Latest / BDGE Fantasy Football / Ranking Every Week 6 Running Back as a Sit or Start
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: Good morning, friends and enemies and welcome in to the week six running back preview show where we're going through every single game in the week six slate from a fantasy perspective talking through Every fantasy relevant running back and whether I think they are a start a sit a flex where the option will obviously be breaking down relevant injuries and snap counts and practice reports and all those kind of things in this video where six weeks in y'all know the deal.
- 0:27[SPEAKER_00]: Let us get moving.
- 0:28[SPEAKER_00]: So important to note we do have four teams on by Cincinnati, so there will be no chase brown We'll be no Somaje P-Rine Detroit, so there's no Jamir Gibbs for all the all that have been Getting free four or five wins up to this point in the season.
- 0:40[SPEAKER_00]: You got to figure it out another way Miami and Minnesota So no Ali Gordon and no Aaron Jones first game up on the slate.
- 0:48[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Seattle at Denver They play on Thursday night.
- 0:51[SPEAKER_00]: They are in Denver.
- 0:52[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 40 and a half point total
- 0:54[SPEAKER_00]: Not expecting a lot of offense out of these teams here.
- 0:56[SPEAKER_00]: The Broncos are underdogs.
- 0:58[SPEAKER_00]: The Seattle C-Ox have a two and a half point favorite spread here.
- 1:02[SPEAKER_00]: Emmanuel Wilson has stepped in handedly.
- 1:05[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, the Seattle C-Ox run game has been a trosis.
- 1:07[SPEAKER_00]: George Lonnie's really bad.
- 1:08[SPEAKER_00]: Emmanuel Wilson's not much better.
- 1:10[SPEAKER_00]: But he's getting all of the work in his backfield.
- 1:12[SPEAKER_00]: And I want to take a look at the practice reports right now to see what we have on the...
- 1:16[SPEAKER_00]: Secondary players here, Patrick Sertan, DNP on Monday and Tuesday, he's doubtful for this game.
- 1:21[SPEAKER_00]: It does look like they will be getting back Riley Moss though.
- 1:23[SPEAKER_00]: Likely, he's limited in both practices, can probably shoot up that rip here, so they'll get him back.
- 1:28[SPEAKER_00]: Funga is a double DNP as well, so the Broncos might be without multiple players in the secondary.
- 1:32[SPEAKER_00]: Again, maybe a little bit more of a passing attack for the Seattle Seahawks.
- 1:36[SPEAKER_00]: Would be wise with JSN versus no Patrick Sertan.
- 1:39[SPEAKER_00]: Regardless, Emmanuel Wilson continues to get fed 20 carries per game, 20 touches per game, the Denver defense is not anywhere near what it's been the previous few years.
- 1:49[SPEAKER_00]: Against the run here, you can see 7th most fantasy points allowed, 5th highest EPA per rush allowed.
- 1:54[SPEAKER_00]: Emmanuel Wilson is bad as he probably is as a player, and he will have very little roll once like DeDarion Price and or Zack Sharp and I are back.
- 2:01[SPEAKER_00]: I still think you continue to roll them out as it feels good player this week.
- 2:05[SPEAKER_00]: Last week on the flip side, we had Sean Payton basically take back over play calling duties.
- 2:10[SPEAKER_00]: That's still kind of like to be determined how much of a handprint he had on the offense already and whether or not that went from like 50, 50 to 100, 0.
- 2:17[SPEAKER_00]: Whatever the case may be, the biggest noticeable change was that RJ Harvey was like super not involved in the passing game here.
- 2:23[SPEAKER_00]: RJ Harvey was catching like eight passes a game up to this point.
- 2:26[SPEAKER_00]: It was a lot of the JK Dobbins show here.
- 2:28[SPEAKER_00]: Incredibly difficult match against the Seattle sea oxies.
- 2:31[SPEAKER_00]: You could see a lot of red across their running backs statistics.
- 2:33[SPEAKER_00]: The RJ Harvey one I will say is one that you should not over react to.
- 2:38[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, he didn't get involved in the passing game.
- 2:40[SPEAKER_00]: From weeks one through four, he was running 45% of the routes among the running backs.
- 2:45[SPEAKER_00]: In week five, he ran 45% of the route.
- 2:48[SPEAKER_00]: So the targets just simply did not go his way in this one.
- 2:51[SPEAKER_00]: So do not overreact.
- 2:52[SPEAKER_00]: He had basically the same exact usage.
- 2:55[SPEAKER_00]: He's not going to be in between the tackles guy.
- 2:57[SPEAKER_00]: So yes, he does have to make his head through the passing game, but like it won't be what it was on Sunday.
- 3:03[SPEAKER_00]: over and over again.
- 3:04[SPEAKER_00]: That being said, obviously the matchup is incredibly difficult here.
- 3:07[SPEAKER_00]: So with JK Dobbins, I think he's a shaky flex.
- 3:10[SPEAKER_00]: Finally had like a good game, but you can not trust him going forward.
- 3:13[SPEAKER_00]: I think RJ Harvey falls in there as well, and we've got to wait for the other backs to get healthy to talk about them going forward.
- 3:20[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we've got another London game for the Jacksonville Jaguars, 930 AM Eastern Time.
- 3:24[SPEAKER_00]: Houston is in London playing against Jacksonville, who will now be staying there for another week, obviously, because they played back to back games there.
- 3:31[SPEAKER_00]: So I think they should be more comfortable.
- 3:32[SPEAKER_00]: I think they should be better equipped.
- 3:34[SPEAKER_00]: They don't want to be as sloppy on the offensive side of things for the Jaguars.
- 3:37[SPEAKER_00]: So I do have hope.
- 3:38[SPEAKER_00]: For them, because they 42 and a half point total, the Jags are three point favorites against using Texans who got their first win.
- 3:45[SPEAKER_00]: Now, Domingo Ryan's did take over play calling duties for the Texans defensive side of the ball last week, and they look great versus the Titans, though, was against the Titans.
- 3:54[SPEAKER_00]: One injury note for the Jaguars, Antoine Harrison, their good right tackle is presumed to miss this game.
- 4:01[SPEAKER_00]: So they will be without some of their strength.
- 4:03[SPEAKER_00]: On the offensive line, that being said, I think Bayshal Tutans, again, looked really good, get the ton of touches.
- 4:09[SPEAKER_00]: If Liam Cohen stops being so sloppy on the goal line, I think most of these games will end in having Bayshal Tutans get into the end zone.
- 4:17[SPEAKER_00]: So it is a very tough match-up.
- 4:18[SPEAKER_00]: The Houston Texans defense is obviously super super good, not easy to run against, but I still trust the Jacksonville Jaguar's offense.
- 4:24[SPEAKER_00]: I still trust the play calling, and I very much trust
- 4:27[SPEAKER_00]: the role of Basial 2, and so he continues to be someone that you just need to have in your lineup as your RB2 and feel pretty good about it.
- 4:35[SPEAKER_00]: We don't want to start Chris Rodriguez, obviously.
- 4:37[SPEAKER_00]: Now on the flip side, we've got Dave Montgomery out for this one.
- 4:39[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to be out at least this game.
- 4:41[SPEAKER_00]: They do have their buying a couple of weeks, so I would assume Dave Montgomery probably misses the games leading up to that, which you mean Woody Marx ends up being the bell cow here.
- 4:49[SPEAKER_00]: Now.
- 4:50[SPEAKER_00]: a couple things at play, uh, Woody Marx.
- 4:52[SPEAKER_00]: He does look improved from last year.
- 4:53[SPEAKER_00]: I don't want to say like, oh, my, my, I test of looking at Woody Marx means now he's going to be an efficient runner because I just don't think that's really his game, but he will very much operate as the bell cow here.
- 5:03[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, I think Dari and Gumbuwale played.
- 5:06[SPEAKER_00]: like one or two snaps last game to Woody Marx is like 55.
- 5:09[SPEAKER_00]: It's clear that they trust in behind David Montgomery here.
- 5:11[SPEAKER_00]: And I think Woody Marx going in to Jacksonville, Jaguar's defense.
- 5:15[SPEAKER_00]: They're an extremely extremely difficult defense to run against, you know, no one gets yardage against them.
- 5:20[SPEAKER_00]: But I think Woody Marx will have enough volume that I'm not worried about it.
- 5:24[SPEAKER_00]: So he should be in your lineup this week as well.
- 5:27[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to operate as the pass catcher.
- 5:29[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to operate as the goal line back.
- 5:31[SPEAKER_00]: So just by pure volume, and the Houston offense has looked a bit better here, especially since Nico has gotten back.
- 5:36[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm, you know, cautiously optimistic about Woody Marx.
- 5:39[SPEAKER_00]: His role will be great.
- 5:41[SPEAKER_00]: This is a really tough matchup.
- 5:42[SPEAKER_00]: I still think he deserves to be in your flex spot at the worst.
- 5:45[SPEAKER_00]: And then when they get a lighter matchup next week, it'll look even better.
- 5:48[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Carolina at the Philadelphia Eagles.
- 5:50[SPEAKER_00]: First one PM slate here.
- 5:52[SPEAKER_00]: We have a 40 and a half point total.
- 5:54[SPEAKER_00]: The Panthers are one and a half point underdogs.
- 5:56[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in Philadelphia.
- 6:03[SPEAKER_00]: The Panthers will be getting back at least one of, oh, we don't practice reports for the Sunday games yet at least one of if not both Damien Lewis their interior guard and Taylor Moton at tackle.
- 6:15[SPEAKER_00]: I would less expect Taylor Moton to be ready to go.
- 6:17[SPEAKER_00]: I think they're both back at practice, but Moton's been
- 6:19[SPEAKER_00]: out since January.
- 6:20[SPEAKER_00]: So it probably takes me some time to ramp up.
- 6:22[SPEAKER_00]: But I think they get back Damien Lewis in this one, which would be an upgrade to the offensive line.
- 6:25[SPEAKER_00]: Chubes are already playing kind of out of his mind from a fantasy perspective.
- 6:28[SPEAKER_00]: I think he has a similar role to all these guys to be honest with you, but the Philadelphia matchup is just not one that we're really scared of anymore.
- 6:34[SPEAKER_00]: And the Panthers.
- 6:35[SPEAKER_00]: offense, which was one of our main concerns about like Chewba or Jonathan Brooks whoever ends up being the one A there is like we don't have a lot of upside in this offense to begin with they are coming off of the buy now so they'll be fresh they'll be healthy and they're often just looked a lot better than we're giving credit for so you know I do think in terms of the range of projections he'll probably be right around Wilson too in Woody marks all guys you can project for somewhere between like 17 and 20 touches these guys all have ridiculously tough matchups I think the matchup with the Eagles is
- 7:04[SPEAKER_00]: You know, a little bit easier, but I like the offensive prowess a bit for the Carolina Panthers here.
- 7:10[SPEAKER_00]: So, chew, but yeah, if you want to put him in the top of the field is good, the bottom of the must start, whatever.
- 7:13[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to be in your lineups regardless.
- 7:15[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, we are still dealing with a ton of injuries for Philadelphia.
- 7:18[SPEAKER_00]: Very tough to figure out right now.
- 7:20[SPEAKER_00]: They said they expect one of maybe sick one Barclay or to want to Smith to be back.
- 7:25[SPEAKER_00]: I would definitely have backup plans if I say one Barclay.
- 7:28[SPEAKER_00]: I don't feel overly confident that he's going to be back this week.
- 7:30[SPEAKER_00]: The is back.
- 7:31[SPEAKER_00]: It's a good matter.
- 7:31[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, and you know, say, Juan's going to be in your lineup.
- 7:34[SPEAKER_00]: If he misses, we already have tank bigs we out.
- 7:36[SPEAKER_00]: We have will ship me now probably out multiple weeks.
- 7:38[SPEAKER_00]: We have Damien Pierce kind of stepping in as.
- 7:41[SPEAKER_00]: the every downish back, I'm sure they will activate another running back, Carson Seale was activated, they'll probably pull up another back, because you need to have three backs on your roster.
- 7:49[SPEAKER_00]: I feel okay about Damian Pierce.
- 7:51[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to be honest with you, they're going to give him a ton of work.
- 7:53[SPEAKER_00]: And while the Philadelphia offense hasn't looked great, they're not effective with the Tosh Bush, they aren't playing the Carolina defense.
- 7:59[SPEAKER_00]: So I think Damian Pierce will end up playing like,
- 8:02[SPEAKER_00]: 65 to 75% of the snaps and you could do worse than that as a flex play.
- 8:06[SPEAKER_00]: So do I think he's a dub flex play?
- 8:08[SPEAKER_00]: Am I like super excited to have him know?
- 8:10[SPEAKER_00]: But he definitely belongs in the category of the RJ Harvey's to JK Dobbins of the world based on the opposite effect of their matchups.
- 8:16[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously this is all coming down to whether or not they take one please.
- 8:19[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we've got the Chicago Bears at the Atlanta Falcons here, a 49.5 point total.
- 8:25[SPEAKER_00]: The Falcons are three point underdogs, despite being at home playing the dome obviously, so really good environment, really good weather, be genre Robinson, a really good player going right into the Must-Start category.
- 8:34[SPEAKER_00]: The other side is a little bit tough to figure out here, because we have multiple things at play.
- 8:39[SPEAKER_00]: We have Caleb Williams, where
- 8:41[SPEAKER_00]: You know, a lot of the reports have been that they're optimistic he could return in week six.
- 8:46[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think I'm fully buying that yet.
- 8:47[SPEAKER_00]: If I had to lean one way or another, I would go 51 49, but I don't think it's like the 80 20 that they're making it out to be right now.
- 8:54[SPEAKER_00]: So I think there's a chance that we get another week of case kingdom and or Tyson Bayesian, wherever they decide to throw out there, which is obviously not great for a guy like Swift.
- 9:03[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he'll be fine.
- 9:04[SPEAKER_00]: But he's also dealing with his own kind of like,
- 9:07[SPEAKER_00]: nagging injuries.
- 9:08[SPEAKER_00]: He did not play much in the second half of that game, whether that was like more score related or injury related.
- 9:14[SPEAKER_00]: He came into the game a little bit banged up.
- 9:16[SPEAKER_00]: So I think that's something to keep an eye on.
- 9:18[SPEAKER_00]: The practice reports this week.
- 9:19[SPEAKER_00]: I expect Swift to suit up, but he's clearly less than a hundred percent.
- 9:23[SPEAKER_00]: This is a pretty tough.
- 9:24[SPEAKER_00]: Atlanta run defense though.
- 9:25[SPEAKER_00]: I think they've overperformed what they actually are up to this point.
- 9:28[SPEAKER_00]: This isn't in your starting to see their numbers kind of come back down to earth.
- 9:31[SPEAKER_00]: Come on, Nungai is dealing with a week to week turf toe injury.
- 9:34[SPEAKER_00]: So he's someone where we're going to have to you know monitor practice reports on him.
- 9:38[SPEAKER_00]: I would probably lean him being out, but, you know, you never know.
- 9:42[SPEAKER_00]: And then behind Swift, if Kalmanungai doesn't play, you have Rochon Johnson who every time he, I mean, he's not a good runner at all.
- 9:48[SPEAKER_00]: But every time he's on the fields for the bears, he seems to see a very high floor in terms of like
- 9:53[SPEAKER_00]: pass catching and receptions.
- 9:55[SPEAKER_00]: So you're definitely not playing him, but I will say like if you're in a very deep league and he's available on the wire, I don't think he's like the worst speculative edge is to kind of keep an eye on what's going on with the Andre Swift if he is a little bit more banged up than given credit for.
- 10:08[SPEAKER_00]: But if the Andre Swift plays, I mean he's going into your lineup, obviously very, very high floor player.
- 10:12[SPEAKER_00]: Other than that, yeah, there's no one else we want to get into our lineups.
- 10:15[SPEAKER_00]: You know, people are going to go crazy about Brian Robinson the first couple weeks, but like, you
- 10:18[SPEAKER_00]: Again, he's, he's, he's nothing but a handcuff.
- 10:20[SPEAKER_00]: People are just going to have a residency bias based on whoever was like the most previous highly used handcuff, whether it's K-Long black and we go on and then Brian Robinson this week, whatever.
- 10:28[SPEAKER_00]: It's like enough.
- 10:29[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Baltimore at Cleveland.
- 10:32[SPEAKER_00]: So the Cleveland Browns are four and a half point underdogs at home.
- 10:35[SPEAKER_00]: So they 41 and a half point total.
- 10:37[SPEAKER_00]: We have some relative optimism about Lamar Jackson coming back to this game, but I am.
- 10:43[SPEAKER_00]: I'm a little skeptical about that.
- 10:45[SPEAKER_00]: I wouldn't say I'm overly optimistic that we do see Lamar return for this one.
- 10:49[SPEAKER_00]: I think this bread will probably be a lot higher.
- 10:51[SPEAKER_00]: We probably won't see a ton of lines on the board until we get more news on Lamar Jackson.
- 10:56[SPEAKER_00]: But he was fully D&P'd last week, so I would project him being out.
- 11:00[SPEAKER_00]: But again, you never say never, Derek Henry's of course a must-start regardless.
- 11:04[SPEAKER_00]: I will say his like projections if you're like a D&P.
- 11:06[SPEAKER_00]: the FS player or something will swing a little bit wildly depending on what happens for the Cleveland Brown's defensive line.
- 11:13[SPEAKER_00]: So last week, I was really, really high on Braille on Allen having a big bounce back game because of the Browns being without both Mason Graham and Michael.
- 11:22[SPEAKER_00]: They're two starting defensive tackles.
- 11:24[SPEAKER_00]: If they don't have them for this game against the Ravens, they're going to be in hell against Derek Henry.
- 11:29[SPEAKER_00]: Henry might have a massive game if those two guys are out.
- 11:32[SPEAKER_00]: Mason Graham is weak to weak.
- 11:33[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not really sure about my call status, but that's one to really, really keep an eye on if like the Derek Henry sits start decision somehow matters for you, depending on what your game type is.
- 11:42[SPEAKER_00]: For the Browns, a little bit more of a tricky situation now.
- 11:46[SPEAKER_00]: They have Quintchau Jutkins, who is obviously seen in a walking boot after the game.
- 11:50[SPEAKER_00]: I told y'all to like kind of relax and not
- 11:52[SPEAKER_00]: overly emphasize a walking boot.
- 11:54[SPEAKER_00]: They say he's day to day and it's nothing crazy.
- 11:56[SPEAKER_00]: So I think he has a real shot to suit up for week six.
- 11:59[SPEAKER_00]: And I know everyone was like kind of up in arms because they went out and signed Audrick S. to me off of maybe the Saints practice quite a forget who's practice quite he was on.
- 12:08[SPEAKER_00]: They signed him and they were like, oh, there's concern for Quintchard Jutkins incorrect Reem Sanders ended up getting placed on the IR.
- 12:14[SPEAKER_00]: So they don't have any depth at running back because Dylan Samson's been out this whole time.
- 12:17[SPEAKER_00]: Although they are opening his 21-day practice window.
- 12:21[SPEAKER_00]: So it seems Samson could be back probably not this week, but within the next, you know, two or three weeks.
- 12:27[SPEAKER_00]: Unless we see other major moves at the running back position for the Cleveland Browns, who they would turn to like Jelil McCoffelin and Alder Gasame as a duo, which is
- 12:35[SPEAKER_00]: disgusting coming out of your mouth.
- 12:38[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a decent chance when John Duncan suits up for this game regardless tough match against the Ravens.
- 12:42[SPEAKER_00]: Well, not have a good game script forum.
- 12:44[SPEAKER_00]: His floor is very very low as we've seen.
- 12:46[SPEAKER_00]: He's had like one good game.
- 12:47[SPEAKER_00]: So I would put Johnkins as a shaky flex kind of regardless of what else is going on in the situation there for Cleveland.
- 12:54[SPEAKER_00]: Moving on to the Jets versus the New England Patriots.
- 12:57[SPEAKER_00]: So we have a 43.5 point total.
- 12:59[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in Foxboro.
- 13:01[SPEAKER_00]: The Patriots are seven and a half point favorites here.
- 13:04[SPEAKER_00]: Trayvon Henderson has a high in close friend.
- 13:06[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to be out multiple weeks, which basically means Ramonjre Stevenson's a must start for me, Vegas has him at 90 total yards, minus 185 anytime touchdown three and a half receptions.
- 13:15[SPEAKER_00]: Even if you don't think his good, the role is incredibly juicy here.
- 13:19[SPEAKER_00]: So Ramondra goes right into the Mustard category.
- 13:21[SPEAKER_00]: Breeze Hall, a little bit trickier.
- 13:24[SPEAKER_00]: I think his return to play time, I would have put the over under three and a half weeks.
- 13:28[SPEAKER_00]: Early on when he had the injury, I think that's probably still the projection here.
- 13:32[SPEAKER_00]: I would say 50, 50 for him to return this upcoming week, but I'm not overly optimistic about it.
- 13:36[SPEAKER_00]: So we might see another big game from Braille on Allen, though the Patriots, Interior, Defense of Line against Williams and Christian Barmore is much, much louder than a,
- 13:47[SPEAKER_00]: You know, amazing ram and my call lists Cleveland Brown.
- 13:51[SPEAKER_00]: So I think he'll struggle a little bit more to find running room.
- 13:53[SPEAKER_00]: So I would actually put him his role.
- 13:56[SPEAKER_00]: I guess you got to put him into the fields.
- 13:57[SPEAKER_00]: Good category here.
- 13:58[SPEAKER_00]: These guys.
- 13:59[SPEAKER_00]: Interesting.
- 14:00[SPEAKER_00]: Like I don't know that I feel super good about any of them to be honest with you, but they all have extremely similar outlooks this week where you have manual wheels and base all two and what he marks Braille and Allen against.
- 14:10[SPEAKER_00]: four of the better run defenses, despite what some of the numbers say up to this point, they are like the bell cows in their backfield, but like we don't feel super optimistic about any of them in terms of like overwhelming talent or anything like that, outside of like two intangence, obviously a cut-a-cut above the rest of them, but he's arguably got the toughest matchup.
- 14:28[SPEAKER_00]: So I think if I'm putting Braille on Allen, you know, into these guys' projections being similar, then I guess I put them into the same tier.
- 14:35[SPEAKER_00]: If Reshall plays, yeah, I guess you can throw them into like the feels good category as well, though I don't feel super good about him to be honest that you and then you're not playing Braille on Allen, of course.
- 14:43[SPEAKER_00]: And behind Remondra is Stevenson, I should also just know they had Corey Clienter come in, but he lost the fumble, so I just think it's gonna be Remondra taking 90% of the opportunities in that backfield.
- 14:52[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got the Saints at the New York Giants.
- 14:55[SPEAKER_00]: Another very sloppy backfield to figure out is a 45 and a half point total.
- 14:59[SPEAKER_00]: They're playing in New York.
- 15:00[SPEAKER_00]: It looks like we might have normal weather for like the first time fucking ever in New York on a Sunday, no rain here, cool, just nine mile an hour wins.
- 15:09[SPEAKER_00]: All right, cool, cool, cool, cool, cool.
- 15:11[SPEAKER_00]: For the first time, we might get a weekend without fucking rain here.
- 15:14[SPEAKER_00]: The problem is,
- 15:16[SPEAKER_00]: What's going on in these backfields?
- 15:17[SPEAKER_00]: Cam continues to lose work to Najee Harris.
- 15:20[SPEAKER_00]: He had a very costly, almost costly fumble at the end of the game last week.
- 15:24[SPEAKER_00]: And we saw our ball kind of put Tyrone Tracy immediately into the doghouse during the preseason when he fumbled.
- 15:30[SPEAKER_00]: So love the matchup, the Saints defense is pretty fucking bad right now.
- 15:35[SPEAKER_00]: I just, it's hard to have a ton of optimism with Camp Skatabo and what his actual role is, given they are allowing Najir to touch the ball as much as he is and Tyrone Tracy getting involved here.
- 15:49[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to put camp a touch below these guys, although it should be noted, Vegas does have his total yards at 70, which is around the same tier.
- 15:58[SPEAKER_00]: As these guys unfortunately is reception line still like one and a half year, which is where we thought a lot of the upside would come from so you know you'll have cam in there But you're obviously not starting anyone else in the giants backfield the other sides a little bit more tricky We have kind of like a changing of the guard there.
- 16:12[SPEAKER_00]: We're kind of a Miller ended up out tearing and out touching Alvin Kamara heavily It last week, but
- 16:17[SPEAKER_00]: I'm probably willing to throw away most of what we saw for the Saints' offense last week because they're playing in some Minnesota Vikings and that's just a defense that's impossible to do anything against.
- 16:26[SPEAKER_00]: Kendra Miller wasn't effective on the ground, but he did get the goal line score.
- 16:28[SPEAKER_00]: And then Kamara was kind of like useless between him and CJ Donaldson.
- 16:31[SPEAKER_00]: Do I think that's going to be the case going forward most of the time?
- 16:34[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, no, I don't.
- 16:35[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's kind of what I expected when I picked Kendra up two weeks ago.
- 16:39[SPEAKER_00]: And then it didn't really happen.
- 16:40[SPEAKER_00]: Kamara is still going to be their main pass catching back.
- 16:42[SPEAKER_00]: It's a good matchup against the New York Giants, but it's
- 16:45[SPEAKER_00]: definitely difficult to sus out like what the actual split is going to be.
- 16:48[SPEAKER_00]: She'd also be noted that tomorrow kind of came into the week on the injury report with a little bit of a back injury.
- 16:54[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe that played into his role being downsize quite a bit, but regardless, I think both of these guys go into the shaky flex category at best.
- 17:01[SPEAKER_00]: And of course, as always, if you guys want my actual rankings in terms of where
- 17:06[SPEAKER_00]: these guys rank relative to each other within these tiers, et cetera.
- 17:09[SPEAKER_00]: And you know, the flex rankings for everybody, those will be available on the site for fantasy members, bdge.co.
- 17:18[SPEAKER_00]: Next game up, we've got Pittsburgh at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, first yellow weather game of the Slates.
- 17:24[SPEAKER_00]: We are in Tampa Bay, so we're getting them Florida showers, a 40 and a half point total here.
- 17:29[SPEAKER_00]: The practice report's going to matter a lot for this game, because we have on the Pittsburgh side of things,
- 17:35[SPEAKER_00]: felt like kind of last minute last week on our obviously led to an explosion game from Jalen Warren who's just been lights out since Riko Dottle went out with the turf though though he was limited in practice all week which typically points to a guy shooting up so I would be way more surprised if he didn't play this upcoming week that being said you know Mike McCarthy came out and basically said like Jalen Warren's our featured player right now whether or not that's real you know remains to be seen I am
- 18:01[SPEAKER_00]: If I'm looking at the players on the board, without a doubt, start jailing Warren over all of these guys, no doubt about it.
- 18:07[SPEAKER_00]: So with that being said, like, you know, I'm throwing him into the Mustard category until we see a game where, you know, it's like 12 touches for Warren and 11 for Riko Dattle, you just ride jailing Warren into the ground and hope he continues to have these explosion games.
- 18:19[SPEAKER_00]: They're also dealing with a ton of...
- 18:21[SPEAKER_00]: wider silver injuries right now.
- 18:22[SPEAKER_00]: Roman Wilson's out in Michael Pippin Jr's out.
- 18:24[SPEAKER_00]: So like the passing game, I think is going to continue to work around a lot of the running backs with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback.
- 18:30[SPEAKER_00]: If we go down to plays like he's a shaky flex at best there, flipside, still a little bit confusing in the Tampa Bay backfield week to week.
- 18:38[SPEAKER_00]: It feels like we're just kind of playing whack-a-roll figuring out who's roll is what?
- 18:42[SPEAKER_00]: Bucky looked phenomenal against the Dallas Cowboys.
- 18:44[SPEAKER_00]: This is a little bit of a more difficult match.
- 18:46[SPEAKER_00]: Of course against the Pittsburgh Steelers here.
- 18:50[SPEAKER_00]: weather report to make sure there's nothing we're overlooking.
- 18:52[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, this is just windy.
- 18:55[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, why it's caution winds up to 20 miles per hour.
- 18:57[SPEAKER_00]: Very little chance of rain.
- 18:58[SPEAKER_00]: So, okay, I lied about the showers out there.
- 19:00[SPEAKER_00]: So, are usually the yellow indicates that there will be some sort of rain in the game.
- 19:04[SPEAKER_00]: But if there's no rain, we're not concerned whatsoever about the wind.
- 19:07[SPEAKER_00]: Really, maybe if you're talking about deep passers.
- 19:10[SPEAKER_00]: But we talk about running backs in this video.
- 19:11[SPEAKER_00]: So, that doesn't matter for us.
- 19:13[SPEAKER_00]: We have to keep an eye on Baker Mayfield.
- 19:15[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a very, very real chance that he returns
- 19:17[SPEAKER_00]: four weeks six and is the quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jalen Daniels filled in pretty admirably but obviously you want Baker under center if you have fantasy players attached to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers so Bucky definitely put him into this category of guys that I think will get 15 to 20 touches and is just a good player and probably more talented most of the guys on the board here so Bucky will be in my lineup no one else in this on this team will be in my lineup so we can move to the next game which is Tennessee at
- 19:42[SPEAKER_00]: the Indianapolis Colts Jonathan Taylor is going right back into the Mustard category.
- 19:46[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, this is a 44 and a half point total feels pretty high for what both of these offenses don't do.
- 19:53[SPEAKER_00]: The Colts are seven point favorites here.
- 19:55[SPEAKER_00]: Also feels pretty high for a team.
- 19:56[SPEAKER_00]: It's not very good.
- 19:57[SPEAKER_00]: So JT is the guy on the flip side.
- 19:59[SPEAKER_00]: You've got this split between 20 Pollard and Tajay Spears.
- 20:02[SPEAKER_00]: I'm pretty sure from not mistaken.
- 20:03[SPEAKER_00]: Tajay Spears call it like nine passes last week.
- 20:06[SPEAKER_00]: So for the
- 20:07[SPEAKER_00]: Titans backfield, like it's a great matchup versus the Colts defense, as you can see, literally dead last in EPA per run, second to last and success rate, six most fantasy points allowed to the position.
- 20:19[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think the Colts are good enough offense to have the game script get away from the Titans, and we saw that last week where they got killed by the Texan, so a lot of it went in favor of Tajik Spears, he ended up with nine targets in this game.
- 20:31[SPEAKER_00]: It was a pure 50-50 split backfield.
- 20:34[SPEAKER_00]: Man, I will say, with Taj J Spears, like probably won't happen, but I think he should definitely be stashed on your benches if he's available on the waiver wire, because Tony Pollard feels like such an obvious trade candidate before the deadline, like there are running back needy teams.
- 20:49[SPEAKER_00]: There's a lot of injuries right now.
- 20:51[SPEAKER_00]: He's someone that could probably be had for 6 or 7th round pick at this point, and what's the point of the Titans giving him?
- 20:56[SPEAKER_00]: All these carries like you don't you you're not winning games regardless, but I think the script goes way more in favor of you know a 20-pollard game than it does a Tajaj Spears game But I still think they're going 50-50 in the backfield and you know the defensive matchup could be much much worse So I got Pollard in the dub flex to your Vegas has him at 60 total yards 10 receiving yards is you know He might back his way into the ends.
- 21:16[SPEAKER_00]: I don't feel great about him, but like you could definitely do worse at flex during by weeks Next game we've got the Arizona Cardinals at the LAA Rams
- 21:25[SPEAKER_00]: The Rams are 12 and a half point favorites here.
- 21:28[SPEAKER_00]: 51 and a half point total.
- 21:29[SPEAKER_00]: Kyron is a fucking animal goes right into the Mustard category.
- 21:32[SPEAKER_00]: The other side of things is very, very, very tricky.
- 21:34[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, Jeremiah Love, 12 carries for 22 yards.
- 21:37[SPEAKER_00]: He's been inefficient.
- 21:38[SPEAKER_00]: He's not catching a ton of passes.
- 21:40[SPEAKER_00]: Tyler Algier is playing a ton of snaps here.
- 21:43[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't want to write off Jeremiah Love right now, but this definitely ain't the matchup to feel confident about him.
- 21:49[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going into the shaky flex category.
- 21:51[SPEAKER_00]: He'll be, you know, towards the top of it, just because he is very talented, but he's clearly dealing with some sort of injury and the Cardinals offensive line is just a mess right now.
- 22:00[SPEAKER_00]: Their offense is really, really poor, obviously too.
- 22:02[SPEAKER_00]: So don't feel good about him.
- 22:03[SPEAKER_00]: Don't feel good about Algier.
- 22:05[SPEAKER_00]: Blake Korm, you know, you can kind of talk yourself into him coming off of.
- 22:08[SPEAKER_00]: his best game of the season and in a game script where they are 12 and a half point favorites, they can get up pretty big pretty quickly.
- 22:14[SPEAKER_00]: So you know, this could be another game where Blake Horm ends up getting double digit touches ends up getting a goal line score.
- 22:21[SPEAKER_00]: Don't want him in my lineup, but like you probably could do worse.
- 22:23[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Buffalo at the Las Vegas Raiders.
- 22:26[SPEAKER_00]: So Buffalo just played in LA.
- 22:28[SPEAKER_00]: They're actually staying on the West Coast.
- 22:30[SPEAKER_00]: So I actually liked that a little bit more than coming back and then traveling again, I think they'll be a little bit more situated out there.
- 22:35[SPEAKER_00]: This offense is obviously humming, hopefully they get DJ Moreback and they could be at full strength.
- 22:41[SPEAKER_00]: Regardless, this is a running back video, so James Cook, of course, is in the Mustart category for as many touchdowns as Josh Allen steals James Cook is still like among the league leaders at running back in rushing touchdowns like I couldn't imagine how many he would get if Josh Allen was not their quarterback.
- 22:56[SPEAKER_00]: but also, you know, how good would the offense be?
- 22:57[SPEAKER_00]: If you wasn't, you guys get the point.
- 22:59[SPEAKER_00]: James Cook is awesome.
- 23:00[SPEAKER_00]: They just have so many online opportunities.
- 23:02[SPEAKER_00]: 53 and a half point total in this game.
- 23:04[SPEAKER_00]: The bills are five and a half point favorites.
- 23:06[SPEAKER_00]: His yardage is up over 100.
- 23:08[SPEAKER_00]: Anytime touchdown is minus 180 for him.
- 23:10[SPEAKER_00]: So James Cook in your lineup, obviously, flip side a little bit more difficult to figure out here with Ashton Gentie, because he is another guy that's
- 23:18[SPEAKER_00]: Pretty clearly I think playing through an injury.
- 23:20[SPEAKER_00]: He's not been efficient whatsoever.
- 23:22[SPEAKER_00]: Bill's defense is pretty pretty bad.
- 23:24[SPEAKER_00]: So I still feel relatively good about him.
- 23:26[SPEAKER_00]: His workload is going to be good.
- 23:27[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to catch passes three and a half reception line is pretty strong here.
- 23:30[SPEAKER_00]: But obviously we're not really getting the explosives.
- 23:31[SPEAKER_00]: We're not getting a bunch of touchdowns out of him.
- 23:33[SPEAKER_00]: So I think he belongs in the conversation with the rest of these guys that are kind of in this feels good category.
- 23:37[SPEAKER_00]: Then you know, Ty Johnson had a big game, but that was whatever.
- 23:41[SPEAKER_00]: We ain't talking about it.
- 23:42[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got the Chargers at the Kansas City Chiefs.
- 23:44[SPEAKER_00]: The Chiefs are eight and a half point favorites.
- 23:46[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 42 and a half point total here.
- 23:48[SPEAKER_00]: The Chiefs coming off of the buy kind of walker, of course, is going right into the Mustart category.
- 23:52[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to have a massive game.
- 23:53[SPEAKER_00]: The other side of things extremely difficult to figure out.
- 23:56[SPEAKER_00]: They are basically splitting carries and touches between the three backfield mates.
- 24:01[SPEAKER_00]: Dead evenly like 35% of the snaps going to Hampton 35 to Vidal 35 to keep Mitchell and it is just clean across the board you don't know who's going to touch down.
- 24:09[SPEAKER_00]: You don't know who's going to catch the passes.
- 24:11[SPEAKER_00]: We have the offensive line in shambles right now.
- 24:13[SPEAKER_00]: No reshons later.
- 24:14[SPEAKER_00]: We don't know if Joe all's going to come back this week.
- 24:16[SPEAKER_00]: Justin Herbert likely dealing with a high ankle spraying probably plays, but like I don't know regardless.
- 24:23[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how to not put all of them into the rather not category, but I also don't know how to put all of them into the not in the shaky flex category, they're not guys I want to start we'll put it that way, but like I also don't know that I would blame anyone for starting any of those three is crazy as that sounds they're they're bad the charge of situation is horrendous the chief should dominate this game.
- 24:43[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we've got the Dallas Cowboys at the Green Bay Packers for Sunday night football.
- 24:47[SPEAKER_00]: It's gonna be a fun game.
- 24:48[SPEAKER_00]: 52 and a half point total here.
- 24:50[SPEAKER_00]: The Cowboys are one and a half point underdogs.
- 24:52[SPEAKER_00]: They'll feel great about Javante Williams, despite him having relatively four games every other week, but you know, he always rumbles his way into a touchdown here.
- 25:00[SPEAKER_00]: Any time touchdown line is minus 200.
- 25:03[SPEAKER_00]: That's match with B. John.
- 25:04[SPEAKER_00]: That's better than Kenneth Walker.
- 25:06[SPEAKER_00]: So obviously he's going into your lineups and the match was great versus the Green Bay Packers.
- 25:10[SPEAKER_00]: Week fronts.
- 25:11[SPEAKER_00]: Matcha was also great for the Green Bay Packers running backs here versus Dallas.
- 25:14[SPEAKER_00]: You can see a lot of green across the board.
- 25:16[SPEAKER_00]: I'm actually kind of confident about Marshall Lloyd.
- 25:18[SPEAKER_00]: He was someone that I highlighted last week in the running back rankings video where I thought he would have a strong game because Christopher Brooks was out there and they called up here strong.
- 25:27[SPEAKER_00]: to play in this game.
- 25:28[SPEAKER_00]: And Caleb Johnson basically did not play at all.
- 25:31[SPEAKER_00]: So it was a two man backfield between Martian Lloyd and Pierre Strong.
- 25:34[SPEAKER_00]: Pierre Strong playing in more of like the obvious passing situations and past blocking stuff.
- 25:39[SPEAKER_00]: But it does give me a lot more confidence, assuming Christopher Brooks is out, assuming Josh Jacobs is obviously out like that.
- 25:44[SPEAKER_00]: Martian Lloyd is going to be their featured back.
- 25:47[SPEAKER_00]: The offensive line is also looked
- 25:49[SPEAKER_00]: decently better since signing all the veterans and it's not like this is a matchup where they can get overpowered.
- 25:53[SPEAKER_00]: I think that offensive line will probably Ben Ben Ben and then break when they're playing against better defenses, but they've been improved slightly over the last couple of weeks.
- 26:01[SPEAKER_00]: It's given me more confidence.
- 26:03[SPEAKER_00]: And I think I would start March on Lloyd over a guy like Tony Pollard.
- 26:06[SPEAKER_00]: Do I expect explosion game from him?
- 26:08[SPEAKER_00]: No, but his touchdown line of minus 165 is really, really, really strong.
- 26:12[SPEAKER_00]: It's just one of those running backs.
- 26:14[SPEAKER_00]: getting the workload right situation.
- 26:16[SPEAKER_00]: So really the only guy you're considering for the Green Bay Packers moving on to the final game of the week.
- 26:23[SPEAKER_00]: We've got the Washington Commanders at San Francisco for Sunday night football Washington traveling cross-country.
- 26:28[SPEAKER_00]: They are seven and a half point underdogs.
- 26:30[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 50 and a half point total.
- 26:32[SPEAKER_00]: Let's see what the weather concerns are here.
- 26:34[SPEAKER_00]: We have wind 16 miles per hour.
- 26:37[SPEAKER_00]: So it's 15 to 20 range light chance of rain.
- 26:39[SPEAKER_00]: I've probably got to fix that or wind doesn't really matter much, but
- 26:42[SPEAKER_00]: worth noting, so unless there's rain in the mix, we don't care, Christian McCaffery going to the Mustart category.
- 26:47[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, Flipside, Jekora Kroskin, we're at finally had a pretty good game last week with Jaden Daniels finally coming back.
- 26:53[SPEAKER_00]: Do I think that is like sticky?
- 26:56[SPEAKER_00]: Not in the sense that I expect big touchdown plays or anything like that, but Jekora Kroskin,
- 27:01[SPEAKER_00]: the team in touches in games at least where they are not following behind, but this could be one of them.
- 27:05[SPEAKER_00]: As more than touchdown underdogs and the San Francisco 49ers offense is really good.
- 27:10[SPEAKER_00]: Their defense has been really good, although they are pretty banged up, so I won't be an elite defense, I don't think.
- 27:15[SPEAKER_00]: So for right now, I look at your Cory, probably similar to how I look at like a JK Dobbins, Quinshot Junkkins, where like can project 12 to 15 carries most likely, but hard to project them for a touchdown, the game scripts not working in their favor, Rashad Whites also not a guy that I want in my lineup either, neither is I guess K-Lomblack and go in there, all these guys, whatever, whatever, whatever.
- 27:35[SPEAKER_00]: All right, so nice little quick video for y'all because we do have four teams on buy.
- 27:39[SPEAKER_00]: So here's a more large scale view for you.
- 27:43[SPEAKER_00]: We actually have 13 players in the most dark category, six in the fields.
- 27:46[SPEAKER_00]: Good, three in the dub flex, not a lot of great flex options where you could obviously argue that like the Woody Marxes, the Allen's, the manual Wilson's belong more in the dub flex category than the feels good category, but I just feel a lot better about.
- 27:58[SPEAKER_00]: they're projected workload than I do.
- 28:00[SPEAKER_00]: The campskattabos and March on Lloyds of the world right now plus a little bit more of their upside.
- 28:05[SPEAKER_00]: So these guys operate as a bell.
- 28:06[SPEAKER_00]: They're like less talented bell cows against tough matchups.
- 28:09[SPEAKER_00]: You guys get the fucking plan I said 40 times already.
- 28:12[SPEAKER_00]: As always, like I said, you can
- 28:14[SPEAKER_00]: Grab the rankings right now on bdge.co.
- 28:17[SPEAKER_00]: If you're a fantasy member, you can get it free for the remainder of the year.
- 28:21[SPEAKER_00]: The remainder of the fantasy season through our partner website, better mgm if you're a new user and you use code bdge when you deposit for the first time.
- 28:28[SPEAKER_00]: So as you sign up as a new user, use our code to pause it and play any slip of $10 or more and you will get a promo code in app to use on our website.
- 28:36[SPEAKER_00]: You get the entire website, ours for free for the next three months.
- 28:41[SPEAKER_00]: Alright, so all this data, all these stats, all these rankings are available to you on the front end of the website.
- 28:46[SPEAKER_00]: If you are a fantasy member, I will wrap up there.
- 28:49[SPEAKER_00]: If you enjoyed the video hit the button that looks like this, subscribe to the channel.
- 28:53[SPEAKER_00]: If you are new and I will see y'all tomorrow for the wider super rankings version of this video.