Latest / TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast / #765: The Bitcoin Home Mining Playbook with Exergy
Transcript
- 0:00You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free.
- 0:10We talk about a Fed just gone nuts.
- 0:13All the central banks going nuts.
- 0:16So it's all acting like safe haven.
- 0:18I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins.
- 0:25In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.
- 0:28I mean, that's part of the bull case for Bitcoin.
- 0:31If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.
- 0:36Gentlemen, here we are.
- 0:39Good morning.
- 0:40Dylan, welcome to the show.
- 0:41This is your first time on Tyler.
- 0:43This is your second.
- 0:44Yeah, this is a long time first time.
- 0:46So this is really exciting for me.
- 0:48Well, it's exciting for me too, because we've been doing some work together behind the scenes,
- 0:52putting together a playbook for mining at home.
- 0:56And I think just jumping right into it, this is like an educational series that we're trying to do here at TFTC, just to set the tone and set expectations and get people excited to stick around.
- 1:11What are people going to learn if they listen to this whole episode?
- 1:14That mining at home, mining in your business is useful and can add value to your business.
- 1:21yeah i think uh a lot of people are wondering what's going to happen with all these miners
- 1:26shifting to ai and this playbook really outlines the case for building integrated mining and how it
- 1:34can be useful like heating systems solar systems battery systems thinking about mining as a tool
- 1:40in the toolkit of like energy infrastructure not just data center operations yeah and i mean tyler
- 1:48you've been on the show before, but many people are listening now may have missed it because our
- 1:51audience is growing exponentially since you were last on over a year ago. So there's a bunch of
- 1:55new freaks here. But just to set the tone on authority, what gives you guys the authority to
- 2:02write this particular playbook? So Dylan and I have been steadfast focused on the home mining
- 2:10and really hash rate heating space for two years now is coming up on. So I authored the book,
- 2:16Bitcoin mining heat reuse just out of curiosity, kind of fell into that rabbit hole. We talked
- 2:20about that on the first pod. Thanks for the mention there, Marty. Really focused on how we
- 2:25can integrate Bitcoin miners into heating systems, electric heat that pays. People have seen the
- 2:30retrofitted space heaters, the hacked together products and gadgets, all the way to the heat
- 2:35bits. And Dylan and I came in and said, well, how does this really scale into the actual energy
- 2:41infrastructure of a building, your furnace, your boiler, not just a gadget you plug into the wall,
- 2:46but part of the building, you call a technician, you get it integrated fully, part of your solar
- 2:50system, et cetera. And that really led to the Heat Punk Summit, which we've talked on before,
- 2:55where we bring together mining developers and people from the building and energy space,
- 3:00electricians, plumbers, home insurers, ASHRAE certifiers, all this stuff. We kind of back
- 3:06solve this problem. It's long winded, but to say, you know, we believe wholeheartedly that there's
- 3:11this new use case for Bitcoin miners, this new home for them, like distributing into all these
- 3:17different pockets of stranded energy to heating systems to solar systems. And we're really focused
- 3:22on building integrated miners and we're trying to solve that problem. So this playbook is really an
- 3:27outline of how we do it right now today. And then a little bit of discussion of where we think it's
- 3:32going to go once the technology and educational people challenges get solved as well.
- 3:38yeah i just want to add that at exergy we've been implementing miners in various systems
- 3:46and testing them seeing what works what doesn't we've come to a solid conclusion that
- 3:51control and software for these miners just sucks because they're designed for industrial use cases
- 3:58not necessarily for homes and you know smaller buildings and so we've spent the better part of
- 4:02the last year, running numbers, making sure that the calculations check out for running
- 4:10these in your home and not necessarily being profitable, but being cost effective relative
- 4:15to your utilization case, whether that's solar monetization or heating your home or building.
- 4:22And so we spent the better part of the last year developing control systems to force these
- 4:27industrial boxes to operate the way we want to.
- 4:30And so we're able to touch on at the end of this about what the future of home mining might look like as open source development takes off.
- 4:40Awesome. And so, I mean, just jumping right into it, I mean, the first section of the playbook is laying out the case that you have an advantage and you have to use it.
- 4:49And so diving into what that advantage is compared to maybe industrial miners.
- 4:56Yeah, if you think of a mining operation, the first thing that comes to mind is, okay, I need to exceed my operating costs in Bitcoin mining revenue, in Bitcoin profit, right? That's kind of the goal. And that's very hard if you have on-grid electrical rates, even for some commercial rates, and extremely hard for residential customers that have higher expensive electricity rates, time of use, space, pricing, all these things.
- 5:21in addition to like the noise and the all the challenges there do i have the right power outlet
- 5:26our argument for you have an advantage use it is buildings have sunk costs almost all buildings on
- 5:32earth are heated and the simple framework that like all the electricity you put into a bitcoin
- 5:37miner gets turned into heat that really is the undertone of of how we set the stage for why we
- 5:43think home miners building integrated miners have an advantage you don't have to run a profitable
- 5:47operation. You just need to be useful and you can be useful by, you know, counting the Bitcoin
- 5:54earnings as a rebate against your electric heating costs that may come in cheaper than
- 5:59your alternative heating fuel. Right. Or you just need to count the Bitcoin earnings if you're
- 6:04running that miner instead of sending excess power back to the grid for a large solar system.
- 6:09Is that more valuable than what the grid credits would give you? Right. Or maybe hash price rips.
- 6:14Right. And you don't have a miner at the time. But if that building did have a miner, it could take advantage, seize that moment and opportunistically join into that profitable mining scenario.
- 6:25So that's where like the useful miner framework is saying these things are tools. They can heat buildings. They can monetize solar and they can also run profitably sometimes.
- 6:33And you want that tool in your energy system at your building so that you can use it when it seems fit. Got any other comments?
- 6:40No, that's OK.
- 6:41so i mean i think this is why we put the playbook together there's a ton of people
- 6:48myself included and been like i would love to do this like just because not only being a bitcoiner
- 6:54it's very cypherpunk and the the whole idea that you can subsidize part of your heating costs with
- 7:01bitcoin miners while stacking sats in a non-kyc fashion um is always appealing but it's like all
- 7:08How do I actually do this? And trying to discern whether or not your industrial building or your residential home is actually a fit for this model.
- 7:18It really comes down to being able to calculate the real cost of your current energy stack and then weighing it against switching it out with a Bitcoin mining heating system.
- 7:28So what what calculus goes into that?
- 7:31You want to talk to him on the different heating fuels, because that's like the number one go no go gauge, really?
- 7:37Yeah.
- 7:38So we all like to be comfortable when it's cold.
- 7:43You want to be comfortable and heated.
- 7:44And so most people don't really know or care what their fuel source is.
- 7:49And that's probably the first step in figuring out if this is useful for you.
- 7:53Because in the United States and I guess worldwide, we have natural gas heating, propane heaters, heat pumps, electrical heaters, wood.
- 8:02We're the guy playing mountain man.
- 8:04And all of those are just different fuels to get BTUs into your home, whether that's through a boiler or through a furnace, what have you.
- 8:15It's just an energy unit.
- 8:18All of these fuels can they run at different efficiencies and deliver different BTUs per unit volume.
- 8:25um and so what we do is we can convert a btu into made it straight into a kilowatt
- 8:37right because it's well let's let's back up for for any of the ignorant a btu is a british thermal
- 8:41unit right yeah so that's like the um the the the common term in the heating industry right because
- 8:49we're trying to translate here from the mining industry to the heating industry people talk btu
- 8:54when they're buying heat. Miners talk kilowatts, kilowatt hours. And so what Dylan's talking about
- 8:59here is like we convert the BTUs to an equivalent kilowatt hour price. We bring it to the mining
- 9:04language. And then from there, we say, okay, of all these different heating fuels,
- 9:12who's like the most poised to benefit, right? To be useful, to offset that heating cost. How can we
- 9:17get that equivalent dollar per kilowatt hour? What a miner would be looking at? If you're talking to
- 9:22a heating guy, it's like a dollar per BTU. We're just talking about two different languages here.
- 9:27This is all to say like some fuels are better suited than others, right? Yeah.
- 9:32Sorry, I got confused because thermal units are dumb in how they convert.
- 9:39So anyways, any building owner worth their salt is aware of their utility bills and what they pay.
- 9:45And so you can take the exact, you can, you're metered, you know how much fuel you've used,
- 9:50or you know how frequently you need to top up your propane tank.
- 9:54You know how much that fuel costs, how frequently you're getting it,
- 9:58how often it's being delivered.
- 10:00So you know all your usage.
- 10:01You can get back out your duty cycle of how much heat, not duty cycle,
- 10:06how much heat you're building needs.
- 10:09You can convert that to an equivalent electrical electricity volume
- 10:15and directly compare that with miners.
- 10:19And so because all miners are generally sold in.
- 10:23Three thousand, if you're an industrial miner, three thousand watt chunks.
- 10:27And so you can back that out and you can determine your duty cycle, which is I need this many kilowatt hours.
- 10:32This miner runs at this rate, this wattage.
- 10:37That's my duty cycle. That's the amount of time in a month that I need this miner to run, produce the same heat as what we're already getting.
- 10:43Can I have a comment here? Yeah. So you got to figure out, OK, is my fuel that I'm comparing to expensive? Right. And and if it is, can a miner running out of electricity with Bitcoin rebate, can that be competitive?
- 10:57So that's like an energy arbitrage. Right. Is one cheaper than the other if I count in the Bitcoin?
- 11:02But what Dylan's talking about now is very important is the duty cycle, because we're talking about how do you know if you're a good candidate?
- 11:08Miners call this uptime, right?
- 11:10They say, I want 99% uptime.
- 11:13The hosting companies are talking about it.
- 11:15It means your machine's online more.
- 11:18It's really just how, what percentage of the day is it running, right?
- 11:22That same thing applies to the heating industry.
- 11:23It's called a duty cycle.
- 11:24Is your furnace on 10 minutes out of the hour, three hours out of the day, 45 minutes out of the day to duty cycle?
- 11:32You actually want a longer duty cycle.
- 11:34What that means is a longer heating season.
- 11:36means it's colder, not just cold one day of the year,
- 11:38but like cold for months
- 11:40because that means the miner is going to run more
- 11:41and it pays you back more
- 11:43and it warrants its upfront costs.
- 11:45So long-winded from both of us here,
- 11:48but like the two main things are like,
- 11:49is your energy arbitrage pricing good?
- 11:51And then are you going to use enough of it
- 11:53that it's going to be worth your while?
- 11:57Yeah.
- 11:58This is just for the heating use case.
- 12:01We've got others to discuss.
- 12:03Yeah, well, I mean, sticking on,
- 12:05the heating use case and just the different sort of fuel sources or energy power sources for lack
- 12:13of a better term uh that is a better term uh so like bring solar into this and we talk about like
- 12:19the third league profitable mining under your utility rate like so bringing in like the
- 12:25opportunity cost or weighing the opportunity cost of mining versus these different fuel sources i
- 12:32I mean, you just described a big chunk of it, but going a little deeper.
- 12:36Yeah.
- 12:36So we live in the United States.
- 12:41We have, relative to the rest of the world, very abundant energy.
- 12:44We are fortunate enough to have natural gas piped throughout all of our cities which is a problem for comparing directly to hash rate heat because we have cheap and abundant natural gas to heat our homes and not necessarily having comparative electrical rates I think electoral rates are just going up So that not great as just comparing one fuel to the other
- 13:08But if you were able to generate at home your own electricity with solar panels,
- 13:13that really adjusts the comparison because now you have the surplus power
- 13:17that you're generating on the spot that you don't have to buy from the grid,
- 13:21which then offsets the cost to run your miner,
- 13:25which makes it much more competitive against natural gas.
- 13:29Now, propane is generally expensive.
- 13:33It also has very variable rates across the year,
- 13:36depending on when you're topping up your tank.
- 13:39And so if you factor all that in, propane lands relatively very expensive relative to electrical rates.
- 13:47And on the expansion for how solar is a useful minor principle when you're not heating is
- 13:53typically for people that have solar arrays here, they're connected to the grid. There are some
- 13:58off-grid solar arrays, you know, if you've got a cabin up in the mountains, but most people are
- 14:02connected to the grid. And so what happens is if you oftentimes, like you'll be generating more
- 14:08than your buildings using, and that excess energy goes back to the grid, you're selling it to the
- 14:12grid in reverse, instead of buying it, you're selling it. They give you like pennies on the
- 14:16dollar, or they'll give you credits into your utility account. And if you don't use them for
- 14:21the next month, they get washed out at the end of the year. It's not really advantageous to the
- 14:26customer, right? Think of it like airline miles instead of cashback on a credit card. So what
- 14:33we're arguing here with solar is instead of sending that excess solar to the grid,
- 14:37blow that excess energy through a Bitcoin miner. Maybe you don't need the heat. You just dump the
- 14:41heat outside in this scenario. It's still the same tool for the building. It's a hash rate
- 14:46machine. It's a Bitcoin miner in the building. It can heat the building. It can also just flow
- 14:51excess power from a solar array or local generation. I met people last we talked,
- 14:56Marty, we were talking about my Alaska trip where I saw people with like micro hydro in their
- 15:00backyard, which is crazy. Anyways, excess energy, you flow it through that and it puts money
- 15:05directly into your pocket. And then the last one is that profitable mining scenario. There are
- 15:10moments, all this is saying we have this tool in the building. We have this black box that makes
- 15:16heat and money and it can connect to your solar array it can connect it knows the bitcoin hash
- 15:21price it knows the the bitcoin price the difficulty it knows when you're calling for heat this is all
- 15:25intelligent system like building energy systems all this is to say it's the same tool but it can
- 15:30do three things it can heat the building when it makes sense it can dump the heat outside and just
- 15:34monetize the excess energy when it makes sense but also it might just straight up be cheap enough at
- 15:40night with cheap power or if bitcoin's price rips to just mine full-time during that moment
- 15:45for profitability and so this is kind of the putting a bow on the useful miner principle which
- 15:51is like there are there are these three scenarios where you might want to mine and you better damn
- 15:56well wish you had a miner in the building to do it during those times because it's gonna we've
- 16:00proven seen through our data that um it turns out to be pretty worthwhile should we jump into the
- 16:05data or should we dive deeper into the industrial use case like um yes you were doing the analysis of
- 16:12the the energy sources and the three different leaks and then the sort of three scenarios you
- 16:17want to set yourself up for where it's actually cheaper heat with mining uh yeah you have excess
- 16:23solar um so it's profitable to instead of sell that back to the grid sell that to the bitcoin
- 16:27network or holy grail um the the price of bitcoin's ripping difficulty is relatively low in
- 16:35at any kilowatt per hour price
- 16:37or what many would deem to be historically
- 16:41a high kilowatt per hour price to mine Bitcoin.
- 16:44Maybe it's profitable at some point
- 16:46because the price is just ripping so much.
- 16:47And so you want to create that optionality
- 16:49to do each different thing.
- 16:53You want to heat,
- 16:54sell to the Bitcoin network instead of the grid
- 16:56and just mine Bitcoin because it's profitable.
- 16:59What does that look like in an industrial use case?
- 17:01How should these individuals who own an industrial facility and operate one think about actually setting this up?
- 17:12What do they need to replace?
- 17:14What does it look like there?
- 17:17Well, first and foremost, for the commercial industrial scale, I think they're poised to benefit well.
- 17:23A little bit of that is economies of scale.
- 17:25Also, they might use heat in a larger duty cycle or what the miners would call an uptime, right?
- 17:31They just need more of it, maybe more of it for longer.
- 17:34They also have these intelligent building management systems, right?
- 17:38You know, these are large commercial spaces where the utilities are a substantial bill each month, and they're trying to minimize that or reduce it.
- 17:46They also benefit from commercial electric rates, right?
- 17:50So it's not residential.
- 17:51So like all these things point to commercial being really well poised to benefit.
- 17:55In terms of the actual integration, I'll tee this up here, and I want to hear Dylan's thoughts too.
- 18:00is like we've seen this on the residential side and we're working on our first commercial install
- 18:05right now with the mechanical electrical plumbing team out of Boulder County, Colorado. That
- 18:10building is still being built. But the same principle seems to apply, which is you don't
- 18:15want to design the miner to be the main heat source, meaning it's not designed to heat the
- 18:22whole commercial space, the whole home on that coldest day. The reason is miners are expensive
- 18:29for every additional bit of heat, every additional kilowatt or BTU we were talking about.
- 18:35Because you need those fancy ASIC chips that are expensive. Whereas like a gas furnace,
- 18:39if you need more heat, like you just burn more gas, right? You put a bigger valve in it,
- 18:43you just more fuel bleeds through. It's marginally more expensive to get a bigger furnace.
- 18:49So in this sense, you really want to size the system to be optimized for the average heat load
- 18:57so that that duty cycle, that mining machine's uptime is optimized. It's high. Now, that sizing
- 19:04optimization could be like, what is the best size do I need if I'm targeting heat? We also talk about
- 19:11in the report, what is the best size if I'm trying to monetize solar as my primary use case, right?
- 19:16It's not going to be size it for July 1 on a sunny day with no clouds. It's going to be sized for
- 19:22your average solar production throughout the summer every day. That way you avoid kind of
- 19:28this larger upfront cost. Just tangent on that, the commercial guys do get to benefit from
- 19:34writing things off as business expenses, obviously, the hardware, the CapEx there.
- 19:40But yeah, back to the sizing comment quick. The way I frame it in my mind,
- 19:44we actually at Exergy, we don't recommend, if anyone's listening to this thinking like,
- 19:48Do I rip out my furnace?
- 19:49Do I rip out my boiler?
- 19:50Do I put in a miner?
- 19:52No, we add the miner to the furnace.
- 19:54We add it to the boiler.
- 19:56Think of it like a hybrid car.
- 19:58A hybrid car doesn't have a 300 horsepower engine
- 20:02and a 300 horsepower electric motor and a giant battery.
- 20:06It's kind of fine-tuned and optimized.
- 20:09You know, your little RAV4 has got a tiny little electric battery
- 20:11with a tiny little electric motor that can go 20 miles.
- 20:14But the way it transitions between gas and electric,
- 20:17it's like this fine dance, the car is controlling it intelligently, you get way better fuel economy,
- 20:22right? And so that's what we're introducing into the building, this smart building where you have
- 20:26gas for that coldest day. You have the miner for the majority of your heating needs. You have the
- 20:31miner that can dump heat outside for the majority of your excess solar generation. You didn't
- 20:35overspend. And then in those instances where it is profitable, you've already got the infrastructure
- 20:40integrated to just kick those suckers on. And this is really this intelligent combined system.
- 20:45So that's how we think about it for residential. I think that same logic applies to commercial. You got any other thoughts?
- 20:49Yeah, I mean, one other note is we've developed a system such that the building itself can determine which fuel source is most profitable at that time you are calling for heat and dynamically switch back and forth.
- 21:05And so it doesn't have to be all or nothing, which is really where this buddy system kind of shines.
- 21:11like I mentioned earlier you don't care where the heat comes from you just want to go to your
- 21:17thermostat and hit 72 when you're cold and then the building will just say I'll figure out the
- 21:22most economical way and that can pull in the solar that can pull in hash price and whatever
- 21:28your gas rate is and really get that integrated so it's just effectively set and forget and you
- 21:35just know your building is running as efficiently as possible using all the inputs and so I think
- 21:41industrial guys have or larger scale buildings have an advantage in that it's very easy to add
- 21:49solar panels to your building and you don't need the latest and greatest most efficient you can
- 21:54just throw a power generation source in your building and really change the dynamics of how
- 21:58your building operates so freaks this work was brought to you by good friends at bitkey as things
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- 23:05friends at ligos finance celsius block by ftx they took your bitcoin and gambled it away ligos can't
- 23:11because they never hold it non-custodial lending on bitcoin's base layer your keys your collateral
- 23:15it's verifiable on chain go to ligos.finance tell them that tftc sent you and i think one of the um
- 23:23needles we need to thread our ties we need to knot here is and we were talking about this like
- 23:29you can do the combined cycle of your furnace and the Bitcoin mining,
- 23:33like the building will figure it out.
- 23:35But I think just really driving home,
- 23:38like the economics of the mining specifically,
- 23:41and like how you establish a new baseline cost and how you fit in the mining
- 23:45revenue into that as a rebate or a subsidy,
- 23:47or if you want to hold the Bitcoin and yes,
- 23:50your power bill may go up,
- 23:51but you've got this Bitcoin on the side and like,
- 23:54what's that look like?
- 23:56Yeah,
- 23:57there's a lot of different units we talked about.
- 23:59not very eloquently at the beginning here, like fuels and propane and gas and electric and all
- 24:04this stuff. At the end of the day, it's all just like dollars per unit of energy, dollars per
- 24:10kilowatt hour. Heat is energy. Electricity is energy, right? Your miner runs off of it. Your
- 24:15heating fuel runs off of it. All these different things. The baseline is there's some cost to run
- 24:22your miner. Maybe it costs you 10 cents a kilowatt hour, right? Maybe your propane heat,
- 24:32this is how we think, we will convert that dollar per gallon to an equivalent dollar per kilowatt
- 24:38hour. So then maybe your propane comes out to 9 cents a kilowatt hour. Okay, so your propane's
- 24:44just cheaper than your electric heat Bitcoin miner, because the Bitcoin miner is 10 cents
- 24:49a kilowatt hour, the propane's nine. But then the Bitcoin miner gets three, four, five cents per
- 24:55kilowatt hour back equivalent in sats, right? And you could obviously hold those sats for the long
- 24:59term and let those appreciate. But even if you just treat it as the raw hash value, the dollar
- 25:05nominated value in that moment in time, you kind of have this 40, 50% reduction in cost, net cost
- 25:12compared to the propane. That's obviously dynamically switching as the Bitcoin price
- 25:16changes every second. But that's why it's really important to bake this stuff into the building
- 25:21brain itself. It's not just like a one-time napkin math you run, right? But I think what you're
- 25:28pointing to, to tie the knot on it, Marty, is very interesting is there's going to be moments in time
- 25:34where the Bitcoin heater is 50% cheaper than propane. There's going to be moments in time
- 25:39where it's only 15% cheaper than propane. It's going to be changing week to week, depending on
- 25:43the Bitcoin price, maybe not too much over the long aggregate on average.
- 25:48Maybe you just want to stack sats.
- 25:49Could you believe, you know, that's the other thing.
- 25:51All this napkin math like kind of becomes a wash if you just wait full cycle.
- 25:55Right.
- 25:55And let the stats appreciate.
- 25:57So another operating mode I have it up in front of Dylan and I here is like one of our customers he didn want the logic to say the building chooses the cheapest heat in real time
- 26:09He wanted the logic to say the building prioritizes sat stacking heat over gas always.
- 26:15So even in the moments when the gas heat is cheaper, because the building knows this, the building brain knows this, it will still choose to heat with the miner first because he wants those sat.
- 26:27Yeah. And so last week there was a 10% downward difficulty adjustment, which like hash price didn't change that much, but hash value was awesome. So like my home brain started screaming at me, crank all the miners, like open the windows, turn on the fans, push all the heat outside because I have solar at home.
- 26:50and it's like there's this opportunity difficulty dropped you can stack 10 more in hash value
- 27:00okay that's um and you don't need the heat but it's like i want the sats and i have the energy
- 27:09let's go for it yeah because the input well not only that you have the miners the infrastructure
- 27:13in place to take advantage of it well it's kind of like the opposite of these utilities sending
- 27:17people letters saying like do not consume too much energy peasant like turn down your ac and
- 27:23we're the opposite we tell our customers to crank those motherfuckers get the bitcoin well that i
- 27:30mean and this gets to an important piece i mean you guys have been alluding to it and talking about
- 27:36but like the building brain i love this concept how does the building brain work i mean conceptually
- 27:41I think you've described it well. It runs the calculus of what makes the most sense to do at any particular point in time based off of the cost and profitability, the cost of the inputs, whether it's the fuel source or the electricity and the profitability of the mining at any given point in time.
- 28:00How does that home brain or that building brain work?
- 28:05I'll give some analogies to set the stage high level and then Dylan will talk about it because
- 28:10he built the dang thing. Back to that hybrid car analogy, like the car has to have a brain to decide
- 28:19when do I pull battery power? When do I use the gas power? When do I charge the battery? When do
- 28:26I put this much power through the motor? When we introduce this second device to a home that can
- 28:32provide heat and it can also provide Bitcoin, you need to connect it to all the other devices in the
- 28:40home, all the energy infrastructure so that it knows what the heck is going on and it can make
- 28:43those intelligent decisions. So that's the home brain. I think it makes sense for this machine to
- 28:47live locally, right? Just to comment quick on like local software, self-hosted. You'd think like
- 28:55smart home appliances, people think like your Google Nest or whatever, your ring, it goes to a
- 29:00subscription, you get the gadget, but the brain's not in the home. The brain is, you know, rings
- 29:05cloud server. And that introduces, you know, there's some sovereignty and privacy concerns
- 29:10there, but there's also just like complexity with sending that data out for all these things.
- 29:15Your hybrid car doesn't have the engine control unit at General Motors factory. It's in the car,
- 29:21right? So we think the brain should be in the home and that way it can actually physically
- 29:27wire to things, right? So now the brain will connect your fuels, your fuels. So the brain
- 29:32knows the cost of your natural gas. It knows the cost of your electric rate and maybe the time of
- 29:38use when that electric rate might change. It knows the Bitcoin price, the mining network difficulty,
- 29:43or just straight up hash price. You could kind of, those terms can equate to, can calculate hash
- 29:49price. It then also connects physically like wires to the thermostats. That's a good reason why the
- 29:55brain has to be there. You could do it digitally, but there's benefits in just having a straight up
- 29:59analog connection. So now it knows when you're calling for heat. And then it can also connect
- 30:05to the solar inverter. So it knows when you're generating energy, when you're calling for energy,
- 30:10heat, when you're generating energy, solar, it knows the Bitcoin price when it's profitable.
- 30:15It can combine all this data to say, well, I know the cost of the fuel to heat. I know the Bitcoin
- 30:22price. I know the electric rate and I know how much electricity we're generating. So all of that
- 30:27goes into one equation to say, here's the current effective cost of heat. Maybe that's cheaper than
- 30:33gas. Maybe it's not. All this to say is like we would connect all of these energy, heat, money,
- 30:40and information sources. That's how I would frame it. Those four things into one. It's really just
- 30:47like you could run it on a Raspberry Pi. It's open source software. It's not too complicated.
- 30:52And then you set the automations and the logic to determine in real time, depending on what you're doing.
- 30:56And you can go stir crazy wild west.
- 30:58Dylan offers Home Assistant.
- 30:59That's the software we use that we build our software in.
- 31:01He offers office hours every week.
- 31:03So bear with me because this is my favorite topic beyond Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining.
- 31:11I'm a huge champion.
- 31:12Home Assistant is open source software, huge community that runs on Raspberry Pi.
- 31:18It's essentially like a basic, an input aggregator and automation server.
- 31:25And when I say input aggregator, it's everything.
- 31:29Like phone locations, energy inputs, IoT devices, whatever you can think of, you can import into Home Assistant.
- 31:38Like temperature sensors throughout your house, whatever, minor control, your solar production, all of that.
- 31:45And I mean, it's so easy now because you can just hook up a clanker to it and say, hey, I want this automation.
- 31:53I have these inputs.
- 31:54What can we build?
- 31:55But it enables you to have a home brain that can react to anything.
- 32:01So when I first started getting into Bitcoin mining at home and home mining, I had a fleet of S9s throughout my house.
- 32:09And whenever my wife left, my brain would say, she's gone.
- 32:13Can I crank it?
- 32:15And it would just crank it because, I mean, it would just drive her insane to hear the S9s just whirring away.
- 32:21And so we have taken over the past year, we've kind of.
- 32:26I started at that framing of you can just have miners react to whatever.
- 32:31And so over the past year, we have worked to get the miners tied into thermostats because.
- 32:38It's intimidating for a lot of people to take a miner and duct it into their HVAC system.
- 32:44so maybe you just start with like an avalon mini 3 or a stealth miner or a slim 19 one of the
- 32:51850 watt max space heaters and like you like you know you want to do this cool so you just plug that
- 32:58in at home you grab a either hasminer or one of the extra g integrations for home assistant that
- 33:04lets you pair home assistant with the miner now you have full control and you can add like a
- 33:10a digital thermostat you can control on your phone.
- 33:12Now you have full control at home,
- 33:14minor reacts to the temperature sensors and the thermostat.
- 33:19And depending how loud it is and whether your wife is home or not.
- 33:24And so using all that logic,
- 33:26you have all these different inputs and that is what enables the dynamic
- 33:33switching of fuel sources. The, I have excess solar. Let me, can I go?
- 33:38difficulty just adjusted. You can make all this happen dynamically. You can add your input. So it
- 33:46asks you, Hey, should I do this? And then you have input and say, and what your building is doing,
- 33:51or it's really, the limit is your imagination. Cause it's just, I see the world in just
- 33:58inputs and outputs. You have all these inputs, let it rock. Yeah. Just a last comment here is like
- 34:04the building brain is
- 34:06where we arrived after we started thinking about
- 34:10miners as IoT devices, not as servers that are
- 34:13on constantly. And if you think about them through their API connection
- 34:16and you connect them with software to a tool like Home Assistant,
- 34:20then, as Dylan said, you can go wild west
- 34:22because now you can control them as intelligently
- 34:25or as unintelligently as you want. You're muted.
- 34:31I'm sorry.
- 34:32My neighbors have the landscapers here, so I've been muting so we don't get background noise.
- 34:36But Dylan, you touched on it. I think the best place to go from here is to really dig into hardware selection.
- 34:42What's the right miner for particular jobs?
- 34:47There's so many variables and inputs to making these decisions.
- 34:54And obviously, the hardware selection is one of the biggest ones, considering the upfront costs.
- 34:59How do you guys think about that?
- 35:02Yeah, the most important question is like, what's your goal?
- 35:06Are you doing space heaters?
- 35:08Are you integrating to a furnace?
- 35:11Are you integrating to a boiler?
- 35:12Are you just trying to mine excess solar?
- 35:14Can you have loud machines screaming in your garage?
- 35:18So depending on your goal, that determines,
- 35:21that's kind of like step one in determining which machine you need to integrate.
- 35:26For a lot of people, like I mentioned, it's scary to start or hire electricians or start ducting into your infrastructure, your house.
- 35:35So start with a space heater.
- 35:36That's easy.
- 35:39Very modular control.
- 35:40And so you can start with small rooms or stack a couple, whatever.
- 35:45And then I'd say the next requirement is knowing, do you have power available to run this thing?
- 35:51What's what infrastructure changes do you need to do to get this minor where you want it at whatever power level?
- 36:00Because if you know your duty cycle, your demand, all that factors in.
- 36:06So as Tyler mentioned earlier, there's kind of two sizing methods for HVAC.
- 36:14We call it baseload and peak.
- 36:17Baseload is designing for your average cool.
- 36:19so i think denver on average is like mid-20s 30 in wintertime and at my house a couple mini threes
- 36:30solve that for me they don't keep up when it's single digits outside and so that's when i have
- 36:37my furnace step in and so depending on what you want to spend to make up that delta you can plan
- 36:44for just the 30 degree days and that's this system or if you want to plan for colder days
- 36:49you need to stack additional miners, but then you run into this OPEC or this CapEx problem
- 36:53where you're buying machines that don't turn on all the time. And so it's like, why would you spend
- 37:00the extra money when you already have the existing infrastructure? And so part of what we do is use
- 37:06your utilities or you can use the calculator on our website to help determine sizing and what you
- 37:12need to do to meet your demand. Yeah, I think we gave an example in the playbook. If you take a
- 37:18look at it and give it a read, you'll see, you know, your sizing for baseload might say you need
- 37:245,000 watts. And so you could buy one 5,000 watt miner that's new, and maybe it's three grand,
- 37:32or maybe you could buy two 3,000 watt miners. S19s are like 50 bucks right now, right? And then
- 37:38that's 6,000 watts. So that's the kind of thing that comes into mind when you're selecting the
- 37:42right hardware for the job. Your goal, your heating application, are you heating water or air,
- 37:47right that's a big one um we should also say control right control absolutely not all of the
- 37:54miners um and i'm sure we'll get to this like they're designed for data centers and they
- 37:58most of the manufacturers all the manufacturers basically aside from proto are our chinese
- 38:03manufacturers with closed source firmware so some of them um have aftermarket options some don't
- 38:09some play nicer to talk to you know home control software like home assistance some of them don't
- 38:15So the control is a big one.
- 38:17What firmware options are available?
- 38:19What kind of heat it delivers?
- 38:20What kind of power requirements it has?
- 38:22Could you even have that at your house?
- 38:24And the sizing.
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- 40:59important thing to to recognize if you're thinking about making this decision that you guys have built
- 41:04the tools to really i think the sizing is most important just you're just running the calculus
- 41:08in my head like how do i implement this in a way where i can stack more bitcoin or lower my
- 41:14my electricity bill yeah we're working on some some more tools to put on our website right now
- 41:21we have like a simple calculator that helps you do the energy arbitrage so we mentioned that earlier
- 41:25in the episode um just like what does propane heat cost compared to a bitcoin heat right and
- 41:31it does all these unit conversions that we got bogged down over it does that for you so this is
- 41:35like napkin math that's what's on our website now we we don't have a public calculator yet for the
- 41:40sizing. That's a little harder because it depends on how much heat you use. Most people don't have
- 41:45their bills on hand, but we do want to get towards that. So definitely stay tuned there for that.
- 41:51And I pulled this up. I feel like this is pertinent to what we're discussing now,
- 41:56daily minor on hours versus gas on hours. And basically highlighting the different costs
- 42:02across different timescales. Yes. Yeah. Dylan, you want to talk about that?
- 42:06Yeah, this was kind of our first install.
- 42:11This customer has an M64 and how it works is it has a heat core enclosure, which is just it provides a pump, a dry cooler and a heat exchanger.
- 42:23And what we did was we added a radiator to that loop without a fan that just slotted into his ductwork.
- 42:31And his circulator fan pulls the heat off of that, distributes it around the house.
- 42:35If there's any excess before going back to the miner, it gets pushed out with the dry cooler.
- 42:41But what was interesting is that since we installed that, that was his primary heat source.
- 42:49We kind of expected the furnace to turn on a bit more.
- 42:53But as you can see in this graph, there's like just a couple of blips over this time period.
- 42:57And I'm very confident that was user error and the customer changing the band of the set temperature.
- 43:07And so how his system works is that.
- 43:11The miner is plumbed, is wired as stage one heating, and so that will operate as long as the current temperature is not greater than four degrees off of the set point temperature.
- 43:24if it is greater than four degrees his furnace kicks on and just tops it up once it gets back
- 43:31into that dead band minor it's minor only and so we had no complaints he was comfortable uh i mean
- 43:39it's awesome it's one thing to do it on paper but it's another thing to see it in the wild
- 43:45actually working as expected and so this customer loved it he has a minor just cranking away whenever
- 43:54he needs heat. It's also an example of like that miner is technically like 10 times smaller than
- 44:02his furnace in terms of total possible energy output, that one miner. But this is a testament
- 44:09to how we size, where we say it's not worth getting that. Like, imagine if we bought him 10
- 44:14miners, that would have cost him a fortune, right? And I don't even think we could get enough power
- 44:18in there for that. We got one miner and it solved 99% of his heating demand over those months.
- 44:24And the gas never had to kick on. So that's just a testament. Like most heating systems are
- 44:28oversized for that worst case condition. So that proves that well. The sizing though,
- 44:34and I mentioned this before we switched to that chart is like, we're going to have some tools
- 44:38coming out on this. It's a little bit harder because you can't just really call your standard
- 44:41HVAC guy and ask about like, Hey, what size Bitcoin miner do I need? You know, we've found
- 44:48that most of the heating industry is sized based on your peak load. Same with solar, actually.
- 44:53Right. And so this notion of not sizing for peak load, like this buddy system, this hybrid car
- 44:59approach, hybrid building, there aren't that many people that size that way. So it's just,
- 45:05it's been a little bit of an uphill battle to kind of communicate that to the trades.
- 45:10Yeah. Well, I want to bring this up to just like really drive this point home. You guys shared this
- 45:14data too. And I think this really does a good job of really driving home the comparison rates
- 45:21for the effective heat costs. Yeah, that's an output from our calculator at calc.xgheat.com.
- 45:29And it pulls in, you set your location and it pulls in the average costs for your state,
- 45:36or you can overwrite it with your actual costs. And you say, oh, I have a S19, I have an M64,
- 45:44or whichever model you can put in a custom,
- 45:46if you have like a mixed system,
- 45:48and you can get a direct comparison
- 45:49as to what is your fuel cost,
- 45:52what's your subsidy,
- 45:53what's your breakeven rate,
- 45:55all these different values to show
- 45:57how the hash rate heating system
- 45:59can compare to your existing system.
- 46:02Yeah, and so with this,
- 46:02it's a 45% savings under a heating bill.
- 46:06Yeah, and so this customer in this snapshot,
- 46:10he already had electric heat.
- 46:11and so it was a no-brainer for him he's just switching from one electric heat source to
- 46:18another electric heat source and if your cost is the same and now you're getting a subsidy via
- 46:24bitcoin mining rewards it's a crazy savings it's the easiest to switch if you have electrical heat
- 46:31it is the easiest to switch to bitcoin mining yeah and how many we're just using one
- 46:36one miner here it looks like right this one is two s19s two s19s yeah and you can buy them
- 46:44what are they going for these days take 50 bucks and get i mean it's like 50 to 100 bucks to get
- 46:49vanilla s19 yeah which is silly it is silly i mean that gets into we'll get to that later like
- 46:58the dynamics of the current mining environment considering all the mega miners getting kicked
- 47:05off-grid by all the hyperscalers.
- 47:08But before we get to that, I think what I really wanted to drill into
- 47:14is something that you brought up, Tyler, which is the HVAC companies.
- 47:17They don't understand this concept of the hybrid smart home yet.
- 47:21And I think that's one of the big looming questions
- 47:24that you guys are obviously trying to solve,
- 47:26but making this a popular setup for most people.
- 47:31I think the value of this playbook is going to be for that niche audience
- 47:34who's into Bitcoin and like, yeah, we're willing to put in the work and the time and the capital
- 47:39to do this because not only do we think it's cool, like we're thoroughly convinced we've
- 47:44seen the numbers, we've run the numbers and it does make economic sense.
- 47:48But then what do you think is like the critical tipping point to go from that niche heat punk
- 47:54audience that we have here at TFTC and that you guys have at pod 256 to the broader public?
- 48:00you know i think it's been hard to convey this sizing technology approach to a tradesman just
- 48:12to set the background here like when you need a heating system or you want to upgrade most people
- 48:16don't do it themselves they don't install themselves they call a guy right they call
- 48:19professional a tradesman he's certified and so that's who we have to teach really right you know
- 48:25that's the B2B path one, but also it's just your distribution channel. I mean, you could find like
- 48:32the people that are directly buying furnaces and water heaters and wrenching on themselves.
- 48:38I would categorize those as like the Bitcoin audience that's listening and loving the show.
- 48:43Shout out. I think for the other distribution path, what did we think was an interesting path
- 48:50feeling that we want to check out. It's like the whole home humidifier.
- 48:53These add-on kits. So this notion of strapping a black box and saying it offers X, Y, and Z benefits
- 49:01is not a foreign concept. It is new with Bitcoin, but people get whole home humidifiers. This is an
- 49:08auxiliary system. It has some control. Most of them are cloud. And then they marry to the thermostat.
- 49:14That's not so different from what we're doing. It's like a strap-on kit, a backpack that straps
- 49:19to your furnace, a small thing that sits next to your boiler, right? Something that plumbs into
- 49:25your water heater. And then there's some control setup to marry it into the rest. So I think if we
- 49:31can frame it that way, then we'll find the success to say, I think we have to solve the sizing part.
- 49:39That's actually what one of my main takeaways you'll see at the conclusion of the playbook is
- 49:44like in each of our four case studies, we were very proud with how our sizing technique played
- 49:50out. You know, no one's, no one's like, this is totally the wrong size. The miner only runs
- 49:56and it can't keep up and the gas is always on. So we're happy with the sizing. What I think is
- 50:02going to happen is we're going to start to see with more installs and more data collection,
- 50:05we're going to, we're going to get our rule of thumb, our finger in the wind estimate. So that's
- 50:10how most of the heating system industry works. It's like, how many square feet is your house?
- 50:15Oh, you need a furnace this big, right? I think we at Exergy in the hatchery heating industry are
- 50:19going to come to, oh, how big is your house? You need a miner this big, right? And so when we get
- 50:25to that rule of thumb, that's where I think we can kind of bake those into these buddy system
- 50:30kits, like the whole home humidifiers, where it's just like straight on the label, the distribution's
- 50:35easy the hvac tech reads it it goes oh this mining system smart home building control unit is good
- 50:43for homes 3 000 to 4 000 square feet done and like you don't have to make it any more complex than
- 50:49that does that make sense it makes total sense uh yeah i mean like the map is the terror we're like
- 50:55figuring out what the map looks like right now in this whole budding industry and i think you guys
- 51:01are doing very important work as well i was happy to partner with you guys on this playbook
- 51:04and help you guys get it out there because this is, I mean, we've talked about this, Tyler and Dylan,
- 51:11when we were in Vegas, like it is time for this stuff to happen. And I think the timing is perfect
- 51:16considering what's happening for the industrial scale miners. Like, I feel like there's gonna be
- 51:21a flood of basics out of the hands of individuals and smaller operators. But Dylan, it looks like
- 51:30you wanted to say something before we get into that yeah and so i think pushing the needle on
- 51:37hvec guys wanting to install this is definitely the right path to take i'd want to like call out
- 51:45i do envision a world in which a solar salesman knocks on your door and they're also pairing this
- 51:52instead of upselling you for a battery they're upselling you for a minor kit that just consumes
- 51:59your excess because I grew up in California.
- 52:02They sold a crazy solar deal of like,
- 52:04you're gonna make a bunch of money you're gonna offset everything it's gonna be amazing utopia
- 52:10um and now they're just rugging everybody who had solar panels in california their their buyback
- 52:16rates are pennies on the dollar and it's like cool now everyone's mad about the solar system
- 52:22it doesn't detract from its utility but it's like i'm not getting paid back from the grid but you
- 52:29sold me i was going to so let me find this other monetization route and so it'll be interesting to
- 52:34as these develop, not only as hash rate heating systems, but solar auxiliaries and pairing in that
- 52:42way. That gave me one last thought here too, which is, I'm glad you brought that up, Dylan. Solar as
- 52:48well, combined energy systems, smart energy, redundancy, all these things, right? Fancy,
- 52:54smart control, brains. This to me says like Tesla Powerwall, Tesla solar product ecosystem. So after
- 53:01Bitcoin or that's who I view the next target market is. It's these people that are already
- 53:06spending money and want the cool tech, right? Maybe they're not as Bitcoin maxis, but they
- 53:12want the tech and they understand the technological importance and the value add. I think they will
- 53:18be the next target before we scale into like mass consumerism, offsetting everyone's costs,
- 53:25you know, cheap machines, cheap products to target the masses.
- 53:30I think that's the last one to solve.
- 53:32Yeah. I mean, the data is here at 3.3 X multiplier on
- 53:35the solar is pretty insane.
- 53:39Yeah.
- 53:40Yeah. I mean, if you compare it at the unit level,
- 53:43it's like one cent versus 3.3 cents, but still that is that multiple exists
- 53:49and it's there. And so that would occur regardless the size of your system.
- 53:52and it's working it's working well for this customer uh i know we're developing still on
- 54:00getting it's kind of like a pid control so you have dynamic step down of the minor power limit
- 54:09and so the wattage kind of traces your surplus going back to the grid and so with home assist
- 54:16you can have all these inputs you know what you're generating what you're sending to the grid what
- 54:20you're consuming from the grid and my goal is to get the net export of any solar system
- 54:28as close to zero without going over as possible which is hard because minor firmware lags you can
- 54:36say cool go 3 000 watts and say all right give me half an hour to get tuned up and get actually to
- 54:41that wattage level um and then shoot there's one other thing uh and then having the system also
- 54:50react to, oh, you turned on the air conditioning. Oh, you turn on this, your washing machine's
- 54:56going and having the miner react to just the whole home system's power generation and just
- 55:02kind of be that last fire of energy before going back to the grid. I want to add a comment here
- 55:08though, which is so cool. Shout out to the clankers. Home Assistant, the open source,
- 55:13smart home building brain software we use, we think of it like an aggregator. You can connect
- 55:19Ring, Google Nest, whatever. We just built the add-ons to add miners with all your other IoT
- 55:25devices, blinds, lights, etc. There's an MCP connection. I was on Claude. I gave it a draft
- 55:32of this playbook. And I had the home assistant set up at my house. And there's these different
- 55:36examples we give of what you might want to control for, solar monetization, offsetting, heating,
- 55:40right? I was like, read this playbook, look at all the sensors at my house, find the Bitcoin miner,
- 55:46build all these automations. I want to do case three. I want to do maximize
- 55:50sats. I want to do cheapest BTU. We labeled these
- 55:54nice and clear in the report.
- 55:58With AI tools, the barrier to entry is as low as ever.
- 56:03I don't think we can
- 56:05overstate that point right there. Again, going back to the opportunity.
- 56:11BitQuinter has been talking about this opportunity forever, but with
- 56:14the AI tools and IoT open source projects
- 56:17like the ones you guys
- 56:22are building on. Once you get the hardware
- 56:26and you get everything rigged up, actually running it is going to be
- 56:30less intellectually and it's going to take
- 56:34less intellectual capital than people perceive, especially if you have the clanker set up.
- 56:38I mean, that does preclude sort of dual adoption
- 56:42of clankers and this infrastructure at the same time.
- 56:45I think we can all agree that
- 56:49adoption curve is going to be up and to the right for the foreseeable future.
- 56:53I think what you guys are doing, doing the hard work to set up all this infrastructure
- 56:57and figuring out the sizing is doing it
- 57:01now and getting in on the ground floors. We're seeing this adoption
- 57:05wave of AI and as this mega-minor
- 57:09apocalypse is happening, the timing can be more perfect to begin implementing this across the
- 57:14country. Yeah, it's doable. It's doable. It's challenging, mostly because the miners don't like
- 57:22behaving like IoT devices. But I agree with you. I think it's worth figuring out these barriers
- 57:29right now. Why wait? And we know there's lots of open source mining developments to kind of solve
- 57:35those technical problems. And then in the same vein to sizing, it's like, these are what are,
- 57:39this is what I would categorize as not technical problems. These are like people problems and
- 57:42education problems. Right. Um, so there's these two veins. Yeah. So, I mean, let's get into like
- 57:49the mega minor apocalypse. What do you, what do you, how do you see, foresee this playing out?
- 57:54Like, it seems pretty clear to me that just on grid hyperscale monetization of electricity
- 58:04in the world of compute,
- 58:08AI compute is going to be Bitcoin mining on grid
- 58:1010 times out of 10.
- 58:12Yeah, what did Brad Cuddy say at Thames?
- 58:14They're like 60x.
- 58:16Yeah.
- 58:17Dollars per megawatt hour.
- 58:20It's wild.
- 58:21Bitcoin mining, people always talk about
- 58:23how it's the apex predator.
- 58:24It's ruthlessly competitive.
- 58:26It always is going to find this lower energy state.
- 58:28That's my engineer brain thinking.
- 58:31Meaning it's always going to settle to the cheapest power
- 58:34the cheapest operation, right? I'll say that. I won't say cheapest power. I'll say cheapest
- 58:38operation. The reason I make that distinction is like, what's the best mining operation? Well,
- 58:44the best mining operation is one that's not seeking profitability, right? That's the bid
- 58:48hex on your desk. Okay. And so if there's a mining operation that's not seeking profitability,
- 58:54that could be subsidizing your heat load, right? Or that could just be running off the excess solar
- 58:59or turning on when it is profitable in those brief moments.
- 59:03So the building integrated mining, I think,
- 59:05is a future case for a lot of hash rate
- 59:09that will survive for the long run
- 59:12because it's a sunk cost mentality.
- 59:14I'm going to do it anyways.
- 59:15I'm not going to shut off the heat load.
- 59:16I want to be warm, right?
- 59:17I'm not going to stop the sun from shining
- 59:19if there's excess power, right?
- 59:21And I'm not in control of hash price.
- 59:22So if it rips, maybe my system at my house
- 59:24is going to be profitable.
- 59:27And this is just something that the large on-grid miners
- 59:29they don't have that luxury because they're not connected to this combined energy system.
- 59:33They're seeking this one path, right? Which is, I have to run my operation, my electric
- 59:39costs my operating costs have to be cheaper than the Bitcoin profit that this operation produces And that kind of as we seen becoming more challenging The machines are getting more efficient There are
- 59:51large megaminers like Electron Energy, right, that are long megamining on grid. So I want to
- 59:56make sure to shout them out. But at the same time, the AI space race is happening and they're just
- 1:00:02paying way more. And so for these large publicly traded companies, it's their fiduciary responsibility
- 1:00:07to just pivot to that.
- 1:00:08I mean, we're constrained for compute.
- 1:00:11I'll wrap and hand it to Dylan by saying,
- 1:00:13like, I'm bullish on this for home mining.
- 1:00:15I think mining has this interesting character arc story
- 1:00:19where it started on the nodes in the laptops
- 1:00:21and to the desktops and GPUs,
- 1:00:23and then it got more industrialized
- 1:00:25through network effects, economies of scale.
- 1:00:29And then now it's kind of at this choke point
- 1:00:31where it's going to come back home
- 1:00:32and settle back down to these low energy states.
- 1:00:34But the challenge I see is if the large miners aren't buying the 10,000 machines from Bitmain that are designed for data centers, then they're going to have to start selling systems that are better for these energy infrastructure applications, right?
- 1:00:51So solar, heating, profitability, controllability with smart home brains, all these things.
- 1:00:56It's a totally different class of product.
- 1:00:58And so what I'm wondering is going to play out is like, if no one's buying the slop from the mega mining manufacturers, they're going to come to the smaller guys.
- 1:01:07And then the smaller guys like us are going to say, your shit sucks.
- 1:01:10I don't want it.
- 1:01:11And so that's something I'm looking out for right now.
- 1:01:16Kind of a different take.
- 1:01:20The mega miner apocalypse is music to my ears.
- 1:01:23like whenever there's an announcement of over pivoting the ai it's like awesome hash value is
- 1:01:30going to go up for me network sure network hash rates going down difficulty goes down but that's
- 1:01:37awesome for me a home miner um i do think the future will be interesting as there's not billions
- 1:01:43of dollars in asic sales of these industrial miners as tyler was mentioning but for now in
- 1:01:48the interim, you can run S21s, 19s, et cetera, at home. It's when you get into these three-phase
- 1:01:58systems that you can't use that at home. Yeah. The retrofitting won't last forever.
- 1:02:03This S19 for 50 bucks, we're at the point now where Bitmain isn't even releasing the S23.
- 1:02:10They're only releasing three-phase hydro miners pretty much, right? And no residential home in
- 1:02:14North America has three phase power. So yeah.
- 1:02:19But for the weirdos that want to retrofit now and strap them on,
- 1:02:23it's like the best time. You're like, Oh,
- 1:02:24I've been waiting to buy this minor. It's been expensive.
- 1:02:27Oh crap. Prices came way down on the minor Bitcoin too.
- 1:02:32But now I have this affordable entry point. So like right now,
- 1:02:35probably, I mean,
- 1:02:37prices will probably go down as more mega miners turn off,
- 1:02:39but pricing looks great and approachable right now for a lot of people who want
- 1:02:43to get started on this.
- 1:02:44But I do think the future will be interesting as the MegaMiner slop is not usable.
- 1:02:52And either they have to pivot and provide better firmware and better hardware,
- 1:02:58or open source initiatives take off and enable people to build whatever form factor
- 1:03:04and whatever control they want on these systems to better integrate into your home
- 1:03:09or to your use case or whatever.
- 1:03:11if you had to wave the magic wand and produce a a sort of supply chain for
- 1:03:21asics in the future what does it look like
- 1:03:23i mean yeah uh instead of having desolder chips off existing hashboards to build system it's like
- 1:03:31here's the real here's how you control it have a great time playing with your bitcoins
- 1:03:36I think we need chips and we need an open source firmware that works on all of them akin to Linux.
- 1:03:43Right. So this is this is Intel and AMD. That's what's minor in micro BT.
- 1:03:48They both sell chips. Linux runs on both chips. You don't have to.
- 1:03:52There are proprietary OSs like Mac OS and Windows.
- 1:03:56There can be proprietary firmwares with dev fees that offer fancy features or better tuning.
- 1:04:01But the bare bones minimum that we really need is to make the Bitcoin mining industry reflect the rest of the electronics industry, which is someone sells chips a la carte.
- 1:04:11And there is an open source, editable, inspectable, documented firmware to talk to those chips.
- 1:04:21Are we getting closer?
- 1:04:22Somebody working on that?
- 1:04:25Yes.
- 1:04:25Yeah.
- 1:04:26Shout out to Ryan, one of our engineers at the 256 Foundation.
- 1:04:30He is the lead architect of Mojina, which is an open source firmware.
- 1:04:35Another shout out to AI.
- 1:04:37It turns out when you have an open source firmware and you can SSH into miners that are hacked together at best, I'd say, like there's really no such thing as closed source software nowadays.
- 1:04:50It's basically intercepting the mining operations on aftermarket firmwares, closed source firmwares, and literally sideloading an open source firmware in real time.
- 1:05:03These are just a couple of AI prompts.
- 1:05:05I mean, obviously, he is architecting it as an embedded systems full stack Linux engineer.
- 1:05:10But with the AI tools, it's just become so much easier.
- 1:05:14We've got Mugina running on S19s, a couple of different versions and images coming soon.
- 1:05:19So a file you can download. It runs on BitAxes. It runs on some open source hardware, the 256 Foundation's working on. But long story short is, yes, we're building towards that platform, Regina. Dylan's actually pretty involved in the API architecture, right? I mean, it's cool. It's very early stages, but it's an opportunistic time to come in. There's dev calls for that as well.
- 1:05:41to get to voice your interest.
- 1:05:44Hey, I'm trying to do this solar thing.
- 1:05:46Hey, I'm trying to do this heating thing.
- 1:05:47Like I need the firmware to do X, Y, and Z.
- 1:05:50And the beauty of it is
- 1:05:51these can be built in a matter of minutes.
- 1:05:55Yeah, I mean, it's kind of wild to think that
- 1:05:57Libreboard that 256 is putting out can run Mugina.
- 1:06:02You can connect hashboards to it via USB-C.
- 1:06:07You can mix and match hashboards.
- 1:06:08So maybe you have a dying S21 and a dying S19.
- 1:06:13You can plug any combination of those boards into Libra board.
- 1:06:18And then Mugina is being designed to be able to programmatically dictate where the power is going through those boards.
- 1:06:26Does it prioritize efficiency? Does it prioritize equalizing it across all the boards?
- 1:06:31Let me turn two off and turn two on, etc.
- 1:06:33So being able to get in right now to voice how you think minor firmware control should be handled is super valuable.
- 1:06:44And you can help steer the conversation as like, hey, I like this on this firmware.
- 1:06:48I like this in this firmware. I hate this, hate this.
- 1:06:50So let's add these and disregard this and find a different system, which is the beauty of open source.
- 1:06:55You can just contribute it and have a discussion around it and go back and forth on it.
- 1:07:01Yeah, it's funny.
- 1:07:01like when you connect all this stuff to Home Assistant
- 1:07:04and do what we're trying to do,
- 1:07:05and if you're reading this playbook or listening
- 1:07:07to this episode, you might be interested in doing this too.
- 1:07:11The thermostats behave like thermostats.
- 1:07:12The solar inverter behaves like a solar inverter.
- 1:07:14The furnace behaves like a furnace.
- 1:07:16The battery behaves like a battery, right?
- 1:07:19The miners don behave well like heaters That like and they don behave well like solar dispatch loads That like the missing piece And it just the pain point of where we at in the industry It a bullish sign in the sense that we early and we get to be alive for this But there a lot of
- 1:07:34technical work to be done on the firmware to Dylan's technical points there. How do you architect
- 1:07:38that? If you request half power, how does it do that? Does it shut off one of the two boards or
- 1:07:43does it just throttle them back? Which one gets you the most saps? Which one gets you the highest
- 1:07:47temperature. It depends on what you're trying to do, right? And then also the hardware itself.
- 1:07:52That's something I just want to mention, which is like eating appliances, solar infrastructure,
- 1:07:57this stuff's supposed to last 30 years, right? Like, I don't want the hash board to change shape.
- 1:08:02You know, I want it to be a standard like hot swappable, upgradable heating element that I know
- 1:08:07when I upgrade in eight years, it's going to be the same shape and I don't have to overhaul the
- 1:08:11whole system. We don't have that luxury because the miners kind of do change shape and it's
- 1:08:16whatever the manufacturer's will is,
- 1:08:18they don't sell the chips, right?
- 1:08:20So there's no company that said,
- 1:08:21I'm gonna keep them this shape.
- 1:08:23So all this is to say is like,
- 1:08:24this is kind of the open source stack
- 1:08:26that we're watching closely and helping
- 1:08:29and advocates of with our time and energy
- 1:08:31to support the 256 Foundation.
- 1:08:34But my last comment here will be,
- 1:08:36it's not just a benefit to the people
- 1:08:40trying to do these energy-based,
- 1:08:42building integrated home mining,
- 1:08:44building mining, business mining systems. An open source stack is also beneficial when you're
- 1:08:50a publicly traded miner and you don't want a dev fee on your firmware, or you want to, you know,
- 1:08:56investigate and audit share accounting, right? Or you just want to make sure there's no backdoor
- 1:09:02from Antbleed, right? That can remotely shut off your machine. So all this is to say is like the
- 1:09:08Linux, back to that first point, the Linux firmware of the mining industry called Mojina,
- 1:09:15and then chip accessibility and some reference designs just so we can get consistent form
- 1:09:20factors and some standards.
- 1:09:22That's all really needed to help the whole industry.
- 1:09:25Completely agree.
- 1:09:27And it's crazy.
- 1:09:28We're 17 years in.
- 1:09:30And to your point earlier, Tyler, about mining going through this phase of CPU, GPU, FPGA,
- 1:09:37ASIC, industrial scale, and now coming back.
- 1:09:42I think it's hard to predict exactly what the
- 1:09:45end form factor looks like, but I have a feeling that the end form
- 1:09:49factor is going to be in something that is conducive for
- 1:09:53at-home mining. And yes, there may still be industrial scale to produce
- 1:09:57the ability to participate in demand response, and there's going to be
- 1:10:01parts of the world where they don't build out AI data centers because they decide the US
- 1:10:05and China won the arms race for AI,
- 1:10:09so we're going to use our excess power to buy Bitcoin.
- 1:10:11I still think they will have a place.
- 1:10:14I think overall the arc of Bitcoin mining history
- 1:10:18will be more distributed,
- 1:10:21a variety of form factors,
- 1:10:23and hopefully, but I'm pretty confident
- 1:10:26using mining as a way to be a sort of collaborative
- 1:10:33part of a home brain to help with heating and taking advantage of periods where we're mining
- 1:10:42bitcoin with your your electricity is profitable yeah i would just echo that by saying like what's
- 1:10:48the end form factor of a computer processor or a gpu there's laptop cpus and gpus there's desktop
- 1:10:54cpus and gpus there's data center cpus and gpus right and so i think that whole stack will exist
- 1:11:00at scale in Bitcoin mining. We're not here saying building integrated mining is the only answer.
- 1:11:06I still am a firm believer in monetizing stranded energy, right? Off-grid mining. There's going to
- 1:11:11be the on-grid mining that's cheap enough or subsidized by the state or whatever. There's
- 1:11:15going to be the gridless computes of the world, right? That are finding stranded energy, literally,
- 1:11:19and offering electricity to their community from the application of Bitcoin mining into those
- 1:11:25micro grids. But I think that what's very undervalued right now, and at the same time,
- 1:11:32people want to participate is this building integrated mining, you know, and it's kind of
- 1:11:37felt out of reach for a while because the machines are so industrial and you don't, you don't really
- 1:11:42see one as a newcomer to Bitcoin. So we're working to change that. Yeah. And so people listen to this,
- 1:11:50they download the playbook, they're reading it. What do they do next? What do they do next?
- 1:11:55Uh, well, they can get started on our support page.
- 1:12:03We've documented everything as much as we can.
- 1:12:06So you can totally do this yourself.
- 1:12:08Calculators are available and the equations are available.
- 1:12:12You can take a stab at this and do it yourself.
- 1:12:15Also, you can contact us.
- 1:12:17We provide this as a service.
- 1:12:19We were happy to work with people because it's important for us to get this into
- 1:12:25as many homes and businesses as possible.
- 1:12:27You have an advantage, use it.
- 1:12:28Like at the top of the report here.
- 1:12:33It's important for us to not only
- 1:12:35get people exposed to Bitcoin mining,
- 1:12:38but it also is this Trojan horse
- 1:12:40to decentralizing and hardening the network even further.
- 1:12:44Because it's way better, in my opinion,
- 1:12:45to have every home on this block mining Bitcoin,
- 1:12:48especially if they're either lottery mining themselves
- 1:12:51or building their own block templates,
- 1:12:53doing pool mining, whichever.
- 1:12:54to not only decentralize it physically, but also on the pool scale.
- 1:13:00And so we're excited about other open source pools coming out.
- 1:13:02But back to how you get started.
- 1:13:05Contact us.
- 1:13:07Yeah, you get started with your utility bills.
- 1:13:09Have your goal in mind of am I doing this for heating?
- 1:13:12Am I doing this for solar?
- 1:13:14Is sovereignty important to me or some combination thereof?
- 1:13:20And figure out what your current sunk cost is for your building.
- 1:13:24and whether you're losing value on the solar you're selling back to the grid.
- 1:13:30And from there, you make the decision on how integrated do I want this to be?
- 1:13:35Do I want to tiptoe in with space heaters?
- 1:13:37Totally fine.
- 1:13:38Or do I go fully integrated?
- 1:13:40And do I have this tied into my plumbing system from my boiler,
- 1:13:44ducted into my furnace?
- 1:13:45Do I have a dry cooler so I can dump the heat outside during the summertime?
- 1:13:51It really all goes back to what is your goal?
- 1:13:54The good news, if anyone's listening, yeah, echo everything Dylan said. If they already have a
- 1:14:01miner, maybe it's got an aftermarket firmware like Brains or LuxOS or some of the Canaan miners.
- 1:14:07Chances are we've been building out more of these. Shout out to Brett Rowan at Upstream Data,
- 1:14:11by the way. He is the tech wizard behind getting Bitcoin miners to respond to API calls in a
- 1:14:17cohesive, aggregated way to help us in Home Assistant. But a lot of this stuff is on Home
- 1:14:22assistant already, meaning a miner you already have might be able to be controlled like a smart
- 1:14:26home device. And so to echo Dylan's point about tiptoeing, like get a $50 raspberry pie or buy one
- 1:14:34or install home assistant on start 9040, right? Because now it's packaged for that or on your
- 1:14:40umbrella. And then download the integration. These are like, that's like the app store of
- 1:14:44home assistant. Download the one that lets you connect to Bitcoin miner. Home assistant is pretty
- 1:14:48smart, it might automatically find your home thermostat or a smart switch or something.
- 1:14:53Watch a couple of YouTube videos, come to our office hours, read some of our documentation.
- 1:14:57Then you can start to toy around with controlling a minor like a smart building device with your building brain You can connect your Claude or OpenAI account to Home Assistant with their MCP connector And then you can start just
- 1:15:10asking your AI to build the smart control. And that's where you really get more confident to say,
- 1:15:16okay, maybe I do need to chat with these guys or help figure out the sizing myself for how many I
- 1:15:21really need to optimize this. And then, you know, I'm going to cut it into the duct and I'm going to
- 1:15:25install a damper or a valve or a pump that can control things and all that connects to home
- 1:15:30assistant you tell your ai it then starts to build out the automation flow from there so that's kind
- 1:15:34of how we grew into this over time that was our natural path and um i know it can be a little
- 1:15:40intimidating but all the tools are available to do it today yeah and the uh the one thing we forgot
- 1:15:47to cover but i think we can cover real quickly is like there's a bunch of people like all right
- 1:15:53Like, how do I actually get the Bitcoin?
- 1:15:54Like, what happens when you put the miner in?
- 1:15:57You point it in a pool.
- 1:15:59We're producing this Bitcoin and the miner's running.
- 1:16:02I could see it.
- 1:16:02But how do I get the Bitcoin?
- 1:16:06We hosted an event here at the space and someone asked,
- 1:16:10okay, so how do I get the Bitcoin out of the miner?
- 1:16:14And it just has stuck in my head forever.
- 1:16:17You're like, no, it's stuck in the hot tub forever.
- 1:16:19The files are in the computer.
- 1:16:23And so I think maybe we mentioned this, maybe we didn't.
- 1:16:27A lot of this report is based on pooled mining.
- 1:16:31And so I don't advocate for this.
- 1:16:34You can do pooled mining, the FPPS.
- 1:16:36You shouldn't do that, in my opinion.
- 1:16:38But that's another conversation of another day.
- 1:16:40I'm a big advocate of Ocean.
- 1:16:42I like being able to build my own block template.
- 1:16:44I accept the fact that they are the coordinator of the payouts.
- 1:16:48I'm fine with that tradeoff.
- 1:16:50um so on ocean you can put in your own bitcoin address and you will get paid out there
- 1:16:58intermittently if you don't have a lot of hash rates it's going to take a long time to do it on
- 1:17:01chain i think the minimum is like a million sats uh or you can if you have a core lightning node or
- 1:17:09um coinos they offer the ability to hook up your lightning address
- 1:17:16with a Bolt 12 offer to your Ocean account
- 1:17:20and you'll get lightning payouts.
- 1:17:21And then sats are in your pocket
- 1:17:24wherever you access that lightning account
- 1:17:25and you can spend it immediately
- 1:17:27or you can send it to cold storage.
- 1:17:28Totally up to you.
- 1:17:30This is the best part.
- 1:17:32My favorite part about home mining is that
- 1:17:34it beats the hell out of credit card rewards
- 1:17:38or airline miles or what have you
- 1:17:40because your subsidy that you get back
- 1:17:42for running infrastructure in your home
- 1:17:44is immediately spendable.
- 1:17:46once it's in your pocket.
- 1:17:48And so whichever route that takes,
- 1:17:50or you send it straight to cold storage
- 1:17:51and don't worry about it ever again.
- 1:17:54Very trivial to set up.
- 1:17:56I wanna give a shout out to,
- 1:17:58as I've learned more recently about Peterpool V2,
- 1:18:01more protocol, this is a little nerdy,
- 1:18:03but this notion of, you know,
- 1:18:05we're like one of the biggest advocates
- 1:18:07of physical decentralization of hash rate, right?
- 1:18:10It's like, we're putting them in buildings.
- 1:18:12Everybody's got building, a lot of people have buildings.
- 1:18:15But on the digital decentralization, you know, it kind of was a trope for me before because I didn't fully understand it.
- 1:18:20But, you know, it doesn't really do anything if you just point to an FPPS pool.
- 1:18:24And so how do you solve for that?
- 1:18:25There are different pools like Ocean, which have let you construct your own block templates or strategy, too.
- 1:18:31But then there's also pretty cool protocol proposals for a decentralized pool altogether, meaning a company, an entity doesn't control it.
- 1:18:39It is the pool is a protocol with a share chain.
- 1:18:42And so that's a really hard technical problem that I was talking to Matt Carlow about and
- 1:18:46Jungli, who's one of our engineers at the 256 Foundation that we're working on as well.
- 1:18:52But I'm really excited about stuff like that to come in the future as well, because I do view
- 1:18:56like my long term bullish view on Bitcoin mining is you're going to plug in a gadget into your house.
- 1:19:02You don't even have to know how it works. It's going to pay you money. It's going to monetize
- 1:19:05your solar. It's going to offset your heating costs. And it's going to just do this programmatically
- 1:19:10at a protocol layer, and it's going to fully decentralize physically and digitally
- 1:19:14the Bitcoin network. And we have this massive interconnected web across the globe
- 1:19:19of these little machines that are building infrastructure that are
- 1:19:22final settlement for the base layer of the monetary system. It's crazy to think about.
- 1:19:26Yeah, they're enabling peer-to-peer digital cash at a time when it's desperately
- 1:19:30needed. Gentlemen, it's been a pleasure
- 1:19:35working with you. I mean, you guys have missed the work, but it's been
- 1:19:38it's been fun. It has.
- 1:19:41For the last three weeks.
- 1:19:43Yeah, I appreciate it. I'm really excited to see what the audience thinks of it. I know that
- 1:19:48people are pretty hungry for home mining. There's always a lot of chatter online when they see a new
- 1:19:53gadget come out. And I think it'll be cool to really get the playbook out there to say,
- 1:19:57this is kind of our way of thinking about how much home mining can you
- 1:20:01get away with to your benefit. You want the most bang for your buck,
- 1:20:05this is how to do it. So thank you, Marty.
- 1:20:08Yeah, thank you, Marty. This is great.
- 1:20:11Word of warning to the listeners, the viewers,
- 1:20:15stacking hash rate is more addictive than stacking sets.
- 1:20:19Yeah, I can
- 1:20:21co-sign that if somebody has been stacking hash rate for almost a decade now.
- 1:20:26It is addicting. It is masochistic, but it's addicting. And I think your application makes it
- 1:20:30less masochistic. But this is not the end
- 1:20:34of this for us. You got the playbook. You've listened to this episode.
- 1:20:38If you're at the TFTC roundtable, we are going to have
- 1:20:41a one-off call
- 1:20:44July 14th that night. Hope you guys are available
- 1:20:49because that's what we've said it internally. I just told you that live on air. Business on air.
- 1:20:55We have the TFTC roundtable now. If you like this, if you want to learn more,
- 1:21:00Dylan, Tyler, and myself will be meeting in a closed
- 1:21:03Zoom group where we can expand on this conversation.
- 1:21:06You guys can ask questions when we go a little deeper.
- 1:21:08So sign up for the TFTC Roundtable if you want to join that.
- 1:21:13And gentlemen, I think this is great.
- 1:21:17I hope if you're listening, you learn more, you become more confident.
- 1:21:21And if so, reach out to Tyler and Dylan.
- 1:21:25Certainly try to do it by yourself.
- 1:21:26But I'm a big don't reinvent the wheel guy.
- 1:21:30speed up the learning curve by talking to these two.
- 1:21:36Thank you, sir. We'll see you July 14th.
- 1:21:40Peace and love, folks.
- 1:21:42Thank you for listening to this episode of TFTC.
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