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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Monday 2/2/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four that
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my bruins
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: hat man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. Arch eight, is that what it is? I
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what day it is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man's back with you after the worst stay that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five,
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: the worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: years doing this. I don't know what to even tell
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: you about this anymore. To the slump phrase, the slump discontinuous,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody? It's towed
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: back with you, toadstool Sports. It is Monday, February two,
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: Crownhog Day, Crownhog sawed shadow. You could probably bet that
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: still on the sites that we cannot name on the show.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: There are probably ways to do it. Usually, I think
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: you get you get pretty good odds on him seeing it,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: which happens to eighty four percent of the time. And
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: I think that the odds don't They're actually not skewed
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: enough in that direction, I think. But whatever we'll get
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: into today, I don't really have a voice right now,
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how this is gonna go. Hopefully
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: it's gonna go quickly. We have a decent amount of
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: college of basketball. I have one college basketball play here today,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: two hockey players is a pretty big hockey board. And
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: then I have one NBA play as well. So I
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: don't know, hopefully I'm being selective enough. I was pretty selective. Yesterday.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: We went to and zero yesterday, Penn State getting their
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: first conference win. It was a close game, man, and
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: people are saying that whoever the player was who made
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the final shot, people are saying he traveled. It's one
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: of those things where.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: They never call that like maybe he walked.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: But you know, you know how it is when in
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: basketball and guys are making a move driving to the basket,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: like a lot of times they'll get an extra step
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: in there. Whatever he might have moved, just pivot foot.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I don't care. I mean, I'll take the win on
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: Benn State. And then we did get the win with
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: Illinois as well, which was easier as Illinois pulled away
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: later in that game. So that worked out pretty well.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: Two and oh day, Big weekend, eight and.
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: Two Tyson, what's up, Kyle?
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: What's up? Thanks for hanging out everybody. All right, let's
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: get into today's college basketball here. We do have a
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: couple of early games here that are in the MIAC Conference.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: We have some of the smaller conferences in Actually, there
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: are a few big games as well today. The first
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: game up is actually between the teams that are at
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: the top of the MEAC right now, Maryland Eastern Shore
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: and NC Central this game, though, like I think, if
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: you look at the odds, the odds are gonna kind
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: of tell you well somewhat what you need to know.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: I guess it's CEE Central's up from two and a
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: half to three and a half here teetering on four,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: and I think that line did come out short. Just
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: from a numbers perspective, I don't think Maryland Eastern Shore
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: is as good as their record might make them look
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: in conference so far. I don't think they're the best
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: team in this conference, although I probably don't think n
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: C Central is either. I actually think Howard is they're
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: still behind, but Maryland Easter is sure. They're coming up
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: of a pretty ugly loss to Delaware State. Delaware State's
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: no good that was on the road, though I don't
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: think marylandis is sure was a very big favorite in
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: that game. They did lose a four game win streak, though,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: so sometimes that will hang you over. But in this case,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: I think they were overlooking a very bad Delaware State
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: team because they were probably looking ahead to this game
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: against n C Central, So I think they probably will
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: bounce back from a situational perspective here, n C Central
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: they just lost as well, but it was to Howard,
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: who I think might be the best team in the conference.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: But then they actually had multiple postponements after that, so
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: they've actually had a bunch of rest after that. Rest
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: might actually be part of the reason why the line
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: is kind of moving there and moving in their direction.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: You know, it's a tough call. I don't want anything
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: to do with the game.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I would lean to n C
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Central still, but marilynd Eister are sure is kind of
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: coming off the uglier loss though, so it might reach
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: the point where maybe there is a little bit of
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: line value coming back in on them. But I probably
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: lean towards the way the line is moving with n
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: C Central, But no strong opinion there. I don't do
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: much with the MIAC at all. Man terrible conference Howard
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: is that cop and State. Howard is definitely the better
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: team out of the East too. They did just meet
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State though, so that was a pretty big win
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: for them, crushing them by twenty eight. Norfolk State usually
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in this conference, although not
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: this year. Copp and State, very very bad, one of
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: the worst teams in all of Division One. They didn't
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: even cover against Morgan State last time out, which I
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: thought they would based on that set up. Maybe they'll
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: show up here. I mean, you got Howard coming off
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: a bigger win. This game is later afternoon, I think
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: or early evening. I would probably take the points of
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: copp and State in this one. But I mean, if
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: you if you want to have money on this, I
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: mean I would recommend just doing it, as you know,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: basically just betting it for fun, because I don't even
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: know how fun the MIAC is that I usually do
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: not I would not want to have actual money on
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: any of this crap. Howard down for fourteen to thirteen
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: and a half, though I do agree with that move generally.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: That's at six pm.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: Also at six pm in the Big South, Gardner Webb
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: at Charleston's Southern. Charles's Southern already beat Gardner Webb on
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: the road by ten, so you do have a situation
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: with an avenging road underdog hero. Though Gardner Webb has
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: been really really bad this year, unbelievably bad, like even
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: for a team in this conference. They're bad, Like there's
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: a huge gap between them and the rest of the
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: common difference, so sad times for them. Charleston Southern is
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: you gotta think they're probably gonna show up too, though,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: because they've lost six games in a row. But they
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: already beat this team by double digits on the road.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: They don't need style points here, and they have high
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Point up next, and high Point is a big game,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: and they did just lose it home by nine to
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: at Radford. I don't know how close this game was
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: that this is kind of a big game as well.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Radford closer to the top of the standings as well.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: The game was fairly close. It was within two possessions
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: in the final minute, so you could make the argument
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot that Charleston's Southern is in as well,
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: So I would actually probably lean towards taking the points
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: with Gardner Webb there definitely not gonna make my card,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: but Charleston's Southern's up from seventeen to seventeen and a half.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: There are some aspects of it. The du look like
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: a sandwhich and it is an avenging road underdog situation
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: where Charleston Southern could probably overlook this team could be
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: a situation where they win and don't cover pretty easily
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: in that one, but I don't want it. ESPN is
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: the first big game of the night in the ACC
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: Syracuse at number sixteen, North Carolina for Garrett here, I
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: don't know where he's at right now. Don't think the
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: setup is that bad for North Carolina. They were coming
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: off their big upset win of Virginia, staying on the road,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: and they still want against Georgia tack by double digits.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Don't know if they covered this number, but they did win.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: They did, they covered. They were yet nine and a
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: half point favorites, so they won by fourteen sixteen. Excuse me, now,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: the conservative North Carolina those they have a huge game
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: on deck. They played Duke next so on Saturday, I believe,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: so that is a pretty major look I had there.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Somethink that is the main part of this handicap is
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: that they might look past Syracuse because they have Duke
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: on deck. Syracuse just got a nice bounce back win
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: over Notre Dame. That was one of our wins on Saturday.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: Of course, Notre Dame was coming up that huge multiple
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: overtime game against Virginia, and I think they had Louisville
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: on deck, so I was like, yeah, this is a
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: horrible spot the Notre Dame is in. So Syracuse did
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: catch them in a very good spot. But it was
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: a win. That's not gonna make Syracuse over confident winning
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: as a home favorite against a team it's not that good.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: They ended a four game losing streak, so I think
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: that should give them some momentum coming into this game.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: So if I was gonna play this game, I would
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: take Syracuse plus the points. Here. North Carolina did go
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: up to a twelve and a half point favorite from eleven,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: but eighty five percent of the tickets are on them,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the cash coming back on Syracuse.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: I do agree with that market Reid on that one.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: I think primarily it's the look ahead for North North
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: Carolina to Duke, which is always one of their biggest
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: games of the season. All Right, I'm gonna skip some
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: of these other games. I'll talk about the TV games.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: Even though this seven PMTV game here on CBS Sports
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: is horrendous. It is a couple of teams in my
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: area here. They'll be U and Holy Cross in Wooster
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: at holy Cross at seven pm. This is a bad game,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: though it is a Patriot League game. Both these teams
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: are pretty bad. BU is actually the better of the
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: two teams. Bu's lost three in a row. They're coming
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: off another loss they lost at Bucknell, who's not having
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: a good season, so probably they're gonna be showing up
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: in this game trying to right the ship here.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: These teams haven't played yet this year.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: Holy Cross they're coming off of a really ugly loss
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: to Army. Though Army is bad. Well, actually Army is
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: up in the middle of the pack now, so I
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: don't know how ugly that really is.
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: It was actually a revenge game for Army as well.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: I mentioned that game when they when that game was
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: because holy Cross was coming up a big game against Colegate,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: so I thought they were in a bit of a
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Plus it was revenge for Army because I
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: thought holy Cross might be looking ahead to BEU because
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: they is sort of a rivalry thing. Still, so I
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: do still think both teams will show up here, but
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: then if that's the case, it might come down to
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: which team is the better team here. BU has moved
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: up from one and a half to one and a
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: half with Juice. I'm not really gonna disagree with BEU
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: in this game. I do think they are the better team.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you they are, so I won't
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: really disagree with that. I think there are arguments to
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: me made that Holy Cross is the worst team in
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: this entire conference. So that's that would be my opinion
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: in that game, but not a strong opinion at all.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: I think both teams probably will show up though. All Right.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: Next up is the one best bet I have in
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: college basketball. We're gonna be on Southeastern Louisiana. Takes a
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: while to type. Then in plus five and a half
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: you might be able to get a little bit of
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: a better number on this. This is in the Southland
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Conference at seven pm Eastern, and I think this is
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: I know it's not a great conference, but Southeastern Louisiana. Yeah,
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: they're coming off playing the two best teams in the conference.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: MacNeice and steven Have Austin. But they just lost by
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: almost thirty points to Steven Have Austin. Man, they've lost
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: six of their last seven games. You gotta think they're
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: probably gonna show up for this game, even though they
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: actually beat Lamar already at home. Southeast Louisiana, I think
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: might have even been a small underdog in that game.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: But basically, well, if they were a small underdog in
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: that game, I think based on this number here, the
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: number actually might be short, but I don't care because
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: I'm playing the Yeah, they were a small underdog, but
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: things have changed, you know. I mean, the odds Viggers
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: have had to adjust since then, and I'm playing the
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: situation here. In plus, I don't know if these teams
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: get a ton for home court in this conference. Really,
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: in these smaller conferences, a lot of times crowds just
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: don't show up for these games, so home court is
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: not really worth that much in these conferences. But Southeast Louisiana,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: the fact they've lost all these recent games, they're coming
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: off two more losses, I think they will show up
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: for this game. And even though technically it is kind
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: of a revenge game for Lamar because Lamar did already
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: lose to them on the road this spot, it basically
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: couldn't get worse for Lamar unless they had beaten Southeast
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Louisiana already as well, because this is a horrible sandwich
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: spot the Lamars and man, they just played MacNeice right
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: to the wire at Lamar, and I believe Lamar was
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: the only team in this conference to beat MacNeice during
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: last year's regular season. MacNeice is still the best team
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: in this conference in my opinion, man, even though Steven V.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Austin is ahead of them right now and MacNeice dominated
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: this conference the last couple of years. So this is
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: a huge game. This was a huge game for Lamar.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: Lamar were ten and a half point underdogs and they
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: only lost by one point. It was a little bit
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: of a strange game. Lamar did actually win the rebounding battle,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: so they did actually kind of outplay MacNeice in this game,
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: which does worry me a little bit. But either way
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: you look at it, this is a huge game as
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: a huge underdog for Lamar, you know. So the fact
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: that they came to within one point and went all
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: out against MacNeice, I think that's gonna put them in
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot. But it gets worse because look who
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: they have up next after this game. They gotta play
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: Steven F. Austin on Saturday, and that's the team it's
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: a top this conference right now and the other good
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: team in this conference. So we have a major sandwich
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: spot that Lamar is in here, so I am fading
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: the revenge aspect of this, which you don't want to
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: weigh revenge too heavily. Man And the fact that Southeast
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: Louisiana did beat them at Southeast Louisiana. I think that's fine.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: We're taking points in Southeast Louisiana. Here it's a terrible
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: spot for Lamar sandwich spot. We're doing it. We're taking
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: the points. Don't think I have a whole lot else
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: to say about that. It looks like we can get
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: six on this right now as well, so I would
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: be on the lookout for that. I saw them all
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: five and a half's that reduced juice because the books
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: like to try to not give you the best number
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: that they can, and they're doing that more and more,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: where every book is just like adjusting juice instead of
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: giving you a better number. Although with College of Basketball
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: was six. It's not really that key of a number,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what they're doing, but you might
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: be able to find a six on this, but that
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: is the play. It's a low total as well, at
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: one thirty three, one thirty three and a half, so
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: taking points makes a little bit more sense in a
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: game like that too. But also if you look at
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: what these teams look like on ken Palm, he does
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: have Lamar's a pretty unlucky team Shore and he has
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: them a decent defense at one sixtieth in the country,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: slow paced team, but then sell Eastern Louisiana. Let me see, no,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: not Southern Southeastern. He has Southeastern Louisiana more lopsided, but
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: they're actually the better defense, believe it or not. Even
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: though they're the worst team, they're very bad offensively. Both
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: teams are pretty unlucky according to Kembum. They both play
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: pretty slow, so I think we're gonna get a slow
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: game here, and both teams are better on the defensive side,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: so that all kind of indicates the points are gonna
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: be more of the premium in this game as well.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: But also, Southeastern Louisiana is technically the better defense. Ken
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Bum has them about twenty ranking spots higher defensively. It's
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: just they're way worse offensively. But that is what we're
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: looking at here. Yeah, in a game that should be
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: a defensive kind of slugfest. Plus we're fading a team
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: in a massive sandwich. Southeastern Louisiana is the play there. Okay,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: what else we got going on for today here? Man, Well,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: the big game in the Southland is happening as well.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: MacNeice is at Stephen F. Austin. This is a huge game, man.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Both teams are definitely gonna show up for this. They
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: already played once and McNeice beat Steven F. Austin at
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: MacNeice by two points. If I'm not mistaken, where is
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: that game? It was a very clear Am I wrong?
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Am I? Oh? Yeah, no, I'm right. I was gonna say,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: like Mandela effect. I don't know what's going on here, yeah,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: MacNeice effect. Yeah, that did happen. So I think Macneese
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: did not cover in this game. Yeah, they were, believe
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: it or not. Macnice were ten and a half point
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: favorites in that game, so they might show up with
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: us some more intensity here. Man. MacNeice is coming up
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: that performance where they almost lost to Lamar. I think
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: they were looking ahead to this game. And you know
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: what I always say, when a team that was a
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: big favorite didn't play well and they just barely escape,
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: they usually come out with a lot of intensity in
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: the next game. Not that they need any more reason
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: to because even have Austin is ahead of them in
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: the standings, but I think macnie is still the better team.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Were talking about a second meeting where the home team
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: was a big favorite and barely got by in the
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: first game, and that is also an indicator that you
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: want to look towards that team because they're gonna remember
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: that and they know they didn't play it their best
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: in that game, so they might step it up and
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: play better. Although of course maybe they don't realize they
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: were that big of a favorite, and maybe they consider
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: this to be a big game as well anyway, but
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: or they considered that other game to be big as well.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: But still the fact remains they should have won by
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: more based on how heavily they were favored. Now, one
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: concern with MacNeice is that they are playing a third
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: straight road game, which is not going to be that easy.
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Stephen F. Austin is coming off clobbering Southeast and Louisiana,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: though they are staying at home so their travel spot
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: makes it a little bit easier, but you know they're
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: also going to be focused here because obviously Steven F.
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: Austin is in one of those situations.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: I talk about where they have one conference loss on
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: the season, and we all know who that was against.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: It was against MacNeice, so they're clearly going to show
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: up for this. When teams have one conference loss, they
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: obviously know who that team was that they lost to.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: But all that being said, I do lean to MacNeice
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: in this game. I think people might underrate them versus
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: Steven of Austin. The public might come in and look
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: at this and say, oh, like, looking at the records here,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Steven of Austin actually has the better record and the
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: better conference record, But then see that they're a home underdog,
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: and the public, you know, they got to be thinking like,
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: why would I want to lay points with the team
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: with the worst record on the road, Right, even though
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: we saw MacNeice got all that hype last year with
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: a mere con and whatever, those guys are all gone though.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: This is a different Macneese team now, though they are
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: still the better team and the oddsmakers are telling you
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: they're the better team, and if they were a ten
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite at home, they really should
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: probably be about a three point favorite in this game.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: I would say, all of course, we've had to adjust
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: these teams a little bit since then, but there might
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of value still on MacNeice in
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: this one, and se even if Austin does look like
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be a public underdog here eighty percent of
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the tickets and only seventy two percent of the cash
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: on them. The line actually did open three on Macneese
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: and now it's two one and a half. I would
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: lean towards Macnice in this one. If it's a one
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: and a half or two, I think the money line
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: on the makes sense in this game.
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: That would be the way I would lean. And the schedule.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Makers they should be, you know, ashamed the fact that
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: they're not putting this game on TV anywhere, Like the
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: whoever makes the TV schedules or whatever. This game should
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: absolutely be on TV. You can find it on ESPN
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Plus and probably find streams of it. But I mean,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: come on, man, how is this not a TV game?
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Like this is clearly the best it's one of the
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: best games of the day. But it is the best
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: possible matchup in the Southland Conference. So I don't know
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: what the schedule makers are doing not televising it all right,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: and instead they're televising another game in the conference, which
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: is Incarnent Word in Texas A and MCC on CBS Sports,
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: this game gets a TV slot at eight pm.
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: And meanwhile, I think ESPN, where they could be televising
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: the Stemen of Austin game, they're probably televising something else
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: at that time. On No way, they're televising North Carolina.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: That's right, my mistake. But this is on the ESPN
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: family of networks. It's like, why is what about ESPN two?
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: What about a ESPN U? I mean, come on, man,
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: But anyway, CBS Sports has Incarnate Word to Texas A
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: and m Corpus Christie here these teams did already play
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: and Incarnate Word lost at home to them by eight.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Now ANMCC is the better team here, for sure, they
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: were favored. Oh no, I thought they were favored. They
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: were not. Incarnate Word was actually favorite at home in
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: this game. Although I think an MCC is clearly the
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: better team here. But we are looking at one of
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: these avenging road underdog angles here with Incarnate Word, where
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: they know they lost at home to an MCC. Already
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: they've lost four games in a row, including that one
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: at home to A and MCC two a couple of
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: games ago, three games ago, so excuse they're going back
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: out on the road for this one. But yeah, they've
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: lost four games in a row. I'm out of it
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: this morning, man, I'm always out of it. I don't sleep.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: But yes, so I think the avenging road underdog angle
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: is a strong angle to look for, because A and
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: MC might not take them seriously this time, knowing, hey,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: we already beat these guys in their place. This should
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: be easy. Incarnate word. With four losses in a row,
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: you gotta think they're gonna be looking for a win here,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: even though they do play MacNeice on Saturday and they're
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: gonna catch them off a huge game, which is good
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: for incarnate word. But when you've lost four games in
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: a row, I don't really think you're gonna be looking ahead,
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: especially when you're going to the place of a team
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: that beat you in your own place. And an mc
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: C is third in the conference right now, so I
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: don't think you're gonna overlook them because of that as well. ANMCC,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: though they're coming off a game where they almost lost
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: as a pretty big favorite to Houston Christian at home
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorites ANMCC barely got by
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: that game, so they might be in a spot where
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: they might actually show up with some focus here, man,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: because I talk about that when favorites don't play well
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: and they almost lose a lot of times they will
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: show up with focus in the next game. They do
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: have Nickels up next, and Nichols is right behind them
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: in the standing, so that is a bigger game. So
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of things going on in this game.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: I think I would probably have to lean to incarnate
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: word in this one. All that being said, A and
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: m CC is up from five to five and a
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: half here, though, that line's probably about right, giving what
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: the Lion was in the first game. And I don't
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: think these teams get a ton for home court in
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: this conference. Probably not gonna be a huge crowd at
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: this game, and it'll be on TV, dude. That's the
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: other thing, Like why wouldn't the TV schedule makers, Why
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: wouldn't they want like maybe they could like move the
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: game back to you know, a different time or whatever,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: Like why would they not want MacNeice Stephen of Austin.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: You know that that gym is going to be packed
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: for that game? You know what I mean, Like, that's
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: a huge game, Like this gym is not going to
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: be packed for a and MCC with Incarnate Word coming in,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So it's kind of ridiculous.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would probably lean towards taking the points
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: to th Incarnate word an MCC is up from five
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: to five and a half here, speaking of packing the
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: gym for big games. By the way, if you listen
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: to a Ryan Power over at Wager Talk, was one
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: of the one of the pros over there who I
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: like to listen to also on the Morning Wager, which
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: is one of the best daily probably the best daily
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: betting show out there, besides this one obviously that he
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: does with Mark Zeno out there. They have a good
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: dynamic between the two of them. But Brian Power, he
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: lives in Ohio, and he went to the Miami Ohio
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: and Kent State game at Kent State and he said
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: that the.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: He said that Kent State.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: Completely packed the I mean, of course they packed their
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: arena because that was a huge game. And I guess
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: a bunch of Miami Ohio fans went cross state and
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: showed up for it as well. But he said that
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: that Miami, Ohio or the Kent State. He said that
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: they gave out they gave out like free beer or
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: something to the first like five hundred students to come
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: in or something like that to try to like pack
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: the gym with the rowdiest crowd as possible, and still
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: lost to Miami Ohio in overtime. But I was like, yeah,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: that's pretty that's pretty insane, man. I'm assuming that they
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: must have been iding those those students, right. Gotta be
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: an upperclassman, man, if you're gonna participate in the free beer.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: But I was like, man, that's wild. It kind of
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: reminds me of.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: You guys, go look this up. It's if you don't
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: know about it. It's a crazy event that was a
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: and it happened in Ohio as well. Dude, Ohio it's
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: such you know, it's such a shitty state with nothing
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: to do and it's cold all the time that all
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: everybody does is drink. I'm pretty sure in Ohio. But
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: this was in Ohio. Was a Cleveland Indians game against
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: the Texas Rangers back in like the seventies, and it
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: was there was some beer promotion that night where it
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: was like five cent beer night, or something like that
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: back in the seventies though, But there was like I
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: think there was like no limit or something, and the
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: crowd got like unbelievably drunk. The team's already had had
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: like a brawl the night before that or something, I think,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: and like all hell broke loose and there was another
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: brawl and the fans rushed onto the field. Fans were
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: fighting the players and like all this stuff. It was
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: one of the wildest baseball events in history. You know.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Some people say that it was a disgrace. I kind
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: of think it's awesome in a way. I think Mike
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: Sosia was playing for the Texas Rangers at the time,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: and there were some other like kind of well known
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: players involved in the game as well, like yeah, go
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: look that up Cleveland, Indian's a five cent beer night.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: I think they did not do that again after that,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: but yeah, and then I think there was something similar
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: to that happened in a White Sox game too, which
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: they referenced in whatever that movie was. There was a
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Netflix movie that was like an adaptation of that story
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: with actors playing the parts of like the main guy
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: was like the son of the White Sox owner.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: I think they had like a similar thing that happened there.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: I can't remember what the name of that movie was though,
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: something with Saint in the title, I can't. I can't
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: remember the name of it though. It was an interesting,
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: uh movie though, And I'm pretty sure the main actort
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: and I'm pretty sure was Charlie Day from Sunny in
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia if I remember correctly. All right, Garrett, what's up man? Yes? Correct?
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Dollar beer night, yeah, which would still be really really cheap. Yeah.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: I was at a dollar hot dog Night at a
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Houston Astros game against the Blue Jays when I was
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: visiting my friend in Houston years ago at this point.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: But we're like, yeah, let's go to an Astros game
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: because it was during the song. Being in Houston in
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: the summer is oh god, it's bad. But it was like, yeah,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: let's go to an Astros game. Man, they're having a
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: whole weekend series here. Let's go. And they had like
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: it was dollar hot dog Night, I'm pretty sure. So
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: it was we're gonna load up on the hot dogs. Man.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: At least you're not getting drunk on the hot dogs.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: We were still drunk that day and night for other
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: reasons though, drinking all throughout the day and throughout the night. Yeah,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: I think I had about five hot dogs. Yeah, pretty much. Yeah,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: really really excellent promotion. Actually yeah. But part of the
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: reason they were doing that is because when you're eating
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: all those hot dogs, you want to buy more beer,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: Like you like you need more drinks, Like, oh crap,
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: we gotta get more beer. This was back when I
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: was drinking doing beer. It's a little bit expensive at
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: these stadiums, although it's way more expensive up here Fenway.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: The prices are horrible at Fenway. Man down at a
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: minute made in Houston. I was like, oh, these prices
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: are actually reasonable up in Fenway. They're awful, all right,
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: But yes, I already talked about the North Carolina game, Garrett,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: I lean towards taking the points to Syracuse in that game.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: All right, ESPN. That's the first game of the ESPN
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: double header. By the way, the second game is the
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: other big game of the night, or actually probably the
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: biggest game of the night because it is ranked versus
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: ranked number four Kansas the number eleven Texas Tech at
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. This is a big game. Kansas coming into
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: this game of a big win over BYU. Now you
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: could make the argument it's a little bit of a
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: letdown spot because that was a big win against one
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: of the top teams, really one of the top teams
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: in the country, and BYU and probably a team it's
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit better than Kansas is actually Ken bomb
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: As Kansas slightly better than BYU now, but big win. Nonetheless,
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go back out on the road. But
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: I just don't I'm not gonna say that Kansas is
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Texas Tech. I mean, I don't think you
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: overlook Texas Tech. I think the worry would be they
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: need to put in a huge effort two games in
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: a row, right, Although look at how this shapes up
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: after this game though, If this game is like a
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: really hard battle, Kansas gets Utah and then after that
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: they have to play Arizona and Iowa State. So that
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: Utah game is setting up like it might be a
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: pretty big sandwich on Saturday, and you're gonna get a
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: boatload of points with Utah and that one. We'll see
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: if that one winds up on my card or not.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: But I don't really think Kansas they're not gonna overlook
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech, you know what I mean. But they're coming
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: off a really good win, whereas Texas Tech is coming
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: off an ugly loss at UCF and that was our
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: first win on Saturday. But look at how that schedule
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: spot set up. Texas Tech had just beaten Houston, which
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: was their biggest win of the season easily, and they
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: had this huge ESPN game against Kansas on deck. That
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: was a major sandwich spot for Texas Tech and they
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: had to go to kind of an unfamiliar place going
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: to Orlando. Lost the game. We got the win with
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: UCF outright win. But now that Texas Tech is coming
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: off that loss, and it's a very explainable loss, I
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: think they will bounce back from that. Now. The worry
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: might be they did lose a five game win streak,
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: and I know I talk about when teams lose their
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: win streaks, they do get hung over. Although I will
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: say that's especially especially if a team was undefeated, and
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: it happened again with Nebraska. Man, I gave you guys
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: Illinois as a play yesterday. These teams that have been
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: undefeated this deep into the season, every single one of
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: them has lost two games in a row. Like every
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: single one who's lost their undefeated season lost again the
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: next game.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: It's happened every time, so be aware of.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: That when we're looking at Miami, Ohio and Arizona if
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: it happens to them. But anyway, Texas Tech, I mean
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: ESPN game against Kansas, They're not gonna overlook them. Man.
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: They're coming off what they know is a bad performance.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: So I don't think it'll be a hangover spot in
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: this case or anything like that. Kansas is coming off
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: the bigger effort game. The better game, the better results.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: There might even be a little bit of ligne value
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: here looking towards Texas Tech. I lean towards Texas Tech
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: in this game. It's not on my card, but that
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: is my opinion. They're up from four to four and
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: a half here, sixty five percent of the tickets, seventy
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Texas Tech. I agree with
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: that side total has gone up to one fifty four
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: and a half. But the public is going to be
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: all over the over, probably because that's just what they do.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: Ninety three percent of tickets on the over, only eighty
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on the over.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: I would probably be leaning towards an under in this game.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: I do think we're gonna see both teams show up
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: with some intensity, and we're looking at two good defenses too,
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: although actually Texas Tech's defense is actually worse than their
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: offenses year though I'm I'm so used to Texas Tech
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: being a good defense man, Kansas is a very good defense.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: So yeah, as far as laying points of Texas Tech there,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: there are a few other concerns here. Looking at Ken
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Bomb Ken Bomb as Kansas as the better team, so
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: there might be a little bit of ligne value maybe
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: with Kansas, and they're the better defense getting points, and
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: you know, sometimes I do like to look that way.
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: So definitely some reasons to stay away. Although I do
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: lean to Texas Tech here, but I do also still
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: like the under. Neither team plays at a very fast pace.
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: Kansas plays slower than Texas Tech, though Texas Tech will
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: be at home, but both teams are kind of in
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: the bottom half, towards the bottom third of tempo. I
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: do kind of expect this to be a more of
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: a grinding game, so I do still lean to the
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: under in that game. The Hornets, see, I'm gonna talk
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: about them in the NBA segment, and you might not
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: like what I have to say, although it's my analysis
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: of one individual game, we do have a couple of
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: big sky games here at night which kind of looked
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: interesting as far as the scheduling spots. Weaber State is
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: at Sacramento State. Weaber State already beat Sacramento State by
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: thirteen at home, so from that aspect, there is like
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the possibility they might overlook Sacramento State. But then I
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: kind of looked at it and I was thinking, well,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't because they had lost three games in
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: a row and then they ended their losing streak with
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: a close win of Rideaho State, So maybe some new
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: momentum coming into this game. Maybe there's still concerned that
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: they have Northern Colorado on deck, but I don't know,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: because Northern Colorado just hasn't been good in conference, even
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: though I think they're a very under the radar team
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: right now because of that. But yeah, so from the
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: Weaver State perspective, it's a little bit difficult to handicap
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: the game. But then I looked at Sacramento State's scheduling
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: spot and I'm like, yeah, that's not good. They just
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: beat both Montana teams. Those are huge wins man Montana
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: State and Montana. Those are debatably the top two.
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: Teams in the conference, because I think Portland.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: State's a little bit over rated. Portland States that's off
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: the conference. But yeah, I guess who Sacramento State plays
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: next on Saturday. Yeah, They're playing Portland State next. So
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: they're pretty much in a sandwich spot here. Man, just
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: I have a few hesitations with it because we Were
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: State did already beat them once, so we we State
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: just might not totally take them seriously. But looking at
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: how this sets up, I think the spot is actually
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: pretty bad for Sacramento State. Weber is still the better team.
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Weber that game. They're up from
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: Pickham to one. In that one, I would look Weaber
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: money line probably would be the way I would look
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: in that game. Speaking of the Hornets, we're talking about
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: the other Hornets here, the Sacramento State Hornets playing at
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: Hornet Pavilion by the way, the hornt Pavilion. But yeah,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State, they are the Hornets. I'm pretty sure indeed
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: they are, yes all right against the Weaber State Wildcats.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: I believe the Wildcat dude every team is in his
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: named the Wildcats. And then Idaho State is playing at
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: Portland State, who are still sitting atop the conference. Here.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: Idaho State's lost four in a row, but they're playing
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: a fourth road game in a row, and that's not
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: easy to do them. Man. But two of their losses
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: were against Montana and Montana State, so I'm not gonna
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: blame them for losing those games on the road, but
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: still a fourth road game in a row is not
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: easy to deal with. However, they should probably show up
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: because they've lost a bunch of games in so you're
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: not going to see an unmotivated Idaho State team, especially
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: playing the top team in the conference right now, at
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: least record wise. Also, Portland State already won at Idaho State,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: so Idaho State has a little bit of an avenging
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: road underdog situation going on for them here, whereas Portland
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: State might not take them seriously. And Portland State they
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: just played Montana and Montana State lost to Montana a
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: close game and then they beat Montana State, big game.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for Portland State, man, because
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: that game sort of had like it pretty much it
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: gave Portland State padding in the Big Sky, man like,
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: it put them atop the conference. By one and a
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: half games, so that was a big deal for them.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a potential letdown spot for
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: Portland State here, so I would lean towards Idaho State
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: in that one. Portland State is up to a seven
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: point favorite, but it looks like we do see the
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: money starting to come back on Idaho State. I do
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: agree with that. Fifty percent of the ticket, sixty one
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Idaho State. It's a pretty
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: low total in the high one thirties. So yeah, I
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: agree with the Idaho State in that game as a
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: lean as an opinion. Dirty sock, what's up? Man? Yes, sir,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir. I wish I was I wish I
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: had my funds available right now that I was making
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: money on this stuff because we went eight and two
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: over the weekend and probably should have been better than
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: that too. Yes, it went well, seeing things well, although
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: we'll see if that can continue into today. So all right,
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: let's go to NHL here, man, I mean there's a
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: huge NHL board here. Gave you guys the one play
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: on Southeastern Louisiana as the one college basketball player that
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: I have today, Hockey, I'm gonna give you two plays man,
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: and they're both giant underdogs, so we're gonna see how
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: that winds up working out. And I've you know, I'm
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: playing one of them a little bit creatively and then
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: the other one kind of more of a more of
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: a straight up bet situation. Jeff, what's up man? Thank
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: you sir? Yeah, I dude, I got a lot of
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: those games right yesterday college basketball. I was right about
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: most of the games yesterday. I was looking at the results,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, I was seeing things pretty well yesterday.
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: Although I was selective, yes, sir, ride or outright win. Yes,
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: even though they suck, I thought the spot was was
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: correct to look their way Albany. They were winning much
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: of that game. I didn't really I haven't looked at
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: the box score for it, which you usually got to
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: do it because you gotta uh, you gotta go. You
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: gotta post more to them these things and see like
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: what you see if you got you know, why did
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: you get it wrong? Whatever?
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: Like, were you actually right?
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: I was just following the score on my phone and
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: I saw that they're winning most of the game. I'm like, oh, yeah,
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: we're about to be at like seven or six, and oh,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: on the day or whatever, seven and oh on the day,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: then they lose them. Like, come on, man, NBA what yesterday?
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, I didn't really see, Like I don't know.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: I didn't really look at the NBA, to be honest.
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Yesterday I saw a couple of the results that I
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: think I got right. But yeah, alright, hockey, we have
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: Buffalo at Florida. Interesting game where, of course Buffalo might
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: actually be the better team at this point over Florida.
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: They definitely have the better record.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: Buffalo did just lose a five game win streak, and
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: sometimes when a team loses a win streak, they'll get
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit hung over. After that, they lost to
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: on Montreal. Is it possible that they actually overlook Florida.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, Because they're playing Tampa Bay tomorrow.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: I don't want to fucking talk about Tampa Bay. After
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: the Bruins blew a five to one lead against them
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: yesterday in the whatever the fuck outdoor whatever the shit
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: that was yesterday, the Bruins had that game put away, man,
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: and they blow almost the entire lead still in the
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: secon period. What the hell was that? And then they
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: were still winning and then they gave up the time goal,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: didn't score again, lost it a shootout. Give me a
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: fucking break, man, And I'm gonna blame Swayman for it too,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: because Swayman went out of his way to go fight
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Vassilevsky and have a goaltender fight when everybody else was
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: fighting him. Like, why would you do that? Why would
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: you want to give Tampa Bay motivation? Especially with like
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: half the game left, you fucking idiots, man. Tampa Bay
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: was a huge favorite there. The Bruins absolutely should have
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: won that game. I'm pissed off, man, I'm not happy
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: about that shit. But anyway, will Buffalo actually be looking
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: ahead to that game tomorrow?
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: It's a Hulu game. It's crazy to think about that.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: You might overlook the team that won the Stanley Cup
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: the last two years, but they're not playing that well.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: Florida coming into this game on a multiple game losing
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: streak here. They've lost three in a row, in fact,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: including losing a Winnipeg in their last game on Saturday,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: which was not a good result here. The first game
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: they lost in that streak was on a return home spot, though,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: so you can kind of explain that one. So, you know,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean towards Florida in this game. I
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: think the spot is a little bit better for them.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: It looks like Buffalo is kind of a public sidle
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: of Florida did drop from minus one thirty five to
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: minus one sixteen. So the oddsmakers with the initial line,
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: we're telling you Florida is still the better team. But
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: then that line crash down below just the home ice advantage.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if maybe Florida's switching their goaltender
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: up here again. I don't know what's going on, but
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: I think Buffalo is gonna actually wind up being a
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: public side here. Eighty three percent of the tickets, eighty
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash for now, and it does
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: look like the mine has moved in their direction, but
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: that's too much of a jump, I think for that
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: to abend an organic move. I think maybe I could
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: be wrong about that, but the situation, I think I
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: slightly leaned towards Florida in that game. All but he
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: was winning by six with one thirty left. Oh my god,
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: I know they lost by three. I mean, I don't
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: know if there were some fouls at the end or something.
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah and yeah, and Albany, we had them plus at
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: least like one and a half there too. I think
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: they were plus two and a half when the game
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: went off, so you could have gotten a really good
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: number on that. At plus two and a half, it
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: should have been a win. They should have won the game,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: all right, Ottawa at Pittsburgh. The oddsmakers are really telling
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: you something interesting with this game, Like why is Pittsburgh
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: not even getting whole ice advantage here in this game? Right? Like,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: obviously hole ice is being factored into the line here,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: but the odds makers are telling you that Ottawa is
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: actually the better team, which is really insane to think about.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh up from minus one and five to minus one thirteen.
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: I keep telling you Pittsburgh's not actually legit. Fifty five
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets areund Autawa ninety four percent of the
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: cash on the Penguins though, so the money is coming
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: in on the Penguin side. Don't know if I agree.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Autaw is on a nice little three game run here though,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: including being Vegas and Colorado, And that's why I gave
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: up the Devils in the game. After that, I thought
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: it was a bad spot for Autawa. I thought they
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: were gonna get caught in a sandwich. But Omark came back.
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: But I didn't even realize Omark was gonna come back
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: for that game. But still I still would have made
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: that play because you got to think that a goalie
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: has been off for a while is coming back, He's
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: got to be rusty a little bit, you know what
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: I mean? But he wasn't. He played well, So that
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: was a big game or excuse he was a big
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: win for a or a good win for Autawa. I
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: guess I don't know. I don't know what I'm saying, man,
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: But it basically was a reverse injured player spot though
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: with Omark coming back, so that probably would have made
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: me lead to New Jersey even harder in that game
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: and we didn't get the win. Now, Otto is still
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: on a wind streak here. They're starting a road trip.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they're gonna continue with this momentum here, man,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Usually you will show up when you start a road trip. Now,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: maybe a concern that they do have Carolina on deck.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: That is a big game deck for sure, So I
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: guess there is that worry. But do you really overlook
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh when they're hot right now and everybody thinks that
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: they're good. But again, they have a ton of overtime losses. Man,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: I think they have the most overtime losses in the NHL.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: So they're playing a lot of close games, which basically
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: means they're not as good as their record looks. Even
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: though I know they have eleven overtime losses, they have
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: a lot of overtime wins too, you know what I mean.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: They're going into overtime at a ridiculous rate. But now
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: the Penguins are on a huge win streak as well.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: They won six games in a row. They're just staying
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: at home here, but they got the Islanders next, man,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: so it is possible they just maybe they don't care
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: as much about Auto here. They just beat the Rangers.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: That was a big game. Even though the Rangers aren't
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: playing well, they still have that mystique around their name
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: because they're an original six team Autowa. I mean, do
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: you really focus on this Autawa team? I don't know
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: if you do, man, when you have a TV game
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: with the Islanders up next. So I actually don't really
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: agree with the market in this one. I actually probably
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: lean towards Ottawa, and I think the line is kind
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: of telling you something with not even giving Pittsburgh full
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: home ice here. It might be all Mark again in
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: net for Ottawa here. I'm not sure if it is
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: that will help them, I assume because now he has
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: a game under his belt and he's obviously their best goalie.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens in that one. But yeah,
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with the market there. The market
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: does look like it's starting to shift, by the way
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: in that Buffalo Florida game and be indicating on the
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Florida side. For what it's worth. The Islanders are at Washington.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Islanders just lost to Nashville. Pretty ugly loss, even though
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: washed excuse the Islanders were not a big favorite in
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: that game, even though they were at home. Still kind
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: of an ugly loss. Maybe it'll serve them well to
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: just get out of there, go on the road. It's
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: not a road trip though, but maybe getting out of
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: home after a bad loss will still help you go
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: you focus on focus on hockey, you know, just going
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: on the road. Washington coming into this game of a
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: huge couple of wins in a shootout against Detroit at
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: the end end of a road trip, and then return
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip. They still want against Carol Lone,
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: you know, overtime, so they're coming out of two monster wins.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: Don't know if they're gonna overlook the Islanders though, because
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: the Islanders are having a good season as well. So
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the the issue that I have with it,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: because I do think it's a pretty major letdown spot
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: for Washington. I think it's a positive spot for the Islanders.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to the Islanders in this game.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could quite put it on my card,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: But if I was gonna have another one on my
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: card here, I think it would be this one. Probably
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: with the Islanders. I'll Washington dropped for minus one forty
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: to minus one twenty. Looks like the Islanders are public
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: because of course, I mean, I guess that's a little
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: bit of my concern with the Islanders is also this market,
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: even though the market read is agreeing with them, Like
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: it looks too easy to play the Islanders as a
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: dog here, you know what I mean, Because everybody's just
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: gonna see the records and be like, oh well, obviously
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: I want to take the Islanders as a dog because
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: they have the better record here, and the oddsmakers actually
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: opened the line and higher than home ice, which is interesting,
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: but it is all the way down to minus one
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: twenty eighty one percent of tickets ninety three percent of
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Islanders. But given the spot, yes,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: I agree with that move and I agree with the
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: cash percentage on that one. I agree with the Islanders
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: in that one, given the situation. And sometimes you know,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: if you're getting what we might believe is the better
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: team with the Islanders, maybe they are the better team,
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: even though the Osbaker's kind of indicated otherwise, but still
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: getting them in a better spot like that, I think
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: that is the way to look Montreal at In Minnesota.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: Montreal has won three games in a row, including beating
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Vegas and Colorado just like Ottawa did. And then Montreal
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: did not have a let down. They went to Buffalo
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: and beat them. But that was a spot where I
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: was very hesitant to want to fade Montreal there, if
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: you remember, so I did not give that out as
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: a play or anything. But Montreal had lost twice in
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: a row in January to Buffalo, so I thought they
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: were not going to overlook Buffalo. They got that double
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: revenge win against Buffalo, and Buffalo has been playing well,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: so that was another good win for Montreal. Now they
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: have three big wins in a row. How long can
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: they sustain that? Man, I don't know. Now they have
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: to go to Minnesota, and they actually already beat Minnesota
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: in Montreal back on January twentieth. Now, I don't think
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Minnesota, but it might be a situation
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: where Montreal just runs out of steam here, and maybe
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: that Buffalo win was a little bit better, a little
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: bit bigger than this game. So that had me looking
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: towards Minnesota here. But then I'm looking at Minnesota. I'm like,
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: oh crap, Minnesota just went to Edmonton and they annihilated
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: them seven to three. That was a great win for Minnesota,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: a huge win there. Now coming back off of that
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: doesn't set up as the greatest spot for Minnesota, though again,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: they did lose last time they played Montreal, so got
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: to try to take all that into account here. Man,
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: I think I do still lean to Minnesota in this game.
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: I think the spot probably does set up a little
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: bit better for them, even though I think they're a
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: little bit overrated. As I keep saying, they have a
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: lot of overtime results as well, I think they have
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: the second most overtime losses to Pittsburgh. But looking at
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: the line here, Minnesota's up from minus one twenty five
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: to minus one twenty seven, eighty five percent of the tickets,
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on them. I agree with
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: the Cashers engine that one of them they're gonna be
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: a public side, which would worry me a little bit.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: Don't love the game, but slight lean towards Minnesota for
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: me in that one. Saint Louis at Nashville the the Blue,
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: the Blues versus the Blues, basically the Blues versus the
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: Blues city. Both of these cities have blues man. Both
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: cities known for blues music. How about that? On the
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Nationals know for country as well. Saint Louis coming into
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: this on a pretty bad slide here, man. They've lost
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: whatever this is, six of their last seven games, with
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: a win over Florida in the mix there, but they
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: had a let down after that and lost to Columbus.
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: Not shocking. Maybe they will bounce back from that and
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: show up starting a two game road trip here playing Nashville.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: Of course, they do have a bigger game on deck
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: against Dallas on t and t on Wednesday, So there
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: was a little bit of maybe a worry about a
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: look ahead here. The Saint louis going nowhere this year,
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: but they might still show up because they're coming off
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: of a real ugly loss. Nashville is coming out of
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: a nice win at the Islanders, and they're returning home
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. And now it's not a long
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: road trip. I was less than a week. They went
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: to just up to the northeast, to Boston, New York,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: New Jersey. But still it is technically a return home spot,
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: so teams can get distracted in that spot. You know,
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: you then away for a little while, you got some
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: stuff to do back at home. You might overlook an
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: opponent that's not very good, like Saint Louis, And Nashville
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: does have Minnesota on deck, which is a bigger game.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: So I do think the spot is more of a
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: negative for Nashville. They are coming off a nice road
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: up set and went over the Islanders there, so not
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: a huge upset, like I said, but still an upset.
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: So if I was looking at this game, I wouldn'
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: lean towards Saint Louis. I'm not really looking at that game,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: but I would lean towards the Blues in that game,
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: Nashville down for minus one fifty five to minus one
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: forty eight. We don't see the percentages yet, but it
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: looks like there was some initial movement against Nashville. I agree.
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: It might be one of those make your own plus
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: one puck line situations there For Saint Louis San Jose
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: at Chicago. San Jose fairly ugly loss that they're coming
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: off of against Calgary, but you can kind of explain
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: why they lost that game. I think I leaned towards
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: Calgary in that game because San Jose was coming up
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: losing to Edmonton in overtime. That was a big game,
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: So I just think they maybe didn't have a whole
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: lot left and they lost to Calgary. Maybe they will
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: bounce back from that now traveling it, you know, they
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: might kind of consider that to be all right, let's
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: go somewhere else, focus on hockey. They get Chicago, who
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: is definitely inferior to San Jose, but there might be
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern that San Jose might
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: look ahead because they got the Avalanche on deck. That's
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: a huge game, so there is that is a little
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: bit of a warrial, though I think the fact that
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: they lost to a pretty ugly Calgary team I think
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: may have San Jose still focused on this one. Chicago
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: comes into this on a five game losing streak, though,
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: and they are staying at home for this one, having
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: not played over the weekend and coming off a fairly
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: ugly loss. They're coming off a few ugly losses in
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: that recent stretch there, so they've lost five.
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: Games in a row excusually, mostly to good teams.
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: But then I know, I don't think Pittsburgh is great,
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: but I guess I'll consider them to be a good team.
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: And then Chicago lost to Columbus in their last game,
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: which is a pretty ugly game. They do have revenge
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: against Columbus on deck, but in the state that Chicago
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: is in, I don't really see them overlooking anybody here,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: so I think I would probably have to lean toward
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: Chicago in this one. They're a little bit of a
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: home underdog here. Like I said, San Jose is the
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: better team, but maybe we're taking San Jose a little
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: bit too far making them this much of a favorite
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: on the road here. They're minus one ten to minus
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: one eleven, so I huge favorite, but still a road favorite.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Ninety percent of the tickets and only seventy percent of
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: the cash on San Jose, so they are a public side.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: It's a cheap price with San Jose maybe.
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: Tempting for the public to want to grab them, but
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: a lot less of the money on them, So the
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: market seems to agree with me. On Chicago Winnipeg at Dallas.
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: I know, I've said I have two plays and we
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: haven't hit in either of them yet, and this is
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: still not one of them, even though I said they're
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: both big underdogs, and I think Winnipeg's a big underdog here,
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: but this is not it. Winnipeg is coming off beating Florida,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: so that was a pretty big game. Although I don't
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: think they're going to overlook Dallas though, and then I'm
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: starting to question, like, how big are these wins over
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: Florida now that Florida is kind of a mediocre team
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: this year. I don't know, although the Osbeggers are still
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: telling you Florida is more of a good team still
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: and there's still the back to back returning champs, so
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I still think beating them is considered
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: to be big Winnipeg got revenge over them as well,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: because Winnipeg had lost to Florida at home on January
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: twenty second, so a quick road revenge wins. That was
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: a pretty big win for Winnipeg. Now, they used Comer
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: in net in that one, so Hella Book should be
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: back in net for this one against Dallas. So I
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: think they'll have their better goalie here. They should still
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: be focused for a game against Dallas because it is
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: still a big deal.
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: Dallas is returning home from a road trip.
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: Not the longest road trip, but it was similar in
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: length to that other one I talked about where they've
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: been away since Tuesday. Still, you're almost gone for a week.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Stuff can kind of pile up at home. Dallas won
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: the road trip, they swept it. One big win on
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: the road trip against Vegas, didn't really suffer a letdown
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: after that, and they still beat Utah. I think they
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: caught Utah in a good spot if I remember correct.
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: I think Utah was returning home from a road trip
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: or something, so I think Dallas had a little bit
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: of a situational edge and that one. Despite coming off
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: the win over Vegas, Dallas actually used to Smith and
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Net in that one, it still got the win, so
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: they'll have Ottinger back and net for this one. So
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: I think you will get the prime goalie matchup in
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: this one between the two starting goalies for both teams.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: A hell of book and Art and Church should both
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: being net for this one, but it is still return
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: home spot. Winnipeg hasn't been playing that well, so it
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: is still possible that maybe Dallas gets caught up in
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: that distracted spot in the return home. They only play
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis next, which is not really gonna be that
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: big of a deal since they just beat them twice
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: within the last week and a half, but that is
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: a T and T TeV game at the very least,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: I guess, so I do think the spot is a
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: bit worse for Dallas. Still, the money line plummeted down
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: for minus one seventy to minus one forty five. Don't
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: really know why that was the case. Again, I don't
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: think you usually see a move like that unless there's
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: unless there's like a goaltender change or something. So I
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened with that. Don't see the percentages yet,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: but I do agree with Winnipeg grabbing them as an
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: underdog in that game.
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Generally I agree with that side, So.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: I guess take from that what you want to Next up,
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: we're gonna enter the best bets here. First up is
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: gonna be a zig zag spot that's also combined with
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: the return home spot, and we're gonna fade the Colorado
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: Avalanche and we're gonna do it somewhat creatively, although you
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: know how I do these things just basically because of
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: the price. We're gonna be on the Detroit Red Wings
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: and you can get a puck line plus one and
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: a half puck line at minus one forty. I considered
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: making that the play, and I was gonna say, if
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: you want to do that, I would still put some
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: amount on the money line, of course, but make it
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: like a spread bet. And then I was looking at him, like,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: it's in that price range where I'm like, let's just
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: make it a split bet. Let's be risk averse here,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: let's be post these whatever, We'll split the ben and
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: we'll make our own plus one puck line on this.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: So the way that you do this is you put
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: an amount. Well, I can show you what the amount
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: was to let's just go because you know I use
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: this calculator here, even though it's for baseball, let's do
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: it out of one hundred here. Hold on. So basically
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: the way this comes out is, Oh, you're actually literally
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: putting fifty percent of the bet on the Yeah, actually
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: not even fifty percent, because it comes out to you
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: actually wind up with a plus one seventeen price on this,
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: so you're actually laying less money than you're trying to
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: win here. So it comes out at a pretty decent
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: price here. So if you're trying to win one hundred,
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: fifty bucks would go on the minus one forty I know,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: I have to put that in is the money line
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: because the way that they do this, he's only doing
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: this as if you were playing a favorite, So you
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: have to swap the prices if you're playing an underdog,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense, because what you want is the
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: amount to win on the minus money price should equal
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: the amount that you're risking on the plus money price,
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense. Because what you want to do
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: here is on the plus one and a half, whatever
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: you win on that, if they lose by one, you
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: want it to push the bet. So that should be
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: the amount that you put on the money line, because
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: then if you lose that money line bet, you'll at
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: least have gotten your money back that you put on
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: that if that makes sense hopefully, as I talk about
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: this quite a bit whenever I do it, so hopefully
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: that makes sense. That's what we're doing in this one.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: So it comes out to a bit of a cheap
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: price here because it's close to me. I was just
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: gonna say, just play the plus one and have pocket
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: line on this, which you could do, but this is
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: the way I'm choosing to give it out as a play.
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: So the other part of the bet would be on
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: the plus one eighty money line here. But let's look
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: at the spot man, And first of all, we're getting
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: Detroit are a pretty good team, and we're getting them
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: as an underdog. So that's that doesn't seem like a
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: horrible situation to have here, or horrible a bet to have,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: even though I know Colorado is the best team in hockey.
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: Know they haven't been they have not been playing as
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: well recently, but Detroit's on a three game losing streak,
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: so I think, you know you're gonna get focused out
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: of them, and they're starting a road trip, so situation,
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: you know, I like that spot when a team's not
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: playing well and then they start a road trip, I
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: think they show up ultra focus to get that road
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: trip off on the right foot. They're also coming up
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: getting shut out in their last game at home, and
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, who shut them out in their last game
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: at home which was the most recent game they played.
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: It was Colorado. So I like teams anyway when they're
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip and when they're coming off a
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: bad shutout loss at home, they usually show up with
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: intense focus after that. But it's even better because they're
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: playing the team they just lost to as well, So
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: it's a zig zag spot in addition to it being
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: a really good situational spot. And for Colorado, they're returning
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip, so we have a lot
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: of situational angles coming into play all at once. In
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: this game, Colorado was on the road for more than
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: a week. They've been on the road since the twenty
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: fifth of January, so they're coming home from that. They
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: went out up to eastern Canada, so this is I
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: think the longest road trip return spot that we have today.
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: I think so. Actually my other game might be one
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: two I don't I forget, but still this is a
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: return home spot where again you might fall into that
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: distracted spot. Man, when you come back home, you're facing
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: a team that you just beat to finish your road trip.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: You just beat them five to nothing in their house,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: and that's who you're playing again. Now I know they
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: only have San Jose up. Actually, the San Jose's been
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: a hyped team at the very least, and they're a
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: Western Conference team where Detroit is not, although they were
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: for a little while, which made no sense. So Colorado
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: might not have full focus here for a whole bunch
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: of reasons. Again, the return home spot just within itself.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: You might be a bit distracted, so you have to
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: get back to home life and whatever. But because they
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: just beat this Detroit team, that might overlooked them. And
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: then I was like, well, let's see what actually happened
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: in this game. Let's look at the Let's look at
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: the box score here, because Colorado is actually only a
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty favorite in this one, so that would
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: really indicate they should probably only be about a minus
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, maybe I shortchange home ice.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: I usually say it's about twenty cents minus one twenty,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: and that would put Colorado at about minus one seventy
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: in the home game here, although they opened this at
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty, So let's be generous and let's say
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety. The price is actually higher than that
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: on Colorado in this game. So I do think there
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: was some line value on Detroit. You're especially because people
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: are going to see a five nothing score here, and
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: Colorado's just been the best team in hockey anyway, So
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: I think you know that you probably pretty much know
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: that the audsurs have to skew the line towards Colorado.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: But looking at this box score, it's actually kind of
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: a misleading result. Detroit did have more shots than Colorado,
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: though that's kind of expected when you're losing the game,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be firing more shots. But Detroit also was
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: the more physical team, They had more hits, and they
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: won more face off So this score was a little
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: bit misleading. I think it kind of came down to
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: some bad defense on the back end, some bad goaltending.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe I think that's gonna there's definitely some room for
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: regression here, man, from what happened in this game, because
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: the final score was not in line with what the
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: stats looked like in this game, like the stats told
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: the tale of a much closer game where Detroit actually
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: played slightly better than Colorado did. So that's very interesting.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: So I like all that. I like how it sets
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: up for Detroit for all those reasons. Uh, looking at this,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know we're we're fading a Colorado team.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: It's been excellent. I get it. They're really really good
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: at home. I know. But we only needed Detroit to
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: come within one goal to push this bet the way
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: that we're doing it. And if you go fully on
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: the plus one and a half puck line, it would win, knew,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: your entire bet if they lose by one, So there
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: you go. Detroit is actually above five hundred on the road,
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: by the way, so Detroit's been a decent road team.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: So given all that, Yeah, I like it. The market
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: seems like it's agreeing with this as well. Colorado down
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: for minus two five to minus one eighty five, so
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: that line has plummeted. So am I I think it's
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be in a price range, right. I think
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: making it a split bet like this is the only
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: thing that's going to make sense here unless you want
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: to go with Yeah, I mean, I think this really
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: is the only the only way that that it makes
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: sense to be honest, eighty five percent of the tickets
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: and seventy five percent of the cash on Colorado. Of
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: course there's the public side with less of the money
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: on them, So we will go with Detroit. I like it.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: And then the next play is the very next game.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on the Vancouver Cannucks. Again. They treated
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: us well in the last game. This one will be
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: just fully on the puck line plus one and a half.
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: I saw it out there at minus one oh five. Basically,
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: just make it a spread bet, and yes, I would
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: recommend putting about ten percent on the money in line
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: as well. Just make it basically like a spread bet
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: on this one. This is a bit of a higher
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: price because Vancouver is the way the oddsmakers line these games.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: They're telling you Vancouver is the worst team in hockey,
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: and I know, but we gotta win with them the
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: other day and then they turn around and lost again
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: the next night. But we're gonna be on them in
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: this one. The market seems to agree. Utah dropped a
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: little bit from minus two to sixty and minus two
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: fifty eight ninety three percent of tickets and only ninety
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on Utah, And you know,
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: I kind of question it, like, should Utah really be
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: this heavy of a favorite against anyone? I don't know, man,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're an okay team. Uh. Usually I like
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: playing on Utah because they seem to have been an
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: undervalued team this year. But I think in this case,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: they're definitely overvalued. But yes, I know, Vancouver's the worst
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: team in the NHL. Vancouver's coming off another loss. They've
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: won that game against Anaheim, which is a win for
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: us the other night, didn't play well in the next game.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's happened to lank and who's been
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: their goaltender they've been using, but they've been losing all
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: of his games too, So I don't know if we
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: really care who's in net for them here. Don't know
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: if lancn and his hurt or whatever doesn't look like
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: he is, so I don't know, he probably will be
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: the goalie heere. I don't know, but Vancouver just lost
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: to Toronto. Toronto's not a great team this year. Maybe
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: kind of a letdown after Vancouver got that big win
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: against Anaheim, but now they're starting a road trip and
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up with focus. Especially when
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: you're a losing team like Vancouver, you're pretty much gonna
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: give effort, I think most nights, although they do play
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: Vegas next, but I just don't really see them overlooking
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: any team at this when I see them showing up
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: to try to bound back and to get the road
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: trip off on the right foot. Utah, though they're in
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: a bad spot now, they're not in a return home spot.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: That was their last game, but if you.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Look at what they did in their last few games,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: they beat Florida on the road, they blew a game
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: against Carolina on the road where Utah had a four
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: to two lead in that game and blew it. And
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: then coming up of that game, they still put in
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: a decent effort against Dallas, losing three to two, and
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: that game was three to two for most of the
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: third period, so it was a close game on the scoreboard. Man,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: they had chances to do something there in that game
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: against Dallas, even though it was a return home spot
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: off a brutal loss to Carolina, they put in another
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: effort because it was a good Dallas team. And now
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: they're coming off of those games, I don't really see
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: them having a lot of focus here against Vancouver Man.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: And they got Detroit, Colorado, Minnesota in their next three
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: games at home here, and those are all bigger opponents
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: than Vancouver is Man. So I think it's a sandwich spot.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: I look into this game. Utah didn't play that well
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: in this game either. Dallas massively outshot them, out hit them,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: won the face off battle. Dallas dominated this game statistically,
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: so the final score actually wasn't indicative of how well
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: Dallas actually played in this game. But because it was
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: a close game again, Utah cut it to three to
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: two pretty early in the third period. They played almost
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: the entire third period down one and had chances to
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: maybe tie that game and have a chance to win it.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: So still I think it's brutal for them to come
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: off games like that. I like Vancouver. That's what we're
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: gonna do here. I mean, I don't like Vancouver, but
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: I do like them in this spot. I've never really
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: liked Vancouver. It was I very much enjoyed watching the
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins beat them in that Stanley Cup in twenty eleven,
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup finals. So the only Bruins win of
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: my lifetime. But yes, we're gonna take Vancouver on the
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: puck line there, all right. And then there was one
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: more pretty uninteresting in the late game in hockey, as
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: Toronto at Calgary. These teams are not playing well, they're
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: not great teams. Toronto did just beat Vancouver barely, but
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: that might give them some momentum here because they ended
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: a six game losing streak.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: So and you're gonna see in a minute, these.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: Teams are in very similar spots in this game, which
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: is crazy. It's like the schedule is almost a mirror
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: image for each team here. Toronto now plays Calgary and
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll have some new momentum because when you break
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: a losing streak sometimes you'll get some momentum out of it,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: especially if you beat a bad team, which is what
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: they did against Vancouver. But they do have Edmonton up next,
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: then Tampa Bay and Florida, so those are all bigger games.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: So there's the warrior. They might look ahead and.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: Look past Calgary. Now, Calgary, they're in a very similar situation.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they broke a five game losing streak
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: with a win over San Jose and they also have
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: Edmonton next. Ridiculous man, although at home in their case,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: but still, that's pretty ridiculous that both teams just broke
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: a losing streak with a win. They both might have
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: momentum coming into this one, but they both also might
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to Edmonton. It's really crazy how both
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: teams are almost in the exact same scheduling spot, So like,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: what do we do with this game? Well, I think
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: if both teams are basically in the exact same spot,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: I think you kind of have to look towards the
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: better team, and the osriggers are telling you that is Toronto.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: They're up down for minus one fifteen to minus one twelve,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: but they are road favorites. So the osregers are telling
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: you the may Beliefs are the better team here, and
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: they are getting the money eighty five percent of the cash,
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the tickets on Calgary. Because I
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: just think the public, if they're looking at this game,
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: they're probably just thinking, well, we get Calgary as an
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: underdog here. Well, I don't know what they're thinking, to
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: be honest, because Toronto does still have the better looking
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: record if you don't look at the overtime losses so
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know what the public is thinking,
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: but I mean, obviously I want to stay away from
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: this game. Toronto also has not been particularly good on
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: the road. They're much better at home than on the road.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: They're below five hundred by a decent amount out on
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: the road. Calgary, believe it or not, is actually above
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: five hundred at home, even including the overtime losses. So
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: Calgary is better at home. So the home road splits
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: two favorite Calgary in that game. But I think the
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot doesn't all right, n b A. I've got
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: one play, and it is in the game involving the Hornets.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: The Hornets against the real Hornets, sorry, Garrett, because New
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: Orleans are actually the Hornets franchise. Man, I'm gonna give
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: it a play on this. This is an afternoon game two,
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: which is odd at three pm this line. Hold on,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: let me see because we might actually be able to
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: get the key number here in this one. Let me see.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: You guys probably already know what I'm doing in this game,
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: and it looks like the market read is kind of
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: going against me. Yes, we can get the key number
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: right now, only at one particular book though, that starts
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: with a C if you know what I'm talking about
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: one of the larger books. It might not be available
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: in every date, but I would probably just wait on
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: this for a little while to see if you can
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: get the number, because we're gonna try to get the
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: plus seven on this, and it looks like it is
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: out there, and it looks like the books that are
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: throwing the six and a half out there having at
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: reduced juice because they're kind of trying to screw you
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: and not willing to go on to that number seven,
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: even though we're not talking about football here, so seven
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: is a little bit less key, but I still do
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: it at six and a half, yeah, probably, But the
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: sevens are out there. I would just wait to try
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: to find a seven at the books that you have available.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: I think you will probably find it if you look
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: at the alternate lines or whatever the books have. Maybe
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna charge you a little bit extra. I don't
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: actually I don't even know if I would pay the
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: extra for it. In basketball, sevens somewhat key just because
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: it's when teams stop potentially fouling. But whatever, we're gonna
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: take the points with New Orleans here. I think six
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: and a half is still okay. I don't like the
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: spot for Charlotte. Sorry, Garrett. The market read doesn't agree
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: with me on this one right now, by the way,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: but I agree with me. So now New Orleans the
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not have a loss of Philadelphia, so I think
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: they will probably show up. I mean, we know how
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: well Charlotte's been playing, right New Orleans. I know they've
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: had somewhat of a pack schedule, third game in four
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: days in different cities, but they had yesterday off, they
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: had a couple of days off prior to this stretch
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: when they returned home. So I still think it's okay.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Charlotte's schedule hasn't been that much softer, really,
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, Charlotte has They're playing a fourth game in
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: six days, a lot of them in different cities, so whatever.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: But really what I'm looking at here is that Charlotte.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: I know they've been playing really well. They won six
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: games in a row. Everybody's kind of onto the Charlotte
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: hype now, everybody's talking about how oh in January Charlotte
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: said that, well, they tied that record of having at
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: least five road wins. I think they did it with
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: this Memphis winning, they had five or was it it
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: might have been six road wins by fifteen or more
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: in one month, and the only other teams that ever
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: did that in NBA history both won the NBA Championship.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: It was the Oh one two Lakers, which I think
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: was Shaq Kobe probably back was it Actually I don't know,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: I dud my My time span might be off. I
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: I forget who was where at that point, and.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: Then the eleven and twelve heat where the other team
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: that did it, which I think that was obviously with Lebron,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: Bosh and Wade. I think Shaq wasn't there yet, but
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure. I think unfortunately, I think they did
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: have a Ray Allen at that They might have had
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: Ray Allen at that point too after he left the Celtics.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: But whatever, so people were onto the hype train. Uh.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: Charlotte finished the month of January. So now we're into
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: a new month here, and I think they might be
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: in a pretty bad spot here, man, because Charlotte just
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset and I think what was a
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: TV game at home? I'm pretty sure in an afternoon
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: game on Saturday, they beat the Spurs. That was a
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: big win, dude. Spurs have been good this year. Really
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: big win for Charlotte as a home underdog. Now they
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: get the Pelicans, who've been one of the ugliest teams
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: in the NBA this year. I just don't know if
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have full focus on this game. Man. You're
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: asking them to lay a bunch of points here and
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: on deck. They gotta go to Houston, which is another
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: huge game. Houston one of the better teams in the
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: West for sure. So this is a Texas sandwich that
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: Charlotte is in here.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: They're in whatever you want to whatever you wanna call it.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: A barbecue beef brisket, Texas sandwich here, or you know,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: a Texas cheeseburger or something, who knows whatever, whatever the
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: case may be. It probably it might have some Olipanios
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: on it. It's a spicy sandwich. We're gonna do it.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the New Orleans Pelicans in this one.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: You might actually even be able to get seven and
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: a half. This line is moving. I think you should
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: have no problem getting at least seven on this it's
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: up for Yeah, from six and a half through the
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: seven sixty seven percent tickets seventy three percent of the
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: cash on the Hornets for now, but I do not
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: agree with the cash percentage in that obviously. Uh. It's
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: also one of those situations that I looked for where
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: the Hornets just went from being an anti public dog,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: so the public was on the spurs against them, and
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: the Hornets were an underdog, and now they're a public favorite.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: And you know when you have a huge switch like
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: that from one game to the next. I talk about
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: that in the NFL a lot, when a team was
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: an anti public dog and they played well in that game,
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: and now the next game they're a public favorite. That's
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: like a big dynamic shift, you know what I mean.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: You want to look to fade that sentiment usually because
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: everything just kind of overreacts. Everybody overreacts to what they
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: saw recently. So yeah, we're on the New Orleans Pelicans
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: plus the points in that one, all right, and then
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: we have the rest of the board here a few
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: more games Houston and Indiana. Houston is coming up beating
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: Dallas and it was a close game. Houston didn't cover
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: I zoom. I'm assuming they were a big favorite here,
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: but that's still kind of a big win to beat Dallas,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: beat one of the Texas teams, and they have this
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: weird one game road trip to Indiana or I just
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: don't know how focused they're gonna be against Indie. And
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: Houston has the Boston Celtics next, which is a bigger game,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: and then Charlotte and then on Oklahoma City on a
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: TV game, so all those games are actually bigger than
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: this Indiana game. So I could see them pretty much
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: looking past the Pacers here. Pacers are coming into this
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: on a two game win streak, which kind of going
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit under the radar. Beating in Chicago and
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: Atlanta not a huge deal, but staying at home, I
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: expect them to show up with the Rockets coming to town,
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: so I would prefer the Pacers in this one. The
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: market seems like it doesn't agree, even though the Rockets
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: did drop from seven and a half to six. Here
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the ticket seventy six percent of
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Rockets, but I do not agree
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: with that cash percentage on that one. It looks like
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: they'll probably be a public side too. I would take
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: the points of the Pacers in that game, but it
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: is not a play for me, and then we have
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: a peacock doubleheader for the two later games here, one
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: at seven thirty, one at ten Minnesota at Memphis. Neither
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: of these games are really that great, but Minnesota at
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: Memphis a very injured Memphis team that doesn't have Zach
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: Edy or John Morant. Now, this is also kind of
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: a zigzag spot potentially where these two teams just play
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: it on Saturday, and Minnesota won by seventeams. So you
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: got to look at that and think, oh, well, that's
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: an outlier, right, So Minnesota might just not have full
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: focus on Memphis now. They just went in here and
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: beat them.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: By lost in the previous game.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: They got Toronto on deck. I mean, not necessarily a
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: look ahead, but Toronto has been a winning team this year,
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: so there is still the possibility of a look ahead there. Now.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: The reason why the zigzag works is also not just
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: because the team that won in a blowout, if they did,
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: might just look past that opponent in the next game.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: But the team that lost also has all the adjustments
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: to make, you know what I mean, where's the team
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: that won has no adjustments to make. So Memphis does
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: look like they're in an all right zigzag spot here,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: and I agree with that sentiment. I agree with that side,
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: but let's look at the number from it here. Minnesota
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: was favored by eleven and a half, believe it or not,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: on the road against Memphis, So Oddsmaker's definitely given Minnesota
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of respect. Uh So, Minnesota was a big
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: favorite that actually gone up from seven and a half
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: to eleven and a half in that game. So okay,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: now we have a zigzag spot. Potentially Minnesota blew them out.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: So we're probably looking at maybe if the books, because
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: they know about the zigzag now, maybe the books would
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: just this down to ten ten and a half, you know,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: so maybe not a ton of live value on the Grizzlies,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: but maybe it still would make sense to take the Grizzlies. Here,
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: you look at this line at oh crap, it's at
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: seven and a half.
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: Well, why is that?
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: I know, it looks like the money is on the
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: tewol side eighty two percent of tickets, ninety six percent
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Tea Wolves, So they're getting
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: some of the money now. And the problem is, I
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: think Anthony Edwards is not playing in this game, and
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: I think that's why the line is seven and a
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: half instead of eleven and a half, So again you
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: got to pay attention to like does this line look
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: like it's off, which is way easier to do in
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: a zigzag spot where they just played the same game
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: in the same venue. And yeah, I'm pretty sure that
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards is gonna be out. That's like the only
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: thing that Well, Julius Randall's also a game time decision.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: He's questionable as well, so we'll see, but I think
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: it's got to be something like that where one of
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: those guys is probably missing this game at the very least,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: because the Osvikers have really dropped the line on this.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: And if it's Anthony Edwards, you know what I always
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: talk about. That makes it an injured player spot for
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: the t Wolves, where when a team star player goes
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: down at that first game without in, the team has
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: line value on them because the line usually overadjust to
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: that injury, which it might have here it dropped four points,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: and that team will actually come out and play with
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: intensity a lot of times to account for that guy
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: being out. So that's what I worry about. Now, it
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: looks like we have the zig zag would would put
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: you on Memphis here, but the injured player theory spot,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: if it's happening, would put you on the t Wolves here.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: So that is the concern in that one. In this game,
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: Maybe wait until closer to game time and see who's
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: actually in and who's out in this game, and then
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: try to decide. If Anthony Edwards does play and the
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: line starts creeping back up, if you wind up being
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: able to get the Grizzlies at at least like a
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: ten point dog or something, I would probably be leaning
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: that way, But as the stands right now, I gotta
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: stay away. Like I really don't think I want the
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: t Wolves in this game though, eighty two percent to
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: take us ninety six percent of the cash on the
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: t Wolves, even if it's the injured player spot with
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: the Twls there, I don't want it because then you
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: have conflicting factors. But if it winds up not being that,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: like I said, an AE does play in this game
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: and you get a big price on the Grizzlies, I
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: would lean towards the Grizzlies. And then we have the
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: Sixers at the Clippers Philadelphia at the Clippers here. The
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: Sixers coming into this game off of beating New Orleans
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: not a huge deal there. They just beat some not
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: great teams rolling into this road trip. But you know,
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: I always talking about when teams start a road trip,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they'll folk because they want to
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: get the road trip Bob on the right foot. Maybe
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: a concern that they played Golden State tomorrow and then
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: the Lakers and then the Suns, and they all have
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: better records than the Clippers, so maybe they look ahead.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: But the Clippers have been playing well, man, so maybe
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: you don't overlook the Clippers at this point. And this
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: game is a TV game on Petecock, so maybe you
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: do get an effort out of the Sixers in this one.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: The Clippers just trounced Phoenix, beating in them by almost
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: twenty on the road, and they are turning over from
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: a road trip. They weren't on the road trip for
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: a full week. They went out into Elevation, played Utah Denver,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: and then they came down to Phoenix, had a huge win,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: and now they're coming back home. So there is a
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: little bit of a concern here that it's a return
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: home spot and it's a back to back. By the
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: way the Clippers actually played yesterday, So I think they're
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: the only team in the NBA today that's playing a
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: back to back, so that's maybe a little bit of
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: a concern as well. That they're returning home and they
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: have no time off, So you got that kind of
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: distraction angle coming into play here. It is a TV game,
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: which maybe you'll keep them focused on that. They do
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: play the Calves next. I don't know if they'll consider
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: that that to be a bigger game than the Sixers.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: Maybe, I don't know, but it is a return home.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: Spot could be a distracted spot for them back to back.
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: It does look a little bit more difficult. Third game
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities. I think I
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: would have to lean towards the seventy six Ers side
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: in this game. Man actually probably the second strongest angle
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: in the NBA today. I think the Minnesota Memphis game
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: is the most difficult to figure out. New Orleans is
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: my favorite, then probably the Sixers, then Indiana would be
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: how I would rate the order of those. And for
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: the Sixers, we got to remember that Paul George is suspended,
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: and they played fine without him in the first game.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: They're used to him not being there because he's injured
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: so much this Philly team.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: It seems like they always have guys.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: Being injured, suspended, whatever. But George is an old guy
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: at this point. Don't know if that's gonna affect them
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: that much, and Beid is probably still playing.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: I would presume for them, we could look at the
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: injury reported.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: See he's always listed as a game time decision. Though
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: it looks like Harden is listened on the injury report,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: so let's see. Let me see. I don't know. There
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: is the word that the Sixers, because they played well
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: in that first game without George, maybe they'll have a
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown off of that, but I
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: don't think so, because it was a win over a
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: bad team. And Beid will play, he's probable. And then
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: we gotta look at what's going on with James Harden.
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: I guess here he did he did not play against
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: the Suns for personal reasons, whatever that means, so likely
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: he will play here. The money is all coming in
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: on the Clippers, but I do not agree with it,
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: especially if the Clippers just won that pretty big game
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: on the road against the Suns, even though I think
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: the Clippers were actually favored in that game. Believe it
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: or not. Maybe they weren't without Harden though I don't know,
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: but because they won that game in like decisive fashion
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: without Harden, and now if Harden comes back in this game,
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: I think the Clippers might actually even like take their
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: foot off the gas a little bit. So I do
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: not agree with this market read. I lean to the
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: Sixers here, Clippers up from pick them to two fifty
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the tickets on the Sixers eighty five
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Clippers. Now, the one
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: concern looking at that marker read is the fact that, well,
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: you can see why the public wants the Sixers here, right,
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: because they have a winning record. The Clippers don't have
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: a winning record. So the public looks at that and
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: they probably think, well, why am I getting an underdog
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: price on the Philadelphia side? Right? But part of it
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: is because the Clippers are better than what their record looks,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: and they've been playing a lot better recently. Of course,
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: another part of it is that Philadelphia is without Paul George.
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: The Clippers have actually been better at home than on
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: the road still though which they were last year too,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: in this new arena that they have as of as
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: of midway through last year, I think Clippers thirteen to
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: nine at home. Philadelphia's only twelve and eight on the road,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: So Philadelphia hasn't been quite as good on the road.
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: I don't think either, so although winning record on the
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: road is.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: Still not bad, especially for the NBA, but not that
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: the NBA has a strong home court advantages. They really don't.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. It seems like a lot of
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: teams just don't have winning road records in the NBA. Anyway,
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on all the games. You can
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: see why I don't really want to deal with that.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: You know what, maybe I would actually list the Pacers
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: as the second strongest NBA lean and then the Sixers.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know. There's kind of a lot of moving
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: parts going on here, but that's gonna do it. My
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: play is sitday one more time college basketball, Southeastern Louisiana
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: plus the points. You might be able to find six
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: on this The books were just kind of throwing up
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: five and a half to reduce juice, but some of
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: them might have a six. Then we have two hockey players,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: we have a split bet and make your own plus
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: one puck line on the Detroit Red Wings puck line
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: bet on the plus one and a half on Vancouver.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: Make it a spread bet there and sprinkle the money
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: line with ten percent of the bet, just like you
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: would with a spread play. I recommend doing that with
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: all three of these spread plays here. And then finally
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: the New Orleans Pelicans plus seven in the afternoon. That's
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Learn it Toad on Twitter, Learn it
• 1:25:03
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• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: like subscribe to the show here. Let's get more subscribers. Man,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: hopefully we can get that done. Give me some good
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: comments here. I'm on audio as well, Apple Spotify. That
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: helps me out. If you listen over there, give me
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: a good review over there. Covered in you because my
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube Ukulele Covers. You can check that
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: out Patreon dot com, slash learn it Toad. You can
• 1:25:30
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• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: night new episode of the Loser Cast at ten pm
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: after Legion of Skanks, so you can check that out
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: as well. And I guess be looking for me on
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: I think it's just win Baby Sports. I think is
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: the name of the channel. You should be able to
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: find it out there. On YouTube. They got about five
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: k subscribers in like a year. It looks like they're
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: gonna start having me on at some point. They do
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: like Monday, Monday, Wednesday, Friday shows. I think they're in
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: the evenings though, so if they want me on, like,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm gonna have to talk about
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: because I think, all well, I could talk about my
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: late night hockey game, I guess, but I don't know
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: because that, like a lot of my games are gonna
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: have already happened by then, although I could actually, I
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: guess I could give up some other opinions maybe, but
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: these are my strongest plays. Of course. That's gonna do
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: it for now. Thanks guys for hanging out.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: Let's have a good day today, continue the streak.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: Hopefully that's gonna do it. Man Peace,