Latest / Best of Business / Matt Goodson: Salt Funds Management expert on global markets stabilising after this morning's announcement
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from Newstalk ZB follow this
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- 0:16Speaker 2: Well, it looks like share markets around the world have
- 0:18Speaker 2: stabilized after making those big losses over the last couple
- 0:21Speaker 2: of days or so. Over the last few hours, the
- 0:23Speaker 2: nick has bounced back. It's sitting almost ten percent higher
- 0:25Speaker 2: than yesterday. Currently, Australia and South Korean markets are also up.
- 0:29Speaker 2: The INSIDEX had dropped early in trading since has since
- 0:31Speaker 2: climbed back. Matt Goodson is managing director at Salt Funds
- 0:34Speaker 2: Management and with us Now Hoy.
- 0:36Speaker 3: Matt Afternoon Heat.
- 0:37Speaker 2: What's prompted the recovery?
- 0:40Speaker 3: Look, I think yesterday's sharp move, especially in Japan, really
- 0:44Speaker 3: felt like force selling from funds that had too much
- 0:47Speaker 3: exposure and we're just forced to d risk and so
- 0:49Speaker 3: we've just seen a bit of a natural rebound from that.
- 0:52Speaker 3: But the real weakness in Japan started a few days
- 0:57Speaker 3: ago when the central Bank finally hiked after years of
- 1:00Speaker 3: zero rates, moving up to a quarter of a point
- 1:03Speaker 3: cash rate and making some pretty hawkish comments about the
- 1:06Speaker 3: future and that a Japanese market have been pretty strong
- 1:11Speaker 3: all year of a yen have been really weak, and
- 1:14Speaker 3: that just turned everything around. Some market fell hard and
- 1:17Speaker 3: the yen really strengthened.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Do you think this is the end of the Jesses
- 1:21Speaker 2: or do we potentially have more to come.
- 1:24Speaker 3: Look several different things going on at the moment, so
- 1:26Speaker 3: I think it's too early to say it's the end.
- 1:30Speaker 3: The biggest impact from Japan is actually the implications for
- 1:34Speaker 3: global markets. There's been a multi trillion dollar trade going
- 1:39Speaker 3: on for years, known as the carry trade, where people
- 1:42Speaker 3: have borrowed at zero in Japan, geared that up a
- 1:45Speaker 3: few times and invested in much higher yielding assets overseas.
- 1:49Speaker 3: I think American banks, Australian banks, those sorts of things.
- 1:53Speaker 3: Now all of a sudden they have to pay a
- 1:54Speaker 3: bit more to borrow that money, and more importantly, they
- 1:57Speaker 3: have to pay it back and much more expensive yen.
- 2:00Speaker 3: So all of a sudden, a lot of those carry
- 2:02Speaker 3: trades have been unwound. And that's why we saw well
- 2:05Speaker 3: one of the reasons why we saw US and Australian
- 2:08Speaker 3: mark it's been really hard hurt yesterday, Matt, it's.
- 2:10Speaker 2: Very good to talk to you. Thank you so much
- 2:11Speaker 2: for that. Matt Goodson, Salt Funds Management, Managing Director.
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