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95: Summer Heat Waves Are Coming but This Forecast Might Surprise You With Gary Lezak · CattleUSA Daily

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  Every Friday y'all welcome to another episode of the Cattle
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  USA Daily podcast. Today we are bringing back your
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  weekly weather report with Gary Lezak and the Weather 2020 team
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  where we are going to be talking all things summer.
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  It is. What day is it?
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  It is I guess June 18th today when we're recording this and on
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  Friday. I don't think it's quite
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  officially summer yet. It might be heck, I Gary and I
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  talked about it last week on the podcast, but I don't remember
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  the date. I think he said it was like June
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  26th or something. So I don't think it's officially
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  summer yet. So we're talking all things
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  summer and what is happening in the world right now with the
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  weather and what we're going to be seeing going into fall as far
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  as heat waves go and everything else that goes along with that.
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  So without further ado, let's go ahead and get into this episode
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  with Gary. Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily
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  podcast, your go to source for the latest livestock markets,
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  industry insights and the updates shaping agriculture
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  today. I'm your host, Lauren Moylan, a
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  passionate advocate for agriculture here to keep you
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  informed and connected. Now let's dive into today's
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  episode. Happy Wednesday.
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  How are? You have you had coffee?
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  Have you gotten your day started?
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  I have gotten my day started. You're my second podcast of the
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  day. Actually I've.
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  Been. I've been yapping all morning
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  already. I have.
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  I don't have my coffee. I do have my tea though.
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  OK, so yes, I, I'm actually not a coffee drinker at home.
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  Like if I'm at home, I'm not big on drinking coffee very often.
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  I'm more of a tea person. But if I'm going out, I, I will
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  get a coffee. Yeah, all the time.
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  It's weird. It, it wakes you up and gets you
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  some little focus. You know, it's, it's OK, Coffee,
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  coffee gonna be good. But I've learned if you, if you
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  start your day off by drinking a whole bunch of water, it's like
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  energizing and then you're hydrated.
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  I mean, none of us drink. There you go.
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  We're supposed to drink 8 glasses of water per day.
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  I'll bet you the average person averages two or three.
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  I mean, a Diet Coke doesn't count as water.
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  Unfortunately it doesn't. Even though water is an
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  ingredient in it, it does not count.
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  Your body does not absorb it the same way.
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  So no. I drink an entire 32 ounce thing
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  of water before I like in the first hour or two of my day.
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  Which absolutely it does energize you especially like it,
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  it is amazing, especially if you put like some electrolyte stuff
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  in there or if you put, I'm not talking like the sugary stuff,
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  I'm talking like some high quality Celtic sea salt in there
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  and some other stuff. Fried clean water is good
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  whatever. So next week I am on two more
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  weeks at KSHB that's it two more weeks and and next week I, I,
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  I'm just decided just said right now it's not going to you.
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  I'm going to just drink water when I get up at 2:00 in the
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  morning and me if I not just a little bit, really hydrate
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  myself 2:00 to 3:00 in the morning.
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  When the show starts at 3:30 my time, I will see if it works.
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  If it doesn't, I'll go back to coffee.
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  I love it. That sounds great.
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  It is actually recommended. Fun fact, my husband and I are
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  into all of the health things. You're actually not supposed to
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  drink any caffeine within 90 minutes of waking, so try at the
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  very least to wait 90 minutes until you drink your morning
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  coffee after you. Wake up.
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  OK, there you go. There's something.
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  It's with like your body's absorption of caffeine and
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  actually like it being effective is that's why you need to wait
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  the 90 minutes is your body's ability to digest it and the
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  effectiveness of it. And my husband could tell you a
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  lot more on it because he's the one that actually drinks coffee
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  in the mornings, but it is recommended that you wait 90
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  minutes, so. Yeah, I'm going to do that.
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  I get up at about two. The show starts at 3:30, but I'm
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  going to wait. I'm literally going to do water
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  only from 2:00 to 6:00 in the morning while I'm on the air.
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  And and then when next week when we talk, I'll report back to
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  you. I love it.
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  That sounds like a great plan to me.
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  We love a little trial, a little independent trial.
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  I'm here for it. Awesome.
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  Awesome. How's life been?
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  How's life in Colorado? Life is good.
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  We've had some rain and thunderstorms yesterday at hail.
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  That was exciting. Yeah.
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  And so it's good. I got a a nephew of mine driving
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  across the country with his family.
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  He's moving to Montreal, so I can't wait to see them here in
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  about an hour. And so, yeah, I'm that's
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  exciting. And otherwise another friend in
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  town. When you live in Colorado,
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  people come in to visit. So I'm going to, I got a dinner
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  tonight and so I might have a couple martinis, I don't know,
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  maybe. I wouldn't judge you one bit.
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  We went out last night for our weekly date night and we
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  actually brought my friend Ali with us because her boyfriend is
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  out of town and she's alone. And we were like, come out to
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  dinner with us and we went to the movies and then we went and
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  got dinner. And, you know, I got my frozen
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  gin and tonic. That is so good.
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  I've never had a frozen gin and tonic until this new place
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  opened up here in Manhattan. If you haven't had one before,
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  it's great, delicious. But normally I'm a martini girl,
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  so I wouldn't blame you for getting some martinis.
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  My gosh. Hydrate, go chug some water, and
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  then you can drink all the martinis you want.
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  Well, what's happening in the weather, Gary?
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  A lot this past week has been fascinating.
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  Kansas City region has been really, really weird.
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  I'll tell you about that in a second.
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  But overall, there have been thunderstorm complexes one after
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  another up across North Dakota into Minnesota, some tornadoes
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  up there in Minnesota, and then then across Kansas.
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  There was a lot of rain because Nebraska and Kansas, but there's
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  a big hole that got nothing. And it was Kansas City.
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  And so that's why I'm broadcasting.
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  You know, there's been a study that most difficult place in the
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  world to predict the weather is Kansas City.
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  Did you know that? I did not know that.
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  That's crazy. It is true for for big cities in
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  the United States. Rapid City, SD also is close,
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  but Kansas City is the most difficult place to forecast in
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  the world for various reasons. Kansas City is often near the
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  rain snow line, whereas Omaha, NE it's either snow or doesn't
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  snow. Usually in Kansas City it's like
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  snow or doesn't snow combined with the rain snow line there.
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  So it might snow, it might rain, it might not snow, it might not
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  rain. I mean, the Gulf of Mexico is
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  due South of Kansas City. So the moisture meets the dry
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  air from western Kansas, right near Kansas City and Saint Louis
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  and Chicago. And in areas off to the east,
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  the thunderstorms are forming near Kansas City, and now we can
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  predict them for Kansas City. It's like, are they going to
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  form before this goes by or not? So that's another reason why.
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  But what just happened? Literally, Kansas City had no
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  rain for the last five days, and there have been 5 or 6 complexes
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  of thunderstorms that have been heading that way, moving towards
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  them, and it goes all around them.
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  So Kansas City ends up with 0.00 rain and yesterday we were
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  predicting one to two inches of rain and I was certain of it,
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  but instead it went to Wichita. Wichita, I had five rounds of
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  thunderstorms, two or three of them were Kansas City's.
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  So they stole our rain down in Wichita and I don't like that
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  between Wichita, Hutchinson and 1 foot 12 inches of rain has
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  fallen in the past five days. Northern Oklahoma, southern
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  Kansas, 6 to 8 inches of rain around Wichita, down into Tulsa,
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  OK. All that rain, there's going to
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  be lush and green going into summers, going to be high
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  humidity. But Kansas City is left high and
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  dry, and now there's seven days of heat coming in.
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  So. So there's going to be some corn
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  and soybean fields. And I'm going to start hearing
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  from farmers in Missouri. Gary, you said it was going to
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  rain. I go.
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  I was right for everywhere but you.
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  But yeah, so. So everything's right on
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  schedule. This this storms crossing Kansas
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  while we're talking. And there may be thunderstorms
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  near Kansas City today. Maybe they get hit today.
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  We'll see. I doubt it, of course, but it is
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  the Blizzard part of the pattern.
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  This storm coming across right now is literally I can trace it
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  back to January 5th. Remember, it's a 41 day cycle.
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  While we're recording this, it's June 18th, and while we're
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  recording this June 18th, this happens to be 163 days, 164 days
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  after January 5th. 164 / 4 is fourty one.
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  I've been telling you we've been talking about a fourty one day
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  cycle. You can't make this up.
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  January 5th's Blizzard and the storm has just crossed Kansas.
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  Yeah, but Miss Kansas City, they had 11 inches, they had a
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  Blizzard, and then they got nothing.
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  How do you say it's the Blizzard?
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  There was nothing. Well, there was a foot of snow
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  in Wichita from the same storm. So anyway, I'm making up.
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  I'm making up voices now. I'm here for it, I love it.
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  I haven't just happened. Yes, my family's ranch is just
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  north of Lawrence about 30 minutes and so we're obviously
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  just West of Kansas City about 35 minutes too.
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  And so we're always so hit and miss.
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  We either get exactly what Kansas City is getting or we are
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  like the people that are on the edge where it like either cuts
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  north or it cuts S missing Kansas City too.
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  And then I always joke that Manhattan, where I live right
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  now, we're in a valley and we we call it the Manhattan hole
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  because all all the time we have storms just cut right north of
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  us or right South of us because we also have a lake right near
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  Manhattan too. And so all of the currents and
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  everything just make all the storms go right around it.
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  Like we think we're going to get absolutely slammed.
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  Nope, it went S Nope, it went N. So it's been my entire life kind
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  of dealing with that of you think you're.
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  Going to get rained and then. You get nothing.
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  That's a complete old wives tale myth that is not true, that does
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  not really have. Nope.
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  OK. It doesn't.
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  It's absolutely the. More, you know.
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  You know, the Manhattan hole, the Manhattan Valley, the
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  Manhattan Hole effect, the Tonganoxie split, the Norman Pit
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  effect down in Norman, No matter where you live, thunderstorms
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  will tend to split around you. So believe it or not, it's just
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  a myth. You get hit by thunderstorms,
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  you've been deluged before, you've had flooding, so you
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  don't always get missed. Let's just make.
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  No, we don't always get missed. We don't always get missed.
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  But I know what you mean. Especially when you want the
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  rain we're gonna miss. You exactly, Exactly.
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  We have to be in a constant state of it's it'd be OK if we
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  don't get the rain and then we'll then we'll get it.
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  It's fine. We can't want it.
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  Too bad, I just wanted to spell it just because you're in that.
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  No, you have to. I've driven into Manhattan a few
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  times and I love dropping into the Manhattan little valley
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  there, but that is not causing the rain to miss you.
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  Well, that's that's good to know because that is an old wives
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  tale that I subscribed to and didn't even know it was an old
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  wives tale. So.
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  I can prove it wrong. It's OK.
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  I can prove it wrong. You can prove it wrong.
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  But you know, some years it's wider than others.
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  And right now we're we're doing just fine on moisture, but it's
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  it's close to being not enough. Yes, absolutely, for sure.
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  What are we looking at for several predictions, thoughts on
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  the next few weeks, the next few months?
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  What are what are we seeing? In the next week, making
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  headlines will likely be a heat wave that develops east of the
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  Corn Belt over the eastern United States.
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  The heights are rising and a big heat Dome is trying to form, so
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  temperatures will be rising. This will also include a windy
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  warm up for Kansas and Nebraska and areas of the Corn Belt as
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  well. And from eastern Colorado all
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  the way to Saint Louis, there's going to be a S southwest breeze
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  blowing at 20 to 30 mph Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday is
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  coming up. So, so right now through the
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  weekend early next week, unfortunately, it's not going to
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  last more than four days here, but that is and wind is going to
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  dry things out. We're going to need some rain.
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  The outlook from the models for the next 10 days after that are
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  for a return of 1 to 3 inch rainfall amounts across all of
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  Nebraska and Kansas except for the whole around Kansas City.
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  Literally, I'm not making the latest data.
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  It has a whole around Kansas City, so it knows about the LRC.
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  These models must know because that fits for it to happen
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  again. Now that just means it's going
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  to be 3 or 4 new complexes of thunderstorms that will move
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  from northwest to southeast across Nebraska and Kansas,
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  probably head towards Wichita again.
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  But one of them may hit, you know, northern Kansas, may hit
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  the pit effect in the valley effect in Manhattan and hit
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  Kansas City. But we're going to need that
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  because the pressure is going to be on because things are going
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  to be drying out in the next week.
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  For July. That heat Dome that forms over
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  the east is going to shift back to the South Washington, United
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  States. Then it's going to move back out
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  over the plains. We're going to be able to track
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  where this heat develops. We still don't see any long
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  summer, summer long heat wave. No, that would be in 1980, there
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  was one in two. In 1988, there was one.
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  In 2012 there was one. We're not expecting any bad long
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  heat wave over the entire area. There's been so much rain.
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  The humidity is going to be higher.
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  It's going to probably prevent that from happening, but there
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  will be some hot spells, including the one that's
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  developing in the next few days. Good to know on all of that.
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  And we're still anticipating that hot spell to hit us in
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  July, kind of right on schedule. I'm assuming probably in 41
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  days, give or take five days. If we're getting a hot spell
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  next week, then we get one and 41 days.
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  Is that how that works? Yeah, yeah, you've got it.
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  I've got it. That's.
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  The LRC, this heat that's building up now.
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  So you have June the first day of summer is the first day of
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  real heat coming in and wind June 20th to June 25th, June
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  20th to June 30th. You had 41 days there.
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  That's the that's the first week of August probably.
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  So 30 days from from June 20th is is June, July 30th, July
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  20th. So 41 days will be July 31st.
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  Some reason probably cool at the last week of July, cooler than
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  average and then heat up because that's what we just went through
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  something to look forward to and a global predictor.
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  If you have that app, it shows that it shows cooler in the last
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  week of July. Good to know.
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  Awesome, awesome. We'll take all the cool spells
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  we can get in the middle of summer.
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  Yeah, let's hope they get a new this what happens, the jet
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  stream gets weaker and we've talked about it in response to
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  the the summer heat building up and it shifts N so the the cold
• 15:11
  fronts have a harder time pushing South of Nebraska.
• 15:14
  So can they make it down South all the way to Texas?
• 15:18
  If they do, then you have a chance of thunderstorms as they
• 15:20
  move through. If they stall, those
• 15:22
  thunderstorms stay in northern Nebraska and Northern Iowa.
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  And it's hot. So we got to look for something
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  like that. On the lookout for that in our
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  next report? Awesome.
• 15:31
  Love to hear it. Any other highs or lows in the
• 15:33
  weather right now? Any other things that we need to
• 15:36
  hit on? How's hurricane season looking?
• 15:38
  Any anything else that you're seeing that we need to talk
• 15:41
  about? Yeah, hurricane season starting
• 15:43
  out a little slow. The average number of named
• 15:47
  tropical storms by the end of June is 1.
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  There hasn't been 1 yet though. So the next 10 days, let's see
• 15:56
  if one develops. Otherwise we're going to start
• 15:58
  lagging behind average. And you know our prediction for
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  weather 2020 is for above average season, 14 named storms
• 16:05
  as average. We're predicting 17 to 23, and
• 16:09
  so we'll see what happens. If there isn't 1, there's a
• 16:12
  reason why there isn't 1, and we'll talk about that.
• 16:15
  There's been Saharan dust. It's a big thing.
• 16:18
  So here a dust that comes across from the desert storms and goes
• 16:22
  across Africa and over across the Atlantic and it becomes
• 16:26
  expansive. That can reduce hurricanes.
• 16:28
  And then the fire smoke from Canada fires can reduce
• 16:31
  hurricanes, but right now that seems to be clearing up.
• 16:34
  So we're expecting one to develop.
• 16:36
  Maybe by the next time we talk we'll start seeing some possible
• 16:39
  development. Very good to know.
• 16:41
  It's crazy how something that's happening halfway across the
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  world can affect us so much over here as well, so.
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  The Saharan dust, when it goes up in the atmosphere, it often
• 16:52
  lands in the Amazon rainforest in South America.
• 16:56
  You can trace Saharan dust to being on their ground.
• 17:01
  That is really cool. The more you know that's that's
• 17:05
  so fun. I love it.
• 17:07
  Well, Gary, thank you so much for your time today and coming
• 17:11
  on as always, to all of you listeners out there, go check
• 17:14
  out our show notes. Get that weather predictor app,
• 17:17
  the global, the global predictor, get the weather 2020
• 17:20
  dashboard. Get all of it because I trust
• 17:23
  me, it will be worth it for fall harvesting, looking out just
• 17:28
  whether you want to predict when you need to be be looking at
• 17:32
  heat waves for the summer or whether you need to be getting
• 17:35
  your planting and harvesting and everything figured out for the
• 17:38
  fall. You're going to want it.
• 17:40
  So go check out our exclusive link that we have down below
• 17:42
  where we get an exclusive discount as a partner with
• 17:47
  weather 2020. So make sure you go check that
• 17:49
  out. Check out the show notes and as
• 17:51
  always, like subscribe rate review, share with a friend.
• 17:53
  We appreciate it all over here at the team and we will see you
• 17:56
  all next time on another episode.
• 17:58
  Have a great Friday, y'all. We'll see you later.