Latest / OneLegUpAlex Media / Road to 270 Update: 35 Electoral Votes On the Table; Law Enforcement Support in 2024

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Road to 270 Update: 35 Electoral Votes On the Table; Law Enforcement Support in 2024 · OneLegUpAlex Media

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  Here's your host, Alex Garrett. Well, thanks for those who listen to
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  my Saint Patrick's Day, Saint Joseph's comparisons and Synchronicity, if you will,
• 0:13
  and I hope you enjoyed it, and I hope you enjoy the Lace edition
• 0:18
  of Mario Galucci's Mister Acquitto. What happens when your client makes a boneheaded move
• 0:24
  within his case while trying to become acquitted and has Mario himself as the criminal
• 0:30
  defense attorney to overcome that. We talked about it in episode three of Mister
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  Acquitto, which you could find in the description below. Now it is March
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  twentieth, so a little bit of today's going to focus on the fact that
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  we are another month away from January twenty twenty twenty five. We are,
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  what is it now like eight nine months away from January twenty twenty twenty five.
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  So we're gonna go into the road to two seventy, if you will,
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  and how the electoral college has changed from twenty twenty. We'll get into
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  that with Lisa dayser Dan's article in a moment, But yesterday I mentioned I
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  wanted to play this audio from the Hoytchemmer Horn subway shooting in which an EDP
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  pulled out a gun on an instant bysenter who was just being money his own
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  business and being harassed by said EDP, and then in self defense, the
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  guy took the gun and shot him. And I think he made the subway
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  safer because of it. And he's not been charged by the way. But
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  during this standoff and altercation, if you will, here's what one stapanger said
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  in that adrianer Hoychjremmer Hoard's great question. And you know what's interesting is are
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  we starting to see the city want more cops on the streets? I mean,
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  when you hear a comment like that, don't you think it reflects everybody
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  who's seeing some of the subway shottings that have gone on, this shooting in
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  Brooklyn, some of the other even you know, midday stabbings and other horrors
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  that the city does endure. And while I still believe we can be and
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  we typically are the safest city in the world, these crimes start to add
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  up. But I do want to tell you what the NYPT is saying.
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  And we've had Kat's Daughtry on the radio before with Arthur Right Dalla. Here's
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  what he said about that shooting. We all heard about what happened yesterday.
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  Well nobody's talking about the millions and thousands of people that got to their destination
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  safety. And I agree with that, And maybe a younger me would be
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  like, well, what do you mean, why are just cutting this?
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  But having worked with you know, Chief Kemper, and having even seen Blue
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  Bloods, it all culmulates to that this is a tough job for the NYPD.
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  I think we can all agree with that. And it's it's more unbelievable
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  it's happened the week that the National Guard was deployed, though this was the
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  whole point was to prevent such trauma in the subway, such as shooting in
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  the subway. I I just think it shows New York. Anything happens on
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  a dime. But the more people feel like they can carry even without a
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  license and a permit, the more we're gonna have situations like we had last
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  week. Thank God, a good Samaritan took it into his hand in the
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  hands and got rid of the DP that was causing trouble. I'd say it
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  so aggressively, but that's what I feel in self defense. But watching Blue
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  Bloods having this scene happen in real life. Also, it does keep and
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  in perspective how we shouldn't be blasting our headsets in the subways, How we
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  shouldn't be on our cell phones all the time in the subways. Even sleeping
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  could be a risk on the subway. Now do I still do all those
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  things sometimes? But I'm working on it. I'm working on it. But
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  when you say, hey, where's the NYPD, doesn't that make you feel
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  like on a larger perspective with twenty twenty four year On March twenty, twenty
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  twenty four, when President Trump touted He's gonna have a better play in New
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  York because of situations like this, because of questions like that. Don'tly want
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  someone who's going to stand behind law enforcement and what they do in the Oval
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  office? I think that's what we're seeing in that question. In that question,
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  I mean, it's quite an amazing statement because the four years ago,
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  how many people wanted to defund the police, and some still do. But
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  luckily the rhetorics died down because we're seeing how heroic cops are being in our
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  city. I mean, the other day in Brooklyn, mid daylight or mid
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  evening, the guy was targeting a Brooklyn couple and then if you didn't shot
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  him down. And for those who want to read the headlines, I would
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  encourage you to see Blue Bloods because you'll understand the rationale. You'll understand the
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  day to day experiences of these cops better than the newspapers will tell you.
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  To be very honest, To be very honest and listen, are there Ideala?
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  You know he has Chief of Patrol, John Shelley has a chief Kemper
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  sometimes mayor Adams. I mean he gets the pulse of the city. But
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  I digress. I think that question of law enforcement in our subways, where
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  are they clinging to them? Is the general sense of where we're at right
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  now. Who will keep us safe? And if it's going to be each
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  other, the innocent bystander who gets an altercation because the EDP is egging him
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  on harassing him, then we need more of those heroes as well, and
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  we can't prosecute them while a Cello Basher goes free. Alvin Bragg, how
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  is it possible that Daniel Penny is still being prosecuted? Once prosecuted, but
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  you let it chell us out and the judge let the cellis basher out doesn't
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  make sense. So yes, I think whoever swears on the Bible January twenty
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  twenty five, on the road to two seventy, this question here in New
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  York is going to be a big one when it comes to the presidential election.
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  Now, I want to get to Lisa days our Dan. She wrote
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  this article in previous News hour, why just nine states may win the election,
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  may decide the election. Lisa days our Dana correspond for O PBS Rights
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  that the census reallocated the twenty twenty sentence congressional seats and electoral votes based on
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  population shifts. Turns out Biden had won California, Illinois, Michigan, New
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  York, and Pennsylvania. But each of these states, New York lost an
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  electoral vote due to population shift because they're all moving to Florida. Isn't that
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  insane that we've lost a vote in the election because of policies in this state
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  which have caused people to move out, so we lose an electoral vote.
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  It's all connected here. It's all connected. When you have high taxes,
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  you couldn't really recover from the pandemic as you could have five hundred and forty
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  six thousands people have moved out of New York since the pandemic, and because
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  of that shift, we lost a vote in our elections, while Colorado and
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  Oregon gained. This math, according to Lisa desert Day, breaks down that
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  Democrats start down three electoral votes compared with twenty twenty. Based on these new
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  districts, the twenty twenty electoral college, according to Washington Post, would be
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  Biden three h three Trump to thirty five. That means, according to Lisa
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  des are a Day in the Washington Post and the new calculations, Trump would
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  need to gain thirty five votes to earn the two seventy to uh win the
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  White House. Thirty five votes on the table. Can they come from New
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  York? Will they come from New York and even Pennsylvania where Philadelphia is not
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  all uh sunny? If you will. I'm not saying either way who you
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  should vote for. I'm just telling you the facts of where we're at right
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  now and maybe speculating a little bit these er Dain goes on, seventy two
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  electoral votes are at stake. Seventy two in what they're calling the Squeaker States,
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  five states forming the core battleground which are no longer you know, the
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  Michigans and the and the Pennsylvanias and the uh Florida's even Here are the battlegrounds
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  that Lisa Dayserdan says are at stake. Arizona eleven electoral votes, Georgia,
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  oh Georgia sixteen electoral votes, North Carolina sixteen electoral votes, Pennsylvania typical battleground
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  nineteen electoral votes, and Wisconsin ten electoral votes. Those are the seventy two
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  Arizona eleven, Georgia sixteen, North Carolina sixteen, Pennsylvania nineteen, Wisconsin ten.
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  She then breaks down the next tier of potentially persuadable states in which in
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  twenty twenty three and six percentage points made the difference last year last time around.
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  These days, I'm about to talk about make up for ninety one electoral
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  votes ready for him, Florida thirty fifteen electoral votes for Michigan, Nevada six
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  electoral votes, and Texas forty electoral votes. That's always one of the biggest
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  states because it is the biggest state in the Union. She's predicting that of
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  the core four battleground states lost in twenty twenty, Trump would need to flip
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  at least two and possibly three of them in the Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania,
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  Wisconsin category to win in Donald Trump's favor. Biden's winning margins were smaller
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  in twenty twenty than Trump's were on average. Trump has more states he must
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  win, but he may have less work than Biden. But you know,
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  Trump's gonna go all over the place in twenty twenty four, I mean,
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  you know, and Biden, I guess walked off the stage. Look whoever
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  touches the Bible and swears himself swears in with Justin Stroberts January twenty twenty five.
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  No one said this Roads to seventy was gonna be easy. No one
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  said this Roads to seventy was gonna be fun. Typically maybe for the media,
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  but these candidates, and if Biden's stamina could keep up, he's gonna
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  have to keep up with Trump. Then it goes beyond that. The road
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  to two seventy, the road to Januaruary twenty twenty five, twenty twenty twenty
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  five, will get messy. There will be trials that might influence all of
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  this. There's right now less than a week to secure a half billion dollar
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  bond before Trump's buildings are seized. So there's a lot going on in the
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  moment right now. Biden's competence, Biden's age, Biden's you know why,
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  it keeps wandering off, and then Trump's legal woes that still might might sway.
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  Where we are at July around the convention time, I think the Democrats
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  are waiting for a moment. This is opining here for Biden to really slip
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  up, and then they pull the twenty fifth Amendment while they hope the trials
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  are in their favor against Trump and legislation that they're trying to put through.
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  They're trying to put through to take him off the ballot for real, that's
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  not legislations and Senate in Congress's position, they should let the voter decide the
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  roads to seventy. But there you haven't the electoral college breakdown. I'm gonna
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  put it all in the uh in the description below, but thirty five major
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  delegates needed for Trump and listen back for the electoral vote breakdown per state.
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  I love the way list these are day and did this why just nine states
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  may win? You may decide the twenty twenty four election. Read it inform
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  yourself that way, on election night you might be able to be a little
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  bit nerdy with your friends. Ho did you know how many votes he needs
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  here? Needs here, as the totals come in, as italies come in
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  on election night twenty twenty four. But where we are in March, nothing,
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  nothing feels as locked in as the media says. That's where we are
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  at on the road to two seventy