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Episode 490 - 4/13/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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  Hello and welcome to episode 490.
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  Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast
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  powered by. Rhythm, I am your.
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  Host Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
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  everyone? Happy Monday, a new week.
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  Begins, guys, and did you know yes, we're going to get some
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  major. League Baseball, don't worry
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  about that. We got three more.
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  And we'll be bets lined up for you.
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  Tonight once again, as always, trying to go 2 and.
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  One, he got a winning day, but. Did You Know?
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  That the NFL. Draft is now just. 10.
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  Days away, the NFL. Draft takes place on.
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  Thursday, April 23rd. Which is a week.
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  From Thursday. So this means that we are in the
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  stretch run and I would. Call really the gold.
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  Rush time here the best time here to be looking at NFL prop
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  bets because when it. Comes to betting.
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  On drafts. I'm one of those.
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  Crazy people that loves. Betting on.
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  Drafts because it's really in a. Situation where you don't.
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  Have to know every. Player in their stats and what?
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  School they went. To and all these.
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  Nitty gritty insurance and outs. We got to be able.
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  To track the betting market. So that's.
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  What we love to do. On the pod.
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  Paying attention to. What the betting?
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  Market is telling us how lines are.
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  Moving How you know? Juices is leaning 1.
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  Way or the other or playing. Different sports books off.
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  Of each other, so they're not. Always going to have the same.
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  Number so for example. There's some draft.
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  Bets and the reason why I bring this up today, yes.
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  It's only. 10 days away from the draft, but #2 is that I've been.
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  Going to pretty much. Every sports book.
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  And just waiting. For more NFL draft prop bets to
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  to drop because forever it was just OK, who's going to go #1
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  And by the way, Fernando Mendoza probably will go number.
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  One he's -20. 1000 to go #1 but again, that's too big of a
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  number to bet there's no value there.
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  Gets interesting pick number. 2 David Bailey.
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  That Ed rusher out of Texas. Tech he is. -175.
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  Arvel Reese from Ohio State Plus 1/30 pick #3 Arvel Reece.
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  Plus one O 5. Bailey plus 265.
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  South basically. To me you can, you know.
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  Get rid of Mendoza, There's really not any value to bet him.
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  Draft starts at. Two and moving forward, but
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  here's. The thing?
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  We've had some of these prop bets.
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  Up for a while. Who will go?
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  First, second, third, 4th, 5th, up to like. 10th But it wasn't
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  really until today. And I've been looking at every
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  single day that we saw all these.
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  Other NFL Draft prop bets show up.
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  So I'm looking at. DraftKings right now.
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  One prop bet that I love. Betting is over under.
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  Position so for example. I'm looking at.
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  KC. Concepcion.
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  He's a slot receiver from. Who is he with?
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  I think Texas A&M. 26 1/2 is his over under.
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  Draft position over. -150 under plus plus 120.
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  So we have to meet, you know, 20. 5 or less.
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  Than we get to some other angles here looking at draft totals, so
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  it'll be the. Total number of quarterbacks.
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  Drafted in the first round Over 4 1/2 + 330.
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  Under 4 1/2 -, 500. Then we get to a couple other.
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  Things that I like looking at. Head to heads there aren't.
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  Too many of those here, but. Like who will be?
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  Drafted sooner Player A versus Player B.
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  So I'm getting at here, guys. I'm not going to give you any
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  any official bets for the NFL draft, but I want to say this
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  because I think today. Is the day.
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  Where you want to bookmark these draft prop.
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  Bets so if you have. An account at DraftKings.
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  Or FanDuel. Or.
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  Bet MGM. Or Caesar's.
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  Or whatever. The case may be today's a good
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  day to just screenshot. Some odds.
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  Whether you're on your. IPhone.
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  You click the two buttons, boom, take a.
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  Screenshot. That's usually what I do.
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  Or if you. Want to put.
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  Them into an Excel. Sheet or you just want to?
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  Copy and paste. The whole point is that we.
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  Want a point of? Reference We.
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  Want to be able to track where? The late money is.
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  Breaking. At the very, very end.
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  So this is something we always talk about when it.
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  Comes to just betting on regular games, you know you.
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  Look at the NFL. Obviously early moves, you know,
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  moves. Throughout the week are.
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  Important, but whether it's. NFL or any other sport that late
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  money is always very significant doesn't mean that every late
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  money move is going to. Cash, but it does.
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  Mean that limits are. Raised bigger bets.
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  Come in the most. Intel is there typically.
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  You want to be with that. Late money you want?
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  You know you want a dog plus. 4 1/2 and then.
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  Last hour before kickoff, they get down to. 4 or 3 1/2 you.
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  Want that late money breaking your direction?
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  So you really? Can't do that unless you have a
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  point of. Reference So with 10 days out
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  again draft. Is Thursday April 23rd.
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  Today's the day I'm. Telling you this, it's going to
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  be important screenshot the odds, get just all the numbers.
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  So I screenshotted all these different.
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  Prop bets that are. Are interesting to me.
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  Draft. Totals head to head all these
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  different positions. Over.
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  Unders and then basically. We're going to look every single
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  day at how they're moving. Now, the other angle here is
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  final mock drafts. So mock drafts.
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  Again, everybody's got them. They're like opinions.
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  Everybody's got a mock draft and some of them come from.
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  You know someone. Living in their mom's basement,
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  which probably mean nothing, but there are mock.
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  Drafts, I must admit. That are meaningful to me.
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  So you got your Mel Kipers? You got your Todd Mcshays, Peter
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  Schrager's, a guy who over the last few years has done really,
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  really well because. These are people who are.
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  Tied in. They have inside sources.
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  They know and. They're talking to GM's and
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  other personal people. So when they get Intel or they
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  have a mock draft with, you know, something interesting
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  going on, they're not throwing. Darts.
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  Usually that's because. They've been told something.
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  And usually what happens is word starts to leak.
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  Out, you know, and then that. Basically affects the board
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  here. So again.
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  We're we're wall to wall baseball right now.
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  Which we'll be doing up until October when football gets back.
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  But today's the day again to start.
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  Thinking about the NFL? Draft seriously and let's.
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  Screenshot these odds. Therefore that'll be.
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  Like when you look. At your live odds page, your
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  your odds logic live odds page. Of course, that column on the
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  left that says Opener. Basically you screenshot.
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  All these draft props. Today, that's going to be our
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  opener. Now is it the true opener?
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  No, because they might have come out a.
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  Little bit earlier, but that is. Basically a starting point.
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  So then we can. Say moving forward, you know
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  where where the smart. Money is leaning.
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  So for example. When I was giving you those over
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  under draft. Positions like.
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  Concepcion 26 1/2 is over -150 if we see.
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  That over go to. Minus. 200 then that.
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  Tells me smart money is playing the over again.
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  Another angle here would be let me give you another player,
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  Cardinal Tate. He's the.
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  Star wide receiver from Ohio State.
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  Over under 7 half draft position.
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  The under is -2. 60 Well, let's. Say it gets.
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  To, you know -300 again, you're getting the worst number, but
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  that's telling you that money's pouring in on him to go under
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  that number. So point of reference.
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  Screenshot the odds and. We'll see if we.
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  Can catch some of these tickets. Going into the NFL draft, so I
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  just wanted to mention that. Before, of course, we get to.
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  MLB. Just to get excited about
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  something. Coming up here.
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  The NFL draft, which? I love betting on.
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  I love betting and. NBA drafts, I bet.
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  NHL drafts. I do them all.
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  I must admit, I don't think I've done too.
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  Many MLB because that's more of a crapshoot.
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  Well, that being said. Guys starting off a new week
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  here. Hope everyone had a great
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  weekend. Let's get to Major League
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  Baseball because we are grinding.
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  MLB. I must admit guys, MLB a little
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  bit rough right now. I feel like when I take a dog.
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  They get blown out. And when I take a favorite.
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  They, you know, they cough up a lead and lose on me so.
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  We just got to not get too high or too low.
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  Not have you know. Overarching positions on MLB.
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  It's going to be. Volatile there's.
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  Going to be times. When like for example, I had the
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  Pirates plus or are they plus 120 yesterday?
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  They're up five. Nothing.
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  They're up two in the eighth. They blow.
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  It and lose. On a walk off, that's going to
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  happen sometimes for you, but. We just got to stick with it.
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  Keep grinding. So if you're.
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  Struggling with MLB? Out there as well.
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  Just know you're not. Alone and I would.
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  Argue MLB is the hardest sport. Other than NBA?
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  To consistently win at. But we still have a path to to
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  making some money. So that's what we're going to
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  try to do. So 3 bets overall.
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  All three favorites here guys. Going to see if we can get.
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  Two out of three. So first, but on the board for
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  me, let's. Go to A7.
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  O 5:00 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
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  The LA Angels. Visiting the New York Yankees.
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  The angels come in eight and eight on the year.
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  Just. Took two or three against the
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  Reds. They won the series finale
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  against Cincinnati yesterday, 9:00 to 6:00 as a -, 115 road
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  favorite. Meanwhile, the Yankees 8.
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  And seven started off. Great, but they've since lost
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  five in a row. Just got swept by the Rays.
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  They lost 5 to 4 yesterday. As a minus. 145 road favorite
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  so. What are we sitting across the
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  board? Well, first let's start as
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  always. With the pitching matchup, you
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  want to know the goalie in hockey you want.
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  To know the starting quarterback in football, you got to know the
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  starting pitcher in baseball, so.
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  Starting pitcher for the Angels is the.
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  Lefty, you say? Kikuchi.
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  He's O and two. With a six point. 75 ERA this
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  year, Yankees, meanwhile, they're going to go with the
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  ready Will Warren. He's one and O with a
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  three-point O 7 ERA. So what do we see across the
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  market will this game? Open with the Yankees.
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  Listed around a -, 175 home favorite angels around a + 155
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  row dog and what do you think? You know, take the big plus.
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  Money with the Halos or late with New York?
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  Who's struggling right now? Well, looks like wise guys are.
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  Laying it and that's what I'm doing guys.
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  I'm back in the. The New York Yankees.
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  Tonight, because the Yankees have gotten steamed up -175 up
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  to as high as -195 S big line move here.
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  In their favor. Now we look at the splits.
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  At DraftKings. Yankees are getting 84% of money
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  line bets, 91% of money line dollars.
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  So good. Pro and Joe split heavy action
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  here on the. Yankees.
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  But what I really like is over at Circa, because if you go to
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  Circa out in Vegas, 44%. Of money line bets, but 97.
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  Percent of money line. Dollars are going with the
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  Yankees. That tells me out.
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  In the desert you got a lot of big.
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  Money here going with New York Yankees would have.
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  Something I'd always look for if I'm on a favorite non division
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  favorite. It's a lack of familiarity
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  benefiting. Quote UN quote the better.
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  Team who's expected to win? Also Yankees kind of in a buy.
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  Low spot again, angels. Probably better than you'd.
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  Expect them to be. 500. And just took 2.
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  Three against the Reds. Yankees just got swept and have
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  lost five straights, so maybe. You're buying low on them a
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  little bit. If they're running hot, I'd
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  assume they're probably like. -220 in this game so.
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  Maybe a little bit. Very reduced price but also they
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  have the better bullpen. 2.98 ERA versus. 4 point O 5 for the
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  Halos and then. Really these starting?
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  Pitchers, that's what I like backing.
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  Warren and fading Kikuchi because Kikuchi.
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  Owen 2 in his last. Two starts, he's given up nine
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  runs in 10.1 innings. Pitch that is a. 7.8. 4 ERA and
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  if you go back to last. Year on the.
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  Road he really struggled. 1:00 and 8:00.
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  Five point O 4 ERA. Meanwhile, Warren.
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  He's given up 4. Runs in 10.1 innings.
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  Pitch in his last two. Starts.
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  That's a three. .48. ERA and he's.
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  Pretty good at home. Last year, 7 and. 43 point.
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  Five O ERA. So we have a line move toward
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  the Yankees. Feels like a big.
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  Price But again, you know they're on a losing streak, so
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  why are they such a big favorite if they've struggled?
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  So much recently I. Kind of want to.
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  Embrace that fishy angle. I got Yankees. -180.
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  Five at the score a little bit earlier today.
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  Again, shop around. I'm seeing books as high as -190
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  -, 200. But although.
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  Oh, by the way. Found a 19.
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  Percent 19. Percent 19.
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  Percent sharp mush edge. On New York.
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  From our. Friends at Juice Reel.
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  So at Juice Reel, you. Got a lot of big money back in
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  the Yankees. As well.
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  So first one on the board. And see if the Yankees can get
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  back on track. In the Bronx with a big steam
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  move. And a good sharp mush edge.
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  I got the Yankees. -185. At the score, next bet for you.
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  7:15 PM. Eastern Time, first pitch.
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  Let's go down to Hot Lana, although it's pretty early, it's
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  April. So I don't think it's too hot
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  down there. Let me just double check out of
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  curiosity. Nice 74°.
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  Not bad. But anyway, Marlins at Braves.
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  So the Marlins come in eight and eight on the year.
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  Just got swept over by the Tigers.
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  They dropped that series finale yesterday. 8:00 to 2:00.
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  As a + 1. 60 Row Dog Braves however, off to a great start,
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  10 and 6. Just took two or three against
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  the guards. They won 13 to 1 yesterday.
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  Came through as a. Minus. 200 home favorite.
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  So pitch a matchup. For tonight, we got the Marlins
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  going with the. Ready, Yuri Perez.
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  He's one and one with a. Five point O 6.
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  ER, a Braves, meanwhile, going to go with.
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  The fellow ready Grant. Holmes he's Owen one and one
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  with a 2 point. 55 ER a. So just in across the market
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  here, will this game open with the?
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  Braves. Kind of a modest -135 home.
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  Favorite. Miami A + 115 row.
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  Dog and sharps. Have gotten down hard on the.
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  Braves. Thinking that -1. 35 was a
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  little short. Because they have now steamed up
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  the Atlanta Braves to -145 and if you.
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  Check across the market. Braves are even like -150 -,
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  155. So, as always, doesn't matter
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  the sport. You're going to see the
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  importance of this in the. NFL betting draft, or betting
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  the draft I should say. But different books having
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  different numbers because again, you lay.
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  AI lay A -, 145 You lay a -, 155 Braves win.
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  We're both happy. Knock on wood.
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  But I'll be happier because I got.
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  More in the back end because I had.
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  Multiple books. Was able to shop for the best.
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  Number now aside from. The steam on the Braves.
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  Circa is showing. A really good sharp split on
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  Atlanta. 63% bets. 91%. Dollars out in the desert tells
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  me big money here going with the Braves.
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  I'm going to bank on hopefully. Holmes out dueling Perez, but
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  also Atlanta's. Bats hope they come to play.
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  Tonight because they've hit very well to start the year hitting.
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  274. They've scored 90 runs.
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  Miami's only hitting 249. They've scored seventy runs.
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  Taking these pictures a little. Bit more Perez.
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  Has an area of. Six over his last two starts
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  allowed. Six runs and nine innings
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  pitched in 2025 S going. Back to last year.
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  Perez posted an area of 5.33 on the road, 2.93 at home.
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  So he's been good at home. Not great on the.
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  Road and he's. Facing a divisional opponent
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  who's seen him before in Atlanta.
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  Meanwhile, Holmes 1.42 era in his last two starts, only given
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  up two runs in 12. .2 innings pitched.
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  Last year 2. .93 era at home. Versus 5.5.
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  One on the road, so he's been better at home than the road.
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  Lastly. Home Rd. in general.
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  Braves six and three at home. Marlins just one and five on the
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  road. So steam toward Atlanta.
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  Also I have two rhythm smart signals.
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  Both lit. Up on the Braves.
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  I love. Seeing those smart signals.
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  Green Star plays here. Lighting up on the.
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  Braves so. Anytime.
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  You can get the. Market the the bet splits.
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  The system matches and rhythm is.
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  Giving me a couple. Sharp angles.
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  That's always a good. Sign So did play the Braves
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  tonight guys at Caesar's. -140. Five last.
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  Bite of the Night. We got the Mets.
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  Visiting the Dodgers. 10:10 PM Eastern.
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  Time first pitch. We got the Mets coming in seven
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  and 9. They've lost five in a row.
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  Our start off decent but really kind of the.
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  The bottom fell. Out here against the A.
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  'S they just got. Swept at home against the
• 14:48
  Athletics. Lost one nothing yesterday as a
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  -, 175 home. Favorite.
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  Meanwhile, the Dodgers. They're being the Dodgers again.
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  11:00 and 4:00 to start. The year just took two or three
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  against the Rangers. Couldn't get the sweep though.
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  They lost 5 to 2. Yesterday as a minus. 130 home
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  favorite. So pitching.
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  Match up for tonight. We got a couple.
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  Lefties going at it. Mets are going to go with the.
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  Lefty David Peterson. He's Owen 2 with a 6.14.
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  ER, a Dodgers. Meanwhile, going with the lefty
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  Justin Roblewski, he's want to know with an ERA of four.
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  So pitching aside from the pitching match up here, let's.
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  Get to the opening line. Open with the Dodgers.
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  Around a -. 155 home favorite New York around a plus. 135 Rd.
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  Dog and I must admit guys, you know.
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  You get the the Dodgers at home on a short number, you know,
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  think about the Dodgers. They're usually minus. 175 -,
• 15:37
  200 -, 250 At home, well, they only open -155 and wise.
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  Guys are saying. Yeah, good value.
• 15:44
  Let's lay it. Here with the Dodgers like any
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  other. Team -150. 5 is relatively.
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  Bit of an expensive number, but with the Dodgers that's almost
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  like a. Discount bargain bin price.
• 15:55
  So we've seen this line move toward the.
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  Dodgers -150. 5 up to -160. Five first angle there of a.
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  $0.10 Steam Move. Going with the Dodgers.
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  But then also the splits over at circa. 71% bets, 82% dollars on
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  LA. So good low bets, higher dollar.
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  Split in their favorite. From the pros in Vegas, and
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  here's the. Angle I was trying.
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  To mention to you, let's give you an exact number since. 2022.
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  So going on a what, 234565 year sample here when the daughters
• 16:24
  are a home favorite? -175 or.
• 16:27
  Less get this they're. 83 and 40. 266.
• 16:31
  Percent, 14% ROI. So the whole point there is
• 16:35
  that. You know. -150. 5 is a
• 16:37
  relatively cheap. Price here, I guess -165 and
• 16:40
  they're done very well when they're a relatively cheap home.
• 16:43
  Favorite Dodgers, of course, can hope their bats.
• 16:46
  Continue to shine here. They're hitting 29495 on base
• 16:49
  percentage, 91 runs scored. New York's hitting 2:30. 6. 353
• 16:54
  on base, 61 runs scored. Also 2.
• 16:57
  Lefties on the bump. Always, never hurts to.
• 17:00
  Just have a. Quick glance of.
• 17:01
  How each team does against lefties?
• 17:03
  Well, the Dodgers. Are hitting 286 Mets rating. 236
• 17:07
  I want to back. I want to fade.
• 17:08
  Peterson. If you look at his last two
• 17:10
  starts. He's got an area of 9.64, giving
• 17:13
  up 10. Runs and 9.1 and he's pitched.
• 17:15
  And the other angle for me, the Dodgers is a.
• 17:17
  Bit of a schedule. Spot now both teams played.
• 17:19
  Yesterday, but the Dodgers. Are continuing a home stand so
• 17:23
  they just. Played.
• 17:24
  Three at home there. Against the Texas Rangers,
• 17:27
  they're staying at home, sleeping in their beds.
• 17:29
  No travel and now hosting. The Mets.
• 17:31
  But the Mets? Just played A3 game set.
• 17:34
  In New York yesterday. So they have to travel cross
• 17:37
  country to California again. With all of.
• 17:40
  The, you know, losing the. The sleep they're.
• 17:42
  Going, you know. East to West.
• 17:45
  So again, that's kind of a tough spot for the Mets versus the
• 17:48
  Dodgers, who are rested and ready to go.
• 17:50
  Lastly, 10% sharp mush edge from our friends at Juice Reel on the
• 17:53
  Dodgers. And our.
• 17:55
  Friends at Rhythm have. 2 Green Star recommended plays.
• 17:59
  On the Dodgers. So Add all up here guys, I.
• 18:01
  Got dodgers -150? Five at the score.
• 18:04
  Shop around, I'm seeing most. Books closer to -165 at this
• 18:07
  point. So 3 plays, let's try to get 2
• 18:10
  of them. Yankees.
• 18:11
  Braves and. Dodgers.
• 18:13
  So that about does it for episode 4. 90 of the all systems
• 18:17
  go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 18:19
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 18:22
  And now we start first by saying.
• 18:23
  Thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 18:25
  you for tuning in, thank you for grinding in the arena with me.
• 18:28
  Every single day, through the UPS and the downs, the good and
• 18:31
  the. Bad the wins, the losses.
• 18:33
  Again, just like in life, you're going.
• 18:35
  To have good days and bad days, mediocre days, amazing days,
• 18:38
  terrible. Days.
• 18:39
  Well, kind. Of the same thing.
• 18:40
  In sports betting, but we can. Never get too high or too low.
• 18:43
  We show up each day with a positive, cautious but
• 18:46
  optimistic attitude trying to beat a tough market.
• 18:49
  So if you do enjoy this pod, if you value the insights,
• 18:51
  hopefully. You've learned a thing or two.
• 18:52
  Along the way please. Could you help me?
• 18:55
  Grow this podcast. Give it a five star review on
• 18:57
  Spotify or. ITunes leave a nice.
• 18:59
  Comment under the review. Section click the follow.
• 19:01
  Button recommend. The pod to a friend.
• 19:03
  Retweet the pod when I put it out on Twitter each day at Josh
• 19:07
  under Score Insights next. If you enjoy this.
• 19:10
  Style of betting breakdown data. Driven sharp contrarian betting.
• 19:13
  Focusing on line movement bets what system matches?
• 19:16
  Taking advantage of a. Contrarian approach.
• 19:19
  If any of this. Has appealed to you.
• 19:21
  You've now been provided A blueprint to attack the market.
• 19:24
  And you want to maybe learn more?
• 19:25
  About data-driven. Betting.
• 19:26
  Or maybe you have someone in your life who could use.
• 19:28
  Some data-driven tips. Well, I'd love for you to go to
• 19:30
  Amazon dot. Com.
• 19:32
  And type in either the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook or the.
• 19:35
  Everything guide to sports betting.
• 19:36
  Those are the two books that I've written.
• 19:38
  Very proud of both if you. Want to grab?
• 19:40
  One or the other. Again, makes a great Father's
• 19:42
  Day gifts. You know somebody's.
• 19:44
  Birthday, whatever the case may be.
• 19:46
  But grab one. Or both of those.
• 19:48
  Books bring the sports. Book.
• 19:49
  I'll sign them for you and buy a.
• 19:50
  Beer or ginger ale? Get some Cracker Jacks.
• 19:53
  We'll sweat some MLB tonight. Next.
• 19:56
  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice?
• 19:58
  Reel yet my 2. Favorite sports betting apps?
• 20:00
  They helped me win. They're going to help.
• 20:01
  You win because they're all data-driven.
• 20:03
  So rhythm. Great for their AI.
• 20:05
  Backed models and predictions for game bets and player props,
• 20:08
  as well as Juice Reel. We can get the Robo Jackson best
• 20:11
  bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays
• 20:14
  the shop for the best line. Futures.
• 20:16
  You can sync up your sports books, get a running report card
• 20:18
  of your action, but also you can support.
• 20:20
  The pot by signing. Up to get the all systems.
• 20:23
  Go best bet picks. From Juice Reel.
• 20:25
  For only. $4.99 a week. So 5 bucks.
• 20:28
  Again, the pot is free. You want to toss in a $5.00
• 20:30
  bill? I'll give you a cent back.
• 20:32
  You'll get all the. Plays and hopefully beat some
• 20:34
  closing lines. Get these.
• 20:35
  Numbers a little bit earlier in the day.
• 20:37
  So download rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them both.
• 20:39
  A five star view in the App Store.
• 20:41
  Next you have a live odds page. Well.
• 20:43
  If you don't have. One you need one.
• 20:45
  It's such a critical tool. To being a data.
• 20:47
  Driven better because you. Got to know number one.
• 20:49
  What are all the? Sports in action?
• 20:50
  Today, what are the games I can bet on?
• 20:52
  I need start times. I need live.
• 20:53
  Scoring once the game gets going I need live in game wagering.
• 20:56
  Odds if you want to get down live but.
• 20:58
  More importantly, to me, it's a lot of.
• 21:00
  Preflop, all the research you're going to do throughout the day
• 21:02
  is. Going to be tied.
• 21:03
  To that live odds page. What did the line open at?
• 21:06
  Where is it now? How does it move?
• 21:07
  Pulp line history Identify steam When?
• 21:10
  When? Lines get lit up in red, you
• 21:13
  know, the markets moving and then of course shopping.
• 21:15
  For the best number. Finding, you know, Yankees -180.
• 21:19
  5 when every other book is -190 -, 200 so I would highly
• 21:22
  recommend giving a shot. To odds logic, it's the best
• 21:25
  live odds page around. All you got to do is go to
• 21:28
  oddslogic.com slash. Josh, 123.
• 21:33
  Next, have you heard of Profit X?
• 21:35
  PROPHET. X.
• 21:37
  I partnered with Profit X if you are.
• 21:39
  Looking to. Add another out.
• 21:41
  Get another sports book, although it's not a sports book.
• 21:43
  It's a betting exchange, but you're going to get.
• 21:44
  Better numbers. Because you're going up against
• 21:46
  other betters in an exchange you're exchanging.
• 21:49
  Money better to better. Instead of.
• 21:51
  You know, exchanging. Money with a sports book.
• 21:52
  Who's going to make? You pay -1. 20 or more in terms
• 21:55
  of the. Juice so with profit.
• 21:57
  X You're going to get better juice prices and when you win,
• 21:59
  you're not going to get limited. So if you want to download the
• 22:01
  profit X app when. You fund your account, just put
• 22:04
  in. Josh as your.
• 22:05
  Promo code they'll tack on. A 20% deposit.
• 22:08
  Match. So that about Dozen Guys episode
• 22:10
  490 kicking off a new week here on a Monday.
• 22:12
  Now in the books. As always.
• 22:14
  Two final thoughts, one. Whether I see?
• 22:16
  You at the Borgata in Atlantic. City Twin River in Rhode Island,
• 22:19
  the Brooklyn, New Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 22:22
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge park casino
• 22:25
  MGM Springfield or the. Nash in my neck of the woods on
• 22:28
  the border of. Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
• 22:31
  Out in the desert, where the true grinders get down.
• 22:33
  Or Billy Walters sends his number runners.
• 22:34
  Where the lowest? Juice Possible is found at the
• 22:36
  South Point. Or sweat and sharp.
• 22:38
  Contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when?
• 22:41
  You catch a big. Ticket at Circa wherever it may
• 22:44
  be, how you're going to walk. Up to me hopefully.
• 22:46
  Show me a couple MLB tickets. And if we can, you know.
• 22:50
  Use Beth. Tannen's Almanac.
• 22:51
  That'd be even better. Hopefully you'll show me. 10
• 22:54
  days from now, some winning NFL draft profits.
• 22:56
  I'm telling you guys, I'm going. To be glued this is like this is
• 22:59
  like my. Favorite time of year?
• 23:00
  These last, you know, 10 days or so before the draft because a
• 23:03
  lot of Intel leaks, a lot of lines move.
• 23:05
  And if you pay attention, you put in the effort the time, you
• 23:07
  track it, you can make some money here.
• 23:10
  Even if you have no clue who Man's or Delaine is.
• 23:13
  Well, he could be the first cornerback.
• 23:15
  Off the board, but based on. Data on the way we can track the
• 23:18
  market. Hopefully we can make some money
• 23:20
  here, knock on wood. So as always, guys coming off a.
• 23:22
  Winning weekend, Losing weekend. Good night, bad night, Hot
• 23:26
  streak, cold streak, whether up or down.
• 23:28
  Whether everything's going our way or nothing's going.
• 23:30
  Our way we're. Just going to stick to the
• 23:31
  model. Stick to the.
• 23:32
  Blueprint never get too high, Never get too low.
• 23:35
  Because when we're hot. Whenever as good as we think.
• 23:37
  When we're ice cold, we're never as bad as we think.
• 23:39
  We just got to. Keep grinding and look for those
• 23:41
  system plays, games that fit our model.
• 23:44
  Go a little little something like this against the public
• 23:47
  with the house with the pros, Flap that avoid parlays and get
• 23:50
  that. CLV if we can do that.
• 23:52
  We're going to be. Successful sports betters.
• 23:54
  So have a fantastic. Monday night, everybody.
• 23:56
  Be right back at it tomorrow. For episode 491 of the All
• 23:59
  Systems. Go sports betting podcast.
• 24:02
  Powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 24:04
  great. Monday night.