Latest / Pod Save America / “Joe, put your records on.” (Debate recap special!)
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:22Speaker 3: I'm Tommy Vitor. All right, guys, we had.
- 0:24Speaker 1: Another big debate last night. Last night in Houston, the
- 0:28Speaker 1: 10 highest polling Democratic candidates appeared on the same stage
- 0:31Speaker 1: at the same time in a debate that included Joe Biden,
- 0:34Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang,
- 0:37Speaker 1: Cory Booker, Beto O'Rourke, Amy Klobuchar, and Julian Castro. It
- 0:40Speaker 1: was the first time that Biden and Warren were on
- 0:42Speaker 1: stage together, which some people thought was going to lead
- 0:44Speaker 1: to fireworks. But with a few exceptions that we're going
- 0:47Speaker 1: to talk about, I would argue that it's probably the
- 0:51Speaker 1: least combative debate so far. What do you guys think?
- 0:54Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think there's a reason for that. Two
- 0:57Speaker 2: reasons for it. The first is, I think everyone felt
- 1:00Speaker 2: terrible after the last debate when everyone fought each other.
- 1:03Speaker 1: And the hangover just lasted a couple months.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Yeah, so everyone fought each other and Barack Obama, which
- 1:07Speaker 2: seemed like a bad idea. But also, everyone on stage
- 1:10Speaker 2: last night has already qualified for the next debate, so
- 1:13Speaker 2: there is no need for... to light yourself on fire
- 1:16Speaker 2: to get from 1% to 2% or get another 30,000
- 1:18Speaker 2: online donors. So they could play it a little safer.
- 1:21Speaker 3: Despite there not being a need to do so, some
- 1:24Speaker 3: candidates may have.
- 1:25Speaker 1: There was some fire. I mean, right.
- 1:27Speaker 3: It was surprising to me in the earlier debates how
- 1:32Speaker 3: nasty it got this early because generally you kind of
- 1:36Speaker 3: want to be seen as nice through the Iowa caucuses
- 1:39Speaker 3: because of the way the political process works there. And it's,
- 1:42Speaker 3: I think, notable that one of the big moments everyone's
- 1:44Speaker 3: talking about this morning is Julian Castro's exchange with Joe
- 1:47Speaker 3: Biden because it was seen as particularly negative.
- 1:50Speaker 1: Yeah, it will. And we'll talk about that in a bit.
- 1:52Speaker 1: But it stood out because I do think you could
- 1:55Speaker 1: count the number of times in the opening statements and
- 1:58Speaker 1: then throughout the debate that candidates said, look, there's so
- 2:01Speaker 1: much more that unites us than divides us. And how
- 2:05Speaker 1: many times they all praised Barack Obama. It was almost crazy.
- 2:08Speaker 1: A bit of an overcorrection, if we're really being honest.
- 2:11Speaker 1: It was very obvious what they were doing, but I
- 2:13Speaker 1: was happy about it. I was happy about it. So
- 2:16Speaker 1: it did start with a 30-minute mini-debate on health care, again,
- 2:21Speaker 1: where Biden criticized Warren and Sanders for the cost of
- 2:24Speaker 1: Medicare for all and was joined this time by Amy
- 2:27Speaker 1: Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg. Let's hear a clip.
- 2:31Speaker 4: I think we should have a debate on health care.
- 2:33Speaker 4: I think I know that the senator says she's for Bernie, well,
- 2:38Speaker 4: I'm for Barack. I think the Obamacare worked. I think
- 2:41Speaker 4: the way we add to it, replace everything that's been cut,
- 2:44Speaker 4: add a public option, guarantee that everyone will be able
- 2:48Speaker 4: to have affordable insurance, number one. Number two, I think
- 2:52Speaker 4: we should be in a position of taking a look
- 2:54Speaker 4: at what costs are. My plan for health care costs
- 2:56Speaker 4: a lot of money. It costs $ 740 billion. It doesn't
- 3:00Speaker 4: cost $ 30 trillion.
- 3:03Speaker 1: So did this health care discussion... break any new ground?
- 3:08Speaker 1: Did it move the ball forward? Does it seem to
- 3:09Speaker 1: you guys like we're going in a cul-de-sac every time
- 3:12Speaker 1: we get into this discussion of Medicare for All?
- 3:16Speaker 2: It was a little different this time because it became
- 3:19Speaker 2: a conversation between Biden, Bernie, and Elizabeth Warren. And in
- 3:24Speaker 2: previous debates, there has been some moderate off in the
- 3:29Speaker 2: wings who has led this debate, whether it was John
- 3:31Speaker 2: Delaney or Michael Bennett or someone else. And so at
- 3:34Speaker 2: least this was a conversation between Biden, Warren and Bernie Sanders.
- 3:39Speaker 2: And Biden was leading the charge for his plan and
- 3:42Speaker 2: being the one delivering the criticism of Medicare for all,
- 3:45Speaker 2: as opposed to what's happened in the past, which is
- 3:47Speaker 2: sort of this less relevant figure sort of getting their
- 3:50Speaker 2: ass kicked by Warren or Bernie.
- 3:52Speaker 1: What did you think, Tommy?
- 3:53Speaker 3: Yeah, look, as a non-healthcare wonk at this table, it
- 3:57Speaker 3: did feel a little redundant to me and sometimes hard
- 3:59Speaker 3: to follow. And I do wonder how much people at
- 4:01Speaker 3: home are able to follow it. It was interesting to
- 4:04Speaker 3: hear one of the lead candidates, top candidates, make the
- 4:06Speaker 3: case against Medicare for All for the first time. I
- 4:09Speaker 3: think maybe some points were scored. Bernie also made an
- 4:13Speaker 3: important point I thought about healthcare coverage generally, which is
- 4:15Speaker 3: this idea that under some of the other plans that
- 4:18Speaker 3: are Medicare for All that you can actually keep your
- 4:20Speaker 3: private insurance if you like it. That's not really true
- 4:23Speaker 3: because employers have the chance to change your insurance at
- 4:26Speaker 3: any time, right? So it's a broader critique of the
- 4:29Speaker 3: private healthcare system that is interesting. I saw and heard
- 4:33Speaker 3: some Bernie folks express frustration that Elizabeth Warren didn't more
- 4:38Speaker 3: forcefully stand up for Medicare for all writ large. I
- 4:42Speaker 3: don't know if that's a small anecdote or the beginning
- 4:46Speaker 3: of a schism, but it was notable to me.
- 4:48Speaker 1: I didn't notice that. I thought she was pretty aggressive
- 4:52Speaker 1: in her defense of Medicare for all. I think her
- 4:57Speaker 1: and Bernie both made good points, like you said, Bernie,
- 4:59Speaker 1: about how you could lose your doctor under some of
- 5:02Speaker 1: these other plans. And Warren talking about how no one
- 5:05Speaker 1: really loves their insurance company, which is different than saying
- 5:08Speaker 1: no one loves their plan.
- 5:09Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 5:10Speaker 1: Right. She very pointedly did not say that because polling
- 5:13Speaker 1: shows that some people do like their plan. But I
- 5:15Speaker 1: think it is pretty safe to say that no one
- 5:16Speaker 1: loves their insurance company.
- 5:18Speaker 3: I mean, yeah.
- 5:19Speaker 1: And she said, you know, what they love is you
- 5:20Speaker 1: love your doctor, you love your physical therapist, you love
- 5:23Speaker 1: your nurse, the hospital you go to. And under Medicare
- 5:26Speaker 1: for all, you would be able to keep all of
- 5:28Speaker 1: that and choose all of that, which is very true.
- 5:30Speaker 1: I think where Biden sort of opened up some questions
- 5:33Speaker 1: is around the issue of cost, which we have. We've
- 5:35Speaker 1: been so stuck on this. Get rid of private insurance,
- 5:38Speaker 1: eliminate it, kick people off, whatever, whatever that means. but
- 5:41Speaker 1: the cost we haven't really talked about a lot. And
- 5:43Speaker 1: I think, you know, Biden tried to point out at least,
- 5:45Speaker 1: you know, Bernie's been honest about raising taxes on the
- 5:47Speaker 1: middle class to fund his plan. Elizabeth Warren has not
- 5:50Speaker 1: been willing to say that. And then she talked once
- 5:53Speaker 1: again about, and she, she is unwilling to talk about that.
- 5:56Speaker 1: But she, what she says is overall costs for families
- 5:59Speaker 1: will go down, which is true, which is true, but
- 6:03Speaker 1: that's still, people are going to get most families and
- 6:06Speaker 1: people are going to get a higher tax bill. And again,
- 6:10Speaker 1: if your employer pays a lot of your premiums and
- 6:12Speaker 1: then they stop doing that because there's a government-run plan,
- 6:15Speaker 1: do you notice that savings?
- 6:18Speaker 2: I think.
- 6:18Speaker 1: It's an open question.
- 6:19Speaker 2: Warren has made it a big part of her strategy
- 6:22Speaker 2: to reject the premise of questions asked from a Republican
- 6:26Speaker 2: or conservative point of view and sort of call that out.
- 6:29Speaker 2: And I think 95% of the time, that is an
- 6:32Speaker 2: incredibly effective strategy. More Democrats need to do that. And
- 6:35Speaker 2: most of these questions are coming from a conservative point
- 6:39Speaker 2: of view. They are written in prospective Republican talking points
- 6:43Speaker 2: in a general election. But I think on this issue,
- 6:47Speaker 2: this is going to be asked in every debate going forward.
- 6:50Speaker 2: And if she is the nominee, it's going to be
- 6:51Speaker 2: the question. And it is hard for her, especially since
- 6:55Speaker 2: her brand has become very authentic, honest policy walk, to
- 6:59Speaker 2: look like she is not answering this question over time.
- 7:01Speaker 2: Because as you point out, taxes will go up. And
- 7:04Speaker 2: most people, and she is right about the right way
- 7:07Speaker 2: to frame the question.
- 7:08Speaker 5: Yes.
- 7:09Speaker 2: But this is how the question is being asked. And eventually,
- 7:12Speaker 2: I think it's going to get challenging because there are
- 7:13Speaker 2: going to be some people, as there are in every policy,
- 7:17Speaker 2: there are winners and losers. Medicare for All has way
- 7:19Speaker 2: more winners and losers, but there are going to be
- 7:21Speaker 2: some people whose taxes go up more than they will
- 7:25Speaker 2: save in health care costs because they are not sick
- 7:26Speaker 2: or they don't go to the doctor very often or
- 7:28Speaker 2: they're not interacting with the health care system at such
- 7:30Speaker 2: a rate. And that is a fact. And if Elizabeth
- 7:32Speaker 2: Warren is president or Bernie Sanders is president or anyone
- 7:35Speaker 2: who's going to push for Medicare for All is president,
- 7:37Speaker 2: getting there without having an honest discussion about the loser's
- 7:41Speaker 2: and what a small percentage of people they are, it
- 7:43Speaker 2: makes putting that law into place much harder.
- 7:46Speaker 3: Yeah, we learned that the hard way.
- 7:47Speaker 1: Yeah. The only other thing I'd say on this is
- 7:50Speaker 1: I don't know that the Medicare for All candidates have
- 7:55Speaker 1: yet made an argument as to why a plan like
- 8:00Speaker 1: a Medicare for America plan, like Beto O'Rourke's, a Kamala
- 8:03Speaker 1: Harris's plan, where you still have a choice of private
- 8:07Speaker 1: insurance at the end if you want it, are bad.
- 8:11Speaker 1: You know, they've made a pretty good case of why
- 8:12Speaker 1: doing nothing is bad, but, you know, leaving the ACAs,
- 8:15Speaker 1: it is as bad. But I don't know if I've,
- 8:18Speaker 1: you know, I think they've said, well, you don't get
- 8:20Speaker 1: as much efficiency out of the system. It's more costly
- 8:24Speaker 1: overall if we still have insurance companies in the mix.
- 8:26Speaker 1: And that is true. But I don't know if efficiency
- 8:28Speaker 1: is the best argument to people who may still want
- 8:31Speaker 1: that choice. And I think they probably next time around
- 8:34Speaker 1: have to do a better job saying, no, no, no,
- 8:36Speaker 1: Kamala's plan or Beto's plan or some of these plans
- 8:37Speaker 1: that get close to Medicare for all but don't quite
- 8:40Speaker 1: get there. are risky and bad.
- 8:43Speaker 3: Yeah, it's really an argument against the concept of private
- 8:47Speaker 3: insurance and a system where money can be pulled out
- 8:50Speaker 3: of the healthcare system in the form of profits by corporations.
- 8:54Speaker 3: That's a really fundamental critique that I think requires people
- 8:58Speaker 3: to step back and think bigger about the healthcare system
- 9:01Speaker 3: writ large and not necessarily about their lives, their premiums,
- 9:04Speaker 3: for it to really seem meaningful.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's right.
- 9:06Speaker 2: Can we make one more point on Medicare for All?
- 9:08Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 9:09Speaker 2: Is a point John, you have made privately, not publicly, but.
- 9:12Speaker 3: It's the, and we're.
- 9:16Speaker 2: About to find out how closely people listen to this podcast,
- 9:18Speaker 2: but is Biden's argument that Elizabeth Warren is with Bernie
- 9:25Speaker 2: and he is with Barack is fundamentally flawed.
- 9:27Speaker 1: Oh, thank you. I would like you to say why.
- 9:29Speaker 1: I did make this argument publicly. I said this to Ryan,
- 9:32Speaker 1: who asked about this last night for his piece. Um, so, um, Yeah.
- 9:37Speaker 1: When he said, I'm with Barack and Elizabeth Warren's with Bernie,
- 9:41Speaker 1: I was waiting for Elizabeth Warren to respond. Actually, there
- 9:44Speaker 1: is one person last year who said that Medicare for
- 9:47Speaker 1: all is a good idea. That person is Barack Obama.
- 9:51Speaker 1: So the idea that by saying that you want to
- 9:53Speaker 1: add to the Affordable Care Act by going all the
- 9:55Speaker 1: way to Medicare for all is somehow scrapping the Affordable
- 9:58Speaker 1: Care Act and like tarnishing Barack Obama's legacy is something
- 10:02Speaker 1: that Barack Obama himself does not believe.
- 10:04Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's said as much for many, many years.
- 10:06Speaker 1: And it's said as much, well in 2018 was the
- 10:08Speaker 1: first time he came out for Medicare for All.
- 10:12Speaker 3: Way before that he said, if I could start from
- 10:14Speaker 3: scratch I would have gone for the single payer system
- 10:16Speaker 3: but we didn't start from scratch, we started with the
- 10:18Speaker 3: the pre-ACA system, so he built on it.
- 10:20Speaker 1: Yeah, but he went out further than he ever has
- 10:24Speaker 1: in the midterm campaigns and said Medicare for All is
- 10:27Speaker 1: a good idea.
- 10:28Speaker 2: It makes me very uncomfortable that whether you were for
- 10:33Speaker 2: Medicare for All, Medicare for America, or the ACA with
- 10:36Speaker 2: a public option is somehow a test of your support
- 10:40Speaker 2: for Obama's legacy. And I think that is a... It
- 10:43Speaker 2: cheapens the conversation, and I think it's frankly unfair to
- 10:46Speaker 2: Barack Obama because.
- 10:49Speaker 2: We should not use a false or incorrect presumption of
- 10:53Speaker 2: his position to divide the party.
- 10:57Speaker 1: Plenty of actual policy differences between those plans to argue over. Plenty.
- 11:01Speaker 1: So the most contentious moment of the night, Tommy, as
- 11:04Speaker 1: you mentioned earlier, came when Julian Castro criticized Joe Biden's
- 11:07Speaker 1: health care plan for not automatically enrolling everyone who's uninsured
- 11:12Speaker 1: in a Medicare-like program. Let's take a listen.
- 11:15Speaker 7: Barack Obama's vision was not to leave 10 million people uncovered.
- 11:18Speaker 7: He wanted every single person in this country covered.
- 11:21Speaker 2: My plan would do that. Your plan would not.
- 11:23Speaker 4: They do not have to buy in. They do not
- 11:26Speaker 4: have to buy in.
- 11:26Speaker 7: You just said that. You just said that two minutes ago.
- 11:29Speaker 7: You just said two minutes ago that they would have
- 11:31Speaker 7: to buy in.
- 11:32Speaker 4: You said they would have to buy in.
- 11:35Speaker 7: Are you forgetting what you said two minutes ago? Are
- 11:37Speaker 7: you forgetting already what you said just two minutes ago?
- 11:43Speaker 7: I mean, I can't believe that you said two minutes
- 11:45Speaker 7: ago that they had to buy in.
- 11:47Speaker 2: And now you're saying they don't have to buy. You're
- 11:49Speaker 2: forgetting that.
- 11:49Speaker 3: Oh, that was fun.
- 11:53Speaker 1: So the clip started with Castro. But I just we
- 11:56Speaker 1: should just put out there what Biden said before that
- 12:00Speaker 1: clip started. Early on, as he's describing his plan, he said, quote,
- 12:06Speaker 1: anyone who can't afford it gets automatically enrolled in the
- 12:09Speaker 1: Medicare type option we have. That is true. That is
- 12:13Speaker 1: about his plan. His plan basically says, if you qualify
- 12:16Speaker 1: for Medicaid, but you don't get Medicaid because you're in
- 12:18Speaker 1: one of the states that didn't expand, you will automatically
- 12:21Speaker 1: be enrolled in a premium free Medicare program, free. And
- 12:27Speaker 1: then by later set, if you lose your job, you
- 12:30Speaker 1: can automatically buy into this plan, right? So if you
- 12:34Speaker 1: are a higher income, but you lose your job, you
- 12:36Speaker 1: can then buy into his public option. It is not
- 12:39Speaker 1: automatic enrollment and it is not necessarily free. For some
- 12:43Speaker 1: people who lose their jobs, it may be free if
- 12:44Speaker 1: you qualify under a certain income level. So that's what
- 12:47Speaker 1: was said. So on one hand, you can understand that
- 12:51Speaker 1: Castro heard him say the word buy. But what I
- 12:55Speaker 1: think was sort of, I guess, unfair about this is
- 12:59Speaker 1: Biden goes back and is clearly saying, no, no, no,
- 13:02Speaker 1: I was talking about people who qualify for Medicaid and
- 13:07Speaker 1: they get automatically enrolled. You were talking about your poor grandmother,
- 13:10Speaker 1: and I was saying she would be automatically enrolled. And
- 13:12Speaker 1: as Biden's saying that, Castro just keeps yelling over him
- 13:15Speaker 1: and saying, you forgot, you forgot, you forgot. So, you know,
- 13:18Speaker 1: I don't think it's as big of a deal on
- 13:20Speaker 1: either side, as everyone said, but it's still, it struck
- 13:22Speaker 1: me as a bit unfair.
- 13:25Speaker 2: Candidates go into debates with a couple of moments or
- 13:30Speaker 2: zingers or whatever that they want to land.
- 13:32Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 13:33Speaker 2: And it seems... and I'd like to see a report
- 13:35Speaker 2: on this, but it seemed from watching this that Castro
- 13:38Speaker 2: went in this debate looking for an opportunity to question
- 13:41Speaker 2: Biden's capacity, to sort of push on the open door
- 13:44Speaker 2: of the conversation about Biden's age and his gaffes that
- 13:48Speaker 2: has been happening on Twitter, in the media, in the
- 13:50Speaker 2: early states. And he went and did that. I think
- 13:53Speaker 2: this was an unfair... We can have a conversation about
- 13:55Speaker 2: whether that conversation is in bounds in a Democratic primary,
- 13:58Speaker 2: non-Democratic debate stage. This was a poor place to land in.
- 14:02Speaker 2: I don't think it worked for Castro. in the context
- 14:04Speaker 2: of this debate and may hurt him in the long run.
- 14:06Speaker 1: Tommy, what did you think? Yeah.
- 14:08Speaker 3: So, you know, Mayor Pete sort of sweeps in later
- 14:11Speaker 3: in this conversation. It's like, this is why everyone hates
- 14:13Speaker 3: watching these debates and everyone hates politics. And Castro responded,
- 14:16Speaker 3: this is what debates are for. And he's right. Debates
- 14:18Speaker 3: are for figuring out the nuances of policy, holding people
- 14:23Speaker 3: accountable for past statements and arguing. But if you come
- 14:28Speaker 3: off like you are being condescending to a man who
- 14:32Speaker 3: was the vice president of the United States for eight years,
- 14:34Speaker 3: I think it's not going to read well to people.
- 14:36Speaker 3: And I think that's the reaction you're seeing. You know,
- 14:38Speaker 3: he kind of like had like a, hey, Wolfer Brindley,
- 14:40Speaker 3: you forget your meds kind of vibe. And that's, I
- 14:44Speaker 3: think it's human nature to see someone do that and
- 14:46Speaker 3: to think, hey, you're kind of being a jerk. Now,
- 14:48Speaker 3: that said, long term, what Castro's comment did, and Cory
- 14:52Speaker 3: Booker addressed this on CNN later and made sort of
- 14:55Speaker 3: a similar comment, comment about Biden's mental acuity. This could
- 15:00Speaker 3: give reporters a news hook to cover this discussion more
- 15:04Speaker 3: and to talk about Biden's age more. And ultimately, it
- 15:06Speaker 3: could hurt Biden. Now, I think a discussion about age
- 15:09Speaker 3: is perfectly legitimate. I do think we should talk about
- 15:12Speaker 3: people's fitness for the job. If you're too old for it,
- 15:13Speaker 3: if you're too young for it, it's relevant.
- 15:18Speaker 1: I saw a bunch of people on Twitter this morning
- 15:20Speaker 1: saying like, oh, what is this about being mean to
- 15:23Speaker 1: poor Joe Biden and he's going to have to take
- 15:25Speaker 1: this in the general election if he's running against Trump
- 15:28Speaker 1: and Trump's going to be mean to him and people
- 15:31Speaker 1: should be able to question the frontrunner. Yes, of course.
- 15:34Speaker 1: Of course all of that is true. No one thinks
- 15:36Speaker 1: that Donald Trump is going to run some kind of
- 15:38Speaker 1: a nice, honest campaign against Joe Biden.
- 15:41Speaker 2: You're so cynical.
- 15:43Speaker 1: Who thinks that, right? And of course people should be
- 15:46Speaker 1: able to criticize Joe Biden. Kamala Harris in the first
- 15:49Speaker 1: debate went pretty hard at Joe Biden and was almost
- 15:53Speaker 1: universally praised for it and went up in the polls afterwards.
- 15:57Speaker 1: And I think it was a completely inbounds critique of
- 16:00Speaker 1: Joe Biden. I think in the second debate, Cory Booker,
- 16:03Speaker 1: a lot of people, including us, said he had the
- 16:04Speaker 1: best debate. And he went after Biden, I think, in
- 16:07Speaker 1: a very fair way.
- 16:08Speaker 3: I mean, Bernie went after Biden in several debates on
- 16:11Speaker 3: his vote for the Iraq war. And it's a perfectly
- 16:13Speaker 3: legitimate policy conversation that should be raised and should be discussed,
- 16:17Speaker 3: especially when Biden is presenting himself as a person with
- 16:19Speaker 3: the best experience and judgment on foreign policy. But there's
- 16:22Speaker 3: also the, you know, style points aspect of politics. And
- 16:26Speaker 3: if you kind of seem like a jerk, people are
- 16:28Speaker 3: going to think you're a jerk.
- 16:29Speaker 1: And I think to that end, in the first debate,
- 16:32Speaker 1: I think it was the first debate, when Eric Swalwell
- 16:34Speaker 1: started like yelling about passing the torch, he got roundly
- 16:37Speaker 1: criticized for that. And people said it was going too far.
- 16:40Speaker 1: And I think they were right there too. It did
- 16:42Speaker 1: seem pretty silly. It's not about like the legitimacy of,
- 16:47Speaker 1: should you attack the front runner? How dare you attack
- 16:49Speaker 1: Joe Biden? He's a vice president, blah, blah, blah. It's
- 16:51Speaker 1: not about that. It's like, does your critique of the
- 16:54Speaker 1: other candidate, A, ring true, and B, seem like it's
- 17:00Speaker 1: coming from a fair place? Or does it seem like
- 17:02Speaker 1: it was choreographed, scripted, calculated? And look, what we know
- 17:07Speaker 1: is Castro's people told reporters ahead of the debate, uh,
- 17:11Speaker 1: our candidate is going to go after someone at this debate,
- 17:14Speaker 1: but we're not going to tell you who.
- 17:16Speaker 3: Why don't we do like a Clue-style murder mystery?
- 17:20Speaker 1: We criticized Biden's campaign for this, too, because they said, oh,
- 17:23Speaker 1: we're going to go after, and they didn't do it,
- 17:25Speaker 1: we're going to go after Elizabeth Warren's record on businesses
- 17:29Speaker 1: that she worked with or something like that, and they
- 17:30Speaker 1: telegraphed that attack. Again, whether it's Biden doing it, Casper
- 17:33Speaker 1: doing it, or anyone doing it, telegraphing who you're going
- 17:37Speaker 1: to attack before the debate leaves you open to be
- 17:39Speaker 1: criticized for that attack seeming phony. Just the way it is. Okay,
- 17:46Speaker 1: so the next big moment in the debate came in
- 17:48Speaker 1: response to a question on gun safety. Let's listen to
- 17:52Speaker 1: the answer given by Beto O'Rourke.
- 17:55Speaker 2: You know the critics call this confiscation.
- 17:57Speaker 8: Are you proposing taking away their guns and how would
- 17:59Speaker 8: this work?
- 18:01Speaker 6: I am.
- 18:01Speaker 9: If it's a weapon that was designed to kill people
- 18:04Speaker 9: on a battlefield.
- 18:09Speaker 6: If.
- 18:10Speaker 9: The high-impact, high-velocity round when it hits your body shreds
- 18:14Speaker 9: everything inside of your body because it was designed to do.
- 18:17Speaker 1: That so that you would bleed to.
- 18:18Speaker 9: Death on a battlefield and not be able to get
- 18:20Speaker 9: up and kill one of our soldiers. When we see
- 18:23Speaker 9: that being used against children, And in Odessa, I met
- 18:27Speaker 9: the mother of a 15-year-old girl who was shot by
- 18:30Speaker 9: an AR-15. And that mother watched her bleed to death
- 18:33Speaker 9: over the course of an hour because so many other
- 18:36Speaker 9: people were shot by that AR-15 in Odessa and Midland.
- 18:39Speaker 9: There weren't enough ambulances to get to them in time.
- 18:42Speaker 9: Hell yes, we're going to take your AR-15, your AK-47.
- 18:44Speaker 9: We're not going to allow it to be used against
- 18:45Speaker 9: our fellow.
- 18:47Speaker 7: Americans anymore.
- 18:51Speaker 1: It seemed to me like that might have been the
- 18:53Speaker 1: best moment of the debate last night. I don't know
- 18:55Speaker 1: what you guys thought.
- 18:56Speaker 2: I thought so. I mean, it was passionate. It was powerful.
- 19:00Speaker 2: It came from a place of real emotion. And the
- 19:07Speaker 2: audience was responding because it was bold. And they were
- 19:11Speaker 2: responding to too much Democratic caution on guns. Now, the
- 19:15Speaker 2: people on that stage, many of them, have been more
- 19:18Speaker 2: aggressive and more progressive on dealing with guns than most
- 19:21Speaker 2: people in the Democratic Party. But it was just a
- 19:23Speaker 2: few days ago that the Democrats in the House decided
- 19:25Speaker 2: they were not going to vote on an assault weapons
- 19:27Speaker 2: ban because they thought it was bad politics and it
- 19:29Speaker 2: couldn't pass. And here's the thing that is, I think,
- 19:32Speaker 2: so important about what Beto said. And I think Julian
- 19:36Speaker 2: Castro and Cory Booker and others who have gone further
- 19:38Speaker 2: on things like guns, gun licensing, registration also deserve credit for.
- 19:41Speaker 2: But is it doesn't matter what your fucking position is.
- 19:45Speaker 2: The NRA is going to say you're coming for their guns.
- 19:48Speaker 2: They said it about Barack Obama twice. We didn't take guns, right?
- 19:52Speaker 2: They said it about Hillary Clinton. They said about every
- 19:54Speaker 2: Democrat who's ever fucking run. And there is, we've been
- 19:57Speaker 2: arguing this for a very long time, picking a position
- 20:01Speaker 2: of caution to try to appease the NRA or the
- 20:04Speaker 2: pro-gun crowd is a certain loser, because they will assign
- 20:09Speaker 2: a position to you that is not yours. So pick
- 20:11Speaker 2: the boldest position. They can get the response from the
- 20:13Speaker 2: people in that audience last night. Inspire people, right? Don't
- 20:17Speaker 2: do this out of boldness, not out of fear.
- 20:21Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, campaigning should change you as a
- 20:24Speaker 3: person and as a candidate, right? And clearly what happened
- 20:26Speaker 3: in El Paso struck Beto's community and himself and his
- 20:31Speaker 3: family deeply, and it's incredibly personal. And the thing that
- 20:33Speaker 3: made that answer really powerful was the way it built.
- 20:36Speaker 3: And you could tell he was getting actually emotional thinking
- 20:38Speaker 3: about the mother of this young kid who bled out
- 20:41Speaker 3: because she was shot by an AR-15. And so, yeah,
- 20:43Speaker 3: I think all of us, like me included, are sick
- 20:45Speaker 3: of politicians who sound afraid of the NRA. I appreciate
- 20:48Speaker 3: it as moral clarity. It was also interesting that Beto
- 20:51Speaker 3: got a bunch of praise from rivals on that stage
- 20:55Speaker 3: for his handling of what happened in El Paso and
- 20:57Speaker 3: the way he was there for the community. So you
- 20:59Speaker 3: can probably interpret that as them thinking he's no longer
- 21:01Speaker 3: a threat and trying to be Nice to him, but
- 21:05Speaker 3: I think it probably read to people watching at home
- 21:08Speaker 3: as a credit to his leadership. So it was a
- 21:10Speaker 3: very good moment for Beto O'Rourke. I think it reminded
- 21:12Speaker 3: people why they liked him in the Senate campaign.
- 21:14Speaker 1: I also think that sometimes when you take a pretty bold,
- 21:17Speaker 1: aggressive position, not always, but sometimes, it turns out that
- 21:22Speaker 1: most people agree with you. So it wasn't just the
- 21:24Speaker 1: people who clapped in that audience last night or activists
- 21:28Speaker 1: or people on Twitter, but the Washington Post last week
- 21:31Speaker 1: polled a mandatory... buyback of assault weapons, and it polled
- 21:34Speaker 1: at 52% support in the broader public. And I think, look,
- 21:39Speaker 1: we found similar results in our Wisconsin poll, even with
- 21:43Speaker 1: gun licensing, which Cory Booker has been out front on,
- 21:46Speaker 1: is also popular. You find out all these things are
- 21:49Speaker 1: more popular than we've been led to believe by pundits
- 21:53Speaker 1: and more cautious Democrats when you actually poll them. It's
- 21:56Speaker 1: not true for all issues, but it happens.
- 21:58Speaker 3: To be true for this one. We saw this in
- 21:59Speaker 3: a way, but the whole dumb fight about whether we
- 22:01Speaker 3: should talk to uh dictators without precondition like that was
- 22:04Speaker 3: something obama said the entire establishment told him he was
- 22:06Speaker 3: a naive idiot then the entire country said actually we're
- 22:09Speaker 3: with that.
- 22:09Speaker 1: Guy yeah and i one last thing about what beto
- 22:12Speaker 1: did which i think is interesting is it's one of
- 22:15Speaker 1: and there were a few other times but it's one
- 22:17Speaker 1: of the rare moments in these debates where a moment
- 22:21Speaker 1: outlasts the debate that's not about conflict with another candidate
- 22:25Speaker 1: like i think beto showed last night that you could
- 22:27Speaker 1: have a really memorable moment by expressing anger on behalf
- 22:33Speaker 1: of people and not just anger at another candidate. And look,
- 22:37Speaker 1: I think we're going to talk about this, but I
- 22:38Speaker 1: think Kamala did that a few times last night too,
- 22:40Speaker 1: by focusing on Trump a lot and speaking directly to
- 22:44Speaker 1: Trump in her opening statement and showed that, okay, we
- 22:48Speaker 1: can not fight our other candidates on stage, but still
- 22:51Speaker 1: seem really powerful, emotional, effective by sort of talking about
- 22:56Speaker 1: what unites Democrats and going after Donald Trump. So I
- 22:58Speaker 1: thought that was good.
- 22:59Speaker 2: Well, that's been one of the the bad lessons learned
- 23:03Speaker 2: from the first debate was Kamala Harris's attack on Biden,
- 23:06Speaker 2: which I thought was very fair.
- 23:08Speaker 1: Yeah, and effective.
- 23:09Speaker 2: And incredibly well executed and effective. But it led to
- 23:12Speaker 2: a temporary surge in her poll numbers. And the lesson
- 23:16Speaker 2: then was the best way to get into the top tier,
- 23:19Speaker 2: because it appeared that she moved into that top tier,
- 23:22Speaker 2: was to take a shot at someone else.
- 23:24Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 23:24Speaker 2: And then that second debate, everyone tried to do what
- 23:28Speaker 2: Kamala Harris did. And sort of the lesson from that
- 23:30Speaker 2: debate was that's not the right strategy. Julian Castro, who
- 23:35Speaker 2: actually made this debate stage by going after Beto O'Rourke
- 23:38Speaker 2: in the first debate, now believes that that is his
- 23:41Speaker 2: path to getting higher than 2% in the polls, because
- 23:44Speaker 2: he was the 10th qualifier on that. He was the
- 23:47Speaker 2: last one on the stage.
- 23:48Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 23:48Speaker 1: And I'll say, too, the other person, the other candidate
- 23:51Speaker 1: who really gets this, even though he's gone after Biden
- 23:54Speaker 1: in the past as well, is Cory Booker, who might
- 23:56Speaker 1: be one of the most consistent candidates good debaters of
- 24:00Speaker 1: all the candidates. But all the times that people have
- 24:02Speaker 1: said that Cory Booker's had a good performance, it's been
- 24:04Speaker 1: because he's spoken positively. And it's not because he just
- 24:09Speaker 1: goes after other people. He makes a pretty positive case.
- 24:11Speaker 3: He's able to be a happy warrior at all times
- 24:14Speaker 3: and tell stories about real people in this community and
- 24:17Speaker 3: do it with a smile. And I think it comes
- 24:19Speaker 3: off really well.
- 24:20Speaker 2: Can I challenge the idea that Booker is good at debates? Okay, yeah.
- 24:24Speaker 2: I think right now, Booker is basically playing the role
- 24:27Speaker 2: that Biden did in 2008. So if you guys remember
- 24:30Speaker 2: those debates... Not really. There were 37 of them, and
- 24:34Speaker 2: we hated all of them.
- 24:35Speaker 1: If you ask me who was on stage with Barack
- 24:37Speaker 1: Obama and Hillary Clinton, I'll tell you, like, Joe Biden,
- 24:39Speaker 1: Chris Dodd, and I can't remember who else.
- 24:41Speaker 2: Mike Revell. But so it was, like, in those debates,
- 24:45Speaker 2: it was a little bit like last night in that
- 24:48Speaker 2: there were these... There was Obama, Clinton... Edwards were the
- 24:51Speaker 2: three by far leaders in the race and they were
- 24:53Speaker 2: always fighting each other. And mostly Obama, Hillary and Edwards
- 24:56Speaker 2: was sort of coming in against both of them. But
- 24:58Speaker 2: Biden was always the happy warrior and he always had
- 25:01Speaker 2: good lines and he attacked Bush and he would attack
- 25:04Speaker 2: the Republicans. It's where he said Rudy Giuliani was a noun,
- 25:08Speaker 2: a verb in 9-11.
- 25:09Speaker 1: Oh, yeah.
- 25:09Speaker 2: And people always left that debate loving Joe Biden. But
- 25:14Speaker 2: they didn't leave that debate thinking Joe Biden should be
- 25:17Speaker 2: their choice for president.
- 25:18Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 25:18Speaker 2: And I think the challenge for Booker right now is.
- 25:20Speaker 3: Got that VP, though.
- 25:21Speaker 2: He did get that VP, so maybe that's what he's
- 25:23Speaker 2: going for. But is... I think Booker is smart. He
- 25:28Speaker 2: is passionate. He is very good on stage. He is
- 25:31Speaker 2: a happy warrior. But it is not clear to me
- 25:34Speaker 2: what strategic objective to advance his candidacy he is accomplishing
- 25:39Speaker 2: as he does that.
- 25:40Speaker 1: I think we can make the same argument about... I
- 25:43Speaker 1: think there's four people in this category to me. Booker, Beto... Klobuchar,
- 25:48Speaker 1: and Buttigieg, who I think of all, and I think
- 25:52Speaker 1: it's all four of them last night turned in very
- 25:55Speaker 1: good debate performances. And afterwards I was wondering, okay, but
- 26:00Speaker 1: what is it that's going to help you break into
- 26:01Speaker 1: that top tier? Because I also think you can argue,
- 26:04Speaker 1: we can talk about this later or now, that the
- 26:07Speaker 1: sort of understudy crowd may have overperformed the top three
- 26:13Speaker 1: frontrunners last night, just in last night's debate. Those four
- 26:17Speaker 1: candidates I mentioned. And I think Kamala Harris turned in
- 26:19Speaker 1: a pretty solid debate as well.
- 26:20Speaker 2: It's kind of hard to figure out where to put her. Yeah, right.
- 26:22Speaker 1: She's sort of between those two tiers.
- 26:24Speaker 2: But like by two points.
- 26:25Speaker 1: Right, yeah. But so I think you can make a
- 26:28Speaker 1: case that all of them had a pretty good debate.
- 26:29Speaker 1: But I wonder sort of where that leaves them and
- 26:31Speaker 1: how they actually break in. Yeah, it's a good point.
- 26:33Speaker 1: I mean, look, Booker didn't speak for the first 40 minutes.
- 26:36Speaker 1: So it's hard to say, oh, he had a great debate.
- 26:38Speaker 1: But then at the end, he got this goofy question
- 26:40Speaker 1: about the Amazon and veganism.
- 26:42Speaker 3: And he didn't take the bait on it. And then
- 26:44Speaker 3: actually became the only candidate on stage to talk about
- 26:46Speaker 3: Afghanistan and how we need to take care of veterans
- 26:48Speaker 3: when they come back. So I was like, oh, that
- 26:50Speaker 3: was smart and it was thoughtful and it was noticed
- 26:52Speaker 3: in the veterans community. Now, to your point, Dan, will
- 26:54Speaker 3: this help him become the nominee? I have no idea.
- 26:56Speaker 3: There's no indication that it has to date. I think
- 26:58Speaker 3: if Adisu was on with us right now as campaign manager,
- 27:01Speaker 3: he would say their plan is to organize, organize and
- 27:03Speaker 3: get hot later. And they're just kind of laying that groundwork. But,
- 27:06Speaker 3: you know, we'll see.
- 27:08Speaker 2: Like, I can look at that field. I can say
- 27:09Speaker 2: I know exactly what Amy Klobuchar was trying to do.
- 27:12Speaker 4: Yes.
- 27:13Speaker 2: And she was like, we can have a conversation about
- 27:16Speaker 2: how effective she wasn't doing it, but she was making
- 27:18Speaker 2: a moderate electability case. She was picking a lane and
- 27:21Speaker 2: she was running in it. I think I know what
- 27:23Speaker 2: Pete wanted to do. Not sure it was accomplished, but
- 27:26Speaker 2: he wanted to continue. He wanted to be the young,
- 27:30Speaker 2: moderate alternative to the three people at the top of
- 27:32Speaker 2: the stage. If you think Warren and Bernie are too
- 27:36Speaker 2: far left to win and you think Biden is too
- 27:39Speaker 2: old or damaged to win, Pete is your guy.
- 27:42Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 27:42Speaker 2: Beto was very specifically trying to recapture the magic of
- 27:45Speaker 2: his Senate race, which is about being an inspirational movement
- 27:51Speaker 2: candidate that can get people fired up and is willing
- 27:53Speaker 2: to say things that other politicians won't.
- 27:56Speaker 1: And sort of call out the bullshit of politics.
- 27:59Speaker 2: What drove him, made him an actual celebrity, was that
- 28:02Speaker 2: answer on Colin Kaepernick in the Senate race. This was
- 28:05Speaker 2: a similar thing. The Booker one is a mystery to me.
- 28:07Speaker 3: Yeah, that's fair.
- 28:08Speaker 10: Yeah.
- 28:09Speaker 1: I almost think he's trying to be like the... Like
- 28:12Speaker 1: an electable progressive alternative to the top three a little bit?
- 28:16Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 28:18Speaker 3: I think that they.
- 28:19Speaker 1: He's got his message.
- 28:20Speaker 8: Right.
- 28:21Speaker 3: I think that they think that a long-term, hopeful, optimistic
- 28:23Speaker 3: message will break through and be what people want in
- 28:26Speaker 3: the face of the Trump horribleness. Maybe that's right. Maybe
- 28:28Speaker 3: it's wrong.
- 28:29Speaker 1: And their argument is that Booker has been delivering that
- 28:31Speaker 1: message for his whole life and not just part of
- 28:34Speaker 1: this campaign. So he's got sort of a long record attached.
- 28:36Speaker 1: I think that's what they're going for.
- 28:37Speaker 7: Hey, Dan.
- 28:38Speaker 3: Breaking news. Sean Livingston's retiring.
- 28:39Speaker 2: I know I saw that. That's like a great opportunity
- 28:43Speaker 2: for the Crooked Media version of 30 for 30 sports
- 28:47Speaker 2: documentary podcast. I think you guys should really take up.
- 28:49Speaker 1: Dan, you live in San Francisco. Walk down the hall,
- 28:52Speaker 1: talk to Sarah Geisman. Let's talk about my other personal
- 29:05Speaker 1: favorite answer of the night, which also came during the
- 29:07Speaker 1: gun safety section from Elizabeth Warren.
- 29:09Speaker 5: We have a Congress that is beholden to the gun industry.
- 29:14Speaker 5: And unless we're willing to address that head-on and roll
- 29:19Speaker 5: back the filibuster, we're not going to get anything done
- 29:23Speaker 5: on guns. I was in the United States Senate when
- 29:27Speaker 5: 54 senators said, let's do background checks, let's get rid
- 29:31Speaker 5: of assault weapons. And with 54 senators, it failed because
- 29:36Speaker 5: of the filibuster. Until we attack the system, problems, we
- 29:41Speaker 5: can't get gun reform in this country. We've got to
- 29:45Speaker 5: go straight against the industry and we've got to change
- 29:48Speaker 5: Congress so it doesn't just work for the wealthy and well-connected,
- 29:52Speaker 5: so it works for the people.
- 29:55Speaker 1: Now, Bernie was also asked about the filibuster as a
- 29:57Speaker 1: follow-up and had a different response.
- 30:00Speaker 3: Would you support ending the filibuster?
- 30:02Speaker 6: No, but what I would support absolutely is passing major legislation.
- 30:07Speaker 6: The gun legislation that people here are talking about. Medicare
- 30:10Speaker 6: for all. Climate change legislation that saves the planet. I
- 30:15Speaker 6: will not wait for 60 votes to make that happen.
- 30:19Speaker 1: What's going on with Bernie here and the filibuster? Can
- 30:21Speaker 1: anyone figure this out? You pressed him on it for
- 30:23Speaker 1: like 10 minutes. I pressed him on it when he
- 30:25Speaker 1: was here. He gave me the same answer about... budget reconciliation,
- 30:31Speaker 1: whatever you want to call it, and having his vice
- 30:33Speaker 1: president basically just overrule the parliamentarian in the Senate to
- 30:38Speaker 1: get whatever you want passed, it pretty much seems like
- 30:40Speaker 1: an elimination of the filibuster in everything but name.
- 30:45Speaker 3: It's so confusing for a guy who hates the system
- 30:48Speaker 3: and wants to tear it down and, you know, like.
- 30:51Speaker 1: Shows the power of being in the Senate.
- 30:53Speaker 3: Why wouldn't you just be in favor of getting rid of...
- 30:55Speaker 3: I just don't get it.
- 30:56Speaker 1: Also, poor Bernie.
- 30:57Speaker 3: He sounded so sick. It would suck so badly to
- 31:00Speaker 3: go into a three hour debate with barely having your voice.
- 31:03Speaker 2: He didn't have his voice, but he had energy. Like
- 31:05Speaker 2: he didn't, you know, it was just hard to listen to.
- 31:11Speaker 2: Bernie's answer is nonsensical. Like, like let's, let's try to,
- 31:16Speaker 2: if you try to separate the substance from what he
- 31:19Speaker 2: said on stage, most of Medicare for all can be
- 31:22Speaker 2: passed using budget reconciliation, which is a 50 vote measure
- 31:27Speaker 2: that allows you to only requires 50 votes. It is
- 31:30Speaker 2: very limited in what can be included in a budget
- 31:32Speaker 2: reconciliation measure.
- 31:33Speaker 1: Things that have to do with the budget, basically. And
- 31:36Speaker 1: it gets very arcane.
- 31:38Speaker 2: And that is how we pass the Affordable Care Act.
- 31:41Speaker 2: There are parts of the law that we wish we
- 31:43Speaker 2: could have done that we couldn't do because of budget
- 31:45Speaker 2: reconciliation rules. So I don't know specifically what falls in
- 31:50Speaker 2: and what falls out of Bernie's plan via budget reconciliation,
- 31:52Speaker 2: but you could go down that path. The Green New
- 31:55Speaker 2: Deal is a very different deal.
- 31:57Speaker 1: So what Bernie's arguing is that when we were trying
- 32:00Speaker 1: to pass the ACA and couldn't pass some elements through
- 32:04Speaker 1: budget reconciliation, is that we should have had Vice President
- 32:08Speaker 1: Biden at the time just overrule, because he's the president
- 32:12Speaker 1: of the Senate, the vice president's president of the Senate
- 32:13Speaker 1: when your party's in control, that he should have just
- 32:16Speaker 1: gone to the Senate. And when the parliamentarian said, no,
- 32:19Speaker 1: you can't pass that through reconciliation, Biden could have just
- 32:22Speaker 1: said overruled by the Senate president, and then it just
- 32:24Speaker 1: would have moved forward, which we can test that out
- 32:28Speaker 1: if you can do that. But To me, the only
- 32:31Speaker 1: difference between that and completely eliminating the filibuster is Bernie's
- 32:34Speaker 1: basically trying to say, when a Democrat has the presidency
- 32:39Speaker 1: and the Senate, they should be able to pass whatever
- 32:40Speaker 1: they want with 51 votes. But if a Democrat's president
- 32:45Speaker 1: and the Republicans control the Senate or there's a Republican president,
- 32:47Speaker 1: then we keep the filibuster because then maybe they won't
- 32:50Speaker 1: do the same thing.
- 32:51Speaker 2: Yeah, it's crazy.
- 32:51Speaker 3: It's got a bit of a Banana Republic vibe.
- 32:53Speaker 1: A bit.
- 32:53Speaker 6: A bit.
- 32:55Speaker 2: Very important argument that can be made in support of
- 32:58Speaker 2: abolishing the filibuster. We are a democracy. The majority should
- 33:03Speaker 2: get to pick our policies. And having a policy that likes,
- 33:06Speaker 2: let's say, not just a minority of senators, but a
- 33:09Speaker 2: tiny majority of the American people, because the geographic distribution
- 33:13Speaker 2: in the Senate where Wyoming has as much power as California,
- 33:16Speaker 2: that that Fund is a measure that undermines American democracy.
- 33:20Speaker 2: And you can make an argument against that. It's an
- 33:22Speaker 2: argument that I think will sell with the American people.
- 33:24Speaker 2: The Democrats who push for abolishing the filibuster can and
- 33:28Speaker 2: should brand themselves as the people who push for democracy.
- 33:30Speaker 2: We want to make our democracy where everyone's voice counts.
- 33:34Speaker 2: And Republicans are against that. When you get into a
- 33:36Speaker 2: vice president overruling a parliamentarian, I don't understand how you
- 33:40Speaker 2: explain that to people. But there's another point, which is
- 33:43Speaker 2: some of the arguments when people yell at us for
- 33:44Speaker 2: talking about the filibuster is it's not up to the president.
- 33:47Speaker 2: It's up to the Senate.
- 33:48Speaker 1: Which is true.
- 33:49Speaker 2: Very true. Now, it's not going to happen if the
- 33:50Speaker 2: president's not for it, because the president's going to have
- 33:52Speaker 2: to lobby a lot of senators who are very skeptical
- 33:54Speaker 2: about this. Many of them were on stage last night.
- 33:56Speaker 2: But if you think senators are skeptical about the idea
- 34:02Speaker 2: of getting rid of the filibuster, which would be a
- 34:04Speaker 2: change in Senate rules, but an above-board one, how do
- 34:06Speaker 2: you think they're going to feel about just completely perverting
- 34:09Speaker 2: the budget reconciliation process by fiat from the vice president's office. Like,
- 34:13Speaker 2: it doesn't seem like that's going to sell with Joe
- 34:15Speaker 2: Manchin and Chris Coons.
- 34:17Speaker 1: Look, last thing I'll say is, you know, a bunch
- 34:18Speaker 1: of people, when I was excited about it last night,
- 34:20Speaker 1: tweeting at me as they usually do, like, what happens
- 34:22Speaker 1: when Mitch McConnell and a Republican president get rid of
- 34:24Speaker 1: the filibuster? Yeah, I understand the risks. There are absolutely
- 34:27Speaker 1: risks to eliminating the filibuster. But I will tell you
- 34:31Speaker 1: with near 100% certainty that there is no time in
- 34:34Speaker 1: the next 10 years where Democrats will have 60 votes
- 34:37Speaker 1: in the Senate. Look at the states. Look at the map.
- 34:40Speaker 1: Look at who's up. It will not happen. You can
- 34:42Speaker 1: get to 52, 53, 54, 55 in the best case scenarios.
- 34:46Speaker 1: There is no path to 60 votes, at least in
- 34:49Speaker 1: the next decade, perhaps until there's another political realignment and
- 34:53Speaker 1: all the parties change place and demographic, whatever. It's just
- 34:57Speaker 1: not going to happen. So if you're comfortable with the
- 34:59Speaker 1: fact that Democrats will never be able to pass another
- 35:02Speaker 1: piece of progressive legislation or even moderately progressive legislation again...
- 35:06Speaker 1: Because you're worried what Mitch McConnell will do if he
- 35:09Speaker 1: gets rid of the filibuster, then that's acceptable. But just know,
- 35:12Speaker 1: we will never be able to pass anything. Ever.
- 35:15Speaker 2: This is why it was so important, I think, that
- 35:17Speaker 2: Elizabeth Warren brought this up in the gun control conversation.
- 35:19Speaker 2: Because the only way that we are going to have real,
- 35:24Speaker 2: serious gun control, things like assault weapons bans, or buyback.
- 35:26Speaker 1: Or licensing, or Medicare for All, or pay for teachers,
- 35:30Speaker 1: or any of this stuff.
- 35:32Speaker 2: The only path to 60 votes is entry game becomes president,
- 35:35Speaker 2: orders everyone to leave the coasts. They move inland. And
- 35:39Speaker 2: now we've got a lot of Californians living in Idaho.
- 35:42Speaker 3: Sweet.
- 35:42Speaker 1: Well, now you've piqued my interest. There was also a
- 35:44Speaker 1: big discussion on trade, which shockingly was the only time
- 35:47Speaker 1: that anything about the economy was mentioned at all. Let's
- 35:50Speaker 1: listen to Amy Klobuchar taking Dan's advice here.
- 35:53Speaker 10: What we've got right now, though, George, it's not a
- 35:56Speaker 10: focused tariff on steel. What he has done here, he
- 35:59Speaker 10: has assessed these tariffs on our allies. He has put
- 36:02Speaker 10: us in the middle of this trade war. And he
- 36:05Speaker 10: is treating our farmers and our workers like poker chips
- 36:08Speaker 10: in one of his bankrupt casinos. And if we are
- 36:11Speaker 10: not careful, he is going to bankrupt this country. One
- 36:14Speaker 10: forecast recently says that it has already cost us 300,000 jobs.
- 36:17Speaker 9: All right?
- 36:20Speaker 10: There is soybeans that are mounting up in bins all
- 36:23Speaker 10: over the Midwest, in my state of Minnesota and in Iowa.
- 36:27Speaker 10: So what I think we need to do is to
- 36:29Speaker 10: go back to the negotiating table.
- 36:30Speaker 1: That's what I would do.
- 36:32Speaker 10: I wouldn't have put all these tariffs in place, and
- 36:34Speaker 10: I wouldn't have had a trade policy where on August
- 36:37Speaker 10: 1st he announces he's going to have tariffs on $ 300
- 36:39Speaker 10: billion of goods. On August 13th he cuts it in half.
- 36:42Speaker 10: A week later he says he's going to reduce taxes.
- 36:45Speaker 10: The day after that he says he's going.
- 36:47Speaker 2: To do it.
- 36:48Speaker 10: The leaders of the world are watching this, and it
- 36:51Speaker 10: undermines our strength as a nation. And yes, we want
- 36:54Speaker 10: fair trade, but we must work with the rest of
- 36:56Speaker 10: the world. And he has made a mockery of focused
- 36:59Speaker 10: trade policy, which I think means enforcement, like we've done
- 37:03Speaker 10: in northern Minnesota, passing bills, getting President Obama to do
- 37:07Speaker 10: more on that so that our workers can benefit. So
- 37:10Speaker 10: we are importing, exporting goods, and making sure that is
- 37:16Speaker 10: a competitive policy where our goal is that we are
- 37:20Speaker 10: making things, inventing things, and exporting to the world.
- 37:24Speaker 4: He is defeating that goal.
- 37:27Speaker 3: I had my notes. Klobuchar won the Pfeiffer primary. for
- 37:32Speaker 3: dropping that 300k figure.
- 37:33Speaker 1: I sort of wish you had stopped after the soybeans
- 37:36Speaker 1: because it really went quite long after that.
- 37:39Speaker 2: Quit while you're ahead.
- 37:41Speaker 1: But it was pretty good at the start.
- 37:43Speaker 3: Yeah, that trade question led to a variety of interesting
- 37:48Speaker 3: but different answers. Almost nobody said, yes, I would get
- 37:52Speaker 3: rid of the tariffs immediately. Actually, I think Julian Castro
- 37:56Speaker 3: came the closest and I thought he, I know we've
- 37:59Speaker 3: been critical of his exchange with Vice President Biden. I
- 38:03Speaker 3: thought he had a pretty good answer on China. He
- 38:04Speaker 3: talked about human rights, talked about negotiating away the tariffs.
- 38:09Speaker 3: And then he also talked about the Uyghurs in China,
- 38:10Speaker 3: which it just showed a grasp of like the issue.
- 38:14Speaker 3: Warren used this question, I thought, the most effectively to
- 38:17Speaker 3: sort of get to her broader economic worldview, which is
- 38:19Speaker 3: that trade policy has been written for and benefiting corporations
- 38:24Speaker 3: for decades and that we need to have strong allies
- 38:27Speaker 3: and that we need to have use trade to get
- 38:29Speaker 3: better global standards for workers, not the things we're currently negotiating,
- 38:32Speaker 3: which is like things we need, like respect for intellectual property,
- 38:36Speaker 3: but things that are going to benefit corporations only.
- 38:38Speaker 1: Look, I think one of the reasons that Warren, Sanders,
- 38:43Speaker 1: and Biden are in the lead, even though they have,
- 38:47Speaker 1: at least Warren, Sanders versus Biden have very different ideologies
- 38:51Speaker 1: and philosophies on this, is that All of them have
- 38:53Speaker 1: a pretty solid economic message, or at least they talk
- 38:56Speaker 1: about the economy a lot. And I don't know, and
- 38:58Speaker 1: like I said, I thought Klobuchar's, at least the first
- 39:00Speaker 1: half of her answer there was quite good. It went
- 39:02Speaker 1: on a little long, but it was quite good. I
- 39:04Speaker 1: don't know that anyone really made strong economic arguments last
- 39:08Speaker 1: night or strong economic case. And I was also just
- 39:12Speaker 1: shocked that trade was the only question about the economy
- 39:16Speaker 1: when the economy may be headed towards recession, incomes haven't
- 39:19Speaker 1: gone up, wages are stagnant. Like, what's going on here?
- 39:22Speaker 2: That seems like an oversight on behalf of the ABC
- 39:26Speaker 2: moderating staff.
- 39:27Speaker 3: What I like.
- 39:30Speaker 2: We made the mention of Amy Klobuchar saying $ 300, 000. I
- 39:33Speaker 2: had yelled as loud as I could on Twitter that
- 39:36Speaker 2: Democrats needed, if no Democrat candidate mentioned that fact, that
- 39:40Speaker 2: Donald Trump's own incompetence led to the loss of 300,000 jobs,
- 39:45Speaker 2: I was going to throw my phone through the TV
- 39:48Speaker 2: It's very fortunate it didn't happen because.
- 39:50Speaker 1: Klobuchar saved you a phone.
- 39:51Speaker 2: She did save me a phone. I'm due for an upgrade.
- 39:53Speaker 2: The new iPhone's not coming out for a while. It
- 39:55Speaker 2: would have been very problematic. I also missed her saying
- 39:57Speaker 2: it because I was so busy yelling about no one
- 40:00Speaker 2: saying it in the group thread that I only knew
- 40:04Speaker 2: it because every person who has ever worked for Amy
- 40:06Speaker 2: Klobuchar tweeted it at me. And to those people, I say, congratulations.
- 40:10Speaker 2: Good job. I support you.
- 40:11Speaker 3: To quote Janet Smoletano, the system worked.
- 40:14Speaker 2: That.
- 40:15Speaker 1: That is a deep cut. Who knows that reference? Just Rhodes.
- 40:21Speaker 2: But there is a larger point here, which is, and
- 40:24Speaker 2: Kamala Harris did this very well in the conversation on
- 40:27Speaker 2: health care, but let's not forget Donald Trump is fucking president.
- 40:30Speaker 2: He is terrible. There are millions of people watching a debate.
- 40:35Speaker 2: We should use it as an opportunity to deliver a
- 40:37Speaker 2: negative message about Trump.
- 40:39Speaker 1: Like some of the ones we tested in Wisconsin that
- 40:40Speaker 1: worked really well.
- 40:42Speaker 2: Like on trade, for instance. Trade is this massive weakness
- 40:46Speaker 2: for Trump. Both his incompetency execution of the trade war
- 40:50Speaker 2: with China, but also that he's full of shit on it.
- 40:52Speaker 2: That he ran as this free trader who is right now,
- 40:55Speaker 2: as we speak, working with Wall Street and the big
- 40:58Speaker 2: drug companies to try to pass a new NAFTA that
- 41:01Speaker 2: helps corporations and hurts workers. And no one said that.
- 41:04Speaker 1: No one said that he wants to unilaterally cut taxes
- 41:08Speaker 1: for wealthy investors last night. No one said that he's
- 41:12Speaker 1: thinking of cutting Social Security and Medicaid in his budget
- 41:15Speaker 1: and Medicare as well. No one talked about that either.
- 41:18Speaker 1: No one talked about his first big tax cut that
- 41:20Speaker 1: completely failed.
- 41:21Speaker 3: Like Pete made it sort of about his general failure
- 41:25Speaker 3: to negotiate with the Chinese.
- 41:26Speaker 1: Right.
- 41:27Speaker 3: And then he pivoted to a conversation about Trump just
- 41:31Speaker 3: not showing up to a climate change meeting at the
- 41:34Speaker 3: G7 in our global absence. So, yeah, people took this
- 41:37Speaker 3: question to a bunch of interesting places.
- 41:39Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 41:40Speaker 2: Pete also swerved out of his lane to mention Mike
- 41:43Speaker 2: Pence's very long and profitable for Trump commute in Ireland.
- 41:47Speaker 2: That was great.
- 41:48Speaker 3: So happy that Pete did that.
- 41:49Speaker 9: Thank you, Pete.
- 41:50Speaker 1: There were a couple other issues that weren't brought up
- 41:52Speaker 1: at all, like Trump's corruption was not brought up. I mean,
- 41:55Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren talks about corruption all the time, so that's wonderful,
- 41:57Speaker 1: but specifically calling out instances of Trump being corrupt, which
- 42:01Speaker 1: there are plenty, especially in the last couple weeks, aside
- 42:04Speaker 1: from Pete saying that, and I'm so glad he did,
- 42:06Speaker 1: didn't hear that a lot either.
- 42:07Speaker 2: Yes, which we also know from our polling is fucking
- 42:09Speaker 2: devastating to Trump with the exact voters he needs to
- 42:11Speaker 2: win the election.
- 42:12Speaker 3: And no one mentioned impeachment, which is surprising given that
- 42:15Speaker 3: it's a Democratic primary and you think that almost everyone.
- 42:18Speaker 1: Well, it's hard to know whether we're in an inquiry time. Well,
- 42:20Speaker 1: the lack of clarity is.
- 42:22Speaker 2: No one want to touch that third rail.
- 42:24Speaker 1: Also, not a single question about reproductive rights, women's issues,
- 42:29Speaker 1: just sort of huge oversight.
- 42:30Speaker 2: It's almost as if the Republican Party... all across the
- 42:33Speaker 2: South and the Midwest is now trying to ban abortion
- 42:36Speaker 2: and to force the Supreme Court to try to overturn
- 42:38Speaker 2: Roe v. Wade right fucking now.
- 42:40Speaker 1: One would think that would be a huge issue to
- 42:41Speaker 1: talk about, and you just mentioned the Supreme Court. Still
- 42:43Speaker 1: hasn't been a question about the Supreme Court, what kind
- 42:45Speaker 1: of justices you would nominate. Huge, huge fucking issue.
- 42:49Speaker 2: Do you support court reform?
- 42:50Speaker 1: It is sort of like we keep going to these,
- 42:53Speaker 1: all these debates, we keep having these cul-de-sacs debates Around
- 42:57Speaker 1: these like same issues, same debate.
- 42:59Speaker 3: Very sick of the Medicare for all versus Medicare for
- 43:03Speaker 3: all debate. I don't think it's helping anyone make a
- 43:06Speaker 3: choice at this point. We've had it three times.
- 43:08Speaker 1: And, you know, Tommy, I'm sure you notice like people say, oh, well,
- 43:11Speaker 1: there's a couple of foreign policy questions, but like foreign
- 43:13Speaker 1: policy is like. half the world's issues. Or half the
- 43:18Speaker 1: United States' issues.
- 43:19Speaker 2: They do sort of treat it like we treat it
- 43:20Speaker 2: in the State of the Union.
- 43:21Speaker 1: It's true.
- 43:23Speaker 2: You get minutes 50 to 65.
- 43:25Speaker 1: Here's your one question on Afghanistan, which Joe Biden used
- 43:28Speaker 1: to deftly pivot to his Iraq war vote.
- 43:31Speaker 3: We should talk about that answer. I'll complain about this
- 43:35Speaker 3: on Pod Save the World. Please subscribe and download. You know, like, look,
- 43:40Speaker 3: Afghanistan was good. The question about Venezuela and Latin America
- 43:43Speaker 3: was interesting and kind of hadn't been asked before. But yeah,
- 43:47Speaker 3: I mean, there was major news out of Israel this week.
- 43:50Speaker 3: Bibi Netanyahu saying he was going to annex settlements in
- 43:52Speaker 3: the West Bank. That whole Iran deal thing, sort of
- 43:55Speaker 3: still a problem. The North Korea diplomacy is going disastrously wrong.
- 43:58Speaker 3: So yeah, I would love to have seen some time
- 44:00Speaker 3: for that.
- 44:08Speaker 1: So since there were only 10 candidates on stage, I
- 44:10Speaker 1: figured we'd just go sort of one by one here
- 44:13Speaker 1: at the end to talk about how they all did.
- 44:15Speaker 1: Let's go back to Joe Biden, who we started with.
- 44:20Speaker 1: And obviously there's a lot of commentary today on his
- 44:24Speaker 1: exchange with Castro, but I actually thought his more problematic
- 44:28Speaker 1: answer was it started, it was in response to a
- 44:33Speaker 1: question about the legacy of slavery and what he would
- 44:37Speaker 1: do to sort of help overcome America's legacy of slavery.
- 44:42Speaker 4: Mr.
- 44:43Speaker 8: Vice President, I want to come to you and talk
- 44:45Speaker 8: to you about inequality in schools and race. In a
- 44:48Speaker 8: conversation about how to deal with segregation in schools back
- 44:52Speaker 8: in 1975, you told a reporter, I don't feel responsible
- 44:55Speaker 8: for the sins of my father and grandfather. I feel
- 44:58Speaker 8: responsible for what the situation is today, for the sins
- 45:00Speaker 8: of my own generation, and I'll be damned if I
- 45:03Speaker 8: feel responsible to pay for what happened 300 years ago.
- 45:07Speaker 8: You said that some 40 years ago. But as you
- 45:11Speaker 8: stand here tonight, what responsibility do you think that Americans
- 45:14Speaker 8: need to take to repair the legacy of slavery in
- 45:17Speaker 8: our country?
- 45:18Speaker 4: Well, they have to deal with the— look, there is
- 45:21Speaker 4: institutional segregation in this country. And from the time I
- 45:24Speaker 4: got involved, I started dealing with that— redlining, banks, making
- 45:29Speaker 4: sure that we are in a position where— look, talk
- 45:32Speaker 4: about education. I propose that what we take is those
- 45:34Speaker 4: very poor schools. the Title I schools, triple the amount
- 45:38Speaker 4: of money we spend, from 15 to 45 billion a year,
- 45:40Speaker 4: give every single teacher a raise to the equal raise
- 45:43Speaker 4: of getting out the $ 60, 000 level. Number two, make sure
- 45:47Speaker 4: that we bring in to help the teachers deal with
- 45:51Speaker 4: the problems that come from home. The problems that come
- 45:53Speaker 4: from home, we have one school psychologist for every 1,500
- 45:57Speaker 4: kids in America today. It's crazy. The teachers are, and
- 46:00Speaker 4: I'm married to a teacher. My deceased wife is a teacher.
- 46:03Speaker 4: They have every problem coming to them. We have to
- 46:05Speaker 4: make sure that every single child does in fact have Three-, four-,
- 46:10Speaker 4: and five-year-olds go to school. School, not daycare.
- 46:12Speaker 1: School.
- 46:13Speaker 4: We bring social workers into homes and parents to help
- 46:16Speaker 4: them deal with how to raise their children. It's not
- 46:19Speaker 4: that they don't want to help. They don't know quite
- 46:21Speaker 4: what to do.
- 46:22Speaker 1: Play the radio.
- 46:23Speaker 4: Make sure the television, excuse me, make sure you have
- 46:27Speaker 4: the record player on at night. Make sure the kids
- 46:30Speaker 4: hear words. A kid coming from a very poor school,
- 46:33Speaker 4: a very poor background, will hear four million words fewer
- 46:37Speaker 4: spoken by the time they get there. There's so much.
- 46:39Speaker 4: I'm going to go like the rest of them do,
- 46:41Speaker 4: twice over, okay?
- 46:44Speaker 3: Tough.
- 46:45Speaker 1: Yeah, guys, I just, I don't know. Like, I've read
- 46:50Speaker 1: the transcript of that answer. multiple times now just to
- 46:55Speaker 1: try to dissect in the word salad what he was
- 46:59Speaker 1: trying to say. And it's really hard. It's really hard.
- 47:04Speaker 3: So what we didn't play for you is that answer
- 47:07Speaker 3: goes on to a conversation about Venezuela and Biden's support
- 47:11Speaker 3: for stabilizing the Northern Triangle countries, I believe, during the
- 47:14Speaker 3: Obama administration. So how we got there, I couldn't tell
- 47:17Speaker 3: you either. There must be Going back to the first
- 47:20Speaker 3: part of the answer, there must be some social science
- 47:22Speaker 3: that says that young or economically disadvantaged kids don't hear
- 47:25Speaker 3: enough words and it limits their reading comprehension or vocabulary.
- 47:29Speaker 2: It's something called the word gap.
- 47:30Speaker 1: I know this because Hillary Clinton used to talk about
- 47:32Speaker 1: it all the time. It's like one thing I remember
- 47:33Speaker 1: from Hillary Clinton.
- 47:34Speaker 3: But you can't just kind of like spout that out
- 47:36Speaker 3: without the context and expect anyone to know what you're
- 47:38Speaker 3: talking about.
- 47:39Speaker 2: This is why Hallie is raising Kyla on Keep It.
- 47:42Speaker 1: It's going to be some spicy trivia.
- 47:47Speaker 2: A lot of words in there, though.
- 47:48Speaker 1: I did a bunch of Googling this morning to try
- 47:50Speaker 1: to find this because the takes were all about Biden
- 47:55Speaker 1: stumbling through this answer. But I was like, what is
- 47:57Speaker 1: he referring to? And I found a Vox explainer about
- 48:00Speaker 1: his education plan.
- 48:01Speaker 3: Thank you, Ezra.
- 48:01Speaker 1: Yes. So his plan also calls for more mental health
- 48:05Speaker 1: care in schools and expanding resources for families, including home
- 48:07Speaker 1: visiting by nurses for parents of newborns and the creation of, quote,
- 48:11Speaker 1: community schools in low-income areas that offer social services, doctors,
- 48:15Speaker 1: and other help. and this is the community schools idea
- 48:18Speaker 1: is supported by a lot of different groups and activists
- 48:20Speaker 1: and stuff like that. So it's not like it's, it's
- 48:22Speaker 1: a horrible thing, but he, it's on Joe Biden to
- 48:26Speaker 1: explain that correctly and not to just sort of like go.
- 48:29Speaker 1: I mean, he just, he just sort of fell apart
- 48:31Speaker 1: during that answer. And I don't like, I don't know.
- 48:35Speaker 1: I think it does raise questions of like, I mean,
- 48:38Speaker 1: whether you want to talk about age or whether you
- 48:41Speaker 1: just want to talk about like, I don't necessarily think
- 48:43Speaker 1: it has to do with age because you know, Bernie
- 48:45Speaker 1: Sanders was up there and didn't stumble through answers like that. And,
- 48:51Speaker 1: you know, Elizabeth Warren is around 70 years old and
- 48:55Speaker 1: like bounces around up there like she's 40. So I don't.
- 48:59Speaker 3: And also, so Booker criticized Biden along similar lines as
- 49:03Speaker 3: Castro in a post-debate CNN interview. But then he later
- 49:06Speaker 3: characterized it. He said, no, this isn't like an age thing.
- 49:08Speaker 3: This is something I've noticed and wondered about for a
- 49:11Speaker 3: long time. Like, can this guy carry the ball over
- 49:13Speaker 3: the finish line was the point. And I think they're
- 49:15Speaker 3: trying to make, you know, it's an electability argument as
- 49:18Speaker 3: much as a fitness for the job argument.
- 49:22Speaker 2: If you were sitting in Biden's war room last night,
- 49:26Speaker 2: you've probably felt amazing about the first half of the debate.
- 49:29Speaker 1: He was very strong on health care.
- 49:31Speaker 2: He was energetic. He seemed in control. That's the question
- 49:35Speaker 2: that you've been answering, right? It is, does he have
- 49:38Speaker 2: the energy to and the acuity to debate Donald Trump.
- 49:44Speaker 2: That's been the subtext of all the conversations. It's what
- 49:48Speaker 2: Castro brought to the debate stage in that question, and
- 49:51Speaker 2: Cory Booker did in the interview afterwards. And in the
- 49:54Speaker 2: first half of the debate, I think he clearly passed
- 49:55Speaker 2: that test. The second half of the debate, not so much.
- 49:59Speaker 2: He's sort of a 90-minute debate guy in a three-hour
- 50:02Speaker 2: debate world.
- 50:04Speaker 1: And look, we know the people on Biden's team. There's
- 50:07Speaker 1: no way in that debate war room, when he gave
- 50:09Speaker 1: that answer that we just heard, that everyone thought that
- 50:12Speaker 1: was a good answer or that everyone thought that was okay.
- 50:14Speaker 1: I know that people are putting their heads in their
- 50:17Speaker 1: hands for that answer. I just, I mean, I don't
- 50:19Speaker 1: know for sure, but I can just, I would bet it.
- 50:21Speaker 1: I would bet it because it wasn't good.
- 50:23Speaker 2: I also think that this conversation is related to the
- 50:28Speaker 2: fact that Biden's campaign has leaned so heavily on the
- 50:31Speaker 2: electability argument. When you make that be, and it's not
- 50:35Speaker 2: even just that he is the most electable in this, like,
- 50:38Speaker 2: Biden doesn't have an electability argument like an Amy Klobuchar
- 50:41Speaker 2: or a Beto O'Rourke has, where he has a proven
- 50:43Speaker 2: record of winning, or Steve Bullock, presuming he's still in
- 50:46Speaker 2: the race. He doesn't have a record of winning in
- 50:50Speaker 2: red states or battleground states. He's from Delaware. It's very blue.
- 50:54Speaker 2: But he's arguing that he is the safe alternative to
- 50:58Speaker 2: beating Trump. He is our, quote unquote, best bet. And
- 51:01Speaker 2: when you lean so heavily on that, as opposed to
- 51:04Speaker 2: what you would do in the job or why you're
- 51:06Speaker 2: the most experienced or able person to do the job,
- 51:09Speaker 2: these questions rise to the surface much faster because they
- 51:12Speaker 2: then become a question of, does he have the capacity
- 51:15Speaker 2: to beat Trump?
- 51:16Speaker 1: I also think when you watched him during that answer
- 51:18Speaker 1: and then he goes on and starts, he says, I'm
- 51:21Speaker 1: going to keep talking because everyone else gets to keep talking.
- 51:23Speaker 1: And then he goes back to Venezuela for some weird reason.
- 51:26Speaker 3: You didn't think that made sense?
- 51:28Speaker 1: You know what it said to me? Because he seemed
- 51:30Speaker 1: a little angry. And I think that the there's a
- 51:32Speaker 1: little danger with the Biden campaign right now of feeling
- 51:36Speaker 1: a little aggrieved that they're getting so much shit from people.
- 51:39Speaker 1: And you saw that in the Ryan Lizza piece in Politico,
- 51:40Speaker 1: how they said, you know, the media hates us and
- 51:42Speaker 1: it's all a bunch of.
- 51:42Speaker 2: Two Ryan Lizza mentions.
- 51:43Speaker 1: In one podcast. So, you know, the online left and
- 51:46Speaker 1: the people on Twitter don't represent the Democratic electorate and
- 51:49Speaker 1: they're all attacking us for everything. And look, I get
- 51:52Speaker 1: some of the critique that the Biden team makes of
- 51:54Speaker 1: the press and Twitter. I happen to agree with. I
- 51:57Speaker 1: understand why they're upset. But also, like, It's getting them
- 52:02Speaker 1: to a point where they're becoming angry and they're reacting
- 52:05Speaker 1: in anger. And I think that's part of what Biden's
- 52:08Speaker 1: answer was about. Like he was pretty upset. Like he
- 52:10Speaker 1: thought he was about to get challenged on race again.
- 52:13Speaker 1: And because he was, he started getting his dander up
- 52:16Speaker 1: and was like a little annoyed by it. And it
- 52:17Speaker 1: didn't it just doesn't work for them. Being aggrieved about
- 52:20Speaker 1: this does not work.
- 52:21Speaker 3: The subtext of the Venezuela, the Northern Triangle money conversation.
- 52:24Speaker 3: part of his answer was, these clowns think they can
- 52:27Speaker 3: deal with Venezuela? I've met with Maduro. I've gotten this funding.
- 52:30Speaker 3: And he took us on this journey that was impossible
- 52:32Speaker 3: to follow unless you really knew his record.
- 52:36Speaker 2: But it's a better journey for him to be on
- 52:38Speaker 2: than the one his campaign is currently on.
- 52:41Speaker 3: To Venezuela?
- 52:42Speaker 2: To experience.
- 52:44Speaker 3: Well, but, okay, so let's talk about this Iraq answer
- 52:46Speaker 3: he got later. He got asked about his Iraq war vote.
- 52:49Speaker 3: He first took it to Afghanistan, where he talked about
- 52:51Speaker 3: how he opposed the surge in Afghanistan. He sort of
- 52:53Speaker 3: wades into a bleak critique of coin strategy versus counterterrorism strategy,
- 52:57Speaker 3: which is something I only understand because I sat in 16,000
- 53:00Speaker 3: hours of Situation Room meetings in 2009 when we debated this.
- 53:04Speaker 3: Then he referred to Afghanistan really being three countries, which
- 53:06Speaker 3: I think is referring to the tribal areas between Afghanistan
- 53:08Speaker 3: and Pakistan. Everyone else thought he was talking about partitioning Iraq.
- 53:11Speaker 1: Who knows?
- 53:12Speaker 3: Then we went back to Iraq, where he tried to
- 53:14Speaker 3: argue that his Iraq war vote was intended to give
- 53:16Speaker 3: Bush leverage for more inspections, and it feels about 16
- 53:18Speaker 3: years too late for me to to re-litigate what that
- 53:21Speaker 3: vote was about. I feel like that didn't work so
- 53:23Speaker 3: well for John Kerry. And then the answer concluded with
- 53:25Speaker 3: analysis about the Shia and the Kurds not coming together
- 53:28Speaker 3: to fight against ISIS. And it was just a fucking mess.
- 53:32Speaker 3: And then Bernie comes in and says, I never trusted Bush.
- 53:35Speaker 3: I opposed the war. What were you thinking? If your
- 53:37Speaker 3: judgment and experience on foreign policy is the reason people
- 53:40Speaker 3: should vote for you, you were wrong about this fundamental point,
- 53:42Speaker 3: which is something Barack Obama did to devastating effect against
- 53:45Speaker 3: Hillary Clinton. So it's the convolutedness is a problem in
- 53:49Speaker 3: and of itself, because I think you're like, where's this
- 53:51Speaker 3: guy going? But then even when you unpack the substance
- 53:54Speaker 3: of these arguments, I don't think they're politically beneficial.
- 53:56Speaker 1: And I will just say, Joe Biden has had moments,
- 53:59Speaker 1: and someone just mentioned this during the 08 debates, where
- 54:02Speaker 1: he was the happy warrior. And he certainly was that
- 54:04Speaker 1: against Paul Ryan in the 2012 vice presidential debate and
- 54:08Speaker 1: Sarah Palin in 08, right? He was a great debater.
- 54:11Speaker 1: He was a happy warrior. He did great. But he's
- 54:13Speaker 1: also had moments, and this is why I don't Know
- 54:16Speaker 1: if the age thing is the right critique, because I
- 54:18Speaker 1: think for years and years and years, going back 10,
- 54:21Speaker 1: 20 years, Biden has had a lot of these moments
- 54:23Speaker 1: where he just it's like Senateese.
- 54:25Speaker 3: We all saw it all the time.
- 54:27Speaker 1: And you just mentioned John Kerry. I was on the
- 54:29Speaker 1: Kerry campaign. I watched John Kerry do this same thing.
- 54:31Speaker 1: Like they're so in the weeds on their policies and
- 54:34Speaker 1: their positions. They talk sometimes like they're on the Senate floor.
- 54:37Speaker 1: And they're going in all these different directions and it's
- 54:40Speaker 1: hard to follow. And it doesn't necessarily have to do
- 54:43Speaker 1: with age. It has to do with, like, having been
- 54:44Speaker 1: in the Senate for a long time.
- 54:45Speaker 2: What do you conclude from that, though?
- 54:48Speaker 1: I conclude that it's something that worries me about Joe
- 54:52Speaker 1: Biden's candidacy that I've talked about before. And I think
- 54:55Speaker 1: it's not, like, necessarily fatal because, as I just said,
- 54:59Speaker 1: and we just talked about in the first half of
- 55:01Speaker 1: the debate, Joe Biden can be an energetic, happy warrior.
- 55:05Speaker 1: And he can do that, but he can also fall
- 55:07Speaker 1: into what we just saw at the end of last
- 55:09Speaker 1: night's debate. And I think against Trump, that's worrisome. Yes,
- 55:13Speaker 1: I agree. It's not like something he definitely can't overcome, but.
- 55:17Speaker 2: It's a little worrisome.
- 55:19Speaker 1: And everyone has things that are worrisome about them that
- 55:21Speaker 1: I imagine when they're on stage next to Trump. It's
- 55:24Speaker 1: not just a Biden thing, but I think what you said, Dan,
- 55:26Speaker 1: is right, because if your whole thing is on electability,
- 55:29Speaker 1: and that seems maybe a little shaky because of her performance, then...
- 55:34Speaker 1: you need something else to fall back on.
- 55:36Speaker 2: Biden should be arguing that he has the experience, the
- 55:39Speaker 2: proven record, and the relationships to undo the damage that
- 55:42Speaker 2: Trump has done more effectively, more officially than anyone else
- 55:45Speaker 2: on that stage. You know that because you've seen him
- 55:48Speaker 2: do it over decades. You saw him do it in
- 55:50Speaker 2: the Senate. You saw him do it working with Barack Obama.
- 55:52Speaker 1: I've made mistakes. I've evolved over time on certain things.
- 55:56Speaker 1: I'm not perfect, but I've been there and I've been
- 55:58Speaker 1: in the fight.
- 55:59Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just like you. I love my gramophone. I
- 56:01Speaker 3: love my LPs.
- 56:03Speaker 2: I am going to bring back wax.
- 56:05Speaker 3: Yeah, let's do it.
- 56:05Speaker 2: I DJ on the weekends.
- 56:07Speaker 1: It's polka. The record player. Okay, let's talk about Kamala Harris.
- 56:10Speaker 1: What are thoughts on Kamala Harris' performance? I thought it
- 56:14Speaker 1: was pretty solid.
- 56:14Speaker 2: Yeah, good.
- 56:16Speaker 1: Like I said, I really liked that she took on
- 56:18Speaker 1: Trump and did a lot of like, we have a
- 56:21Speaker 1: lot of differences, but what unites us is stronger and
- 56:24Speaker 1: we should be talking about Donald Trump and when he's
- 56:26Speaker 1: on healthcare. I thought that was a good strategy for her.
- 56:29Speaker 3: Yeah, she got a tough question about criminal justice reform
- 56:32Speaker 3: and her record on it. The question was essentially, why
- 56:36Speaker 3: didn't you use the power you had as the California
- 56:38Speaker 3: Attorney General to fight for some of the things that
- 56:40Speaker 3: you were opposed to at the time, but now support?
- 56:42Speaker 3: And I thought she handled that pretty well. There were
- 56:44Speaker 3: a couple times where a little bit of a can
- 56:48Speaker 3: line came out, like the, hey, Joe, instead of saying, no,
- 56:52Speaker 3: we can't, let's just say, yes, we can. I kind
- 56:53Speaker 3: of The Wizard of Oz thing.
- 56:56Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, let's get into that.
- 56:57Speaker 3: The Wizard of Oz thing, yeah, that ended odd.
- 56:59Speaker 10: The bottom line is this. Donald Trump, in office, on
- 57:04Speaker 10: trade policy, you know, he reminds me of that guy
- 57:07Speaker 10: in The Wizard of Oz, you know, when you pull
- 57:09Speaker 10: back the curtain, it's a really small dude.
- 57:11Speaker 1: You mean The Wizard.
- 57:15Speaker 4: Okay.
- 57:16Speaker 3: Okay.
- 57:19Speaker 2: I'm not even going to take the bait, Senator.
- 57:21Speaker 10: Harris, but I am going to take this to Senator Harris.
- 57:24Speaker 1: That was funny. The George thing at the end was
- 57:26Speaker 1: genuinely funny.
- 57:27Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 57:27Speaker 1: There was a couple of bad jokes there. Like Amy
- 57:29Speaker 1: Klobuchar talking about at the beginning, Houston, we have a
- 57:33Speaker 1: problem is unforgivable.
- 57:36Speaker 3: That was not great. I mean, Harris's folks were sort
- 57:39Speaker 3: of previewing that she was going to try to bring
- 57:42Speaker 3: people together. That was kind of the lane that she
- 57:44Speaker 3: would fill. It was not nostalgia for the past, like,
- 57:48Speaker 3: like Biden, that it wasn't, you know, fights on the
- 57:51Speaker 3: left like Bernie and Warren were making, that she was
- 57:54Speaker 3: more of a, I guess, a centrist. They probably hate
- 57:56Speaker 3: that word. But I don't know if she succeeded at that.
- 57:58Speaker 3: But it was interesting that they told reporters that that's
- 58:01Speaker 3: their path forward.
- 58:03Speaker 2: It's for Kamala Harris. It's still the still fundamental question
- 58:06Speaker 2: is for her. She does the best argument against Trump
- 58:09Speaker 2: by far. It is clear. It is crisp. It is passionate.
- 58:13Speaker 2: You can imagine her delivering on the debate stage. The
- 58:16Speaker 2: other half of that equation is still lacking. Why her?
- 58:21Speaker 9: Right.
- 58:22Speaker 2: It's like, I think last night was a very, very
- 58:24Speaker 2: good performance. I think to become, we almost hold her
- 58:27Speaker 2: to a higher standard because we treat her as one
- 58:29Speaker 2: of the top.
- 58:30Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 58:30Speaker 2: We treat like, we think of her as one of
- 58:33Speaker 2: the front runners, because I do believe that she has
- 58:35Speaker 2: the clearest path to the nomination. If she can take
- 58:38Speaker 2: off of anyone in this field. And I think she
- 58:40Speaker 2: has the ability to do it. Most of those candidates
- 58:43Speaker 2: on the stage don't have a great answer to the
- 58:45Speaker 2: why me, including some of the front runners.
- 58:46Speaker 9: Yeah.
- 58:47Speaker 2: But that like that is like if she can nail
- 58:49Speaker 2: that piece, if she can do like Warren has a
- 58:54Speaker 2: great why her and kind of pretends Trump is the president,
- 58:58Speaker 2: which I think is a problem. Kamala Harris has a
- 59:01Speaker 2: great anti-Trump and a little lacking on the why her.
- 59:04Speaker 2: If you could like they'd be the perfect candidate together.
- 59:06Speaker 1: I agree with that. Any other thoughts about Pete?
- 59:09Speaker 2: Pete had very good moments. His close was incredibly powerful.
- 59:11Speaker 5: Yes.
- 59:12Speaker 1: That was really, really good. When you talked about coming out,
- 59:14Speaker 1: I thought it was outstanding.
- 59:17Speaker 2: I think underappreciated for the historic nature of his candidacy.
- 59:24Speaker 2: I think the fact that you have a presidential candidate
- 59:27Speaker 2: who made the debate stage, who is in... Like, I
- 59:31Speaker 2: hate tears, but he is a legitimate contender for the
- 59:34Speaker 2: Democratic nomination, is on stage telling, proudly telling his coming
- 59:38Speaker 2: out story in a honest way. Like, that is truly
- 59:41Speaker 2: an amazing thing that no one would have expected a
- 59:44Speaker 2: few years ago, or maybe even last year. And, like,
- 59:47Speaker 2: that should be, like, I think, like, that should be discussed.
- 59:50Speaker 2: And I think he did that incredibly powerfully.
- 59:52Speaker 3: I think he's always pretty good. I am, like, but
- 59:55Speaker 3: I think, like, it's harder than ever to break out
- 59:58Speaker 3: with pretty good in a field this big with three,
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: you know, people seen as front runners that are soaking
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: up a lot of the oxygen. And, you know, I
- 1:00:07Speaker 3: think he's going to need, I don't know, they're spending
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: a lot of money in Iowa. They're investing in infrastructure.
- 1:00:11Speaker 3: They're going to go up on TV. Like maybe that
- 1:00:13Speaker 3: will get him over that sort of hump that gets
- 1:00:16Speaker 3: you another look from other voters. But it remains to
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: be seen.
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: It's also very possible that he's doing much better than
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: we think because we haven't seen a quality Iowa poll
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: in months.
- 1:00:24Speaker 3: Yeah, that's weird.
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: We could see an Iowa poll probably in the next month.
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: that could show him in third or in double digits.
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: And these national polls that are what we use to
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: judge people's success and failure are A, irrelevant, and B,
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: a lagging indicator of what is happening in the actual
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: states that matter. So there is that possibility.
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: Klobuchar, we talked about, I think she was the first
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: time in a debate that she really made the case
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: for herself. She's had good moments in other debates, but
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: you sort of saw what her strategy was. She made
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: the case. I thought she did pretty well.
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: I thought the story she told in the close about
- 1:00:58Speaker 3: when she had her daughter and was kicked out of
- 1:01:00Speaker 3: the hospital after 24 hours, and that fight to get
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: at least 48 hours for pregnant women, 48-hour hospital stays
- 1:01:07Speaker 3: for pregnant women, was what inspired her to get into
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: public service. I'd never heard her tell that story before,
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: and maybe that's my fault, but I thought it was
- 1:01:13Speaker 3: incredibly powerful, and it spoke to her values and why
- 1:01:18Speaker 3: she was in public service to begin with. It was
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: really well done.
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: That sound you hear is me crying because Tommy didn't
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: listen to my interview with Amy Klobuchar on this podcast.
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: Of course I did, Dan. Of course I did. How
- 1:01:27Speaker 3: dare you say that?
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: Cory Booker, we sort of talked about him too. You know,
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: what happens, where does he go from here? I think you're,
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: you know, you said Tommy too, you know, Adisu and
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: all the folks on his campaign, they've just been organizing
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: like crazy in Iowa and they sort of keep seeing
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: probably more than we're all seeing from here, which is
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: promising for him. Andrew Yang, we haven't talked about Andrew
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: Yang and we always get in trouble with the Yang
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: Yang for not talking about Andrew Yang. So let's do it.
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: What do we, He's a funny guy. He comes off
- 1:01:57Speaker 3: as likable. I think that the freedom dividend is his
- 1:02:02Speaker 3: core policy proposal. It's a universal basic income plan. We've
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: seen polling that suggests universal basic income polls horribly. And
- 1:02:10Speaker 3: I'm not totally sure how announcing that you're giving away
- 1:02:13Speaker 3: 120 grand to random people across the country is going
- 1:02:15Speaker 3: to play. But hey, man, credit to Andrew Yang for
- 1:02:19Speaker 3: being focused on the one thing that he really wants
- 1:02:21Speaker 3: to put forward and being creative.
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: If you're looking for something different than Andrew Yang is
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: that lane, everyone else on that stage is.
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: Some of them are trying to be different.
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: But I mean, they're just, they're like, like obviously Bernie
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: Sanders is a very different politician than a Joe Biden,
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: but he's someone who has been a politician in our
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: consciousness for the last four years, basically. Pete Buttigieg, incredibly
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: different background than any other politician, but he talks like
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: a politician.
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: A very smart and articulate one who also speaks Norwegian,
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: but he speaks like a politician.
- 1:02:54Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:02:55Speaker 5: Right.
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: So there are nine politicians on that stage. And there's
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: Andrew Yang. And he there is a there's obviously a
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: lane for that because he was not on the end
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: with Julian Castro and Amy Klobuchar and Beto O'Rourke. He
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: was a lot closer to Joe Biden than those guys were.
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: And that is like we can't.
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: And they have a beef with the media, which is legitimate,
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: which is sometimes all those other candidates you just mentioned
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: are treated as like the next tier. And Andrew Yang
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: is left out of that. But he is in many
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: polls ahead of them.
- 1:03:21Speaker 9: Yep.
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: He also has an online community of people that are
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: supporting their candidate in really smart ways. And whenever there's
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: a debate night, Andrew Yang is trending on Twitter and
- 1:03:31Speaker 3: there are memes going around. He's communicating with people where
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: they are thanks to his campaign, but also thanks to
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: this organization that's just helping him from the outside.
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: When I was doing my book tour in 2018, before
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: anyone else was in the race, everywhere I went, someone
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: asked me about Andrew Yang. And whenever I go to,
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: I was just at a college campus doing something, uh
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: last week and the kids in the class were there
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: a lot of yang a lot of yang gang in
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: that class and so he has like he has built
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: a community he's nurtured it and like he shouldn't be
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: like i think it's a it's a it's a bridge
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: to get to the nomination but it's.
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: A powerful immigration story that he told in that close
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: about his father you know what that's a peanut farmer
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: and you know on the floor and coming over here
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: with nothing.
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: His NBA takes. He is an NBA fan, which I appreciate.
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: His NBA takes are garbage.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: And his takes on the England.
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: Patriots are garbage as well. He thinks Carmelo is not washed,
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: which is the wrong answer.
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: That's weird. I do enjoy his very dry, deadpan sense
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: of humor. Yeah, he's funny. He's really funny in a
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: sort of modern way. Not like in a politician way,
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: in a real human way.
- 1:04:36Speaker 3: Yeah, when he was in the office, I interviewed him,
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: and the poor guy was so sick. He had a
- 1:04:40Speaker 3: horrible cold, but he still had a sense of humor
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: and was funny and was nice to everybody. He's just
- 1:04:44Speaker 3: a good person.
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: Uh, Castro, we talked about a bunch. Um, look, I, I,
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: there were moments last night, you know, Castro told some,
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: you know, his, his clothes was very good and he
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: told his personal story. I thought, you know, at one
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: point he sort of turned to Beto and praised him
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: on the El Paso shooting and then gave a really
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: strong answer on guns. Like there are, there's versions of
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: Julian Castro that I, I like very much and I
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: respect how bold and aggressive he's been on a lot
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: of policies in this race. But I do think like
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: going into, multiple debates now thinking that if I just
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: attack someone a lot, that will get me, that will
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: boost me in the polls and I'm going to telegraph
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: these attacks. I just don't think it's going to work
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: for him. Yeah.
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: I mean, his challenge is that people are going to
- 1:05:23Speaker 3: probably remember one thing about him from that debate and
- 1:05:25Speaker 3: it's that Biden exchange, but he did have a good
- 1:05:27Speaker 3: moment that you just referenced where he was talking about
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: how Latinos were targeted by this shooter in El Paso.
- 1:05:31Speaker 3: And he talked about his policing and criminal justice reform plans,
- 1:05:34Speaker 3: which are thoughtful and substantive and have gone further than others.
- 1:05:36Speaker 3: So yeah.
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: The thing that's so interesting about Castro's candidacy is it's
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: important to remember what brought him on the national stage.
- 1:05:44Speaker 2: It was his keynote speech at the 2012 convention, which
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: was a hopeful, optimistic story about America. It's actually the
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: closest version of anyone has done of Obama's 2004 convention speech.
- 1:05:56Speaker 2: Everyone has tried it. Cory Booker tried it in 2016.
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: Everyone's done it. And Castro's the only one who's nailed it.
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: And he took that and ended up in the Obama administration.
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: He deserves tremendous credit for having really aggressive, progressive policies
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: on a lot of issues. He pushed the immigration issue, his...
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: police reform plan is incredibly important, his criminal justice plan,
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: all of those things are very good. And I think
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: he would be better served in being the hopeful, optimistic
- 1:06:24Speaker 2: candidate or politician that he has been for much of
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: his career, rather than someone who's walking onto the debate stage,
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: looking to deck someone. And there is a lot to be,
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: there's nothing wrong with anger in the Trump era. But
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: I think there is a different, you have to understand
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: the difference between anger and righteous anger. And I think
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: what we saw from Beto on the guns was righteous anger.
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: And what we saw from Beto after El Paso was
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: righteous anger. And being angry about what Trump is doing
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: to America, Kamala Harris has done that quite well in
- 1:06:49Speaker 2: many debates as well, is good. Being angry at other Democrats,
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: I think, has a different impact in a field where
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: all those people are well-liked by the voters you need
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: to win the nomination.
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: Speaking of a little angry, Bernie Sanders. He had moments
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: last night where, like, I thought Bernie was really effective
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: in the second debate. Last night, and you know, he
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: was sick. You could tell he wasn't feeling well. But
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: the sort of the yelling was a little sort of
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: when it was a little too much last night for me.
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: I think that was probably voice related.
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: Yeah, but it might have been. It might have been.
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: He's still, I think he is very compelling. Like when
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: he is authentic. We've seen this authenticity for a few
- 1:07:34Speaker 2: years now. But when he's like, I'm the one who
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: wrote the damn bill. It works. And I don't think
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: he did himself any good. Damage last night?
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: No, not at all. I think it was pretty status
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: quo from Bernie.
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: He's consistent.
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: When I interviewed him here, he was charming and funny
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: and compelling. Bernie also has a gear that is, I think,
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: very compelling. I don't know that he has always shown
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: that in debates, but he has that gear. Warren. For me,
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: Warren was a pretty solid, great performance. The challenge for
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: her now is because she's always so good, to really
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: stand out, she must have, like, kicked it into another gear.
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: I don't know that she sort of stood out last night,
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: but I thought she was good.
- 1:08:19Speaker 2: I think she accomplished everything she wanted to accomplish. And I, like,
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: I hate to do, like, who won the debate because
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: I think that's stupid, but I think she walked out
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: of that debate stronger than she walked in.
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: Yeah. Because this wasn't... Because no one laid a glove
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: on her. No one really tried.
- 1:08:32Speaker 2: It is the strangest thing in the world that Elizabeth
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: Warren is the person standing between every other candidate on
- 1:08:39Speaker 2: that stage and their chance at Joe Biden. And no
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: one attacks her. And even Biden is attacking his did
- 1:08:45Speaker 2: not go after her. Like there was a debate like it. Like,
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: I don't consider that debate about whether you pay for
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: your Medicare, your Medicare for all plan or whether by
- 1:08:53Speaker 2: like that. That's not an attack. That's an actual substantive
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: debate about different plans. But they're like everyone. It's like
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: Bernie and Kamala's staff fight all the time. Biden's fights
- 1:09:03Speaker 2: with everyone. Julian Castro fights with everyone. No one fights
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: Elizabeth Warren. And both Ben Smith and Ruby Kramer BuzzFeed
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: have this piece this morning that's about how Elizabeth Warren
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: is the center of gravity in the primary. And I
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: think that's really true. And she's driving the conversation. She's
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: driving people's strategies. And people are legitimately afraid of engaging
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: with her. And I don't fully understand. I think it's
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: fear that they're going to lose the exchange, not some
- 1:09:29Speaker 2: sort of strategic gambit that makes any sense.
- 1:09:32Speaker 3: Yeah, I also don't think she's really struggled with a
- 1:09:34Speaker 3: single question from the moderators either.
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: That's true.
- 1:09:37Speaker 3: Last night, the trickiest one was on Afghanistan when she
- 1:09:40Speaker 3: got pressed on whether she'd bring the troops home without
- 1:09:42Speaker 3: a peace deal if that unraveled the country. And she
- 1:09:46Speaker 3: pivoted to a strong answer about a need for allies.
- 1:09:48Speaker 3: And she made an argument about how she was sitting
- 1:09:50Speaker 3: in Afghanistan with John McCain and asking generals about what
- 1:09:52Speaker 3: winning looks like and no one can define it for her.
- 1:09:55Speaker 3: And she's like, she can make a case for nearly
- 1:09:58Speaker 3: everything in a way that is just thoughtful and it
- 1:10:03Speaker 3: plays to her strength.
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 1:10:04Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:10:04Speaker 3: Maybe that's why they're not attacking her.
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: I think the.
- 1:10:06Speaker 2: Biggest question for her going forward is to date. She
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: has succeeded. She's the only candidate who has actually moved
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: up in the polls by any real measure. Pete went
- 1:10:15Speaker 2: from zero to five, but everything else is basically the same.
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: And she went from, she moved in second place. And
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: she did that by running a campaign where she had
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: no fear of losing. She ran without, you know, no
- 1:10:29Speaker 2: risk aversion, right? The question is, as you get closer
- 1:10:33Speaker 2: to to the frontrunner status, do you get more cautious
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: as you get closer to the White House? And I
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: think that test is going to come for her because
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: at some point, she may not be second in the polls.
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: She may be first in some of these early state polls.
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: And then how does she respond when there's more scrutiny,
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: more attacks, more pressure?
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: And how does she broaden her coalition to eat into
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: Biden's lead and Bernie's lead in some ways with non-college-educated
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: white voters and black voters, which... You know, you cannot
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: win the Democratic nomination by being the toast of every
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: college educated white liberal.
- 1:11:09Speaker 3: What happened to someone previewing that they were going to
- 1:11:11Speaker 3: attack her about her work for corporations with the Biden?
- 1:11:16Speaker 2: Biden's got a large constellation of advisors. So it's hard
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: to know when it's an anonymous thing like that, whether
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: that was a plan link or just verbal diarrhea from
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: someone who can't make the morning conference call.
- 1:11:29Speaker 3: Also, though, look, no criticism of Biden. Most senators from
- 1:11:33Speaker 3: Delaware are probably not going to be the one to
- 1:11:35Speaker 3: carry the water on your doing work for corporate interests,
- 1:11:38Speaker 3: given that your lovely state is where all of them
- 1:11:43Speaker 3: are domiciled.
- 1:11:44Speaker 2: Seriously.
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: Last candidate, Beto O'Rourke. Look, he had this wonderful moment.
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: His campaign is saying they had sort of the best
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: fundraising of the quarter last night. And there are some
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: focus groups where people said that they liked him and
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: they're switching their vote to him from being undecided. A
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: lot of pundits said he won. Where does he go
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: from here? Because he, like a lot of the other candidates,
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: is stuck around between 2% and 5% in some of
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: these polls. Where do you go from here if you're Beto?
- 1:12:15Speaker 2: I believe there's an opportunity for one candidate to emerge
- 1:12:17Speaker 2: as a generational alternative to the three frontrunners who were
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: all 70 years of age and up. And that For
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: a long time, we thought that person was going to
- 1:12:26Speaker 2: be Kamala Harris or Pete Buttigieg. I think Beto put
- 1:12:29Speaker 2: himself in that conversation to be that alternative last night.
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: And if he can keep doing what he did last
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: night and combine that with the most compelling electability story,
- 1:12:40Speaker 2: I think, of anyone in the field, if you can
- 1:12:43Speaker 2: be the person who you don't want to choose between
- 1:12:45Speaker 2: your head and your heart, you can have both. You
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: can have an inspirational candidate who can also win. If
- 1:12:48Speaker 2: he can nail that piece with sort of the passion
- 1:12:51Speaker 2: and boldness of last night, that he's got a shot
- 1:12:54Speaker 2: to be in that conversation, have a chance to do that.
- 1:12:57Speaker 3: After El Paso, Beto completely upended his campaign, and he
- 1:13:00Speaker 3: started doing things that no presidential candidate would ever do,
- 1:13:03Speaker 3: like go to a gun show or go to states like,
- 1:13:06Speaker 3: I believe, Arkansas, which are just not in the early
- 1:13:10Speaker 3: state process. And he was pretty clear, like, look, I'm
- 1:13:13Speaker 3: not going to eat a corn dog on a stick
- 1:13:15Speaker 3: and go on to the state fair when this shit's happening,
- 1:13:17Speaker 3: people getting murdered. Well, now he kind of has to
- 1:13:19Speaker 3: get back in the game in Iowa. The steak fry
- 1:13:21Speaker 3: is a week from tomorrow. Now it's called the Polk
- 1:13:24Speaker 3: County Steak Fry. I think he speaks first.
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: They ditched Harkin's name?
- 1:13:28Speaker 3: Well, Harkin kind of stopped doing it, and then a
- 1:13:31Speaker 3: bunch of Polk County young Dems and activists resuscitated the thing,
- 1:13:33Speaker 3: and now it's big and great again. But there's going
- 1:13:37Speaker 3: to be 10,000 Democrats in a field, chowing steaks, listening
- 1:13:40Speaker 3: to candidates. Beto is first. Can he build on this
- 1:13:43Speaker 3: momentum and get another look from people who basically wrote
- 1:13:46Speaker 3: him off after— His campaign stumbled hard out of the
- 1:13:49Speaker 3: gate after he wasn't in the national conversation, after his
- 1:13:52Speaker 3: fundraising kind of trailed off. There is a window to
- 1:13:55Speaker 3: get another look from those people. Iowans are terrified of
- 1:13:59Speaker 3: Trump winning. They want someone who is going to take
- 1:14:01Speaker 3: it to them. I think there's time, but you've got
- 1:14:05Speaker 3: to capitalize on this momentum.
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: I think he needs to broaden his message on guns.
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: to every other issues and to make a larger case.
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: Like there was, there was a kernel of this in
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: his opening statement when he said, you know, I realized
- 1:14:19Speaker 1: two things. One, he talked about El Paso and Trump
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: and racism. And he said, two, I think he said
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: something like our politics is too broken and too small
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: and too petty and too corrupt to sort of deal
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: with a challenge like this. And I think you make
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: that argument about every issue and you keep pounding that.
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: then you start having an argument because I do think
- 1:14:39Speaker 1: that Beto has the same challenge that Kamala has that
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: Pete has which is on paper on their resumes who
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: they are where they're from what they've done like you
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: know it makes a good argument for their candidacies but
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: I don't think any of the three of them have
- 1:14:54Speaker 1: fully articulated that vision and where they fit into that
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: vision where they fit into this moment and why them
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: and why not everyone else and I sort of look
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: at the three I put Cory Booker in that category
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: too even though he's got a pretty consistent message message
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: about radical love Um, I, you know, all of them
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: haven't quite nailed what that positive message is and how
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: it distinguishes them from the top three candidates. And I
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: sort of think that's their challenge. And, you know, they have,
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: like you said, Tommy, they have some time to do it,
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: but they're sort of not much.
- 1:15:20Speaker 3: Clock's ticking.
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: Not much.
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: At some point, we've gone very long here, but we
- 1:15:24Speaker 2: should have a conversation about the fact that the three
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: front runners in the Democratic primary are all the people
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: who started with the highest name ID. Like what that
- 1:15:32Speaker 2: says about politics, what it says about the age of
- 1:15:34Speaker 2: celebrity and what it says about media and the inability
- 1:15:36Speaker 2: to break through.
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: What it says about 20 something candidates running for president. Yeah.
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: It might be, it might be a simpler, simpler explanation
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: than we think. It's just, it's a lot of fucking people.
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: And one last thing, if you weren't on that stage
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: last night, except, you know, Tom Steyer, who's coming back
- 1:15:51Speaker 1: for a debate number two, I would really seriously think
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: about staying in the race. Like I don't, whether you
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: should say it, like I just, every, every candidate can
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: do what they want and stuff, but like, If you
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: start missing, you missed one debate. If you miss the
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: second debate in October, you've got to start asking yourself, like,
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: what am I still doing? What are my chances here?
- 1:16:10Speaker 2: I mean, it's sort of an existential question. Like, are
- 1:16:12Speaker 2: you in the race? I'm being serious.
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: No, I know. That's what I'm saying. Like, it's just,
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: you know.
- 1:16:18Speaker 2: It's not like you don't have to fill out paperwork
- 1:16:19Speaker 2: to leave, right? Like, sometimes the market decides whether you're
- 1:16:23Speaker 2: in or you're out.
- 1:16:24Speaker 3: Well, you just get to stop raising money, which would
- 1:16:26Speaker 3: be wonderful.
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: Yeah, that's true.
- 1:16:27Speaker 6: Okay. Okay.
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: Those are our takes on debate number three, and we
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: will talk to you guys next week.
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: Bye, everyone.
- 1:16:35Speaker 5: Bye.
- 1:16:36Speaker 9: Bye.
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: Pod Save America is a product of Crooked Media. The
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- 1:16:53Speaker 1: It's mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin is
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- 1:17:00Speaker 1: Katie Long for production support. And to our digital team,
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