Latest / The Bolt Report / The Bolt Report | 8 April
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: This is the report tonight. John Howard now praises Ben
- 0:15Speaker 1: Robert Smith, the war hero charged with shooting unarmed prisoners.
- 0:19Speaker 1: But I have a question for the former Prime Minister
- 0:22Speaker 1: and for Pauline Hanson. Well so tonight climate changements of
- 0:25Speaker 1: Chris Bone gets angry when challenged today about is net
- 0:29Speaker 1: zero agenda when what this war proves is that we
- 0:32Speaker 1: really do need fossil fuels.
- 0:35Speaker 2: I'm not sure how you could as certainly and that
- 0:38Speaker 2: the war in Iran is the fault of Australian renewable energy.
- 0:41Speaker 3: I really don't understand that logic.
- 0:44Speaker 1: And I'll talk to an Iranian democracy activist who says
- 0:47Speaker 1: that Donald Trump please keep bombing, but first and about
- 0:52Speaker 1: just that, well, shock and surprise, there's a cease far
- 0:57Speaker 1: in the Iran war after just five weeks. Both the
- 1:01Speaker 1: US and Iran have agreed to a two weeks cease far. Well,
- 1:04Speaker 1: they talk piece and the straitor for mussis meanwhile open
- 1:08Speaker 1: to oil tankers again. And that's almost bang on the
- 1:11Speaker 1: schedule Donald Trump gave on day three of this war.
- 1:16Speaker 4: We projected four to five weeks, but we have capability
- 1:21Speaker 4: to go far longer than that.
- 1:24Speaker 1: In fact, is this cease far puts the largest so
- 1:27Speaker 1: much of what you were told by Trump hating journalists
- 1:30Speaker 1: and politicians and activists and assorted experts. Remember how you
- 1:35Speaker 1: were told this would be the forever war, how this
- 1:39Speaker 1: was a quagmar, how it was Trump's Vietnam War, with
- 1:44Speaker 1: Trump having no plan or off ramp. All those predictions
- 1:49Speaker 1: which have now been proved wrong. The watch now, you
- 1:53Speaker 1: will bet you none of those people are going to
- 1:55Speaker 1: admit it. I've actually seen some of them already switching
- 1:59Speaker 1: to telling you, Wow, this is no Trump win anyway,
- 2:02Speaker 1: this is a Trump defeat. So let's look at what
- 2:05Speaker 1: actually just happened. Donald Trump, in the past few days
- 2:11Speaker 1: made increasingly blood curdling threats to Iran to make a
- 2:14Speaker 1: deal and open the straight off moors.
- 2:17Speaker 4: Or else every bridge in Iran will be decimated by
- 2:23Speaker 4: twelve o'clock tomorrow night, where every power plant in Iran
- 2:28Speaker 4: will be out of business, burning, exploding, and never to
- 2:33Speaker 4: be used again. I mean complete demolition by twelve o'clock
- 2:37Speaker 4: and it'll happen over a period of four hours if
- 2:39Speaker 4: we wanted to. We don't want that to happen.
- 2:43Speaker 1: The last night that came his most lurid warning yet
- 2:47Speaker 1: ahead of his deadline today of ten am Australiane since
- 2:50Speaker 1: standard time, a threat that a whole civilization will die tonight,
- 2:55Speaker 1: never to be brought back again. I don't want that
- 2:58Speaker 1: to happen, but it probably will, which is typical Trump bluster,
- 3:02Speaker 1: but it seems to have worked. The Uranian regime believed
- 3:05Speaker 1: all these threats enough to turn its citizens into human shields,
- 3:09Speaker 1: made them stand on bridges and next the power stations,
- 3:12Speaker 1: and it told even children to turn up or man
- 3:16Speaker 1: checkpoints of Around's eternal Bassige security Force, which Israel has
- 3:20Speaker 1: been bombing. That's how little this regime respects the lives
- 3:24Speaker 1: of even its children.
- 3:26Speaker 5: Mamona Barbaja. That's the bat march Ramone, Mamana brugeshwars.
- 3:46Speaker 6: And ensigning your javon on task giving sad.
- 3:50Speaker 1: But Donald Trump's threats and bonds. They worked with most
- 3:55Speaker 1: of Around's top leaders dead It's Supreme National Security Council.
- 3:59Speaker 1: The greed to this cease far just ninety minutes before
- 4:02Speaker 1: Trump's deadline, and Donald Trump described it like this, subject
- 4:07Speaker 1: to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the complete,
- 4:09Speaker 1: immediate and safe opening of the straight of wors. I
- 4:13Speaker 1: agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for
- 4:16Speaker 1: a period of two weeks. We received a ten point
- 4:18Speaker 1: proposal from Iran. I believe it is a workable basis
- 4:21Speaker 1: and we should negotiate well. In fact, that last bit
- 4:24Speaker 1: there was false, as I'll showed later, but Iran Supreme
- 4:27Speaker 1: National Security Council described the cease fara like this. If
- 4:32Speaker 1: attacks against the Iran I halted, our powerful armed forces
- 4:34Speaker 1: will cease their defensive operations. Safe passage through the Strait
- 4:37Speaker 1: of Ms will be possible for two weeks under coordination
- 4:41Speaker 1: with Iranian forces. And after all that, in the streets
- 4:45Speaker 1: of Tehran there were celebrations, although some hardliners there seemed
- 4:50Speaker 1: to feel betrayed. The regime had caved.
- 4:56Speaker 7: Is the nature of America going to change? I have
- 4:58Speaker 7: no idea why they have accept to Like always, they
- 5:01Speaker 7: want to buy time for Israel. We have lost our leader.
- 5:05Speaker 7: If he himself says so, we will accept. But he
- 5:08Speaker 7: has not accepted it. They have forced this on him.
- 5:13Speaker 7: Why should we declare sees fire? As you see that
- 5:16Speaker 7: is written, the straight of horm Wars will stay close.
- 5:18Speaker 8: Why open?
- 5:22Speaker 1: But here Donald Trump's threats to destroyer around civilization and
- 5:25Speaker 1: bomb it into the Stone Age and be another reason
- 5:28Speaker 1: to smash the president again. And I still cannot believe
- 5:34Speaker 1: there are journalists and politicians who actually think that Trump
- 5:37Speaker 1: means all this stuff literally. You know, they haven't got
- 5:41Speaker 1: his style. But if they went hope of ventilating about
- 5:44Speaker 1: Trump's planned war crimes, even prime minister or anything the
- 5:47Speaker 1: other and Easy Today criticized that.
- 5:49Speaker 2: I don't think it's appropriate to use language such as
- 5:54Speaker 2: that from the President of the United States.
- 5:58Speaker 9: If that happened, would that be a war crime?
- 6:00Speaker 1: On what the president was talking about.
- 6:02Speaker 10: Look, it's a long step between a tweet and that suggestion.
- 6:10Speaker 1: Now, at least, officer you're leadering this tale is smart
- 6:12Speaker 1: enough to judge Trump. Not nobody says, but what he
- 6:15Speaker 1: achieves with it.
- 6:17Speaker 6: If President Trump had gone through with the quite amazing
- 6:21Speaker 6: threats he made overnight, would.
- 6:23Speaker 1: They amount it to a war chrome, Well, we've got
- 6:25Speaker 1: to a cease fire, and that is what we welcome. Now. Look,
- 6:32Speaker 1: you'd know as well as I that there's no way
- 6:35Speaker 1: that Donald Trump planned to destroy all arounds bridges, all
- 6:38Speaker 1: its power stations, and the Iranian civilization. I mean, why
- 6:44Speaker 1: would he risk turning Iranian civilians into enemies, with many
- 6:47Speaker 1: also do want that regime smashed, as he has said before.
- 6:53Speaker 1: Now that said this cease five, it's not the end
- 6:58Speaker 1: of everything. It's not the end of the war, the tension,
- 7:00Speaker 1: it's absolutely not. For a Sart, Pakistan's prime minister, who
- 7:04Speaker 1: helped negotiate this deal said it also meant Israel should
- 7:07Speaker 1: stop its war against Hesbelo terrorists in Lebanon. Israel says, no,
- 7:11Speaker 1: it doesn't. And what's more, Trump is lied about the
- 7:14Speaker 1: ten point piece plan. Iran sentiment, it's not a workable
- 7:17Speaker 1: basis of a long term peace at all, and Trump
- 7:20Speaker 1: cannot be that dumb or desperate to think it is. Now,
- 7:24Speaker 1: excuse all the textiles show you, but let me just
- 7:27Speaker 1: illustrate how crazy most of Iran's dimans really are. It's
- 7:32Speaker 1: just some of those ten The regime says, Iran has
- 7:35Speaker 1: achieved a massive victory enforced criminal America to accept this
- 7:39Speaker 1: ten point plan, which is false. It hasn't. In this
- 7:42Speaker 1: plan America is fundamentally committed, which is not to guarantee
- 7:46Speaker 1: non aggression, the continuation of Iran's control over the Strait
- 7:50Speaker 1: of a Muz, the acceptance of enrichment of uranium. The
- 7:54Speaker 1: lifting involved primary and secondary sanctions on Iran, the payment
- 7:59Speaker 1: of iran'smages, and withdrawal of US combat forces from the region.
- 8:05Speaker 1: Do you really think the US is going to agree
- 8:08Speaker 1: to that? You know, Oh, yes, we will remove all
- 8:11Speaker 1: our bases in the Middle East, for instance, give you
- 8:15Speaker 1: lots of money for the bombing. And will Iran's hardline
- 8:19Speaker 1: is now? It's just that it does so so many
- 8:21Speaker 1: issues like that. They're up in the air still, you know,
- 8:25Speaker 1: will Iran truly that take us through the straight up
- 8:27Speaker 1: them was without paying the regime millions of dollars the pass?
- 8:31Speaker 1: Will we run? Let the US find and remove the
- 8:33Speaker 1: uranium it enriched for nuclear weapons? How long before Iran
- 8:37Speaker 1: can rebuild its mass missile arsenal? And will the remains
- 8:42Speaker 1: of the regime now grow even more savage? So the
- 8:45Speaker 1: next two weeks they're going to tell us how serious
- 8:47Speaker 1: Iran is about peace and how much Trump we'll concede
- 8:52Speaker 1: to get it or is he just biding his time?
- 8:53Speaker 1: But the bottom line is this, Iran's military and terrorist
- 8:57Speaker 1: threat is now a shadow of what it was. And
- 9:02Speaker 1: that was the goal that Trump set five weeks ago,
- 9:05Speaker 1: and it's been accomplished in large part and on schedule.
- 9:10Speaker 1: So let the Trump haters weep now, Donald Trump agreed
- 9:18Speaker 1: to a cease far with Iran, with the regime, they're
- 9:21Speaker 1: still clinging onto power, although with many of its top leaders,
- 9:24Speaker 1: particularly the most dangerous ones like in the Revolutionary Guard
- 9:27Speaker 1: called they're dead now. The US President did not promise
- 9:31Speaker 1: for regime change, but had clearly hoped for more than
- 9:35Speaker 1: he got, and he claimed yesterday that many Iranians Iranians
- 9:39Speaker 1: didn't in fact want him to stop the bombing.
- 9:43Speaker 4: We've had numerous intercepts, please keep bombing, bombs that are
- 9:48Speaker 4: dropping near their homes, Please keep bombing.
- 9:53Speaker 1: Well is that true? Did Donald Trump stop too soon
- 9:57Speaker 1: for many Iranians joining me? As Iranian freedom activists and sociologists.
- 10:01Speaker 1: Doctor Samaria Khanni I spoke to a short while ago,
- 10:06Speaker 1: Samaria Canni, thank you so much for joining us again.
- 10:09Speaker 1: This is ceasefire, but the Iranian regime is still in place.
- 10:13Speaker 1: Do you feel betrayed?
- 10:16Speaker 11: Thank you Andrew for having me again.
- 10:18Speaker 12: Well, if it was a permanent ceasefire, yes absolutely, But
- 10:23Speaker 12: as we know, it's a two week, four fourteen days ceasefire,
- 10:27Speaker 12: and we're hoping that Trump and Natania are using this
- 10:32Speaker 12: time to strategize their next moves, and that would obviously
- 10:37Speaker 12: give the regime some time to build up more strength. However,
- 10:42Speaker 12: based on what we're hearing, there's already cracks within and
- 10:47Speaker 12: this time might even give them an opportunity to crack
- 10:51Speaker 12: even more and give the opportunity to Trump and ntaniaho
- 10:55Speaker 12: to bring in troops if that's the plan, or perhaps
- 11:00Speaker 12: arming the protesters. That's where how we're analyzing this ceasefire.
- 11:05Speaker 12: Otherwise it would be a betrayal to the people of Iran.
- 11:10Speaker 1: Well, I am guessing from that the answer to my
- 11:14Speaker 1: next question, which is is Donald Trump right to say
- 11:18Speaker 1: that many Iranians wanted the US to keep bombing regime targets.
- 11:23Speaker 11: Yes, he is absolutely correct, And it's interesting.
- 11:27Speaker 12: The day after he said that, we received messages from
- 11:31Speaker 12: Insight from people saying, now we feel like we're heard
- 11:36Speaker 12: by the president who sent help to us.
- 11:39Speaker 11: We feel good about it.
- 11:41Speaker 12: So for the last thirty days, thirty five days since
- 11:44Speaker 12: the beginning of the war, what we're hearing from people
- 11:47Speaker 12: is please keep bombing, Please keep doing what you're doing,
- 11:51Speaker 12: because as you know, most of the targets there are
- 11:55Speaker 12: targeted strikes, although civilians are losing their lives sadly in
- 12:00Speaker 12: this battle, but because it is targeted, people are.
- 12:03Speaker 11: Asking for more of those.
- 12:05Speaker 12: And when they stop, when there's no bombs coming over them,
- 12:09Speaker 12: they worry. And that's what I've heard from my own family,
- 12:12Speaker 12: that we worry when the bombs stop.
- 12:16Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting you mentioned the cracks in the regime.
- 12:21Speaker 1: I've reported some last night as well. What do you
- 12:26Speaker 1: expect then to happen inside Iran? Do you think the
- 12:30Speaker 1: regime is going to become more oppressive and tyrannical because
- 12:34Speaker 1: it feels its power is slipping, or do you think
- 12:38Speaker 1: the moderates will somehow if there are moderates moderates is
- 12:41Speaker 1: a relative term, the moderates in the regime will take
- 12:44Speaker 1: over and push the hardliners aside.
- 12:48Speaker 12: Well, there's no sign of that obviously at the moment,
- 12:51Speaker 12: because just this morning we received the news that they
- 12:55Speaker 12: arrested four hundred just in the last twenty four hours,
- 13:00Speaker 12: and every day we wake up with the news of
- 13:03Speaker 12: three or four executions again and again from the protesters
- 13:07Speaker 12: who were arrested two months ago in January, And yesterday
- 13:11Speaker 12: the Chief Judge, the Judiciary Chief judiciary came out and said,
- 13:17Speaker 12: we have to make the executions quicker. The trials shouldn't
- 13:21Speaker 12: take that long. And by that long they mean one
- 13:24Speaker 12: hour of a trial. So they're even asking for more oppression,
- 13:28Speaker 12: more suppression, more killing, more executions. And we believe that
- 13:33Speaker 12: a wounded regime. If the war stops, and if this
- 13:36Speaker 12: ceasefire is a permanent one, this we will be dealing
- 13:41Speaker 12: with a wounded wolf who's willing.
- 13:44Speaker 11: To kill just to survive. Even more so, yes, it
- 13:49Speaker 11: will be more oppressive. There's no sign of moderation.
- 13:55Speaker 1: Yes, I was pinning perhaps too much hope in the
- 13:57Speaker 1: fact that it's interesting that men the top leaders of
- 14:01Speaker 1: the Revolutionary Guard called which is sort of like a
- 14:04Speaker 1: really hard call the fanatics, almost like an iranis. They're
- 14:07Speaker 1: being killed, but not the army. The army leadership seems
- 14:11Speaker 1: in tax And maybe there's some hope that the army
- 14:13Speaker 1: will take control, but I mean it's a faint hope.
- 14:16Speaker 1: Who do you think now is the real leader of Iran?
- 14:20Speaker 11: That's an interesting question. I don't believe it's a who.
- 14:23Speaker 11: It's a system. It's not one person.
- 14:25Speaker 12: Yes, there's Foalibaff, who is believed to be in the
- 14:32Speaker 12: front line of negotiations, but he is not the one
- 14:35Speaker 12: who's leading. There's no one leading the country. Basically, it's
- 14:39Speaker 12: just the IRGC now has found a chance to lead
- 14:43Speaker 12: the country to its destruction and the system to its destruction.
- 14:49Speaker 12: But there's no who in this whole process. There's no
- 14:54Speaker 12: one leading the country. It's just a system.
- 14:57Speaker 1: Garibav being the former mayor of Tehran, speaker of the
- 15:01Speaker 1: Parliament and deeply corrupt, so I always thought maybe he would,
- 15:05Speaker 1: you know, he had some ties with the Revolutionary Guard
- 15:07Speaker 1: called but I had the feeling that maybe he was
- 15:09Speaker 1: the kind of man that would be after himself around
- 15:11Speaker 1: the system. But we shall see. Can I just ask
- 15:15Speaker 1: you quickly about the big who about Donald Trump saying, well,
- 15:20Speaker 1: you're threatening to destroy around civilization. The Prime Minister's really
- 15:25Speaker 1: upset about that. I saw merely as rhetoric to match
- 15:29Speaker 1: the rhetoric of the regime, speaking in a language they understand.
- 15:32Speaker 1: You know, these flowery threats with no intention of following through.
- 15:36Speaker 1: But how did you receive it? It wasn't a mistake.
- 15:41Speaker 12: So you always have to decode, basically decode what Donald
- 15:45Speaker 12: Trump says for me. I side, as when he mentioned civilization.
- 15:51Speaker 12: He means the Shiai civilization he's willing to destroy, to civilization,
- 15:56Speaker 12: because just two days ago he said that people have.
- 15:59Speaker 11: I think that we will leave them alone in this world.
- 16:03Speaker 9: We won't.
- 16:04Speaker 11: So there are mixed messages.
- 16:07Speaker 12: If he meant civilization, he wouldn't have said, I'm here
- 16:10Speaker 12: to help the people of Iran.
- 16:12Speaker 11: So it's not a mistake. It's, as you said, a
- 16:15Speaker 11: play on words, but just to threaten the regime.
- 16:20Speaker 1: Sabaia Khni. Thank you so much, indeed for your time
- 16:22Speaker 1: and all the best to you and to Iran's future
- 16:27Speaker 1: may be brighter than it's been for so long now
- 16:30Speaker 1: forty seven years. Thank you so much for your help.
- 16:33Speaker 11: Thank you so much for having me.
- 16:36Speaker 1: After the break watch climate Change, Mister Chris Bone gets
- 16:40Speaker 1: stroppy when he's asked why he hasn't learned a thing
- 16:43Speaker 1: from the petrol panic and the war. Chris Bone got
- 16:50Speaker 1: into a verbal brawl in his press conference today bones
- 16:54Speaker 1: the climate change and she miss and he is driving
- 16:57Speaker 1: the Albanesi government's disastrous and the zero agenda. But he
- 17:01Speaker 1: still refuses to see that without fossil fuels we are toast.
- 17:05Speaker 1: I mean, just look at the petrol panic. And when
- 17:08Speaker 1: Channel seven's Liam Bartlett asked why he still hadn't learned
- 17:12Speaker 1: that lesson from this Iran war, Bowen arked.
- 17:15Speaker 13: Up, I think this war in Iran has shown us
- 17:19Speaker 13: nothing else. Hasn't it proved once and for all that
- 17:23Speaker 13: your obsession with renewables we'll only leave us out of
- 17:26Speaker 13: track to another energy crisis.
- 17:29Speaker 2: That's a pretty loaded that's a comment, not a question
- 17:32Speaker 2: that it was a question. Well, well it's a very
- 17:34Speaker 2: loaded it's a very loaded comment.
- 17:36Speaker 3: What it shows is that we need to continue to
- 17:39Speaker 3: work on energy security. I make this point. I reject
- 17:42Speaker 3: the premise of your question. Question no, no, I reject
- 17:46Speaker 3: it's sorry, are you asking a question or are you
- 17:49Speaker 3: having a debate answer?
- 17:51Speaker 9: Proper energy must be secure.
- 17:55Speaker 2: Renewable energy is a secure form of energy. The Australian
- 17:58Speaker 2: Sun cannot be interrupted by a war or anything else.
- 18:02Speaker 2: The solar energy has to travel one hundred and fifty
- 18:05Speaker 2: million kilometers from the Sun. It doesn't have to travel
- 18:07Speaker 2: the one hundred and fifty kiometers that are straits or hormones.
- 18:11Speaker 1: Lujas interrupt you. How dishonest or plane done was that?
- 18:15Speaker 1: I mean? Boone seems not to understand we do have
- 18:18Speaker 1: other forms of energy that also don't have to go
- 18:21Speaker 1: through the strait of a mouse. Australian oil doesn't go
- 18:24Speaker 1: through it, Australian gas, Australian coal, even Australian uranium, none
- 18:29Speaker 1: of them because they're all right here. And as for
- 18:32Speaker 1: bones solar and wind power being secure and not interrupted
- 18:37Speaker 1: again false solar power is interrupted every night, vanishes wind power.
- 18:42Speaker 1: It doesn't work without wind. And that is why Bartnet
- 18:46Speaker 1: has discovered Chris Bowen is too chicken to do a
- 18:49Speaker 1: sit down interview, one on one with someone who will
- 18:52Speaker 1: challenge is that zero nonsense? The nonsense is driving power
- 18:56Speaker 1: prices through the roof.
- 18:58Speaker 11: Why don't you sick out?
- 18:59Speaker 1: Why don't you sit down?
- 19:00Speaker 3: I'm holding a press conference. You've had several questions.
- 19:01Speaker 11: I've held a presence of questions.
- 19:03Speaker 3: What I hold a press conference every day? This is
- 19:06Speaker 3: the first time you've turned.
- 19:08Speaker 13: For a formal interview instead of you being able to
- 19:10Speaker 13: deflect to my colleagues. What are you afraid of talking about.
- 19:15Speaker 2: Your pot I don't think taking questions from a wide
- 19:17Speaker 2: diversity of journalists.
- 19:18Speaker 1: What do we got?
- 19:19Speaker 8: You know?
- 19:19Speaker 3: Fifteen in the room is not being available. I've been
- 19:23Speaker 3: holding a press conference every day.
- 19:27Speaker 1: Join Miss Ron Deine, editor in chief of the Spectator Australia,
- 19:30Speaker 1: host of Outsiders every Sunday at nine am, hosts of
- 19:32Speaker 1: his own show on Fridays at seven pm, and for
- 19:34Speaker 1: his main gigas here on Wednesdays Rowan Dean Chris bow
- 19:39Speaker 1: And he seems like a man frightened by a few facts.
- 19:44Speaker 8: Well well done to Liam Bartlett for pressing the point
- 19:47Speaker 8: there and the Apartment's very good journalists. But it must
- 19:50Speaker 8: be increasingly appearing to Australians. Most Australians must be realizing
- 19:55Speaker 8: that we are being run by a government of duncers.
- 19:58Speaker 9: I don't know what the collective now and for duncers is.
- 20:00Speaker 9: I was thinking about it.
- 20:01Speaker 8: Maybe a bowen of dancers is the best description of
- 20:05Speaker 8: the government. That we have a bowen of duncers that
- 20:09Speaker 8: really treat the Australian people as complete fools. The patronizing, dissembling, obfuscation,
- 20:17Speaker 8: the word trickery that Bowen thought he was so clever
- 20:21Speaker 8: and getting away with this afternoon. Any Australian watching that
- 20:24Speaker 8: would shake.
- 20:25Speaker 9: Their hands in horror. We are being denied.
- 20:28Speaker 8: Our energy in this country, and by being denied our energy,
- 20:32Speaker 8: we are being denied our prosperity. We have being denied
- 20:34Speaker 8: our industry, We're being denied our opportunity. All the things
- 20:38Speaker 8: that make us used to make Australia great are being
- 20:40Speaker 8: denied us. To call Chris Bowen the Climate change and
- 20:44Speaker 8: Energy Minister is actually a lie. He's a climate change
- 20:47Speaker 8: minister and he does everything to pursue the insanity of
- 20:50Speaker 8: the climate cult obsession with the net zero and doomsday,
- 20:54Speaker 8: the world's going to blow up or whatever it is.
- 20:57Speaker 8: But he's not doing his job as Energy Minister, which
- 20:59Speaker 8: is to make sure that at any point in time,
- 21:02Speaker 8: no matter what the circumstances are around the world, we
- 21:05Speaker 8: have sufficient energy not only to do the everyday things,
- 21:09Speaker 8: but to drive heavy industry, to drive manufacturing, to give
- 21:12Speaker 8: us the sort of economic wealth.
- 21:16Speaker 9: That our nation deserves. And he's not doing that. And
- 21:21Speaker 9: it is what are they afraid of? Ask Liam?
- 21:23Speaker 8: What are you afraid of, Chris bow And why won't
- 21:25Speaker 8: you sit down and have a rational discussion about is
- 21:28Speaker 8: Because there's nothing rational about the position that Chris Bowen takes.
- 21:32Speaker 8: It is la la la down this stuff, and therefore
- 21:36Speaker 8: he knows the only thing.
- 21:38Speaker 9: He can do is these kind of glib silly.
- 21:40Speaker 8: Oh you're saying that the Iranian war is because of
- 21:43Speaker 8: Australian renewables. No, Liam Bartlett did not say anything like that,
- 21:47Speaker 8: But that is the Chris Bowen and now answer responsible questions.
- 21:53Speaker 8: I remember when Chris Allman asked him at a press
- 21:55Speaker 8: conference so last year a similar question about net zero,
- 21:59Speaker 8: and all Bowen could do was say, well, we'll agree
- 22:02Speaker 8: to disagree on this.
- 22:03Speaker 9: You're an idea logue and I'm not when of course
- 22:05Speaker 9: they are.
- 22:07Speaker 1: Well, you might recall too that Chris Bonasan used to
- 22:11Speaker 1: arguing with people who oppose his crazy agenda that he
- 22:15Speaker 1: got pants that the one debate he allowed at the
- 22:19Speaker 1: National Press Club before the last election with Ted O'Brien,
- 22:22Speaker 1: the opposition spokesman then, So that was very revealing. By
- 22:26Speaker 1: the way the collective now and you were searching for
- 22:28Speaker 1: for duancers is Confederacy of Duncers, the famous novel by
- 22:33Speaker 1: John Kennedy tool which I'm sure you've read, but I
- 22:37Speaker 1: thought it was telling by the way that Labor has
- 22:41Speaker 1: dropped references in its draft national policy platform to that
- 22:45Speaker 1: promise it's bit was making for years to make eighty
- 22:48Speaker 1: two percent of our electricity come from Winnisola by twenty thirty.
- 22:52Speaker 1: A bit hard to keep insisting when there's only five
- 22:54Speaker 1: years away. Now Bone today said, oh no, no, no,
- 22:57Speaker 1: it's still the target.
- 22:58Speaker 11: But I don't know, Ryan.
- 22:59Speaker 1: It sounds let the start of a crab walk away.
- 23:03Speaker 8: It's more than a crab walks. There must be hard
- 23:06Speaker 8: heads within the Labor Party. I can't believe they are all.
- 23:09Speaker 8: It is a confederacy of duncers, like you say, And
- 23:11Speaker 8: there must be some smart, intelligent people in the back
- 23:14Speaker 8: rooms there or keeping their mouths shut within the Labor
- 23:17Speaker 8: Party because of course they have to walk away from
- 23:19Speaker 8: these targets there the rest of the world has for starters.
- 23:23Speaker 8: Plus the fact they don't work, that's another kind of
- 23:25Speaker 8: minor point. And clearly they're going to drop the targets
- 23:29Speaker 8: as they they've got no choice. But if I were Bowen,
- 23:32Speaker 8: I'd be a little bit more nervous because if he's
- 23:34Speaker 8: clinging to those targets, I think they'll.
- 23:36Speaker 9: Be ditching Bowen before too long.
- 23:38Speaker 8: And so they should, because anyone who clings to that
- 23:40Speaker 8: target as we approach the next election is going to
- 23:43Speaker 8: find themselves completely out of step with where Labor is
- 23:46Speaker 8: going to try and position itself. It's going to try
- 23:49Speaker 8: and suddenly be.
- 23:51Speaker 9: Oh no, no, no.
- 23:52Speaker 8: We were never all in favor of that, know, we
- 23:54Speaker 8: were always about responsible energy policies. You watch, that'll be
- 23:58Speaker 8: the shift they've ditched a. If I'm Chris Bowen, I'd
- 24:02Speaker 8: be feeling very nervous at the moment as well as scared.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Well this should be But mate, do you really see
- 24:09Speaker 1: this government having the guts to admit it was wrong
- 24:12Speaker 1: and getting rid of him? I mean, they should for
- 24:15Speaker 1: their own survival, I guess. But boy, we may dream.
- 24:19Speaker 1: Rowan Dean, thank you for putting that pleasant dream in
- 24:22Speaker 1: our mind. Thank you so much for your time. After
- 24:25Speaker 1: the break, people are celebrating. Oil prices are falling, shares
- 24:29Speaker 1: are rising. But did Donald Trump stop this war too soon?
- 24:36Speaker 1: Back to the ceasefar in the Iran War. It's funny.
- 24:42Speaker 1: Usually when there's a war in the Middle East involving America,
- 24:46Speaker 1: the cynic say they just make war for the oil.
- 24:51Speaker 1: I think this might be the first time that they
- 24:53Speaker 1: make peace for the oil. Well, perhaps not peace, but
- 24:58Speaker 1: at least the cease fire for now. The question is, though,
- 25:01Speaker 1: did the US give in to the pressure too soon
- 25:05Speaker 1: when Iran's regime feels so threatened that it's by its
- 25:08Speaker 1: own people that it reportedly arrested five hundred Ranians just
- 25:11Speaker 1: first couple of weeks, hundreds more the other day, accusing
- 25:15Speaker 1: them of spying for the US and Israel. A lot
- 25:18Speaker 1: of spies, a lot of people wanting to help defeat
- 25:21Speaker 1: their regime. And then you know, of course, is the
- 25:25Speaker 1: question of the missing and enriched uranium which Iranian negotiateds
- 25:28Speaker 1: told the US of February was enough to make eleven
- 25:32Speaker 1: nuclear warheads? Where is it? Is it going to stay
- 25:34Speaker 1: in Iran? Hope not joining me? Is Michael Schubridge, a
- 25:37Speaker 1: former senior defense official now founder and director of Strategic
- 25:41Speaker 1: Analysis Australia. Michael, always great to see you. Did Donald
- 25:46Speaker 1: Trump stop this war too soon?
- 25:51Speaker 10: Well, if you look at the result, if the cease
- 25:53Speaker 10: fire holds and turns into some peace agreement, he's left
- 25:58Speaker 10: weakening Ara, but leaving Iran still able to threaten and
- 26:03Speaker 10: damage its Gulf state neighbors and able to control the
- 26:07Speaker 10: Strait of Hormuz. So in that sense, there's a limited
- 26:12Speaker 10: set of achievements.
- 26:15Speaker 1: What do you think he has achieved? You've said what
- 26:18Speaker 1: he hasn't achieved? What has he achieved well.
- 26:22Speaker 10: I think he has weakened Iran militarily. He's also weakened
- 26:29Speaker 10: the leadership of the regime, although we haven't really seen
- 26:33Speaker 10: how the new leadership that's been given authority during the
- 26:36Speaker 10: war will work together. And I'm not sure whether he's
- 26:41Speaker 10: driven the population further away from.
- 26:44Speaker 1: The regime or closer to the regime.
- 26:47Speaker 10: If he'd expanded the war to bomb a lot of
- 26:50Speaker 10: civilian infrastructure, I think he might have unified more of
- 26:53Speaker 10: the country behind the regime.
- 26:55Speaker 1: So he's avoided that for now. Now, I bet I'm
- 27:01Speaker 1: taking from what you said that he should have gone
- 27:04Speaker 1: on a bit longer. Is that what you you think?
- 27:08Speaker 10: I don't think so, because I think the next steps
- 27:12Speaker 10: that he was going to take, and that Iran was
- 27:14Speaker 10: going to take him response, would have caused extensive damage
- 27:19Speaker 10: to the broader region and global economy, far beyond the
- 27:23Speaker 10: blockage of the Strait of hor Moors. So I think
- 27:26Speaker 10: when you look at the wider consequences from widening the
- 27:30Speaker 10: war as both sides were about to do, this ceasefire
- 27:34Speaker 10: does make sense.
- 27:36Speaker 1: Okay, So he gave it his best shot. He weakened.
- 27:40Speaker 1: I ran not as much as you would have hoped for.
- 27:44Speaker 1: I though, suspect Michael, and tell me if I'm wrong
- 27:49Speaker 1: that Trump is betting that Iran isn't serious. You check
- 27:53Speaker 1: his latest post on this. You know that the United
- 27:56Speaker 1: States of America will be helping with the traffic build
- 27:58Speaker 1: up in the straight up for moors, youing to get
- 27:59Speaker 1: the oil flowing. And then he has this, We'll be
- 28:02Speaker 1: loading up with supplies of all kinds and just hanging
- 28:06Speaker 1: around in order to make sure that everything goes well.
- 28:09Speaker 1: I feel confident that he really says, just like we
- 28:12Speaker 1: experiencing the US, this could be the golden age of
- 28:14Speaker 1: the Middle East. Now, Michael, his navy and his SOULD
- 28:19Speaker 1: is just hanging around loading up with supplies. How do
- 28:23Speaker 1: you read that?
- 28:27Speaker 10: Look, I think you're right that what that signals is
- 28:31Speaker 10: there's a lot of doubt about whether this two weeks
- 28:34Speaker 10: ceasefire gives time for negotiations and whether those negotiations lead anywhere.
- 28:40Speaker 10: You've got to remember that the American fifteen point plan
- 28:44Speaker 10: and the Iranian ten point plan both were completely unacceptable
- 28:49Speaker 10: to the different side, and none of that has changed
- 28:52Speaker 10: at this point. So yes, Israel and America will be
- 28:55Speaker 10: restocking their supplies and preparing for next steps if the
- 28:59Speaker 10: negotiations go nowhere.
- 29:01Speaker 9: And Iran will be doing the same.
- 29:03Speaker 10: You're right, they're all looking at each other like some
- 29:07Speaker 10: kind of standoff in a Western movie.
- 29:11Speaker 1: I think that America's fifteen point plan and he runs
- 29:15Speaker 1: ten point plan, or read through some of the bizarre demands.
- 29:18Speaker 1: You know, America should quit all the space in the
- 29:20Speaker 1: Middle East, never going to agree. I don't think we'd
- 29:23Speaker 1: take anything that's written or said about by either side seriously.
- 29:28Speaker 1: I think the story will be in what exactly they
- 29:31Speaker 1: privately negotiate or actually do. I think the proof will
- 29:36Speaker 1: be in the pudding. It starts with opening the straight Upulmors.
- 29:39Speaker 1: We will see from there. But I think neither plan
- 29:42Speaker 1: bears any relationship to what will actually happen. How do
- 29:45Speaker 1: you see it all shaking.
- 29:46Speaker 10: Out absolutely the same way, Because let's look at why
- 29:53Speaker 10: this ceasefire happened. It's because the Pakistani Is the mediators
- 29:58Speaker 10: were smart enough to propose something that was neither side's plan,
- 30:03Speaker 10: so neither of the others wanted to reject it out
- 30:06Speaker 10: of hand, and it gave each of them, the Israelis
- 30:10Speaker 10: and Americans and Iranians, enough of a win for them
- 30:14Speaker 10: to accept the ceasefire. So really the Pakistanis have to
- 30:19Speaker 10: keep playing a key role, but the warring parties are
- 30:25Speaker 10: millions of miles apart at this point. In two weeks
- 30:27Speaker 10: is almost no time when they haven't even met directly yet,
- 30:32Speaker 10: and I.
- 30:33Speaker 1: Think absolutely correct. I wonder whether all this has been
- 30:37Speaker 1: a face safe for the regime to essentially surrender to
- 30:42Speaker 1: in some extent at least stop and we shall see
- 30:45Speaker 1: what we shall see. They're going to actually have to
- 30:47Speaker 1: play ball a bit. Bottom line, then, assuming and there's
- 30:52Speaker 1: a big assumption that the war does not resume. What
- 30:55Speaker 1: you've seen so far, was the war worth it?
- 31:02Speaker 10: No, because the regime is still in place, and they're
- 31:06Speaker 10: probably a harder line regime, more unified, and more unified
- 31:11Speaker 10: with a larger chunk of the population that sees the
- 31:14Speaker 10: war has been damaging to them. And we now know
- 31:18Speaker 10: Iran actually can control the straight offormers and the flow
- 31:22Speaker 10: of oil.
- 31:24Speaker 1: Well go a little further. Channa apparently has made some
- 31:29Speaker 1: sort of deal with Iran over the straight of for Musa.
- 31:32Speaker 1: They're very interested in Iran having control of this and
- 31:35Speaker 1: no doubt letting Chinese ships through and charging American allied ones.
- 31:42Speaker 1: I don't know. It's all a bit strange and we
- 31:44Speaker 1: shall see what we shall see. Michael Schubridge, thank you
- 31:47Speaker 1: so much for your time. After the break, John Howard
- 31:51Speaker 1: praises Ben Roberts Smith, the war hero a charge with
- 31:55Speaker 1: shooting unarmed prisoners, and Pauline Hanson and Bob Ketta they
- 31:59Speaker 1: go even harder in defending him. My question to them
- 32:04Speaker 1: after this, I must be going crazy now. Former Prime
- 32:13Speaker 1: Minister John Howard has also jumped to the defense of
- 32:15Speaker 1: Ben Robert Smith, Victoria Cross winner, who yesterday was charged
- 32:19Speaker 1: with five war crimes involving the shooting of unarmed prisoners. Now,
- 32:25Speaker 1: to be fair, to be accurate, Howard is two ways
- 32:29Speaker 1: to fair himself to say that Robert Smith is innocent
- 32:32Speaker 1: or shouldn't have been charged with a lot of the
- 32:34Speaker 1: suff we're hearing at the moment. But I still get
- 32:37Speaker 1: the drift when Howard writes that the arrest of Ben
- 32:39Speaker 1: Robert Smith will tackle the heartstrings of millions of Australians.
- 32:43Speaker 1: The most decorated Australian serviceman alive, he is the honored
- 32:47Speaker 1: holder of the treasured Victoria Cross. To some Australians, Robert
- 32:51Speaker 1: Smith is a modern personification of the great Anzac tradition
- 32:56Speaker 1: having been charged Robert Smith is a tied to the
- 32:58Speaker 1: presumption of innocence and so on, and John Howard is
- 33:03Speaker 1: completely right. I mean, ben Robert Smith must be presumed innocent,
- 33:07Speaker 1: and I hope he is innocent. But if those allegations
- 33:12Speaker 1: against them are true, Robert Smith will in fact have
- 33:15Speaker 1: betrayed our values, at least our values as I understand them,
- 33:20Speaker 1: And shame on all the coalition MPs now busily finding
- 33:23Speaker 1: ways to suggests they're actually on Robert Smith's side. I
- 33:28Speaker 1: think they seem to be very scared of Pauline Hansen.
- 33:32Speaker 14: We train these men to go to war and we
- 33:36Speaker 14: don't know what's going to happen. We don't wear their shoes,
- 33:38Speaker 14: we don't know the circumstances that happens over there. But
- 33:42Speaker 14: when you know people come back in their face with
- 33:44Speaker 14: these war crimes, I think that it's going to send
- 33:48Speaker 14: a clear message to a lot of these defense personnel.
- 33:51Speaker 12: Why bother.
- 33:54Speaker 1: This, No doubt that's becoming the popular sentiment, and in fact,
- 33:58Speaker 1: Federal Independent MP Bob Catter was even more eleamant.
- 34:02Speaker 15: I think it is one of the most pauly national
- 34:06Speaker 15: injustices that I have seen in my lifetime.
- 34:11Speaker 1: Now, if you're going to tell me that it was
- 34:13Speaker 1: disgraceful that Ben Roberts Smith was arrested so publicly in
- 34:18Speaker 1: front of his twin daughters on the way to a holiday,
- 34:23Speaker 1: when you could have just rung him up and say
- 34:25Speaker 1: can you report down to the police station, will do
- 34:27Speaker 1: it privately there. I totally agree with you, totally agree
- 34:31Speaker 1: with you.
- 34:32Speaker 9: Should he be in.
- 34:33Speaker 1: Jail for a week or so while they're figuring out
- 34:36Speaker 1: whether to and how to apply for bail? No, I
- 34:40Speaker 1: agree with that too. But let's get back to the fundamentals.
- 34:45Speaker 1: I have a question for Pauline Hanson and Bob Catter
- 34:50Speaker 1: and all the people saying the same. It's the one
- 34:54Speaker 1: I refer to, I think probably last night one imposing
- 34:57Speaker 1: a news called Papers Tomorrow. The bottom line, do you
- 35:01Speaker 1: think that australianed soldiers should be allowed to shoot unarmed prisoners?
- 35:07Speaker 1: Are you fine if our soldiers shoot prisoners in the back?
- 35:13Speaker 1: One actually was disabled, had one leg, he was machine gunned.
- 35:19Speaker 1: Do you think that's fine? It's surrendered one legged man
- 35:23Speaker 1: machine gun to death. Should we be okay with our
- 35:28Speaker 1: soldiers murdering a handcuffed man who had already been injured
- 35:31Speaker 1: after being thrown off a cliff. And when you consider
- 35:35Speaker 1: all this, and before you jump to the yeah Australia, yeah,
- 35:38Speaker 1: what would you say of Nazis who had allegedly done that,
- 35:43Speaker 1: massacred prisoners, unarmed prisoners of Islamic state terrorists? And once
- 35:50Speaker 1: Robert Smith actually sued stupidly journalists for defaming him, journalists
- 35:56Speaker 1: who'd accused him of such crimes, and lost. He lost
- 36:01Speaker 1: once that a judge in that case said, well, on
- 36:04Speaker 1: the balance of probabilities he had done such things, what
- 36:09Speaker 1: were authorities meant to do? Sweep that under the carpet.
- 36:14Speaker 1: Now people seem to think as patriotic to say that
- 36:16Speaker 1: if one of our soldiers shot those prisoners, then good,
- 36:21Speaker 1: that's patriotism. Then I'm a traitor, although I actually think
- 36:27Speaker 1: those people who say these things are the real traders.
- 36:29Speaker 1: They betray Australia and its values. Now, once again let
- 36:35Speaker 1: me stress I make no judgment on the innocence or
- 36:38Speaker 1: guilt of Ben Roberts Smith. These charges will and must
- 36:43Speaker 1: be decided by a judge and jury, and not by
- 36:45Speaker 1: a politician looking for votes. Joined me as the panel
- 36:49Speaker 1: Michael Cosler for Labour Treasurer of New South Wales and
- 36:52Speaker 1: Mirke Kelly, former Federal Labor Front bencher and co convener
- 36:55Speaker 1: of Labor Friends of Israel, now adjunct professor at the
- 36:58Speaker 1: National Security Institute of Canberra University. Mike, you are also
- 37:03Speaker 1: a veteran. Your reaction to the arrest of Ben Robert Smith.
- 37:11Speaker 6: Well, Andrew, this has been very distressing for every serving
- 37:16Speaker 6: member of the Defense Force and every ex serving member.
- 37:19Speaker 6: You really hate to see these kinds of allegations staining
- 37:23Speaker 6: our slou chat. You know, you pull that slat chat
- 37:26Speaker 6: on your inheriting generations of standards and a deep trust
- 37:31Speaker 6: with the Australian community, So whenever these kind of allegations
- 37:34Speaker 6: are raised, it's really distressing. So the only thing I'd
- 37:38Speaker 6: say though, is, and I will agree with many of
- 37:41Speaker 6: the comments that have been made about the fact that
- 37:44Speaker 6: effectively we should kind of shut up about these specific
- 37:47Speaker 6: allegations in relation to Ben Robert Smith and let the
- 37:49Speaker 6: system do its work. The one thing we're all really
- 37:52Speaker 6: keen to see here is that there's a fair trial.
- 37:55Speaker 6: But one thing I will say is, given the state
- 37:58Speaker 6: of the International Criminal Court the days, is that the
- 38:00Speaker 6: fact that there is a proceeding, I will at least
- 38:03Speaker 6: mean that there can be no pretense of any sort
- 38:06Speaker 6: of attempt to exercise jurisdiction by that court in the absence,
- 38:10Speaker 6: as they say, out of their statute, of a country
- 38:14Speaker 6: that's unwilling or unable to act. But let's see how
- 38:18Speaker 6: it runs its course, and it will be very difficult,
- 38:22Speaker 6: given the circumstances, the environment, the trouble with dealing with witnesses.
- 38:28Speaker 6: And it is interesting how long it's taken for these
- 38:31Speaker 6: matters to get to court. So when I see people
- 38:34Speaker 6: complaining about investigations into the world's central kitchen incident in
- 38:38Speaker 6: the Gaza War, it's taken thirteen years for the first
- 38:42Speaker 6: of these cases to get to court, So we should
- 38:44Speaker 6: bear that in mind.
- 38:46Speaker 1: No, that's absolutely true too. Then it becomes the process
- 38:50Speaker 1: is the punishment. But Michael Costs amongst some politicians, and
- 38:55Speaker 1: I exclude John Howard here, but among some politicians seem
- 38:59Speaker 1: to be a petition to suggest that it's patriotic to
- 39:02Speaker 1: defend ben Robert Smith whatever whatever. And again I stress
- 39:08Speaker 1: I make no comment on his innocence or guilt. I
- 39:11Speaker 1: hope is innocent. That it's for a court to decide.
- 39:14Speaker 1: But the question is patriotism rally to Ben Robert Smith
- 39:19Speaker 1: instead of saying, rally to our values.
- 39:23Speaker 15: Well, certainly our values is the key, as you rightly
- 39:26Speaker 15: point out. But I'm just going to make the point.
- 39:28Speaker 15: You know, I'm not in a position and I think
- 39:29Speaker 15: most Australians are not in a position that haven't served,
- 39:32Speaker 15: certainly in the military or served in combat even more importantly,
- 39:36Speaker 15: to make a lot of judgments about this, and I
- 39:38Speaker 15: think the appropriate place is the courts to deal with it.
- 39:42Speaker 15: But remember Andrew, I mean, the defamation was under the
- 39:46Speaker 15: the balance of probabilities, not reasonable doubt, which is the
- 39:50Speaker 15: criminal standard. So we've got to let the process go forward,
- 39:54Speaker 15: and also just make the point I think this is
- 39:55Speaker 15: why people are uneasy. I mean, the allegations are about
- 39:58Speaker 15: incidents that don't relate to the Victoria Cross Award, as
- 40:03Speaker 15: my understanding is, and you know, he showed immense bravery
- 40:07Speaker 15: in that action and that's why he was awarded. That
- 40:10Speaker 15: these are separate incidents, and you know, he got to
- 40:13Speaker 15: wonder why they people didn't come forward at the time
- 40:16Speaker 15: there was an assessment. But I think we just got
- 40:17Speaker 15: to let the process go forward. But I just want
- 40:19Speaker 15: to reinforce what you said, Andrew. It was an absolute
- 40:22Speaker 15: disgrace the way he was arrested, a man that has
- 40:27Speaker 15: you know, served in the services with distinction in relation
- 40:31Speaker 15: to that Victoria Cross should not have been treated like that.
- 40:34Speaker 15: He wasn't a flight risk. He should have been phoned up,
- 40:36Speaker 15: he should have been asked to attend, you know, the
- 40:39Speaker 15: police station for the charging with his lawyer. And I
- 40:42Speaker 15: make a broader point, this is happening all the time.
- 40:45Speaker 15: You know, the prosecutors are leaking to the and I
- 40:48Speaker 15: assumance the prosecutors to the press. He's watch your moments.
- 40:52Speaker 15: You know what happened with pell and the list is endless,
- 40:54Speaker 15: and it's about time it stopped because it corrupts the process.
- 40:58Speaker 1: I thought it was disgraceful that everything you just said,
- 41:01Speaker 1: but the fact that the channel known was tipped off
- 41:04Speaker 1: to film his humiliation. Don't forget he could be innocent
- 41:08Speaker 1: and there was no need for that. And I think
- 41:10Speaker 1: whoever did the leaking of that information should be sacked anyway, Mike,
- 41:15Speaker 1: Mike Kelly, the Irun war now this ceased far. I
- 41:22Speaker 1: don't know that it will hold to be honest, but
- 41:25Speaker 1: let's assume that it does for now, was the war
- 41:28Speaker 1: worth it?
- 41:30Speaker 6: Well, you can't often really assess these things until the conclusion,
- 41:34Speaker 6: and that may take many years because we don't know
- 41:37Speaker 6: if this is the end of it and correct. In fact,
- 41:40Speaker 6: what makes me very angry is that people talking about
- 41:42Speaker 6: this is some sort of separate thing and so making
- 41:47Speaker 6: out that it's playing this lawfare game, that it's an
- 41:49Speaker 6: illegal act in terms of use of force. This war
- 41:52Speaker 6: has been going on since at least nineteen eighty two.
- 41:55Speaker 6: Went I ran through its proxies and often directly was
- 41:59Speaker 6: it attacking another sovereign state and on a daily basis,
- 42:04Speaker 6: asserting that their intent was the complete destruction of that
- 42:07Speaker 6: state and the annihilation of all of its people. In
- 42:11Speaker 6: their mind and their kind of ideology, which is every
- 42:13Speaker 6: bit as heinous as the Nazis. It's basically the first
- 42:16Speaker 6: step to the revelation of the twelfth Imam, the Machti,
- 42:20Speaker 6: which also is a precursor to the global Islamization of
- 42:25Speaker 6: the world. So we have to understand the nature of
- 42:28Speaker 6: that threat. Israel's been fighting this war in self defense
- 42:31Speaker 6: for many decades, and it's like the one hundred Years War,
- 42:34Speaker 6: the thirty Years War, the Seven Years War, and so
- 42:37Speaker 6: there was a pause and it's continuing. As to the
- 42:40Speaker 6: effectiveness of it, certainly it has been effective. It has
- 42:44Speaker 6: been effective in setting back the attempts to rehabilitate their
- 42:47Speaker 6: nuclear capability, which they were feverishly doing ever since the
- 42:51Speaker 6: last pause in the operations. The ballistic missile threat that
- 42:56Speaker 6: they pose, and now it's been revealed again they've lied
- 42:59Speaker 6: to us about their efforts to develop longer range ballistic missiles.
- 43:04Speaker 6: We've had the revelation of the Horem Shaht four reaching
- 43:07Speaker 6: ranges of four thousand kilometers. They're certainly on the path
- 43:10Speaker 6: to enter continental ballistic missiles. So destroying that industry, setting
- 43:14Speaker 6: that back, destroying stockpiles very important, particularly for the long
- 43:18Speaker 6: suffering people of Israel, and that's part of Iran's short
- 43:22Speaker 6: term goals. If you can't buy them up with nuclear weapons,
- 43:24Speaker 6: make the place unlivable and uneconomic. So you know, what
- 43:29Speaker 6: we've had revealed about the straits of Hormales. We've known
- 43:32Speaker 6: for forty years, you know, I remember war games on
- 43:35Speaker 6: this a couple of decades ago, and they've spent every
- 43:39Speaker 6: effort to position themselves to hold that over the international community.
- 43:43Speaker 6: As a threat, and now they've triggered that threat. What
- 43:46Speaker 6: it wakes us up to is the need to find
- 43:48Speaker 6: out ways to circumvent that and to deny them that
- 43:52Speaker 6: ability to wield that weapon.
- 43:55Speaker 1: Well, well, there's two things. Militarily, we have to learn
- 43:59Speaker 1: some lessons and I think for one, we really have
- 44:03Speaker 1: to get stuck into the new drone where you know,
- 44:07Speaker 1: wage way of waging war that has as Ukraine has
- 44:11Speaker 1: shown so brilliantly in resisting Russia for four years. But Michael,
- 44:18Speaker 1: Michael costs that the lessons also go to something you
- 44:22Speaker 1: might touch it on there, how we make ourselves more
- 44:26Speaker 1: economically resilient. I mean, we've got all prices falling today,
- 44:30Speaker 1: but they're still high. They're going to stay high for months.
- 44:33Speaker 1: Some of the Gulf state oil facilities destroy bo Ran
- 44:36Speaker 1: will take ages to repair. What do you think we
- 44:39Speaker 1: need to do?
- 44:41Speaker 15: Well, just on the first point, but you know, this
- 44:44Speaker 15: war we won't know if if it was worth it,
- 44:46Speaker 15: but it certainly was necessary because of all the reasons
- 44:50Speaker 15: Mike outlined. But one of those reasons, of course, is
- 44:53Speaker 15: the one you're pointing to, and that's energy sufficiency and
- 44:57Speaker 15: energy independence. And I think that's why this war was
- 45:01Speaker 15: necessary for Australia. It has proved how vulnerable we are
- 45:05Speaker 15: to energy shocks, and it's also proved how stupid our
- 45:08Speaker 15: policies have been over decades under both Labor and Liberal government.
- 45:12Speaker 15: So let's not forget Morrison's role in all of this.
- 45:15Speaker 15: The bottom line is we really do have to have
- 45:18Speaker 15: a new energy policy. I doubt we're going to get
- 45:20Speaker 15: it under the current administration. We need an energy buffer
- 45:24Speaker 15: as a minimum. We've got to go to the ninety
- 45:26Speaker 15: days as soon as this is over, and the government's
- 45:28Speaker 15: got to ensure it can report to the people in
- 45:31Speaker 15: a short time that we've got a ninety day buffer
- 45:33Speaker 15: as was required. Secondly, we've got to start the drill,
- 45:36Speaker 15: baby drill process. You know, we've got to unlock our
- 45:39Speaker 15: energy resources and that's got to be a priority. And finally,
- 45:43Speaker 15: this silly net zero has to be revised. And you know,
- 45:47Speaker 15: I saw that thing from Chris Bowen. You know, there's
- 45:50Speaker 15: no chance with that bloke in there doing it. You
- 45:52Speaker 15: remember Hemi and Alberizi talking about EV's as if that
- 45:56Speaker 15: was the solution to our energy problems, immediate energy problem.
- 46:00Speaker 15: So really that's really the lessons from this you know,
- 46:03Speaker 15: it's not a short term lesson, it's a medium term
- 46:05Speaker 15: lesson and we've got to get onto it.
- 46:07Speaker 1: Make Kelly, what do you think what lessons should the government,
- 46:11Speaker 1: both sides of politics be learning.
- 46:13Speaker 6: Yeah, on that fuel point, this is something that Jimal
- 46:16Speaker 6: and I used to rant about many times and Parliament
- 46:19Speaker 6: Committee on Intelligence and Security and look, you know the
- 46:24Speaker 6: lealing aside all the issues around climate change debates and
- 46:28Speaker 6: energy transition. It is in our national interest to get
- 46:32Speaker 6: off oil as quickly as we can. And when I
- 46:34Speaker 6: was a Minister for Defense Material I was really excited
- 46:37Speaker 6: by a project based on some technology that I first
- 46:40Speaker 6: actually encountered in Israel and there was a company here
- 46:43Speaker 6: called Algae Tech who down in the coast and Nara.
- 46:46Speaker 6: We're doing this pilot project on transitioning algae resource into
- 46:52Speaker 6: a straight bio diesel drop in fuel that is no
- 46:56Speaker 6: need for conversion or blending, to put it straight into
- 47:00Speaker 6: an existing diesel vehicle. Now, one of the things they
- 47:04Speaker 6: were about to do was to enter into a pilot
- 47:07Speaker 6: project that had an agreement with the Bayswater Power Station
- 47:10Speaker 6: in New South Wales because the algae is carbon hungry
- 47:13Speaker 6: and it could have been set up to suck in
- 47:15Speaker 6: all of the carbon emissions from that coulfide power station
- 47:18Speaker 6: and generate all this fantastic bio diesel fuel. And so
- 47:22Speaker 6: you killed two birds with one stone and the other
- 47:26Speaker 6: part of this and one of the lessons from Israel's
- 47:28Speaker 6: experience is the need to have a distributed energy situation.
- 47:32Speaker 6: So with that kind of bio diesel constructs, you could
- 47:35Speaker 6: have this stuff all around the country and including set
- 47:39Speaker 6: up facilities in remote and regional areas to generate their
- 47:42Speaker 6: own bio diesel capacity. And I was really sad that
- 47:45Speaker 6: that fell apart because when they went away from the
- 47:50Speaker 6: Kleanengy Future package, that was one element that could have
- 47:52Speaker 6: been looked at to preserve because the project then died.
- 47:56Speaker 6: So I would say, Sweden's doing this because of their
- 47:59Speaker 6: dependent it's on Russian oil. They set up a commission
- 48:02Speaker 6: to get off oil in two thousand and five and
- 48:04Speaker 6: a well on track to achieve that. So I would say, firstly, yes,
- 48:08Speaker 6: let's get off oil. It is that petro dollars that
- 48:11Speaker 6: come into funding terrorism, radicalization, et cetera. I tracked this
- 48:16Speaker 6: when I had the Middle East Desk in defense, something
- 48:19Speaker 6: like eight billion dollars over seven years now, it's poisoning
- 48:22Speaker 6: our universities. I just want to get off that stuff
- 48:25Speaker 6: as quickly as possible.
- 48:26Speaker 1: Andrew, Michael Kossa, Mike Kelly, thank you very much to
- 48:29Speaker 1: you both well. I think really the message for us
- 48:32Speaker 1: is we are far more on our own than we
- 48:34Speaker 1: used to think, and we have got to get more
- 48:36Speaker 1: resilient defense, energy, and industry. Up Next to Sharry, hosted
- 48:42Speaker 1: by Karen the Marcus good Note