Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 1 - DFS Cash Game Countdown | DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy and Optimal Builds

Transcript

NFL Week 1 - DFS Cash Game Countdown | DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy and Optimal Builds · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for lift-up. What's going on, everybody?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Cash Game Countdown. This is the first
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: time doing the Cash Game Countdown as we've done the
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: past couple of years. It's been Hoop and I talking
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: cash games on Friday. This is now going to be
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: a solo show. It's going to be prerecorded, and it's
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: not going to be that long. It's going to be
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: maybe 10 minutes, maybe 15 minutes. There's no time limit,
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: but it's going to be quick. We're going to go
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: position by position like we have in the past through DraftKings,
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: and we'll go position by position through FanDuel. Um, this
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: is a first look though. This is my pretty much
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: first look for the main slates, all of our content.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: We'll be up on the site Friday, Saturday, everything will
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: be up. And then of course, Sunday morning, Tambo hoop
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: and myself, uh, definitely should tune into that show. That
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: shows not just cash games as tournaments, but you get
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: all of our thoughts. That's where all of my thoughts
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: game by game player by player, um, come on the
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: Sunday show. So we're going to establish a little bit
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: of a player pool. Um, I think there's a lock
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: like Brock Bowers has ruled out this week. Michael Mayer
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: is a very strong play on both sides. Sights probably
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: a lock. We'll talk about that, but it's mainly a
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: player pool. And then you will get four core plays
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: on DraftKings and FanDuel. Four cash games for myself over here.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: NFL go down to the slate station. And you also
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: be able to see Tambo and Ham or no Tambo
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: and Bellman do DraftKings player or position by position, quarterback,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: running back, receiver, tight end. They add notes and establish
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: kind of like a player pool to have hoop has
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: his actual DraftKings player pool with ownerships. They're also core
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: reports from a lot of the guys on DraftKings. Ham
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: has you covered on FanDuel, the stone 2.0, a very
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: cool new tool that we have over here can virtual
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: hand build, can plug in some people, see how much
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: salary you have left remaining ownership real on the value report.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: Very few sharper out there than our man Rio, obviously
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: the normal stone that we will go and, uh, that
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: we share usually on Sunday mornings, projections, ownership on both sites,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: showdown content, everything you need to be successful in the
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: NFL streets, right here, shipandnation.com, how you get in. You
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: can get in for $ 3. 49 for the whole year. Again,
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: that's all showdown content, the Thanksgiving slates, Christmas slates, access
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: to the Discord, access to SaberSim, definitely the best deal
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: out there compared to the industry. Everything you need is
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: in this one package. We also do have some other ones, though,
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: bottom left, Join the nation. You can get in if
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: you have not tried us at all. I think trying
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: out the five days for $ 19 trial is pretty smart
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: because you'll get college football on Saturday. You'll get MMA
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: on Saturday. There's still NASCAR going on. There's still MLB
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: going on. Of course, NFL. You get Sabreson with that.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: You get access to the Discord. But if you do
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: want a chance to win $ 45, 000 plus in cash and prizes...
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: You have to be an all access member. So that's
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: a monthly right here, a starter monthly, an annual member,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: or an NFL only member again, which is up here, 349.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: We do have single sport options as well. Everything you need,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: we have you covered and we have different options for
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: you to join over here at Shippenation. Let's share our
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: partner optimizer in SaberSim. Again, a lot of those packages
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: do have SaberSim as an add-on. You can also just
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: add do NFL with SaberSim. SaberSim doesn't even offer single
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: sport packages. So another added benefit over here. Again, we're
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: going to go DraftKings and then FanDuel position by position.
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: I just wanted to say like a disclaimer again, this
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: is Friday. A lot can change to Sunday. I had
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: my worst NFL year last year. And part of that
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: is I've kind of been stuck in my own process
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: kind of for the past, been playing DFS for over
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: a decade. I don't think I've made enough changes or
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: at least try to think about my process, see what
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: other people are doing and adjust more on the fly.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: So this year, maybe I go a little more, I
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: know ball stuff. You obviously need to know projections. Whereas
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: right now I'm going to be sharing when we go
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: through this Sabresim and Shippenation, we're going to take the
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: average of both of our projections, the average of the ownership. Again,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: if you're on the starter or above pack, you do
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: have that option. I also subscribe to other sites in
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: the industry to look at what people are doing, other projections,
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: look at my own stuff. So this is going to
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: be my player pool as of now on Friday. Changes
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: can be made, though, before Sunday. And, again, get over
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: to Shippenation and check out the updated core plays if
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: stuff changes Sunday morning. And if it changes late, I
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: will tag the chat, but always be refreshing that. Yeah, again,
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: I think the big overall news is Brock Bowers was
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: ruled out. I believe it was Monday or Tuesday. Completely
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: changes the whole slate. It was already very soft in
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: terms of salary. Now we got a very strong tight
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: end in Mayer at only $ 2. 9K. I think he's a
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: lock at tight end on both sites. And, yeah, again,
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: he's 2'9, so that means we will have a lot
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: of salary to spend, and we can't even spend at
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: some positions. Like 7K is the most at quarterback. A
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: couple running backs in a tier of their own. We've
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: already seen Puka and JSN and stuff play, so only
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: so many receivers we can spend on. Michael Mayer is
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: a lock. Then we're going to go to the quarterback position.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: I'm going to always sort by value, which is projected,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: my projection, and the salary position. baked into it, so
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: you divide projection and salary. We have Justin Herbert. Again,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: when I'm saying we, that's the average of Shippenation and Sabresim.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Very bullish on him. I mean, if this is the
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: numbers we're looking at, it's hard for me to get
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: away from Herbert. It's a little closer gap for me
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: personally on the numbers, but I still think, I mean,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: you get the nut matchup against the Cardinals who are
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: going to be awful this year. Chargers implied for 29
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: points almost. I think he's a very strong option. If
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: you needed to save 300 to Trevor Lawrence, or 600
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: to Kyler Murray, I'd be fine with it. Right now
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: I'm planning on playing Herbert. He's not a stone cold
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: lock though. But yeah, like Herbert alone, we have projected
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: as the highest, even above Burrow, Hurts, Lamar, even guys
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: priced above him. So great matchup, more than likely right
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: now if the slate locked. I'd be playing Herbert, going
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: to the running back position because we all have all
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: that money to spend. I mean, man, sorting by projection,
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: Gibbs projection is out of this world. You can see
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: ownership 50%. highest on the slate. I think he's a
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: clear lock and load. And then from there, you have
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: to play two running backs, obviously, on DraftKings, which is
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: the option to play a third. Bijan looks strong. I
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: think we have enough money on the slate. Again, when
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: you play Meyer, we'll get to some other value throughout.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: I think pairing Gibbs and Bijan is very easy to do.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: It feels very nice. Two best running backs in football.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: If you don't want to go there, I think 8chan' s
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: fine at 7K against Vegas. Maybe a little better than fine.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: This is one of the best spots he'll have all
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: year In the Dome, I think he is a strong play.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: Good with JT, Brees at 6'2, Marshawn Lloyd. I'm probably
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: cutting it off about right here. I guess Henry and–
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: they're Henry and Saquon are fine, but probably not getting
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: there in cash games. But I think it's mainly Gibbs
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: and then probably Bijan, but if not Bijan, probably Achan
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: and then JT in play. But I don't think we're
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: going all three spend-up running backs. Brees Hall a better
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: price tag, and then Marshawn Lloyd with no Josh Jacobs.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Week one looks pretty good as well at 4,800. To
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: the receiver position, a little more difficult than I think
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: the first two, but again, another big beneficiary with no
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: Brock Bowers is Trey Tucker, only 4,000. Grades out very
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: well under the point per dollar column. Number two, Jamar Chase,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: as the highest salary receiver on the slate. He's coming
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: in number two with a very good projection right here.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: So I think he is strong. I do prefer, or
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: I will prioritize Gibbs Over Chase, but a decision might
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: be Chase and Bijan if you only play one there. Next,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: we got Chris Olave, Ladd McConkie, T. Higgins, Garrett Wilson.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: I'm fine with all these guys. Amin Ra, sure. I mean,
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: the receiving room is just so underpriced. Like, Ladd should
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: not be 5'9, going down a little bit. Devontae Smith
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: should not be 6.6K. Parker Washington should not be 5.6K.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: Zay Flowers, 6'4. There's just so much mid-tier... goodness that
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: are underpriced. So I do think receiver is tough. Trey
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Tucker looks really strong for value. Chase really strong if
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: I'm spending up, but a plethora of guys in between
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: that I'm good playing. And I meant to say from
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: the top, this is, I'm not used to doing solo shows.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: It's actually going a little better than I envisioned. So
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: I'll take that. But yeah, if there's hiccups along the way,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: or sometimes I run out of things to say or whatever,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: I'm not used to this. I appreciate you hanging. along though. Um,
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: and I do appreciate the like button as well. Helps
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: us out a ton tight end. I already touched on it.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: Michael Mayer. I do think though, like if you are
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: trying to play Jamar chase Bijan and Gibbs, it is possible,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: but for flex, you'd have to go a Marshawn Lloyd
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: or maybe even cheaper tight end strong. I do think
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: double tight end could be in play this week in
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: cash games, Dalton Schultz, Jawan Johnson, Laporta, Andrews, Hawkinson. I'm
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: fine with all of these guys. Um, Don't really have
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: too much of a preference. It'd kind of be like,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: what fits? How much money do I have? Because if
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: you are playing double tight end, you're doing it for
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: the other positions. But Mayer is one that will be
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: a staple on my teams. Going to defense, nothing really
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: stands out too, too much as locks. Like I think
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: looking at the four uh defenses that are all double
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: digit ownership i think that's probably where i'm more likely
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: to go you have different tiers jakes three four then
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: the raiders two nine jets two five browns two one
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: fine with them all obviously like you don't love playing
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: the browns against the jaguars but defense is very volatile
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: if it gets you all the spend ups i'm fine
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: doing it but When we get to FanDuel, which we're
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: about to go to right now, I think there's more
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: of a clear defense when talking there. Again, I do
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: think FanDuel is a relatively similar slate as to DraftKings. Again,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: we're going to sort by value. We're going to go
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: right to the tight end position. Michael Mayer, very strong, 4.6K.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: I think he is going to be a plug-and-play for me.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: Let me just go over here right now. Yeah, I
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: really just don't see how you can get around playing
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Mayer at a very cheap price tag. It allows you
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: to spend up. for other studs that you want to play.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Tight end, I think it is, let me go over there,
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: or not tight end. Quarterback, I think it is relatively
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: similar to DraftKings. I mean, Herbert almost is projected for
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: the most raw points on the slate without even being
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: close to the highest price. So I think Justin Herbert
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: is very strong on both sites. It's a closer gap, though,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to a Joe Burrow. Kyler's still 400 less favorite at home,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: can use his legs, so I'd be fine with that.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I'm probably just going Herbert over Trevor Lawrence right now.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Tyler Schuch, I'm not sure we need to do that
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: with the value we have. So more than likely I'm
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: playing Herbert. Don't really see finding 600 for Burrow. Probably
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: Kyler if I wouldn't go Justin Herbert. Going over to
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: the running back position, a little more tough. I guess
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: not a little more tough. You're playing Gibbs, I think.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, again, his projection is out of this world.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: He's going to be a staple on both sites. A
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: lot of people will play him. If you don't play him,
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: I think you're pretty much paying the rake, even if
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: it doesn't end up that way. Bijan, another strong play. Again,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: if you do that, though, it's harder to spend up
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: at some other positions, like a Jamar Chase or something
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: at receiver. He's strong, though. And then, yeah, we're going
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: to some value stuff. Marshawn Lloyd down here, I did
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: want to mention, 4.9K. That's a very cheap price on FanDuel.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Makes a lot of sense. Even though they're slight underdogs,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: no Josh Jacobs. Had a lot of hype if you're
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: in the best ball streets. But then DeAndre Swift, 6'6.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Brees Hall, 6'9. Jenty, 7K. He is going to play.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: The matchup's great. And the price tag's good. So I'd
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: be fine with him. Hampton, I'm fine playing Herbert and
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: Hampton together in cash games. Chase Brown at 7.5K. I
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: do think running back two is tough on this slate.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: And then you tend to play three running backs on
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: FanDuel because of half point PPR versus full point. So
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: running back is going to be a big decision on FanDuel.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I think it's a little more difficult and more questions
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: outside of Gibbs. Receiver, again, Jamar Chase, the highest priced
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: and still grades out as the best point per dollar.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: If you are playing Jamar Chase, it's probably harder to
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: spend up at too many RB2s or RB3s. He's a
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: great play though, but I don't think a lock by
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: any means. Amin Ra, 300 less. If you can't get
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: to Chase, I'd be fine with, but it's mainly like
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: a lot of A7-4s, A7-3, McConkie, Burden, Nico Collins. Like
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: that 1200 is a long way off of Jamar Chase
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: and it does go Or it goes a long way.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: And you're not really giving up. You're giving up a
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: decent amount of projection. But, man, Nico's the complete man.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Can get you Bijan Robinson or a different build that way.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Trey Tucker, 5'6. Still cheap over here. Who else do
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: we got? Wondell Robinson, 5.3K. Josh Downs, 5'6. Receiver is
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: pretty tough, I think, on FanDuel. But a one of
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Chase Olave looks strong. 7.4K, especially for Olave. Going to
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: be trailing most of the game in the Dome playing catch-up.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: I think he's a great play. Tight end, I already
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: talked about it. I think you're playing Mayer, and you're
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: rarely ever playing two tight ends on FanDuel. So don't
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: think that's even in the question. Play Mayer, move on. Mayer, Gibbs, again,
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: is where I'd start. And then I was talking on defense.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: I think it's a little more apparent. I mean, I
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: think I'm just playing Titans defense. I'm usually not prioritizing it,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: but they're 3.2K, which is one of the lowest on
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: the slate. 3K is the stone min. when it comes
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: to defense on FanDuel. So the Titans, small favorites against
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: the Jets at home at 3.2K. Just plug it in
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: and move on in cash games. That's going to do it. Again,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: it's 14 and a half minutes right here. It's about
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: what I'm expecting every single week. As the weeks go on,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: usually more news changes throughout the weekend. So this show
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: wouldn't turn in to be obsolete. But again, it's not.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Things change. Moving pieces. I'm going to be way more
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: open to getting off some of the stuff, or I'm
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: changing my process a little bit. Tournaments, cash games. I
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: don't know right now what I'd be playing when it
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: comes to Sunday. Definitely tune in to our show, Hoop, Tambo,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: and myself at 9 a.m. Eastern. Definitely get over to shipandnation.com. Again, $ 3. 49
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: for the whole NFL season. Bottom left, join the nation, though.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: You can try out five days for $ 19. You can
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: find a single sport monthly. Core 100, 100 lineups in
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: SaberSim you're able to build. I think Starter is the
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: best deal though. Not too much more. Allows you to
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: build 400 more lineups. Also gets you SaberSim's projections, which
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: allow you to take two, like the average from Ship
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: and Nation and SaberSim like we've done. Portfolio diversification if
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: you're playing GPPs, contest flashback to see what the pros
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: are doing in all the contests. You absolutely cannot beat it.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: This is the best time of the year. Appreciate everyone. watching. Again,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: this is the Cash Game Countdown. This will be out
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: every Friday. Sometime before like 6 p.m. Eastern is my goal.
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Try and fire it most in the mornings. I'm on
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: mountain time though. Sometimes it'll be out in the afternoon.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: Sometimes it'll be out in the morning, but it'll be
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: out on Friday. And then we'll be back Sunday with
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: all of our final thoughts and all of our content
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: will be up, of course. Appreciate it. Hit that like,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: hit that subscribe on the way out. That's going to
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: do it. I am Titletown. Good luck this weekend. Be safe. Peace.