital asset tax legislation
- 47:44that secures key victories for the digital asset industry and
- 47:48creates a level playing field for digital asset users across
- 47:52the country. Quote, in order to maintain our
- 47:54competitive edge, we must change our tax code to embrace our
- 47:58digital economy, not burdened digital asset users.
- 48:02This ground breaking legislation is fully paid for, cuts through
- 48:05the bureaucratic red tape, and establishes common sense rules
- 48:09that reflect how digital technologies function in the
- 48:11real world. We cannot allow our archaic tax
- 48:14policies to stifle American innovation, and my legislation
- 48:17ensures Americans can participate in the digital
- 48:20economy without inadvertent tax violation.
- 48:23So what is this? It looks like a form of
- 48:28elimination of capital gains tax for Bitcoin and here is kind of
- 48:32the meat and potatoes here. Senator Lummons legislation
- 48:36addresses major digital asset taxation issues including small
- 48:39transaction practicality, a $300 de minimis rule ending the
- 48:44double taxation of digital asset miners and stakers, parody with
- 48:48other financial assets, digital asset lending wash sales mark to
- 48:51market tax treatment and providing that charitable
- 48:54contributions do not require an appraisal.
- 48:56So of course the legislation is estimated by the congressional
- 48:59joint Committee on taxation to generate approximately $600
- 49:02million in net revenue during the 2025 to 2034 budget window.
- 49:07So here again kind of breaking some stuff down.
- 49:11The de minimis gain from sale or exchange of digital assets
- 49:14similar to foreign exchange. It creates a new section 139 J,
- 49:18providing a de minimis exclusion for digital asset gains or
- 49:21losses unless the sale or exchanges for one cash or cash
- 49:25equivalents include payments, stable coins, property used in
- 49:28active trader business, or property held for income
- 49:31production. Now here's where I'm probably
- 49:34going to be the most critical about it.
- 49:36The limitations. A $300 trash threshold for both
- 49:39transaction value and a total gain of $5000 yearly total cap
- 49:44aggregation rule for related transactions and inflation
- 49:48adjustment beginning 2026. This provision recognizes the
- 49:52impracticality of tracking every small digital asset transaction,
- 49:55such as buying coffee see with Bitcoin, which creates enormous
- 49:58compliance burdens for ordinary users.
- 50:01The $300 threshold strikes a reasonable balance between tax
- 50:04compliance and practical usability of digital assets as a
- 50:08medium of exchange. Again, you, you know, you guys
- 50:11could read the whole thing, but as I said the other day, it
- 50:17seems like every time a new proposal for elimination of
- 50:23capital gains around Bitcoin transactions are trying to free
- 50:27Bitcoin from the regulatory hurdles that it, that it
- 50:30currently has. It seems like the limits on
- 50:33those transactions and Fiat prices keep going down.
- 50:36I think the first one was like 2500 and then 1000 and then 800,
- 50:41and the most recent one that was supposed to get into the one big
- 50:44beautiful bill was 600. And now Senator Lummis proposes
- 50:48this bill and it's 300. And now on the one hand, I'm not
- 50:53going to be too critical here cuz I think it, it might be a
- 50:55good step in the right direction.
- 50:59Like so that you can buy normal stuff, you know, $300 you're
- 51:02like whatever you can buy your cold cards or you know, you can
- 51:05buy your coffee with it. But I don't think this de
- 51:10minimis tax exemption goes far enough.
- 51:13I am a staunch just eliminate capital gains on Bitcoin
- 51:16completely. You do not pay capital gains if
- 51:18you exchange from one currency to a weaker currency.
- 51:21And that's exactly what we're doing here.
- 51:24As I said the other day, you know, like let's, at least I, I
- 51:28think I saw Vijay, he said like, let's do a 10K and then keep
- 51:32that inflation adjusted number so that like it just keeps
- 51:34getting bigger and bigger. You're muted, you're muted.
- 51:38Oh, you're good, You're good. We we get to determine the
- 51:41inflation adjusted number. So the shadow stats or the
- 51:44Chapwood index instead of CPI? Yeah, exactly.
- 51:47So on the one hand, again, I do always applaud the efforts that
- 51:56Senator Lummus and other people on, you know, the Hill or that
- 51:59are in Washington, the Bitcoiners that are at least
- 52:01trying to kind of get some good legislation and regulations
- 52:06pushed through Washington, DC like in the benefit for us
- 52:09Bitcoiners. But I don't know, I feel like
- 52:12this is gonna, not only is it probably not going to pass, but
- 52:16it's it's kind of falling short in the actual kind of execution
- 52:21of it. Again, it's $300 per transaction
- 52:25and then it's $5000 cap for the whole year.
- 52:29That's like. That's like.
- 52:31Buying toys. Yeah.
- 52:32I mean, obviously rent's like more expensive than that or like
- 52:35whatever, but like, yeah, you go out for a meal and it's like
- 52:38basically you're hitting up against the 300 limit and you do
- 52:40that, you know, a few times a year, and you're basically over
- 52:43the 5000, Yeah. So as much as I want to applaud
- 52:47this, this move here, I, I think it is probably a defining move,
- 52:53but I don't know, I just I'm not that happy about it as a
- 52:57bitcoiner, like can we get these?
- 53:00Can we do like what's the, I forget what the numbers are
- 53:04exactly, but when the 10K Fiat limit, like tell me how much
- 53:09money you have, you know when you're crossing the border.
- 53:11When that was implemented, the $10,000 was I think equal to
- 53:15like 100K at the time. Yeah, it was like 75 KA 100.
- 53:18K so, you know, let's do that 100K inflation adjusted Bitcoin
- 53:22transactions, then people could actually live and survive and,
- 53:27you know, buy cars and rent and food and survive throughout the
- 53:30year. Like that's what I want to see.
- 53:32But again, I guess maybe it's a good baby step.
- 53:34Maybe I'm being too critical here.
- 53:36Maybe. Yeah, maybe I'm triggered.
- 53:38I know when Lummus and Gillibrand were doing the bill
- 53:40back in 22 or 23, when they were doing the joint bill, obviously
- 53:44a Democrat and Republican, when they were trying to pass the
- 53:46bill for Bitcoin. Obviously in digital assets
- 53:50there was the threshold I think similar to what you're saying
- 53:54was like either $10,000 and $600.00 limit.
- 53:57But when I she basically put it up on GitHub and said like it's
- 54:00open to public for comments and all that.
- 54:02And I said, why are we dealing with Fiat here?
- 54:04Like let's deal, like let's cut to the chase, 1,000,000 SAT's or
- 54:08below and your, your, your tax exempt anything.
- 54:11Like 100 million SAT's or below and your tax exempt whole coin
- 54:18tax exempt under for everyone to use Bitcoin.
- 54:21That would be dope. That would be tight.
- 54:23No, I was trying to keep it in the currency that you're talking
- 54:25about, because when you're adjusting inflation for a
- 54:28currency that's hyperinflating, like you can really get fucked
- 54:31with that, Yeah. Totally.
- 54:32So, I mean, it's kind of like a moment like it is, it is kind of
- 54:39news, but it's also kind of like a yeah, well, we could do
- 54:45better. We could do better, guys, can we
- 54:47do better? Can we just eliminate it
- 54:49completely? You know, with Adam back here,
- 54:51let's just get rid of it completely.
- 54:53You know, just let Bitcoin flow freely.
- 54:55This is how we win. But obviously, I guess we can't
- 54:59expect that much. All right, here we go.
- 55:01Yeah. Thank you, Skip.
- 55:02On down the road he goes. The SAR, SAR report by your bank
- 55:05for 10K transactions. Years ago, that was big money.
- 55:09Not today. Exactly the point here.
- 55:14I think that was implemented in 75 or 71.
- 55:16I forgot what it was. Yeah, something of that sort.
- 55:20The point remains the same. We like you, like you said,
- 55:23Chris, you know, we're going to get to a point, especially since
- 55:26not saying Fiat currency is hyperinflating now, but it will
- 55:29get to a point where, you know, we, we probably will see some
- 55:32kind of Weimar inflation, hyperinflation here.
- 55:35And it's just going to be a ridiculous number here.
- 55:37So it is what it is. But I don't know, Chris, you
- 55:40want to pull that number up? And then this, this last clip is
- 55:44going to be kind of fun. Oh, actually, yeah.
- 55:46Keep going. Because I I I didn't even
- 55:48actually pull it up as a clip. Actually, yeah.
- 55:50We'll just do it OG, and we'll respond to it live.
- 55:55It was in October of 1970, the Bank Secrecy Act.
- 55:58Interesting. I wonder what happened in 1971.
- 56:03Wow, it all points back to some similar dates here, right?
- 56:08Well, that's a funny, interesting step.
- 56:10All right, let's get into the culture.
- 56:11This is literally where we're going to be talking about the
- 56:13culture right now and Bitcoins involvement in it.
- 56:15Let's check it out. I want to give a shout out to
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- 56:50You can catch the latest buzz at Hive Digital Tech or at Hive
- 56:55digitaltech.com. I want to give a shout out to
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- 58:01Well, this is called the culture.
- 58:03Usually it's about Bitcoin culture or what's going on in
- 58:06the Fiat culture. But now these two things are
- 58:09colliding in real time. And we got this clip here of Pat
- 58:15McAfee show. He's one of the biggest.
- 58:19He was independent. Now I think he's he's backed by
- 58:22someone, but. He he was independent, then he
- 58:25was with Barstool and now, now he's with ESPN.
- 58:28Yeah, so he's basically like the cooler version of what ESPN was,
- 58:32and now he's back to ESPN. He's huge guys.
- 58:36He's one of the most influential sports talk guys right now on
- 58:39the Internet. He kind of created his own lane.
- 58:42And as you can see, we have Sauce Garner here.
- 58:45Is he still at The Jets? Right.
- 58:46He's a yeah. I'm a die hard Jets fan for
- 58:48those who don't know. So he's a cornerback for The
- 58:50Jets? Very exactly.
- 58:51He got a great last year but very great player.
- 58:53Yeah, he's a great dude. And as you guys can see, well,
- 58:57rather, if you're listening, he's wearing this Satoshi
- 58:59Nakamoto shirt. And I just want to play the clip
- 59:02because I find this very interesting here.
- 59:06And then let's just play the clip because it there there.
- 59:08It's kind of funny, but also it kind of triggered a lot of
- 59:11Bitcoiners on Twitter. So let's just watch this shout
- 59:14out to Satoshi Nakamoto. Is that that's Bitcoin.
- 59:16That's Bitcoin on your your chest, your shirt.
- 59:21Oh, I don't know what this is. You know what this is my my
- 59:30stylist had got it for me and he said like this.
- 59:32This is I think it's. Satoshi so it's like a popular
- 59:37it's a popular brand. You know everybody really
- 59:39wearing it, especially in like in like the fashion.
- 59:43It's that dips new, it's that dips and it's really going up,
- 59:46going to the moon. That's awesome.
- 59:48I thought you see the shirt. That shirt is so sweet.
- 59:51Let me go ahead and put that thing on.
- 59:53You look awesome. It sounds like Pat McAfee is a
- 59:56bitcoiner here, but. It does.
- 59:58I mean, it sounds like we're transcending culture.
- 1:00:00So obviously everyone sees Jack Dorsey out with his :), like,
- 1:00:04looks like Nirvana, you know, shirt on there with, you know,
- 1:00:08Satoshi. But yeah, obviously everyone
- 1:00:11thinks it's kind of a brand, which I guess that kind of means
- 1:00:14you're transcending. It is a brand, it is a brand.
- 1:00:16It's the. Best brand?
- 1:00:17It's the best brand. Yeah, like, I can't tell you,
- 1:00:20Opti. Like, my phone was blowing up
- 1:00:22from all my friends back home. Obviously, I I, you know, your
- 1:00:25boy Orange peeled all of them. They're like, yo, dude, Sauce is
- 1:00:28one of us. I'm like, let's go.
- 1:00:30And I was busy yesterday. I finally watched the clip.
- 1:00:32I was like, oh, damn. Sauce has.
- 1:00:35Sauce has no idea. So.
- 1:00:37But yeah, it sounds like Pat knows what's up.
- 1:00:39He knows. Pat McAfee is a Bitcoin.
- 1:00:42That's the biggest take away here.
- 1:00:44I think Pat McAfee is a Bitcoiner, though.
- 1:00:46Two things, as you said, and kind of what Sauce Corners is
- 1:00:52like, I don't know, It's a brand.
- 1:00:53Everyone's wearing it. Like we said, you know, Bitcoin
- 1:00:57is technically a brand. You know, this is the biggest
- 1:01:00brand if you want to consider the whole like crypto ecosystem,
- 1:01:03the best, the most trusted, you know, the most secure brand in
- 1:01:07the space is of course Bitcoin and every one of us is the
- 1:01:10marketing team out here. So you know, on that front,
- 1:01:12that's cool. The the kind of more Bitcoin or
- 1:01:15take that I saw that was kind of trolley was like, dude, that was
- 1:01:18such good opsec. He's like, I don't even I don't
- 1:01:20even know what it is. I just you know, I'm just
- 1:01:22wearing it. You know, it's like, oh, I don't
- 1:01:25know what this, you know, I I just thought it was a cool brand
- 1:01:28because I have seen this shirt around and I have been wondering
- 1:01:31it's like, do they even know what it is?
- 1:01:33It seems like it's just a trendy thing right now.
- 1:01:35And I put it on Twitter that like, I absolutely love this.
- 1:01:39Like you may not like this, but this is how the culture war is
- 1:01:42won. People just thinking it's cool.
- 1:01:45People just wearing this name without even knowing.
- 1:01:47People get their touch points. If you know you know type
- 1:01:50scenario and he's just wearing it because he just thinks it's
- 1:01:54cool basically. Or rather shout out to the
- 1:01:56legendary stylist out there. I wonder if they're actually
- 1:01:58bitcoiners. It kind of reminds me of the
- 1:02:01Fight Club, like we are everywhere.
- 1:02:03Though it could just be like. This is Jack Dorsey, you know.
- 1:02:05Yeah, exactly. Like it.
- 1:02:07It could just be like what he said.
- 1:02:09You know, it's just, it is kind of the the trendy thing right
- 1:02:12now. I've seen a lot of celebrities
- 1:02:15wearing that shirt, like, and I even looked it up.
- 1:02:18I don't know if I found the right one, but I saw a similar
- 1:02:21shirt and it was like $400.00 for like this tacky.
- 1:02:24Like what? What's that studded Satoshi
- 1:02:28Nakamoto shirt? And I was like, bro, who's
- 1:02:31wearing that shirt? And then I went over to the
- 1:02:33Bitcoin magazine to see if they still had it.
- 1:02:35They did. But, you know, I don't want to
- 1:02:37wear the Bitcoin mag part on the back of my, my, my back there.
- 1:02:41So I was like, oh, I can't really buy it.
- 1:02:43But as you can see, like Bitcoin is infiltrating the culture,
- 1:02:46whether they know it or not, Satoshi Nakamoto is, is a name
- 1:02:50now. It is signaling here that, hey,
- 1:02:53we are saturating the culture here.
- 1:02:56And soon enough to really kind of segue this into how I think
- 1:03:00Bitcoin will be used in the future, I think it's going to be
- 1:03:03something very similar. Like people aren't even going to
- 1:03:05know they're using Bitcoin. They're they're not going to be
- 1:03:08like us sitting here in 5-10 years and well, probably more
- 1:03:11like 1020 years and be fully endorsed in Bitcoin content.
- 1:03:16They're just going to be like, yeah, it's my money.
- 1:03:17I saving it like, So what, dude? It's, it's like, it's good
- 1:03:20saving. You know, it's giving me 60%
- 1:03:22kegger every year, bro. It's like, no, they're just
- 1:03:24going to be like, hey, I'm no longer broke.
- 1:03:26I use Bitcoin. It's easier, It's got less
- 1:03:28friction. You know, there's, there's,
- 1:03:30there's literally no one that can take it from me.
- 1:03:32And they might not even be using it.
- 1:03:33It might just be, you know, like wallet of Satoshi or something
- 1:03:36where they just send money to each other.
- 1:03:38And that's how we take over the Opti wearing a rug.
- 1:03:42No dude, this this is a comfy shirt.
- 1:03:44It's like weaved. I found the website.
- 1:03:46Yeah, these shirts are selling for 300 and 28150.
- 1:03:49Yeah. It's crazy.
- 1:03:52This this person's definitely they are definitely a Bitcoiner
- 1:03:55though with selling all this cool Satoshi stuff.
- 1:03:58What's the actually, you'll send me the website later, send me
- 1:04:00the website off the show. But yeah, I I thought this was
- 1:04:03kind of interesting, but actually I'm going to just look
- 1:04:07at it live. Why not?
- 1:04:08Yeah, and I'm getting trolled in the chat for being a Jets fan.
- 1:04:10Yeah, guys, you know, I, I have one team.
- 1:04:14I have one team that I always won with, and that's Bitcoin.
- 1:04:16So, you know, that's good enough for me.
- 1:04:18Ours. Ours.
- 1:04:21Yeah. Yeah, actually, I remember this
- 1:04:23one. Guns and Roses was wearing this.
- 1:04:26Yeah, these prices are crazy bro.
- 1:04:29Yeah, and like, even the T-shirts is 100% cotton.
- 1:04:31Like, guys, trust me, if you want to get 100% cotton shirt,
- 1:04:34that's a Satoshi Nakamoto. Hit your boy up.
- 1:04:36I'll get you a 10. Yeah, I'll get you for, you
- 1:04:38know, 90% cost reduction on these bad boys.
- 1:04:41I don't know. I kind of like.
- 1:04:42I'm not gonna lie. I kind of like this.
- 1:04:44This top one, this logo one's kind of lit.
- 1:04:47OK, but I'm not buying a $420.00 T-shirt.
- 1:04:50That's crazy talk. What?
- 1:04:53It's kind of tight. I'm not gonna lie.
- 1:04:55That's just. Hey, guys, do you want to give
- 1:04:56me a gift? Buy me one of these T-shirts.
- 1:04:58I'll rock that bro. This guy's for sure.
- 1:05:03I'm gonna, I'm gonna sit here and and research this.
- 1:05:06I wonder who this guy is? Let's see.
- 1:05:08Actually, let's read this. I'm gonna read this and then
- 1:05:10we'll, we'll, we'll wrap it up. But here is the the blurb.
- 1:05:16Satoshi Nakamoto. At its core, Satoshi Nakamoto is
- 1:05:19more than just a fashion brand. It's a bold statement on the
- 1:05:22involving landscape of the digital era.
- 1:05:25Named after the enigmatic creator of Bitcoin, the brand is
- 1:05:28a tribute to the profound impact of digital technology in our
- 1:05:31society. Thorough or through its
- 1:05:34innovative design, Satoshi Nakamoto invites us to reflect
- 1:05:37on the digital world's influence on our perceptions of value,
- 1:05:40identity, and community. This philosophy is woven into
- 1:05:43every garment, blah blah blah, challenging the conventional
- 1:05:46boundaries between the digital and the physical.
- 1:05:49By adopting this namesake, Satoshi Nakamoto positions
- 1:05:52himself as the vanguard of social commentary, all while
- 1:05:56offering a fresh perspective on contemporary appeal.
- 1:05:58Honestly, this guy's for sure a bitcoiner and he has tapped into
- 1:06:02the culture here. So I don't know who this
- 1:06:04designer is, but hey, more power to you.
- 1:06:07Keep selling these T-shirts for $420.00.
- 1:06:10Keep getting the celebrities to wear them.
- 1:06:13This guy is we we got to get him on the show.
- 1:06:16He's a legend. He's got it in the biggest
- 1:06:18circles here. Now the name is going
- 1:06:20mainstream. I I absolutely someone said talk
- 1:06:24about the grifter in chief dude. I think I think this is a a
- 1:06:29freaking 5D chess move here. But what do I know you know
- 1:06:32fashion in itself is kind of a scam, but you know what I mean
- 1:06:36anyways, let's wrap up the show. We could probably ramble on this
- 1:06:39for a while, but Chris, thank you so much for filling and I
- 1:06:42think you're coming tomorrow. Maybe we got a little, maybe
- 1:06:46we'll have a curveball. But thanks for coming on, bro.
- 1:06:48It's been a while. We had fun.
- 1:06:50I had fun. Talk to you later guys.
- 1:06:52Peace. All right guys, on that note,
- 1:06:54you already know the drill. Smash the like button comment,
- 1:06:58tell me if you'd buy a $420.00 satoshi shirt, and of course,
- 1:07:01hit the subscribe button. We will be back tomorrow, but of
- 1:07:04course, check out the other content on our channel.
- 1:07:07We have the best and the most content of anyone on YouTube.
- 1:07:11Good boy Opti, I'll see you tomorrow.
- 1:07:13Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
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- 1:07:19independence.