Latest / Words & Numbers / Episode 495: The Mirage of Nostalgia
Transcript
- 0:00This week on words and numbers. Google Pizza.
- 0:04World War 2 munitions. And were the 1950s really all
- 0:07that great? All this and more coming up next
- 0:10on Words and Numbers, a Civil original production.
- 0:13Check us out at civil.com. That's C ivl.com.
- 0:17Hi, I'm James. And I'm Anthony.
- 0:19And this is words and numbers. Ant, what's new and exciting in
- 0:27your world this week? Well, I've gone down a bit of a
- 0:29rabbit hole. I ran across an article this
- 0:33week about a guy, I guess he was a owns a pizza store, number of
- 0:40pizza stores near the Pentagon, who some years ago noticed that
- 0:48right before there's some big political military thing
- 0:53worldwide, there's a spike in pizza orders late at night at
- 0:57the Pentagon. And apparently the, the Pentagon
- 1:00that you know, later on discovered this and said, Oh my
- 1:04God, we're signaling because everybody's there late at night
- 1:06doing whatever they do. So they Pentagon made
- 1:09arrangements to have, I guess I don't know that pizza or
- 1:14whatever, but subways and other things inside the Pentagon.
- 1:17So they don't order out as much, but in in preparation for this
- 1:22discussion, I'm looking up this thing.
- 1:24And so I do a search for they call it Pete's Int Pizza
- 1:31Intelligence. Would you believe there's a
- 1:34website? Check it out Pete's Int dot
- 1:36watch. We're currently at Docon 4.
- 1:45This is, you can see I'm looking at Domino's Pizza, Extreme Pizza
- 1:49District, Pizza Palace, We the Pizza Pizzato Pizza, Papa John's
- 1:54Pizza, all presumably located near the Pentagon.
- 1:58And there's a graph here and it's showing me, for example,
- 2:02Papa John's. There's a 300% spike in pizza
- 2:06orders right now. No, that's that, that that's
- 2:10'cause we're going to hit Iran any day now.
- 2:12Well, I, you would think so, except Pizzato pizza is down
- 2:17like, I don't know, 90% based on their normal orders this time of
- 2:22day, but these, these guys have got this all tracked out of the
- 2:25average orders by our time of day.
- 2:28And then they show you what's actually going on right now and
- 2:31that gives them their puts us at Docon. 4 I'm, I'm, I'm going to
- 2:37make this part of my daily ritual, so please do send me,
- 2:41please do send me the link to that 'cause I can't wait to
- 2:45start monitoring this nonsense to figure out when the next
- 2:48catastrophe is going to happen. This is one of these interesting
- 2:53things that pops up now and again.
- 2:56The the the one thing that sticks on my mind that was
- 2:58popular some years ago is some economists discovered that they
- 3:03can get a proxy for economic activity by with with satellites
- 3:10taking pictures, seeing how much light is being illuminated from
- 3:15from from countries. And the the theory being the
- 3:18more light that is being thrown off at night, the more economic
- 3:21activity is there. And of course, the famous,
- 3:23famous picture is of the Korean Peninsula.
- 3:27And you one of my all time favorite pictures.
- 3:29Yeah. It's like the North Korea is
- 3:31completely dark except for one spot that's within the capital,
- 3:35Pyongyang. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 3:37Other than that, it's completely dark.
- 3:38Meanwhile, South Korea lights everywhere all along the border
- 3:41or kind of out in the sea because of islands or ships or
- 3:44what have you. But interesting things like this
- 3:48you you wouldn't think of actually can throw off some.
- 3:51Useful information, Yeah, No, another pretty famous one is
- 3:57Waffle House and Natural Disasters.
- 4:00Yes, yes, right. That's that's fascinating.
- 4:03Waffle House is literally never close.
- 4:07Yeah, if a Waffle House they are, you know, something bad's
- 4:09happened. Something dreadful has happened,
- 4:12but and and more than that, you can actually pick up a phone and
- 4:17call Waffle House and say, how's it look out there?
- 4:21Yeah, yeah. I mean, you can use it in any
- 4:23number of ways. Another one like that is the Big
- 4:27Mac index, because one of the one of the hard things about
- 4:31measuring inflation is that the quality of goods change.
- 4:36A car today is not the same as a car in 1950, for example, But
- 4:39Big Mac is a Big Mac is a Big Mac, always has been, always
- 4:42will be, is everywhere on the planet.
- 4:44And so we can get an idea of the cost of living one place versus
- 4:48another simply by asking, what's a Big Mac cost?
- 4:50Yep, that's right. If I want to find out how much
- 4:52it costs to list in it to live in Istanbul, the Big Mac index
- 4:57is likely the very first thing I'm going to look at.
- 4:59Yeah, but anyway, I'm going to, I want to talk about something
- 5:03that you and I have never actually talked about, but that
- 5:07I'm guessing is bothering us both so much at this point that
- 5:13it it's time. And I'm talking about, for lack
- 5:18of a better word, the end shitification of Google Search.
- 5:22Have you stopped using Google Search yet?
- 5:27Now that you. Mention it.
- 5:29I stopped today. Yeah, I did.
- 5:33And it came in, it came in pieces because what I started
- 5:38doing was your, I would type in the thing, not in Google, but I
- 5:42always type it in the URL and it goes to the AI and I start, I've
- 5:46been using the AI And then finally I said, heck with that,
- 5:48I'll just use Chachi BT. Yeah, I, I was, I was doing the
- 5:53same thing and the AI was quite useful.
- 5:56But today I got a bunch of absolutely useless search
- 6:00results from AI from the from the Google AI, whatever the hell
- 6:07it's called, I can't remember. And I said no, this is not what
- 6:10I'm looking for because it just sent me links to web pages.
- 6:14I'm looking for an answer to this question from you colon
- 6:20question in quotation marks. A four year old could have
- 6:25figured out what I was asking for.
- 6:26Couldn't have answered but could have figured out what I was
- 6:29asking for and it sent me back the exact same links in as after
- 6:34I pressed enter and I said well all right let me Scroll down and
- 6:39see if any of this got into the the web search results for the
- 6:45space available on my my laptop screen.
- 6:50I had to scroll through one entire screens worth of
- 6:55sponsored content before I got the 1st result.
- 7:02So first it's AI doesn't work. When I tell it how to work, it
- 7:08tells me to go to hell and does the exact same thing.
- 7:12Then I Scroll down and I have to look at an entire page of
- 7:16sponsored content before I got anywhere.
- 7:20I figured, all right, I got to find a new search engine, and
- 7:22this is probably going to take a minute, but I went ahead and
- 7:26threw Bing in there just for the hell of it.
- 7:29And and I tend to have kind of an unpleasant disposition toward
- 7:34all things Microsoft and I don't particularly.
- 7:37For all things. I don't.
- 7:39I don't particularly like the idea of using Bing, and I can't
- 7:45yet speak to whether the search results it gives me are
- 7:49qualitative, qualitatively better, worse, or the same as
- 7:53Google. What I can tell you is I see the
- 7:56search results immediately and the AI integration on Bing,
- 8:03pretty good, pretty good. So I'm still using Gmail, I
- 8:08still use YouTube. I have Google TV, but Alphabet
- 8:13just lost me as far as the search engine goes.
- 8:17And that's where they started. So well, see you later.
- 8:23It's interesting you, you talk about the sponsored links.
- 8:26That reminds me of something. I, I, I wasn't aware I was doing
- 8:30it and then became consciously aware of it.
- 8:32When I'm searching for something on Amazon, of course the
- 8:35sponsored stuff comes up first. I and I discovered that I've
- 8:39been skipping over the sponsor stuff completely.
- 8:43And I'm thinking, why am I doing that?
- 8:44And then it occurred to me, of course, because if the stuff
- 8:46were really good, it wouldn't have to be sponsored.
- 8:49It would show up top of the list because that's the thing that
- 8:51people always choose. So if you're sponsored, you're
- 8:54telling me that you actually aren't that good?
- 8:56Yeah, that's right. And, and look, people talk about
- 9:00Google's monopoly all the time. But.
- 9:04Within one second, I had eight different search engines I could
- 9:08have chosen from right? Right.
- 9:10Am I going to am I going to stick with Bing?
- 9:12No idea. DuckDuckGo makes a very
- 9:15persuasive case because now I'm not being tracked, but the
- 9:18results just don't seem to be quite as good.
- 9:21And, and there's a bunch of others.
- 9:23I'm going to check them all out and and Google, Google, Google
- 9:27can go straight to hell if you're making me angry as I'm
- 9:31trying to do my work. Right.
- 9:35I mean, look, if you're not making it better, you're making
- 9:37it worse, and Google's making it worse, so out they go.
- 9:41This is not a monopoly. Never was.
- 9:44I've got lots of choices. So do you.
- 9:46If you don't like Google, go find something else.
- 9:50Which of course, Oh, you've got more.
- 9:53No, I'm just going to say I I do find that AI is really, really
- 9:57good. Actually scarily good at finding
- 10:02things when I can't describe them.
- 10:05Well, let's scratch that. Finding things when I don't know
- 10:08the names. So yes, one time I was asking
- 10:11it, what's the movie with that guy who does the thing in the
- 10:15this and it. It shows me that it's got the
- 10:18right answer just from my saying basically what I just said to
- 10:21you. Yeah, no.
- 10:23And and I find it gets me the right answer like 98% of the
- 10:26time and I'm not much to work on at all.
- 10:30Yeah, yeah. I I wish I could afford the pro
- 10:33version of chat GB TI cannot. So my my AI of choice is Grok,
- 10:39which works pretty damn well actually I've heard.
- 10:43Grok is good. I've also heard our friend Clark
- 10:45uses Claude. He says Claude is quite good.
- 10:48I I had problems with Claude early on.
- 10:51I hear that they've all been fixed and it's a world better.
- 10:53I haven't. I haven't been back and I do
- 10:56believe Claude, see one of the problems, if you're not paying
- 10:59for it, you get limitations. And if you have, if you have
- 11:03limitations, you can't ask all the iterative questions you need
- 11:07to ask to get the answer you need to get right.
- 11:11You just at some point when you're almost there, when you
- 11:15when you type a question in ChatGPT will tell you to to
- 11:18check back in five hours when you're allowed to.
- 11:21Have. Another question and I yeah, I
- 11:23just can't do that. Grok.
- 11:25Grok lets you go no matter what, just keeps right on going.
- 11:28But but, and I, I have the foolishness of the week and and
- 11:34you heard me say that it was going to be about World War 2
- 11:41artillery. I I misspoke.
- 11:44It's about World War One artillery, but that's that is by
- 11:52any estimation. It's not about that at.
- 11:55All. Because and and we're talking
- 11:58about an, A roughly an 8 inch piece of artillery, if I had to
- 12:05guess, looking at at a picture of not the same piece of
- 12:10artillery for reasons that will become quite obvious in a
- 12:13moment, but of a very similar piece of artillery.
- 12:17It looks like it might have, it might be 5 inches around.
- 12:24So it's 8 inches long. It's probably 5 inches around.
- 12:28And the incident in question comes from France, a country
- 12:34deeply involved in World War 1 is, you likely know, and why,
- 12:40why am I talking about World War One artillery and beating around
- 12:45the Bush the way I am? It's because a young man had to
- 12:51go to the hospital largely because of an injury from this
- 12:56artillery from World War One that he received when he
- 13:02inserted it into himself. Oh my God, why do you?
- 13:07Why do you have to talk about this?
- 13:10They had to evacuate the entire hospital except for that, except
- 13:21for that team of remarkably amused surgeons who were tasked
- 13:28with removing said piece of artillery from this young man's
- 13:34posterior. Oh, my God.
- 13:37So work with me here for a second, because this young man
- 13:48was wandering about and found a piece of artillery from World
- 13:53War One. And and he, he didn't say, oh,
- 13:59God, let's be worried. He didn't say we got to get this
- 14:04checked. He didn't say perhaps the museum
- 14:08would enjoy having this on display.
- 14:11No, no, no, no, no. What he said was I bet this will
- 14:18fit inside of me. Oh my God.
- 14:22And apparently the incident, as it has come to be known in my
- 14:26mind, they theorize, was part of a party.
- 14:32People actually have parties dedicated to this sort of thing
- 14:38do these. Parties necessarily include
- 14:40pieces of artillery? Or was that just a bonus?
- 14:43Yeah, I think that's just a bonus.
- 14:44It seems to involve and, and look, this is not my lifestyle
- 14:50and I'm I'm this is only conjecture.
- 14:54It seems to revolve around that omnipresent question.
- 15:00Do you think that'll fit? Oh my.
- 15:07God, like I said, man, this is the single greatest, most
- 15:14foolish, foolishness of the week we have ever had.
- 15:18I bet we are likely we're tired the foolishness now.
- 15:21And are likely to ever have this?
- 15:23None. Just where's the brown crown?
- 15:28And I would just leave it at that.
- 15:30I'm Anthony Davies, Co host of Words and Numbers.
- 15:32James Harrigan and I are proud to be on Civil's Network because
- 15:35we believe in their unifying principle of human respect,
- 15:38which is the idea that our well-being as humans is
- 15:41diminished when we employ coercion and that conversely,
- 15:44our happiness and prosperity are maximized when we cooperate.
- 15:47If you believe in our mission, join civil.com.
- 15:50That's civl.com. Comedian, author and political
- 15:54satirist Andrew Heaton joins us this week.
- 15:56Andrew is host of the podcast The Political Orphanage and the
- 16:00sci-fi deep dive podcast Alienating the Audience.
- 16:04He's a frequent contributor to Reason TV and hosted the popular
- 16:08web series mostly weekly. And I still think he's a pretty
- 16:12nice guy. Andrew, welcome back to Words of
- 16:14Numbers. You complained the last time
- 16:17that we haven't had you on a long time.
- 16:18So now we get back-to-back Andrew.
- 16:20Perfect. OK, so the lesson learned here
- 16:22is complain more. All right?
- 16:24I I'll do it good right back. Works every time.
- 16:27Andrew, you, you said something that I've talked a lot about
- 16:32life today versus life in the past, but you said something
- 16:35that I thought framed it beautifully.
- 16:37I've never heard before. You described, you said, what if
- 16:411950s wasn't a time but a place? Yeah, so I, I got really
- 16:47interested in this two or three years ago.
- 16:48My parents are baby boomers and I've had conversations with them
- 16:52and some of their friends and there's, there's a, a nostalgia
- 16:56there that I think is good on the emotional side and
- 17:02completely wrong on the economic side.
- 17:05So I would hear things like, you know, things were just cheaper
- 17:08in the 50s. It was easier.
- 17:10I had a conversation with a relative a few years ago where
- 17:13she went, we, we were driving around her hometown and she was
- 17:16kind of pointing out landmarks and, and she went, you know, we
- 17:18used to play in the park there when I was a kid.
- 17:20You couldn't do that anymore because, you know, kidnappings
- 17:23and whatnot. And I went, have you seen any
- 17:25data on that? Because I, I don't know that
- 17:27there's any, any actual statistics.
- 17:29She's like, no, we never heard about it.
- 17:30And I'm like, well, yeah, 'cause you were 8, like your parents
- 17:32weren't going to tell you about child murder.
- 17:35Like, like I, I grew up in the 80s and like, I wasn't worried
- 17:38about the real estate market cratering because I was 8 years
- 17:41old. And I, I think that a lot of the
- 17:43time what goes on, which is very understandable, is people are
- 17:46nostalgic about their childhoods for good reason.
- 17:48If you had a good childhood, you should be nostalgic about it.
- 17:50Your family was there, you were surrounded by love.
- 17:52You weren't worried about things.
- 17:54That's great. That's, that's beautiful.
- 17:55And I'm, I'm glad that you enjoyed that.
- 17:57But the good news is that while your childhood is over, stuff's
- 18:02way better now. They're they're they're we
- 18:04could, we could make an argument that there are non quantifiable
- 18:09things like maybe maybe your sense of belonging or your sense
- 18:13of purpose like that. I'm, I'm open to that.
- 18:15But if we're just talking about how it was easier to buy a house
- 18:18and life was cheaper and people were paid more, that no, it's
- 18:22pretty much a slam dunk. And I, what I decided to do was
- 18:26when people tend to tackle the 50s, which really stands out in
- 18:29the American mind, I think because that's when television
- 18:32came out. And also just the aesthetics are
- 18:34so cool. People really fixate on that.
- 18:36We, we tend to look at it understandably as a period of
- 18:39history. And So what I did on the
- 18:41political orphanage, my show is I did an episode on what if the
- 18:4550s wasn't a time we could go back to what if it was an actual
- 18:48place that's around right now. We're going to call it 50s land.
- 18:52We're going to get on a plane, we're going to go to 50s land.
- 18:54And at the end of the episode, we're going to make a call on
- 18:57whether we want to stay in 50s land or come back home to now.
- 19:00And basically the Long story short is if, if 50s land were a
- 19:05place and we were looking at the economic performance of 50s land
- 19:09versus today, and you had the ability to, to migrate there if
- 19:12you wanted to, we would look at 50s land kind of how we looked
- 19:16at the Eastern Bloc right when it came out of communism as
- 19:21quaint white, having lots of lots of nice things about it,
- 19:26nice people, you know, like, like good family, like all sorts
- 19:30of good things. Not not putting the country
- 19:32down, but in terms of who is a better economy for, for not just
- 19:36the overall GDP, but the median person that it's, it's no
- 19:39question that life is better now than it was in the 50s.
- 19:42Stuff is cheaper, we make more money.
- 19:44There's there's one or two different realms that the 50s
- 19:48has its beat on. But I would argue that when you
- 19:50look at it, it's totality, it's it's rather overwhelming that
- 19:53no, but it's not better in the 50s than it is now.
- 19:55You wouldn't want to live in 50s land.
- 19:57Yeah. And you point to television.
- 20:00I think that's part of the thing.
- 20:01We see. We see television and we assume.
- 20:06Oh, that's what the 50s were. Yeah, that's that's television.
- 20:09That's that's like assuming that, oh, well, in 2020, cops
- 20:12live in, you know, high rises in downtown Manhattan.
- 20:16No, that's in the movies. It doesn't actually work that
- 20:19way. 100% Or like understanding New York economics at the turn
- 20:23of the 20th century by watching Friends where they all live in
- 20:26these beautiful. I lived in New York City for
- 20:29five years and I did that tent, what, 15 years after it went off
- 20:33the air and I lived in a converted dumb waiter where I, I
- 20:36had to sell organs in order to pay for it.
- 20:38And they're, they're living. No, that's beautiful.
- 20:41Or, or like, alternately, you will find that a
- 20:43disproportionate amount of sitcom characters are college
- 20:46educated. Why is that?
- 20:48It's because the writers that put them together went to
- 20:50college. And so that's the, the world
- 20:51view that they're inhabiting. Yeah.
- 20:54I some of the things right off the bat that we can dispel from
- 20:56the 50s are every, every you'll see these memes pop up
- 21:01periodically that in, in the 1950s you had a AA1 earner
- 21:05household and two cars and a vacation in a big house.
- 21:09And no, the date is pretty subtle on that.
- 21:11That is not the case. First of all, way more women
- 21:14worked in the 50s than what we gather based on watching June
- 21:18Cleaver. We're seeing a slice of 1950s
- 21:21life that's really upper middle class, upper class white people.
- 21:25But even within the overall average American, it was, I
- 21:29don't have the numbers off the top of my head, the episodes
- 21:31from a couple of years ago, but it's like maybe 40% of women
- 21:34worked and it was very common to work.
- 21:37And then you got married. Maybe you did part time work.
- 21:39That was very common. It was not common to have two
- 21:42cars. That was a luxury item.
- 21:44If you had two cars, most families in the 50s had one car
- 21:48and that car was way worse than what we have today.
- 21:50Every car you can buy today is cheaper, more reliable, and more
- 21:54comfortable than anything they had in the 1950s.
- 21:56And then I I'm. With you on cars, I'm with you
- 21:59on cars. I want to come come back to
- 22:00that. But before we get too far away
- 22:02from it, because people say this to me as well that well, you
- 22:05know, it was 1 income household women didn't work back in the
- 22:08day. And you know, of course you're
- 22:10the numbers that you're quoting I've seen as well.
- 22:13But you know, there was there were more women who weren't
- 22:15working. Sorry, there were more women who
- 22:19were the way I phrase it, they were working, they just weren't
- 22:23being paid. Yes.
- 22:25And So what were they doing? They were doing all sorts of
- 22:28things during the day that we have machines that do now.
- 22:32So women are working today just as much as they were in the
- 22:34past. The difference is now they get
- 22:35a. Paycheck I you know what I wish
- 22:38I'd spoken to you before I put that episode together.
- 22:40That's a really good point. No, absolutely true.
- 22:43The amount of, of Labor done is lower that we have to do.
- 22:47And on top of that, there's, there's some other statistical
- 22:49things too, like when you get into the, the like in, in taxes,
- 22:54we, we look at household income, we don't look at individuals,
- 22:57right? That's, that's how we do most of
- 22:58our statistics. So it's one of those things
- 23:01where when you look at how, how households were doing in the 50s
- 23:04in terms of purchasing parity power, occasionally you'll,
- 23:07you'll find things that look like, yeah, the households were
- 23:09doing better if you were 27 years old than they were now.
- 23:14But part of that is also the fact that people are getting
- 23:16married less frequently and later.
- 23:18And so if you were to take the same amount of people that were
- 23:21getting married in the 50s and they did have a higher rate of
- 23:23marriage, the divorce rate was actually pretty similar.
- 23:26The divorce rate spiked in the 80s, but it's back down to about
- 23:29where it was in the 50's. The difference is people aren't
- 23:31getting married as frequently or as early.
- 23:34But if you were to take everybody like me that probably
- 23:37would have been married by my age in the 50s and combine those
- 23:40household incomes, you'd suddenly see the statistics
- 23:42change again. So the, yeah, the the a lot of
- 23:45that stuff is completely illusionary.
- 23:47Where we're we're. Looking at a televised
- 23:50simulacrum or an uneducated meme rather than the actual reality
- 23:56of how much people were earning. Another example, food was way
- 23:59more expensive in the 50s and, and this is an argument, you can
- 24:02look at how much people were paying with inflation adjusted
- 24:06income. And I realized that figuring out
- 24:08inflation that it's a lot of art and a little bit of science.
- 24:11But if you remove that and just look at how much did people
- 24:14spend on food as a percentage of their income that was much
- 24:18higher in the 50s than it is now.
- 24:20And one of the reasons that you can you're one of the examples
- 24:23you can see that is we eat out way more now than we did in the
- 24:2719. Oh my gosh, because you couldn't
- 24:28afford. To do it in the 1950s, you know,
- 24:30maybe once a month you'd go out. I think the average was like in
- 24:33the 50s, you would eat out maybe once a week.
- 24:35The median, the median person would eat out maybe once a week.
- 24:38And now it's like 1/4 of all meals are consumed out now.
- 24:40That's probably including breakfast.
- 24:42Maybe that's people getting, you know, like a, a, a, a breakfast
- 24:45burrito or something on their way to work.
- 24:47But, but, but people are able to afford to eat out so much more
- 24:51now than they were back then. And then culturally, if you want
- 24:54to get in a little bit more too, the food we have is better.
- 24:58Like I'm, I'm from Oklahoma. I, I remember when sushi came to
- 25:01Oklahoma, there were articles written about this Japanese food
- 25:05with raw fish. And like, now I could get Kiwano
- 25:09melon plu in a in a grocery store in Wagner, Oklahoma.
- 25:12The variety that's available everywhere in the country's
- 25:14better and cheaper. Yeah, and this is the thing, you
- 25:17know, I I can remember as a kid and I noticed now I don't hear
- 25:20it anymore, people saying something's in season.
- 25:24Yeah, when I was a kid, you wanted watermelon.
- 25:26You got it certain months of the year, other months.
- 25:28So you're you don't get watermelon because it's not in
- 25:30season. Not to say it's too expensive,
- 25:32it doesn't exist. There's something else leaning
- 25:38on the the the data that you're working with too, Especially
- 25:43when it comes to marriage, home ownership, things like this.
- 25:48We're living quite a lot longer than we did in the 50s.
- 25:52Yeah. And in, in a portion of that
- 25:54time that we live longer, we're being educated longer than we
- 25:59were in, in the in the 1950s. So between the the the vast
- 26:05expanse of your new lifespan and the time you spend in college,
- 26:11look, that's going to skew the data every which way.
- 26:14Yeah, all of that's true. And, and again, if we were
- 26:17comparing 50s land as a contemporary country to the
- 26:19United States, we would look at that and go, their life spans
- 26:23are significantly cheaper or excuse me, significantly
- 26:25smaller. We, we, we could say, and this
- 26:28would be accurate, that the amount of money people spend on
- 26:33medicine in 50s land is smaller than that which we pay.
- 26:36The people are paying less a proportion of their income on
- 26:39medicine over there in 50s land. That's true.
- 26:42But also the quality of medicine you're getting in 50s land is
- 26:45much worse. And in the 50s you've got very
- 26:48rudimentary chemotherapy. That's very, but for the most
- 26:51part you're getting antibiotics and X-rays.
- 26:53That's it. And so like no one in America
- 26:56would be traveling to 50s land for medical treatment today.
- 26:59That would be insane. You would not do that even if it
- 27:01were cheaper And, and you're, you're getting so much more that
- 27:06we're, we're getting a far better deal with the quality of,
- 27:09of healthcare and the variety of like, I'd be dead at least two
- 27:14times over if I were born in the 50s just 'cause I had things
- 27:16happen in childhood that, that I probably would have died from
- 27:19that, that we now have that are, that are so much better.
- 27:22Yeah, I, I, I would also not be alive, but there's a little more
- 27:28to it too, right? Because not only is healthcare
- 27:32not, let's call it suboptimal in 50s land, so is nutrition.
- 27:39It's deeply suboptimal, right? And and literally all the things
- 27:44that that pile into the one metric lifespan, they're all
- 27:49suboptimal, yes. All of that's true where, where
- 27:53I think like there are a few things that we could, we could
- 27:56say about it. The housing was cheaper, but I
- 28:02need to put in a couple of caveats there.
- 28:05One, houses are larger now. People prefer larger houses than
- 28:09they did. I went by the house my mom grew
- 28:10up in and it was considerably smaller than the house I grew up
- 28:15in, which is, you know, the kids all had bunk beds staying in one
- 28:17room. My dad grew up in a 2 bedroom
- 28:19house with three kids. That was very common back then.
- 28:22Stuff that we would consider a deprivation today.
- 28:25In most instances, we, we, we would view that as, you know,
- 28:28kind of working class, you know, food on the table, but not
- 28:31really, not really affluent. And you, you can argue that
- 28:36that's better. I, I for one of a very big
- 28:38proponent of having more varieties of housing and less
- 28:42restrictions on housing. But there are there are a few
- 28:44other things too. The the kind of starter home
- 28:47idea that you could buy a cheap starter home.
- 28:50You you can still do that. You do have to travel outside of
- 28:53the periphery of the city in order to do it, but you can go
- 28:56get like a, in effect, a, a house that is as cheap as the
- 28:5950s if you want to get like modular housing and it would be
- 29:02about the same size. And then the stuff that we, you
- 29:04know, we are fighting in terms of rising housing costs are, are
- 29:07all supply side. It's, it's because we've got,
- 29:10you know, these laborious zoning restrictions that are going on.
- 29:13There were a few other things they were dealing with that
- 29:15we're not like they had rapid suburbanization, but we've
- 29:17already kind of done the, the low hanging fruit on that where
- 29:21we can build greater and greater suburbs, but the, the distance
- 29:24to the core is going to be smaller.
- 29:25So that was kind of a one time trick we could do of suddenly
- 29:28expanding all that land. Now we got to build up rather
- 29:30than out if we want to have that same kind of phenomenon.
- 29:33I've done the, the, the math on housing.
- 29:35I, I don't have figures going back to 1950, but I do have them
- 29:39going to the mid 1980s. And the, the median house today
- 29:44is twice the square footage of the median house in 1984,
- 29:48double. And the average number of people
- 29:51in the house is half. So, So on a per person basis,
- 29:56per person, per square foot, you're getting four times the
- 29:59amount of house as you are, as you were getting in 1984.
- 30:03Plus, you know, then you got the HVAC, which James and I've
- 30:06talked about this before. When I was a teenager, we got
- 30:09our first air conditioner and we were not a poor household, but
- 30:13that wasn't a thing. It didn't have, well, nobody had
- 30:16the HVAC. It wasn't such, it didn't exist.
- 30:19But, you know, very few people got air conditioning even we're
- 30:23we're. On that note of like the
- 30:25technological gizmos that are available to us were, were, were
- 30:28we to go to 50s land and pull out our iPhones, it would be
- 30:32insane. I, I went down a rabbit hole on
- 30:36how much computing power would you need in order to have an
- 30:39iPhone in 1950s and how much would it cost.
- 30:43And what I ended up calculating was that if you wanted a
- 30:46supercomputer, which is what everybody has in their pocket,
- 30:49everybody has a supercomputer with the entire world's library
- 30:53and millions and millions of hours of entertainment, not to
- 30:56mention books and everything else you want to have that that
- 30:59I carry in my pocket would require a building about the
- 31:02same size as the Pentagon. That's just computers.
- 31:05I'm not, I'm not working in heat ducts and things, just the raw
- 31:08computing power. And to build it would require
- 31:11the annual GDP of Canada to do that at that point.
- 31:14So it's, it's great. It's an incredible amount.
- 31:17And I like, I, I do appreciate like, you know, I'm 42, I don't
- 31:20know the house and it's, it's hard for me to get to the point
- 31:22where I'm going to be able to get one and live where I want to
- 31:24live. It was easier back then, I think
- 31:26if you were in a, a choice area to buy a home.
- 31:29I think that's probably accurate.
- 31:31I don't know that I don't know that the housing is as
- 31:34restricted everywhere else in the country outside of kind of
- 31:36the top 10 metropolitan cities. But one of the statistics that
- 31:39really surprised me was that home ownership is, is actually
- 31:42the same now as it was in the 50s, if not a little bit better.
- 31:44And that's across age cohorts. Because what I thought was going
- 31:47to happen is I thought that there was going to be more home
- 31:51ownership today, but that's just because people are living longer
- 31:54and older people are more apt to buy a home.
- 31:57But, but even when I looked at people ages like 18 to 25, the
- 32:00home ownership rates were about the same.
- 32:02So it, it, it's not that there was this huge change in it, I
- 32:05think, and I, I could be wrong because again, this is a couple
- 32:08years ago, I think the percentage that people spend on
- 32:10their houses has gone up. So the, the, the, the, the
- 32:13allocation we spent on houses that has increased.
- 32:16People can, I think rightly gripe about that and I would
- 32:18urge you to focus those gripes on Nimbyism, which are the root
- 32:23cause of why you're paying more for houses.
- 32:25Yeah. And and that, that you're
- 32:27absolutely correct about that. However, again, if you adjust on
- 32:30a per square foot basis, it's actually come down housing is
- 32:341010 to 20% cheaper. But what's interesting is over
- 32:40the course of roughly 1980 through 2020, price of housing
- 32:48went steadily up, adjusted for inflation.
- 32:51It's still, it's going steadily up, but mortgage rates were
- 32:54coming steadily down. Oh, interesting.
- 32:56And the result, the result was that for about a 30 year period,
- 33:02the mortgage on a newly purchased house was in today's
- 33:06dollars, $2000 a month. It was always $2000 a month
- 33:11adjusted for inflation for 30 years.
- 33:14What changed? What changed come 2021-2022?
- 33:18It wasn't so. But yes, the housing prices did
- 33:20rise faster, but that wasn't the big thing.
- 33:23The big thing was the mortgage rates.
- 33:25The mortgage rates went from 2% to almost 7%.
- 33:29And that's what blew up. Over the course of like 2 years,
- 33:33the mortgage on a newly purchased house doubled.
- 33:36OK, interesting, interesting. I see.
- 33:38I want to do anti. I want to do a follow up episode
- 33:42sometime this year on was life cheaper in the 80s?
- 33:44Because I was born in 84. And I, I will also acknowledge,
- 33:46I don't know because I've not done the, the data on that.
- 33:50But I, I wanted, I, I do want to go into like more recent memory
- 33:54and I'm going to tuck that in my back pocket.
- 33:56That's a really good thing, yeah.
- 33:57Yeah, mid 80s were a really expensive time to live.
- 34:01Yeah, well, it like one of the other things, this is true for
- 34:03the 80s and for the 50s there's this idea that's promulgated
- 34:06very much by the MAGA crowd that we don't make things in America
- 34:09anymore. And if, if 50s land is a country
- 34:13today, we have a bigger export economy than it does.
- 34:17We, we export more stuff now. Now what's changed is twofold.
- 34:22Yes, our proportion of the export economy has gone down
- 34:26because Europe had been obliterated from World War 2.
- 34:29So if you're just concerned that we're doing better than other
- 34:31countries in the amount of stuff we sell, I guess.
- 34:33But the reality is we we make and sell more stuff to
- 34:36foreigners than we did in the 1950s.
- 34:39And it would be lagging behind us if it were a contemporary
- 34:42country. And then the other thing is it's
- 34:45not that we quit making things, it's that we make more expensive
- 34:48things. The stuff that America exports
- 34:50is primarily computers, aviation stuff that involves a highly
- 34:54skilled workforce. Whereas, yeah, in the 1950s we
- 34:56were doing textile and we were making sandals and whatnot.
- 34:59But today, if you were comparing, say, Indonesia to
- 35:02Germany, both of which have exports of large export
- 35:04economies, you, you would go, well, I'd much rather be the
- 35:07German economy that's exporting high grade industrial
- 35:11manufacturing equipment and making a buck off of it than
- 35:14making sandals and, and little hats and Fanny packs and things.
- 35:17So we, and same with the 80s, like you look at the 80s.
- 35:21I, I do know this, that when you look like steel exports, like
- 35:23we're, we're exporting now than we were in the 1980s.
- 35:26It's not that we quit making stuff, it's that we became more
- 35:30efficient at it. So there are less jobs in steel
- 35:32manufacturing because we automated a lot of them.
- 35:34But weirdly, people don't, they never think about this with
- 35:38farmers. We talk about exports like the
- 35:40in in 1900 about 80% I want to say of the the working
- 35:45population was farmers. If we go back to 1880, it's like
- 35:479095% of the country. No one thinks that we don't have
- 35:51farmers anymore because we we quit growing food.
- 35:55The reason we have so few farmers is because they're
- 35:57goddamn rocket scientists. My uncle's a farmer and Alice,
- 36:00Oklahoma, he's a rocket scientist for wheat.
- 36:03He is like PhD level agronomist. And all of the farmers that I
- 36:06know and have met have crazy technology.
- 36:09I was in Scotland a couple years ago and randomly was at
- 36:13somebody's farm and they're like, oh, would you like to ride
- 36:15it under the tractor? And I went, I would love to ride
- 36:18in your tractor. We'll talk about short, short
- 36:21red wheat versus what I'm used to in Oklahoma.
- 36:23This will be good fodder with the family when I get back.
- 36:26We got inside of the space shuttle that happens to have a
- 36:28thresher on it and looked at the heat map he had of his farm on a
- 36:33square footage basis where he could look and go, Yeah, that
- 36:37part last year was about 8% less productive than the rest of it.
- 36:40So I've been focusing on that like it's our farmers are so
- 36:43unimaginably, insanely productive.
- 36:46That IA guy from Oklahoma who's descended from farmers can talk
- 36:50into a microphone for a living. It's a good thing that's a
- 36:52positive development. I like affording food.
- 36:55Yeah, yeah, yeah. Civil is on a mission to host
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- 37:21Look. The hallmark, I think one of the
- 37:24primary ones of a healthy, functional society is how much
- 37:29food they throw away. Yeah.
- 37:31Right. If you can scoop food into the
- 37:34garbage out of your fridge and put it in the the bin outside,
- 37:38you've got a pretty good life. Because I've been to places and
- 37:41lived in places where nobody does that.
- 37:44My my great grandmother who I I have a few handfuls of memory
- 37:49from. She was born in 1889 and so she
- 37:52was a full-fledged adult during the Great Depression and when we
- 37:54when we would go visit Grandma Bickel.
- 37:57Side note real quick on Grandma Bickel, I was talking to my dad
- 37:59about Grandma Bickel Thanksgiving a couple years ago
- 38:01and he went, oh, tough old bird. Grandma Bickel went blind, 92,
- 38:06quit driving 94, died at 96 years old.
- 38:09And I went, can we, can we go over the chronology real quick?
- 38:13I grab a Bickle and he said, oh, you got to understand, you know,
- 38:16she, she spent her whole life at Alva.
- 38:18She do all the turds. So she just kind of knew how to
- 38:20get to the grocery store. So apparently she would just
- 38:22drive blind to the grocery store.
- 38:24But yeah, we, we would go hang out with Grandma Bickle when we
- 38:27were back in town. And she would she'd, you know,
- 38:30make us these, these sumptuous grandmother feasts.
- 38:33And then she would take the aluminum foil off of the the
- 38:36casserole, wash it, dry it, fold it into a neat square and place
- 38:40it in her cabinet along with a stack of other aluminum foil
- 38:43next to a jar of rubber bands. Her her basement looked like a
- 38:49prepper basement. And it wasn't that she thought
- 38:52it should. She she came about the Great
- 38:54Depression and you didn't want to waste anything and.
- 38:56Today it makes. More sense for me to buy
- 38:58disposable pens than it does for me to figure out how to, you
- 39:00know, take the time to put it in the thing and let it.
- 39:02It's just, yeah, we, we're doing better.
- 39:04That's why. It it turns out that the Great
- 39:07Depression, it was perfect training for hoarders.
- 39:11Yeah, yeah. But but we had our own Grandma
- 39:14Bickle in my house. She was known as Aunt Louise.
- 39:18And Aunt Louise died at 100, was a fully formed adult during the
- 39:24Great Depression. And she also went blind.
- 39:28And she had this little Volkswagen that she used to
- 39:30drive to work. What did she do for a living?
- 39:33Fed old people at a retirement home.
- 39:36She was in her 80s at the time and, and she was so blind that
- 39:40she couldn't play cards anymore. And we had the cards with the
- 39:44gigantic and, and I said, Aunt Louise, how is it that you drive
- 39:50to work if you can't even see a playing card right in front of
- 39:54your eyes? And she said, look, I just
- 39:56concentrate on the yellow line. Yep.
- 40:01On the note of cars, to go back to that, that's one of the other
- 40:04things. So like when you look at the the
- 40:05major household expenditures that people have, it's going to
- 40:07be food, healthcare, transportation and education.
- 40:11If you're carrying student loan debts, which we can talk about
- 40:13in a minute, which which college was cheaper than, that's one of
- 40:16the things they got going. But with cars Transportation
- 40:19already mentioned that it was. The the 2.
- 40:22Car household was an aberration. That was what the wealthy people
- 40:25did, but for for everybody on the ground.
- 40:28Cars were more expensive overall.
- 40:30Now for people doing surface level analysis, they can look at
- 40:33that and go, you know, when you adjust for inflation, cars were
- 40:36cheaper in the 1950s than they were now.
- 40:39And that's technically true, but you need to factor in two other
- 40:41considerations. Consideration 1 is the cars were
- 40:45really crappy and they broke down constantly and you
- 40:48generally had to get a new car every three or four years.
- 40:51Whereas I, I have a 2018 Ford Explorer outside right now and I
- 40:55think it's probably going to be the last combustion engine I
- 40:58own. And I don't, I, I imagine it'll
- 41:00probably go for another 5 or 10 years.
- 41:02So we, we Bart, we buy cars less frequently because they're in
- 41:06such better shape. So you're spending less money on
- 41:09your car budget. And then on top of that,
- 41:12gasoline is cheaper. Now.
- 41:14That sounds crazy to people, but when you adjust for inflation,
- 41:16gasoline is cheaper now than it was the 1950s.
- 41:19So the overall amount of money you were spending on your car
- 41:21was was was less than it was back then?
- 41:24Yeah, not not just cheaper, but you're getting significantly
- 41:27higher miles per gallon. Yes.
- 41:29So the the cost to drive a mile is weight, which explains why
- 41:34electric cars had such a hard time catching on in this country
- 41:38because internal combustion engine cars are so cheap.
- 41:41Yeah, well, and then I don't remember, we might have been
- 41:43talking about this before we started recording, but the cars
- 41:46were just really bad. And I, I will acknowledge they
- 41:48looked cooler. I like the fins.
- 41:50The aesthetics were great. I'm not militating against that.
- 41:53But like, you know, you go, you, you watch Back to the Future and
- 41:57everybody's waxing their car. That's kind of the trope of
- 42:00cars. The 1950s.
- 42:01You get the idea that people just really took care of their
- 42:03stuff. No, what was the reason that
- 42:05people were waxing the car in the 1950s is they hadn't yet
- 42:08developed a, a rust proof exterior for automobiles.
- 42:12And so you had to wax your car every week or it would rust.
- 42:16And there are these stories you find where the floorboards would
- 42:20rust out from other people's feet and they have to put
- 42:22cardboard down like Fred Flintstone, like these, these
- 42:25were crap. These these are like kind of, we
- 42:27would now view them as like Soviet automobiles and nobody
- 42:30would buy them except for, you know, very specific collectors
- 42:33and things. But they overall way better now.
- 42:37And he and I'm, I'm plenty old enough to have waxed cars in my
- 42:41life. And it sucked.
- 42:43Yeah. God almighty, it was back
- 42:46breaking work. There was no thanks at all in
- 42:49it. It was just something you kind
- 42:51of had to do. But there there's another thing
- 42:54that we should talk about if we're going to linger on cars
- 42:57for a while. You're very, very unlikely to
- 43:00die in one now. Yeah.
- 43:02And, and Anthony, I have said this many times in front of many
- 43:05audiences in our generation, none of us, there wasn't a
- 43:09single one of us who didn't know somebody who died in a car
- 43:13accident. Yeah.
- 43:14Usually. Usually multiples present
- 43:17generations. It's an aberration.
- 43:21Statistical noise it it's astonishing the difference from.
- 43:25That point it's they're way safer.
- 43:27The, I mean, like you go back to the 50s, seatbelts were not
- 43:32standard. For one thing.
- 43:33They, they, they've been invented, but they weren't
- 43:35standard. And, and yeah, you were driving
- 43:39a death trap, which could absolutely get you some of the
- 43:42things that we we could quibble on.
- 43:45The minimum wage was higher in the 1950s when you adjusted for
- 43:48inflation. I think that's for, for those of
- 43:50us that don't like price controls, one of the, one of the
- 43:52secrets we have that I don't broadcast is that the minimum
- 43:54wage kind of takes care of itself because we're not
- 43:56adjusting it for inflation. So it just drops down overtime,
- 43:59but it, it was higher when adjusted for inflation.
- 44:02But one of the other statistics you have to factor in is that
- 44:04we've had large growth in employer benefits since the
- 44:081950s as well. In the 1950s, you just had, you
- 44:12might have health insurance, but it's going to be pretty minimal
- 44:14because again, we're talking about like antibiotics and
- 44:16getting your arm broken. And you, you might have a
- 44:20pension, which I would argue is much worse because if your
- 44:22company goes out, you're done. Whereas today I control MY4O1K
- 44:26that that wasn't invented until what, the 70s or the 80s?
- 44:29But you did have pensions, you had a slightly higher minimum
- 44:33wage, But now the amount of employer benefits that
- 44:36accompanies wages in the United States is significantly higher.
- 44:39It's one of the things that's left out when people look at
- 44:41wages and wage decline of well, from the perspective of the
- 44:44employer, they're spending way more money.
- 44:47And when, when you look at wages, overall wages are better
- 44:50now than they were in the 50s, People are earning more.
- 44:52And that's, you know, I, I didn't get so granular as to
- 44:55look at like the bottom 15%. But when you're looking at
- 44:58median wages for normal people in the country, they are higher
- 45:01now than they were in the 1950s. Yeah, adjusted for inflation
- 45:05higher and and that's one of the things you people who talk about
- 45:09wage stagnation getting. This comes around on Facebook
- 45:12every once in a while to post this thing, take a look at it
- 45:16because if they're saying the word wages, they're leaving out
- 45:19the employer paid benefits. The term is compensation.
- 45:23Look for compensation, yes. Good point.
- 45:26I I will say they. I'd like to ask each of you a
- 45:29question if I could, thinking about 1950s land we could go
- 45:35visit. In your mind, what would be the
- 45:38absolute best thing about it? I think the aesthetics would be
- 45:42great. I do, I do like the aesthetics
- 45:45of the 1950s. I like, I, I mean, I'm, I, I was
- 45:48dressed like this before I came on.
- 45:49For people that can't see me right now.
- 45:51I'm, I'm, I'm dressed like a British game show host.
- 45:53I'm, I'm wearing what's called a club jacket.
- 45:55I look ridiculous. I just, I dress this way on my
- 45:57own. I, I like the people put on
- 46:00suits to go on planes, probably because only rich people flew in
- 46:03the 1950s and, and I wouldn't be able to afford airfare back
- 46:05then. And if you were rich, you put on
- 46:07a suit. But OK, I think the aesthetics
- 46:09would be good. I think they're, I, I think that
- 46:12the two things that we could say about the 50s, well, I'll, I'll,
- 46:14I'll do my litany of things they got us beat on and then the
- 46:17stuff that I would like about it where I had to go back then.
- 46:19So where they've got us beat, college was cheaper in the 50s.
- 46:23You have the GI Bill and then independent of the GI Bill, just
- 46:26the amount of tuition that was being charged was significantly
- 46:29lower. Now I will argue that that is to
- 46:32a great extent because college degrees are a positional good
- 46:36and you cannot equalize positional goods.
- 46:39If, if the, if the, the utility of the, the diploma is that you
- 46:44have it and somebody else doesn't and that that marks you
- 46:47as better as an employee than them.
- 46:49You can't have everybody have a college degree and have it, have
- 46:52the same economic utility to it that you used to have.
- 46:55And in the 50s, I think they actually did have a much
- 46:57healthier way of looking at college than we do because we, I
- 46:59think starting around the 1980s, we decided everybody has to get
- 47:03a college degree or you're an idiot.
- 47:04And if you don't have a college degree, you just kind of failed.
- 47:06And that's it. You just, you get to be you, you
- 47:09sweep floors. You should have been smarter.
- 47:10Sorry, which I think is a horribly classist way to
- 47:13approach things. I think in the 50s they did have
- 47:14a better way of looking at it, which was if you're really
- 47:17smart, you go to college and you should be proud of that, but you
- 47:21can also be smart and have a a high status job that didn't
- 47:23involve college. My personal philosophy is I
- 47:26think we should look at liberal arts degrees, of which I have a
- 47:28recipient. The way we look at Latin, which
- 47:30is if you speak Latin, that is impressive and you're probably
- 47:33very intelligent and educated, but it would be fallacious to
- 47:36look at somebody who doesn't speak Latin and go, well, you're
- 47:39clearly a blithering idiot. So it was cheaper back then.
- 47:43But I think it's also because only, I want to say like 2% of
- 47:47the population had master's degrees, maybe 10% of the
- 47:49population had a college degree where any college experience.
- 47:52So they, they just beat on that. If you're worried about
- 47:56inequality, the 50s is better than we were in terms of
- 47:59inequality. And I think that's part of why
- 48:01people you're in for the 50s, particularly older people, there
- 48:05was also much less awareness of people that were doing better
- 48:08than you. So in the 50s, you probably
- 48:11lived in a neighborhood that was pretty similar in terms of
- 48:14socioeconomic status and in terms of socioeconomic income.
- 48:18We're also coming off of the tail end of World War 2 where
- 48:21there'd been a price Control Board that suppressed wages.
- 48:23And that's still, we're still seeing the lingering bring
- 48:25effects of that. So people, you know, for
- 48:28vacation, you'd go camping somewhere in your state and and
- 48:32you know, you had a crappy car, everybody else had a crappy car.
- 48:35Your house is about the same. So you didn't feel like you were
- 48:37getting screwed. If you're worried about
- 48:39inequality. So if you're bothered by
- 48:40inequality, the 50s is more egalitarian.
- 48:42It was also poorer. I'm not willing to make that
- 48:44deal. But if you're willing to be
- 48:46poor, provided that all your neighbors are equally poor, it's
- 48:48got your beat there. Where where I think we could
- 48:51give it some some credit is that there were there, there appear
- 48:57to be based on the work of Robert Putnam and others.
- 48:59There were stronger intermediate civil institutions at work in
- 49:03the 50s. And that's a really mouthful way
- 49:06of saying places that people hung out that weren't work or
- 49:10home, that did seem to be stronger back then.
- 49:13I think that the decline of that is almost entirely
- 49:15technological. If we were to go back a little
- 49:17bit further than that, most of the roads prior to Eisenhower in
- 49:21the country were gravel. Me being a a Squire of Oklahoma,
- 49:25I can tell you when you're driving down a gravel Rd. you
- 49:27don't really want to do that at 60 miles an hour, particularly
- 49:30in an old timey death trap. You want to do it at like 15
- 49:33miles an hour. So you're going to just drive
- 49:35real slowly through the neighborhood.
- 49:36You're going to have the opportunity to see all of the
- 49:38people that don't own air conditioning units that are
- 49:40hanging out of their front porch.
- 49:42And so yeah, you probably did have a, a, a more communal feel
- 49:44back then and I would love to get back to that.
- 49:47You also had television came real quick, like television like
- 49:52came out what like 19501948 I think is when they become
- 49:56commercially available and like 80% of the households in America
- 49:59had them by 1956. But they weren't, you know, you
- 50:02had like 3 stations you could watch and you, you, it's like.
- 50:08Up to 11:00 at. Night I was been saying that
- 50:10it's the Pledge of Allegiance that it's static so as a result
- 50:13people you know when did mini golf or join the Elks Lodge or
- 50:16the Rotary Club whatever it was in order to in order to to
- 50:19entertain themselves and so in that capacity people might have
- 50:22been less lonely. I think that that it's hard for
- 50:24me to quantify that, but I think that that's a fair bet that that
- 50:27people were less alienated and isolated.
- 50:30But it's also worth pointing out that that atrophy we have is
- 50:34precisely because we are more affluent and technological, and
- 50:38maybe we need to work around that.
- 50:39We need to come up with new institutions, all of which I'm
- 50:42in favor of, but it's because we're wealthier that those
- 50:45things happen, not despite them. Yeah, let me underline here,
- 50:49people who are really concerned about this and yearn for that
- 50:54lifestyle, you can have it. Just don't buy a television.
- 50:58Go join the local, you know, there are plenty of local
- 51:00organizations. You take the take the back roads
- 51:04through town instead of the highway.
- 51:06It'll take you longer, but you'll see your neighbors.
- 51:08You can live that way now. But the fact that people choose
- 51:11not to tells me that, you know, they're saying they want it, but
- 51:16they actually don't. One of my good friends, Chris
- 51:18Moody, he's a journalist who lives in North Carolina.
- 51:21He and his wife are very conscientious about this.
- 51:23And when they moved to North Carolina and they started a
- 51:26family, they called the phone company and they went, we want
- 51:29to install a landline and we want to get rid of the Internet.
- 51:32And the phone company didn't understand what they were
- 51:34talking about because they were, they don't have cell phone
- 51:36reception where they are. So they have mobile phones.
- 51:38They have smartphones, but they can't access them on Wi-Fi and
- 51:41they can't get carrier signals. But they were very intentional.
- 51:44They went, no, we want to have a landline so we can call people
- 51:47from home. We can talk to our family, but
- 51:48we don't want to have distractions.
- 51:51So they they will watch movies and things, but they have to go
- 51:54into town and download them and then decide what they're going
- 51:57to watch. And they can't mess around on
- 51:59their phone. And like, I applaud.
- 52:01I think that's great. I think I think a lot of people
- 52:03would actually be much happier if they do that.
- 52:04But the reality is, you point out, and is that most people
- 52:06don't want to do that. And it's, it's interesting
- 52:09because the first thing that would make me happy about being
- 52:13in 50s land is the silence, right?
- 52:16Instead of being bombarded from every device in my house from
- 52:22yet another message or ping or whatever.
- 52:27Boy, it'd be nice to just have a break from that.
- 52:30And then of course, the first thing I think is I'm sitting
- 52:34here online right now looking at the two of you right now.
- 52:38And as soon as we're done, I'm going to go outside.
- 52:40I'm going to flip open my laptop and I'm going to turn on my TV
- 52:44on my back porch, which gets to a a point, Andrew, that that you
- 52:48made a minute ago. People don't sit on their front
- 52:53porches anymore because now they have back porches.
- 52:56Yeah, they, yeah, they, they sit in the back on purpose, right?
- 53:00They, they don't want to see people.
- 53:03And, and frankly, I do want to, to, to be online and fully
- 53:09integrated. How do I know my revealed
- 53:12preferences? What do I do every day I wake up
- 53:15and I do that. I think I do it a lot less than
- 53:18some people, but I still do it every day.
- 53:21I don't think anybody would want to go back to 50s land.
- 53:26I think there are all kinds of things there that we would find
- 53:29charming and we would love to vacation there, right?
- 53:34And because it sounds to me like 50s land, not unlike Portugal.
- 53:39And when I went to Portugal, I was perfectly happy to be there,
- 53:44right? Did did all of my devices work?
- 53:47No, not by a long shot. No, No, they did not.
- 53:50And that was fine. I found a cafe to go to and just
- 53:53hang out. And so I, I think ultimately a
- 53:57nice place to visit wouldn't want to live there.
- 54:00And the most pernicious thing, I think, when we think about the
- 54:05fetishization of the 1950s is the TV show Happy Days.
- 54:11It it it is because it presented a vision of the 50s to a bunch
- 54:16of people who never lived through it that had almost
- 54:19nothing to do with regular life in the 50s.
- 54:23Yeah. Well, and to to your point as
- 54:25well, James, on the one hand we've we've I think had a
- 54:29decline in social capital and interconnectiveness, but in
- 54:32other capacities we're far more interconnected in a very
- 54:34positive way, way more. I presently live in Alexandria,
- 54:37VA on the outskirts of Washington, DC My family is in
- 54:40Oklahoma. If I were living in 50s land and
- 54:44they were apparently 50s land is a huge country that we just
- 54:47discovered. But if, if we're living in 50s
- 54:48land, I'm not going to first of all, I'm probably not going to
- 54:51visit them every year for Christmas as it is now.
- 54:54I can hop on a plane because I can afford the plane flight.
- 54:56But I couldn't do that maybe every three or four years.
- 54:59Maybe if I'm doing OK. And if I want to talk to him,
- 55:01like not even that long ago, when I was growing up in the
- 55:0380s, when my dad wanted to talk to my uncle in the same state in
- 55:07Alva, they would, they would do a phone call like maybe twice a
- 55:11year. That was a big deal because it
- 55:13was expensive, long distance. And this is in the 80s.
- 55:16In the 50s, if I wanted to talk to my parents weekly in in
- 55:21Oklahoma from Washington, DC, where I wanted to do WhatsApp
- 55:24text messages with my friends in Scotland or talk to my buddy
- 55:27Jennings who lives in the Dallas area, that I would have to be a
- 55:30Prince to have that kind of connectivity.
- 55:32I would I would basically communicate with them through
- 55:34letters and postcards. And I would have to have a
- 55:37completely different social life that treated everybody else as a
- 55:41memory that I could occasionally interact with in a very, very
- 55:44indirect manner. Yeah, there was a one month lag
- 55:47on international communications, right, Because it would take at
- 55:50least two weeks for the letter to get to you and at least two
- 55:54weeks for your response to get back.
- 55:57Meanwhile, in 2010, I took a job in Iraq and I was able to
- 56:04communicate with my family in real time by video over over
- 56:09Skype at the time. Yeah, in a country that had
- 56:12almost no infrastructure. Yeah, and like, I mean, like I
- 56:17do that. I go I go camping in national
- 56:18forests and if I'm going to get work done, I bring a star link
- 56:21and I could be out in the middle of nowhere and get work done.
- 56:24I mean, like, even when I graduated from College in at 7,
- 56:28I, I, I went to Europe for the first time and I wanted to call
- 56:32my dad for Father's Day. This is an OT 7 to call my dad
- 56:35for Father's Day. I had to get one of those
- 56:37ridiculous calling card things where you have to put in four
- 56:40different combination codes. And I the phone I had that could
- 56:44do it didn't have the right plug for France, but I happen to have
- 56:48a wind up flashlight that had a plug on it.
- 56:51So for me to call my dad, I had to plug it into the flashlight
- 56:54and wind the handle like an old timey Edison phone.
- 56:57And then while doing that, figure out how to use this
- 56:59goddamn calling card and then talk to my dad for 20 minutes
- 57:02like it's we're, we're waiting like now for free.
- 57:05We can just talk to each other anywhere in the world.
- 57:07You know, they're, you're talking about the nostalgia, the
- 57:10TV programs and there's one that's worth mentioning, the
- 57:13Honeymooners. That actually was the prototype.
- 57:17I shouldn't say the prototype, but the Flintstones, the cartoon
- 57:20was based on this. I guess you could call the
- 57:24sitcom it was before the sitcoms.
- 57:26But if you watch this show, The Honeymooners, which I believe is
- 57:31set in the 30s slash 40s, you would look at this and think
- 57:36this is this is about the depths of poverty.
- 57:40They've got this grungy apartment that's basically 3
- 57:44rooms, a bathroom, a bedroom, and the kitchen slash sitting
- 57:49thing. And there's this grungy little
- 57:51stove. This was a middle class family.
- 57:54They were depicting a middle class.
- 57:56Family. They were doing pretty well,
- 57:58actually. Yeah, yeah.
- 58:00Well, and like on on that note too.
- 58:02So what what I did this episode on is, is life was life better
- 58:05in the 50s? I I explicitly was looking at
- 58:07economics. But you know, it's worth
- 58:09pointing out too, that like, I definitely wouldn't want to be
- 58:12gay or black in the 1950s, and I don't think I'd want to be a
- 58:15woman, to be honest with you. I wouldn't want to be a woman
- 58:17either. That's right.
- 58:18Yeah, I, I feel like, again, if 50s land were around today, we
- 58:22would be protesting it because half of it's an apartheid state.
- 58:25And we would, we would be, we would be wildly and correctly
- 58:29condemnatory of the the pink scare actively going on in the
- 58:33country where where people are being hounded in the most
- 58:36totalitarian moment of American history for being gay.
- 58:39So like those are all very positive developments we've had.
- 58:43And, and even if we waved them away with a magic wand, and
- 58:48these are gigantic social issues right there that deserve each
- 58:52deserve their own deep, long conversation, but if we could
- 58:56just wipe them away, we still wouldn't want to go there.
- 59:00Now, it would be really fun to visit in the same way that it's
- 59:03fun to go to a charming, quaint place that part of the fun is
- 59:07that you can't bring your iPhone that would it would be fun to
- 59:10visit. And hope to God you don't have a
- 59:12heart attack when you're there. Yeah, thank you for having me
- 59:16back on. Yeah, thanks.
- 59:17Thanks for coming. And given that you've just done
- 59:20A2 for, for us, you've unlocked a, a a reward.
- 59:25Do you have anything you'd like to publicize in any way?
- 59:29I do so when I'm not moon moonlighting on this show.
- 59:33I host the Political Orphanage and if you want a a more full
- 59:39and funnier dive into the 1950s, there's an episode that I did on
- 59:44the political orphanage called Was Life Better in the 50s?
- 59:47It's about an hour and a half and it's me visiting this
- 59:50country chain smoking an incredible amount, drinking
- 59:53whiskey at banks at 9:00 AM. One point I kind of ruined a
- 59:57marriage. It's very funny, but we get into
- 59:58a lot of the stuff here. So that's Was life better in the
- 1:00:0150s on the political orphanage? I like the idea of smoking all
- 1:00:04the time, that sounds really good.
- 1:00:06Yeah, it's kind of fun. You know, I was in Austria a few
- 1:00:08years ago. They still smoke in airports, at
- 1:00:10least they did when I was there. And I was like don't want to do
- 1:00:12this regularly but kind of fun for a weekend.
- 1:00:14When I lived in Iraq, I smoked in a grocery store.
- 1:00:19Anyway, thanks for coming. And Andrew, it's always, and I
- 1:00:24mean always, a pleasure. So thank you very much take.
- 1:00:26Care of yourself and it won't be so long before we find you
- 1:00:30again. I hope not good.
- 1:00:32Good to see you guys. If you like words and numbers,
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