Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 515 - 5/19/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to. Episode 5. 15 of the all systems
- 0:18go sports. Betting podcast powered by
- 0:21Rhythm I am your host Josh Applebaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Tuesday, another day here
- 0:32in the arena. Guys as we finish off the
- 0:35second-half of the month of May and.
- 0:37We're going to get to what we love to do.
- 0:39Which is. Betting Major League Baseball.
- 0:41But a quick comment again, I do have a three pack of sweats for
- 0:44you today guys, all three of which are.
- 0:46Relatively short money line. Favorites or.
- 0:48See if we can. Try to go 2.
- 0:49In one eco to winning night, keep our winning streak.
- 0:51Going more on that in a second. This is a very good night last
- 0:54night, but a quick comment. On betting the NBA because.
- 0:58I tell you what, guys, when I'm trying to figure out what plays
- 1:00we're going to talk about on the podcast, you know, I try to.
- 1:03Go to the sports where we have the greatest edge, where we're.
- 1:06Turning the biggest profit because again, the whole point
- 1:09of this pod is. To teach the data.
- 1:10Driven approach, How to interpret?
- 1:12Line movement? How to?
- 1:13You know, identify sharp action, how to go contrarian, how to
- 1:16make those data-driven bets that we love to make.
- 1:19But my other thought is hey, let's not just, you know, hit on
- 1:22every sport for the sake of hitting on every sport.
- 1:24Let's do what a friend of mine and a mentor of mine told me a
- 1:27long time ago, which is try to maximize your edge.
- 1:30Like if you are good at baseball and you're turning a.
- 1:33Profit and you're. Watching it every day, tracking
- 1:35the lines. Every day, you know, keeping.
- 1:38Aware of all the. Intricacies of the.
- 1:39Sport then. Why would you force a?
- 1:42Soccer bet or a NHL playoff bet or an.
- 1:45NBA bet if you don't have an edge.
- 1:48Because again. We want to be.
- 1:49Good at all sports. We got to be.
- 1:51Honest with ourselves, realistic and say, hey, you know, some
- 1:54sports are better than others. Some sports we have more system
- 1:57matches or edges. So let's focus on the sports
- 1:59that are making us money, which to me is is really baseball, of
- 2:02course. But I will give you a little
- 2:04insight because yesterday I was debating.
- 2:06Whether or not to play the Spurs thunders over.
- 2:10Obviously it went over. But did you watch?
- 2:12That game last night, because that total, it was kind of.
- 2:14Crazy it open like 217 and a. Half it got all the way.
- 2:18Up to 221 1/2. And then about the last hour or
- 2:21so before tip off, it got all the way back.
- 2:24Down to 219 1/2 or even 218 and. 1/2 So it started again, 217
- 2:291/2. Get up to 2:21-ish.
- 2:32Came back. Down to 219 1/2.
- 2:33Ish but. The reason why I'm bringing this
- 2:36up? Is that I was saying to myself.
- 2:37OK, I kind of want to play this over.
- 2:39Because I saw it rise, and I did.
- 2:41See a. A pretty good bet split from
- 2:44circa on the over, as well as a good rhythm system match
- 2:47recommending the. Over I think rhythm had it
- 2:49closer to like 222 or so or 220. 4 But again, here's the thing.
- 2:54If I'd played the. Over.
- 2:55Over 220. 1 1/2 at the time of the pot.
- 2:57I remember that was the number. I would have gotten.
- 3:00Beat by the closing line because the line.
- 3:02Closed 219 1/2 so. I would have gotten.
- 3:04An over 221. And 1/2 when all.
- 3:07Late money was breaking under. So I'm thinking to myself.
- 3:10OK, you know, and here's the other thing.
- 3:12When you have a three pack, the beauty of to me with a three
- 3:15pack of MLB. Plays is.
- 3:17The goal is always trying to eke out A2 in one night if you have.
- 3:20You know 4 bets. And you go, you know, two and
- 3:24two with money line favorites. It's actually a losing night
- 3:26based on the juice. Again, 4 plays with some.
- 3:29Dogs you might go 2 and 2 eke out of profit but whole point
- 3:32being is. You know I.
- 3:34Saw that line move to the over. It matched a couple.
- 3:37Angles for me the splits the the steam to the over there was
- 3:39also. A great.
- 3:41Angle I I noticed someone tweeted out about game one.
- 3:44Of conference finals. Going over.
- 3:46Quite a bit historically, but then here's the thing I would.
- 3:49Have gotten over 221 1/2 when it would close 218 and a half, 2/19
- 3:53a half so. Therefore, I read the market
- 3:55correctly, I bet the worst of the number and then.
- 3:57If you were watching that game. I was watching baseball mostly,
- 4:01but I turned this the game on late.
- 4:02Spurs Thunder. It was a great game, but it's
- 4:05like, you know. 98 to 90. Seven with a minute left in the
- 4:10fourth. Quarter, I'm like.
- 4:10OK, I'm glad I didn't play that over.
- 4:12And then this is the crazy thing about sports.
- 4:15That was a deadbeat. Under the entire time I mean
- 4:18that. Smart money late.
- 4:19That was 221 1/2. Bringing it back down to 2. 19 F
- 4:22218 1/2 that late steam, which typically.
- 4:25You want to be on the side of late movement that was.
- 4:27Super. Sharp because you're watching
- 4:29that game. Hey, that's a deadbeat under
- 4:31they're. Barely cracking 200.
- 4:32Points. But then, This is why sports
- 4:34betting is crazy. What happens?
- 4:37You know both. Teams have a chance to.
- 4:38Win it at the buzzer, it goes to overtime, then you.
- 4:42Believe it or not. They still could have gone
- 4:44under, but then it goes to the second overtime and then of
- 4:47course Spurs end up winning one. 22 to 115.
- 4:50So it ends up with what is it 2? 30. 7 7 But but my my whole
- 4:54whole point point of of of of of of of of mentioning mentioning
- 4:57this this is is that that OK, OK if if I'd I'd played played the.
- 4:59the Over I would have. Won the bet, but I also would
- 5:01have. Been Been against against the
- 5:02the late. late Smart money. And what did it take for that
- 5:05over to hit double overtime? So that was just affirmation to
- 5:09me or reaffirmation, whatever you want to call it.
- 5:11Another example of let's not force bets in other sports where
- 5:15we don't have the same type of data, angles and insight that we
- 5:19do with. Baseball.
- 5:19Like to me, the beauty of baseball.
- 5:21Is that it's everyday that you know 15 games a day for 6 plus
- 5:25months. So once you get into the grind
- 5:27of it and a lot of people don't love that angle of.
- 5:29It like it just seems overwhelming.
- 5:31There's too many games. Every.
- 5:32Day. It's a long season.
- 5:33You hear people. Talk about that as a negative.
- 5:36I think that's a positive as a sports better because it just
- 5:39means that if you do get on that roller coaster on.
- 5:42Opening day and you stay. On that roller coaster all year,
- 5:45you just have a really good finger on the pulse of what's
- 5:47going on in that sport. So I just wanted to bring that
- 5:50up because I had a. Couple people DM me and say hey
- 5:52you like that. Spurs Thunder over and I'm like,
- 5:54oh, I kind of did. But then again.
- 5:56Late move was under. And it took two overtimes double
- 5:59overtime to cash that over. So again, if you played the
- 6:02over, Congrats and if you. Maybe got an?
- 6:04Under Here's the cruel thing about sports betting.
- 6:06Imagine you got. Under 221 1/2.
- 6:08You high watermarked it. It closes 219 F you.
- 6:11Crush that closing line. And you are looking at a
- 6:14deadbeat under. After regulation.
- 6:16And even after the first OT and. Then what happens?
- 6:19It goes to overtime. So anyone you know who had that
- 6:21under pour one out for him. That is a tough one.
- 6:23But to me that was just an. Example of hey, I'm not going to
- 6:26force some NBA plays right now because NBA is hard and it's
- 6:29unpredictable and and we got our finger on the pulse of MLB.
- 6:32So let's stay where we can maximize our edge.
- 6:36Bring that up because last night and maximize our edge to the
- 6:39fullest. 3 and O bust out the. Brooms, a sweep plus 2.3 units.
- 6:44It might have even been a bigger night for you if you took.
- 6:46Advantage of some of those odds. Boost had a great hit with a
- 6:49Tampa Bay Rays. Didn't have to sweat that one
- 6:51man 16 to 6. That's a football score.
- 6:55Bats went nuts. Great winner by Tampa.
- 6:58D backs late night 112 to two over San.
- 7:00Fran That was fantastic. And then Minnesota, they made us
- 7:03sweat a little bit and. It had me digging into my house.
- 7:06Rules because that was a rain delay going into the bottom of
- 7:10the fifth and it would have depended on house rules like a
- 7:12lot of bets I I was actually thinking hey just call the game
- 7:16because a lot of books would have paid out twins at the time
- 7:19they're up I think they're up 3 nothing but then. 2 hour rain.
- 7:23Delay. They get the game going later.
- 7:24They win 6. To three, but Astros were
- 7:27threatening in the 9th and they had two guys on tying run at the
- 7:29plate with Jordan Alvarez and he struck out so Minnesota hung on.
- 7:33But that just gets you to to think about house rules and how
- 7:36your book would have graded that if it would have been a a rain
- 7:38shortened winner. But either way, guys 3 and O.
- 7:41Plus 2.3 units. So let's stick to Major League
- 7:43Baseball. With that being said, let's.
- 7:45Waste no further. Time and get to our 3 plays for
- 7:48tonight and you guys know the drill.
- 7:50Let's try to scratch and claw. Go 2 and 1.
- 7:52He got a winning night. So first, but on the board,
- 7:54let's go to a 6:40 PM Eastern Time first.
- 7:57Pitch Cincinnati Red Legs visiting the Philadelphia
- 8:00Phillies now Phillies come in. 25 and 23 on the year.
- 8:04They've completely turned it around.
- 8:05I think they're like 15 and. Five with Don Mattingly, but
- 8:09they won the Sears opener 5:00 to 4:00 last night.
- 8:12Came from behind to cash as a -. 125 home favorite pitching.
- 8:16Rematch for tonight Reds, who are 24 and 20. 4 They're kind of
- 8:19going the other way. They had a great start and they
- 8:21started to tail off. They're going to go with their.
- 8:23Young ready stud chase burns five and one 1.87 ERA meanwhile,
- 8:28the. Phills are going to.
- 8:29Go with the lefty. Hey, Zeus.
- 8:30Lizardo. He's 3:00 and 3:00.
- 8:32With A5. Point O 7 ERA now.
- 8:34What have we seen across the market?
- 8:36Will this game open Philly listed around a minus?
- 8:38135 home. Favorite since the around a +
- 8:40115 row. Dog and Sharps ride in the
- 8:44fight, and Mattingly's here because we've seen this line get
- 8:46steamed up toward the. Phillies. -135 up to -145 good
- 8:51bet split at circa only 45%. Of money line bets, but 60. 6%.
- 8:57Of money line. Dollars are coming in on the
- 8:58fills. So technically a sharp
- 9:01contrarian reverse line move going on Philly as a slight
- 9:04majority tickets on since he get the line move toward Philly.
- 9:07And then I have two really good system matches that I was
- 9:10playing with a little bit because I try to look at, you
- 9:12know, scenarios and if I see a game is sharp, I try to
- 9:15recreate. It and see if there's a winning
- 9:16angle and I found 2 with Philly tonight.
- 9:19If you are a home favorite off a win with a winning record and
- 9:22you made the playoffs. The previous season, Philly's
- 9:24match. Those teams are 51 and 2666.
- 9:28Percent, 9% ROI this year. Win with a winning record.
- 9:33Who made the playoffs? And you're not that expensive.
- 9:36You're -150 or less. Which matches with the.
- 9:39Phills. Those teams are 22 and 873%
- 9:43thirty. 1% ROI this year. SO2 good systems on Philly.
- 9:47Philly would also be that. Non division favorite.
- 9:49Lack of familiarity, benefiting quote UN quote, the better.
- 9:52Team now on paper. Burns V Lizardo seems like.
- 9:56Burns is better, he's got better stats, but hopefully this is a.
- 9:59An angle to our. Advantage of the Reds.
- 10:00Against lefties this year, they're only hitting 209.
- 10:04That ranks 28th in baseball. So one of the worst teams in
- 10:07baseball? Against lefties facing a
- 10:09southpaw tonight. Also, Phillies have the better
- 10:12bullpen. Team ERA of 3.84.
- 10:14That's 13th in baseball. Might not sound great, but the
- 10:18Reds are 27th. They have a 5.
- 10:20Point O 6 ERA. So Philly's been hot since
- 10:23Mattingly. Took over for Thompson and we
- 10:26have a line move a good. Split two good angles for
- 10:30betting system matches Reds have struggled against.
- 10:32Lefties better bullpen. And oh, by the way, popped open
- 10:35rhythm noticed one rhythm recommendation lighting up on
- 10:39Philly. So the AI model also likes
- 10:41Philly here. So a little bit early, 6:40 PM
- 10:45again, hopefully you you bet this game early and it's, you
- 10:47know, 659 you're rushing to get your bets in and hopefully
- 10:50Philly's already up on nothing, but everyone fills your guys.
- 10:53I got Philly -140. Three at Bally Bet Shop around.
- 10:58Most books are -145. Some books even closer to -150.
- 11:02But let's go, Phil. 'S.
- 11:05Next one for you, 7:45 PM Eastern Time, Pittsburgh Pirates
- 11:09visiting the Saint Louis Cardinals now Pirates come in.
- 11:1224 and 23 on the year. They just got swept by guess who
- 11:16the Phil's we just talked about lost that series.
- 11:18Finale 6. Nothing as a -. 130 home
- 11:21favorite. Meanwhile, the Cardinals?
- 11:23Honestly, I thought they'd be one of the.
- 11:24Worst teams in baseball, but they've been really good. 27 and
- 11:2719. They had one of the.
- 11:28Lower win totals? I think they were in the low,
- 11:30like, I don't know, high. 60s maybe?
- 11:33They just took. Two out of.
- 11:33Three against the Royals. Didn't get the sweep.
- 11:35Though they lost that. Series finale to nothing.
- 11:38As a minus. 120 home favorite So tonight's series opener.
- 11:42Pirates are going with the ready Mitch Keller.
- 11:44He's four and two with a three. .59 ERA.
- 11:47He'll be opposed by the Cardinals.
- 11:48Lefty Matthew Leberator. He's two and two with an ERA of
- 11:51four point. 4 O Now what do we sit across the market?
- 11:55Well this game opened at basically a pick em. -110 odds
- 11:58both sides now. What do we always talk about
- 12:01with a pick em? Opener I always mention the fact
- 12:03that hey pick em is it's a coin flip.
- 12:06So basically. The teams are even.
- 12:08However, wise guys who. Set their own numbers.
- 12:10Wise guys who are looking for an edge if it opens as a pick.
- 12:13Em and their internal numbers say.
- 12:15Pick em as well then. They're not going to bet the
- 12:17game because there's no advantage over the book.
- 12:20However, wise guys may disagree. Books may open a -, 110.
- 12:23But maybe they have one team. -115 -, 120.
- 12:27Therefore they will bet. The game because that provides
- 12:30an edge over the book. And looks like the edge.
- 12:32Here, knock on wood, is in favor of the Cardinals.
- 12:34I'm going cards here guys, because they open -110 they've
- 12:38now been bet up to minus. 115 some books even closer.
- 12:41To -120. So since the game.
- 12:43Opened, it's been nothing but. Leaning towards St.
- 12:47Louis, this never flipped and got to, you know, Pittsburgh
- 12:50-115 So it tells. Me liability sneaky on Saint
- 12:53Louis. Tonight, now you look at Circa.
- 12:5683. Percent money line bets. 96.
- 12:59Percent money line dollars on the Cardinals.
- 13:01So it tells me we have a lot of big, sharp Vegas.
- 13:04Money coming in on St. Louis System.
- 13:07Match here. Now both teams are off
- 13:08yesterday, so when you see both teams coming.
- 13:11Off a day off. Take the home favorite.
- 13:13Very simple. System, but it's 33 and 1660. 7%
- 13:17thirteen percent ROI this year since the start of last year,
- 13:21it's one. 29 and 7364. Percent with a nearly 5% ROI.
- 13:26Then we have another system match that we just overlapped
- 13:28with Home Favorites priced -1. 40 or less.
- 13:33They are 126 and 9158. Percent, 5% ROI this year.
- 13:37I guess it's a different system. But I was looking at sweet.
- 13:40Spots you know cuz you look at. Favorites there they.
- 13:43Perform better at home than on the road this year and then if
- 13:45you just isolate the. The cheaper ones minus. 140 or
- 13:48less. Again 58.
- 13:49Percent, 5% ROI. But if the home favorite minus.
- 13:53140 or less. Is also facing an.
- 13:55Opponent who missed the playoffs the previous year.
- 13:58That system is 80 and 5360. Percent, 8% ROI this year.
- 14:03Mitch Keller, he's. Great during the day.
- 14:06He's got a 1.73 ERA in day games, night games 6.23.
- 14:11There's a night game in Saint Louis.
- 14:12Meanwhile, the Cardinals. 6:00 and 3:00.
- 14:14And Laboratory's 9 starts this year, so hopefully they got some
- 14:17mojo, some confidence behind him.
- 14:19And oh, by the way, pirates. They don't hit well on the road.
- 14:22Knock on wood, let's. Hope that continues.
- 14:23They're only hitting 217 as a. Visitor this year, that's. 28th
- 14:27and MLB. So you open as a pick em, but
- 14:29the lines moving toward Saint Louis tells me we got smart
- 14:32money on the cards. Oh, by the way, popped open
- 14:35rhythm and noticed a green star smart signal lightning bolt AI
- 14:40model match recommendation on the Cardinals.
- 14:43So I love the fact that the AI model also like Saint Louis
- 14:46here. So second bet for me guys, if
- 14:49you'd like to join, I got the. Cards -114.
- 14:52At Bally bet again, shop around, a lot of books are -1. 15 even
- 14:56-120. Let's go, cards.
- 14:58Last bed of the night. Athletics visiting.
- 15:02The LA Angels. Now there's a 9:38 PM Eastern
- 15:05Time first pitch. Angels are 17 and 30.
- 15:08One not a great record, but they did.
- 15:10Come from behind to win 2:00 to 1:00 last night.
- 15:13As a + 110 home dog, this was a heartbreaker if you're.
- 15:16JT Ginn or the. Athletics.
- 15:17I don't know if you guys saw this but the athletics were up 1
- 15:21nothing. And JT Ginn was.
- 15:23Pitching a no hitter. So he went into the 9th with a
- 15:26no hitter, gave up a put a guy on, and then Zach Netto hit a
- 15:30home run to walk it off. So talk about losing a no hitter
- 15:33and losing the game. That's brutal.
- 15:35But you know what I'm open to A's lose again.
- 15:37I like the Athletics I like. The Angels here tonight.
- 15:39Guys. Rematch for tonight, the A's,
- 15:42who are 23 and 24, they're going to go with the lefty Jacob
- 15:44Lopez. He's 3 and 2.
- 15:46With A5. .8 O 5.8 O ERA Halos meanwhile.
- 15:50Going to go with. Another lefty, Reed.
- 15:52Detmer's. One and four 4.38 ERA now.
- 15:56What have we seen across the market?
- 15:57Will this game open LA? Listed as a minus. 125 home
- 16:01favorite. Athletics A+.
- 16:02One O 5 road dog and the public is saying.
- 16:06Give me the A's. You know the angels are only 17
- 16:08and 30. One yeah, they walked it off
- 16:10last night, but they have a terrible record Why is LA -125
- 16:14again? This should.
- 16:14Be a pick on This should be A's favorite.
- 16:16That's what the public saying so you're getting.
- 16:18Nearly 60%. Of money line bets.
- 16:21Taking the A's. But the line is.
- 16:23Actually moved further toward the angels.
- 16:25That's why I like the Angels guys we have.
- 16:26A Feed the trendy dog woo fade the trendy dog alert.
- 16:31You know more than half the tickets on the A's.
- 16:33But the lines going to the angels?
- 16:34-125 up to -135 so it tells me we got sharp RLM hitting the
- 16:40angels, you look. At circa Great Split on the
- 16:43Angels only. 30% money line bets.
- 16:46But 81%? Money line dollars, low bets
- 16:49higher dollar split from the pro batters in Vegas going hard on
- 16:52the Angels and then we have two systems that just matched with.
- 16:56Philly. Home favorites price -140 or
- 16:59less. They are 126 and 90.
- 17:02One sorry, this is the same match that was on Saint Louis.
- 17:06Home favorites -1. 40 or less 58 percent 5% ROI this year if
- 17:10they're facing an opponent who missed the playoffs 60 percent
- 17:138% ROI this year. Now Lopez, I want to fade him.
- 17:18He. Has made three May starts area.
- 17:20Of 5.74. Giving up 10 earned runs and
- 17:2315.2 innings. Pitched meanwhile Detmer's He's
- 17:27been better in May 4.6 O ERA. Giving up eight runs and 15.2
- 17:31when he's pitched. And his.
- 17:32His day night splits. He's better at night at.
- 17:35During the day. 6.6. O ERA at night. 3.41.
- 17:39So if we Detmer's pitch as well and then I had another angle
- 17:42here, both teams are below 500. So when both teams are losing
- 17:46records, sub 500 records take the home favorite off a win.
- 17:50That system is. 28 and 1762. Percent, 6% ROI.
- 17:55So we have a kind of fishy LA has got a terrible record, yet
- 17:58they're a favorite they become. More of a favorite, even though
- 18:00the. Public's on the A's and oh, by
- 18:02the way, we have two rhythm recommendations, both lighting.
- 18:06Up on the angels. As well.
- 18:08So I got the angels -1. 32 at FanDuel.
- 18:12Shop around though, because a lot of books are -135 even -140
- 18:16so again, 3 relatively short favorites, Phillies, Cardinals,
- 18:20Angels. So we can get two out of three
- 18:22and and get a winning. Night.
- 18:25So that about does it for episode 5. 15 of the all
- 18:28systems. Go sports betting podcast
- 18:30powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 18:32where we wrap things up and I always start first by saying
- 18:35thank. You.
- 18:36Thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning in.
- 18:38Thank. You for taking the time out of
- 18:39your day, out of your busy lives, and I got a lot going on,
- 18:42but you make time to you. Know get 2020 minutes.
- 18:45Or so listening to sharp betting breakdown, sweating some games
- 18:48with me. I very much appreciate that.
- 18:50Hopefully you guys feel like you're getting some good
- 18:51insights. But if you do enjoy the pod.
- 18:55Please help me grow this. Podcast give it a five star
- 18:58review on Spotify or iTunes. Recommend the pod to a friend,
- 19:01fellow sports better who might want to get a different take on
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- 19:06You know again, retweet the pod when I put out on Twitter or
- 19:10like it. Hey, I'll take any of those.
- 19:12But if you'd like to support the pod.
- 19:14In any of. Those different ways it would
- 19:16make my day. Next if you enjoy.
- 19:19The style of sports betting, data-driven, sharp contrarian
- 19:22betting focusing on not what our bias, what our our gut is
- 19:25telling us. Again, people always say trust
- 19:27your gut. No, not in sports.
- 19:28Betting your gut's usually. Wrong.
- 19:29Go with the numbers the numbers. But if you want to learn more
- 19:33about data-driven. Betting or you're?
- 19:35Looking to get a Father's Day gift for somebody in in your
- 19:37life or you just want to, you know, maybe there's someone in
- 19:40life who. Could use some data.
- 19:41Driven tips or wants to get into sports betting?
- 19:44I'd love for you to go to Amazon.com.
- 19:46And then type in the. Everything Guide to sports.
- 19:48Betting or type in the. NFL Sharp betting playbook.
- 19:52Those are the two books that I've written.
- 19:53Very proud of both. Great insights.
- 19:55If you want to grab one or both of them, I would love that.
- 20:00You really want to make my day. Give it a five star review and a
- 20:02nice comment on Amazon and then bring them to the sports book.
- 20:06I'll sign them for you and I'll buy you a beer and we'll get
- 20:09some nachos and sweat some baseball together.
- 20:11That sounds fun. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
- 20:14and Juice Reel yet? Well, if you haven't.
- 20:15Go do it now. They're two of my favorite
- 20:17sports betting apps. Rhythm does a great job of
- 20:19powering this pod with AI backed models and predictions for game
- 20:22bets and player props I'm always mentioning.
- 20:25The rhythm MLB. Recommendations.
- 20:27But just know there's NBA player props, there's MLB player props,
- 20:30there's WNBA, all available to you when you download Rhythm.
- 20:33Then of course, Juice Reel. Juice Reel is another great
- 20:35sports betting app you can sync up.
- 20:37Your sports books. Got a running report card of
- 20:39your? Action get your CLV.
- 20:41Indicators before the game starts to see how the line is
- 20:43moving once you bet it and then between that time and and first
- 20:47pitch. Also you're going to get the
- 20:48robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
- 20:51The arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign futures.
- 20:54And then if you want to. Support the pod, I would love
- 20:57for you to sign up. For the all.
- 20:59Systems go best bet picks. Which you can get exclusively on
- 21:02Juice Reel. You can get them.
- 21:04Earlier in the day, you know, if you listen to the pod and have a
- 21:07notebook or write the plays down, hey, that's one way to do
- 21:09it. But.
- 21:09If you want to get them earlier. Beat some closing lines and more
- 21:12importantly support your podcast host and and again can I
- 21:16consider it a tip jar the pods free.
- 21:18So if you want to tip your podcast host or help fund my my
- 21:21baby's childcare, which is going to be a lot of.
- 21:24Money and ridiculously expensive.
- 21:26I would love for you to get those best bet picks on juice.
- 21:28Rail it will cost you. $9.99. Cents a week.
- 21:32To get all the plays, a little bit more than a dollar a day to
- 21:35get every play and you will get those directly once they are
- 21:39released. And any of you who have.
- 21:41Decided to stick around. And continue to.
- 21:44Get those plays or you just want to give it a shot.
- 21:46It means a lot to me, so I really, really, really
- 21:48appreciate that. So go download rhythm, go
- 21:51download. Juice.
- 21:51Real give. Them both a five star review in
- 21:53the App Store. Lastly, do you have a live odds
- 21:56page? Well, if you don't have one.
- 21:57You need one. It's such a critical tool, It's
- 21:59so. Important.
- 22:00To becoming a data. Driven better because you got to
- 22:02get access to accurate, reliable data, got to be able to track
- 22:05the market in real time. The markets fluid, it's
- 22:07constantly changing. You got to know what the line
- 22:09opened at, where is it now? I can't tell you how many times
- 22:12I see on. Twitter people.
- 22:13And I don't. Blame them too much.
- 22:14Because, you know, it took me a while.
- 22:16I had some great mentors, but they'll talk about a game and
- 22:18they won't. Even mention OK, what?
- 22:20You know, I love the the Knicks -7 tonight.
- 22:23OK. Well, did they open at -6?
- 22:25Did they open minus? 8 where the splits at?
- 22:27I mean, people, it's. Such a critical tool.
- 22:29But it goes completely. Overlooked and I think the in
- 22:32order to be the best better you can be, you got to learn more on
- 22:34data. Than you do opinion.
- 22:36That's really not. Breaking any news there?
- 22:39But for me it all starts with the odds logic live odds page.
- 22:42You get all the games on the board, live scoring, live in
- 22:45game wagering odds, but it's all the work you're going to do
- 22:47preflop before the game starts. Comparing the opening.
- 22:50Columns of the current. First seeing OK.
- 22:52Which direction has the line? Move pulp line history and then
- 22:55shop for the best price. Find the book offering the best
- 22:57number. Identify Steam on the.
- 22:59Odds get lit up and read in the lines moving.
- 23:00You can check all that out with Odds Logic.
- 23:03So if you want to give it a shot, see if you like it.
- 23:05I'm almost positive you're going to like it, but all you got to
- 23:08do is use this special link Odds logic.com/josh 123.
- 23:13That's going to give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
- 23:16first month of service. Again, oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 23:22So that about does it for episode 5. 15 of the ASG.
- 23:26Pod on a big. Tuesday, two final thoughts or
- 23:29two final things to leave you with as always, guys.
- 23:31One whether I see. You at the Borgata in Atlantic
- 23:33City, Twin River in Rhode. Island, the brook of New
- 23:35Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan?
- 23:36Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston.
- 23:39Plain Ridge Park Casino MGM. Springfield or the Nash, which
- 23:43is closest? To me.
- 23:44On the border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire, they're out
- 23:46in the desert where the true grinders get down, where Billy
- 23:48Walter sends his number runners, where the lowest juice possible
- 23:51is found at the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian
- 23:54plays. Jumping in the stadium swimming
- 23:56pool when? You cash a big ticket at Circa,
- 23:58wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
- 24:00We're both going to be. Entering the sports book floor,
- 24:03we're going to see each other from across the floor.
- 24:05We're going to knock on the janitor's closet, bust open the
- 24:09door, grab a broom, do a little Fred Astaire dance on the sports
- 24:13book floor because that's what we love to do when.
- 24:15We get a sweet baby you're. Going to show me.
- 24:17Three beautiful winning tickets. Show me AD backs ticket, a Twins
- 24:22ticket, a Tampa Bay Rays ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
- 24:25you. We'll post about the book Sweat
- 24:27more baseball all night tonight. So as always, guys coming off a
- 24:31three and O. Or an O and 3A2 and one or one.
- 24:34And two a. Great night, a terrible night.
- 24:35A winning night, a losing night, a hot streak, a cold streak
- 24:38again when things are going. Well, we can't.
- 24:40Get arrogant and cocky and double down and think we're
- 24:42invincible. But when things aren't going our
- 24:44way and we can't seem. To find a winner, we can't get
- 24:47down on ourselves. We can't.
- 24:48Quit and we can't smash our TV. We just got to.
- 24:51Stay even keeled. Not get too high, not get too
- 24:53low, be disciplined with our bankroll management and stick to
- 24:56the model. And that model goes something
- 24:58like this. We're looking for games that are
- 25:00against the public, with the house, with the pros, Flat bet.
- 25:03Avoid parlays and get that COV. If we can do that, we're going
- 25:06to be. Successful sports betters so.
- 25:08Everyone has a great. Tuesday night, let's get some
- 25:10winners on the diamond, and then we'll be right back at it
- 25:12tomorrow for a Hump Day edition. That'll be a Wednesday Edition
- 25:15episode 5. 16 of the all. Systems Go sports betting
- 25:19podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody.
- 25:22And have a great Tuesday night.