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UFC DFS: UFC 333 Volkanovski vs. Evloev | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems go.
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: Clear for lift-up.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: What's going on, everybody? We are back talking some UFC 333.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: Not a pay-per-view, obviously, since everything's on Paramount, but would
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: be a pay-per-view if they were still on that schedule.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: 14 fights, phenomenal for DFS. A lot of closely lined fights.
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: As you can see, only three fights with a favorite
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: minus 250 or greater. Let me make sure that's right. One, two, three.
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Three fights, minus 250 or greater. That means 11 fights,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: all favorites minus 250 or under. which makes it tricky
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: for DFS. And shout out to DraftKings. They actually did
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: get it right, in my opinion, making some fights priced
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: the same. 283,7900 fights. 284,7800 price fights. Yeah, that's what
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: you got to do with this many closely lined fights
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: and 14 on the card. Otherwise, if they just went 82, 83, 84,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: there'd be way too many that are just clearly mispriced
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: on both sides. So Shout out to DraftKings, 10 a.m.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Eastern start time in Abu Dhabi. Make sure you get
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: those alarms up if you're on the West Coast. If
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: you'll be sleeping, get your lineups in on Friday night.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: But Big Marley, I'll bring you in. How are you
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: doing this week and thoughts on this card?
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, doing good. It's a tough card, man. 14 fights.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: And I don't know if I've ever seen this many
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: pick-em fights on a card. I feel like I usually
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: try to knock out a full card of research in
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: a day if I can. It usually takes me two days.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: This card, it took me three days to finish all
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: my picks and my research for this one. So I
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: think it's a super tough one. I don't feel very
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: good about a lot of the fights. So I'm kind
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: of hoping that ownership might sway one way or another
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: and that can just kind of make the decisions for me.
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: But I think it's going to be a rough one,
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: and I haven't even really messed with any Saber Sim yet.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: I've kind of messed around with some hand builds, but
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: it's going to be tough no matter how you cut it,
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, most definitely. Two five-round fights, two title fights on
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: this card. So both Volk, Evlov, and Jan Marab are five-rounders,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: so that makes it a little difficult to get away from.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: But I do think there is enough. I mean, the
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: mid-tier is loaded. Like my broad slate, obviously those two
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: title fights are great. I think the mid-tier is absolutely stacked.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: And we have plenty of options in the 7K range
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: that have good value, money line value for their price. Again,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: because there are so many short favorites. So the only
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: one thing I've debated, are you going to stack? If
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: you stack to fight, I think Jan Marab is a
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: clear one that you would do it. Are you going
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: to stack that? Would you stack Volkanovsky-Iblov? And if you would,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: how many teams would you need to do so?
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: So I actually think if I were to stack a fight,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: it would be Volkanovski, Evoev, uh, just because it's right
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: there in the mid range. It's the one that I
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: have a tough time deciding between the two. Uh, so
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: I would just rather stack it. I really doubt that
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: I would, especially with 14 fights. I feel like I
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: would need more than 20 lineups to even think about stacking.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: Uh, but I don't know.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: I haven't built too many lineups yet. I mean, I
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: guess if I, if I was hand building lineups and
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: I got to 10, 11, 12, uh, And I started
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: duplicating lineups that I was already doing. Maybe I would
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: think about stacking at that point. But I would originally
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: start not stacking for sure on this card.
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: I agree. And that's how I usually go about it. But, like,
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: last fight, Murab and Jan. Jan scored 119. Murab lost
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: and scored 90. I mean, you take 90 at 7,400,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: 119 at 8,800. Both of those scores could be enough.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: Not guaranteed to be enough on this card, though. What's up, Jake?
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: Just coming from the NBA show. Good to see you
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: in here. YSN always in here as well. Hope everybody's
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: doing well. All we ask is the like button and
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: subscribe button. We have 14 fights to talk about, so
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: there's no time to waste. Bottom to top, like always,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Yasmin Lucindo, minus 350, taking in Nicole Cagliari, plus 284.
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: One of the most likely fights to go the distance
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: at minus 250. Lucindo, plus 250 inside the distance. Cagliari,
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: plus 700. Totally agree with you. This would be a
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: one-star fight for me. I will not have any In
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: 20 teams or less, you can find a lot better dogs,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: money line inside the distance. Then a 7K Cagliari, which
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: would mean Lucinda would be my preferred play of having
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: to choose. I mean, we just saw Chukagian or whatever
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: her new name is get a first-round knockout. So anything's
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: possible in this sport. Lucinda would be fine, I guess,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: but she's 9,200. In a vacuum, when you compare hers
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: to others in the upper tier, it is a very
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: difficult click. So nothing for me in this one. I
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: guess Lucinda, if you're playing 50 teams or more, what
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: do you think?
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just going to X out this fight. I'm
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: going to act like this fight doesn't exist. I'm not
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: going to use either side of it. I think Cagliari
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: is playable just because she's cheap and she won't have
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: any ownership. And I guess if she were to have
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: any edge in this fight, it would be like submission grappling.
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: So maybe she could lock up a sub. And Lucindo
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: might be coming off a PED suspension too. So who
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: knows if she was on some PEDs that were really
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: helping her out as well. But I just really think
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: Lucindo is the better fighter all around. and it's the $ 9, 200
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: that's taken me away from her. She's got five UFC
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: wins for 73, 94, 85, 74, 89. All those are
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: probably not going to cut it at $ 9, 200. So one star,
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: a rare one star. I feel like I've probably had
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: less than 10 one stars since we've been doing this.
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: Maybe this is getting around 10 here, but I don't
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: know that any one of them has ever been on
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: the optimal lineup, so I'm just going to X these
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: ones out.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: Totally agree with you on that. Easy one to start
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: because it is an easy fade. Yeah, like these next
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: two fighters I'll talk about, Cody Steele or Santos. Any
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: Lucindo team, I can easily play Santos or Steele. And
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: you could argue you're only getting more upside as they
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: have better inside the distance props. Let's talk about this
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: next fight. Cody Steele, minus 158. Noah Gugnan, plus 135.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Minus 215 for this fight to finish. Steele, plus 115
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: inside the distance. Gugnan, plus 240. Steele in round one.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: opened plus 350, now plus 325. Cody Steele also to
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: win by KO plus 325, but in the win by
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: sub open plus 400 and now plus 225. So this
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: is one where, yeah, minus 158 money line usually would
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: make someone like 8,400. He's clearly overpriced money line wise,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: but plus 125 inside the distance plus 225 by sub.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: That's appealing to me on a way to get different
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: price right next to Peter Yan in between the Volk
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: Anovsky fight, a solid mid-tier. I will be using some
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: steel as ways to get difference on this card. Yeah,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, the first round submission's in play. Gugnan, opposite
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: of what I said with steel. His money line is
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: great for 7,500. His inside the distance prop's good at
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: plus 240. Fights minus 215 to finish. And I don't
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: think he gets a ton of ownership just because of
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: the nature of this card with Marat being 100 less.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: So yeah, pretty low owned fight. That's minus 215 to finish.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: I plan on being overweight this one. What about you?
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I wasn't sure on this one. I'd be fine
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: with this being a 2-3 or a 4-star fight. I
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: just think both guys are well-rounded, so it might just
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: play out as a 15-minute pretty close fight. And I
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: don't know that either guy dominates anywhere, so we might
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: not get a big score. But I do think Steele's
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: the one with the higher ceiling. He has more knockout
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: power on the feet. I do think he's the better wrestler.
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: I think he's the better submission grappler of the two.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: So I like him for the ceiling. I also think,
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: as you mentioned, his money line might bring down the ownership.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: So that's pretty cool as well. But Gagnon, he makes
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: sense as just a live dog. I think he can
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: compete with Steele anywhere. I just don't think he's as
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: good as Steele anywhere. But I mean, maybe Steele has
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: an off night and argues with his fucking girlfriend the
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: night before. Who knows? But Gagnon could just come out
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: there and really compete with Steele and put up over
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: a 10x score here. So I am fine with him
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: as an underdog when I'm just kind of searching for
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: dogs that I need to fit into lineups. He's definitely
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: in play. So I got it as a three star
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: just because of the I don't know factor. But once
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: I start building lineups, maybe I'll shift these stars around.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. Like, is it going to be optimal?
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, who knows? There's so many high like steel
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: could score ninety four and then still not be optimal.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: Eighty seven hundred. But I'll take my chance at relatively
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: low ownership in a fight. Minus 215 to finish. There's
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: a lot of good fights to target on this card, though,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: for sure. This next one, another one that seems very,
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: very similar to that last fight. Daniel Santos, minus 115.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Balaji Oki, minus 101. Minus 210 for this fight to finish. Santos,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: plus 125 inside the distance. Oki, plus 220. Santos in
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: round one, plus... Wow, Oki has the better round one prep?
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: I guess that's just this one book, but a little surprising.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Plus 375, Oki, plus 450. For Santos, yeah, I mean,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: this fight priced right next to the steel range. Steel
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: and Santos pretty much have the same inside-the-distance prop. Oki
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Gugnan pretty much the same inside-the-distance prop. I just feel
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: more confident that this will be higher paced because it's
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: a Daniel Santos fight. Other than that, though, props look really,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: really similar. So you have this one four-star, that one three-star.
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: So I take it you like this fight more. How
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: do you think it goes down?
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a really fun fight. I'm looking
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: forward to this one. I like Oki more than Gugnan
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: because for the same reasons, I think he's a live
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: dog with the money line on his side. I also
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: think he's just more talented. I think he's a good wrestler.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: I think he's good everywhere. My issue with Oki is
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: his chin, and he's dropping down from 155 pounds to
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: 145 pounds here. And he was a big 155 or so.
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: I don't even know how he's going to look at 145.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: But that chin issue at 155 worries me even more
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: at 145. So I actually picked Oki to win almost
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: any time I pick an underdog to win. I'm putting
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: a four stars on them and two on the other.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: But I am so worried about his chin that I
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: put as a three and three because I just think
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Santos is really good everywhere as well. He can compete
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: with volume. I think he can mix in wrestling just
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: as well as Oki can. Uh, maybe I would trust
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: his cardio even more, especially with Okie dropping so much weight,
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: but I trust his durability more than I trust Okie's
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: and he's got knockout power. He's also got volume that
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: could just kind of drown Okie, uh, and knock him
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: out late. So I just like both sides of this fight. Um,
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: this is actually closer to a five star than a
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: three star for me. So I'm going to be pretty
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: heavy on both sides of this fight. Uh, I'm not
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: really sure which one I like more. I would imagine
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: if I'm hand-building Okie, I would like Oki more since
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: he's a dog I'm picking to win. So that's probably
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: where I would start with other favorites that I really
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: like more as well. But, man, I just think Santos
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: is alive to knock him out in any round and
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: put up 110 points.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this one's definitely tough. Let me check his submission
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: prop too in Daniel Santos. Plus 450 to win by sub. So, yeah,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: on the feet, it's going to be really pretty competitive.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Oki and Santos, if it does get to the mat, though,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: Santos definitely– A big advantage. Yeah, I mean, like in
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: the vacuum, give me Oki for 1K less at pretty
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: much a coin flip. But I do think ownership will
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: lead that way. And Santos will be relatively low owned
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: at 8,600 because he's only minus 115 money line. But again,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: we're hunting for upside. Both of these guys have a
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: ton of upside in what should be a very high
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: paced and fun fight. So I like this fight a lot.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: I do like this fight more than Steel Gugnan. But
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: I also think this fight's higher owned than that fight
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: as well. All right, keep rolling. Next fight on the card.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: Abubakar Vagiev minus 149 taking on Jacob Malkun plus 127
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: plus 195 for this fight to finish both guys plus
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: 385 inside the distance yeah you can see I put
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: these odds up on Tuesday Vagiev was minus 172 yesterday
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: he opened minus 275 now he's all the way down
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: to minus 149 a day later I'm a big Jacob
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: Malkun guy I don't know if I've ever picked against
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: him So I like to see the money coming in
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: on him. I'm picking Jacob Malkoon in this fight. He's $ 1, 600 cheaper.
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: Both guys are primary wrestlers though. And man, I do
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: not see Jacob Malkoon get out wrestled very often. Even
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: his loss to Brendan Allen. Like Malkoon won that fight
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: in my opinion. I don't know how he lost. Vagiev
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: wants to wrestle. Malkoon wants to wrestle. Vagiev $ 1, 600 more expensive.
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: This fight exposed or expected to go the distance. All
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: of this leads to Malkoon or bust in my opinion. Um,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: with that being said though, I guess like, do you
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: think that gives a better wrestler? Is it possible? Can
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: he get three, four, five, six takedowns for 13 minutes
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: of control time? Cause that was my worry that I
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: wasn't going to fully X them out. And maybe just
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Malcolm met, met his match in terms of a better wrestler.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: But I do like to see line movement going the
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: way that I wanted Malcolm, my preferred play, but definitely
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: ears on this one.
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this is my, my threes all the way around.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: I just don't know on this fight. They're both wrestle
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: heavy type of fighters. Um, I do think we're going
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: to get a full 15 minutes of this one where
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: both guys do land takedowns. I don't know who the
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: better wrestler is, but I think the guy have probably
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: is the better wrestler. He looks like the stronger wrestler
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: to me. I also think he is the, um, maybe
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: the more dangerous striker just based on his flurries on
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: the feet. And then Malcolm looks like the better minute
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: winner just over the course of 15 minutes on the feet.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: And that is my worries that just two wrestlers turn
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: into a striking match and it's going to be a
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: boring 15 minutes. Um, then I would rate it under
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: a three star. I really wouldn't want to touch either side.
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: It would be dog or pass because I do think
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: Malcolm's just live in a striking match. But the only
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: way this fight ends up on the optimal lineup is
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: if one of these guys wins with wrestling and it
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: could be either one. So I'm just not sure. I
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: guess I would rather side with the underdog, but, uh,
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: I am picking the guy up to win. I just
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: think he is the Um, more, I don't know about
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: more proven just cause it's the first UFC fight, but
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: he's had a lot more UFC fights and he just
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: looks like the, the fighter that ends in a V that,
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: that would wrestle heavier than, than, uh, an Australian.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I can't argue that last point, but man,
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: Jacob Malcolm, he, he knows his body weight and, um,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: his opponent's body weight and how to maneuver that so well. He's,
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: which is not someone that I pick against nowadays. But
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know much about this Vagiev. What I do know, though,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: is Malkun's $ 1, 600 cheaper. Money's coming in on him, and $ 82, 000
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: might be enough for him, whereas $ 82, 000 is not enough
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: for Vagiev. So definitely Malkun. Or pass for the most part,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: but maybe I'll keep him in the pool, cap him
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: at like 10%, since both these guys do want to wrestle.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: And if I am wrong, Vagiev does have some upside there.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: Let's get to the biggest favorite and highest-priced fighter on
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: the card. Asav Shapiro minus 600, taking on Kobe Thickness,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: plus 451. Minus 210 for this fight to finish. Shapiro
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: minus 210 inside the distance. Thickness plus 1150. Shapiro round
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: one plus 150. I mean, I'm definitely not playing Kobe
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: Thickness on this card. It is Shapiro or pass. The
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: problem is, though, he's 9,500, which is the most on
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: the slate. Now, you can fit 9,500, I think, a
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: lot easier on this card than most cards. I just
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: worry that a lot of when you plug in Choparov,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: when you plug in both five-round fights, and if you
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: go to like Blagi, Oki, or something, a lot of
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: those lineups will look similar. So definitely can play him.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: When you play him, though, still try and get different
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: in some way. Leave money, mix in a low-owned fighter
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: or two, fade a five-round fight. But yeah, I think
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: we have money on this card to do it. Since
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: I like the mid-tier and enough dogs, I definitely will
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: be playing some of him. How do you compare him
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: versus Yakyev? For $ 100 less, and then, yeah, what do
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: you think? How do you think this fight goes down?
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: See, I have this as a four-star because I like
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: him less than Yakyaev, and he's $ 100 more. Makes sense.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's a smaller guy. I think Chaparov is
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: a solid-looking fighter. I think he looks like kind of
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: the full package. He looks good everywhere. I do imagine
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: he's going to be the better striker in this one,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: the better submission grappler. Both guys can wrestle, though, and
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: I would play some thickness if I was MMEing on
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: this one because $ 6, 700 is really cheap. I mean, usually,
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, we've already marked out Lucindo and Vagayev at
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: big prices. Usually when you're paying $ 6, 700, it's because you're
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: trying to get up to these guys that are expensive.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: So I might not need him, but if thickness wins
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: this fight against an unproven Chaparov, thickness is a wrestler
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: and I think it would come with a lot of
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: takedowns throughout the three rounds. So I would keep him
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: in my player pool. But I do like chopper off
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: just to be better everywhere. I just don't trust him
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: as much as this minus five, five, five line here.
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: It's minus 600 now.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: I feel like it was even lower when I was
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: doing it. When I was doing it, it was, I
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: gotta find it.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah. He opened minus two 75. Uh, let's see. Just
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: a couple of days ago was minus four 75. I mean,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: money's only gone against them. I'll say Kobe thickness is
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: a really, really tough click on this slate. Yeah. I mean,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: I agree. Love over him. Cree love has a better
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: money line by like almost a full dollar. And like
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: it Cree love like a plus 1150 for thickness inside
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: the distance. Cree loves plus four 50. Like that's a,
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: and their ownership will be similar, but you said a
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: thickness with, do you think it'll be heavy wrestling? So.
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that would be his only real path
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: would be to wrestle and keep a lot of top control.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, in DraftKings, that's what you want. But yeah,
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: my hand builds, I doubt it would be him. It
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: would probably be Choperov. And I think you can get
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: Choperov and Yakiaev both into lineups this week. No problem.
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: Usually they're higher than these prices, I feel like, lately anyways.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: So I still like both guys. I only put him
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: as this fight as a four-star because Yakiaev is cheaper
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: than him. But, yeah, give me Chopperov. I think he
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: does win inside the distance. He could get a knockout,
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: could be a submission. I also think it could be
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: a fun 15-minute fight, and he could put up a
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: competitive score in the decision. But I think we do
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: need a finish for him to really put a stamp
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: on the optimal lineup. But give me Chopperov. I think
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: he's a good prospect to watch.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: I like it. Definitely Chopperov or pass for me. Next
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: fight on the card, Grant Dawson taking on Nur Aliyev.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: Pretty much a coin flip. I'm seeing minus 107 Dawson,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: minus 109 Aliyev. Plus 150 for this fight to finish. Dawson,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: plus 275 inside the distance. Aliyev, plus 375. This is
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: the first fight that we're talking about in the mid-tier. Again,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: it is expected to go the distance. We have a
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: lot of great mid-tier fights. Abus Kamraustin, expected to finish mid-tier.
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Piko Keita, mid-tier fight, expected to finish. Volkov Kunyev, I think,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: is a bust. And then we have Temurov Lani. Mid-tier
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: fight expected to finish Volkanovskiy, Evlov, obviously with five rounds
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: and wrestling upside. So I think we need big boy
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: upside in the mid-tier. You can see yesterday this was
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: minus 120 plus 103, and now Aliyev's a small guy. favorite,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: so he's taking money. For me, though, it's Grant Dawson
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: or pass, I think, and mainly will probably be a pass.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: If I just think I need 100 plus in the mid-tier,
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: I think Dawson has more outs due to his heavy
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: wrestling style and grappling style to get that. Aliyev also
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: a wrestler as well, as you can see, but I
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: think he's going to probably keep it on the feet more.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: I just think Grant Dawson's the better wrestler. Tell me
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: if I'm wrong, though, because I want the guy who
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: I think's the better, more willing wrestler in this fight
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: if I'm going to play anyone. But I don't love
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: it relative to most mid-tier fights.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: I do like it just because both guys are wrestlers,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: and I do expect both of them to want to
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: get the fight to the ground and might just be
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: first one to get it there. I think round one,
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: Aliyev is the better wrestler. Um, and maybe he can
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: continue that for three rounds, but I do like just
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: Dawson's pace and cardio more than Alia's. I think Alia
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: wins round one, but Dawson's not going to make it
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: easy on him. He's going to make him scramble. He's
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: going to be getting back up, making Alia get multiple
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: takedowns in that first round. And I think Dawson can,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: can keep that same pace for three rounds, but I
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: expect Alia to start to slow down as the fight
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: moves along. If it stays standing, um, Uh, maybe Ali
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: is more, uh, skilled striker, but Dawson's got like that Marab, uh,
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: type of pace where he could just not stop and
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: just keep throwing strikes. I think that would be better
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: than Ali of striking. Cause I don't think either one
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: of these guys are getting a knockout and same thing
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: as the guy of Malcolm fight. If we're stuck with
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: a 15 minute striking match here, it's just going to suck.
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: So we do need these guys to grapple, not only
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: for a good score, but for a good time. Uh,
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: and I, I like Dawson's overall pace and cardio for
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: 15 minutes more. I think rounds two and rounds three
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: start to shift to Dawson. And maybe you're right. Maybe
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: he is the better wrestler. Maybe he wins all three rounds.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: So I prefer Dawson. I'm probably going to be overweight Dawson.
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: And then I don't want to get burned on Aliyev as,
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, he could be a possible favorite by the
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: time the fight kicks off at $ 7, 700 as a primary
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: wrestler himself. So I probably want to be around the
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: field on Aliyev.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Sounds good. You have a little more interest in this
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: fight than me, but it makes sense when both guys
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: average about three and a half takedowns per 15 minutes.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: All right, we're going to keep it rolling. Next fight
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: on the card, good mid-tier fight. Abus Magomedov, minus 123.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Cam Roustan, plus 105. Minus 190 for this fight to finish. Roustan,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: plus 170 inside the distance. Abus, plus 175. I mean,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: this fight is really difficult for me because I think
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: they're both very similar in a lot of ways. The
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: one thing I'm kind of confident in is I think
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Roustan has better cardio and the fight can favor him
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: the longer it goes. But, I mean, Abus, he hasn't
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: gassed too much. And we saw it in the Strickland fight,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: but Strict Daddy always puts on a pace on guys.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: But both guys, their sub props, their KO props, their
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: round one props are all very, very similar. So it
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: looks like two pretty evenly matched guys. I'm on the
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Roustan side of choosing just because he's $ 600 cheaper. Any
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: of Booth's team, I can just go to Roustan. I'm
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: not giving up anything. That's about the only reason, though,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: that I'm favoring him. Because, again, I look at both
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: these guys as very similar, as do the books. Talk
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: me into one side of this one, Big Marley, or
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: how you think the fight goes.
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: So I think both sides are playable in this one.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: Because round one, I do like Magomedov. I think he's
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: the more talented fighter. I think he's more dangerous in
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: round one. I think he's probably just a better all-around
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: striker in round one. I think he's a better wrestler,
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: more likely to get a submission. And then I think
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: he's more likely to guess. So round two and round three,
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: I start to think the talent everywhere starts to shift
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: to Ralston. Ralston might be more likely to get the knockout,
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: more likely to get the submission. So if Abus wins
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: in round one, he's going to put up a big score.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: If Ralston wins in general, he can compete for the
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: optimal lineup. So I just like both sides. My worry
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: would be that it is mainly a striking match and
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: it goes the distance. I just don't know that either
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: side will put up a big score. So I think
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: four stars is pretty solid in this one. And just
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: the case for both guys made me put it three
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: and three. I really don't even know who I picked
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: to win this one. I did it on Saturday. Let
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: me check.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Let's see. You're a boost guy, I feel like.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: Cam Roustan by Split.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: All right. I mean, Split's decision is not going to
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: be optimal. We know that. So if this fight does
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: go the distance, but it is minus 192 finish. I'm
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: excited for this one. I think it's a very solid
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: DFS and real-life fight. Before we do get to the
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: next fight, let's hop on over to our new website
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: over here at Shippenation. Very, very clean. Love the color coding,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: as you can see. What shows we have, free articles,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: all of the sports we covered. or cover. You can
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: see MMA projections, ownership, the stone, the stone to 2.0,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: which helps you virtual hand build or plug in guys,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: see how much salary projection, all that good stuff. Slate
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: station where all of the breakdowns are. And you can
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: see more if you are looking for like write-ups about
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: our team, testimonials from people, DFS process, but see plans
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: and pricing. If you're not a member and you do
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: want to join, it only gets cheaper when you go
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: from monthly to annual and, As you can see, all
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: of the sports are going on right now. Sports, NFL,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: college football, NBA, PGA, MLB, MMA, NASCAR, and NHL. You
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: do get all access to all of those sports with
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: any of these packages. Again, only gets cheaper when you
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: go annual versus monthly. We do have single sport packages
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: as well, though. If you are looking to get in
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: for MMA, less than a dollar a day. Four monthly
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: and almost less than $ 2 a day, only $ 17 a
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: month if you do go to the annual. And obviously
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: MMA is pretty much every single week. So you do
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: get Saber Sim in addition to, as you can see,
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: $ 17 for the content, $ 8 more. You do get Saber
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Sim in there and access to the Discord, which I
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: highly recommend you get in if you do join. Let's
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: get back to the fights. Abdul, Yakiaev, second biggest favorite
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: and second highest price on the card at minus 475,
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: taking on Nikita Krylov, plus 371. Most likely fight to
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: finish at minus 1,000. Yakiaev, minus 400 inside the distance. Krylov,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: plus 450. Yakiaev, round one, open plus 100, now minus 175.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: What I will say is if Yakiaev gets a knockout
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: or submission or whatever in a minute and eight seconds,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I would much rather... go with, what's his nuts? Shapiro
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: for 100 more. If he gets end of round one
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: knockout or submission, you probably prefer Yakiev. He's definitely way
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: more alive for that first minute bonus. But I'm worried
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: he just starches them or puts them out in just
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: over a minute. And that's not necessarily what you want
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: on this card. But yeah, he should dominate Krylov, who
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: I definitely am worried about his durability nowadays. Yakiev looks
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: like a monster. Krylov, I'm not playing Krylov or thickness
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: with 20 teams or less. They're just way other dogs
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: I prefer that I think are more likely to win.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: But if Krylov does win, Yakov teams go down. Krylov
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: has to pretty much be optimal, I think. What do
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: you think of this one?
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: I think I might be all in on Yakov. I
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: have just $ 9, 400 going into this. I kind of figured
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: he would be like a 96, maybe even $ 9, 700 like
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: I guess you can't with all the pick'em type of fights,
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: but based on the salaries we've had lately, these big
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: favorites are usually really expensive. I like $ 9, 400. I mean,
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: he averages 120 plus points. 124 points on DraftKings in
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: three fights. I think he's super alive for a first
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: round knockout. Krylov's last three losses, all by knockout. I
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: think this is just a fight that the UFC wants
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: Yakiaev to win. I think there's really nothing that we've seen.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: There's no flaws on this guy yet. I mean, maybe
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: cry love can expose them a little bit here, but
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: I just don't think this is the case. I think
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: Yaki I have to get a takedown, finish them on
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: the ground in the first round or get a knockout
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: in the first 60 seconds, grab up another quick win bonus.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: So I, um, hand building, I'm starting probably every lineup
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: with Yaki. I have, that's, that's my plan on this card.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: Not going to play any cry love. If I was
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: going one 50, uh, Sure, I'll keep Krylov and thickness
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: in play, but I feel like I need more than
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: 20 lineups to get there. And I doubt I do that.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: I doubt I do it on this card, but who knows?
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, with all these pick them fights, maybe I'll
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: just have no good lineups I can hand build. And
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: I just got to, you know, leave it up to
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: the optimizer, but we'll see.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you definitely have way more interest in Yakov than
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: I do. But I also just think like any Yakov team,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: I'm fine going to Mirzakhanov. I'm fine going to A boost,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: I'm fine going to... Man, that's the hard part. When
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: I don't go that, I guess I'm just spamming mid-tier,
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: like Peter Jan, Volk, the Pico fight. I guess it
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: really comes down to, yeah, Yaka is going to be
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: higher owned than probably people expect, just because Lucindo is
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: not really appealing, and there's just not that many 9k options,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: and it's relatively easy to fit on this card. So
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: they're going to be higher owned than usual, That almost
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: might make me actually like Choperov more than Yakiaev, since
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: I do think Yakiaev is going to be a bit
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: higher on due to his 100 savings and a much
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: better inside the distance prop. But yeah, I got no
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: holes to poke in Yakiaev. Really just comes down to
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: building good lineups when you do play him. Next fight
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: on the card, another solid fight. Definitely excited for this
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: one in real life. Asmat Merzakanov, minus 205. 205, Dominic
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: Reyes plus 173, minus 400 for this fight to finish.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: Merzakanov minus 150 inside the distance. Reyes plus 265, Merzakanov
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: round one plus 170. I do think more than likely
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: we probably need a first round finish from Merzakanov to
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: be optimal. Plus 170, that was 37%. And I wouldn't
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: be surprised if Mirzakhanov came in about half of that
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: or somewhere around like 20%. So just because of that,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: and like I said, not as many 9K options that
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: I love, Mirzakhanov will be a play for me. He
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: hits like a truck, and Dominic Reyes has been knocked
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: out in four of his five losses. So the path
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: is very clear. And I like Dominic Reyes too. And actually,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: I like Reyes more than Mirzakhanov just because he's 1,800 cheaper.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: And he's a live dog that I think is going
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: to be pretty low owned. But if he wins, he
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: has plenty of upside since then. Yeah, he is 36 nowadays,
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: but he can still hit like a truck. It takes
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: one straight left to put anyone down. So yeah, both
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: guys in play for me. Both live for knockout at
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: any time, but neither are going to wrestle. And there's
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: a chance they both respect each other's power. And if
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: this fight gets into the second round, for sure the
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: third round, it's probably going to bust on both sides.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: So I just think ownership's low for a fight that's
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: minus 400 to finish. So I'm going to play some
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: naturally that way, but Plenty of routes, Mirzakhanov gets a
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: second-round finish and is an optimal. So don't go too all-in.
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: What do you think?
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually think capping Mirzakhanov at his round one
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: odds makes sense to me. I wouldn't want him if
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: I knew the fight was going to make it at
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: a round one. I mean, he's almost done nothing but win.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: He's only got one UFC loss.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: Great fight last one against Costa, too. Costa looked career best. Yeah, true.
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, Mirzakhanov didn't look great, I guess.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: No.
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: Um, really one, two, three, six wins in the UFC. Uh,
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: he's got one Oh one, one 12, a hundred 73, 96,
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: 72 at nine K. I feel like only that one
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: 12 is the only one that's really not even guaranteed,
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: but likely to be on the optimal lineup. And that
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: was a first rounder. Um, so yeah, I just would
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: not want him at all. If it got out of
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: the first round. And I think Reyes is more talented,
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: more athletic, uh, Then Mirza kind of, I think he
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: could be light on his feet and, and look good.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: It's just that he, he hasn't looked good in a while.
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: I think Reyes is actually washed. Mirza kind of just,
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: he looks more durable, more powerful, more trustworthy. I am
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: picking Mirza kind of to win by knockout or a
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: boring decision, which I really wouldn't want them in that case.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: But I do think Reyes is live. Reyes is the cheapest.
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: I would want to be overweight on though. So I
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: am cool getting Reyes exposure. even if I was making
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: 10 or less lineups, I would still probably want to
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: squeeze in a Reyes lineup in there. Cause I do think,
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: I think he's really, really live in this fight. I mean, what,
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: like what? Four years ago, I'm picking them to win
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: this fight.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, I, I, I liked Reyes a lot back
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: in the day. It's just, it looks like, I mean,
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: it looks like Krylov now, I guess, but yeah, give
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: me a Mersa Kanov to get a knockout.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: I think Reyes has a little more juice left in
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: the tank than Krylov, but, We'll see this week. Good strikers, Matt. But, yeah,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: the longer the fight goes, the more it's going to
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: hurt Mirzakhanov for sure for DFS. Needs that first-round knockout.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: More than likely, that's why I'm capping him there. But
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: 37% is his chance at a first-round knockout. Again, that
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: will be a lot higher than his ownership. Let's get to, ooh,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: a five-star. Big Marley's second five-star fight, and he only
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: has four on this card. Two of them are the
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: five-round main and co-main events. So this is the other
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: one besides Yakayev. We got Aaron Pico sitting at minus 130,
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: losing Kata plus 111, minus 190 for this fight to finish. Kata,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: the underdog, better inside the distance prop at plus 135
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: versus Pico, who's plus 225. I mean, I like that too. Kata, 7,900
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: as the better inside the distance prop. If he wins,
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: he's probably knocking out Pico and doing it probably pretty violently.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: On the other side, even though Pico has the worst
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: inside the distance prop, He's going to be smart if
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: he puts on the wrestling shoes to avoid the striking
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: with Keita, and that leads to a lot of upside.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: In addition to Pico also, if he feints takedowns, comes
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: in with an overhand right, he also has a lot
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: of power himself, absolutely jacked. It's a great fight. I
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: see why you have it as a five-star. I will
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: not make a rule for Volk Evo to have 100%.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Part of that reason is, I think this Pico fight,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: I think Roustan Abus, and I think Okie Santos can, uh,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: can outscore those fights. So, um, yeah, I think this is,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: if you aren't playing Evlov or Volk, I think this
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: is a fight you most definitely want to get to
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: great fight. Who do you think wins? How do you
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: have it?
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: I love this fight, uh, real life DFS wise. I
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: can't wait for this one. I think it's an awesome fight. Pico,
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: one of the most talented fighters really in the UFC.
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: I love his striking, his boxing, his, his power on
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: the feet. Um, and, He's an even better wrestler. It's
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: just that his biggest flaw has always been his chin.
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: And Kieta is a disgusting striker where he can knock
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: out anybody. I mean, one shot could be all it takes.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: He could knock out Pico in the first 60 seconds,
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: and you know he's on the optimal lineup. So Kieta's
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: live for a knockout just with one punch in any
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: given round. So he's in play as an underdog. For
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: that reason, for sure. He is a good striker, too.
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: Not just power. He's a good striker, too. But Pico, man,
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: if we're turning knockouts off, I think Pico could definitely
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: hang with him in a striking match and maybe even
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: win it. Pico's live to get a knockout of his own, too.
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: I just if I'm his coach, we're not striking in
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: this matchup. Pico, we're striking in the next matchup. But
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: this is the one we're going to go out there
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: and wrestle and look like a minus 400 favorite. Um,
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: and if we don't even need to worry about our chin,
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: if we're on the ground here. So, uh, that's what
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: I'm picking to happen is Pico actually wrestles in this
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: fight rather than comes out and looks for a fight
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: of the night paycheck. Uh, so I do want to
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: be overweight to Pico, but his range is like zero
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: points to 120. Uh, so I, I put it as
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: a three and three for that reason. And I do,
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: I am so worried about that knockout. Um, And, I mean,
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: at 8,300, any favorite with zero points, you might as
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: well just chalk that 25 bucks up or whatever. It's
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: 25 this week. I mean, it'll be gone at that point.
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: So three and three, but in my heart of hearts,
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: it's a four-stars Pico, two-stars Kieta, and that's how I
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: will be hand-building.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, yeah, but if Pico loses, you're probably
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: not winning that line if you're getting zero back. That's
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: why I think MMA is an MME game because if
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: you had 20 lineups and you really love this fight,
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: want to go all in and go 10 and 10,
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: 10 of your lineups are dead, but 10 of them,
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: if the fight goes how you think are absolutely looking
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: really good. And that'd be over like 50% of your
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: lineups being live is, is always good. So yeah, I
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: think it's a great fight. I'm not going to make
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: rule to have a hundred percent with how good the
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: mid tier is and the two, five rounders later, but
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: it is one of my favorite fights to target on
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: the card for sure. And easy to leave money when
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: you do. So one of my favorite fights to one
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: of my least favorite fights, Alexander Volkov minus one 21
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: Rizvan Kina Kunia plus one Oh four Plus 160 for
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: this fight to finish. Both guys plus 340 inside the distance.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: Two heavyweights in a fight expected to go the distance
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: on a card like this. Yeah, no thanks. Zero for me.
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: In 20 entry and below. If I had to pick one,
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: it'd be Kuniev because he's 600 cheaper. This fight, if
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: it's optimal, though, I'll be moving on to next week gladly.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Nothing for me. You?
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't like it because... I picked
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: Volkov to win the fight. He's $ 8, 400. I don't really
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: like him at that price tag. I think he would
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: just be the better striker at range and be more
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: likely to win in a decision, but not score at
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: all in DraftKings. So I really don't like Volkov as
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: the favorite in DFS. So I put the four stars
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: on the Kuniev side because he is live. He could
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: knock out Volkov. I also think he could wrestle. It's
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: just that who controls the distance in this one? If
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: it's at range, I like Volkov. But if Kuniev can
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: get on the inside, and clinch up or land some
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: powerful shots on the inside or land takedowns, which would
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: be even better, I think he is allowed to not
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: only win but put up a decent score. So I
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: think Kuniev makes sense as an underdog. I will get
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit of him. But I think Volkov is
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: probably an X out for me.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: Yeah, both of these guys are X outs for me.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Let's get to a little better fight right in that mid-tier.
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: As well, Lonnie Kavanaugh, minus 118. Ramazan Tamarov, plus 101.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: Minus 155 for this fight to finish. The underdog in Temurov,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: better inside the distance prop at plus 150. Versus Kavanaugh,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: who is plus 260. The big difference between these two,
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: the round one props. Temurov, plus 350. Lonnie, plus 750.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Temurov is a scary, scary dude early. He hits hard,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: but as the fight goes, he usually fades a little bit. Lonnie, very,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: very good. Just very technical. Good light kicks, good striking.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: Absolutely pieced up Morono. but I think he's more likely
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: to win a decision or a late finish. Whereas Tamarov,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: if someone is scoring a hundred plus, I do think
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Tamarov is the more likely one to do so. So
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: by default, Tamarov, my preferred play again, since I'm playing
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: for ceiling outcomes and I think he's more likely for that,
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: but on my pick is Lonnie and if he wins,
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: I don't think this fight probably scores great. So not
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: my favorite in the mid tier. It is expected to finish.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: So I'll have a little bit of both, but I
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: prefer others that we've talked about a lot more. So.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: What's your thoughts on this one and how would you
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: compare it? you have dawson aliav as higher star so
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: i assume you like that fight more.
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah i like that fight more because they're they're both
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: wanting to get the fight to the ground where these
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: guys are both strikers uh looking forward to this more
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: from a watching perspective though just because it'll be more
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: exciting with two guys who are good strikers one guy
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: all power and timorov and one just talented technical striker
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: in Kavanaugh. Yeah, I think you said it great. I
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: think Kavanaugh's live to win late or by decision at 7,900.
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: I just don't really love that very much, but Timurov's
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: live to win by knockout in any round, but it
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: could be round one and put up a big score
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: at $ 7, 300. So Timurov definitely my preferred play in this fight.
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: I went back and forth on picking a winner, though.
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know which way it's going to go. I
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: think I picked Timurov there. Yeah, I picked Timurov by
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: KO just because I didn't even know who would win
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: in a decision. So I'll go overweight to Timurov here.
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: I do think Kavanaugh, I'll be underweight to him just
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: because I think he's similar to like a Gugnan, an Oki.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: These guys who are alive to win, really close in
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: money line, but they're both cheaper than Kavanaugh. I think
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: there's another one, or Aliyev as well. So I just
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: don't think I'll be able to get to too much Kavanaugh.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: so it'll probably be Timurov or pass for me.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: I agree. I will say I might have a little
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: just because he's plus 260 inside the distance, which is solid,
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: but I do prefer Gugnan, Oki for sure. I do
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: prefer Overlani for cheaper. All right, last two fights, both five-rounders,
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: both title fights, two sick, sick fights when we're talking
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: real life. Peter Jan, minus 160. Murad Bivalishvili, plus 136.
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: Plus 215 for this fight to finish. Jan plus 285
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: inside the distance. Murab plus 650. So in their first fight,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: Murab shoots, what, 49 takedowns or something crazy. Wins a
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: unanimous decision. Looks absolutely unstoppable for a long time. Rumors
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: Jan was sick in that fight. Who knows? Comes back
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: as a good-sized underdog in the last fight. And absolutely
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: dominates Murab. Stuffing most takedowns. Outworking him on the feet.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Just looked way ahead of the game. Looks levels above Jan.
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: Now he finds himself as a favorite in this one
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: at minus 160 in the trilogy. Again, I mentioned at
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: the top, but Jan scored 119 in that win. Marab
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: scored 90 in a loss, which does bring in a
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: lot of different outcomes. It brings in a fight stack possibility.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: It brings in Jan winning a decision, but not being
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: optimal because he might score 108, which probably is optimal,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: but not guaranteed on this card. And Marab's 93 in
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: a loss is enough at 7,400. There's so many different
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: ways this fight can go for DFS, which makes it tricky.
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: What I do know is, I think I'm going to
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: make a rule to have at least 100%. I feel
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: like even when Jan wins, again, 119, he did good.
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: He didn't do anything crazy. Murad just pushes such a pace.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: In terms of a pick, I've got the first two
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: fights wrong, so I would just probably fade whatever I
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: say in this one. But nothing that I watched in
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: that last fight can tell me that Murab's going to
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: win this fight. It just looks like Jan was levels
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: above and he had Murab figured out. So again, that's
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: crazy for me to say, especially again, I've been wrong
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: in the last two fights. It's almost like I'm just
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: going with confirmation bias on what happened last time, which
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: is the wrong way to play DFS, sports bet and
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: all of that. But yeah, I just, I can't pick against,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: I can't pick Murab over Jan after that last fight
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: since it was clear, clear domination. You have more stars
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: on the Marab side. Is that because of his DFS
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: style or you think he wins?
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: Both. I mean, I think it's just closer to a
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: pick and fight. So I picked Marab to win for
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: that reason because Jan's a decent sized favorite. But also
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: because Marab has three UFC losses and in those losses,
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: he averages 88 DraftKings points. I mean, at $ 7, 400, that's,
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: I might just be all in on Rob. I mean,
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: even in a loss in his last time to Yanni,
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: he probably flirted with the optimal lineup if he wasn't
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: on it, but he was, uh, I would imagine he
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: was a favorite or expensive that time. Now we're getting
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: them $ 7, 400. That's like unheard of. So I probably just
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: lock in Marab and maybe that does lead me to
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: a couple of stats. I was actually building a couple
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: of lineups as we were talking and it, I left,
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: I was left with 8,800 for my last shit. And
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: maybe I will be stacking this fight. So I do
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: think the stack makes sense. But since I'm picking Merab
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: to win, I'm going to be overweight Merab, underweight Jan.
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: I don't think Jan has any chance to make the
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: optimal lineup in a loss. So let me just make
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: Merab my favorite underdog on the entire card.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and he's going to be the highest zone. There's
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: no hot take on that. Again, he can get there
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: in a loss. He's definitely going to get there in
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: a win. So when you just do that, if you
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: plug in plus 139, which is his money line right now, 41.8%.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: If you do believe those odds are efficient, he's 41%
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: chance to win. You should have at least 41% Marab
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: in DFS because he's not winning and not being optimal,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: at least not in any situation that I can think of.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: All right, last fight, the closest line fight, the closest
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: price fight. It's a main event. It's Alexander Volkanovsky. It's
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: Mazhar Evlov, minus 110. Volk, minus 106. It's Evlov plus...
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: 195 for this fight to finish. Volk plus 330 inside
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: the distance. Evlov plus 450. Are you going to have
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: 100% of this fight is my first question. My second
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: question is, how does this fight play out? I mean,
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: obviously you'd expect Evlov to put on the wrestling shoes
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: and try and wrestle hard and right from the get-go
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: and hard for 15 minutes if he can keep the pace.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Not easy to do that against Volkanovski. How do you
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: think he approaches this fight? Yeah, are you going to
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: have 100%?
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: I want to be, I'm not going to make sure
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: that I have a hundred percent. I'm not going to
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: make a rule that I have a hundred percent, but
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: when I'm hand-building, I really want to be clicking on
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: one of these guys. And I'm okay making it one
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: of the last ones I'm clicking on kind of, can
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: I even afford Volkanovski type of thing instead of starting
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: my lineup there. But I just think that they both
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: have such high ceilings. I mean, they're both great wrestlers.
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: You got to give Evlo of the wrestling edge because
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: he's never lost. He is younger, can fight at a
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: big high pace. He's landed nine takedowns in his last fight,
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: put up like 120-something points. If Evloev wins, it has
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: to be with wrestling, and it's got to be lots
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: of wrestling. Volkanovski could land his own takedowns, but he
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: is the better striker. He is more dangerous. He's less durable, though,
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: so I think maybe just his durability could lead to
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: an Evloev knockout, but that's just not the type of
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: fighter Evloev... Evloev has never been.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: I think he's been to a decision in every single
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: one of his fights in the UFC, if I'm not mistaken.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're right.
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: Finished or gotten a finish. So I just, I gotta,
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's really the 8.2 K and the AK
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: that makes you got to go all in on this
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: fight just because they both have 120 point upside with
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: their styles, with their paces and with five rounds to
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: work with. I just don't really have a strong feeling
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: on who's going to get the win. I really went
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: back and forth, and it was like a pick-and-fight when
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: I was doing it. It was minus 115, minus 105,
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: so there was no help there. If there was a
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: plus on either side, I would have picked that person.
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: Minus 105 is less than minus 115. I picked Morzynowski.
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: But I really have no lean on this fight, man.
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: I'm just looking forward to it. I think it's going
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: to be a fun fight. high-paced, well-rounded UFC-level fight. I mean,
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: championship level, sorry.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Such a great fight. Really, really hard to bet, predict.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: If I had to pick, gun to my head, I'm
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: going Evlov due to the six years younger and he's
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: more dominant if he does wrestle and have success that way. Again,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: confidence is very low. I think if all of Evlov's wins,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: I feel like almost have to be optimal, whereas probably
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: 93% of Volk's wins are, but There still is that
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: 7% possibility if he just does stuff all the takedowns
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: or wins 3-2 in his rounds that he loses. He's
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: on his back, and then he wins three striking. So
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: I think there's just paths where Fultz can win, not
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: be optimal, and that mainly comes down to he only
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: scores 100, but the other mid-tier guys score 102, 103, whatever,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: since there's a lot of upside there. Are you going
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: to have any fight stacks of this one? Do you
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: still think this is the better fight stacking fight than
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: Yann and Marab?
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, after that last build, I'm not sure if
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: it is or not. But now that I think about it,
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: I don't even know if I clicked on either one
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: of these guys when I was doing that one. So, man,
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know, dude.
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: It's a hard card.
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: I have no idea. You can hit me up in
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: Discord on Saturday or Friday night. I guess this is
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: a 10 a.m.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: Start.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: So hit me up once my lineups are built and
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: I'll know more. But my plan is to not stack
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: any fight. and just pick a side in this one.
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: And I would imagine, dude, if I have a Volkanovski
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: lineup that I really like, I'm probably just going to
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: duplicate it and throw in Evloev. So that's probably my plan.
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't hate that at all. Again, I think
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: a really hard DFS card, but really hard is good.
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: Like I would not be surprised to see a unique shipper,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: less than five dupes because, yeah, you can actually make
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: viable case to fight stack either five round fight or both.
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: And then you also have 12 other fights on the
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: card with a lot of them expected to finish with
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of them appropriately priced in the mid tier,
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: a lot of live dogs with upside. It's just a
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: great card all the way around. So all of our
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: content projections, ownership breakdowns will be up. Tomorrow or not tomorrow.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: We're doing the show Wednesday. So we'll be up Friday.
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: Like always, again, you can head on over to ShippenNation.com.
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Click join or see plans and pricing. And if you
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: want all of the sports that we have to offer,
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: monthly core 100 starter ultimates, you do save money if
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: you go to annual. As you can see here, 20%,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: 20% and 10%. But if you're just looking for MMA
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: content below, less than a dollar a day, For the month,
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: $ 20 more to add in Saber Sim, and you can
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: see it gets cheaper as well for annual. Big Marley,
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: final thoughts before we get on out of here.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I'm looking forward to this card. The last
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: handful of cards we've had, I was done watching as
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: soon as I knew I couldn't win the optimal. I
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: was like, I don't give a shit if I even
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: win $ 50 on this card. I'm done spending my time
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: on these. But this is a card I feel like
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: I'm going to stick it out even if I know
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: I'm done early. I think it's a really good card.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: Lots of fun matchups, lots of exciting matchups, but I
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: also think it's a great DFS card too. So good
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: luck to you, title. Good luck to everybody listening. Let's
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: ship it.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah.
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: Great.
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: Great Saturday college football, MLB brewers in the world series
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: and MMA can't get better than that. And NBA too.
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: And NHL. We'd love to have you at the nation again.
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: So many sports. So to sweat, to join, we have
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: experts in all those above. So you can see all
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: the sports and offerings we have right here. Shout out
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: to the team behind the scenes for the awesome new
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Ship It Nation website. That's going to do it for us.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: Definitely do get in the Discord if you do join
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: for Big Marley on Titletown. Good luck. Be safe. Peace.