Latest / The Practical AI Digest / AI Hardware: GPUs, TPUs and Beyond
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome back to the Deep Dive. So I was looking at a photo of a
- 0:04modern beta center the other day and it just, it struck me.
- 0:08It didn't look anything like the server rooms I used to see in,
- 0:12you know, corporate offices. The clean white rooms with all
- 0:15the blinking blue lights. Read The Sterile Environment.
- 0:18Yeah, this this looks like the engine room of a nuclear
- 0:21submarine. It basically is an engine room.
- 0:23It really felt like it just rows and rows of these black monolith
- 0:28cabinets in this massive plumbing and structure
- 0:30everywhere for liquid cooling, and you could almost feel this
- 0:34low vibrating hum of incredible energy just from the picture.
- 0:38It felt heavy. It is heavy physically and in
- 0:43terms of power draw. And that's really what triggered
- 0:45today's deep dive. We spend so much time analyzing
- 0:48the mind of AI, the algorithms, prompt engineering, the ethics.
- 0:52Chatbots that write poetry. Exactly.
- 0:54But we almost never stopped to talk about the brain, the actual
- 0:57physical matter that makes any of that thinking possible.
- 1:00Which is, you know, kind of ironic.
- 1:02Yeah, because without the specific breakthroughs in
- 1:04silicon and physics we've seen over the last decade, none of
- 1:07the software we talked about would even exist.
- 1:09Not at all. Jet GPT would still just be a
- 1:11theoretical paper on a dusty shelf somewhere.
- 1:14So that is our mission today. We are stripping away the hype
- 1:17to look at the metal. We're digging into the A
- 1:19Sixteens AI hardware explained guide and also the latest info Q
- 1:25Trends report to really understand the physical engine
- 1:29of artificial intelligence, right?
- 1:31We are not talking about prompts today.
- 1:33We were talking about the silicon that makes them think.
- 1:35The Foundation. And I'll be honest, I'm kind of
- 1:38relieved we're doing this because I want to finally
- 1:40understand why NVIDIA is so important beyond just, you know,
- 1:43the stock price and it. Really is the bottleneck of the
- 1:45future. I mean, software is infinite,
- 1:47you can always write more code. But physics?
- 1:50Physics is finite. And the hook here, and this is
- 1:54the thing that really surprised me when I was reading through
- 1:56the sources, is that this entire revolution is, well, essentially
- 2:01an accident. It's completely accidental.
- 2:03That's the amazing part of the story.
- 2:04That part just blew my mind. The hardware that's driving the
- 2:08most advanced technology in human history.
- 2:11It wasn't built for scientists. No, it wasn't built for AI
- 2:13researchers at all. It was built for teenagers.
- 2:15Exactly. It was built for gamers trying
- 2:18to get, you know, ridiculously high frame rates on Call of
- 2:21Duty. And then later for the crypto
- 2:23miners? And later for the crypto guys
- 2:24mining Bitcoin in their basements.
- 2:26Yeah, the gaming KC and the Bitcoin mining rig, those were
- 2:30the prototypes for the AI supercomputers we see today.
- 2:33OK, so help me bridge that gap. How do we go from shooting
- 2:36zombies and 4K resolution to building large language models?
- 2:41What is the architectural link between a video game and a
- 2:45neural network? It all comes down to a really
- 2:48fundamental difference in how computers will not think, but
- 2:52how they process instructions. To understand AI hardware, you
- 2:56have to understand the difference between the CPU, the
- 2:59central processing unit that's probably in your laptop right
- 3:01now, and the GPU, the graphics processing unit.
- 3:04Let's start with the CPU then. This is the Intel or AMD chip,
- 3:07the brain of personal computing for what, 40 years now?
- 3:11Right. And you can think of the CPU as
- 3:13a genius mathematician, or maybe a really sharp high-powered
- 3:17executive. OK, I like that analogy.
- 3:19It's designed to be incredibly versatile.
- 3:21You can run your operating system, open a huge spreadsheet,
- 3:23play a song, check your e-mail, manage your WI.
- 3:26Fi all at the same time, basically.
- 3:28Yeah, it switches between all these different tasks
- 3:30constantly. It's the ultimate multitasker.
- 3:33So it's a generalist. It is, but structurally it's a
- 3:36sequential thinker. A classic CPU is designed to
- 3:40take a complex logic problem and work through it step by step.
- 3:44One instruction at a time. One instruction at a time.
- 3:46Historically now, even modern CPUs with multiple cores, say 12
- 3:51or 16 cores, are still just a small team of those genius
- 3:54mathematicians. They're optimized for latency.
- 3:57Latency, meaning speed on one task.
- 3:59Exactly. They want to finish one hard
- 4:01task as fast as possible so they can get to the next one.
- 4:03So if you give a CPU a calculus problem or a complex logic tree
- 4:06like if this then that, but it's not, then go over here.
- 4:09It solves it instantly brilliantly.
- 4:11Yeah, now let's look at the GPU, the graphics processing unit.
- 4:14The other side of the coin. Completely.
- 4:16If the CPU is that genius mathematician, the GPU is an
- 4:21army of 10,000 laborers. None of them are particularly
- 4:25smart on their own. They can't run an operating
- 4:27system. They're terrible at complex
- 4:29logic branches or jumping between different tasks.
- 4:32But there are just a ton of. Them massive amounts.
- 4:35While ACPU might do say 10s of operations per cycle, a modern
- 4:40AI accelerator or GPU can execute over 100,000
- 4:44instructions per cycle. 100,000 that's that's a completely
- 4:47different scale. It's a different universe.
- 4:49They are built for throughput. They're designed to do 1 simple
- 4:52thing, but do it to a massive amount of data all at once.
- 4:55And this is where the gaming connection comes back in.
- 4:58Because rendering a video game, that's not a logic puzzle,
- 5:01right? Think about your screen.
- 5:03A 4K screen has roughly 8 million pixels to render a
- 5:08single frame of video game, and you want sixty of those every
- 5:11second. You have to calculate the color,
- 5:13the lighting, the texture for every single one of those 8
- 5:16million pixels that the the exact same time.
- 5:18You can't do it 1 by 1. You can't.
- 5:19You don't want to calculate pixel one, then pixel 2, then
- 5:22pixel three. It would take forever.
- 5:25You need to do the whole screen at once.
- 5:26So it's a parallel problem. It is the definition of a
- 5:29parallel problem. It's a massive, relatively dumb
- 5:32math problem where you perform the exact same calculation
- 5:35millions of times simultaneously, and it turns out
- 5:40that is exactly mathematically what a neural network is.
- 5:43OK, I want to double click on that.
- 5:44Why is a neural network like a video game screen?
- 5:48That feels like a leap. It's because deep learning, at
- 5:51its very core isn't a complex logic tree like old software.
- 5:55It's not a bunch of isn't statements, right?
- 5:57It represents information as massive stacks of matrix
- 6:01multiplications. It's just rows and columns of
- 6:03numbers. We call them matrices being
- 6:05multiplied against each other over and over again to find
- 6:08patterns. So when I asked Strat GPTA
- 6:10question, it's not thinking in a straight line like ACPU
- 6:14processing a script. Not at all.
- 6:15It's activating billions of parameters all at once to
- 6:18predict the next word. Correct.
- 6:20It's taking a massive grid of numbers that's your input and
- 6:24multiplying it through layers of other massive grids of number.
- 6:28Those are the weights of the model.
- 6:29You don't need the genius mathematician for that.
- 6:32You need the army of laborers. You need the army of laborers
- 6:35doing massive simultaneous arithmetic.
- 6:38You know, this reminds reminds me of that famous Marc
- 6:40Andreessen quote from what 2011 Software is Eating the World?
- 6:45But looking at these reports and seeing how the demands of neural
- 6:49networks are just completely reshaping the entire
- 6:53semiconductor industry, it feels like the dynamic has shifted.
- 6:57It feels like hardware is now eating software.
- 7:00I'd say it's a symbiotic relationship, but you're right,
- 7:02the hardware is now dictating the capability.
- 7:05And if you're a software engineer listening to this, the
- 7:07big take away here is that you have to stop thinking in loops,
- 7:10which is that sequential CPU style of.
- 7:13Thinking and start thinking in tensors.
- 7:14And start thinking in tensors absolutely.
- 7:16OK, let's define that word, because we hear it everywhere.
- 7:18Tensor flow, tensor cores, TPU. It sounds incredibly technical,
- 7:22but what actually is a tensor? It really sounds like sci-fi
- 7:25jargon, doesn't it? But it's actually just geometry.
- 7:28I mean, you know what vector is. Yeah, a line of numbers like a
- 7:32list in an array, right? A1D array and a matrix.
- 7:36That's a grid of numbers, like a spreadsheet, rows and columns
- 7:39SO2DA. Tensor is just the next step up.
- 7:42It's a multi dimensional array. It could be a cube of numbers
- 7:45that would be 3D. Yeah.
- 7:47Or a structure with even more dimensions.
- 7:49It's just a generic term for a container of numbers.
- 7:52So it's just a bucket for numbers.
- 7:54Essentially, yes. And the reason we talk about
- 7:56them so much is that companies literally started building chips
- 8:00specifically to move these containers around.
- 8:04You mentioned Google's TPU, the Tensor Processing Unit.
- 8:07The name is literal. The name is completely literal.
- 8:09It is a processor physically designed to manipulate these
- 8:12specific data containers and multiply them against each other
- 8:15as fast as humanly possible. So we have the architecture down
- 8:19the T-21 because it's a parallel math engine.
- 8:21OK, now let's talk about the landscape of players.
- 8:24We can't have a conversation about AI hardware without
- 8:26talking about the king of the hill, NVIDIA.
- 8:31Their data center revenue is just astronomical.
- 8:34But here's something I've always found a little puzzling.
- 8:37If the hardware is just about parallel math, why hasn't Intel
- 8:41or AMD or Qualcomm just caught up?
- 8:44That's a great question. I mean why is NVIDIA a trillion
- 8:47dollar company and everyone else seems to be fighting for the
- 8:49scraps? Is their silicon really that
- 8:52much better? And this is probably the most
- 8:54misunderstood part of the entire NVIDIA story.
- 8:56Everyone looks at the H-100 or the new Blackwell chips and they
- 9:00think the magic is in the silicon.
- 9:01And it's not. Well, the silicon is amazing,
- 9:03don't get me wrong. It's a marvel of engineering,
- 9:06but that's not the Moat. So what is?
- 9:08The Moat is software. You're talking about CUD.
- 9:11CUDA, Exactly. It stands for Compute Unified
- 9:14Device Architecture. It's the software layer, the
- 9:16programming model that allows developers to actually talk to
- 9:19the GPU. And they've been working on this
- 9:21for a while. NVIDIA released this almost 20
- 9:24years ago, way way before the AI boom.
- 9:27They spent decades building out libraries, tools, and
- 9:30optimization protocols that let programmers easily send
- 9:33instructions to the graphics card for general purpose
- 9:35computing. So it's the ecosystem, it's not
- 9:37just the chip. It is 100% the ecosystem.
- 9:40If I'm a researcher at a university and I download an
- 9:42open source model from GitHub today, the chances are what, 99%
- 9:47that the code is written to run on CDA.
- 9:49Which means it runs out-of-the-box on NVIDIA
- 9:51hardware. Instantly out-of-the-box, no
- 9:54hassle. And if I try to run that same
- 9:55code on say an AMD chip. It breaks, or it one's terribly
- 9:59slowly. You have to use these clunky
- 10:01translation layers or you have to manually rewrite the code for
- 10:05AM DS competing platform ROCM. Which nobody wants to do that.
- 10:08Friction is massive. It's vendor locking at the
- 10:11deepest, most fundamental level. The hardware is great, sure, but
- 10:15the software ecosystem is what keeps the competition at Bay.
- 10:18Engineers want things to just work.
- 10:20But the competition is coming. The sources list a few key
- 10:24players that are trying to chip away at this lead.
- 10:27We mentioned Google's TPU, which they mostly use internally.
- 10:30Who else is making serious moves?
- 10:33Well, AWS, Amazon Web Services is a fascinating one, right?
- 10:37Amazon isn't really trying to sell chips to the public, but
- 10:41they are building custom silicon for their own massive cloud
- 10:44servers, and they've split the problem into two distinct parts.
- 10:48They have Tranium in Inferentia. And that distinction is really
- 10:52important for listeners to understand, right the whole life
- 10:55cycle of an AI model, what's the difference between training and
- 10:59inference? Think of training as the models
- 11:01university education. That's when it's learning
- 11:03everything it knows. Reading the whole Internet.
- 11:05Literally, it's reading the entire Internet, finding
- 11:08patterns, adjusting billions of tiny weights in its network.
- 11:11This process takes weeks, sometimes months.
- 11:13It requires enormous data sets, and it consumes just insane
- 11:17amounts of power. That's what training was
- 11:19designed for. Brute force learning, high
- 11:21bandwidth, massive clusters of chips working together.
- 11:24Inference is when the graduate finally gets a job.
- 11:27It's when you actually use the model.
- 11:29You ask it a question that gives you an answer that has to happen
- 11:32in milliseconds. It requires less power per
- 11:35transaction, but it needs to be incredibly fast and responsive,
- 11:41so low latency. That's what infringe is for.
- 11:43So AWS is trying to specialize the hardware for the specific
- 11:47stage of the AI life cycle instead of using one general
- 11:50purpose GPU for everything. Exactly.
- 11:52It's all about efficiency and cost optimization at scale.
- 11:55And then you have the startups that are just pushing the
- 11:57boundaries of physics itself. The one that always, always
- 12:00blows my mind is Cerebrous. All right, the way for scale
- 12:03engine, I saw a picture of this thing, it looks, it looks
- 12:06ridiculous. Looks like a prop from a sci-fi
- 12:08movie. So usually to make a chip you
- 12:10start with a big silicon wafer. Looks like a big round dinner
- 12:14plate made of silicon and you etch hundreds of little square
- 12:17chips onto. It then you cut them up, then
- 12:19you cut it. Up Intel does this, NVIDIA does
- 12:21this, everyone does this. Cerebras looked at that process
- 12:24and said, what if we just didn't cut it?
- 12:28They use the whole plate as one chip.
- 12:29The entire wafer is the processor.
- 12:31It's the size of a keyboard. It has 2.6 trillion transistors
- 12:36on a single piece of silicon. 2.6 trillion.
- 12:40That number is hard to even conceptualize.
- 12:43Why on earth would you do? That to beat the speed of light.
- 12:46OK, explain that. One of the biggest slowdowns in
- 12:48AI at scale is moving data from one chip to another across a
- 12:53physical wire. Wires have resistance.
- 12:56Signals take time to travel, even at lightspeed.
- 12:59If the whole computer is 1 giant chip, the data never has to
- 13:03leave the silicon. It's all local.
- 13:04It moves at effectively the speed of light across the wafer.
- 13:08It's an attempt to completely eliminate the communication
- 13:11bottleneck between chips. So we have these massive chips.
- 13:14We've got NVIDIA, Google, Cerebras, all pushing the
- 13:17physical limits. But there's a practical side to
- 13:19this, right? We can't just keep building
- 13:21bigger and bigger brains if we can't fit them in our pockets or
- 13:24if they cost $10 million to run for an afternoon.
- 13:26Exactly. Which brings us to optimization.
- 13:29Right. And this is where the rubber
- 13:30really meets the road for engineers.
- 13:32If you're building an AI product today, you are constantly
- 13:35fighting against memory limits. You have this massive, beautiful
- 13:39model, and you have to figure out how to fit it onto a GPU
- 13:42that has a fixed amount of VRAM. You can't just, you know,
- 13:44download the Internet into your laptop.
- 13:47And one of the key techniques mentioned in the Info queue
- 13:49report is quantization. It sounds like something from
- 13:52Star Trek, but let's break it down.
- 13:54What are we actually doing when we quantize a model?
- 13:58At its simplest, we are reducing its precision to save space.
- 14:03In a computer, numbers are typically stored as floating
- 14:05point numbers, and the standard for scientific computing has
- 14:09always been 32 bit or FP-32. That means every single weight,
- 14:14every parameter in the neural network is represented by a
- 14:17string of 32 zeros and ones. Which gives you incredibly high
- 14:20precision. You can represent tiny, tiny
- 14:22fractions out to dozens of decimal places if you need to.
- 14:25Exactly. But engineers started asking a
- 14:28really important question. Do we actually need that?
- 14:31Think about it this way. If I ask you to drive a car
- 14:34through a garage door, do you need to know the width of that
- 14:37doorway down to the micrometer? No, not at all.
- 14:41I just need to know if it's, you know, roughly wider than my car.
- 14:44Precisely, neural networks are probabilistic.
- 14:47They are fuzzy systems. They don't usually need 32 bit
- 14:51precision to get the right answer.
- 14:53So engineers started chopping the bits.
- 14:55How far down? They went to 16 bit which is
- 14:57half the size. Then they went even further to 8
- 15:00bit integers or in date. So you're literally cutting the
- 15:03data size in half, and then in half again you're down to 1/4 of
- 15:06the original. Size and the benefits are
- 15:08massive. First, memory.
- 15:10An 8 bit model takes up 1/4 of the space of a 32 bit model.
- 15:15Suddenly a model that required 4 expensive GPU's can run on just
- 15:18one. And the second benefit?
- 15:20Speed. Computers can multiply 8 bit
- 15:22numbers way, way faster than they can multiply 32 bit
- 15:25numbers. It's just less math for the
- 15:27silicon to do. But there's no free lunch in
- 15:29physics or engineering. You're throwing away information
- 15:32when you do this. What's the trade off?
- 15:33What do you lose? You lose accuracy and you
- 15:36introduce noise, but the biggest and most dangerous risk is
- 15:40something called overrun or underrun.
- 15:43Explain overrun. I want to visualize this OK.
- 15:45Think about the odometer on a really old car, the kind with
- 15:48the physical spinning numbers. It only goes to say 99,999
- 15:53miles, right? If you drive one more mile, what
- 15:56happens it? Rolls over to all zeros 0000000.
- 16:00Right, that's an overrun. You tried to store a number that
- 16:03was too big for the container you had.
- 16:05Now in computing, an 8 bit integer is a container that can
- 16:08only hold a number between 9:00 is 128 and plus 127.
- 16:12That's it. That's the hard limit.
- 16:13That is a tiny, tiny range. It is.
- 16:16So imagine you're doing a matrix multiplication in your neural
- 16:18net and the correct mathematical result is 200.
- 16:22The 8 bit container can't hold it.
- 16:24The computer doesn't know what to do.
- 16:25It might wrap around and call it a negative number.
- 16:27Which would completely trash the logic of the model.
- 16:30Instant garbage output. It's like your model confusing
- 16:32very hot with very cold just because the thermometer broke at
- 16:35the top. So the art of quantization is
- 16:37actually something called normalization.
- 16:39Normalization, yes. Before you run the math, you
- 16:43have to look at all of your data and mathematically squash it.
- 16:46You scale everything down so that the biggest and smallest
- 16:49numbers fit perfectly inside that -128 to plus 127 range.
- 16:54It's like trying to pack a suitcase.
- 16:56You have to fold everything just right.
- 16:58If you just shove it all in, you'll break the zipper.
- 17:00That is a perfect analogy. Quantization is the art of
- 17:04folding the data so it fits in the hardware suitcase.
- 17:07If you fold it too much, you wrinkle the close, you lose too
- 17:09much accuracy. If you don't fold it enough, the
- 17:11suitcase doesn't close, you get an overrun.
- 17:14That makes perfect sense. O we're otimizing the software
- 17:16because the hardware has these very real limits.
- 17:18And I want to talk more about those limits.
- 17:20We always hear about Moore's law that chips get twice as good
- 17:23every two years. Is that?
- 17:24Is that actually still true? This is a huge debate in the
- 17:27hardware community, according to the sources.
- 17:30Strictly speaking, Moore's Law is alive.
- 17:32It is. We are still somehow doubling
- 17:35the number of transistors we can pack into a square millimeter.
- 17:38Yeah, Apple's M1 chip had 16 billion transistors a few years
- 17:42ago. The newer chips have way more.
- 17:44We are getting denser. But I sense a but coming.
- 17:48There's a huge But while Moore's Law is alive and kicking,
- 17:53another less famous law called Dennard scaling is dead, and its
- 17:57death is causing major headaches for everyone from NVIDIA all the
- 18:01way up to the power grid. I have not heard of Dennard
- 18:03scaling. What is it?
- 18:05Dennard scaling was a beautiful observation from back in the
- 18:071970s. It basically said that as
- 18:10transistors got smaller and more dense, they also used less
- 18:13power. So for a long, long time, we
- 18:16could pack twice as many chips into the same space and the
- 18:18total power usage stayed pretty much flat.
- 18:21It was magical. We got free performance.
- 18:23And that stopped working. It crashed and burned about 15
- 18:26years ago. The physics just stopped
- 18:27cooperating. We hit a quantum leakage limit.
- 18:30So now when we pack more transistors onto a chip, the
- 18:33power usage doesn't stay flat. It goes.
- 18:36Up it skyrockets and power equals heat.
- 18:38And we're right back to the nuclear engine room analogy we
- 18:41started with. We are.
- 18:42A modern NVIDIA H-100 GPU can draw 700 watts of power.
- 18:47By itself, just one chip. Just one chip.
- 18:49Now put eight of them in a server rack, which is a standard
- 18:52configuration, and you have thousands and thousands of watts
- 18:56of heat being generated in a box the size of a mini fridge.
- 18:59That's like running a couple of space heaters inside your
- 19:01computer case. It's insane.
- 19:03It's enough to melt silicon. This is why you don't really see
- 19:06fans in these high end AI servers anymore.
- 19:09Fans aren't enough. We are literally pumping fluid
- 19:13special dielectric coolant directly through the servers to
- 19:17carry the heat away. And this is the hard physical
- 19:20limit we are now hitting. It is the limit.
- 19:22We can't make the chips run faster in terms of clock speed,
- 19:26you know, gigahertz because they would literally catch fire.
- 19:29Have you noticed that computers haven't actually gotten that
- 19:31much faster in terms of gigahertz in the last decade?
- 19:34We've been stuck around 3 to 5 gigahertz for a long time.
- 19:36That's. Wild, I hadn't really thought
- 19:38about that, but you're right, my processor speed is about the
- 19:40same as it was on my computer from 2015.
- 19:42Exactly. The only way we get more
- 19:44performance now is by going wider.
- 19:46More cores, more parallelism, bigger chips.
- 19:49But bigger means more power and more heat.
- 19:53It's a vicious cycle. This physical reality, the heat,
- 19:56the power, the sheer cost, it seems to be forcing a change in
- 20:00the entire industry's direction. The Info Q report really
- 20:04highlights a move towards small language models or SLMS. Yes,
- 20:08this is a direct logical response to the hardware
- 20:11constraints for the last few years.
- 20:13The trend was just bigger is better.
- 20:15GPT 3, GPT 4 are llama 3. Exactly.
- 20:18Trillions of parameters, but those models require massive
- 20:21clusters of GPU's that cost hundreds of millions of dollars
- 20:24and sucked down megawatts of power from the grid.
- 20:27Which is just unsustainable for most companies.
- 20:29If I'm a mid sized business, I can't afford my own H-100
- 20:32cluster You. Can't even rank one easily.
- 20:34So now we are seeing a correction.
- 20:36Companies are leasing models like Microsoft's FI 3 or Mistral
- 20:39or Tiny Llama. These are models that are
- 20:41specifically designed to be small and efficient.
- 20:43And the whole pitch for these is that they are good enough for
- 20:46most tasks. Exactly.
- 20:48They might not be able to write a Symphony or code an entire
- 20:50application from scratch like GBT 4 can, but if you just need
- 20:54to summarize an e-mail or organize a spreadsheet or answer
- 20:57a common customer support query, they're perfect.
- 21:00And, crucially, they can run on the edge.
- 21:03The edge, which just means locally right on my own device.
- 21:06Right. Instead of sending your data to
- 21:08some massive server farm in Virginia to be processed by a
- 21:11700 Watt GPU, you process it right there on your laptop or
- 21:15even your phone. I've noticed this with all the
- 21:17new hardware releases, the Apple M4 chip, the new NVIDIA RTX
- 21:22cards for laptops, the whole AIPC push from Microsoft.
- 21:26They are all marketing their NPU or AI performance now.
- 21:30They're optimizing that consumer grade hardware to run these
- 21:32small language models efficiently.
- 21:34And this isn't just about saving money on cloud compute bills.
- 21:37This is a huge, huge deal for privacy and security, which the
- 21:41report highlights as a major enterprise trend.
- 21:43Right. Because if I'm a bank or
- 21:45hospital or a law firm. You do not want to upload your
- 21:48patient data or your client's sensitive legal strategy to open
- 21:52AI's cloud. You just don't.
- 21:54The risk is too high. But if you can, run a small
- 21:57language model entirely on your own secure laptop completely
- 22:02disconnected from the Internet. That solves the problem.
- 22:04It solves a massive problem. So the hardware constraint, the
- 22:07fact that these big ships are scarce, hot and expensive, is
- 22:11actually driving better privacy and more efficient software
- 22:14design. Scarcity breeds innovation.
- 22:16It has to. The sources mentioned that the
- 22:18demand for AI hardware outstrips the supply by a factor of 10.
- 22:22Right now. You literally cannot buy your
- 22:24way out of the problem. You have to engineer your way
- 22:27out of it. So you have to use quantization.
- 22:29You have to use quantization. You have to use SLMS. You have
- 22:31to be clever. OK, so let's synthesize all of
- 22:33this for the listener. We covered a lot of ground.
- 22:35We started with the the happy accident of the gaming PC, how
- 22:42graphics cards turned out to be the perfect engine for parallel
- 22:45processing because of how they render pixels.
- 22:47Which all runs on matrix math, or more generally, tensors.
- 22:52That's the native language of the modern AI chip.
- 22:54Right, but because that hardware is physically constrained by
- 22:57heat and the death of Dennard scaling, we can't just brute
- 23:01force it forever by making things bigger.
- 23:03We have to be clever. We have to be clever.
- 23:05We use optimization tricks like quantization to shrink the data
- 23:09from 32 bit down to 8 bit while carefully managing that risk of
- 23:13overrun. And the whole industry is now
- 23:15moving towards small language models to run things efficiently
- 23:18on the edge, which solves for both power and privacy.
- 23:22It's a full stack view. You can't really understand the
- 23:24AI software revolution without understanding the silicon it
- 23:28lives on. The hardware dictates the
- 23:30architecture, and the architecture is now dictating
- 23:32the future of the software. And I want to leave the listener
- 23:35with a final thought about that future because everything we've
- 23:37discussed today, the liquid cooling, the 700 Watt chips, the
- 23:41massive data centers, it all sounds incredibly energy
- 23:44intensive. It is.
- 23:45It's arguably the single biggest bottleneck we face as an
- 23:48industry. And it raises a really profound
- 23:51question. Are we approaching a wall?
- 23:53A physical wall. A hard physical wall.
- 23:56If we can't make chips run faster because they'll melt, and
- 24:00we can't just make them infinitely bigger because they
- 24:02use too much power, what happens next?
- 24:05What's the next paradigm? I think the future might not be
- 24:08bigger AI, the future might have to be denser AI, and for that
- 24:13you have to look at biology. The human brain.
- 24:15The human brain. It's the most advanced neural
- 24:17network in the known universe. It has 86 billion neurons,
- 24:21trillions of synapses and do you have any idea how much power it
- 24:25runs on? I'm going to assume it's not 700
- 24:27watts. It runs on about 20 watts. 20
- 24:30watts. It's like a dim light bulb.
- 24:31Exactly. A dim light bulb.
- 24:33Meanwhile, to simulate anything even remotely close to that
- 24:36level of connectivity, a cluster of H1 hundreds needs its own
- 24:40dedicated power plant. The gap between biology and
- 24:43silicon, that massive efficiency gap, That's the next frontier.
- 24:47We have to figure out how to get that level of intelligence
- 24:50without boiling the oceans to do it. 20 watts versus a MW.
- 24:53That really puts the whole thing in perspective.
- 24:55We are still essentially using brute force.
- 24:58We are in the steam engine era of AI.
- 25:01It works, it's powerful, but it's loud, hot, and wildly
- 25:05inefficient. The electric motor era hasn't
- 25:08even started yet. So next time you look at your
- 25:10laptop or your gaming console, don't just see a screen and a
- 25:14keyboard. Look at it as a parallel math
- 25:16engine. It's a baby supercomputer, and
- 25:18we're only just now figuring out how to really turn it on.
- 25:22And if you're a developer out there, stop writing loops.
- 25:25Start thinking in tensors, because that's where the entire
- 25:27world is going. Thanks for diving deep into the
- 25:30engine room with us today. It's absolutely fascinating to
- 25:32see what's really under the hood of all this.
- 25:34Always a pleasure. We'll catch you on the next deep
- 25:36dive. Keep learning.