Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Chad and Blackjack's 5 Week 4 NFL Picks

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Chad and Blackjack's 5 Week 4 NFL Picks · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:09
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites. This is the Super Contest Edition.
0:14
Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman of the Action Networking today as
0:19
Speaker 1: I am every Friday. I am joined by the sunglass
0:23
Speaker 1: wearing cowboy hat topping vaping machine black Jack Fletcher at
0:31
Speaker 1: black Jack Fletch on Twitter. My Action Network brother, How
0:36
Speaker 1: are you doing, buddy? I feel like you're more than
0:38
Speaker 1: my Action Network brother, because what you're doing for me
0:42
Speaker 1: last week, by the way, our podcast is just blowing up,
0:47
Speaker 1: like the number of listeners is insane. But um last
0:53
Speaker 1: now we have sponsors that that that didn't take long. Again,
0:58
Speaker 1: You're welcome. Quality knows quality. Last week, I I we
1:03
Speaker 1: had talked about how like you know, you and I
1:05
Speaker 1: have different dining habits, and you came to the podcast
1:08
Speaker 1: one day sporting a couple of twenty four aunts cancer
1:11
Speaker 1: cans of the Banquet beer and you know, smoking a
1:14
Speaker 1: mango vape and my morning routine is more like green
1:18
Speaker 1: tea and almonds. And I mentioned I like that you
1:21
Speaker 1: know a lot of Mediterranean fruits. I like figs, I
1:23
Speaker 1: like dates. Last week you brought me a plate of figs,
1:28
Speaker 1: bottle of amoretto, and a packet of like cashews and almonds.
1:33
Speaker 1: All of it was delicious and it made my day today.
1:37
Speaker 1: What have you brought me today? We have some organic
1:41
Speaker 1: deg lit dates amazing, some miniature chocolate croissants again, the
1:47
Speaker 1: packet of nuts because I know how you feel about
1:50
Speaker 1: your your almonds. Uh, and a bottle of Grand Marnier
1:53
Speaker 1: for us to start our morning with. Well, listen, I've
1:56
Speaker 1: got like four or five drift incredibly import meetings today,
2:02
Speaker 1: but I'm going and lip brother, that's my guy, that's
2:05
Speaker 1: my guy. How do we get define folks at Cadence
2:09
Speaker 1: their team to sponsor our morning buffet. Let's work on
2:12
Speaker 1: that we do, And I'm glad we have sponsors and
2:15
Speaker 1: I want any other potential sponsors out there. Are no
2:18
Speaker 1: that I will shamelessly represent any product that is sponsored
2:22
Speaker 1: on this show, So, by the way, you will get
2:25
Speaker 1: your money's worth. Cheers to that. Let's have a little
2:28
Speaker 1: sip of Grahammernier on that right. Wow, that is like
2:34
Speaker 1: a fruity, poisonous pleasure orange conja baby in the morning.
2:41
Speaker 1: It feels like I should light my mouth on fire.
2:45
Speaker 1: And um, someone shouldn't be serving me a flombaide dessert.
2:48
Speaker 1: That's it. We're gonna flom Babies dates. If you don't
2:50
Speaker 1: know what we do in this addition to the podcast,
2:52
Speaker 1: we do the Five the Favorites podcast three times a
2:54
Speaker 1: week Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. The Friday edition is when
2:58
Speaker 1: my friend, my brother black Check, and I go through
3:00
Speaker 1: every NFL game and we have to agree on five
3:03
Speaker 1: games against the spread by the end of the show
3:06
Speaker 1: that we're going to enter into the Westgate Super Contest.
3:09
Speaker 1: This is the biggest NFL pick up contest in the world.
3:13
Speaker 1: If we win the contest, then we win one point
3:15
Speaker 1: four million dollars. Did not start off well for us
3:19
Speaker 1: black Jack. First two weeks were rough. We did not
3:22
Speaker 1: have our legs under us. But last week we brought
3:25
Speaker 1: the Mediterranean spread out. We got a little bit loose
3:28
Speaker 1: with the Armoretto, and we did better. We did better
3:31
Speaker 1: wed a winning week. Listen, the only thing I like
3:34
Speaker 1: better than figs and Muretto are dates and Grand Marnier. Well,
3:38
Speaker 1: then this should be a great week, So let's kick
3:41
Speaker 1: it off. We were three and two last week. Let's
3:44
Speaker 1: not dilly dally. Not to be confused with dilly dilly.
3:50
Speaker 1: You know, if they wanted to come in its week four,
3:53
Speaker 1: let's rod Georgina. Hello, this is Georgina. Welcome to my
3:57
Speaker 1: podcast featuring Million Months and black Jack three and two
4:03
Speaker 1: last week. Way to go, guys, maybe you actually won't
4:06
Speaker 1: finish dead last after all. Wow, Georgina is bringing the sass.
4:14
Speaker 1: She really took her. Took her three weeks to completely
4:17
Speaker 1: co op the podcast and turn us into the fools
4:20
Speaker 1: that we are. All right. Here we go Houston at
4:25
Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts by one. If we can't if we can't
4:31
Speaker 1: lock it, if we can't lock this in, like without
4:38
Speaker 1: even a conversation, I never see you laugh, like like legitimately,
4:45
Speaker 1: Like that's an authentic you authentically laughed right there. What happened?
4:49
Speaker 1: Tell me why you started laughing? Can I get a penn?
4:52
Speaker 1: By the way, because because this is the game that
4:55
Speaker 1: we that everyone in the office all week long has
4:58
Speaker 1: been like, all right, well you guys gonna be on
5:00
Speaker 1: the cults this week. You good luck taking the Colts,
5:03
Speaker 1: and everyone's known that we're gonna take it. It's the
5:05
Speaker 1: first game on the list, and I couldn't like it
5:07
Speaker 1: anymore if I tried. I don't even understand. Here's what's interesting.
5:10
Speaker 1: Get it This game open on Sunday night, the Colts
5:13
Speaker 1: were two and a half point favorites. I saw this
5:16
Speaker 1: and was so convinced that the Colts that the number
5:19
Speaker 1: was gonna go up that I bet the Colt to
5:22
Speaker 1: two and a half. It turns out I'm getting like
5:24
Speaker 1: I like to get the best of the number. We
5:25
Speaker 1: got the worst of it, got so the worst of it.
5:28
Speaker 1: You know. The only thing I can think of is
5:30
Speaker 1: that you know, there are stats out there, and I've
5:32
Speaker 1: seen them that if you're looking at teams that are
5:34
Speaker 1: owing three in Week four against the spread, they're generally
5:38
Speaker 1: um positive units there, and particularly if you're looking at
5:43
Speaker 1: um you know, teams in a situation like Houston. It's
5:46
Speaker 1: a divisional game, but this spread is so damn low
5:49
Speaker 1: that you're essentially saying the Houston Texans are gonna win
5:51
Speaker 1: this game. And they have shown you nothing through three
5:55
Speaker 1: weeks to give you any sort of confidence that they're
5:57
Speaker 1: gonna be the Colts team that really looks half decent.
6:01
Speaker 1: I mean, the Colts hung in there with the Eagles
6:03
Speaker 1: last week, had a chance to win that game. They
6:05
Speaker 1: beat the Redskins, who looked pretty good, and they were
6:08
Speaker 1: in it with the Bengals in Week one in Andrew
6:12
Speaker 1: lux first game back in a year plus, So there's
6:14
Speaker 1: just no reason to take the Houston Texans here. I
6:17
Speaker 1: couldn't agree more with you. Um, we have a product
6:20
Speaker 1: that Action Network called beat Labs. It's an amazing product
6:23
Speaker 1: and like basically you can go through and put in
6:27
Speaker 1: all these scenarios and do all this research, um, every
6:31
Speaker 1: single matchup, and we've got this day to going back,
6:33
Speaker 1: you know, to two thousand three. John Ewing is the
6:36
Speaker 1: guy who runs bat Labs for us. He's always sort
6:39
Speaker 1: of in his little lab. John Ewing pointed out in
6:43
Speaker 1: his story on Action Network the other day that, um,
6:48
Speaker 1: the Houston Texans were getting all the wise guy money
6:50
Speaker 1: and the line was moving that direction, and I slacked him.
6:52
Speaker 1: I'm like John Ewing, I wrote at John Ewing, I
6:56
Speaker 1: don't understand why the Texans are getting all this action
6:59
Speaker 1: and came back to me with all this information and
7:04
Speaker 1: I basically said, fuck you, John Wink. I know, I
7:06
Speaker 1: was really proud of you. I was really proud of you.
7:10
Speaker 1: And you know what he said to me, Let's take
7:13
Speaker 1: this to the side. Action Channel. Yeah, and you said
7:15
Speaker 1: something in there that makes all the sense in the world.
7:18
Speaker 1: You can have all the numbers you want about trends
7:21
Speaker 1: and things like that, and that's great and it's useful information,
7:24
Speaker 1: but at some point, there's just I've watched this team
7:27
Speaker 1: play three weeks and they're not that good. I mean,
7:30
Speaker 1: and you're you're talking about a line that's one. If
7:33
Speaker 1: this were five and a half, I don't think we'd
7:34
Speaker 1: have the same take on it. But at one we're
7:37
Speaker 1: just picking the Colts to take this game. Yeah, yeah,
7:42
Speaker 1: that I've watched these two teams. One looks markedly better
7:45
Speaker 1: than the other one. And oh, by the way, that
7:47
Speaker 1: team happens to be at home. Well, not only is
7:51
Speaker 1: this a pick for me in the super Contest, not
7:53
Speaker 1: only have I already played at at two and a half, Um,
7:57
Speaker 1: I now have the side action channel at the ACT
8:00
Speaker 1: Network is where all of us go to make bets
8:02
Speaker 1: with each other, and now have a bet with John
8:05
Speaker 1: Ewing on the Colts. I don't even know just what
8:11
Speaker 1: else to say. Nothing does a winner Georgie Girl Buffalo
8:17
Speaker 1: at Green Bay Packers by nine and a half. God
8:22
Speaker 1: help me, Well, why do you say that I want
8:27
Speaker 1: nothing to do with this game? I don't either pass
8:30
Speaker 1: passing every way, I don't want Aaron Rodgers on one leg.
8:33
Speaker 1: I don't want that offensive line. I don't want a
8:35
Speaker 1: Vikings tea Bill's team that gets crushed by their Chargers
8:38
Speaker 1: at home and goes on the road and annihilates the Vikings.
8:41
Speaker 1: Nothing to do with it walking away, thank you very much.
8:46
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at Chicago bears By three. Who's playing quarterback
8:53
Speaker 1: for Tampa Bay this weekend? You have to be Ryan Fitzpatrick.
8:59
Speaker 1: You have to ride that unil the wheels come off it,
9:01
Speaker 1: and the wheels will come off it. But I also
9:03
Speaker 1: think it's a good thing for the Buccaneers to send
9:06
Speaker 1: a little bit of a message to Jamis Winston that
9:08
Speaker 1: you don't just get this job back right away, that like, hey,
9:11
Speaker 1: this guy played well, you screwed up yet again, and
9:14
Speaker 1: we're taking out off the field. This guy played well,
9:16
Speaker 1: We're gonna roll with him, and I think they stick
9:19
Speaker 1: with him until he has one of his Ryan Fitzpatrick
9:22
Speaker 1: three interception games, you know, which could be coming. But
9:26
Speaker 1: I think he definitely plays this week. That's great. We're
9:32
Speaker 1: paying you at the Action Network to give me an opinion.
9:36
Speaker 1: You asked me who's playing quarterback for the Buccaneers. I
9:38
Speaker 1: answered your question, are you drunk already. I'm asking you
9:43
Speaker 1: a second, I'm asking a follow up if I may, Okay,
9:46
Speaker 1: then ask the question without editorial what is the presidential
9:49
Speaker 1: news conference? Jim Costa? Can we do it without the
9:52
Speaker 1: editorializing and just ask the question, can you give me
9:55
Speaker 1: an opinion on this game? Like the Buccaneers? I hate
9:58
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. Why the Bears defense is so good they
10:01
Speaker 1: will blow up the Buccaneers. Who have the Buccaneers played
10:04
Speaker 1: on defense so far? The ship the Bears can get pressure.
10:07
Speaker 1: I give you that the Bears have an excellent pass rush,
10:10
Speaker 1: but I think their secondary is susceptible, and the Buccaneers
10:13
Speaker 1: have shown that they have multiple deep threats that can
10:18
Speaker 1: burn teams. There. Who have the Buccaneers played the Philadelphia Eagles.
10:22
Speaker 1: They played the Philadelphia Eagles, whose secondary is markedly better
10:26
Speaker 1: than the Chicago Bears. And you know what Fitzpatrick did.
10:29
Speaker 1: He threw two seventy five yard touchdowns. DeShawn Jackson, Mike Evans,
10:34
Speaker 1: O J. Howard, those guys have all proven to be
10:37
Speaker 1: legit deep threats. With Fitzpatrick. I'm not saying that the
10:40
Speaker 1: Bears can't get pressure. They can, but I think Fitzpatrick
10:43
Speaker 1: is going to score on that secondary. You make excellent points.
10:47
Speaker 1: I forgot about the Philadelphia Thank you. I would like
10:50
Speaker 1: to make this game and maybe fair enough because we
10:54
Speaker 1: also have a story in the Action Network today about
10:57
Speaker 1: how the Bears defense, which is completely stemy, and stifle
11:00
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers offense. And listen, it does worry me too,
11:04
Speaker 1: because the Buccaneers don't even try to run the ball.
11:07
Speaker 1: They don't even attempt it. So yeah, it's it's disconcerting,
11:12
Speaker 1: but I do think that Fitzpatrick can beat that secondary.
11:16
Speaker 1: Are you buying the liquor that you bring to the
11:18
Speaker 1: podcast at like a five and dime? I swear to god,
11:21
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have like a hole in my stomach before
11:23
Speaker 1: the end of the show. It's Grand Marnier. This isn't
11:26
Speaker 1: some knockoff. Listen, I recognize knockoffs. I usually higher knockoffs.
11:33
Speaker 1: I also bought you authentic Italian amaretto. I didn't go
11:37
Speaker 1: Di Sarono. I went authentic Lazzaroni amaretto last week. That's
11:43
Speaker 1: an import, my friend. It really is actually amazingly tasty.
11:46
Speaker 1: Of course, the the orange accent with the dates delightful.
11:51
Speaker 1: Do people do this like if I were to turn
11:53
Speaker 1: the Food network right now, would they be saying a
11:55
Speaker 1: great after dinner appertif his Grand Marnier and some dates.
12:00
Speaker 1: You know what we're doing. We're living life European style. Okay.
12:02
Speaker 1: They live life so much better over there. They're less stressed,
12:05
Speaker 1: they work less, they enjoy life more. That's what we're
12:07
Speaker 1: doing here, Chad. We're working, we're spending quality time with
12:10
Speaker 1: each other, and we're enjoying a lovely spread. You know
12:13
Speaker 1: we're gonna do right now. Work with me on this.
12:17
Speaker 1: We're gonna pull off a dolphin's mid touchdown around high five?
12:23
Speaker 1: What put your hand up, give me five? Thank you.
12:28
Speaker 1: Georgina Movies, Alonge Miami at New England Patriots by six
12:35
Speaker 1: and a half. I want New England. I want nothing
12:39
Speaker 1: to do with New England. Can I tell you something
12:41
Speaker 1: I knew you were going to say that. I was
12:45
Speaker 1: literally getting I was getting ready this morning and I
12:48
Speaker 1: said to myself, I said, you know what, let's not
12:50
Speaker 1: fight over the Patriots. Let's just pass it, move on.
12:53
Speaker 1: But then I said, no, you know what, No, no,
12:55
Speaker 1: don't do it. Don't do it. So I went and
12:58
Speaker 1: I did some research. It is, as you know, I
13:03
Speaker 1: operate off feel. Um, it is how I drive, Um,
13:07
Speaker 1: it's how I live life. And in their last five
13:11
Speaker 1: trips to Foxborough, the Dolphins have lost by an average
13:14
Speaker 1: of sixteen points. Okay, the Patriots have not dropped three
13:18
Speaker 1: games in a row in the last I don't know
13:20
Speaker 1: thousand years. If you look at who the Dolphins have
13:24
Speaker 1: beat their three and oh and and I've been impressed
13:26
Speaker 1: by Tannehill. I think he's looked maybe better than ever.
13:29
Speaker 1: But the Dolphins have beaten the Raiders, the Jets, and
13:33
Speaker 1: the Titans, who are three of the worst five teams
13:35
Speaker 1: in the NFL. Okay, they haven't done anything impressive. They've
13:41
Speaker 1: done what they need to do, what they're supposed to do,
13:43
Speaker 1: which is fine. But now you're going into Foxborough, where
13:47
Speaker 1: the last five years they've lost by an average of
13:48
Speaker 1: sixteen points a game. The Patriots are off two losses
13:53
Speaker 1: straight up in a row. This has every possible making
14:00
Speaker 1: of a blowout. I don't know if it's the Grand
14:02
Speaker 1: Marnier talking, Oh am I going to get it? Am
14:06
Speaker 1: I going to get the Patriot? I kind of want
14:08
Speaker 1: to do it. Yes, yes, And it's only six and
14:11
Speaker 1: a half here, right, And that's that's why honestly would not.
14:15
Speaker 1: It's not because of your analysis. Um, it's because of
14:22
Speaker 1: the It's because of the half point six and a
14:25
Speaker 1: half feels like it could be something that feels right. Yeah,
14:31
Speaker 1: it feels like something we can take advantage of. It's
14:33
Speaker 1: going to be a close game, a tight game. All
14:36
Speaker 1: right here. I hate it, but I'm gonna do it.
14:42
Speaker 1: We're at Dallas Cowboys by three. You want to talk
14:46
Speaker 1: about a game. I hate this game right here. Um,
14:50
Speaker 1: with this game, I feel like it's just so uncomfortably priced.
14:54
Speaker 1: We're talking about the Cowboys and Alliance. Um, what's really
14:58
Speaker 1: interesting to me? And by Scoochy bookmaker to the world,
15:01
Speaker 1: And I talked about this in the podcast on Wednesday.
15:05
Speaker 1: The Cowboys have all of a sudden become a team
15:08
Speaker 1: that four years was the public team. They are no
15:12
Speaker 1: longer a public team. In fact, like as of Wednesday,
15:15
Speaker 1: they were getting the fewest bets of any team on
15:18
Speaker 1: the board. And if I looked at the Action Network
15:20
Speaker 1: podcast Action Network app right now, where I can see
15:23
Speaker 1: the volume of bets coming in and every single game, Um,
15:27
Speaker 1: I'm going to see right now, hold on, let me see,
15:30
Speaker 1: let me see. Uh, that's terribly rude. Put your phone away,
15:35
Speaker 1: so he's on the up. Go download the obits free.
15:38
Speaker 1: But that was it's how does she know she's so good?
15:44
Speaker 1: She's the best? This bet? This game still has some
15:47
Speaker 1: of the fewest bets literally literally the fewest bets of
15:49
Speaker 1: any game on the board. The Cowboys have the fewest
15:52
Speaker 1: bets of any game on the board. Scooch and I
15:54
Speaker 1: talked about how this is gonna be a corner TV game,
15:56
Speaker 1: meaning like like you put it on the corner because
15:58
Speaker 1: nobody's freaking betting. I mean, is there an outcome in
16:01
Speaker 1: this game that would surprise you, because there's really not
16:03
Speaker 1: from I'll tell you the outcome that's gonna surprise me,
16:07
Speaker 1: not the outcome that's not going to surprise me. We're passing. Agreed,
16:12
Speaker 1: we'll get to our next pick in a second. First,
16:14
Speaker 1: I want to talk to you about Hello Fresh. Anyone
16:16
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16:19
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16:22
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17:30
Speaker 1: let's get on with the show. Cincinnati at Atlanta Falcons
17:35
Speaker 1: by five. Still like the Bengals. I love the Bengals
17:40
Speaker 1: and their orange helmets as much as I love orange
17:44
Speaker 1: flavored Grand Marnier. This week, this week, this week, this week,
17:49
Speaker 1: this alright, I kind of like him to I'm not
17:53
Speaker 1: I'm not sold on this yet, tell me, tell me
17:55
Speaker 1: why the Falcons defense is in trouble? Brother, Yeah, Like
18:01
Speaker 1: they lost another Ricardo Allen this week. They lost another
18:05
Speaker 1: defensive back this week. Keanuneil is out, Dian Jones is out.
18:09
Speaker 1: Like they are getting as we like to say in
18:13
Speaker 1: the dessert business, flambade right, the Saints industry term. The
18:18
Speaker 1: Saints just lit them up the week after the Panthers
18:22
Speaker 1: just lit them up. And obviously Andy Dalton is no
18:27
Speaker 1: Drew Brees, Giovanni Bernard is no Alvin Kamara. But who
18:32
Speaker 1: do they have that can play defense? Right now? Why
18:35
Speaker 1: are you looking at your phone? Because I I did
18:37
Speaker 1: research on this game as well, um, because I kind
18:40
Speaker 1: of like Cincinnati also. And here's what scares me about
18:43
Speaker 1: the Falcons. The Falcons go in without their left guard,
18:46
Speaker 1: both starting safeties, and middle linebacker DeVante Freeman's not playing.
18:51
Speaker 1: But you looked at like you look at the Falcons
18:54
Speaker 1: last week against the Saints. They put a ton of
18:55
Speaker 1: points on the board. So maybe you think, all right,
18:57
Speaker 1: well the Falcons can score, maybe they want to shoot out,
18:59
Speaker 1: but their offensive line is twenty six in past blocking efficiency.
19:05
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan was excellent when he had a clean pocket.
19:08
Speaker 1: When he had pressure, he was awful. The Bengals defense
19:12
Speaker 1: can get pressure. I mean, there's there's no doubt about it.
19:14
Speaker 1: They can get pressure. I think they do. It wouldn't
19:18
Speaker 1: shock me if Cincinnati won this game. What does it
19:21
Speaker 1: say that every single week we are all in on
19:24
Speaker 1: the Bengals and the Colts. Does that mean that we're
19:29
Speaker 1: Please don't take Andy Dalton again. I really can't take it.
19:35
Speaker 1: It's like Gina is studying our habits. Really is really is?
19:40
Speaker 1: Who is that movie with Scarlett Johansson where like the Robot,
19:44
Speaker 1: she plays the robot that I think it's Joaquin Phoenix. Yeah,
19:49
Speaker 1: he falls in love with his like Georgina is the
19:52
Speaker 1: her and where Joaquin Phoenix. We're in love with Georgina,
19:56
Speaker 1: but she's also in love with Georgina. She's also like
19:59
Speaker 1: in our ads and dictating what our decision should be. Well,
20:04
Speaker 1: then we have to throw her a curveball because we
20:06
Speaker 1: can't allow her to do that. So we have to
20:08
Speaker 1: take the banks. We have to reclaim control. We gotta
20:11
Speaker 1: take the Bengals again. Here's why I think we're doing this.
20:14
Speaker 1: By the way, I think we're sharp and I think
20:18
Speaker 1: the bookmakers tend to shade against the Colts and the Bengals.
20:24
Speaker 1: I agree. We got two games going. We got oh
20:29
Speaker 1: my god, we do no surprise. We got the Colts
20:32
Speaker 1: minus one against Houston. We got the Patriots Jesus Christ
20:36
Speaker 1: minus six and a half over the Dolphins. I cannot
20:39
Speaker 1: believe we agree to that. I might want to throw
20:40
Speaker 1: a challenge flag on that. And we got the Bengals
20:42
Speaker 1: plus five against the foul kinds. Georgina New York Jets
20:50
Speaker 1: at Jacksonville Jags by seven and a half. No, thank you,
20:56
Speaker 1: Regina Philadelphia at Tennessee Philadelphia by four. Yes, please, h
21:04
Speaker 1: don't give me that look. Don't tap your cup, don't
21:07
Speaker 1: even pass go. You don't even know what I'm gonna say.
21:09
Speaker 1: You're gonna say if you say anything other than of
21:12
Speaker 1: course we're playing the Titans, because who whoa, whoa whoa whoa. No,
21:17
Speaker 1: we are not no, no, no, no, no no no.
21:20
Speaker 1: Someone go get the tape from from week two of
21:23
Speaker 1: this podcast, when we agreed that if the Tennessee Titans
21:27
Speaker 1: screwed us one more time, we were avoiding them, that
21:31
Speaker 1: you promised that, you promised it. Won't listen to you.
21:35
Speaker 1: We are not doing it, No do it. No, We're not.
21:38
Speaker 1: I Am never again. Listen, Chad, they fucked us in
21:42
Speaker 1: the first two weeks of this hard think about it.
21:51
Speaker 1: We took the Miami Dolphins I mean we took them
21:54
Speaker 1: against the Dolphins in Week one, they lose with Mariota
21:57
Speaker 1: going out with his mysterious ailments and blame Gabbert comes in.
22:01
Speaker 1: Then in week two, we take the Houston Texans against
22:05
Speaker 1: the Titans, and what happens. What happens, Chad? The Titans
22:09
Speaker 1: come out and get a win to win the game.
22:15
Speaker 1: This team, we can't do it. This team is trash.
22:18
Speaker 1: They're unpredictable. You don't know what you want to take
22:21
Speaker 1: them against. Carson Wentz and the Eagles. Carson Wentz? Did
22:25
Speaker 1: you see how good he looked at his first game
22:27
Speaker 1: back against our colts? And now you want to roll
22:31
Speaker 1: with the Tennessee Titans against that Eagles defense? How are
22:35
Speaker 1: they scoring on the Eagles? Chad? How? I'll tell you what.
22:46
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what. I'll tell you what. Let's just
22:50
Speaker 1: say this is Blackjack Week. Okay, I'm giving you the Patriots.
22:56
Speaker 1: I'm giving you not the Titans. Thank you, you already
22:59
Speaker 1: promised it. But Here's what I'm telling you. Look at me.
23:02
Speaker 1: If I can't trust you, our relationship is gonna have problems.
23:04
Speaker 1: Look at me. I'm looking at you. Okay, telling telling
23:09
Speaker 1: you right now. No me, I'm vulnerable right now. Yeah,
23:12
Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now. A home dog with the
23:18
Speaker 1: road favorite getting a ridiculous amount of the money. That
23:22
Speaker 1: is a recipe for winning a game. Okay, I'm just
23:27
Speaker 1: telling you, chy To, I agree with you in certain
23:35
Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now, if you look back on history,
23:39
Speaker 1: dogs getting so little money, that is the game you
23:46
Speaker 1: wanna play. We're not playing it all right. I hate
23:59
Speaker 1: the Titans. I love Tennessee, but I hate the titles.
24:02
Speaker 1: We're playing this next one though, Cleveland and Oakland, Oakland
24:07
Speaker 1: by two and a half. Bacon Mayfield, he sounds episode
24:11
Speaker 1: British picking black Jack. You fucking picked Baker Mayfield on
24:16
Speaker 1: this black Jack, and our relationship is over. You don't
24:18
Speaker 1: really pay a lot of attention to what goes on
24:20
Speaker 1: at your own company, do you? Did you pick him?
24:25
Speaker 1: I released a goddamn video in front of a green
24:27
Speaker 1: screen yesterday afternoon, taking them on the money line. You
24:32
Speaker 1: know what, I remember that I actually saw it this
24:34
Speaker 1: morning on the Twitter and I liked it or I
24:36
Speaker 1: retweeted it one of those things we didn't. Yeah, I
24:40
Speaker 1: did go check my timeline. It was good. It's a
24:42
Speaker 1: good video. I love those green screen videos. You I think,
24:45
Speaker 1: what do we call them? Where? Where's the where's the action?
24:47
Speaker 1: Where's the action? Again? On top of everything going on
24:49
Speaker 1: at the company? Listen, I filmed it fifteen feet away
24:54
Speaker 1: from where you sit. I think I saw you, and
24:56
Speaker 1: I'm pretty loud you know I chugged a bottle a
25:00
Speaker 1: cheap champagne to do that video for you. Well, I'm
25:03
Speaker 1: not sure you did it for me, and I'm not
25:04
Speaker 1: sure you needed the encouragement I didn't. Listen. We have
25:08
Speaker 1: a person who shall remain nameless at the Action Network
25:12
Speaker 1: who I sent out and I said, get me a
25:14
Speaker 1: bottle of champagne for this video. He comes back with
25:17
Speaker 1: a warm bottle of seven dollar persecco. It sounds like
25:21
Speaker 1: something Connor Davidson would do. Was it? Connor Davidson was sure?
25:26
Speaker 1: Was Connor davids is amazing? The wheels have fallen off
25:31
Speaker 1: that kid in a hurry. He had potential? Did then
25:35
Speaker 1: then we hired him? So according to you, in a
25:37
Speaker 1: video you may or may not have done on a
25:40
Speaker 1: definitely did on a at a media company that I
25:43
Speaker 1: may or may not have influence at you. I've already
25:48
Speaker 1: chosen the Cleveland Browns, which is disappointing because I think
25:52
Speaker 1: Oakland's a right side here. I've got a really good
25:54
Speaker 1: reason and it has nothing to do with with Baker Mayfield,
25:58
Speaker 1: the Lord of Cornwall. It has everything to do with
26:01
Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns defense. Okay, the Raiders went up against Miami,
26:06
Speaker 1: whose defense is is okay, They've played well, and the
26:10
Speaker 1: Raiders couldn't get the job done there. They got totally
26:13
Speaker 1: stymied in the second half against the l A Rams.
26:16
Speaker 1: Cleveland's defense is really good. It's the one thing I
26:20
Speaker 1: think everyone can agree on about the Browns. It's really
26:23
Speaker 1: really good. They can get pressure up front. The secondary
26:26
Speaker 1: has been fantastic and creating turnovers. I don't think the
26:30
Speaker 1: Raiders are going to be able to do much against
26:33
Speaker 1: the Browns defense and Mayfield. Look, if you want to
26:35
Speaker 1: talk about Mayfield, he looked outstanding. Certainly some of that
26:39
Speaker 1: is the Jets warrant. I'm sure totally prepared for him.
26:42
Speaker 1: It was kind of a moment that he came into
26:45
Speaker 1: and he did really well. But you know, he looks
26:49
Speaker 1: competent back there, man, I mean he does. He looks accurate,
26:53
Speaker 1: he looks comfortable throwing on the run. I think that
26:57
Speaker 1: defense is enough to carry them past the Raiders. The
26:59
Speaker 1: Raiders are a mess. Here's the difference between you and me.
27:04
Speaker 1: Six inches, one of many differences between you and me.
27:13
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna take it low hanging. It's a low
27:17
Speaker 1: hanging date. Um. The difference is the difference between you
27:25
Speaker 1: hang and you and me is you look at every
27:28
Speaker 1: game in a vacuum. I look at the numbers you like.
27:33
Speaker 1: The Brown's defense has been incredible all three games, and
27:37
Speaker 1: they're coming off ten days rest. You get ten days
27:40
Speaker 1: between games. I've got the home team by less than
27:47
Speaker 1: field goal in a matchup in which I basically think
27:51
Speaker 1: they are evenly matched. Do you think they're even you
27:56
Speaker 1: think that Raiders defense, what I said, is anywhere close
27:59
Speaker 1: to the Cleveland ends. I think these are two teams
28:03
Speaker 1: that are okay. I will agree with that, but they're
28:07
Speaker 1: okay in very different ways. It's not a great matchup
28:10
Speaker 1: for Oakland. Oakland's defense is not very good and their
28:16
Speaker 1: offense has been efficient, but hasn't been able to score. Listen.
28:21
Speaker 1: This is the black Jack Gets What He Wants episode
28:24
Speaker 1: sponsored by Hello Fresh. So I am going to give
28:27
Speaker 1: this to you, even though I will tell you the
28:30
Speaker 1: bets I have made so far. Maybe because it's Cleveland.
28:33
Speaker 1: It is Cleveland. Now you're backtracking. Oh my god, I've
28:39
Speaker 1: never now I have heard you like. The podcast is
28:42
Speaker 1: gonna end in about four minutes if we do this.
28:44
Speaker 1: I've heard you authentically laugh, and now I've heard you
28:47
Speaker 1: lack confidence. I'm trying to get a program out of this.
28:49
Speaker 1: I'm giving it to you. This thing is gonna end.
28:52
Speaker 1: Well some people might appreciate that. Well, not really, Chad,
28:56
Speaker 1: because if they do, then they're not listening. Georgina Seattle
28:59
Speaker 1: at Arizona Seahawks by three. This game makes me throw
29:03
Speaker 1: up in my mouth. Moving on New Orleans and New
29:08
Speaker 1: York Giants Saints by three and a half. I mean,
29:12
Speaker 1: the Giants are clearly the right side here. I will
29:14
Speaker 1: never bet them again. Oh so you won't put the
29:16
Speaker 1: Giants again, but you'll jump on the Tennessee Titans bandwagon.
29:22
Speaker 1: How many games? How many games do we have so far? Four?
29:26
Speaker 1: Including the Browns. Alright, let's put the Giants on here,
29:31
Speaker 1: and you like the Giants? I do. I do too.
29:34
Speaker 1: I think it's the right side. Chad Wheeler, Baby, Chad Wheeler, seriously,
29:38
Speaker 1: Chad Wheeler. By the way, Jeff Schwartz had a great
29:41
Speaker 1: tweet today, Chad Wheeler says. Jeff Schwartz pointed out that
29:47
Speaker 1: he was the lowest rated offensive lineman by Pro Football
29:50
Speaker 1: Focus last week. Gave up three sacks to j. J. Watt,
29:54
Speaker 1: but the Giants won, So all of a sudden, Chad
29:57
Speaker 1: Wheeler is better than Eric Flower. Hold on, hold all right,
30:00
Speaker 1: and seeing now we need to talk about this. Did
30:03
Speaker 1: you watch that game entirely or did you watch it
30:05
Speaker 1: on red zone? I don't. I watched when it was
30:08
Speaker 1: on red zone. I turned my back, all right, I
30:10
Speaker 1: watched all of it. And in the first half the Giants.
30:16
Speaker 1: The difference in the Giants offensive line was noticeable. They
30:19
Speaker 1: gave Eli Manning extra time and he completed passes with ease.
30:24
Speaker 1: It was one of the most effective games he's ever
30:26
Speaker 1: had in his career. Over eighty percent completion in that game.
30:29
Speaker 1: And that's with j. J. Watt getting his three sacks
30:32
Speaker 1: in the second half. Okay, Chad Wheeler, first of all,
30:35
Speaker 1: he's a big son of a bitch. He is tall,
30:38
Speaker 1: flowing mane of hair. Uh and he was way better
30:44
Speaker 1: than Eric Flowers. Eric Flowers was a revolving door. He
30:48
Speaker 1: was better. I'm not saying he was great. But if
30:51
Speaker 1: Chad Wheeler was the worst rated offensive lineman last week,
30:54
Speaker 1: what in the hell does that say about Eric Flowers?
30:57
Speaker 1: Listen and with you on the Giants. I'm just glad
31:00
Speaker 1: Wheeler played well because I was worried they were gonna
31:02
Speaker 1: call Schwartz to get him back out. Why why are
31:04
Speaker 1: you checking your watch? You want to look at it's
31:08
Speaker 1: it's slack notifications. Maybe if you check them more often,
31:10
Speaker 1: you know what's going on at work. We're taking the Giants,
31:16
Speaker 1: So now we have five games, but there's more said.
31:19
Speaker 1: Maybe let's go through the rest of them. Let's be thorough.
31:21
Speaker 1: Can we make the Browns? And maybe? Yes? I that's
31:24
Speaker 1: my suggestion. When did you start working at the Action Network?
31:28
Speaker 1: Is today the first day? Are you drunk already? What
31:32
Speaker 1: are you even talking about? Georgina San Francisco at Los
31:38
Speaker 1: Angeles charges Los Angeles by ten, that's crazy talk. It
31:45
Speaker 1: is crazy. Georgina knows it's crazy talk. Here's the problem.
31:49
Speaker 1: There's nothing to like about. There's nothing to like about this, Like,
31:52
Speaker 1: clearly the Niners gonna have a quarterback. Oh C J. Bethard,
31:56
Speaker 1: come on, see you later. How much do they wish
32:00
Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater was still available? Honest to God? Right, nothing
32:04
Speaker 1: to say there. Yeah, this game stinks. Yea high heaven.
32:09
Speaker 1: Georgina Baltimore at Pittsburgh Steelers by three. No advantage, nobody's
32:15
Speaker 1: got any advantage here. Yeah. We've both been on the
32:20
Speaker 1: Steelers in different weeks of this season, both been disappointed
32:23
Speaker 1: by them. Steeler's offense is definitely better than Baltimore. Baltimore's
32:28
Speaker 1: defense is better. The line is three, which is probably
32:30
Speaker 1: right where it should be. No interest where value players,
32:34
Speaker 1: my friend interest you. But we got a conversation coming up. Yeah,
32:37
Speaker 1: I think we do. Denver at Kansas City Chiefs by five.
32:43
Speaker 1: Did you know Kansas City isn't even in Kansas? What
32:46
Speaker 1: a country? All right? I'm not going to sit here
32:49
Speaker 1: idly by and allowed Georgina to take shots at the
32:54
Speaker 1: United States of America. This is our country. We love
32:58
Speaker 1: it dearly. I'm not gonna have it, Georgina. I love you,
33:02
Speaker 1: I love my country more. I will say, Kansas City,
33:06
Speaker 1: great town, really good barbecue, really good music, way better
33:12
Speaker 1: than St. Louis. Right. Well, here's the thing. My whole
33:16
Speaker 1: family is from Chicago. I threw that softball right over
33:21
Speaker 1: the middle for you. I'm from Chicago. The problem is
33:24
Speaker 1: that my mom grew up in St. Louis, so my
33:27
Speaker 1: grandparents grew up We're in St. Louis. So every year
33:30
Speaker 1: for spring break I would go to St. Louis to
33:33
Speaker 1: visit my grandparents. And you can like your grandparents and
33:36
Speaker 1: hate St. Louis, right, Okay, otherwise you wouldn't be allowed
33:42
Speaker 1: back in Chicago. I think Kansas City might be a
33:44
Speaker 1: better town in St. Louis. There it is, That's all
33:46
Speaker 1: I wanted in this game. However, I don't think Kansas
33:50
Speaker 1: City is the right side. Agreed. There we go. Let
33:55
Speaker 1: me tell you something. I just I have to get
33:57
Speaker 1: this off my chest because the people who it's times
34:01
Speaker 1: like this when I really I hate the Internet because
34:06
Speaker 1: I go on Twitter, and you know, I'm very active
34:08
Speaker 1: on on Twitter, and I have bet against the Kansas
34:12
Speaker 1: City Chiefs the last two weeks, and uh, the Chiefs
34:16
Speaker 1: have lit the scoreboard up and covered bill spreads, um
34:21
Speaker 1: and people just want to jump on me and say,
34:23
Speaker 1: why why do you hate Pat Mahomes, Why why aren't
34:26
Speaker 1: you on board with him? Well, I'm not on board
34:29
Speaker 1: because I don't think he's throwing six thousand yards and
34:31
Speaker 1: eight touchdowns. I mean, like, I just don't know what
34:35
Speaker 1: people are thinking. He's had a great start to the season, unbelievable,
34:41
Speaker 1: but at some point it's coming back to earth. It
34:43
Speaker 1: just is. So I'd like to be on the other
34:47
Speaker 1: team the week it does. Also, in case you guys
34:50
Speaker 1: haven't noticed, when you're watching Pat Mahomes throw all these touchdowns,
34:54
Speaker 1: their defense stinks. It's awful. They're in shootouts every a
35:00
Speaker 1: week and should be on their hands and knees thanking
35:03
Speaker 1: the good Lord that Patrick Mahomes is thrown for fourteen
35:06
Speaker 1: touchdowns because they need every one of them. These are
35:11
Speaker 1: your options right now with the Kansas City Chiefs. You
35:15
Speaker 1: know that bookmakers are inflating the line for the Chiefs,
35:21
Speaker 1: and so if you're going to play a Chiefs game,
35:26
Speaker 1: you have to play the other side because that is
35:29
Speaker 1: where the value is going to be. If you don't,
35:30
Speaker 1: if listen, if you don't want to like, if you're
35:33
Speaker 1: too invested in the Chiefs, just pass. But to me,
35:37
Speaker 1: the right side, here's Denver. Absolutely Denver, alright. I mean
35:43
Speaker 1: this game is is Denver's defense is is going to
35:47
Speaker 1: be able to get pressure without having to pull these
35:50
Speaker 1: these these stunts that other teams have to pull. I
35:53
Speaker 1: mean that they're just going to do it. Also, this
35:56
Speaker 1: game is in Denver, Okay. That is a tough place
35:59
Speaker 1: to play. I would say it's one of the four
36:02
Speaker 1: toughest stadiums in the NFL to travel to. Can we
36:07
Speaker 1: review because we got a decision to make. We are
36:10
Speaker 1: on the Colts minus one over the Houston Texans. We
36:14
Speaker 1: are on the Patriots Jesus Christ minus six and a
36:17
Speaker 1: half over the Miami Dolphins. We are on the Bengals
36:20
Speaker 1: plus five against the Falcons, and we are on the
36:22
Speaker 1: Broncos plus five at home against the Chiefs. We have
36:25
Speaker 1: two Maybies on the board. We have Cleveland and Oakland,
36:28
Speaker 1: uh Cleveland plus two and a half, and we have
36:31
Speaker 1: the Giants plus three and a half against the Saints.
36:34
Speaker 1: To me, it's a no brainer, Like there's two things
36:36
Speaker 1: going on here. I just want to say we're fucked
36:38
Speaker 1: either way because we're either taking the Cleveland Browns on
36:42
Speaker 1: the road or We're taking the New York Giants against
36:47
Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints. So either way we're going with
36:51
Speaker 1: the Gins. This game is gonna shaft us. I would
36:53
Speaker 1: lean that way as all. Right. Here we go. That's it,
36:55
Speaker 1: that is done. This is our three out of four weeks.
36:58
Speaker 1: We're on the Giant this and the Colts and the Bengals.
37:03
Speaker 1: And people wonder why we're like below what the Colts
37:07
Speaker 1: and the Bengals have cashed for us the Giants haven't.
37:12
Speaker 1: It's true. Here we go, people, this is our final roundup. Ks.
37:17
Speaker 1: We got the Denver Broncos plus five against the Kansas
37:20
Speaker 1: City Chiefs. We got the New York Giants plus three
37:23
Speaker 1: and a half against the New Orleans Saints. We have
37:27
Speaker 1: the Indianapolis Colts minus one against the Houston Texans. We
37:33
Speaker 1: have the New England Patriots minus six and a half
37:36
Speaker 1: against the Miami Dolphins. And we have the Cincinnati Bengals
37:38
Speaker 1: plus five. You know what the crazy thing is, we
37:42
Speaker 1: just took the Giants. Both of us agreed that was
37:45
Speaker 1: the better pick. We both have New Orleans Saints super
37:48
Speaker 1: Bowl futures. Yea yeah, And I tells you what you're
37:52
Speaker 1: dealing with here. I have a Houston, Texans. I told
37:55
Speaker 1: you that was a mistake. It turns out you maybe right.
38:00
Speaker 1: This is something, it's something you're not you, but you
38:04
Speaker 1: never know. Like each week you got to look at
38:06
Speaker 1: the numbers. I'm with you. I think I think the
38:08
Speaker 1: Giant Saints game is probably going to be a shootout,
38:10
Speaker 1: and I think that's the right side. I think this
38:12
Speaker 1: is the week you see Beckham like, just go off.
38:14
Speaker 1: I think he scores two touchdowns, gets like a hundred
38:16
Speaker 1: and thirty five yards. I'm with your brother. Here we go.
38:19
Speaker 1: This has been the favorite podcast, this Super Contest edition.
38:23
Speaker 1: I am Schad Millan from the Action Network. We were
38:26
Speaker 1: joined by my best friend in the world, black Jack Fletcher.
38:29
Speaker 1: We have shows every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Check out
38:32
Speaker 1: our website Action network dot Com. Go to our app,
38:36
Speaker 1: the Action Network app from black Jack from me, thanks
38:41
Speaker 1: for joining us. See you on Monday when I'll be
38:44
Speaker 1: with Jeff Schwartz and Paul Laduka will be recapping the
38:47
Speaker 1: weekend and looking ahead to week two with our nine
38:50
Speaker 1: teen dollar parlay. Until next time. Three