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9-28-26 Can the S&P 500 Really Reach 9,000?

Can the S&P 500 really reach 9,000? Jefferies has set a 9,000 target for the index by the end of 2027, but getting there may require nearly everything to go right. Lance Roberts examines the assumptions behind that forecast, including earnings growth, historically high profit margins, AI-driven capital spending, market valuations, and interest rates. With earnings estimates moving higher instead of following their typical pattern of downward revisions, Wall Street’s outlook has become increasingly optimistic. But what happens if earnings growth slows, margins begin to mean-revert, AI spending…

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