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The AI Software Pivot and a FourDay Sprint · The SPY Trader

• 0:00
  Good morning , everyone !
• 0:02
  I am Barnaby BullMarket , and you are listening to Spy Trader .
• 0:05
  It is currently 6 am on Sunday , June 14th , 2026 , here in the beautiful Pacific time zone .
• 0:12
  I hope your coffee is hot and your weekend has been relaxing , because we are heading into a very interesting , albeit short , week on Wall Street .
• 0:21
  First off , mark your calendars : the U.S.
• 0:24
  markets will be closed this coming Friday , June 19th , in observance of Juneteenth .
• 0:30
  That means we have a fourday trading sprint ahead of us .
• 0:33
  Now , do not let the short week fool you into thinking it will be a quiet one .
• 0:37
  We are expecting compressed volatility , but Thursday might get a little wild .
• 0:41
  It is what we call Quadruple Witching .
• 0:43
  That is when stock options , stock index futures , and index options all expire at the same time .
• 0:50
  It usually brings a spike in activity , so keep your eyes peeled .
• 0:54
  In the big picture , we are officially living in the Neutral Rate era .
• 0:59
  The Federal Reserve confirmed last week that they are hitting the pause button at a rate of about three point five percent .
• 1:06
  While the days of aggressive hikes are over , those deep rate cuts many were hoping for have not arrived because our economy is surprisingly tough .
• 1:14
  For those of you looking for steady income , this favors the iShares Core U.S.
• 1:19
  Aggregate Bond ETF , or AGG .
• 1:24
  On the other hand , if you are holding longterm treasuries like the TLT ETF , you might feel a little pressure if upcoming inflation numbers suggest the neutral rate needs to be even higher .
• 1:36
  Speaking of data , Tuesday , June 16th , is the big day for Retail Sales numbers from May .
• 1:43
  This is really the make or break moment for our week .
• 1:47
  If we see that folks are still out there spending despite the higher cost of living we have seen in 2026 , the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF , known as VTI , should see a lift .
• 1:58
  We are also watching Thursday , June 18th , for Weekly Jobless Claims to see if that soft landing for the economy is still on track .
• 2:07
  Now , let us talk tech .
• 2:09
  We are seeing a second wave of AI investment .
• 2:12
  The focus is moving away from the chipmakers like Nvidia and toward the software integrators .
• 2:18
  Last week’s Apple Worldwide Developers Conference was a gamechanger .
• 2:23
  Analysts are still buzzing about Siri 3.0 and its new autonomous agent capabilities .
• 2:28
  We expect Apple , ticker AAPL , to be a major mover this week .
• 2:33
  We are also seeing great followthrough from Oracle and Adobe after their recent earnings showed huge growth in AIcloud subscriptions .
• 2:41
  Their performance this week will decide if the Invesco QQQ Trust can break past its current resistance levels .
• 2:49
  Outside of tech , JPMorgan Chase is looking like a solid value play as credit card delinquencies have finally plateaued in early 2026 .
• 2:59
  In real estate , the Vanguard Real Estate ETF , VNQ , is finally finding its footing now that the Fed's neutral stance is clear .
• 3:09
  Within that , companies like Prologis are doing well thanks to American manufacturing coming back home .
• 3:16
  And for my energy traders , oil is holding steady near eightyfive dollars a barrel with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remaining simmering but stable .
• 3:26
  This provides a tailwind for Exxon Mobil as the summer travel season kicks into high gear .
• 3:32
  So , what are the Spy Trader recommendations for this week ?
• 3:36
  First , I am suggesting you overweight AI Software Integration .
• 3:40
  Specifically , look at the Invesco QQQ Trust or the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund , XLK .
• 3:49
  The market is rewarding companies that are actually deploying AI , not just training it .
• 3:54
  My strategy here is to look for a buy on any Monday morning dip .
• 3:58
  Second , consider a tactical move into income diversification with the Vanguard Real Estate ETF , or VNQ .
• 4:06
  With the Fed promising no more hikes for the summer , those REIT dividends look very attractive compared to the stagnant 10year Treasury yield .
• 4:15
  Look at Prologis within that fund as a specific example of strength .
• 4:20
  Finally , keep some caution regarding the broad market caps .
• 4:23
  Because of the Friday holiday , Thursday the 18th will be a forced liquidity event for the big players .
• 4:30
  If we rally early in the week on good retail data , we might see a bit of a cooling off on Thursday as traders derisk before the long weekend .
• 4:39
  If you are worried about inflation returning , a small position in SPDR Gold Shares , GLD , can be a great hedge .
• 4:48
  In short , I am looking for a bullish start to the week led by Big Tech , followed by a flatter Thursday as we head into the holiday .
• 4:56
  Stay sharp , stay friendly , and let us have a great week of trading !
• 5:01
  This has been Barnaby BullMarket for Spy Trader .