Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / ⚡ Precious Metals INVESTORS ⚡ THIS Will Make YOU FEEL Better - (Gold and Silver Price News)
Transcript
- 0:01We're experiencing big price moves in silver and gold and not
- 0:06necessarily the price moves that we want to see on a daily basis,
- 0:09but we're going to talk about why we are just fine on a long
- 0:13term basis. But check, take a look at the
- 0:16silver chart today. It's actually kind of
- 0:19fascinating how quickly the new cycle can move the price of gold
- 0:24and silver. Here's silver trading around
- 0:285:30 this morning at right about $75 per oz.
- 0:33Then boom, something happened and the price went down.
- 0:36Wow, all the way to about 7250, a massive drop.
- 0:41All right, What happened? And then again, we just saw it
- 0:43again recently here within the last half hour guys, here's
- 0:48what's being reported and then we're going to talk about why we
- 0:51don't really have to worry about this all too much.
- 0:55Here's the well, here's a, here's some other charts, but
- 0:59both theory put this out at the about 5:30 this morning,
- 1:02breaking two missiles reportedly struck AUS warship near Jask
- 1:08Island after it ignored early warnings from Iran.
- 1:12So that was the report it made oil spike, Bitcoin crash, the
- 1:16NASDAQ crash in the S&P 500, maybe not crash, but go down
- 1:21massively just on that news. And the same thing happened to
- 1:26the gold and silver market. Now later today, we got this
- 1:30news shared with us from Axios. Axios Iran ceasefire in peril as
- 1:36the United, the United Arab Emirates says it's under attack.
- 1:41This just coming out. Recently, the UAE reported that
- 1:444 missiles were fired towards its territory from Iran on
- 1:49Monday. Interesting that the UAE was the
- 1:52the country that just announced they were leaving OPEC and that
- 1:58it was actively engaging with another missile and drone
- 2:01attack. There's also fires reported in a
- 2:04fuel facility in the UAE and on ships off its coast.
- 2:08Iran has not claimed responsibility for any of the
- 2:11apparent attacks. Why would that be a big deal?
- 2:14Well, because as we know, that would signal a re escalation in
- 2:20violence in the Middle East. But all this is noise guys.
- 2:24It's when it comes to gold and silver.
- 2:26I don't like it, you don't like it.
- 2:28We don't want to see the world blowing itself up, but we don't
- 2:31control what the rest of the world does.
- 2:33But from a silver and gold perspective, look, it's short
- 2:37term noise. All of this is bullish.
- 2:40Long term geopolitical turmoil is unfortunately a very bullish
- 2:46for silver and gold. The inflation that this is all
- 2:50creating, the oil crisis, the energy crisis like we've never
- 2:54seen in our entire lifetime is bullish for the gold and silver
- 2:58price. And don't you forget, we got a
- 3:00lot more to cover 2 top analyst with very bullish calls and
- 3:04reasons why for the silver price, the surprise factor that
- 3:09could create a very good environment for silver and gold,
- 3:13but silver in particular that nobody else is talking about.
- 3:17Citibank is telling us about $7000 gold and and we have a
- 3:22respected long time analyst putting out the case why we
- 3:26could get $15,000 gold. But before we do that, we've
- 3:30talked about this many times here in the basement.
- 3:33I'm a firm believer that $72.50 over is the line in the sand.
- 3:40I'm not going to worry about anything with the silver price
- 3:43in particular until we go below $72.50.
- 3:48I'll reassess things at that point.
- 3:49I'm telling you guys, it is like a line in the sand Now.
- 3:53Maybe I'll look like a fool if we go out and check the silver
- 3:56price right now if it's dropped below that.
- 4:00But no, we're still in in the spot market at $73.05 with
- 4:06silver. We are a OK look.
- 4:09I look at all the different charts, all the wedges, cup and
- 4:13handles, all the different technical stuff, all the
- 4:16fundamental stuff, which to me is equally, if not even a little
- 4:21bit more important. I've been digging into this for
- 4:24years and years. I'll tell you right now, if we
- 4:27go below $72.50, I will eat crow and I will reassess where I
- 4:33think silver can go. Will we see a price that starts
- 4:37with a six like as in the 60s? It could happen, right?
- 4:41But I think it's much more likely that we'll see a number
- 4:45our our price starting with six when we're talking about $600.00
- 4:49silver. But we'll see how that how that
- 4:52all plays out. Let's look at some technical
- 4:54things right now. 1st, right? This is shocking when it comes
- 5:00to what is happening in silver right now and this was shared by
- 5:07Carl Carl Merx. I didn't realize the silver's
- 5:11200 day moving average has been hitting a new all time high
- 5:17every day for more than a year. That's a bull market, guys.
- 5:22That's the average, the the most recent 200 day average or the
- 5:26average of the most recent 200 day price for silver that rolls
- 5:30forward every day and for more than a year.
- 5:34But when I looked at this, I don't know how you're seeing it.
- 5:37It looks like it starts about right here.
- 5:41Maybe it dipped a little bit in this range, but even at that
- 5:45right, that is like early 2024. It looks like to me we've had
- 5:51two years at least Maybe we could even argue three years of
- 5:55an upward sloping trend in the 200 day moving average that
- 6:00shows massive strength and silver.
- 6:02I know when it goes down right, volatility goes both ways.
- 6:06Volatility right is A2 edged sword.
- 6:08It can go to the upside, it can go to the downside.
- 6:11But when we we take a a little bit of a, when we step back and
- 6:16zoom out a little bit, we still have a 200 day moving average,
- 6:20which is a powerful indicator going to the upside.
- 6:23Now let's talk about two of the top analysts out there and what
- 6:28they're seeing in the silver market.
- 6:30And I was so happy to see this from the one and only Jesse
- 6:34Colombo, right? This guy is look, in the last
- 6:37two or three years has become, if not the top one of the top
- 6:42analyst in the silver world. He says.
- 6:45I'm counting down to silver's next major breakout.
- 6:49Today I want to share something inspiring and exciting that
- 6:52flies in the face of the pessimism that permeates the
- 6:55precious metals world right now. While many retail investors as
- 7:00well as prominent commentators are like lemmings saying in
- 7:05unison that silver surge in late 2025 and early 26 was merely a
- 7:11bubble that has now burst. I have been adamant that there
- 7:15is no bubble and that it didn't burst and that silver is just a
- 7:19couple of years into a long term bull market that should last at
- 7:24least a full decade. OK, He talks about the
- 7:29consolidation that we've been through and then he says for
- 7:31this bullish scenario to be validated, talking about the
- 7:34triangle of of formation, for it to be validated, A decisive
- 7:39breakout from the pattern must occur accompanied by heavy
- 7:43volume. OK, and he's got a tutorial.
- 7:45He's got a, a, a sub stack that you can subscribe to as well.
- 7:48This is the teaser section. He says assuming that happens,
- 7:53Silver's bull market should resume making fools of the
- 7:57naysayers, smashing through the $121.00 peak from January and
- 8:03advancing to fresh all time highs.
- 8:08OK, and there's the chart with the triangle that we've looked
- 8:10at many, many times. The one thing I want to point
- 8:13out on this chart is we still have, right?
- 8:17We could even go down into the 60s, which I don't think is
- 8:21going to happen. I'm calling 7250 the line in the
- 8:24sand and still be OK, right? Even if we do have to
- 8:28consolidate a little further. Finally, he says this.
- 8:32As I've previously explained, Silver's correction over the
- 8:36past few months was necessary to flush out excessive bull bullish
- 8:42speculative sentiment and overbought conditions.
- 8:46Basically get rid of the short timers right as over the last
- 8:50what few months we've we've consolidated anybody who wanted
- 8:55wanted to sell did sell and most of them have been replaced by
- 8:59people who have a a constructive long term perspective on where
- 9:04the silver price will go. And now it is no longer
- 9:08overbought. It is much it's in a much
- 9:10healthier position for the bull market to resume.
- 9:14Now let's go to the Savage, Gary Savage who has this to share
- 9:18with us. I love Gary Savage.
- 9:20He says almost similar to what what Jesse said.
- 9:24No analyst think metals will do anything for months and some are
- 9:29even calling for a year or more to churn.
- 9:32That's a safe bet. The trolls aren't going to
- 9:35eviscerate you for non committal for non committal calls like
- 9:38that, right? If you just say, oh, silver's
- 9:41going to stay where it is, well, nobody's going to call it out.
- 9:43Well, listen to what Gary has to say in his last paragraph here.
- 9:49He says I expect metals to start generating some momentum in May,
- 9:54and by and by July or August we should be back to extreme FOMO
- 10:00during the final weeks of this intermediate cycle.
- 10:03He says he's guessing on gold 6500 to 7000.
- 10:08I think that would get us past that $121.00 silver price.
- 10:12Then we repeat it all again with another harsh correction,
- 10:16producing bleak sentiment that sets the stage and builds the
- 10:21fuel for the next rally. So guys, look, to me, it's
- 10:29almost undeniable. It's just my truth, right?
- 10:32Remember, I don't have a crystal ball, but man, I've been
- 10:36studying these markets. I've been following the silver
- 10:38market for decades. When we look at the technical
- 10:40indicators, when we look at the fact that we've been
- 10:43consolidating for a while and most importantly, when we look
- 10:46at the unbelievable number of fundamental factors supporting
- 10:52both gold and silver from geopolitical levels to supply
- 10:56and demand numbers to any of it, it's incredible.
- 11:00But I want to point out something very interesting about
- 11:03silver for you next, something that that very few people are
- 11:07talking about, but it's going to make total sense and could
- 11:10create a a little more of an imbalance in the supply demand
- 11:14picture for silver. Before I do that, I want to say
- 11:17thank you to 1st meant. They are the silver specialist
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- 11:27get your hands on the fresh freshest silver on the market,
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- 11:56first mint.com. Now let's let's go out to this,
- 12:03another one from Karl Marx. This is this.
- 12:06There's there's a secret bonus in this, OK?
- 12:09He says retail investors have sold 73,000,000 ounces of silver
- 12:15through the ETS this year. If they come back, silver
- 12:20explodes. Silver has moved sideways for
- 12:25months during the selling pressure.
- 12:28The only thing needed for the next leg?
- 12:30Higher retail investors to stop selling.
- 12:35I want to yell and scream, but I'm having some voice problems
- 12:38lately. But guys, think about it.
- 12:40Silver has maintained this 70 to $80 range over the last several
- 12:46months in the face of retail silver investors selling
- 12:5173,000,000 oz. Now where it gets really
- 12:54exciting, right? And the reason why we want to
- 12:57get, we want to look at that number is to consider we don't
- 13:00need retail to start doing net buying.
- 13:04We just need retail to stop selling.
- 13:07I remember hearing Rick Rule talk about that with silver a
- 13:10year ago, two years ago, he said we don't need the, we don't need
- 13:14the investment world to love silver.
- 13:17We just need to, we need the investment world to stop hating
- 13:21silver so much. So if they just stop selling,
- 13:25OK, OK, that's gonna, that's gonna put a, a 73,000,000 oz and
- 13:31that's what they've sold so far this year, reduction in the
- 13:35supply of silver. Right now, there's been silver
- 13:39being supplied back into the market because people have been
- 13:42selling ETS. If they just stop selling, OK,
- 13:45that's a big net positive for the supply demand dynamic.
- 13:50If they actually become net buyers, Katie, bar the door,
- 13:54right? All those people out there who
- 13:56we affectionately refer to as the sheeple, it could be, it
- 14:03could be really wild, really exciting.
- 14:05OK, we're going to talk about Citibank next with gold and then
- 14:09we're going to talk about $15,000 gold from the man Clive
- 14:13Thompson himself before we do that.
- 14:16Speaking of gold, thank you to channel sponsor First Mining
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- 14:38Let's go out and see what Citibank is saying.
- 14:40I created a a brief synopsis of this for you and it is
- 14:45fascinating. Citigroup analyst have
- 14:48highlighted a scenario where gold prices could reach $7000
- 14:53per oz by 2027, driven by a confluence of stagflation, high
- 15:00U.S. debt, and protracted geopolitical risk.
- 15:03While this is not their base case scenario, it is a credible
- 15:07bull case. They're giving it a roughly 30%
- 15:10probability within their framework of a vertical
- 15:13repricing of gold as currency debasement accelerates.
- 15:19Key aspects of their $7000 gold case.
- 15:22Stagflation. City notes that gold thrives
- 15:25under stagflation, characterized by high inflation.
- 15:29Which is coming, guys. Inflation is going to drive
- 15:32everything and stalling growth. Similar to the 1970s where gold
- 15:37and silver had their most dramatic price increases in
- 15:41history. Long term projection.
- 15:43The $7000 target is a medium to long term forecast with 6000
- 15:48predicted for 2026 and 27 bull case verse bowl case, base case,
- 15:55first bowl case. While 7000 is the bowl case.
- 15:58City's base case, which is a 50% probability, sees gold grinding
- 16:03to 5000 per oz with a smaller 20% probability for a bear case
- 16:09going towards 4000, which still isn't that bad.
- 16:13That is not the end of the world.
- 16:15Geopolitical volatility. The forecast is underpinned by
- 16:18persistent geopolitical stress, such as conflicts in the Middle
- 16:22East which contribute to safe haven buying.
- 16:25OK, let's review the most important aspect that will drive
- 16:31the precious metals prices in the coming years and decade is
- 16:35one thing, and that's inflation, and inflation is here to stay.
- 16:41Inflation will drive real interest rates more negative
- 16:46because they calculate real interest rates.
- 16:48You subtract inflation from the prevailing interest rates.
- 16:53Then here's the good news, guys. Everybody wants a rate cut.
- 16:56A rate cut to make rates more negative.
- 16:58Who cares, right? Rates are at 3%.
- 17:01They, you know, they could maybe in a wildly crazy environment,
- 17:06drop them to 1%. That's only a 2% impact on the
- 17:09real interest rate calculation. Here's the good news.
- 17:13I'm not rooting for it. I don't like inflation, but
- 17:16we're we got to accept reality. Inflation can't be capped while
- 17:22interest rates can only drop a little bit.
- 17:24The inflation rate got it could go to 10%, it could go to 12%,
- 17:28it could go to 40%. Who knows, right?
- 17:31And that will drive it is the only really thing that from now
- 17:36on we need to keep an eye on. We used to look down here in the
- 17:40basement, you basement dwellers. We used to follow the Fed so
- 17:43super closely. My opinion is that the only
- 17:47thing that we really got to keep an eye on as we move into the
- 17:51coming year and decade is inflation, because it will be
- 17:55the major, major driver. And all the other things, money
- 17:59printing, yeah, all that's going to happen.
- 18:02But the number we need to keep an eye on is inflation.
- 18:05Then we'll keep an eye on the official number from the CPI,
- 18:09but we'll also keep an eye on the shadow stat number, which is
- 18:13much, much, much higher. OK, let's talk about $15,000
- 18:17gold from Clive Thompson. I've got about a 62nd video clip
- 18:21for us to watch where he lays out the math behind how we would
- 18:26get to $15,000 gold. This comes from memes and
- 18:30markets, he said. If you've been watching the gold
- 18:32prices lately and wondering what's really going on, this is
- 18:36important to watch. Former Swiss wealth manager
- 18:40Clive Thompson spent 50 years in banking.
- 18:43His $15,000 gold price target is not a guess, it's based on a
- 18:49mechanism that the US Treasury has used before.
- 18:53He walked through the whole play belt on the show.
- 18:56I fast forwarded to the part where he lays that out.
- 18:59Let's listen to Clive right now. We'll know the we're we're
- 19:03potentially getting towards the end game, but you start to see
- 19:06asset prices, in particular gold, rising rapidly.
- 19:09The reason I put a $15,000 price on gold was not because I think
- 19:13we climbed to it, but rather I think there's the the price of
- 19:1615,000 will be engineered. And that's my number.
- 19:18And I know a lot of people that much higher number, but my
- 19:20number will be engineered by the Treasury because by revaluing
- 19:24their gold reserves at that kind of level, doing a bit of
- 19:29financial jiggery poker, which I explained in the video, they
- 19:32will be able to effectively repay several trillion dollars
- 19:36of U.S. debt, kicking the can down the road for a a couple of
- 19:40years. In other words, allowing the
- 19:43system that we know it to last a little bit longer.
- 19:45And then of course in a couple of years they could do the same
- 19:47trick again. But I won't go to the details of
- 19:49how it works, but basically if you take the gold, revalue it,
- 19:52you can actually reduce your debt and keep the gold and.
- 20:17There we go. The microphone's back on.
- 20:19Thank you. Upstairs, Susie.
- 20:21Upstairs, Susie, save the day. Please don't forget, like he
- 20:26said, right, they will kick the can down the road.
- 20:29Important for us to remember our Treasury Secretary Scott Percent
- 20:34is a huge gold bug. We are in a situation in the
- 20:38United States, unfortunately right now, which is referred to
- 20:42as fiscal dominance. And while on the surface that
- 20:45sounds like that's a good thing, the US, we're the world reserve
- 20:48currency. We have fiscal dominance.
- 20:50No, it's different. What fiscal dominance means is
- 20:54that when the monetary and fiscal situation of the country
- 20:59become a slave to the actual numbers, where the debt has
- 21:03become so large, where we are in a debt spiral, that the
- 21:09government has to become subservient right to the current
- 21:13fiscal situation. It's not unlike if you as an
- 21:16individual or a family or a household racked up so much
- 21:20debt, mortgage debt, car debt, credit card debt, student loan
- 21:24debt, I don't know, whatever else, casino debt, whatever the
- 21:27case may be. And you got to a point where
- 21:30your interest payments were becoming as big as your income.
- 21:34You become a total slave to your personal monetary fiscal
- 21:39situation. And that is very close to where
- 21:42we are now. We got news last week that the
- 21:45US debt is now larger, OK? The debt, the total debt
- 21:49aggregate number is now larger than the entire country's GDP,
- 21:55OK? So look, when we go through days
- 21:58like today, remember volatility goes both ways.
- 22:01It goes up and it goes down. But we need to remember there
- 22:05are massive driving forces that are much powerful than the short
- 22:09term noise like we're experiencing on days like today.
- 22:13OK, we're going to make it OK. We appreciate upstairs, Susie
- 22:18and I, you joining us down here in the basement.
- 22:21We'd love for you to come back. Please subscribe to the channel,
- 22:24give the video a thumbs up. We're going to have a lot of fun
- 22:28in the coming decade as we navigate what will be a time,
- 22:32the choppy waters that will occur within the precious metal
- 22:36sector. But I can't think of a better
- 22:38place that I would want to be. And I love being here with you.
- 22:42Take care. Have a great day and we'll see
- 22:44you. Yes, you.
- 22:46We'll see you soon. Bye bye.