Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Surprise Weekend Rally?📈Technical Analysis with Tim Warren

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Surprise Weekend Rally?📈Technical Analysis with Tim Warren · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, today, let's break it down. Are we in
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: for a weekend rally? Today? We'll break it down for you.
• 0:05
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• 0:06
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• 0:08
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• 1:00
  Speaker 1: I do want to thank Tim Warren for coming in today,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: and by doing that, I got to bring in this
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: point right here. If you're not following Tim's channel, go
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: over to YouTube right now Tim Warren Trades. Get over
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: there and subscribe to Tim. He's got a ten thousand
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: dollars crypto portfolio that I want to see how that
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: worked out for you. That's a six month old video.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Did it work out for you?
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: Well?
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: I mean long term, not short term, right. I think
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: probably all of our stop losses got hit there. But
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: that's a good lesson as well. Did that stop losses
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: get out when things are bad and make money long
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: term that way too.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: There you go, Tim. A lot happening in the market
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: right now. Obviously, PPI comes in striking again. January PPI
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: came in higher than expected two point nine versus two
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: point six. This means core inflation is heating up. And man,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: this is I look at this, and I also and
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: we'll show some stuff here on true inflation later. But
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: I look at this, and then I look at where
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: the FED has been and you almost it's like the
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: data has not been there or has it? And the
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: FED has been I just don't know what to think anymore.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: The amount of data, you know, rubber band whip sawing
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: that we're seeing around inflation and jobs is insane. So
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: this of course will have an impact on bitcoin, which
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: bitcoin is now threatened under a new breakdown. Obviously it
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: was the PPI sends gold up right now when you
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: look at the chart on bitcoin, Tim, and you because
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: you and I were talking about this last week, there
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: were some opportunities. Gareth was on this week. He was
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: calling for an eighty five Where do you stand right
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: now on bitcoin?
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean so people hate my answer when I
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: give this stuff. I'm almost always in a could up,
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: could go down situation. Right If you're a chartist and
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: you're studying the probability, you are aware there is a
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: non zero probability of a bull run, There's a non
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: zero probability of a bearish crash any moment. We're in
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: the very midst of something right now that it really
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: is easy to say it could go either way. So
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: this is why I like to deal with if then
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: statements and people I say, Tim, if you're constantly saying
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: could go up, could go down, how do you make money,
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: because when you have if then statements, you buy if
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: X happens, you sell if Y happens. And right now
• 3:18
  Speaker 3: I will say I'm probably leaning towards a move up.
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: My most recent analysis has said somewhere in seventy four
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: to eighty thousand is a spot that I think is
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: very interesting. But I don't think that means the bottom
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: is in just yet. I still have been saying now
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: for over a month now, fifty three thousand dollars is
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: a very interesting level that people don't want that. Bulls
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: don't want to mention it. Bulls want to always say
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: the bottom is in. But we need to acknowledge the
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: high level of support at fifty three thousand, and also
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: understand that we're in a highly manipulated class right now.
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: I mean this is being exposed with the whole Jane
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: Street thing that just came out was the hot news
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: for twenty four hours.
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: There.
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: They're not the first manipulators, they won't be the last manipulators.
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: I still think there's a lot of head fakes ahead
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: of us. But with all that being said, I still
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: think there's a chance that we could make a move
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: between seventy four to eighty k you said somebody else.
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: Garris always said maybe eighty five. I'll say this, and
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: Gareth is brilliant techno analyst. If we get above eighty K,
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: and I can explain this to the audience. If we
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: get above eighty K, I'll start to genuinely ask the
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: question if the bottom is in. But I don't think
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: it's going to happen. I think we might hit our
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: hands on eighty k and drop once more to three.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: Well, to your point, there's a lot of interesting news
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: in the market. Many people might say, well, you look
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: at the fud flow that comes out. Here was Zach
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: Pandell coming in from Grayscale, New York. This is the
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: New York Times op ed on clarity. It would allow
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: small crypto companies to pitch themselves to ordinary investors without
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: any consumer protection. In fact, it's exactly the opposite. So
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: you got the New York Times going in and futting this.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Right here, crypto is pointless. Not even the White House
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: can fix it. So again, this could be because the
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: White House is and has been very high in terms
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: of urgency and also the checklist of getting things done.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: Crypto of course relies into that. I want to play
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: a clip for you, because this is an interesting one
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: that goes into Mike McLoone who's been you know, I
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: know he's been on a variety of different crypto Traders shows.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: For the most point, he's been kind of neutral on crypto.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: But this is a little different. Take a look.
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: Is there a point where, you know, if bitcoin falls
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: to sub fifty sub forty, some thirty, some twenty sub ten,
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: is there a point where it no longer is an
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: asset anymore that anyone wants to hold.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, Mike just said, do you think the asset
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: class is over?
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: Is that what I heard?
• 5:54
  Speaker 5: So I think for now the acid class is broken.
• 5:57
  Speaker 5: And I showed you a key reason why. When you
• 5:59
  Speaker 5: were a risk man in and you see three years
• 6:01
  Speaker 5: of way underperforming acid versus Beta, that takes something significant
• 6:06
  Speaker 5: to recover that the story everybody told was wrong. The
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: launch of the ets. Everybody's purchased those ETFs on averages
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: all underwater. So that's a broken acid class. Everything we
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: need to see something happen. If it's say bitcoins dropping
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: to those levels in stock markets leading the way, okay,
• 6:22
  Speaker 5: well that might be signed to divert distinct. For right now,
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: this leading risk asset that has you know, this massive
• 6:28
  Speaker 5: tons of cryptos. It's hard to keep tracking us leading
• 6:30
  Speaker 5: the way up, announced leading the way down. I say
• 6:33
  Speaker 5: stick with the trend. Respect it sell rallies until proven wrong. Yeah,
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: imagine how bad sentiment would be here for trading at
• 6:40
  Speaker 5: sixty five in October.
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: Just the fact that you know, we only pulled back
• 6:44
  Speaker 4: to sixty just between sixty and seventy and sentiment was
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: worse than it was in the last poor market.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: That says a lot.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it does say a lot. Sentiment is down probably
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: to the lowest I've seen it in quite some time.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: A lot of our indicators can pointing that direction. Then
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: you have get go on here talking about bitcoin dominance
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: is on the brink of a total collapse. What do
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: you think happens to all when this happens. Yes, we're
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: gonna see some pretty interesting things going on. But when
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: you look at the bitcoin dominance right now on the chart, tim,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: is there anything there that would give you maybe some
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: at least upside for all coins or do you feel
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: that the market sentiment is just too low for it
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: to really impact alts in general?
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: I think when you look at the bitcoin dominus chart.
• 7:32
  Speaker 3: Here's what I'll say. If Bitcoin collapses, and that's why
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: bitcoin do chart collapses, We're in.
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: A whole new world.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's only the.
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: Reasons in the past bitcoin dominance has ever fallen off
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: of a cliff. Go back to the last two all
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: coin seasons. Go back to January of twenty twenty one,
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: where Bitcoin took like thirty days to pull back while
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: all coins went berserk, but effectively Bitcoin's rally was falling
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: from over same thing. Go back to February of twenty seventeen.
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: Bitcoin paused for a week or two, but it continued massively.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: In a rally.
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: It was just all coins massively outpaced it. What I'm
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: kind of looking at right now when I look at
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: extremely boring and sideways bitcoin dominance is a whole group
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: of the all coins never had their run right, So
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: we didn't collapse down to probably what we should have done,
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: somewhere closer to fifty or lower percent. We didn't make
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: that move, and there's still manipulation and price to the
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: downside for Bitcoin.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: But all coins.
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: I won't be surprised if all coins don't really drop
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: that much more compared to Bitcoin. I think there could
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: be a small amount of time where the bitcoin dominance
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: and bitcoin price chart continues to slightly move down. But
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: I think a serious crash. I think if we see
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: a big drop on bitcoin dominance, what that will more
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: than likely be is something along the lines of Bitcoin
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: is paused or just barely rallying. And all coins and
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: don't think coin number four hundred and seventy nine, think ethereum,
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: think XRP, think binance coin, think chain link. They start
• 8:58
  Speaker 3: to get these really adopted use cases that make the
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: investment in them go berserk while Bitcoin stay stagnant. More
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: than likely if you go back to show my chart
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: one more time, though, I don't think we're going to
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: enter where we are right now and drop. I think
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: what you'll see as an emergence where stuff comes back bullish,
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: just comes back to crypto via more than likely ETFs
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: and institutions. You'll probably see bitcoin dominants rally first and
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: then fall off the cliff, right. I don't think we'll
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: go from bear market to bitcoin dominance collapse. You'll have
• 9:28
  Speaker 3: bitcoin surge and then you'll have people come behind and say, okay,
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: now let's go invest in the ethereums and xrps and
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: chain links and so on and so forth.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: Well, and to your point is that this is going
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: to coalesce around some of the blue chip tokens. The
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: difference also is the amount of liquidity that would pour
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: into those versus being you know, distributed out across the top,
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: say one point fifty that we have seen in the past,
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: you know, in past all coin markets, especially twenty one
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: and twenty seventeen both responded that way, which is why
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: we really never saw blowoff tops on ethereum, which everybody
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: was anticipating. So I think he might be onto something
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: there potentially.
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, though I've followed Mike McLoone for a while now,
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: again a very smart man. I think people are wise
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: to listen to him and understand his thinking. I do
• 10:16
  Speaker 3: want to remind people, though, Mike mcglohone was calling for
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: sub three thousand dollars back in twenty twenty two, So
• 10:22
  Speaker 3: this is not a man who has called the market perfectly.
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: In a bear market, if you're a bearish person, you
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: look brilliant. If you're bullish, you look like an idiot.
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: But in a bull market, bulls look brilliant and the
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: bears look like idiots. I think my takeaway is not
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: saying Mike mcloone's an idiot. My takeaway from listening to
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: him say that is further proof nobody in the world
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: right now knows perfectly where the bottom and when the
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: bottom is going to be. We're using the best analysis
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: we can to try to guesstimate. But at the end
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: of the day, it really comes down to every person
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: watching this video, where are your convictions. Do you believe
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: bitcoin is a dead asset class, sell it and run away,
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: But if you think it has bright future, you need
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: to even at the violence on in you need to
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: be looking for DCA spots because you're following your conviction.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Well, listen, every major classification in terms of assets over
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: the past forty years that were breakout asset classes from
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the era of when we really started to see a
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: lot of the internet and online stocks take off, they
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: all dealt with these kind of pullbacks, And if you
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: have you have to remember this is that era for
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: digital assets. We're in that era of not sure this
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: is going to be a thing, maybe it's going to
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: explode somehow. It's correlated to you know, at the time,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: back back then, it was correlated for tech stocks, correlated
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: to e commerce. Now it's maybe crypto correlated to AI.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: So I think this is the question mark that every
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: investor asked themselves is did I get in too early
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: on an asset class or did I quit too early
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: on an asset class like maybe many of you did
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: on Amazon or on many other stocks out there. I
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: want to go to your clip here, because you're talking
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: about a catalyst, and one of the things could mark
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: the bottom. Of course, Clarity is something we've been reporting
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: on for some time. You put out on tweet right here,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: two days left until the White House deadline for Clarity
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Act negotiations, and here we are with one day left,
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: technically two. I guess if you go to the first,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: which unfortunately would be Sunday. So if a compromise isn't reached,
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: what will happen, Well, fast Track process center will stall.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: Negotiations continue, but the reaction from the White House is unknown.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: I would agree with that. However, based on what we're
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: seeing coming out of the OCC, we believe that that
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: is the narrative that the White House has chosen, is
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: that ban on stable coins is going to happen. That's
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: what the OCC is out there. Remember that's the office
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: of the Comptro of the United States. So that's a
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: big deal if that does take place, and it gives
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: us the information we believe is that Clarity is going through,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: but without stable coin yields in the traditional way that
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: we know it. Sure there will be other rewards out there, guys.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Don't think you're not gonna be able to get them,
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: and especially in DeFi but it could mark the bottom,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: to your point, could mark the bottom. Do you think
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: that if we finally get at least some sort of
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: flag that comes up and says, okay, we now know
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: the direction this is going to happen. Banks got their way,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Coinbase is going to step back, deal with their business
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: on trading and becoming a bank. Do you think that
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: would be the bottom that would start to set the
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: market in motion.
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: I think the bottom is close. I don't know if
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: it's necessarily here just yet. And I think my anticipation
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: of what we're going to see with the Clearity Acts
• 13:42
  Speaker 3: is going to look a whole lot like what happened
• 13:44
  Speaker 3: back when the Bitcoin ETF first was created.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: Now there's a difference. There's a big difference.
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: We knew in the fall of twenty twenty three, we
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: knew it was coming. There was the leak where someone
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: hacked the X account of the SEC and said we're
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: gonna approve it, and it ended up being But then
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: upon questioning the SEC on what happened, how did your
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: account get hacked, it pretty much was outed like, yes,
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: they're gonna pass the Bitcoin ETF, so we got time
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: to buy into it early, right, And then anyone who
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: remembers the charts, you remember the day that ets went live.
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: I want to say with January tenth, It might have
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: been like the eleventh or something, but remember there was
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: a spike up and then a spike down, some big volatility.
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: There was a group of people convinced that they launch
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: of the ETF was a sell the news event, right,
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: and we did see a twenty percent correction on bitcoin
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: price after it happened. But then, of course, as everyone knows,
• 14:34
  Speaker 3: we would go on to say record for the youngest
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: all time high hit in bitcoin history, where we hit
• 14:39
  Speaker 3: it before the having event later on in April, and
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: it was a massive buying event.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: What we haven't had this time is we haven't had this.
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: Long duration of time to look forward to the Clarity
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: Act passing because it goes back and forth what seems
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: like every other day on if it's looking good or not.
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: So if Monday's deadline, and if we see the Senate
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: come together and say, yep, we're first of all the
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: banks and crypto communities they agree on it. They tend
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: that language to the Senate. The Senate posts and says.
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: We're good to go.
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: We never got our shock and awe moment, right, So
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't be surprised to see volatility happen quickly where
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: the news comes out, price shoots up, but then there's
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: a major sell off where we crash th levels. And
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: the purpose of this in the manipulation world would be
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: there's a section of retail investors who believe, like I do,
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: that this is a bullish event, right, this is going
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: to be very good for crypto prices moving forward. But
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: if I can convince you you're wrong, if I send
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: the price to the downside to chase liquidations, to chase
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: certain by levels at lower places like fifty three thousand dollars,
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: then I can convince even some of the strong bulls
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: that they were wrong. They need to ditch. We have
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: a whole lot lower to go. It is a perfect
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: y cough spring method used by institutions to get rid
• 15:55
  Speaker 3: of retail and then buy it to dip and take off.
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: So I want to be very clear, I'm bullish, but
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: I don't think the craziness and potentially the low is
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: in just yet.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, and to your point it we've seen this
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: so many times, tim it's almost textbook. The key is
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: is you don't know the timing, but if your conviction
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: is right, timing really doesn't matter. If your conviction is right.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: We put out a poll earlier in the week. Unles
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: see where you stand on this. Our poll was priced
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: by the end of March, and I'll zoom in on
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: that so you can see it a little bit. Fifty
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: K is what I voted on end of March, March
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: thirty first, and seventy K another twenty one percent, So
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: basically we had what fifty nine percent almost sixty percent
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: coming in under seventy k. Yeah, that's much more bearish
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: than I think a lot of people anticipated, especially if
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: we get a clarity coming through, yeah, or even indication
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: that clarity is coming through, you know, which I think
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: is the key here. Eighty five k for the current
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: run of that one.
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I was. I always love these polls.
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: It's such a tricky question because of the details of
• 17:08
  Speaker 3: when the Clarity Act will pass. Right last week they
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: were telling us April or May. This week, it seems
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: like they've accelerated to saying we could know the answer sooner.
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: Gonna I'm gonna lean under eighty five thousand, but probably
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: not down to fifty k. Like I think a move
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: sub sixty k is a very fast wick down and
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: wit back up. I don't know if we have will
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: have the time in just a month from now. Pretty
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: much yeah, to get back up of eighty five k.
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: I would love to be wrong about this, but I'm
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: gonna say if I was voting, I'd be with the
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: minority in this group. I'd say that seventy thousand dollars
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: Option seventy K would be where I'd put myself there.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: You go, well, listen, we're gonna look back on Mars
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: Storry first to say where this thing sits. I'm just
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: kind of curious because this pole was an interesting one
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: because it was very split. I want to go to
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: a clip real quick because this will get into a
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: little bit more detail on Matt Hogan because he thinks
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: and This is more on the ethereum ben. We'll chart
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: ethereum here in a second, but this really has some
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: implications to ethereum. Here is Matt Hogan talking about Meta's
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: stable coin.
• 18:09
  Speaker 6: Take a look to the uniswap example. I'll give another one.
• 18:13
  Speaker 6: Yesterday Meta announced it was rolling out stable coins across
• 18:17
  Speaker 6: three billion people, and we talked about it for like
• 18:20
  Speaker 6: twelve minutes. A few years ago, metow tried to move
• 18:23
  Speaker 6: into stable coins, we talked about it for twelve months.
• 18:26
  Speaker 6: There's three billion people who are going to have crypto
• 18:28
  Speaker 6: wallets in a year. It's like ridiculous, and the price
• 18:31
  Speaker 6: is like eh. I think a point I was making
• 18:34
  Speaker 6: in the memo is, look, most of the biggest alpha
• 18:38
  Speaker 6: opportunities you'll ever encounter as an investor are behaviorally driven.
• 18:44
  Speaker 6: It's when people make classic behavioral mistakes and there's a
• 18:48
  Speaker 6: gap between perception and reality. And the reason Ryan is
• 18:52
  Speaker 6: more bullish than he's ever been is the gap is
• 18:55
  Speaker 6: bigger than it's ever been in my view in crypto.
• 18:58
  Speaker 6: The reality is Meta is rolling out stable coins three
• 19:02
  Speaker 6: billion people. The reality is Blackrock is investing in uniswap,
• 19:06
  Speaker 6: and Apollo is investing in Morpho The reality is Stripe
• 19:10
  Speaker 6: just said all Internet transactions will take place over blockchains
• 19:14
  Speaker 6: and they're the best payment company in the world.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 19:16
  Speaker 6: The reality is Circle just reported blowout earnings. Everyone's building
• 19:20
  Speaker 6: on tokenization and crypto is like.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: Ah, here was a tweet this might I think this
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: agrees with you. Eth peaked two months before Bitcoin this cycle,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: and then maybe it all happened during the Ethereum bottom too,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: bottom Q two twenty twenty six, twelve to fourteen hundred
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: could happen on eighth Do you agree.
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: One hundred percent? I actually that's something that you know.
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: We were going to go to the charts I have,
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: I have similar levels. I'm not convinced for certain twelve
• 19:45
  Speaker 3: hundred to fourteen hundred has to happen. But if you
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: go to my chart, there's two lines that I have
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: on my chart. The first one here I have multiple yells,
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: but this lower one. Or here I have a sixteen
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: hundred dollars Okay to me, this sixteen hundred dollars level
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: is very similar to coins fifty three thousand. But if
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: we can't make a surge back up, and I think
• 20:05
  Speaker 3: ethereum could surge back as high as twenty four hundred
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: to twenty six hundred dollars. If like, if Bitcoin goes
• 20:11
  Speaker 3: back up to eighty k, ethereum could make it all
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: way backup to twenty six hundred. If we can move
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: up first, then I think we only come down to
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: sixteen hundred. But if we go ahead, let me go
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: to a lower time frame chart here. If we start
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: to drop now, you can see clearly ethereums in this
• 20:27
  Speaker 3: little channel. If we go ahead and drop now, you're
• 20:30
  Speaker 3: looking at what we would call a bear flag pattern.
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: Where this bear flag pattern wants to send the price
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: of ethereum right, not just to sixteen hundred, down here,
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: towards twelve hundred dollars per coin. So that's where my
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: blue line on the chart is coming in. It will
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: depend on This is my if then statement. If we
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: can break twenty one hundred and make this move towards
• 20:48
  Speaker 3: twenty six, then I think the bottom move is probably
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: closer to sixteen hundred. But if we stay rejected below
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: twenty one hundred and start to make the move down,
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: I think twelve hundred dollars is a very realistic scenario
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: and price action to buy ethereum at those lower levels, all.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: Right, Tim let's wrap this one up. I want to
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: get into some really key questions though, on what is
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: happening where you stand on some of these positions right now,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: because remember the tweet just recently came out here on
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: trueflation not getting all the data. My question to you,
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: trueflation has been wrong all along? Yes? Or no?
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: Oh? Man, let's go with yes. I mean I was
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: telling you a little bit before the show. I've always
• 21:30
  Speaker 3: been in.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Camp we can't trust the data.
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: I've always been in camp trueflation. What's the point of it.
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: Nobody in the government's going to look at it and
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: use it. It's almost like trueflation was made just to
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: make people like you and me read the internet and
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: yell at it.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: You know, well, listen, I know somebody you know well,
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: I will say it's named I know somebody who is
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: a permabule that is not going to like that. In the
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: fact that trueflation has been you know, gaslighting. Hey, the
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: White House secretly told the OCC to put out the
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: yield band proposal? Yes or no? You think they did
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: it or you think the OCC just took it upon themselves.
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: No, I think I think they took it upon themselves.
• 22:07
  Speaker 3: But I think the White House doesn't care about that issue,
• 22:10
  Speaker 3: so they just want to get this passed through.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they did it, So you're gonna say.
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say no, they didn't tell them to
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: do it, but I think they have no problem with it.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: All right, Well there you go, all right. Ethereum single
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: record largest daily candle since twenty twenty one was a
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: plus twenty eight percent after Clarity passes. Do you think
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: that will happen again beating the twenty eight percent single day? Yes?
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: Or no?
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: And oh, it's possible, but again I would be surprised
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: if it's the short one.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: I think that's like after the big wick down.
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: Okay, I think we will see another day with a
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: big candle like that, but right after.
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: The clarity after Clarity.
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: But what's the definition though, like within days?
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I think anytime after Clarity apparently?
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yes, yes, and.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, I'm saying yeah, after Clarity goes through. It
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: may take a week or two or whatever that number is.
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: Which conspiracy combo is more responsible for crypto crashing here
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: recently Finance Quantum or James Street and Epstein.
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: Oh wow, that's a good one. Oh that's good. You know,
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna say binancing quantum threat.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: I'm with you. I think that gets ten ten man.
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: I think that was a scapegoat.
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: I think that was a we have to make a
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: sacrifice so that retail thinks that the manipulation is done. Yeah,
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: and it's just it's just getting going.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: Man. The conspiracy is so thick here, Yeah, with Tim.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: When Tim has his white callaway hat on, we are
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: getting into conspiracy land here we are, second half a show.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: SBF bribes Trump for a pardon. You think he'll do it?
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: Oh?
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: Will he do it? Yes, he'll He'll bribe him. Will
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: it work?
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: Will he get it?
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna say no, because if he does bribe him,
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: he won't get the pardon. So I'm on here, I'm
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: on your camp. Okay.
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and no party FORSB. I think he stays in prison,
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: all right.
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: What's worse for clarity passing? Odds? Uh? World liberty fire? SBF?
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: What's worse for clarity passing?
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: What is? What do you mean?
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: SBF? Howl? How would SBF even play it?
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: For him to just come out to try to put
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: pressure on uh, you know, some sort of pardon saying hey,
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: we tried to do all you know, like what he
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: was doing the other day.
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: No, he just raises the oddly with World Liberty five
• 24:27
  Speaker 3: because that's gonna obviously deal with the Trump family. Could
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: Democrats decide we're going to go anti Trump here, so
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: World Liberty doesn't that.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Liberty five investors and institutions realize Link as our frendous
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: holder benefits. Tim Warren dumbs Link for top revenue sharing
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: tokens in twenty twenty six, breaking news.
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: Wait, I don't. I don't know if I understand the question.
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: What's the question investors in institutions. This is, you know,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: we're we're we're thinking ahead, realize that Link has horrendous
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: holder benefits. You know, there's no there's no revenue sharing,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: there's no you know, there's none of the true utility.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: And then this trader that we know by the name
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: of Tim Warren he dumps Link for top revenue sharing
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: tokens in twenty twenty six.
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: Listen, I'm not saying there's a zero percent chance I dump,
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: but like, it's not likely you're not gonna see me
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: dumping chain leak anytime soon.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: I agree. I don't think Tim dumps chain Link. Trump
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: and Congress approve Stemmy checks to the plubs.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: What do you think, well, Trump will well Congress. That's
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: gonna be the question.
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: Uh yeah, I think yes because I think yes, because
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: they're we'll have to get the refunds on the tariffs
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: and that's gonna be in litigation.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: For a long time. And I think Trump wants to
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: buy some votes potentially for the midterms.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: All right, you're you're winning me over now. I'm kind
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: of in the middle. Yeah, I'm in the middle on
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: this one. Markets will be for Jerome Powell's return after
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: one year of a new FED chair.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: Has to be yes.
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: I mean, I see people begging for Gary Genslers as
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: if we forgot all that nightmare. So yeah, you think
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: Jerome Jerome Powell is nowhere near as bad as Gary Gensler.
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna say he's the greatest chairman ever, but
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: all right there, if we're begging for Gary, they'll definitely
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: be people begging for Kay.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: I'm on the fence on this one. Guy. On that one,
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Last question here, Democrats win winning the
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: mid terms is good for risk assets?
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: Do you think you know I would have probably said
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: no to this before, but my business partner, Schrum has
• 26:38
  Speaker 3: been doing some deep diving into the history of this.
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: There's actually there's there's history that suggests that when when
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: we have gridlock, that's actually really good for the economy
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: and for risk assets. So I'm gonna say it's I
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: think Democrats could be good for the Democrats to will Yeah.
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: I agree. I think it could be because of grid
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: raw and risk assets become you know, a thing because
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: people understand yep arkets are in a position that often
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: we don't like. Hey, listen, it's a good one. We're
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: gonna see how the weekend pans out here, tim one
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: last token to watch for the weekend. Are you looking
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: at the charts right now thinking keep an eye on
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: I know one thing we didn't talk about, and I
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: wish I had a whole video about this a couple
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: of weeks ago that I didn't actually buy it.
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: I should have bought it.
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: I'd be watching Netflix stock obviously not gonna move over
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: the weekend, but what is Netflix stock going to do
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: when it opens up Monday morning? They got some good news.
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: I literally had a perfect entry in my video that
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: I made that I didn't actually buy. But I hope
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: people who watch the video bought a couple of weeks ago.
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: I put two different entries on here, but my first
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: entry was seventy five thousand and fifty nine cents. We
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: had a double bottom on this here last week. Look
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: at look at I mean, look at the opening we
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: had the I'm trying to zoom out so you go
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: to see it. We've already moved up above my first
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: take profit level and it's showing no signs of stopping.
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: So Monday morning, does this rally continue? I mean, we
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: are seeing I think it might. The weekly bisingle just
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: launched last week. On my indicators, this could be absolutely huge.
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: I might might take profit of one twelve might be
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: too low if this holds.
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: Well, And it's one of those things that is the
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: pent up nature of something when you do get clarity,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: and you know, our team was kind of talking about this.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: Imagine eth when you get clarity. Imagine Salana when you
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: get clarity. Those have been really suppressed assets. So we
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: could see those kind of wicks going forward, kind of
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: what we talked about there in the lightning round. So
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: there you go, guys, you got a little bit of
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: good news for the weekend. Tim's good seeing you. Thanks
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: so much for coming in today.
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: Absolutely thanks for having me again, Paul.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: If you like this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: a comment down below, and also join our free private
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: member group. The link is in the description.