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Best Bets Today | No 100-Yard Rusher in 36 Straight Games?! | NFL, NBA & NHL Picks Monday · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Well, I told you that I did not like the
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: NFL board at all this week. I thought that I
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: identified the best spot, which was the Jets, and they
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: had the game. They blew it. I mean, it was
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: fundamental mistakes by the Jets. The Jets' defense couldn't come
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: through either, and they were up multiple scores in the
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. It looked like we were going to have
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: the game put away, and they just completely blow it.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about it. I think the Jets should
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: have won that game. They had that game. Not happy.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: Not happy with how anything went yesterday. Like, the only
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: thing I got right was pretty much the Lions, and
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: they had to escape a low-scoring game and somehow got
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: out of there with a cover. Yeah, I mean, Lamar
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Jackson immediately gets injured in that game, which throws everything
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: off in that game. Like, I had said the over.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: I had said the Ravens in that game. Let me
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: fix my camera here. None of that came to fruition. Dude,
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure that Lamar is actually injured in
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: these circumstances. Like, he injured his thumb. Like, I know
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: that could affect your throwing, sure. But, dude, I don't know, man.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: To me, it seems like he just doesn't even want
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: to play. Like, I don't know what the deal is
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: with this. Everything is just so ridiculous here. And then
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: we had, you know, the Chiefs should have been the
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: right play. They were up two scores in the fourth quarter.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: They won the yardage battle in that game by over
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: 100 yards. They got it. I think they were in
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: Denver territory two drives in a row at the end
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: of that game to try to win the game. Couldn't
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: do it. And then there's the goal line stand at
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: the end. And I think people are siding with the
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: refs on that false start at the end, because if
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: you didn't see the game, Kansas City got down to
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: a fourth down play from, I think, like the two
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: yard line. And they had a touchdown pass on the
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: play to Rice, but it was called back. Well, not
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: even really called back. There was a flag really before
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: the play started, but nobody heard it, so they ran
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: the play anyway. Nobody heard the whistle, whatever. They called
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: a false start. And I think it's just because there's
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: so much Chiefs hate out there. I don't even like
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, dude. I don't like Kelsey. I don't like
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Taylor Swift. I don't like any of this crap. But,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: I mean... By the letter of the law, yeah, I
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: guess it's a false start. One of the offensive linemen
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: basically looked back at Mahomes, probably because he couldn't hear
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: the count or whatever, and they called that a false start.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: You don't want to decide a game on that, man.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: That's a call that never gets made in the NFL,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: so I think that's really the problem. Not that it
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: wasn't technically the correct call, Uh, although I guess, I
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: think there might be arguments that, that really it wasn't,
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: but it's more like, like, come on, like, why would
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: you call that penalty right there? You know what I mean?
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: In a crucial situation like that, it's such a like
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: tic-tac flag to throw right there. It's completely ridiculous. Uh,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I thought that was bullshit. Um, you know, I've,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I guess there were a
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: couple other games that angered me as well. Uh, I
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: didn't like the fact that I just totally miscalled the
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: Brown Steelers. If the Steelers weren't coming back from Europe,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I would have said side with the Steelers in that game.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: The only issue with that was, yeah, the Europe trip.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: I did not like it. So I had to kind
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: of lean against it, and that was bad too. Yeah,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: I'm ranting, but I'm not happy, dude. This is my
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: first below 500 week in the NFL all season. I've
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: been running really hot. I was like 12th in all
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: of ESPN games. picking every game against the spread, and
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: now I'm 30th or probably worse than that now. We've
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: got to get tonight's game right, and I am going
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: to talk about that, and that is in the title
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: of the show here, which I will mention. Keep listening.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: I'll mention it when I get to it. There's a
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: ton of NBA today. There's even more college basketball. It
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: is Marathon Monday, but if you missed it, I did
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: a show covering the whole slate basically of college basketball.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: It's not really that interesting of a slate. There's just
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: a ton of games and a lot of them are
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: huge mismatches. I covered all the big games. I gave
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: out two plays, so you can go check that out.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: I will reiterate those plays at the end here. Those
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: plays have not gone yet. Even though there's basketball for
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: 24 hours straight, we had a crazy game at 3 a.m.,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: by the way, Grambling in Northern Illinois. That was a
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: crazy game, crazy finish to that game, close game. So,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: of course, the game that nobody watches, you know. And
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: it's literally at 3 a.m. local time. There weren't that
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: many people in the stands either. Of course, that game
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: is one of the craziest games. Yeah, and basketball will continue,
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: and there will be more and more of it as
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: the day progresses. I don't think either of my plays
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: are until the evening, though, so I believe that's right.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: So you can go watch that show. And, yeah, we'll
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: get into it here. This is, like I said, mostly
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: going to be NBA. I'm going to give out a
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: disgustingly bad NBA play on the show here, and that's
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: all I have today. There's a small hockey board that
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I'll go through quickly, and I'll talk about the Monday
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: night football game. That'll be what happens on the show today.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Let's get it going, man, because NBA will take a while.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Let's go.
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: You got a slip in your palm and a hole.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: In your chest Black coffee on the felt, man.
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: You look like a mess Three team parlay turned to
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: dust in your hand Now you stare at the chips
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: like they made you this man But don't you go quiet,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: don't you fade from the floor Your name still means
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: something to somebody for sure Put the glass down, baby.
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: Look at me.
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: Now Hold on, hold on Not.
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: Tonight, not now Hold.
• 6:11
  Speaker 4: On, hold on Let me pull you out That fell
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: apart by its heart But it don't get the crown
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on, stay with me now.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you. I believe
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: I updated this, yeah, with my one loss from yesterday.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: There's a new record there. Toadstool Sports Monday, November 2nd.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Let's get into this, man. Hockey will be first here.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: All of it is evening hockey, starting with Vegas at
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: my Boston Bruins here. Vegas has not been playing as
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: well recently. They've hit a bad stretch here, losing whatever
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: this is, four of the last five games. They just
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: lost pretty badly to the Devils. Now starting a road trip.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Could be a good spot for them. Like I say,
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: when you have a bad loss at home, one of
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: the best things you could do is just leave. Go
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: out on the road. Don't listen to the media. Just
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: focus on the game. So I think it is a
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: positive spot for the Knights here. I think it's a
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: bounce-back spot for them probably. Bruins have been awesome at home, though.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: They're 6-1 at home, so I don't really want to
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: actually fade them in Boston. Bruins are coming up with
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: another home win in a return home spot, although it
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: was a quick road trip. They escaped and beat the Blackhawks,
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: so having a bad game against the Blackhawks, that might
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: have them focused in this game as well, because the
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: Bruins were a big favorite there. Chicago's still not a
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: very good team. I think this game comes down to
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: probably which team is the better team here, but I
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: do think that is Vegas. The Bruins, they open about
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: minus 110, but the line has shifted a little bit.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: It looks like some money may be pushing it a
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: little bit towards Vegas being the favorite here. Oddsmakers still
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: have Vegas as the better team. I do still agree
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: with that, even though the Bruins have been good at
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: the beginning of the season. The Bruins look like they're
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: getting the public action because they've been the better team recently. So,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: you know, public, what have you done for me lately is...
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: the way that they think about everything. 86% of the tickets,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: 93% of the cash on Boston. I would probably, yeah,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: fade that if I was going to do anything with
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: this game. I would lean a little bit towards Vegas
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: in that one, but not a strong opinion at all.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: I don't have any strong opinions in hockey today. Detroit
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: at Florida. Detroit is coming off a loss to St.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: Louis at home. Now they're going out on the road
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: to start a trip, so it could be a bounce-back
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: spot for them, potentially a focus spot here. Didn't get
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: blown out at home in their last game like Vegas did.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: As far as Detroit's schedule or whatever, yeah, I mean,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: this should be a focus spot for them, even though
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: they do play Tampa Bay tomorrow, which is also a
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: big game. But Florida, they're starting to play well again.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: I think they're one of the top teams in hockey still.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Florida's won three in a row, and they won their
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: last game despite being in a return home spot and
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: it being a potential zigzag spot. against winnipeg the team
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: that they blew out to finish the road trip so
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: i made a case for taking winnipeg in that game
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: on the show i didn't put it on my card
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: but yeah i had an incorrect opinion on that one
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: now it's their second game back home which a lot
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: of times is a better spot for the home team
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: but not when they did really well in the game
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: the first game back home that's so you know uh
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: i think if they do really well in the first
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: game back home it doesn't necessarily mean they're gonna continue
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: doing well in the next game. Whereas I think if
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: they do bad in the first game back home, they
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: tend to bounce back harder in the next game. This game,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: I would probably be leaning towards Detroit here. Florida is
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: going to be a huge favorite here. So there's probably
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit of value on the Detroit side here.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Florida minus 175 is the price here. 88% of the tickets, 9%.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. Florida's very public. Yeah, I
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: would lean more towards the team, but I think it's
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: going to be more focused starting the road trip here
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: as Florida coming off a blowout win. Might be a
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: little bit lackluster, potentially, I would say. So yeah, Detroit
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: would probably be my opinion there. making like a plus-one
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: puck line or something like that. Colorado at Chicago. This
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: is a huge mismatch. Colorado's a massive road favorite in
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: this one. You never really know, though. I mean, it's
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: possible they get caught in a game like this. Colorado
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: coming off two 5-2 wins. They just blew out Calgary
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: in their last game, which is kind of whatever. Calgary's
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: not very good. Starting a road trip. They usually are focused,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: but Colorado's got this two-game trip here. They got Chicago,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Columbus on this trip. Columbus is probably the bigger of
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: these two games, even though Chicago is in the Western Conference.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're an easy team to overlook. They're just
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: not doing that well. Chicago is returning home from a
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: road trip, but it was kind of a quick road
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: trip to Detroit and Boston. They did lose that Boston
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: game in overtime, though, but they used Soderbloom and Nets,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: so I presume that Knight will be their goalie again
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: here in this one, so they'll be back to their
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: primary goalie here. I talk about how negative return home
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: spots are typically because teams have stuff that gets built
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: up that they have to do back at home or whatever.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: When you're only gone for two games in the middle
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: of the week, I guess this is more of a
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: weekend-ish trip there, but I still don't think it's that
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: bad of a spot for Chicago here. I think what
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: makes it worse, though, is the Bruins have a good record.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: Chicago went in and put in a big effort as
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: a big underdog against the Bruins, so because of that,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: I don't really want Chicago here. for that reason, but
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: I think Colorado's pretty much unplayable at this price, though.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: They're like minus 238, basically, is the number here. 89%
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, 78% of the cash on Colorado. They're
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: really public, less of the money on them. Just on
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: pure number alone, you know, it makes sense that the
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: professional money's leaning towards Chicago here, but I don't love
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: the spot for Chicago, so this game is also going to, yeah,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I have to stay away from this completely.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: If you're going to take Chicago, you could probably take
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: them on the plus one and a half puck line
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: and get a decent price that way. But yeah, I
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: will refrain from doing that. You know, again, yeah, I
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: don't want Chicago off of that big physical game against
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. Calgary and San Jose. Calgary just lost to
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: the Avalanche pretty badly. Continuing the road trip here, going
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific time zone for this one, but
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: not really that big of a deal because there are
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: They're not a Pacific Northwest team, but close to it,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: so I think it's less bad for them here. San
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: Jose just got blown out at home by Ottawa, though,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: so this could definitely be a bounce back for San
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Jose here, and I think San Jose is the better
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: team here. The oddsmakers have them as the favorite, but
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: not by a whole lot at minus 125. Given that
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: it looks like San Jose should be focused off a
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: really bad effort, Calgary having to still travel off of
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Playing a really good team like Colorado, even though it
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: wasn't a close game. I'd rather have San Jose in
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: this game if I was going to play it. 74%
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, 87% of the cash on them. If anything,
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: I think maybe the price is actually a little bit
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: cheap on San Jose because their record's not really that
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: good right now. I think Calgary has overperformed recently as well.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: I think San Jose is better than people think they
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: are right now. Calgary's not as good as people think
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: they are right now. So I actually think this line
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: probably is short on San Jose. which might be why
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in that way. But yeah, I think
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: they're the better team by more of a margin than
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: what the odds makers have given them here on this, uh, price.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would lean towards the sharks in that one.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: And that is the entire NHL rundown. Not a whole
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: lot going on there. Uh, don't feel strongly about any
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: of it. Randy, what's up, man? Uh, I am going
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: to talk about that game at the very end of
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: the show, but that means you have to, you know,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: you have to deal with me talking about 15 NBA
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: games first, but the, uh, I like the Bears to
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: cover the number in that one, though. I was considering
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: betting it and making it a play, but I'm really selective,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: and I don't like what I'm seeing in the market,
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: so I'm staying off of the game. But, yeah, the
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: Bears would be the only way I would look in
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: that game. Bears plus the points, even though not a
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: fan of their defense. But I will talk about it
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: at the end of the show as well. We got
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: a lot of NBA here, man. I thought maybe the
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: NBA Cup play was resuming. Because it's like every team
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: is playing today, but apparently the cup is not resuming.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: It's just some massive NBA board. Why? I don't know.
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: To compete with the college basketball marathon on opening day?
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. Which, by the way, again, I
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: already covered the college basketball board last night, so you
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: can go check that show out. It is up on
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: the channel and on audio. Long show, though. Not as
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: long as you would think to cover that many games,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: but I did it more like rapid fire, sort of.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: which still took an hour and a half. I didn't
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: hit every single game, but I hit a large amount
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: of them. All right, we have Oklahoma City and Cleveland
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: on NBC Sports. This is the only TV game, and,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, in theory, it's a good matchup,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: but we got a very injured Oklahoma City team here
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: that is going to be without Holmgren for the majority
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: of the season. Now Jalen Williams for the majority of
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: the season. Cason Wallace is going to be out for
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: the majority of the season. Caruso is supposed to be
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: back soon, but I don't think he's back yet either.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: So this is a depleted OKC team here, and they've
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: lost two games in a row, but maybe the bounce
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: back does come here. I mean, this is still not
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: that bad of a Thunder team, and they've looked really
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: bad in their last two games against kind of an
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: upstart Dallas team and against Houston, and Those are both
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: road games, although this is also a road game. They
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: got blown out in those two games, though, man. Houston,
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: I think, is definitely legit. Dallas, with their new coach
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: there with May, they're looking like they're better than we
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: thought they were going to be. I'd probably be leaning
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: towards Oklahoma City here in this game. I think the
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: line is just going too far, man. You're getting OKC
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: as a fairly sizable underdog in this one. I know
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: the Cavs are fairly good, but I still don't really
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: trust them on the defensive end of things. Cavs are
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: coming off some... They've won a bunch of recent games,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: but every one of those games is against a bad team,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: except for the win against the T-Wolves. Otherwise, they beat
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: the Nets, the Wizards, and the Bucs. Is that really
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: that impressive? I don't think so, but now we have
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Cleveland coming off a blowout win over the Bucs. They're
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip, although it is a
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: quick road trip, so I don't think that's that negative,
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: but still, coming back home can add distractions to you,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: and They're not going to overlook OKC. Nobody's going to
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: overlook them, but I would prefer to have the Thunder,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: who I still think are one of the better teams
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: in the league still, even despite the injuries. Better defense
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: as well. Getting a bunch of points here now. Going
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: up against a team that's off of numerous kind of
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: blowout wins here. I'd rather take the points with the
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Thunder in this one, even though I know I said
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: that last time and it didn't happen. The money's disagreeing
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: with me, and you're going to see that's going to
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: be a theme with the NBA here on this board,
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: which is why I'm treading really carefully with it. 58%
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on the Thunder, so it looks
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: like the public's still siding with the Thunder. I guess
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: just seeing the Thunder getting points, but I mean, to me, again,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: it seems like we're overreacting to what these teams have
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: done recently, though. 56% of the cash is on Cleveland, though.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: Three and a half, four is the number on them here,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: but getting the thunder is an underdog to that degree.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, you, you could take it one of two ways, right?
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Like maybe the odds makers are telling you something like
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: they're like, Hey, right now, Cleveland is the better team
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: right now, or it's an overreaction to recency. And I,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: I think it's a mix of both actually. So it's
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: kind of, it's kind of hard to gauge this, but yeah,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: I think it's gone a little bit too far in
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: the other direction. So I would lean towards the thunder
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: plus the points there, Randy. I appreciate it, man. Yeah.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Let's get, uh, Let's get it going, man.
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Let's get more and more views on this thing. Hell yeah.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: Let's go. I'm going to hopefully be giving out winners
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: still on the show. I mean, that's the... That's the
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: goal here. I mean, I talk about every game, but
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: a lot of these are like light leans. I'll try
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: to make it clear when I feel more strongly about
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: a particular game. And obviously the ones I feel the
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: best about are actual plays that I'm giving out on
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: the show here. The next game is Detroit and Charlotte.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Pretty sure these two teams just played each other recently. Yeah,
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: Detroit won at home in a low scoring game by
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: eight against Charlotte. Then Detroit went on the road after that.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: And we had a win on the show with Detroit.
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: Blowing out the Nets. I said lay the points to Detroit.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: That was an actual play of mine. That was an
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: easy win for them. The Nets were coming off this
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: monster effort against the Celtics. So I was like, you've
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: got to fade the Nets in this one. And we
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: got that one right. Laying points recently on the show
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: in the NBA, man. It's worked out all right. We're
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: 10-3 to start the NBA season on the show, by
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: the way. And two of the three losers are the
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: Miami Heat. So they've won for us once, too, though.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: But what do we do with this game, you know?
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: It could be a zigzag type of thing where maybe
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: Detroit doesn't take the Hornets as seriously because they just
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: beat them. Although, the Hornets, you know, I mean, they
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: did play fairly competitively against Detroit last time, so maybe
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Detroit doesn't totally overlook them here. Problem is, Detroit does
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: have a... They have a massive game on deck on
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: ESPN against the 76ers, and that's... Detroit's the only team
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: that's beaten the 76ers. That's going to be a big
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: game for the Sixers, but it's a big game for
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: both teams, so... This, you know, it's a possible look ahead.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: here for Detroit. So that's the main issue with the
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot for Detroit here. I don't like the spot
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: for Charlotte either though, because Charlotte just played the 76ers.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: They played really tough in that game. They only lost
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: by five points, a really big game for them. So
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: while they're not going to overlook the Pistons here, the
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: question is, Are they going to be able to give
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: a full effort like this two games in a row?
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: They played that Philly game on Saturday. Now they've got
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: to play another big game against a pretty good defense
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: in Detroit right away. Are they going to be able
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: to sustain that effort all game? That's the question you've
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: got to ask yourself with the Hornets here. Because they're
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: not going to have an issue focusing on this game.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? They're going to want to win. Yeah,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: it's just how tired are they going to be by
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: the end of this? That's the question. So both teams
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: are kind of in somewhat bad spots here, I would say.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in towards the Hornets, though. Detroit
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: is the public side, which makes sense. They got 63%
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them. Four and a half, four
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: is basically the number on them here as a road favorite.
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: 52% of the cash on the Hornets side. You know,
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, when I can't really... figure out the situation.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: I think there are negative aspects to both. I'll lean
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: into the market read on that one and lean towards
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: the Hornets plus the points there. I don't really love
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: it though. I think it's more difficult to get back
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: up off the mat in a spot like for the
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Hornets coming off that big game. I think it's more
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: difficult for them to get back up off the mat
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: after that than it will be for Detroit to come
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: off of an easy blowout win where they didn't really
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: have to put in a full effort by the end
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: of it. So that would be a That almost had
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: me leaning towards Detroit in this game. I'll still have
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: a very light lean towards Charlotte there, but I really
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: don't like it that much. Next game is Atlanta-Indiana. We
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: won fading Indiana two games ago. That was that game
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: where the Heat finally got us a win. That was
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: because Indiana was coming off a huge effort against the
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: 76ers where they fell just short. But then after getting
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: blown out by the Heat, Indiana did not bounce back.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: They lost to the Brooklyn Nets at home last time.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: To me, that's got to set up a little bit
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: of a bounce back for Indiana here. You lose at
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: home to the Nets as a reasonably-sized favorite. You've got
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: to think that team's going to bounce back. Teams, when
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: they don't do well as a fairly big favorite, a
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: lot of times they do bounce back in the next game.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: But Indiana may have only been a.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: I think they were probably actually only a four- or
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: five-point favorite there because... They got some injuries here, man.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: This Indiana team is not healthy. What else is new?
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: Halliburton is out indefinitely right now. So I don't know
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: what's going on with that situation. But yeah, there will
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: be no Halliburton here. It looks like they may be
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: getting some of their other guys back and healthier again. Still,
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: to me, it does look like a bounce back, though,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: for the Pacers. That was a horrible game for them
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: against a bad Nets team. The Hawks, not a bad team,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: but the Hawks are laying a bunch of points on
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: the road here. Hawks, though, they're coming off a really
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: embarrassing effort themselves, though, in New Orleans. So both teams
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: look like they're in bounce back mode here. It's just
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: that the Pacers' loss may have been more embarrassing just
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: because they were a home favorite in theirs. The money
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: is really strongly backing the Hawks here, though. Indiana, 52%
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, which that seems bizarre to me. Like,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: do you really think the public is siding with Indiana here?
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess maybe they just don't want to
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: lay a favorite price with a below 500 Atlanta team
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: on the road. I don't know, but the money is
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: siding with Atlanta, at least on the market read right now. And,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: of course, the percentages here could change, you know, pretty
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: dramatically throughout the day, so.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: That's why I got to rely on my situational read.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: And then I kind of use this as like a
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: gauge as well. Uh, but sometimes I will fade what
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: I see here. Usually I want to agree with what
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: I see here though. Um, more often than not, Atlanta
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: has 95% of the cash on them. And again, they're
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: about a five point favorite of though. I am leaning
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit towards taking the points with Indiana in
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: that situational setup there. Again, I really don't love it though. Um,
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Although I think the line is a little bit higher, though,
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: because Indiana played yesterday. Yeah, so that's one thing to
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. That game was yesterday. Indiana against Brooklyn.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: So they're actually on a back-to-back. And the oddsmakers are
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: definitely adjusting for the back-to-back. That's why Atlanta is such
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: a heavy favorite here. Because the oddsmakers, they adjust the line, like,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: I think, multiple points for the rest advantage there to
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: account for the back-to-back. So, yeah, I mean, I don't
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: really want Indiana on the back-to-back. But sometimes you do
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: want to play teams on the back-to-back because... especially if
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: Indiana had a bunch of guys out yesterday that are
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: coming back then they will actually have some extra guys
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: who are rested here but it's the type of game
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: where maybe you want to dig in to the box
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: score and see like how many minutes did each of
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: these guys play you know where's India yeah here's Indiana
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: I mean their main guys did play a lot Siakam
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: Nembhard and Nesmith all played 30 plus minutes that's not
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: exactly great for Indiana so yeah the back to back
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: may be a little bit of an issue there Whoops,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: as I want to get the NBA schedule back up here. Yeah,
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: I don't have much else to say about that game,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: but I think I kind of disagree with the market
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: in that one. It's still slightly lean Pacers, but I
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: don't love it. Garrett, what's up, man? You're mad about
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: you're losing bets or you're mad about your team's losing?
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: What are we doing here? College basketball is back. Yes,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: I did a pretty long show last night trying to
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: break down the whole marathon here. A lot of kind
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: of uninteresting games, though, but I do have two plays.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: on my card here. I start the season very lightly.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: I try to be really selective anyway. I try to
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: handicap all of Division I basketball, all 300-whatever teams, and
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: it gets to be really crazy. So these are going
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: to be some really long Saturday night shows again, which I...
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: You know, it really takes... I don't know. I know
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: I'm just sitting here talking, but it still tires me
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: out big time, man. So I don't know. We'll see.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn at the New York Knicks here is this next game.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn coming off a little bit of an upset there
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: yesterday against the Pacers. So Brooklyn is on a back-to-back
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: now off that win over the Pacers. Knicks have rest,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: so the Knicks are going to be an even heavier
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: favorite than they would be otherwise. Brooklyn, they're always going
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: to get up for a game against the Knicks because
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are always their bigger brother in New York
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: City here. Knicks are coming off a really tough game
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: against the 76ers, though. But at least for the Knicks,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: it wasn't yesterday. But still, that was a big game
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: against the Sixers. They lost again in a close game
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: to the Sixers. Now they're coming back home from a
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: two-game road trip. Not a long road trip, so I
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: don't consider this to be a real negative return home
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: spot for the Knicks here. I don't really like the
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: situation for either team here. Brooklyn obviously does not have rest.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn looks like they're a public underdog in this game,
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: which seems crazy to me because the Knicks are 2-4.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: That's why. The public's going to look at this like,
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: I have to lay 15 points basically with a 2-4 team?
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? Like that's going to be
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: the public's reaction to this. Well, yeah, but the oddsmakers,
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: everybody knows the Knicks are still way better than the Nets. Like, yeah,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are two and four, but what do you want?
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: They've played the Celtics already. They played, uh, the Sixers twice.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Like the Knicks have had a really difficult early season schedule.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: So this Knicks team is still one of the best
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: teams in the league. Like, don't, don't be, uh, you know,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: you know, let's not, uh, let's not get things twisted here. Um,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: I might actually lay the points with the Knicks if
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: I was going to play this one. I mean, Brooklyn
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: looking like a dreaded public underdog. When do you ever
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: see Brooklyn getting public action like this? 65% of the
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, 59% of the cash. Public underdogs, some
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: of the biggest red flags in sports betting. You don't
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: want to be on them because the public doesn't even
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: want the better team. Although, yes, you do need the
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Knicks to win by margin, and it is a low total. It's,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: I think, the lowest... Second lowest total on the board.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Detroit Charlotte is really low at 210, basically. This one's
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: not that much higher at 219, basically. So yeah, the
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: odds are expecting a lower scoring game here, which does
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: make it easier to take the points or more difficult
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: to lay the points when fewer points are expected. But
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: it is still an NBA game where a lot of
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: points get scored. I'd lean towards laying it there, but
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: that's another game I really don't love. And You're probably
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: not getting too much value by doing that again because
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: I think if it wasn't a back-to-back for Brooklyn, the
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: Knicks would probably only be like a 12-point favorite here,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: although there's not that much of a difference between 12
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: and 14. So I guess, yeah, again, do what you
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: want with all the info I'm giving out here. Washington
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: at Orlando. This game, Orlando played yesterday, a big game
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: against the Celtics, and they were hanging around in that
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: game for most of it. Well, actually not for most
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: of it, I don't think, but Orlando was fairly close
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: towards the end of that game. Celtics wound up being
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: able to put it away and winning by 11 and covering,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: but Orlando was within like five or six points with
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: a few minutes left in the game. So Orlando put
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: in a pretty big effort there against the Celtics yesterday.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: And now coming off of that, they got to turn
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: around and play again right away and play the Wizards.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Maybe not the greatest spot for Orlando here. Orlando still
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: without Bonchero. I think it was their best player. Um, Washington,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: they did get to Bonsa back a couple games ago.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: They're sitting at 3-3, so they've had an okay start
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: to the season. They just beat Charlotte in a really
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: low-scoring game, really kind of crazy, which I don't think
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: you really expect out of this Wizard team here. I
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: think they're not a very good defense, let's put it
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: that way. I expect more high-scoring games from the Wizards,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: and that was mostly the case until that game, which
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: looks like it's probably an outlier, but now they have
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: to swing back out on the road for one game
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: to play Orlando I don't know if the Wizards are
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be really overconfident after beating Charlotte though I mean
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: that was a game I got that one right on
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: the show wasn't a play but I liked the the
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: spot better for the Wizards and I was going against
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: the market reading that one too this game I Difficult
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: to figure this game out as well. The money's coming
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: in on Orlando. We got 69% of the tickets on Washington,
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: 72% of the cash on Orlando. Orlando's about a two
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite now in this game. I
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: think I lean Washington. I don't like the Orlando spot, man.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: On a back-to-back coming off a game against the Celtics
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: where they were pretty close towards the end of that game.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: I think it could be a little bit of a
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: flat spot after the big effort from the Magic yesterday.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: So I'd rather have Washington in that game. So disagreeing
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: with the market on that one. Like I said, I'm
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with the market on some of these games here.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Chicago at Philadelphia, man, there are way too many NBA
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: games today. Philadelphia, a huge favorite here, but they're actually
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: only the third biggest favorite on the board here, obviously
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: behind the Knicks, but also San Antonio when we get
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: to it. They're a heavier favorite as well. The 76ers,
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: 6-1 to start the season. They played a reasonably difficult
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: schedule so far, too. They're coming off kind of a
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: close game against Charlotte, so they may be refocused here,
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: but maybe not because it's the Chicago Bulls. Like, who's
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: really going to pay attention to them? And the Sixers
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: do have a huge game Wednesday on ESPN against the Pistons,
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: and that game's even a little bit bigger because the
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Sixers only have one loss on the season, and guess
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: who that loss was to? And it was at home, too. Yeah,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: that loss was to Detroit, so... That's going to be
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: a big game for the Sixers coming up next against Detroit,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: so I think this is a pretty major look-ahead spot
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: here where maybe they do just kind of look past
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: the Bulls here. Bulls are coming off another kind of
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: bad effort. Well, it was a bad effort. They were
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: getting blown out by the Celtics in that game. It
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: only looked a little bit closer than it really was
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: because the Celtics just took their foot off the gas
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: at the end of the game, and the Bulls were
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: able to make it more respectable, but they were getting
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: annihilated in that game. This is not a good Bulls team,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: but this might be a spot where they are able
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: to cover the number here. I would lean towards the
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Bulls in this one. It looks like a bounce back
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: from them, even though it looks like you could argue
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: Philly will refocus after their latest effort, but I just
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: think the look ahead to Detroit is just the biggest thing.
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: negative that either of these two teams has in the
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot here. And again, I'm not agreeing with the market.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: Philly is public, as you would expect, but not that public.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: 65% of the tickets, 95% of the money on them, though.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: They're about an 11.5 point favorite here. It is a
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: high total. Chicago, not a good team on the defensive
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: end of things, so it makes it a little bit
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: difficult to take points with them, although we did get
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: a win with them as an underdog at home, though,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: against the Knicks, I think it was, not too long ago.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: That was a really good spot to fade the Knicks,
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: and Chicago still almost blew the cover in that one
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: after winning outright most of the game. I won't do
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: it here, but I will lean slightly to the Bulls
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: in this one. None of these opinions that I've had
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: so far in the NBA are really even that strong.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: Which one of these games would I have even had
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: the strongest opinion on? I can't even tell you. I
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: don't feel strongly about any of those games. so far
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: so however this next game I told you this is
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: going to be real ugly but yeah we got a
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: play in the next game yeah you're already about to
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: hate this one I know it we're taking the Sacramento
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: Kings plus 10 or you might be able to get 10.5
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: right now let me see I might update this hang
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: on doesn't really matter between 10 and 10.5 though but
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: let me see I'm going to take a look right
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: now at what the market's doing yeah you can get 10.5
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: right now I mean, either way, it doesn't matter that much,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: but sure, let's get the extra half point here on here.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Why not? Because it is available right now at a
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: couple of books. The number's a little bit all over
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: the place, but 10 is fine as well, whatever. We're
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: taking Sacramento here against Dallas. Dallas started to play really well,
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: but how good is this Dallas team really? I mean,
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: they weren't expected to make this much of a turnaround,
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: and now they're coming off of three straight wins. They
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: beat the Heat as an underdog, which... You know, okay,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: it was the Heat. The Heat were having chemistry issues
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: with their new lineup there with Giannis and whatever. So
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: I think you could chalk it up to that. Although
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: we did lose on the show playing the Heat in
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: that one. But then after that, Dallas blew out the Thunder.
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: Very impressive, even though the Thunder are pretty injured here,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: but still blowing them out. Looks really good. And then
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: Dallas turned around and they beat the Rockets as well.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: So Dallas is coming up three straight upset wins. Their
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: most recent one was a revenge win because they lost
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: the opening game of the season pretty badly to the Rockets.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: And that was even bigger because the Rockets are one
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: of their Texas rivals.
• 34:34
  Speaker 4: So.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I think this is a major letdown spot for Dallas.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: As good as they've looked in the last three games,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: I think the stock is going to be too high
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: on them right now, and they're going to be riding
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: way too high off of three big wins in a row,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: all upsets. The last two were fairly monumental wins for
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: this team. This is a Dallas team that's just figuring
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: out how to win again. You know what I mean?
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: Cooper Flagg starting to play pretty well. Kyrie looks pretty
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: good right now too, but yeah, even so, I understand
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: the Kings are the worst team in the NBA, as
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: I've been saying. They're really, really bad, and I think
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: we don't even know how bad they really are. They
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: really shouldn't be this bad. I mean, they still have
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Sabonis there. He's not hurt right now like he was
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: at the end of the year. Levine is there. I mean,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: this isn't that horrific of a lineup that they should
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: be looking this bad. And they got Acuff. He was
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: their big draft pick. He's scoring a lot, but the
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: team just hasn't really gelled so far. Acuff out of
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: University of Arkansas. He's really good at driving the lane, man.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: And yes, 0-6. Sacramento team, and they've been pretty much
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: non-competitive in every one of these games too, except a
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: couple of home games against Portland and Memphis where they
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: did somewhat okay. So why do I want them here? Well,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: it's about fading Dallas here, man. And the other aspect
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: of this is not only is Dallas coming up with
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: those huge wins, look who they're playing next on Wednesday. Yeah,
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: they're playing the San Antonio Spurs, and guess who their
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: other loss is? So they got their revenge for their
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: opening loss to Houston. They have one other loss on
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: the season. Take a guess who that loss was against
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: for Dallas. Yeah, it was the Spurs. So that's an
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: even bigger game coming up. It's a quick revenge game. Plus,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: it would already be huge because... It's their other Texas rival,
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: the Spurs. And the Spurs are probably right now the
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: best team in the Western Conference. Probably the best team
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: in the league just because Oklahoma City is so injured now.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: That is a monster game coming up. So this is
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: a huge sandwich spot. It's a Texas sandwich all around, man.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: A Texas team sandwiched in... It's a Texas team... with
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: a game sandwiched in between two other Texas teams. Yeah,
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: this is a massive beef brisket barbecue sandwich here. Huge-ass
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: sandwich here. We're going to take the Sacramento Kings, even
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: though they have not even covered this particular number in
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: any game besides the one against Portland, I believe. And
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: I think they have not covered in any game on
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: the entire season as far as what the lines have
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: actually been in all their games. I don't care. This
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: is a horrible spot for Dallas, so we'll just do it. Sacramento,
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've got to at least be desperate to
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: try to get this first win, man. I'm not saying
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: they're going to win the game. They could cover and
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: still lose. It's a pretty big number here, so let's
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: do it. They're coming up with another disgustingly bad loss
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: against Memphis a couple days ago. They've had a day
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: off in between their last couple of games here. Last
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: game of the road trip, you know, before they have
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: to play the Lakers in San Antonio. But they're not
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: going to overlook anybody, right? A winless team is not
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: going to overlook anybody, especially not a hot Dallas team.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Sacramento doesn't want to go 0-4 on this road trip, man,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: even though it looks likely they will. But I think
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: they can put up a fight in this one. They're
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: catching Dallas in a horrific spot. So let's take the Kings.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: The money agrees. 53% of the tickets lost. On the Kings,
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: that doesn't make a whole lot of sense. Public probably
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: going to be leaning towards Dallas in actuality here, but
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: the real money seems like it's going to be on Sacramento,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: 91% of the cash on them. We're seeing some 9.5s
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: showing up at some spots as well, so this number's
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: a little bit all over the place. There's no key
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: number here in the NBA. 10 is not a key
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: number in the NBA, so whatever, but get the best
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: number you can on this. We're taking the Kings plus
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: the points there. Yes, basketball. Yeah, I mean, my mind
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: gets twisted when I handicap these games, and I'm like,
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I'm thinking, but the NBA
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: has been my best sport historically, although things have changed
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: as far as how you have to look at it.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: The market adapts. We used to be able to use other... uh,
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: like ways of like, of, uh, looking at these games,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: like as far as like the zigzag in the NBA
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: used to be a really big thing where you had
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: teams playing the same team, the same two teams playing
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: each other multiple games in a row, uh, especially in
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. And the odds makers would always over adjust
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: to any outlier that happened in the first game. And
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: then you could come in and get a bunch of value, uh,
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: fading whatever that result was like doing the opposite basically
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: in the next game but the odds makers figured that
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: out and they started not over adjusting lines and in
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: fact they kind of adjust the lines in the opposite
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: direction sometimes now so you can't totally do that anymore
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: although you can you can still do it if you
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: pick your spots right but you have to you know
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: we've had to adapt over the years in the NBA
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: but the NBA remains my best sport though over 19
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: years that I've been doing this and off to a
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: really good start this season in the NBA like I
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: said 10 and 3 to start the season against the
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: spread with my actual plays I've given out on the
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: show here being pretty selective and over the last since
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: I've been tracking all my stuff on Action Network since
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: 2022 or whatever NBA is my best sport over that
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: time range as well so Um, and we're positive in
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: every major sport since then, by the way. So there
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: we go. Um, all right. Uh, new Orleans and Memphis,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: this Memphis team, I mean, there's six and oh, but
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: come on, man, they're not this good. Uh, probably there'll
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: be a playoff team, you know, and I actually think
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: getting rid of Morant actually might help them, even though
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: Portland looks pretty good right now, even though they have him.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Memphis is 6-0, but they've faced a really weak schedule
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: so far. They've faced Utah twice, Sacramento twice, Portland, they
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: did beat Portland in the Ja Morant battle, though Morant
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: might have been hurt for that one, and they beat
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: Golden State. The one good thing for Memphis is most
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: of those games were on the road, so they were
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: able to win a bunch of games on the road,
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: which is a decent sign. But they still face probably
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: the weakest schedule in the NBA, though. So I'm not
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: sold on this Memphis team. They're going to be laying
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: a bunch of points here. They just returned home from
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: the road, though, and I thought they would get caught
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: possibly returning home. I liked Sacramento to cover that one,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: at least, and it did not happen at all. But,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: you know, I just think Memphis is overvalued at this point.
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a blowout win again. They might not
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: be totally paying attention to New Orleans, although I know
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: Memphis only has Indiana next. They have OKC after that,
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: and if OKC was their next game, this would definitely
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: be a look ahead. But even so, I think Memphis
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: might overlook New Orleans a little bit, and Memphis is
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: probably feeling pretty good about themselves right now. New Orleans
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: has kind of sneakily won two games in a row,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: both at home, though, against Sacramento. Yeah, I know, worst
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: team in the league. Then Atlanta, though, pretty impressive, blowing
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: out a decent Atlanta team here A little bit weird
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: to have a single-game road trip here to Memphis, but
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: I would prefer to be on the New Orleans side
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: plus the points here. I think Memphis is going to
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: be overvalued because of their 6-0 start, and again, you've
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: got to look at what their schedule has been. It
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: has not been particularly strong, so I would prefer to
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: take the points with the Pelicans in this one. The
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: money doesn't agree with me on this one either. 60%
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on New Orleans, but there's no way.
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: Do I really think... Is the public really leaning towards
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: New Orleans in this game? There's no way. You know
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: they're going to be on the 6-0 team. There's no
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: way they're going to be on the Pelicans here, so
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: I don't buy what these numbers are saying right now.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: I don't think this is accurate. So again, you have
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: to take this with a little bit of grain of salt,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: and I think I'm fairly good at gauging where the
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: public actually is. 56% of the cash on Memphis, but yeah,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: I don't agree. And you can kind of see that
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm right, even in what's going on in the market,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: because Memphis opened minus 6, and now they're already down
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: to somewhere between five and a half and four and
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: a half here. So the line has moved towards new Orleans. Um, yeah,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: I think I have this one, right. I would lean
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: towards new Orleans plus the points there, but not really
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: that strong of an opinion there. Memphis, Portland. That was
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: a parlay for you. Parlay piece. You had a Portland
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: plus the points there. Yeah. I mean, I don't think I,
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: I don't remember what my thoughts were on that game.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think I disagreed with that one. I don't,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I disagree with parlays though. As you'll know,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: if you watch my show, the books, they want you
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: to do parlays. That's why they advertise them so much. So,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: you know, I preach like the long haul basically, which
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: like most people don't want to do it, right? Because
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: it's about a grind, right? It's day to day. You're
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: not going to win like huge on any single day
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: pretty much. You know what I mean? But it's a grind.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: You just want to be profitable long term, right? And
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: then as you build your bankroll, each one of your
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: bets is going to be a, stronger bet because what
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: i'm preaching is basically every bet is a straight bet
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: you bet um in my case three percent of your
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: bankroll just on every single bet just to make things
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: simple uh so you keep yourself disciplined just select like
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: where you think you have the best edge um only
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: play those games put that amount of money on it
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: limit you know limit yourself so if you get you
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: get into the habit of it you know okay this
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: is how much i bet on every game so you
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: never over bet anything And then as your bankroll grows,
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: you increase your bet size, right, because it's a percentage
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: of your bankroll, which should be somewhere, like, all of
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: your bets, I think, should be somewhere between 1% and
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: 5% of your bankroll. But 5%, I think, should be, like,
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: your absolute best play is, like, very rare, which I
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: don't even like to weigh those, though. It's just why
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: I say I just do 3% on everything. But again,
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: if your bankroll grows, then you'll be betting more per bet.
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: But it also restricts you because as your bankroll shrinks,
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: if you're having a losing stretch, you're going to be
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: betting a little bit less on your games too. You
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: know what I mean? So that helps you not lose
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: your money. So that's... It's how we do it, man. Parleys, though,
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: as I was going to say, there's a reason the
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: books advertise those. They want people to do them because
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: it looks like, oh, I can get a lot of
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: money really quick by taking this plus money price here.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: I can bet a little to win a lot, but
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: the odds makers are not giving you good enough odds
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: on that parlay because you need a bunch of independent
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: results to all hit. So it's like playing the lottery
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: basically is what I say. So like a parlay, they
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: might give you like plus 700 on it or something,
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: which looks good, but it's actually not good. If based
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: on the actual chance of it, chances of it hitting
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: the bookmakers should actually be giving you like plus a
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: thousand on it. You know what I mean? Then that's
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: not actually a good bet to make. Like the value
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: just isn't there. So if you make bets like that longterm,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: it's going to be a losing way of betting longterm.
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: If that makes sense, you know what I mean? Um, Um,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: so yeah, that's how I, uh, that's how I, I,
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: I do things. That's what I, I preach, you know,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: if you're going to play the parlays, I mean, I'm
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: not saying not to, but if you're going to play
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: the parlays, just, yeah, don't, don't bet too much money
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: on it. That, that would be what I would say. Like,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: just make sure, you know, it's sort of like playing
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: the lottery, like only bet what you can afford. You know,
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: you're going to have to get a little bit lucky
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: to win those things. And, um, Do also, you know,
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: and or do it for entertainment value, right? Like if
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: you want to throw whatever, you know, 20 bucks on
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: some parlay that might pay big, you know, all right, sure. But,
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: you know, just know that factor it in as like
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: an entertainment cost. Like you just went out to, you know,
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: like you just went out and got, you know, a
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: pizza or something, you know what I mean? All right,
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: let's see here. What's up next? Milwaukee and Minnesota. I
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: think this Minnesota team's better than their record suggests right now, 4-3.
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're faced a somewhat difficult schedule so far.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: They don't have any good wins. That's kind of the
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: issue that I'd have. Plus, we know Anthony Edwards is
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: hurt right now, so that's obviously going to take away
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: from Minnesota a little bit. They're coming off a decent
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: effort against the Spurs. They lost by 10, but I worry...
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: about Minnesota coming off a game like that because even
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: though it wasn't that close, that was a big game
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: for them. I mean, they're playing the best team probably
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: in the league right now, and the Spurs were the
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: So that was a huge revenge spot for Minnesota. They
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: couldn't get it done. Now they're playing this ugly buck team,
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: and it's like, well, how much effort are they going
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: to really pay attention to Milwaukee? And up next, they
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: got Houston. Minnesota does. So they're in a Texas sandwich
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: here as well. A little bit of a barbecue brisket
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: going on here. Milwaukee's awful. There's no doubt about that.
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: They're 1-5, but they haven't faced that easy of a schedule.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a blowout loss at home to the Cavs,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: so maybe it'll be good for them to just forget
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: about it, go out on the road. So I think
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I'd prefer to take the points with Milwaukee in this one,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: and I know this one is also going against the
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: market here. Let me see. Yeah, it's going against the
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: market big time. 60% of the tickets are on Milwaukee.
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: I don't even... Again, I don't see how that's possible.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: I don't see how the public... The public's not backing
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: a one-win team. They're not doing it, so I don't
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: get it, but according to these numbers, 60% of the
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: tickets on the Bucs, 80% of the cash on Minnesota,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: laying 10.5 points. I'd lean towards the Bucs in that one, though.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: But again, I don't really have any great opinions on these.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: Sometimes I'll at least have another strong opinion in the NBA,
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: but I really don't. I really like the Kings play,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: and other than that, I don't love these games, so Yes, sir.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Yeah, thank you, man. Yeah, throw $ 10
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: on the parlay. Yes, sir. Winning 30% of the parlays. Well,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: you know, you need your winning percentage to exceed... what
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: the odds are that you're making those plays at. You
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: know what I mean? Like 30% is good if you're
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: playing all plus 1,000 odd bets. You know what I mean?
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: If you're hitting 30% of those, then you're winning money.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? If you're hitting 30% and
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: you're betting, you know, at minus 110, like a normal
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: spread bet or whatever, then obviously you're losing pretty badly.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: You know, so it depends on what the odds are
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: that you're playing, what the price is. So that's what
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: I say. Like I play like Moneyline underdogs in hockey
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: and baseball and whatever. And those Moneyline underdogs, you don't
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: even need to hit 50% of those to profit at
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: a certain price, right? Like you could hit like 40-something
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: percent and still actually profit playing some underdogs at some
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: of the prices that I give out on some of
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: those Moneylines there. But, yeah, it depends on the price. Yeah,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: so hopefully that explanation makes sense.
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: It's the morning, man. I'm a little bit out of it.
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: How many games do I have left here? Um, my
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: boss is Celtics are at Houston. This is not going
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: to be easy for the Celtics. Houston's actually favored in
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: this game. Uh, but I think Houston probably would be
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: about a two, two and a half point favorite here
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: if the Celtics didn't play yesterday. So this line's being
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: skewed a little bit because Houston has a rest advantage here.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: The Celtics played yesterday. Celtics kind of escaped a little
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: bit yesterday against the magic. They won by 11 and covered.
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: And I did lean that way a little bit yesterday,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: but they, the game was fairly close towards the end
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: of it. So the Celtics, um, It's possible they have
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: more focus on this Houston game than they did there,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: but Houston's not going to overlook this game either, and
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: Houston is on rest here. I'm not sure about this
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: price of four and a half. Houston is also a
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: one-loss team. Both of these teams are, but Houston, they're
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: coming off a massive win against the Thunder. They just
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: annihilated the Thunder the other day, so there's no way
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: that I want Houston off of that game, even if
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: they should get up for this game against the Celtics.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: I believe Houston still has Udoka as their... coach right
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: that's wait that's his name right ime udoka yeah former
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: celtic head coach um who got fired or forced to
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: resign from the celtics because he was uh sleeping with
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: uh some woman who was like on the celtic staff
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: or in the front office or whatever um honestly i
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: don't even think he should have gotten fired for that
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: and there are things i like about udoka over missoula
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: missoula He has his way, but his way leads to
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: the Celtics blowing a lot of games as a big favorite,
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: and a lot of games where they have a big lead.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: Udoka is more of like a defensive guy. But all
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: that being said, I don't want Houston off of that
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: huge game against the Thunder. I think I would actually
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: rather have the Celtics in this one getting these points,
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: but I don't really love that either. But the Celtics
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: appear to be getting the money, even though they're somewhat public,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: which somewhat makes sense. I think the public will look
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: at this and see this as just a big game
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: between one-loss teams and, oh yeah, we'll get points, so
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: let's take the side that's getting points. 81% of the
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: tickets on the Celtics, 91% of the cash on them.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe the money is coming in that way. It's about
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: a four and a half point, five point spread here
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: on Houston. Like I said, though, if the Celtics didn't
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: play yesterday, this line would be closer to, I think
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: about two and a half or so. So, um, I'm
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: going to lean to the Celtics slightly there, but I
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: don't exactly want them on the back to back, but
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: they didn't play that well yesterday. You have to dig
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: into the box score a little bit though, and see
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: the minutes that these guys got, but most of the
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: Celtics starters played a lot of minutes. So like All
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: their better players played like Tatum and whatever. They all
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: played like over 30 minutes. So it's not like these
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: guys had rest because they had to keep up their
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: effort because Orlando was chasing them in the game yesterday
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: and it wasn't a blowout. But the Celtics have a
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: deep roster though. So there is that. They run pretty deep.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: They run like 10 guys out there on the floor.
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: I think Gonzalez actually might have started the game yesterday
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics. He's a role player, a guy they
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: drafted towards the end of the first round last year.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: That guy, I love that guy, though. He doesn't show
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: up big on the stat sheet, but you watch him play.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: He's putting in massive effort on every single play, man.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: His defense is solid. He's disrupting play out there. Yeah,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: I like that guy a lot.
• 52:31
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: I just mean I don't believe that number that I'm
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: seeing is accurate here. I don't buy that the public is...
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: What game did I say that about? When I said
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: that I don't think the public is actually on... What
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: game was that that I said that about? I said
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: it about Milwaukee, probably. Yeah, I just think there's no
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: way that the public is actually on Milwaukee there. I'm
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: looking at what this odds logic screen on WagerTalk is
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: telling me here. it's telling me that the public is
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: on the Milwaukee side here. I don't believe that that's
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: true is what I mean by that. Like I see
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: no way that that could possibly be true, even though,
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, these are, these numbers are coming from somewhere. Um,
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: but you know, I look again, I use this as
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: kind of a guide. I don't take this as, you know,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: a hard and fast thing here, but I like to
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: see the mark. Like I want to see the market
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: because knowing where the actual professional money is, is a
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: big part of this, like market reading this thing. Um,
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: generally you want to be against the public though i
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: will say more often than not you want to be
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: against the public because they do lose long term i'm
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: not saying they're going to lose every single game obviously
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: that's not true but yeah generally yeah you want to
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: you want to find spots where it looks like there's
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: a big discrepancy between where the public like the high
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: quantity of tickets is versus where the actual big money
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: bets are like the smaller quantity but um like the
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: smaller number of bets, but the bigger money bets. You
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: want to figure out where those are, and that's where
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: the professional money is, and that's usually where you want
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: to be. Sometimes I'll be against them, but usually I
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: want to be on the same side as them. But
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: sometimes you won't get the best number if you're siding
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: with them because the number will move because those guys
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: get a lot of respect from the odds makers and whatever.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: All right, we got Utah and San Antonio here. This
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: is the biggest favorite on the whole board here. San
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: Antonio just beat the Timberwolves. That was a nice win
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: for them. Even though it's Timberwolves without Anthony Edwards, still
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: a pretty big win for San Antonio. They got another
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: big game on deck, ESPN against Dallas, who is playing
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: well right now. So San Antonio may overlook Utah. The
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: only thing is they played Utah in Utah before that
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: Minnesota game, and Utah... took them right to the limit, man.
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: Utah took them to overtime in that game, so San
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: Antonio may take them more seriously because they almost lost
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: to this Utah team in Utah, but then again, beating
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: Minnesota with Dallas on deck, this does kind of look
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: like a sandwich to me, so I actually think I'd
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: still prefer taking the points with Utah here. This Utah
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: team's 1-5. Their schedule hasn't been that easy, except they
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: played almost all their games at home, though, and that's
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: one issue I would have with Utah's They have a
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: little bit of an extra home court advantage because they
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: play in high elevation, and now this is going to
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: be their first road game since the first game of
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: the season. So I don't exactly love that, even though
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: I do think this Utah team should be improving because
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: they drafted Darren Peterson out of Kansas. They might not
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: be totally healthy right now, though that might be the thing.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: Let me see. I don't know. It looks like for
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: the most part their guys are kind of there, but
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: they do kind of have to build this chemistry here
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: between ace Bailey, their main draft pick from last year,
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: Darren Peterson this year. And, you know, marketing is probably
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: still their best player. He is not hurt right now.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't know this Utah team though. They
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: do have some talent on this roster and I think
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: it might coalesce into something at some point, but, Yeah,
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: in this particular game, I am going to lean towards
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: taking the points with the Jazz. 75% of the tickets
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: on them, 92% of the cash on them, so I
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: guess maybe there is market agreement there. The number's about 16, basically,
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: on the Spurs there. Big, big number on the Spurs,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: but it is probably justified. Spurs, they're elite at this point.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: Total's not that low in the low 230s. I like
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: to see a lower total when taking points, but still,
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: I think that's the way to lean there. Some of
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: the games are supposed to be huge blowouts. Yeah. I
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: think a lot of times it's because that better team
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: just completely overlooks the underdog. You know what I mean?
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Those are the spots that I look for. Do I
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: think that this favorite is just going to not have
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: any focus on this game? You know what I mean?
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: So that's why I look for sandwich spots. Like, is
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: this team coming off of this huge game? Do they
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: have a huge game next? You know what I mean?
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: And now they have this game in between them against
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: some team they might take very lightly that's where I
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: look to come in and play the underdog because you
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: might get the underdog in a spot where that favorite
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: is going to get caught because they're not paying attention
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean all right we have a
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: Portland at Denver Denver you know it's not an easy
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: place to play Denver high elevation although their home court
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: advantage seemed to lapse a little bit last year Denver
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: sitting at three and two hasn't been that great for
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: them so far one of their losses is at the
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: thunder though before everybody got hurt so can't blame them
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: for that really Denver just won two games out on
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: the road against New Orleans and Phoenix, though. Now they're
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: returning home from that. They got a little bit of momentum, though,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: I would say. And I think returning home from a
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: quick road trip isn't really that bad. A longer road trip, yes.
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: That tends to be worse when you get back home.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: You can have a lot of distractions that have piled up.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: In this spot, I don't really think so. And I
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: don't really see them overlooking a Portland team. It's 4-1
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: to start the season. So Portland looks pretty good right now.
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: Portland hits. They've faced a somewhat easy schedule, though. Their
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: best win is definitely this road win against the Lakers.
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: Other than that, they haven't done a whole lot. They
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: just won in Utah, which, you know, not that easy
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: to do. But now they're playing a second game at
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: high elevation here. I'm going to lean towards the Denver
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: side here. I think the public's going to look at
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: this and see Portland as an underdog here. Oh, a
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: 4-1 team is an underdog. And I think that's going
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: to look somewhat tempting to the public here. So I'd
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: prefer Denver in this one. Portland looks like they're a
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: very public underdog too. 89% of the tickets and 90%
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. Yeah, it just looks like
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: they're a very public underdog. And again, red flag alert
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: on that because I think whenever the public's siding with
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: an underdog, I think it's a pretty strong play to
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: go play the favorite against them, even though a lot
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: of times I don't put it on my actual card
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: and I'm not going to do it here either. But
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: I would play Denver in this one if I was
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: going to play it. I would lay the 4-4.5 with
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: Denver here. Again, I think the public is misinterpreting these
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: teams' records. I think Denver's faced a somewhat more difficult
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: schedule than Portland. Oddsmakers are telling you Denver's the better
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: team here with this number. I still agree with that.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: This Portland team, yeah, they're on the rise, but I
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: don't think they're as good as people think they are
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: based on what their their start has made them look
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit too good I think so I'm gonna
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: leave Denver in that one and Denver might actually be
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit undervalued there all right Phoenix at Golden
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: State Golden State I believe played yesterday yeah they did
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: that was that win one of you you guys in
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: the comments I think it was a comment not on
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: the live here but one of the comments On one
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: of my videos yesterday, one of you guys liked Golden
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: State yesterday. I had a hard time with that because
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: it looked too easy to take Golden State. But the number,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: also you could argue, was too short because Curry didn't
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: play yesterday. So you have to take all this into
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: account coming into the game today. So Golden State's on
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: a back-to-back, but Curry, still their best player, didn't play yesterday.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: So Curry is on rest here. So it's not really
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: completely a back-to-back for Golden State because... Their best player
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: got rest yesterday, and they still won the game. So
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: not all back-to-backs are equal, you know what I mean?
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Because a lot of times guys will rest in the NBA.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: Yaxel Lendeborg is playing really well, man. So, you know,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: he's the draft pick for Golden State there out of Michigan.
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: He's looking good. It's just that team needs to develop
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: some chemistry there. Golden State still has got some major
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: injury issues, though. Like, just guys that haven't played all year, though.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: Butler and Porzingis. Have no idea if they're ever coming
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: back at this point. They're both on Golden State's team,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: but yeah, who knows when they're ever coming back. So
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: we got a handicapped Golden State as they are right now. Yes,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: they're on a back-to-back, but with a rested Curry. At
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: least I'm pretty sure. Let me make sure that that's true.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it is because Lendeborg really lit up
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: the stat sheet in that one. Yeah, Curry didn't play. Actually,
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: Draymond Green didn't play either. So, yeah, the Warriors did
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: rest numerous guys yesterday. So this is not like a
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: normal back-to-back, really. So the best couple players, the old guys,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: got rest for the Warriors yesterday. Phoenix is coming off
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: a close loss to the Nuggets, although the Phoenix did
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: not play yesterday. And now they're starting another road trip here,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: but not that bad of a trip there for them.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: This game is pretty difficult to figure out as well.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: I think I probably prefer Golden State here. Although it
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: looks like actually some, I got to look because somebody
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: might still be out for Golden State here because they
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: were going to be a five point favorite, but now
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: it looks like they're about a three point favorite. So
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: something caused that line to jump. And I don't think
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: it was just money because the money looks like it's
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: on the Warriors side. 57% of the tickets on Phoenix,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: 85% of the cash on the Warriors side. You'd think
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: the public would be on the Warriors at this point, though,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: because it's still Steph Curry, the Warriors. They're 4-3 now.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: They've won four in a row. I don't know if
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: the public is really actually on the... I don't buy
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: it that the public is actually on Phoenix here, but
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: hold on. Let me see. Curry's listed as a game-time decision,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: and so is Draymond Green, but Because they rested yesterday,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: I think they're going to play. That would be my guess.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: But the number seems to suggest at least one of
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: them isn't playing. But I'm not so sure that that's true.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: Because yesterday, they're not really injured, I don't think. I
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: think yesterday was just, you know, scheduled rest for them
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: yesterday because of the back-to-back. So, I think they will
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: play today. So, I don't know. But I would prefer
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: Golden State there. Especially if the, you know... If Curry
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: and Draymond Green are going to play and they rested yesterday, yeah,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: I prefer Golden State in that one. All right. The
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: line might go up, though. If they announce that they're
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: actually going to play, that line might go back towards
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: that five number there. Toronto at the Clippers. Man, we
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: have a lot of NBA today. Clippers coming off multiple
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: losses here. Clippers have been bad, dude. They won their
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: first game of the season against the awful Kings. They've
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: lost every game since then, but they have not faced...
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: an easy opponent since then either. So hard to figure
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: out who this Clippers team really is because they have
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: one win against a really bad team and all their
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: losses are against teams that are better than they are.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: So it's hard to figure out who they really are.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: They just lost to the Warriors in the last game.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: They're returning home from a road trip, only a two-game
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: road trip though, so no real long road trip returns here. Now,
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: for these late-night games, I do warn against these Eastern
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: teams going out West because of the time zone change.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: They have to readjust their biological clocks to play late
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: at night. But for Toronto, that's not a concern in
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: this game because they're already out there. They played the Lakers.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: The concern for Toronto is they played the Lakers yesterday.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: So even though they're adjusted to the time zone now,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: they had a big game yesterday against the Lakers. And
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: if you saw what happened in that game, Lakers were
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: running away with that game, blowing Toronto out. And then
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: the Lakers started resting their players. They put Bronny James in,
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: and they almost blew a 15-point lead in the final
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: two minutes. Toronto cut the lead to five late in
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: the game. So Toronto made this late run. So I
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: don't really want Toronto off of that game. They had
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: that effort in the game yesterday. They put in a
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: full effort yesterday. Almost overcame a huge deficit late in
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: that game against the Lakers. Yes, they're staying in the
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: same city here, which makes it a little bit easier,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: but I think I would fade Toronto in this one.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: That was a big game for them yesterday where they
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: fell just short as an underdog. They do have Denver
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: on deck, which they might pay more attention to because
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: who's going to pay attention to a one-win Clipper team here? Clippers,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: you know, coming off a bunch of losses in a row.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: I'd rather have the Clippers in this one. They look
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: like they're public, 86% of the tickets, but 95% of
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: the cash also on them. So a little bit hard
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: to read the market there. Toronto's a four and a
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, five point favorite. I'd rather take the
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: points with the lesser LA team here, the Clippers. That's
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that one. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: a lot of my opinions are ugly, man. It's the
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: way that I do it. It's all about the situation
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: and getting value with the number. And then the last
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: game is Miami at the Lakers. Of course, the Lakers,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: they're also on a back-to-back here. They did try to
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: rest some of their guys at the end of that game,
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: almost to their detriment. But the Lakers, they might set
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: up okay coming into this game. Well, I don't know,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: because Luka and Reeves, their two best players, did still...
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: They went well over 30 minutes in the game last night,
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: so those guys might be a little bit tired. And
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: Kessler also played over 30, so basically the three best
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: players did play a lot of minutes yesterday. So this
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Laker team may be a little bit tired still after
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: yesterday's game, although they almost blew the game against the Raptors.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: But the problem I would have with Miami is they
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: are actually going out west to start this road trip.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: So Miami's going from the east coast to the west
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: coast here. for a 10 p.m. Eastern game, so I
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: don't like that. I don't like when teams are having
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: to adjust their biological clocks and immediately they're having to
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: play a game that's going to go up past midnight
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: their time. So I don't like the spot for Miami here,
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: although they're coming off a blowout win against the Pacers,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: so maybe they will be maybe slightly overconfident because of that,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: although I don't think they're going to overlook the Lakers.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: I think the main part of the handicap here is
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: just that It's a difficult spot for Miami to have
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: to travel all the way out west. Lakers, yes, they're
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: on a back-to-back, but you're going to get a smaller
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: number on the Lakers because of that. If the Lakers
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: were not on a back-to-back, they'd be at least a 3.5-point
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: favorite here probably. But instead, they're 1.5 because of the back-to-back.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: 52% of the tickets, 89% of the cash on the Lakers.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: Looks like the money is on the Lakers. I think
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: I agree. I think the Lakers are coming off a
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: little bit of a scare last night, a little bit
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: more value on them maybe because of the back-to-back. Miami,
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: tough travel spot for them. The only issue I have
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: with the Lakers is they might be a little bit
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: tired by the end of this thing because their best
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: players all played a lot of minutes last night, even
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: though they did get rested towards the end of the
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: game there. But, yeah, those are my thoughts on the
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: entire NBA board. They're only one play out of all
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: of that. Don't really love the board except for that
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: one play. And then, yes, we have Monday Night Football.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Bears at Seattle here. ESPN, of course. The main part
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: of this handicap, in my opinion, is that Seattle is
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: coming off a really big primetime game where they murdered
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, pretty much.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 4: 20-3.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: That looks like an awesome win for them, and it was.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: I liked Seattle quite a bit in that game. That
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: was a strong opinion I had. Not on my card
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: last week, but it was one of my stronger leans.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: I had it in my contest entry last week. Let's
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: not talk about my contest entry this week, because you
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: know it didn't go well. I think 1-4. Really, really bad.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: It was a terrible week this week. And I put
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: the wrong games in it, too. My stronger opinions all
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: went wrong, even though I went almost 500 picking all
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: the games, which is still my worst week of the season.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: I'm in the almost 100th percentile on ESPN still, picking
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: against the spread. I think I'm like 78 and 46
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: or something in that range, whatever the hell it is.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: 76 and 40-something. I don't know. I forget. Whatever the
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: hell it is. Anyway. Which, you know... Means I'd be
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: profiting by betting every single game on the NFL board
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: at the price that ESPN gives you. Although sometimes you
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: get some soft numbers in that game. But even so, Seattle,
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: I think they're in a letdown spot. That game was huge.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: Winning against the Chiefs. Everybody saw that game. Seattle looked
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: awesome in the game. The Chiefs, I think they didn't
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: even run a play in the red zone in that game.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Chiefs did nothing offensively in that game. So that makes
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: Seattle look really good. Although I do think Seattle is
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: better than their record looks. I'm not sold on Seattle's
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: offense at this point. Sam Darnold, he's not doing well, dude.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: And I've always said that I think Sam Darnold is
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: not as good as people think he is. He had
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: that breakout season with Minnesota, then he choked in the
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: high-pressure games. Won the Super Bowl last year, I understand that,
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: but good team, good coach, good defense all around him.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: Now he doesn't have his running back anymore, Kenneth Walker,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: so Seattle lacks a rush attack now. So that puts
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: way more pressure on Sam Darnold. And he has an
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: 8-8 touchdown interception ratio this year. That's really bad. And
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: his completion percentage I don't think is particularly good either.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: But even last year, he threw a lot of interceptions.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: So I think Darnold is overrated. I'm not sold on
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: the Seattle offense. I do like their defense. Their defense
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: is absolutely good. Their defense is the better defense here.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: Although the Bears, improving their defense with that trade they
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: made to get Simmons from the Titans. He's a defensive lineman,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: and unfortunately I have his Titans jersey. But yeah, the Bears,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: he's one of the best pass rushers in the league,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: so that will help the Bears' defense. Although I still
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: don't know if one addition is going to really, it's
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: not going to make the Bears' defense all of a
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: sudden better. great or anything, but they will improve a
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: little bit. Bears, definitely more of an offensive-oriented team. Usually
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: I like the better defense because defense goes a little
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: bit unheralded, but when it's the better defense laying points,
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: like Seattle is here, Seattle coming off that big win
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: against the Chiefs where everybody saw it, generally you want
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: to fade teams that look really good in a primetime
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: game like that. I like the Bears in this one.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: The Bears have extra time off. The Bears beat the
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: Patriots on Thursday night I mean, that was a decent win, sure.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: The Patriots won the AFC last year, so that win
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: looks pretty good. It doesn't look as good as Seattle's, though. Plus,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: you got Seattle now in a shorter week because they
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: played Sunday night. Bears have since Thursday to get ready
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: for this game. One concern is they're going out to
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: the West Coast, and I don't like these teams that
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: are in the Eastern or Central time zones having to
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: play late night on their biological clock. So that's one
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: thing that's kind of keeping me off of this game
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: a little bit here. would be that aspect of it.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: Bears might get a little bit tired going late into
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: the night here. And the fact that I think the
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: public might even slightly have a lead towards Chicago here,
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: because the public likes offense better than defense, and the
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: Bears actually do have the better overall record here. So
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: that's the other concern that I have with this. But
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: I am going to lean to the Bears in this
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: one still. I think Seattle has some issues to figure
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: out on offense. Chicago's offense is definitely humming, but their
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: defense is a problem. Seattle's got 54% of the tickets
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: and 68% of the cash, so some of the money
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: does appear to sort of be on Seattle, but my
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: read on this all week has been to lean towards
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: taking the points with the Bears in this one, and
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: I've heard some professionals talk about this, and They seem
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: to mostly be in alignment with me on that and
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: leaning towards the Bears as well, so I'm not sure
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: that these percentages are completely accurate. I guess we'll see.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: I'm going to stay off the game, but I like
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: the Bears plus the points in that one. I'm mostly
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: a sides guy, so I don't talk about totals a
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: ton here, but totals sitting at 46.5. It's hard to
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: figure out the total. I think the side and total
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: are probably correlated. in this game. Like if you like Seattle,
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: you probably like the under, even though Seattle, like fewer points,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: it makes it more difficult to cover as a favorite,
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: but that's how Seattle wants to play. They want to
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: slow the game down and play defense. Chicago wants to
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: get into a shootout. You know what I mean? They
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: want to use their offense. So I think over and
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: the bears are correlated in this one and under in
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: Seattle are correlated. Um, and that's like the only parlay
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: that I would actually be like, okay with playing a
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: total inside that are correlated, but a lot of books
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: won't even let you do it. Cause they know that
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: those are correlated. They might let you in a game
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: like this though, but in a game where like you'll
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: see college football games or you'll have like a 30
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: point favorite and the total is like 47 or something.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: That book will not let you play the under parlay,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: the underdog and the under, because you know, they're so
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: correlated in a game like that. You know what I mean? Um, Yeah,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: I think that's going to do it, man. That's the
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: last game, right? So I know there's a ton of
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: college basketball today. You can go check out my college
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: basketball show I did last night. I do have two
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: plays there, treading lightly. Two out of 100-something games, I know.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: I don't do the Division II games, though. I talk
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: about all the big games for those people that are
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: interested in those. My plays are real ugly, and they're
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: not in those games. We're on Ball State, minus two
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: and a half, which... You can go see my analysis
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: on that. It was a surprising number to see them
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: favored on the road. A team that nobody ever talks
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: about in basketball against a team that made a shocking,
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: crazy run in their conference tournament, Georgia Southern, last year.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: So I think Georgia Southern's overrated coming into that one.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: Ball State is actually the better team, even though they're
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: on the road. So that's one of my plays. And
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: my other is... It's disgusting. I know, really bad. Gardner-Webb
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: plus 38.5 against UConn, but there are reasons for that. Essentially,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: I hate the spot for UConn because they're the runner-up
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: from last year, so I think that can lead to
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: kind of a hangover into the next season, especially when
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: some of your guys are the same. Plus, that game
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: was against Michigan. They lost in the championship game, so
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: they went all the way to the championship just to lose.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: UConn has to play Michigan in a revenge game next
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: in like three days. So I think UConn's going to
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: have that game completely circled. They're going to look right
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: past this game and be preparing for that game against Michigan. Michigan,
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: the championship revenge game. I think UConn is just going
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: to get in, get out. That's basically my handicap there
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: against Gardner-Webb. That plus UConn plays really slow, so a
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: slow-paced team like that, it's a low total in the game.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: You don't want to lay a massive favorite like that.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: It's good to play an underdog with a low total
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: like that against a slow-paced team. They might not really
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: just have the desire to cover that number there, let's say.
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: And uh oh also the game is in Hartford and
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: not in Storrs Connecticut so it's in UConn's secondary arena
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: it's a bigger arena where they play some of their
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: bigger games but they have less of a home court
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: advantage in that arena because the crowd is less crazy
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: because it's like the old money like the UConn alums
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: that are in Hartford so it's it's it's less imbalanced
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: like when they play in Storrs on campus the crowd
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: is because it's mostly the students that are there, you
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: know what I mean? But in the Hartford games, it's
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: not like that. It's like a bunch of old people,
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: the alums, you know what I mean? So the crowd
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: isn't as nuts, and the crowd's not right on top
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: of the arena either because it's a larger arena. So
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: UConn tends to not do quite as well there. So
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: those are my games there. And then, yes, we do
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: have the Sacramento Kings plus 10.5 as well. in the NBA.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: I'm going to do a final market read here before
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: I get out of here on the college basketball, which
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: is going on right now. The Ball State game isn't
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: until 7 p.m. The money is completely agreeing with me
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: on Ball State, so I love to see that. Yeah,
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: it looks like almost a pros versus Joes type of scenario.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: The real money seems to agree on that one. And then,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: let me see. What was the other game? You could
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: also play the money line, by the way, on Ball
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: State if you want to. There are If the line
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: is 1, 1.5, or 2, I think it's actually advantageous
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: to play a money line most of the time in
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: college basketball. But at 2.5 or greater, I think it's,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: or maybe it's 1, 1.5, or 2. Actually, it might
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: be 1.5, 2, or 2.5. I forget how the numbers
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: come out, actually. But I'm just going to lay the 2.5
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: in that one. Hopefully, they get it done there. But yes,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: the money line's an option there, too. But it's about
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: minus 140-something. And then, yes, we're on the disgusting Gardner-Webb,
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: who undoubtedly Gardner-Webb's one of the worst teams in college basketball.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're not, but you actually can get
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: a better number on this now, so let's update that.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: We'll update it to 40.5. It looks like now 92%
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on UConn, but only 74% of
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: the cash. So the market read looks good on that.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: Let's update it. So the actual number there, yeah, GardnerWeb,
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: 40 and a half that you can get right now.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: So there you go. You can get an even better
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: number on that. There you go. Ridiculous number. That's going
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: to do it. Learn to Tote on Twitter, Instagram, sort
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: of on TikTok. If they're not limiting my reach, I
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: don't know. We'll see if we can get that to
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: take off. I appreciate the newcomers here, man. I appreciate everybody.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: Of course, the regulars too. Hell yeah. Always, man. Yeah. Like, subscribe, subscribe.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: to the show here. Leave good comments, etc. All that.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: Let's boost this channel. You can listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker.
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: Give me good reviews over there. Let's boost that as well,
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: that side of things. Covered in uke is my ukulele
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: cover channel on YouTube. I do very bad ukulele covers. Patreon.com,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: Learn to Toad. If you want to throw me some
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: support that way, get a little bit of bonus uke
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: stuff at the moment. Losercast, the comedy show that I'm
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: on every Tuesday night. I think that's it, man. It's
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: going to do it. Not too long of a show here.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: I expected it to be about this long with all
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: that NBA. That'll do it for now. Let's enjoy the
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: College Basketball Marathon Monday here, man, even though a lot
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: of the games are unfortunately pretty uninteresting. A lot of
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: lopsided matchups today, but still great to see college basketball back.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: Some of the games that are the less heralded games,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, are going to be pretty fun,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: I think. Some of the lower conference games that are
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: being played today that have more competitive games pricing like
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: we already saw the one at 3 a.m was crazy
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: grambling and um northern illinois the way i think northern
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: illinois blew like a pretty big lead at the end
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: of that game if i'm not mistaken the the ending
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: to that game was kind of crazy i wasn't paying
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: attention i was asleep at that point and that game
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: was a 3 a.m game um my time and also
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: local to where the game was east coast which is
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: ridiculous um yeah but that's gonna do it thanks everybody
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: I'll be back tomorrow morning. We'll be the next show,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: and we'll do it all over again. And I think
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: there's going to be a lot of hockey, most likely.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: tomorrow and there'll be some college basketball and some NBA
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: to discuss and I think Maction returns tomorrow so college
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: football Tuesday night we get the Mac we get to
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: focus on the Mac in the middle of the week
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: isn't that fun sometimes we find some good plays dude
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: I made a really nice run at the end of
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: the year I think it was either last year or
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: two years ago I had a real hot streak at
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: the end of college football. Some of it was the
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: MAAC games that were in the middle of the week.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: I had a really good vision on those games, so
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll see. That's going to do it. Peace.
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: Let somebody answer.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 5: Let somebody know you do not have to.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 4: Lose this round alone.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 5: Hold on, hold on, not tonight. Not now Hold on, hold.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 3: On Let me pull you out That bad luck fights
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 3: hard But it don't get the crown Hold on, hold
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 3: on Stay.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 4: With me now Hold on, hold on.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: You're still here now.