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Could Netanyahu End Rally?📉Crypto Market Update · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Cannet and Yahoo in this rally today, we'll break it
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: down for you. There is a lot going on that
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: may start to dictate where markets is going. I do
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• 0:26
  Speaker 1: as the market starts this volatility phase, so some opportunities
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: to get into it. Let's go over to a few
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: points I want to lead off with. This is the
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  Speaker 1: COBEC letter talking really about the oil pricing and as
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: we know, oil and energy are a dictator to how
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: we are going to see inflation manifest here in the
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: United States. And as you can see, US oil prices
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  Speaker 1: now nearing one oh three a barrel and it's continuing
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: to pledge up too, up twelve percent. Just in the
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  Speaker 1: last twenty four hours, the Deputy feign Minister announced that
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  Speaker 1: Iran was on the verb are responding to the ceasefire
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  Speaker 1: violations that of course set this all moving up, and
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  Speaker 1: you can kind of see the chart just getting crazy
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  Speaker 1: as we go back into triple digits on oil and
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  Speaker 1: energy going forward, Bricks of course hits on this. Abadabin
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  Speaker 1: National Oil Company says two hundred and thirty oil tankers
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  Speaker 1: are now loaded and ready, but unfortunately the straight of
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  Speaker 1: Horn Mouz is still closed.
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  Speaker 2: That is the issue.
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  Speaker 1: That is the strangle point that Iran is pretty much
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  Speaker 1: in control of at this point. And it starts to
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  Speaker 1: really break down into two areas. One area is how
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  Speaker 1: Trump is going to deal with the economic fallout from this,
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: because this is affecting a lot of other countries. And
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  Speaker 1: number two is what incremental things does he have control
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  Speaker 1: over that helps get this war stopped. And I think
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  Speaker 1: one of the biggest ones is of course the eight
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  Speaker 1: hundred pound gorilla, and that is in Yahoo and Israel
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  Speaker 1: that Yahoo announced that Israel will begin direct negotiations with
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  Speaker 1: Lebanon to try to disarm Hesbealah. This of course after
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  Speaker 1: yesterday's bomb of just absolute carnage. And this is the
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  Speaker 1: thing that I'm talking about. It is almost like the
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  Speaker 1: tail wagging the dog here, and this is the example
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  Speaker 1: that I think we are faced with right now, where Neta,
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  Speaker 1: who is leading Trump into this? And is Trump just
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  Speaker 1: falling for this. I want to go to a quick
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  Speaker 1: clip because this shows you exactly where they are meing Israel.
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  Speaker 3: Take a look, and Israel is stronger than ever. This
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  Speaker 3: is the bottom line of this campaign up until now.
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  Speaker 3: Let me say there are still additional objectives for us
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  Speaker 3: to achieve, and we will achieve them either by agreement
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  Speaker 3: or by resumption of the fighting. And we are ready
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  Speaker 3: to resume the fighting at any moment. Our finger is
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  Speaker 3: on the trigger. As you know, two weeks ceasefire has
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  Speaker 3: been announced between the US and Iran. No, we were
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  Speaker 3: not surprised in the last moment, and I want to
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  Speaker 3: emphasize this is not the end of the war. This
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  Speaker 3: is a step in order to achieve all the objectives.
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  Speaker 2: All right.
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  Speaker 1: So, still very resident in how they're going to be
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  Speaker 1: playing out this in terms of defending Israel. And I
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  Speaker 1: think the issue really boils down to how much control
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  Speaker 1: do they have over the president because there are guys.
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  Speaker 1: All of this flows into markets, It flows into the
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  Speaker 1: cost of energy, that of course hits inflation. Inflation hits
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  Speaker 1: the US and that hits asset prices, which is what
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  Speaker 1: we watch about quite a bit here.
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  Speaker 2: This was a big surprise to me.
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  Speaker 1: This came from Max Lumenthal in the New York Time
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  Speaker 1: reporting the Nan Yahoo and Masad were running a White
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  Speaker 1: House situation room in February to essentially push Trump into this.
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  Speaker 1: And it goes into all things including that Trump set
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  Speaker 1: down instead of at the head of a table, almost
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  Speaker 1: in a presentation like scenario, where he was just like
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  Speaker 1: another participant in this presentation that was going on. This
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  Speaker 1: absolutely blew me away is that this kind of shows
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  Speaker 1: the power that we are seeing right now around what
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  Speaker 1: Israel has an apac in general, has over this administration
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  Speaker 1: and I think all of DC in general. It's not
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  Speaker 1: just this administration, we are talking.
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  Speaker 2: About pretty much all of DC.
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  Speaker 1: The other thing that plays into this is where are
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  Speaker 1: we heading if Netyahu is actually doing this accusation, which
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  Speaker 1: is trying to sabotage the seasefire. I mean, if you
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  Speaker 1: look at it, you would almost assume that because the
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  Speaker 1: ceasefire was in underway, Lebanon was thrown in into that
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  Speaker 1: ceasefire requirement, and of course Israel was bombing in Lebanon,
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  Speaker 1: So this of course continues to push forward. Now, one
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  Speaker 1: thing that this does do that's kind of interesting to
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  Speaker 1: me is it starts to separate the right. Now, this
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  Speaker 1: is something that we have already seen happening in the
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  Speaker 1: podcast Wars. Tucker came out finally and I think positioned
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  Speaker 1: against Trump because of this. You've already seen quite a
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  Speaker 1: few people that were for Trump that have gone against them.
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  Speaker 1: Megan Kelly is one of them that had been holding strong,
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  Speaker 1: but listen to what she had to say.
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  Speaker 4: And So what led Trump, at seventy nine years old
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  Speaker 4: to sit in there in that situation room when bib
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  Speaker 4: Netnahoho was seated as an equal. Trump didn't even sit
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  Speaker 4: at the head of the table. Trump sat at the
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  Speaker 4: side of the table and bib was across from him
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  Speaker 4: as an equal in the American situation room? What led
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  Speaker 4: him to sit there and buy what that guy was selling,
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  Speaker 4: hook line and sinker when every other president was able
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  Speaker 4: to see through that liar. So I don't know how
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  Speaker 4: we got here, Piers. I'd like to know just as
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  Speaker 4: much as anybody else. But all I can think in
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  Speaker 4: my head, based on what I've read in the paper
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  Speaker 4: is we got here thanks to bb net, Yahoo Lindsey
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  Speaker 4: Graham and Mark Levin and ultimately President Trump. That's not
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  Speaker 4: to take agency away from the President who was bamboozled.
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  Speaker 4: I don't know why he was too weak to say no,
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  Speaker 4: he was too gullible to see through the lie. One
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  Speaker 4: way or another, he allowed himself to be pushed into
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  Speaker 4: this insane conflict, all right.
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  Speaker 1: So I don't necessarily think that it's necessarily Trump that's
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  Speaker 1: doing that, because I think he has circle of trusted advisors,
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  Speaker 1: is who he's really depending on. Those though, I feel
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  Speaker 1: are the ones that are being got to, whether that
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  Speaker 1: is from Mosad, Israel, whoever it may be that is
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  Speaker 1: influencing that group, who does have the ear of the president,
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  Speaker 1: and I think those are the ones he touched trust.
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  Speaker 2: And of course he does get a certain.
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  Speaker 1: Amount of input from all global leaders, but he also takes.
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  Speaker 2: That right back to that circle.
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  Speaker 1: And I think this is the thing that we're dealing with.
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  Speaker 1: So where does this all play out into digital assets?
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  Speaker 2: Well, one, of course, we have already.
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  Speaker 1: Seen Iran accepting bitcoin and other crypto assets in the
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  Speaker 1: Strait and I think this exposes a much broader opportunity,
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  Speaker 1: and when I say opportunity to play against the petro dollar.
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  Speaker 1: I want to play a clip that is Jim Rickards
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  Speaker 1: talking about this.
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  Speaker 5: Take a look as you put it in the of
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  Speaker 5: Financial Times that Iran is charging this toll to pass
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  Speaker 5: through the Straits and for Moose. And again I would
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  Speaker 5: say that that tells you, It tells me that Iran
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  Speaker 5: is in charges straighted for Moose.
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  Speaker 6: Uh.
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  Speaker 5: The idea that where's the US toll collector? Trump talked
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  Speaker 5: about it, but that doesn't exist. Now Iran is first
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  Speaker 5: they said two million dollars per vessel. The latest version
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  Speaker 5: is one dollar per barrel of oil. It's calculated, it's
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  Speaker 5: not hard to do, but that they would take it
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  Speaker 5: in the cryptocurrency equivalent. Now, they didn't say which cryptocurrency.
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  Speaker 5: A lot of people just assume bitcoin. They didn't say bitcoin.
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  Speaker 5: It could be Bitcoin, it could be it could be tether,
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  Speaker 5: it could be I mean, you know, ripple. A lot
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  Speaker 5: of cryptocurrencies out there, all right.
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  Speaker 1: So as you say, he's talking about Ripple as a
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  Speaker 1: potential currency that could be utilized. And that's the point
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  Speaker 1: I'm getting at is that this starts to really train
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  Speaker 1: the world, is that these are alternatives going forward. And
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  Speaker 1: when you look at alternatives, you have to kind of
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  Speaker 1: consider some of the key crypto projects out there, including Ethereum,
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  Speaker 1: and also including what will most likely happen with Ripple
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  Speaker 1: in general, as well as Bitcoin. All of those are
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  Speaker 1: at least Ripple and Ethereum high transaction.
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  Speaker 2: Through put capable.
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  Speaker 1: Because if we do see this happening in the strait,
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  Speaker 1: could it happen in other places around the world. Absolutely,
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  Speaker 1: it could other things that you have to kind of
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  Speaker 1: look at that kind of connect the dots here, because
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  Speaker 1: remember the Epstein files, Well, you got a few things
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  Speaker 1: that happened in the Epstein files. Ripple was identified in there,
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  Speaker 1: but not as a friend, as a foe, and it
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  Speaker 1: said Ripple and Jed's new Stellar are bad for the
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  Speaker 1: ecosystem we are building, and it does not and it
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  Speaker 1: does our company damage to have investors who are backing
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  Speaker 1: two horses in the same race. Basically, what they were
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  Speaker 1: talking about was what was happening within Bitcoin and of
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  Speaker 1: course Ripple on the other side, which was against them.
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  Speaker 1: And that I think is why we continue to see
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  Speaker 1: because remember, whether you'd like to hear this or not,
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  Speaker 1: we know that Epstein was massan.
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  Speaker 2: He had to be.
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  Speaker 1: There's just no way around it that of course, pushes
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  Speaker 1: into all of this in terms of connecting crypto. Where
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  Speaker 1: this connects is right here. This is an interesting tweet.
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  Speaker 2: Here but ted.
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  Speaker 1: And it's basically this strange coincidence. The war in February
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  Speaker 1: twenty twenty two Ukraine war starts. Bitcoin bottoms same day
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  Speaker 1: started going up. Four weeks later, Russia says, hey, we're
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  Speaker 1: gonna take bitcoin.
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  Speaker 2: We'll do that.
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  Speaker 1: Sound familiar, and then markets go euphoric, and then of
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  Speaker 1: course bitcoin goes above forty eight k. Soon Bitcoin peaks
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  Speaker 1: and then dumps fifty percent of new market. That's all
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  Speaker 1: possible right now. The difference is that I think now
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  Speaker 1: people are seeing global leaders, all sorts of companies are
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  Speaker 1: probably starting to see wait a minute, on the if
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  Speaker 1: we can exact tolls, what we could do this in
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  Speaker 1: all sorts of different areas, including tariffs, including all sorts
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  Speaker 1: of funds that might go into trade, all sorts of
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  Speaker 1: things that start to push away from the dollar.
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  Speaker 2: And with that you have to look at this right here.
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  Speaker 1: Trump is doing one thing that I think has to
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: be canceled, and that is this Memecoin conference.
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  Speaker 2: This is getting serious. We need to push that out
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  Speaker 2: of the way. And mar A Lago.
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  Speaker 1: Get that out of here and focus on what's happening
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  Speaker 1: right now in the Middle East. Get this shutdown and
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  Speaker 1: move on, because I think we are facing a very,
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  Speaker 1: very big issue. I don't know if you guys have
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: been following the GDP numbers, those themselves in terms of
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: missing GDP that starts to really correlate to a completely
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: different economic situation here in the United States. I want
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: to go to a quick clip because this is talking
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  Speaker 1: about why everything that's happening over there is affecting the economy.
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  Speaker 2: Here. Take a look at this.
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  Speaker 7: I can stand in Verson Piece talks and this is
• 10:41
  Speaker 7: what the table is going to look like for what
• 10:42
  Speaker 7: could be jd Vance's biggest assignment yet as Vice President.
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  Speaker 7: He will be there, Steve Witcoff, the Special Envoy, will
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  Speaker 7: be there. Jared Kushner, another special envoy, will be there
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  Speaker 7: on the US side. On the Iran side, you've got
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  Speaker 7: the parliament speaker who has been talking to President Trump,
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  Speaker 7: Muhammad Thagar Gallibof, and then a Boss Aragatchi. The foreign
• 11:01
  Speaker 7: minister officials here are not negotiating in public about which
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  Speaker 7: points have to stay, which points have to go to
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  Speaker 7: end this military campaign in the Middle East. But it
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  Speaker 7: is very notable both here at the White House and
• 11:13
  Speaker 7: a depending on officials are starting to refer to epic
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  Speaker 7: fury in the past tense, something that happened, something that
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  Speaker 7: was very effective.
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  Speaker 1: All right, So I like that statement past tense gives
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: me some indicator that maybe they're already forecasting that this
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: is going to get done. There's an interesting statement here
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: on Polymarket talking about Iran versus a reel Israel and
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: the US conflict ending by a certain date. Now, if
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: you look at the April fifteenth numbers, let me zoom
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: in on that for you guys, April fifteenth spikes up
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: to sixty eight percent. And this was, as you can see,
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: around almost nothing on April seventh. Here we are April
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: nights starts moving up boom sixty four and now holding
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: at sixty eight percent. So is there something centered around
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: that meeting that.
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  Speaker 2: Correlates to all of this?
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  Speaker 1: Now, once this happens, and it will, it's got to happen,
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  Speaker 1: because this is affecting the economic condition not only of
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  Speaker 1: the US but of almost all Western countries and including
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: the situation even within China. Really, what you have to
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: look at is when does the bottom come in and
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: what happens. Then here's Tom Lee take a look.
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  Speaker 2: Now what for these markets?
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  Speaker 6: I think the bottom's in scott because last week was
• 12:31
  Speaker 6: a period where the war was getting worse than oil
• 12:33
  Speaker 6: was going up, but stocks weren't going down. So that's
• 12:35
  Speaker 6: a good precondition. And today now we have the rate
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  Speaker 6: of change that the war is de escalating, So I
• 12:41
  Speaker 6: think stocks are now on the process to go back
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  Speaker 6: to their all time highs and I think maybe get
• 12:46
  Speaker 6: to that seventy three hundred that we were expecting this year.
• 12:48
  Speaker 6: This war pulled for forward a lot of repositioning. You know,
• 12:52
  Speaker 6: we know people have gone flat or raised cash and
• 12:56
  Speaker 6: they were ready to own defensive positioning. And we also
• 13:00
  Speaker 6: had a rolling bear market last year in energy and
• 13:02
  Speaker 6: financials and this year in mag seven and software. So
• 13:07
  Speaker 6: something like seventy percent of the S and P has
• 13:09
  Speaker 6: already been through a rolling bear market. So I think
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  Speaker 6: the possibility is that the summer lull that could happen
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  Speaker 6: won't be as deep because we've already fallen eight percent,
• 13:20
  Speaker 6: all right.
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  Speaker 1: So one point to really understand here is that even
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: though this war will eventually end, the likelihood is the
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: follow on effect on not only inflation, but just in
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: general energy cross around the world as well as supply
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: chain disruptions that will happen. And with all of that
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: still going on, there's only one play, and that's going
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: to be into assets. The dollar is going to continue,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: i think, to continue its down trend and away from
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: what we are going to see as the primary potential
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: way to basically debase against that, and that I think
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: is going to be digital assets to a certain extent.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: Metals also think that we are going to see some
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: of that maybe insecurities as well. So this is all
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: happening right now. We'll continue to cover this. Uh, things
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: are getting heated. If you like this video, like and subscribe,
• 14:16
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• 14:21
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