Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / SEE GOP Senator Predict DEFEAT We will lose, Tillis tells Ari amid Blue Wave signs
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: And signs rocking Trump and the Republicans as they are
- 0:03Speaker 1: clearly on defense, even in red states.
- 0:05Speaker 2: Here's news.
- 0:07Speaker 1: The president will be in Nebraska, of all places, next
- 0:10Speaker 1: hour because Republicans are, according to The Hill, fretting over
- 0:14Speaker 1: the Senate race there.
- 0:15Speaker 2: And if they are fretting in.
- 0:16Speaker 1: Public headlines, you can imagine what the private conversations are like.
- 0:20Speaker 1: Trump was just in Texas, a place that he would
- 0:23Speaker 1: not have thought two years ago he'd be campaigning to
- 0:25Speaker 1: defend a Senate seat.
- 0:28Speaker 2: But of course, that was two years ago.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Not only have things changed, but Donald Trump's intervention in
- 0:33Speaker 1: that race has made it harder for Republicans to win,
- 0:36Speaker 1: something that everybody knows. So he's trying to buck up
- 0:39Speaker 1: the MAGA candidate there, Ken Paxton. And for the second
- 0:42Speaker 1: time in two weeks, we have insight, factually, into what's
- 0:47Speaker 1: going on, as I mentioned, behind closed doors, where sometimes
- 0:49Speaker 1: you get a more unvarnished view.
- 0:52Speaker 2: The leaks are coming from people who are apparently.
- 0:54Speaker 1: Close to the Paxton campaign, because this is leaked audio
- 0:57Speaker 1: of him talking in a way that seems to blame Trump.
- 1:00Speaker 1: It's a new tape that was obtained by Politico, again,
- 1:03Speaker 1: where Paxton is in what is supposed to be a
- 1:05Speaker 1: private setting of allies, people who actually.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Give him money, who presumably want him to win, as
- 1:11Speaker 2: well as lobbyists.
- 1:12Speaker 1: As with all journalistic sourcing, we don't know exactly why
- 1:14Speaker 1: someone in that room or someone who knew someone in
- 1:16Speaker 1: that room eventually got the tape out, but the veracity
- 1:19Speaker 1: is not really in doubt tonight. He is recorded saying
- 1:22Speaker 1: that He laments he's not really even in control of
- 1:25Speaker 1: his campaign all the time. Things coming from D.C., whether
- 1:28Speaker 1: that's a reference to Trump, can be debated, but we
- 1:31Speaker 1: will listen here to the leaked audio.
- 1:36Speaker 3: I've never been in a race where I felt less
- 1:37Speaker 3: control over the campaign and what issues are going to
- 1:41Speaker 3: matter because it's all coming from D.C. and I don't
- 1:44Speaker 3: control the message or what we're doing, which in a
- 1:48Speaker 3: federal race comes from other people a lot of times,
- 1:50Speaker 3: which you don't control. I don't have the ability to
- 1:52Speaker 3: change anything, so I have to live with whatever I've got.
- 1:55Speaker 3: So it is a challenge.
- 1:58Speaker 1: The bottom line is that doesn't sound like someone who's saying,
- 2:01Speaker 1: we got this, we're winning, and we want the credit.
- 2:03Speaker 1: It almost sounds like what you hear sometimes in the
- 2:05Speaker 1: run-up to election days when things have kind of broken
- 2:08Speaker 1: down and you get those early leaks of people trying
- 2:11Speaker 1: to get ahead of their own loss.
- 2:13Speaker 2: Now, again, this is up to the voters.
- 2:14Speaker 1: If Paxton wins, these audio tapes will probably evaporate like
- 2:19Speaker 1: so much political piffle.
- 2:22Speaker 2: But if he loses.
- 2:24Speaker 1: Tapes like this will be the kind of early warning
- 2:26Speaker 1: shot that he was trying to tell at least donors
- 2:28Speaker 1: and maybe someone who wanted to leak this to upset
- 2:30Speaker 1: Trump or draw attention to the problem that whatever plays
- 2:33Speaker 1: are being run out of D.C., he doesn't think they're
- 2:35Speaker 1: working in Texas, to which many observers would say, duh,
- 2:39Speaker 1: Texas isn't even supposed to be this close. New polling
- 2:43Speaker 1: shows Paxton trailing the Democrat there, James Tallarico, by.
- 2:46Speaker 2: About six points. That's beyond the margin of error.
- 2:48Speaker 1: The Times report in the path to control the Senate
- 2:50Speaker 1: for the Dems is now, quote, widening.
- 2:52Speaker 2: As the party's fortunes improve in.
- 2:54Speaker 1: Five red states, which they call reliably Republican, Alaska, Iowa, Ohio,
- 3:02Speaker 1: the aforementioned Texas, and even Kansas. There's also new reporting
- 3:07Speaker 1: on five Republican senators who are not on the ballot,
- 3:09Speaker 1: but criticize Trump on the economy, where it is just
- 3:13Speaker 1: not okay anymore, even in red states, to go along
- 3:16Speaker 1: with the Trump spin that the economy is somehow good,
- 3:20Speaker 1: or these are little things, as J.D.
- 3:21Speaker 2: Vance said.
- 3:22Speaker 1: People are upset. They cannot afford gas and groceries. Credit
- 3:26Speaker 1: card debt is booming. Trump's tariffs and war have made
- 3:30Speaker 1: life harder. Take Republican Kennedy from Louisiana.
- 3:36Speaker 4: I think the biggest issue is cost of living. I
- 3:40Speaker 4: think we have to tell the American people the truth.
- 3:45Speaker 4: Telling them not to believe their own lying checkbooks is
- 3:48Speaker 4: not going to work.
- 3:50Speaker 2: Not going to work.
- 3:51Speaker 1: Democrats, meanwhile, targeting six more districts where Trump had double
- 3:55Speaker 1: digit wins again just in the last.
- 3:57Speaker 2: Cycle, November 24.
- 3:57Speaker 1: There's polling that shows now Americans are identifying more as
- 4:01Speaker 1: Democrats than Republicans by an.
- 4:03Speaker 2: 11 point margin.
- 4:04Speaker 1: That's a long ways from where we were in, again,
- 4:06Speaker 1: November to January when Trump was reelected and people thought
- 4:09Speaker 1: MAGA was somehow ascendant or cool, not out in the
- 4:13Speaker 1: country now. That is the biggest edge, if you're counting
- 4:16Speaker 1: on that question, since 2009, back during that early, calmer,
- 4:21Speaker 1: hopeful euphoria of the new Obama administration. So in the book,
- 4:27Speaker 1: you talk about Republicans against Trump. We all follow, our
- 4:31Speaker 1: viewers follow this closely. We only hear about a couple
- 4:35Speaker 1: in the Senate, you being one of them, and we
- 4:36Speaker 1: can get into that.
- 4:37Speaker 2: You say, though.
- 4:39Speaker 5: My Republican colleagues, quote, at least 30 by my count
- 4:43Speaker 5: expressed reservations, mildly you say, to put it mildly, about
- 4:48Speaker 5: many of Trump's actions in private.
- 4:50Speaker 2: That's the majority of your caucus.
- 4:51Speaker 1: So you're saying they're all like Tillis level or more
- 4:54Speaker 1: and they're too scared to say it in public?
- 4:56Speaker 2: Well, I think it's all transactional. What I didn't mean
- 4:58Speaker 2: is there's a group.
- 4:59Speaker 6: Of 30 people that if they spoke out, it's like
- 5:02Speaker 6: my position on Warsh, for example, or Jay Powell. And
- 5:07Speaker 6: so it's not like there's a coalition that agrees on that,
- 5:11Speaker 6: that every disagreement that I've had with the president, they
- 5:13Speaker 6: agree with.
- 5:14Speaker 2: But but there are.
- 5:15Speaker 6: Enough people that that for a variety of reasons are
- 5:19Speaker 6: not stepping up.
- 5:20Speaker 1: But most of them are quiet, you're saying.
- 5:23Speaker 6: They are or they work maybe more quietly than I do.
- 5:26Speaker 6: But at the end of the day, if you don't
- 5:27Speaker 6: use the devices of power, you know, the thing I
- 5:29Speaker 6: love most about this job is some of my my
- 5:31Speaker 6: greatest accomplishments using leverage.
- 5:33Speaker 2: You all will never know about it because you can
- 5:36Speaker 2: tell us. I know, but I don't want to.
- 5:38Speaker 6: OK, because I want to prove the point that when
- 5:41Speaker 6: senators use the leverage they have that come from a
- 5:44Speaker 6: Senate that has a filibuster. They can be enormously powerful
- 5:48Speaker 6: and they can help their president. This is all about
- 5:49Speaker 6: helping the president of the United States who happens to
- 5:51Speaker 6: be a Republican. Why would anybody think as a lifelong Republican,
- 5:55Speaker 6: I would knowingly do something that would hurt our party?
- 5:59Speaker 2: He's the head of the party.
- 6:00Speaker 6: I'm supporting the president because he's the head of the party,
- 6:02Speaker 6: not because he's Donald J. Trump, but because he is
- 6:05Speaker 6: the face of our party. And I want my party
- 6:07Speaker 6: to be in the best position for elections. And we're
- 6:10Speaker 6: going to take a little bit of a hit this season.
- 6:12Speaker 6: How big of a hit?
- 6:14Speaker 2: You think you're going to lose the House?
- 6:16Speaker 6: I think the House is almost statistically impossible to win.
- 6:19Speaker 2: Lose the House, probably lose the Senate.
- 6:20Speaker 6: No, I'm not in the probably yet. I think we'd
- 6:22Speaker 6: pull it out. It will be a tight margin, but
- 6:25Speaker 6: I still think we'd pull it out. Because we've got
- 6:27Speaker 6: great candidates in Maine, Ohio, Arkansas, they've just got to
- 6:30Speaker 6: run hard and we've got to support them. I want
- 6:33Speaker 6: to stick a fork in this turkey of a 1776 fund.
- 6:37Speaker 2: I see a problem. I want to solve it. This
- 6:39Speaker 2: is a problem. It should never be paid out.
- 6:42Speaker 6: Some of your statements seem to contradict what you said
- 6:45Speaker 6: in the prior hearing.
- 6:47Speaker 2: Just want an answer for it. What we've seen is
- 6:49Speaker 2: a disaster. Under your leadership, Ms. Noem, a disaster.
- 6:54Speaker 6: I think I'm pretty well staked out on my assessment
- 6:59Speaker 6: of Mr.
- 7:00Speaker 2: Hagson. We've got a management problem here. He needs to go.
- 7:03Speaker 1: You call for Hegseth to be ousted or resign. We
- 7:07Speaker 1: see the clashes there. I appreciate you coming and taking
- 7:10Speaker 1: all the questions. So I'm going to say it respectfully,
- 7:13Speaker 1: but clearly. If that Tom Tillis is right about all
- 7:17Speaker 1: those problems, why didn't Tom Tillis stop any of those nominations?
- 7:23Speaker 1: As you know, you confirmed all of.
- 7:25Speaker 2: Them in the book. You talk about some regrets. Walk
- 7:28Speaker 2: us through that.
- 7:29Speaker 6: Look, when you're on a committee of jurisdiction, I put
- 7:32Speaker 6: a lot of weight on those members. I wrote a
- 7:34Speaker 6: letter to the colleagues saying, I'm going to be a
- 7:36Speaker 6: presumptive yes if we have unanimous Republican votes coming out
- 7:40Speaker 6: of the committee. The Democrats are looking when a president
- 7:43Speaker 6: is standing up his cabinet. Democrats are just dying for
- 7:47Speaker 6: that one big visible loss.
- 7:49Speaker 2: I mean, people.
- 7:50Speaker 6: Forget that when Matt Gaetz was put forward, I quietly
- 7:53Speaker 6: went to the White House, went to Matt and said,
- 7:56Speaker 6: this is not a good idea.
- 7:57Speaker 2: You're not going to be successful.
- 7:58Speaker 6: My goal was to try and get as many cabinet
- 8:00Speaker 6: members in place as quickly as possible for the president.
- 8:03Speaker 6: And if I could not find something that was disqualifying
- 8:06Speaker 6: on my own that I felt like I could take
- 8:08Speaker 6: to a committee member and convince them, then I'm going
- 8:11Speaker 6: to defer to the committee member. That was the hiring decision.
- 8:15Speaker 6: Now he's getting his annual evaluation and he's failed.
- 8:18Speaker 2: I've hired people that I've fired before. He has failed.
- 8:21Speaker 2: I gave him the benefit of the doubt. The committee
- 8:24Speaker 2: gave him the benefit of the doubt.
- 8:26Speaker 6: Very few people now, I think, knowing what they know now,
- 8:29Speaker 6: I don't think you get a unanimous vote out of
- 8:30Speaker 6: the same Senate Armed Services Committee because he has failed
- 8:34Speaker 6: to execute.
- 8:35Speaker 2: Hey, it's Rachel.
- 8:36Speaker 7: I am so glad to see you at the end
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- 9:02Speaker 2: Thanks.