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Transcript

NCAAF Week 3 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. Arch eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth. I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five. The
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slump series, the slump discontinuous, the
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: know what I should do at this point other than
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: potentially end it all. Yeah, we're gonna We're gonna end
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: it all here. What's up, everybody? This is towed back
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: with you for now better off dead? Which I am. Uh,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: this is college like which days and I don't even know. Man,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: College football Week three today was horrific. Uh, nothing was
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: close at all. Tampa Cubs under not even close. All
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: these starting pitchers can amy my money, they can eat
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: my ass whatever, all of them fucked them all. Texas Mets.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: Texas scored I think six runs in the fucking first inning.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: So Jonahtong get him out of town, man. I mean,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: we'll actually leave him there because I don't like the Mets,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: so whatever. But that was the most run support that
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: de Gram had received in the first inning in his
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: entire career, and it was from and he's had like
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: a career of like two decades basically, and it was
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: from this horrific Rangers lineup. So that totally makes sense.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Braves not even close. They were down like eleven
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: to one in the game. Waldrop had by far the
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: worst start probably of his entire life. So that's really
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: really great as well. And I think Kids of State's
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: losing too, so I think they're gonna lose too. Is
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: so own four. I don't think we're ever gonna like
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: find any fucking redemption here man. College football, I don't
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: even know where we're at in college football? What are we?
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: We're four and one last week, so that wasn't bad,
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: but we're already own one this week and the first week,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: what was I one of was I one in three?
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: And one of four? I don't even know. So we're
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: like a game below five hundred again in college football,
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: we're at five hundred in the NFL. Who's gonna listen
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: to me talk about any of this? Why would you?
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about. At
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: this point. Nothing is working anymore. I mean, I've been
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: doing this for eighteen years at this point, and it's
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: like I start the show and everything goes to hell. Man,
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: Except the first year I did this was one of
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: my best years. Or I caught like the last half
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: of that, at least when I started this show. Since then,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: nothing at all. So nobody wants to listen to me. Charles,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out. I don't know
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: why you're doing it, because I'm gonna give you horrible information. Obviously,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out three college football plays for tomorrow
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: in addition to the loser that I gave out tonight,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Kansas State. They can eat my ass. I mean, I
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: don't even want to see what's going on in that
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: game right now. But we're gonna let's just go to
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: college football here. This is the college football show. We're
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: gonna do what I usually do. I talk about like
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: all the ranked versus ranked matchups and whatever, the big games.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: One of them is gonna be one of my plays,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: and I will have a couple other plays and some
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: kind of off off the radar games I guess. And
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: the one that I have that's in a ranked matchup
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: is ridiculous because like both teams are way overrated. You
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: bet the plays that I gave out on the show,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Why would you ever do that? Man? Do I have
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: a conviction? And do I know what I'm doing? I mean,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: I like to think I do. I've been doing it
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: for this many years at this point, but last year
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: first losing years is twenty fifteen, and this year is
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: gonna be a losing year as well, maybe the worst
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had. So this is bullshit, man, I apologize.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: If you want to make some money back, maybe this
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: information will help you out. Man, college football, let's get
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: into it. I don't even know how many of these
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: games I want. If if you guys, I mean, Charles,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: you're the only one in the chat right now. But
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: if you guys want me to talk about some games
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: that I skip over because I don't think they're interesting,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: you can let me know. Like basically, if it's like
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: a huge spread and whatever, I'm like, yeah, I'm not
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about that game. ESPN at noon Clemson and
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. This is an interesting one. Clemson ranked twelfth
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: in the country. They're one and one because they lost
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: the first week to LSU. I mean, there's no real
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: shame in that, even though it was a home game
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: for Clemson. Georgia Tech sitting here at two and zero, man,
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: I think Georgia Tech. I've talked about how under the
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: radar they are Man, this Georgia Tech team, they're not bad,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: especially offensively. Even though I know Clemson, I mean, they
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: don't offend me. Georgia Tech, I actually kind of like them.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: I like Haines King, their quarterback. Clemson, they brought back
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: most of their team from last year. They have some
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: of the most returning production in college football. They should
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: be better than twelve though. The ACC is just bad,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: So I don't know how good Clemson really is. They're
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: better than Georgia Tech, which is why they're favored here.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: But Georgia Tech, this is at Georgia Tech. This could
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: give Clemson a run for their money. Man, So I
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: do lean to Georgia Tech in this game, although I
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: don't really see a great situation for it. I just
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: think Georgia Tech is a bit undervalued here. Man. It's
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be a huge game for Georgia tack with Clemson
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: coming into their placement. Clemson, we went against them last week.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: That was one of my wins on the show. We
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: took Troy plus the thirty one and Clemson was losing
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: that game sixteen to nothing, I think, and then they
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: scored twenty seven unanswered points and we still covered with
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: ease as Clemson didn't even score enough to cover the spread.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: They didn't even score the point spread, which was thirty one,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: which happened in both of those huge spread games that
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: we gave out with Troy and Louisiana Tech. LSU and
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Clemson both didn't even cover it, didn't even score the
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: points spread. But you know, Clemson was just going through
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: the motions in that game, man, Like, I don't think
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Clemson is that bad. Like, in a way, Clemson probably
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: was looking ahead. They were probably hung over coming up
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: that huge game LSU. They probably didn't care about Troy
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: very much. Then they fell down sixteen to nothing and realized,
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: oh shit, we probably need to try to win this game,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: which they did. I mean, once they were down sixteen
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: to nothing, they took control of the game. But this
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: is still a difficult environment. Man. This is gonna be
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: their first road game of the season, so that's something
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind. College football teams tend to not
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: do that well in their first true road game of
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: the season, so we have that going against Clemson yearven.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Though I do think generally they would be in a
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: bounced back spot after a game like they just played
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: against Troy. But you know, Georgia Tech's gonna get up
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: for this, and this is also Georgia Tech's acc home openers.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: You know, the crowd's gonna be wild. ESPN's gonna be there.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, they played at home last week. They beat
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Gardner Webb, Like, who gives a shit? Georgia Tech. Pretty
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: impressive beat in Colorado, even though Colorado they're not really
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: an impressive team at this point. I mean, I don't
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: know what did Colorado loose tonight. I think they did
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: right to Houston. Coach Prime no longer in his prime
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: because he doesn't have his son and Travis Hunter there anywhere.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: But anyway, it was still a pretty big win for
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech on the road there. There's still a solid team, man.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: And if you look at the market read, Clemson's already
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: dropped from five and a half to three. So if
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: you like Georgia Tech, some of the better numbers are gone.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: I would still lean that way. Plus the three or
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: three and a half, I mean I would probably still wait,
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: I guess, just to make sure that you get a
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: three to three and a half because the public, they're
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: only going to come in on Clemson, and the public
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: might come in tomorrow because it's the first big game
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: on ESPN noontime. You know the public's probably gonna come
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: in on this one. On the Clemson side, it almost
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to lay the points with Clemson,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: so I do lean to Georgia tack sixty two percent
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Clemson only fifty three percent of the cash,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: So the money is coming into Georgia Tech. It's been
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: a fairly significant line move on them. Money also coming
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: in on the under, but I have less I have
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: less conviction on an under there because I do think
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: both teams have a lot of offensive continuity coming into
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: this year, and they have decent offenses. I mean, Georgia
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: Tech is more of a offensive team than a defensive team.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Clemson is still good on both sides of the ball,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. But I do think georgiattack, their
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: offense is good enough that they can kind of match
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Clemson here. So lean to Georgiattack in that one. You
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: picked your own, you took the Padre. I did not
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: disagree with the Padres. Did they not win? I think
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: I agreed with them, right, I don't know what did
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: I talk about my show this morning? I don't even
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: remember I did. I don't even remember what I said
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: about the Tigers either. What did I say about any
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: of those? I don't remember. I don't know. I don't
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: know what I did. Man, Oh, you didn't watch my
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: show this morning? All right, Well that's good because I
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: lost every play. You want to take Indiana against Indiana State? Yeah,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Fan won't even let you take them. Well, why would
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: you want to take the money line? I mean, you're
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: gonna have to pay too much for it. Send Dion
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: out to Pastor? Well, I mean I think he didn't.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: He have like cancer or something. I don't know, but
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: he seems fine right now. He's out there coaching. Just
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's a good coach and his team sucks,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: so whatever. Man. Oh, yeah, Kansas State's gonna lose for us.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: Isn't that just fucking wonderful? I don't even know if
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: I haven't on I have ESPN on. I don't even
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: know what's on ESPN right now. Oh, you wanted to
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: take Indiana State in Indiana was tonight? Yeah, and Indiana
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: was a forty seven and a half point favorite and
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: they still covered him won seventy three to nothing. Indiana.
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: I mean they're kind of looking like last year, man,
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: where Indiana was just like Indiana was I thought overrated.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: They played a really weak schedule last year and then
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: they got pretty much crushed by Notre Dame in the playoffs.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: I would say, even though they kind of made it
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: look closer at the end, Let's get some more of
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: these games. But clem's the georgiattack. I'm sorry I don't
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: have more on that, but more on but but yeah,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: I mean I lead to Georgia jack just due to
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: the situation Oklahoma Temple. I will talk about at the
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: end of the show. That is one of my best bets.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: And you probably know which way I'm going on that,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: and you're not gonna like it. Oh, I get it.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Five dollars bet Okay, So it was some like promotion
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: to get you in. Basically, FanDuel, that's probably for like
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: your first bet, right, So they would only probably do
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: that just to get you in because they want to
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: get you hooked, Like you bet the five dollars if
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: it wins, will give you the three hundred. Yeah. Yeah
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: that sucks, man. Yeah, I mean with one of those
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: you have a decent chance to win that three hundred bucks.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't blame you for taking that shot.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin Alabama is gonna be one of the big games
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: at noon on ABC. This is an interesting one too, man, Alabama,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: I actually don't think they're in a great spot here.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: I know, they lost their season opener when they were
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: a double digit favorite of Florida State. Florida State came
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: out after them and blew out whoever they played last
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: week too, I'm pretty sure, so maybe Florida State isn't
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: as bad as we thought they were, although I'm still
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: not sold on Florida State. But I do think Alabama
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: generally is better than they look so far. But they
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: came out or they just pummeled Louisiana Monroe last week,
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: which I mentioned. I thought Alabama was gonna come out
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: and try to blow them out just because of what
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: happened in the in the first week. A lot of
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: teams don't need like teams don't need style points anymore.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: But I thought that Alabama was gonna be really pissed
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: off about that first loss as a big favorite. And yeah,
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: they came out and they annihilated Louisiana Monroe. I mean,
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: it's not that impressive, But you beat anybody seventy seventy
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: three to nothing, I mean you're gonna be feeling pretty
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: high on yourselves. Here at Alabama, they do have a
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: bye next week, but coming out of the by they
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: have probably their biggest game of the year, one of
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: their biggest games of the year, against Georgia on the road,
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: so I think they might be looking ahead to that. Man,
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: So this is something that looks like a bit of
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot to me. So I'm gonna lean to
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin plus the points in this game. Wisconsin, I know
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: they're sending it to it. Oh when Alabama's won and
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: one al though Alabama's ranked, so the public's still gonna
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: come in on Alabama here. Nobody's impressed by Wisconsin beating
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio. In Middle Tennessee, and I had Middle Tennessee.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: That was my only loser on Saturday in college football
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: last week Middle Tennessee. I got all the scores wrong
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: when I recapped it, but Middle Tennessee lost two, and
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: I'd give them out plus twenty eight and a half,
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: so they definitely could have covered. They were driving towards
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: the end of that game too, and I was thinking, well,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: maybe Wisconsin's just gonna kind of pack it in there,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: and maybe Middle Tennessee'll just score at the end garbage time,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: get us that back door cover that didn't happen. Yeah,
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: it's not impressive, but Wisconsin's their defense has played pretty
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: well so far. I mean, I know it was against
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: bad opponents, but defense came to play. I think it
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: is possible they can hang in this game. Man. I
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: know their history. I don't think it's been really that
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: good against Alabama, but I just don't think the spot
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: is that good for Alabama. Alabama's dropped from twenty and
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: a half to twenty here seventy two percent to take
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: a sixty eight percent of cash. I think if you
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: were gonna play this game, you could take the shot
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: with Wisconsin plus twenty. That would be the way that
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: I that I would lean in that game keeping it going. Man.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: Michigan Central Michigan, I mean, maybe I don't know if
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: it's really worth talking about Michigan. They just haven't totally
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: gotten off of the way that they wanted to hear me,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: they haven't gotten off yet. I mean, Michigan, you knew
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: there were gonna be some growing pains here though, because
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: they have a new quarterback. Why. I believe it's a
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: freshman quarterback, Bryce Underwood. They brought him in. I mean,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: he was a highly recruited player. I think he will
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: eventually be good. They're coming off a tough loss Oklahoma Man,
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: they had to go on the road. I know they
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: weren't impressive in their first game against New Mexico. They
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: should have probably beaten them by a lot more. As
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: I mentioned tonight, New Mexico not a very good team.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what New Mexico did tonight though
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: against UCLA. Michigan though, tough game to come off of
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: at Oklahoma State, and now they have this. Yeah it's
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: a home game, but it's against Central Michigan, and I
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: don't know how much they're really gonna pay attention to
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan. And they do start their Big Ten play
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: next week against Nebraska, so that is a bigger game
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: next week. So a little bit of a difficult spot
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: for Michigan. Could debate that it's a Sandwich spot. And
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: you know, Central Michigan if they're not a very good team,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: but you know they're gonna get up for a game
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: against Michigan. So it's a little brother situation in state
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: brother situation that little brother does tend to get up
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: for it. A Central Michigan, it is a third straight
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: road game for them, and that is not an easy
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: spot either. And I was gonna mention with Wisconsin by
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: the way, that I believe this is their first road
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: game as well, So that does make it a little
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: bit of a difficult spot for Wisconsin. So part of
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: the reason I don't really want to actually make that
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: a play tough spot. But Central Michigan three straight road games,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: that's tough too. And they're coming off games that were
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: kind of step up games. I mean, they actually pulled
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: off an upset of the double digit variety. They were
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: a big underdog against San Jose State pulled up that
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: upset on the Pacific Coast. I thought because of that,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: that made it a bit of a difficult spot. Even
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: though I know I heard all the rumblings about, oh well,
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Pitt isn't a sandwich spot here against Central Michigan, so
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: I know some guys like Central Michigan. I was not
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: that high on that one. That was not a game
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: that I wanted to give out a play on at all.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan was actually covering. I think Pitt actually scored
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: late in that game to cover the spread because they
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: just didn't take their foot off the gas. Central Michigan
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: will still probably try to show up for a game
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: against Michigan, though Michigan actually getting some of the money
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: though They're up from twenty seven to twenty seven and
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: a half with juice seventy six percent of taket seventy
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash coming in on Michigan, So
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: the money slightly on Michigan, but they are still a
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: big public favorite. They haven't shown me enough yet really, though,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: man to want to lay points like that with Michigan
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: in a spot like this, so I would probably slightly
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: lead to Central Michigan plus all those points. I know
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: it's boring all the underdogs here Auburn against South Alabama,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: and this is an interesting one too. I would lean
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: to South Alabama here. Man, this is close to making
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: my card. I was close to putting this on my card.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: It might wind up being in my pick ems as
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: one of my pick sixes or pick sevens. I'm not
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: sure yet, not a pick six or I'm throwing a
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: touchdown to the other team. But Auburn, they started off
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: the season with a nice road win at Baylor in
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: a pretty big game. That was a nice win. And
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: then they crushed ball State last week. Not that impressive
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: and ball State's not good, but still they annihilated them
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: forty two to three. Now they get another home game here.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: It's not their home opener, it's not a conference game whatever.
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: They're playing South Alabama, and South Alabama is an in
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: state little brother because Auburn is in Alabama. So you
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: know South Alabama is going to show up for this game, man.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: So Auburn might just be looking kind of past them, man,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: because they start SEC playing next week against Oklahoma, and
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be a revenge game for them as well,
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: because if you remember, I had Alabama in that game
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: last year in Alabama. Excuse I, not Alabama, Auburn, Excuse me.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: I had Auburn in that game against Oklahoma last year
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: and Auburn inexplicably blew the game after I think they
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: had a multiple score lead in the fourth quarter and
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: blew the whole thing and I think it had them
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: as like a two point underdog to It was just unbelievable.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna be a pretty big game. For them.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be a little bit of a revenge
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: factor as well, in addition to being their sec opener,
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: so they could look past Alabama here. Man, it is
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: a an in state, a little brother situation for South Alabama.
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: South Alabama did lose last week to Tulane at home,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: and South Alabama though one of the reasons why I'm
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: not going to jump on board on this one is
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: South Alabama was a big underdog there, thirteen a half
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: point Undernige. Now, South Alabama they've been a pretty solid
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: team in recent years, but they've lost some of those
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: guys they had. Geo Lopez was their quarterback and he
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: kind of ran the offense and he's actually on North
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: Carolina now with Bill Belichick there, so they don't have
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: Lopez anymore. South Alabama's not as good this year. Tulane
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: is actually pretty solid. Tulane was a thirteen and a
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: half point favorite in that game. Man, South Alabama took
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: them to the limit basically and only lost the game
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: by two, although they kind of back toward it. They
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: were actually losing in the fourth quarter by sixteen, but
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: they made it close, although it was in the final minute.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: But I mean they were down one score man like,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: they were a two point conversion away from sending that
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: thing into overtime almost, So I mean, as long as
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Tulane didn't score again after that. South Alabama they missed
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: a two point conversion that would have tied the game
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: with under a minute to go. So they're coming off
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: a big game that where they played a really nice
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: game as a big underdog. So I don't know if
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: they could put in that effort two weeks in a row.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: So that's that's basically the reason why I'm gonna stay
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: off of South Alabama on this one. But I do
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: like it. It's close to being a play for me.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: I won't actually get there. It might make my my
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: Like I said, my pick six is pick sevens whatever.
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure if it'll make that. I'll have
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: to figure that out, but I leaned that way. A
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent tickets only fifty five percent of the
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: cash on Auburn. Auburn's up from my twenty four and
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: a half to minus twenty four and a half. With juice.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: If you do like South Alabama, you do, you're gonna
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: get the best of the key number of twenty four.
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: There you can get plus twenty four and a half
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: on that one, so it would be a lean for
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: me in that one good soul food restaurant near Auburn.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Let me know, I guess look at up but I mean,
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: if I'm ever in that era, I've never been to Auburn. Actually,
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: I've never had ever been to the Mesas Institute, which
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: I know is right near there too. It's an it
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: seems like it's a nice area, So yeah, I mean
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: I'd consider going down there. Louisiana La fay Yaesh, who's
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: now just University of Louisiana at Missouri Missouri is now
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: ranked or I don't know if they already were ranked,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: but this looks like a sandwich spot to me for Missouri. Man,
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: I haven't made this a play, but they're coming off
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: the Border War, man, which is a big rivalry that
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: used to exist and now it exists again. And they
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: beat Kansas in the Border War. Big win for Missouri there. Man.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: The game was pretty hard fought. Missouri was losing the game,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: they were actually losing the game in the fourth quarter,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: came back back and forth game they wanted up winning
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: the game. Should I make Should I add this to
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: my car, and I mean, I'm thinking about it. It's close.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: I was. I looked at it earlier and I was like,
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Maybe let me look at what happened
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: in this game real quick. As far as the stats here,
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: because sometimes I do that. Missouri absolutely annihilated Kansas, though
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: on the statue here, I mean, look at that they
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: outgained them five ninety five to two fifty four. I mean,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: that is domination. It's kind of crazy. They only won
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: the game by eleven, the turnovers were even, Missouri had
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to thirteen first down edge, and they outpossessed
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Kansas forty minutes to nineteen, basically nineteen and a half. Man.
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: So Missouri, I mean, they played better than what it
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: looked like on the scoreboard, but that's still a big
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: win on the boarder. Where they have this game against Louisiana,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: who they might not pay attention to at all, and
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: Missouri up next they start conference play. Man, they got
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: a game against South Carolina next week. Although it's this TBD,
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: I think it's just because the time isn't known yet,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: So I hate that actually because it doesn't even say
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: the date yet, Like even if the time is TBD.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Shouldn't you just tell us what date it is at
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: least like what day they're playing, so I can tell
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: if they have a buy or not. Like, fuck you, ESPN,
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: give me more information. Hate that? So I have to
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: go to the schedule here and it still says TVDAL
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Like what the fuck am I supposed to do? Oh no,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: it does say it does say it here Saturday, September twentieth. Anyway, Yeah,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: so it is next week. It's a sandwich spot from
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Missouri because they actually were better than they looked last week.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: I guess I'll stay off of this one. But it's close, man,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: Missouri seventy eight percent of the tickets, only seventy percent
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: of the cash. They're up from twenty five and a
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: half to twenty seven. You might get the twenty seven
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: and a half on this too. With Louisiana. That is
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: the way that I'm leaning taking the points. I know
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: with me, it's all underdogs at me. Man, It's an
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: interesting one. Nonetheless, Louisiana did lose to Rice in their
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: first game of the season, which is probably not a
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: great sign. And Louisiana was a nine and a half
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: point favorite and they lost that game out right, although Rice,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: I mean they're running a triple option, so maybe they're
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: taking some teams by surprise. But that was a very
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: low scoring game, so I don't know. And then Louisiana,
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: they haven't been tested yet. They beat McNeice MacNeice last week.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: They did cover that number by about a score, so
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, But yeah, slightly in to Louisiana
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: for me. But Louisiana is having a step up in
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: class and playing their first road game, so it's a
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: little bit difficult going on their first road game, So
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: I'll stay off of that one. But that one's close
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: as well. Lean to Louisiana and that one. Do it
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: in the terminator voice. I always just think about do
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: it do it? In Starsky and Hotch. Have you seen
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: that with Ben Stiller and Owen Wilson there, the stars
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: Akin Houtch movie. It is. It is pretty funny, the
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: movie rendition of the old the old stars Agin Hutch
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: TV show there where they dress up in those ridiculous costumes.
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: Ben Stiller do it? Do it? All? Right? What else
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: we got here? Probably the biggest game of the day, Man, ABC,
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: three thirty pm. I'm assuming well, I was gonna assume
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: this is where ESPN Game Day is, but it's not like,
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: which game is the ESPN Game Day game. I never
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: even know. Man, you can let me know which one
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: it is. But this is actually on ABC, unless it's
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: ABC and ESPN because they are owned by the same network.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: But you think this would be the game day game
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: because it's number six Georgia, number fifteen, Tennessee. We're getting
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a huge SEC match up here, man, these teams, I mean,
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: it's early in the season, so it's kind of hard
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: to figure out who these teams really are. I mean,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Georgia they underperformed last year, man, even though they've been
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: really really good over the last few years under Kirby
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: Smart Georgia prior to last year, I think they only
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: had like two or three losses over the previous like
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: three years. So Georgia was very good, and then last
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: year they kind of faltered a little bit. Carson Beck
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: kind of he just regressed a little bit, didn't play
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: as well as he did the previous year. And we're
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about Carson Beck tonight in a little bit too. Yeah,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: and then Beck got hurt and that was basically it.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: So Georgia has turned over the reins to Gunner Stockton,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: who was Beck's backup last year. Georgia, all they've done
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: this year so far is beat Marshall and beat Austin P.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: And they didn't do it very impressively, so that is
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: kind of a concern. Maybe they were looking ahead though, man,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, Marshall, we know how bad Marshall is, right,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: because Marshall, they basically lost their entire team to Southern Miss.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: Their coach left and took like all of his players
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: with him, So Marshall is bad. But you could really
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: just argue that Georgia just show like they just felt
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: like they could show up and just win that game, man,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: And they probably weren't paying attention. And then Austin P.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: They were probably just looking ahead to Tennessee. But remember
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Austin P. This team, I mean, I know they're an
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: FCS team, but maybe they're not that bad. They actually
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: beat Middle Tennessee on the road by twenty points. It's
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: like a huge underdogs and maybe Austin P is actually
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: not that bad. I don't know, man, Georgia, but they
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: didn't do well in this game. They were a forty
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: six and a half boy favorite and they all scored
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: twenty eight and won twenty eight to six, which I
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: guess is a little bit of a red flag, but
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: you could still argue maybe that you're getting you know, Georgia,
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: like counter Stockton still kind of finding his way, you
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. He didn't play that badly in
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: the game really. I mean, he completed most of his passes.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: And I know it's against a terrible FCS team though,
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and they got most most of their scores, were rushing
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: at scores. But yeah, so for Georgia, I mean, I
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: don't think that we could really figure out who they
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: are yet. And then Tennessee they're also too and zero.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Tennessee hasn't really played anybody yet really either, though they
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: played a more tough opponent than Georgia has. They played Syracuse,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: but Syracuse is way down this year too. There's Josh
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Hipel here. He's such a weird looking dude, man, Josh Hipel,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Like I don't trust him, man, he's Tennessee's coach. Like
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: he just looks like a guy just doesn't know what
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: he's doing. Like I don't know, he has that look
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: like like he's a dufist. I don't know, man. And
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: then Tennessee. They did smash East Tennessee State last week
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: seventy two to seventeen, but in a way that might
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: make Tennessee look too good, you know what I mean.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: Like when you have one team that's coming off putting
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: up seventy two points and then you have this Georgia
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: team that's not scoring a whole lot, it almost makes
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Tennessee look too good in a way. So that would
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: almost have me leaned to Georgia slightly. Georgia, though I
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: know Georgia has like had Tennessee's number. As you can
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: see here, Georgia's won eight games in a row against Tennessee.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: As I said, George's won a lot of recent games
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: over the last few years, So that's gonna probably motivate
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: Tennessee a little bit more here. And this is gonna
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: be Georgia's first road games, so that's gonna be a
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: little bit difficult for Georgia because of that, They're not
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be looking ahead to Alabama though. I mean, this
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: is a big game for both teams here, and they're
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: gonna play these two huge games in a row. It's
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: a tough handicap Man like, I could see the argument
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: that maybe Georgia is the right side because they just
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: don't look as good as Tennessee does right now. But
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: the rankings makers still have Georgia ranked higher. I mean,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: the oddsbegagers are telling you george is still the better team.
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: But the money is coming in a Tennessee. Georgia has
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: dropped from a six point favorite to a three and
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite. Here fifty six percent of tickets
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: on them fifty six percent of the cash on Tennessee.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: So the professional money is coming in for the most
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: part on Tennessee. I've heard some conflicting opinions on the game,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: though from different professional betters. I don't want to have
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: my money on this game. If you like Tennessee, I mean,
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: you miss a few of the key numbers, but you'll
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: probably get at least three and a half or four.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: I guess because there are all these different factors involved.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: I guess that a default of leaning towards the towards
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: the home underdog here man just where the cash is
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: to Tennessee plus the points. But I don't really have
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on this at all. Money is slightly
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: coming in on the over as well fifty five percent
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the under fifty four percent of the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: cash in the over. I don't know about that either, man.
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: Because Georgia their strength is still their defense. Like Georgia
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: always has a strong deepen. It looks like they probably
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: do again Tennessee. Surprisingly because a couple of years ago
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: was mostly their offense was really good and their defense
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: was kind of a problem. Last year their defense was
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: actually better than their offense. So we could get another
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: defensive game here, and it could be that type of
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: game where it's like these teams are kind of feeling
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: each other out. It's like a playoff atmosphere. I know
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: I've said that about a few games where I was
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: completely wrong, but I might slightly need do an under
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: in this one. To be honest. The numbers up from
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: forty nine and a half to fifty, so we will
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: say drank the lean. Yeah, you've been to Auburn once, John,
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Game day is indeed for that they're
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: at that Tennessee game. Are good to know, Thank you, sir.
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Josh hyper Luk's dysgenic. I don't know man Ian. He
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: was in that SEC documentary on Netflix. He wasn't in
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: it much, but he was in it, and it was
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, nobody really got very political in it, so
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: it was pretty hard to tell. Except I think there
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: were I think the the Weeks brothers on LSU. They
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: seem to be kind of conservative dudes. I think they
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: were watching TV at one point and they said something
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: that was kind of like pro trump Erson. I don't know,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know what it was, something along those I
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, those guys, I mean, I kind of
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: liked their vibe. Although I don't like LSU as a team,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: But those guys are all right, and I think I
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: got their name wrong last week. But the Weeks is
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know what if I want to talk about
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: every single one of these games though, MANA mean Oregon
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: State at Texas Tech. I've heard some professional opinions like
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: Oregon State in this one. I mean, they're an OH
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: to two team against a to an OH team though,
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: and Oregon State's having to travel down to Texas Tech.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I love that. Man. I know
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: they're O to two and they haven't looked good. Lost
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: to Cal in a game where they were a slight favorite.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: I think I leaned to cal in that game in
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: week one, I'm pretty sure, and then they lost to
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Fresno last week and Oregon State was only a one
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: to half point favorite in this game too, So owsmakers
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: don't think a whole lot about Oregon State. I'm going
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: to go on the road for the first time. I
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: just don't necessarily see it. It should be a big
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: game for them. I mean it is Texas Tech. Texas
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Tech is ranked number twenty one. Texas Tech has been
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: an offensive juggernaut the last couple of years. It's been
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: their defense it's been the problem. Their offense is definitely good,
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: and they put up a ton of points. They put
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: up over sixty points against Arkansas Pine Bluff and Kent State,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: although those two teams are both really really bad. So
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know what we can really take away from
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Sure their offense is good, and they might
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead, maybe because they have a big game
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: up next, a big twelve opener against Utah, so they
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: might look past Oregon State a little bit. Oregon State's
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: kind of the sisters of the poor here now because
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: they're in that orphaned conference the pack too with Washington State.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: I don't love it. But I have heard some professional
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: opinions on taking the points with Oregon State. But I mean,
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: do with that information what you will. I guess Texas
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: Tech is down for twenty five and a half to
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: twenty three and a half, seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash coming out of Texas Tech.
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know about that. John, you're a Tennessee guy,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: apparently right. You got the Tennessee logo in the in
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: the background there. You like Tennessee by fitty fifty points.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: I think that's a somewhat biased opinion, though I leaned
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: on them to cover the spread, and if they cover
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: the spread, that probably means they will wind up winning
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: the game. Though it's kind of difficult to make that prediction,
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: to predict that Tennessee will finally get over the hump
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: and beat Georgia. I mean, we still I think we
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: still don't really know who these teams are yet. Man,
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: It's it's difficult. It is a difficult call for me,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: for sure. But if you again have gunned to my head,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Tennessee getting the points, though at
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: the very least kind of a slight lean, though Iowa
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: stayed in Arkansas State. Is this one of my plays? No,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: it isn't. I had to double check because I do
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: have a fairly strong opinion on this one. It would
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: be to taking the points of Arkansas State. It's gonna
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: be a first road game for Iowa State, so the
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: spot doesn't look very good to me for Iowa State.
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're a team that I know. They put
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: up a lot of offense in a game where I
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: said fade them. That was one of the plays I
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: gave out one of the losses that I had. It
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: was one of the only losses I had. I think
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: Iowa State in Week one there against South Dakota or no,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: I did better in Week two. That's right. Week one
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: wasn't good for me. What am I saying? Iowa State?
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: But yeah, they won that game easily against South Dakota
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: and what I thought was a bad spot. But I
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: think there were a bad spot here too, possibly a
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: worse spot because Arkansas State. This is a road game
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: in Iowa State's coming off beating Iowa Man the huge
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: rivalry game the Syhawk Trophy. They beat Iowa for the
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: second straight year actually, and kind of got over that
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: hump where the road team had won a bunch of
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: games recently, and I think Iowa had actually beaten them
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: five or six times in a row at Ames, so
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: that was a big win for Iowa State. Man, now
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: they have to go to Arkansas State. They might not
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: totally have full focus for that game. And they do
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: start well, they don't start conference play because I know
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: they started conference play in the first week at Dublin.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: But they have their conference home opener next week against Arizona.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: So it is a bit of a sandwich spot here
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: for and that's actually in two weeks, my mistake, So
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: they are actually they actually have a bye next week,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: so I guess you could dial it back maybe a
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: little bit because they don't have that game against Arizona
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: next week. So but I think it is still a
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot for Iowa State here. So
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: I do lean to Arkansas State here. Arkansas State, they
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: are coming up a big game themselves, an in state
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: little brother situation against Arkansas but they got absolutely annihilated
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: fifty six to four. Team. This is gonna be their
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: FBS home opener because they started with their first home
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: game in an against an FCS opponent. So this will
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: be a big game for them, and it's one of
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: the biggest games on their schedule. I mean it's their
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: only game against a ranked team here, so I think
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State will get up for it, and Iowa State
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily score a ton of points, so I do
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: like Arkansas State. This one not one of my plays
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: here right now, but it will probably make my pick five,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: pick six, whatever the hell. Eighty one percent of the tickets,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: only seventy percent of the cash on Iowa State. Iowa
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: State's up from twenty to twenty one and a half,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: so you get the better of the key number of
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: twenty one here as well. Yeah, I would take the
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: points with Arkansas State in this one, man, So that
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion in that one. Charles, what's up man?
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: John is on Twitter, so he's got the X logo there.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: I'm not even on Rumble, Actually maybe I should. Should
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: I sign with cast to Rumble? I only do a
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: YouTube and Twitter. Nate, what's up man? Nate showing up?
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: I'll get it right this time. Nebraska is big red.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: I got you, man, I got I got it right
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: this time. Whoops. I wanted to close the other tab there,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: all right? It's my audio is all right, I assume right.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: I don't think I checked it. I could check it
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: real quickly. I like to check my levels. Man, I
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: don't think I did when I started the show. Maybe
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: I did. I don't know. But you guys seem to
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: think it's fine. Right. You guys are interacting with me,
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: so sometimes I think I shout too much, so I
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: need to like dial it back a little bit and
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: maybe go with like soft, sexy tod voice or something.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, me see yeah, I think my
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: voice is all right. I just checked it. We see
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: him all right? All right? What else? I want to
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: talk about South Florida and Miami. It's a huge game,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: one of the games between ranked teams. I will talk
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: about that as one of my best pats. What else
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: we got here? I mean Illinois Western Michigan. I kind
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: of eyed this game. I don't know if I really
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: care about all well. I'll talk about Ohio Ohio State
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: real quick. I guess. Even though Ohio State's ranked number one,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: Ohio isn't that good. Although Ohio is a pretty good
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: MAC team at the very least. Though Ohio State blew
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: out Grambling seventy to nothing last week. They do start
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: big ten play next week against Washington. Take from that
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: what you will. I guess, and I guess you could
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: argue that it's a little bit of a flat spot
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: maybe for Ohio state. First two weeks they had that
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: huge win over Texas, they annihilated Grambling. Whenever you beat
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: anybody by seventy points, even if it is an FCS team,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: you might just kind of go through the motions. Next week,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: and again they do start a big ten playing their
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: next game against Washington. It is an in state little
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: brother situation for Ohio, So Ohio they're gonna try to
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: step it up for this game in Ohio. They are
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: coming off a pretty big game of their own, though
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: they had their home opener. I mentioned them as a
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: lean last week. I should have put them on my
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: pick six pick seven man because Ohio they got the
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: win there outright. As a home underdog against West Virginia,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: we know West Virginia down this year, sorry to Matt
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: who I don't know if Matt is going to be
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: in our chat, but he's our West Virginia fan. Down
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: year for West Virginia. Though Ohio they're not a horrible
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: MAC team. Man, I mean they have some continuity. They
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: got Parker Navara quarterback. He's not bad, so they did
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: get that win. But it is a pretty big for them.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: In their home opener, they pulled off an upset. Yes,
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: they will still try to show up, but this is
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: a huge game for them too against Ohio State. It's
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: just a matter of I mean, Ohio State potentially could
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: kind of come out and almost name the score and
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: this one sort of. I mean they are down though,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: from thirty four to twenty nine. So it's been actually
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: some significant movement towards Ohio. Here seventy six percent of
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: tickets only sixty three percent of the cash coming in
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: towards Ohio. So the ex seriously seventy six percent of
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: the tickets and sixty three percent of the cash on
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. Excuse me, so more of the money is
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Ohio side. I agree with it.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: I do lean that way. It's just a matter of, like,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: how outclassed are they going to be in that one?
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Does Ohio State really care about annihilating them and running
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: up the score in that one? Yes, thank you, sir,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Charles jizzingest pants there. Illinois and Western Michigan. I do
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: think Illinois is overrated, man at number nine in the country.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: Like if you look at power ratings, guys, I don't
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: think any of them are gonna have Illinois as the
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: ninth best team of the country. I mean, they're a
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: top twenty five team, sure, but I don't think they're
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: a top ten team. They're coming off beating Duke. I mean,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: that was a big win for them. I thought the
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: Duke was gonna be better in that game than they were.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: That's a big win. And they do have a big
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: conference opener next week against Indiana, so they might be
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that. They might look past Western Michigan here,
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: so it does look like kind of a sandwich spot here.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: It's not the first road game for Western Michigan either,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: because they did play at Michigan State in Week one
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: and they weren't horrible in the game. They didn't score
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: a lot, but Michigan State didn't put a lot of
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: points up on them. They had a game last week
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: they played competitively against North Texas. They actually went into
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: overtime as a twelve point underdog here, twelve and a
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs. That's kind of the reason why I
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: hesitate to want Western Michigan here. Part of the reason
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: is that they're coming off a big game themselves where
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: they put in a huge effort and they took North
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: Texas as an as a double digit underdog, they took
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: North Texas into overtime. So Western Michigan they're gonna have
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: to put in another big effort two weeks in a row.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: So that makes it a little bit more difficult. I
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: still lean that way, but it's not gonna be a
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: play that I'll give out. Illinois down from twenty eight
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: to twenty seven and a half eighty percent of tickets,
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: only sixty nine percent of the cash on them, So
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: something to consider there. It is a bit of a
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a lean in there for
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: me in that one. I'm gonna have to pay attention
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: and maybe go back because there is one team that
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: I was looking at that like basically didn't even score
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: on offense last week, and I forget which team that was.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: Actually I know which team it was. I'll talk about it.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna be a play for me, but I'm
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about it. Coming up. There are a lot
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: of big games this week. Man. We got ESPN seven
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: pm night game here Arkansas at ole Miss. Both teams
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: are two and ohero It's a big SEC matchup. But
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: we do know that Ole Miss is the better of
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: these two teams. But they are coming up a big win.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: They went on the road and they beat Kentucky and
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: that's a big win because Old Miss. It was a
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: revenge game for Old Miss because Kentucky was their first
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: loss that they had last year after they're rolling early
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: in the season. Kentucky was able to pull off an
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: upset again. So I think Old Miss did come in
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: and they wanted that game. This is gonna be their
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: conference home opener though it's their SEC home opener, so
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: the crowds still will probably show up. It'll be a
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: big game. We know Ole Miss. I mean they're kind
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: of in a bit of a transition year because they
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: don't have Jackson Dart anymore. Arkansas, we don't really know
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: who they are yet. I mean, they had two easy
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: wins against Alabama A and M and then Arkansas State.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: At least Arkansas State is an FBS team and they
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: crushed them as their big brother in state big brothers.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: You know, it's a game. Arkansas State was going to
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: get up for and Arkansas still crushed them. So Arkansas,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, maybe they're not too bad. This is gonna
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: be their first road game, though, so it makes it
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult for Arkansas. The money has
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: come in on Arkansas, though, it's gone through the key
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: number seven, so that is a significant move if it
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: goes through a key number like that. Ole Miss was
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite. Now they're only
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorites. So you can't
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: get the best number on Arkansas anymore. And I'm not
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: sure that it's gonna come back either, because fifty three
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets are on Arkansas and sixty two percent
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: of the cash. So even though I thought oh Miss
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: would be a little bit more public than that, it
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: does look like more of the money is coming in
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: in Arkansas regardless, So I would lean that way. I
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with the market move. I mean, more often
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: than not, I will agree with the market boosts, especially
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: in football. But yeah, I mean that's a way to
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: look at that game there. Man, Arkansas plus the points
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: would be my slight lean there, but you're not getting
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: the key number anymore there. But I think Arkansas could
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: be a little bit under the radar there, and we
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: don't oh miss. I mean, they don't have Jackson Dart anymore,
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: like I said, but they still have a solid team.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: Florida and LSU on ABC at seven point thirty pm Eastern.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: What are we gonna do with Florida? Man, Florida, They
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: lost their FBS home opener to Little Brother South Florida
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: is absolutely ridiculous. Florida was a seventeen point favorite and
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: lost the game outright. Billy Napier, Man, He's gonna get
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: fired if they don't turn this thing around. This is
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be their first road game of the season and
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: they got to go to Death Valley and LSU is
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be up for this game because it's revenge.
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: LSU lost to Florida last year, Man, which was one
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: of the That was the game I gave out on
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: the show. It was one of my plays last year.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I gave up Florida because it was the dream crusher
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: scenario for LSU. They had had their dream crushed in
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: the previous game against Alabama, which eliminated LSU from the playoffs,
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: so they were hung over in the next game. They
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: didn't play well. I gave up Florida on the show.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: I think LSU will be focused for that one now, man,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: because it is that revenge spot. They're coming off a
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: game where I gave out Louisiana Tech last week and
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: LSU they basically didn't even show up in the game, man.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I mean they didn't even come close to scoring the
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: points spread even they only scored twenty three points as
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: a thirty seven at point underdog. But it was a
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them. They were coming up that huge
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: open against Clemson. Brian Kelly finally got over the hump there,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: finally winning in Week one with LSU, and over the
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: last like several years he hadn't been able to do it.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be focused on this game against Florida, man.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: So both teams are gonna show up for this game
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: of Florida again coming off of an embarrassing loss. So
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: it's like which one of those is gonna take precedence here?
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: Which one is gonna overtake the other. The line's gone
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: down from nine and a half to seven on LSU.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: Here seventy two percent tickets, only sixty five percent of cash.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in towards Florida. The contrarian in
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: me would kind of want to agree with that, but
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Florida because everybody's just talking shit.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: Everybody's just talking about how bad Florida is. Nobody really
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: cares about LSU just not really doing anything last week.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Nobody paid attention to that game. No one cares. So
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: the I mean, the narrative here is basically just Florida sucks,
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: nape Beer is gonna get fired whatever. I don't think
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: Florida is as bad as they look, though, and they
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: do have agway there still. I mean, he should be
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: getting better at some point here. It's just it's a
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: little bit tough, man, because you know, LSU is gonna
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: be focused too, and they have that little bit of
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: extra revenge motive. It is Florida's first road game, So
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: this is one where I'm close to not even agreeing
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: with the market here, man. I mean, I don't know
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: if I want to say I slightly lean to LSU though,
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: because the contrarian in me and the market reader in
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: me is like, nah, you gotta lean to Florida plus
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: the points here. But it is close. It is a
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: close call in that one. I don't love that game
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: at all. One of the other huge games on NBC
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: and Peacock at seven thirty between ranked teams number sixteen
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: A and M Texas A and M number eight Notre Dame.
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be an interesting one man, Texas A
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: and M having to travel up to Notre Dame. It's
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: not gonna be a situation where they're having to travel
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: into cold or anything like that. Though. It's gonna be
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: seventy two degrees, so that doesn't matter. The weather isn't
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be a problem for Texas A and M. Here Lsu,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: by the way, ranked third in the country, oh miss
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: rank seventeenth. I usually talk mentioned the rankings real quick too.
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: This is a big one though, and it is revenge
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: for Texas A and M. Texas A and M lost
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: in Week one last year in the Mike Elko Bowl. Well,
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: I was gonna pull it up, but they lost at home.
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: I believe to Notre Dame to open the season. Might
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: have been a neutral site, and I think it was
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: at home at College Station. It was either that or
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: it was like a semi home I think in Texas.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: But it was the Mike Elko Bowl because Elko was
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: the new coach at Texas A and M and his
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: former quarterback at Duke Riley Leonard was going up against
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: him with Notre Dame. Notre Dame won that game. They
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset on the road. In that game,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: I think it was like twenty three to thirteen, kind
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: of an embarrassing loss for A and M, even though
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: it was between two good teams. So it is a
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: revenge motive for Texas A and M. But the spot
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: is not exactly as good for Texas A and M.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Although they're gonna show up, I mean, they haven't really
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: shown a whole lot yet. They beat UTSA, and I
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: pointed out UTSA and in state little brother situation there.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: UTSA is not that bad of a team. You figured
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: they were gonna show up for that game, and A
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: and M might just not really show up completely for
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: that one, even though it was their FBS home opener.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: And then A and M. They beat Utah State last week,
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: the new bronco Mendenhall school there. He's at Utah State now.
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: A and M was a huge favorite, and they didn't cover.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: They came close to cover and they only missed by
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: like a few points. And that was basically it was
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: just because Utah State scored again at the end. I
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: think Texas A and M called off the dogs in
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: that game. And if you look at what happened in
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: that game, they put in their backups, like they used
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: three different quarterbacks. Their backup quarterbacks were in that game.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: They probably put them put in some backup defenders too,
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: I would assume, and Utah State scored to back door
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: the cover there. So I'm not gonna put that much
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: weight into what happened in that game. I do think
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: A and M is still a good team, but it's
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: tough because they gotta go on the road to an
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar place. They don't usually have to go to South
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: Bend and play out there, and you know it's gonna
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: be wild there. I mean Notre Dame. They've seen a resurgence,
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: you know, the back to the not quite back to
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: the glory days, but almost with Notre Dame here, man,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: so that is gonna be a factor. It is a
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: big road game here. Notre Dame. They're good defensively, although
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: Mike Elko his teams were always good defensively too, so
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a defensive battle in this
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: game similar to what you saw last year. I do
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: think A and M does have the better offense, though
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: they definitely have the better quarterback. I would read there.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Even though I think A and M does like to
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: run the ball a lot too, Notre Dame runs the
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: ball a lot to an A and M. I think
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit less good at stopping the runs.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: That might be a little bit of a problem for
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: A and M's defense. But Notre Dame is still working
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: with a freshman quarterback here, so you don't know what
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get out of Notre Dame from their quarterback yet,
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: and he only has one game under his belt. Because
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame actually had a bye last week, which maybe
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: that'll help Notre Dame because they got to rest last week.
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: They were coming up that big game. I gave up
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: Miami in Week one. That was my winner to kind
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: of salvage the week with Miami there. I liked Miami,
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: I just I thought the experience factor Miami over the edge.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: It was a close game. Notre Dame I think had
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: to make a comeback in that game. I think Miami
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: was winning by more than what the final score was,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: and Miami wound up winning by three after they were
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: winning by more than that. A big game for both
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: teams in that one. Probably helpful the Notre Dame did
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: of a bye there. But I don't know what what
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: their quarterbacks gonna look like here, man, because we have
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: to kind of see more of them to kind of
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: figure that out. But they do take the load off
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: and by running the ball a lot, so it's a
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: difficult game to read, man. Notre Dame sitting in a
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite, has not gone to
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: the key number seven. A lot of times when you
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: see a public side which Notre Dame is slightly public
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: and the number hasn't moved to seven, that's kind of
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: an indicator that the books are just kind of taking
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: a stand there. And it's almost like it looks too
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: easy to lay the points with Notre Dame sixty six
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: percent to take a sixty eight percent of the cash
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: coming into Notre Dame. So the cash percentage is slightly
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: on Notre Dame here. I've heard some professionals give an
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: opinion on Notre Dame here, like the ones that I
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: listen to have actually kind of all leaned to Notre
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Dame in this game for me, it's a little bit
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: difficult to do that, especially because the spread the total
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: is so low forty nine, it's gone up to forty
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: nine and a half, though money's actually coming in in
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: the over sixty six percent tickets on the over eighty
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on the over. I don't
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: think I agree with that. I think both offenses are
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be run first offenses here in this game, so
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with that over. I think it's
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be a defensive game again here, which does mean
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a little more difficult for Notre Dame
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: to cover that. I mean, just because the professionals are
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: kind of leaning in that way they are coming off
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: the buy. It's gonna be kind of an unfamiliar environment
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: for A and M. I guess I'll slightly lean to
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame in that one, but it's not a play
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: for me. And a lot of times you do see
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: the public thinking, oh, it's number sixteen against number eight.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: It's a ranked matchup, so they think it's gonna be
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: a close game, and they see taking the points as
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: like value. They think six and a half is kind
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: of a big number for two ranked teams. Or should
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: be a close game, right, So the public sometimes has
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: a tendency to take the underdog. It doesn't look like
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: they're totally doing that in this game, though, very difficult
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: game to read slightly into Notre Dame Pete left self
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: bend had to get better. Well, they have what's his
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: name their coach there is Marcus Freeman out right, He's
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: he's definitely a really good coach. Uh oh, man, excuse me,
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: I knew I felt that sneeze coming. Oh my god,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna deafen everybody. Anyway. Yeah, Michigan, I mean, she's
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: not Michigan. Notre Dame. They're Yeah. I mean I think
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: they're getting a lot out of their out of their
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: players there, man, Like, I don't think they have like
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: the greatest players there necessarily, and I think their coach
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: basically gets the most out of them. Yes, thank you.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: Vandy and South Carolina is an interesting one. Both these
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: teams are undefeated too, and now Vandy still playing better
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: than I expect them to. I mean, they performed. I
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: thought last year they still got Pavia there. Who Pavia
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: just seems to give them this like X factor. Man,
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: that's kind of hard to quantify their quarterback there. I mean,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: he's this small dude. He just gets out there and
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: like pumps up the team, jacks up the team and
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: their coach. Like it's kind of instilled this like winning
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: culture there Vandy again, which if you watch the sec
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Netflix documentary you'll see that it is interesting. South Carolina's
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: ranked eleventh in the country, Vandy's unranked. I do think
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: South Carolina is a little bit overrated, though they're kind
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: of flying, like with their rank here. They're kind of
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: doing that base off of like what South Carolina did
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: last year. They had a good season last year, kind
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: of an unexpectedly good season. They won a bowl. I
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: don't know way they got upset in the bowl and
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: what am I saying by Illinois? I think right, but
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: they made a bowl when they were favored in the bowl.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: I think they won like eleven games last year, So
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: they had a good season last year. To me, I
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: think they're taking a step back this year, though I
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: know their defense is still pretty solid. They still have Sellers.
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: The quarterback there was a solid quarterback. But they're the team.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: So if you look at what they've done so far,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: they beat Virginia Tech twenty four to eleven. But if
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: you dig into these box scores, like, look at what
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: South Carolina is doing, man, In this game, South Carolina
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: actually got outgained by Virginia Tech, but Virginia Tech lost
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle two to not things. So I had
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: mentioned I leave to Virginia Tech plus the points in
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: this game, and they should have covered. I mean, they
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: outgained South Carolina, but they lost the turnover battle too.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: Do nothing. They outpossessed South Carolina by nine minutes almost
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: or eight minutes basically, and they outfirst downed them too.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: So it's like, how did Virginia Tech not even cover
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: as an underdog there? That game was at Mercedes Benz
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcon Stadium. Well, part of the reason they
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: didn't cover again was because there was a There were
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: just some kind of flukes in this game. Man. There
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: were the two turnovers, and we did have a punt
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: return touchdown from South Carolina and then they did get
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: that one kind of flukey down Lacaus. Virginia Tech was
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: covering into the fourth quarter. They were only losing seventeen
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: to eleven. It's like, how did they not cover a
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: plus seven and a half or whatever? When they're only
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: down seventeen to eleven with nine minutes to go, they
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: gave up a long touchdown pass and that was about
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: it and couldn't score again. Then Virginia to excuse me,
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. Look at what they did last week, South
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: Carolina State. Yeah, they beat South Carolina State. You know,
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: an in state little brother. They're in FCSD, and they
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: beat them thirty eight to ten. But South Carolina was
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: a forty two and a half point favorite and they
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: didn't even score forty two and a half points. That's
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: kind of a red flag. But it becomes even more
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: of a red flag when you look at how they
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: did it. How did they win this game? South Carolina
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: State outgained South Carolina in this game. I don't know
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: how you excuse that, Like they outgained them by seventeen yards.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: I mean that's ridiculous, and they outpossessed them by almost
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: nine minutes, Like how did that happen? When South Carolina
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: is like they should have dominated this game. I mean
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: it was a complete mismatch and on the scoreboard it
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: almost looks like they shouldn't have even won the game
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: at all. And how do they wind up winning by
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: twenty eight. Well, look at what happened in this game.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. South Carolina had one offensive touchdown in this game.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: Even though they scored thirty eight points, they scored one
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: offensive touchdown. Look at this. They had two punt return
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: touchdowns in a row. They had a touchdown run here,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: they had a fumble return touch I don't know, excuse me.
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: They had two offensive touchdowns in my mistake. They had
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: one passing touchdown, one rushing touchdown, and they had more
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: touchdowns by their defensive special teams than they had from
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: their offense in the game. Again, they had a fumble
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: return touchdown and they had two punt return touchdowns. It's ridiculous, dude.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: So South Carolina, I don't think they're anywhere near as
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: good as they look Vandy. This is revenge. By the way,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: Vandy got kind of embarrassed last year at home. I
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: think South Carolina went into their house and beat them
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: like thirty one to seven or something last year. So
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: it is a revenge spot. Vandy beat Virginia Tech on
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: the road, and they beat them way more convincingly than
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: South Carolina did. South Carolina in a neutral site. As
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: I've just showed you. They didn't beat them by that
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: much at all. Even beating them by thirteen was a
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: bit misleading. And there's our dude there, Shane Beam or
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: South Carolina's coach there, Frank Beamer's son. I don't know, man,
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know how good of a coach he really is.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: A Vandy again, they already played on the roads. This
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: is not gonna be their first road game, so he
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: used to playing on the road. Although it is difficult
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: to play two straight road games. So this is a
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: big game for them, Man, might be a bigger game
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: for them than it is for South Carolina, to be honest, Vandy,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: they beat Virginia Tech way more convincingly on the road.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: I thought Virginia Tech was gonna win that game. Virginia Tech,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: they were a favorite in the game, and this was
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: a blowout. When if you look at the stats in
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: this game, this was not misleading. Vandy outgained them four
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: ninety to two forty eight. They actually lost the turnover
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: battle by one and still won the game. They outpossessed
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: them out first down, and this is a dominant win
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: by Vandy in this game. So am I convincing myself
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: to add Vandy as a play here. I like it,
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: even though in a way South Carolina just they don't
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: look that good. But I don't think people are gonna
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: look at that and think that Vandy all of a
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: sudden looks that good and people are just gonna think, oh,
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: they both beat Virginia Tech by double digits. Kind of whatever.
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in a Vandy. South Carolina is down
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: from five to three fifty. Take a sixty three percent
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: of the ash coming in a Vandy. I kind of
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: want to do it, man, I want to add Vandy
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: to this game. I think I'm gonna do it, even
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: though I know it's you know, it is a big
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: game for South Carolina. I think it is their SEC
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: home opener, right, so I usually don't like to do that.
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: But they have already well they didn't play home because
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: it was a neutral site game, so they haven't played it.
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: It's an FBS home opener for them. Man. I kind
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: of like it, though. Should I add it as a
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: play You guys can convince me to do it. Let's
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: do it, you know what. Let's let's get some more action,
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: let's have some fun. I'll give you an early play here.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: Let me. Just I'm gonna add it to my tracking
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: system here. I just I just can't get over the
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: fact that South Carolina has been playing like such ass. Yeah,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: you can get Vandy plus three still, I mean, that's
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: the key number there. I don't know, if you're gonna
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: see a three and a half at game time, you
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: probably won't. Probably should have taken it at like plus
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: four or something like that earlier. But we can get
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: the plus three. I mean, I think it's still worth
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: a shot on that fire a little bit on the
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: on the money line there, let's do it. Vanderbilt plus
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: three will do it. I mean, I apologize I didn't
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: get to that number quicker because you could have had
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: at least the plus four on that one, which is
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: a bit of a key number there, but the line
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: dropped a bit too quick. Three is a more key
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: number than four though, So extra play for me there.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: There you go. Yeah, South Carolina, it's just unbelievable to me,
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: like how many of their scores been not on offense
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: and it's just totally unsustainable. So I don't think they're
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: anywhere near as good and the line almost looks too easy,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: too righte like taking like layth just three. Now is
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: South Carolina as the number eleven ranked team or they're
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: basically just getting home field and nothing else. It looks
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: so easy to do that, looks way too easy to
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: lay the points of South Carolina there, and then we
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: do have I don't know if I care about Utah,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: Wyoming or whatever. I mean, Wyoming sucks. I'm not gonna
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: talk about that, Ki unless you guys really want me
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: to let me run through some of these other games
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: real quick. If if any of these other games that
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: aren't in ranked matchups appeal to me, and then I'll
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: give you my plays. I mean, we did have Troy
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: coming off kind of that game, big game. They played
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: pretty well against Clemson. This is going to be their
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: FBS home opener, though, so I don't know that it's
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: really going to be a letdown spot and Memphis is
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: a pretty big opponent for them. Still, Memphis, they will
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: be a road favorite here. Memphis hasn't really been tested yet.
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: They played Chattanooga, who's an FCS team, and then beat
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: Georgia State, which is an FBS team but not a
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: very impressive one. So that game Memphis, they're down for
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: six and a half to four though, so the money's
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: actually coming in on Troy, even though they could arguably
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: arguably be in a bit of a letdown spot if
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: they played Clemson really pretty tight last week. Fifty three
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Memphis. Memphis is of course going
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: to be the public side, they get more name recognition,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: but the line has really dropped on them. Man, sixty
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Troy. We'll see
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: what happens in that game, I guess. I know there
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: are a lot of professionals that like Delaware a lot
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: this week, man, and you've lost the best number on
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: Delaware here. It was a plus ten and now it's eight.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: So Connecticut's down from minus eleven to minus eight. I
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: agree with the Delaware side here. I mean, you could
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: still take it plus eight if you really want to,
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: although ten would obviously be a lot better. Fifty nine
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, sixty six percent of the cash coming
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: in on Delaware here. Delaware, they're new to FBS, man,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: So the thing about this is, I think it's gonna
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: be a big game for Delaware because this is actually
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: their FBS home opener, so as an FBS team, they
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: have not played a home game yet, except they played
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: one against an FCS team in Delaware State, so this
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: is gonna be their FBS home opener, So I think
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: they're gonna they are gonna consider this to be a
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: big game, even though it is only against Yukon, who
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: I think is still an independent if I'm not mistaken, Yeah,
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: just Yu kond of Notre Dame. But Yukon, I mean
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: the way they lost last week and now it's a
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: second straight road game and they have to go to
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar environment. I mean, they're definitely not familiar with
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: having to play at Delaware. They don't have a big
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: game up next though, I mean it's just against ball State,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Like who cares? That gives me a little bit of hesitation.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: But Yukon, they should have covered this number at Syracuse
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: last week. It's unbelievable they didn't that they didn't cover this.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they were winning the game. Late in the game,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: they still had the win. They kind of blew the
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: whole thing. They wound up retying it. They were winning
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: seven to seventeen to six in the third quarter. Is
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: a six and a half point underdog. How did Yukon
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: not cover at Syracuse? Here? I end up falling behind
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: by three, so they were still gonna cover, and then
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: they scored a game time field goal with one second
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: left after they were losing by three. They gave the
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: go ahead touchdown in the final minute, they were still
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: able to get into field goal range, went into overtime,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: and I don't know what happened. I don't know if
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: they turned it over or what it was, but they
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: gave up a touchdown and extra point in overtime and
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: didn't score in overtime and they lost by seven and
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: didn't cover the six and a half. Just unbelievable. So
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: coming off that game, it could be a bit of
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot there and having to go a second
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: straight road game. So I do agree with with Delaware
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: in that one. You know, again, do with that information
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: what you will. I might actually throw Delaware in my
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: pick six and whatever, because it's available in at least
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: one of those games, and you're still getting the ten
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: ten and a half and that one, so there's definitely
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: line value there, so that one probably will be in mine. Yeah,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I just figured I throw that out there,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: you know, for your information. Any of these other games.
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: Washington State in North Texas is a bit of an
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: interesting game as well. Yeah, you could do it. I
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: forget which which movie was that even from I just
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: remember him being in the in the mob there outside
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: of the what Yeah? What? What movie was that? Man?
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: I don't remember walking in Memphis? Uh, Who's I don't
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: even know whose song that is. I don't think if
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: it's Country, I'm not up on the country man. Washington
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: State at North Texas is gonna be a fucking long
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: video again, isn't it? But I will get to my
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: best bets pretty shortly. This is an interesting one. I
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: heard some professional opinions on North Texas in this game,
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: and I don't disagree with it. Washington State, I mean
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: I heard the argument that it's kind of a sandwich spot.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure if I would go that far. I
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: think it is a look ahead spot for Washington State,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: though we know Washington State they're orphaned now. They beat
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: San Diego State last week, and they pulverized San Diego
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: State to pull to two and oh on the season.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: Another they only beat Idaho by three and one. Washington
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: State's still not that good of a team, and they
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: lost their quarterback matteen into Oklahoma and he's looking pretty
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: good at Oklahoma. How big is that win over San
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: Diego State, I don't know, because the PAC twelve is
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: going to reform next year in San Diego State's gonna
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: be in it. So that's kind of a conference preview
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: game there in Washington State handled them man thirty six
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: to thirteen. But San Diego State they're really bad right now.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: They might be on their way back up a little bit,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: but they used to be a really proud program, like
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: solid football program. They're just not good right now. And
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: now Washington State, they do have to play their first
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: true road game at a pretty unfamiliar venue in North
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: Texas in Denton, Texas, so it's not gonna be easy.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: And they got their big rivalry game next week against
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: Washington so this is not an easy spot for them.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: In North Texas. They're coming off that game I showed
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: you against Western Michigan. They barely won against Western Michigan,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: and this is their FBS home opener. Then they might
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: consider to be pretty big because against Washington State, and
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: this is one of their biggest games of the season
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: other than they have a game against u USF coming
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: up in a bit. But yeah, North Texas playing against
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Washington State, you're pretty big game for them, playing a
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: the one of the orphaned, you know, pack two teams
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: or whatever. And again they might be refocused because they
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: were a big favorite in that game against Western Michigan
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: and they almost lost the game. So that might refocus them.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: When you get a big favorite like that and they
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: don't play well, they tend to play better the next
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: week and they refocus. So I do agree with the
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: North Texas side here. It is up from four to six.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: You've lost a little bit of live value on this
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent to take a sixty nine percent of
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: the cash coming into North Texas. I do agree with
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: that one generally. I mean, I'm I'm tempting to make
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: that a play as well. It's close. It is close
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: to being a player for me on North Texas. Man,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what do we think? Do I want
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: to add another play there? Should? I should? I have
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: a five plays tomorrow. It's close. I don't want to
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: have to do that many Instagram videos though. Man, who's
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: the Yankee? Who is it? What? Water Boy? I don't
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: know who water Boy is? Adam Sandler? What is it?
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: From the water Boy movie? I don't. I don't know.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: It can't be. I know the water, I know water
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: Boy the movie. I don't know. But man, I'm tempted
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: to say where Texas should be a play here. M
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: it's close. I'll leave it alone. But man, that's close.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: That is close. I agree with the North Texas side
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: and that one we do have the backyard brawl Pittsburgh,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: West Virginia shout out to madd again. It's gonna be
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: an ESPN at three thirty pm. This rivalry resumed last year.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: This is an old rivalry at these teams used to
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: have when they were in the Big East together, and
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: they might have been in the ACC together at one
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: point too. But now West Virginia is in the Big twelve,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is still in the ACC. They resumed the rivalry
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: last year and it was a really good game. I
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: believe Pittsburgh won the game late after West Virginia the
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: late lead. It was pretty back and forth. This game
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in Morgantown in West Virginia, so you
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: know the crowd's gonna be crazy for this one in
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: West Virginia. Even the West Virginia is down this year.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is coming up that loss on the road
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: to Ohio, so they lost to a MAC team. Maybe
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: they were looking ahead to this. This is gonna be
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: their FBS home opener of the season year, so it
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: is a big game for them for that reason too.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: I probably do slightly lead to West Virginia here Pittsburgh.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know they're coming off a game that's
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: kind of whatever against Central Michigan. I mean, they'll still
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: be focused. I mean, this is a big rivalry game.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: It is their first road game though, and again because
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: the rivalry resumed last year, they're not that used to
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: playing at West Virginia right now because they had they
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: haven't done it for years. At this point, they haven't
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: played at West Virginia, I don't think so. They haven't
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: played there in a while. Pittsburgh is up from three
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: and a half to seven and a half. I don't
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: know when it was ever three and a half. But
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: their public seventy percent to take is only sixty two
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash the public they're not gonna want
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: anything to do with West Virginia after losing to a
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: MAC team last week in Pittsburgh looking way better right now.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, Pittsburgh Obviously they're the better team, but seven
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: and a half in a rivalry like this, probably too
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: many points. I know West Virginia they're trying to get
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: used to having a new system there. It's their first
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: year with Rich rod there. Rich Rodriguez is their coach there,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: and they got a lot of They've had a lot
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: of turnover there. We'll see what happens man with West Virginia.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: But I do agree I lean towards West Virginia there.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: Uh my mistake is I minimize all the windows here.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: I do lean to West Virginia slightly there by water.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: When Mark Coones sings that Billy Joel's sounding song, yeah,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know it at all. I might have to
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: look into it. And then I always stay at Arkansas.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: Stated already talked about that one, right Liberty and Bowling Green.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: This is one slight lean to Liberty in this one.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: I mean Bowling Green. I mean I could see the
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: argument that this is a bit of a sandwich spot
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: they just went to since they didn't have a close
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: game though. I mean Bowling Green for a MAX team,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: they're a MAC team that did play some decent defense
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: last year. Bowling Green new coach this year though. By
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: the way, Eddie George is their new coach. Shout out
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: to Andy Garbage, Maine or whatever. I don't think he's
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: ever in my chat though, but he is a Tennessee
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: Titans fan. Eddie George former Titans running back. That's where
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: he is now. He's coaching at Bowling Green. It was
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: a big game for Bowling Green going to Cincinnati. I mean,
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: they're kind of close geographic rivals there, so big game
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: for them, but they didn't play them that close. I
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: mean they were a double digit underdog on the road.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: If it was a closer game, if they took Cincinnati
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: to the wire, I would definitely be considering Liberty here.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: I do agree with the Liberty side generally, and Bowling
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: Green does have Louis Vall up next, which is one
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: of the other biggest opponents they faced this year. So
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: those are the two big conference opponents they have this year,
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: and this game against Liberty is sandwiched in between the
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: two and Liberty Conference US eight. I know they've been
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: a decent conference to USA team recently, but I don't
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: know if Bowling Green is really gonna have full focus
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: on this one Liberty. Although Liberty is a favorite here.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Liberty lost last week to Jacksonville State. Man,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: it was on the road. It was their first road
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: game of the season. I know this is a second
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: road game for them. That was kind of embarrassing because
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State doesn't have rich Rod anymore. They've had a
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: lot of turnover there in Liberty wound up losing the
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: game by ten and Liberty was a favorite in this
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: game of six and a half. So pretty embarrassing for Liberty.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: So you got to think they will be pissed and
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: show up and bounce back. And Liberty dominated this game.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: They outgained bowling excuse Jacksonville State. They outgained Jacksonville State
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: five point thirty four to three to ninety. They outfirst
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: down them, and they the possession was really close between
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: both sides. So they're minus two in turnovers wandup losing
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: the game. A little bit of a misleading result there, Man,
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: Liberty was definitely better in that game than what it
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: looks like on the score where there. Liberty does have
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: Vasco as their quarterback. He's a pretty experience quarterback there,
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: so I do agree with the Liberty side there. That
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: was one that some of the professionals I listened do
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: pointed out their minus five on the road here, But
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent ticket is only fifty four percent of
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on liberty, so the money looks like it's
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: kind of against liberty. But I do lean that way.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: I agree with the professional betters that I've listened to
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: on that one. I think the leen is liberty in
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: that game. What else we got not a whole lot
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: else to really talk about. I mean, Virginia Tech, Old Dominion,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: Old Dominions, and in State Little brother there, so Old
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: Dominion probably gonna want to show up there. But Virginia Tech,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're coming off two straight losses. I know
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: they were the better team South Carolina and Vandy, and
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: the games were closer than the final score appeared. But
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, they're gonna be trying to get a win here. Man.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: I know they're coming off some big games, but I
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be still focused here to try to
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: get a win, even though you know Old Dominion will
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: be focused as well, because it is a big game
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: for them. In State, a little Brothers situation there. They
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: actually played Indiana fairly and impressively in week one or
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: whatever that was coming to within thirteen points of them
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: on the road. I think Illinois excuse the Indiana is
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit overrated though Indiana was a twenty three
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: and a half boy favorite and only scored twenty seven
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: points in that game. So yeah, old Dominion slight lean
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: to Old Dominion there. The line has actually gone through
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: that key number seven. It's down for seven and a
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: half to five and a half. Now we're based maybe
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: six fifty percent of tickets eighty six percent of the
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: cash on Old Dominion. The total is fairly low at
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: fifty and a half, So I do agree with taking
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: the points with Old Dominion there, but that's just another
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: slight lean that I have there. And then, uh, I
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: don't know there are any other games I want to
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: talk about. Iowa at U Mass Man, I'm gonna talk
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: about so many games here. I went two hours I
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: think last week. I won't go that long this week. Iowa,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: of course, they're coming up that huge game against Iowa
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: State Man, so big rivalry game on the road. They
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: get you Mass at home, which I don't think they're
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: really going to pay any attention to. UMass U mass
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: is terrible. And then Iowa does have their big ten
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: matchup next week, and it's on a short week. They
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: have to go two Rutgers Fox Friday night prime time,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: so that could be a look at Spot. That's a
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: big game for Iowa traveling there. So I lean to
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: you Mass in this game. Man. As ugly as that is,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: you Mass is terrible. Mass lost to Bryant last week
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: after they got absolutely annihilated by Temple in their first game.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: They lost to an FCS team Bryant as sixteen and
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites. Pretty inexplicable loss. Even though U
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: Mass is bad, losing a Bryant is ridiculous. U Mass
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: actually got outgained. Now if it was a bit of
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: a misleading result, I would be a little bit more
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: tempted to actually be like, Yeah, U Mass is gonna
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: be a play for me in this one. They did
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: win the time of possession battle in the game, but
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: they did get outgained as well. It's still an embarrassing loss.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: I still lean to you Mass in this one. In Iowa.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, Iowa basically still doesn't even have a quarterback.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: They never have good quarterback play. Like the total in
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: this game is down to forty three and a half, Like,
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: how do you expect Iowa to cover a thirty five
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: point spread? I mean, is you Mask gonna score zero
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: in this game? I mean, maybe they will, but I
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: know I was a good defense, but I think Iowa
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: might just be a get in, get out type of
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: situation where I might not even cover the points. They
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: might not even score the points spread in this one man,
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: And the total did drop a little bit too. Money
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: is coming in a New Mass fifty sixty four percent
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in New Mass. I agree with
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: it won't quite make my card, but I like that
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: U Mass one too, So it's good for me to
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: go through these games too, though, because then I can
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: add these to my like my additional picks there. So yeah,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: you Mass interesting one there. I do lean to you Mass,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: I mean Iowa, especially because Iowa their offense is almost
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: inapt at times, so it's like, how the fuck do
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: you expect Iowa to cover a spread like that? Yeah,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think you Mass can hang within that number.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: And then we do have Duke Tulane is actually a
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: pretty interesting game. It's a very competitive line and Duke
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: has Mensa as their quarterbacks. He's gonna be playing against
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: his former team Tulane, which is really interesting. I don't
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: know who Tulane has as a quarterback now, Duke. Pretty
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: embarrassing loss at home, even though it was a big game,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: it was televised, they got embarrassed. So even though this
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: is a road game, it's an unfamiliar venue, Toulane. Maybe
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: Duke will actually show up for this because they did
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: get embarrassed last time up. But Tulane, they'll show up
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: for it too. Man. But Mensa, I mean, he's gonna
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: want to play well against his former team, so he'll
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: be motivated. Duke will probably be motivated around him to
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: play against his former team. But Tulane also knows Mensa's tendency,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: so they might know how to defend against him. Tulane,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: as I mentioned, they were a thirteen and a half
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: point favorite last week and they did almost lose to
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: South Alabama, so Tulane, that might refocus them. Man. Maybe
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: they were even looking ahead to this game against Tulane
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: because it is an ACC team. It's gonna be one
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: of their bigger games this season, and they play oh
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: Miss that next week two. But and they did play
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: a big ten team in their first game Northwestern, but
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: they're not a very good Big ten team, but Tulane
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: is still they're battle testing themselves, man, and South Alabama's
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: not a terrible team really, so Tulane they might be
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: ready for this too. So I can see arguments for
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: both sides in this game. It's a difficult game to handicap.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: Tulane is down for two and a half to one
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: and a half seventy percent to take its eighty six
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in a duke, so the
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: money seems to be coming in on the duke side there. Interesting,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: It is interesting, to say the least. And then we
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: do have Minnesota having to travel to California in a
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: late ESPN game in BC having to go to Stanford
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: and BC coming off I think a double overtime game
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: against Michigan State or something like that. So Minnesota and
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: BC look like they're both in bad spots there, but
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on Minnesota for whatever reason.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: I'm from one and a half to two and a half.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: Cal cal has some problems, man. I mean, I don't
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: think they have too much continuity on their team. I
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: think they still have the same coach there, but it's
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: not really going well for Cal there fifty six percent,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: take sixty six percent of the cash on Minnesota, and
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: then the money is fading BC, even though they're up
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: from ten a half to fourteen against this pretty inept
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: Stanford team, but the totals only forty five. So when
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: it's a low total like that, it does usually make
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: sense to take the points more often than not because
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: you're not expecting a lot of points to be scored
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: at all, so the points are at a premium. You're
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: getting two touchdowns with Stanford, maybe even fourteen and a half,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets, only fifty five percent of
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: the cash, so the money seemingly agreeing with Stanford. With Stanford,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: I mean they got to show something man with Frank
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: right there now as their coach, I mean, they're still
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: going through some growing pans there. But BC having to
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: travel out there and play this ridiculous late night game
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: and East Coast team having to go west like that,
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot. So I would lean to Stanford
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: in that game. I don't know who BC plays next though,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: Oh they played Cal. This is their acc opener though,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: so maybe both teams will show up for this, so
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: they think it's Cal's acc home opener Tyler Robinson being executed.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: I think the odds are pretty high, which I think
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: is not a good thing, because even if he is
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: the shooter, I think that there's more to that story
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: that people are not telling it. If he gets executed,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: it'll be it'll be like the Jeffrey Epstein thing, where
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: you won't be able to get that knowledge that he
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: has from him anymore, because I think he might have
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: some knowledge that we should be aware of. So I
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: really don't like that, man, I do not. Let's go
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: to my best bets. Man, let's do it before I
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: get out of here. You already know what one was
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: with Vandy, and I'm assuming Kansas State lost. So we're
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: doing really we're doing great there. What do you mean
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: of OnlyFans? What first game up is going to be
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: Temple plus twenty four. I told you this is going
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: to be ugly, man. This is against Oklahoma. Oklahoma's kind
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: of turned into more of a defensive team. And the
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: total has dropped a little bit in this one, two
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: and a half to fifty one and a half. It's
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: not a really low total, but I think it's a
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Oklahoma, and the money's really coming in
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: on the Temple side here. Oklahoma down for twenty four
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: and a half to twenty four, seventy three percent of
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, sixty one percent of the cash coming
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: in on Temple. I definitely agree with this on the
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: temple side here, this is a bad spot for Oklahoma.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma ranked thirteenth in the country. They're definitely good. They're
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma even is a little bit under the radar, to
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: be honest, as Oklahoma had to adapt to the SEC.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: It's gonna take a little while to do that because
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma used to be like this finesse offensive team in
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: the Big Twelve. Now they have to adapt to the SEC.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: And the only way to do that is to start
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: playing more physical defense. And that is what they're doing now. Man.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: But they're coming off a huge win against Michigan. That
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: was a big ranked matchup last week. It was the
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: biggest game of the week last week as far as
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: the rankings were concerned. They beat Michigan by eleven, huge,
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: huge win for Oklahoma. Now they got to go to
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar venue. They have to go up to Philadelphia,
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: had a temple to play an early start time, which
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: I know the early start time is not as bad
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: as an East Coast team having to play a really
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: really late game that's gonna be like ending at like
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: one AMAS, you know, Eastern their time. But this still
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a game that you know is gonna
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: be like whatever eleven am ten am Oklahoma time. I
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: guess it's only eleven am because I guess they're only
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: one time zone different or whatever. But still it is
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: in an earlier start time, and I think it's a
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot though. So not only is it a place
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: where they don't usually play in Temple, but up next
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: they got to play Auburn Man, so that's a huge
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: game too. That's other SEC opener. Auburn looks like they're
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: on the way up again. They're ranked right now, so
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: that is a huge game. I think this is a
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot for Oklahoma Man. I don't think they're gonna
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: pay attention Temple. This is a bigger game for templeman.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: This is their biggest game of the year, though they
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: do play Georgia Tech next week as well, but they're
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: playing an SEC team at home, and Temple maybe a
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: little bit under the radar. Man. They've been pretty impressive
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: even though they played nobody's They crushed you Mass on
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: the road. Howard, I know is an FCS team, but
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: Temple they're showing something here. They got this quarterback Simon here.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: Temple had not had back to back wins apparently since
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, so maybe this Temple team is getting
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. And we of course don't need
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: to win this game or even come close to winning it.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: We just needed to cover the spread here at home.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be their FBS home opener as well,
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: because they have not played an FBS team at home yet,
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: so it's a big game. ESPN two. The crowd is
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: going to be there. This game definitely means more to Temple.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: It's a flat spot for Oklahoma for sure, it's a
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: much much bigger spot for Temple, much much better spot
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: for them. So Temple plus twenty four in that game
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: is gonna be one of my plays. The Philly Cheese
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: Steaks sandwich, y ad, you want to jump on that
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: cheese steak in the middle of there. Man. I watch
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: a lot of food reviews as well, and I know
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: that the Philly Cheese Steaks, like the biggest names the
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: ones that are kind of considered to be the most popular,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: like Gino's and whatever, but the cheese whiz shit like
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: those are not actually the best cheese steaks by any means.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: There are some places that do it like way better
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: than that, I think. I'm trying to remember what the
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: names of them were now, because I wish I could
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: remember the names of them, as one of one of
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: them is Angelo's I think, and the other is John's
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: Roast Beef something like that. But like they're like, according
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: to a bunch of food rivers, like the best cheese
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: steaks in Philly, and based on I don't know, I
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: haven't had them, but based on what I can tell
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: just by looking at the food, I'm like, yeah, that
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: makes sense because it does look really really good. Next up,
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: Oh and I forgot? Did I forget to put? I
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: forgot to do the breakdown and the best bets on graphic? Man,
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: sorry my toad graphics here, it's getting really graphic there.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: Cheese steaks with halapenos. I like it too. I like
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: cheese steaks. I like halapaenos usually when I get a
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: cheese steak, though, I just I keep it as is though,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: I just I do this basically just the standard, like
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: the steak and the cheese, and I like it on
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: like a sesame roll gives it a little bit more
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: flavor and a little bit more context. I like fresh rolls.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: It could be really really fucking good man. And I
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: don't really like the cheese with stuff either. I like
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: real cheese. Like usually like American works out pretty well
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: in the cheese steak. I think that's the way to go.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: In Boston we call it a steak and cheese though,
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: by the way, so steak and cheese. But in Boston
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: we actually kind of have an Italian rendition of it
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: with the steak and cheese. Usually it has a like
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: salami on it as well. Sometimes it's called a steak bomb.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: Sometimes it has like peppers and onions on it as well.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: I don't mind the peppers and onions either, but the
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: bomb or the steak and cheese, you get a salami
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: added to it. Man, up in Boston, it makes it
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit more Italian. It is good. I'm not
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: gonna lie, it's pretty fucking good. So that's that's something
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: you can do up here too. It's more popular up here,
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: I think in Boston, justin what's up, man, You're running
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: a promo came from Missouri State and SMU tomorrow. You
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: think it's a Missouri State lost, but you think they're
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: gonna cover the spread. Yeah, Man, come up to Boston
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: and try it up here. To try it up here minute, Man,
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: I'd have to get back to you. I'm trying to remember.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: I'm drawing a blank. Man, stroke brain. There's like one
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: place that's in the North End that has like a
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: really good one that's almost more of like a like
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: a market more so than an actual like restaurant. But
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: they make sandwiches there, and they have like a really
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: really good steak and cheese or steak bomb there. I
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: don't know why I can't remember the name of it.
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: It's like a market that's in the North End. Fuck,
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: I can't remember the name of it. That they probably
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: have the best one though, Man, I've tried. Man, I
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: wish I could remember the name of it. Speaking of that,
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: justin next up, my next best bet is Missouri State
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: plus twenty eight. Even though I know they're coming off
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: an upset, and usually I don't like to play teams
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: that are coming off of big upsets. They'd beat Marshall though, Man,
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, Marshall, They're just such a bad team, dude.
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: I know it was a double digit upset for Missouri State,
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: but I just don't see how like you're gonna put
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: them in a letdown spot after that. Marshall is so bad.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: And this is a huge game for Missouri State, man.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have a big conference team SMU coming in.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: They're on CBS Sports so they get national billing, and
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: Missouri State's new to FBS, and this is their first
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: home game of the season, so you know, they got
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: to get up for this game. Man. I know they
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: played USC in their first game as well, that was
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: a big conference team as well, and they got absolutely annihilated.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: But I think it's good that they got that win
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: out of the way too. So now they got their
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: first win out of the way, so they got a
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: taste of winning as an FBS team. This is gonna
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: be a huge game for them, man. I like Missouri
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: State in this one, and this is a bad spot
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: for SMU. SMU is in a Texas sandwich, so it's
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: like a barbecue brisket sandwich here, man. Even though the
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: sandwich is usually the meat part of it But SMU
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: just played this huge game against Baylor last week man
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: big time. Like I mean, these teams they don't like
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: each other, they're pretty much in state rivals. And this
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: game went into double overtime. So not only was it
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: a big game, it went into double overtime and SMU
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: had multiple leads late in the game. They were up
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: fourteen points with eight and a half minutes left in
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: the game, and they still lost the game in double overtime.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: Absolutely brutal way to lose that game coming off playing
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: the extra periods. There really really bad spot for SMU.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: And not only that, but they have to go on
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: the road their first road game. They have to go
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: to a place where they're not used to playing Missouri State.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, these FBS teams were certainly not used to
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: going there. And who do they have up next after that?
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: Next Saturday, they got to play TCU, even though I'm
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: pretty sure SMU actually I don't think SMU even played
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: TCU night last year because they're not in the same
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: conference at this point. But that is another huge game
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: and another Texas like basically rivalry game. There another in
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: state game against Texas. This is a sandwich man, So
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: Missouri State is what it's got to be in this one.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: I think they can keep it close enough to cover
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: this number. The total is high, so that does worry me.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: SMU's team that does score a lot, but they're pretty
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: turnover prone as well, so I'm not really sure that
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: I'm totally sold on SMU here. Man, I know, big total.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: I usually like taking underdogs when it's a low total.
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: But we're getting the four touchdowns here. It's up to
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: twenty eight from twenty six and a half, and the
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: public is on SMU, so I think the public has
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: actually kind of driven this number up. Eighty four percent
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only seventy one percent of the cash. Everybody
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: knows SMU remembers them being in the playoffs last year.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: They still have the same quarterback Jennings. Yeah, SMU's offense
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: is pretty good, but this is a bad spot. SMU
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: is not that good in Missouri State. They're also not
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: that bad and people just don't know the name yet.
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: But there you go, justin. We don't need them to win,
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: though we only needed to come within four touchdowns. We'll
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: be on Missouri State in that one. JC, what's up? Man?
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: Twenty seven and a half. You got to try to
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: get the twenty eight if you can, al though, I
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: think I would do it either way. Once you get
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: up to twenty eight, I mean, it's kind of like
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: and the number, the keenness of the number a little
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: bit less, but it is still a key number at
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: that four touchdown mark there. So I would look for
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: the twenty eight JC saying hi to everybody. That's true.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: Marshall is a really bad team, dude. I don't see
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: how I should have given that out as a play.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: I don't see how Marshall was a double digit favorite there.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: They lost their entire team that they had last year.
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: Missouri State is just getting no respect in the market.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: What's up, man? Don? What's up? Man? So? I just
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: gave out. So I've given out Vanderbilt plus three already,
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: Temple plus twenty four, Missouri State plus twenty eight. I
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: got one more. We're on the last one that I have.
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: I'll give you a favorite for once, and this is
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: the last best bet that I have. Miami of Florida
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: minus seventeen and a half. I know we're off that
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: key number. I'd much rather lay seventeen. We're not gonna
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: get it. Back, So I think we're still gonna do
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: it here. I just have to fade South Florida on
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: this one, man, South Florida. I mean, we're gonna at
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: two teams that are both overrated here, but the money's
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: coming in on Miami, and I think good reason. I
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: know they open at fourteen and a half. It's gone
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: up through that key number seventeen. It's at seventeen and
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: a half. I mean, I guess you could wait on
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: this because it's not like going to eighteen is really
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: gonna affect this like eighteen seventeen and a half. There's
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: no difference there. If you want to wait and see
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: if you can get a seventeen, you could. South Florida
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: is a little bit public. Fifty eight percent of ticket,
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash coming on Miami. I
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: don't expect it to get back to seventeen, but it
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: is possible with the public coming in. But this is
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: a game where both teams are ranked too high, dude,
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: but especially South Florida. I mean, you got number eighteen
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: South Florida, number five Miami. The rankings makers overreact to everything, man,
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: they overreact so much South Florida. I mean, if you
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: look at the power rankings, like the actual guys that
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: make like the power ratings and which affects like what
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: the odds actually are. I mean, they're gonna tell you
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: that South Florida they're like bit like barely a top
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: forty team. Maybe if that like, there's no way there
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: should be ranked eighteenth. Miami shouldn't ranked fifthy either, granted,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: I mean they're an acc team, they're not that good.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: They should be Probably Miami is like probably like a
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: top maybe twenty team. So both teams are overrated. But
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: the odsmiggers are telling you what to think in this game, man,
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: Miami being a seventeen and a half point favorite, you know,
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: the public's gonna look at this and see what South
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: Florida has done last two weeks and see the rankings
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: number eighteen against number five, like how could you possibly
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: lay seventeen and a half in a ranked versus ranked
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: matchup like this? Right? And South Florida is kind of
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: the darling right now to everybody loves this team. And
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: if South Florida can beat Boise and Florida, well, then
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: of course they can cover as a seventeen and a
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: half point underdog at Miami, right, Like, that's what people
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: are gonna think. And normally I would say this is
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: a little brother situation against South Florida. They always want
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: to step up their game against Florida and Miami because
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: those are big brother situations. But this is a historic
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: spot for South Florida. Man, they had never beaten two
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: top twenty five ranked teams in back to back weeks,
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: and they did that. They beat Boise. But remember in
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: that game, that was a little bit misleading because Boise
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: they just became totally inept in that game and a
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: Boise I think had four turnovers in the game, all fumbles,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: So the game wasn't really as totally lopsided as it looked.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: And then Miami pulled off that monumental upset at Florida.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: And if you saw that game, Miami was celebrating like
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: they'd won the championship. They celebrated like they'd won the
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Beating Florida mattered a ton to them. I
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: think beating Florida actually matters more than beating Miami does them.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: Even if Miami's ranked higher, Florida is Florida. They're the
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: University of Florida. South Florida that game matters more. Man,
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: that's just the way that it is. Beating them just
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: absolutely crazy. I don't see how they can pull off
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: that amount of intensity again, second straight road game against
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: another pretty good team two weeks in a row as
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: seventeen seventeen at point underdogs both times. I don't see it.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: I really do not. I think my is gonna come
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: in and light them up. Man. People are gonna look
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: at this and think that there's no way that's gonna
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: happen like that. There's no way that Miami can actually
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: cover a large spread like this. People also seem to
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: just not like Carson Beckman. Yes, I know, South Florida.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: They're a quarterback is good Brown. He's a solid dual
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: threat quarterback there. But this South Florida defense, I'm telling
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: you right now, it's still not a very good defense.
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: They had a bunch of holes in that defense against
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: Boise State, and Boise State just we're totally inept and
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: failed to exploit them. Florida. I don't know what the
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: fuck Florida did in this game with DJ lag mean, Florida,
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: they're just ineptley coached. I mean, I don't know what
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: to tell you, man, their coaching is terrible. Yeah, I
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: mean South Florida won this game, and they did out
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: gain Florida. It was a close game. It was a
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: close game statistically. Do with that information what you will.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Florida did lose the turnover battle. Florida won the possession
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: battle in the game. But I do think South Florida
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: is they're not anywhere near as good as they look. Man. Miami, yeah,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit overrated, but Miami. They also had
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: a much much easier game last week. And you know, Miami,
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have this game circle at this one. You know,
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna overlook South Forida, even though I know
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: they have Florida and Florida State coming up next. But
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: South Florida just beat Florida, man, so you know that's
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: gonna put Miami on notice. So because they just saw
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: what South Florida did last week, Miami is not gonna
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: overlook South Florida because of that. And this is a
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: game against the ranked team. I know it's only on
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: the CWS. You can go watch this after you watch
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: Buffy the Vampire Slayer reruns or whatever. But Miami, they're
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: coming up a much easier week last week they beat
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: Bethune Cookman, which is basically just a buye an FCS
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: team who cares. Miami pretty impressive in the first game
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: against Notre Dame. Maybe people aren't giving them enough credit
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: for that. Miami. Remember they do have Carson Beck and
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: he's played well so far. And he's the former Georgia
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: quarterback who kind of took a step back last year.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: But he looks decent so far. And we're not talking
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: about facing sec defenses here, Manre is a better defense
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: than South Florida. It's not even close. And Miami was
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: able to beat Notre Dame, so they they should be
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: able to win by margin against South Florida here in
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: my opinion, man, I mean, Notre Dame is a much
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: much more difficult opponent than South Florida. It's I think
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: it's yeah, it's gonna be a game of Miami. I
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be able to light them up. I
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: think Miami should be able to score a lot of
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: points in this game against South Florida. Man, that would
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: be my opinion here. The total has gone up a
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: little bit to fifty seven, even though it's like the
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: money's kind of coming in on the under now it's
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: not a low total, so that also is good if
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: you want if you want to play a favorite, you
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: don't really want the total to be that low usually,
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's the end of the road
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: for South Florida, man. I mean that was a historic,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: monumental upset and they celebrated, Yeah, like it was like
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: the end of the world pretty much. So, and I
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: believe South Florida had actually never beaten Florida. Am I mistaken?
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'd have to go back and look
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: at like their entire like resume here. I don't even
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: think they play them every single year, but I don't
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: think South flori had ever beaten the University of Florida before,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: so monumental. They actually came close back in twenty twenty two.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: They only lost by three at Florida, but I don't
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: think they've ever beaten them, so that makes it even
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: more monumental. So I always I gotta give you one
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: favorite usually, right, So we'll lay the points at Miami
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: and that's gonna do it. Oh, thank you, sir, Thank
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: you man. Hopefully you like my analysis here. Georgia and
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame on the money line I talked about those
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: games earlier. I leaned to Tennessee plus the points, but
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: it's it's not a strong lead for me, Like I
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: could certainly see Georgia winning that game. It's it's a
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: close game there. Notre Dame. I did slightly agree with
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: the Notre Dame side on that one, like minus the points.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: Not a really strong opinion on that one, either, But yeah,
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: and then I agree with Arkansas State. I talked about
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: that earlier in the show as well. I think it's
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Iowa State. It's a first road
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: game for them. They're coming off a huge game against Iowa,
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: and I believe Iowa State. Did I say they're on
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: a short week. I know they're playing in a big
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: I have them right up here right now. I don't
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: think it's a short week, but they are playing. I
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: think they actually have a bye next week. Maybe they
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: do play Arizona and Star Conference play next But I
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: think it is a letdown spot at the very least,
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: coming off the Iowa game. In Arkansas State should get
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: up for the game, and it is at home, so yeah,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: I lean to Arkansas State there. South Florida is a
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: power bottom that's true. Anna, what's up? Sorry? Sorry I
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: said your name. That means they're gonna get the bots
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: coming after you again. But that's gonna do it, man,
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: So once again, sorry, and I'm leaving as soon as
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: you come in here. But we've been going for an
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: hour and a half more than that. This is gonna
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: be the end once again. My plays for tomorrow our
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: Temple plus twenty four, Missouri State plus twenty eight, Miami
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: Florida minus seventeen and a half, Vandy plus three. Although
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: I know that's not the best number at this point,
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: but it's the way that it is. I think South
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: South Carolina just can't ignore the way that they've just
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: completely overperformed so far. Man. And then one of the
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: other games I gave out is like all most plays,
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: I'll have to refresh my memory again when I'm doing
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: my picks and going back there. But I had some
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: other games that I was fairly strongly opinionated about. North
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: Texas minus the points was one of them. Uh, what
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: else did I talk about? You? Mass plus the points
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: I think was one of them, and I forget what
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: the other ones were, but it was those were the couple.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: And then I think I had one where I was like,
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: I almost want to do it, but I don't remember
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: what it was. What what was it? I'll remember it later,
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: but yeah, that's gonna do it, man. And then Delaware.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: I know there were a lot of professionals on Delaware,
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: but the line isn't as good as what it once was.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: And that one has gone through kind of multiple key numbers,
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: so I'm staying off of that one too. And then
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: I wish I could refresh my memory and what the
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: other one was that I just talked about that I liked,
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: but I can't remember it at all, so that is
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: unfortunate for me. I guess, uh yeah, I mean I
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: guess that's it. That'll that'll do it for me. It
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: was one of the it was one of these games,
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: wasn't it. Maybe it wasn't. I don't fucking know whatever
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: it was. Yeah, it's slipped my mind, but then I apologize.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it though. Thanks guys for hanging out,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: Thank you sir Charles, and thank you thanks for all
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: the positive vibes. Once again, Learn to tone on Twitter,
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: learn to tone on Instagram. Better off Dead Like subscribe
• 1:38:17
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• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: this thing, and then listen on audio because I am
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: monetized there and basically just by listening you help me
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: out there. You have to listen to ads though on
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: Spotify and Apple. You can give me reviews there as well.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: I helped me out there covered in you because my
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: Yuke YouTube channel. So I gotta get more of those
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: covers up that I put out the last few days.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: Got to get the Patreon going again. I know Patreon
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: dot com, slash learn to tone. I gotta get the
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: rest of the audio up there for the I have
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: a Yuke feed up there and I've prioritized requests for
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  Speaker 1: you up there as well, so go check that out
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: as well. That's gonna do it. And hopefully I can
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: get subscriptions on Twitter because it keeps erroring out and
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: premium is not help me out with that. So justin
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: I thought that said, honey, I was like, oh, it's
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: getting a little gay in here, homie. Night good night
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: to you as well. Good night, honey. That's gonna do it. Guys.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: I'll be back with you tomorrow morning because we got
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: to talk with baseball tomorrow. Maybe run down the final
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: on market read on some of these football games. And
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: then we're gonna have WNBA coming up as well. If
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: you want me to do a w NBA bracket special,
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: I'll have to do it later on today or tonight
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: at some point, so that'll be that. And then I
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: have to do the NFL Show late night as well,
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: so that will happen. So there's gonna be a lot potentially,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: but that's gonna do it for now. I gotta get
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: some sleep. Peace out everybody for now.