Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 237 - 3/14/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 237 - 3/14/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 237 of the All Systems Go sports
0:26
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:29
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Friday. The work week is coming to an
0:40
end. We got a huge weekend of
0:42
conference tournaments ahead of us, but we got some work to do
0:45
on a Friday before we finish up our work week.
0:48
And believe it or not, we're already halfway through March.
0:50
Time is flying by, but pretty soon we'll be filling out
0:53
brackets, getting down on MLB. So it's a great time of year to
0:56
get right back to it and do what we love to do, which is bet on
0:59
sports from a data-driven perspective.
1:02
So for today guys, I have another 3 pack of college
1:04
basketball sweats for you. Another huge day of conference
1:07
tournament. So if it ain't broke, don't fix
1:09
it. We have about 40 games to choose
1:11
from, and I found three matchups here that are quasi under the
1:14
radar. Not the biggest games of the
1:16
day, but really the sharpest line moves that fit our system.
1:20
So as always, 3 pack, let's try to go 2 and 1.
1:22
Eek out a winning day. Now I buried the lead because
1:26
last night, bust out the brooms. We got after it.
1:30
You love to see it guys. A three and O sweep.
1:32
I think it's important, as always, to set realistic
1:35
expectations. You got 3 bets, Let's try to go
1:37
2:00 and 1:00. But that just makes it that much
1:40
sweeter. Excuse me, when you're able to
1:43
bust out the brooms and have a winning day like that.
1:46
Three and O + 2.22 units. So we had a great hit early to
1:50
start the day. It was a sweat and 1/2 with
1:52
Marquette. And This is why we always look
1:54
to money line short favorites because if you guys saw what
1:57
happened in that game, I'm I'm sure you saw it, but Marquette
2:00
ended up winning by two. And this is what we always talk
2:03
about on the pod. Money lining short favorites,
2:05
paying more juice, drinking the juice to protect yourself
2:08
because Marquette was up five with basically no time left.
2:12
A meaningless and I mean meaningless 3 it always comes to
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mind when Al Michaels something happens like in a football game,
2:18
a backdoor cover and he would always say like oh meaningless
2:22
for most but not for not for some very meaningful for some
2:26
but there was a three pointer basically from half court
2:29
meaningless bucket which made it a Marquette win by two instead
2:33
of five. This is so this is exactly why
2:36
we pay the extra juice to money line short favorites.
2:38
Because imagine if we were -2 1/2 with Marquette and lost
2:42
because that meaningless 3 again money line.
2:44
We got the win, which is all that matters.
2:46
Also, Boise State came through for the team.
2:48
A bit of a fade the trendy dog because the public was leaning
2:52
with San Diego State, yet that line moved to Boise.
2:54
So Boise really turned it on in the second-half.
2:56
Came through for the team and then late night Arizona getting
2:59
it done, kind of a classic steam move in their favor and Zona was
3:03
able to get that win kind of pulled away late from Kansas.
3:06
So Marquette, Boise, Zona 3 and O day plus 2.22 units.
3:11
We're going to put those wins in our pocket, add to our bankroll,
3:14
reinvest it today. Hope to end the week off on a
3:18
hot note. Now before we dive in our
3:20
sweatswirt today, I just want to continue to mention odds logic
3:23
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3:26
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3:40
if you're betting on sports. You got to know what the line
3:42
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3:45
for the best line, getting the best prices, and I am now happy
3:49
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3:51
got a coupon code for you guys. You were always able to sign up
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But now I have a coupon code where you can get 50% off your
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4:05
So it's usually 99 bucks a month.
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Again, now it'll be basically, you know, 50 bucks a month, a
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little bit less than that 49, whatever.
4:12
And you may seem may say yourself, oh, that's kind of
4:14
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terms of the 99 bucks and again, half off the first month, but
4:21
there are a lot of live odds pages out there that are 249 a
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4:28
way too much. So 99 half off your first month.
4:32
It's a great opportunity and a great time with conference
4:34
tournaments and March Madness to and again, even if you just love
4:38
March Madness, maybe you're not an MLB guy.
4:40
I am. I can't wait to bet MLB
4:41
everyday. But maybe you just want to try
4:43
it for a month and and get, you know, full coverage so you can
4:46
pick off the best numbers from March Madness.
4:48
That's OK too, but I tweeted about it earlier today at Josh
4:51
under score Insights. In order to take advantage of
4:54
this promo, you got to do 2 things.
4:56
One, you're going to go to oddslogic.com/josh 123 and then
5:00
when you get to the sign up code, you're going to plug in,
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there should be a coupon code field plug in Josh 123.
5:06
So that'll give you your 50% off for your first month.
5:09
But any questions, as always, you can always just DM me at
5:12
Josh under score Insights, send me a direct message.
5:15
I'll get you linked up with that code as well as that promo link.
5:20
So with that being said, after a three and O night last night,
5:23
who's excited to get right back into it and hopefully have a
5:26
winning day for it today? Me, me, me raising my hand.
5:29
So without further ado, let's get back to these conference
5:32
tournaments now. First one on the board for me,
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two O clock game early game here we got Grambling State and
5:38
Alabama State. This is the SWAC tournament
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semifinals and I have a play here for you.
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And it's also an interesting added game, extra game, tiny
5:46
little game, but with some good, good movement here in terms of a
5:50
juiced up number and some numbers even moving up.
5:53
So that's important as always. Well, let's set the stage.
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I'll give you the play now. Grambling State comes in 12 and
5:59
21 on the year. They're the eighth seed.
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They just outlasted Southern 65 to 62 in overtime in the
6:05
quarterfinals. They won that game outright as a
6:08
six point neutral sight dog. Meanwhile, Alabama State 17 and
6:11
15 on the year, they're the five seed, just beat Texas Southern
6:15
84 to 79 in the quarterfinals. They went out right as a one
6:19
point neutral site dog. So what are we seeing across the
6:21
market here? Well, it's not a massive steam
6:24
move, but if you really pay attention to the juice, pretty
6:27
clear the liability is on the chalk.
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Alabama State because Alabama State open -2 1/2 -, 110.
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You know, pretty much standard juice at most shops.
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Now Alabama State is getting juiced up -2 1/2 -, 115.
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I see one book -120 I see one book that is actually moving up
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to -3 So pay attention to the juice.
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It's not just the tax, the vague, the Commission we got to
6:50
pay to the book for them to accept our bet.
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But it also lets us know which way the wind is blowing, the
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next possible move, the liability.
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Think of it this way. You want to play Alabama State,
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you got to you got to go -2 1/2 -, 115.
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You want to go Grambling, you can get plus 2 1/2 at like -1 O
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5 S. The more expensive side is
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Alabama State cuz it looks like that's the side that's taking in
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the smart money now, DraftKings 75% of spread bets, 89% of
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spread dollars are going with Alabama State.
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And this bet split. I like it cuz it's low bets,
7:22
higher dollars. But you might also say, Josh,
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are we taking a team getting 75% of spread bets?
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Yes. But remember, even though that's
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a clear majority of tickets, this is an added game, extra
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game. There are tons of big games
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today. There's a small one afternoon
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kind of catches up, you know, kind of creeps up on you.
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But it's game 306-521-3065 to two set tells me even though
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it's one of the most low bet games of the day, not a ton of
7:47
public interest based on the juice and the bet splits.
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Looks like they're really leaning hard.
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The wise guys who have targeted this game on Alabama State.
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Now, Ken Palm is Alabama State winning by three.
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So in that case, you could lay a 2 1/2, hope they win by three
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and you cover. But let's protect ourselves
8:03
because we saw what happened with Marquette yesterday.
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What if Alabama State is up five and the guy on Grambling hits up
8:10
the three pointer there to make it a 2 point win.
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We don't want that. So I money lined Alabama State.
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I got them at -140 not a very expensive price and also some
8:20
distinct advantages here. If you look at Alabama State,
8:23
one that jumped out to me. And by the way, Alabama State a
8:28
really good money line split 78% of bets, 88% of money line
8:32
dollars. So further evidence of the
8:34
bigger, sharper wagers going Alabama State to win the game.
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But in terms of the stat advantages, first one that
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jumped out to me, better offensive efficiency, 255 in the
8:44
country versus 346 for Grambling.
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Hopefully a big edge on the offensive boards, 28% versus
8:51
26%. And also big advantage here.
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Alabama State takes way better care of the ball.
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They're actually 7th best in the country at not turning it over.
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And Grambling ranks 3 O 9th. They turn it over quite a bit.
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Also, Alabama has the better scoring offense, 74 points a
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game versus 67. And they grab more rebounds a
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game, 36 versus 34. Also kind of a a little angle
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here in favor of Alabama State. Little bit of a rest versus
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tired. Now, if you'll get Alabama
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State, yes, they played yesterday, so they're on the
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second leg of a back-to-back, but this is just their second
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game in four days. Grambling is playing their third
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game in four days. So kind of a kind of a tough,
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you know, spot here for Grambling State.
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Playing a lot of hoops here over the last four days.
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Hopefully that's an advantage toward Alabama State.
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Now our friends at Rhythm have Alabama State -2.1, so again,
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not a huge edge on the 2 1/2, but further evidence of some
9:45
smart AI models predicting an Alabama State win.
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That's all we care about. We're on the money line.
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And then I popped open my Juice Reel app and I noticed a really
9:53
good sharp mush edge on Alabama State. 33% sharp mush edge.
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That means that everyone who has a Juice Reel app who has synced
10:01
up their sports books bet this game.
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This is real money and real percentages. 33% more of the
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better winning betters on Alabama State as opposed to the
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losing betters who are leaning more toward Grambling.
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So you add it all up here guys. It's an early game kind of under
10:16
the radar, but we got a clear juiced up side.
10:18
Alabama State. We have Ken Palm with a
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three-point win, rhythm with a 2 point win, a bunch of stat
10:24
advantages, a little bit of a rest first tired, and a really
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good sharp mush edge from Juice Reel.
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So Long story short, I'll be sweating Alabama State.
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You're welcome to join me. I got Alabama State on the money
10:34
line at -140 next step for you, another afternoon game, 3:00
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here. We got the AAC tournament
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quarterfinals, FAU and Tulane. So let's set the stage here.
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Florida Atlantic comes in 18 and 14.
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They're the five seed in this tournament.
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They just edged Charlotte 64 to 59 in the second round.
10:54
Didn't cover though, but failed to cover as a 10 point neutral
10:58
site favorite. Meanwhile, Tulane, 18 and 13 on
11:01
the year, they're the four seed. They're coming off a bye, so
11:04
they're playing their first game in the AAC tournament.
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The Green Wave in their last game beat UAB 85 to 68 one out
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rate as a 2 1/2 point home dog. So what are we seeing across the
11:15
market here? Well, this is really interesting
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because Ford Atlantic opened as a three-point neutral site
11:20
favorite and the public is saying the wrong team is
11:24
favored. You got to take Tulane.
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They're the higher seeded team, slightly better record again,
11:29
they're they're off a by yet even though you're getting 61%
11:34
of spread bats taking Tulane in the points.
11:37
The lines moving toward Florida Atlantic.
11:39
Florida Atlantic only getting basically a third of bets, but
11:41
they went from -3 juiced up -3 -, 115 and a lot of books now up
11:46
to -3 1/2. So why is this line being juiced
11:49
up and moving toward FAU if a majority of the bets are on two
11:54
lane guys, This reminds me quite a bit Deja Vu like the Boise
11:58
State play from yesterday where public was San Diego State, but
12:01
line moved to Boise. Same thing here public Tulane.
12:05
But lines moving toward FAU tells me you have a fade the
12:08
trendy dog opportunity. Again, I always make the joke.
12:11
If you're one of those great people that is willing to adopt
12:14
the dog, you go to the pound. We like the dogs that are
12:17
overlooked that are maybe maybe not the perfect dog.
12:21
You know the ugly dogs, the one that no one wants.
12:23
Those are the best ones. The pampered dogs, the the
12:26
expensive ones. We're we're going to fade them.
12:28
They become too popular, they become overvalued.
12:30
So the fact that we have public Tulane, yet juice and movement
12:34
toward FAU, clear, sharp reverse line move in a contrarian RLM
12:38
play in favor of FAU. Now at DraftKings, FAU only
12:42
around 1/3 of tickets, but nearly 60% of the money.
12:46
So really good low bets, higher dollar split in favor of FAU.
12:50
Now Ken Palm, he's got FAU winning this game by three.
12:54
So they're -3 juiced up or -3 1/2.
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I don't want to lay a three, 3 1/2, have them win by three and
12:59
push or lose. I'm going money line here.
13:02
So I got FAU around -150 not a, not a very expensive money line
13:07
price there, but I want to protect myself on the off chance
13:10
that FAU wins, but only wins by three or less.
13:13
We want that win instead of a loss or a push.
13:15
So I'll pay that extra juice. Now the FAU Owls, Kenpom does
13:19
have them ranked higher, one O 9th versus 148th for two lane.
13:23
And if we look at some advantages here for FAU, first
13:27
one, offensive efficiency, 85th in the country versus 149th for
13:31
Tulane, better effective field goal percentage, 54% versus 52%,
13:37
better offensive rebound percentage, 30% versus 27%.
13:42
They shoot the three a little bit better, 35% versus 34% and
13:46
have the better scoring offense, the average nearly 80 points a
13:49
game versus around 75 for Tulane.
13:52
And they grab more rebounds per game, 37 versus 35.
13:56
Lastly, if we look at what our friends at Rhythm are predicting
13:59
here, they have FAU -3.2. So pretty good angle there.
14:03
A little more bullish on FAU slightly than Ken Palm was
14:08
gotten by three. And I also noticed an 18% sharp
14:11
mush advantage in favor of FAU. 18% of the sharper betters at
14:16
Juice Reel are playing FAU as opposed to the losing betters
14:19
leaning more toward Tulane. So you add it all up, we have a
14:23
fade. The trendy dog reminds me of
14:24
Boise State yesterday. Public 2 lane, but line going.
14:27
FAU, Ken Palm and Rhythm have him by about 3.
14:31
Good bet splits here. Good contrarian opportunity.
14:34
Let's fade that trendy dog, let's take Florida Atlantic.
14:37
I got him on the money line around -150 Now for the last bit
14:42
of the night, let's go to the A10 tournament quarterfinals,
14:46
5:00 PM Eastern Time matchup between George Washington and
14:49
George Mason. Battle of The Who will be the
14:51
best George? I love George Washington, but I
14:54
ain't going G dubs like George Mason and this one guys.
14:57
So let's set the table, give you the play here and this line is
15:00
moving. So let's see if we can get the
15:01
best price as well. Now going into it, George
15:04
Washington 21 and 11 on the year the the seven seed.
15:07
They just edged Fordham 88 to 81 in the second round of the A10
15:11
tournament. They covered as a 6 1/2 point
15:13
neutral site dog or a neutral site favorite I should say.
15:17
Meanwhile, George Mason 24 and seven on the year, great record.
15:21
They're the two seed. They're coming off a bye and the
15:23
last game the Patriots took down Richmond 64 to 60 and they were
15:28
covering that game and or actually didn't end up covering
15:31
as a 6 1/2 point Rd. favorite. So what are we seeing across the
15:34
market here? Well, a pretty clear steam move
15:37
in favor of George Mason. Now this game open with George
15:41
Mason listed as a very short 2 point neutral site favorite.
15:44
And wise guys have absolutely hammered George Mason.
15:47
They open -2 they've gotten steamed up all the way to -3
15:51
1/2. And now I'm seeing some books
15:52
even go to -4 So there's no buyback whatsoever on George
15:56
Washington. It's just been one way steam
15:58
overload of smart money across the marketplace.
16:00
Big line move adjustment in favor of the Patriots.
16:04
Now that's what's bet splits look really good on George
16:06
Mason. If you look at circa out in the
16:08
desert, 83% of spread bets, 98% of spread dollars on George
16:13
Mason. So really good low bets, higher
16:16
dollar split here coming from a very sharp, respectable book out
16:20
in Vegas. You also get Ken Palm now he has
16:22
George Mason winning this game by three.
16:25
He's also got him ranked higher, 85th in the country versus one O
16:28
5th. But again, if Ken Palm's got him
16:31
by three, they're now 3 1/2 or 4.
16:33
Hey, we want to make sure we win this game instead of lose or,
16:37
you know, find a way to push this one.
16:38
I guess if you got the four and they win by 4.
16:40
So I money line George Mason now.
16:42
I got George Mason at -164 earlier today.
16:46
Now the good and the bad is that the good thing is George Mason
16:50
continues to be sharp. Pros continue to play.
16:52
George Mason tells me you're on the right side.
16:55
But the bad thing is the line keeps going up a little bit.
16:57
So now this money line price is a little bit higher.
16:59
I'm now seeing around -184 at FanDuel, some books even around
17:04
-190 so I'll still lay that money line just to protect
17:07
ourselves here. But this is a shameless plug to
17:10
go follow the all systems go best bets on Juice Reel because
17:13
I bet this game earlier today. And if you signed up for the
17:16
juice Reel best bets that you can follow the all system go all
17:20
systems go plays, you would have gotten this play a little bit
17:23
earlier today when I put it in, which would have saved you
17:26
about, you know, 20-25 cents of juice.
17:29
So you can always just click the link that I put out If you want
17:31
to follow the plays on Juice Reel for my Twitter account at
17:34
Josh under score insights. You can also just go to the
17:37
social tab, click find juicer search ASG under score podcast.
17:42
Now continuing the cap for this one on the money line, pretty
17:46
good split here. Roughly 90% of money line bets
17:49
in dollars at DraftKings on George Mason.
17:51
So it tells us we have heavy one way support in favor of the
17:54
Patriots getting a straight up win.
17:56
Now a few things to bank on with George Mason.
17:58
One, hopefully they really put the clamps on G Dubs because
18:02
they have the 21st best defensive efficiency in the
18:05
country and George Washington ranks 94th.
18:09
Also George Mason shoots the three better 34% versus 31%.
18:14
They also limit their opponents to a really good effective field
18:17
goal percentage. 4th best at limiting the effective field
18:20
goal percentage to their opponent in the country versus
18:23
George Washington ranks 54th and also really good scoring
18:27
defense. George Washington gives up 67 a
18:30
game, George Mason only gives up 63 a game.
18:33
So we probably want this to be a lower scoring game.
18:35
The totals like 1:30, the topic becomes a track meet.
18:38
Hey, that's wouldn't technically be great for George Mason, but
18:41
hey, whatever, whatever it takes to win.
18:43
That's all we care about. But also we have a rest.
18:46
First tired advantage. George Mason has not played
18:49
since March 8th and George Washington played yesterday, so
18:53
they're on the second leg of a back-to-back.
18:55
Now we look at rhythm, they have George Mason -2.8 and I did
18:59
notice a 34% sharp mush edge in favor of George Mason at Juice
19:04
Rail. So 34% of the sharper betters
19:07
are playing George Mason as opposed to the losing betters
19:10
leaning more toward George Washington.
19:13
So we have a pretty clear steam move here.
19:14
George Mason -2 all the way up to -3 1/2 -, 4.
19:19
We got a really good bet split out at Circa, which is important
19:21
to me because Circa again prides themselves on how they say
19:25
sports betting the way it should be.
19:26
That's kind of the T-shirt you can buy there.
19:28
But really what I would argue is the most important thing is that
19:31
they take and respect smart money.
19:32
They don't. They don't put it, push it aside
19:34
or limit it or outright refuse it.
19:36
We got a lot of stat advantages. We got rhythm and Ken Palm
19:39
looking at around a three-point win.
19:41
Good sharp mush edge. I'm going George Mason hopefully
19:45
to get it done. And again, I got the money line
19:47
-164 earlier today. Now you're looking at around
19:50
-184 at FanDuel. So Alabama State FAU, George
19:55
Mason 3 money line bets today. Let's try to go 2 and one and
19:58
finish our week off on a hot note.
20:01
So that being said, wrapping up here, episode 237 of the ASG
20:05
Pod. This is the part of the pod
20:07
where I leave you with a few thoughts, a few things tell you
20:09
about some great resources if you're looking to get more
20:12
insights into your data-driven sports betting world.
20:15
First one here is about the pod itself #1 thank you for taking
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the time out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a
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chair to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven
20:25
breakdowns with me. Betting games with our head and
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not our heart. If you enjoy the pod, if you
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want to help me grow the pod, there's one very basic easy
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If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, click rate and
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And also if you want to click the follow button, if there's an
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soon as it drops each day. It'll be a pop up on your on
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your iPhone or your or your what is it your Google phone,
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whatever it is. Now, if you enjoy the style of
21:01
betting breakdown, you've been, you know, interested and now
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kind of seen the value of data-driven betting, paying
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attention to line movement bet split system matches, taking a
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contrarian perspective. If this pot has helped you to
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make sharper bets and you value the insights and more
21:15
importantly, you want to learn more about data-driven betting,
21:18
well, guess what, there are a couple books that you should buy
21:21
to help you help help your knowledge, you know, get get
21:24
even more more valuable. So the first one, if you want to
21:27
go to Amazon.com, type in the everything guide to sports
21:30
betting. That's my baby first book I ever
21:33
wrote. It's really geared toward brand
21:34
new betters or kind of new or intermediate betters.
21:38
But it's got everything I've learned in the industry,
21:40
basically teaches the data-driven blueprint.
21:42
And then also if you want to make my day, go pre-order my new
21:46
book, go to Amazon.com as well. And if you look at the
21:50
everything guide to sports betting, you'll probably then
21:51
see a little a little alert or something, you know, gearing you
21:56
toward my second book, which is the NFL sharp betting playbook
21:59
comes out in August. Cannot wait for you guys to read
22:01
it. Super proud of it.
22:03
But if you want to pre-order a copy, it's really just how to
22:06
bet NFL specifically from a data-driven perspective.
22:09
And if you want to help me to gain the momentum and continue
22:12
the momentum keeping it going, pre-order sales are very
22:16
important. So pick one up, bring the
22:19
everything guy to sports betting in a pre-order of the NFL sharp
22:22
betting playbook to the book and I'll sign both for you.
22:25
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale or two if you if you get
22:28
both books and it would really mean a lot to me.
22:31
Next, if you haven't done it yet, go download juice reel and
22:33
rhythm, my two favorite sports betting apps rhythm fantastic
22:36
for their AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
22:40
player props. Obviously conference
22:42
tournaments, March Madness, NBA right now and then before you
22:45
know it, we we're going to have MLB rhythm system matches that
22:48
we're we'll be able to play, which I cannot wait for.
22:51
Then of course Juice Reel great for following the all systems go
22:54
best bet picks which if you signed up to follow for $4.99 a
22:59
week. Again, the pod is free.
23:00
I consider that a tip jar. If you value the insights for
23:04
basically 4 four $4.99 a week, you can get those plays a little
23:09
bit early, which you would have beat that George Mason money
23:11
line by about $0.20. Shameless plug, of course, but
23:15
not only will you get the ASG best bets, you get the robo
23:17
Jackson AI generated best bet picks each day, the sharp mush
23:22
indicators, the the arbitrage plays shop for the best line
23:26
futures, sync up your sports books.
23:28
It is a it is a great all-encompassing app to help you
23:31
to become the sharpest better that you can be.
23:33
So go download rhythm, go download juice Reel to your
23:36
phone and of course, if you want to really make the people at
23:39
rhythm and juice reel happy, give it a five star review in
23:42
the App Store. Lastly, as I mentioned, you got
23:46
to have a live odds page if you're betting on sports.
23:48
It's your Bible, it's your blueprint.
23:50
Hey, you got to know what a line opened at how it's moved.
23:52
Shop for the best line, read the juice movement, get the line
23:55
history. It's so critical, you know,
23:57
again to be a data-driven better.
23:58
It all starts with getting, you know, accurate, reliable data,
24:02
which starts with your live odds page.
24:03
So as I be as I begin the show with you got to get the odds
24:07
logic live odds page. I'll just go to
24:09
oddslogic.com/josh 123 and that will get you your 7 day free
24:14
trial. And then when you're signing up
24:16
the basically it'll say like coupon code or promo code put in
24:20
Josh 123. You get 50% off your first month
24:24
of of odds logic. So that about does it for
24:27
today's pod. Hopefully finishing up the week
24:29
on a hot note. That is the goal for today.
24:32
You got to love these afternoon sweats.
24:34
There's nothing better, especially when you can cash a
24:36
ticket or two. But as always, leave with a
24:38
couple things. One, whether I see you at the
24:40
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
24:43
in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
24:47
at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
24:50
Springfield or the Nash up in Nashville, New Hampshire in my
24:53
neck of the woods. Or of course out in the desert
24:55
where the true grinders get down.
24:56
Or Billy Walters sends his number runners with lowest use
24:59
possible sound at the South Point or Sweat and sharp
25:01
contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
25:04
When you catch a big ticket at Circo, wherever it may be,
25:06
you're going to walk up to me and we're just going to, we're
25:08
each going to have a broom in our hand because we got a great
25:11
sweep last night. Show me a Marquette ticket.
25:14
Always money line, short favorites.
25:15
Boise State, Arizona, first one's on me, next one's on you.
25:18
Then we're going to post about the book.
25:20
Sweatshop Contrarian plays all night long.
25:23
So as always, guys 3 and OO and three, two and one, one and two.
25:28
Whether it's a great day, a bad day, a mediocre day, slightly
25:31
up, slightly down, doesn't matter.
25:34
Previous day should never influence the way we approach
25:36
the next day. Yes, we're human off of three
25:38
and O. We can't wait to bet again.
25:40
If we had gone O and three last night, hey, we would have been,
25:43
we would have been not nearly as happy today, but we'd at least
25:47
try to claw back today. So either way, again, betting
25:50
games with our head and not our heart.
25:51
That's really the key to this podcast, leaning and respecting
25:54
and trusting the data. Will every sharp data play come
25:57
through? No sports betting is really
25:59
hard. Anything can happen.
26:00
But over the long haul, if we can stay true to the model and
26:02
the blueprint against the public with the house, with the pros,
26:06
flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
26:08
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
26:11
sports bettors. So have a fantastic Friday night
26:14
every everybody have an even better weekend reminder, no pods
26:17
on the weekend, but you can still get the best bets by
26:21
signing up for the Juice Reel app.
26:23
You'll get all the plays there this weekend.
26:24
You can also read my sharp reports that I write for
26:26
visen.com for my Twitter account at Josh under Score Insights.
26:31
So have a great Friday, have an even better weekend.
26:33
And as always guys, we'll be right back at it on Monday.
26:36
That'll be episode 238 of the All Systems Go sports Betting
26:40
podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and enjoy
26:44
the conference tournaments.