Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 291 - 6/3/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 291 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone, Happy
- 0:37Tuesday. The early portion of our week
- 0:39rolls on as we kick off the month of June.
- 0:42And once again, guys, we're going to look to do what we love
- 0:44to do, which is bet on sports, make data-driven bets, but in
- 0:47particular focus on Major League Baseball.
- 0:50Again, we still have another day or two or actually up until
- 0:53Thursday for the opener of the NBA Finals.
- 0:56Still sitting right now at OK C as a 9 1/2 point favorite.
- 1:00Did see some of those totals tick up a little bit, 230 1/2,
- 1:03229 1/2, even out to 231 or 231 1/2.
- 1:07So keep an eye on that total. And then also NHL the opening
- 1:11round or opening game of the Stanley Cup Final.
- 1:14Florida and Edmonton kicks off tomorrow actually, and we
- 1:17haven't really seen much movement still Edmonton or
- 1:19actually did Edmonton did get a little bit of movement -125 up
- 1:22to around -130 that total is 6 1/2.
- 1:26Looks like it rose a little bit from 6 up to 6 1/2.
- 1:28So I'm going to give it a little bit more time here guys.
- 1:30I may have a series bet Florida, Edmonton.
- 1:33I'm waiting to get another fresh batch of data for my buddy John
- 1:36Ewing just to see what the series price is because feels
- 1:39like kind of a tight series that might go 7.
- 1:40So we will have a serious price opportunity there.
- 1:43But either way, guys going to get right back to do what we
- 1:46love to do, which is of course betting on Major League
- 1:49Baseball. So last night, good start to the
- 1:51week, good start to the month of June 2 and 1 + 0.47 units.
- 1:55So we'll take a half unit every time.
- 1:57Really the highlight of the night for me was the Milwaukee
- 1:59Brew Crew. The beer makers baby made some
- 2:02nice moonshine in the bathtub. Because remember, we saw the the
- 2:05Cincinnati Reds open -125 and basically get all the way down
- 2:09to like -115 -, 110 even got down to basically a pick em.
- 2:13So we saw that 5050 line move toward Milwaukee divisional Dog
- 2:17dog high total and is actually getting a little bit nervous at
- 2:20the beginning because they gave up two runs in the first and it
- 2:22could have been worse. Savalley got out out of it and
- 2:25then they didn't score another run until basically the Brewers
- 2:28took a three to two lead and it stayed true the entire game from
- 2:31like the 4th inning on, there wasn't a single run scored.
- 2:33So nice job by the Brew Crew getting it done for the team.
- 2:37Also got a great hit with the Tigers.
- 2:38Nice rocking chair winner there would they went 13 to 1.
- 2:41Carrie Carpenter went nuts. Anyone have Carrie Carpenter
- 2:44prop bets? Hit three home runs and we got
- 2:47some great CLV because I was able to jump on tigers -215.
- 2:51Did you guys see where they closed?
- 2:52Tigers closed as high as like -250 so even if you lay like a
- 2:562/22/25 at the time of the potty still beat the closing line.
- 3:00Now the only loser which kept us from a winning day or a sweep
- 3:03day I should say, was of course the fish.
- 3:06The fish losing to the Rockies worst team in the history of
- 3:08baseball to start through what like 60 games?
- 3:12But I guess they were due for a win and they got us yesterday.
- 3:14Even though Marlins I believe at a four to one lead early in that
- 3:17game, but 2 1/2 a unit will take it every time.
- 3:20Put it right back into our bankroll reinvested for today.
- 3:23So that being said, another 3 pack of baseball for today guys.
- 3:27These are all later games, but found some good sharp line
- 3:29moves. Let's see, we can once again
- 3:31produce A2 in one night and get out of here with a winning
- 3:34night. That is always the goal.
- 3:36So first one on the board for me.
- 3:37Let's go to the nation's capital, 6:45 PM Eastern Time.
- 3:40First pitch. We got the Chicago Cubs visiting
- 3:43the Washington Nationals. Now setting the stage for this
- 3:46one. The Cubs come in 37 and 22,
- 3:48continue to have a great year. I hope that continues tonight.
- 3:51Hint, hint. They did just take two or three
- 3:53against the Red Legs. They won that series finale 7 to
- 3:563 as a -, 160 home favorite. You know, all the Nationals, 28
- 4:00and 31 did just take two or three against the D backs
- 4:04couldn't complete the sweep though.
- 4:05They lost that final game on Sunday, 3:00 to 1:00 as a + 190
- 4:08Rd. dog. So pitching match up here for
- 4:11tonight, the Cubs are going to go with the righty Cade Horton.
- 4:14He's 2 and O with a 3.98 ERA this year.
- 4:17Meanwhile, the Nats are going to go with the fellow righty Trevor
- 4:19Williams. He's three and five with a 5.69
- 4:22ERA. And what are we seeing across
- 4:24the market here? Well, this game opened with the
- 4:26Cubbies around a -, 145 Rd. favorite Washington around a +
- 4:30125 home dog. And the wise guys are laying it
- 4:34with the Cubbies. That's what I'm doing, guys.
- 4:36Let's go. Cubs go.
- 4:38Cubs go, go Cubs go. Hey, Chicago, what do you say?
- 4:43Hopefully the Cubs win today as a little, little, little, you
- 4:46know, editorial move there for me at the end.
- 4:49But hint, hint, Cub spot here tonight.
- 4:51They open -145 I got them at -150 at Bet MGM.
- 4:56But some shops, again, shop around.
- 4:58They're inching up toward -160 at this point.
- 5:01So, of course, try to get the best price that you can.
- 5:03But aside from that, steam on the Cubs, really good bet splits
- 5:06on Chicago. Let's start at DraftKings, the
- 5:08big National Book. Cubs are getting 79% of money
- 5:11line bets, but nearly 90% of money line dollars.
- 5:14And then at Circa out in Vegas, only 55% of money line bets are
- 5:18on the Cubs, but it accounts for 93% of money line dollars.
- 5:21So both books DK and Circa showing a nice low bets higher
- 5:25dollar sharp split in favor of Chicago.
- 5:28Now Cubs are match quite a few systems for me.
- 5:30I have 6 systems lit up on Chicago here.
- 5:33Some of the best if you're a rested favorite coming off a day
- 5:36off. So your favorite and your off
- 5:38yesterday. Good team rested.
- 5:40Hopefully you win, win that. You know obviously the next
- 5:42upcoming game, but that system is 86 and 48 this year, 64
- 5:47percent, 4% ROI. When both teams are coming off a
- 5:50day off it actually even better which is the case here as both
- 5:54teams are off yesterday. Just take the favorite 61 and 32
- 5:58this year, 66 percent, 6% ROI. And then another system play
- 6:03obviously like the division, non division favorite, lack of
- 6:05familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
- 6:08But if you isolate sweet spot non division favorites on the
- 6:11road between -135 and -160 those teams are 36 and 20 this year,
- 6:1664% with an 8% ROI. We also have Chicago.
- 6:21Some other benefits or advantages.
- 6:22Hopefully tonight better offense.
- 6:24Hope they can get to Trevor Williams, but they're hitting
- 6:27261 as a team. Eighty home runs, 341 runs
- 6:31scored. Washington hitting 24460 homers,
- 6:34265 runs scored Horton. He's only made four starts, but
- 6:38Chicago's actually four and O in those games.
- 6:41Hope that continues tonight. Meanwhile, Trevor Williams, he
- 6:43posted a 5.68 ERA and five May starts.
- 6:47Give up 16 runs and 25.1 innings.
- 6:49Pitch and believe it or not, it's actually been worse at
- 6:52home. A lot of splits you're going to
- 6:53notice with starting pitchers are better at home, but not
- 6:56Trevor Williams on on the road. He's got a 5 point O 4 ERA at
- 6:59home 6.48. Obviously he's home tonight so
- 7:02hopefully the bats can get to Williams.
- 7:05Cubs have the better bullpen here.
- 7:06Team ERA of 3.63. Nationals have the third worst
- 7:10bullpen in baseball 5.94. Chicago has cleaned up against
- 7:14bad teams. When the Cubs play a team that
- 7:16has a below 500 record, they've gone 18 and eight this year. 69
- 7:20percent, 10% ROI. And then home Rd. splits.
- 7:23Nationals just 13 and 14 at home, Cubbies 17 and 11 on the
- 7:28road. And then a little cherry on top,
- 7:30bust open the Juice Reel app, go to the game breakdown.
- 7:33For this matchup, I noticed a 12% sharp mush edge in favor of
- 7:37Chicago. So basically 12% more of the
- 7:40sharper winning batters who have downloaded Juice Reel and synced
- 7:43up their books are going Cubbies.
- 7:45So add it all up here guys. We got steam on Chicago.
- 7:47Good bet splits, good sharp mush edge, bunch of system matches.
- 7:52Hopefully some good offense getting to Williams.
- 7:54I'm going to late with the Cubs. I got Chicago -150 at BET MGM
- 7:58again. Shop around.
- 7:59Some books as high as -160 next one for you.
- 8:03After we leave the nation's capital.
- 8:04Let's go down South to Florida, let's go to Tampa Bay.
- 8:07Texas Rangers at the Tampa Bay Rays 7:35 PM Eastern Time.
- 8:11First pitch set the stage for this one.
- 8:13The Rangers come in 29 and 31 just took two or three though
- 8:17against the Cardinals. They won that series finale 8 to
- 8:201 as a -, 165 home favorite. On the other hand, the Rays 30
- 8:24and 29 just dropped two or three against the Stroh's did lose
- 8:27that series finale 1 nothing as a + 140 Rd. dog.
- 8:31So pitching matchup tonight looks pretty good.
- 8:33Rangers going to go with the ready Tyler Melee.
- 8:35He's five and two with a 1.64 ERA Rays.
- 8:38Meanwhile, we're going to go with the fellow ready, Drew
- 8:41Rasmussen, who is four and four with a 2.33 ERA.
- 8:44What have we seen across the market here?
- 8:46Well, some good movement on Tampa Bay.
- 8:49The Rays open this game around a -, 135 home favorite.
- 8:53And we've now seen Tampa Bay get steamed up to around -140 -,
- 8:58145. So this line is moving further
- 9:00in favor of Tampa Bay. Tells me smart money is laying
- 9:03it here with the Rays. Like the splits on Tampa Bay, in
- 9:06particular DraftKings, they're only getting 59% of money line
- 9:09bets but 73% of money line dollars.
- 9:12So it's kind of notable to me that you know, this isn't a huge
- 9:15public play at a National Book like DraftKings.
- 9:18It's just kind of slight public support but also heavy smart
- 9:21money with that low bets higher dollar split.
- 9:23I do have 6 system matches lit up on Tampa Bay.
- 9:27The 1st 2 are the same ones around Chicago.
- 9:29Rested favorites coming off a day off 64 percent, 4% ROI.
- 9:34Both off a day off. Take the favorite 61 and 3266%
- 9:38with a 6% ROI. But here's another one for you
- 9:41if you are a home favorite -135 or more in the opening game of a
- 9:45new series. Those teams have gone 80 and
- 9:483570% with a 6% ROI. I do love the non division
- 9:53favorite value with Tampa Bay. Lack of familiarity benefiting
- 9:56quote UN quote the better team. But then also we have some good
- 9:58correlative betting value with Tampa Bay.
- 10:01They are favored, of course, at this point like -140 even -145
- 10:06the total is 8 and it's really juiced to the under 8 under.
- 10:09Some shops are 8 under like -115 -, 120.
- 10:13The wind is blowing in. It looks like might be some rain
- 10:15here. I don't know if this game will
- 10:16be delayed, but fair amount of expected runs scored.
- 10:18More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team now
- 10:22Tampa hope their bats come to life here back in in Stein at
- 10:25Steinbetner Stadium. The Rays are hitting 246 on the
- 10:29year, 256 runs scored. Texas hitting two 33204 runs
- 10:34scored. And in particular, if you just
- 10:36isolate both teams against right-handed starting pitchers
- 10:39or righties in general, Rays are hitting 257 against righties.
- 10:42That's 4th best in baseball. Rangers are only hitting 226
- 10:46against righties. That's 28th.
- 10:48Meili has been great. No way around it.
- 10:50He's been incredible at home. 0.82 ERA on the road, 3.27.
- 10:55So he has been worse on the road.
- 10:56He's on the road tonight. And meanwhile, Rasmussen just
- 10:59had a great month of May 5 starts.
- 11:01He posted a 1.98 ERA, only gave up six runs in 27.1 innings
- 11:06pitched. And also, I do want to fade
- 11:08Texas on the road. They're kind of a weird team
- 11:10where they're really good at home, but they're bad on the
- 11:13road. They're 9 and 18 on the road.
- 11:14That's the fourth worst Rd. record in baseball.
- 11:18So in this spot here, guys, again, kind of a modest opener
- 11:21for Tampa Bay, but we've seen steam move in their favor.
- 11:25Really good bet split at DraftKings as well as good
- 11:27system matches, correlative betting, better offense.
- 11:30And again, Rasmussen hopefully continues to pitch well and we
- 11:34can fade the Rangers here on the road where they've struggled.
- 11:36So add it all up here, guys. I got raised -135 shop around
- 11:40some books as high as -145 at this point.
- 11:44Last bed of the night. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
- 11:487:40 PM Eastern Time. Let's go back to the South side.
- 11:51Detroit Tigers at the Chicago White Sox.
- 11:54Now the Tigers had a great win for us last night.
- 11:56It's always nice when you get a rocking chair winner, when you
- 11:58can sit on the front porch in the rocking chair with a little,
- 12:01you know, lemonade or an iced tea and just watch Detroit roll
- 12:04for and Carrie Carpenter hit, you know, Homer after Homer.
- 12:08But anyway, Tigers now 40 and 21, got that 13 to one win for
- 12:11us last night, closing as a -. 250 Rd. favorite the rematch
- 12:16tonight. Now this is a little
- 12:17interesting. It took me a little bit of time
- 12:18to figure out who Detroit is starting and it looks like
- 12:21they're going to start the righty Sawyer Gibson Long, he is
- 12:25recovering from Tommy John. He's making his first start
- 12:28since 2023. He did have 5 rehab starts this
- 12:32year coming into tonight and he posted a 2.2 O ERA.
- 12:36So hopefully this kid pitches well.
- 12:38We'd have seen the White Sox announced their start already.
- 12:41They're 18 and 42 on the air. They're going to go with the
- 12:44ready Shane Smith one and three with a 2.68 ERA.
- 12:47Now what are we seeing across the market here?
- 12:49Well, this game opened Detroit around a -, 150 Rd. favorite
- 12:53Chicago a + 130 home dog and it's always notable to me.
- 12:57We mentioned yesterday like a 5050 line move.
- 12:59We also talked about games where it opens at a pick em and which
- 13:03direction does it go. Well, I always pay attention to
- 13:06when you don't know who the starting pitcher is and they
- 13:09announce someone. Which way does the line go?
- 13:12Because if it's a kid up from AAA or you know, someone making
- 13:16their debut, are the wise guys saying, hey, this guy is rusty
- 13:19or not ready for prime time and he's going to get lit up,
- 13:21therefore let's bet against them?
- 13:23Or is it, hey, maybe this guy has a good match up and maybe
- 13:27he'll surprise the other team because they haven't faced him
- 13:29yet. Well, it looks like the ladder's
- 13:31happened here because even though some books aren't even
- 13:33officially saying it's this guy Gibson, what's his name?
- 13:37Gibson Long, Even though again, it does look like that's who it
- 13:40is. We have seen movement regardless
- 13:43toward Detroit. Detroit open -150 now they're up
- 13:46to as high as -170 -, 175. Now, I jumped on the Tigers at
- 13:52-160 so I'm liking the fact that sign continues to move in their
- 13:56favor. But shop around.
- 13:56I think you can still find -170 at Bet MGM.
- 14:00But again, the fact that we didn't really know it was Gibson
- 14:02long yet the steam was in favor of Detroit kind of tells me
- 14:05either they knew who it's going to be and they like the matchup
- 14:08or in a way they don't. I'm not this is going to be I
- 14:10don't want to jinx it, but like it doesn't matter that much
- 14:12who's starting for Detroit. You know, they're going to beat
- 14:14Chicago anyway. Hopefully that's, you know, part
- 14:16of the cap as well. But if you look at the splits,
- 14:19lopsided heavy, heavy low bets, higher dollars on Detroit at
- 14:23DraftKings, the Tigers are getting 92% of money line bets,
- 14:2693% of money line dollars at circa 80% of bets, 99% of
- 14:31dollars. So really good low bets, higher
- 14:33dollar split, heavy lopsided action on Detroit at both
- 14:36DraftKings and Circa. I have 3 system matches lit up
- 14:40on Detroit. If you look at Rd. favorites
- 14:42-170 or more in which the line moves in their direction, those
- 14:46teams are 31 and 1371 percent, 4% ROI Tigers, by the way, they
- 14:52really cleaned up against quote UN quote bad teams.
- 14:55They've gone 25 and 778 percent, 36% ROI against teams who missed
- 15:00the playoffs the previous year. Detroit hope their offense can
- 15:03show up again here tonight. They're hitting 251 on the year,
- 15:0773 homers, 309 runs scored. Meanwhile Chicago only hitting
- 15:1122047 homers, 202 runs scored. Also, if you look at Tigers on
- 15:16the road, they're hitting 255. That's the 4th best Rd. average
- 15:19in baseball. Meanwhile the White Sox only
- 15:22hitting 2/19 at home. That ranks 28th.
- 15:24Detroit does have the better bullpen as well.
- 15:27Team ERA of 3.19. That's 4th best in baseball.
- 15:30You know the White Sox have the 7th worst bullpen, 4.63 ERA home
- 15:35Rd. White Sox 12 and 16 at home,
- 15:37Tigers 19 and 13 on the road and Detroit is 4 and O against the
- 15:42White Sox this this year. Hope that continues tonight on
- 15:45the on the South side. So add it all up here guys.
- 15:47Again, maybe like me, you had to do some some research, some
- 15:51twittering, some Googling to figure out Detroit's starter.
- 15:54But even with some books still showing like TBD or you know,
- 15:57not available, the steam is going toward Detroit and
- 16:00hopefully can get them ASAP if you haven't got them yet because
- 16:03this line continues to to rise in their favor.
- 16:06But you got it all up here guys. Big steam splits, home Rd.
- 16:10better bats system matches. I'm going Tigers here got the
- 16:14tigers -160 again, some shops as high as -175 now.
- 16:19So a three pack overall. Let's try to get 2 out of 3 go 2
- 16:22and one each got a winning night.
- 16:24That is always the goal. So that about does it for
- 16:28episode 291 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
- 16:32powered by Rhythm. Of course.
- 16:34This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
- 16:36start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 16:39out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
- 16:42the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
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- 17:07recommend the pod to a friend, buddy, colleague, family member,
- 17:10you know, someone who's into sports betting, maybe needs to
- 17:14bet a little more with their their head and not their heart.
- 17:16If you want to recommend this pod word of mouth, that's always
- 17:18much appreciated as well. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 17:22betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting, not
- 17:26betting on what we think or want or hope will happen or this is
- 17:28due or they got to beat this team.
- 17:31No, we bet not based on bias, gut instinct, favoritism, but
- 17:34based on what the market is telling us.
- 17:36So if this style of betting has caught on to you or caught on
- 17:39with you, I should say, you kind of see the value and you know,
- 17:42leaving your bias at the door and betting based on line
- 17:45movement, bet split system matches, taking a contrarian
- 17:48approach, flatbedding, not parlaying.
- 17:50If what we talked about has appealed to you and you want to
- 17:52learn more about data-driven betting or you want to let me
- 17:55know, you just appreciate the hard work that I put in hosting
- 17:58this pod. Or maybe you know someone again
- 18:00who loves betting and you know doesn't win a ton and could
- 18:03easily improve their betting if they took more of a data-driven
- 18:06approach. We know what you should do.
- 18:08You should go to Amazon.com and type in the everything Guide to
- 18:11Sports betting. That's my baby, first book I
- 18:14ever wrote. It's got everything I've learned
- 18:16in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
- 18:18they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
- 18:20action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to go
- 18:23contrarian, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
- 18:26It's really geared toward brand new betters, but even, you know,
- 18:29kind of intermediate betters as well.
- 18:30There's a lot of good betting systems in there also.
- 18:33And while you're at it picking up the everything guide, stay on
- 18:36Amazon.com and then type in the NFL Sharp betting playbook.
- 18:39My new baby comes out August 12th.
- 18:41That's the due date. Cannot wait.
- 18:44We did just launched the new VSN promo where if you sign up for a
- 18:48year VSN you will get my free pre-order copy of my book for
- 18:51free. You also get all the bet splits
- 18:54which I talked about each day which come right from Visa.
- 18:55And when I say DraftKings has 98% and Visa and Circus you know
- 19:0092% that's coming from Visa. So that's great info.
- 19:04You can also read my sharp reports each day and you can
- 19:07always go to visa.com/subscribe and use the promo code book if
- 19:11you want to get the biggest discount on a year membership.
- 19:15But my new book, which does come out August 12th, if you want to
- 19:19pre-order a copy, regardless whether it's the Visen combo or
- 19:21you just get it from from Amazon, I would very much
- 19:26appreciate that. You'd make me happy and you'd
- 19:28make my my publishers happy. So grab a copy of the everything
- 19:32guide to sports betting. pre-order copy of the NFL sharp
- 19:35betting playbook. Bring them to the sports books
- 19:38sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 19:39I'll buy you beer or ginger ale. We'll get some nachos and sweat
- 19:42some games together tonight. How's that sound?
- 19:44That sounds pretty good to me. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 19:47in Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports betting
- 19:49apps because they're all based on data.
- 19:51Rhythm was a great job providing us these AI backed models and
- 19:54predictions for game bets and player props for baseball, for
- 19:58NBA. Have you covered for the NBA
- 20:00Finals WNBA? And remember they just unveiled
- 20:03their power trends, which are basically they're they're really
- 20:06their best predictions of the day, which I've also already
- 20:09seen some good success with. So download Rhythm and then also
- 20:13go download Juice Reel. This is the part of the pod
- 20:16where I'm going to pass out the hat the tip jar.
- 20:18This pod is free. It cost you nothing.
- 20:20If you enjoy the pod, one thing I would love for you to do is
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- 20:26Best bets only on Juice Reel. It's the only place they're
- 20:29posted that's completely transparent.
- 20:32When I make a bet and all my books are synced up, it goes
- 20:35right to Juice Reel so you can get some of these plays earlier
- 20:38in the day. It cost you $4.99 a week to get
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- 21:25So download Rhythm, download Juice Reel and you can also give
- 21:28them a five star review in the App Store to make my buddy James
- 21:32Santor and my other buddy Ricky Gold very happy.
- 21:35Next, last but not least, do you have a live odds page?
- 21:38You need a live odds page. If you're betting on sports
- 21:41daily, you got to have a live odds page.
- 21:43It will tell you the most basic but important thing of what
- 21:47sports are being played today, what games are being played
- 21:49today, What games can I get down on and choose from the start
- 21:52times, the live scoring, the live in game wagering odds as
- 21:55soon as the game starts. But what I love is just tracking
- 21:58the market, getting an opening column that never changes to the
- 22:01right, all the current odds within the flick of a switch.
- 22:04You can see which direction the line is moved.
- 22:06You can pull up the line history as soon as anything changes.
- 22:09I love locating steam from the odds logic live odds page so
- 22:13everything gets lit up in red. Boom, you know the markets
- 22:16moving. You can jump on a book that
- 22:17hasn't adjusted yet and of course get the best number just
- 22:20by shopping for the best price. So again, there's a lot of live
- 22:23odds pages out there, but Odds Logic is the best one.
- 22:26I'd love for you guys to give it a shot by going to
- 22:29oddslogic.com/josh 123. That's oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 22:37You'll get a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your first
- 22:40month of service. So that about does it for
- 22:42episode 291 of the ASG Pod Powered by Rhythm.
- 22:46As always, I'm going to leave you with a couple things.
- 22:48One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 22:51River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
- 22:54Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or
- 22:57Plain Ridge Park Casino, or MGM Springfield or the Nash and
- 23:00Nashville, New Hampshire. In my neck of the woods.
- 23:02Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
- 23:04Or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
- 23:07juice possible is found at the South Point or Sweat and Sharp
- 23:09Contrary and plays jumping in the stadium swim pool.
- 23:12When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
- 23:15to me. You're going to show me a nice
- 23:17Brewers plus 100. Risk a unit.
- 23:20Get a unit you love. You love that buyback or payout?
- 23:23Show me a Brew Crew ticket. Maybe we'll maybe we'll get a
- 23:26beer and toast to the beer makers.
- 23:28Show me a Tigers ticket with some great CLV.
- 23:30Whatever you do, don't show me Marlins.
- 23:33Really Marlins? You kept us from a sweep losing
- 23:35to the freaking Rockies, who are terrible anyway.
- 23:38Can't win them all, but I will take a winning night every time.
- 23:41So 2 and one, one and two, O and three, three and O Good day, bad
- 23:44day, somewhere in the middle, hot, cold grinding.
- 23:47We always got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint,
- 23:49never get too high, never get too low and just grind the long
- 23:54term approach, which at this point, whether you, whether
- 23:57you've picked up on it or not, whether you've been with me
- 23:59since day one or you're new to the all systems go pod, if
- 24:01that's the case, that's great, welcome aboard.
- 24:03But here's what we always try to do, find games that fit our
- 24:06model against the public with the house, with the pros, flat
- 24:10bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
- 24:13If we can do that over consistent long term approach,
- 24:16marathon out of Sprint forest amongst the trees.
- 24:19I think I just cash the over on cliches.
- 24:21But if we can do that, we're going to be successful sports
- 24:23betters long term. So have a great Tuesday,
- 24:26everybody. Let's try to get some winners
- 24:27here on the diamond. Find a way to get two out of
- 24:29these three and we'll see if we can post another winning day,
- 24:32which is always the goal. So have a great day everybody,
- 24:35enjoy your Tuesday and we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a
- 24:38little hump day edition. That'll be episode 292 of the
- 24:41All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 24:45Good luck everybody and enjoy the sweats on the diamond.