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What are the BEST Week 6 College Football Bets for Friday? · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

• 0:02
  Welcome everybody. We are getting ready for Week 6
• 0:05
  in college football, which means conference games are in full
• 0:09
  swing. Welcome to targeting winners of
• 0:11
  College football Betting podcast.
• 0:13
  I am there and I am joined as always by Tim down in Fla.
• 0:17
  How's it going today, man? Bright and sunny down here.
• 0:20
  How you guys doing up there? Sun's out, but it's like in the
• 0:24
  60s, actually kind of nice out. And then as always representing
• 0:27
  Michigan and Big Blue. Pete.
• 0:29
  Pete, how you doing man? Go blue.
• 0:30
  Doing good. Looking forward to conference
• 0:32
  play and it is bright and sunny and like 80° here so all is
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  good. Awesome.
• 0:37
  Well, let's hope our picks are just as sunny this weekend then.
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  So today we got a we got a little, little different week
• 0:44
  set up for this week. So today we're going to preview
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  the Thursday and Friday slate. There are a half a dozen games
• 0:50
  to look at. We do have 3 bets that we're
• 0:52
  actually going to give out towards the end of the show.
• 0:54
  But the main topic for today is, as you know if you've been
• 0:57
  following us, we made about three dozen or more futures
• 1:01
  bets, win totals, Heisman conference winners, national
• 1:04
  championship, things like that. So we're going to kind of give
• 1:06
  an update of those here as as we've hit the five week mark of
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  the season, there are some adjusted odds here based on what
• 1:12
  we played. We'll go over those if that is
• 1:15
  indeed applicable to that particular bet.
• 1:18
  And then Saturday, we are going to do something we have yet to
• 1:23
  do on a Saturday and that's a one hour live stream.
• 1:27
  So this Saturday from 9:00 to 10:00 Eastern, feel free to drop
• 1:30
  in, share your bets for the day. We will go over all our Saturday
• 1:33
  bets. That'll be like the regular
• 1:35
  Thursday show. We'll have our bets breakdown on
• 1:37
  those games. We'll do the rapid fire segment
• 1:39
  at the end. So yeah, it'll just be like a
• 1:42
  regular show. It's just going to be like 30-6
• 1:44
  hours later than you're used to it.
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  So bring your bets, bring your thoughts, bring your questions,
• 1:47
  bring your comments, and join us this Saturday morning from 9:00
• 1:51
  to 10:00 Eastern. So all right, with all that
• 1:53
  being said, guys, let's take a look at some of our futures.
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  We've got a couple that have cast.
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  We got one that's dead in the water.
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  Some look good, some not so much.
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  But let's get into it with the ACC.
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  Pete, we'll start with you since you had the privilege of cashing
• 2:10
  the first futures bet on the year.
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  We were all yes, exactly. Well, Clemson hating the start,
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  start the preseason with your hatred was, was well funded.
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  So start reviewing your your ACC futures bet and how we're
• 2:26
  looking. All pretty good.
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  I mean, Clemson we did beat up pretty good and they started off
• 2:31
  beautifully for me. As you can see a 2 unit play at
• 2:33
  Clemson, which is great. They've they've done a fantastic
• 2:37
  job by sucking this year, which has been absolutely fantastic,
• 2:40
  which was expected all the way along.
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  So I kind of felt this that was going to be in the bag pretty
• 2:45
  early and and it it it was. So that was a really good look
• 2:49
  at that. My other one that I have is
• 2:51
  Syracuse under 5 1/2. Yeah, I mean that one gets me a
• 2:56
  little, a little nervous, right. I need, obviously I need less
• 3:00
  than three more wins to to get there because they are they
• 3:02
  currently have three wins. I'm semi confident.
• 3:06
  You know, I think they could beat SMU and or Pitt and maybe
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  BC at home. So there's three games I think
• 3:11
  they could win. So if they win two of them, I'm
• 3:13
  good. If they win all three, I'm dead
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  in the water. So that's my thought of that.
• 3:16
  I'm still relatively confident. Let's say 5050 on that one, but
• 3:19
  we'll see how it plays out with the schedule.
• 3:21
  But as I said that last game BC at home, I would expect them to
• 3:24
  win that. So I got one of two others that
• 3:28
  I need them to lose either either Pitt or what's my I want
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  SFU. So we'll see how that plays out,
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  but those are my 2. And Tim, you and I have
• 3:39
  different bets on the same team and we are looking not as joyous
• 3:45
  to start out here, but go. Ahead so well thought Belichick
• 3:53
  would be better actually. So I have a little pull up the
• 3:58
  remaining schedule. I mean, they are.
• 4:01
  Let's see, what is their conference schedule right now?
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  They are. Oh, and one I believe.
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  No, no conference games yet. So.
• 4:08
  No conference games yet. OK, so technically they could
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  might be able to get to the game.
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  I guess who they got, I mean, they got Clemson.
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  They're not that good this year, obviously, thanks to Pete.
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  Or as at least he pointed out, they have a game against
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  Syracuse. I believe Pete's hoping North
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  Carolina takes that one there as well.
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  Yeah, Stanford. I mean, they're winnable games.
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  I mean, it's not like they're playing in Miami.
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  I don't see Miami on there anywhere.
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  I don't see Florida State on there anywhere, anywhere.
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  I mean, who knows? It's not totally dead in the
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  water, but they're taking out a lot of water.
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  They're they're going to sink eventually, I think.
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  But these next few games, obviously conference play is
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  starting right now. I don't know if you had any
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  other thoughts. Maybe you shot in the dark.
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  Maybe they get better as the year goes on.
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  Well, if you go back to one of my 2 ACC bets, my bet is
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  retained so much water. I don't even know if if there's
• 5:02
  any hope here. I bet over 7 1/2 hoping that
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  they would at least go three and one in their non conference
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  schedule. They came out of it two and two.
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  Norm you would think all right, one game off they can make that
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  up. But things and those two losses
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  they have look like they have no idea what they're doing out
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  there. Tim, I, I know you bow down to
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  the home of Gio Lopez at least twice a morning.
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  He's not it man. If Max Johnson doesn't come out
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  of this by week at least starting against Clemson, this
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  bet is is pretty much not going to happen here if you are still
• 5:36
  a believer or if you're even anti North Carolina.
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  The adjusted win total currently sits at 4 1/2.
• 5:42
  So you know, do with that info, which you will, but my win total
• 5:47
  bet not looking good. The other bet I made for the
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  ACCI did bet Louisville to win the conference.
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  So their first conference game last week, they gave up
• 6:00
  seventeen quick points to Pittsburgh, tied it up, gave up
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  ten more quick points to Pittsburgh and then scored 17 to
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  pull out a nice Rd. win. So they're kind of up there near
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  the top one and O win conference play.
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  Miller Moss not doing as great as I would hope, but he's not at
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  least a train wreck either. So with Clemson already having
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  two conference losses, that certainly helps because
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  initially I think I was looking to see who could Clemson play in
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  the in the title game for the ACC and then maybe do a hedge.
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  But only 8 conference games, you lose 2, it's going to be tough
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  for Clemson to work their way back in there.
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  So Tim, I'm going to be a huge Florida State fan this week
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  because I would love for Miami to pick up a nice conference
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  loss to start with. But yeah, I mean, impressed with
• 6:51
  the comeback win on the road. They've got Virginia this week
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  and then they go to Miami. They have a buy between those
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  two games. And then their last two
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  conference games are Clemson and SMU.
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  So the schedule's still a little tough, but at least starting out
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  one and O with a road win gives me some hope that that I won't
• 7:08
  be hating that one, at least until we look at these again in
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  another month or so. So that's where that sits.
• 7:16
  Oh boy, here we go. Let's go to the next conference
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  here. Big 10 all.
• 7:20
  Right. And you got a couple with the
• 7:21
  same team. Go ahead and start us out here
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  with. All right, well, you know, I
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  like to swing for defenses. So my big swing for defenses, I
• 7:29
  had Washington to win the conference because it was plus
• 7:33
  6000. Hopefully they can get there and
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  get to the game and look at a nice little hedge they held Ohio
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  State. I mean, I I expected both teams
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  last week to score, you know, 48 to 41 final, something like
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  that. They did hold them to 24 points.
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  You know, I expected them to score a lot more.
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  The defense did look better. The offense did not look good.
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  They seem to be got to get back to somebody's offensive
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  coordinators in college football that is not really good at play
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  calling. You take away the one thing that
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  they do well and they have nothing to go back on.
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  They they don't really set things up.
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  They kind of just go and give the ball to the, you know, great
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  athlete, you know, the quarterback there.
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  So and just hope he makes a play, which seems to be a lot
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  what a lot of these coordinators seem to do.
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  So I did have them and I also have them for over 7 1/2 wins.
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  We can hopefully pull up their schedule here.
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  Rips. They do have some winnable games
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  on their schedule. I mean, you know, they've got,
• 8:32
  you know, Michigan on the road, they've got Illinois at home.
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  They can beat Wisconsin, Purdue, UCLA, Maryland.
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  So they get to 7 1/2 and I believe they are currently.
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  I think there are four or four in one right now.
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  I like the way that's something right now.
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  Three in one. Yeah.
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  I like the way that bet looks. Yeah, I do.
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  Too there there's there's five winnable games on there.
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  I like that way that one's going.
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  So, Dan, do you have one? Yeah, you got Indiana so I can
• 9:03
  pull up. This I'm I'm I'm happy with this
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  one here. You know, I got 8 1/2 at a
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  little bit of plus money their last two games they they they
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  did quite well against Illinois and then avoided and that down
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  went to Iowa and actually came away with a win there.
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  So they're five and O their win total is adjusted up to 9 1/2
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  and it is juice like -250 to the over at DraftKings.
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  So Vegas is thinking that this is A10 win team here.
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  Of course, I say that going to Oregon, not ideal, but those
• 9:38
  next three after that certainly looks like this could be an 8 in
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  one team. And then, you know, you want to
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  lose to Penn State, that's fine, but you should be able to handle
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  Wisconsin at home and Purdue on the road.
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  So barring A Mendoza injury, their quarterback, this one
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  looks, this one looks good. Yeah, go Kurt Signetti.
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  Google him. Google him.
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  Absolutely. All right.
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  Pete, you got one as well in the Big 10.
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  What one are you looking at? I.
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  Do I got Nebraska this one, you know, you know, I don't feel so
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  great about it. I got three wins.
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  I need five more. You look at the schedule, it's
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  possible and I needing five more.
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  I gave myself maybe a 25% probability today of, of, of
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  hitting that. I mean, Michigan State, they
• 10:24
  could win that game because Michigan State's not great.
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  Maryland, I don't know. Minnesota at Minnesota, probably
• 10:29
  not. Northwestern, they can win that.
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  USC, I don't know about the Iowa thing and UCLA they can win.
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  So I think, I mean, I can see three to four wins here
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  remaining. That fifth one could be elusive.
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  It really depends. I mean, they have to be in
• 10:47
  Michigan State if that, if they don't beat Michigan State that
• 10:49
  then this is dead as far as I'm concerned.
• 10:50
  We'll see how that goes. But they win that game, you
• 10:53
  know, and maybe they pull off a little upset somewhere here.
• 10:55
  It would be, it'd be good to see, but we'll see.
• 10:58
  We'll see how it transpires. But you know, I think it's
• 11:00
  really going to turn pretty quickly in the next couple weeks
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  which direction this goes. I think they got a chance
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  against the UFC at home, one one of the upsets that they pulled
• 11:10
  off. Their defense is is way better.
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  I mean that that certainly could be one that that they they can
• 11:17
  win. I think.
• 11:19
  We did good with this conference.
• 11:22
  Yeah, it's. Not terrible.
• 11:23
  I mean the technically those, those all, they don't even look
• 11:26
  bad five weeks in the season. They all look like they have a
• 11:29
  decent shot. So yeah, good job.
• 11:32
  Apparently we should just do a Big 10 show and screw the rest.
• 11:34
  Up targeting Big 10 winners. Here we go, Targeting big. 10,
• 11:39
  All right, Big 12 is next. All right, Tim, I'm just going
• 11:41
  to let you go last because you have 41 bets in this conference.
• 11:45
  So, Pete, why don't you keep going with yours and let us know
• 11:49
  where you're sitting currently with your Big 12 futures?
• 11:52
  Yeah, So Big 12, I'm not so confident in so Kansas over 7
• 11:55
  1/2, they've got 3, so I need five more looking across their
• 11:59
  schedule and I see maybe three or four wins.
• 12:03
  To me, I think this one is pretty much dead in the water.
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  I just don't see how that schedule is going to play itself
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  out in their favor to get that many wins.
• 12:10
  I just, I don't see that happening.
• 12:11
  I'd like to see it, but I don't see it happening.
• 12:14
  West Virginia. Interesting, right.
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  So over 5 1/2 I've got 2. So I need four more.
• 12:19
  Hopefully when we are in Florida and what, 2 weeks we're going to
• 12:22
  see a win there and hopefully I'd like I need to get two more
• 12:27
  after that. So I I don't know.
• 12:30
  I mean, I really don't like the way the schedule plays out for
• 12:33
  them going forward here. I mean, Texas Tech, no Arizona
• 12:37
  State, no, you know, Colorado at home, sure, maybe Houston,
• 12:41
  probably not. So so that UCF game and play BYU
• 12:46
  is not going to happen. I will talk about that in a
• 12:48
  little bit with our best for this week, but I don't see that
• 12:50
  happening. They're probably gonna get
• 12:52
  crushed there. So yeah.
• 12:54
  So I'm not feeling all that confident here that this is
• 12:57
  going to turn the right direction unless they get hot.
• 13:00
  But still, it's a schedule is just not not favoring where I
• 13:03
  want to go. So I think I'm not totally dead
• 13:06
  in the water, but I am taking on water and listening to the
• 13:09
  starboard. What you got, Aaron?
• 13:14
  I just have one. I bet Oklahoma State under 4 1/2
• 13:21
  wins. The five and a half of Super
• 13:22
  Juice DraftKings dropped it to 4 1/2 at some plus money.
• 13:25
  I jumped on this initially. I figured they would go 2 and
• 13:29
  one in their non conference slate.
• 13:31
  As we all know, the big twelves got 9 conference games.
• 13:34
  I mean they did go O and nine in the conference last year.
• 13:36
  I didn't think they would be that bad, but I figured two and
• 13:38
  seven added together four and eight team.
• 13:40
  All right, fine. I'm betting the under the help
• 13:44
  that I got was they lost at home to Tulsa.
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  So they're currently sitting at 1:00 and 3:00.
• 13:52
  I believe they are, yeah, 'cause they lost to Baylor last week.
• 13:54
  So they're one and three. It's nothing but conference play
• 13:58
  from here on out. They would need to win four of
• 14:01
  these games to lose here. They're probably not winning
• 14:11
  God. Any of them?
• 14:11
  I'm trying to be generous here, looking right.
• 14:17
  Yeah, I mean this one I feel good about the I'm just going to
• 14:21
  say I feel good about this one. Yeah, I don't know where there's
• 14:25
  two. What was I thinking, thinking
• 14:27
  they were going to get 2 conference wins.
• 14:28
  I, I don't know where they are guys.
• 14:32
  But anyway, if you were still very anti Cowboy, their two
• 14:36
  their win total is 2 1/2 juiced to the under.
• 14:39
  So again, Vegas is not seeing two wins from here on out and
• 14:46
  they yeah, I think they're right.
• 14:48
  I I just don't know. I mean, Arizona's playing good.
• 14:52
  Houston's playing good since he's playing good.
• 14:56
  Maybe UCF, but that's on the screw it, this one better cash
• 15:02
  or I'm just gonna quit. Yeah, it's alright.
• 15:06
  This one looks good. Where there's no water here.
• 15:08
  We're we're sitting at the top of the yacht.
• 15:10
  It hasn't sunk yet. Yeah, I already threw my North
• 15:15
  Carolina life draft out to get Tim and I out of the out of the
• 15:18
  drowning. But yeah, this one looks OK.
• 15:20
  I, I, I I'm happy with where this one currently sits.
• 15:23
  If it doesn't hit, Pete and I will be joining you next year
• 15:26
  for if it doesn't. Hit How ironic would it be that
• 15:29
  Oklahoma State that already took four years off my life thanks to
• 15:32
  the 2023 season, or somehow their home game against Iowa
• 15:36
  State, they're sitting at like 4:00 and 7:00 and I have to
• 15:38
  sweat this out. I will probably go into some
• 15:41
  kind of sepsis attack or something and just be very.
• 15:43
  Poetic. Very poetic.
• 15:45
  That would just be ironic. I just thought I was like, wow,
• 15:48
  just terrible. But anyway, Tim, you got half a
• 15:51
  dozen futures bets here, so I. Do what are we looking at?
• 15:55
  OK, You know, if you could see my computer screen, I've got
• 15:57
  like all these windows on here like NASA would be like, dude,
• 16:01
  you need to tone it down a little bit.
• 16:03
  None of them have my bets. So I'm breeding them off of this
• 16:06
  beautifully done graphic off the top here.
• 16:09
  So I have Colorado BYU at 8. I got to blow it up here.
• 16:19
  All right, Utah 50, BYU at 7:50 and to win the conference and
• 16:26
  Colorado plus 1600, that was my swing for defenses I had them at
• 16:33
  last year. Was it +4000 or +3000?
• 16:36
  Yeah, plus 4000 last year. And it was a log jam ever since.
• 16:40
  When we started doing this show two years ago, I said the Big
• 16:43
  12's a dumpster fire. I'm expecting a log jam at the
• 16:48
  top as there was last year when I had 4000 two weeks out.
• 16:53
  I was off getting offered buyouts and I waited too long.
• 16:56
  I waited one week too long. I could have got, I believe 20
• 17:00
  units if I cashed out and then like 20. 20, like almost 23 I
• 17:06
  believe and. Then I made that bet for you.
• 17:08
  Because the Dragons had 4000. And then when I when they lost,
• 17:12
  they lost to Kansas. They were heavily favored
• 17:14
  against Kansas. I believe it was they lost to
• 17:16
  Kansas and it went down to like 9 units.
• 17:19
  So but but they do offer these things I like, I still like BYU,
• 17:25
  I still like Utah to win a conference.
• 17:28
  And So what we can do now, let's see go back here and let's pull
• 17:37
  up. So I I think the Colorado bets
• 17:39
  dead. They are not playing well and if
• 17:45
  they pull up some upsets, that kind of that's going to hurt my
• 17:47
  other conference bets. So I'm kind of hoping that if
• 17:50
  this is the one that dies, if it dies, it dies.
• 17:55
  So Utah, I like the rest of their schedule.
• 17:57
  They have the one game against BYU, which could be
• 17:59
  counterproductive, but they have a tough game against Baylor.
• 18:04
  I think they're going to be there towards the end.
• 18:07
  They have a really good shot at doing it.
• 18:10
  I'm just down. I mean, I know.
• 18:12
  I think I originally predicted Kansas State to win, but didn't
• 18:15
  bet on them. Bet on everybody but the team I
• 18:17
  picked to win. So did I.
• 18:18
  We're not looking at. That it's funny how the the
• 18:21
  thing works and BYUI really like they got a game tonight.
• 18:24
  We'll get to that later. So oops.
• 18:28
  Now we're going back into our next category.
• 18:32
  I don't think any of these are if they're going to win, I think
• 18:35
  let me see if we pull out the standings.
• 18:40
  So BYU, they got over 7 1/2 wins.
• 18:44
  Well, they're at four and oh, I like the way that looks right
• 18:46
  now. I mean, I I'm looking at look at
• 18:48
  their schedule. I just had it up here a little
• 18:49
  bit ago. Can I do that?
• 18:53
  No, I can't. So, but anyway, the Utah over 7
• 18:58
  1/2 wins, they got another four wins left on that schedule as
• 19:03
  well. I think the win totals are
• 19:04
  there. It's going to be interesting as
• 19:06
  we get down to the title, title game.
• 19:11
  I'm hoping at least one of these teams makes that title game.
• 19:14
  Yeah, Iowa State being a pain and you got Arizona State also
• 19:17
  being a pain. So that's where I stand.
• 19:22
  I I like the futures bets or the win total bets, The conference
• 19:26
  championship. I'll probably only be able to
• 19:29
  buy out on one of those. I was planning on hopefully
• 19:32
  buying out on at least two of them to get down to the last
• 19:35
  week before the championship game.
• 19:36
  I was hoping Colorado would have been one of them so I would have
• 19:38
  got a nice buy out there, but I don't know one a little crazy
• 19:44
  with the Big 12 guys. What can I say, I'm a I'm a
• 19:46
  sucker for a dumpster fire. Indeed, feel your.
• 19:51
  Pain man I I I totally get where you're coming from.
• 19:54
  I like the BYU 1 though because Utah losing to Texas Tech would
• 19:58
  have to jump them into standing. So yeah.
• 20:00
  BYU still sitting there undefeated in the conference.
• 20:04
  So yeah, I like where you're at with BYU there.
• 20:08
  Well, why don't we go to the next conference where it just
• 20:10
  means more guys. It just means more.
• 20:13
  It means everything just. Means more all right guys, SEC
• 20:17
  Pete this is your second cash already so go ahead and start us
• 20:22
  off and again Tim leads the team with 15 futures bets so.
• 20:30
  Well, I mean, there's not a whole lot to say.
• 20:31
  And with the Mississippi State over 3 1/2, they've already got
• 20:34
  4. They've been playing well and
• 20:36
  looking good, which I expected not quite to this level, but I'm
• 20:40
  happy to see they got those wins in.
• 20:41
  So that was, I believe, my only bet in this conference, correct.
• 20:46
  So I think Nope, you got a Missouri.
• 20:48
  I'm sorry, I've got Missouri. I'm sorry.
• 20:50
  I look at my sheet. So let's talk about Missouri.
• 20:52
  Mississippi State's in the bag. That's a winner, winner chicken
• 20:54
  dinner. So I'm moving on to Missouri
• 20:55
  over 6 1/2. They already have 5.
• 20:59
  I need two more wins and I think it is a tough schedule in front
• 21:03
  of them, but Mississippi State at home and Arkansas, Arkansas
• 21:06
  on the road I think are potential wins.
• 21:09
  So I, I think that this is maybe 5050 chance of hitting here with
• 21:13
  those two. So we'll see how it plays.
• 21:15
  Not the prettiest of schedule. If you look look at the schedule
• 21:18
  and it's not, it is not an easy path in front of them.
• 21:20
  But as I said, I I do see two more wins for them in front.
• 21:23
  So I'm still pretty optimistic this could could come home.
• 21:27
  I said 5050 on this one. We'll see how it plays out but
• 21:30
  but so far so good with five wins.
• 21:32
  So those are my 2. Oklahoma.
• 21:38
  Yeah, if you want to talk about an ugly ass schedule.
• 21:41
  So I I bet Oklahoma a little bit of plus money to get at least
• 21:45
  eight regular season wins. So start of the season went
• 21:51
  well, they won their first key game against Michigan and then
• 21:55
  they took care of Auburn. So things were looking good.
• 22:00
  This win total is currently off the board because the used to be
• 22:04
  Heisman front runner John Metier decided you know what screwed
• 22:08
  Aaron in his futures bet at plus money.
• 22:10
  I'm going to break my throwing hand.
• 22:14
  So now I need to find what three wins out of this?
• 22:20
  Wait, what are they say, 4 and O?
• 22:21
  5 and OI don't even know what the hell they are, but oh wait,
• 22:25
  oh, they got 1230. They got eight games left, so
• 22:27
  they're four and O Kent State, OK, you should probably win that
• 22:33
  even with the backup QB. So that would get you to five.
• 22:38
  There is some talk that he might be back the following week to
• 22:42
  play Texas in the Red River Shootout.
• 22:43
  I'm not sure I feel super confident about that.
• 22:47
  But Texas's offense hasn't really been all that so far.
• 22:50
  So maybe you can get that one. If not, South Carolina's kind of
• 22:55
  not very good this year. But the rest of that schedule,
• 22:59
  man, there's a lot of numbers less than 15 on there.
• 23:04
  So not sure how I feel about that.
• 23:08
  I mean, Lane Kiffin usually throws a dud in there.
• 23:11
  Maybe it's when they go to Oklahoma at the end of October.
• 23:16
  But yeah, nothing on that outside of Kent State really
• 23:20
  inspires I Kent State, South Carolina gets him to six.
• 23:23
  So somewhere in that other cluster of.
• 23:27
  They. Need to find two more wins.
• 23:29
  LSU could be I mean, maybe Missouri, I mean, Tennessee
• 23:36
  struggled against Mississippi State.
• 23:38
  Maybe. I mean, it's all going to depend
• 23:39
  on it. Their defense is going to keep
• 23:41
  them in in every game and give them a chance.
• 23:44
  The problem is just if, if we're still using Michael Hawkins, you
• 23:47
  know, at the end of the month, I guess Ole Miss, I, I'm not going
• 23:50
  to be happy about this at all. But, you know, beating Auburn
• 23:55
  and Michigan certainly got this bet off on the right foot.
• 24:01
  And now unfortunately, it fell on the wrong hand.
• 24:03
  So now I, I, I don't really know.
• 24:07
  I don't know, I, I felt good until the report came out about
• 24:10
  the broken hand. I'll just say that.
• 24:12
  But we'll see. Not as confident as I was two
• 24:16
  weeks ago on that one. Right.
• 24:19
  Let me ask you guys a question. What's the most wrong you've
• 24:23
  ever been? Oh God, and what?
• 24:28
  Time, you ask my wife, it could be like like daily you want you
• 24:33
  want them listed alphabetically or order of importance because
• 24:36
  yes. We could get lists of those if
• 24:38
  you want that I don't. Think any of them will match to
• 24:41
  my one future bet? Vanderbilt under 4 1/2 wins.
• 24:46
  And if you're looking at the standings, they're right up
• 24:48
  there at the top at five and oh, after five weeks.
• 24:52
  So yeah, that one sucked. That one's dead in the water, if
• 24:57
  you played that, sorry. And why, dude?
• 25:03
  I was in agreement and they lost a lot.
• 25:05
  I didn't think they would be not and I think it's they're they're
• 25:08
  actually really good like. Now, everybody.
• 25:12
  'S talking about like they're going to beat Alabama again.
• 25:16
  Hey, they're all paying players now.
• 25:17
  Everybody can do it. Let's that's true.
• 25:20
  You know, I'm sure their academic standards will start to
• 25:23
  drop a little bit and all of a sudden it starts.
• 25:27
  So I don't even know do they even go to class now or do?
• 25:33
  They. Show up and play or because
• 25:35
  they're getting paid. I mean, that's.
• 25:37
  Where it got them. So yeah, I'm truly good.
• 25:41
  So all right now I do have a lot of futures bets, but they're
• 25:44
  mostly with, well, other than the wonderful Vanderbilt bet,
• 25:49
  they're with Texas A&M. I'm expecting, I just think this
• 25:52
  could, it's still looks good. They all look good for right
• 25:55
  now. We will get, I have Marcel Reed
• 25:59
  Heisman plus 4000. We'll talk about that a little
• 26:03
  bit later in the show cause Pete also has a Heisman bet, Texas A
• 26:07
  and M / 7 1/2 wins and I have Texas A&M to win the conference
• 26:11
  and the natty plus 3000 for the Natty plus 1400 for the
• 26:16
  conference. They are, I believe four and O
• 26:20
  right now. Could be, but they got to get 7
• 26:25
  1/2 wins. I think they got Florida coming
• 26:27
  up at home. They have South Carolina at
• 26:29
  home. They have a powerhouse Sanford
• 26:32
  coming in. So the over bet right there with
• 26:35
  the win total looks good. They have Texas on the road that
• 26:41
  hopefully that will have a good effect on the Heisman.
• 26:43
  Bet you know, Arkansas, LSU on the road.
• 26:47
  That's going to be a difficult game.
• 26:49
  I'm not. Doing it whatever it is, no.
• 26:51
  It won't. I'm surprised you.
• 26:54
  Didn't count that already as a win.
• 26:56
  Did you watch Arkansas last week against the?
• 26:58
  Worst defense of the. Nation In Notre Dame, they put
• 27:02
  up 13 points. Come on.
• 27:05
  You know, I just, I think they they can get there with one loss
• 27:10
  that might get them into the into the game.
• 27:13
  You know, for that, I think they're barring obviously an
• 27:17
  injury, don't want an injury to anybody.
• 27:20
  You know, we take that out of it.
• 27:21
  That's not what we do here, but it's looking good.
• 27:24
  They're going to be there in the playoff come playoff time.
• 27:29
  So I like that bet. I don't know if you guys have
• 27:30
  any thoughts on it. I'm expecting, I think this is
• 27:32
  going to be like that special year 20 years from now, Like
• 27:34
  remember that team from 25 that that A&M team, how great they
• 27:38
  were, blah, blah, blah. So I don't know if you guys have
• 27:40
  any thoughts. I just, I love the offensive
• 27:42
  line, the running backs, the front 7 on defense.
• 27:46
  I'm actually considering betting them this Saturday morning.
• 27:50
  Wait and see what the line is. But I dude where you're sitting
• 27:53
  at with all those bets dude, I love it all man.
• 27:55
  I mean they they all look really good.
• 27:57
  It's a big year. From A&M, loving A&M.
• 28:04
  Let me do this. I want to move along and see
• 28:07
  where are we now. Let's get into the group.
• 28:12
  Here we go. A fun one the.
• 28:14
  Fun conference here, yes? Alright, I'm going to go first.
• 28:19
  Hawaii over 5 1/2 wins. This was to me, obviously a home
• 28:24
  play, right? Going to Hawaii and playing
• 28:27
  there is difficult, and so I was leaning into home games and
• 28:30
  leading into the ability for them to beat teams they
• 28:33
  shouldn't at home because they do that and they do that all the
• 28:35
  time. So over 5 1/2 they've already
• 28:37
  got 4, including a nice little Rd. win last week when they shot
• 28:42
  the Air Force out of the sky, which was fantastic.
• 28:44
  This bets lick and golden. I like this bet a lot.
• 28:47
  They've got three more home games.
• 28:51
  I need two of those to win the bet.
• 28:52
  So I'm pretty confident they can win two of those.
• 28:55
  So I like I like what I see here and I think this thing is
• 28:58
  trending in the right direction. Go rainbow warriors.
• 29:01
  They look pretty good last week so it was kind of fun to watch.
• 29:09
  That's why. UNLV Oh yeah, sorry, I forgot
• 29:11
  about that. So well, not much to say yet.
• 29:13
  I mean, you know, they're they haven't played a conference game
• 29:16
  yet. They're foreign over overall.
• 29:18
  So they they look good. I think they will continue to
• 29:20
  look good. So they're in play, you know, so
• 29:22
  until we see a few conference games here and see how that kind
• 29:25
  of works out a little bit, they they look good.
• 29:27
  I think they they have a good, good chance still, in my my
• 29:30
  opinion hasn't changed in this one.
• 29:31
  We'll see how it plays out. Darren, what you got?
• 29:36
  We have pretty much the same San Jose State, San Jose.
• 29:41
  State man, you waited till now to get a kicker after you
• 29:44
  literally lost two games on last second field goals.
• 29:47
  You should be 3 and one if you could kick.
• 29:49
  But no, your 380 LB kicker cost you 2 games and now you're
• 29:53
  sitting at 1:00 and 3:00. So yeah, this this bet is right
• 29:56
  on there with my North Carolina win total bet.
• 29:59
  Apparently 7 1/2 is a horrible number for me to bet, regardless
• 30:02
  of the team. Yeah, just once They lost to
• 30:07
  Central Michigan in the first week.
• 30:08
  I was like, wow, that that should never happen.
• 30:11
  And that wasn't even. That's because they had three
• 30:12
  turnovers in like, the first four drives.
• 30:15
  Yeah, not, not what I was expecting from San Jose State
• 30:19
  here. But I mean, looking at that
• 30:22
  schedule, I mean, you need to go six and two out of that.
• 30:26
  So you're probably losing to Utah State the way they the way
• 30:30
  they're playing. You're probably losing to San
• 30:32
  Diego State the way they're playing.
• 30:34
  And the fact that you just out and out suck.
• 30:37
  Yeah, you're probably going to lose one more game before that.
• 30:39
  So not a fan of where this bet is sitting.
• 30:43
  Thanks, San Jose Bastards. Well, my bad.
• 30:51
  San Jose State to win the conference.
• 30:55
  Well, so far they they look really far down.
• 30:58
  Doesn't look that good, but their conference record I
• 31:00
  believe is. Oh and I they're in an 8 way tie
• 31:03
  for third. You're still alive.
• 31:05
  That's. Right as.
• 31:06
  Long as they don't have to kick, you'll be fine.
• 31:09
  OK, perfect. Well, they they're addressing
• 31:11
  the kicker problem before conference play, so that's
• 31:13
  always good. They did.
• 31:14
  They do have a new one, so we'll see what could possibly go
• 31:17
  wrong. Right.
• 31:20
  All right. Well, what should we do right
• 31:22
  here? A little, yeah.
• 31:23
  We got a best of the rest. We got a few more.
• 31:25
  We didn't have as many in the other conferences, but yeah,
• 31:27
  let's get those out of the way and see where we're at.
• 31:32
  USA All right, I'll have our bets up.
• 31:37
  I was. Going to say I don't remember
• 31:38
  everything that we did, but yeah, put that slide up there so
• 31:41
  we can see what we got let. Me.
• 31:43
  See, I don't think I have that slide.
• 31:45
  Let's go. Oh, you don't I?
• 31:48
  Agree. There it is, best of the rest,
• 31:50
  you got that slide. But it's not on the one, it's
• 31:54
  not on the the conference that was the matter start.
• 31:57
  With start with the two conferences you got there, man.
• 32:01
  All right, the Sunbelt. That's Pete's conference, Pete.
• 32:05
  But I'm. Starting at the bottom here, I
• 32:08
  find now we're. Going with the what are the
• 32:10
  slides? Ah.
• 32:12
  Fantastic. So, yeah, so Troy, I have here
• 32:15
  to win the sunbelts that they haven't played any conference
• 32:17
  games yet. Obviously they're about to start
• 32:19
  this. I don't love the way they look.
• 32:21
  I don't love the way they're playing.
• 32:23
  So my confidence in this bet has gone from, I don't know, 25% to
• 32:27
  2.5% at this point. Once again, haven't played a
• 32:31
  conference game. We'll see what happens.
• 32:33
  But I, I just, I do not like the way they look.
• 32:35
  I, I, I, I, I don't think, I think this thing is dead, but
• 32:38
  you know, I could be slightly optimistic going forward.
• 32:40
  But yeah, has that not not feeling so good about it.
• 32:44
  So that's that's my bet here. What are you going to do?
• 32:47
  Heisman last right? Yeah, that'll be on a on A later
• 32:50
  towards the end of the show. So we'll get to that one later.
• 32:52
  All right, Darren, bowling. Well, you got bowling.
• 32:56
  Let's do some. Yeah, I have what I have.
• 32:59
  Southern Miss one and O so far, I believe.
• 33:04
  Yep, they have that one. Winning conference play.
• 33:06
  So, so far, so good. Nothing else to report on that
• 33:08
  one. That one seems healthy.
• 33:11
  And I have what you want to go do over to the Mac.
• 33:16
  Yeah. We got a couple of.
• 33:18
  Toledo believe what, 8 1/2 wins? And I believe they have 3
• 33:23
  already. So looking at that schedule,
• 33:31
  that's Bowling Green. That's.
• 33:33
  Me. That's your.
• 33:33
  Mac Bat, there we go. I was gonna say, I don't see
• 33:35
  Toledo on here anywhere so well on the road to Washington State.
• 33:41
  They've got Northern Illinois. Looks tough.
• 33:47
  I think it's manageable. I'm not going to declare this
• 33:49
  one dead or on life support by any means.
• 33:52
  You know, they got Kent State there.
• 33:55
  You know they got you got your bowling.
• 33:57
  I seem to like. Where that one is, man, Miami of
• 33:59
  Ohio is not playing good ball right now that that all of a
• 34:02
  sudden became a much more winnable game.
• 34:05
  Right. And what did you have?
• 34:07
  You had Bowling Green? I had.
• 34:08
  Bowling Green under 6 1/2, they did upset.
• 34:13
  Well, I don't know if you want to call beating Liberty and
• 34:15
  upset anymore. Liberty is kind of just they're
• 34:17
  done. But I mean, Bowling Green still
• 34:18
  sits at 2:00 and 3:00. They they really are starting
• 34:23
  over. I mean, you look at the those
• 34:25
  two home games they got coming up.
• 34:28
  I mean, they should lose to Toledo, Central Michigan.
• 34:30
  I don't really know what you're going to get from Central
• 34:32
  Michigan from week to week, but I can't wait till November when
• 34:34
  I bet on them and they drive me friggin crazy.
• 34:38
  You know, Kent State almost beat Buffalo a couple weeks ago.
• 34:41
  I'm not even going to go out on a limb and give Bowling Green a
• 34:43
  win on the road at Kent State quite yet.
• 34:47
  But yeah, I mean, there's what, seven games there?
• 34:50
  They have to win five of those to get to 7 and five and beat
• 34:56
  me. So I need 3 losses.
• 34:59
  Let's just say Toledo, Buffalo, I don't know, maybe I'm going to
• 35:04
  need another up to, I mean, I need Central Michigan to get him
• 35:07
  'cause, you know, having UMass, Akron, you know, and Kent State,
• 35:11
  I guess on your schedule certainly leads me to believe
• 35:13
  that they'll get to 5 at least. But yeah, I, I mean, losing to
• 35:19
  Liberty would have, I would have felt really, really good about
• 35:21
  that. So sweating it a little, but
• 35:24
  they'll, they'll blow a key one somewhere to make up for that.
• 35:26
  So I'm not freaking out about that one yet.
• 35:29
  OK. And I've got East Carolina, the
• 35:32
  one the American well before we go to that slide and which other
• 35:36
  one didn't we not cover Middle Tennessee State at Conference
• 35:39
  USA? Oh yeah, let's go to Conference
• 35:43
  USA so I can get my vent out for the week.
• 35:45
  I know I've been kind of thoroughly already, but.
• 35:48
  All right, Sir, the floor is yours.
• 35:51
  Should be I spend enough time on it bitching about these games.
• 35:55
  Yeah so I bet UTEP over 5 1/2 when I thought that Malachi
• 35:58
  Nelson was going to actually be good when he won the starting
• 36:02
  job over Skyler Locklear. But congratulations Malachi, you
• 36:06
  have won my ass award for the week because you are literally
• 36:08
  the biggest pair of cheeks I've ever seen take a snap from
• 36:11
  center. How many pick sixes are you
• 36:13
  going to throw before Scotty Walden benches your ass and
• 36:17
  gives a job back to Locklear? Hopefully it'll be over the bye
• 36:20
  week because that schedule is definitely doable where they can
• 36:24
  still get the six wins, but not with Nelson under center.
• 36:27
  This team is absolute garbage right now.
• 36:31
  Dodd fire them all. Congrats Malachi.
• 36:33
  The weekly ASS award which I just started right now goes to.
• 36:40
  You, I mean, look at that schedule.
• 36:41
  I mean, we all know. Liberty is ass, Sam Houston's O
• 36:43
  and four, Kenneth Dodd sucks, Jacksonville sucks, Missouri
• 36:46
  State sucks, New Mexico State sucks.
• 36:48
  I mean that there's six wins there, but you know, if Locklear
• 36:52
  doesn't come out of the bye as as the QB, come on man, this.
• 36:58
  That's still a six win team right there, but I guess we'll
• 37:01
  find out. October 8th is what, Wednesday?
• 37:06
  What's today? Yeah, Wednesday.
• 37:07
  Beautiful. Conference USA takes over
• 37:09
  weekdays in October. Get ready because there's going
• 37:12
  to be much more griping coming out of the show.
• 37:17
  Sorry Tim, I'm done now. Go ahead.
• 37:19
  It's all right. Well, my Conference USA pick
• 37:22
  technically still in 3rd place with the O and one.
• 37:25
  Not a good way to start the conference play and in the
• 37:29
  American East Carolina want to know in a conference.
• 37:32
  So both still alive not going to pull up their schedules.
• 37:38
  I'm liking them both. I still I think Milton TN can
• 37:40
  come back. You hate to have the early
• 37:41
  season loss in conference, but you know things happen for a
• 37:47
  reason of anything to add there, Peter?
• 37:52
  No, I'm good for now. Keep rolling.
• 37:54
  He's got his high for a bit getting.
• 37:56
  Closer to our bets yes, here we go.
• 38:00
  So there we are we have our Heisman bet.
• 38:02
  So I got them both on here. I got Jeremiah love there at the
• 38:06
  bottom. I've got gosh, what the hell
• 38:09
  auto correct, but I read at the top it says reach what is read.
• 38:15
  So we got 9 touchdowns. The only two I think that are
• 38:19
  more I've got the the more up in Oregon.
• 38:22
  I got Mendoza in Indiana highlighted.
• 38:25
  The other three were kind of they were talking at the
• 38:27
  preseason. You know, my tears hurts.
• 38:29
  I kind of took him off. I had to do it to the kid, but I
• 38:34
  know I like to bet. Plus 4000.
• 38:35
  I don't know what you're thinking there.
• 38:36
  Peter for yours. Yeah, I'm not liking mine very
• 38:39
  much. I mean, he's been Jeremiah's
• 38:41
  been good, but he hasn't been great.
• 38:43
  And I think it would require him to be great the rest of this
• 38:46
  year to have a chance to win this this award, you know, so
• 38:50
  he's been he's been good, he's been serviceable.
• 38:52
  And they look at his numbers. They're they're fine.
• 38:54
  They're not eye popping. There's there's nothing, you
• 38:56
  know, he hasn't thrown the team on his back and carried them to
• 38:59
  victories. None of the things that you
• 39:01
  would need to see from a running back to win the Heisman, Simply
• 39:05
  put. So, you know, unless, you know,
• 39:07
  unless this thing turns around, unless he becomes the the stud
• 39:10
  that he is the rest of the rest of this year, then yeah, this
• 39:14
  this bet is not going anywhere. So unfortunately, I hate to say
• 39:18
  it, and he has kind of gone the way of Notre Dame not looking
• 39:20
  all that great either, which has been a problem.
• 39:22
  So the team doesn't look that great.
• 39:24
  And it's just it's just hurting him as well.
• 39:26
  So I think it's just not just him.
• 39:28
  It's a whole team thing. So yeah.
• 39:29
  What? Else is actually hurting him is
• 39:31
  not so much the Chris trash run defense, it's the fact that
• 39:34
  Genarium Price has actually had a pretty decent year as well.
• 39:37
  He's not he's not the backup that we all thought he was
• 39:41
  probably going to be. We thought it was going to be
• 39:43
  pretty much a Jeremiah Love run heavy offense, but Price has
• 39:47
  played well. So yeah, absolutely love stats
• 39:49
  that were that we were looking for to to help with this bet.
• 39:53
  Unfortunately, Price has has taken some of them, but as long
• 39:57
  as his defense sucks nuts, he'll still have a chance to put up
• 40:00
  some numbers. So.
• 40:02
  Don't, you know, don't hate you. I mean, he's he's, he's the
• 40:06
  better of the two, but yeah, he is.
• 40:07
  Yeah, just I'm, yeah, I'm not, I'm not.
• 40:10
  I'm not sinking this one yet. But no, I wouldn't.
• 40:12
  Either we're. Going to need something see
• 40:14
  something better you probably. Got to get closer to 30
• 40:16
  touchdowns I think for for a running back that's I mean you.
• 40:20
  You prorate that out. He's got 5 rushing 3.
• 40:23
  I mean, that's a 24 touchdown season.
• 40:25
  I mean, that's pretty impressive.
• 40:27
  But, you know, I'd like to see, you know, 500 yards at this
• 40:33
  point instead of like, what's that, 342?
• 40:35
  But, you know, when your defense is this bad and your offense is
• 40:39
  back out there so quickly because they're giving up points
• 40:41
  and bunches, I mean, who's going to get tired?
• 40:43
  You've got to have somebody else run the ball.
• 40:46
  He can't do it all the time. So.
• 40:48
  And their offense is actually playing.
• 40:51
  I'm sorry, CJ Carr, I'm sorry I ever doubted you.
• 40:54
  You are not the problem. But yeah, the problem is, you
• 40:59
  know, if you play Jeremiah all the time, with as many times as
• 41:02
  the offense has to come back out on the field so quickly, yeah,
• 41:06
  it it hurts a little, but the defense can't possibly suck this
• 41:10
  bad forever, I hope. And then we'll get a little more
• 41:12
  to see and love. That's the whole care.
• 41:15
  Right. That's what I would expect to
• 41:16
  say. So we'll see how it plays out.
• 41:18
  I'm still waiting for people to a lot of it's exposure.
• 41:21
  They got to start talking about Marceau, Rita a little bit.
• 41:24
  They're not even mentioning them at all.
• 41:25
  Which. Well, you know what?
• 41:27
  He got A prime time game this week against an impressive
• 41:30
  Mississippi State team. So well.
• 41:32
  There you go. Yeah.
• 41:33
  The problem that Notre Dame game that they won, he his stats
• 41:36
  weren't like he was like, what, 19 of 39 or so?
• 41:39
  I mean, he wasn't, yeah. Just under 300 yards passing, he
• 41:43
  was close to 300 yards passing. Dude, you and I could throw for
• 41:48
  over 300 yards on Notre Dame's defense right now.
• 41:50
  They OK, they don't pressure anybody.
• 41:53
  They're secondary. I was done after Malachi.
• 41:56
  No, stop it, It sounded like. Me last year, so I am I'm.
• 42:00
  Going to start texting you all my Notre Dame gripes.
• 42:04
  Well, that's it. Let's move into this week there.
• 42:06
  Anyone do your pick first for tomorrow night?
• 42:09
  Well, you know what the the the bets that we have are actually
• 42:12
  the last two games on Friday night.
• 42:13
  So I'm just going to run through the four games leading up to our
• 42:17
  bets. Let's see if you guys have any
• 42:19
  thoughts on these and then we'll wrap it up with our bets.
• 42:20
  So tonight, if you are really a full blown degenerate, and God
• 42:25
  bless you if you are, you can watch.
• 42:28
  Speaking of Conference USA, oh and four, Sam Houston laying 2
• 42:33
  1/2 on the road at two and two New Mexico State.
• 42:36
  I went back and forth on this game.
• 42:38
  I actually was going to bet New Mexico State.
• 42:41
  Apparently they're top defensive player Tyler Martinez,
• 42:43
  linebackers out for this game. And then I just kind of looked
• 42:47
  at it. Why is an OH and four team
• 42:49
  favored on the road? It just seems like Vegas is like
• 42:54
  please take New Mexico State. So when Sam Houston wins by 7,
• 42:58
  they make a lot of money. But these offenses both stink.
• 43:02
  These defenses both stink. I'll watch just because I have
• 43:07
  issues. No thoughts on this game at all.
• 43:10
  What about you guys? I'd rather have dental surgery
• 43:14
  than watch this thing. I I tried to look at it.
• 43:16
  I was like, you know what? I'm I'm out.
• 43:18
  This is bad football. I'm out.
• 43:20
  Match. The remote out the window.
• 43:22
  Exactly the good. Thing is, it starts at 9:00
• 43:25
  Eastern which is only like 15 minutes before my bedtime so you
• 43:28
  know I I won't watch more than maybe like the first 7 minutes
• 43:31
  but. I'm hoping.
• 43:33
  I almost feel like that's my. Goal, I hope.
• 43:35
  So yeah, I hope so. And hockey starts on Tuesday, so
• 43:38
  at least you got something else. All right, So then Friday we got
• 43:40
  A5 game slate. So the first game Friday,
• 43:42
  Charlotte on the road getting 28 1/2 points at South Florida.
• 43:48
  Any thoughts on this game, guys? Tim, we'll start with you like
• 43:50
  South. Florida, I like that bet the way
• 43:53
  they're playing. So yeah, I'd, I'd go South
• 43:55
  Florida if I had to, but I'm not going to.
• 43:58
  Yeah, I kicked. Around, I kicked around the
• 43:59
  under here, 55 1/2. I thought, yeah, it's pretty,
• 44:02
  pretty big number. I can see this thing staying
• 44:04
  under there. I can see a score like at, you
• 44:06
  know, 38 to 10 or something like that would not be surprising.
• 44:09
  So agree with what you just said to him.
• 44:11
  And yeah, I think the under was enticing.
• 44:13
  I actually had this rated at a four out of five confidence.
• 44:15
  So pretty well. I decided not to play it just
• 44:17
  because I really not interested in this game.
• 44:19
  But but that said, I think the Under probably isn't playing
• 44:23
  here. All right, the next game Friday
• 44:26
  night, Western Kentucky getting three points on the road at
• 44:30
  Delaware. The surprising Blue Hens
• 44:32
  ineligible for the conference title because the NCAA obviously
• 44:36
  is so smart with their rules and regulations.
• 44:38
  But Delaware 3 point home favorite over Western Kentucky.
• 44:42
  Pete, we'll start with you. What do you think?
• 44:43
  I think. There's going to be a lot of
• 44:45
  scoring. So over under 61 1/2, I'm not
• 44:48
  playing anything here, but this is another one where I, you
• 44:51
  know, I think it's just that number's a little big, you know,
• 44:53
  So I do expect a, you know, pass heavy game.
• 44:56
  I expect scoring, you know, so I expect this number to be high.
• 44:59
  So, you know, I was leaning over here just to me that number was
• 45:02
  high. And this year I've just not.
• 45:04
  It's been a really weird year with overs.
• 45:06
  I've been struggling with them and it's just watching teams try
• 45:09
  to chase the numbers. So I was like, you know, I'm
• 45:11
  going to stay away. But I still think the overs is
• 45:13
  potentially in play here. We'll see Friday.
• 45:18
  Night take the home team. I know that all too well.
• 45:23
  Not going to revisit it. You don't want to get me going.
• 45:25
  So, all right, well. Last week I gave out a couple of
• 45:29
  money line sprinkles on Auburn and Alabama.
• 45:30
  Alabama hit. Auburn did not.
• 45:33
  I I would recommend another one here on Western Kentucky.
• 45:36
  Give me fuel, give me fire. Give me Maverick, MacGyver,
• 45:38
  Western Kentucky's QB. Yeah, almost 1500 yards in four
• 45:43
  games this year. 11 TDs, 2 picks.
• 45:46
  We're going to see if the stage is too big for Delaware or not.
• 45:49
  But don't even give me the field goal.
• 45:51
  Just give me MacGyver. Oh, MacGyver.
• 45:54
  It's actually McIver. But yeah, I, I I would take West
• 45:58
  Kentucky. You want to take him with the
• 46:00
  three? That's cool.
• 46:01
  You want to take a little sprinkle on the money line?
• 46:03
  I'm I'm cool with that as well. Keep it going, keep going.
• 46:08
  'Cause this is mine. Yeah.
• 46:09
  So this one, Oh wait, no, we got one more for Friday night before
• 46:13
  we get into ours. New Mexico getting 2 1/2 at San
• 46:17
  Jose State. I'm gonna say San Jose State
• 46:21
  screw em. Take a New Mexico outright money
• 46:23
  line. I mean the points like it still
• 46:26
  San Jose State could kick a field goal of under 32 yards.
• 46:29
  I guys thoughts on that? Over under, 5858, 1/2.
• 46:36
  I think it's a big number. I like the under here.
• 46:38
  I'm not playing it, but I'm definitely leading under in this
• 46:41
  game. San Jose State is garbage.
• 46:42
  So yeah, they're touchdowns. Or nothing.
• 46:47
  That's it. So I I kind of like the under
• 46:49
  here, but I didn't play it. All right, so the Friday slate
• 46:52
  still has two games remaining. This is where all our bets come
• 46:54
  in. So I will go first cuz this is
• 46:56
  mine. I am taking San Diego State
• 46:59
  here, 2 units laying the six points at home against Colorado
• 47:03
  State. This is kind of a bet on San
• 47:08
  Diego State defensively, but this is more a fade of whatever
• 47:12
  it is Colorado State is trying to do Offensively.
• 47:15
  They benched Braden Fowler, Nicolosi, the guy they put into
• 47:18
  play last week, they were at home, I believe against
• 47:21
  Washington State. In 60 minutes of playing time,
• 47:23
  he led the team to three points. I'm not really sure what's going
• 47:28
  on with Colorado State, but offensively they just do not
• 47:30
  have it together and this is the wrong defense to try and get
• 47:33
  anything fixed. Jaden Denigal has actually
• 47:36
  played well for San Diego State. Nobody's going to confuse these
• 47:39
  guys with Oregon anytime soon. But I mean, this is a team that
• 47:44
  shut out Cal 34 to nothing. And yes, I know it's Cal, but
• 47:47
  it's still an ACC team. They should have way better
• 47:49
  athletes than what San Diego State's got going on San Diego
• 47:52
  State. Slack them.
• 47:53
  This defense only giving up 225 yards a game.
• 47:56
  The next closest Mountain West team is Hawaii at 300.
• 48:01
  I mean, they're the only Mountain West team allowing
• 48:03
  under 100 rush yards a game. They're the only Mountain West
• 48:05
  team allowing under 140 passing yards a game.
• 48:08
  I mean, this team right now defensively is is one of the
• 48:12
  best in the country that nobody is talking about.
• 48:14
  So the total is low. So that does worry me when I lay
• 48:17
  a touchdown with with a team like this.
• 48:20
  Defense is so, so good. And right now, Colorado State's
• 48:24
  offense is just like in turmoil. So lay the six someplace.
• 48:28
  It may be 6 1/2. I wouldn't go to seven if it
• 48:30
  goes there. But yeah, give me San Diego
• 48:34
  State baby minus the six. Beautiful.
• 48:38
  Any thoughts on that, Peter? Yeah, over under 40 and A.
• 48:40
  Half everything you said, I agree 100%, which is exactly why
• 48:43
  I mean, I'm leaning under exactly why I didn't bet it.
• 48:46
  So I figured it would come back and bite me in the backside,
• 48:48
  right. Somehow Colorado State will
• 48:50
  score 30 points or something ridiculous, which I don't think
• 48:52
  is even possible against. I don't know.
• 48:54
  I just I got worried about this thing like, you know what, I
• 48:57
  agree that what I, what I would expect to see is exactly what
• 49:01
  you said. I would expect the city of state
• 49:03
  defense to control this game. I'd expect him to win, probably
• 49:06
  something like, I don't know, 30 to 10 or something, but still
• 49:10
  too close to that over under total of 40 1/2.
• 49:13
  So I just tried to stay away from it.
• 49:14
  But I I agree with you all. Right Pete, the floor is ours
• 49:22
  now. So do you want your got your boy
• 49:25
  What? And West Virginia are going to
• 49:27
  play BYU? Yeah.
• 49:29
  Excited. We're going to see my boy in a
• 49:30
  couple weeks too. I'm excited for this.
• 49:32
  This is great. So yeah.
• 49:34
  So going to BYU over under 47 1/2.
• 49:38
  So BYU is obviously favored by a bunch.
• 49:41
  I think they're going to win by a bunch.
• 49:44
  I'm not would not be surprised by that at all.
• 49:47
  However, so I do like this under at 47 1/2, you know where
• 49:52
  they're playing. Obviously the altitude is going
• 49:54
  to create some issues which is going to which which is going to
• 49:58
  slow the offenses down, especially in the second-half
• 50:01
  with West Virginia. So I think that's going to be an
• 50:04
  issue for them. So I expect defenses to be
• 50:06
  playing, playing well here, particularly BYU.
• 50:10
  So I think West Virginia is going to have a real difficult
• 50:12
  time moving the ball consistently.
• 50:14
  It's going to be a problem for them.
• 50:15
  So so I think BYU is going to score a lot probably.
• 50:19
  I mean, I wouldn't be surprised of another, like that's again 30
• 50:22
  to 10 or something like that, or maybe even a little more on the
• 50:25
  BYU side. So not surprising, but still
• 50:28
  under. And I think pretty handily under
• 50:30
  that 47 1/2. So I feel pretty confident.
• 50:32
  I gave it a 4 1/2 out of five in terms of my confidence rating
• 50:35
  for this one. So one unit BYU under West
• 50:38
  Virginia, BYU under 47 1/2. OK, well, I went with BYU gave
• 50:44
  18 1/2 Your boys, his teams are sloppy.
• 50:48
  So they commit a lot of penalties.
• 50:50
  They turn the ball over a lot and it's been they're doing that
• 50:52
  this year. I'm expecting a couple turnovers
• 50:56
  from West Virginia and on 3rd down, they don't stay on the
• 51:02
  field that often. So I'm looking at it this way.
• 51:05
  Plus you got to travel going across going into the altitude,
• 51:09
  you know, the the turnover differentials, 8 in favor of BYU
• 51:14
  time of possession penalties, a lot of penalties with West
• 51:18
  Virginia and a lot of them seem to be procedural false starts,
• 51:22
  not getting set right, illegal formation and all that crap.
• 51:26
  Yeah, I like this one. I yeah to under.
• 51:30
  I don't think what we need to score is that much.
• 51:32
  Maybe final score would be, I don't know, like 35 to 3:35 to
• 51:39
  7:00, something like that. But I like BYU big against West
• 51:45
  Virginia. Any thoughts boys?
• 51:50
  I agree with everything you both said.
• 51:54
  Actually just lost their quarterback.
• 51:55
  They already lost their running back and one of their wide
• 51:57
  receivers a few weeks ago. I think BYU actually looks
• 52:00
  better without Rett's laugh as their QB.
• 52:03
  I was close to what Pete had said.
• 52:05
  He said 30 to 10. I was thinking like 31 to 10 and
• 52:08
  that 10 coming like late in the fourth quarter when BYU was
• 52:11
  playing, you know, the hot dog Bender, the beer guy and the
• 52:14
  bandleader and eight other schmucks from the audience.
• 52:16
  I just, yeah, this is. But the good thing is I don't
• 52:19
  work this Saturday, so I'll be up watching.
• 52:22
  Well, the quarterback's name is Bear and he wears #47 which is
• 52:27
  awesome. Just putting that out there.
• 52:30
  That's after that's is. That.
• 52:32
  Bachmeier. Is that like Hank Bachmeier?
• 52:34
  I don't know. What the hell?
• 52:35
  I know it's bear. I don't bear.
• 52:36
  Well, that's his real name or not, I don't care.
• 52:38
  He's wears #47 I'm like, he had a quarterback with 47 on his
• 52:43
  jersey. That's awesome.
• 52:44
  I guess he right in the fields right here.
• 52:45
  Perfect ideally. Malachi Nelson should transfer
• 52:48
  to West Virginia and then we just have the biggest 2 cheeks
• 52:51
  combined to make. Can we get like a picture of
• 52:55
  like some bronze ass cheeks? So I can give it out every week
• 52:58
  on the show because I feel like Malachi Nelson deserves A bronze
• 53:01
  pair of ass cheeks. I will look into that for next
• 53:04
  week or for Saturday morning. We'll unveil it on the live
• 53:07
  stream. TuneIn thank you.
• 53:08
  Gravis Guy, 9:00 AM Saturday. You.
• 53:11
  See Darren and his bronze ass cheeks?
• 53:13
  It's going. To be awesome.
• 53:16
  Malachi must be like French for ass.
• 53:28
  OK, wrap it up, Darren. Let's go.
• 53:30
  Yeah. So all right, so again, we'll
• 53:32
  just do a quick recap of the bets.
• 53:33
  Timmy's got BYU laying 18 1/2 over West Virginia.
• 53:36
  Pete has the BYU West Virginia total under 47 1/2.
• 53:39
  I have a tune to play on San Diego State -6 join us Saturday
• 53:45
  9 to 10 live show previewing our bets, going through the rapid
• 53:49
  fire segment. Bring your plays, bring your
• 53:51
  comments, bring your questions, bring your bronze ass cheeks.
• 53:54
  Bring it all. We'll see you Saturday morning.
• 53:56
  We'll. Have bronze as cheats Saturday
• 53:57
  morning. Thank you all for listening
• 54:00
  everybody.