Latest / Success Story with Scott Clary / Lessons - How Founders Become The Best Investors | Karl Alomar - Serial Entrepreneur, Investor & Managing Partner at M13
Transcript
- 0:00In this lessons episode, discover how precise growth forecasting shapes scalable business strategies,
- 0:05learn why effective organizational structure and talent management are critical to sustaining
- 0:09rapid growth and understand how strategic hires and clear communication transform cultural challenges
- 0:15into long-term success.
- 0:17You mentioned a few things there, so you mentioned, like, is it scalable and you forecasted out
- 0:33and the economics made sense, obviously, and you were working with these people for two months,
- 0:37so you started, you knew the people you were working with as well. But one thing is interesting,
- 0:43so you modeled it out and I'm assuming regular forecasts, you figure out TAM and you do all
- 0:49the things you'd figure out for a regular model. But how do you scale at that, what's the
- 0:56playbook to scale at that velocity when you've never done it yourself before? How do you forecast
- 1:04out a model? This is still early days, like, now digital ocean compete with AWS and then it's
- 1:10like a very, now it competes at that level, but when you're building out a competitor to AWS,
- 1:15I don't know how you would model out a similar growth trajectory when there's nothing else out there
- 1:19that has really achieved that scale before. Yeah, yeah. It's on the stage of the business,
- 1:26so again, we do two tips and types of investment. We'll invest in our core deals that actually
- 1:31have validation, which means they have data, their history, and in those situations, which is
- 1:36probably we were in the earlier stages of added dishwasher when I started working, but I could see
- 1:42it in real time, like I could see patterns being created. Do you recognize the patterns? Where
- 1:47are you sourcing your customers from? How much of it is organic? How can you drive those organic
- 1:52channels? Ultimately, all the model is a set of assumptions, a set of growth assumptions.
- 1:59So if you just set up, if you just have an understanding of every customer I bring in,
- 2:05for every one customer I bring in, I'm going to get 0.1 referral or whatever that number is.
- 2:11For every customer that comes in, this is the average price thing in the start spending.
- 2:18This is the growth rate of that spend over time based upon what I've seen or what I've experienced.
- 2:24You start putting those little pieces together with some companies where they have
- 2:29market growth strategies and they're market by market. What's the trend of a market launch?
- 2:34And then how can you layer new markets on top to see how that grows over time?
- 2:39So there's just different methods. You've just got to be creative from a perspective of how
- 2:43you imagine the business is going to grow and translate that into a set of assumptions that
- 2:48drive the numbers. And then you just roll the numbers out. And so it's ironic, you could get one
- 2:55assumption wrong, and your numbers will be way off. Ironically, the disruption for the first three
- 2:59years of business, we hit our number literally within one or two percent. I don't know how it happened.
- 3:04Wasn't so easy. It was impressive. Fixed. But years one through three, it was so spot on. It was
- 3:11it was incredible. And so it's just, you know, I guess I was lucky that in that business,
- 3:18specifically, those assumptions were really obvious, were really clear for me at least. And so
- 3:24documenting those and building model against them turned out to be very, very real.
- 3:30And, you know, there's always a difficult and new business as we've never done it before. But,
- 3:35you know, it is, it's an odd as much as it is a skill like you have to actually build the ability
- 3:41to kind of predict what's going to happen, how customers will react and know what those assumptions
- 3:45are that are going to drive you business. But I will say from an investment standpoint,
- 3:50when I look at somebody's model, I'm more focused on how they're thinking,
- 3:54than what the model's telling me, because I understand that a model could be way
- 3:57else and they could be completely wrong. But if you actually look at the numbers and look at
- 4:01the assumptions and you say, okay, so this is how you see your business. You think these are the
- 4:05key drivers. You think these are the things going to affect your business. It allows me to
- 4:09understand the entrepreneur better. And for me, the question is, is this person thinking about
- 4:14the business correctly? Like, do they have the right head on their shoulders to think correctly,
- 4:20iterate and adjust those assumptions as needed? You know, build a real kind of business and
- 4:25got to feed into the true assumptions that are going to really drive that business.
- 4:31So, so walk me through like some of the, because I want to, I want to understand some of the
- 4:37things that M13 is working on now with organizations. But walk me through some of like,
- 4:42pick a few key lessons as you grew digital ocean, because that was probably, that was the largest
- 4:49organization that you were, you were an operator in. So, the key lessons that now you bring over to
- 4:55some of the portfolio companies in terms of growth, scaling, we already spoke about how to project,
- 5:00that's fine. But as you actually deploy the strategy, what are some of those lessons?
- 5:05Yeah, so many. I know there's a lot. That's a lot. I was like, do we have,
- 5:10I, you know, if I try and encapsulate it into some key things, I think the first thing I really
- 5:14loved was growth is not all about just growing revenue. It's about so much of it and being in a
- 5:21CLO role was this was key for me. How do you actually manage the growth of the organization to support it?
- 5:27And there's plenty of examples of companies that just outgrew their ability to actually execute.
- 5:32And so, definitely in an organization like digital ocean, which was highly complex,
- 5:37we had to think about infrastructure, DevOps, data, support, you know, talent,
- 5:44organizational structure, culture, all these different competitors that all have
- 5:49individually the ability to implode a business if they're not executed correctly.
- 5:54And so, probably the biggest piece that has the most immediate effect when you really start
- 6:00seeing that growth, one thing that we we talked about a lot back in those days was a quote that I
- 6:05think came from Mark Andreessen, which was the software is eating the world. And also this whole
- 6:12concept that software is the world was the driver for why people need to cloud. And then the
- 6:17concept that when you have product markets, then it's, you know, you're not trying to find growth,
- 6:23you're trying to keep up with it. It's you're just basically running as fast as you can to keep
- 6:28up with the growth because you have product market then that's all we had. And so, what do you do?
- 6:33Have to build quicker, you have to hire quicker, you have to do, you know, a lot of things to build
- 6:37an organization that can support it. We in the space of the second year I was there, so I joined
- 6:42in 2013, early 2013 and in 2014, we added 100 people to the organization 80% of which were engineers,
- 6:50just in a completely flat disorganized way. I will say that there was not my choice to do it that
- 6:56way we had lots of battles about how to do it. But the ultimate, you know, understanding was we
- 7:02need as much resources we can and, you know, different powers and that be we're kind of driving to
- 7:08say, let's just hire, hire, hire, we just need people at the table. And my biggest fears came
- 7:13through which was you put a melee of people into a basically a mosh pit and just say go get
- 7:22stuff done. No one has direction. No one has a target. No one has motivation. There's no reference to
- 7:29who's the better engineer who's the worst engineer who's taken care of what it all tries to self-organize
- 7:34and the idea is oh, it's a utopian world. They're going to figure it out. The reality is they don't
- 7:39and there's two things that happen. One, because now you're in a situation we have so many people
- 7:47you cannot create a human connection with every one of them, culture gets lost. So whatever it was
- 7:51that was seeding the business and creating the magic begins to fade because you are just
- 7:56disappointed on happy people and you're not able to really deliver culture. And what culture is
- 8:02designed to do is to optimize the performance of the team. And secondly, because there was no structure,
- 8:08the people who were true performers felt that they couldn't deliver and because that makes them
- 8:13unhappy, they leave. And you're left with the people who are lower performers who aren't necessarily
- 8:18as good at delivering so they're not as affected by lack of delivery. So it became really,
- 8:23like we got into like this what we would call a cultural crisis by the end of 2014. And we had like
- 8:31like an intervention of sorts in the very beginning of 2015 and said this needs to all change.
- 8:37And so at that point we totally restructured the organization, built layering and organization
- 8:44around that the engineering team has built management structures and they're brought in Matt Hoffman
- 8:49who's still watching out at M13 to run talent and start building a culture program. And literally a year
- 8:56later I think we were voted best place to work in New York or like one of those ratings. So we
- 9:01went from cultural you know, a bis to best place to work. And it was all very very structured of
- 9:08current. And you know, we did we totally changed our communication strategy. We created by weekly,
- 9:13what we called AMAs, which will ask me anything, which the idea of it was, you know, put the
- 9:18executives in front of the whole company and just also whatever question they have, how hard it is.
- 9:23And just being vulnerable and opening up just creates that bond and even though you've got a
- 9:27bigger organization. And so what I learned was that you know, but growing pains are the things that
- 9:34can kill at least at minimum hold back your company. And so think about your head of talent higher
- 9:42early. Think about them as someone that's going to optimize the performance of your team, not just
- 9:49higher people or not just give people things that they like. It's how do I optimize for it's how do
- 9:54I hide the best people on board them as as good as possible and keep them so engaged and tied into
- 9:59the culture and the mission of the business that they are delivering at 110% every day. And
- 10:06that's the ultimate, you know, talent leader. And most, most y'all entrepreneurs were like,
- 10:10oh, we're 30, 40 people. We don't need a talent leader. Now we can grow a double triple before we
- 10:14knew and or maybe we just hire a recruiter. We don't need a talent person that ultimately everybody
- 10:20that we've invested in that's higher to talent leader has come back free six. Mosleto said that's
- 10:25the best how we could ever make because it just increased it before. And there's a handful of other
- 10:29roles and other structural things. I like technical program managers is another thing that most people
- 10:35don't realize that they need. But I learn about all the little nuances in an organization that
- 10:41make an organization perform that and that I think that's probably the single greatest lesson that
- 10:45I know in that in that holds. Thanks for tuning in. If you found this valuable, don't forget to hit
- 10:50that subscribe button so you never miss an episode. And if you want to dive deeper into this
- 10:54conversation, check out the links in the description to watch the full episode. See you in the next one.