Latest / Pod Save America / Iowa Episode 3: Endorsements, surrogates and criticisms of Iowa
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- 0:55Speaker 2: I do have my own car, but I got snow
- 0:57Speaker 2: tires on it.
- 0:58Speaker 1: I think I'm all set.
- 0:59Speaker 3: October in Iowa is cold. When I was there, it snowed,
- 1:03Speaker 3: it rained, my sneakers got soaked. I live in L.A.
- 1:06Speaker 1: Now.
- 1:06Speaker 3: I've gotten very soft and I was not ready. But
- 1:09Speaker 3: caucus night in February will be way worse. So it
- 1:11Speaker 3: was no surprise that the staffers making calls at Cory
- 1:14Speaker 3: Booker's field office in Des Moines were getting grilled about
- 1:16Speaker 3: their snow gear.
- 1:18Speaker 2: I got my ice scrapers.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm all prepared.
- 1:21Speaker 3: It was October 30th, and in Iowa, people celebrate Halloween
- 1:24Speaker 3: a day early for reasons I don't understand. But the
- 1:27Speaker 3: office was packed with candy and people making calls. It
- 1:35Speaker 3: was called the Cory Booker phone bank. Team Booker loves
- 1:39Speaker 3: a bad pun. Here's Booker field organizer Mitch Smith.
- 1:43Speaker 4: And it comes from the top.
- 1:44Speaker 5: Yes.
- 1:45Speaker 4: Cory loves the dad jokes. I think he said in
- 1:48Speaker 4: a public event the other day that his Halloween name
- 1:50Speaker 4: is Gory Booker. So, you know, we try to lean
- 1:54Speaker 4: into that. We try to campaign the way that we're
- 1:58Speaker 4: living our values.
- 2:00Speaker 3: I'm Tommy Vitor, and this is episode three of a
- 2:02Speaker 3: special Pod Save America series from Iowa. Today, we're going
- 2:06Speaker 3: to talk about the most important part of the campaign,
- 2:08Speaker 3: what it takes to get someone to commit to caucus
- 2:11Speaker 3: for you. In field organizer speak, it's called getting a one.
- 2:14Speaker 3: We'll hear about the links campaigns go to to get
- 2:16Speaker 3: endorsements from key players in the state, including some that
- 2:19Speaker 3: might surprise you. We'll also check back in with the
- 2:22Speaker 3: field organizers as they try to get Iowans to sign
- 2:24Speaker 3: up for their candidates. And we'll talk about all the
- 2:27Speaker 3: reasons why Iowa going first might be a terrible idea. Mitch,
- 2:41Speaker 3: the guy who was just talking about the puns, organizes
- 2:44Speaker 3: in Polk County, which is basically Des Moines and some
- 2:46Speaker 3: of the fast-growing suburbs around it. We've been talking with
- 2:49Speaker 3: him over the last few episodes. His goal, and the
- 2:51Speaker 3: goal of pretty much every field organizer, is to get
- 2:54Speaker 3: people to commit to his candidate. In the summer, that
- 2:57Speaker 3: meant one-on-ones with Iowans, even very little Iowans.
- 3:00Speaker 4: One that stands out is the woman who brought her
- 3:03Speaker 4: six-year-old daughter. It was right when most of the news
- 3:06Speaker 4: was around the children who were being put in cages
- 3:09Speaker 4: at the border. And so she brought her daughter and said,
- 3:12Speaker 4: my daughter's going to decide who I caucus for. So
- 3:15Speaker 4: you're not just talking to me, you're talking to her too.
- 3:17Speaker 4: And we both have questions for you. And so her
- 3:19Speaker 4: daughter asked me about immigration. And we talked through how,
- 3:23Speaker 4: you know, Corey would take action on day one to
- 3:25Speaker 4: make sure that, you know, our immigration detention doesn't at
- 3:28Speaker 4: all resemble what it resembles now. It kind of went
- 3:30Speaker 4: through the different steps. And I think that kind of
- 3:32Speaker 4: hit home for me that we're not just doing this
- 3:34Speaker 4: for ourselves. We're doing it for, you know, her kid
- 3:36Speaker 4: was making the choice and, you know.
- 3:38Speaker 3: Now you've got to hone your six-year-old pitch. You're a jack-of-all-trades.
- 3:41Speaker 4: It was a different pitch. It was a slightly different pitch.
- 3:44Speaker 4: I had to change the language a little bit.
- 3:46Speaker 3: Gloria will give you snacks and naps at all times.
- 3:50Speaker 4: She was smart for a six-year-old. That wouldn't have worked.
- 3:53Speaker 3: Now that it's winter, Mitch's job is basically to organize
- 3:56Speaker 3: himself out of a job. That means you recruit enough
- 3:58Speaker 3: volunteers that they're the ones doing the phone banking and
- 4:01Speaker 3: the door knocking, and then Mitch is coordinating them. That's
- 4:04Speaker 3: really the only way to scale up enough to get
- 4:06Speaker 3: the commits you need to win the caucuses. I asked
- 4:08Speaker 3: Mitch if he had done that yet.
- 4:10Speaker 4: Ooh, that's a good question. I have in certain precincts, yeah.
- 4:13Speaker 3: You mean as the precinct captains?
- 4:15Speaker 5: Oh, yeah.
- 4:16Speaker 3: Oh, yeah.
- 4:16Speaker 4: Absolutely. I think it's just straight up harder with this
- 4:19Speaker 4: many candidates in the race and with this many people
- 4:22Speaker 4: who are at this point still very undecided. We have
- 4:26Speaker 4: people who say, as soon as I've decided, I'm going
- 4:29Speaker 4: to work really hard for whoever I decide for. Corey's
- 4:32Speaker 4: in my top two or top three, but I want
- 4:34Speaker 4: to wait because I just don't know.
- 4:35Speaker 6: I haven't made up my mind yet.
- 4:36Speaker 3: I mean, it's Iowa.
- 4:37Speaker 7: It's Iowa.
- 4:37Speaker 2: It's Iowa.
- 4:38Speaker 4: The number one thing that I hear when I knock
- 4:41Speaker 4: on people's doors or talk to them on the phone
- 4:43Speaker 4: is that they want to make sure we get someone
- 4:45Speaker 4: new in the White House. And that is never said,
- 4:48Speaker 4: you know, kind of calmly or passively. You know, sometimes
- 4:53Speaker 4: there are, you know, swear words and epithets involved too.
- 4:56Speaker 3: But if you got 10 Iowans in a room and
- 5:00Speaker 3: said define electability, you'd get 10 answers. I just wonder
- 5:04Speaker 3: how you deal with that.
- 5:06Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 5:06Speaker 4: I mean, in a way, it's not really my job
- 5:08Speaker 4: to deal with it. It's the caucus goer's job. People
- 5:12Speaker 4: have a lot of different ideas, just like you said,
- 5:15Speaker 4: of what makes someone electable. When I talk to people
- 5:18Speaker 4: about why they like Corey, they say he's someone who
- 5:20Speaker 4: people trust can beat Trump on a debate stage, but
- 5:24Speaker 4: come out of it with his dignity. And then they
- 5:26Speaker 4: trust him to get some things done once he does
- 5:28Speaker 4: beat Trump.
- 5:29Speaker 3: FOs, as we talked about a bunch here, are on
- 5:32Speaker 3: the front line making the case for their candidates. But
- 5:35Speaker 3: it's not just up to them. It's also a job
- 5:37Speaker 3: for surrogates. Those are the people, whether they're celebrities or
- 5:40Speaker 3: politicians or whatever, who do events for you, who do
- 5:43Speaker 3: interviews for you, basically make your case. In 2008, our
- 5:48Speaker 3: surrogates included former elected officials, retired generals, Oprah, then San
- 5:53Speaker 3: Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris, and many, many others. But
- 5:56Speaker 3: our best surrogate of all was Michelle Obama. We called
- 5:59Speaker 3: her the closer. On actual Halloween this year, I went
- 6:03Speaker 3: to an event with Senator Amy Klobuchar at a restaurant
- 6:05Speaker 3: in Des Moines called Bubba. She was getting an endorsement
- 6:12Speaker 3: from a woman named Roxanne Conlon. Roxanne was the U.S.
- 6:15Speaker 3: attorney in Iowa, and she ran for governor in the Senate.
- 6:21Speaker 3: These stand-ins really matter. And maybe, especially for a senator
- 6:27Speaker 3: like Amy Klobuchar, who might be a little busy in January.
- 6:31Speaker 5: And especially if we're in an impeachment trial, I'm going
- 6:34Speaker 5: to need enthusiastic endorsers like Roxanne.
- 6:38Speaker 3: To be in my stead.
- 6:39Speaker 8: And be going around the state.
- 6:42Speaker 3: Competition for surrogates and endorsements in Iowa is fierce. The
- 6:46Speaker 3: Des Moines Register actually does a 50 Most Wanted Democrats
- 6:48Speaker 3: feature in the paper. And on that list is Rob Sand.
- 6:52Speaker 3: He's the state auditor. We met Rob last episode. He
- 6:54Speaker 3: was explaining how caucusing works. Rob got into politics back
- 6:58Speaker 3: in high school when he was campaigning for a skate
- 7:00Speaker 3: park in his hometown of Decorah, Iowa. As a prosecutor
- 7:03Speaker 3: in the Iowa Attorney General's office, Rob investigated and prosecuted
- 7:07Speaker 3: this huge multi-state lottery scam. There was actually a really
- 7:11Speaker 3: cool New York Times Magazine article about it. You should
- 7:13Speaker 3: read it. It is literally unbelievable. Rob was one of
- 7:16Speaker 3: the few Democrats to win statewide in 2018. And because
- 7:20Speaker 3: he pulled that off, a lot of presidential candidates want
- 7:22Speaker 3: his support.
- 7:25Speaker 2: I can only speak to this cycle, I guess, because
- 7:28Speaker 2: nobody really cared before. No one's ever reached out before.
- 7:33Speaker 2: But mostly it's cold calls. We have a chat. Say, hey, yeah,
- 7:37Speaker 2: would be delighted to meet with you. Come on over
- 7:39Speaker 2: to my house. Let's have a cup of coffee. I'll
- 7:41Speaker 2: tell you what I think is good advice. Take it
- 7:43Speaker 2: or leave it and go from there.
- 7:45Speaker 3: How would you figure out how to make a decision
- 7:47Speaker 3: that big?
- 7:49Speaker 2: I'm a pretty holistic person. I would prefer to endorse
- 7:52Speaker 2: someone that I do really feel a connection to. I
- 7:55Speaker 2: would also prefer to endorse someone that I think is
- 7:58Speaker 2: where we need to be on the issues. If I
- 8:01Speaker 2: was going to actually get in for somebody, I would
- 8:03Speaker 2: mean it.
- 8:04Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 8:04Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 8:05Speaker 2: And if I mean it, I'm going to go work
- 8:07Speaker 2: at it.
- 8:08Speaker 4: Right.
- 8:08Speaker 5: Right.
- 8:09Speaker 3: Do you think it'll be anything like your job catching chickens?
- 8:12Speaker 2: I have not thought of that analogy. Allow me to reflect.
- 8:17Speaker 3: Can you tell us about your job catching chickens for
- 8:18Speaker 3: a second?
- 8:19Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 8:19Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 8:20Speaker 2: Um, first job, I was like 14. Now, now technically
- 8:24Speaker 2: speaking for those who are a little ag savvy, they
- 8:26Speaker 2: were capons.
- 8:27Speaker 3: Okay.
- 8:27Speaker 2: Those are unfortunate male chickens.
- 8:29Speaker 7: Okay.
- 8:29Speaker 5: Okay.
- 8:30Speaker 2: Um, and it, it makes them plumper and heavier, uh,
- 8:33Speaker 2: better eating. And so we'd, we'd get in truck at
- 8:36Speaker 2: the capon factory. There's a couple blocks from downtown Decorah.
- 8:39Speaker 2: We'd drive out. This is usually leaving at five or
- 8:42Speaker 2: six at night. They drive these trucks into this giant
- 8:45Speaker 2: chicken barn, huge, just flat dirt floor, chickens all over
- 8:48Speaker 2: the place, running around. They turn off all the lights
- 8:50Speaker 2: and it's your job to get down, put your gloves on,
- 8:53Speaker 2: and then basically walk up behind the chickens with the
- 8:55Speaker 2: lights off because they can't see that well. Grab them
- 8:57Speaker 2: by the legs and then grab another one and then
- 8:59Speaker 2: lift them up to the guys that are on the truck.
- 9:02Speaker 5: Okay.
- 9:02Speaker 2: And you're just doing that for hours and hours and hours.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Now a chicken, Tommy, when you catch it, only has
- 9:08Speaker 2: one line of defense left and that is to essentially
- 9:11Speaker 2: piss and shit all over. So you end up going home.
- 9:18Speaker 2: Just covered in chicken waste.
- 9:21Speaker 4: Oof.
- 9:21Speaker 2: But it was good work because, number one, because it
- 9:24Speaker 2: was real work, right? All work has meaning. You could
- 9:27Speaker 2: look at that truck full of chickens at the end
- 9:29Speaker 2: of the day and be like, there, we did that.
- 9:31Speaker 2: And I like the idea of the manual labor. You
- 9:33Speaker 2: can actually see the results every day of what you've done.
- 9:36Speaker 2: I was getting paid five bucks an hour, which is
- 9:38Speaker 2: totally sweet when you're 14 and in a small town
- 9:40Speaker 2: in Iowa. And it also made my next job at
- 9:43Speaker 2: McDonald's seem so plush.
- 9:45Speaker 3: But, I mean, maybe... Maybe catching chickens in the dark
- 9:50Speaker 3: and hoping they don't shit on you is a good
- 9:52Speaker 3: metaphor for trying to get support in the Iowa caucuses.
- 9:55Speaker 3: I mean, you're groping around. You don't really know where
- 9:57Speaker 3: the support's going to come from. But, you know, once
- 9:59Speaker 3: you get a one, once you get that supporter card signed,
- 10:01Speaker 3: you're gold.
- 10:02Speaker 2: And at the end of the day, you just have
- 10:04Speaker 2: to keep going until the work is done.
- 10:06Speaker 4: Right, right.
- 10:06Speaker 2: There is no rest in the Iowa caucuses, just as
- 10:08Speaker 2: there is no rest in catching chickens.
- 10:11Speaker 3: Dieter DeGere is another young star in Iowa. She ran
- 10:14Speaker 3: for Secretary of State in 2018, and she came very,
- 10:17Speaker 3: very close to beating the Republican incumbent. So like Rob,
- 10:20Speaker 3: she is a coveted get.
- 10:22Speaker 8: I didn't come out of my 2018 race in November
- 10:25Speaker 8: thinking I was getting ready to hop on and support
- 10:28Speaker 8: a presidential. In all honesty, I wanted to give myself
- 10:30Speaker 8: a year to get back involved. And I was telling
- 10:34Speaker 8: a friend that at lunch one day, that I'm just
- 10:37Speaker 8: going to sit on the sideline. And I literally saw
- 10:39Speaker 8: myself saying, I'm going to sit on the sideline and
- 10:42Speaker 8: immediately became disgusted because I had told people for over
- 10:45Speaker 8: two years to get off the sideline and to get
- 10:48Speaker 8: involved and to not give in to any of the
- 10:51Speaker 8: fear-mongering that was going on in our country. And so
- 10:54Speaker 8: in that moment, I made a decision to jump in.
- 10:57Speaker 3: She signed up with the Kamala Harris campaign in January.
- 11:00Speaker 8: She's going around with a 3 a.m. agenda right now,
- 11:02Speaker 8: the things that wake people up at night. And she's
- 11:04Speaker 8: taking those challenges and not just talking about them, but
- 11:08Speaker 8: creating authentic plans. that can address those issues and move
- 11:13Speaker 8: us in the right direction.
- 11:15Speaker 3: Did she ever call you at 3 a.m. just to, like, talk?
- 11:18Speaker 8: You know she doesn't call me at 3 a.m., and
- 11:20Speaker 8: I must say, if she did, I probably wouldn't hear
- 11:23Speaker 8: the phone.
- 11:26Speaker 3: Sometimes in Iowa, the best surrogates aren't elected officials or politicians.
- 11:30Speaker 3: In fact, a few of them can't even vote yet.
- 11:32Speaker 3: Tom Vilsack was the governor of Iowa for two terms.
- 11:35Speaker 3: Then he served as Barack Obama's secretary of agriculture. He
- 11:38Speaker 3: was a coveted endorsement in his own right But he
- 11:41Speaker 3: told me what might be one of my favorite Iowa
- 11:44Speaker 3: endorsement stories ever.
- 11:46Speaker 6: I was with President Obama in his first trip back
- 11:49Speaker 6: to Iowa after his election. We were going to Newton
- 11:52Speaker 6: to take a look at a windmill blade factory. He
- 11:56Speaker 6: was in Marine One. We were helicoptering from the Des
- 11:59Speaker 6: Moines airport to Newton. And he was looking out the
- 12:03Speaker 6: cornfields and he just sort of said out loud, 89 days,
- 12:06Speaker 6: 89 days. And he looked at me, he says, I
- 12:10Speaker 6: campaigned in Iowa 89 days. And Gibbs was with him
- 12:15Speaker 6: as the press secretary. And he said, tell Tom about
- 12:18Speaker 6: the cell phone. President Obama started chuckling. He said, at
- 12:21Speaker 6: the end of one of those long days, and Tommy,
- 12:23Speaker 6: you know what they're like.
- 12:24Speaker 5: Oh, yeah.
- 12:24Speaker 6: Eight or nine town hall meeting, people's living rooms, high schools, gymnasiums, whatever.
- 12:31Speaker 6: You're exhausted as a candidate. You get in the car
- 12:33Speaker 6: and a young staffer handed him a series of telephone numbers.
- 12:38Speaker 6: And he looked at the young staffer and he said, well,
- 12:40Speaker 6: what are these? They're telephone calls, sir, you have to make.
- 12:43Speaker 2: Who are they?
- 12:44Speaker 6: Are they labor leaders? Are they county chair people? Or
- 12:47Speaker 6: are they donors? Who am I calling here? The young
- 12:50Speaker 6: staffer said, well, they're high school students, sir. And he said,
- 12:55Speaker 6: high school students? And this young staffer said, oh, sir,
- 12:57Speaker 6: these people are just absolutely key. They're absolutely crucial to victory.
- 13:01Speaker 6: So being the dedicated candidate he was, he dialed the
- 13:05Speaker 6: first number. And it was a young woman who answered
- 13:07Speaker 6: the phone, and I don't remember what her name was,
- 13:09Speaker 6: but just for the sake of this, I'll say it
- 13:11Speaker 6: was Barbara. So the phone rings, Barbara answers it, and
- 13:16Speaker 6: then Senator Obama says, Barbara, this is Barack Obama. I
- 13:20Speaker 6: wondered if I could just spend a few minutes talking
- 13:22Speaker 6: to you about the caucus. And this young lady says, well, Barack,
- 13:27Speaker 6: doesn't call him Senator, just says, well, Barack, I'm in
- 13:30Speaker 6: a yearbook meeting, and if you want to call me
- 13:31Speaker 6: back in about 20 minutes, I'll be happy to visit
- 13:33Speaker 6: with you.
- 13:36Speaker 3: So I love this story for a couple of reasons. First,
- 13:39Speaker 3: it's a great illustration of the many ways Iowa can
- 13:42Speaker 3: knock you down a peg or two. And I think
- 13:44Speaker 3: that's important for these candidates. You might be speaking in
- 13:46Speaker 3: huge rallies or on national TV, but part of your
- 13:49Speaker 3: job is to prove that you will put in all
- 13:51Speaker 3: the work necessary to win the general election. So if
- 13:54Speaker 3: a 17-year-old sends you to voicemail, you deal with it.
- 13:58Speaker 3: But I also love it because it speaks to something
- 14:00Speaker 3: that I've seen a lot this cycle in Iowa. We
- 14:02Speaker 3: hear a lot about conflict between generations, right? Like half
- 14:06Speaker 3: of us are tweeting OK Boomer at people we don't know.
- 14:09Speaker 3: Others are criticizing millennials for allegedly spending their money on
- 14:12Speaker 3: avocado toasts, whatever bullshit. But in Iowa, you have these
- 14:16Speaker 3: FOs who are mostly in their 20s having earnest conversations.
- 14:20Speaker 3: serious in-depth conversations with potential caucus goers, folks who are
- 14:24Speaker 3: often in their 60s and 70s. And, you know, obviously
- 14:27Speaker 3: the field organizers are organizing students too and other young people,
- 14:30Speaker 3: but we kept seeing them sitting down with people much
- 14:33Speaker 3: older than they are and being taken really seriously. These
- 14:37Speaker 3: older people are listening to the organizers. Their words carry weight.
- 14:41Speaker 3: Olivia Ellis is the Warren field organizer we've hung out
- 14:43Speaker 3: with over the past couple episodes. And I talked with
- 14:46Speaker 3: her about this intergenerational phenomenon in the cavernous hallway after
- 14:51Speaker 3: an event with Elizabeth Warren. We've noticed in a bunch
- 14:55Speaker 3: of places how cool it is that FOs are generally
- 14:59Speaker 3: fairly young, right? You're pitching often older people, but they actually.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Seem to listen.
- 15:03Speaker 3: Do you ever think it's weird that you're telling some
- 15:07Speaker 3: 65-year-old person who to vote for?
- 15:08Speaker 9: Yeah, I get that. I think they want to feel
- 15:12Speaker 9: that hope, though. And they look at us and we're
- 15:15Speaker 9: a tangible representation of where our country can go. And
- 15:19Speaker 9: I think it's refreshing for them in some senses. I mean,
- 15:23Speaker 9: they look at me and I am barely off of
- 15:27Speaker 9: school and I miss my mom. And they just want
- 15:31Speaker 9: to take care of you. And one of my volunteers
- 15:34Speaker 9: brought me Advil the other day to the campus. And
- 15:37Speaker 9: so you really get to know each other and they And,
- 15:40Speaker 9: you know, yes, wanting a caucus for Elizabeth, but also
- 15:43Speaker 9: not wanting to disappoint me, which is nice.
- 15:47Speaker 3: Brianne Fonan-Steele sees this dynamic all the time. She's the
- 15:50Speaker 3: chief politics reporter at the Des Moines Register, and she
- 15:53Speaker 3: let us hang out with her at her office one morning.
- 15:55Speaker 7: I think in Iowa, at least, there's a culture of
- 15:57Speaker 7: having conversations about politics where it's not... strange. I make
- 16:02Speaker 7: a joke, and it's funny because it's mostly true, that
- 16:05Speaker 7: Iowa's the only place where you can talk to a
- 16:07Speaker 7: voter and they'll ask to go off the record, just
- 16:09Speaker 7: like a normal human at a campaign event, because they
- 16:12Speaker 7: have so many of these types of interactions. So I
- 16:15Speaker 7: think there's some kind of normalization of the process where
- 16:18Speaker 7: it's not unusual to hear from a 19, 20-year-old kid
- 16:21Speaker 7: and to understand that they're deeply engaged in this process
- 16:25Speaker 7: and to respect that They have moved away from their
- 16:28Speaker 7: home and invested their time and their money and their
- 16:30Speaker 7: energy into what this is. I think any activist, anyone
- 16:34Speaker 7: who's involved at politics and sees these organizers in action
- 16:38Speaker 7: knows how much they've invested of their time and their
- 16:41Speaker 7: energy and their heart into this process. And I think
- 16:43Speaker 7: you have to respect that even if it's not your candidate,
- 16:45Speaker 7: even if it's not your party.
- 16:48Speaker 3: That thing Brianne just said about talking to people not
- 16:51Speaker 3: from your party, that's a big deal. It's important to
- 16:53Speaker 3: know that while caucuses are divided by party, you can
- 16:56Speaker 3: choose which party you caucus for on caucus night. So,
- 17:00Speaker 3: for example, somebody who voted for Trump in 2016 can
- 17:03Speaker 3: show up at their local Democratic caucus on February 3rd, 2020,
- 17:07Speaker 3: change their party registration, and participate. So field organizers across
- 17:12Speaker 3: Iowa are working hard to recapture some of those people
- 17:14Speaker 3: who might have voted for Obama twice, but then voted
- 17:16Speaker 3: for Trump.
- 17:18Speaker 6: You know, I think there are a number of people
- 17:20Speaker 6: who are very passionate about President Trump who will be
- 17:22Speaker 6: with him until the last dog dies.
- 17:25Speaker 3: Here's Secretary Tom Vilsack again.
- 17:28Speaker 6: But I also think that there are an equal number
- 17:30Speaker 6: of folks who are deeply concerned and are fearful of
- 17:34Speaker 6: what another four years could mean. And then there are
- 17:36Speaker 6: the folks in the middle that are uncomfortable with just
- 17:40Speaker 6: the direction. But I think there's a larger number than usual.
- 17:44Speaker 6: of people who say we've got to win this election
- 17:47Speaker 6: and I'm making my choice based on who I think
- 17:51Speaker 6: can make the case to that wavering voter.
- 17:55Speaker 3: I asked Secretary Vilsack the question that kind of prompted
- 17:58Speaker 3: this whole show, which is, is Iowa the best place
- 18:01Speaker 3: to make the first choice, especially since it is so
- 18:03Speaker 3: much less racially diverse than the country as a whole
- 18:06Speaker 3: and then the Democratic Party as a whole?
- 18:08Speaker 6: Well, let me challenge the premise of the question.
- 18:11Speaker 5: Okay.
- 18:12Speaker 6: I can't make the case that we are as diverse
- 18:14Speaker 6: as most of the other states in the country.
- 18:16Speaker 4: We're not.
- 18:17Speaker 6: But we are disproportionately rural. And that is a segment
- 18:23Speaker 6: of America's population that often gets disregarded within the Democratic
- 18:29Speaker 6: Party and often gets taken for granted by the other side.
- 18:33Speaker 6: And I think that needs to be part of electing
- 18:36Speaker 6: a president because 15% of America's population lives in rural areas. places,
- 18:43Speaker 6: that's roughly the equivalent of the African-American population, roughly equivalent
- 18:47Speaker 6: to the Hispanic and Latino population. So it seems to
- 18:51Speaker 6: me that it makes sense to have in the mix
- 18:55Speaker 6: a state that has a significant representation of that group
- 19:00Speaker 6: of Americans.
- 19:02Speaker 3: Last question for you about Iowa as hopefully a purple state.
- 19:05Speaker 3: I mean, I just remember being really struck when I
- 19:07Speaker 3: woke up after election day 2016 and I saw that
- 19:10Speaker 3: Donald Trump had won all of those eastern Iowa river
- 19:14Speaker 3: counties that President Obama had won, that previous Democrats had
- 19:19Speaker 3: done well in. I'm curious why you think all those
- 19:22Speaker 3: counties might have gone to Trump and whether you think
- 19:24Speaker 3: the state may or may not be poised to change
- 19:28Speaker 3: back to a blue state or whether it's Republican for
- 19:31Speaker 3: a while.
- 19:32Speaker 6: Well, look, I think at the end of 2016, what
- 19:35Speaker 6: people were deeply concerned about was the inability of government
- 19:40Speaker 6: to do anything. to get anything done. I think people
- 19:44Speaker 6: were looking for someone that they believed could cut through
- 19:48Speaker 6: all of that, and so they were willing to give
- 19:51Speaker 6: Donald Trump a chance. When you run for reelection, you
- 19:55Speaker 6: don't get.
- 19:55Speaker 3: The benefit of that.
- 19:56Speaker 6: His approval rating in Iowa is well below what his
- 20:00Speaker 6: electoral margin was. And I think if we have a
- 20:04Speaker 6: candidate who has a certain level of boldness to attack
- 20:10Speaker 6: big problems, but who also conveys a sense of steadiness,
- 20:15Speaker 6: I think Iowans along all of those river communities, as
- 20:19Speaker 6: well as the internal part of the state, will give
- 20:21Speaker 6: that candidate a very close look. I think if we
- 20:25Speaker 6: have that kind of candidate, I think we can win Iowa.
- 20:27Speaker 6: I think we can win Wisconsin. I think we can
- 20:29Speaker 6: win Michigan. I think we can win Pennsylvania.
- 20:32Speaker 3: I really, really hope he's right. When I spoke with
- 20:35Speaker 3: Secretary Vilsack in late summer, he wasn't ready to say
- 20:38Speaker 3: who he'd back in the caucuses. Right before Thanksgiving, though,
- 20:41Speaker 3: he and his wife announced their support for Joe Biden.
- 20:44Speaker 3: When we come back, and apologies in advance to all
- 20:46Speaker 3: those rural voters that Vilsack was just championing, all the
- 20:49Speaker 3: arguments against Iowa going first. We're back. I'm Tommy Vitor,
- 21:04Speaker 3: and this is episode three of our special series on
- 21:06Speaker 3: the Iowa caucuses. And here is where we go negative
- 21:12Speaker 3: on the state of Iowa. I have talked about all
- 21:15Speaker 3: the reasons I loved living in Iowa and working there
- 21:18Speaker 3: for Barack Obama and think the process can be great.
- 21:20Speaker 3: But there are a lot of valid criticisms of Iowa's
- 21:23Speaker 3: role in the process and of caucuses generally that we
- 21:26Speaker 3: should talk about. Here's presidential candidate Julian Castro on MSNBC
- 21:31Speaker 3: talking about one of the biggest criticisms you'll hear about Iowa.
- 21:34Speaker 10: I actually believe that we do need to change the
- 21:38Speaker 10: order of the states, because I don't believe that we're
- 21:42Speaker 10: the same country we were in 1972. Our country has
- 21:45Speaker 10: changed a lot in those 50 years. The Democratic Party
- 21:48Speaker 10: has changed a lot. What I really appreciate about Iowans
- 21:51Speaker 10: and the folks in New Hampshire is that they take
- 21:54Speaker 10: this process very seriously.
- 21:55Speaker 2: They vet the candidates.
- 21:57Speaker 10: They show up at town halls.
- 21:58Speaker 3: They give people a good hearing.
- 22:01Speaker 10: At the same time, demographically, it's not reflective of the
- 22:05Speaker 10: United States as a whole, certainly not reflective of the
- 22:08Speaker 10: Democratic Party. And I believe that other states should have
- 22:11Speaker 10: their chance.
- 22:12Speaker 3: According to the 2018 census, Iowa is 90 percent white.
- 22:17Speaker 3: The U.S. as a whole is about three quarters white.
- 22:20Speaker 3: Castro's larger point is that the Democratic Party depends heavily
- 22:23Speaker 3: on African-American voters, especially African-American women. But the states that
- 22:27Speaker 3: make the first choices, Iowa and New Hampshire, don't have
- 22:30Speaker 3: a lot of African-American residents. Just 4% of Iowans are
- 22:33Speaker 3: Black compared to 13% of the country. This is true
- 22:37Speaker 3: for Latinx people, too. 6% of Iowans are Hispanic or
- 22:40Speaker 3: Latino compared to about 18% of the rest of the country.
- 22:44Speaker 3: The fact that Castro is willing to say this publicly
- 22:47Speaker 3: is new and, frankly, it's brave politically. It's not like
- 22:50Speaker 3: the racial makeup of Iowa is a secret to the
- 22:53Speaker 3: other people running, but most of them don't want to
- 22:55Speaker 3: knock the state because, obviously, they want to win it.
- 22:58Speaker 3: Charlie Pierce, on the other hand, is more than happy
- 23:00Speaker 3: to talk shit about Iowa. He's the lead political reporter
- 23:03Speaker 3: at Esquire magazine. He's covered politics since the early 70s,
- 23:06Speaker 3: and we ran into each other at the Iowa State
- 23:08Speaker 3: Fair back in August.
- 23:10Speaker 4: I think caucuses are, you know, one of the worst.
- 23:12Speaker 11: Ideas anyone ever came up with.
- 23:15Speaker 5: Why?
- 23:15Speaker 8: Because they're not democratic, they're gamed.
- 23:18Speaker 4: When you have a state like this where the demographics
- 23:20Speaker 4: are so skewed, they don't really tell you anything. I've
- 23:23Speaker 4: seen better organized riots.
- 23:26Speaker 3: So one big critique are the demographics of the state.
- 23:28Speaker 3: But there are a lot of criticisms of caucuses themselves.
- 23:32Speaker 11: Sure. I've heard every one. Maybe some of you haven't
- 23:35Speaker 11: heard of.
- 23:36Speaker 3: Richard Bender helped set up the system in Iowa.
- 23:38Speaker 11: I've been talking to people about this literally since 1970.
- 23:42Speaker 11: So I've heard everything. Some of them are not wrong,
- 23:46Speaker 11: you know. There are basically two concerns that are somewhat related.
- 23:51Speaker 11: One is it takes a long time. You have to
- 23:54Speaker 11: go for quite a while.
- 23:56Speaker 3: You have to show up to your caucus location by
- 23:58Speaker 3: 7 p.m. But because of the realigning and the stuff
- 24:01Speaker 3: we talked about last time, you might end up being
- 24:03Speaker 3: there for a couple of hours. This year, if your
- 24:06Speaker 3: candidate has enough support to cross that 15 percent viability
- 24:09Speaker 3: threshold on the first round, you can actually just sign
- 24:11Speaker 3: a card and leave. And that's new. And the idea
- 24:14Speaker 3: is just to help people get out of there faster. Okay,
- 24:17Speaker 3: next problem.
- 24:18Speaker 11: The big problem is there's one particular time on one
- 24:22Speaker 11: particular day. That's a problem because some people can't make it.
- 24:28Speaker 11: They may work, they may be out of town, they
- 24:31Speaker 11: may have a new baby, you know.
- 24:34Speaker 3: Or you might have a disability, which can make it
- 24:36Speaker 3: hard to get to the caucuses, or hard to participate
- 24:39Speaker 3: once you get there. Jane Hudson is the director of
- 24:42Speaker 3: Disability Rights Iowa, and we caught up with her at
- 24:44Speaker 3: the state fair.
- 24:46Speaker 8: It is very exciting.
- 24:47Speaker 5: It's a very unique Iowa thing to have your neighbors
- 24:51Speaker 5: around you in a high school gym. But you go in,
- 24:55Speaker 5: it's very crowded. People who have disabilities can't stand for
- 25:01Speaker 5: two hours or three hours.
- 25:04Speaker 8: There's just a lot of issues.
- 25:05Speaker 5: People with autism or PTSD, it's a very loud, stimulating environment.
- 25:12Speaker 5: There's no place to go for a quiet room to
- 25:14Speaker 5: get away for a while.
- 25:16Speaker 3: Remember, there's nearly 1,700 caucus locations, and those locations weren't
- 25:20Speaker 3: designed for this purpose. So there's not always enough chairs.
- 25:23Speaker 3: Not all caucuses have microphones, so it can be hard
- 25:26Speaker 3: to hear. Basically, you end up standing around a loud
- 25:28Speaker 3: room for a long time, and that's not easy for
- 25:31Speaker 3: a lot of people. This cycle, the Iowa Democratic Party
- 25:34Speaker 3: tried to launch something called a virtual caucus. The idea
- 25:36Speaker 3: was to let people call in and participate by phone.
- 25:39Speaker 3: But that ended up getting axed because the DNC was
- 25:41Speaker 3: worried it would be vulnerable to hackers. What is on
- 25:44Speaker 3: the table is something called a satellite caucus. Here's Troy Price,
- 25:48Speaker 3: chair of the Iowa Democratic Party.
- 25:50Speaker 12: So satellite caucus is basically just creating more caucus sites.
- 25:53Speaker 12: And so it's an application based process.
- 25:56Speaker 3: So if there's a big hospital. And a bunch of
- 25:58Speaker 3: doctors and nurses work there and they can't leave for
- 26:01Speaker 3: obvious reasons. They could apply and say, we'd like to
- 26:03Speaker 3: have a caucus location in our break room. Yeah, that's right.
- 26:06Speaker 12: We had four sites last cycle. We had three at
- 26:10Speaker 12: state-run institutions that were capturing the state employees that worked
- 26:14Speaker 12: at those places. And we had one at a nursing
- 26:16Speaker 12: home in Iowa City. That one had over 100 people
- 26:18Speaker 12: at it. So we know that it works. We know
- 26:20Speaker 12: that this can expand participation. And so We're trying to
- 26:23Speaker 12: find that right balance of not cannibalizing precinct caucus participation,
- 26:29Speaker 12: but making sure that we can get those folks who
- 26:31Speaker 12: can't otherwise get there.
- 26:33Speaker 3: One last knock on the caucuses that you hear a lot.
- 26:36Speaker 3: When a lot of people show up, the caucus locations
- 26:38Speaker 3: get hot and crowded, and it could just be a
- 26:40Speaker 3: miserable experience, which I think it actually was for a
- 26:43Speaker 3: lot of people in 2016. In 2020, the party is
- 26:46Speaker 3: expecting turnout to be even higher. And even though people
- 26:49Speaker 3: can now leave after their candidate is deemed viable... The
- 26:52Speaker 3: party is preparing for huge crowds.
- 26:55Speaker 12: We're talking to the campaigns about what they're seeing out there.
- 26:58Speaker 12: I mean, just given the energy that's out there right now,
- 27:00Speaker 12: given the number of candidates that are organizing right now,
- 27:04Speaker 12: we do think this will be our highest caucus turnout ever.
- 27:06Speaker 12: And so, you know, it would not surprise me if
- 27:09Speaker 12: we got into the high 200,000s, but we're going to
- 27:12Speaker 12: prepare for it.
- 27:13Speaker 3: The party and the campaigns aren't just preparing for a
- 27:15Speaker 3: big turnout. They are counting on it to beat Donald
- 27:17Speaker 3: Trump in the general election. Here's Olivia Ellis, Elizabeth Warren's
- 27:20Speaker 3: field organizer.
- 27:21Speaker 9: If we're really going to do this, if we're going
- 27:24Speaker 9: to beat Donald Trump, like, we need to have unprecedented
- 27:28Speaker 9: numbers and turnout. And the only way people are going
- 27:30Speaker 9: to turn out is if they really believe in the candidate, right?
- 27:33Speaker 9: And so we've been asking people on the doors, like,
- 27:35Speaker 9: what do you value? Like, what do you want out
- 27:39Speaker 9: of a president?
- 27:41Speaker 3: When I started talking to people for this series back
- 27:43Speaker 3: in the summer, the field felt too big and unwieldy, and,
- 27:47Speaker 3: you know, everybody I talked to assumed it would have
- 27:49Speaker 3: narrowed significantly by now. But Somehow, here it is in
- 27:52Speaker 3: December and we are adding candidates as fast as we
- 27:55Speaker 3: are losing them. Next time, we hang with those candidates.
- 27:59Speaker 3: We'll go to an Elizabeth Warren event. A Bernie rally.
- 28:08Speaker 6: All right, in a few minutes, we're going to get
- 28:10Speaker 6: warm because we're going to take a little walk.
- 28:12Speaker 11: We're going to take a walk for justice.
- 28:16Speaker 3: A Pete Buttigieg jam session.
- 28:21Speaker 5: When Pete takes the lead. Take the lead.
- 28:29Speaker 3: And a Cory Booker ukulele tribute. Seriously.
- 28:32Speaker 5: There's no need to build that wall. The poles are wrong.
- 28:41Speaker 5: In time they'll change.
- 28:49Speaker 3: We'll go to one of the biggest nights of the
- 28:50Speaker 3: campaign season in Iowa and see who's got the muscle
- 28:53Speaker 3: to turn their folks out. Because as the caucus gets closer,
- 28:56Speaker 3: the campaigning is going to be very intense. And we'll
- 28:59Speaker 3: talk through all the other ways we could pick our nominee.
- 29:02Speaker 3: See you back in Iowa next week. I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 29:08Speaker 3: This series is produced by Kat Aaron. Production help from
- 29:11Speaker 3: Justine Daum and Agarenish Ashagre. Joel Lovell is our editor.
- 29:16Speaker 3: Music and mixing by Hannes Brand. The audio of Secretary
- 29:20Speaker 3: Julian Castro talking about racial demographics in Iowa is courtesy
- 29:23Speaker 3: of MSNBC. The executive producers at Pineapple Street Studios are
- 29:27Speaker 3: Jenna Weiss-Berman and Max Linsky. Thanks to Elena Schwartz and
- 29:31Speaker 3: Nancy Rosenbaum. A special thank you to Tanya Sominator, Sarah Wick,
- 29:34Speaker 3: Michael Martinez, Kyle Seglin, Brian Semel, Nikki Fancy, and Jordan
- 29:38Speaker 3: Silver from the Crooked Media.
- 29:40Speaker 5: Team.