Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Full Episode - Trump Gets A “Deal” While Throwing Himself A Party - Why Hispanics Are Now The Swing Vote In America… And How To Reach Them
Transcript
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- 1:40Speaker 1: vary and rates may vary. Hello there, and happy Monday,
- 1:47Speaker 1: and welcome to another episode of the Chuck Podcast. I
- 1:50Speaker 1: want to do a quick rundown here because if I don't,
- 1:53Speaker 1: it's going to feel like groundhog Day, because apparently I've
- 1:56Speaker 1: got to. We're going to start with an apparent deal
- 2:00Speaker 1: to stop the war in Iran. I don't know if
- 2:02Speaker 1: you've heard that before. But if you want us to
- 2:06Speaker 1: queue Sonny and Cher, I would understand at this point
- 2:11Speaker 1: because it feels like deja vous all over again, Groundhog Day,
- 2:14Speaker 1: pick your cliche, but it's clear we're getting to someplace
- 2:19Speaker 1: a little bit different. If the strait gets open, that
- 2:23Speaker 1: is a little bit different. But we're going to get
- 2:25Speaker 1: to that in a minute. My guest today is the
- 2:28Speaker 1: CEO of tel Avisa Univision. It is Daniel Allegra. We
- 2:32Speaker 1: have a really wide ranging conversation about media in general,
- 2:36Speaker 1: Latino voters, the fact that it is not a monolithic group,
- 2:41Speaker 1: meaning that not all Hispanic voters in California vote like Texas,
- 2:45Speaker 1: Hispanics vote like Florida'spanics, and the different ways that his
- 2:49Speaker 1: organization tries to appeal both on the news sense, entertainment,
- 2:55Speaker 1: sports culture. Right, this is sort of a revamped Univision,
- 2:59Speaker 1: and of course, with the merger with Televisa, which was
- 3:02Speaker 1: one of the largest media organizations in Mexico, now tel
- 3:06Speaker 1: Avisa Universion essentially, arguably probably has the largest North American
- 3:14Speaker 1: audience of Latinos. There is, hands down, period, and so
- 3:19Speaker 1: the stuff they've been they've been doing, they want to
- 3:22Speaker 1: get more active and essentially being the being the home
- 3:27Speaker 1: for understanding the complicated Latino electorate. He's got some interesting
- 3:33Speaker 1: nuggets about the Texas Senate race. For instance, James tell
- 3:37Speaker 1: Rico outspent he notes Jasmine Crockett eight to one in
- 3:42Speaker 1: Spanish language advertising, and he won the Hispanic vote by
- 3:45Speaker 1: about eight to one. Essentially his a little bit of
- 3:48Speaker 1: a pitch by him by saying, hey, you should be
- 3:50Speaker 1: advertising on Spanish language television if you want to talk
- 3:53Speaker 1: to us swing voters. So it's a little bit of
- 3:57Speaker 1: a pitch, but a little bit of a reality check
- 3:59Speaker 1: as well. I think it's a fascinating conversation. I found
- 4:03Speaker 1: Daniel Legray really interesting and one of the more interesting
- 4:07Speaker 1: media execs that are out there today. It's frankly been,
- 4:11Speaker 1: you know, as we all know, the current heads of
- 4:14Speaker 1: these media organizations, at these legacy media companies, they've been
- 4:18Speaker 1: they're kind of wanting, you know, not a lot of
- 4:21Speaker 1: innovation going along, not a lot of forward thinking going along. Obviously,
- 4:28Speaker 1: we'll see how his tenure holds up at tel Avisa
- 4:30Speaker 1: Universy owned, but I get the sense that at least
- 4:33Speaker 1: he's thinking about things a little bit differently, and I
- 4:35Speaker 1: think it's worth time in that conversation my time machine,
- 4:40Speaker 1: I go back to the second most relevant Nix appearance
- 4:45Speaker 1: in an NBA finals in my lifetime. That's my clue
- 4:51Speaker 1: for the topic I am tackling for the time Machine
- 4:55Speaker 1: segment this week. As you know, it is always a
- 4:58Speaker 1: historical something that happened in history that's relevant today, that
- 5:02Speaker 1: happened that it happens to be the anniversary week of
- 5:05Speaker 1: said historical event. Frankly, I think most of you will
- 5:09Speaker 1: get this one because you'll start to think about the calendar.
- 5:11Speaker 1: You'll start to think about the Knicks. What other times
- 5:15Speaker 1: has the Knick's been in the finals, And like I said,
- 5:18Speaker 1: you'll figure it out. Plus we'll do some questions and
- 5:23Speaker 1: we'll go from there. But let's start with this Iran
- 5:26Speaker 1: deal that President Trump was desperate to have signed on
- 5:31Speaker 1: his eightieth birthday. Before the birthday party he's throwing himself
- 5:36Speaker 1: at the South Lawn. If it gets we'll see what
- 5:42Speaker 1: kind of shape the South Lawn is is in. After
- 5:46Speaker 1: the spectacle of the UFC and all of that, I
- 5:49Speaker 1: have to say, I don't you know he really wanted
- 5:51Speaker 1: to have a birthday party for himself. Everything I understand
- 5:55Speaker 1: about the UFC. Dana white doesn't like to have outdoor events.
- 5:58Speaker 1: It doesn't have many outdoor events. Door events you can't control.
- 6:02Speaker 1: The weather gets in the way, especially outdoor event. That's
- 6:04Speaker 1: basically the end of spring, early summer. June is summer here,
- 6:08Speaker 1: not June twentieth. Frankly, summer begins usually Memorial Day in Washington.
- 6:13Speaker 1: So you want to talk about a high risk thing
- 6:16Speaker 1: to do in Washington holding an outdoor event. It was
- 6:20Speaker 1: amusing watching this White House get angry at weather forecasters,
- 6:25Speaker 1: whether you're at the Weather Channel or other places, as
- 6:27Speaker 1: if the weather was liberal, right, you know, somehow those
- 6:31Speaker 1: liberal Maybe I don't know, maybe the Jewish space lasers
- 6:34Speaker 1: liberal weather forecasts. See, maybe I don't know. Maybe I'm
- 6:37Speaker 1: missing something here. Maybe I'm the idiot, right, But you know,
- 6:44Speaker 1: like everything Trump does, and I'm going to get into
- 6:45Speaker 1: this a little bit after the Iran deal, you know,
- 6:48Speaker 1: he could have had what he wanted out of this
- 6:51Speaker 1: doing it at the Capitol One Arena on his birthday night.
- 6:54Speaker 1: It's still would have had his birthday party. He could
- 6:55Speaker 1: have done it at a Chuck E Cheese like most
- 6:57Speaker 1: kids do for their birthdays. Trying so hard to make
- 7:02Speaker 1: this seem like a once in a lifetime opportunity in
- 7:05Speaker 1: Washington that somehow leaves a mark. You know, he's so
- 7:09Speaker 1: desperate to leave a mark. Maybe he ought to like
- 7:12Speaker 1: do something consequential in a positive direction that will make
- 7:16Speaker 1: others want to mark that occasion. But that, of course,
- 7:20Speaker 1: is not how he operates. But let's start with the
- 7:24Speaker 1: never ending negotiation with Iran and the reason I'm calling
- 7:28Speaker 1: it that because even this deal that's been agreed to
- 7:30Speaker 1: is a deal to essentially begin a new negotiation. So
- 7:35Speaker 1: the only thing that is apparently happening with this deal
- 7:38Speaker 1: for now is that some chunk of change is going
- 7:42Speaker 1: to the Iranians in exchange for them to open the
- 7:45Speaker 1: strait and a promise to negotiate over their nuclear ambitions
- 7:52Speaker 1: seems to be the summary of the deal, right, And
- 7:54Speaker 1: the thing is that is it a good deal? Is
- 7:56Speaker 1: it a bad deal? It doesn't seem like a great deal. Yet,
- 7:59Speaker 1: in fairness, we'll let them see and negotiate this out
- 8:04Speaker 1: and see what kind of deal they ultimately get here.
- 8:07Speaker 1: But as frankly, anybody who's ever negotiated knows, you would
- 8:11Speaker 1: think somebody who wrote something called the Art of the
- 8:13Speaker 1: deal would know this, but he struggles with these things.
- 8:17Speaker 1: The person that wants the deal worst usually gets the
- 8:19Speaker 1: worst end of the deal. Well, who wants the deal
- 8:21Speaker 1: in a worse way? It is? It is Donald Trump.
- 8:28Speaker 1: But let's talk about this because we're certainly at a
- 8:32Speaker 1: point where we're in an inflection point where I think
- 8:37Speaker 1: we can talk about the failure of this war. And
- 8:45Speaker 1: since we're celebrating the World Cup, and I don't know
- 8:48Speaker 1: if I'm allowed to say World Cup, but I challenge
- 8:52Speaker 1: FIFA to go ahead and attack me for saying World Cup.
- 8:57Speaker 1: But you know, this is a period of the World
- 9:01Speaker 1: Cup where ties matter, and I think it's safe to
- 9:06Speaker 1: say that the starting of this Iran war was an
- 9:09Speaker 1: own goal by the president, handing over new leverage like
- 9:13Speaker 1: the straight of Hormuz to the Iranians definitely was an
- 9:16Speaker 1: own goal. The question is has he at least salvaged
- 9:20Speaker 1: a tie, which we know in group play can at
- 9:23Speaker 1: least allow you to live another day and to fight
- 9:27Speaker 1: another day and in this case, perhaps negotiate something better
- 9:31Speaker 1: in another day. But let's talk about what the initial
- 9:37Speaker 1: people seem to forget, what the initial war goals were,
- 9:40Speaker 1: and what they look like in this memo of understanding
- 9:45Speaker 1: three months later, nearly four months later. So the stated
- 9:49Speaker 1: war aim was to dismantle nuclear infrastructure. Well, what do
- 9:54Speaker 1: we get out of the memo of understanding? We don't
- 9:56Speaker 1: know yet on that front, there's been that part of
- 9:59Speaker 1: it is postponed. All this deal settles for is a
- 10:02Speaker 1: sixty day negotiation window to begin the process of a
- 10:06Speaker 1: nuclear deal. Iran has yet to surrender a single set refuge.
- 10:12Speaker 1: They've simply agreed to talk about it later. So war
- 10:17Speaker 1: aim number one not yet achieved. Question is will it
- 10:20Speaker 1: ever be achieved? All right? Stated war aim number two
- 10:25Speaker 1: was a pledge that there would be no sanctions relief
- 10:28Speaker 1: and no cash, no palettes of cash. Already there are reports,
- 10:33Speaker 1: at least the Iranians are saying this and Americans are
- 10:35Speaker 1: not dying denying it, that twenty four billion dollars has
- 10:39Speaker 1: been released to Iran. So they have secured the unfreezing
- 10:45Speaker 1: of a massive amount of their assets, twenty four billion
- 10:48Speaker 1: dollars worth, and it may end up laundered through the
- 10:52Speaker 1: Gulf States, if that's what Trump wants to do to
- 10:54Speaker 1: make himselves feel better. As if no, no, no, no, I'm
- 10:56Speaker 1: not directly giving them money. It may go through a
- 10:59Speaker 1: pass through some sort. You know. It's like it's like
- 11:03Speaker 1: them trying to get rid of the Kennedy If you
- 11:05Speaker 1: don't let see people like, if you don't let the
- 11:07Speaker 1: world see his name getting taken down from the Kennedy Center,
- 11:12Speaker 1: you can just jedi mind, trick it and gaslight people
- 11:14Speaker 1: that let it never happen. This is not the Kennedy
- 11:16Speaker 1: Center you're looking for. And Aron gets oil export relief.
- 11:23Speaker 1: That's a pretty big win for them. Securing the strait
- 11:28Speaker 1: of hormuse was something that we did not think we
- 11:31Speaker 1: were going to be giving up when we started this war.
- 11:33Speaker 1: And we gave it up. So then what did we
- 11:37Speaker 1: have to do. We had to essentially pay them off
- 11:43Speaker 1: to convince them not to start charging tolls in the straight. Right,
- 11:46Speaker 1: That's what the twenty four billion dollars in. It's basically, here,
- 11:49Speaker 1: we just open the straight and here's some money to
- 11:52Speaker 1: do it. By the way, Iran hasn't fully given up
- 11:58Speaker 1: this idea that they can't charge some for something on
- 12:01Speaker 1: the straight here, but this has been This is why
- 12:04Speaker 1: those that really hate the president want to say, hey,
- 12:08Speaker 1: this is a defeat. Look, I don't think that we
- 12:10Speaker 1: can sit here and say around won this conflict against
- 12:15Speaker 1: the United States and Israel. But what they did do
- 12:19Speaker 1: is they humiliated the United States in this one because
- 12:24Speaker 1: they were able to essentially wait out the United States
- 12:29Speaker 1: and they got extra leverage in something that they didn't
- 12:33Speaker 1: know was going to be. And then, of course the
- 12:35Speaker 1: other issue was to crush the proxies, get once and
- 12:39Speaker 1: for all, try to stop Iran from essentially funding Hesbala
- 12:43Speaker 1: Hamas and the UTIs who have been just wreaking havoc
- 12:46Speaker 1: all over the Middle East. Well, the deal is bailing
- 12:51Speaker 1: out Hesbelah. There you get to be involved in this
- 12:56Speaker 1: cease fire. Let's just say the Israelis are not happy
- 13:01Speaker 1: about that one. And more importantly, but Roan now gets
- 13:06Speaker 1: money to go back and fund has Bela, fund Hamas,
- 13:12Speaker 1: fund the Hooties. Last time I checked, a guy named
- 13:15Speaker 1: a candidate named Donald Trump eviscerated Barack Obama for negotiating
- 13:19Speaker 1: a deal that handed cash to the Iranians that the
- 13:22Speaker 1: Israeli said was going to end up being funneled right
- 13:25Speaker 1: to Hamas and the Hooties. If you believe that is
- 13:28Speaker 1: what happened the last time, then why the heck would
- 13:30Speaker 1: you hand them more money this time. So bottom line,
- 13:38Speaker 1: if success in this war was to be defined by
- 13:41Speaker 1: the destruction of the Iranian nuclear program and regime change,
- 13:46Speaker 1: then guess what. This looks closer to an Iranian victory
- 13:50Speaker 1: than it is an American one because the regime has survived,
- 13:53Speaker 1: their nuclear program is not dead. They have new leverage
- 13:59Speaker 1: with the straight of horm mooves because they can the
- 14:02Speaker 1: threat of closing it sits there yet again. And frankly,
- 14:06Speaker 1: they know that this president doesn't have is not going
- 14:08Speaker 1: to restart military hostilities before the midterms. Alroan took direct
- 14:17Speaker 1: hits from Israel. The United States used the straight of
- 14:20Speaker 1: hormones as an economic weapon, held it and essentially pulled
- 14:25Speaker 1: the trigger at the West Head, and they walked away intact.
- 14:29Speaker 1: So you understand why the Iranians are feeling pretty good
- 14:32Speaker 1: about it itself. The question is what are the lessons
- 14:38Speaker 1: will other adversaries draw from what happened here? So look,
- 14:45Speaker 1: the White House is going to argue the following that
- 14:48Speaker 1: the three months of devastating US and Israeli air strikes
- 14:51Speaker 1: shattered arounds infrastructure, forced them to scramble to mine and
- 14:55Speaker 1: in tomb their own uranium. Sites that it finally brought
- 14:58Speaker 1: them to the table. They'll say the deterrence worked because
- 15:01Speaker 1: around backed down from a permanent blockade. And yet every
- 15:09Speaker 1: revisionist power right from North Korea to China to Russia,
- 15:14Speaker 1: they're all watching this play out. And if Iran ultimately
- 15:18Speaker 1: retains its enrichment capacity, gets billions back, and achieves direct
- 15:26Speaker 1: diplomatic normalization with the United States without regime change, then
- 15:32Speaker 1: a lesson here is pretty clear. Conventional weapons can get
- 15:36Speaker 1: you targeted, and proximity to a nuclear bomb can get
- 15:41Speaker 1: you a signing ceremony. Here's the fear I have in
- 15:45Speaker 1: all of this. Iran is sort of getting what it
- 15:50Speaker 1: look it doesn't have what it wants, but it has
- 15:53Speaker 1: what it needs because they've been pursuing a nuclear weapon,
- 15:58Speaker 1: and yes, that attracted military strike and military attacks, but
- 16:04Speaker 1: whence you see what it's done for North Korea. There
- 16:08Speaker 1: is not a single incentive here that has been changed
- 16:11Speaker 1: for the Iranians not to find any way possible to
- 16:16Speaker 1: finish the job and get a nuclear weapon. Landscape is
- 16:22Speaker 1: clear on this. This episode of the Chuck Podcast is
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- 18:20Speaker 1: Quints dot com slash chuck use that code. So look,
- 18:30Speaker 1: he never should have started this war, and if he
- 18:32Speaker 1: was going to start it, he should have. Actually, I
- 18:34Speaker 1: told you this the other day. He half asked this.
- 18:37Speaker 1: He wanted an easy win bb Netanya, who gave him
- 18:42Speaker 1: a bullshit plan that made him think it was going
- 18:45Speaker 1: to be easy. It wasn't true. There wasn't going to
- 18:49Speaker 1: be regime change, there wasn't going to be this this this,
- 18:54Speaker 1: you know, the weapons weren't there for the people to
- 18:56Speaker 1: rise up and take their country back as as as
- 18:59Speaker 1: all was fantasized by some if you were serious about this,
- 19:06Speaker 1: then you had to go all in, and Anna had
- 19:07Speaker 1: to go in with ground troops, and you were going
- 19:09Speaker 1: to have to forcibly take control of the Strait immediately
- 19:14Speaker 1: and actually and finish this task. But there was Look,
- 19:17Speaker 1: he didn't have the appetite for it, and maybe it
- 19:20Speaker 1: wasn't Look, and we're talking something that might have taken years.
- 19:26Speaker 1: Just ask the Russians how easy it is to overthrow
- 19:32Speaker 1: a regime that you don't like. So it was a
- 19:38Speaker 1: I mean, the irony is that before this war started,
- 19:40Speaker 1: we didn't have a problem with the straight u foremos
- 19:43Speaker 1: one of the hottest places for money to be invested
- 19:47Speaker 1: around the world was in the golf States. Now this
- 19:53Speaker 1: is sitting here, we have an unsteady ceasefire. Right, Trump
- 19:57Speaker 1: is sort of you know, proclaiming that you know, and
- 19:59Speaker 1: by the way we got you think, how many times
- 20:02Speaker 1: is this deal going to look like it falls apart
- 20:04Speaker 1: between now and Friday? Right, We're going to hear and
- 20:07Speaker 1: I'm going to get to bb here in a minute.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Who I think is probably the biggest loser in all
- 20:11Speaker 1: of this is bebing and I'll get to that in
- 20:13Speaker 1: a few minutes, but how often over the next and
- 20:18Speaker 1: I think we all have to be prepared for that.
- 20:22Speaker 1: But even if everything gets to this signing ceremony, which
- 20:26Speaker 1: remember what this is, this is not a deal. It's
- 20:28Speaker 1: a deal to begin serious negotiations over an actual deal
- 20:33Speaker 1: that will be some form of the nuclear deal that
- 20:38Speaker 1: the Obama administration negotiated with. How close it is aligned
- 20:42Speaker 1: to it is going to probably be in the eye
- 20:44Speaker 1: of the beholder, and that's if they get that far.
- 20:49Speaker 1: The point is this is incredibly fragile, and you're going
- 20:53Speaker 1: to have a very antsi Israeli government that is not
- 20:57Speaker 1: going to feel comfortable and it is frankly not going
- 20:59Speaker 1: to feel bound by any of this in trying to
- 21:02Speaker 1: push back at Hesbelo and I have a feeling Hesbela
- 21:05Speaker 1: is going to test this ceasefire and say, okay, let's see,
- 21:07Speaker 1: We're going to try to poke Israel in the eye
- 21:10Speaker 1: and see if they can do this. Now, maybe the
- 21:13Speaker 1: Iranians really want to deal, and if they really want
- 21:18Speaker 1: to deal, they'll put a leash on Hesbela. So that's
- 21:26Speaker 1: something we'll find out here. But the biggest loser here
- 21:29Speaker 1: is BB right, because BB, I mean this is where
- 21:33Speaker 1: a guy he is. You want to talk about a
- 21:34Speaker 1: guy that is completely miscalculated American politics, right, he antagonizes
- 21:40Speaker 1: Barack Obama creates a long term problem for support for
- 21:44Speaker 1: the State of Israel in the Democratic Party by essentially
- 21:49Speaker 1: getting involved in American politics and becoming a partisan against Obama,
- 21:54Speaker 1: dividing the demography, essentially essentially alienating and generation of Democratic
- 22:01Speaker 1: supporters of Barack Obama. And if you're gonna tell me
- 22:05Speaker 1: Barack Obama is anti Israel, you are somebody that is
- 22:13Speaker 1: just you're pretty far out out there on the right
- 22:17Speaker 1: word extreme if you think Obama's actions were somehow antire Israel.
- 22:23Speaker 1: He was a bit more skeptical of BB publicly than
- 22:26Speaker 1: many previous presidents. But my goodness, every president that's dealt
- 22:30Speaker 1: with BBE eventually found themselves telling them off or wishing
- 22:36Speaker 1: they could tell him off, including this one, Donald Trump.
- 22:39Speaker 1: And that brings me to his other miscalculation. He decided
- 22:42Speaker 1: to get into bed with Trump, and he thought he
- 22:45Speaker 1: could exploit Trump, and he thought he could use Trump. Right.
- 22:49Speaker 1: Everybody thinks this with Trump, right, We saw it in
- 22:54Speaker 1: the first administration. There would all these people think they
- 22:56Speaker 1: can go in there and they contain Trump, they can
- 22:58Speaker 1: control Trump, they can maneuver Trump and the way they
- 23:01Speaker 1: want to maneuver them, And then they get caught with
- 23:03Speaker 1: their pants down, I know by the way they tie
- 23:10Speaker 1: their own political future to Trump, and Trump is the
- 23:13Speaker 1: most unreliable partner to tie yourself to. And bb Netna,
- 23:17Speaker 1: who's learning this the hard way and he is getting
- 23:20Speaker 1: hammered domestically at home. But basically, you put your faith
- 23:23Speaker 1: in this guy and he left you basically in the
- 23:27Speaker 1: waiting room. Bob's not even getting briefed on the basics
- 23:30Speaker 1: of this deal until the rest of the world gets
- 23:32Speaker 1: briefed on the rest of this deal. So he is
- 23:35Speaker 1: the biggest loser here. This is going to there are
- 23:39Speaker 1: going to be elections in the fall, I imagine because
- 23:44Speaker 1: of that political calendar. He is going to get antsy
- 23:47Speaker 1: with Hesbelah and we're just going to have a very
- 23:50Speaker 1: unstable climate while this supposed negotiation over long term nuclear
- 23:56Speaker 1: agreement with the Iranians gets negotiated between the United States
- 23:59Speaker 1: and Iran and I and you know that there are
- 24:04Speaker 1: any which way this could go sideways, And so it's
- 24:11Speaker 1: funny the White House late Sunday night put out a
- 24:19Speaker 1: put out a press release about the deal, and it
- 24:22Speaker 1: said this historic achievement. President Trump broker's historic peace deal
- 24:28Speaker 1: with Iran. And so let's what part of that headline
- 24:32Speaker 1: is at all defensible. I guess you could say it's
- 24:37Speaker 1: a historic and that this is an historic moment for
- 24:39Speaker 1: the Iranians. Maybe it's a peace deal, but we don't
- 24:44Speaker 1: even know how much peace is going to be kept,
- 24:47Speaker 1: particularly between Israel and Hesbela with sort of Lebanon and
- 24:51Speaker 1: the balance there. And we only had to broke He
- 24:55Speaker 1: only had to get involved with brokering a peace deal
- 24:58Speaker 1: because he decided on a war of choice with Iran
- 25:03Speaker 1: without without a plan to end it, without a plan
- 25:07Speaker 1: to finish the job. He went in thinking it was
- 25:10Speaker 1: this is going to be Venezuela. But as much as
- 25:17Speaker 1: it's easy to laugh at him over this, to say,
- 25:23Speaker 1: like I mean, none of this is a shock to
- 25:26Speaker 1: anybody that's of any serious intelligence following this, right, anybody
- 25:31Speaker 1: that is knee deep in this story, anybody who's been
- 25:33Speaker 1: covering Middle East politics for decades, anybody that's been covering
- 25:36Speaker 1: this administration, none of this is a shock. But there's
- 25:41Speaker 1: one thing he ought to be given credit for that
- 25:45Speaker 1: he knew into fold because there is a worse version.
- 25:50Speaker 1: There's a worse outcome here that was avoided, which is
- 25:56Speaker 1: a sort of never ending hot war with the Iranians.
- 25:59Speaker 1: That is isn't you know. It doesn't include ground troops,
- 26:02Speaker 1: but it's this constant sort of trying to gain leverage,
- 26:08Speaker 1: essentially keeping the world economy in paralysis. We really, we
- 26:13Speaker 1: really have been at the brink of this energy crisis,
- 26:18Speaker 1: absolutely hammering the global economy. We're still getting you know,
- 26:24Speaker 1: it has still not been good for this economy. We're
- 26:26Speaker 1: still going to get punished by this. It's still going
- 26:28Speaker 1: to take weeks, if not months, for the Straight and
- 26:32Speaker 1: Passageway to get back online in a consistent manner. Never
- 26:37Speaker 1: mind all of the money that's going to get thrown
- 26:39Speaker 1: at repairing all of the various entities that were damaged
- 26:42Speaker 1: or destroyed during this six week cot war that was
- 26:48Speaker 1: sort of I guess over a three and a half
- 26:49Speaker 1: month if you throw in the lengthy seasfire there. So
- 26:56Speaker 1: I do think that you can't. I mean, the worst
- 26:59Speaker 1: case innary here would have been him just sort of
- 27:02Speaker 1: muddling along, kind of keeping this going, wasting American munitions
- 27:09Speaker 1: on a fruitless effort to somehow bomb the Iranians into submission,
- 27:15Speaker 1: because that obviously was never going to happen. Now, I
- 27:20Speaker 1: don't know whether you should get praise for being, you know,
- 27:24Speaker 1: not doing the dumbest of the options that you only did,
- 27:27Speaker 1: like the second dumbest option, which is start a half
- 27:29Speaker 1: assed war in the first place. And apparently he wants
- 27:34Speaker 1: credit for settling a tenth war here of some sort.
- 27:37Speaker 1: I still don't understand where he got his other nine, right,
- 27:40Speaker 1: He is not really this is this manufactured thing with him,
- 27:43Speaker 1: And this actually transitions well into into sort of the
- 27:50Speaker 1: other zeitgeisty story of the weekend, which is just sort
- 27:53Speaker 1: of the president and his obsession with himself, right, and
- 27:56Speaker 1: this celebration of himself, and this UFC five, this attempt
- 28:01Speaker 1: to sort of make the rest of us celebrate his birthday.
- 28:06Speaker 1: I mean, first of all, ask yourself, what other American
- 28:09Speaker 1: president has shoved the birthday down the country's throat like this,
- 28:14Speaker 1: Like he is begging for his birthday to be a
- 28:16Speaker 1: national holiday. I'm sure he'd love to see Flag Day
- 28:20Speaker 1: moved and not beyond have to share that with his birthday,
- 28:25Speaker 1: but he is desperate for recognition that will last be
- 28:28Speaker 1: on the grave. Right, this is why he manufactured some
- 28:33Speaker 1: sort of connection to the Kennedy Center and tried to
- 28:36Speaker 1: stick his name on there. And in some ways, watching
- 28:39Speaker 1: this entire Kennedy Center, these Kennedy Center follies play out,
- 28:50Speaker 1: it really is in some ways a metaphor for his
- 28:53Speaker 1: entire business career and really his entire existence right as
- 28:59Speaker 1: a self promoter. You know, Donald Trump likes to call
- 29:04Speaker 1: himself a builder. He built Trump Tower everything else, and
- 29:09Speaker 1: you know, he got some apartment buildings built on the
- 29:11Speaker 1: West side of of New York City. But for most
- 29:17Speaker 1: of the twenty first century he's not been a builder.
- 29:20Speaker 1: What he's been is a with golf courses. You could
- 29:24Speaker 1: generously called him a rebuilder, or really more more of
- 29:30Speaker 1: what he did with the he wants to take. It's
- 29:35Speaker 1: like he takes other people's work and slaps his name
- 29:37Speaker 1: on it. Right. You know, his after his bank, after
- 29:40Speaker 1: bankrupting all those casinos, his casino business in the early nineties,
- 29:44Speaker 1: he really stopped being in the builder's business and instead
- 29:47Speaker 1: got into the licensing business. Right, And it's like licensing
- 29:51Speaker 1: his name and then taking credit for it that somehow
- 29:54Speaker 1: he was also involved with the build as well. And
- 29:58Speaker 1: that's kind of I think the way he thought, Hey,
- 30:01Speaker 1: the Kennedy Center. I'm the president now, so I can
- 30:03Speaker 1: stick my name on stuff. I run things, I can
- 30:05Speaker 1: control things. And of course he has this obsession with culture, right.
- 30:09Speaker 1: He wants to decide what's what he wants to define
- 30:14Speaker 1: popular culture, right, he wants to define it through what
- 30:18Speaker 1: he believes. And so this is why he was He's
- 30:22Speaker 1: so obsessed with the Kennedy Center, right. He thinks it's
- 30:25Speaker 1: his way to put a stamp on American culture. And
- 30:30Speaker 1: it's it's it's something he craves, right, and he craves
- 30:33Speaker 1: this recognition. And so just like with him just sort
- 30:39Speaker 1: of licensing his name to some other property and he
- 30:42Speaker 1: slaps his name on it. The Darral golf Course in
- 30:45Speaker 1: Miami is a great example of this, where you know,
- 30:49Speaker 1: some people will buy a famous property and still keep
- 30:54Speaker 1: the original name of said property. People with giant, big
- 30:58Speaker 1: fat egos always have to put their name on it
- 31:02Speaker 1: in front of it, which is what he did with
- 31:04Speaker 1: Trump the route. But he's been trying to treat the
- 31:07Speaker 1: federal government this way, right, And there's Kennedy Center. Then
- 31:09Speaker 1: there's this obsession with how he's taken his birthday and
- 31:14Speaker 1: try to make it this larger celebration. You know, last
- 31:17Speaker 1: year it was the Army's birthday coinciding with his birthday
- 31:21Speaker 1: that he wanted to essentially glom onto. And somehow, I think, somehow,
- 31:25Speaker 1: in his own head, he's hoping that, you know, fifty
- 31:29Speaker 1: years from now, people will think, oh, maybe the Army
- 31:33Speaker 1: was birthed on that day on behalf of Donald Trump
- 31:37Speaker 1: and some bizarre whitewashing of history of some sort and
- 31:43Speaker 1: or rewriting of history books that he's dreaming of. But
- 31:51Speaker 1: it is, it's this, and we know he's been super
- 31:54Speaker 1: needy about all this, and it's like there's a part
- 31:56Speaker 1: of me it's like, why are we bothering? But my god,
- 32:00Speaker 1: a guy with a fragile ego has been running the
- 32:04Speaker 1: Republican Party and has made the most of the Republican
- 32:08Speaker 1: parties scared of their own shadows because they're afraid of it,
- 32:11Speaker 1: afraid of making him upset, and like his fragile ego
- 32:17Speaker 1: was on full display midnight the other night when the
- 32:21Speaker 1: deadline hit to get where Judge said his name had
- 32:24Speaker 1: to come off the Kennedy Center, and these poor workers
- 32:28Speaker 1: had to come up with makeshift bedsheets in order to
- 32:32Speaker 1: block the scaffolding so that people who wanted to celebrate
- 32:37Speaker 1: the taking the name off the wall like it was,
- 32:39Speaker 1: you know, the fall of a Saddam statue in Baghdad,
- 32:43Speaker 1: that they couldn't memorialize it on video right, that they
- 32:46Speaker 1: couldn't see it. And the fact that Trump so fears
- 32:52Speaker 1: that that humiliation, I think only signifies sort of what
- 33:00Speaker 1: kind of fragile state he's in right now. And he's
- 33:03Speaker 1: probably been in this fragile state longer than we fully,
- 33:05Speaker 1: all of us fully realize. But this whole, you know,
- 33:10Speaker 1: this whole spectacle right of the UFC, And look, I'm
- 33:14Speaker 1: of I'm not gonna I don't want to sit here
- 33:19Speaker 1: and say we should treat everything in Washington like a
- 33:21Speaker 1: faberge egg. Like I am genuinely thinking it's going to
- 33:25Speaker 1: be fun to see the NFL draft on the National Mall.
- 33:29Speaker 1: And I think if you've held this UFC fight on
- 33:31Speaker 1: the National Mall rather than on the White House grounds,
- 33:35Speaker 1: it might have felt slightly more, slightly less gross. But
- 33:43Speaker 1: there's something about this on the South Lawn that just
- 33:47Speaker 1: feels gross. And then you throw in the fact that
- 33:50Speaker 1: Trump's personal companies are benefiting, They're profiteering off of this
- 33:56Speaker 1: federal taxpayer dollars are being used to throw this little
- 33:59Speaker 1: birthday party for the for his sort of turning the
- 34:03Speaker 1: South Lawn to a Chuck e Cheese for him. And
- 34:08Speaker 1: it's really appalling. And here's the thing, it's terrible politics.
- 34:14Speaker 1: I mean, this thing is going over like a lead balloon. Look,
- 34:20Speaker 1: genuine USC fans are going to be interested, at least
- 34:23Speaker 1: in the one big title fight. And I get that.
- 34:25Speaker 1: And they're gonna be interested in the fight, by the way,
- 34:27Speaker 1: they're gonna be really pissed if it gets if if
- 34:30Speaker 1: weather gets in the way too much. By ither mean
- 34:33Speaker 1: interest in the fight, and then it's gonna go away.
- 34:37Speaker 1: And and I don't think it's you know, it's it's
- 34:40Speaker 1: not gonna have the net positive that he thinks it's
- 34:42Speaker 1: gonna have. And I don't think like somehow USC fans
- 34:46Speaker 1: are going to say, oh wow, this was this was amazing.
- 34:49Speaker 1: I'm never gonna give up my support for Donald Trump
- 34:52Speaker 1: ever again. And I'm gonna remember this at the midterms.
- 34:55Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong, and maybe this will be great politics
- 34:58Speaker 1: for him, but I don't see it. This looks like
- 35:01Speaker 1: terrible politics. And you know, coupled with what happened with
- 35:08Speaker 1: the Kennedy Center over the weekend and then this sort
- 35:10Speaker 1: of like I mean, he is the person that had
- 35:14Speaker 1: to throw his own birthday party because nobody else would have.
- 35:19Speaker 1: And because he's got the presidency and he's got the
- 35:21Speaker 1: power of the federal government, plenty of people will cooperate
- 35:25Speaker 1: or do transactions with him because they think there's money
- 35:28Speaker 1: or fame to be made, and so that's how it happens.
- 35:34Speaker 1: But I promise you the second he's away from the
- 35:36Speaker 1: White House, a lot of these people that have been
- 35:39Speaker 1: doing business with him, they're not gonna run away. They're
- 35:42Speaker 1: not gonna walk away. They're gonna run away, and they're
- 35:45Speaker 1: gonna do their best ever to have to do business
- 35:46Speaker 1: with him again. All right, Coming up my conversation with
- 35:53Speaker 1: Daniel o'legray, Like I said, it's, Uh, if you're I'm
- 36:00Speaker 1: really curious about where's the Latino vote in this country, headed,
- 36:03Speaker 1: I think it's I think if you if you're looking
- 36:06Speaker 1: at the Latino vote as monolithic, you're making a mistake.
- 36:10Speaker 1: And if you're looking at it as a vote that
- 36:12Speaker 1: is somehow captured by one party or the other. You're
- 36:15Speaker 1: making a mistake. These are as swing of swing voters
- 36:20Speaker 1: as there exists, and as we learned this last week
- 36:22Speaker 1: when I gave you that full deep dive on the
- 36:24Speaker 1: typology report from PW. Right, the most diverse voting groups
- 36:28Speaker 1: in America are the ones that are closer to the
- 36:31Speaker 1: middle of our ideological spectrum in this country. And the
- 36:36Speaker 1: least diverse groups in America are the ones that are
- 36:40Speaker 1: the furthest to the left and the right. Those are
- 36:42Speaker 1: the least diverse, the most white. So America's swing voters
- 36:48Speaker 1: are bilingual. And that's a conversation you're gonna, I think
- 36:51Speaker 1: enjoy with my friend daniel A Legraight. This episode of
- 36:59Speaker 1: the Chuck Podcasting is brought to you by FanDuel. The
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- 37:24Speaker 1: turn on your token. So what does that mean if
- 37:28Speaker 1: you're like me and you're just coming to soccer because
- 37:32Speaker 1: we're in the middle of this big event, and yeah,
- 37:35Speaker 1: you're gonna jump on a bandwagon, And yeah, I'm jumping
- 37:37Speaker 1: on the obvious bandwagon. It's Team USA for me, and
- 37:43Speaker 1: I enjoyed what four to one. Look, some of US
- 37:47Speaker 1: snarky sports fans would sometimes like to complain, oh, there's
- 37:50Speaker 1: not enough scoring in soccer. Well, man, the first half
- 37:53Speaker 1: of that match against Paraguay, there's a lot of scoring.
- 37:57Speaker 1: Three that counted, one that did it. And look, I'm
- 38:05Speaker 1: gonna be honest, it's they're raising the bar. They're raising
- 38:07Speaker 1: expectations for me. So Australia beat Turkey two to nothing,
- 38:11Speaker 1: US beat Paraguay four to one. Now Australia and the
- 38:14Speaker 1: US meet this Friday, and there's look, there's only one
- 38:19Speaker 1: way I'm going to bet. It's gonna be on you,
- 38:22Speaker 1: on Team USA. And the best part, by the way
- 38:25Speaker 1: of the US plant Australia is that, you know, for
- 38:28Speaker 1: all of US casual bandwagon fans who get mocked by
- 38:34Speaker 1: our serious football friends for calling it soccer, well, guess what,
- 38:41Speaker 1: so does Australia, so we can actually America is actually
- 38:46Speaker 1: playing a team that also caused soccer, So this might
- 38:49Speaker 1: be the only actual soccer match on both sides of
- 38:55Speaker 1: the pitch. I'm learning here right from the opening whistle
- 38:58Speaker 1: to the final kick. Let there be goals on FanDuel.
- 39:03Speaker 1: Visitfanduel dot com to get started now twenty one plus
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- 39:26Speaker 1: You can visit CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut.
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- 39:48Speaker 1: O p E NY text Hope NY, New York. Call
- 39:53Speaker 1: one eight seven seven seven seven zero seven eight six
- 39:57Speaker 1: seven in Louisiana. In our increasingly fragmented world, I think
- 40:06Speaker 1: we of important demographic groups that impact American politics get
- 40:11Speaker 1: their information differently than everybody else, Right we all are
- 40:16Speaker 1: you put ten people in a room, and I promise
- 40:18Speaker 1: you eight of them have more different viewing habits than
- 40:22Speaker 1: they do the same. If you've done that thirty years ago,
- 40:25Speaker 1: you probably would have gotten the opposite result. So why
- 40:28Speaker 1: am I starting a wind up that way? Well, my
- 40:33Speaker 1: guest today is the CEO of tel Avisa Univision, and
- 40:37Speaker 1: that is for some of you, you may go, wait
- 40:39Speaker 1: a minute, isn't that two separate companies used to be
- 40:43Speaker 1: Univision owned basically the largest Spanish language media company in
- 40:48Speaker 1: the United States. Tel Avisa has been the largest in Mexico.
- 40:52Speaker 1: They've always had a sort of an operating relationship, but
- 40:55Speaker 1: this is a full fledged merged media company now. And
- 41:00Speaker 1: the CEO joins me, Daniel Allegra, to talk a little
- 41:04Speaker 1: bit about everything, but most importantly the Latino vote in
- 41:07Speaker 1: the United States, and certainly coming at it from a
- 41:11Speaker 1: perspective of a media company who's trying to build audience themselves,
- 41:15Speaker 1: I think there's a lot to be learned about understanding
- 41:18Speaker 1: the topics, the interests, the issues that are moving Latino voters.
- 41:21Speaker 1: And never mind the fact that there's a terrific news
- 41:23Speaker 1: division also behind tel Avisa and UNIVERSITIYO and Daniel joins me. Now, Daniel,
- 41:28Speaker 1: welcome to the podcast.
- 41:30Speaker 2: Hey, it's a pleasure to be with you, and it's
- 41:33Speaker 2: also an incredible honor to be able to represent the
- 41:36Speaker 2: voice of Hispanics in the US. I know there's a
- 41:38Speaker 2: lot we want to cover.
- 41:39Speaker 1: Well, look, I am you know it's interesting. I grew
- 41:42Speaker 1: up in Miami, and so which is Savannah Duthrie who
- 41:47Speaker 1: grew up in Tucson. We used to say, so we
- 41:48Speaker 1: both speak border Spanish, and I say, well, we called
- 41:51Speaker 1: it Spanglish in Miami. You can call it border Spanish.
- 41:55Speaker 1: But the point being is that I think we both
- 41:57Speaker 1: sort of at least under you know, we grew up
- 42:00Speaker 1: next to Latino culture and we were infused more with
- 42:02Speaker 1: it than we fully realized until you grow up and
- 42:04Speaker 1: you move from the area, and then you realize, oh,
- 42:07Speaker 1: you know how much different cultures you know, are a
- 42:11Speaker 1: part of your childhood and become mainstream. Give me this.
- 42:16Speaker 1: This is a fairly new merger. When I say fairly
- 42:18Speaker 1: new in the last three or four years, Explain where
- 42:22Speaker 1: this is going, because I'll tell you I had a
- 42:24Speaker 1: there used to be a I had a stereotypes of
- 42:26Speaker 1: wrong work. But the quick distinction between Telemundo and Univision.
- 42:29Speaker 1: Back in the years, if you were to talk to
- 42:31Speaker 1: somebody Univision, they'd say, well, Telemundo is the channel for Cubans.
- 42:35Speaker 1: If you talk to Telemundo they say, no, no, we're you know,
- 42:37Speaker 1: we're a bit more English language focus, Univision a little
- 42:40Speaker 1: more Spanish language focused. So there used to be this
- 42:43Speaker 1: sort of And obviously I worked on the Telemundo side
- 42:46Speaker 1: of things, so I'd hear the different marketing pitches of both,
- 42:50Speaker 1: but there definitely was a distinction. Telemundo was a bit
- 42:52Speaker 1: more focused on the Hemisphere politics, less so on Mexico.
- 42:56Speaker 1: Univision attle bit more focused on Mexican Americans and in
- 43:00Speaker 1: Mexican politics. I'm gathering that's changing and changed over the
- 43:05Speaker 1: last few years. I know Telemundo's made this effort, and
- 43:08Speaker 1: I know Univision's made this effort. So Daniel walk me
- 43:10Speaker 1: through that merger with tel Avisa.
- 43:13Speaker 2: Sure, the merger merger happened about four years ago, and
- 43:19Speaker 2: it just made all the strategic sets. Univision being the
- 43:23Speaker 2: largest the Spanish media company in the United States, de
- 43:27Speaker 2: levis obviously also number one in Mexico. We saw two things.
- 43:33Speaker 1: One is.
- 43:35Speaker 2: Our content factory that we have in Mexico, which is
- 43:39Speaker 2: some phenomenal studios that we have down in Mexico create
- 43:46Speaker 2: content for both Mexico and the United States. And if
- 43:50Speaker 2: you just look at the factor the studios that we
- 43:53Speaker 2: have in Mexico, they parallel any of the large studios
- 43:57Speaker 2: you know, Warner Brothers Universal here in the United States.
- 44:01Speaker 2: And what was important was just how much the Hispanic
- 44:05Speaker 2: audience was growing in the United States. So the merger
- 44:09Speaker 2: was more than just a merger of two companies, It
- 44:12Speaker 2: was a cultural combination of the two so that we
- 44:15Speaker 2: could make sure that the content that's created in those
- 44:18Speaker 2: studios reflect also what the audiences in the United States
- 44:23Speaker 2: need and want. And to your point, we were known
- 44:27Speaker 2: as the network that catered mostly to Mexicans because so
- 44:32Speaker 2: much of the content was made in Mexico for Mexico
- 44:34Speaker 2: and then was licensed to Univision. And now what we
- 44:38Speaker 2: do is this is my number one priorities, make sure
- 44:42Speaker 2: that the content that we create really resonates with all
- 44:45Speaker 2: Hispanics in the United States, Cubans, Dominicans, Puerto Ricans and
- 44:49Speaker 2: obviously Mexicans as well.
- 44:51Speaker 1: Yeah, did Televisa have a news division.
- 44:56Speaker 2: It does, actually has a very various own as news
- 45:01Speaker 2: division in Mexico, eighty years of history behind it, and
- 45:07Speaker 2: we also have the news division here in the United
- 45:09Speaker 2: States with Univision. The national is based out of Miami,
- 45:15Speaker 2: but everywhere around the country we have local local TV
- 45:19Speaker 2: that caters to the local markets.
- 45:22Speaker 1: Telemundo made a move into doing both English and Spanish
- 45:26Speaker 1: has Univision. Where is your head on that?
- 45:31Speaker 2: You know, we've uh, we've given it a fair amount
- 45:34Speaker 2: of thought about it, and what we've seen is you, uh,
- 45:39Speaker 2: that doesn't really work if you really are trying to
- 45:43Speaker 2: target the Hispanic audience, you know.
- 45:46Speaker 1: Now, I asked this as a kid. I grew up
- 45:48Speaker 1: with Capasa Usa, which was you know, I.
- 45:51Speaker 2: Use that that example and over again because I did
- 45:54Speaker 2: as well.
- 45:55Speaker 1: Right, and it was Look, it was such a I mean,
- 45:58Speaker 1: we were the perfect gringo family to be watching k
- 46:00Speaker 1: pos USA in Miami. My mother was bilingual, had basically
- 46:04Speaker 1: conducted business always in Spanish in Miami. My father was
- 46:08Speaker 1: sort of probably one of the voters who voted for
- 46:11Speaker 1: English only back in the day, So it was and
- 46:15Speaker 1: you know the wonderful generational stereotypes that show would would
- 46:19Speaker 1: would expose and really sort of helped my entire family
- 46:23Speaker 1: get more comfortable in this cross cultural community and probably
- 46:27Speaker 1: did the same for many many Cuban families as well.
- 46:31Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it did. I remember watching it, but I
- 46:36Speaker 2: and by the way.
- 46:37Speaker 1: I brought it up because it was regularly in English.
- 46:39Speaker 1: Grandparents never spoke English, the kids never spoke Spanish, and
- 46:43Speaker 1: the parents spoke so you you, everybody sort of easily
- 46:48Speaker 1: could follow along better than you realize, even if you
- 46:51Speaker 1: only spoke Spanish or only spoke English.
- 46:53Speaker 2: That's right, and what and oftentimes which what happens in
- 46:58Speaker 2: Hispanic households halfway through a sentence, you switch languages, or
- 47:02Speaker 2: you sprinkle English and Spanish into these Those those exercises
- 47:07Speaker 2: and those tests fundamentally didn't work. And it's it's become
- 47:14Speaker 2: even more so now because Hispanics, when they want to
- 47:20Speaker 2: uh connect with their content in their own language, they
- 47:26Speaker 2: just want to stick to Spanish, and if they want
- 47:27Speaker 2: to switch to English, they're going to go to a
- 47:30Speaker 2: full English English language. When you start mixing the two first,
- 47:34Speaker 2: it's very hard to get the cultural nuances right, because
- 47:38Speaker 2: you know, Spanglish and for Puerto Ricans is different from
- 47:41Speaker 2: Spanish for Dominicans, which.
- 47:44Speaker 1: And that's why border Spanish was different than the Spanish.
- 47:46Speaker 1: I please, my mother, who learned cotillion Spanish, excuse me Spanish,
- 47:53Speaker 1: would say, oh, the Cuban Spanish is grammatically different. You're
- 47:58Speaker 1: being taught Cuban Spanish. You should be being this bay
- 48:01Speaker 1: like anything, right, It's like deciding should you be taught
- 48:03Speaker 1: English in Oxford or in the United States.
- 48:08Speaker 2: But I'll tell you. I'll tell you one thing that
- 48:09Speaker 2: we are working working on is we have the fastest
- 48:14Speaker 2: growing streaming service in the United States called vix.
- 48:19Speaker 1: It is our.
- 48:19Speaker 2: Spanish language streaming service. When I say the fastest, I
- 48:22Speaker 2: don't mean the fastest Spanish language. It's the fastest in
- 48:27Speaker 2: the United States English, whatever language it is. And it's
- 48:30Speaker 2: because one we launched it three and a half years ago,
- 48:34Speaker 2: was already profitable within the first well actually within less
- 48:39Speaker 2: than three years, which is unheard of in the media
- 48:42Speaker 2: media space. And it's because we have this very tailored
- 48:46Speaker 2: and incredible content, not only new and fresh, but also
- 48:51Speaker 2: seventy years of Univision, eighty years of Dena Visa content,
- 48:54Speaker 2: that is, and that is on there. But what we're
- 48:56Speaker 2: also now starting to test is with the advent of technology,
- 49:01Speaker 2: how you do ai translation so that you can actually
- 49:05Speaker 2: not only do a accent change, so you can have
- 49:08Speaker 2: something that maybe may have been recorded in Cuban Spanish
- 49:12Speaker 2: and then you can hear it in Mexican Spanish, more
- 49:15Speaker 2: in Colombia Spanish, but also the translation so that you
- 49:19Speaker 2: can do it in any language. And the technology is
- 49:22Speaker 2: not totally there yet. It's getting there, but it's pretty close.
- 49:26Speaker 2: It's not only a translation, but the actual mouth it
- 49:31Speaker 2: changes a little bit, so it actually feels like it
- 49:33Speaker 2: originally from that language.
- 49:34Speaker 1: Missus Todd and I disagree sometimes about dubbing. I've liked
- 49:41Speaker 1: it more than I thought I would, and she hates
- 49:43Speaker 1: it more than she thought she would like. We both
- 49:45Speaker 1: and some Netflix is dabbled in this a little bit.
- 49:48Speaker 1: But I imagine that technology is only going to get
- 49:50Speaker 1: better all the time.
- 49:51Speaker 2: It's only going to get back. Well, look, I grew
- 49:53Speaker 2: up the first first third, am, Where did you grow up? Well,
- 49:57Speaker 2: first third of my life in Mexico City. I come
- 50:00Speaker 2: from a Mexican Mexican family, and then I went to
- 50:03Speaker 2: UH to high school actually in Canada and then college
- 50:06Speaker 2: and grad school here in the United States.
- 50:08Speaker 1: You are a full fledged North American. I am that
- 50:12Speaker 1: you are after.
- 50:13Speaker 2: Yeah, but you know, growing up in Mexico when we
- 50:18Speaker 2: watch American TV shows, I learned a lot of my
- 50:23Speaker 2: English through through the American TV shows. But when they
- 50:26Speaker 2: were translated, Charlton Heston, Plane Out of the Apes, Fred Flintstone,
- 50:33Speaker 2: and George Jensen were the same voice in Spanish, like
- 50:37Speaker 2: they always had the same actor who was always doing
- 50:39Speaker 2: so can you can imagine like all the way from
- 50:41Speaker 2: Charlton Heston to Fred Flintstone, who was always the same
- 50:43Speaker 2: guy and the same thing with uh Betty and whoever
- 50:48Speaker 2: the girlfriend of Charlton Heston wasn't Planet of the Apes.
- 50:51Speaker 2: There's always the same, the same voices. But now with technology,
- 50:54Speaker 2: it's gotten to such a point where you actually can't
- 50:57Speaker 2: really tell. Like you can still kind of tell, but
- 51:00Speaker 2: I'd say we're probably within a year or so of
- 51:04Speaker 2: being able to have a level of translation. I think
- 51:06Speaker 2: even your wife is going to go, oh, that's actually
- 51:07Speaker 2: pretty good.
- 51:09Speaker 1: Well that's kind of look. I think we're you know,
- 51:10Speaker 1: it's it's I mean, I I you know, will the
- 51:15Speaker 1: world learn to speak a common language, or will simply
- 51:19Speaker 1: have the technology that you never have to learn another language.
- 51:22Speaker 1: And I'm not sure which where we're going, but we're
- 51:25Speaker 1: headed into it. We're headed somewhere in that world, either
- 51:29Speaker 1: common language or sort of universal instant translation that will
- 51:34Speaker 1: make the need for a second language less. And I
- 51:39Speaker 1: don't know whether. And there's a part of me, you know,
- 51:42Speaker 1: sometimes when when things change, you can't get your head
- 51:45Speaker 1: around it. And I can't fully get my head around
- 51:47Speaker 1: the idea that I do think language and geography and
- 51:50Speaker 1: culture is so personal and meaningful that I don't think language.
- 51:54Speaker 1: But we've seen languages go away before, And I just
- 51:56Speaker 1: wonder where we're headed here now that we can instantly
- 51:59Speaker 1: communicate with anybody who speaks any language in any moment
- 52:02Speaker 1: in time, And does that eradicate language or does that
- 52:06Speaker 1: celebrate more languages? I'm not quite sure. Honestly.
- 52:09Speaker 2: My view on this is I said up, I set
- 52:13Speaker 2: up Mexican. My ancestry is from the Basque region in Spain,
- 52:18Speaker 2: the same thing as my wife. And during the Franco
- 52:22Speaker 2: regime in Spain, he tried to obliterate any of the
- 52:26Speaker 2: local local languages or local dialects, including Basque and you know,
- 52:30Speaker 2: it's all about Castilian Spanish. Castilian Spanish, and what you're
- 52:34Speaker 2: seeing now in the Basque region, you're seeing it actually
- 52:38Speaker 2: where my parents live in the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico.
- 52:42Speaker 2: Is this resurgence of the Basque language, that the kids
- 52:46Speaker 2: wanting to learn the Basque language in the Yucatan, the
- 52:50Speaker 2: Mayans holding so so firm about speaking their own may language.
- 52:55Speaker 2: So even though you're getting an internationalization of communication and connection,
- 53:00Speaker 2: but at the core, people still want to connect with
- 53:02Speaker 2: their own own local community. And I'll give you a
- 53:06Speaker 2: real time example. Well, we've been on this, uh this
- 53:10Speaker 2: this podcast. I received a text notification on the right
- 53:17Speaker 2: hand side of a campaign in California and it says
- 53:21Speaker 2: I am running for some for this position that literally
- 53:25Speaker 2: just it just it just popped up and said this
- 53:27Speaker 2: is so important to me. I want you to participate
- 53:30Speaker 2: with me. And I looked at that. You know, obviously,
- 53:33Speaker 2: I think.
- 53:34Speaker 1: We're taping the day before the California primary. We're day
- 53:38Speaker 1: before the.
- 53:38Speaker 2: California So I see that and the first thing I
- 53:41Speaker 2: think of is, Wow, I just got a mass communication
- 53:46Speaker 2: that fundamentally does not understand me. Now I'm sure, there's
- 53:51Speaker 2: parts in that message that may be relevant to me.
- 53:54Speaker 2: But if that text had been about specific issues that
- 53:58Speaker 2: mattered to me, and more importantly in Spanish, even though
- 54:01Speaker 2: as you can tell them, I'm perfectly fluent in English,
- 54:05Speaker 2: I'd pay more attend to say, oh, I actually think
- 54:07Speaker 2: this person is really trying to connect with me, versus
- 54:09Speaker 2: just a broad message that hopes, you know, with a
- 54:13Speaker 2: wide net to be able to capture everybody.
- 54:16Speaker 1: Well, this is a good way to sort of transition
- 54:18Speaker 1: to the politics of the quote unquote Latino vote, which
- 54:22Speaker 1: to me is like trying to say, understand the politics
- 54:25Speaker 1: of the white vote in America. Meaning nobody in their
- 54:30Speaker 1: right mind would say, oh, there's one white vote. Right,
- 54:33Speaker 1: there's differences by geography, differences by gender, differences, by income differences.
- 54:38Speaker 1: But the fact that it has taken political consultants and
- 54:42Speaker 1: essentially seventy years right when I maybe we can go
- 54:47Speaker 1: back seventy years when you had actual, just specific messaging
- 54:51Speaker 1: for Latino voters in an American campaign. I'm probably being generous,
- 54:55Speaker 1: but let's say it was in the sixties and seventies
- 54:58Speaker 1: were probably the first time that you saw by that,
- 55:01Speaker 1: and it's taken this long to sort of accept the
- 55:03Speaker 1: premise that, hey, guess what, a Latino voter in New
- 55:06Speaker 1: York is different than Latino voter in Florida, which is
- 55:08Speaker 1: different than a Latino voter at the border of Texas,
- 55:11Speaker 1: which is different than a Latino voter in Houston, which
- 55:13Speaker 1: is different than the Latino voter in La YadA, YadA,
- 55:15Speaker 1: YadA in the Central Valley and all this stuff, or
- 55:18Speaker 1: never mind the seventh generation Mexican that lives in New
- 55:22Speaker 1: Mexico and has never moved the country's borders have moved,
- 55:24Speaker 1: but they didn't. And it's I do feel like, finally
- 55:31Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four, after it took Democrats sort of
- 55:35Speaker 1: probably getting drubbed in the border towns in South Texas
- 55:39Speaker 1: for them to realize this, it's like, oh, you have
- 55:42Speaker 1: to diversify your Latino pitch. It's not a Latino vote,
- 55:46Speaker 1: it's Latino's votes, right, It's multiple demographic groups. So walk
- 55:52Speaker 1: me through the various what you think are like if
- 55:55Speaker 1: the concentrated, segmented things, and how much you know, I've
- 56:01Speaker 1: got a political call this says, hey, it's no different
- 56:04Speaker 1: than the so called white vote, meaning there's working class
- 56:08Speaker 1: Latinos who have one set of issues. There's affluent Latinos
- 56:12Speaker 1: who may share the same issues as affluent white voters,
- 56:15Speaker 1: and affluent you know that, and you know so, I
- 56:18Speaker 1: guess that's where I want to begin, is walk me through,
- 56:21Speaker 1: you know, break up the Latino vote for me in
- 56:23Speaker 1: the United States.
- 56:24Speaker 2: So it's a great question. I would actually take one
- 56:29Speaker 2: step further back because I actually think what you just
- 56:33Speaker 2: said is so much more sophisticated than where many of
- 56:38Speaker 2: the campaigns are about thinking about the Hispanics.
- 56:52Speaker 1: They may intellectually have gotten there, but they're not tactically
- 56:55Speaker 1: there yet.
- 56:55Speaker 2: Right well, no, not even that, they're not even there
- 57:00Speaker 2: about connecting with Hispanics. Forget about what kind of Hispanics.
- 57:07Speaker 2: So I became CEO of this company two months before
- 57:11Speaker 2: the twenty twenty four presidential elections, and our data was
- 57:16Speaker 2: crystal clear. Number one, it said that the Hispanic vote
- 57:21Speaker 2: is no longer a Democratic vote. It was aig predominantly
- 57:24Speaker 2: Democratic vote. It had become an issues vote. Number two,
- 57:29Speaker 2: that Hispanics the issues about the economy were number one
- 57:34Speaker 2: and number two. Border, to your point, is very complicated,
- 57:40Speaker 2: but that was the number three issue. Some were for
- 57:43Speaker 2: stricter controls some were continuing a much more like.
- 57:47Speaker 1: The population as a whole. Some are for some are
- 57:49Speaker 1: you know, like this is right? I mean to me
- 57:52Speaker 1: in some ways this is assimilation in that yes.
- 57:56Speaker 2: But what I say that the more fundamental piece was
- 58:02Speaker 2: when we sat down with both campaigns and I said,
- 58:07Speaker 2: out with both campaigns and I asked them, right, what
- 58:09Speaker 2: are the key messages that you want to address for
- 58:12Speaker 2: the Hispanic vote said, oh, we've got it covered. One
- 58:16Speaker 2: sent it more than the other. We've got it covered.
- 58:20Speaker 2: We know that we can reach Hispanics through our mass communication,
- 58:24Speaker 2: and that mass communication is about abortion, it's about totalitarianism,
- 58:33Speaker 2: it's about a border. And by communicating in English to
- 58:41Speaker 2: all these these the masses, we know that Hispanics also
- 58:46Speaker 2: watch English language television or English language streaming and as
- 58:50Speaker 2: we'll be able to hit them with that. That was
- 58:54Speaker 2: fundamentally flawed first in terms of understanding what the what
- 58:58Speaker 2: the what the community cared about. Now, abortion is an
- 59:02Speaker 2: incredibly important issue, you know, uh, democracy is an incredibly
- 59:07Speaker 2: important issue, but if you were listening to what mattered
- 59:11Speaker 2: to the Hispanics and the Hispanic the Hispanics are most
- 59:16Speaker 2: impacted because of their social economic status by the economy.
- 59:21Speaker 2: You know, when gasoline prices go up, you know, it
- 59:25Speaker 2: takes a bigger chunk out of their their wages. When
- 59:29Speaker 2: when when you have border enforcement by the McDonald's and
- 59:34Speaker 2: the home depots and the and the Lows, well, the
- 59:38Speaker 2: foot traffic stops going in these Hispanic neighborhoods, and then
- 59:41Speaker 2: as a result, you end up cutting back on spend
- 59:44Speaker 2: on McDonald's and Lows, and then it impacts the people
- 59:47Speaker 2: who are who are hired there who tend to be Hispanics.
- 59:50Speaker 2: So all these all these issues were very closely intertwined,
- 59:55Speaker 2: but one campaign more than the other. It's obviously I
- 59:58Speaker 2: think which one which one? Number three too just did
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: not understand that you needed to address the Hispanics in
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: their language and in the issues that matter.
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: So this was a question. You know, it's very interesting.
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: I could tell you something I've learned from polling over
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: the years on the Latino polm Yes is that if
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: you essentially that if you don't have a Spanish speaking
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: poll taker, you're just not going to have a reliable sample.
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: You know that the English language Latino respondents are just
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: they're just a different demographic group than the ones that
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: are less comfortable responding in English, and they sort of
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: have slightly different concerns and sometimes you don't get you
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: also you can get the language barrier meaning and this
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: is true of first and second generation Americans. A lot
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: of times they want to give what they think is
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: the correct answer rather than what they're actually thinking because
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: maybe they didn't fully understand because the question and being
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: asked in their second language, not their first.
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: That is a that is a various student observation. I'd
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: say it depends on the polster and how they also
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: position the question. You don't necessarily need for them to
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: be Spanish speakers, but they need to be well advised
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: by people who.
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: Understand this, need to have the opportunity to, like, if
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: somebody prefers, what's your preferred language? You know, to be
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: interviewed for this poll in you've got to be able
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: to do both. And if you're a polster that doesn't
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: do both, you're going you're not going to get a
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: reliable reading on the Latino vote. Now.
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: But what but my point, my point when I say
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: is taking the step back is literally for the campaigns
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: to understand that you need to communicate to the Spanics differently,
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: that you need to communicate to the broader population, and
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: if you show up to the Spanics in their own language,
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: it goes so far, and our data shows it so
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: right now.
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: So what matters more? Though, let me ask you this
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: talking them? So, for instance, the issues for all voters
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: and Latino voters were basically the same this year or
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four. The economy in the border, yes,
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: order was the top five issue overall, right, as was
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: the economy. So you could argue that, you know, and
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: that's probably why Trump had the advantage here, simply because
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: the message he was running on also happened to be
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: the same message that would work with Latino voters. And
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: then they made a slightly better effort to try to
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: talk to them in their in their preferred places to
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: communicate versus maybe maybe not versus the Democratic lamp pattern
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: significantly right, Well, the Democratic campaign is saddled with interest
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: groups who believe they speak for Latinos who don't necessarily,
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: who only speak for a faction of Latinos, you know that,
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: and they mislead the Democratic consultants into incorrect ways to
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: targeting Latino voters. It's been my experience, but.
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: I hate to bring this back, it's actually not how
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: they were communicating to the Hispanic voters. It's how they
- 1:03:01Speaker 2: were communicating broadly, assuming they were capturing Thosepanic voters. So
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: one thing, one thing is is to communicate broadly. The
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: other one is to communicate to Hispanics and not understand what.
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: Hispanics care about.
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: Now what I've seen now in in the data that
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: we're seeing, and also just in the last few elections,
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: Cheryl In against Chitterarelli in New Jersey, Tall Rico against
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: Crockett in in Texas, Ted Cruz against all Red when
- 1:03:32Speaker 2: he when he had his campaign reelection. All three are
- 1:03:38Speaker 2: very very good test points that.
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: If you.
- 1:03:44Speaker 2: Identify the issues that matter to the Panics in your community,
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: New Jersey was something a little bit different than what
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: what was for going in Texas, and you weigh in
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: on the Spanish language platforms. Tall Rico, for instance, did
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: uh soccer, which obviously Hispanics love their soccer. Did showed
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: up on our on our radio, and showed up on
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: our music programs, and he outspent Crockett by a factor
- 1:04:10Speaker 2: of eight to one. And lo and behold, the Hispanic
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: vote was about one.
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: It wasn't even it was clear, you know, she had
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: a financial constraints. It's I think that she didn't.
- 1:04:23Speaker 2: Even again targeted the return on investment on on targeting
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: on the Hispanic So uh, Cheryl and Chetarelly, same thing.
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: She was nine to one on Cheaterarelly lo and Behold,
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: same thing, haven't Ted Cruz? Ted Cruz had never won
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: the Hispanic vote until he had that very contested, contested
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: camp uh uh campaign against all Red. And then he
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: pivoted and he said, I'm gonna I'm going to show
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: up two interviews on radio, on TV. I'm going to
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: advertise with it and the loan. Behold uh that that happened.
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: It's playing itself out out in California right now. It's
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: playing itself out in Los Angeles. Los Angeles, forty of
- 1:05:06Speaker 2: the electorate is Hispanic.
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: I can't believe none of the top three candidates right
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: now in that race or Latino.
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: But I will say two of the three are leading
- 1:05:17Speaker 2: in very heavily into It's LA forgotake, you know, yeah,
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: I mean it's it's here's arguably the swing vote in
- 1:05:26Speaker 2: the LA marriage race. Well arguably the swing vote not
- 1:05:30Speaker 2: only in LA. And this is the data that we
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: published a couple of weeks ago along with the Harris
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: Polling Company, is that despite what you might read in
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: the media that you know, lack of popularity of the Democrats,
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: are lack of popularity of the Republicans and what Trump
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: is doing, et cetera. And he's lost the Hispanic vote.
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: Fifty six percent of Hispanics that we pulled said they're
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: on this at it. Yeah, that's over half. Over half
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: of them are undecided, So that vote is still up
- 1:06:07Speaker 2: for grabs.
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: And that tells me. When you see an undecided number
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: that big, that tells me campaigns haven't even.
- 1:06:15Speaker 2: Tried or they think they think they're reaching them, and
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: they're reaching them in the absolute wrong way.
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: You know, well you have you have an undecided about
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: that big. That's been a bunch of people aren't hearing
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: any of your messages. So whatever message you think are penetrating, aren't.
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: You know, I don't I don't know how bilingual your
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: home may or may not have been, you know, growing
- 1:06:41Speaker 2: up in Florida, but when you're when you're in a
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: if you're in a bilingual home like I was, when
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: your parents switched to Spanish, something serious happened, Like you
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: paid attention. Interesting and the same thing happened is here.
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: You know, when when you're hearing this message of I
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: endorse this message, and this message is a broad based message.
- 1:07:09Speaker 2: They oh, okay, goes in one year, goes other. But
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: all of a sudden, if you hear it in your
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: own language, then you go, oh wait, what what are
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: they saying? And you know it's actually reflective of how
- 1:07:19Speaker 2: how Ispanics communicate.
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: Let me go through a few different ways to look
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: at the Latino vote first and second generation versus third
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: and fourth and beyond. Yes, is there significant differences? Now? Yes,
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: it depends on explain them to me. Yeah, it depends
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: on where so what.
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: Miami is an interesting microcosm because you can have a first,
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: second and third generation Hispanic in Miami who doesn't speak
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: English or speak very very poor English and feel very
- 1:07:58Speaker 2: comfortable only with Spanish. You can get buy in Miami
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: without speaking a word of English. And it's becoming actually
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: even more and more and more of the case. That
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: used to be the aberration like Miami was that one
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: Cuban microcosm that then attracted Venezuela, It's et cetera, and
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: then it became just uh, you know, essentially a Spanish
- 1:08:17Speaker 2: speaking uh city.
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: For the most part. Obviously there's there are.
- 1:08:23Speaker 2: Strong pockets of English, but you can really get along
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: without without speaking the language.
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: It's harder, it's harder to be an English only speaker
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: in Miami and get around than it is to be
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: a Spanish only speaker.
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: Exactly. That's right the best, that's exactly exactly the case.
- 1:08:38Speaker 2: Now if you look at demographically, what used to happen
- 1:08:43Speaker 2: is when a Hispanic immigrant would come to United States
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: and they would be into predominantly English speaking environment. The
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: first thing they did is kids, I want you to
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: learn English. I want you to assimilate. I want you
- 1:08:57Speaker 2: to fit in. I don't want you to be differentiated.
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: But now that you have one in five and getting
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: very close to one in four Americans are Hispanic, the
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: Miami example is starting to happen much much more in
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: many cities, in Los Angeles and San Diego, in Chicago,
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: in Dallas where I live, in Houston, where people are
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: really maintaining their Spanish heritage, Spanish language heritage, and they
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: feel just as comfortable in English and Spanish whether you're
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: second or third generation Hispanic. So the reason why I say,
- 1:09:34Speaker 2: it depends if you go to Salt Lake City, if
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: you go to Seattle, that second generation may start feeling
- 1:09:44Speaker 2: much more comfortable in English than they do in Spanish.
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: But that second generation in Texas or in New Mexico,
- 1:09:49Speaker 2: in Arizona feels very very strong still in connection.
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: So the bigger distinction is do you live in a
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: community with thirty percent of the of the community or
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: more speak, Spanish versus communities where that Isn't that like that?
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: I mean, that's right, that makes perfect. I mean, that's
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: sort of a logic, that's sort of logical, right that
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: if you're in a that's right, more predominantly a Latino city,
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: then you can you can conduct life predominantly in your
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: native language versus if you're you're the Idaho. That's why
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: assimilate faster, you know. That's why Puerto Ricans in New
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: York still are very very Puerto Rican and they they
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: speak Spanish, you know, and they do that get us
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: at us a migration between English and Spanish very easily.
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: So let's let me throw some sort of native. So
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: the Cuban voter, the Cuban American voter in Miami has
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: always leaned right although by the way, it was third
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: generation Cubans that have started to soften a little bit.
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: You know what, the Barack Obama actually won a majority
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: of Cubans twelve and then it went down. There's a
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: variety of reasons for that. I think the power of
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: the S word, meaning socialism can has had a huge
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: negative branding effect on the Democratic Party in South Florida
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: more in particular. And I want to ask more about
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: that outside of Florida. But so Cubans predominantly leaned right.
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: Venezuelan's mostly right, Colombians leaned left, the Central Americans in general,
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: the Nicaraguans El Salvadorans also leaned a little bit left.
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: I think some of that was just like, oh, there's
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: more Cubans here, so we're going to be the opposite
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: of the Cubans, you know a little bit of that.
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: I think you go further out west, and to me,
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: the Mexican American vote was a bit more generational. Right.
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: Sometimes older Mexican Americans could be more conservative than the
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: younger first generation, but I'm those are that's based on
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: sort of twenty years and some of that's lagging indicator stuff.
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: So walk me through the slight distinctions between the different
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: sort of Spanic origin countries of origin, like you if
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: you start going into the details and wait, like Puerto Ricans,
- 1:12:09Speaker 1: the Puerto Ricans in Central Florida very much democratic well
- 1:12:12Speaker 1: the Cubans. But you know, so that's what I mean
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: when I say that, there's certainly certain you know. This
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: is why you can't just say Latino vote. That's what
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: we just brought. What if we just outlined for Princeton, Florida,
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: if you do well with Puerto Ricans, you may not
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: do well with Cubans, And if you do well with Cubans,
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: you may not do well with Puerto Ricans. You know,
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: and in a state wide race in Florida. So tell
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: me how you guys are seeing the segments here based
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: on country of origin.
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: Yeah, look, it's it's my country of origins. Also location,
- 1:12:40Speaker 2: So let me give you. Let me give an example
- 1:12:42Speaker 2: of what I mean by location that I'll go to.
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: I'd love to know. I'll give you and I'll feed
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: in a follow up. Texas Mexicans versus California Mexicans. Yeah,
- 1:12:50Speaker 1: but I'm actually giving you even even be even more
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: granular North Texas Mexicans versus border Mexicans. You know, if
- 1:12:58Speaker 1: you look at what what transpired in the border, you
- 1:13:04Speaker 1: know between twenty and twenty twenty four, the amount of
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: just influx of immigrants that came into the border was
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: causing so much frustration, so many issues to border Mexicans,
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: right border any any of this, but border Mexicans, whereas
- 1:13:24Speaker 1: when you go up to do the Dallas and North
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: Texas area, they weren't they weren't really as affected.
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: By so they couldn't see it. So you'd have in
- 1:13:33Speaker 2: South Texas Mexicans in general, Mexicans who were actually more
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: in favor of stricter controls of the border than you
- 1:13:42Speaker 2: were in North Texas where they didn't necessarily feel it
- 1:13:45Speaker 2: as much, and their cousins or their friends may have
- 1:13:49Speaker 2: been deported or have been impacted by ice. So even
- 1:13:53Speaker 2: within the same state and with the same ethnicity or
- 1:13:58Speaker 2: country of origin, d up having different different points of
- 1:14:01Speaker 2: view is just because of how they were all impacted. Now,
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: I'd say the one common thread with Hispanics and uh,
- 1:14:12Speaker 2: and I'll generalize this is that it's no longer a
- 1:14:17Speaker 2: republican and democratic vote. You know, you can't rely on
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: the Cubans to be Republican. You can't rely on on
- 1:14:23Speaker 2: per Rigans to be democratic. The things that unite Hispanics
- 1:14:30Speaker 2: aside from soccer, is the fact that they are very
- 1:14:34Speaker 2: family focused and they're very faith focused. Like family and
- 1:14:38Speaker 2: faith is an important opponent of what what what brings
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: all Nicaraguan, Salvadorians, Dominicans all all together. But at the core,
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: the issue about the economy and how that impacts them
- 1:14:55Speaker 2: demographically is the same will impact this will You'll have
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: the same reaction with a Cuban if it impacts them
- 1:15:03Speaker 2: economically as it would to a U, a Dominican, or
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: it would as it would be to a a Mexican
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: or Nicaraguan. And that's when you start and then to
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: start peeling the peeling the onion. You say, all right,
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: what is happening to Mexican Americans in Los Angeles versus
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: Nicaraguan UH Americans in Los Angeles? What's that? What's what's
- 1:15:27Speaker 2: the economic impact to the to these to these into
- 1:15:30Speaker 2: to whatever policies that may be happening. And for the
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: most part, as you start going into these like you
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: start getting into diminishing returns of targeting, where you say,
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: all right, I'm only going to target a message to Salvadorians,
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: which is going to be different for Nicaraguans, It's gonna
- 1:15:45Speaker 2: be different for Guatemalives. The campaign can't do that, So
- 1:15:49Speaker 2: what they need to do is to say, what is
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: the predominant vote that is going to swing the election?
- 1:15:55Speaker 2: You know, and most of most of the contested elections
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: that we have going on was Mexico, Arizona, and Georgia, Texas, California, Florida.
- 1:16:04Speaker 2: The Hispanic vote is going to be the swing vote
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: and is the one that is the most up for
- 1:16:08Speaker 2: grabs that I've seen in terms of the data that
- 1:16:11Speaker 2: can lean one way or the other, which is a
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: set very different from what it was eight to or
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: during during the Obama years, eight years or beyond. And
- 1:16:20Speaker 2: then just really understand, like like tall Ico was doing,
- 1:16:24Speaker 2: like Cheryl did, like Ted Cruz did, what matters to
- 1:16:28Speaker 2: these individual constituents. And then how do I ensure that
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: I'm communicating and then executing on what it is that
- 1:16:34Speaker 2: I'm promising to them.
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: How well are gringo politicians received when they speak Spanish
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: on you on Univision, And.
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: On the assumption that on the assumption that they're not
- 1:16:55Speaker 2: saying anything offensive the fact that they're just showing up.
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: And speaking the native their non native language to communicating.
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: Is that is that a huge advantage for some first candidate.
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: It's a huge advantage obviously if you know, if you're
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: Marco Rubio, who speaks fluent Spanish, it helps.
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: Right of course.
- 1:17:17Speaker 2: But if you're not, and I say this to all the.
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: Campaign Colico speaks Spanish, correct, it's just shown up and done.
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: Spanish language is very is how did Budaji do? Didn't
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: he attempt? He did? Okay, he did? Okay?
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: Yeah, But I'll say, and I say this to all
- 1:17:33Speaker 2: the campaigns, don't make the mistake of, oh, I'm not
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: going to show up on Univision for an interview because
- 1:17:43Speaker 2: I don't speak the language. So, uh, Maria or Jose
- 1:17:47Speaker 2: on my campaign, why don't you go represent me? Oh?
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: And you put yeah, that is that worse?
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a terrible that's the worst thing to do,
- 1:17:55Speaker 2: because it means you don't think we're important enough to
- 1:17:58Speaker 2: show up. And we have right now now we launched months.
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: Ago, perfect sense. And yet this has been the way
- 1:18:04Speaker 1: that Univision has been stuck with campaign surrogates who literally
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: their only job is to speak Spanish for the.
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: Campaign except for winning campaigns where they where the candidate
- 1:18:14Speaker 2: actually shows up. So we have we we just launched
- 1:18:17Speaker 2: three months ago a political show that that that is
- 1:18:21Speaker 2: on Sundays called About this Week, and we've said to
- 1:18:27Speaker 2: both sides of the aisle, show up. We're going to
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: give you a fair deal. You know where where we've
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: we've decided to go very center as as a network.
- 1:18:36Speaker 2: And you know, we've had from Gavin Newsom to to
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: corn In Uh, you know, an incredible breadth of of
- 1:18:46Speaker 2: of of candidates and and currently sitting sitting politicians who's
- 1:18:50Speaker 2: shown up. And it's actually been fantastic. But I'll tell you, Chuck,
- 1:18:55Speaker 2: it's actually sometimes tough to even convince people to show
- 1:18:58Speaker 2: up on earned media. Yeah, because you say, I just
- 1:19:01Speaker 2: feel uncomfortab when I said, don't don't make that mistake,
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: don't do it.
- 1:19:06Speaker 1: And still some times tell me, tell me, you know,
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: give me three, Give me three people on both sides
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: of the A because I don't want you to look
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: like you're playing favorites. Here. Give me three people on
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: both sides of the aisle that you've been impressed with
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: over the last couple of years. That's sort of you
- 1:19:19Speaker 1: think gets it on the that are in the political sphere.
- 1:19:26Speaker 2: Yeah, you're going to get me in trouble by me
- 1:19:29Speaker 2: answering this question. But I've given you, I've given you
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: some examples.
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: You know.
- 1:19:33Speaker 2: I think I think what Tyler Rico did was really smart.
- 1:19:38Speaker 2: I think what Cheryl did in New Jersey was very smart.
- 1:19:41Speaker 2: I think what Donald Trump and Susie Wilds did in
- 1:19:44Speaker 2: the twenty twenty four election was very very smart.
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: It's interesting you said, it's Susie Wilder Donald Trump. A
- 1:19:51Speaker 1: campaign run by somebody from not the state of Florida
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: might not have been as in tune with the important
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: Subspanish languag media. Yeah, versus Susie Wiles, who's you know,
- 1:20:03Speaker 1: cut her teeth in Florida politics over. Let me give
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: you an example of years.
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: So another example, we were the only network to host
- 1:20:11Speaker 2: town halls with both Vice President Harris and President Trump.
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: She came first, he came, he came a week a
- 1:20:18Speaker 2: week later, And when we sat down with the campaigns,
- 1:20:22Speaker 2: we said, look, the what I what I reiterated, the
- 1:20:26Speaker 2: Hispanic vote isn't isn't issues votes now no longer Democratic vote.
- 1:20:31Speaker 2: So if I were in your shoes, you have your
- 1:20:33Speaker 2: candidates showing up. I would actually target your message before
- 1:20:38Speaker 2: the town hall and after the town hall, own the
- 1:20:41Speaker 2: messaging around it, and if you're even more aggressive, own
- 1:20:45Speaker 2: the messaging around your opponent's town halls. H the Hairs
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: campaign said we've got it. As I said, We're going
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: to go on Google, We're going to go on on Facebook.
- 1:20:57Speaker 1: And yeah, they did a great job.
- 1:21:00Speaker 2: And when we when we met with the Trump campaign
- 1:21:02Speaker 2: that said, I get it. And what they did is
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: they bookend, bookended around the town halls. And we saw
- 1:21:10Speaker 2: a significant shift in momentum towards Trump literally as you
- 1:21:15Speaker 2: led up to the election, and you know, a few
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: days before the election, people were wondering to go, this
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: is going to be a toss up, et cetera. The
- 1:21:22Speaker 2: data that that we were seeing was the spanning boat
- 1:21:24Speaker 2: was leaning exactly where it ended ended up going. Now
- 1:21:29Speaker 2: fast forward two years later, it's up for grabs again,
- 1:21:33Speaker 2: you know, and that's the question is how are you
- 1:21:35Speaker 2: going to be able to message? It'll just two more
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: data points that I saw from our recent polling that
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: I think was was really interesting sad. One is that
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: about three quarters of people who were who were were pulled.
- 1:21:50Speaker 2: Hispanics that were pulled said that they're they're barely getting by.
- 1:21:55Speaker 2: It's not that they're that they're saving that they're throwing.
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: Down now And how much of that is how much
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: of how much of that I imagine that over indexes
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: on first gen.
- 1:22:05Speaker 2: It over indexes on first and second first second, whether
- 1:22:10Speaker 2: this is the story of immigrants in America from since
- 1:22:12Speaker 2: we've started polling, and you can probably you know, if
- 1:22:15Speaker 2: we had had a poll about the Germans and the
- 1:22:17Speaker 2: first you know, Irish in the first right, it was
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: this same thing where they're the ones on the they're
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: the ones that are the most susceptible to consumer sentiment
- 1:22:27Speaker 2: positive and negative. When people have money in their pocket,
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: immigrants have money in their pocket, and when people don't
- 1:22:32Speaker 2: have their money, the first people who lose lose opportunity
- 1:22:35Speaker 2: or immigrants, those are the on gen. So that that
- 1:22:38Speaker 2: was one. The other is an interesting all the interesting
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: data is that eighty percent of the people are polled
- 1:22:45Speaker 2: lend money to family members or their community. Right, so
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: you have a community's three quarters of them are barely
- 1:22:53Speaker 2: getting by, and those that are barely getting by are
- 1:22:56Speaker 2: also helping help.
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: At somebody, maybe it's somebody in another country. Maybe they've
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: sent money home, right or is it you know, for the.
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: Most part to it, but we're seeing is that they're
- 1:23:05Speaker 2: really helping. Actually it's a local help.
- 1:23:08Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:23:08Speaker 2: I was curious to see how much of this was
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: diaspora versus versus correct they see that.
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: They're being hurt.
- 1:23:14Speaker 2: And then the last one, which I actually thought was
- 1:23:16Speaker 2: a really reinvigorating data point is over ninety percent want
- 1:23:23Speaker 2: to live the American dream.
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: And that's that's it. That's a quote.
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: You know, we really want to live the American They
- 1:23:29Speaker 2: want to be American, they want to make this country.
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: You know, a stronger came by choice. Now, you could
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: say they didn't feel like they had any oppert that
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: you could argue they believed they had no choice but
- 1:23:40Speaker 1: to leave, which is why they chose to leave. But
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: it is a choice, and they chose us.
- 1:23:45Speaker 2: They they chose us, and they chose they want to build,
- 1:23:49Speaker 2: you know, a better world for their family, for the community,
- 1:23:52Speaker 2: obviously for the United States. But I thought that last
- 1:23:55Speaker 2: point was was was really reinvigorating.
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: Well, that tells you, that tells you you better be
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: a little optimistic. You can't just sell doom and gloom
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: and you know this. You know, it's interesting the two
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: Republicans that have that have i could say three Republicans
- 1:24:13Speaker 1: in this century who have really understood the Latino vote culturally,
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: even though they were not sort of of it. And
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: it was on this issue the projection of of a
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: of the American dream, and it was Bush, Arnold and Trump.
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: And Arnold and Trump are very similar figures, right, they
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: are they're they're they're they're a bit you know, they're promoters. Yeah,
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: you know, they're they're selling something. Arnold selling something. Trump
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: has always been selling something. But you know that's you know,
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: there's an immigrant dream story here that that that that
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: I think is a real connection and and I think
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: that that that's that positivity. It might explain why Obama
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: overdid it over you know, end up overperforming with latinos.
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: And I think now in hindsight we know he overperformed
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: with latinos. Is he also was very optimistic. He wasn't
- 1:25:13Speaker 1: negative and the negative messaging right with Hillary Clinton's campaign
- 1:25:16Speaker 1: was very much watch out there coming for you. Yes,
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: and you know, she may think, she may think she thought,
- 1:25:23Speaker 1: you know, and I think she was listening to the
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: interest groups too much rather than actually talking with average
- 1:25:29Speaker 1: everyday American Hispanics right of what their life was like.
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: They they wanted, they wanted what Trump was selling, even
- 1:25:36Speaker 1: if they didn't like Trump the person. And I think
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: that that optimism, I don't know, that's an interesting and
- 1:25:43Speaker 1: an underappreciated aspect. I think this has been true of
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: immigrant communities in the history of our country, is that
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: they're you know, they're almost more bullish on America than
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: the average American.
- 1:25:55Speaker 2: What you have to go through to come to this country,
- 1:25:58Speaker 2: whatever it is that you're escaping from, you know, either
- 1:26:01Speaker 2: the comfort of your family and extended family and where
- 1:26:04Speaker 2: you are, or you know, an oppressive regime to come here,
- 1:26:08Speaker 2: you're you're you're aspirational. And and that's the part, you know,
- 1:26:13Speaker 2: I think the positivism, but also that the opportunity is
- 1:26:17Speaker 2: there and we're going to help you live up to
- 1:26:20Speaker 2: that opportunity.
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: One more that's one more American politics question, and then
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: I have a Mexican political question for you. Hey, I
- 1:26:28Speaker 1: also have family in Mexico and and and there's I
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: know it's a I know how much Amlo and shinebamb
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: can can divide Mexicans in a variety of ways, especially
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: the higher up on the income scale. You go, but identity,
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: you know, there's gonna be a lot of Democrats who
- 1:26:47Speaker 1: are not familiar with the Latino vote. To go Ruben Diego.
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: He's got to be on the ticket. That's the answer
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: that'll fix all that ails. He's from the border, you know,
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: he's from a state that borders Mexico.
- 1:27:01Speaker 2: Powerful.
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: How powerful is identity, Marco Ruby? How powerful is that identity?
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: I mean, I I think it can matter on the margins,
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: you know, but I don't know. And you know this better.
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: Would a Latino candidate overperformed with Latinos in the way
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: that Barack Obama overperformed with African Americans?
- 1:27:23Speaker 2: Not necessarily, not necessarily. You may get an initial bump
- 1:27:28Speaker 2: and excitement of Okay, here's someone who understands us, you know,
- 1:27:33Speaker 2: here's someone who who speaks our language. Here's someone who
- 1:27:37Speaker 2: maybe had a similar background to what we've gone through
- 1:27:40Speaker 2: and understands what it takes, you know, to survive, you know,
- 1:27:44Speaker 2: to barely get by, as I mentioned earlier, But if
- 1:27:50Speaker 2: you know the other part that I've also I've also
- 1:27:54Speaker 2: noticed because the vote has become an issue's vote. They
- 1:27:59Speaker 2: are so much more energized and so much more at
- 1:28:02Speaker 2: tune to what's going on, and they know that their
- 1:28:05Speaker 2: vote matters. We have a well back on Bigo approach
- 1:28:09Speaker 2: where we're actually getting the people out to vote. And
- 1:28:12Speaker 2: just in the first ten days we already had twenty
- 1:28:15Speaker 2: eight thousand people registered to vote. We had seven thousand
- 1:28:18Speaker 2: I think in Atlanta it just a matter of like
- 1:28:21Speaker 2: thirty six forty eight hours. So they're eager, they're really
- 1:28:24Speaker 2: wanting to vote, and they are going to smoke through,
- 1:28:28Speaker 2: you know, any fake promises or platitudes just because you're
- 1:28:32Speaker 2: Hispanic or just because you know you're from Los Angeles
- 1:28:35Speaker 2: or from you know, a border town. They they are
- 1:28:41Speaker 2: listing and they are paying attention. So the fact that
- 1:28:44Speaker 2: you bring someone who's Hispanic, sure that tends to be
- 1:28:49Speaker 2: favorable because maybe that person actually has lived through what
- 1:28:52Speaker 2: we know and maybe more tune. But if that individual
- 1:28:56Speaker 2: is made up, you know, it's a phony approach behind it,
- 1:29:00Speaker 2: and they're only doing it just to to see see, yeah,
- 1:29:04Speaker 2: I get Hispanics, and here's here's my token Hispanic. Very
- 1:29:09Speaker 2: very quickly, they'll see through that. And this is a
- 1:29:11Speaker 2: very engaged electorate.
- 1:29:14Speaker 1: Very Marco Rubio versus Reuben Diego. What would that be
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: like for the Latino community to Hispanics. Yeah, culturally very different,
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: no no, no, I mean, but also culturally very different, right,
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: you know, you would have right, the West Coast experience,
- 1:29:31Speaker 1: the Western experience for Latinos or is different than the
- 1:29:34Speaker 1: Florida experience from.
- 1:29:35Speaker 2: Yeah, but you know, the right candidate can unify the vote.
- 1:29:39Speaker 2: It doesn't necessarily have to be uh, you know, the
- 1:29:42Speaker 2: Mexican to vote for Mexicans or a Cuban that gets
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: the Cuban that gets the Mexican vote.
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: You know, you together, which political community attacks you guys
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: the most, the Mexican political community for bias or the
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: American political community for bias, like you know, I mean,
- 1:29:59Speaker 1: I'm joking, but it's sort of like you know, I know,
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: in Mexican politics it works just like American bob oh,
- 1:30:04Speaker 1: that network is for that candidate or that networks for
- 1:30:07Speaker 1: that party. Right, we have it here. It's true in Mexico.
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: I'm just curious where where do you as the CEO,
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: you know, do you just hear it in stereo or
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: or is it more so that this conversation happens in
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: America than it happens in Mexico or vice versa.
- 1:30:23Speaker 2: What what I think We're going through an evolution as
- 1:30:27Speaker 2: a as a network, because to be completely frank, if
- 1:30:31Speaker 2: you just go back five years, we were a very
- 1:30:35Speaker 2: left leaning network.
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: Well I think Jorge Ramos was the face whether you know,
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: look we had that Look this happened to me. I'm
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: gonna I'm going to sort of relieve you of this
- 1:30:44Speaker 1: issue here a second, like, uh, you know, sometimes people
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: perceived my politics based on MSNBC, Yes, even though I
- 1:30:55Speaker 1: was not, you know, and and and sometimes NBC's political
- 1:31:00Speaker 1: supposed leanings were defined by the cable channel and the
- 1:31:05Speaker 1: most prominent people on that cable channel rather than actually
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: the work we were actually doing. So I Jorge Ramos
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: is my guess is his outsized political awareness, right, the
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: awareness and the political community created a perception that all
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: of Univision was forge Ramos. Is that correct? Where you
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: would go? Yeah, like I said, I say it that way.
- 1:31:27Speaker 1: It feels very familiar to what I dealt with between
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: the peacock being and MS and on NBC and what
- 1:31:35Speaker 1: the political viewers decided to look at.
- 1:31:37Speaker 2: Yes, and what we did is we made a concerned
- 1:31:41Speaker 2: effort in twenty twenty three to say, okay, we're going
- 1:31:45Speaker 2: to represent the voice of the spanis we represent all
- 1:31:47Speaker 2: voice of his Hispanics. So we hosted an interview with
- 1:31:50Speaker 2: Donald Trump and we also hosted an interview with President
- 1:31:54Speaker 2: Biden at the.
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: Time, and I remember people looked at it as a
- 1:31:58Speaker 1: transactional I remember, you guys got hit on transactional terms.
- 1:32:02Speaker 1: But the fact is, look, Republicans Latinos would not go
- 1:32:06Speaker 1: on Universion, but would go on Telemundo. And it was
- 1:32:09Speaker 1: probably turning into a headache for you guys.
- 1:32:11Speaker 2: I correct, and and and Democrats just assumed that universions
- 1:32:17Speaker 2: on our side, so they wouldn't even show up. So
- 1:32:20Speaker 2: when we go to the center, what happens. Uh, People
- 1:32:24Speaker 2: who were who are on the left, and and and
- 1:32:26Speaker 2: would construe us as being a left leaning network thought
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: we went right.
- 1:32:31Speaker 1: Yep, we did. We did. We might have left the center,
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: we didn't go right of center. Right. And then just
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: because you're not liberal doesn't make you a conservative. It
- 1:32:41Speaker 1: just because you're not conservative doesn't make you a liberal. Correct,
- 1:32:44Speaker 1: that's exactly right.
- 1:32:45Speaker 2: And then on on the right, they still think where
- 1:32:49Speaker 2: they they would think, Oh no, no, that's that's the
- 1:32:52Speaker 2: that's the we can't catch you up. So uh, We've
- 1:32:55Speaker 2: been very very very careful and committed, and I've been
- 1:32:59Speaker 2: committed to see know, you know since I've been CEO
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: for for almost two years, of ensuring equal access and
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: equal opinions and then let the audience decide what it is.
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: So I think we're now at a really good place.
- 1:33:13Speaker 1: As I said, with that in Mexico. See, I think
- 1:33:16Speaker 1: you are in the American political landscape. I'm just curious
- 1:33:18Speaker 1: how about the Mexican political landscape, which to me is
- 1:33:20Speaker 1: also somewhat complicated, even though it's such a one party
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: rule state at the moment or a country at the moment.
- 1:33:27Speaker 2: I think I think we've we've been able to maneuver
- 1:33:29Speaker 2: that very very very well to be able to be
- 1:33:33Speaker 2: you know, impartial and give the right side of the
- 1:33:38Speaker 2: like the different sides of the story, and let the
- 1:33:40Speaker 2: audience decide. I don't think people see us as are
- 1:33:46Speaker 2: in a news or they see us as your fun news.
- 1:33:51Speaker 2: We we really try to provide the right level of information.
- 1:33:54Speaker 1: What the audience society. Yeah, I'm fascinated with the rise
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: of Claudia Shinebamb because it's just the idea that I
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: don't know if the United States of America would ever
- 1:34:06Speaker 1: elect somebody with the last name of Shinebam and Mexico did.
- 1:34:12Speaker 1: I mean not only look, I followed the election very closely.
- 1:34:14Speaker 1: I know how it happened. But it is sort of
- 1:34:16Speaker 1: an interesting it's an interesting juxtaposition. We've yet to elect
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: a woman, let alone a Jewish woman.
- 1:34:21Speaker 2: That's what I was going I was going to say,
- 1:34:23Speaker 2: it's not only the Shinebom, but it's the Claudia. Honestly,
- 1:34:26Speaker 2: it's a testament to Mexico, you know, the you might
- 1:34:29Speaker 2: say Mexico is a very conservative country or you know the.
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: So called you know me chism, whatever you want to
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: call it. You know, uh, the little male dominated.
- 1:34:39Speaker 2: You know, they elected a you know, a woman of faith,
- 1:34:44Speaker 2: which is a minority to what is in the rest
- 1:34:47Speaker 2: of the country. And woman that's that's actually she made
- 1:34:50Speaker 2: me very proud, to be completely honest.
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: Yeah, she manages it's it's interesting to watch her relationship.
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: The fact, if I told you that the president of
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: Mexico would have a better relationship with the President of
- 1:35:01Speaker 1: the United States than the Prime Minister of Canada, what
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: would that tell you, right, I mean it's unusual.
- 1:35:08Speaker 2: Yeah, it's uh, obviously a complicated, tricky situation.
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: But yeah, outside of Mexican Americans and the largest Spanish
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: language identity group that watches your programs.
- 1:35:25Speaker 2: Outside of Mexican Americans, Uh, it's uh, i'd probably say
- 1:35:34Speaker 2: it's the Cuban in Venezuela. Interesting, Yeah, before Puerto Ricans,
- 1:35:40Speaker 2: before Puerto Rican. Yeah, well, you know Puerto Rican. What
- 1:35:43Speaker 2: we've we've done is you said that, you said this earlier.
- 1:35:47Speaker 2: You know, Telemundo was more of uh, Puerto Rican, Dominican
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: and Cuban, and what we've done is we we really
- 1:35:55Speaker 2: am more Caribbean and one was more Latin American. Right, yeah,
- 1:35:58Speaker 2: ever so much much more what we do. But I've
- 1:36:02Speaker 2: we have very very strong presence in Pennsylvania and New
- 1:36:06Speaker 2: York and we're investing a lot of that to get
- 1:36:08Speaker 2: closer to those communities. So I'd say in general we're
- 1:36:13Speaker 2: broad based. Obviously, Mexican Americans being the largest swath of
- 1:36:18Speaker 2: Hispanics in the United States, we have a much much,
- 1:36:20Speaker 2: much larger percentage of Mexicans. But our content really, you know,
- 1:36:27Speaker 2: not only our content, but our platforms, which is streaming,
- 1:36:30Speaker 2: TV and radio.
- 1:36:33Speaker 1: Is playing playing broader? Forgive my ignorance. Do you have
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: the World Cup in Mexico and in the United States
- 1:36:40Speaker 1: or just Mexico.
- 1:36:41Speaker 2: We have the World Cup in Mexico, both in streaming
- 1:36:45Speaker 2: and in television, and we have radio rights for the
- 1:36:50Speaker 2: World Cup in the United States.
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: So the country that if Mexico's out early, you guys
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: are not happy, correct, they better they better get to
- 1:37:03Speaker 1: the knockout round, right?
- 1:37:04Speaker 2: Well, that that would that would be that would be fantastic.
- 1:37:07Speaker 2: But look, Hispanics and Mexicans, they just love their soccer,
- 1:37:12Speaker 2: you know.
- 1:37:12Speaker 1: And so even if Mexico's out, you feel like your
- 1:37:14Speaker 1: numbers will be good.
- 1:37:16Speaker 2: Our numbers are going to be are going to be fantastic. People,
- 1:37:20Speaker 2: And it's it's in Mexico, it's in the US, it's
- 1:37:22Speaker 2: in Canada.
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: Like It's that really excited me. I really hope politics
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: doesn't get in the way of this, this idea of
- 1:37:29Speaker 1: North America working as one on this. I mean, I'd
- 1:37:32Speaker 1: really love to see the MLS become a true sort
- 1:37:35Speaker 1: of hemispheric soccer league. I think there's some real opportunity
- 1:37:39Speaker 1: if the MLS would look south rather than always always
- 1:37:42Speaker 1: trying to compare itself to to what's in Europe, and
- 1:37:45Speaker 1: and it's like the opportunity of a of an MLS
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: that is from South Paolo to Vancouver and everything in
- 1:37:54Speaker 1: between could be extraordinarily powerful. And I agree this was
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: this was an interesting experiment. I just hope, like I said,
- 1:38:02Speaker 1: I hope our politics will screw it up.
- 1:38:04Speaker 2: Yeah, but look, I soccer. Soccer is obviously massive in
- 1:38:09Speaker 2: the United States. Seventy percent of all soccer games that
- 1:38:13Speaker 2: are broadcast, both in English and Spanish and whatever language
- 1:38:17Speaker 2: are broadcast divisioned. So like we we have any theredile.
- 1:38:21Speaker 1: You guys, you guys are owning it the way Espno's
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: college football. You're your home.
- 1:38:25Speaker 2: You're the home of America where the American soccer or
- 1:38:28Speaker 2: international football, right exactly.
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: And they love it.
- 1:38:32Speaker 2: They tun into us.
- 1:38:34Speaker 1: It's uh.
- 1:38:35Speaker 2: And that's that's why you know.
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: I go back to this.
- 1:38:38Speaker 2: I keep mentioning the term that we are the voice
- 1:38:40Speaker 2: of Hispanics. My my real goal in what I do
- 1:38:44Speaker 2: is as CEOs, I really want to make sure, whether
- 1:38:48Speaker 2: it's advertisers, whether it's candidates, can connect with Hispanics and
- 1:38:53Speaker 2: with the issues that matter to them.
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: And this is your goal as anybody with any Hispanic
- 1:38:58Speaker 1: heritage is going to be watching some thing on Univision, and.
- 1:39:01Speaker 2: They're going to be They're going to getting their news
- 1:39:03Speaker 2: from us, They're getting to get their laughter from us,
- 1:39:05Speaker 2: They're going to get their sports from us. But the
- 1:39:07Speaker 2: most important part for me is that their voice is heard.
- 1:39:12Speaker 2: You know, every campaign, every election cycle to go. This
- 1:39:16Speaker 2: is the most important election.
- 1:39:17Speaker 1: In yet to cover one that wasn't. That's always my joke.
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: I can't wait to cover my first presidential election. That's
- 1:39:23Speaker 1: not the most important in my lifetime. Let me know
- 1:39:25Speaker 1: when that happens.
- 1:39:26Speaker 2: But look at twenty twenty four, Hispanics elected who was
- 1:39:30Speaker 2: going to be president. In twenty second Hispanics are going
- 1:39:33Speaker 2: to decide who is going to have control of Congress.
- 1:39:37Speaker 2: So my message to all those campaigns out there is
- 1:39:41Speaker 2: you need to understand the issues that matter to that
- 1:39:44Speaker 2: near Hispanic constituents. They are going to be the swin vote.
- 1:39:48Speaker 2: Their vote is up for grabs and if you ignore
- 1:39:51Speaker 2: this vote, it's at your pair.
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: Well, Daniel, I'm excited that you guys are investing more.
- 1:39:56Speaker 1: I'd love to see more polling out of you guys.
- 1:39:59Speaker 1: More data, more data, more data I want, and if
- 1:40:03Speaker 1: I could order up something I want. You know, the
- 1:40:06Speaker 1: Pew Charitable Trust used to do this sort of super
- 1:40:10Speaker 1: large sample of all American voters and then create these
- 1:40:14Speaker 1: like nine categories to remind people. You know, Yes, you
- 1:40:17Speaker 1: can simplify it and say it's red and blue, but
- 1:40:18Speaker 1: it's very complicated. I want the great sort of political
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: census of the Latino vote. Seeing it, you know, by
- 1:40:29Speaker 1: country of origin, by year, you know which generation, and
- 1:40:33Speaker 1: all these things. You guys can own this. I'm so
- 1:40:38Speaker 1: glad to hear you guys are investing in more data
- 1:40:41Speaker 1: because you know, nothing demystifies anything like data.
- 1:40:45Speaker 2: I agree, And then we're the impartial source. So we've
- 1:40:48Speaker 2: done polling in Texas, we did polling in California, we
- 1:40:51Speaker 2: did the seventeen battleground States polling that we just released
- 1:40:55Speaker 2: two weeks ago, and there's more to come. Challenge accepted, Chuck.
- 1:40:59Speaker 1: Awesome, Wait, I love what you're doing, Daniel. Great to
- 1:41:01Speaker 1: get enjoyed this conversation a lot. Appreciate it.
- 1:41:04Speaker 2: Thank you for having me.
- 1:41:05Speaker 1: All right, my friend bite. This episode of the Chuck
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- 1:42:41Speaker 1: And yes, I too, am a customer. We're going to
- 1:42:50Speaker 1: go into a date that, if you're of a certain age,
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: is easily one of the most memorable. Let me put
- 1:42:57Speaker 1: it this way. For my generation, I was born after
- 1:42:59Speaker 1: can he was assassinated. For my generation, there are a
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: handful of experiences that like it is if you weren't there,
- 1:43:12Speaker 1: if you weren't alive for it, it is hard to
- 1:43:14Speaker 1: put it in words. The Challenger explosion nine to eleven, obviously,
- 1:43:27Speaker 1: and this anniversary that we're marking this week, June seventeenth,
- 1:43:33Speaker 1: nineteen ninety four. In fact, when Americans think about June seventeenth,
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: nineteen ninety four, the first thing they may think of
- 1:43:43Speaker 1: is a white Ford Bronco. They may remember the helicopter shots,
- 1:43:48Speaker 1: they may remember the police cars, traveling at a not
- 1:43:52Speaker 1: so speedy thirty five miles an hour. They may remember
- 1:43:57Speaker 1: that the NBA Finals were squeezed into a little box
- 1:44:00Speaker 1: on the television screen. And yes, for thirty years, a
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: certain kind of Knicks fan has nursed a theory that
- 1:44:07Speaker 1: the OJ circus distracted the New York Knicks more than
- 1:44:11Speaker 1: the Houston Rockets during those NBA Finals, costing them a
- 1:44:14Speaker 1: chance at a championship back in nineteen ninety four. It's
- 1:44:19Speaker 1: a lovely theory, of course, and also falls apart the
- 1:44:22Speaker 1: moment you check the schedule. June seventeenth was Game five,
- 1:44:26Speaker 1: the Knicks one, so it was at at Madison Square Garden.
- 1:44:33Speaker 1: The Knicks were up three games to two. Then they
- 1:44:35Speaker 1: flew to Houston and lost the final two games of
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: the series. So I don't know if you can blame OJ,
- 1:44:39Speaker 1: although maybe you could say that the Knicks were more
- 1:44:44Speaker 1: distracted than the Rockets were by the OJ story. But
- 1:44:47Speaker 1: was there evidence for that theory? No, there wasn't. But
- 1:44:49Speaker 1: when you were nursing a championship drought as long as
- 1:44:52Speaker 1: Knicks fans were, you were going to look for anything
- 1:44:56Speaker 1: to sort of answer why it's been so long, And
- 1:44:59Speaker 1: of course says if this week, New York doesn't need
- 1:45:01Speaker 1: to nurse those grievances anymore. The Nicks have finally won
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: their first title since nineteen seventy three. Nothing like that
- 1:45:11Speaker 1: parade to cure a thirty year grudge. By the way,
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: it's going to Actually on June seventeenth, nineteen ninety four,
- 1:45:17Speaker 1: the day of the Court Bronco Chase, was the day
- 1:45:19Speaker 1: of the New York Rangers Tick or Tate Parade in
- 1:45:21Speaker 1: New York City, So I think this year it'll be
- 1:45:23Speaker 1: on June eighteenth for those keeping score. But I'm digressing
- 1:45:26Speaker 1: here a little bit, because what June seventeen, nineteen ninety
- 1:45:30Speaker 1: four is really memorable for is, of course O. J. Simpson,
- 1:45:36Speaker 1: And they may also remember a note read by his friend,
- 1:45:38Speaker 1: an attorney, Robert Kardashian, Yes, that Kardashian that many people
- 1:45:42Speaker 1: watching interpreted as a suicide note, and then they remember
- 1:45:46Speaker 1: the chase. But what I think we've forgotten is what
- 1:45:50Speaker 1: television executives were learning while the rest of us were
- 1:45:54Speaker 1: watching this Bronco chase. Because I don't think June seventeenth,
- 1:45:58Speaker 1: nineteen ninety four became one of the most hot and
- 1:46:00Speaker 1: dates in modern media history. Because of O. J.
- 1:46:03Speaker 2: Simpson.
- 1:46:04Speaker 1: I think it became one because of what happened after
- 1:46:07Speaker 1: June seventeenth, Because somewhere between the White Bronco and the
- 1:46:11Speaker 1: eventual verdict, the news business learned something people would come
- 1:46:17Speaker 1: back tomorrow. And once an industry learns that lesson, it
- 1:46:22Speaker 1: starts building itself around it. Now, I want to start
- 1:46:24Speaker 1: with a caveat. I'm not going to argue that OJ
- 1:46:27Speaker 1: Simpson invented sensationalism. America was obsessed with the Linburg kidnap
- 1:46:34Speaker 1: It okay, the Sam Shephard case became a national fixation
- 1:46:38Speaker 1: back in the day. Those were tabloid stories long before
- 1:46:42Speaker 1: OJ came along. Human beings have always been fascinated by crime, celebrity, scandal, mystery,
- 1:46:47Speaker 1: and gossip. So that's not new. What makes OJ different
- 1:46:51Speaker 1: isn't that America became obsessed. America's been obsessed before. What
- 1:46:57Speaker 1: makes OJ different is that an entire industry discovered how
- 1:47:01Speaker 1: valuable an obsession could become if it lasted long enough.
- 1:47:06Speaker 1: Lindbergh was an event. OJ became a format. Let me explain.
- 1:47:14Speaker 1: Let's go back. It's worth remembering what the television business
- 1:47:17Speaker 1: looked like in the early nineties. The old model was
- 1:47:20Speaker 1: already under some pressure. Cable television was growing and growing fast.
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: Corporate ownership was becoming more focused on quarterly earnings, and
- 1:47:31Speaker 1: news divisions had to respond. The traditional public service understanding
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: of television news was starting to erode. News divisions were
- 1:47:39Speaker 1: still spoken about as the crown jewels of these companies,
- 1:47:43Speaker 1: with the ge Cap Cities, Westinghouse, you know those folks.
- 1:47:49Speaker 1: And I always have found that phrase a bit revealing
- 1:47:51Speaker 1: crown jewel whenever a CEO used it, because if executives
- 1:47:56Speaker 1: keep reminding themselves that something is a crown jewel, it
- 1:47:59Speaker 1: usually means somebody else in the room is asking whether
- 1:48:02Speaker 1: it's earning enough money to justify the space it occupies.
- 1:48:07Speaker 1: So you have to use crown jewel as a defense mechanism.
- 1:48:10Speaker 1: Bottom line is, the economic economics were changing, the culture
- 1:48:15Speaker 1: inside these companies was changing. There was real pressure building financially,
- 1:48:20Speaker 1: and then along came OJ and his white Bronco, and
- 1:48:24Speaker 1: suddenly executives were staring at evidence that a change already
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: underway might be much bigger than they ever imagined. In fact,
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: most people think the important moment was the Bronco chase
- 1:48:39Speaker 1: nearly one hundred million Americans watched that Bronco chase by
- 1:48:42Speaker 1: the way, Okay, that's close to Super Bowl numbers, to
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: staggering number. But I've always thought the chase in the
- 1:48:52Speaker 1: trial taught two different lessons. The chase proved that people
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: would stop what they were doing, and we all did.
- 1:49:00Speaker 1: I was, by the way, I was throwing a house
- 1:49:01Speaker 1: party that night, my fellow employees at the hotline, a
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: bunch of other people, just you know, a bunch of
- 1:49:07Speaker 1: us twenty something's getting together. And of course all we
- 1:49:10Speaker 1: did was gather around our teddy little television because back
- 1:49:12Speaker 1: then we none of us had money and none of
- 1:49:14Speaker 1: us had big TVs. But the court room proved that
- 1:49:20Speaker 1: people would come back tomorrow and the next day and
- 1:49:23Speaker 1: the day after that. And that's where this story changes.
- 1:49:28Speaker 1: Court TV had launched only a few years before the
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: OJ Simpson trial. The idea seemed pretty niche at the time. Right,
- 1:49:35Speaker 1: court proceedings weren't supposed to attract mass audiences. Lawyers arguing motions,
- 1:49:40Speaker 1: evidence hearings, procedural disputes, the kind of television that sounded
- 1:49:45Speaker 1: interesting to lawyers and almost nobody else. Yet before OJ,
- 1:49:49Speaker 1: court TV had already stumbled onto something they had had
- 1:49:52Speaker 1: the William Kennedy Smith trial. This is a Kennedy scion
- 1:49:56Speaker 1: getting it was a rape trial. There was the Menendez
- 1:49:59Speaker 1: brothers that try garnered a lot of interest and happened
- 1:50:01Speaker 1: to be televised, And there were a handful of other
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: highly publicized cases which demonstrated there was a real audience
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: for courtroom television aka true crime. Industry insiders knew there
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: was something there. So what OJ change wasn't the lesson.
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: What OJ changed was the scale. And then, of course
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: Judge Lanceido his decision to allow cameras into the courtroom
- 1:50:29Speaker 1: help make that scale possible. Suddenly the entire country could
- 1:50:33Speaker 1: watch the story unfold in real time like a daytime
- 1:50:37Speaker 1: soap opera. And it wasn't just a verdict. They would watch,
- 1:50:40Speaker 1: They'd watch the process, the arguments, the personalities. My goodness,
- 1:50:45Speaker 1: these people became household names. Christopher Darden, Marsha Clark, Johnny Cochran,
- 1:50:51Speaker 1: you name it. The supposedly boring parts people were watching,
- 1:50:57Speaker 1: and people just kept showing up seeing n is rating exploded.
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: By the way, they were the only cable news channel
- 1:51:02Speaker 1: at the time. Their biggest competition, I guess was Court DV.
- 1:51:05Speaker 1: There was no MSNBC, no Fox. The first quarter of
- 1:51:10Speaker 1: nineteen ninety five became the highest rated quarter in cable
- 1:51:13Speaker 1: television history. At that point. The Simpson trial was credited
- 1:51:19Speaker 1: with a huge share of that growth, and CNN reportedly
- 1:51:23Speaker 1: made extraordinary amounts of money from this coverage. So the
- 1:51:27Speaker 1: lesson wasn't new, it was this scale. And once the
- 1:51:31Speaker 1: scale of this became undeniable, everybody in the business noticed.
- 1:51:35Speaker 1: Competitors noticed, executives noticed, investors noticed. How do we know
- 1:51:40Speaker 1: this because within two years, both NBC and Fox launched
- 1:51:45Speaker 1: cable channels MSNBC, Fox News. You know, sometimes those the
- 1:51:52Speaker 1: launch of Fox and MSNBC get treated as political developments,
- 1:51:56Speaker 1: and I never bought that they were business developments first.
- 1:52:01Speaker 1: In fact, neither one of them was very partisan when
- 1:52:03Speaker 1: they started. There was a reason for that. Nobody launched
- 1:52:10Speaker 1: those networks because America was suffering from a shortage of
- 1:52:13Speaker 1: news coverage. They launched them because somebody had seen the
- 1:52:17Speaker 1: ratings and the financial juggernaut that CNN had become, and
- 1:52:22Speaker 1: they saw that revenue and they concluded there was money
- 1:52:25Speaker 1: to be made by keeping people engaged, and they wanted
- 1:52:28Speaker 1: a piece of it. Fox wanted a piece of it,
- 1:52:30Speaker 1: and NBC wanted a piece of it. The key insight, though,
- 1:52:34Speaker 1: wasn't that people would watch a big story. That we
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: always knew television always knew that. The key insight was
- 1:52:39Speaker 1: that people would keep watching, that you could serialize it,
- 1:52:42Speaker 1: that a story could become a habit. The news could
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: do for a mass audience what soap operas had long
- 1:52:49Speaker 1: done for daytime television. It could become a daily ritual,
- 1:52:54Speaker 1: It could become a recurring product. The OJ trial wasn't
- 1:52:58Speaker 1: simply a story. It became a four with multiple seasons.
- 1:53:02Speaker 1: My god, we had a civil trial. It even had
- 1:53:04Speaker 1: a spinoff. I'll tell you about the spinoff in a
- 1:53:07Speaker 1: few minutes. But once, once it became a format, and
- 1:53:11Speaker 1: once the format existed, well guess what, everybody started looking
- 1:53:15Speaker 1: for the next version of it. The names would change,
- 1:53:20Speaker 1: but the structure would stay remarkably familiar. Monica Lewinsky, the
- 1:53:25Speaker 1: Star Report impeachment. How about Schondra Levy? You remember that story?
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: In fact, I think the Chondra Levy story is the
- 1:53:35Speaker 1: most revealing example of how OJ Simpson changed the news business.
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: For those who don't remember, Chondra Levy. Levy was a
- 1:53:43Speaker 1: Washington intern whose disappearance and eventual murder became a national
- 1:53:47Speaker 1: obsession because of her connection and potential romantic connection to
- 1:53:53Speaker 1: a congressman named Gary combat The story dominated cable news
- 1:53:58Speaker 1: for months in early two thousand and one. I remember
- 1:54:01Speaker 1: living through that period professionally. I was one of the
- 1:54:05Speaker 1: editors of The Hotline. In fact, on September tenth, two
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: thousand and one, Gary Kannitt and Shondra Levy were among
- 1:54:10Speaker 1: the biggest stories in America. Like I said, I was
- 1:54:13Speaker 1: working at the Hotline and we were doing analysis like
- 1:54:17Speaker 1: about whether the focus on condit was becoming a political
- 1:54:20Speaker 1: problem for Democrats both nationally and in the state of California,
- 1:54:25Speaker 1: and they need to do something about this. Now, all
- 1:54:28Speaker 1: of this might be difficult to process in hindsight because
- 1:54:30Speaker 1: of what happened the very next day, right September eleventh,
- 1:54:35Speaker 1: instantly erased the story from the national conversation. But for
- 1:54:39Speaker 1: months before that, Levy had become one of those stories
- 1:54:42Speaker 1: that consumed enormous amounts of national intention for essentral Coast
- 1:54:49Speaker 1: California congressman that most people had.
- 1:54:52Speaker 2: Never heard of.
- 1:54:55Speaker 1: Looking back, I've often thought there's an important distinction there.
- 1:54:59Speaker 1: Shondra Levy wasn't necessarily the biggest story in America, but
- 1:55:03Speaker 1: it was the story receiving the most attention in America,
- 1:55:08Speaker 1: and as we now know, those are not always the
- 1:55:09Speaker 1: same thing. Somewhere along the way, media companies began losing
- 1:55:14Speaker 1: track of that distinction. By the way, this accelerated in
- 1:55:18Speaker 1: the early odds, Terry Schivo, Casey, Anthony balloon Boy, the
- 1:55:25Speaker 1: Missing Malaysian Airlines flight. How about the Carnival cruise ship
- 1:55:31Speaker 1: that became known nationally as simply the poop Cruise. Different stories,
- 1:55:35Speaker 1: different stakes, different subjects, but what they all shared was
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: a similar business model. Every morning, producers could ask the
- 1:55:43Speaker 1: same question, will people come back tomorrow for this one?
- 1:55:46Speaker 1: And if the answer was yes, the story stayed alive
- 1:55:51Speaker 1: and you started booking for a segment for that story
- 1:55:53Speaker 1: the next day, regardless whether there was actually new information.
- 1:56:00Speaker 1: There's another piece of the OJ story that I've often
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: wondered about today. Many people remember the trial primarily through
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: the lens of race, and eventually race did become central
- 1:56:09Speaker 1: to the national conversation about the case. The Mark Furman
- 1:56:14Speaker 1: revelations obviously mattered Rodney King, which had taken place just
- 1:56:19Speaker 1: two years early, had mattered. Trust in the LAPD or
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: lack of trust in the LAPD was a real issue
- 1:56:25Speaker 1: and a real story. All of those were real issues,
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: but none of them are about OJ Simpson. I've often
- 1:56:34Speaker 1: wondered how much of the racial meaning we now attached
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: to OJ was a function of how long the story
- 1:56:40Speaker 1: remained at the center of national attention. The longer it
- 1:56:44Speaker 1: stay there, inevitably would go to race out of search,
- 1:56:47Speaker 1: out of this seeking out new storylines. And of course
- 1:56:50Speaker 1: that was the defense's case, especially the more it became nationalized.
- 1:56:55Speaker 1: The attention itself changed, the story changed the narrative. The
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: longer story remains one of us, the more meanings start
- 1:57:01Speaker 1: getting attached to it. The murders became a conversation about celebrity.
- 1:57:06Speaker 1: Then it was about justice, Then it was about policing.
- 1:57:09Speaker 1: Then it was about race, then it was about trust,
- 1:57:12Speaker 1: and eventually the trial became a vessel into which Americans
- 1:57:15Speaker 1: poured much larger arguments about the country itself into it. Now,
- 1:57:20Speaker 1: the coverage didn't create those tensions, but the coverage amplified them,
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: and the coverage gave it space for those same debates
- 1:57:28Speaker 1: that were needed to happen, and the same debates that
- 1:57:30Speaker 1: should have happened in LA about policing got attached to
- 1:57:34Speaker 1: the OJ trial, and it nationalized them and it made
- 1:57:39Speaker 1: it all impossible to avoid. But if Lancido never televises
- 1:57:44Speaker 1: the trial, I'm not one hundred percent convinced race is
- 1:57:49Speaker 1: as big a part of this of the OJ story
- 1:57:52Speaker 1: as history now has to acknowledge. Now, there's another aspect
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: of this story that we can't forget, because what happened
- 1:58:03Speaker 1: next is where the story leaves media and enters politics.
- 1:58:06Speaker 1: The incentives that emerged from OJ increasingly rewarded attention. Strong
- 1:58:12Speaker 1: personalities generated attention, Conflict generated attention, narrative generated attention, Recurring
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: characters generated attention. How even the OJ Simpson story produced
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: one of the most successful cultural spinoffs imaginable. Forget that
- 1:58:30Speaker 1: Jefferson's is the most successful spinoff from all In the family.
- 1:58:36Speaker 1: There's a guy named Robert Kardashian who was a supporting
- 1:58:39Speaker 1: character in the trial, family friend turned lawyer of O. J.
- 1:58:42Speaker 2: Simpsons.
- 1:58:43Speaker 1: Two decades later, the Kardashian family had become a media empire.
- 1:58:48Speaker 1: And you know, by just uttering those statements, if you
- 1:58:51Speaker 1: weren't alive, then you would think all of that was
- 1:58:52Speaker 1: a joke that I was creating some parody, but it
- 1:58:57Speaker 1: also says something about the direction of American culture. The
- 1:59:00Speaker 1: line separating news, celebrity, entertainment, and public life were becoming
- 1:59:04Speaker 1: harder to see. So politics adapted as well, and by
- 1:59:09Speaker 1: the time Donald Trump entered presidential politics, he understood those
- 1:59:12Speaker 1: incentives instinctively. I'm not going to sit here and say
- 1:59:16Speaker 1: OJ created Trump. That's too simple, but OJ. But the
- 1:59:21Speaker 1: coverage of OJ, the saturation of OJ, the decision by
- 1:59:26Speaker 1: news executives to create soap operas to replace news judgment
- 1:59:34Speaker 1: created the conditions for Donald Trump. The ability to dominate
- 1:59:41Speaker 1: attention became a political asset. So Trump didn't create that system,
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: He simply exploited it and mastered it. In fact, the
- 1:59:51Speaker 1: industry itself admitted what was happening in real time. Remember
- 1:59:55Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen during that campaign, when the then CEO
- 1:59:59Speaker 1: of CBA, Less Moonvez famously set of Trump's campaign quote,
- 2:00:04Speaker 1: it may not be good for America, but it's damn
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: good for CBS. It's not a media critic speaking, that's
- 2:00:12Speaker 1: a television executive describing the incentive structure. The attention was valuable,
- 2:00:18Speaker 1: the civic consequences were almost a secondary consideration, if they
- 2:00:22Speaker 1: were a consideration at all. What less Moonvez did in
- 2:00:26Speaker 1: that quote was confirm what when I'm telling you the
- 2:00:32Speaker 1: OJS story impact really was on the American media. Remember
- 2:00:39Speaker 1: the Internet then arrived, social media, smartphones, algorithms. A lot
- 2:00:43Speaker 1: of people tell this story as if Facebook invented the
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: attention economy, Twitter or TikTok, But I don't think that's right.
- 2:00:51Speaker 1: Those technologies simply accelerated something that had already existed. Right,
- 2:00:57Speaker 1: Cable news figured out the attention economy. Big tech just
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: industrialized it. The algorithm didn't invent the habit. The algorithm
- 2:01:07Speaker 1: inherited the habit. And the algorithm didn't create the attention economy.
- 2:01:12Speaker 1: It automated behaviors. Media companies had already spent decades cultivating.
- 2:01:19Speaker 1: Find what keeps people watching, find what keeps people clicking,
- 2:01:23Speaker 1: find what keeps people engaged, then give them more of
- 2:01:27Speaker 1: it bread and circus. Now, I'm not sure this toothpaste
- 2:01:32Speaker 1: goes back in the two.
- 2:01:33Speaker 2: We know this.
- 2:01:34Speaker 1: The economics are very powerful, the technology is deeply embedded,
- 2:01:38Speaker 1: the incentives are everywhere. But if we're serious about rebuilding
- 2:01:43Speaker 1: trust in media and in journalism, trust in politics, in
- 2:01:46Speaker 1: our shared culture. We have to understand how we got here.
- 2:01:50Speaker 1: The intention economy didn't suddenly arrive with social media. The
- 2:01:55Speaker 1: foundations were late earlier, somewhere between a white bronco on
- 2:02:00Speaker 1: a Los Angeles Freeway going thirty five miles an hour
- 2:02:03Speaker 1: and a courtroom people couldn't take their eyes off of
- 2:02:07Speaker 1: the news business learned a lot from those events. They
- 2:02:11Speaker 1: weren't good lessons, but what they learned is people will
- 2:02:14Speaker 1: come back tomorrow. And once an industry learns that lesson,
- 2:02:20Speaker 1: it's like a subscription effect, right, it starts building itself
- 2:02:23Speaker 1: around it. The white Bronco became the symbol. The business
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: model was the real story. In thirty years later, we
- 2:02:30Speaker 1: are living the consequences of that obsession. Look, I have often,
- 2:02:40Speaker 1: I've been arguing this for a long time. Nothing changed
- 2:02:45Speaker 1: the news business more than O. J. Simpson how we
- 2:02:53Speaker 1: and I know just ran about it and being an
- 2:02:55Speaker 1: old man yelling and a cloud isn't going to bring
- 2:02:57Speaker 1: us back to any previous era. But if we're at
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: least our eyes are wide open on this, then you know,
- 2:03:07Speaker 1: hopefully we can take serious issues and figure out how
- 2:03:10Speaker 1: to make them interesting. In the attention economy, which is
- 2:03:14Speaker 1: what we're trying to do right here at the Chuck Podcast.
- 2:03:22Speaker 1: Ask Chuck, all right, let's do a little ass Chuck.
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: First question comes from Travis Charlotte, Virginian, and he rights, Hey,
- 2:03:30Speaker 1: why are vote counts released at all prior to the
- 2:03:32Speaker 1: count being completed? What if we didn't release partial results
- 2:03:35Speaker 1: as the count progressed and waited until the outcome was known.
- 2:03:38Speaker 1: I know that you'd have to find something else to
- 2:03:39Speaker 1: do with your Tuesday evenings, but it seems like it
- 2:03:41Speaker 1: would alleviate a lot of fear mongering over non existent
- 2:03:44Speaker 1: vote tampering. Well, here's why I don't. I mean, I
- 2:03:51Speaker 1: hear what you're saying, and I feel this way about
- 2:03:53Speaker 1: exit poles, right. I hate the partial release of exit
- 2:03:56Speaker 1: poles because it's ridiculous the news media. I think, do
- 2:04:05Speaker 1: you really want to trust the government to tell you, well,
- 2:04:08Speaker 1: we've kind of the votes and here the results. I
- 2:04:12Speaker 1: think that wouldn't instill the trust you think it would.
- 2:04:16Speaker 1: I think just the opposite. I think the I mean,
- 2:04:19Speaker 1: I take care. Look, it's the amount of time California
- 2:04:23Speaker 1: takes to count and the fact that it's you know,
- 2:04:26Speaker 1: days and all of this stuff, and is what allows
- 2:04:30Speaker 1: for this vacuum to be filled this way. But you know,
- 2:04:38Speaker 1: I don't I think the news media should be the
- 2:04:40Speaker 1: one getting these vote counts before and you want I
- 2:04:46Speaker 1: think that intermediary there just to make sure you don't.
- 2:04:50Speaker 1: I mean, you know, there's sometimes there's reporting mistakes that
- 2:04:54Speaker 1: I mean, famously in Florida in two thousand, famously the
- 2:05:01Speaker 1: you know, there was a fifty thousand vote error in
- 2:05:05Speaker 1: one county, right, which is what costs, which is why
- 2:05:08Speaker 1: the call got pulled from Gore at the time. But
- 2:05:14Speaker 1: in some ways, having you know, it's the worst thing
- 2:05:18Speaker 1: than no vote count is one vote count. I don't
- 2:05:22Speaker 1: think it's having multiple entities trying to trying to count
- 2:05:25Speaker 1: the vote and the fact that you have decision to
- 2:05:27Speaker 1: ask HQ and the Associated press and the official vote
- 2:05:31Speaker 1: count all happening. I think that that essentially creates the
- 2:05:36Speaker 1: opportunity for more accuracy at the end of the day,
- 2:05:41Speaker 1: not less. I mean, I understand, like I said, I
- 2:05:44Speaker 1: understand what you're saying, that maybe the that the process
- 2:05:49Speaker 1: of trying to count this and you know, especially the
- 2:05:54Speaker 1: the the lengthy amount, the lengthyness of the California count
- 2:06:01Speaker 1: frustrates folks. I think that that would make things seem
- 2:06:08Speaker 1: opeg and I think you would actually create more distrust
- 2:06:11Speaker 1: with the system with that, I think people would assume
- 2:06:14Speaker 1: even more conspiracies. Oh, they're holding the vote count because
- 2:06:16Speaker 1: they don't like the result, or they're doing that. You know.
- 2:06:19Speaker 1: So I understand the spirit with what you're asking, But
- 2:06:25Speaker 1: this is why I think, like, let's let's let's just
- 2:06:31Speaker 1: put some more resources to count this, to count this
- 2:06:33Speaker 1: stuff faster. All right, Dale in Atlanta rights, So I
- 2:06:38Speaker 1: think Rick Jackson thinks he's got this ray Son up.
- 2:06:40Speaker 1: Why else would his campaign have bought no less than
- 2:06:42Speaker 1: thirty spots on the Tony Awards telecast. Seeing his ad
- 2:06:46Speaker 1: run right after the performances from Cats, the Jellicle ball
- 2:06:50Speaker 1: had us all saying he's clearly got money to burn
- 2:06:52Speaker 1: Dale in Atlanta. Well, it's interesting though, when look, Rick Jackson,
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: I love a little bit of snark in your question
- 2:06:59Speaker 1: because you're not quite sure who's watching the Tony Awards
- 2:07:03Speaker 1: that's probably voting. I think you're saying you are stereotyping
- 2:07:08Speaker 1: a Tony Award viewer, is what you're doing, right, Dale,
- 2:07:11Speaker 1: I hear you. I'm a little counter here. There's another
- 2:07:18Speaker 1: audience of that Broadway shows that may watch the Tony Awards,
- 2:07:21Speaker 1: that may be a little bit older. Older voters are
- 2:07:24Speaker 1: the most reliable voters that show up at the polls. Right, So,
- 2:07:29Speaker 1: but yes, Rick Jackson has money to burn, but he
- 2:07:32Speaker 1: kind of has to spend it all. Remember he's He's
- 2:07:35Speaker 1: doesn't have Trump's endorsement. In fact, there's a good time
- 2:07:40Speaker 1: to talk about Trump's endorsements for these Tuesday runoffs. And
- 2:07:43Speaker 1: yes there'll be d d HQ is going to have
- 2:07:46Speaker 1: livestream coverage of this. Solisa Jeffreys Kelly, I am, I am.
- 2:07:53Speaker 1: I am traveling that day and going to make every
- 2:07:55Speaker 1: effort to make an appearance. But that is no promises
- 2:07:58Speaker 1: on that one. But I will say this Trump right, Trump,
- 2:08:05Speaker 1: Trump's endorse Burt Jones. So I think Jackson kind of
- 2:08:08Speaker 1: has to overspend and I think it's going to work.
- 2:08:11Speaker 1: By the way, speaking of Trump, he endorsed Mike Collins,
- 2:08:13Speaker 1: as we all expected, over Derek Dooley, since Derek Dooley
- 2:08:15Speaker 1: this is in the Senate race, since dark Dooley was
- 2:08:17Speaker 1: the candidate. And he said that the reason he decided
- 2:08:21Speaker 1: to Duley wasn't a good candidate is that Dooley had
- 2:08:23Speaker 1: the gall to has you know, has had the position
- 2:08:27Speaker 1: that somehow Donald Trump did not win the twenty twenty election. Well,
- 2:08:30Speaker 1: as you know, Donald Trump did not win the twenty
- 2:08:32Speaker 1: twenty election. Joe Biden won the twenty twenty election. Joe
- 2:08:35Speaker 1: Biden was inaugurated as president. Joe Biden served for he
- 2:08:37Speaker 1: was as president. The only reason Donald Trump is president
- 2:08:39Speaker 1: today is because he lost the twenty twenty election. Had
- 2:08:41Speaker 1: he won the twenty twenty election, he wouldn't be president today.
- 2:08:46Speaker 1: So I don't know what world Donald Trump lives. In
- 2:08:49Speaker 1: the fact that he keeps trying to gaslight this issue
- 2:08:53Speaker 1: over and over, I really think does enormous damage because
- 2:08:56Speaker 1: one thing, you one thing I think we've learned, the
- 2:08:59Speaker 1: Trump endorsement matters in Republican primaries in red states, Hunt
- 2:09:03Speaker 1: Hart stop. The Trump endorsement is helpful to Republicans in
- 2:09:08Speaker 1: swing states and in bluestates, but the Trump endorsement in
- 2:09:14Speaker 1: boomerang in general elections. Just look at Trump's performance in
- 2:09:19Speaker 1: swing states. His candidate for North Carolina governor, Mark Robinson
- 2:09:23Speaker 1: was a disaster. His candidate for Pennsylvania governor in twenty
- 2:09:28Speaker 1: twenty two, Mastriano disaster his candidate. Now he did get
- 2:09:32Speaker 1: you know, and David McCormick, you could somehow say he
- 2:09:35Speaker 1: endorsed him, but he did endorse him. The first time
- 2:09:36Speaker 1: McCormick run, he endorsed doctor Oz. That didn't work. Donald
- 2:09:40Speaker 1: Trump's track record his endorsed candidates in swing states have
- 2:09:44Speaker 1: not gone well. Right, He's got lost a lot in Georgia. Right,
- 2:09:50Speaker 1: He's gotten his butt handed to him in Georgia multiple times.
- 2:09:54Speaker 1: He doesn't do well in the state of Arizona, he
- 2:09:56Speaker 1: doesn't do well in the state of Wisconsin. He doesn't
- 2:10:00Speaker 1: do well in any of the seven battleground states. So
- 2:10:07Speaker 1: I think, look, I think Rick Jackson. I think if
- 2:10:10Speaker 1: Rick Jackson wins the Republican runoff, he's going to be
- 2:10:13Speaker 1: the next governor. And if Rick Jackson doesn't win that runoff,
- 2:10:18Speaker 1: Keisha Lance Bottoms is going to be the next governor.
- 2:10:20Speaker 1: I do not think. I think Trump endorsements in swing states,
- 2:10:23Speaker 1: particularly in twenty twenty six, are not going to be helpful.
- 2:10:28Speaker 1: They're more likely to be be hurtful. So ask for
- 2:10:32Speaker 1: Rick Jackson, who doesn't have the Trump endorsement, has gobs
- 2:10:35Speaker 1: of money. He probably has to spend this money to
- 2:10:38Speaker 1: try to overcome the Trump endorsement of Jones because he
- 2:10:41Speaker 1: has got to have a larger runoff turnout. The smaller
- 2:10:44Speaker 1: the runoff turnout is, the better it is for a
- 2:10:47Speaker 1: Trump endorsed candidate. The larger runoff turnout is might benefit
- 2:10:51Speaker 1: Jackson and that's what he's counting on. Next question comes
- 2:10:55Speaker 1: from Zach from Cleveland and he and Zach, I need
- 2:10:59Speaker 1: to congratulate you. You have done it because I'm reading
- 2:11:02Speaker 1: your question and you know what that means. You are
- 2:11:04Speaker 1: now officially in the five timers club. We are going
- 2:11:07Speaker 1: to get some We're gonna you gotta tell me do
- 2:11:10Speaker 1: you want to mug? I'd love to know from all
- 2:11:12Speaker 1: of our five timers here, which means we got to
- 2:11:14Speaker 1: start keeping tracking you guys. Do you want to mug
- 2:11:17Speaker 1: a shirt or a hat? Which merch would you prefer?
- 2:11:20Speaker 1: We're working on merch here. We're in the middle of negotiating.
- 2:11:23Speaker 1: You know how we're going to do this. So and
- 2:11:26Speaker 1: if you're a merchandiser and you've got you want to
- 2:11:29Speaker 1: you want to throw some bids our way. We're all ears,
- 2:11:32Speaker 1: but would love to know. Zach would love your vote.
- 2:11:35Speaker 1: Would you for a hat? A mug a T shirt. Anyway,
- 2:11:40Speaker 1: the question is I saw the House vote to limit
- 2:11:42Speaker 1: Trump's war powers. Could could that actually give him an
- 2:11:44Speaker 1: off ramp from the conflict or am I reading too
- 2:11:46Speaker 1: much into it? Cures for your take, keep doing your thing,
- 2:11:48Speaker 1: Appreciate the show, well, obviously, zactly. Look, there's one of
- 2:11:53Speaker 1: the reasons why Trump is doing whatever it takes to
- 2:11:56Speaker 1: cut a deal with a Ron at this point is
- 2:11:57Speaker 1: because this thing is politically getting harder and harder for him.
- 2:12:01Speaker 1: In fact, one of the more interesting you know, it's funny.
- 2:12:05Speaker 1: He's going to have his Iran hawks who are in
- 2:12:08Speaker 1: his corner really upset about this deal. You can already
- 2:12:11Speaker 1: see it. Mark Levin has like lost his mind. Lindsey
- 2:12:14Speaker 1: Graham went out of his way to talk about that.
- 2:12:17Speaker 1: You know, for this deal to succeed, JD. Vance is
- 2:12:20Speaker 1: going to have to do some good negotiating. It's like
- 2:12:22Speaker 1: he's already trying to put this on JD. Vance basically
- 2:12:27Speaker 1: saying it's the Vance wing of the Republican Party. That
- 2:12:29Speaker 1: is that is, that is the doves here, and they're
- 2:12:32Speaker 1: the ones that are pushing in the negotiation and all
- 2:12:34Speaker 1: of this. So you're seeing you're seeing some folks who
- 2:12:38Speaker 1: can't ever bring themselves to criticize Trump have to find
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: other ways to criticize Trump without criticizing Trump, and sort
- 2:12:44Speaker 1: of targeting Jadie Vance, which what Lindsay Graham is doing
- 2:12:47Speaker 1: is going to be one way to do that. But
- 2:12:49Speaker 1: the point is is that this was becoming politically and
- 2:12:51Speaker 1: politically harder and harder all the time for him. So
- 2:12:54Speaker 1: that's why I had to take whatever off ramp. I mean,
- 2:12:57Speaker 1: he was just begging, begging for off rams. And by
- 2:13:01Speaker 1: the way, the Iranians this, this is why this is
- 2:13:04Speaker 1: no deal to celebrate. We're just he didn't get a deal.
- 2:13:09Speaker 1: He got a promisory note, and they're gonna sign a
- 2:13:12Speaker 1: promisory note and he's essentially just bought more time. And
- 2:13:18Speaker 1: I know he says, Oh, if they don't sign a deal,
- 2:13:20Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back to bombing. Okay, they've heard you
- 2:13:24Speaker 1: say that some thirty thirty times in the last thirty days,
- 2:13:28Speaker 1: and you may have backed up your words twice. Your
- 2:13:32Speaker 1: track record isn't that great on this, and the Iranians
- 2:13:36Speaker 1: are going to keep calling your bluff and that's gonna
- 2:13:38Speaker 1: be uncomfortable. Next question comes from Drew and he believes
- 2:13:43Speaker 1: this is getting him into the five timers club. We're gonna,
- 2:13:45Speaker 1: We're gonna, We're gonna check. We're gonna check with the
- 2:13:47Speaker 1: committee on this. Drew to be doubly curious. But again,
- 2:13:53Speaker 1: I might as well as I sack preference hat mug shirt.
- 2:13:58Speaker 1: You're right, I'm curious. Why do you think so many
- 2:14:00Speaker 1: leaders from older generations continue to hold onto power rather
- 2:14:03Speaker 1: than stepping aside to the next generation. Is it a
- 2:14:06Speaker 1: sense of responsibility to finish the job or something broader
- 2:14:09Speaker 1: about how those generations of your leadership, Thanks for all
- 2:14:11Speaker 1: you do. True, I'm sort of I think it's more
- 2:14:15Speaker 1: basic than that. By the way, this is the week
- 2:14:17Speaker 1: that we're beginning this weird phenomenon in our history where
- 2:14:24Speaker 1: three of our last four presidents were all born in
- 2:14:26Speaker 1: the summer of nineteen forty six, and no, June fourteenth
- 2:14:30Speaker 1: isn't technically summer, but basically Donald Trump was born in
- 2:14:33Speaker 1: June of forty six, George W. Bush was born in
- 2:14:37Speaker 1: July of forty six, and Bill Clinton was born in
- 2:14:39Speaker 1: August of forty six the Baby Boomers. By the way,
- 2:14:44Speaker 1: my friend John Harris over Political is an excellent piece
- 2:14:46Speaker 1: about all this, about how but you know, it's sort
- 2:14:51Speaker 1: of you know, it's not just like a conventional Boomer
- 2:14:55Speaker 1: trashing session. And I have that coming up with my
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: friend Paul Taylor, longtime Watchington Post reporter, who's got a
- 2:15:00Speaker 1: whole book about, you know, how the Boomers broke broke
- 2:15:04Speaker 1: our politics. But anyway, it's a great piece by Harris.
- 2:15:09Speaker 1: You should take a look. So I look at it
- 2:15:12Speaker 1: through the prism of Bear Bryant. For those of you
- 2:15:16Speaker 1: that don't know who Bear Bryant was. Before there was
- 2:15:18Speaker 1: Nick Saban and Alabama football, there was Bear Bryan Alabama football.
- 2:15:23Speaker 1: Before they were making statues of Nick Saban, they were
- 2:15:25Speaker 1: making statues of Bar Bryant. Paul was his first name,
- 2:15:28Speaker 1: Paul Barbrian Bear was his nickname. In December fifteenth, nineteen
- 2:15:34Speaker 1: eighty two, at the age of sixty nine, Bear Bryant
- 2:15:37Speaker 1: officially announced that he was stepping down as head coach
- 2:15:40Speaker 1: of the University of Alabama after twenty five seasons, and
- 2:15:44Speaker 1: he famously quipped one time that if he stopped coaching,
- 2:15:47Speaker 1: he quote probably croaking a week. December twenty ninth, nineteen
- 2:15:52Speaker 1: eighty two, Bear coaches his final game at the Liberty
- 2:15:55Speaker 1: Bowl in Memphis, Tennessee. By the way, the Crimson had
- 2:15:58Speaker 1: won that game twenty one fifteen, and it secured Brian's
- 2:16:01Speaker 1: three hundred and twenty third and final career victory. January
- 2:16:07Speaker 1: twenty fifth, nineteen eighty three, Brian begins experiencing chest pains.
- 2:16:11Speaker 1: He's admitted to a hospital that evening, and on January
- 2:16:14Speaker 1: twenty sixth, twenty eight days after coaching his final football game,
- 2:16:18Speaker 1: Bryant suffers a massive fatal heart attack and passes away.
- 2:16:26Speaker 1: The older you get, the more you know about stories
- 2:16:30Speaker 1: like that. By the way, the Joe Paterno story was
- 2:16:33Speaker 1: very similar that the minute you walk away from something
- 2:16:39Speaker 1: and you lose your purpose, that if you don't have purpose,
- 2:16:42Speaker 1: you can deteriorate quickly. Ruth Bader Ginsburg was famously hung
- 2:16:49Speaker 1: on to her Supreme Court seat because apparently she was
- 2:16:52Speaker 1: very close friends with Sandrada O'Connor, who decided to retire
- 2:16:55Speaker 1: to take care of her husband who was beginning to
- 2:16:57Speaker 1: decline due to Alzheimer's, and she regretted it, and she
- 2:17:03Speaker 1: would share those regret all the time with her friends
- 2:17:06Speaker 1: on the Court, including Justice Skinsberg. So I think it's
- 2:17:11Speaker 1: a very personal reason. I think that's the you know.
- 2:17:14Speaker 1: I think. Look, I joke sometimes I say, you know,
- 2:17:18Speaker 1: the older I get, especially right now, I always say
- 2:17:20Speaker 1: in the fifties, I said, we have peak wisdom in
- 2:17:22Speaker 1: our fifties, and I you know, And it's pretty arrogant
- 2:17:26Speaker 1: of me of saying this, and pretty self centeredive me
- 2:17:28Speaker 1: to say this, right, But I sort of believe it. Right,
- 2:17:30Speaker 1: I've had enough life lessons that I feel like I
- 2:17:33Speaker 1: know what they are enough perspective. But I'm not yet
- 2:17:36Speaker 1: so cynical that I'm not I'm you know, I don't
- 2:17:40Speaker 1: want any change at all, right, I just think it's
- 2:17:42Speaker 1: a you know, But I do think the older you get,
- 2:17:48Speaker 1: the more sure of how wise you are, and you
- 2:17:52Speaker 1: have all this experience and how you know. You know,
- 2:17:55Speaker 1: these younger folks are well meaning, but they have no
- 2:17:57Speaker 1: idea what they're doing, and so it's it is a
- 2:18:01Speaker 1: little bit of arrogance, but there is some truth to
- 2:18:07Speaker 1: the wisdom that you want to keep around. So there's
- 2:18:11Speaker 1: you know, there's probably a happy medium there. But I
- 2:18:14Speaker 1: think it's really that. I think it's I think it's
- 2:18:17Speaker 1: fear of I think it's fear of death. I think
- 2:18:22Speaker 1: it's fear of no longer having purpose, fear of deterioration,
- 2:18:28Speaker 1: losing your self worth. I think that's what this is about,
- 2:18:33Speaker 1: pure and simple, and you have these and there's just
- 2:18:36Speaker 1: enough examples, right, you know. I use the Brian example
- 2:18:39Speaker 1: because I think it I think it has. By the way,
- 2:18:41Speaker 1: sixty nine and nineteen eighty two was equivalent of being
- 2:18:43Speaker 1: seventy nine or even eighty nine today for what it's worth.
- 2:18:49Speaker 1: But that's I think it's I think it's that, I
- 2:18:53Speaker 1: really think. I think it's fear that once your once
- 2:18:57Speaker 1: your purpose is gone, that that's it. You know that
- 2:19:03Speaker 1: if you don't have a purpose, that suddenly the grim
- 2:19:07Speaker 1: Reaper is going to come for you. So or if
- 2:19:12Speaker 1: not that that you lose your edge, you know, you
- 2:19:16Speaker 1: lose your relevancy, and that can be painful as well.
- 2:19:24Speaker 1: Last question comes from who we got here, Chrissy, and
- 2:19:31Speaker 1: I love this. I know he's writing from Washington State,
- 2:19:34Speaker 1: but he gets very specific from Washington's sixth congressional district.
- 2:19:37Speaker 1: He goes, hey, really enjoy your recent discussions, especially in
- 2:19:40Speaker 1: the Pew Political Typology. Do you think those groupings are
- 2:19:43Speaker 1: truly meaningful or could results be skewed Since people can
- 2:19:46Speaker 1: often tell how their answers place them. That's interesting you
- 2:19:49Speaker 1: say that. Also curious if you've looked at the recent
- 2:19:52Speaker 1: congressional hearing on college sports, does it signal more bipartisan
- 2:19:55Speaker 1: cooperation or sports just a rare reception. Psgo Koob's the
- 2:20:00Speaker 1: I feel like the PAC twelve should have dropped the
- 2:20:01Speaker 1: number when they relaunched. Yeah, that's that's a fair statement.
- 2:20:06Speaker 1: Most importantly, Chris, are you the guy that waves the
- 2:20:09Speaker 1: flag at game day with the Washington Cougar flag. I
- 2:20:13Speaker 1: think it's one of the it's one of my it's
- 2:20:15Speaker 1: one of it's one of my favorite. I think it's
- 2:20:18Speaker 1: I there's I always recognize that that logo more than
- 2:20:22Speaker 1: any other than beyond the ones that that that I
- 2:20:26Speaker 1: care about, because of that game day presence. I just
- 2:20:29Speaker 1: I just love that, and I love the dedication of
- 2:20:31Speaker 1: that fan. Uh And I think it's a group of
- 2:20:33Speaker 1: fans that keep that keep that tradition alive. No, I
- 2:20:38Speaker 1: think the reason you have bipartisanship on this one is
- 2:20:41Speaker 1: is that the the dividing lines in this college sports
- 2:20:44Speaker 1: bill are not left right. They're all regional right, and
- 2:20:48Speaker 1: it's they're big, small and and sort of you know,
- 2:20:51Speaker 1: so you're going to have you know, you're going to
- 2:20:54Speaker 1: have some interesting political partnerships here because there are big
- 2:21:01Speaker 1: college football entities in Texas. There's a big program in Washington,
- 2:21:06Speaker 1: the University of Washington, there's big pro you know, there's
- 2:21:09Speaker 1: wherever the Big ten is and wherever the SEC is,
- 2:21:11Speaker 1: wherever the Big twelve is, where the ACC is. Right,
- 2:21:14Speaker 1: You're just you know, you have competing interests that I
- 2:21:19Speaker 1: think are more divided along conference lines, then they're going
- 2:21:24Speaker 1: to be on political lines. And so that's why I
- 2:21:25Speaker 1: think you have what looks like bipartisanship, which is really
- 2:21:30Speaker 1: sort of divided along you know, you may have bipartisan
- 2:21:33Speaker 1: pairs of senators agreeing on something that both the Big
- 2:21:37Speaker 1: ten and the SEC want, right, So I think I
- 2:21:41Speaker 1: think there's more there. Look, I'm pretty pessimistic on this
- 2:21:45Speaker 1: bill going anywhere. I think at the end of the day,
- 2:21:50Speaker 1: it feels like we got to hit you know, really,
- 2:21:52Speaker 1: before rules of the road can be drawn up, you're
- 2:21:54Speaker 1: gonna have to have collective bargaining because who is who's
- 2:21:58Speaker 1: going to negotiate with the players, And if you don't
- 2:22:00Speaker 1: have if the players can't negotiate together as an entity,
- 2:22:03Speaker 1: and they can't do it without collective bargaining. Then I'm
- 2:22:05Speaker 1: not sure how you're going to make this, make any
- 2:22:08Speaker 1: sort of blueprint for running college sports that doesn't run
- 2:22:12Speaker 1: into a problem that somehow it is the you know
- 2:22:14Speaker 1: that basically the management gets to draw them right the rules,
- 2:22:21Speaker 1: and the players just get stuck with whatever the rules
- 2:22:24Speaker 1: are that they have no say in this. So I
- 2:22:26Speaker 1: I just I don't see how they can come up
- 2:22:30Speaker 1: with any significant legislation that works without the players first
- 2:22:39Speaker 1: going the collective bargaining around and then I think you
- 2:22:42Speaker 1: can get some then Congress can weigh in, and then
- 2:22:44Speaker 1: you can see the landscape. But I think collective bargaining
- 2:22:48Speaker 1: has to come first before anything, before anything can happen there,
- 2:22:55Speaker 1: all right? And with that, I'll be I want to
- 2:22:59Speaker 1: I'll be a little transparent here. I'm doing a lot
- 2:23:02Speaker 1: of travel. I'm shifting my home base for a few
- 2:23:05Speaker 1: weeks to some other areas. I'm going back and forth.
- 2:23:09Speaker 1: It's gonna be a lot of fun, don't get me wrong.
- 2:23:12Speaker 1: But it may mean I won't have two to three
- 2:23:19Speaker 1: hours worth of programming each time we post for the
- 2:23:22Speaker 1: Chuck Podcast. It might be down to about ninety minutes
- 2:23:25Speaker 1: to two hours just to keep it, keep it a
- 2:23:28Speaker 1: little tight here and keep my travel abilities a bit
- 2:23:32Speaker 1: more flexible. Listen, I appreciate all the supports you've given me.
- 2:23:35Speaker 1: We were growing like crazy, both with subscribers anecdotal. Its
- 2:23:40Speaker 1: fun to run into people who don't talk about I
- 2:23:45Speaker 1: wish you want to meet the press, and instead and
- 2:23:46Speaker 1: now say I love what you're doing here. That tells
- 2:23:50Speaker 1: me and I know what you listeners that are helping
- 2:23:51Speaker 1: to spread the word, and I appreciate it. So keep
- 2:23:53Speaker 1: spreading the word, keep liking, keep subscribing, and I'll see
- 2:23:57Speaker 1: in twenty four hours. Hey,