Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Uniswap 5-Year Breakout!!🚀$SOL $AVAX Next?🔥Technical Analysis with Evan Aldo🚨
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Uniswap is on a five-year breakout and with that might
- 0:03Speaker 1: be coming a bull run of epic proportion. Today we're
- 0:06Speaker 1: going to break it down for you. Before we get started,
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- 0:44Speaker 1: our link down below. It's going to get you set
- 0:45Speaker 1: up and you guys can get started where you can
- 0:47Speaker 1: get away from the banks. I want to bring on
- 0:50Speaker 1: Evan Alda, who's been on the show as you guys,
- 0:52Speaker 1: as a resident trader for quite a while.
- 0:54Speaker 2: How are you, Evan?
- 0:56Speaker 3: I'm doing well. It's nice to see the market pumping, man.
- 0:59Speaker 3: I mean, it's nice. It's definitely nice. But we'll talk
- 1:03Speaker 3: about it. We'll talk about it.
- 1:04Speaker 2: We're going to get into it. We're going to get
- 1:06Speaker 2: to all that.
- 1:06Speaker 1: You guys check out Evan's channel. He does a great
- 1:08Speaker 1: job on doing trading videos, but also giving you guys
- 1:11Speaker 1: some understanding of how to actually trade markets like this.
- 1:16Speaker 1: And right now, with the markets moving like they are,
- 1:20Speaker 1: follow Evan out there on YouTube for sure.
- 1:22Speaker 2: Evan, I want to lead off with this right here.
- 1:24Speaker 2: And that is Clarity Act. heartbeat, barely. I think it's got.
- 1:29Speaker 1: Like barely a pulse at 8% chance. But really, we
- 1:33Speaker 1: had a really good interview yesterday with Kristen from the
- 1:37Speaker 1: Solana Policy Institute.
- 1:39Speaker 2: And I think she kind of outlined it in a
- 1:41Speaker 2: very good way. And that is that the industry.
- 1:43Speaker 1: Has moved on and they are squarely targeting the SEC
- 1:49Speaker 1: and the CFTC going forward And because of that, we
- 1:53Speaker 1: have seen movements on everything you can imagine in the
- 1:56Speaker 1: altcoin market. In fact, I want to bring back an
- 1:59Speaker 1: old altcoiner from lore. And that, of course, is Kevin O'Leary.
- 2:04Speaker 1: Let me play this clip for you.
- 2:06Speaker 4: All you have to own is simply Bitcoin and Ethereum.
- 2:10Speaker 4: You don't need anything else. And so this is really,
- 2:14Speaker 4: really hard medicine. And the poopoo coins aren't going to
- 2:17Speaker 4: come back. But I took a hit on ETH and BTC,
- 2:20Speaker 4: but it's come back a lot more than the Pupu
- 2:22Speaker 4: coins have.
- 2:23Speaker 2: And some of those Pupu coins are never coming back.
- 2:26Speaker 4: And so now, wait a sec, we're wrong about ETH
- 2:29Speaker 4: being standard.
- 2:30Speaker 2: Who's next?
- 2:31Speaker 4: So I'm waiting to hear.
- 2:32Speaker 2: You had said you'd sold most of your crypto position.
- 2:35Speaker 3: Now, are you starting to look at crypto assets to
- 2:38Speaker 3: put into your portfolio again?
- 2:39Speaker 2: Well, I have no choice.
- 2:40Speaker 4: I have to put some bets down on chains that
- 2:42Speaker 4: are going to get adopted because we simply don't know.
- 2:46Speaker 2: So maybe I add now. I start adding.
- 2:49Speaker 4: So now it's jump all again, including Avalanche Salon and others.
- 2:54Speaker 3: All right.
- 2:55Speaker 1: So the Pupu coins now from the master Pupu trader
- 3:00Speaker 1: out there that has not been going in on many
- 3:02Speaker 1: of these.
- 3:03Speaker 2: Let's kind of jump on the bandwagon here.
- 3:06Speaker 1: And we've talked about this, and that is Uniswap for
- 3:09Speaker 1: quite some time. This has been one of our picks
- 3:11Speaker 1: for a while. You had Hayden Adams talking about this.
- 3:13Speaker 2: The most bullish AMM news today.
- 3:16Speaker 1: Is not the official statement, but the comment letter from
- 3:19Speaker 1: the SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce that went along with it.
- 3:22Speaker 1: And it really kind of designed into a couple of
- 3:25Speaker 1: key points here. Decentralized systems that are driven by autonomous
- 3:30Speaker 1: software do not need an exemption, aka normal permissionless Uniswap, example.
- 3:37Speaker 1: Uniswap on that news but more coming out of the
- 3:39Speaker 1: SEC has absolutely skyrocketed. If you look at our chart
- 3:44Speaker 1: on Uniswap, and I'll go to something that we've been tracking, Evan,
- 3:46Speaker 1: and I want to get your opinion.
- 3:48Speaker 2: This is on the weekly.
- 3:49Speaker 1: This is a trend line that we've shown a couple
- 3:51Speaker 1: of times here on the show. And as you'll notice,
- 3:54Speaker 1: all the way back here in 2021 of where Uniswap
- 3:58Speaker 1: had hit its last major, major breakout, We are now
- 4:02Speaker 1: in that kind of mode of a potential rocket ship
- 4:06Speaker 1: happening for Uniswap. First of all, as you chart Uniswap,
- 4:10Speaker 1: can you tell me, are you looking at any significant
- 4:12Speaker 1: target areas over the next few months?
- 4:15Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Uniswap, it's interesting, man. It's very interesting. Obviously,
- 4:19Speaker 3: we jumped up like crazy here. I think it's inevitable
- 4:21Speaker 3: that you're eventually going to get to the $ 12 mark.
- 4:24Speaker 3: I think that You know, the biggest fear here is
- 4:27Speaker 3: a midterm correction, kind of a correction between now and midterms.
- 4:31Speaker 3: And when made that happen, there's always one red month.
- 4:33Speaker 3: So I would say October may be, you know, kind
- 4:35Speaker 3: of your red month. I would even argue right now
- 4:37Speaker 3: you're hitting a mild little speed bump, but it's not
- 4:40Speaker 3: that concerning yet because your momentum still shows continuation on
- 4:44Speaker 3: your two days. So. We'll see what happens here. I
- 4:47Speaker 3: would say the next big play is going to be
- 4:48Speaker 3: right around $ 10, which is obviously a huge psychological area
- 4:52Speaker 3: right here. So I would kind of guess what seasonality
- 4:55Speaker 3: would give us is something like this. Maybe come up
- 4:57Speaker 3: a little bit more and then you get a healthy correction.
- 4:59Speaker 3: You want a healthy correction after all of this. Believe me,
- 5:02Speaker 3: you want a healthy correction. It's not healthy not to
- 5:04Speaker 3: have a correction here. Something like this may be probably
- 5:07Speaker 3: not down that much, maybe down to $ 7 or something.
- 5:09Speaker 3: And then continuing to $ 12, maybe quarter one, I would
- 5:13Speaker 3: look at quarter one of next year. And then, you know,
- 5:15Speaker 3: we could get really crazy if we break above there
- 5:18Speaker 3: and start talking about $ 18. And then, I mean, it's
- 5:21Speaker 3: not impossible for this to make a run back to,
- 5:23Speaker 3: you know, old all-time highs. But I think it's a
- 5:25Speaker 3: little bit premature to be talking about that just, you know,
- 5:28Speaker 3: just so soon right now. So, yeah.
- 5:30Speaker 1: All right, so Evan, if you look back in the
- 5:32Speaker 1: December of 2020, when Uniswap essentially kind of came onto
- 5:36Speaker 1: the scene, this was the weekly chart on that.
- 5:40Speaker 2: So over a period of about.
- 5:41Speaker 1: 12 weeks, you had an 849% gain. Now, granted, you
- 5:46Speaker 1: did have a small pullback in here a little bit,
- 5:49Speaker 1: but for the most part, this thing was absolutely on tear.
- 5:53Speaker 1: And remember, This was when I think people started to
- 5:56Speaker 1: understand what Uniswap could do. Now you've got somewhat SEC
- 5:59Speaker 1: guidance that's going to open up the floodgates, possibly putting
- 6:03Speaker 1: Uniswap as one of the key chains out there to
- 6:06Speaker 1: be keeping an eye on key projects in general. So
- 6:09Speaker 1: do you not feel like this is the kind of
- 6:12Speaker 1: run we could see, or do you not think we're
- 6:13Speaker 1: in a full bull run just yet?
- 6:17Speaker 3: Seasonality would tell us no. Seasonality tells us that we
- 6:20Speaker 3: need to have some type of correction. You know, you
- 6:22Speaker 3: just hiked rates. You got midterms coming up. You look
- 6:25Speaker 3: at every, you know, previous midterm kind of area between September, October.
- 6:30Speaker 3: Those are very sketchy months. So for lack of a
- 6:33Speaker 3: better term, those are months where it tends to kind
- 6:35Speaker 3: of correct. So I don't think you're going to go parabolic. But,
- 6:38Speaker 3: you know, who knows? It's possible. But I don't think
- 6:41Speaker 3: you're going to go parabolic, at least not until kind
- 6:43Speaker 3: of next year. I think you need to kind of
- 6:45Speaker 3: cool off. It would be very surprising to me if
- 6:47Speaker 3: you just go straight up and to the right right now.
- 6:50Speaker 1: Well, remember, there is one major factor here that everybody
- 6:55Speaker 1: may not even remember, and that is all of this
- 6:58Speaker 1: prior in the past was before Uniswap turned on the
- 7:01Speaker 1: fee switch, essentially rewarding holders out there.
- 7:04Speaker 2: So this is a different game.
- 7:06Speaker 1: I think in general, not arguing the point, I'm just
- 7:09Speaker 1: saying this one's been suppressed for a while. It might
- 7:11Speaker 1: be one of the ones to watch. Let's jump over
- 7:14Speaker 1: to a couple of other things. Robinhood, of course, Johan
- 7:18Speaker 1: was talking here. Their focus is on adoption. That starts
- 7:21Speaker 1: with lowering the barrier. So they've dropped the rates on
- 7:24Speaker 1: this entry in terms of fees.
- 7:26Speaker 2: This is just the beginning. This course is happening on Arbitrum.
- 7:29Speaker 1: When you look at Arbitrum also now in a position to,
- 7:34Speaker 1: First of all, would you make a bet on Arbitrum
- 7:38Speaker 1: based on what we're seeing with Robinhood Chain right now?
- 7:41Speaker 2: Probably.
- 7:42Speaker 3: I think there are some decent fundamentals here. The momentum
- 7:47Speaker 3: is still here, man. I mean, the momentum here, it
- 7:49Speaker 3: hit speed bump, then it came down. That was a
- 7:51Speaker 3: healthy correction. Now it's continuing forward. it does look like
- 7:56Speaker 3: you could kind of break. Now, the main fear here
- 7:58Speaker 3: is this cycle. I mean, look, every time you come up,
- 8:00Speaker 3: all you do is just, you know, you keep kind
- 8:02Speaker 3: of coming down. You want to break this cycle and
- 8:05Speaker 3: look at these kind of trend reversal potential momentum shift points.
- 8:07Speaker 3: You have one right now. So we kind of want
- 8:09Speaker 3: to prove that to be wrong. So it is a
- 8:12Speaker 3: little scary. I think this is a riskier bet. This
- 8:14Speaker 3: should be a much smaller position than a lot of
- 8:16Speaker 3: other things. But I could see this going. Yeah, I
- 8:19Speaker 3: could see this breaking the trend and continuing forward. And
- 8:22Speaker 3: You know, the sky's the limit. Who knows? But I
- 8:24Speaker 3: could see 29 cents, you know, potentially. I think it
- 8:27Speaker 3: would get a lot more bearish, though, if you were
- 8:30Speaker 3: to reject from here. You really want to keep this low,
- 8:33Speaker 3: this 13, you know, cent area. If you're going back
- 8:35Speaker 3: to these areas, it's probably over. You want to kind
- 8:37Speaker 3: of hold that area and keep momentum here. So it's
- 8:40Speaker 3: a good bet to make, I think. But you need
- 8:42Speaker 3: your invalidation points. You definitely need your invalidation points.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Listen, if you guys haven't been watching the markets in
- 8:47Speaker 1: the last few days. Hopefully in the last couple of weeks,
- 8:52Speaker 1: you've been on these. And that has been that DeFi
- 8:55Speaker 1: and these L2 tokens are definitely on a move right now.
- 8:58Speaker 1: Uniswap up 25, ARB up 25. Bitcoin holding right now
- 9:02Speaker 1: above 80 instead of the 78K. So this is an
- 9:06Speaker 1: interesting point, too, because I think, and we'll get to
- 9:09Speaker 1: Bitcoin in a second, and whether or not it has
- 9:12Speaker 1: a breakout opportunity ahead of it. I want to stay
- 9:14Speaker 1: on Solana real quick. And this came in from Hunter Horsley.
- 9:18Speaker 1: He's talking about the Solana staking ETF be sold, now
- 9:21Speaker 1: traded 20 mil, less than 30 minutes to market open.
- 9:24Speaker 2: So that's a big deal. Investors are all over this.
- 9:27Speaker 1: We had an amazing interview yesterday with Kristen, and it
- 9:31Speaker 1: really made me write this tweet because this is a
- 9:34Speaker 1: prediction I think now, when you look at the SEC's
- 9:37Speaker 1: tokenized stock exemption, this could make Sol one of the
- 9:40Speaker 1: biggest winners out there, at least individually. on the side
- 9:44Speaker 1: of convergence for crypto. And a couple of points I
- 9:46Speaker 1: had on was X stocks activity, deep stable coin liquidity,
- 9:51Speaker 1: fast to low cost settlement, wallet and DeFi infrastructure already
- 9:54Speaker 1: killing it. And then you've got institutional adoption coming in
- 9:57Speaker 1: on that. With Solana as it is right now, now,
- 10:00Speaker 1: trading up significantly on the day, where would you put
- 10:04Speaker 1: Solana end of year?
- 10:07Speaker 3: Solana end of year. Oh, man. Great question. Well, let
- 10:10Speaker 3: me answer that by kind of showing you my path potentially.
- 10:13Speaker 3: I think that we could continue forward. You know, we
- 10:16Speaker 3: don't have that many days left of this month in
- 10:18Speaker 3: terms of actual trading days. You know, it's really 12
- 10:20Speaker 3: more days, essentially something like that, and then even less
- 10:22Speaker 3: trading days. So I think potentially by the end of
- 10:25Speaker 3: this month, you may see 120. You've got to hold 110,
- 10:28Speaker 3: first of all. That's another thing, too. You've got to
- 10:30Speaker 3: hold 110. I think you will see. October, I think
- 10:33Speaker 3: you usually always have one red month here. You're going
- 10:36Speaker 3: to have some type of correction, I think, in October,
- 10:38Speaker 3: maybe down to 100, maybe down to like 96 or
- 10:41Speaker 3: something like that. And then November, December, maybe kind of
- 10:44Speaker 3: a chop city. So my end-of-year prediction is probably somewhere
- 10:48Speaker 3: between 120, probably around 120 if I had to take
- 10:52Speaker 3: a guess. It's tough to say. If it breaks out,
- 10:55Speaker 3: it could be all the way up to 140, 150,
- 10:57Speaker 3: but I think it's going to look something like this,
- 10:59Speaker 3: and I think you're going to get up to these
- 11:01Speaker 3: higher areas more in quarter one, that 150 mark, more
- 11:04Speaker 3: in quarter one of next year. I think you need
- 11:07Speaker 3: some consolidation here. That's my view on this.
- 11:11Speaker 2: I like this.
- 11:11Speaker 1: You're being a little bit more conservative than I would
- 11:13Speaker 1: be on Solana, Evan, and mainly because of what I'm
- 11:17Speaker 1: seeing coming out of the SEC. I'm anticipating we're going
- 11:20Speaker 1: to see a lot more institutional components that will play
- 11:23Speaker 1: into where Solana is heading. Because of that, I think
- 11:27Speaker 1: it could be one of the big breakout stories of
- 11:29Speaker 1: the year. So keep a close eye on this one, guys.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Another one to watch that I think is.
- 11:33Speaker 2: A sleeper token.
- 11:35Speaker 1: We've talked about it before. And this is a project,
- 11:38Speaker 1: if you guys have not downloaded the Jupyter app, I
- 11:41Speaker 1: want you to go do that right now. They're not
- 11:43Speaker 1: a sponsor of the show. I just want you to
- 11:45Speaker 1: go discover what's happening within Jupyter.
- 11:48Speaker 2: The ecosystem.
- 11:49Speaker 1: Here was a tweet right here is Juke Next, Unipump
- 11:52Speaker 1: nearly 3X, SEC opened a five-year path. Five keywords here, guys.
- 11:56Speaker 1: Five-year path for tokenized U.S.
- 11:59Speaker 2: Stocks and permissioned AMMs. That is a big deal.
- 12:02Speaker 1: And Jupiter isn't just an AMM, but it's Solana's order flow,
- 12:07Speaker 1: and it's already routing hundreds of tokenized stocks as it
- 12:11Speaker 1: stands today. I think this is one of those that
- 12:13Speaker 1: could really break out. When you look at Jupiter right now,
- 12:17Speaker 1: Would you put a bet on this one?
- 12:20Speaker 3: Yeah, I didn't even look at this before you mentioned it,
- 12:23Speaker 3: but this looks like the best thing we've looked at
- 12:25Speaker 3: so far, Paul, because you just keep making higher lows
- 12:29Speaker 3: like this. Your momentum keeps doing what it's supposed to do.
- 12:32Speaker 3: You got a trigger wave here in the daily. This
- 12:35Speaker 3: looks like it may break outward for a technical target
- 12:38Speaker 3: all the way up at maybe 47 cents around these
- 12:41Speaker 3: levels right here. So yeah, I think this looks great, actually.
- 12:45Speaker 3: This looks really good. And The thing, too, is like
- 12:47Speaker 3: this has done well since February throughout this, you know,
- 12:50Speaker 3: bear markets outperform Bitcoin. This looks very good, very good overall.
- 12:55Speaker 3: So I like this. I think this inevitably will go
- 12:57Speaker 3: up to 50 cents. All right.
- 12:59Speaker 2: So you got a 50 cent marker there.
- 13:01Speaker 1: Evan, would you say that this is the beginning of
- 13:04Speaker 1: a bull run or do you feel like this is
- 13:06Speaker 1: might just be a little bit of a false start
- 13:08Speaker 1: waiting for some of the market to rotate or it's,
- 13:10Speaker 1: you know, overheated because of the SEC?
- 13:14Speaker 3: I think that it is the beginning of a bull run.
- 13:17Speaker 3: I think that if you look at seasonality, usually you
- 13:20Speaker 3: do have a pullback between now and midterms, which is
- 13:22Speaker 3: my kind of concern for October. But I think worst
- 13:25Speaker 3: case scenario, we just pull back maybe 20% from the
- 13:29Speaker 3: highs for Ethereum, maybe 15% from the highs for Bitcoin.
- 13:33Speaker 3: And maybe around those areas are a little bit more,
- 13:36Speaker 3: a little bit less for certain hollow coins. That's my
- 13:39Speaker 3: view here based on seasonality. All right.
- 13:41Speaker 1: Seasonality starting to factor in here. ETH is now disappearing
- 13:46Speaker 1: from exchanges. And many of you guys, if you're not
- 13:50Speaker 1: putting your assets on hardware wallets, you should be. Make
- 13:54Speaker 1: sure and jump into Tangent. We always have them as
- 13:56Speaker 1: a sponsor on the show, but that's one of the
- 13:57Speaker 1: ones that we would use. Right now, 15.6 mil ETH
- 14:01Speaker 1: sitting on exchanges is around 12.7% of the supply.
- 14:03Speaker 2: That's low. Bitmine owns almost 6% of that, or 5%
- 14:05Speaker 2: of that, 5.9 million in ETH.
- 14:06Speaker 1: 38% of all ETH currently sitting on exchanges.
- 14:16Speaker 2: So that's a big deal, man.
- 14:18Speaker 1: That is not a lot of ETH sitting on exchanges.
- 14:21Speaker 1: That means, guys, something's getting ready to happen here.
- 14:24Speaker 2: What do you think? Ethereum, end of year.
- 14:28Speaker 3: Ethereum end of year, man. I mean, you got this.
- 14:31Speaker 3: The number one thing here is like, it's an interesting pattern.
- 14:35Speaker 3: I will say that. Your momentum is still good on
- 14:37Speaker 3: these higher timeframes. Your two-day looks good. Your daily looks
- 14:40Speaker 3: decent because of VWAPs coming up. You are losing a
- 14:42Speaker 3: little bit of momentum in some of these like lower
- 14:44Speaker 3: timeframes here. You had this wick up, this like liquidation
- 14:47Speaker 3: wick up on September 11th. So, oh man, I mean,
- 14:52Speaker 3: it's like a big debate between seasonality. Seasonality tells you
- 14:55Speaker 3: you're going to see something like this happen. You come
- 14:56Speaker 3: back to like 2100, maybe 2000, and then your end
- 15:00Speaker 3: of year is going to be a slow recovery. into
- 15:03Speaker 3: some of these areas just more extended. I mean, end
- 15:05Speaker 3: of year could be 2,700, a little bit more, maybe
- 15:08Speaker 3: up to 3,000. It definitely depends on what happens, but
- 15:13Speaker 3: usually you do get corrections between now and midterms, but
- 15:15Speaker 3: your momentum is pretty good. In two weeks from now,
- 15:18Speaker 3: towards the end of this month, that's what you got
- 15:20Speaker 3: to pay attention to. Around October 1st, what does your
- 15:22Speaker 3: momentum look like? If you've lost momentum around October 1st,
- 15:26Speaker 3: that gets much more bearish. If you're above these highs
- 15:30Speaker 3: from September 11th, on October 1st, then that's more bullish
- 15:33Speaker 3: and you could, you know, pull through and kind of
- 15:35Speaker 3: do what's very rare to do in midterm election years.
- 15:38Speaker 3: I'll say that. Yeah. Okay.
- 15:41Speaker 2: All right.
- 15:41Speaker 3: Okay.
- 15:41Speaker 1: A couple of things here, because a lot of traders
- 15:43Speaker 1: are pointing to the 3000. I actually believe that this
- 15:47Speaker 1: might be soft. And the reasons behind it is the
- 15:51Speaker 1: fact that we are seeing so much movement now coming
- 15:54Speaker 1: out of this rulemaking component. I think this starts to
- 15:58Speaker 1: shift things around a bit. not only for stablecoins, but
- 16:01Speaker 1: I think ETH in general in terms of the rails
- 16:04Speaker 1: of where institutional capital could be rolling. So be on
- 16:07Speaker 1: the lookout for ETH right now, guys. It's 2550 resistance zone.
- 16:11Speaker 1: I think 3K or above is definitely within the cards.
- 16:14Speaker 1: Not a prediction, but I'm looking at this just from
- 16:16Speaker 1: the sense of adoption and where ETH could be heading.
- 16:20Speaker 1: It's going to be one of the hot assets, I think,
- 16:21Speaker 1: in this bull run. Maybe finally going to get its run.
- 16:26Speaker 3: Oh, it's inevitably getting to 3K. Inevitably getting to $ 3, 000.
- 16:30Speaker 3: It's just a question of when, you know what I mean? Inevitably, yeah.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Well, hey, listen, you got Bitcoin surging past $ 80K, so
- 16:36Speaker 1: it's given good support right now. $ 170 million in shorts
- 16:39Speaker 1: liquidated in the past hour.
- 16:41Speaker 2: I mean, come on, Evan.
- 16:43Speaker 1: $ 80K, does this mean we've got a blast-off period coming
- 16:46Speaker 1: to us?
- 16:47Speaker 2: What do you think? That's a pretty big.
- 16:49Speaker 3: Candle right there. Yeah, I mean, the momentum's there. I mean,
- 16:53Speaker 3: you got your 50 weekly SMA that we're looking at, 79.2.
- 16:56Speaker 3: As long as you remain above it, that's pretty good.
- 16:58Speaker 3: The only timeframe that doesn't look good right here is
- 17:01Speaker 3: kind of the weekly. This is VWAPs coming down, Trigger Wave,
- 17:05Speaker 3: which would tell me seasonality. Seasonality would tell you this.
- 17:08Speaker 3: If we're going by what normally happens in these areas,
- 17:11Speaker 3: you get a healthy correction, maybe down to 70K, something
- 17:13Speaker 3: like that. And what do you form? Just a giant
- 17:16Speaker 3: kind of reverse head and shoulder situation. And then from there,
- 17:19Speaker 3: early next year or maybe December at the earliest, you
- 17:21Speaker 3: break up to 92K. That would be one path. And
- 17:26Speaker 3: we definitely got to see what happens over the next
- 17:28Speaker 3: week between now and the end of the month. So, yeah,
- 17:30Speaker 3: I mean, if you look at what's happening now, it
- 17:32Speaker 3: just seems like it keeps going. You're getting a little
- 17:34Speaker 3: speed bump right here. Weekend, obviously, the weekend is probably
- 17:38Speaker 3: going to get more boring. You know, it's probably going
- 17:40Speaker 3: to be a bit choppy and then you're either going to,
- 17:42Speaker 3: you know, break up or break down.
- 17:43Speaker 1: So.
- 17:44Speaker 3: We'll see what happens. It's kind of hard to exactly
- 17:47Speaker 3: say right now, but inevitably this thing is going to
- 17:49Speaker 3: go up to 90K. We just, you know, is it
- 17:51Speaker 3: going to be, you know, within a month or is
- 17:53Speaker 3: it going to be January, February, you know, quarter one
- 17:55Speaker 3: of next year? Hard to say.
- 17:57Speaker 1: All right, guys, here's my thinking is that everybody had
- 18:00Speaker 1: been sleeping over the week.
- 18:02Speaker 2: Okay.
- 18:03Speaker 1: They heard that Clarity Act was dead. They thought, ah,
- 18:07Speaker 1: you know, the market's going to crater. And instead we
- 18:10Speaker 1: get some validating news coming out of the regulators.
- 18:13Speaker 2: All right.
- 18:13Speaker 1: So Everybody's now catching up with the news. They're starting
- 18:17Speaker 1: to watch our show. They're catching up with it right now.
- 18:19Speaker 1: Here it is Friday. Dude, I think we see something
- 18:23Speaker 1: pop off this weekend, and Bitcoin may lead the way.
- 18:26Speaker 2: So just saying.
- 18:28Speaker 3: Be ready. I mean, it's rare on the weekend. Usually
- 18:31Speaker 3: weekend gets boring, man. It's rare on the weekend.
- 18:34Speaker 1: Let's see what happens this weekend. I think the catch
- 18:36Speaker 1: up on news and people starting to see all of
- 18:39Speaker 1: the players and including this statement right here from Ted,
- 18:43Speaker 1: attention is back on crypto and momentum is building. The
- 18:47Speaker 1: next move could be very interesting. So you guys remember
- 18:51Speaker 1: that and go from there. Before we jump over, actually,
- 18:54Speaker 1: I want to go, I want to get into Bitcoin
- 18:57Speaker 1: versus the S & P 500. And then I want
- 19:00Speaker 1: to jump to Zcash versus hype. Okay, right after that.
- 19:04Speaker 1: But before we do that, let's jump on to Bitcoin
- 19:07Speaker 1: versus the SPX.
- 19:10Speaker 3: Yeah, right here. I mean, this is, I've been calling
- 19:12Speaker 3: the bottom on this, you know, since kind of that
- 19:14Speaker 3: low here. It's building momentum. It still looks like it
- 19:18Speaker 3: could actually keep going here. My guess is maybe some
- 19:21Speaker 3: type of healthy correction. I mean, the question is, it's
- 19:23Speaker 3: inevitably going to go up like this. The question is,
- 19:25Speaker 3: does it go like this first, then go up? I
- 19:27Speaker 3: mean- For somebody who's debating on whether buying Bitcoin or
- 19:30Speaker 3: buying the SPY, the obvious answer has been buy Bitcoin. Generally,
- 19:34Speaker 3: since kind of February, as I've been talking about, I
- 19:36Speaker 3: wasn't exactly right on that bottom. But, you know, it's
- 19:39Speaker 3: going to outperform, obviously, this and P500. If Bitcoin corrects,
- 19:43Speaker 3: you know, 15% between now and midterms, it would probably
- 19:46Speaker 3: look something like this. And then you keep going or
- 19:48Speaker 3: we just keep going straight up. Seasonality tells you that
- 19:51Speaker 3: it's going to be this option, where we have a
- 19:54Speaker 3: little bit more, one more correction, then we keep going
- 19:56Speaker 3: potentially quarter one of next year or so. But I mean,
- 19:59Speaker 3: the obvious play is Bitcoin over the S & P 500,
- 20:02Speaker 3: in my opinion.
- 20:02Speaker 2: All right.
- 20:03Speaker 1: Bitcoin over S & P 500. Let's jump over to
- 20:06Speaker 1: Zcash versus Hype.
- 20:09Speaker 3: Yeah, go ahead.
- 20:13Speaker 1: The main thing is obviously hyperliquid continuing to fly, holding
- 20:17Speaker 1: very strong on the chart. I think we had that
- 20:20Speaker 1: one up quite a while ago. And one of the
- 20:22Speaker 1: things that has been solid has been the hold now
- 20:25Speaker 1: trading above 90.
- 20:26Speaker 2: So what do you think? How do you think this
- 20:29Speaker 2: plays out?
- 20:30Speaker 3: Zcash versus Hype? Yeah, it's interesting because Zcash has obviously
- 20:34Speaker 3: gone parabolic. Hype has done well, but not as good
- 20:37Speaker 3: as Zcash. You're coming up to this area. Zcash has
- 20:40Speaker 3: still got the momentum, I would say, but the momentum
- 20:43Speaker 3: is dying out just a little bit here. So if
- 20:46Speaker 3: I had a really, you know, for the next like
- 20:49Speaker 3: two years, I would be in the hype camp because
- 20:52Speaker 3: it's depressed against Zcash to a certain extent. You know
- 20:55Speaker 3: what I mean? Okay. So I would say the hype
- 20:56Speaker 3: is going to, you know, probably at least get up
- 20:59Speaker 3: to 200, you know, in the next couple of years.
- 21:01Speaker 3: I don't know about Zcash though, because let me show
- 21:03Speaker 3: you something. When you look at Zcash here, you know,
- 21:05Speaker 3: you're hitting some big points. This two week, once this
- 21:09Speaker 3: comes down and you lose momentum here, this could correct
- 21:12Speaker 3: and do something, you know, something of this nature. So
- 21:15Speaker 3: I could see this back at, you know, 600 at
- 21:17Speaker 3: some point here. So if we do see a correction,
- 21:20Speaker 3: it can be worse for Zcash. And I mean, This
- 21:22Speaker 3: thing is insane. So, I mean, it gets volatile up
- 21:26Speaker 3: 600% since March of this year. I mean, you're going
- 21:29Speaker 3: to see corrections. You're absolutely going to see at least a,
- 21:31Speaker 3: you know, 30% or 30, 40% correction at some point.
- 21:34Speaker 3: So there's that. I could see this still being bullish
- 21:37Speaker 3: until the end of the month though.
- 21:39Speaker 2: All right, let's jump over to avalanche.
- 21:41Speaker 1: And I want to show you guys something that is
- 21:44Speaker 1: the avalanche chart on the weekly. And as you can
- 21:48Speaker 1: see guys, if there is a place for something to move,
- 21:52Speaker 1: and you don't care about anything right now in the market,
- 21:55Speaker 1: you're just looking at charts that have somewhat solid fundamentals
- 21:59Speaker 1: and some potential windows for successes on adoption. Avalanche actually
- 22:06Speaker 1: may be a play here. And I'm, we haven't said
- 22:08Speaker 1: this in a very long time. What do you think
- 22:10Speaker 1: AVAX setting at $ 8? Yeah.
- 22:14Speaker 3: I mean, this is the riskiest one we've looked at
- 22:16Speaker 3: so far today. I'll tell you that much, but, um,
- 22:19Speaker 3: Your weekly is actually the only bad time frame now.
- 22:23Speaker 3: That does look like it may kind of roll over
- 22:25Speaker 3: a little bit here as it generally has done. But
- 22:27Speaker 3: your momentum looks really good on your two weeks. So
- 22:29Speaker 3: these probably, I mean, if I had to guess here,
- 22:31Speaker 3: I would say maybe high nines to $ 10. A lot
- 22:34Speaker 3: of times what these do, and this thing has just
- 22:36Speaker 3: been so depressed. I mean, a lot of times what
- 22:38Speaker 3: they do is they get their jump up and then
- 22:39Speaker 3: they kind of, reject. So definitely be careful with that.
- 22:42Speaker 3: It could be a trade, to be honest with you.
- 22:44Speaker 3: I don't think it's worth the risk, though, unless you really,
- 22:47Speaker 3: really like AVAX and you really think it's going to,
- 22:50Speaker 3: you know, come back and prove everybody wrong. So, yeah.
- 22:55Speaker 1: They did have a summit here just a little bit ago.
- 22:58Speaker 1: They announced this on there that NYSE planning to bring
- 23:01Speaker 1: 24-7 training on chain with their development of the ATS platform.
- 23:06Speaker 2: So That's a big deal.
- 23:08Speaker 1: As we've evaluated different platform, Avalanche checks a lot of
- 23:13Speaker 1: those boxes for us so we engage with the team.
- 23:15Speaker 1: So point being is that there are some potential adoption
- 23:18Speaker 1: curves here. And if this does take off and we
- 23:20Speaker 1: do see traditional finance moving on chain, especially with guidance
- 23:25Speaker 1: from the SEC, could Avalanche be one to come in
- 23:28Speaker 1: behind what we've seen right now with Solana, Uniswap.
- 23:32Speaker 2: Jupe, etc.? It's one to watch.
- 23:34Speaker 1: I'm not totally sold on it, but I'm intrigued with
- 23:38Speaker 1: this one for sure. We've got a couple other things
- 23:41Speaker 1: that are getting serious in the market that could put
- 23:43Speaker 1: some pressure on the macro side of things, and that
- 23:46Speaker 1: is generating around energy. You've got JP Morgan saying it
- 23:50Speaker 1: can no longer predict oil prices because of the Iranian war.
- 23:55Speaker 2: We don't know how the model ends. And you look
- 23:57Speaker 2: at not only that, U.S.
- 23:58Speaker 1: Gas prices hitting 443 a gallon on the national average today.
- 24:02Speaker 2: That's the highest level ever for this point in September.
- 24:05Speaker 1: So leading into midterms, which I think now the Republicans
- 24:11Speaker 1: are toast in terms of trying to win the Senate
- 24:14Speaker 1: and the House. It looks as though this is going
- 24:16Speaker 1: to be a sweep. And Trump's going to have to
- 24:18Speaker 1: deal with this now. How does this play out in
- 24:21Speaker 1: the overall markets, Evan, especially with you look at all
- 24:26Speaker 1: this pressure coming in?
- 24:28Speaker 3: So S & P 500, seasonality would tell you S
- 24:32Speaker 3: & P 500 should correct down farther between now and midterms.
- 24:36Speaker 3: And you can backtest this a lot. I mean, I
- 24:38Speaker 3: don't want to get Debbie Downer, but this can go down. Well,
- 24:40Speaker 3: nothing too bad. I mean, it's going to go down
- 24:41Speaker 3: another 8% theoretically between now and midterms for the next
- 24:45Speaker 3: couple of months, especially if there's more things with Iran.
- 24:49Speaker 3: If the Democrats do sweep, there's going to be more fear,
- 24:51Speaker 3: especially in terms of regulation against AI. AI makes a
- 24:55Speaker 3: lot up of obviously the NASDAQ now. that could bring
- 24:58Speaker 3: us down. This thing hasn't had much momentum lately at all.
- 25:01Speaker 3: Your high is still from June. And it would make
- 25:04Speaker 3: sense in total to have, you could have up to
- 25:07Speaker 3: 14% down. I don't want to sound too Debbie Downer,
- 25:09Speaker 3: but this is very typical of midterm years where you
- 25:12Speaker 3: do dump hard in September or probably October this time
- 25:16Speaker 3: before midterms. Then you bottom out around midterms once the
- 25:20Speaker 3: Democrats sweep, because that gets factored in the fear of
- 25:22Speaker 3: AI regulation, all that, and you continue forward. So It
- 25:25Speaker 3: would align with potentially a 15% Bitcoin correction too. Let
- 25:29Speaker 3: me tell you, Paul, I think we're in very volatile
- 25:31Speaker 3: times between now and midterms. That's what I will say.
- 25:33Speaker 3: Next two, three months are going to be.
- 25:34Speaker 1: Okay, so do you think we'd get a rotation if
- 25:38Speaker 1: we do see a 15% pullback in the S & P?
- 25:42Speaker 3: That's a huge pullback. It's the rotation as we've been
- 25:45Speaker 3: seeing that Bitcoin is going to outperform the S &
- 25:47Speaker 3: P 500. Yeah, that rotation. We've been seeing that since June. Yeah,
- 25:51Speaker 3: that's been we're going to see in Bitcoin. It's that's
- 25:53Speaker 3: just not for Bitcoin outperforming the S & P 500.
- 25:55Speaker 3: That's for Bitcoin outperforming NVIDIA. Bitcoin outperforming the triple Q, AI, gold,
- 26:00Speaker 3: you know, pick your poison. Bitcoin's outperforming a lot of things.
- 26:03Speaker 1: All right, guys, listen, we're going to have a lot
- 26:06Speaker 1: to talk about next week because it's going to be
- 26:08Speaker 1: a big week. A lot of new issues, I think,
- 26:10Speaker 1: that are going to be facing crypto in general. Is
- 26:13Speaker 1: there any one token right now, Evan, that we haven't
- 26:16Speaker 1: talked about today that you feel like, hey, maybe we
- 26:18Speaker 1: need to keep an eye on this one?
- 26:20Speaker 3: Oh, man, you know, I've had some good luck with Chainlink.
- 26:23Speaker 3: If we want to look at that chart, you know,
- 26:26Speaker 3: I thought this would correct down a little bit farther,
- 26:28Speaker 3: but it's getting the momentum, getting the bounce. So I
- 26:31Speaker 3: think inevitably this may come back up to 18 at
- 26:34Speaker 3: some point. So that's one to keep your eye on, definitely.
- 26:36Speaker 2: All right.
- 26:37Speaker 1: Chainlink right there, trading at around $ 12.
- 26:40Speaker 2: Listen, Evan, thanks so much for coming in today. We
- 26:41Speaker 2: appreciate it.
- 26:43Speaker 3: Thanks so much, Paul. Always an honor talking to you.
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