Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Sweet Sixteen Preview and Baseball Over/Unders with Chad & BlackJack

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Sweet Sixteen Preview and Baseball Over/Unders with Chad & BlackJack · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite the podcast from the Action Network. Guy,
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: Am Chad Milman. Black Jack Fletcher is in the studio
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: with me today, and we were in the studio together
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: in Las Vegas last week. And we were in Las
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Vegas together for UM a couple of days last week,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: and we have a banner banner show. Um. First off,
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: we've got a huge ad read today. See see if
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: you can figure out who it is from my double entendre.
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: But of all our advertisers, this is the one who
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: was liked one of my tweets. A gigantic, pulsating ad read,
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: and so that's exciting. So stick around for that, uh
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: number one number two. Later in the show, our new
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: baseball contributor Shawn Zarrillo is going to join us. Shawn's
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: first time on the podcast. Listen, guy, He's got a
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: great story. I'm super excited black Jack. Do you know
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: his background? Nope, just met him today. His dad was
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: a cop for like forty years. That's nice. I don't
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: really like cops, but whatever. Black Jack just got off
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: a red eye from Vegas after eight days. He's not
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: feeling like he's in a mood. I'm feeling great. I'm
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: two drinks and I'm doing good. Shawn seems like a
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: nice guy. Shaun's a great guy, super smart about baseball.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about season win totals and he's gonna
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: light it up for us. Light it up. Don't do that,
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: don't do that. Can we start this thing already? First
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: up on the show, we're gonna start with some March
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Madness recap. We're gonna launch into the Sweet sixteen before
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: we get to Mike Randall, action network writer extraordinaire um
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: who helped me go nine into Friday, Saturday Sunday six
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: and oh Saturday Sunday, here's a story for you. On
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: Saturday night, I went to the to the games in
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: Hertford and sat down as me, my wife, and two
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: of our friends. We sat down and I started rooting
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: for the Seminals and the kids in front of me,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: they were like twelve years old. I don't know who
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: they are. They're like, they're rooting for John Morant and
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: they're like, why are you rooting for the Seminals. I'm like,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: because I'm gonna make a lot of freaking money if
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: the Seminals win this game, and I am buying all
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: of you cotton candy, and they all became seminal fans.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: Here's the fucking worst. Speaking of the worst, Um, black Jack,
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna buy you some cotton candy. You don't sound
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: like a pedophile, black Jack. Uh. We had a couple
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: of bets against each other some reason, my Venmo account
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: has not dinged with the payoffs and I can't five days.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: I need to pay you another way. I can't send
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: Venmos because you're not allowed anymore. I got a new
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: phone and it locked me out. I don't know how
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: to get back into it. So give me the fucking cash.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: But whatever they will, whatever it is, so give it
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: to me. Well, I don't have it on me chat
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: because I don't walk around with cash. How long does
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: it take to pay a bet? You hold on on
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: me in cash? The down payment? I want you? All right, fine,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: I'll take it. You still owe me money? Uh? You
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: also stuck you two thousand dollars. Yeah that one. Uh,
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: we we talked about that one. I'm actually visiting Stucky
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: on Sunday, going down to Kentucky, so paying him then? Alright? Good? Uh.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Stucky and Blackjack made a two thousand dollar bet on
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: U C Irvine and Kansas State on Wednesday night at
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: our massive Action Network party. We do have to spend
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: a few minutes talking about that. That was an amazing
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: event and we appreciate everybody who came out. We didn't
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: know what was going to happen with that. It was
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: a little bit like the podcast we did. We didn't
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: know how many people were going to come out, We
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: didn't know what the attendance was going to be. And
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: we had a freaking line for that thing that the
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: entire night match capacity was five and we had five. Hey, Randall,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: can you put yourself on mute or something until I'm
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: done with my soliloquy. Yeah, Mike, this show isn't about you.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: It's about Chad. Thank you. Um. We had like five
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: hundred people in the place the whole night. There was
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: a line before it opened, and the line lasted the
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: entire night. It did, it did, it was. It was
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: a great time. Uh, good times were had by all.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: I put all of my drinks on your tab. Is
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: that why my tab was so big? Well? Jeff Schwartz
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: also put all his food on it, so it was massive.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: I'm like, what is going on here? To be fair,
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: Patrick told us too, so we were listen CEO at
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: the end of the day, he pays for it. Yeah,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: so that happened. Um yeah, me and Stuck. He had
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: a bet money line at k State. He had to revine.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: The funny thing is we were sitting there watching the
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: game together and I could only watch it with Stucky
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: for about five minutes. Um, and he he turned to me,
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: He's like, you know, this was a terrible bet that
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I made. He's like, this is an awful bet. And
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: the game was probably the worst game to watch of
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: the tournament. Like, it was dreadful. Kansas State just could
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: not get into the lane to do anything. They just
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: chucked bad three after bad three. Irvine went through stretches
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: where they couldn't make anything. It was a terrible game
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: to watch, let alone have two thousand dollars on awful. Awful.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: But the party was fantastic. Yeah, the party was good.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: So great to see our fans, great to see like
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: the people who love the Action Network. Great to be
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: a part of the company. Overall, it was a huge,
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: huge knife for us. We were really pleased with everything
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: that happened. Shout out to our guys from Oklahoma, boys
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: from Oklahoma. We'd a group of guys come in from
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma that we're ready to roll. They were amazing. They
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: were just amazing. Uh, I disagree with you. The worst
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: game of the tournament this uh the other night. Um,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: who the hell played last night? Houston? UH beat somebody
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: by nine. I had Ohio State, had Ohio State. That
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: was rough. Virginia Tech. That was a rough game. Who
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: do they beat? They beat somebody too? You mean in
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: the first round, second round, there was no flow in
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: that game. I mean these were games where I like
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: had to sweat a little bit, so I was, you know,
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: aunty until the end. The only thing I sweat was
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: Virginia against Oklahoma because I put a bunch on Virginia
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: to get back some of the money. I I oh
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: stucky and Virginia. Listen, I've got Virginia winning the whole thing,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: so do you. But I've never seen a team that
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: just screws around more at times than Virginia does. Like
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: when they're locked in, they're really really good defensively, they
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: can move the ball offensively, but they go through stretches
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: where they just funk around and like they lose interest,
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: it seems like, and they allow these runs to happen,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: and it is maddening. I agree, thank you. Let's also
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: give a shout out to Stuckies squire, as everybody knows
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Stucky of the Action Network is one of our favorite guys.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: We had a had a suite at the Westgate. Thank
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: you to Jake Cornegie in the West Gate for the
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: suite at the West Gate. And so we were there
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: all four days. Uh Contra Notty Jack Settlement. Evan Abraham's
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: lat Chack was there, Paula Duca Stucky, great crew, right,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Jeff was there, Jeff Schwartz was there as well, and
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: amazing crew. But I showed up there early Thursday morning
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: and Stuck he was there by himself with one other
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: guy he had adopted, and and he's like, he's like,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: meet Alex, He's going to be our squire, Mike, what
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: does this mean. He's like, he's going to be sort
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: of my assistant. The best way to describe what he
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: was is, at one point, um Stucky wanted some in
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: and out there. Obviously he's not an in and out
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: in the West Gate. So he sent this kid in
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: an uber and he brought back a giant box of
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: like twenty burgers and twenty fries from In and Out
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: just because Stucky sent him. I mean it. I mean
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: credit to Stucky, I guess. But for that, for that,
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: credit to Patrick Keane who told him to go by
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: In and Out and he was he was hungry. Patty
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: was hungry, Hatty, Mike Randolph mac he did have a
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: great time. It was Listen, it was a great trip
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: for all of us. Mike Randall, are you there? Are
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: you off of mute yet? What is your deal? I'm waiting.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: I'm waiting to do is I'm I'm told here, you
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: guys are eight days in the Vegas. I'm just listening
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: to Mike. That's how life with with Chad is. You're
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: just waiting from the stop talking. It's not right. Nice
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: The favorite podcast from the Action Network. Full of Love
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: and laughter in the Euro of Kindness. Yeah you're so kind,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Mike Randall, Sweet sixteen. Handicap it for me right now.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Give me your power ratings as we speak, vague question.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: Give me with the power ratings. Well, I happen to
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: have put them out. The best team left, gentleman is
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: North Carolina. They are the ones without any sort of
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: weakness that are peaking at the right time, and they
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: have matchups here in the Midwest region that our tailor
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: made for them. Auburn is gonna want to run up
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: and down the floor. They're gonna be like a bunch
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: of crazed dogs. They're homing at the mouth. Great, we'll
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: run with you. And then the winner of that game
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: is going to get huge. Din Or Kentucky, Kentucky maybe
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: without p J. Washington, who knows what he's coming back,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: And Houston's who's gonna who's gonna want to be physical
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: with them as well. So Number one for me is
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: North Carolina. Number two, you can call him boring down screen,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: backscreen uv A. But I think as this goes on,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: this tournament gets on, they're gonna get stronger and stronger.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: And I saw that John Ewing, our own John Ewing
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: here put a very interesting tweet out about them going
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: into the next round. He talked about the fact that
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: u v A is favored by eight and a half
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: in the next round over Oregon. They are twenty six
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: and oh straight up and sixteen and eight against the
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: spread when playing a team outside the Ken Palm Top fifteen. Oregon,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: of course, is twenty eight so they are number two
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: in my power ratings. I think that they have a
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: good path to Tony Bennett redemption tour is a thing, gentleman,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: and I think that's going to continue. Very reluctantly, I'll
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: put Duke number three. I mean, they don't shoot the
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: three well, they don't shoot free throws, and they absolutely
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: should have lost the UCF. What a frustrating game that
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: was that Ali, you should have never been throne. But
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: now you're looking at a path here for Duke where
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: they're gonna play Virginia Tech, who they're familiar with, and
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: the potentially Michigan State or l s U. So I
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: have them three and finishing off the top four, I'm
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: gonna put Texas Tech. I think Texas Tech had the
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: most impressive win of the weekend over a really good
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: Buffalo team who could have made the Final four if
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: they didn't play Texas Tech. Chris Beard has that team
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: playing lockdown defense and their offense and three point shooting
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: is explosive. So I have them number four. That I
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: like it a lot. U n C is a five
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: and a half point favor against Auburn. Uh you like
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: them number one overall? Do you like them as a
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite, So I do I
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: think the Auburn train here. Remember Auburn was a team
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: for most of the year that struggled on the road,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: that didn't do well on the road. And listen, they've
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: been hot lately and been on fire. But remember this
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: was a team in the second half there against Kansas.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: They can go streaks where they shut down and they
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: don't score. North Carolina doesn't have that problem. Kobe White
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: is playing at a ridiculous levels of point guard right now,
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Cam Johnson can shoot from anywhere, and Luke May is
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: back in a role that suits him. Luke May is
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: not a go to number one score. He hit that
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: jump shot against Kentucky a couple of years ago and
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: everyone thought that he was a different type of player.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: He's not. But as a number three option, he's probably
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the best number three option in the country. I think
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: this is a bad matchup for Auburn. They're gonna pound
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: the boards inside against Auburn, which is a weakness of theirs,
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: and the point and the guards are gonna be able
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: to match up a little bit. So I like giving
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: those points against Auburn. I think the public is gonna
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: be on Auburn because they're hot. They're gonna say, oh,
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Bruce Pearl that the Guards are playing great, they won
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: the SEC tournament. Why not. I'm going the other way.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: I'll get the points had. According to the Action Network,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: it's still early, but according to the Action Network, the
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: bets on North Carolina right now. That's smart. That means
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: the public smart in this one. Hey, uh, blatch, you
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: have anything you want to add at this point? Are
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: you taking a nap? What are you doing? I'm just
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: waiting for you to stop talking. M Yeah, listen. I
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: I think it's kind of interesting. Hey, Chad, shut the
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: funk up. Um, I think it's kind of interesting. How Mike,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: you touched on the fact that the public loves Bruce
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: Pearl and you've seen that now, like since when he
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: was at Tennessee and now at Auburn again. It really
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: is true. They love to bet on Bruce Pearl teams.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Why do you think that is? I think the public
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: gets caught up in things that don't matter. I think
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: they get caught up. And he's an outgoing guy. Re
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: memory painted his chest Tennessee Girls game when he was there.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's a pro he invigorates a program, so
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I think he's out there. He's boisterous, he plays an
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: exciting brand of basketball. They're gonna get up there there
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: there number one and steels. That's what it is. But
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: if you break it down and really look at the
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: matchups here, are you gonna take Pearl over Roy Williams?
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: Are you gonna take you know, an auburd team that
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: likes to run over a North Carolina team that has
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: been running under Roy Williams the three titles. And I
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: think it's that level that I think some people, you know,
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: usually forget. I love that logic. I have Houston. It's
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: seventy to one to win the title. So there are
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: two and a half point dogs at Kentucky this weekend.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: I bet Kentucky. I hedged a little bit, and I
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: bet Kentucky at two and a half. Black Jack, Why
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: are you making that face? There's nothing wrong with what
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: I did. Of course hedged because you have no spine. Listen,
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Houston wasn't winning the title at It's a stupid bet
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: to make. Kentucky's absolutely winning this game. Covering the two
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: and a half. I've got Kentucky in the final four.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Mike what do you think about that? If PJ. Washington
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: was there, I would have them winning this game. If PJ.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: Washington does not play, he's a lottery pick. He's their
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: go to guy. He was the guy who was dominating
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: and getting the buckets when they needed them against Tennessee
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: in that game earlier in the year, could not be stopped.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: If he's not on the court, I'm absolutely going with Houston, Mike.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I have sources that say he's playing. That would be
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: a good thing for Kentucky because I think we all
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: want to see you and I can't divulge that. Your reporter,
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: you know that, so you were you know you can't
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: evolve sources. You got nothing but an empty two ounce
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: bottle of vodka. You're pointing into a pie boots on
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: the ground in Lexington. P J. Washington's playing? Did you
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: call Stucky? Stucky lives in Lexington. That's the only guy
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: you know in Lexington. You're wrong if you think that, sweetheart,
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: I know lots of people in the Bluegrass State. The
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: other game that I've bet is uh I bet to
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: go to your point about Duke Mike. Also on Friday,
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: I bet Virginia Tech on the money line, love it,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: loves it, love it. Justin Robinson's health was the key.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: I flipped a coin there between Michigan State and Virginia Tech.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: When we were on your pod last week chat, I
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: think we talked about picking the teams, and we actually
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: put Virginia Tech first, Virginia in the finals, I think,
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: and I did that in my brackets, and that was
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: based on Justin Robinson's health. He looks completely healthy. This
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: is not the the Duke wants to play. They've beaten
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: them already. I know, no Zion, I understand that, but
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: no Justin Robinson either in that game. They're not going
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: to be intimidated. They know them. This is a familiar game.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: You're gonna have a similar situation if you CF can
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: be on the verge of beating them while their players
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: are yelling at the Duke players. And you saw it
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: on social media. Shoot the three, shoot the ball. We
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: don't think you can you can make it. Then Virginia
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Tech is not going to be intimidated. That line, I
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: think a seven and a half. I like that pick.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: I like that pick a lot. I grab the seven
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: and a half, and I'm certainly like the money line.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: But Mike, I have to ask this because you just
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: said a minute ago, when Chad asked you his very
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: broad question about your power rankings, you had Duke I
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: believe number three in there and said that this was
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: a familiar game for Duke as part of the reason
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: why you had them ranks so high. So then, why
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: is betting Virginia Tech on the money line a good bet? Well?
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: The reason is this because when I did the power rankings,
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: I looked at likelihood to win the title. I don't
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: think Virginia Tech can put the games together to win
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: a title. I think Duke Ken. Now, I don't think
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Duke's gonna get by this game, but the winner of
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: this game, to me, is absolutely winning the next game.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: So I think this is an odd one. But if
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: you think about it, it it makes sense. Duke has a
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: better chance to win the title of Virginia Tech, but
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: they got to get by this game. It was similar
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: to my Buffalo Texas tex saw the other day. Whoever
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: wins that game, I thought was making the Final four,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: and I thought this was the toughest game for Buffalo.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: So if you're asking me for future, I'm not betting
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech to win the title. But I think Duke is,
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: even though the odds aren't good, is a better bet
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: to win the title. But this is the tough game
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: they have to get through. I love his logic. By
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: the way, I am all in on Virginia Tech only
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: because of Stucky and Randall. That's it, okay, And like
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Justin Robinson to me, is the going to be the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: m o P. You're out of your most outstanding players? No,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: just it's the Justin Robinson n double A tournament. My friend, Listen,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: we've already talked about uh two, we've already talked about
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: three of the games on Friday, so we might as
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: well talk about the last one. Michigan State and l
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: s U. It's like this is a banner bracket. Huh yeah,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: this one, Mike. I'm curious about your thoughts on this
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: because this game for me is a tough one. L
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: s U is one of those teams that I mean,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: they were so hot during the regular season. Michigan State
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: comes on in the Big Ten tournament then doesn't look
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: great to start this thing. Um, how do you see
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: that playing out? I cannot take Tony Bedford against Thomas Oh.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: I just can't. And Michigan State. If they were totally
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: healthy guys, wouldn't we be talking about them winning the
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: national title? At Josh langflag was there. Nick Ward has returned,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: he has not looked himself, but Cassius Winston is playing
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: at an m O P like level. I think that
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: with not having your head coach is gonna matter. L
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: s U. We talked about this on the on the
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: College Pod. L s U was like five and one
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: in over time games in the SEC. So there's two
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: ways you can look at that. You can say that
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: they're gritty and they have a way they find a
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: way to win these closed games. Or you can say
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: they're just experiencing a lot of positive luck and they're
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: doing for some negative regression without will wait on that
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: sideline that's gonna make a difference. Maryland was came all
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: the way back in that game. L s U dominated it.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: I understand they have Tremont Waters and when they have
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: a point guard and a guy like nas Reid big Man,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: you're gonna overcome a lot, but you're not overcoming Tom Zoh.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: I think the coaching advantage and the game plan in
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: game strategy favorite is a plus. Michigan State's gonna pound
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: the boards, which is where you can really get after
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: l s U. Do we have to have an opinion
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: on Tom is Oh and what happened in the tournament
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: with him getting angry. Oh, guys, that's ridiculous. I can't
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: I can't take that. I can't take it. Oh my goodness,
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, can we please? I mean I heard people
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: on on social media say we wouldn't accept this sort
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: of red face yelling in any other occupation. That's correct, guys,
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: because if you're in a countant and you're trying to
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: do a deduction, you don't have thirty thousand people yelling
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: at you and not make that deduction. It's a little
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: bit of passions, a little bit. Mike, Chad and I
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: have been that red faced yelling at each other on
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: multiple occasions. Right, we can't never get passionate? Three times
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: today in the elevator, Um, one more game, Mike before
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: we let you go. I want to get your take. No, listen,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: I'm not done. I'm not not done. I know we're
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: not done. I don't We're not done with that up, Mike.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Florida State Gonzaga. Gonzaga is a seven and a half
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: point favorite obviously before four. Shut the fuck up for
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: a minute and let the guests answer the question. Maybe
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: you should ask the question. I'm in the middle of it.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Florida State Gonzaga seven and a half. Mike, what do
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: you what do you think about this? We've seen it before,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: you know, and do you do the Seminars have a
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: chance to win this game out right? It comes down
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: to your thoughts on killing and Chilly. That's what it
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: comes down to. Phil Cooper's not going to be there
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: with the passing of his father. But if you look
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: at the game last year, that was when Killy and
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: Tilly was announced. It was a four verses nine game
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: that he wasn't eligible because he got injured, so we
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: couldn't play in that game. In that game, Florida State
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: battle Gonzaga went right back and forth. The defense was
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: at a premium and everything was very close across the
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: board except for one area, and that was with the rebounds.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: Florida State was able to get a lot of offensive rebounds,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: put stuff back in the basket. It's Killy and Tilly.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: I think this is a bad matcher for Gonzaga. I'm
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: grabbing those points cold Gonzaga get the win Shore but
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: soaker Florida State, And you're gonna give me that many
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: points if you think Killy An Tilly's presence inside is
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: going to make that big a difference than you go
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: with Gonzaga. But I'm going the other way. I'll lately
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: take those points. They can absolutely win this game. All
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: right now, before we let you go, Mike, since there
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: are three other games on the board, Uh, why didn't
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: you quickly run through who will win? And I guess
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: in the case if uh U v A, who will cover?
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Because in the other two games that Perdue Tennessee Tennessee
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: minus one, Texas Tech Michigan Michigan minus one and a half,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: UVA Oregon uv A minus seven and a half. Give
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: me your winning cover for each game, Produce is gonna
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: be Tennessee Tennessee has had issues in each and every game.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: They almost blew that game to Iowa. How is it
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: possible that you don't score that many points in the
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: second half on Iowa? How is that even possible? They
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: don't play any defense. I'll take Perdue with the way
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: Carson Edwards is playing to win out right, and then
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: the spread right now is one and a half. That's
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: an easy one. Michigan. Texas Tech is a phenomenal game. Michigan.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Something has been off with their offense all year. Their
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: three point shooting has been very inconsistent. Test Key inside
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: does a nice job when he's not really pressed by
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: athletic bigs, which he's going to be in this game.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech defense is at such a high. I'm gonna
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: take them, and I'll take the one and a half
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: as well for that game, and then U v A Oregon.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: I buy the Tony Bennett Redemption Tour. I think they're
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: very touch tough matchup. Oregon is still a twelve seed guys,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: that's what they are. They have been hot, but they're
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: going to be very against a very disciplined Virginia team
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: shoots the three wells free throws and makes you play
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: their tempo. So I'll take U v A and I
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: will give those points as well against Oregon. I think
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: Oregon had a nice run, but I think it ends
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: here with some negative regression. Wow, going with the big
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: number all right. Just for the record, if you look
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: at the Action Network, download the Action Network app, the
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: money is with you on Florida State, the money is
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: against you on Tennessee, the money is with you on Tech,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: and the money is against you on Oregon. That's fine.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: People don't like Virginia basketball. They want to see a
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: fast break now and then. But I think Tony Bennett
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: is due to make up for last year's loss. Alright,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: Mike Randall, you have been hot as a firecracker in
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: the Insidable Tournament and your coverage has been equally as scintillating.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: Thanks for all you're doing for the Action Network. People
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: should continue to read you at Action network dot com. Hi, Mike,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: see you later. Thanks. Buddy coming up next Asilo Baseball
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: writer for the Action Network. But first it's time to
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: reveal our very special advertiser. Alright, shut up, Chad, I
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  Speaker 1: get hard All right, we're back. It's time to talk
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  Speaker 1: some hardball. Chad trying to trying to use puns transitions transitions.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: Sean's relo, our new baseball writer at the Action Network.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Sean's got a great story. Sean sent me an email
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: and it was so well written and so passionate. I
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: respond to every email I get, as you know, black Jack, like,
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: I took your call, but this was impossible to ignore.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: Next thing, you know, Sean is writing about baseball for us.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Was there a question in there? Look at me? I
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: want you. I want you to respond to be like,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: that's great. I love people who followed their passion. Um,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: that's great. I love people that follow their passion. Sean,
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: you seem like a lovely person. Um. Got anything else, Chad?
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: You want to tell us what was in the email?
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't be addict to Sean. I'm not. I'm
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: being addicted to you know you were kind of being
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: addict to Sean. I like Sean. Sean seems like a
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: nice guy. Do you feel like I sent an element
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: of sarcasm? Really? Because he's laying it down pretty thick,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: considering he's spent so much time in Vegas. I don't
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: really know how much. Listen, Sean, there has to be
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: a natural tension between us. Chat over here hired you
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: to be a baseball writer. Obviously, I'm best friends with
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Paul la Ducas, so I think I'm obligated to tell
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: you to go fuck your mother. Yeah, that's fair. I
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: mean we could just spend the podcast doing some some
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: relationship counseling with the three of us, if that would
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: be more benefits. You know what Shawn's gonna do. Shawn's
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: actually going to contribute to the growth of the Action Network.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: Unlike you. You better watch what you say here, Sean
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: zaril Oh, Hi, chat, we got so much to discuss.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: We got MLB win totals, we got most home run odds,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: we got cy Young odds, we got m v P odds.
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: I want to start with wind totals. Yeah, absolutely, that's
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: uh where I focus the majority of my time. So definitely. Uh,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: I think we can find some matches in that market.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: Chicago White Sox right now under seventy four and a half.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: That's what you like? Is that because they didn't get
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Manny mach out. Yeah. I think the White Sox line
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: was inflated a little bit because they were expecting, you know,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: improvement from that team, moves in the free agent market,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: moves in the trade market, and ultimately everything fell through.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: They acquired a bunch of players who might not be
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: on the roster by the end of the season and
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: going forward. You know, I I don't think without Michael
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: Kopeck on that roster they really have much to play
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: for in terms of taking a step up this year.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: They did sign el A Jmenez to a contract extension,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: which will get him up into the major leagues quicker,
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: but realistically, you know, I still think the White Sox
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: are a year away from even being a five our club.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: So you're not a big John J. Fan. I actually
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: I am a big John J. Fan. I went to
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: the University of Miami, Uh John J. And you know,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: fantastical lump from there. I was a freshman with Yasmani Grandal,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: great Milwaukee brewer now Yonder Alonso was on the team
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: as well. So yeah, you know, I'm I'm pulling for
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: Anny Canes in in Major League Baseball. But they didn't
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: want to, or I guess they couldn't get many mach
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: out to complay with them. That's why they signed all
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: those guys because they were the Miami crew. So be
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: trains with What was the biggest line move you saw
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: for MLB win totals? That was completely irrational? I think
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: San Diego, Uh, you know, once they got Machado, their
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: total probably jumped by three or three and a half wins. Um. So,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: I think anytime there's an individual player move, uh, there
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: might be a market over correction. You know, Bryce Harper
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: signed with the Phillies, they had already pre adjusted to
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: the Philly is likely acquiring a star player. So the
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: line actually didn't move after Harper signed with the Phillies.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: But you know the amount of action that San Diego
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: took on their over once ma Shadow signed there was
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: surprising to me. Actually took a two one World Series
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: ticket on San Diego in in December. UM put five
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: bucks on that. You know, well, I cook myself lunch
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: at home one day and and saved that five bucks.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: But yeah, the fact that their odds are now at
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: fifty five to one I believe, or sixty t one
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: is is outrageous. There's no value you and that to me, um,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: you know, so, I think people just overreact to once
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: star player changing teams, and and uh, you know, they
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: continue to pay into value that isn't there. Let me
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: ask you about a win total that kind of has
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: confused me the entire offseason since these come outs Colorado.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: You're confused by something. Shut the funk up? How many
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: times have I to say that it's getting so old? God?
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: Damn it? Well, you just keep saying dumb quiet billy,
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: he's so mad. Um, the Rockies, the Rockies, somebody has
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: to win games in that division other than the Dodgers. Right,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: talking about a team that was a playoff team. They
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: resign Ronado, which I think most people didn't expect. Kyle
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: Freeland showed he can pitch in corse Field. I mean,
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: how are they not over that total? Yeah, the Rockies
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: are really interesting team to me. I think teams like
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: the Rockies and the Brewers and the Rays, because they're
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: playing in different environments, are kind of playing the game
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit differently. The projections might under project what
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: they're capable of doing. Uh. The Rockies played the Daughters
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: to a we're all last year. They ended up going
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: to Game one sixty three, and you know, Freeland and
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: Herman Marquez were the real impetus of that. They were
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: both incredible down the stretch, putting up csy young numbers
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: in the second half, you know, ear as under two six.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: So I certainly think the Rockies have a chance to
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: step back up. My projections have them going under their
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: win total. Last year I stayed away from it. Had
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: it going under again this year, I stayed away from it.
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: I certainly think that they're a team that you know,
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: gets under projected based on their ballpark and the way
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: that they're built the planet. They have a good bullpen,
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: you know, Ronado is there for the long term now.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: So I definitely like the Rockies, and I think about
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: four to one, uh second choice in that division, they
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: might be a little interesting. What are you thinking about
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: when you put together your projections? What are the elements?
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: Without giving it all away? Sure, so I think defense
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: is definitely underrated. You know, when when team projections are
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: being done, batters get projected, pitchers get projected, but defense
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: is a really tough element to project. So taking that
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: into consideration, I actually wrote an article going through last
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: year the defensive metrics of teams. Yes, for the Action Network.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: It's science on the road. By the way, it's free
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: to download. You can get it on the app Store.
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: And uh, you know, it's sevent of the teams who
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: went over there win totals last year showed positive defensive
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: metrics either by defensive run saved or fan drafts adjust
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: the defense, and sixty three percent of the teams that
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: went under showed negative defensive metrics either on one of
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: the two. So there's definitely something to be said for
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: looking at defense and public perception for where people are
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: playing them. Now, setan, let me ask you a question
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: that that Chad would never ask because he doesn't think
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: outside the box like I do. Which is the sexiest
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: team in baseball this season? Sex? Yeah? What do you
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: mean by sexy? Exactly? Sexy? Yeah? I mean, you know,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: like last year. I think the Brewers were pretty sexy team.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: The Rockies were certainly a sexy team last year. Which
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: team maybe a little bit off the board, gonna make
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: a run, gonna give you some value on those odds.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: Give me a sexy team. I won one second. I
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: think that, you know, if we're just gonna define straight
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: up sexy, I think the Phillies definitely increase their sex
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: to field this offseason just you know, sex everywhere, ripping
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: with sex. There's gonna be a lot of basically that
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: locker room is oozing sex. But my, you know, not
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: any Roman in Philadelphia. No, they're gonna need a lot
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: of Roman in Philadelphia. No they're not, because they're so
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: full of sex that rotations a little bit on the
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: older side us. The rotation might need a little bit
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: of Roman. They're gonna lineups young and ready to go,
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: so yeah, yeah, they're fired up. Yeah, alright, I like that.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: Let's just be clear. I think everybody should use Roman.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: We get the advice of a doctor. We know you
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: think that he's taking three of them today. That's an
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: interesting question that around a woman. Are the Cubs a
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: sexy team? What? You know? I think people think that
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: the Cubs are a sexy team. I'm particularly low on
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. They have one of the older rotations in baseball.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Their average age in that rotation is thirty two and
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: a half. It will be thirty three by the end
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: of the season. They have a lot of players who
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: are coming off of down offensive years. Wilson co Trais,
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Chris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Chris Bryan hit thirteen home runs
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: last year. He was banged up most of the season,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: and frankly, I don't see any reason why he's all
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: of a sudden healthy. I'm not expecting a big Chris Bryant.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: Are the Cubs of sexy team? The Cubs are like
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: like shoving a crusty potato into a wrinkled tube sock. No,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: they're not sexy. I don't know if that's the analogy
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: I necessarily would have gone with. And now you've got
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: that image in your head, it's you know, I'm there now.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: Anytime I watch a Cubs game this year, I'm just
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be picking rusty tube sock. I like how professional
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: Sean is being. He's He's like, you cannot crack this guy.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: Let's let's find a way. It's not gonna happen. We
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: could find a way which which players bat is most
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: in need of Roman this season? Oh, that's a really
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: interesting question, is it, Chris? Right now? We gotta give
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: us somebody who can't hit it at all? Huh, somebody
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: who somebody who can't get that bat up. Um, let's
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: go with I'm ed Rosario and the Mets. You know,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: if if gets some some juice in them. Maybe the
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Mets could be a real player in the NA least
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: going back to the office, because our producer Alex is
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: going to just never leave you alone. The man has
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: featured in more Mets highlight videos than anyone I've ever
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: seen other than He's everywhere. Paul Duca has spent like
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: two years with the Mets, and you think that he
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: is the greatest Met who ever lived. Mets fans love Paul.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: They love Paul Duca. Paul was the perfect player for
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: New York. I really think he had shaved his goateee
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: by the time he got to the match. He had
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: should have been part of it, he did. I have
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: an old card of his on the Marlins where it's
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: it's straight up chinch trap from ear to ear. So
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: it's really something special. I'm going to bring that in
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: you mend On, hold on, Paul Duca is God, don't
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: do this. So this is a trap, Sean, I know
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: it's a t app. PAULI is not gonna like that.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: His his advanced metrics show that he was a below
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: average had first career. But you know what, it's a
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: it's a different era and I don't think that that's
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna walk out necessarily the case. Uh, you know,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: there's a reason a guy like him became first time
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: All Starry you know. So it something really interesting about
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: Polly that most people don't realize. He didn't make an
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: All Star team. I believe he was twenty nine, which
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: was his first full year of the big leagues. Most
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: guys are hitting the big leagues at about twenty twenty three.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: So to be able to stick it out that long
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: and then can come up as a catcher, that's oh,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: is that true? Yeah, Mike so should turn him into
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: a catcher. When social was with Dodgers, that's very interesting.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: Russell Martin is pretty similar. Russell Martin was a third baseman, Uh,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: coming in to high school or college, and there was
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: an area scout there were you know, a lot of
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: area scouts are asked, name one guy who you think
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: could convert to another position, and Russell Martin was blows
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: is still playing. But yeah, he's on the Doctors. Yes,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers traded for him. He's Dodger again. He must
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: be forty years old. He's like thirty seven. I think
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: I looked it up. He's he's I I can't believe
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: he's still in the league. What are you gonna ask,
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: he was gonna ask about the Mets. I think the
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Mets are one of the most polarizing teams when you
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: talk to people because that rotation, if it's healthy, which
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: is what we've been saying for the last four years,
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: is the I think the best in baseball. Sure, they
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: add Robinson Canoe, they shore up the back end of
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: the bullpen. You know, Conforto looked like he was taking
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: a step forward last year before he gets injured. Brandon
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: Nimo I think might be the best damn hitter on
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: that team. Um, what do you see for the Mets
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: in a very competitive and at least yeah, it's it's
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: a tough question because I am a Mets fan. I
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: think most people look at through teams through road colored glasses,
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: but I definitely look at the Mets through apocalyptic goggles. Uh,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: you know, most worst at all times. Um. You know,
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: Zach Whillier was absolutely incredible in the second half. He
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: started throwing a splitter that I think he carried a
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: one six three e r A in the second half,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: struck out four times as many batters as he was walking.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: So he finally looked healthy. They just signed Jacob the
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Ground to a five year extension today, shocking. Yeah, no,
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: synder Guard was complaining about that yesterday and the next day,
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: you know, the gram gets locked up. So really interesting
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: to timing on. That's got to get him a nice gift. Absolutely, yeah, coincidence. Um,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: so you know, synder Guard, Matts and Vargus if they
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: can stay healthy. My concern with the Mets is the
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: depth on the roster. You know, there's you're asking me
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: about a sexy team. Before I was gonna say the Rays. Uh.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: The reason I really like the Raises they have so
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: much depth, will be on their roster where they can
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: just plug and play different guys in different spots. But well,
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: I think the odds of them are sexy. But the
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: Mets a little bit different because once the Mets lose
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: a guy, uh, that they're replacing him with a straight
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: up triple A quality player. And and it's the moment
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: you have a few injuries, and the Mets have had,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: you know, a bad history with their medical staff diagnosing things,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: uh like Davis. You know, I don't I don't know
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: what happened like Davis, But I'm worried he might not
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: be alive somewhere. He might need to check it and
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: just don't know, we need to make sure he's okay.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you ever recovered from valley fever,
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: but yeah, yeah, I mean the Mets are certainly is
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: talented as any club in the NA least, but it's
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: just a matter of staying healthy and they'll stay in it.
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: I think the Nationals, though the Nationals a third choice
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: maybe now plus three, they're looking really interesting. You know,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: I have them projected for the highest division total in
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: then the East, and uh, I think they got better
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: even though the pres However, I'm with you. I like
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: that team a lot. You'r MLB win Totals's some of
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: your highlights here, Atlanta under eighty six and a half,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Arizona over seventy four and a half, Chicago Cubs under
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: eighty nine and a half, Chicago White Sox under seventy
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: four and a half, Seattle over seventy one and a half,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: and as you just mentioned, the two and o Seattle Mariners,
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay over eighty four and a half. Now, I like,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: I like pretty much all of those, but I'm curious
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: about the Diamondbacks. One tell me why the Diamondbacks are
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: over seventy four. That team team traded away a lot
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: of players. Um, I feel like they're gonna move Grenky
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: at some point. I mean, right, doesn't that feel like
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: almost a foregone conclusion? I mean, why are they going over?
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: So the Diamondbacks for the best defensive team in baseball?
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: Last year, they saved a hundred and fifty three defensive runs,
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: which is equivalent to about fifteen wins of the course
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: of the season, which is a huge swing in her
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: win total. Obviously, you know, traded Paul Goldschmidt, Patrick Corbyn
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: sign with the Nationals, but they did get Carson Kelly back.
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: I think Carson Kelly is one of the top catching
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: prospects in baseball. They got Luca Weaver back, who I
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: think is due for a rebound in their rotation. You know,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: like you said, they've Zach Grinky. They might trade him
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: at some point. Definitely a concern, but I tend to
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: think that people overreact to the public perceptions of injuryvidual
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: player moves. Like I said before, they have some minor
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: league prospects who they can bring up and plug holes.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Signed Eduardo Escobar doing extensions, so I think there's still
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: plenty of major league caliber players on that roster to
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: play close to five hundred like they did last season.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: And you know, I don't necessarily think losing the name
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: brand talent hurts their team as much as people might.
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: So Line moves down, I go over. That's That's generally
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: how I got with public perception. I like that. It's
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: like he's liking Obama. They go low, he goes high.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: Don't make this political shn Zarrella. The Obama of the
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: Action Network. That is That is quite the statement. I
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: will try to live up to that. Sean Zarilla, thanks
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: for joining the podcast. Thanks for joining the Action Network.
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: Thanks for all you're going to do for us and
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: all you have done so far. Appreciate it. Man Chad,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: thank you for having me. I want to think black
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Jack too. Black Jack mostly yelled at me, but yeah,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: thank you for ing alright. If you want me to
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: yell at you, I can yell at you. I think
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: Sean is a good addition. He's got a dry since,
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: a humor man, and a great delivery. I like Sean.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: I have no problem with Sean. You, on the other hand,
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: I have a major problem because he has a problem
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: with you hiring me. I think that's the Well, of
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: course he's got a problem with me hiring anybody that
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: isn't black Jack Fletcher. Well, I mean, listen, you don't
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: need anyone else, but that's fine. We might need someone
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: to actually write stuff for the website. The written word
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: is dead has been in Idiot The Favorites from The
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: Action Network. You can download the podcast at Apple Podcast.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: You can download it at radio dot com, Slash, the
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: Action Network, or wherever you get your podcast. Join us
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: again later this week for another episode of the Favorites.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: Until next time, thank you,