Latest / The Money Puzzle / Why cash is king (with Chris Cuffe)
Transcript
- 0:10Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm
- 0:13Speaker 1: James Kirkby. Welcome aboard everybody now today for your Easter
- 0:17Speaker 1: break listening pleasure, I have a very special guest who
- 0:20Speaker 1: is Chris Cuff, a legendary fund manager de facto legendary
- 0:25Speaker 1: fund manager martiad who initially came to fame almost became
- 0:29Speaker 1: a household name at one stage through his success as
- 0:32Speaker 1: an investor and manager at what is still the Colonial Group,
- 0:36Speaker 1: and since then he's had a portfolio of interest. You'll
- 0:39Speaker 1: see him on a variety of boards. Some boards you
- 0:42Speaker 1: won't see him on because they're family offices, but you
- 0:44Speaker 1: would be familiar of course with UNI Super, which is
- 0:47Speaker 1: I think the fourth biggest industry fund in the country,
- 0:51Speaker 1: so that is a very big gig as you can imagine.
- 0:52Speaker 1: He's also on the board of Argyll, the listed investment company,
- 0:57Speaker 1: the original of the species. You have to mention Don
- 0:59Speaker 1: Bradman when you mentioned al Go, because he was once
- 1:02Speaker 1: involved with that. Do you know that his passion Chris's
- 1:06Speaker 1: passion is philanthropy. I have talked to him before regularly.
- 1:11Speaker 1: He's got involved in some terribly interesting projects of late
- 1:14Speaker 1: we're going to talk about that too, and the extent
- 1:16Speaker 1: to which you may be able to access some of
- 1:19Speaker 1: this if you wish to. But first I want to
- 1:21Speaker 1: hear what he has to say. Needless to say, I
- 1:24Speaker 1: want to hear what he says. You want to hear
- 1:26Speaker 1: what he says about the markets and the conditions of
- 1:29Speaker 1: the markets that were currently investing in. How are you, Chris?
- 1:33Speaker 2: Very well? Thank you, James, straight.
- 1:36Speaker 1: Up question, Okay, there's always periods of great uncertainty. I'm
- 1:41Speaker 1: always entertained when people talk about uncertainty and how there's
- 1:44Speaker 1: never as if there was never uncertainty before. I mean,
- 1:47Speaker 1: COVID was pretty uncertain, GFC was pretty uncertain. But this
- 1:51Speaker 1: particular period, instinctively to you, is there reasons for the
- 1:57Speaker 1: every day investor to change their approach to invest in
- 2:00Speaker 1: looking at the global trade crisis that we have in
- 2:05Speaker 1: front of us.
- 2:07Speaker 2: I don't think there's great reasons to change. I mean,
- 2:10Speaker 2: I hope for every investor, if they're a true investor,
- 2:14Speaker 2: they should have a plan and they should have a
- 2:17Speaker 2: diversified portfolio. People ask me all the time, what do
- 2:20Speaker 2: you react? How are you reacting in this time? And
- 2:23Speaker 2: I think I just check down the securities I have
- 2:25Speaker 2: in my portfolio and make sure it's well diversified, because
- 2:28Speaker 2: I can't pick day to day or months a month
- 2:31Speaker 2: what's going to do well and what's not. And we're
- 2:33Speaker 2: in a period now, you know, sometimes there's no one
- 2:37Speaker 2: unknowns and now we've got unknown's unknowns, So we sort
- 2:42Speaker 2: of wake up each day and just sort of work
- 2:44Speaker 2: off the seat of your pants. But look, it also
- 2:47Speaker 2: very much depends on whether you're running your portfolio with
- 2:50Speaker 2: new money coming in, whether you're in draw down phase.
- 2:53Speaker 2: There'll always be issues around that. But look, right now,
- 2:56Speaker 2: I think it's a pretty good time to draw breath.
- 3:00Speaker 2: Probably don't get too anxious about anything, particularly if you've
- 3:03Speaker 2: got a well diversified portfolio, and really just you know,
- 3:09Speaker 2: it's a strange time we're in, James. What else can
- 3:11Speaker 2: we say.
- 3:12Speaker 1: Would you have a hunch that the worst is over?
- 3:16Speaker 2: I think the worst is over, as in the initial
- 3:19Speaker 2: shock of what has happened in America at the leadership
- 3:23Speaker 2: position and the fact that there are p and O
- 3:25Speaker 2: guardrails on making those decisions. You know, I would have
- 3:29Speaker 2: thought it's not legally possible when I first heard it
- 3:31Speaker 2: that the American President can just you know, issue tariff's
- 3:35Speaker 2: left right at the center without some type of emergency
- 3:38Speaker 2: going on. But anyhow, they've done it, so we just
- 3:40Speaker 2: have to live with that. So I think the shock
- 3:42Speaker 2: of seeing the magnitude is the big thing. And now
- 3:45Speaker 2: I think we'll grind for a probably a long period
- 3:49Speaker 2: of time as we see the effects of maybe the
- 3:53Speaker 2: base twer for ten percent. You know, it's probably going
- 3:56Speaker 2: to cause inflation at least in the short term. That's
- 3:59Speaker 2: probably going to put interest rates on hold at least
- 4:01Speaker 2: for the short term. And then I think behind the
- 4:04Speaker 2: scenes in Washington will be concession, slow concessions over time
- 4:10Speaker 2: as the American people get very hurt by what's happening,
- 4:14Speaker 2: and I think that will reverberate back to their members,
- 4:18Speaker 2: their elected officials, and hopefully, you know, get to the
- 4:22Speaker 2: President and his men. I don't think they anticipated anything
- 4:26Speaker 2: like what's going on, and I don't think there was
- 4:28Speaker 2: a grand plan. I think it was a complete mess.
- 4:32Speaker 1: Can I ask you, when you say stable interest rates,
- 4:35Speaker 1: you mean global rates right, correct? Australian rates could fall
- 4:40Speaker 1: in the short term.
- 4:41Speaker 2: You could definitely mount a case that if we get
- 4:44Speaker 2: a global recession, growth really going downhill, people losing jobs,
- 4:51Speaker 2: interest rates will drop, that's definitely on the cards. But
- 4:55Speaker 2: I think none of this is going to happen immediately.
- 4:58Speaker 2: There's a lot of time to play up yet to
- 5:00Speaker 2: see where these things land. I think you'd be a
- 5:04Speaker 2: brave person to think that the tariffs that America's put
- 5:09Speaker 2: on China and China put on America again to sit
- 5:12Speaker 2: as they are, it's just impractical. You just trade between
- 5:16Speaker 2: the nations will stop, and that just doesn't seem likely
- 5:21Speaker 2: to me at all. So this posturing going on, we've
- 5:23Speaker 2: got to wait for that to stop. But we might
- 5:25Speaker 2: get what they call imported inflation. If it costs Chinese
- 5:30Speaker 2: the Chinese a lot more to make the goodies that
- 5:33Speaker 2: we bring into Australia, it's going to cause some inflation.
- 5:36Speaker 2: But I think these are short term things. To go
- 5:39Speaker 2: back to your first question, I just wouldn't be in
- 5:41Speaker 2: a hurry to do anything radical right now and just
- 5:44Speaker 2: let the dust settle.
- 5:46Speaker 1: You're on the board of family offices and investment vehicles
- 5:50Speaker 1: of some very wealthy people and families in Australia, so
- 5:54Speaker 1: anything that they are doing that would give our everyday
- 5:58Speaker 1: listeners an insight to sort of the tactical response to this.
- 6:02Speaker 1: Are they putting more money into gold? Are they lifting
- 6:05Speaker 1: their cash? Are their bargain hunting? Is there anything you
- 6:08Speaker 1: can insight you could give us as to how they're behaving.
- 6:11Speaker 2: Well, certainly the groups I'm involved with, I think it's
- 6:14Speaker 2: as a generalization, it's fair to say they're just letting
- 6:18Speaker 2: cash build up right now. And unless you know, there's
- 6:21Speaker 2: something peculiar about their liabilities or there some external factor,
- 6:25Speaker 2: but it's really let it build up. Don't have a
- 6:28Speaker 2: fear of missing out if anything, right now, the fear
- 6:32Speaker 2: might be the other way around. The people. We are
- 6:36Speaker 2: all talking about the Australian dollar. I mean it was
- 6:39Speaker 2: a week ago it was at fifty nine cents. Today
- 6:42Speaker 2: it's at sixty four cents. So I did see some
- 6:46Speaker 2: groups put on hedges very quickly, which not everybody can do,
- 6:51Speaker 2: although there are easily accessible instruments in the market that
- 6:55Speaker 2: any investor can do for that. And we've seen the
- 6:58Speaker 2: currency already firm from the US Australian dollar a firm
- 7:02Speaker 2: from fifty nine to sixty four, and that's a very big,
- 7:06Speaker 2: very big change. You know, the urgency to do perhaps
- 7:10Speaker 2: do something about the currencies calm down a little, though.
- 7:14Speaker 2: Sixty four cents in a long term sense is still
- 7:18Speaker 2: well below the long term average, which is around seventy cents,
- 7:22Speaker 2: which it always seems to head back to at some
- 7:24Speaker 2: stage or another.
- 7:26Speaker 1: We had people on the show saying, you're better off
- 7:28Speaker 1: being unheaged because the US is the heart of the machine,
- 7:32Speaker 1: heart of the markets. When the US markets fall, if
- 7:36Speaker 1: we all have more exposure to the US than we
- 7:38Speaker 1: ever had before, which is probably the case for both
- 7:40Speaker 1: our listeners and a lot of the big super funds,
- 7:43Speaker 1: that when the US markets fall, the US dollar, the
- 7:45Speaker 1: currency works your way. It's in your favor because you're
- 7:50Speaker 1: basically when the Australian dollar is falling as it has
- 7:52Speaker 1: so far, you're cushioned. You think that might not be
- 7:56Speaker 1: the case going forward.
- 7:58Speaker 2: Well, look, I would say my position and those that
- 8:01Speaker 2: I work with, it's generally when you're buying overseas securities
- 8:07Speaker 2: that be they manage funds or direct shares or whatever
- 8:10Speaker 2: is to have it unheitched. So that's default position. But
- 8:14Speaker 2: we have seen in history where you get very large
- 8:18Speaker 2: aberrations and look, I remember it's got I remember once
- 8:23Speaker 2: when the Australian dollar got to forty five cents to
- 8:26Speaker 2: the US dollar, and I remember, yeah, and I remember
- 8:30Speaker 2: traveling when the Australian dollar got to one hundred and twenty.
- 8:34Speaker 2: So you know what the out of bounds, you know,
- 8:36Speaker 2: if it's got a five in front of it for sure,
- 8:39Speaker 2: or a nine in front on the other end, they're
- 8:43Speaker 2: probably times where you could opportunistically probably take advantage of
- 8:48Speaker 2: that with great likelihood of success, as long as you
- 8:52Speaker 2: don't pick your time frame.
- 8:55Speaker 1: Okay, right, And just on the building up the cash,
- 8:57Speaker 1: can you give people any idea? You know a lot
- 9:00Speaker 1: of people have serf managed super funds. They're always been
- 9:03Speaker 1: criticized for having too much cash. And then the big
- 9:06Speaker 1: super funds have, compared to the smsfs, much lower cash levels.
- 9:11Speaker 1: With these family companies you have, it's the extent you
- 9:13Speaker 1: can answer this, what percentage would they generally have in cash?
- 9:16Speaker 1: What would be a neutral level? And then what might
- 9:19Speaker 1: they be building up to at the moment.
- 9:22Speaker 2: Well, first all, to make it clear to the big
- 9:24Speaker 2: super funds, they always have it. I serve with one
- 9:27Speaker 2: of them for many years, as I still do. They
- 9:29Speaker 2: always have let's use the term liquidity rather when they
- 9:33Speaker 2: must have it. Of course they must have liquidity because
- 9:35Speaker 2: they've got people coming and going all the time, but
- 9:38Speaker 2: they have sort of modest cash levels actual cash probably
- 9:42Speaker 2: compared to many individuals with their own self managed super fund. Look,
- 9:46Speaker 2: I don't know if there's a common level, James. I
- 9:49Speaker 2: like to think, in any event, if you had sort
- 9:52Speaker 2: of ten to twenty percent of cash at most times,
- 9:56Speaker 2: you know, maybe that's useful to jump on things. Other
- 9:59Speaker 2: people like to be invested all the time. As long
- 10:01Speaker 2: as it's liquid, you can get money out and rotate
- 10:04Speaker 2: to something else. But I don't know if there's one
- 10:07Speaker 2: one better way than not, but there's Look, there's an
- 10:10Speaker 2: increasing number of securities that give you, i think, both
- 10:15Speaker 2: great diversification and some liquidity, so you can take advantage
- 10:20Speaker 2: of things. But it also, as I said before, it
- 10:22Speaker 2: depends very much on what stage you're at. If you've
- 10:25Speaker 2: got your own self managed super fund and you're a
- 10:27Speaker 2: retiree and you're drawing money off it each year, now,
- 10:30Speaker 2: so you know it's got to keep shrinking over time,
- 10:33Speaker 2: you'll probably have a higher amount of cash so you
- 10:35Speaker 2: don't have to sell down securities in volatile stressed times.
- 10:41Speaker 1: And these listed securities that give you liquidity and versification.
- 10:46Speaker 1: Are you thinking of ETFs.
- 10:49Speaker 2: It could be an ETF so, but it could be
- 10:51Speaker 2: there's plenty of ETFs. People often mix up a little
- 10:56Speaker 2: bit many ETFs. Most ETFs are what they call pass
- 11:00Speaker 2: as you've said many times on your show, they invest
- 11:03Speaker 2: in the index of whatever they're exposed to. But there's
- 11:06Speaker 2: also an increasing number of active ETFs. They're just happen
- 11:11Speaker 2: to be managed funds, managed by an active manager who's
- 11:15Speaker 2: trying to do better than the index, and they happen
- 11:18Speaker 2: to be listed on the stock market. You can get
- 11:21Speaker 2: in and out at nta net asset value, just like
- 11:26Speaker 2: you can for normal shares. And I have a preference myself.
- 11:32Speaker 2: Where a market is what I call thin, like Australia,
- 11:37Speaker 2: I have a preference to be in actively managed funds
- 11:40Speaker 2: because but in overseas, I'm very satisfied with ETFs as
- 11:46Speaker 2: well as active funds, simply because those markets offshore are
- 11:51Speaker 2: much wider, they're much bigger, they're well diversified. Whereas Australia,
- 11:55Speaker 2: as most people know, you the heavyweights. You're exposed a
- 12:00Speaker 2: handful of banks, a few miners, and a couple odds
- 12:02Speaker 2: and ends on the outside. So I find Australian ETFs
- 12:06Speaker 2: are a little bit risky for.
- 12:07Speaker 1: Me, okay, because half the market is banks and miners. Yeah, okay,
- 12:12Speaker 1: So we can't have you on without asking you the
- 12:15Speaker 1: conventional thinking. And that may not be what you're thinking,
- 12:18Speaker 1: of course, but convention I'm thinking is, you know, there's
- 12:21Speaker 1: a swing, there's a lot of fear in the market.
- 12:24Speaker 1: You know that's proven, and the vix is elevated, so
- 12:27Speaker 1: people are going back into like supermarket stocks went up
- 12:31Speaker 1: during those scary days a few days ago. The bank's
- 12:34Speaker 1: coming with bank I mean, is just basically unmoved. In
- 12:37Speaker 1: the middle of all this, gold is going steadily higher
- 12:41Speaker 1: and people are looking at those conventional, traditional defensive stocks.
- 12:48Speaker 1: Just now, what do you think of that approach?
- 12:52Speaker 2: Well, it's an interesting conundrum again listening, I'm a regular
- 12:56Speaker 2: listener to your show. There's always the issue that if
- 13:00Speaker 2: you look at the Commonwealth Bank, everybody says it's very
- 13:03Speaker 2: highly priced, has been for a long time. It's come
- 13:06Speaker 2: down a bit, but it's still at a healthy price.
- 13:10Speaker 2: And does that mean you should sell the thing and
- 13:12Speaker 2: rotate into something else. That's the difficult thing because you've
- 13:16Speaker 2: already been in the thing as opposed to if you've
- 13:19Speaker 2: got fresh money. So as you've made the point I
- 13:23Speaker 2: think last week or the week before, if you've been
- 13:25Speaker 2: in the Commonwealth Bank since it was say twenty dollars,
- 13:27Speaker 2: the dividend yield you're getting off that cost base is
- 13:32Speaker 2: magnificent and you might find it very hard to see
- 13:35Speaker 2: a reason why you'd want to sell it. And of
- 13:37Speaker 2: course there's always tax when you sell things. But if
- 13:41Speaker 2: you said if I was starting myself managed super fun
- 13:44Speaker 2: today with a fresh pile of cash, what would I do.
- 13:50Speaker 2: I certainly would be looking at the value of stocks.
- 13:54Speaker 2: I probably would not be investing big time in the banks,
- 13:59Speaker 2: just because they've gone up so much. But in my
- 14:02Speaker 2: starting point, as I've said a few times, I'd be
- 14:04Speaker 2: thinking of a diversified portfilo across local shares, international shares.
- 14:09Speaker 2: I always like a bit of private equity. I always
- 14:12Speaker 2: have plenty of private credit. I really do believe in
- 14:15Speaker 2: that sector. And there are other weird and wonderful investments
- 14:19Speaker 2: out there that I like to give me a great
- 14:23Speaker 2: way to sleep at night.
- 14:25Speaker 1: Okay, actually I have in front of me a pigraph
- 14:29Speaker 1: of the accid allocation of your main of your flagship operation.
- 14:34Speaker 1: Really the aps Foundation. We'll take a break, we'll come back,
- 14:37Speaker 1: we'll pick up on this theme, but we'll also give
- 14:40Speaker 1: Chris the opportunity to talk about what he wants to
- 14:42Speaker 1: talk about more than anting as, which is this land
- 14:44Speaker 1: to pick fund. Okay, back in a moment. Hello, Welcome
- 14:59Speaker 1: back to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast Easter a special
- 15:03Speaker 1: James Kirby here with Chris Kuff. It's a great time
- 15:05Speaker 1: to have Chris on, one of the best known fund
- 15:08Speaker 1: managers in the land. Now, Chris, I've mentioned that the
- 15:12Speaker 1: investors listening to the show will know UNI Super and
- 15:14Speaker 1: they'll know Argo et cetera. They listed investment company and
- 15:18Speaker 1: other operations you're involved in more recently and more recentimes,
- 15:22Speaker 1: you got a lot of time to philanthropy, active philanthropy,
- 15:25Speaker 1: and there's two we've talked about the Third Link Fund
- 15:29Speaker 1: on the before, which is an unlisted fund that you're
- 15:32Speaker 1: involved with that the retail investor can pay, maybe getting
- 15:36Speaker 1: them for about twenty thousand I think is the minimum.
- 15:38Speaker 1: And that's a fund where there is a strong philanthropic
- 15:42Speaker 1: element to it. And then separately, tell me if this
- 15:45Speaker 1: is wrong. You were involved with the Australian Philanthropic Services Group,
- 15:49Speaker 1: and they have a very big fund which is pretty
- 15:52Speaker 1: close to becoming the biggest fund charitable fund in the country.
- 15:55Speaker 1: It's called the Australian the APS Fund. And how much
- 16:00Speaker 1: is under management there?
- 16:01Speaker 2: Chris Well, okay, if I just run through quickly how
- 16:05Speaker 2: each works. A Third Link Growth fund, it's been going
- 16:07Speaker 2: for about sixteen years. It's an Australian equity fund. All
- 16:12Speaker 2: the fees go to charity. It is a what's called
- 16:16Speaker 2: a fund of funds. So my job is to choose
- 16:19Speaker 2: fund managers underneath the fund who are managing Australian equities
- 16:25Speaker 2: who I think are best in breed. That's my opinion
- 16:28Speaker 2: of best in breed, and they manage the money. We
- 16:32Speaker 2: try to get our investors an excellent return. We do
- 16:35Speaker 2: the best we can. I think the returns on the
- 16:38Speaker 2: Third Link website it's been slightly better than the Australian
- 16:41Speaker 2: share market since this inception, and so far we've given
- 16:46Speaker 2: twenty three million dollars to charity over the sixteen years.
- 16:50Speaker 2: It's been a lot of fun. And all those fund
- 16:53Speaker 2: managers do it for free. I do it for free,
- 16:55Speaker 2: and our investors I think like the fact that they're
- 16:58Speaker 2: both making money and their fees they're paying. They've still
- 17:02Speaker 2: got to pay a fee, but that fee is going
- 17:04Speaker 2: to charity. So that's the third Link Growth Fund, which
- 17:08Speaker 2: is a minimum of twenty thousand dollars Australian equity fun
- 17:12Speaker 2: very specific and it's an active fund, so it's out
- 17:15Speaker 2: there trying to beat the index. Okay. The second organization
- 17:19Speaker 2: you mentioned is fairly unique, so it's called Australian Philanthropic Services.
- 17:25Speaker 2: It's actually a charity I set up about fourteen years
- 17:29Speaker 2: ago to help people do philanthropy better. And it's a
- 17:34Speaker 2: big word, but philanthropy is an increasing part of the
- 17:38Speaker 2: Australian wealth management landscape, particularly with the massive intergenerational wealth
- 17:45Speaker 2: transfer that's going on in the trillions of dollars. Philanesbury
- 17:49Speaker 2: is really growing. Anyhow, I decided fourteen years ago it's
- 17:53Speaker 2: set up an organization where you could really do engage
- 17:57Speaker 2: in philanthropy with the help of experts and do it
- 18:01Speaker 2: hopefully in a much better way. So we run products.
- 18:05Speaker 2: We have a couple of products, so we set up
- 18:07Speaker 2: and administer what's called ancillary funds and they're just like superannuation.
- 18:14Speaker 2: Your listeners will know in superannuation there's two types of
- 18:18Speaker 2: superannuation funds in the market. You can have a self
- 18:21Speaker 2: managed super fund that's a private super fund, or most
- 18:25Speaker 2: of the population are in public offer fund whether it's
- 18:28Speaker 2: an industry fund or whatever. It's exactly the same. In
- 18:31Speaker 2: the philanthropy industry, we have these vehicles called ancillary funds,
- 18:36Speaker 2: and you can set up a private ancillary fund just
- 18:41Speaker 2: like self meaning super very similar structure, or you hit
- 18:45Speaker 2: your car to an existing public ancillary fund and hold
- 18:50Speaker 2: an account within that fund. And so we are the
- 18:53Speaker 2: leading organization in Australia that helps people go into those
- 18:58Speaker 2: vehicles and help them with their general giving. And between
- 19:02Speaker 2: those things, those ancillary funds we ad minister about two
- 19:06Speaker 2: and a half billion dollars and our clients give currently
- 19:10Speaker 2: around one hundred and sixty million dollars per annum to
- 19:13Speaker 2: charity out of those funds. So it's been an enormously
- 19:19Speaker 2: beneficial business to set up again as a charity for
- 19:23Speaker 2: the Australian public.
- 19:24Speaker 1: So I'm an investor and I'd like to be involved
- 19:27Speaker 1: in philanthropy, and I say there's two ways in here.
- 19:31Speaker 1: There's a third link fund, which is just a straight
- 19:33Speaker 1: fund that's a twenty grand minimum for the average retail investor.
- 19:37Speaker 1: Anyone can do it, no strings attached, and that fund
- 19:39Speaker 1: has done okay, it seems to me you're this bigger fund,
- 19:43Speaker 1: which unfortunately is higher up the scale to get into
- 19:46Speaker 1: as doing better. That is, its returns against its benchmarks
- 19:51Speaker 1: has been better. And we'll talk about that in the
- 19:53Speaker 1: moment as to why. But in any event, so if
- 19:55Speaker 1: I wanted to, if I wanted to get involved in this,
- 19:58Speaker 1: what is the rough bottom minimum in which I can
- 20:00Speaker 1: part play here in this particular sandpit. How much would
- 20:04Speaker 1: I need to put in?
- 20:06Speaker 2: So let's just back off one slight bit here. With
- 20:09Speaker 2: Australian Philanthropic Services Foundation, the big public ancillary fund I run.
- 20:17Speaker 2: We don't necessarily call them investors that come in. It's
- 20:20Speaker 2: more philanthropists. So if you would like to be involved
- 20:23Speaker 2: with philanthropy, you can open an account in the APS
- 20:27Speaker 2: Foundation for a minimum of forty thousand dollars. You get
- 20:31Speaker 2: one hundred percent tax deduction for that forty thousand dollars
- 20:35Speaker 2: in the year in which you put the money in,
- 20:37Speaker 2: or indeed you could spread the tax deduction over five
- 20:40Speaker 2: years if that's better for you. So you put your
- 20:43Speaker 2: money in the foundation, and you are then attached to
- 20:47Speaker 2: a big pool of assets and those assets are invested
- 20:51Speaker 2: tax free. There's no tax payable by the foundation. And
- 20:55Speaker 2: then each year we write out to our people clients
- 21:00Speaker 2: in there and say you need to now here's your
- 21:04Speaker 2: proportionate balance of this big pool. You need to give
- 21:07Speaker 2: away four percent of that to charity. So you just
- 21:11Speaker 2: tell us which charity you want to give the money
- 21:14Speaker 2: to and the way it goes. So the magic that
- 21:18Speaker 2: it's the very simply stated, it's quite a unique vehicle
- 21:22Speaker 2: these it's broken the nexus between the timing of the
- 21:26Speaker 2: tax deduction and the timing of giving to charity. You
- 21:30Speaker 2: get the tax reduction all up front. The giving to
- 21:33Speaker 2: charity happens over many years, or you can do it
- 21:36Speaker 2: quicker if you want, but you can take your time.
- 21:39Speaker 2: You can because often when you give to get a
- 21:42Speaker 2: tax deduction for giving to charity. It'd be smart if
- 21:45Speaker 2: you could time that with events which might cause you
- 21:48Speaker 2: tax like selling your business or selling your CBA shares,
- 21:53Speaker 2: or getting a bonus from your employer or something you
- 21:56Speaker 2: get a taxable of anything. Chee, I wouldn't mind off
- 21:58Speaker 2: setting that TAXI. You could perhaps put a lump sum
- 22:01Speaker 2: over in the philanthropic vehicle, and then take your time
- 22:05Speaker 2: to think about what charities you want to give too.
- 22:07Speaker 2: Over time, we've seen wonderful growth in this area, and
- 22:11Speaker 2: it's really changed the dynamics of a lot of families
- 22:14Speaker 2: as well, because they involve their children in giving.
- 22:17Speaker 1: Whereas once upon a time someone might have said, oh,
- 22:20Speaker 1: we should really give something to charity, and they'd pick
- 22:22Speaker 1: two or three they like and they'd hand it over
- 22:23Speaker 1: and it would be tax deductible, but it would be
- 22:26Speaker 1: unformed as such. What you've done is much more sophisticated
- 22:29Speaker 1: thing where the person says, okay, let's think long term.
- 22:32Speaker 1: We go into this fund aps and then the management
- 22:37Speaker 1: of that fund is you and your colleagues, and it
- 22:42Speaker 1: goes it has been doing very well, and you're able
- 22:45Speaker 1: to donate then on an ongoing basis on what you're
- 22:49Speaker 1: making on your initially depositive you like in that fund,
- 22:52Speaker 1: and it must be four percent each year. This is
- 22:55Speaker 1: probably why you need a minimum of forty thousand dicpresum
- 22:59Speaker 1: because you need to have a four percent is going
- 23:01Speaker 1: to go out to do it every year anyway, And
- 23:03Speaker 1: you didn't say you want you stop me calling it
- 23:06Speaker 1: investors for the simple reason that it's not it's it's
- 23:08Speaker 1: philanthropic in nature. And that means, Chris, if I've got
- 23:12Speaker 1: it right, that if listeners, you are interested in this
- 23:15Speaker 1: and you have the capacity to do so. It's ideal
- 23:18Speaker 1: of course, when people as you see liquidity event as
- 23:20Speaker 1: they call it in the trade. If you were about
- 23:22Speaker 1: to sell a business, if you're about to inherit your
- 23:24Speaker 1: uncle's house or whatever. But you can't, for instance, use
- 23:28Speaker 1: you can't take forty grand out of your or one
- 23:30Speaker 1: hundred and forty grand out of your super and put
- 23:32Speaker 1: it in Chris, can you, because that crunches up against
- 23:35Speaker 1: the best interest duty in super? If I've got that right, you.
- 23:38Speaker 2: Can in a way in the sense of if you're
- 23:41Speaker 2: able to access your super so you'll pass your preservation age. Yes,
- 23:46Speaker 2: and you're able to access your super so you can
- 23:48Speaker 2: freely take your super into your own name. And then
- 23:50Speaker 2: you might think, I've got enough money now that I'd
- 23:53Speaker 2: like to put some money. I'd like to get involved
- 23:56Speaker 2: in philanthropy, particularly while you're alive. This is the most
- 24:01Speaker 2: important thing in these vehicles.
- 24:03Speaker 1: You could be alive, but you just have to be retired.
- 24:05Speaker 1: You couldn't be an accumulation.
- 24:07Speaker 2: Please, Oh no, it's not something that you can just
- 24:11Speaker 2: tell you super fund, put some money over here. The
- 24:14Speaker 2: two are quite very separate, but sort of the type
- 24:18Speaker 2: of person who might go into this tends to be
- 24:22Speaker 2: later in life. They tend to be financially secure. They
- 24:27Speaker 2: want to help society, they want to do it while
- 24:30Speaker 2: they're alive. Putting money into this sort of holding pattern
- 24:34Speaker 2: of a fund called an ancillary fund is a great way.
- 24:37Speaker 2: As we said, they can time their tax deduction, but
- 24:40Speaker 2: then the giving can go on for many many years later.
- 24:44Speaker 2: And in fact people often use it upon their passing,
- 24:48Speaker 2: which there's a thing in the way tax works is
- 24:51Speaker 2: quite interesting. If you were lucky enough to buy your
- 24:55Speaker 2: Common Warf Bank shares at five dollars. We always pick
- 24:58Speaker 2: on the Common Warf Bank as such well run institution,
- 25:01Speaker 2: I should say. And if on your passing your state
- 25:05Speaker 2: was then holding those shares, then all things being equal,
- 25:09Speaker 2: if your a state sold those shares, there would be
- 25:13Speaker 2: a massive capital gain that the state would have to pay. However,
- 25:18Speaker 2: if you had donated, if you donate those shares through
- 25:22Speaker 2: your will to a foundation, say that was in existence already,
- 25:29Speaker 2: then there's no tax to the state at all, and
- 25:32Speaker 2: the foundation then will not pay tax because the foundation
- 25:36Speaker 2: is a tax free vehicle. So it's a magnificent way
- 25:40Speaker 2: for people who have stored wealth beyond their needs, beyond
- 25:44Speaker 2: what they want to provide for their children, and still
- 25:47Speaker 2: don't want to pay tax. I love the idea of
- 25:49Speaker 2: not paying tax even when I die.
- 25:53Speaker 1: Yes, no, I imagine many people would aspire to do that, Chris.
- 25:57Speaker 1: And it's a terrific It's a terrific structure. And it's
- 26:00Speaker 1: not an accident. Folks that I've I have that have
- 26:03Speaker 1: had at least once or twice a year brought up
- 26:05Speaker 1: this because to me, as a with an investor's mind,
- 26:09Speaker 1: this structure and by the way, to be fair, APS
- 26:11Speaker 1: is of course not the only operation in this area,
- 26:14Speaker 1: but it is one of the biggest, and it's a
- 26:17Speaker 1: very smart way, a kind of professional way to approach
- 26:22Speaker 1: philanthropy in a more strategic and tax effective manner. Why
- 26:26Speaker 1: why not do that if you do that in every
- 26:28Speaker 1: other area of life. Just briefly, Chris, So, the big fund,
- 26:32Speaker 1: the APS Fund, what was how much did you say
- 26:35Speaker 1: it has under management?
- 26:36Speaker 2: Now? Okay, So the APS Foundation, the public ansigtery fund
- 26:41Speaker 2: we run is around about the four hundred million dollar mark,
- 26:45Speaker 2: so it's large. I think by the end of this
- 26:47Speaker 2: decade it'll be a billion dollars probably, So it's a
- 26:51Speaker 2: large and growing investor.
- 26:54Speaker 1: So I want to tell the listeners what's in it.
- 26:56Speaker 1: You know, what you do, so they get a picture
- 26:58Speaker 1: of what goes on with the money. So the so
- 27:00Speaker 1: the allocation folks inside this one's really interesting. It's a
- 27:02Speaker 1: bit like when you can look into the future fund.
- 27:04Speaker 1: You know, it's very useful. So how it works is
- 27:06Speaker 1: twenty two percent in shares local, seventeen percent in shares international,
- 27:12Speaker 1: a pretty chunky seventeen percent in private equity, then thirteen
- 27:17Speaker 1: percent in what they call interest bearing securities. The rest
- 27:20Speaker 1: then is scattered between property, venture capital, and what they
- 27:25Speaker 1: call miscellaneous growth assets and liquid's been seven percent. Okay now, Chris,
- 27:30Speaker 1: seventeen percent of this fund is private equity. Can I
- 27:34Speaker 1: just ask you, a lot of people on the shore
- 27:36Speaker 1: are every day investors are only getting to know private equity,
- 27:38Speaker 1: and it's been put in front of them for the
- 27:39Speaker 1: first time. It's been put in front of them at
- 27:42Speaker 1: this time for a variety of reasons. This sense that
- 27:46Speaker 1: the banks are withdrawing. I don't know if that's completely true.
- 27:50Speaker 1: There's a sense that the hybrid market has been is
- 27:52Speaker 1: being wound up, and so people are looking for income
- 27:55Speaker 1: and they're putting private equity funds have been put in
- 27:57Speaker 1: front of people in a listed form. How do you
- 28:01Speaker 1: think the uninitiated should approach this very important area that
- 28:05Speaker 1: takes like seventeen percent of your successful fund, which, by
- 28:08Speaker 1: the way, folks, is just to give you an idea
- 28:11Speaker 1: of how it's going. It has a target return, very
- 28:14Speaker 1: like at the future fund to see inflation plus four
- 28:17Speaker 1: percent is what it looks for. And for instance, like
- 28:19Speaker 1: last year the one year did thirteen. But private equity, right,
- 28:23Speaker 1: we'd all love to be in it in a successful manner.
- 28:27Speaker 1: But I worry Chris, that kind of lead to the
- 28:29Speaker 1: party for a lot of everyday investors and they're going
- 28:31Speaker 1: to go into second red stuff.
- 28:34Speaker 2: Yes, there's a couple of things you said that James,
- 28:37Speaker 2: which I'll pick up on. First of all, you said
- 28:39Speaker 2: it's a bit like a major superannuation fund the way
- 28:42Speaker 2: we've we sort of have a target return. So for
- 28:46Speaker 2: this big portfolio, I'm trying to get a return of
- 28:50Speaker 2: inflation plus four percent per annum measured over rolling seventy
- 28:55Speaker 2: year periods. You won't get that every year. Some years
- 28:58Speaker 2: will be negative, some years will be twice as much.
- 29:00Speaker 2: But I'm trying to do it over rolling seven year periods,
- 29:04Speaker 2: and so far that's been successful. So if you're trying
- 29:08Speaker 2: to get inflation plus four percent, you're not going to
- 29:11Speaker 2: get that by investing in term deposits. You have to
- 29:14Speaker 2: take a growth approach and you have to have time
- 29:18Speaker 2: on your side. So this pool of money is a
- 29:21Speaker 2: growing pool. People have parted with their money already into
- 29:25Speaker 2: it to get the tax duction and to give to charity.
- 29:28Speaker 2: They can't take the money back, so we know it's
- 29:31Speaker 2: a long term growing pool. So that means with a
- 29:35Speaker 2: rolling a target of rolling seven year periods and very
- 29:40Speaker 2: patient capital. On the other side, I can be very
- 29:43Speaker 2: patient in the way I invest. Now you talked about
- 29:47Speaker 2: private equity. There, I think in the portfolio you'll see
- 29:51Speaker 2: two segments that are reasonably large. You'll see private credit
- 29:56Speaker 2: and private equity. Private credit I might mention quickly first
- 30:01Speaker 2: and then come on to the equity because I know
- 30:04Speaker 2: you talk about private credit a bit on your show.
- 30:07Speaker 2: Private credit is a very important sector now. I think
- 30:11Speaker 2: it's sort of had a bad name at the start
- 30:13Speaker 2: a bit that. Of course, it really evolved from property
- 30:17Speaker 2: development and construction, which is risky the best of times,
- 30:21Speaker 2: but can be very risky when interest rates arising and
- 30:24Speaker 2: the economy is not doing well. But private credit is
- 30:27Speaker 2: very wide now across very white array of sectors. There's
- 30:32Speaker 2: many managers in Australia there as well over one hundred managers.
- 30:35Speaker 2: And you've got to understand if you looked at the
- 30:38Speaker 2: banks twenty years ago, two thirds of their borrowing book
- 30:43Speaker 2: the money they lend were to businesses and one third
- 30:46Speaker 2: to home owners. These days it's the reverse they like.
- 30:50Speaker 1: So they really have with drawn Chris, they really.
- 30:52Speaker 2: Have drawn out of the market and the appet yeah,
- 30:57Speaker 2: but the appetite for a business to borrow doesn't change.
- 31:01Speaker 2: They just have to go to a different group and
- 31:03Speaker 2: probably pay a bit more to be able to access
- 31:06Speaker 2: the capital they need to expand. So private credit very
- 31:10Speaker 2: important sector, very important to be to understand what the
- 31:15Speaker 2: fund is invested in, and the experience of the investment
- 31:19Speaker 2: team is really vital, and including how many securities they
- 31:24Speaker 2: have in their portfilo is very vital. These inevitably, some
- 31:29Speaker 2: loans will go bad, just like they do in banks.
- 31:32Speaker 2: That's why banks provided for loans, so they do go
- 31:35Speaker 2: Some of them do go bad, but good. A well
- 31:37Speaker 2: run private equity fund is a cornerstone in my portfilo always,
- 31:44Speaker 2: and you can't catch your normally in those things. They're
- 31:47Speaker 2: not liquid like money in the bank. You know, if
- 31:51Speaker 2: you want to get your money out of a private
- 31:53Speaker 2: equity fund, it's at best you could do it quarterly.
- 31:57Speaker 2: Maybe some of it, maybe not all of it. We
- 32:00Speaker 2: shouldn't think of it as highly liquid, but it's somewhat liquid.
- 32:04Speaker 2: The position is very different with private equity, so to
- 32:08Speaker 2: be clear to those listeners of yours that don't know
- 32:11Speaker 2: private equity by its nature. Instead of buying shares on
- 32:15Speaker 2: the stock market, these are shares in companies that don't
- 32:19Speaker 2: trade on the stock market. And generally speaking I do
- 32:22Speaker 2: that through managers who specialize in that area. But the
- 32:27Speaker 2: general way they will go about it is that they
- 32:30Speaker 2: will launch a fund and they'll lock your money up.
- 32:33Speaker 2: You commit to it, they'll lock it up for about
- 32:36Speaker 2: ten years, could be less, and they spend half their
- 32:39Speaker 2: time investing the money and the other half selling it down.
- 32:43Speaker 2: But what we do see in the numbers all the
- 32:46Speaker 2: time is that private equity isn't that good on average.
- 32:50Speaker 2: You have to be with the top quartile manager to
- 32:54Speaker 2: make good returns there. And the trouble with that for
- 32:57Speaker 2: most on the street people, if I call it, is
- 33:01Speaker 2: that the minimums are too high so they can't get
- 33:04Speaker 2: in those funds. But the minimums have been coming down.
- 33:07Speaker 1: Yes, I've been waiting for someone to I take Olipse
- 33:10Speaker 1: that on the show and that is it. That is it,
- 33:14Speaker 1: And I said, led to the party at the start forks,
- 33:16Speaker 1: but I met. What I meant was that that everyone
- 33:19Speaker 1: will stand up and they'll give presentations and how terrific
- 33:21Speaker 1: private equity has been, And of course it has if
- 33:25Speaker 1: you happen to be, you know, a multi millionaire that
- 33:27Speaker 1: was with an extremely expensive financial advisory who got you
- 33:31Speaker 1: in the early days to the best ones. But as
- 33:33Speaker 1: Chris says, outside that top quarter, different business altogether.
- 33:37Speaker 2: Very hard. We hope, you know, we were lucky in
- 33:40Speaker 2: this fund. You hope every now and then, in these
- 33:43Speaker 2: private companies you own, you might hit a little gold mine.
- 33:48Speaker 2: You know, you might hit a canber. You might hit
- 33:50Speaker 2: a canber. If your listeners know it a great Australian
- 33:54Speaker 2: success story. It's already up two hundred and fifty times
- 33:58Speaker 2: what we paid for it. I wish we had a
- 34:01Speaker 2: lot more.
- 34:02Speaker 1: Yeah, but I bet you there was two hundred and
- 34:04Speaker 1: forty nine that didn't do.
- 34:05Speaker 2: It exactly right. Private credit is very liquid and as
- 34:11Speaker 2: just a repeat again, you really do have to be
- 34:13Speaker 2: with a well regarded manager, and you know, the style
- 34:18Speaker 2: of how they invest is very important. And a lot
- 34:20Speaker 2: of these private equity groups they've got almost too big,
- 34:24Speaker 2: so they keep investing bigger and bigger amounts. You know.
- 34:28Speaker 2: That might suit some of them, but I prefer those
- 34:31Speaker 2: that are more in what I call the mid market,
- 34:34Speaker 2: where I think you can actually add a lot of
- 34:37Speaker 2: value and not just value with leverage. Often private credit
- 34:42Speaker 2: is criticized quite rightly that they often will invest in
- 34:47Speaker 2: a business that's got good cash flows and they'll leverage
- 34:51Speaker 2: up the business, which is fine until it's not fine.
- 34:55Speaker 2: It's not fine when interest rates are eyes interesting.
- 34:58Speaker 1: All right, folks, we're going to take a short break.
- 35:00Speaker 1: We are running out of time, but because it was
- 35:01Speaker 1: an easter, I thought we could go a little bit longer.
- 35:04Speaker 1: We'll be back with Chris. We're just going to have
- 35:06Speaker 1: one or two questions which I'd really like to hear
- 35:08Speaker 1: what he has to say back in the moment. Hello,
- 35:21Speaker 1: Welcome back to the Money Puzzle podcast. James Kirby here
- 35:24Speaker 1: with Chris Cuff. All right, now a couple of co questions, Chris,
- 35:28Speaker 1: just to hear what your instinctive reaction to these, So
- 35:32Speaker 1: Raymond asks. Basically, he says, we had talked about how
- 35:37Speaker 1: it was good not to be hedged. It was certainly
- 35:39Speaker 1: not good not to be hedged during the most recent
- 35:43Speaker 1: American drop where they had that desperate day where they
- 35:47Speaker 1: had the worst day since twenty twenty because of the
- 35:50Speaker 1: weaker Australian dollar. But as he makes the point that
- 35:54Speaker 1: when things turn around, an on hedged position exposes Australians
- 35:59Speaker 1: to a strength Australian dollar, even when market sentiment improves
- 36:04Speaker 1: and you have increasing international equities across the board, both
- 36:09Speaker 1: private investors and institutional vestors. So he says, hedging isn't perfect,
- 36:13Speaker 1: but it reduces exposure to currency fluctuations. I imagine you
- 36:16Speaker 1: don't have anything to disagree with that. We've more or
- 36:19Speaker 1: less covered that at the start of the show. There,
- 36:21Speaker 1: all right, Andrew has two really good questions. The first one,
- 36:24Speaker 1: he says, Chris, is at the beginning of a global
- 36:28Speaker 1: at the beginning of a global market meltdown, before the
- 36:32Speaker 1: interest rates have been cut, is it broadly a good
- 36:36Speaker 1: or bad time to consider bonds or bond dtfs? WHOA Now,
- 36:40Speaker 1: you see when people like you talk about bonds, you're
- 36:43Speaker 1: talking about bonds in this sense of buying them one
- 36:46Speaker 1: by one and selecting them. But for everyday investors, their
- 36:50Speaker 1: way into bonds really as bond dtfs and bond dtfs
- 36:55Speaker 1: have not been great really in this market for a
- 36:58Speaker 1: variety of reasons, for most years of recent years. What's
- 37:02Speaker 1: your What do you say to everyday investors wh'll see
- 37:05Speaker 1: I should have bonds on my way in as ETFs?
- 37:08Speaker 2: Well, I guess the first thing was interesting that Andrews says,
- 37:11Speaker 2: at the beginning of a global market meltdown, would it
- 37:14Speaker 2: be good to do this stuff? If someone could ring
- 37:17Speaker 2: the bell we know when the beginning is story about
- 37:22Speaker 2: all the mice gathering round and saying if we just
- 37:26Speaker 2: tie the bell to the cat's neck will know when
- 37:28Speaker 2: it's coming. Of course, no mouse is going to be
- 37:32Speaker 2: game to do that, so I look, I'm not a
- 37:36Speaker 2: fan at all of pulled vehicles for bonds, which include ETFs.
- 37:43Speaker 2: Now others may think differently. I'm just not a fan
- 37:47Speaker 2: because I feel in those areas you your health is
- 37:51Speaker 2: very dependent on the other people in the fund with you.
- 37:55Speaker 2: If they start to panic and want to come out
- 37:57Speaker 2: of the farm, there could be unintended cap gains because
- 38:01Speaker 2: the manager of the fund might have to sell bonds
- 38:04Speaker 2: and that might realize losses as well as gains. I
- 38:08Speaker 2: just don't like the idea of holding hands in these things,
- 38:11Speaker 2: so I always prefer to buy. If I want to
- 38:15Speaker 2: be in fixed intra securities down in this sort of area,
- 38:20Speaker 2: I like to buy them individually and own them individually,
- 38:24Speaker 2: and probably in the main think about holding them until
- 38:28Speaker 2: they mature, so I don't have to worry about the
- 38:33Speaker 2: you know, the market value of these things going up
- 38:35Speaker 2: and down. But of course, so your.
- 38:38Speaker 1: First approach is to buy it as for its running yield.
- 38:41Speaker 2: Yes, that's definitely right. But Australia has a very immature
- 38:46Speaker 2: market in this sense, so it's very hard to sort
- 38:49Speaker 2: of do that, particularly for investors with smaller amounts. If
- 38:53Speaker 2: you're a large investor like UNI Super or Australian Super,
- 38:57Speaker 2: you can go into the market, buy Australia in bonds
- 39:00Speaker 2: or international bonds one by one and tuck them away
- 39:04Speaker 2: and just enjoy receiving the coupon every quarter or six
- 39:09Speaker 2: months or whatever it is. But for Australia based Australian investors,
- 39:13Speaker 2: I think the better thing, or easier in my mind
- 39:16Speaker 2: at least, is probably just lock into some term deposits
- 39:20Speaker 2: if you really want to be in that area, because
- 39:22Speaker 2: you'll understand the term deposit. They're not traded on the market,
- 39:26Speaker 2: you don't see their value going up and down, and
- 39:29Speaker 2: you're generally forced to keep them until they mature. It's
- 39:32Speaker 2: very hard. You can break a term deposit, but there's
- 39:34Speaker 2: usually a break fee, so we don't. Particularly, and particularly
- 39:39Speaker 2: with the hybrid market disappearing, it's quite hard to find
- 39:43Speaker 2: securities around that you can just sort of buy and hold.
- 39:47Speaker 2: There are some, but it's not easy to find.
- 39:50Speaker 1: That's terrific answer, thank you, And I think folks, that's
- 39:52Speaker 1: worth's hearing from someone who's actually on the board of
- 39:54Speaker 1: a big super fund. It really is okay because it's
- 39:57Speaker 1: because it's that helicopter view. So I think that is
- 40:00Speaker 1: a very interesting point and it never ends right about
- 40:04Speaker 1: the whole thing about bonds and should you have bonds?
- 40:05Speaker 1: But we've had more than one person on the show,
- 40:08Speaker 1: from financial advisors who are just dealing with their clients
- 40:12Speaker 1: to people who manage very large amounts of money saying
- 40:14Speaker 1: that at TDS that is term deposits. You know, government
- 40:18Speaker 1: guaranteed may serve that purpose more for most people most
- 40:23Speaker 1: of the time.
- 40:23Speaker 2: Okay.
- 40:24Speaker 1: And finally, Andrew asks, when the market has a meltdown,
- 40:27Speaker 1: isn't that just another way of saying that there is
- 40:29Speaker 1: now a stack of cash and liquidity waiting to invest
- 40:33Speaker 1: at a later stage. Yeah, yeah, sure, Andrew. A thing
- 40:37Speaker 1: is when? Okay, because in two o eight they didn't
- 40:41Speaker 1: come back for a long time into what they came
- 40:45Speaker 1: back pretty fast in COVID.
- 40:46Speaker 2: What do you think of that one, Chris Well, I
- 40:49Speaker 2: have to smile too when I heard that question earlier,
- 40:54Speaker 2: because again, we never know when the meltdowns kind of start.
- 40:58Speaker 2: And people, you know, sun men, I have to say,
- 41:02Speaker 2: although I've mixed with them for many years that they're
- 41:05Speaker 2: very good marketers. I say, now's a buying opportunity. But
- 41:08Speaker 2: of course we don't all just have cash sitting on
- 41:11Speaker 2: the side waiting. I mean, you can It's like a
- 41:14Speaker 2: clock that's broken, you know, but it's actually right twice
- 41:18Speaker 2: a day if you think about it. You know, the
- 41:20Speaker 2: clock's stall, but it's right twice a day. And sometimes
- 41:23Speaker 2: people will sit there with a lot of cash waiting
- 41:27Speaker 2: for something to happen and miss out on the opportunities
- 41:31Speaker 2: or the good days in the more risky markets, so
- 41:34Speaker 2: to speak. So I never quite understand the buying opportunity
- 41:38Speaker 2: type of logic unless you do, you know, have cash,
- 41:42Speaker 2: and you've got some fantastic way of knowing that this
- 41:46Speaker 2: you're at the end of the meltdown. Because you know
- 41:49Speaker 2: that adage about trying to catch a falling knife. It's
- 41:53Speaker 2: very hard to know when things are going to stop
- 41:57Speaker 2: going down. And I remember in the glow or financial crisis,
- 42:01Speaker 2: where things ground on for ages down month after month
- 42:06Speaker 2: for a long time, and I remember after about three months,
- 42:09Speaker 2: I thought, I'm smart. Now I'm going to put money
- 42:11Speaker 2: in the market. And you know, I tried to catch
- 42:13Speaker 2: what I can now look back at. So it was
- 42:16Speaker 2: definitely a falling knife and cut a few fingers off
- 42:18Speaker 2: along the way. So it's not easy. I prefer a
- 42:22Speaker 2: strategy that says set yourself for an all weather market
- 42:26Speaker 2: upsow downs. That's you know, sit with a good advisor,
- 42:30Speaker 2: work out how you want your money placed across different sectors,
- 42:35Speaker 2: well diversified portfolio, enough cash to live on if you're
- 42:39Speaker 2: drawing it down, and just gritch your teeth and stay
- 42:43Speaker 2: away from knee jerk reactions, which we're all prone to do. That's,
- 42:48Speaker 2: you know, if I had my time again as an
- 42:50Speaker 2: investment professional, the first thing I should should have studied
- 42:54Speaker 2: at university is behavioral science, not financial science, because people
- 43:00Speaker 2: react in the investment markets with emotion first. The best
- 43:05Speaker 2: investment managers in my career I've seen are often those
- 43:08Speaker 2: who are slightly on the spectrum. They can be completely emotionless.
- 43:14Speaker 1: Terrific. I imagine that is exactly true. That they all
- 43:17Speaker 1: understand the finance. Everyone understands the finance, right, So all
- 43:20Speaker 1: these people with the qualified they're all qualified. They understand
- 43:23Speaker 1: the finance. But who understands human emotion? All right, we
- 43:26Speaker 1: leave it there. That was terrific, Chris, Thank you very much,
- 43:29Speaker 1: Chris Coff.
- 43:30Speaker 2: Love it to have you on My pleasure. I love
- 43:32Speaker 2: being on James.
- 43:33Speaker 1: Great to have Chris Coff on the show. Folks, Okay,
- 43:36Speaker 1: have a good break, have a good easter. We will
- 43:38Speaker 1: be back very quickly. We're not taking a break. We
- 43:41Speaker 1: motor on. Keep the questions Commons ruling the money puzzle
- 43:45Speaker 1: at the Australian dot Com dot Au. Today's show was
- 43:48Speaker 1: produced by Leah Sam mcglue and she's not taking a
- 43:50Speaker 1: break either. Don't you soon, fo,