Latest / The Craig Way Show / Where is Texas after close win over Vanderbilt in latest ESPN College Football Playoff Projections?

Transcript

Where is Texas after close win over Vanderbilt in latest ESPN College Football Playoff Projections? · The Craig Way Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Craig Way alongside the producer Cameron Parker with you. We've
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: got some more and be able to get to NFL.
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: We'll hear from Jerry Jones a little more on the
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Cowboy's plight, such as it is, and more of your
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: texts as well as always, you're welcome to visit us
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: via the text line. You text the word Texas follow
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: by your question or comment to eight one five three zero.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: So that's the word Texas, then your question or comment
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: to eight one five three zero. Standard messaging and data
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: rates may apply. We were talking last hour about that
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: big Arch burger that will one of the McDonald's is
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: going to bring, and I said, I knows, maybe that's an.
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Nil thing, you know, for arch manning in the future.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: Somebody asked, so is the big Arch considered a backup
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: burger now hasn't arrived yet and arrived yet.
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: That's maybe McDonald's is just waiting till next year when
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: Arch Banning is the start before they unveil it in America.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Craig g I mean think about it, you know.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's working in Canada and Germany and Portugal. Maybe
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: it's maybe it'll be coming in soon.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Our man CB says, you brought up election day. Today
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: was the first time I voted as a Washingtonian because
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: Member CB is in the PNW now Pacific Northwest. The
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: first president presidential election I voted in since twenty sixteen.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: I didn't vote in twenty twenty. My dad had passed
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: and we were in the process of moving. So good
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: on UCB. I early voted today.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: I did and got through the process.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: It was a little bit of a delay that there's
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: a lot of enthusiasm with the early voting. I just
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: I wanted to get my ballot done because remember Election Day,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: and you haven't to what I guess, Friday to early
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: vote if you want to, and Election Day we will
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: have just returned during the late night on a flight
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: from Las Vegas, landing in the wee hours of the
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: morning of election Day because we've got the game, the
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: basketball game coming up next next Monday night in Las Vegas.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: So I wanted to make sure I handle my business
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: in terms of the voting and got that and got that.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: Done for them all right. I mentioned.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: That we'd had a college football note or two to
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: pass along, and this is something that we've been doing
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: every week, so it shouldn't surprise anyone that we're going
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: to update it again. And it's one week from today.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Not only is one week from to day election day.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: As we pointed out, one week from the day is
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: the first college Football Playoff rankings of the year. Now,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: given the fact that the long Wards are not playing
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: a game this Saturday, they have an open date on
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: the schedule, I would say it's probably a pretty safe
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: bet they're in the top five of the College Football
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Playoff rankings. When you think caam that they'd probably be
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: in the top five right now.
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: I would think they would either be yeah, I would
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: think they'd be at five directly, I would think the
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: four or five range.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: I'm really curious what they would think.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: Well, and remember, and this is going to be something
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: that folks, I think are going to have to be
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: constantly reminded of.
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: And I don't think this is going to be the case.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: I'll know for sure because I've got a couple of
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: questions about how the committee is going to rank the
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: playoff teams at least early on, and we'll hear from
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Rich Clark, who he is the executive director of the
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: College Football Playoff and He's going to join us on
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: the show on Thursday, by the way, but Rich is
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: supposed to explain in a video zoom tomorrow and I'm
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: in on that to listen to him and explain some
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: of the process. Here's where I'm going with this. As
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: we know, the playoff will include, for automatic bid purposes.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: The five five, not four, the five.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: Highest ranked conference champions, five highest ranked conference champions. It
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: is assumed that the top four of which who will
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: get a buye, will all be from power for conferences,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: and I think it's a pretty safe assumption. Pretty safe,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: so probably the Big ten, the SEC, the ACC, and
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: the Big twelve would champions.
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: Would all draw first round bys.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Then five through twelve would be seated after that to
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: play first round matchups. Five would host twelve, six would
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: host eleven, seven would host ten, and eight would host nine,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: and then the bracket goes out from that.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: They do not receive the bracket. What I'm curious to
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: see is.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: How those rankings shake down in that even though we
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: know that the four top ranked teams, those four highest
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: ranked conference champions will draw bys, will they vote it
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: that way in the first rankings next week or are
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: they just going to go, hey, these are the four
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: best teams right now, here's where I'm going with this. Obviously,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: if Georgia is number two and Texas, to your point,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: Cameron winds up being number four, we know that only
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: one of those is going to be in the top four.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: So depending on how it goes and who wins the
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: SEC championship in Texas, A and M certainly may well
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: have something to say about that. LSU Tennessee they'll have
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: good shots as well. So anyway, I'm curious to see
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: how this shakes down. Despite the fact that only those
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: four conference champions are gonna draw bys and then the
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: fifth one probably almost certainly a group.
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: Of five champion.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: A G five conference champion's probably gonna be slotted in
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: at number twelve because that's in the bylaws there.
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: They're guaranteed a bid.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: But if they're not rated high, it's possible Boise State
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: could be higher up than that.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: But are they eleven and the eight people? I think
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: that's right.
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: I think Heather Dinich, looking at her college football projections YEP,
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: also had Boise State well at eleven. I'm curious, Craig
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: what the committee thinks of the SEC teams and what
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: they think of Oregon's win over Ohio State, because I
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: would argue that the best winning college football is Georgia
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: over Texas. Now, I know they have that one lass
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: and the undefeated stuff, but I wouldn't argue there is
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: an argument rather that Georgia could be number one.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: There are those who would do that. Speaking of Heather Dinach,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: this is for projected twelve team bracket. She has now
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: her seating is based on a projected top twelve from
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: the committee on a bracket, not how they would be
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: ranked currently.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Okay, which is so consioned.
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: I know.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: That's why I continue to remind folks this. The bracket
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: will be different because the top four are all going
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: to be conference champions. So there's no way that Georgia
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: and Texas can both be in the top four. There's
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: no way that Georgia and A and M can be
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: in the top four. There's no way that A and
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: M and Texas can be in the top four. Only
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: one from the SEC can be in the top four.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: All right, Her projection as Oregon number one, Georgia number two,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Miami number three, and by U number four.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: Those are the four Power four.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Conference champions that she's projecting Oregon win the Big Ten,
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: Georgia win the SEC, Miami to win the ACC, b
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: YU to win the Big twelve. Now keep this in mind,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: Oregon is, by her projection right now, the number one seed.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: If Oregon gets in the Big Ten championship game and
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: say lose as a rematch.
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: To Ohio State or heaven forbid, Indiana. Oh, if it
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: should get there, Indiana.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, if it were to happen, or Penn State
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: or Penn State. If it were to happen, Oregon wouldn't,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: like in pastures, only drop one or two or at
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: the most three spots and still be in that fourteen playoffs.
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: No, they'd drop out of the top four.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: The conference champion would replace them in the top four
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: drawing a bye. Now they might only fall to five,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: but they would drop out of the top four. So again,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: she's got Oregon, Georgia, Miami, and b YU in your
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: top four. Then in the twelve to five matchup, he's
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: got Penn State is the five, Tennessee is the twelve.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Then on that same side of the bracket, the eight
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: seed she has his Texas A and m the nine Indiana.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Then in the six and eleven matchup. She's got Ohio
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: State against Clemson, and the seven versus ten Texas against
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Boise State.
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: Ten, She's got she goes.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: This one is interesting because if Texas wins his first
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: round game, they'd have a rematch with Georgia. Texas and
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: Georgia could also play for the SEC championship. While possible,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: it's unlikely they would play each other three times because
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: if they were in the SEC title game, the Lousier
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: would have two losses and probably not earn the first.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: Round home game.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: It's a good point Boise State seeding in this example
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: matches its ranking, and the Broncos, as the top champion
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: from the group of five, wouldn't have to displace any
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: team in the committee's top twelve because they were already
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: ranked within it. That's a very important thing to keep
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: in mind that if they're already in that top twelve,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: they're not knocking out one of the quote unquote last
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: one in or last two inning. She has last two
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: in being Clemson, the eleven and Tennessee. The twelve, first
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: four out Notre Dame top of the list, Iowa State,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Kansas State, and Alabama, and then the next four oh
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: miss LSU, Pitt and SMU. Interesting. Pitt and SMU of
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: course plays Saturday night in Dallas, Big Game, Huge Jam.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Apparently not big enough for ESPN to displace an SEC game.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: It's on a ACC network that's got a lot of
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: people grumbling about that.
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: What could be really interesting here, Craig is, for instance,
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: the ACC, Like say Clemson loses to and who they
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: love in Pittsburgh before the season ends or somebody else.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Then they beat Miami in the College and the a
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: SEC Championship. They're in either as a three or four possibly,
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: but you think Miami stays in because that would be
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: their first loss. Of Miami remains undefeated, so kind of
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: just like an at large bid. Right, It's gonna be
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: the same thing with the college football playoff where all
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: of a sudden, maybe Tennessee team that might be number twelve,
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: and maybe they don't make the SEC Tower Game, so
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: they can't have a chance to bolster their record or
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: get that automatic berth. Maybe they're knocked out. Could be
• 11:19
  Speaker 3: the same thing with the Big twelve. Right, maybe BYU
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: remains undefeated and Iowa State and Iowa State because they
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: don't play each other, right, correct, But then say, whatever reason.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know. There's just so much could happen here.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: Where, although I think there's a very by her estimation,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: what you're saying is true. Let's say by you and
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: Iowa State both go twelve and zero and they meet.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: In Dallas or Arlington. You don't leave both.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: Out, No, because the winner's gonna win the Big Twelve championship,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: So they're gonna get a boy.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: Do you lose a loser out? I mean the loser
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: of that game? According to this, she got them out.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: She got Iowa stayed out, she said, I always state.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: And here's why Iowa State is eighty sixth in ESPN's
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: Strength of Schedule B. WHYU is fifty five B WHYU
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: currently leads with a thirty three percent chance to win
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: the Big Twelve, followed very closely by Iowa State. According
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: to ESPN Analytics. She has Kansas State on the outside logan,
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: she's the loss to B. Why you was holding them
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: back here? But the Wildcats keep finding ways to win,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: including Saturday against feisty rival Kansas. The win against the
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: two loss buffs looks even better now that they're Bowl eligible.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: Colorado. Yeah, case State's winning for Colorado, for sure.
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: Colorado has a pretty simple schedule. They could win out
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: and not make the big twelve time game. That's exactly
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: en nin ten wins.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Yep, yep. Well, and you could have that with Alabama.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: This is the first time a two loss team is
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: crept into this category, but one more teams have two
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: losses and two Alabama finally put together an impressive performance
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: against a decent Missouri team. The November ninth trip to
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: LSU is the last remaining chance to impress the committee
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: for Alabama, she writes, So anyway, there's some college much fun.
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: People were against expansion.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: Shame on you. You've heard me from the start say
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: more and more. I want sixteen. Get rid of those buys.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Let everybody there was sixteen team bracket?
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: Why not? All right? Uh?
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: Coming up, we'll hear more from Jerry Jones. Will we
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: continue on Sports Radio AM thirteen hunderd The Zone