Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 520 - 5/28/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome. To episode 520.
- 0:17Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast.
- 0:21Powered by rhythm, I am your. Host Josh Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on, everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
- 0:33Another day here in the arena, guys, as we wind.
- 0:35Down the month of May, but we got some some baseball to talk
- 0:39about today. I know it's a smaller.
- 0:40Than usual. Slate again.
- 0:42Thursdays I kind of get. You know, a little bit annoyed
- 0:44just again, we there's there a few game fewer games to.
- 0:46Choose from but. We don't try to force too many
- 0:49plays like if they're. Not there.
- 0:50We're not going to force them. But usually on a card like this,
- 0:53again only. Six games today.
- 0:55You try to say, OK, can you give me one or two?
- 0:57And I did find 2 bets that caught my eye. 2 favorites, 1 is
- 1:01really getting. Steamed as we speak.
- 1:03The other one is hasn't moved a ton.
- 1:05Again, so about. 5 to $0.10 off the opener, but still both of
- 1:09these plays have good rhythm edges, good rhythm AI model
- 1:13edges and recommendations along with a good sharp mush edge.
- 1:16So our friends at Juice. Reel those of you who have.
- 1:19Downloaded the Juice Reel app. Maybe you've been kind enough to
- 1:22sign. Up to get the all systems go.
- 1:23Best bet picks directly from Juice Reel.
- 1:26Reminder you can get them for a 7 day free trial and then 10.
- 1:29Bucks a week. 25 bucks up for a month or 200 bucks for a year.
- 1:34I say that because then I have to say 999.
- 1:36Per week 24. 99 per month. 19999 a year.
- 1:40Either way guys, I can always get the best bets from Juice
- 1:43Reel and. Thank you to those of you.
- 1:45Who do support the pod by getting those best bet picks and
- 1:48getting those bets a. Little bit.
- 1:49Earlier in the day because there is a game for today that if you
- 1:52read the Sharp report that I write.
- 1:53For visen.com. You can always follow on Twitter
- 1:55at Josh Under Score Insights or you get the best bets from Juice
- 1:58Real. You're feeling pretty good
- 2:00because we're. Beating this current number by
- 2:02like 30 cents at this point, so. 2 pack of MLB.
- 2:05Plays for today. And then?
- 2:07We got to talk. About and I mentioned this
- 2:09yesterday, kind of hinted at it and I spent this morning setting
- 2:12it up. But we now officially.
- 2:14Have drum roll. Please the.
- 2:18Apple bomb. World Cup Survivor contest with
- 2:22splash boards. That's right.
- 2:23I mentioned it yesterday, put it together this morning.
- 2:26But it is. Open it is available.
- 2:28You can now join. The Survivor contest that I've
- 2:31created with. Splash boards many of you have
- 2:35basically, you know, might. Have done a Survivor contest
- 2:38earlier. Because I teamed up.
- 2:39With splash boards, I'm going on my second year with them.
- 2:41I. Really enjoy.
- 2:42I think they. Just make contest fun.
- 2:44Easy to participate in you. Deposit money on the splash, you
- 2:48join the contest. Whatever the cost of the contest
- 2:50is, you don't have to like, you know.
- 2:51Hunt. People down for money.
- 2:53If you. Did old school survivor contest
- 2:55like? With your high school.
- 2:56Buddies like I still do, and there's always that one.
- 2:58Kid, even though we're like nearly 40.
- 3:00Years old at this point who forgot to pay his dues or you
- 3:03know, won't send them in. But it makes it easy.
- 3:05You can track throughout. You know, each round we did the.
- 3:09NFL Survivor Contest regular. Season the playoff.
- 3:11Survivor, we did the. College basketball March
- 3:14Madness. Survivor.
- 3:15Well, now we. Have the World Cup.
- 3:17Survivor so I want to go over before we get to our 2.
- 3:20Emily plays for today and recap last night.
- 3:22Another winning night, which was great.
- 3:24But did want to. Just kind of.
- 3:26Lay this out because it's a little different.
- 3:28I I fully admit I'm not a big. Soccer better.
- 3:31Number one, I don't love the sport I.
- 3:34Didn't play the sport. Growing up, but then.
- 3:36Also. Not from just a personal bias
- 3:38standpoint. Because if you told me, hey,
- 3:40this. Sport I hate.
- 3:41But we have an edge and we can make money like.
- 3:43You know I don't. Love WNBA but maybe can find a
- 3:46good WNBA. Model or.
- 3:48Actually have grown to love UFC or golf.
- 3:50Or any sport that. You say, OK, I don't like.
- 3:52It I don't care about it. You don't want to just avoid it
- 3:55completely just because you don't like.
- 3:56It because. Why?
- 3:57You know, basically forfeit value.
- 3:59You may not like it, but if you have an edge, you can make
- 4:02money, so why wouldn't? We want to bet on something with
- 4:04the number one. Goal of making money.
- 4:05But I say this because. I'm not a huge.
- 4:08Soccer fan. I'm not a big soccer better, and
- 4:11I'll tell you why. The reason isn't that I don't
- 4:13love the sport. The reason is that.
- 4:15If you're a data-driven better, it's kind of hard to get data.
- 4:19On soccer, so MLS. Of course in America, but all
- 4:23the European leagues were, you know, really the, the big.
- 4:26Interest lies. It's just hard to get very
- 4:29simply percentage of bets in dollars.
- 4:30DraftKings and. Circa, which we get.
- 4:33For all the major. US sports, they don't give me
- 4:35the percentage of. Bets and dollars on, you know,
- 4:38Bayern. Munich and Liverpool so.
- 4:41Right off the bat. If I don't.
- 4:42Get those splits I my system is. Kind of behind the. 8 ball line.
- 4:46Movements a little bit. Harder to to track.
- 4:49You know you can't really create.
- 4:50Systems from my my my data-driven model, my database
- 4:54on European soccer so. If I can't get the splits.
- 4:59If it's also the times the timing is a little different,
- 5:01when did the game start? Again, people make.
- 5:03I know people who bet it, who love it, who do a good.
- 5:05Job at it all props to you but it's just not my Forte based on
- 5:09not getting good strong data that's reliable.
- 5:12Weird start times. I don't really know the.
- 5:13Leagues and all the I don't know the.
- 5:15Intricacies so I just don't bet it.
- 5:18However, I am what I what I would call I I hope I'm I'm I'm
- 5:21a sharp better. I feel like I'm a sharp better,
- 5:24but I'm a square better when it comes to the world.
- 5:26Cup I only here's. I'm the I'm the Dos Equis guy.
- 5:29I don't always bet soccer, but when I do.
- 5:31It's every four years. In the World Cup, again, it's
- 5:34fun. It's like the Olympics.
- 5:36It doesn't happen often, but it gets you kind of excited.
- 5:39You get all the. You know different countries,
- 5:42you know, you know. Getting excited and I mentioned
- 5:44yesterday but my buddy. Fed He.
- 5:46Has has married. A amazing Brazilian girl, Sue
- 5:49Ellen, we call. Her Sue Sue.
- 5:51And she's from Brazil and they have been get basically getting
- 5:54together and planning this huge. World Cup backyard.
- 5:58Barbecue with great Brazilian foods you.
- 6:00Know for a while here so it's going to be an awesome time it
- 6:03just goes to show you everyone gets excited for the World Cup
- 6:05so I want. To join I want.
- 6:06To be a part. Of it.
- 6:07That's a long winded way of me saying.
- 6:09I'm I'm. Going to do survivor.
- 6:11And again, I don't, I can't name, I can name you.
- 6:13I don't know Neymar and Ronaldo and I remember David Beckham.
- 6:18That's about it. But I think.
- 6:20It's something that we. All want to kind of throw our
- 6:22hat in the ring. Have some fun in.
- 6:24And you can do it with the. Applebaum World Cup survivor
- 6:26contest now I tweeted this out at Josh.
- 6:29Under score insight so you can find the link.
- 6:32Right in the tweet that's pinned to my Twitter page, I'm also.
- 6:35Going to put the. Link to sign up.
- 6:36In the. Body description of the podcast.
- 6:38You can always send me a direct message on Twitter.
- 6:41If you want it. So it should be.
- 6:43Pretty widely available, but here's how it goes.
- 6:45Guys, it's $25 per entry, so 25 bucks you get an entry.
- 6:50You can get up. To 10 entries now the winner of
- 6:53this contest. Could win up to 22. $1500 This
- 6:57is the biggest contest I've done and probably NFL Survivor is
- 7:00going to beat it this upcoming year later this this summer.
- 7:05But you could win up to, you know, 20. 2500 That'd be pretty
- 7:07nice, right I? Like maybe get you.
- 7:09A new car or halfway to a new car, but whole thing here that
- 7:13you just got to mention. All the details are available
- 7:15one the deadline is. June 11th so we.
- 7:18Have a little bit of time here, about two weeks until you can.
- 7:21Put your entry. In but I would.
- 7:22Do it now. Just get it.
- 7:23Out of the way #2 it's a survivor.
- 7:26So you can only use each team. One time and.
- 7:29The one tricky thing that I had to do a.
- 7:30Little research on IS. You know, did you want to?
- 7:32Start the contest for Survivor in the group stage or the
- 7:35knockout stage and I was talking to the people at Splash and they
- 7:39were saying. Do the group stage.
- 7:41That's what most. Contests end up doing.
- 7:43So in the group stage, you have to pick four teams just to.
- 7:47Advance to the round. Of 32, then once you get to the
- 7:50round of 30. Two, it's just.
- 7:52Pick one team each round. So you'll have all the you know.
- 7:56Each each round. Basically you got to get 4 to.
- 7:58Advance and then go round by round.
- 8:00But here's the thing. You know, I mentioned this
- 8:02yesterday. I was.
- 8:03Looking at Poly market. The odds.
- 8:05To win the World Cup, Spain and France are the Co favorites at
- 8:0817%. England is 11%, Portugal 10%.
- 8:12You probably don't want to have. Spain, France, England or
- 8:15Portugal. Or Brazil's right?
- 8:17Behind them, 9%. Argentina 8%.
- 8:20You probably don't want to use those teams as the teams to
- 8:22advance out of the group stage. Because you obviously want.
- 8:26To save them, like if the Champions probably going to be
- 8:28one of these teams, we don't want to use them just to get out
- 8:31of the group stage. Yeah, you're going to.
- 8:32Advance but. People who haven't.
- 8:34Used them, have a. Big edge over you and if you've
- 8:36already. Burned Spain or France?
- 8:38Then you may not even have available an available team to
- 8:41use when you get closer to the Champions Championship.
- 8:45So World Cup survivor. It's locked and loaded.
- 8:47It's ready to go. Come on down and I will
- 8:50challenge you guys to find a family member.
- 8:53A colleague A. Co worker spread this.
- 8:55Link far and. Wide, the more people.
- 8:56That join the more fun we can have and the more money the
- 9:00winner is going to get selfishly so come join again it's on my
- 9:04Twitter page at Josh under score insights.
- 9:06We can always. Send me Adm.
- 9:08If you need additional info, you may have gotten an invite from
- 9:12me directly on Splash, so just check that out.
- 9:14Log into your Splash account, you get the invite.
- 9:17And you also might be getting a tweet.
- 9:19Or direct message or. Two from me.
- 9:21As I go into to sales mode here to try to tell as many people as
- 9:25possible about this World Cup survivor, but come on, down 25
- 9:29bucks. Could win you a cool 22. 1500 So
- 9:33let's have some fun and remember the deadline is June 11th at
- 9:383:00. Now looking back to our last
- 9:40night, before we dive in our place here for today guys, quick
- 9:42recap. Another winning day we'll.
- 9:44Have to see it 2 and 1 + 0.44. Units had a great hit with the
- 9:48Diamondbacks 3 to 2. Winner over the.
- 9:51Giants, and that was. What we call the dance with the
- 9:53one who brung you play. Because if you remember.
- 9:56We did see the D backs line dip a little bit.
- 9:58So I got a bad -130. I stayed with my bad -1. 30 They
- 10:02closed like -115. -120 But the D backs did have a sharp mush
- 10:06edge. They did have two rhythm system
- 10:08matches, and again. You make a bet.
- 10:11My argument would be stick with it because if you.
- 10:13Lose. You probably should have lost
- 10:14because the. Line went against you, but you
- 10:16might win anyway, and we did. Have those indicators.
- 10:18So it's great to see the D backs come from.
- 10:20Behind and win 3. To two.
- 10:21Also had a great. Hit with the Yankees. 7 to
- 10:24nothing against. Kansas City.
- 10:26I was like. A2 nothing game.
- 10:27And Garrett Cole's pitching great.
- 10:29And then they. Really busted it.
- 10:30Open in the later innings, but that at a sharp mush edge as
- 10:33well as a. Good line split.
- 10:35And line move match the only. Loser was the.
- 10:37Pirates 3:50 got rolled by the Cubs.
- 10:39Hey, Cubs are due I guess because they had lost ten
- 10:42straight. But either way, again our goal
- 10:45is 3 bets. Try to get 2 of them.
- 10:47That's what we did. So two and one.
- 10:49About 1/2 unit from last night. So we will take it.
- 10:52Now. Let's dive in a couple plays
- 10:54here for today. Guys, there's only two bets on
- 10:56the board for me, so again we say 3.
- 10:58We got to go 2 and one each got a winning day.
- 11:00Ideally we get both of these. Let's at least get.
- 11:02One of them. Now let's go to the first one
- 11:05here. An early matchup.
- 11:07That's why I wanted to record the pod.
- 11:08Get it out relatively early, a 2:10 PM Eastern Time first.
- 11:11Pitch. The Minnesota Twinkies visiting.
- 11:14The Chicago White Sox Now this is the final game of a.
- 11:18Four-game series. The White Sox have won two of
- 11:20the first 3. Chicago is now above 500. 28 and
- 11:2427 on the year. They won 15 to 2 yesterday.
- 11:27As a -, 110 Home pick and play now in this early afternoon
- 11:31series. For now, the.
- 11:32Twins who are 27 and 29, they're going to go with the lefty
- 11:35Kendry Rojas. He's one and O with a 1.26.
- 11:38ERA White Sox, meanwhile, going with the.
- 11:40Righty Davis Martin he's 7 and one with a 2 point O 4 era so.
- 11:45What have you seen across the market?
- 11:47This game opened. With Chicago listed.
- 11:49As a relatively cheap -120 home favorite.
- 11:52Minnesota around a + 100 row dog.
- 11:55I saw some books. Open like Chicago -130?
- 11:57I saw some books even open like a pick em game here but it was a
- 12:00pretty. Low opener but.
- 12:02Regardless of the opener, there's been nothing but
- 12:04movement. On the South Siders, I'm going
- 12:06White Sox here, guys, they. Open again.
- 12:08We'll call it the -120, but they've gotten now bet.
- 12:11Up all the way to -155. Some shops even minus. 160 -,
- 12:16165. Now, at DraftKings, the White
- 12:20Sox are getting 79% of money, line bets 89%.
- 12:24Of money line. Dollars at Circa the White Sox
- 12:27are getting 75% of money line bets, 99% of money line dollars.
- 12:32So when I start capping games again, it's low bets, higher
- 12:36dollars of both DK and. Circa and the line moving toward
- 12:39that team. Getting low bets higher dollars
- 12:41at DK and Circa. Consider those like 3 legs of
- 12:43the of the bar stool line move and then.
- 12:46Splits at DK. Splits at Circa, so all of them
- 12:49are lining up on the White Sox here, if you.
- 12:51Are an above 5. 100 home favorite off a win.
- 12:54Priced -150. 5 or less. I know they're kind of on the
- 12:57edge here because some books are -160 but that system which
- 13:00matches Chicago? Is 56 and 30. 366% with a 12%
- 13:06ROI this year. Now Chicago has some correlative
- 13:09betting value as a favorite. Low total.
- 13:12So the sign has gotten steamed up further and further towards
- 13:14Chicago, Chicago and and coach Ditka.
- 13:18Is in a low total Game 7. And a half so the fair amount
- 13:21of. Expected run scored.
- 13:22More likely to come from quote UN quote the better team.
- 13:25I want to back this kid, Davis Martin.
- 13:27I'll be honest, I hadn't heard a ton about him, but I was kind of
- 13:30followed him. His numbers look great.
- 13:31I did some more research on him. The White Sox are 9 and one.
- 13:35And Davis's. 10 starts this year.
- 13:39So again, 90% win rate. They play well.
- 13:41He. Pitches well, they have
- 13:42confidence and play well behind. Him he's 3 and O with a 1.14.
- 13:47ERA at home. And he's one and O with a 0.98
- 13:51ERA in day games. So White Sox have played well.
- 13:53Behind Martin. He's great at home.
- 13:56He's great in day games. He's home in a day game today.
- 13:59Look at the head to head bat. Both teams hitting against.
- 14:03Lefties and righties. We have Chicago going up against
- 14:06the lefty Rojas. Today they are hitting 247
- 14:09against. Lefties this year, that's. 13th
- 14:10best in MLB Minnesota is hitting 234 against righties.
- 14:14That ranks 22nd A. Little Home Rd. splits as well.
- 14:18White Sox from. Decent at home 16 and 11.
- 14:20Five games above 500 at home. Twins are 12 and. 15 on the
- 14:24road. So not.
- 14:26Just massive steam here. On the White Sox, you also have
- 14:30two rhythm. Recommendations lighting up on.
- 14:33Chicago. So we have.
- 14:35A good line movement. Good split system matches.
- 14:37We got rhythm behind us. So this looks like a Chicago
- 14:40White Sox. Play to Maine, do.
- 14:42It for our guy Darush, who's a big Chai Sox fan now.
- 14:46Shameless plug. To get the ASG.
- 14:47Best bet picks because I got the White Sox earlier today. -141.
- 14:53At Bally bet that went right to. The app if you.
- 14:56Got those? Plays you could have.
- 14:57Put it in around -141 I'm seeing now the best number is. -150.
- 15:01Five at the score and some shops.
- 15:03Even -160. -165 but regardless, see if the White Sox can
- 15:08hopefully start our day off with a winner.
- 15:10I'm on Chicago again -141 but you might be closer to -160 at
- 15:15this point now. We bet.
- 15:17On Chicago team. Now let's bet against the
- 15:20Chicago team. Let's go to a 6:40 PM.
- 15:22Eastern Time first pitch tonight.
- 15:23We have the cubbies. Visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates
- 15:27now like that White Sox game, this is also the final game of a
- 15:30four-game series. The Pirates who are. 29 and 27
- 15:33They won the 1st 2. They won the opener 2:00 to
- 15:361:00. As a plus one O 5 home dog.
- 15:38Won the second game 12 to. One as a minus. 140 home
- 15:41favorite cubbies. Meanwhile, 30 and 26.
- 15:44They finally snapped that big losing streak.
- 15:46Unfortunately, much to our chagrin because I was on Pirates
- 15:49yesterday. But the Cubs?
- 15:50Won 10 to 4 yesterday. Came through as a.
- 15:52Plus one O 5 road dog. Now pitch you match up for this
- 15:55one. Cubbies are going to go with the
- 15:57ready, Colin. Ray, 4:00 and 3:00. 4.83.
- 16:00ERA on the air. Pirates, meanwhile, going with
- 16:02the ready Paul. Skeens.
- 16:03So it's Paul. Skeens, Libby.
- 16:04Dunday. 6 and 4 ERA of three. Now what are we seeing across
- 16:09the market? List came open with Pittsburgh.
- 16:11List around 8:00. -165 home favorite.
- 16:14With Chicago around a + 145 row dog and not the biggest, you
- 16:19know, line move in the world. Like, again, that White Sox
- 16:21line. Really has steamed up towards.
- 16:22Chicago, but a little. Bit of movement.
- 16:25Toward Pittsburgh. -165. Up to -170 some shops.
- 16:30Like FanDuel, closer to. -175 S lines moved a little bit further
- 16:34toward the pirates. Big indicator to me was the bet.
- 16:37Splits at Circa out in Vegas, Pirates are only getting. 36.
- 16:40Percent of money line bets. But get a load of this 76.
- 16:44Percent of money line. Dollars, so a really good low
- 16:47bets. Higher dollar split in favor of
- 16:49the Pirates, which aligns with that.
- 16:50Slight move. 5 or $0.10 in their favor, certainly getting about
- 16:541/3 of tickets, but three out of $4.00 tells me those dollars are
- 16:57big money. Dollars coming from respected
- 16:59betters who have moved that number now, just like the White
- 17:02Sox we have. A.
- 17:03Favorite low total. So we have the Pirates.
- 17:06In a is a favorite, bigger favorite.
- 17:09With a total of 7 1/2, so few amount of expected.
- 17:12Run score more likely to come from again, quote UN quote.
- 17:14That better team Who's expected? To win.
- 17:17Pirates in particular, are 17. And 965.
- 17:20Percent, 21% ROI off a loss this year.
- 17:24That's the fifth most profitable bounce.
- 17:26Back team in baseball. And if the Pirates are coming
- 17:29off a loss and getting line? Movement in their favor.
- 17:31Which is the case today. The Bucco's are 7.
- 17:34And two this year. 78% win rate, 33% ROI.
- 17:39Hopefully skeins pitch as well. Pittsburgh can get to Ray.
- 17:43The Pirates do have the better bats, hitting 250.
- 17:45Two on the year 270. Four run scored.
- 17:47Cubs hitting two 38260. Five run scored, but in
- 17:51particular, Pittsburgh. Hitting 276 at home.
- 17:55That's number one in baseball, the best batting average for
- 17:57home team and. They're hitting 252 against
- 17:59righty's that's. The 6th best.
- 18:01In baseball. Meanwhile, Chicago hitting 234
- 18:04on the road, that's 18th, 232 against Righty's, that's 25th.
- 18:09Skeens. It's incredible.
- 18:10His day numbers are not very good.
- 18:12I think he's one in four with an ERA.
- 18:13Of like four or five or something, but at at night.
- 18:17Paul schemes at night. Maybe that's something to do
- 18:19with? The bright lights or it's harder
- 18:21to see for the batters. I hope it continues tonight
- 18:23because it's a night game, but schemes and night games. 5 and
- 18:270.51 ERA so he's a night game tonight.
- 18:31Let's hope that. Skins pitch as well and the bats
- 18:33again can light up Ray Ray, as you mentioned going.
- 18:37Tonight he has a 5 point O 6 ERA and five May starts.
- 18:41He's giving up fifteen runs and 26.2 and he's.
- 18:44Pitched and at. Home he's been pretty good. 2.96
- 18:47ERA. On the road 6.75 S.
- 18:51A little. Bit of movement toward
- 18:52Pittsburgh. Great bets.
- 18:53What's that circa? Good system matches.
- 18:55Better bats, better pitcher on the bump.
- 18:58Lastly noticed a 13. Percent sharp mush edge on the
- 19:02pirates from our friends at Juice Reel.
- 19:04So tells us our our fellow wise guys and wise gals at Juice Reel
- 19:07also leaning toward. The pirates here.
- 19:10So last bet for me. Again, there's only two.
- 19:13But I got pirates. -170. That was at the score, but that
- 19:17number is pretty much widely available again.
- 19:19But some shops are -175. South couple Chicago.
- 19:23Follower tails and fades. We got the White Sox and the
- 19:27Pirates. Let's try to get at least one.
- 19:29If we get both, that would be even.
- 19:31Better. So that about does it for
- 19:34episode 5. 20 of the all. Systems go Sports betting
- 19:37podcast powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 19:40where we wrap things up and I always start first by.
- 19:42Saying thank you, thank you for listening, thank you for tuning
- 19:46in, thank you for grinding in the arena with me.
- 19:48Every single day, through the UPS and the downs of sports
- 19:51betting, the good and the bad, the great wins, the hard losses.
- 19:55But we wake. Up every day with a realistic
- 19:58but hopeful attitude, knowing that.
- 19:59This this betting market. It's.
- 20:01Challenging it ain't easy. But we like the challenge.
- 20:04And we? Love the you.
- 20:05Know the investigatory challenge of trying to find sharp plays
- 20:08every day by piercing together the puzzle of all the numbers.
- 20:11Not betting based on gut instinct and bias, but.
- 20:14If you do enjoy the pod, hopefully you value the
- 20:16insights. Please could you do?
- 20:17Me a solid Just give this podcast a five star review on
- 20:21Spotify or iTunes. Click Rate and review.
- 20:23Leave a comment. If you feel so inclined, I
- 20:25recommend the pod to. A friend.
- 20:27Click the follow button or retweet the pod.
- 20:30Give it a like when I put it out on Twitter at Josh under score
- 20:33Insights. Any or all?
- 20:35Those things would be awesome. Next if you enjoy.
- 20:38The style of sports. Betting data.
- 20:39Driven sharp contrarian betting focusing on.
- 20:42What the betting market? Is telling us the.
- 20:43Line moves the splits the system.
- 20:45Matches the AI models taking a contrarian approach if this
- 20:49style of. Betting has appealed to you and
- 20:50you want to learn more. About data-driven betting.
- 20:53Or maybe you have. Someone in your life who could
- 20:54use some? Data-driven tips.
- 20:56Maybe they're trying to break into betting for the first time.
- 20:58Couldn't. Tell you the difference between
- 20:59a, you know, closing line value and a in a.
- 21:02Money line. Or maybe you know, you know
- 21:04someone who bets and bets a lot but loses a lot and has no
- 21:07bankroll management, no approach.
- 21:09Well, I'd love for. You.
- 21:11To support the pod by. Going to Amazon.
- 21:13Dot com. And typing in the.
- 21:15Everything guide to sports betting.
- 21:17Or type in the. NFL Sharp Betting playbook Grab
- 21:20one or both of my books, I think you're going to enjoy them and.
- 21:24You can bring them. To the sports book.
- 21:25I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
- 21:28ale. We'll sweat some games together.
- 21:30Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
- 21:33My 2. Favorite sports betting apps
- 21:34because they. Helped me win, and I know
- 21:36they're going to help you win because they're all about the.
- 21:37Data. They're just great little extra
- 21:39boxes to check off when you're thinking of getting down on a
- 21:42game rhythm. Great for their AI backed models
- 21:45and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 21:48The rhythm recommendation Really helpless with the D backs last
- 21:52night so that was good to see. They also have WNBA as well as
- 21:56MLB, NBA all available right now in the rhythm map and then also
- 21:59Juice. Reel So many great features of
- 22:01Juice Reel. You can sync up your sports
- 22:03books, get a running report card of your action.
- 22:05Your CLV meter. It's got a cool calendar of like
- 22:09every day, like literally the calendar you put on the fridge.
- 22:11But every day your win loss. Good day in green.
- 22:14Bad day in red. You can kind of see how you're
- 22:16doing. It's a whole revamped.
- 22:18Outlook. It looks really good.
- 22:19But you can also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
- 22:22The sharp mush. Indicators The arbitrage plays
- 22:24the. Shop for the best line features
- 22:26if you want to support the. Pod you can go sign up to get
- 22:29the ASG. Best bet picks from Juice Reel
- 22:32All. You got to do is click.
- 22:33The Buy sell tab in the bottom right corner of the Juice Reel
- 22:36app. Little search box.
- 22:37Just type in ASG. You'll find my account.
- 22:41You can sign up to get A7. Day free trial.
- 22:43Or you could do weekly, get a week's.
- 22:45Worth the best bets. Again, get them earlier in the
- 22:47day. Support the pod.
- 22:48I consider a tip jar the pods free, so if you want to toss in
- 22:51a $10.00 bill you'll get every bet as soon as I make it and
- 22:55that comes to a dollar. And 40. $0.02 a day.
- 22:58Or you can get a month's worth. For $24.99.
- 23:02That is 83. Cents a day, that's 35% off.
- 23:05Or you can get a full year. Come, come be a hero who wants
- 23:07to get a full year. For $199.99.
- 23:11That comes to the equivalent of 55.
- 23:13Cents a day, that is 60% off. But.
- 23:15Thank you to everyone who has signed up to get the bets, Best
- 23:17bets. You're supporting your podcast?
- 23:19Host and you are. Also supporting my daughter's
- 23:23back to, I was almost going to say back to school, she's never
- 23:26been to school but my daughter's childcare fund.
- 23:29But thank you all. So download rhythm, download
- 23:31juice field. Give them both a five star
- 23:33review in the App Store. Lastly, do you have a live odds
- 23:36page? If you don't have one, you need
- 23:37one. It's.
- 23:38Such a critical tool. Because it's going to be the
- 23:40page you look. At and stare at the most all day
- 23:42throughout the day and it's always up.
- 23:44So whether games have already started to get the live in game
- 23:47wagering odds or pre flop, all the work you're doing during the
- 23:50day to decide what you want to bet on comparing the opening
- 23:52column to the current. Looking at line movement.
- 23:54Pulling up the line history, looking also at shopping for the
- 23:57best number, finding the best price.
- 24:00There are many live odds pages around, but the best one for
- 24:03sure is Odds Logic. I'm not just saying that.
- 24:07I've been a fan of Odds Logic for a while.
- 24:08I'm a proud affiliate. I use it every day.
- 24:11It's got a great clean interface.
- 24:12It's got all. The Games.
- 24:13It's got all the major sports books, so it's a great resource.
- 24:16So if you ever want to try it out, use this special link.
- 24:19Odds logic.com/josh. 123. That's going to give.
- 24:24You a 7 day. Free trial and 50% off your
- 24:27first month of service. So that about does it for
- 24:29episode. 520 of the ASG. Pod on a big Thirsty Thursday.
- 24:34As always guys, two final thoughts one.
- 24:35Whether I see you at the. Borgata in Atlantic.
- 24:38City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
- 24:40Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods.
- 24:41Or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut.
- 24:43At the Encore in Boston. Plain Ridge Park Casino.
- 24:46MGM Springfield or the Nash and my neck of the woods on the
- 24:49border of Massachusetts in New Hampshire, out in the desert
- 24:52where the true grinders get down.
- 24:53Or Billy Walters sends his number runners with Lois Juice.
- 24:56Possible is found at the South Point.
- 24:58Or sweat and sharp Contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 25:01swimming pool when he catch a big ticket at Circa.
- 25:03Wherever it may be, you're going to walk.
- 25:04Up to me Show me a nice Diamondbacks ticket.
- 25:07Show me a nice. Yankees ticket.
- 25:10First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 25:12We'll. Post about the book.
- 25:13So that's some more baseball here for tonight.
- 25:15So as always, guys coming off A2.
- 25:17And one or. One and two, A3 and O or an O
- 25:19and three? A winning day.
- 25:21A losing. Day a hot streak.
- 25:22A cold streak. We just can't get too high when
- 25:24things are good or get too low. When things are bad, we just got
- 25:26to continue to grind just a discipline of their bankroll
- 25:29management. Avoid the games the red.
- 25:31Flags not let her bias get in front of us talking us into a
- 25:34bad bet or out of a good bet. Just got to play the system.
- 25:37Matches games that are against the public, with the house, with
- 25:40the pros. Flat bet Avoid parlays.
- 25:42And get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 25:45to be successful. Sports bettors, so everyone has
- 25:48a great Thursday night reminder. The Applebaum World Cup Survivor
- 25:52Contest with Splash Sports is now available.
- 25:55So come on down, throw, throw an entry or two, your hat in the
- 26:00ring, spread that link to your friends and family.
- 26:02Let's get everyone in the Applebaum World Cup Survivor
- 26:06Contest and let's have some fun again. 25 bucks.
- 26:08Could win you could win you 22. $1500 would that be nice?
- 26:14But good luck everybody. Have a great Thursday, right
- 26:17back at it tomorrow for a big. Fade the public Friday.
- 26:19Edition that'll be episode 521 of the all systems go sports
- 26:23betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 26:26Good luck everybody and have a great Thursday night.