Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 203 - 1/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 203 - 1/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:17
Hello, and welcome to episode 203 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
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week, marching on one day closer to one of the best betting
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weekends of the year. Although I'm going to miss some
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Saturday games, We do have a Sunday AFCNFC championship
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doubleheader. And I actually placed a wager
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today on one of those two games. And it is a play that I've been
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monitoring and I was holding out for a specific number, the
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numbers there, but I'm thinking it might not be there for long.
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So I pounced on a on a number that hopefully might show up
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later, may not. But if you were like me and have
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access to this book, you might want to consider betting this
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team right now before it moves too much.
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So I got to play for you guys early for AFC NFC Championship
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weekend. Then also right back to college
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hoops. A three pack of sweats, all
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money line plays, three overall, relatively short money line
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prices. See if we can find a way to go 2
1:22
and one and eek out a winning day.
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Now looking back toward last night, guys 2 and 3 -, 1.6
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units. A bit of a frustrating night.
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Did have some good hits though. Texas getting it done for the
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team. Unranked home favors ranked
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opponent, which you love seeing. That was kind of back and forth
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made it made me a little sweaty late, but made some huge buckets
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and I was able to hold off Missouri and get Texas as the
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winner. And then UCLA always money line
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short favorites. I don't know how many times I
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got to say it, but UCLA was a prime example of why we do just
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that. Because UCLA opened as low as -3
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got up to -3 1/2 - 4. Did you notice the final score
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8583 or was it 8483? Anyway they were up by I believe
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4 points because I couldn't get access to Peacock.
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I want to shout out to some of you guys who DM me and said gave
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me some directions on how to access Peacock but I realized I
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don't pay for it and I didn't want to pay.
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I don't even know what it was. 999-1599 for a year of Peacock
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for one game. I said Nope so I was stat
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tracking it on my phone. Old school but UCLA was up by 4
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with about 5 seconds left. What happens?
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Kid on Wisconsin hits a three like at the buzzer to make it a
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one or two point game. So why is that important?
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Because that's why we money line short home favorites.
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I saw on Twitter a lot of people saying what a terrible bad beat
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UCLA -3 1/2 - 4 not for us. We got the winner there.
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That's all you money line short home favorites because you can
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have crazy backdoor or bad beat covers like that, weird final
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situations. Or you know what, if UCLA was
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down, you know one or two points and hit a buzzer beater to win
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by one or two, you still wouldn't cover that number.
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But again, money lining short home favorites always the way to
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go if you ask me. And perfect example, cashing
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UCLA on the money line. Whereas if you laid the points
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you would have lost. Now looking back to the other
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games, frustrating one with Rhode Island, they are pretty
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much in it for I don't know 6570% of the game.
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Then they got absolutely rolled late, you know, adding insult to
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injury, got plus 7 1/2. They close at +7.
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So did our part, but they unfortunately got beat up by
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VCU. And then also you look at
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Toledo, absolute no show home favorite line move, Ken palm,
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rhythm edge, then up losing by like 20.
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So that was just pathetic. No show by by Toledo.
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And it was like Kent State made every single shot.
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And then lastly, another no show by SMU.
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I don't know what it is about these short home favorites
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getting blown out. Highly unpredictable, but
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Louisville blew out SMU. So either way guys 2 and 3 -.
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1.6 units as always, winning, losing, grinding, hot, cold,
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going to get right back at it. Not dwell on any losses but just
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fight and continue to scratch and claw and grind for some next
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bet mentality winners. So that being said, let's talk
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some college basketball cuz I got a three pack of plays and
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I'm excited to sweat these games here for tonight.
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So first on the board that I want to mention looking at a
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match up tonight between South Florida and Charlotte.
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It's a 7:00 game. This will be on ESPN plus and
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notice a pretty good sharp move in favor of South Florida.
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So couple things jump out to me in this one.
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Number one, if you look at well, first let's get some background
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on both these teams. South Florida comes in 10 and
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eight on the year just snapped A2 game losing streak with a 63
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to 56 win over Tulsa. They, however, did not cover
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that game. They were favored by 9 1/2
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points at home. On the other hand, Charlotte
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7:00 and 12:00 on the year, they've lost seven straight,
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just fell to Memphis, 77 to 68. But they did cover that game as
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an 11 1/2 point home dog. So what do we see across the
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market here? Well, pretty clear movement in
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favor of South Florida. That's where I'm going, guys.
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I got South Florida on the money line.
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I got him at -130 But really explaining this line move,
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pretty much all movement towards South Florida.
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No real buyback that I've noticed this open.
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South Florida a very short one point Rd. favorite.
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And this is one of those games where pros seem to be not
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outsmarting themselves. And what I mean by that is, you
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know, buy low, sell high, you know, take the team of the worst
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record at home. No, they're playing South
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Florida because South Florida opened as a one point Rd.
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favorite. Now they've been bet up to -2
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some shops have even touched 2 1/2.
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So it's pretty clear all movement liability has been on
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South Florida. You get it better record versus
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Charlotte. Charlotte has lost seven
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straight. This is one of those games where
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it looks like the wise guys are just saying, hey, maybe it's not
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as much in love with South Florida as it is a combination
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of fading a Charlotte team that has lost seven in a row.
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But anyway, you got pretty good bet splits here in favor of
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South Florida at DraftKings. More than 70% of bets and
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dollars are on South Florida. I don't love the 70% public
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action, but I got to respect the line move and that higher
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dollars as well. So when I mentioned pro and Joe,
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to me that just means even though you're getting a slight
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majority of tickets, you got the line move and you got a higher
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percentage of dollars. And remember, public's betting
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these games, they're probably just saying, hey, fade
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Charlotte, they've lost seven in a row.
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South Florida's got a good record, just play South Florida.
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But you got to remember, wise guys don't care what the
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public's doing. They're not going to say, oh, we
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like South Florida, but they're getting 70% bets, so we're not
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going to play it. They don't even care about the
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percentages. They don't care about being with
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or against the public. They obviously hammered South
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Florida early minus one 1 1/2 because they thought that that
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opener was a little bit too low. Now, reason why I'm going money
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line, exact same reason that we saw with that UCLA game.
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I would hate to see South Florida win by 1 and you lose a
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-, 2 or -2 1/2. So decently cheap money line
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-130 DraftKings, you got a pretty good bet split here on
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the money line. 79% bets, 88% dollars.
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So again, good combination here, both sharp and, you know, public
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betting. Also, if you look at the money
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line, why it might be a smarter move than laying the points.
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Yeah, laying the points, you're going to save some juice.
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But Ken Palm as South Florida winning the game, but only by
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one point. He does, however, have South
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Florida ranked much higher, 171 in the country versus 247 for
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Charlotte. South Florida has a lot of
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advantages here, a lot on offense in particular, but they
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have the better offensive efficiency.
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They ranked 146 in the country versus 217 for Charlotte.
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They also have better defensive efficiency, 214 in the country
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versus 277 for Charlotte. Also big advantage here in terms
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of effective field goal percentage, better shooting 54%
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versus 47% and shooting the three.
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Hopefully they can knock down their threes 34% on the year
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versus 29% for Charlotte. 1 little caveat angle here,
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nothing huge, but you do have South Florida with a one day
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rest advantage. They last played on January
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18th. Whereas the Charlotte 49ers, I
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didn't know if you knew that that was their mascot, not the
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San Fran 49ers. The Charlotte 49ers, they last
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played on the 19th. Also, you look at conference
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play, South Florida, three and two, Charlotte O and six.
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Lastly, if we look at our friends at Rhythm for their
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prediction on this game, they have Charlotte or they have
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South Florida -2.2. So you're kind of right on that
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number. But still, Ken Palms got him
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winning by 1, Rhythms got him by 2.2.
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We got a line move. We got all movement liability.
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I'm going to play South Florida. Give me the Bulls to hopefully
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start our night off with a winner.
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USF on the money line at -130 Next one for you, our old
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friend. The added extra game.
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Sharp, obscure line move. Let's go to the Big South
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Conference. This is a 7:00 game.
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Game three O 651-330-6514. Why do I mention that?
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Because these are the games that the public has no interest in.
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Again, if you can't name me Longwood or Radford, their
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mascots, public's not going to plan.
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They're not on TV. This would be an ESPN Plus game
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though. If you want to sweat it, I
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highly recommend paying for ESPN Plus.
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They give you a lot of a lot of games, especially hockey and
9:14
college hoops. But anyway, if you are an added
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extra game you're hard to find on the app, public has no
9:19
interest in you. Which is why we like to look at
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line moves. Because even though the public
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may not care about Longwood and Radford tonight, if we see some
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line movement tells us that wise guys have targeted the matchup.
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So 2 pretty good teams here in the Big South.
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Longwood comes in 14 and 6. They've won three of four.
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Radford comes in 13 and seven. They've also won three of four,
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but they did just lose to Charleston Southern 58 to 54,
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whereas Longwood is coming off a win 82 to 80 against High Point.
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Now, what do we see across the market?
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All movement liability, kind of a big steam move in favor of
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Radford. Radford open this game as a very
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short one point or 1 1/2 point home favorite.
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We've now seen Radford get steamed up to -2 1/2 - 3, so
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once again added obscure game. Public doesn't care about this
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one. Can't even find it on their app
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yet. We're seeing a move here toward
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Radford. Tells me that wise guys have
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targeted Radford, which is where I want to be.
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Take a look at the bet splits here.
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Pretty good at DraftKings. 68% spread bets, 77% spread dollars.
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Money line 78% bets, 97% dollars and you'll get Circa out in
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Vegas on the spread. 38% bets, 56% dollars.
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So spread money line draftking circa pretty much any way you
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look at it, we got good sharp low bets, higher dollars in
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favor of Radford. And I wouldn't be afraid by 68%
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bets, 78% bets DraftKings because remember, that's the
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that's the obvious, you know, real percentage, but it's coming
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from a very small group of bets because it's a very low back
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game. So that's, you know, you'd see
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6870 percent, 70% say, oh, that's a big public play.
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I want to go contrarian. No, you can't go contrarian in
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these tiny little games because there's not enough public to bet
11:01
against. Dig a little deeper here though.
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Some advantages for Radford. They are the better offensive
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efficiency team. They rank 152 in the country
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versus 2O2 for Radford. Also shoot the the three better
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34% versus 30% Radford. By the way, let's hope they
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continue. There's seven and O at home this
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year, so hopefully get some good home cooking.
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It's a buy low, sell high, as I mentioned, because Radford is a
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favorite off a loss versus Longwood a dog off a win.
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And then what are our projections or predictions here?
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Say Ken Palm has Radford winning by two, Rhythm has Radford -2.4.
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So again, you're laying a three, you're saving the juice.
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But you know what? If Radford wins by one or two or
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three and you either push or lose your bet.
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I ain't going through that pain. And punishment is a money line
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play. As always, Let's protect
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ourselves like we did last night with UCLA.
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I shopped around and found Radford -150 and that was at Bet
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MGM last night of the night. Late night sweat here. 9:00.
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Florida State Seminoles and Cal should be a good match up here
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tonight, but we have a very clear sharp line move.
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Can you guess who it is? If you read my sharp report
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earlier today for visen.com, which you can always find, I'll
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tweet it out at Josh under score Insights.
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But hint, hint, let's go Seminoles.
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Little background here. Florida State comes in 13 and
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5:00. They have one for their last
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five games. Just took down Georgia Tech 9178
12:31
covered as a nine and a half point home favorite.
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You know, Cal 9:00 and 9:00 on the year just snapped A2 game
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losing skid. They beat NC State 6562.
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They won outright as a six point Rd. dog.
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A little caveat here if you want to feel old, remember Peja
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Stoyakovich, the sharpshooter with those really good Kings
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teams. The best player on Cal is his
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son, Stoyakovich Junior, and he's averaging like 18 points a
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game. So that's when you know you're
12:58
old. But anyway, what do we see
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across the market? Clear, sharp movement toward the
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Knowles. This game open Florida State as
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a very short One Point Rd. favorite.
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And we've seen Florida State now get steamed up -1 up to -2 some
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shops, even 2 1/2. And when I played this earlier
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today, it was Florida State -1 up to -1 1/2.
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So it's always a good sign when you bet a game and you see that
13:21
line move in your favor. Is that a guarantee that you're
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going to win? Of course not.
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Anything can happen. But it's a sign that, hey, you
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anticipated the market correctly.
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So I money lined Florida State little bit earlier today.
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I got them at -125 they're probably a little bit closer to
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-130 right now, But some good angles here for Florida State.
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One, let's take a look at Circuit out in Vegas.
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Tickets are split 5050, but the Seminoles are getting 83% of
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spread dollars, a really good low bets, higher dollars bet
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split. Basically the the the amount of
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tickets at Circa are undecided, but all the big money they're
13:57
over 80% are going with Florida State.
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Also, there's a money line play as I mentioned, because Ken
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Palm. This will make you excited if
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you do want to lay the points, if you want to live dangerously.
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But Ken Palm has Florida State winning by three, so pretty
14:12
decent edge. Although our friends at Rhythm
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have Florida State -2.1, the other angle here is when, you
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know, when you're favored by two or three on the road, you know,
14:20
neutral site. If you apply homecourt, probably
14:23
neutral site. Florida State is, you know -5
14:25
something like that. But because you have, you know,
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Rhythm 2.1, Ken Palm 3, the lines around 2 1/2.
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Let's just, let's just add some, some security here and root for
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Florida State to win the game. That's why I got again -125 now
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around -130 Ken Palm does have, however, the Seminoles ranked
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quite a bit higher, 62 in the country versus 129 for Cal.
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And here's a few things I'm going to lean on for Florida
14:50
State. One, way better defensive
14:52
efficiency. They really get after you on
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defense. They're ranked 50th in the
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country. You'll get Cal, they're ranked
14:58
273. That's a big, big edge there
15:01
defensively in favor of the Knowles.
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Seminoles also ranked 37th in the country in terms of forcing
15:06
turnovers. So when they're defending, hey,
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they're picking pockets, you know, blocking shots, getting
15:11
out in transition versus the Golden Bears, ranking 250th,
15:15
They really do not turn you over.
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Florida State better field goal percentage, 47% versus 44%.
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And if you look at conference play, Florida State four and
15:25
three, not bad. Cal is 2 and 5:00.
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So I guess the theme of the night here guys is short
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favorites with a line move in their favor.
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We have matches with South Florida, Radford and now Florida
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State, all three on the money line.
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Can we go 2 and one and eke out a winning night?
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That is the goal. Now to finish up the pod, I
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wanted to talk about my first bet that I've placed for the AFC
15:49
NFC Championship weekend. Now going into it, I kind of
15:53
gave you some thoughts. I was initially looking at
15:56
Kansas City. I still am.
15:58
You know, they were minus one 1 1/2.
16:00
They did get up to two at some shops.
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They did come back down to 1 1/2.
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So maybe there's some buyback on Buffalo.
16:07
But I gave you all those stats pretty good bet splits in favor
16:10
of Kansas City. And if you also look at some of
16:14
these Mahomes angles that I gave you, you know, I actually I
16:18
mentioned the story. I want to thank everybody who
16:21
tuned into the Tuesday sweats that we do, which was stream
16:24
live on TikTok, which again, glad it's back, as well as
16:30
Instagram and X Twitter, whatever.
16:34
But I mentioned the stat and again, thank you for tuning in.
16:36
It's every Tuesday, 4:00 till usually around 5:00.
16:39
But I was talking about how the story of when I learned to never
16:44
bet against Mahomes and I learned to never bet against
16:46
Mahomes by losing by betting against him.
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So if you remember, it was a couple years ago, it was the
16:52
Chiefs Eagle Super Bowl. I kind of remember things in a
16:56
weird way. I remember that was it was the
16:59
time when there was the Chinese spy balloon that was flying over
17:01
the country and we had my in laws visiting from California
17:05
and my mother-in-law made this dinner called all Bondi Gus.
17:09
If you never had it, it is so good.
17:12
There's base like meatballs in this amazing soup with potatoes
17:15
and it's just it's the best. But anyway, I was watching the
17:19
game with my wife and my mother and father-in-law all excited,
17:25
you know, locked and loaded drinks are flown.
17:26
We're all ready to bet the game. And my father-in-law, he's
17:30
always interested in sports betting and he doesn't really
17:32
bet himself, but he always asked me about the lines.
17:34
And he's like, oh, who you going here with?
17:37
And I told him I went with the Eagles and I gave him, you know,
17:39
my reasoning. And he said, really, you're
17:42
going to bet against Mahomes. And once he said that, I'm like,
17:45
oh, I'm screwed, even though again, I love my father-in-law,
17:49
but he's kind of a, you know, I guess you'd call him like a
17:51
public better or public mindset. He doesn't really look at line
17:54
movement or any of that kind of stuff.
17:55
But I was like, oh, that's a bad omen.
17:57
This was right before the game started.
17:59
So what ends up happening? You know, Eagles actually were
18:02
winning at one point. They blow it.
18:03
Kansas City wins. And I made a vow to myself after
18:06
losing by betting against Mahomes, then I will never bet
18:09
against Mahomes again. And you know what guys, since I
18:12
made that declaration, remember we Declaration of Independence
18:16
from Britain as Americans. Well, that's my declaration to
18:19
never bet against Mahomes again. And you know what?
18:22
Since I made that declaration, I haven't lost a bet.
18:25
I've been playing Mahomes in these spots and he's been coming
18:27
through for me. So I figure, hey, if it ain't
18:29
broke, don't fix it. Biggest example was when I got
18:33
sent out to Vegas for the Super Bowl last year, which was a ton
18:36
of fun. And everyone was telling me you
18:38
got to play San Fran. And I basically from day one
18:40
kept saying, you know, Mahomes is a as a favorite or Mahomes is
18:44
a dog in that spot. Actually it was, I think it was
18:47
plus 1 1/2 or plus one in that game against San Fran.
18:51
But big games I'm not betting against Mahomes.
18:53
So what I'm thinking here guys is even though I haven't played
18:56
it yet because it's a low number.
18:57
And again, there was some buyback, like if you money line
19:00
Mahomes yesterday, you know, that price was a little bit
19:03
higher. Like I want to say yesterday it
19:06
was like -130 now it's down to -125 So I'm just going to wait
19:10
that thing out, You know? You do like the splits though.
19:12
In Kansas City, they're only getting 35% of bets at
19:15
DraftKings on the money line, 32%, but 51% dollars, circa 43%
19:22
tickets, 66% money on the spread money line, 36 percent, 67%
19:27
dollars. So that looks like a fade.
19:28
The trendy dog play to me. Again, we're Publix playing
19:31
Buffalo, but looks like sharps based on the move, even though
19:34
it's come back a bit still like in Kansas City.
19:37
And I gave out these stats, I believe I want to say maybe a
19:39
little bit earlier, but Mahomes 54 and 12 straight up at home,
19:44
43 and 10 straight up in the regular season, 11 and two
19:47
straight up in the postseason. Chiefs do have a one day rest
19:50
advantage. Remember, they played in that
19:52
divisional round on Saturday versus Bills, the late game on
19:55
Sunday. And again, rest first tired.
19:58
You know, Kansas City sat there guys week 18 and they had a buy.
20:01
You know, Buffaloes played every game and had to play a physical
20:04
game against the against the Ravens.
20:07
So I'm going to most likely be on Kansas City.
20:10
But again, I'm waiting it out for the exact reason of over the
20:13
last 24 hours, it came back a little bit to Buffalo.
20:16
And again, whether I get them at -120 -, 130, you know, it'll
20:20
probably be a money line. And you know, there's, I don't
20:22
really see any, it's not around a key number.
20:25
Maybe the juice will go up or down a bit.
20:27
But I'm going to just continue to wait that thing out because I
20:29
don't think there's a huge, you know, impetus to to play it
20:32
right now. However, I think there is a
20:35
reason to play Washington. The Commanders, baby.
20:38
This is the bet that I made today.
20:40
Commanders plus 6 1/2. This is a very important shop
20:43
for the best line play because the only book right now that's
20:46
offering 6 1/2, at least that I can see from all my legal books
20:50
in Massachusetts is FanDuel. FanDuel is plus 6 1/2 -, 120.
20:54
And I'll be honest with you guys, I was waiting for a seven.
20:57
Maybe it goes to seven. But one thing I noticed from
21:00
yesterday's pod to today is yesterday there were a couple 6
21:05
and a halfs and there were a lot of minus sixes that were Philly
21:08
-6 -, 115 - 120 looking like again, it will go to 6 1/2
21:13
across the board painted as my buddy Patrick Maher likes to
21:16
say. However, I woke up today and
21:19
I've been looking at the the lines all day.
21:21
The juice is even at a lot of shops now plus 6 - 110 - 6 -
21:26
110. So the juice is evening out.
21:28
It was showing liability and looking like it was going to go
21:31
to 6 1/2. Now it looks like it's kind of
21:33
right where the books want it to be at 6:00.
21:36
So I said to myself, the hook could be huge.
21:39
You lose by 6. I want to win by bet my bet.
21:41
So I put in Washington +6 and half again, you got to get go to
21:44
FanDuel. I have no affiliation with
21:47
FanDuel. I'm not hyping them up.
21:48
I'm just telling you that's the only book right now that that's
21:51
still has the hook. I will admit though, early on,
21:55
Philly looked like they were the sharp bet.
21:58
Philly open as low as -4 1/2. They got bet up to five, then 5
22:02
1/2, then six. If you look at the splits on
22:05
Philly, they're pretty good. 41% bets, 72% money.
22:09
This is the spread at Circa and at DraftKings. 42% bets, 55%
22:14
money on the spread now. Money line way too high for me
22:17
on Philly minus two 8290. But again, this becomes a
22:22
question of yes, Philly sharp, but what number did the sharps
22:25
get? They got -4 1/2 - 5 - 5 1/2, you
22:29
know, are sharps laying 6/6 and 1/2 with Philly now?
22:32
No, it looks like there's some respected buyback on Washington
22:36
now at this point. So just like that, that Rams
22:38
game where again, Philly open very similar, I want to say -5
22:43
five and a half to end up closing -7 they won by 6.
22:46
That means the early sharps who got Philly, you know -5 - 5 1/2
22:50
they won. If you got a late Philly -6 and
22:53
F - 7, you lost. So favorites early, dogs late.
22:56
I got to respect that Philly money and that Philly line move,
22:59
but it took place earlier in the week and now the line is moved
23:02
so much to the point where it looks like there's going to be
23:04
some buy back here. The other angle that I like
23:07
again, playoff dogs, seven and three so far ATS this
23:10
postseason. If you're a dog who missed the
23:12
playoffs the previous year, 66% ATS since 2017.
23:17
And then we get to, I mentioned to divisional dog, very rare you
23:21
get divisional matchup in the playoffs just doesn't happen a
23:23
lot. But that is a familiarity factor
23:26
that levels the playing field, benefits the team getting
23:29
points. Lastly, our friends at Rhythm, I
23:32
have two models. One says Washington should be
23:34
favored by 1.5 points that somewhat hard to believe because
23:38
they're on the road. But the other one has Washington
23:40
plus 3.7. And I think that's a that's a
23:43
number that again, it's a little bit low, but it makes sense.
23:46
And if rhythm is predicting around a 3.7 and we're getting 6
23:49
1/2, shopping around getting it at FanDuel with the hook, it's a
23:53
play that I want to make right now.
23:54
And the other thing is if I don't play FanDuel plus 6 and F
23:58
-, 120 right now, what if by the, you know, the end of the
24:01
day today, tomorrow, Fanduel's down to six and there's no more
24:04
hooks anywhere. I want that hook.
24:07
I made my first bet today and I put it in the Juice Reel app.
24:10
If you want to follow ASG under score podcast, all of the
24:14
podcast plays are listed there. But I, I played Washington,
24:18
that's my first bet of championship weekend.
24:21
Still going to keep an eye on KC, but as of now, Washington in
24:24
pocket. Let's go, commanders.
24:27
So that about does it for episode 2 O three of the ASG pod
24:31
powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
24:33
where we wrap things up. And I start start first by
24:36
saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
24:38
out of your busy lives to put aside, you know, 30 minutes to
24:42
pull up a chair to the virtual bar.
24:44
Sweat some sharp contrarian breakdowns with me.
24:46
If you enjoy the pod and you value the insights, obviously,
24:51
you know, start to the week, spend a little bit down.
24:52
But if you value the insights and hopefully it's become maybe
24:56
a part of your daily sports betting routine to check in,
24:59
listen to some breakdowns. And maybe you have bets in
25:02
pocket that you're going to compare and contrast or you're
25:04
short on time and you want to hear some some insights.
25:07
If you enjoy the pod and hopefully you get some good
25:09
information from it, could you please do me a solid and give
25:12
this podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes as well?
25:17
But it would mean a lot to me. Help us to continue to grow the
25:19
pod as well as if you would like to refer to a friend, click the
25:23
follow button. That would all be great.
25:25
But please, a five star review would go a long way.
25:28
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
25:32
sharp and train betting, you've now become interested in looking
25:35
at line movement, bet splits, looking at system matches, going
25:39
contrarian again, all the little things we talked about in the
25:42
way we interpret the market. This is now appealing to you and
25:45
you want to learn more about data-driven betting or you have
25:48
a friend of yours who needs to learn a little bit, learn a
25:51
thing or two about a thing or two, which is a great quote
25:54
from. I believe it's This Boy's life,
25:56
a great movie with Robert De Niro and Leo when he was
25:59
younger. But anyway, if that's the case,
26:02
you want to support the pod, you want to learn more about
26:04
data-driven betting, you know what you can do, You can go buy
26:07
my book. It's called the everything Guide
26:09
to Sports betting. Just go to Amazon.com and type
26:12
in the Everything guide to Sports betting.
26:14
Pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
26:16
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
26:18
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
26:21
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
26:23
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
26:27
a bankroll management plan, how to go contrarian.
26:29
It's all included in the everything guide to sports
26:32
betting. So pick one up, bring it to the
26:34
book and I'll sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer or
26:36
ginger ale. We'll sweat some games together
26:39
next. Have you taken advantage of a 7
26:41
day free trial of juice Reel or rhythm yet?
26:43
My two favorite sports betting apps.
26:45
They help me win. They're going to help you win
26:47
rhythm fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions
26:51
for game bets, spread money line total as well as player props.
26:55
And then of course, Juice Reel just awesome in terms of the
26:59
Robo Jackson best bet picks if you want to follow those, but
27:02
also the arbitrage daily matches, the sharp motion
27:05
indicators, shop for the best line.
27:07
Like if you're going to play any futures, maybe like Philly to
27:09
win the Super Bowl or Kansas City or Buffalo or Washington,
27:12
you know, for example, with their futures tab, they will
27:15
automatically if you put in the team you want, they'll show you
27:18
which book is giving you the best price.
27:20
So really underrated feature that makes it very easy on you.
27:23
But of course, you can sync up your sports books and you can
27:27
support the ASG pod by following the best bets on Juice rail.
27:31
I tweet out the link every day for my Twitter account at Josh
27:34
under score Insights. You can also go to the social
27:37
tab, click Find Juicers and then search ASG under score podcast.
27:42
It's $4.99 a week to get all the plays considered a tip jar.
27:47
I don't want to be considered a tout, you know, again, that's a
27:49
dirty word and I don't think that's what I'm doing.
27:51
But if you enjoy them, you want to get the plays, the pods free
27:55
499 a week. Hopefully that's that's a worthy
27:57
investment. It would mean a lot to me if you
27:59
guys wanted to sign up for those best bets.
28:02
But that about does it. Everybody on a big Wednesday,
28:05
another pod in the books. I'll leave you with a couple
28:07
things as we always do. One, whether I see you at the
28:10
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
28:14
in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, as well as in my
28:19
neck of the woods in Massachusetts at the Encore
28:21
Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
28:24
Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
28:26
Where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the lowest
28:29
juice possible is found at the South Point or sweat and Sharp
28:31
and train plays, jumping in the stadium swimming pool when they
28:34
cash a big ticket at Circo, wherever.
28:36
Maybe you're going to walk up to me, You're going to show me a
28:38
Longhorns ticket, hook them. You're going to show me UCLA
28:42
money line. Yo, you're going to save the
28:44
juice and play the spread. Nope.
28:46
I think a way to protect yourself is exactly what we did.
28:49
Money lining UCLA, but either way guys hope you have a great
28:53
Wednesday night. We'll be right back at it
28:55
tomorrow for episode 203 of the all system to go sports betting
28:59
pod and as always, win lose draw hot cold grinding the model the
29:04
blueprint never changes. If we can find that sweet spot
29:07
bet the games that fit our model against the public with the
29:10
house with the pros flat bet avoid parlays get that CLV.
29:13
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors
29:16
long term. So have a great Wednesday night
29:19
and as I mentioned, we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a
29:21
big Thirsty Thursday edition of the All Systems Go Sports
29:25
Betting podcast. That'll be episode 2 O 4.
29:28
Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.