Latest / Sid & Friends In The Morning / K.T. McFarland | Former Deputy National Security Advisor Speaks on Latest News Coming from the Middle East
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: My next guest. Her daughter is a big time politician
- 0:04Speaker 1: down in South Florida. I'm very proud of her. Kat
- 0:07Speaker 1: mcfalland and Katy, I think you'd agree that a lot
- 0:09Speaker 1: of these candidates, even Nixon down in Florida, they win
- 0:13Speaker 1: the primary, yes, but winning the ge that's a whole
- 0:16Speaker 1: different story.
- 0:19Speaker 2: Well, and they're likely those candidates communist candidates who won
- 0:23Speaker 2: let's call them what they are, communist candidates. They're not
- 0:26Speaker 2: going to win the general and in fact, they're going
- 0:28Speaker 2: to lose the general by even more so. At the
- 0:30Speaker 2: end of the day, I think the Democrat Party is
- 0:32Speaker 2: either is further weakened by having these fringe lunatic left
- 0:38Speaker 2: wing candadates.
- 0:40Speaker 1: They really are fringed lunatics. I'm not even sure they're fringe.
- 0:44Speaker 1: They're getting a little more popularity, but you're right, they're
- 0:46Speaker 1: not going to win the general election. So I love
- 0:49Speaker 1: having you won everybody, because you, really, of all my
- 0:53Speaker 1: guests all week long, give me the most info on
- 0:56Speaker 1: the Iran conflict. Then you and I go back and forth.
- 0:58Speaker 1: I disagree sometimes what you say, but you certainly do
- 1:01Speaker 1: a tremendous job of proving your case. So I know
- 1:05Speaker 1: the last couple of days, the President has been really
- 1:09Speaker 1: hesitant to even talk about the complict he has. He's
- 1:12Speaker 1: moved on to other issues and doesn't really want to
- 1:14Speaker 1: talk about He won much the last couple of days.
- 1:17Speaker 1: Where are we this Friday? KT in that conflict?
- 1:21Speaker 2: I think we've already won. Now we haven't signed a
- 1:24Speaker 2: peace agreement. But what were the objectives of the Iran
- 1:26Speaker 2: We're going into it? Stop their nuclear program. The nuclear
- 1:29Speaker 2: programs underpiled under rubble. If they try to clear the
- 1:33Speaker 2: rubble and restart the nuclear program, fine, we just bomb
- 1:36Speaker 2: it again. If they try to build a new nuclear
- 1:38Speaker 2: agrismon facilities in new mountains, sun, we bomb those. We
- 1:41Speaker 2: can see what's happening on every square inch of Iran
- 1:44Speaker 2: right now. We're watching that with our satellite and other technologies.
- 1:48Speaker 2: To just bombit when they try to rebuild a nuclear program.
- 1:51Speaker 2: So the nuclear program done, what's the next part of it?
- 1:55Speaker 2: Straight up hormus and keeping world energy? Where is that
- 2:00Speaker 2: shifts through? They're getting through by turning off their responders.
- 2:05Speaker 2: That's like a GPS system, so they're not you know,
- 2:09Speaker 2: nobody knows that they're getting through except us, because we're
- 2:11Speaker 2: helping them get through, but we know that probably ten
- 2:14Speaker 2: million they're alls a day, which is about half of
- 2:17Speaker 2: the normal flow through the Strait of Ramus that is
- 2:20Speaker 2: getting through, and it's getting through on the southern route,
- 2:23Speaker 2: the Omani Coast route. And why we know that because
- 2:26Speaker 2: we look at the price of oil and we look
- 2:28Speaker 2: at how much oil is in the world. It's coming
- 2:30Speaker 2: from somewhere. Some of it's coming from the United States.
- 2:33Speaker 2: The United States is now the world as a result
- 2:35Speaker 2: of the Iron War, the world is now. The US
- 2:38Speaker 2: is now the world's largest exporter of crude, refined oil,
- 2:42Speaker 2: liquefied natural gas, and not by a little bit, by
- 2:44Speaker 2: an order of magnitude. So it's been good for business
- 2:47Speaker 2: for US. And then the second way the oil is
- 2:50Speaker 2: getting through the region is through pipelines. There were existing
- 2:53Speaker 2: pipelines before and some of it, especially from the uae
- 2:56Speaker 2: Iraq others, traveled by pipeline to reach their market, but
- 3:00Speaker 2: those pipelines have now been jazzed up. More oil is
- 3:03Speaker 2: going through the pipelines and there's a race to build
- 3:06Speaker 2: more pipelines new pipeline including pipelines going to the Mediterranean
- 3:10Speaker 2: from the Middle East. So the value that Iran has
- 3:13Speaker 2: of the strait of Hermus is an ability to blackmail
- 3:16Speaker 2: the world. And they've used that straight of removes for
- 3:18Speaker 2: fifty years to blackmail the world, going back to the
- 3:22Speaker 2: Reagan administration when I work for President Reagan, they mine
- 3:25Speaker 2: the strait of removes, they throw the world economy into uproar.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Now they won't be able to do it because oil
- 3:30Speaker 2: is coming from different places and it's moving differently. So
- 3:35Speaker 2: in that regard, Iran is no longer has the ability
- 3:37Speaker 2: to blackmail the world. And then the third thing is
- 3:41Speaker 2: what is their threat to the region. Where their threats
- 3:44Speaker 2: of the region has been massively reduced? Has be lah Amas,
- 3:47Speaker 2: the Hutis, the Cyria all has gone or greatly just
- 3:51Speaker 2: greatly greatly devalued, And so what by the.
- 3:54Speaker 1: Way, if that's true, and if that's true, then you
- 3:58Speaker 1: you know, you have to give a lot of credit
- 3:59Speaker 1: to Israel for not just.
- 4:00Speaker 2: US one hundred percent, one hundred percent to Israel because
- 4:05Speaker 2: Israel took out the proxies. Israel helped us with intelligence
- 4:10Speaker 2: first of all with the attack that we did at
- 4:12Speaker 2: night hammer are taking out the nuclear sites. But also
- 4:14Speaker 2: Israel in everybody's back pocket is the ability to take
- 4:19Speaker 2: out the next, second, third, fourth tier of leadership and
- 4:23Speaker 2: around is Israel knows the sad knows where all those
- 4:26Speaker 2: guys are and how to get them.
- 4:28Speaker 1: Yeah, also haven't gotten They also know who's out there
- 4:31Speaker 1: trying to kill the president. They've saved this life a
- 4:33Speaker 1: couple of times. So I would just just to play
- 4:35Speaker 1: double's advocate, because you know, I love Trump as much
- 4:38Speaker 1: as you do, and and I love them every bit
- 4:41Speaker 1: today as I did, you know, ten nine years ago,
- 4:43Speaker 1: because I did both Hillory. But if all this is
- 4:46Speaker 1: true and we've won, and I don't think we've won.
- 4:48Speaker 1: I think we're winning. I think his detractors that say
- 4:51Speaker 1: we lost the war blah blah blah, that's ridiculous. I
- 4:54Speaker 1: do think we're winning. But but this game's not over.
- 4:56Speaker 1: From me. I'm in the sixth inning. It's a nine
- 4:58Speaker 1: inning baseball game. But the I said, if you're right
- 5:01Speaker 1: and we won and all the news is good news,
- 5:04Speaker 1: why is this approval rating so miserable?
- 5:09Speaker 2: I mean part of it is he doesn't explain it.
- 5:11Speaker 2: I mean that was one of my frustrations in working
- 5:13Speaker 2: with President Trump in the first term. He sees the
- 5:16Speaker 2: big picture, he sees, you know, all the moves, and
- 5:19Speaker 2: he sees the moves five years down the road, but
- 5:22Speaker 2: he doesn't explain it to the American people. I think
- 5:25Speaker 2: he figures that everybody gets it already, and they don't.
- 5:28Speaker 2: It's because he's so far ahead in thinking of the
- 5:31Speaker 2: various moves down the chessboard. I mean, for example, what's
- 5:34Speaker 2: the big takeaway from the Iran or put the iron
- 5:37Speaker 2: part of it out of your mind for a minute.
- 5:39Speaker 2: The big takeaways. We've transformed the Middle East, first with
- 5:42Speaker 2: the Abraham Accords and now with the golf Arabs for
- 5:46Speaker 2: the most part working with us, fighting with US against Iran.
- 5:51Speaker 2: That's a huge transformation. If you and I had had
- 5:54Speaker 2: a conversation a year ago saying, well, you know, some
- 5:56Speaker 2: of the golf Arabs countries would be working with Israel
- 6:00Speaker 2: against Iran, you'd laugh at me. The golf Arabs have
- 6:03Speaker 2: never worked with Israel, and now they're working with Israel.
- 6:05Speaker 2: So that's a big change. And then the next change
- 6:08Speaker 2: is that we now dominate world energy, not only because
- 6:11Speaker 2: of Trump's economic policies and energy policies in the US,
- 6:15Speaker 2: but because of our new relationship with Venezuela and all
- 6:20Speaker 2: Fair Oil, our new relationship with US, golf Arab countries
- 6:23Speaker 2: and all fair oil. And so we're now in the
- 6:26Speaker 2: what are the dominant not not just self sufficient, not
- 6:28Speaker 2: just energy independent, dominant energy power in the world. Now,
- 6:32Speaker 2: why does that matter? Well, it always matters for manufacturing
- 6:35Speaker 2: and various other things in the economy, but it really
- 6:38Speaker 2: matters when you look ahead. What's the next transformative technology
- 6:43Speaker 2: that's going to change the world? Artificial intelligence. We're ahead
- 6:48Speaker 2: of the technology of it, but we're also ahead in
- 6:50Speaker 2: the energy because it requires massive amounts of energy. So
- 6:54Speaker 2: I think present time needs to tell that to the
- 6:56Speaker 2: American people don't get it. And if there's a temporary
- 7:00Speaker 2: you know, four dollars and twelve cents for gasoline for
- 7:03Speaker 2: the next month or two, I think America understands that Reiders.
- 7:07Speaker 1: Is reporting that only a single number of ships are
- 7:11Speaker 1: passing through the horm move straight every day. So you know,
- 7:15Speaker 1: you're just it's kind of like, who do you believe today?
- 7:17Speaker 1: What is, of course is not exactly a fund of
- 7:19Speaker 1: the administration. I get that, but there are agencies that
- 7:23Speaker 1: are saying that only less than ten ships a day
- 7:26Speaker 1: are going through the straight. They're just just out there.
- 7:29Speaker 1: I don't know what do you say, when you see.
- 7:31Speaker 2: That, so here where you see that? What there? That
- 7:35Speaker 2: conclusion is the tracking that international groups are doing of
- 7:39Speaker 2: the ships. Well, how do you track a ship basically
- 7:42Speaker 2: through GPS. They're called responders on ainy ship and those
- 7:45Speaker 2: are turning off the ships are getting through the strait
- 7:49Speaker 2: that they're turning off their GPS system. So the people
- 7:52Speaker 2: who are tracking it, who look only for the GPS signal,
- 7:55Speaker 2: they're not seeing a GPS signal. They're not realizing that
- 7:58Speaker 2: those ships are going through the strait. So I would
- 8:01Speaker 2: say that's kind of flawed data. Look at the inevitability
- 8:04Speaker 2: of the numbers. Why is gasoline still I guess eighty
- 8:09Speaker 2: eight dollars a barrel today, but it's in the between.
- 8:12Speaker 2: It's bet between seventy eighty eighty five dollars a barrel.
- 8:15Speaker 2: And it has been whether there's been a ceasefire or
- 8:17Speaker 2: no cease fire, whether the strait has been open, whether
- 8:20Speaker 2: strait has been close. The importance of the Strait of
- 8:23Speaker 2: Remouse is a diminishing asset for a run. And then
- 8:27Speaker 2: the people who are clamored for regime change, and I
- 8:29Speaker 2: would love to see regime change. I don't think it's
- 8:31Speaker 2: an American first objective. Our objective is the nukes. Our
- 8:35Speaker 2: objective is the energy the Strait of Remouse. But regime
- 8:39Speaker 2: change that era. You know what happened yesterday. The head
- 8:42Speaker 2: of the Bank of Iran and the speaker of the
- 8:44Speaker 2: Parliamum of Iran both gave speeches and they said, we
- 8:48Speaker 2: can't go on like this with the economy in free fall,
- 8:52Speaker 2: not to win.
- 8:53Speaker 1: I want to ask you this though, if God forbid,
- 8:56Speaker 1: we don't win in twenty eight, whether it's J. D.
- 8:58Speaker 1: Van till Malco Rubio, we don't win, Okay, in some
- 9:00Speaker 1: lunatic democrat, which is I really can't even think of somebody.
- 9:04Speaker 1: That's how ridiculous this hypothetical is. But whatever, you know,
- 9:08Speaker 1: the uh, it doesn't go well for Trump. You know,
- 9:10Speaker 1: we lose the House. They impeach him every day, and
- 9:13Speaker 1: this has all got forbid stuff, of course, and a
- 9:15Speaker 1: Democrat actually wins. Has Trump done stuff during this conflict
- 9:21Speaker 1: that is democrat proof? Or if they take over in
- 9:25Speaker 1: a couple of years, do they unravel all of this?
- 9:30Speaker 2: I think it's if a normal Democrat were to take over,
- 9:33Speaker 2: it's Trump has put it into practice, right, like the
- 9:37Speaker 2: low drug prices, for example, I don't think any Democrat,
- 9:41Speaker 2: normal democrat, is going to say, okay, let's go back
- 9:43Speaker 2: to a really high drug price.
- 9:44Speaker 1: Oh I got to tell you, actually, I actually had
- 9:46Speaker 1: doctor ozon this morning. I very rarely have a guest
- 9:48Speaker 1: Katie at six point thirty in the morning, but he
- 9:50Speaker 1: came on. He actually called us to come on. And
- 9:54Speaker 1: one of the people that is championing what President Trump
- 9:57Speaker 1: did here, believe it or not, Mark Cuban. He would
- 10:02Speaker 1: have thought, right, right, right right. So he's got that
- 10:05Speaker 1: the Dow Jones is putting up big, big numbers. The
- 10:09Speaker 1: price of eggs, like he pointed out along on the
- 10:11Speaker 1: last week, is down. You know, eventually interest rates would
- 10:14Speaker 1: wash in control. They're going to come down. So a
- 10:17Speaker 1: lot of the economic indicators favor President John.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Here's the example I used. So I was in the
- 10:24Speaker 2: Reagan administration. I'm a cold warrior, and when President Reagan
- 10:27Speaker 2: was elected in nineteen eighty, the economy was devastating shape.
- 10:31Speaker 2: Where there were gasoline lines, there was rationing. If you
- 10:34Speaker 2: want to get a mortgage for your house, I don't
- 10:36Speaker 2: like eighteen percent, twenty percent, like you know, rates that
- 10:40Speaker 2: nobody could really afford. There was massive inflation, there was
- 10:43Speaker 2: massive unemployment. Economy was a wreck. And what happened. Reagan
- 10:47Speaker 2: came in and changed everything. He changed the tax laws,
- 10:51Speaker 2: he changed the regulatory laws. He encouraged energy production, He
- 10:55Speaker 2: rebuilt the American defenses. He did all those things. But
- 10:58Speaker 2: the academy didn't turn around. It's like a big super thinker.
- 11:02Speaker 2: It takes a while to turn that around. And it
- 11:05Speaker 2: did not turn around. By nineteen eighty two in the midterms,
- 11:08Speaker 2: it was still people were still thrilling in the pain
- 11:10Speaker 2: and they'd see no gain, and so Reagan lost the midterms.
- 11:13Speaker 2: But what happened is that, so that's November nineteen eighty two,
- 11:16Speaker 2: lost the midterms, economy is still looking bad. Within six months,
- 11:20Speaker 2: the economy turned around and it was the biggest most
- 11:24Speaker 2: successful run economic bull market run in American history so far.
- 11:30Speaker 2: And I think that's what Trump faces now. The economy
- 11:32Speaker 2: is going to turn around for all the reasons you've
- 11:34Speaker 2: just said, it just hasn't quite happened yet. When it happens,
- 11:38Speaker 2: off to the races, you know, economy, energy prices are
- 11:41Speaker 2: going to come down, artificial intelligence is taking over that
- 11:45Speaker 2: we're going to be leading all the trillion twenty trillion
- 11:48Speaker 2: dollars in new investment into the United States. Factories are
- 11:51Speaker 2: being built, jobs, they'll be there, it'll be spectacular. It
- 11:55Speaker 2: just hasn't quite happened yet. And that's what's so frustrating.
- 11:57Speaker 2: And I think again, explain that to the American peace
- 12:00Speaker 2: right of.
- 12:00Speaker 1: Course, right, that's gonna bode the question. So the Trump
- 12:04Speaker 1: detractors are gonna say, well, these wars he lied to us.
- 12:08Speaker 1: America first, no more new wars. This is not a
- 12:10Speaker 1: new war, you dumb bastards. They started this forty seven
- 12:14Speaker 1: years ago. I'm sick of trying to explain it to people.
- 12:16Speaker 1: But the new war, you know he got, he lied
- 12:19Speaker 1: to us. It's not America first, all these wars costing
- 12:23Speaker 1: us a fortune, all the money we give to Israel.
- 12:26Speaker 1: That's why. Okay, that's gonna be the excuse from the
- 12:30Speaker 1: Trump detractor. Now, the Trump fan like me says, hold
- 12:35Speaker 1: on a second. I don't think you guys even realize
- 12:38Speaker 1: how bad Joe Biden left this country for Trump. So
- 12:43Speaker 1: bad every possible way, world wars, the economy, race relations,
- 12:50Speaker 1: you name it. Joe Biden gave Trump literally a bag
- 12:54Speaker 1: of horsecrap. And it's gonna take a while to fix it.
- 12:57Speaker 1: Those are gonna be the two schools of thought. Trump
- 12:59Speaker 1: needs to really go out there and drive home what
- 13:03Speaker 1: I just said.
- 13:05Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, where would gasoline prices be right now?
- 13:07Speaker 2: With show energy Joe Biden's energy policy, we wouldn't have
- 13:10Speaker 2: American energy dominance. Where would drug prices be under Joe
- 13:14Speaker 2: Biden's economy? Where would we be with regard to the
- 13:17Speaker 2: Middle East? Probably you know, more in the Middle East,
- 13:19Speaker 2: because Iran would develop nuclear well, by.
- 13:21Speaker 1: The way too, and we'd still have hostages in uh
- 13:25Speaker 1: in Gaza. Don't forget those morons, Biden and Harris. He's
- 13:29Speaker 1: really a moron, she said, Remember this, I studied the maps.
- 13:32Speaker 1: You studied nothing. She said, do not go into Rapa. Well,
- 13:36Speaker 1: as it turns out, Trump went in and he saved
- 13:39Speaker 1: a whole bunch of hostages. And by the way, we
- 13:42Speaker 1: killed Sinwar in Rapa. So my guess is there would
- 13:46Speaker 1: still be hostages and still huge conflict between Israel and Hamas.
- 13:52Speaker 2: And that's not absolutely and that's not to mention. I
- 13:55Speaker 2: mean those proxies as Balahamas, et cetera, would be more
- 13:58Speaker 2: powerful under Joe Biden. And what would happen with our
- 14:01Speaker 2: with regard to our situation in South America. We now
- 14:03Speaker 2: have South America is turning into trump Land, right because
- 14:08Speaker 2: Raginkina is led by a pro Trump guy. Brazil is
- 14:11Speaker 2: going to have an election with a pro Trump guy.
- 14:13Speaker 2: A number of other countries in the region will probably
- 14:16Speaker 2: have a deal with Cuba to get rid of the remaining,
- 14:20Speaker 2: you know, octogenarian communists in Cuba and have a flourishing
- 14:24Speaker 2: new relationship with a post communist Cuba. That would happen
- 14:28Speaker 2: if a Democrat was in even a moderate Democrat wouldn't
- 14:30Speaker 2: get you there. And as far as who would win
- 14:34Speaker 2: a Democrat election, who would be the next per I mean,
- 14:36Speaker 2: let's say, in a crazy nightmare, it's AOC. What's she
- 14:40Speaker 2: going to do? Going to like fun the police, defriend
- 14:43Speaker 2: the military. You know, you just compared to Donald Trump,
- 14:46Speaker 2: who by twenty twenty eight the American economy will be
- 14:49Speaker 2: off to the races. I don't think so.
- 14:51Speaker 1: What a disaster. Oh God, just have thought of that,
- 14:54Speaker 1: good rulin. The whole weekend. Come on, you've got a
- 14:56Speaker 1: big weekend in Southampton, don't you.
- 14:59Speaker 2: You always have a big one.
- 15:00Speaker 1: I know, I was here last Friday night at the
- 15:02Speaker 1: Roberts House. Boy Willie is a beautiful place I had dinner.
- 15:05Speaker 1: You must know this place. I think it's seventy five
- 15:08Speaker 1: Main Street, is that right?
- 15:09Speaker 2: I certainly know it very well. Absolutely, it was a
- 15:12Speaker 2: great place. And breakfast is John's for John cass Well.
- 15:15Speaker 2: I shouldn't probably say it to your millions of followers,
- 15:17Speaker 2: but that's a big, big, important place in the life
- 15:20Speaker 2: of Southampton.
- 15:21Speaker 1: Okay, gotcha? And H I mentioned you to everybody there
- 15:24Speaker 1: just so you know they love you. That K team
- 15:25Speaker 1: at Fallen and I love you here. You do a
- 15:27Speaker 1: great job every Friday. Will you a tremendous job. Thank
- 15:29Speaker 1: you so much.
- 15:31Speaker 2: It's an honor and a pleasure.
- 15:32Speaker 1: Thank you me too, KT, the great KT mcfauland right
- 15:35Speaker 1: here on sidon Friends in the Morning really does the
- 15:37Speaker 1: spectacular job every week.
- 15:40Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to SIT and Friends in the Morning.
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- 16:09Speaker 1: What the heck is going on here