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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Thursday 2/5/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 2: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: don't know what data is anymore. I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, praise, the slump.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: Discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: What's up? Everybody?
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Sewed back with you, Toadstool Sports, Thursday, February fifth, Thanks
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: for everybody who hung out for the Super Bowl show
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: last night. So talked about a bunch of props. I
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: was like seizing out or something. I don't know what
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: was going on. I gave out a play on the side,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: gave out one player prop, and gave out a couple
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: of game style props that I pretty.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: Much always have on my cards, So gave out the
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: super Bowl plays.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: One thing I should clarify, I guess, and I guess
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: I will do it again on Sunday is that the
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: play on the side, I just make it like a
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: normal bet size, just like it's a normal bet you
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: don't want to over bet on the super Bowl. And
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: then the props, I make each one of them like
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: a third of a play basically, so the three of
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: them kind of add up to basically one play in
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: this case, if that makes sense.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: So I should have clarified that last night. I don't know.
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: I was out of it. Tyson, what's up, Kyle? What's up?
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. All right?
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: Yesterday we went four and three. It should have been
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: a better day than that. It started out really good
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: with an outright Minnesota win.
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: Good thing I added that to my car. That was
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: an easy win.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: They're winning pretty much the entirety of the game outright.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: They won outright. Kansas City was the biggest source of
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: frustration yesterday. They were winning that game outright for almost
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: the entire game. There's no way they shouldn't have covered that.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: It got down to the end of the game. They're
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: still winning late in the game, and then it was
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: tied in the final minute, and I'm like, at this point,
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: just lose the game by two, Like whatever, just cover lose.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: I don't care as long as you cover. Get out
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: of there with the cover. No, it goes into overtime,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: and then they actually think had the lead in overtime,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: so I'm like, okay, this should be fine. Then no,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: they wind up losing by seven in overtime. There's absolutely
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: no way that they shouldn't have covered that. They basically
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: had a wire to wire cover in that game. I'm
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: fucking pissed off. Kansas City fucking sucks. Fuck them. Northwestern,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: that game pisses me off way less. They lost by forty.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: The game was over like immediately, so I'm way less
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: pissed off about that. It's one that you know is
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: wrong right away, and that's it, all right, fine, it's over.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: Northwestern couldn't hit any shots in that game. The game
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: was dead. And then Oklahoma State they got an outright wins.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: It was all all over the place yesterday. But the
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: two and two in College of Basketball I think probably
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: resulted in a slight win because there were two outright
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: winners there as pretty big underdogs, and I recommend sprinkling
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: the money line for that reason. Both of those hit
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State and Minnesota at pretty decent prices on the
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: money line. I would have said, yeah, like ten percent
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: on those money lines there probably was appropriate for those games.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State had the lead, they had a big lead
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: early in the game.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: They blew the lead.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: They actually fell behind. I don't I think they were
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: still covering though. I think they covered wire to wire
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: wound up getting the outright win. Anyway, they came back
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: at a nice second half, yeah, and won the game,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: So I'm happy about that. Hockey, we went two and
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: one Nashville. I mean Nashville put themselves in like a
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: two to nothing hole right away.
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: They got out of it.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: They wound up actually taking the lead at one point
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: four to three, and then immediately threw that away. They
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: were able to send the game to overtime, which that's
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: pretty much what you can ask for with an underdog.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: If they lost the game in overtime, high scoring game,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not too thrilled about it. They kind of got
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: outplayed in the game. The other hockey plays both won
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: pretty easily though Utah and seatt On one outright not
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: really much of a problem there, So if you just
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: went moneyline on that, you would have had to win
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: as well. So those both won, and then we move
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: on to today. Today is Thursday. So it's a junk
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: college basketball card with mostly poor conferences, and I do
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: have two plays in those bad conferences.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: I have a couple of leans that were close to
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: being plays.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: There are a couple of big conference games that I
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: don't really have strong opinions on. It's the last day
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: of hockey before the Olympics. I do have one hockey
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: play and then NBA almost skipped the board again. Like NBA,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: there's just nothing going on that I like, I'm gonna
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: have one play in the NBA and hope that it
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: works out. The NBA is very very difficult right now,
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: especially because we're hitting the trade deadline, so you have
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: all these like moving parts and it's like really difficult
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: to handicap some of these games. So it might have
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: to wait for the dust to settle in the NBA.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: All right, I'm looking at the NBA right now, but
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: I always do the NBA last. All right, let's get
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: into it. College basketball. I'm gonna hope to not take
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: too long with college of basketball and skip some of
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: these games that are not of interest in not TV games.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: We do have a few six PM games, I kind
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: of you know, I usually talk about these kind of
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: isolated games here Vermont at Maine Vermont. I expect them
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: to bounce back here. Man, they just took a loss
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: to NJIT at home.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: Vermont.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: We're pretty big favorites in that one, and we know
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Vermont is like the best team in this conference. Still
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: even though they're behind UNBC now based on tiebreakers. But Vermont,
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: we're double digit favorites here, thirteen and a half way favorites.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: They shouldn't have lost this game. This NJIT team is
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: not good. I don't care what their conference record says.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: They're not.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: I think Vermont will bounce back. And if you look,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: they did already play Maine and they did not do well.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: They beat Maine at home, but they were double digit
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: favorites in this game fourteen and a half and they
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: barely won the games. So that was one of my
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: angles as well that I like to look at when
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: you have the much stronger team when they won but
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: barely got by that inferior opponent. They usually do focus
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: on the road, So there are two huge reasons why
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: Vermont I think will actually show up in this game.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: Maine. I mean they'll show up. Sure.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: Vermont is that team that's atop the conference, so I'm
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: not gonna say Maine's not going to show up here.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: But if they run into a focus, Vermont team is
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: way better than they are, I think I would have
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: to lean to Vermont. The line did draw it from
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: eight to seven, but I think the only way that
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: I could really go with that game is to lay
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: the seven, and Vermont was appropriately lined at fourteen and
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: a half in that first game.
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: That's seven seems a little bit low.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: I don't really think you give Maine that much of
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: a home advantage, even though they do have the big
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: inflatable lumberjack there, even though they're the main Black Bears.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: So that's that game.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: These American East games, I mean, I don't really have
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: anything to say about these other games, to be honest,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: So I don't know that Vermont game.
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: At least there was kind of an angle there.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: Six thirty pm, Fox Sports one Penn State at number
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: two Michigan. We know Michigan's obviously the way better team,
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: but Penn State might be in an okay spot to
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: maybe look to take the points with them. They finally
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: got a conference win, and that was a winner I
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: gave out on the show. Penn State caught Minnesota in
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: what I thought was a pretty bad spot, a sandwich spot.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: They got the job done because I think Minnesota had
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: just played Wisconsin really tough on the road, and they
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: had last night's Michigan State game coming up next. So
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Penn State got the win. We got the win with them. Now,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: I think that they will show up for this game
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: at the very least, and they do have some momentum now.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: And when you get that first conference win finally after
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: your own ten in conference get in, that win might
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: actually give you some some confidence, but it will like
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: it like gets that monkey off your back basically, so
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: you can like play looser.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: So that might be the case here.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Now there is one concern, like Michigan might show up
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: in this game because Penn State actually almost beat them
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: at home earlier this season. Michigan was a big favorite
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: in that game, obviously double digits, and they almost lost
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: the game, So Michigan might remember that, and that might
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: actually be a reason why Michigan might take them seriously here.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: But other than that, I do not like the spot
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: for Michigan. They're coming off big wins over Nebraska and
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: Michigan State, and then they have Ohio State on deck,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: and they did beat Ohio State once already, but that's
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: still a bigger opponent.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, Michigan, Ohio State is still a thing.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: Even though it's not football, so there are reasons why
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: they still might overlook Penn State. I can't really get
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: there With this one, I would probably towards Penn State
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: getting the points, but I'm not going to do anything
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: with it.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: The money is.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Completely disagreeing, by the way, and again there is that angle.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: There is that one reason why maybe Michigan will show
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: up here.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: I kind of think that the fact they're coming up
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: that huge rivalry whinever in Michigan State kind of negates
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: that they're down from twenty five and a half to
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: twenty five here. Maybe a little bit of a big
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: number there, but Michigan plays fast too, so they do
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: have the ability to put up a lot of points
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: and maybe cover a number like that. Sixty nine percent
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on Penn State, which I don't
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: really buy that. I don't know what public better is
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: going to come in on Penn State in this game
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: at all, even if the number is this big, sixty
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Michigan, though the market
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: read is saying Michigan. I slightly lean the other way,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: but I don't have a strong feel for that. West
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Virginia at Cincinnati and the big twelve on ESPN two
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: don't really have a strong feel for this game either.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: I think an under might be the way to look
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: at this game, even though I don't.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: Do a whole lot with totals.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: This total, I mean, it opened at one twenty three
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: and a half for a reason.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: It's up to one twenty seven and a half.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: But I think maybe the number got like dummied up
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: or something, because it looks like the real money is
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: actually kind of hitting the under now at that higher number.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: And these are two teams that are not good offensively.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: West Virginia plays really slow, Cincinnati plays good defense.
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: Both teams are good defensively.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Actually, so there are a lot of reasons I think
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: to look towards an under in this one. But again
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not really a totals guy. West Virginia they may
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: show up focused in this one because they did just
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: take a home loss to Baylor, so maybe they will
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: show up. They actually already beat Cincinnati once.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: At home by two.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: I believe West Virginia was probably about a three point
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game. Let me see, what were they
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: actually know? They were one and a half point dog.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know what I'm thinking there,
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: so they actually covered, So actually I guess it's I
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: guess technically a revenge spot for Cincinnati here, I guess,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: if you want to call it, that not really a
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: significant one in my opinion, though. West Virginia might have
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead to Texas Tech.
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: Because they had that ogly loss at home to Baylor,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll bounce back from it. But because they did
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: beat Cincinnati and that Texas Tech game is bigger, there
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a concern that maybe
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: they'll overlook Cincinnati. And Cincinnati hasn't been playing while they're
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: at five hundred now, they just got blown out by Houston,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: and I'm expecting them to show up with focus again
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: here on. One concern with looking at Cincinnati, though, is
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: the public might see, oh, Cincinnati just beat Baylor, who
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: just beat West Virginia, so that means we should play Cincinnati,
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: So the public might do that transitive thing. So I
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: don't want anything to do with this game, especially not
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: from a side perspective, Although because of that West Virginia
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: look ahead and the little bit of revenge that might
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: be there for Cincinnati, I would actually probably lay it
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: with Cincinnati if I was gonna play the side. They're
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: down from six and a half to five six to
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: five and a half. Excuse me, but sixty one percent
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: of the tickets around West Virginia, so the public doesn't
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: look like they want Cincinnati. Sixty seven percent of the
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: cash on Cincinnati, and it kind of makes sense that
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: the public would not play Cincinnati here because they're gonna
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: see that number at five and a half. Why would
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: you want to lay five and a half with a
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: five hundred team against a team that's above five hundred, right,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: and the team had already beat them once West Virginia,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: so it does look almost too easy to take the
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: points with West Virginia. So for that reason, I probably
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: would lay the points with Cincinnati. Again, I think under
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: might be worth a look in that one if you like,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: get ken bomb real quick on that one.
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he's got Cincinnati.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: He's a top ten defense in the country and they're
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: outside of the top two hundred offensively. They do play fast,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: but they're they just have a lot of problems on offense.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: And then West Virginia is also way better defensively, thirty
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: third in defense, but outside of the top one hundred offensively,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: So we have a couple of offensively challenged teams that
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: are actually very good on defense in that game. So
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: that's what makes sense to me there, Zach, what's up man?
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right up next to what
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: do we have? We have some matt Ac games here.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Fairfield is Sacred Heart. I kind of looked at this
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: one briefly because Fairfield they just played a really close
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: game against Quinnipiac.
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: Well, not really close. They lost by seven.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: I think the game was pretty close down the stretch though,
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: although there were only two and a half point dogs,
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: But Quinnipiac is still one of the better teams in
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: this conference, and this game was really close with like
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: a couple minutes left.
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: So Fairfield was in that game. And I think they might.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: Even consider themselves to be a little brother now in
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: that area of Connecticut, because they're pretty close in proximity
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: to Quinnepiac.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming up of that, they got to play
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: Sacred Heart.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: They haven't played them yet this year, but they do
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: also have Maris and Saint Peter's coming up in their
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: next two games, and both those teams are near the
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: top of the conference. They're both some of the better
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. They actually already lost to Marius
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: as well, So there's the potential. They lost to both
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: of those teams already actually, so there is the potential
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: look ahead. So the concern here for Fairfield is that
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: they might be in a sandwich spot here.
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: For Sacred Heart, they did just lose.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: To Merrimack and that ended a five game win streak
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: for them. Sometimes I don't like to play on teams
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: that lost to win Street because it'll hang them over
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: into the next game.
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: So that might be the concern there.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: But I prefer Sacred Heart in this game if I
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. They lost by double digits and Merrimack,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: so it might be more of a bounced back spot
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: for them. I worry about Fairfield being more of a
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: sandwich here. And if people look at the line, like,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: why would Sacred Heart be favored when they have the
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: worst record than Fairfield they're below five hundred and Fairfield's
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: above five hundred, Well some of that might be because
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart played a more difficult out of conference schedule.
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Because these teams have the same conference record, the osmakers
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: are still telling you that Fairfield is a slightly better team.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: But in this spot, I think Sacred Heart does make sense.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: And the line does look a little bit misleading. The
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: osmakers are telling you Fairfield is better, but not by
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: that much. The line did drop from two to one.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: Probably Sacred heart O money line would probably the way
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: be the way I would look at that game. ESPNU
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: has what is probably actually the best matt Act game
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: of the day between Iona and Cianna.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: These two teams are.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: Both in New York, I believe, somewhere north of New
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: York City. I believe so they're I think these teams
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: are pretty close in location. Uh So there might be
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a rivalry going on here. Iona
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: did already beat Sianna at home. Uh So there's a
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: little bit of revenge modive here for Cianna. I think,
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: because Sianna is the better team, even though Iona has
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: done well in this conference in the past, uh back
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: with Richard Patino there and stuff like that. But Sianna
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: is definitely the better of the two teams at this point.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: Sianna has been doing really well. Iona is coming off
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: a lost to Fairfield at home. Iona was favored in
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: this one. I think, Yeah, they're only favored by like
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: one and a half or two though, but possible they
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead to this game against Sianna, I I
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean, I.
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: Think both teams will show up here. I think it'll
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: be a decent TV game.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: Sianna coming into this on a five game win streak,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: and they just beat Canesius in the last game, which
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: is not.
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: A big deal.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: But they did already beat Iona, like I said, or no,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: excuse me, I own to beat them, excuse me.
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: So they might pay attention to Iona here.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: But there is a concern that they do have Saint Peter's, Quinnipiac,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: Maris and Merrimack and Saint Peter's again in their next
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: five games. That is a gauntlet in this conference, man.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: So part of the reason I think why Sianna does
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: have a really good conference record right now is they've
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: played a lot of weaklings in the conference so far.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: When they've stepped up in class, it hasn't gone well.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: Like they lost to Iona, they lost to Merrimac, they
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: did beat Maris, so there was that in there. But yeah,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I just don't know if we could totally trust Sianna here, man,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: and I worry about the look ahead spot there. So
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: the money is indicating on Iona for what it's worth.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: Sanna is a seven and a half point favorite, but
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: sixty send tickets on them only fifty seven percent of
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: the cash low total in the high one thirties.
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: I would probably agree with.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Taking the points with my ownA in that one, even
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: though there is maybe a little bit of a revenge
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: motive for Sianna there. The look ahead does worry me
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit, and the fact that I think maybe
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: their conference record is not addictive of what they actually are.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So that's kind of the way that I look
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: at this. And Iona is still coming off kind.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: Of an ugly performance at home, losing as a favorite,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: So that's how I look at that game.
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: I guess.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Okay, then we got what other games that I want
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: to talk about here?
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: There aren't really too many games that are really of
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: interest here. I could talk about some other ones if
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: you want, but I don't really have strong opinions on
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: very many of these. Stone Hill and fairly Dickinson was
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: actually kind of an interesting one in the Northeast Conference.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: Stone Hill they just be le Moyne on the road.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: That was a pretty nice upset win for stone Hilloyn's
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: been pretty good in the conference. It was only a
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: two and a half point upset, but I think it
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: feels like it was kind of a big upset. Stone
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: Hill pulled into a tie with Lemoyne in the conference.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Lemoyne I mean that, even though that line indicated that
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: Lemoyne is not the better team, I think they are.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: So that was a decent win for stone Hill and
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: they have a huge game on deck against Long Island,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: so there is the possibility they overlook Fairley Dickinson here.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: Second straight road game here, and.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Fairly Dickinson only by one though
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: at home two games ago, So I don't know. Will
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: they totally overlook Fairley Dickinson. I don't know, because stone
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: Hill was favored and didn't cover in that game technically,
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: but they're only a two and a half point favorite
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: or two point favorites. So these teams, they're all pretty
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: much bad in this conference. Of the Long Island is
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: a bit above the rest, but I think the spot
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: is not great for stone Hill really in this game,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: so I would lead to Fairley Dickinson. Fairley Dickinson just
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: lost on the road to Wagner, not a great loss.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: Wagner's struggling pretty mightily, this year, So I think it
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: does make sense that Fairly Dickinson they kind of are
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: in a revenge spot here, Stonehill coming off a decent
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: upset him with a big game on deck, I would
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Fairley Dickinson. Well, actually, I would
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: probably lay a money line because their minus two here,
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: you can probably find a pretty cheap money line on
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: it total being so low at one twenty nine. Getting
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: them to just win the game kind of makes more sense.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean in that game. But
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: that one doesn't make my card. The next game that
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about does make my card, which is
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: UMass Low and n J. I t this is gonna
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: be one of the best bets Streamer, I believen, let
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: me do. Streamyard just keeps fucking up. Man, I'm fucking pissed.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: I'm sick of it.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take you mass Lowell plus the one and
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: a half here. Oddsmakers are already telling you ums low
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: is actually the better team here, despite what the records
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: look like. So like, who's gonna want a team of
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: the worst record, a worst conference record? It makes U
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: mass Lowell look like the worst team. And I'm telling
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: you right now, they're not. We've tried to fade Njit,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I think with some success and some failure this season.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: But I think this is a spot to fade them.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: And if you heard me talk about the Vermont game,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: you pretty much already know why U Mass Lowell. They
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: just broke a five game loser or four game losing streak.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: I think with a win over Main I like that
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: because that kind of again, it gets it like ends
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum for you. It gives you momentum, new
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: momentum moving forward. It wasn't a win that's gonna make
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: U mass low overconfident beating a Main team that's not
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: doing that well. So I think that's good and that
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: can give you mass Lowell some confidence coming into this.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: This is also a road revenge angle for U mass
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: because they lost at home already to NJIT and U
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: mass Lowell were eight and a half point favorite in
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: this game and they lost. So that's another angle I
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: like to look at when a team was a fairly
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: substantial favorite at home and they lost that rematch on
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: the road. If it's a second conference matchup, that road
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: team is usually a decent way to look So I
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: think they will show up for this game. So a
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: couple of pretty big positives from U Mass Lowell here,
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: and then the biggest part of the situation is a
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: huge negative for NJIT because they just beat Vermont a
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: third straight road game and they upset Vermont. Like I said,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: they were double digit dogs in the game. Vermont is
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: the best team in this conference. Again, They've been pretty
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: much the best team in this conference every year for
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: the last like several years, except last year they didn't
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: win the conference. But this is a huge win for
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: n JIT. Vermont kind of went cold from three point range,
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: so that was kind of part of the reason. Yeah,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: NJT did out rebound. That was a close rebounding battle though,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: But this is just a huge win for NJI team,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: and I think they had the lead most of the
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: game held on. Now they get this UMass Lowell team
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: they already beat on the road. Unfortunately, they only play
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: Binghamton next, which is off. Binghamton is the worst team
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: in the conference. But even so, I think it is
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot here with travel. The last time they
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: were home, they did smash Bryan's but NJIT actually hasn't
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: been that.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Good at home.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: If you look at their other conference home games. They
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: lost to Maine and they barely beat New Hampshire. So
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: UMass Lowell is actually the best team that they're facing
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: at home so far, I would say, because Bryant, UMass Low,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: and Maine are all on the bottom half of the conference.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: So yeah, so NJT, Yeah, they have not been tested
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: on their home floor yet, although yes they do have
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: a couple of good road wins here in conference at least.
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: But if we look at what ken.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: Pom has to say here, I know he's got umss
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Low outside of the top three hundred, I get it.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: But he's got NJT seven ranking spots lower than that
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: UMass Lowell.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: Neither team is good, I get it.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: NJT is actually the better deepfense here, and I usually
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: like to look for the better deepfense, but there's not
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: that much of a disparity.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: Between the two teams.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Both teams play slightly faster tempo, so that's not gonna
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: really matter. But what I think does come into play
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: here is the luck Index. Ken bum As NGT is
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: the seventh most lucky team in the country, meaning that
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: they've overperformed like their records should be a lot worse
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: than it is based on their statistics. They're analytics based
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: on how many close wins they have, et cetera. Like
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: they've gotten lucky this season, whereas U mass Loll is
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: on the other side of it. They're two thirty third
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: and look out of three sixty five, so they're on
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: the unlucky side of things. So I like to look
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: at situations like that as well. I believe he has
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: This game is a one point game one way or
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: the other, so yeah, we're gonna do it.
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: I like the spot for it as well.
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: NGT did creep up from one to one and a half,
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: but we'll grab the points with U mass Loll. If
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: for some reason they wind up being a favorite, it
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: would be a money line on UMass Lowell there.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: WHOA, Sorry, I think they get the win there, all right. Uh.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: I didn't even know what other games that I want
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: to talk about here, Northeastern and Hofstra. I mean, I
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: know it's a Boston area team. I don't know if
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: there's that well, actually, yeah, I guess this game is
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: somewhat interesting from a handicapping perspective. Northeastern just did have
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: a big game where they played pretty close at home
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: against Charleston, who is second in the conference right now.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: In the Colonial, I will continue to call it the Colonial.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Now they get Hostra, they do have a revenge game
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: against stony Brook on deck at stony Brook is third
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: in the conference right now, so there is the possibility
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Northeastern just you know that they kind of don't have
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: it here against Hofstra. And as I've been saying, Hastra
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: is sneaky. They're actually one of the better teams in
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: this conference, like power ratings wise, I think they're probably
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: second or third in this conference, believe it or not.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: But because of their record, they might actually be overlookable now.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: And with the spot that Northeastern is in, even they've
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: lost four games in a row and you would think
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: that they should come with focus here. I kind of
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: worry about it, man, I kind of prefer Hofstra in
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: this one. Hostra did just break a five game losing streak,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: so they finally got a win beating Monmouth, and now
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: I don't really see them overlooking this game at this point.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: I just see them having momentum coming into this. They
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: don't have a big game on deck. I don't think
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: against tousand they already did beat thousand on the road,
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: so whatever, and they're kind of a mediocre team in
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: the conference. I would look towards Hofstra in that game.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: They're very public though they're up from nine to ten,
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: so there was initially a line move on them, But
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the tickets and only ninety one
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them does make it look
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: like they were pretty public side, which would worry me
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit. But if I was gonna play that game,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Hostra. And then we have
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: stony Brook in this conference. So I just mentioned either
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: we have the power ratings way off on stony Brook here,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: or they're still not as good as they looked they've won.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: I think at this point they've won five games in
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: a row where they've been an underdog, including the last
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: three on the road.
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: Now they're back home.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: I just I would have to fade it, man, because
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I just don't see how you can continue winning this
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: winning all these games as an underdog like this, and
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: now they're gonna be a favorite. So that's another thing
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: I don't like. When a team flips from being an
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: underdog to being a favorite.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: It's like a different role.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: And now they are gonna be required to win by margin.
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: They're coming off that upset win on the road of
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: Elon most recently. Now they're gonna be a favored against
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: mon Meth. The Monmouth did just get blown out pretty
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: much by Hofstra at home, losing by sixteen, so they
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: might come into this game with focus. These teams haven't
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: played each other yet, but I would have to fade
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: this what I think is kind of a fraudulent run
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: from stony Brook here. The money looks like it's coming
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: in on stony Brook. I don't agree with it. They're
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: up from three to three and a half, fifty to
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: fifty on the cash, but seventy nine percent of tickets
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: on Monmouth. I don't even I don't even understand why
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: that would be the case, Like, why would the public
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: be coming in a mammoth who has the worst record here?
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: So I don't really buy that.
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Market Reid does look like it's on sony Brook, but
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: I don't buy it, and I don't agree with it.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum as sony Brook, by the way, as the
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: twelfth luckiest team in the country as well, So again
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: that kind of bears out what I've been saying that
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: they're kind of they're getting quite lucky in some of
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: these games, and they're not as good as they look.
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: Drexel at Campbell, this one almost made my card. I
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: like how this sets up for Drexel here. Drexel just
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: barely escaped NCA and T at home, and Drexel were
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: like seven and a half way favorites in that game
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: against what I think is the weakest team in the
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: conference NCA and T. So I like when a favorite
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: just escapes, they continue their momentum and they get kind
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: of shocked back into focus in their next game.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: Now they're going to Campbell.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: They haven't played Campbell yet, but Campbell they're coming off
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: an upset of William and Mary on the road that
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: didn't have a long losing street for Campbell though they
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: had lost five games in a row, so I know
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: sometimes when a team ends a losing streak that will
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: give them some momentum propelling them forward.
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: So there is that concern there. But that was a
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: big upset over William and Mary. Man. William and Mary's
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: close to the top of the conference.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: They're kind of more in the middle of the conference
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: right now, but they are one of the better teams
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: in the conference power ratings wise, at least at Campbell,
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: that was like an eight and a half point upset
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: I think for them.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: So we are in a situation.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: We do have a situation where we have a team
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: that barely escaped as a favorite against a team that
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: won is a pretty big underdog. So barely Escaped is
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: a substantial favorite, I should say.
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: So I like Drexel in this game.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: This almost makes my card Campbell down from five to
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: four and a half.
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: I wish Campbell had a bigger game on deck than
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: NCAA and T. Although I know I give up the
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: ums Lowell play because there was that revenge factor.
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: In there as well.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Sixty ticket seventy seven percent of the cash on Drexel,
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: I agree with that. Drexel plus the points would be
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: the way that I would look at that game.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: That is one that is one of my stronger leans. Man.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: That one is close to being a play for me.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: So I guess do with that information what you want.
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I like how that one sets up. CBS
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Sports has William and Mary and UNC Wilmington. Pretty good
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: game man. William and Mary, like I said, power ratings wise,
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: they are one of the best teams in this conference.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: They've lost two straight games, so they might be in
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: a bounce back mode here. Like I said, they just
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: lost as a big favorite to Campbell. I think maybe
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: they're looking ahead to this game against UNC Wilmington's that
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: probably means they're gonna show up. However, you un see
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Wilmington's gonna show up in this game as well. Willim
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: and Mary already beat UNC Wilmington at home, so there
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a revenge modive here, I got.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's revenge, but it's more like that
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: team will make the adjustments. You un see Wilmington's coming
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: back home from being on the road for three games,
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: which isn't that easy. But I think they're absolutely gonna
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: show up for this. I think it does come down
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: to which one of these teams is the better team,
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: and I do think it is Wilmington, And that is
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: what the money is saying. They're up from five to
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: five with juice here sixty five percent of tickets on
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: William and Mary. It looks like the public kind of
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: wants to take the points here, even though William and
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Mary's record is a little bit ugly and at this point,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: I actually think William and Mary might be better than
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: their record looks. But the cash is on Wilmington here,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash. I'm not gonna disagree with it. Really,
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: I think there is an argument to be made that
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: both of these teams are overperforming. Wilmington's eighty six and
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: kem Bum's luck index. Willim and Mary won forty second,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. And then William Wilmington will try
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: to slow this thing way down though, so the home
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: team may have a bit of an advantage in this
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: matchup because this is gonna be a bit of a
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: pacing contrast here. Wilmington's gonna try to slow it down.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: William and Mary wants to speed the game way up,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: and if Wilmington is able to throw them out of
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: their element, they might be able to get it done
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: by making them uncomfortable by slowing it down. Wilmington is
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: just slightly better team. Well, actually, wait a minute, where
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: do Kempbam have Wilmington. Yes, he has Wilmington.
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: About thirty ranking spots higher.
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: And he has Wilmington as the somewhat better team on
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: both sides of the ball as well.
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: So both teams are fairly balanced.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: Just Wilmington is the better team, so do with that
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: info what you want, and then kind of a lot
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: of situational setups in this conference. NCA and T is
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: at Charleston NCAA T again, they almost pulled off that
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: upset against Drexel. Now they're playing a third straight road
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: game where they played close as an underdog in the
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: first two of them. They might just run out of
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: steam here, man. I mean, they should show up mentally
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: for a game against Charleston, but coming off a game
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: where they almost pulled off an upset that was of
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: a decent magnitude, and Charleston is coming off a scare
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: themselves against Northeastern because they pulled off a pretty nice
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: win over Hostra the game before that. So Charleston may
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: bounce back from this and show up with some focus
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: after that scare. The one issue with them is they
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: do have UNC Wilmington on deck and that's gonna be
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: a TV game in their next game, so that is
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: one concern there, Whereas Wilmington is not gonna overlook their
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: TV game here against William and Mary to have Charleston
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: on deck here, but Charleston may still overlook NCAAT. For
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: that reason, Charleston is up from ten and a half
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: to eleven here, though I probably would still lay the
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: points if I was gonna look at it, because I
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: do think what happened in their previous game matters a
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: little bit more. So, you have a team that almost
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: pulled off an upset as a pretty big underdog against
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: a team that got a scare as a pretty big favorite.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: So I like to look for the favorite in those situations.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: All right, North Florida West Georgia. I took a look
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: at this and I'm thinking, well, North Florida is in
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: a terrible spot because they just played really close against Lipscomb.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: They had a big game against Lipscomb and only lost
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: by six. Lipscomb is still one of the best teams
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: in this Atlantic Sun Conference and they have Queens on
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: DEK and Queens is.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: Near the top of the conferences.
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Well, so I'm thinking, all right, this is a sandwich
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: spot here. But then I'm looking at it more and
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: I'm like, well, they lost at home to West Georgia.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: That's who they're playing today, so there is a road
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: revenge modive here for North Florida. So there's the possibility
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: that West Georgia overlooks them for that reason, and then
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: I look at West Georgia, I'm like, oh crap, they're
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot here too, because they just played
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: really close against not a sandwich spot, but excuse me,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: they're in a letdown spot or hangover spot at the
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: very least, because they just played Austin p who was
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: actually atop the conference right now, and West Georgia played
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: them to within three, so they could be in a
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: pretty big hangover spot themselves. And the fact that they
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: already beat North Florida on the road, they might not
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: take North Florida that.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: Seriously here, so that is the concern there.
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: Both teams are in bad spots man, West Georgia down
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: from seven to six and a half, you know, because
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: of the road revenge motive, I guess I would lean
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: towards North Florida. Plus the points there both teams being
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: in bad spots, though, it's got to be a stay
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: away from me there, Brad, what's up man?
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. No, the Predators lost. What are
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: you talking about?
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: Mammoth were a win. Yes, Kansas City was complete bullshit.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: Denver.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Denver is definitely not pretty and I will disagree with
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Denver right now because that's the next game I'm going
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: to talk about. North Dakota State is coming off almost
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: losing and having to go to overtime as big favorites
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: to beat Cult Dakota. This is the reason why I
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: faded South Dakota last night because that was a huge game.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: But as I always say, when a favorite gets a
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: scare like that and they almost lose, I think they
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: show up with focus in the next game. So I
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: would lean to North Dakota State in this one. They
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: did already beat Denver on the road, but they only
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: beat them by five, so they might actually take Denver
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: seriously for that reason, because I'm pretty sure North Dakota
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: State was a bigger favorite than that here, so I
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: believe must have covered.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: No, I'm wrong.
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: My mistake in North Dakota State was only four and
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: a half in that game, But even so, I mean,
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: coming off a scare like that, I would play North
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: Dakota State or leave the game alone. They're the way
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: better team. They should be in a focused spot here. Denver,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: they're coming off of a loss to Omaha. I don't know
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: if that matters that much. Yeah, they should show up
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: obviously for a game he has North Dakota State, but
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: if the better team in North Dakota State is focused,
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: I would not want to fade them. I would lean
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: to North Dakota State in this one, but the money
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: looks like it is disagreeing with me. For what it's worth,
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: they're up from eleven to eleven and a half. So
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: the initial move was on the Bison in order to
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: go to state, but we have fifty to fifty on
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: the tickets and ninety one percent of the cash on Denver.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: I'm staying away from it.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: Personally, I kind of leaned towards North Dakota State, but
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: that's a you know, I mean, do your own thing,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: but that's that's that's the way that I look at
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: that game and then Omaha in order to coda. I
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: don't really like the spot in North Dakotas in either,
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: because they just pulled off a big upset. They were
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: like fourteen and a half point underdogs against Saint Thomas
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: and in revenge mode a home revenge.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: Spot, road reversal revenge, whatever.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: You want to call it, because they lost at home
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: already to Saint Thomas. Huge upset that they pulled off there,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: so I see them being in a letdown spot here.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: Maybe it's a concern that they lost to Omaha already
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: on the road, so maybe they will show up for
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: Omaha here for that reason. But I don't like how
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: it sets up. I think North Dakota is in a
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: letdown spot here. Omaha is on a three game win street.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: They just beat Denver on the road. I don't think
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: that's really a big deal, so the spot, to me,
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: it is better for Omaha here, although they do have
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State on deck, so that is the concern.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: This is also gonna be a third road game in
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: four games, and a second straight road game. Maybe a
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: concern with North Dakota State on deck because that is there.
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: That's gonna be road revenge because they lost at home
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: to North Dakota State. But of course North Dakota State
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: is the best team in this conference. So yeah, this one.
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: I lean towards Omaha in this one. North Dakota State
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: in North Dakota, excuse me, is minus two fifty to
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: fifty on the tickets, eighty nine percent of the cash
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: on Omaha.
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: I agree with that one. I think it's a letdown.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: Spot for for North Dakota, they're off that win over
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: Saint Thomas there, so pretty straightforward a letdown spot situation there.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: But then again, like I said, North Dakota, there aren't
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge spot there as well.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. It just keeps me off of
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: it just a little bit.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Because if Omaha did already beat North Dakota, there's the
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: potential they will overlook them for North Dakota State, you know.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: So that's what my worry is there. I'm like trying
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: to go through it to my head again. I'm like, wait,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: was what was I thinking? Linden Wood at Little Rock
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: in the Ohio Valley. I don't have a good gauge
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: on the Ohio Valley really a Little Rock there on
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: this four games slide all on the road, But they
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: did just have a huge game against conference leader Tennessee Martin.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: Little Rock came really close to pulling off that upset.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: So I worry about them coming off of that game
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: where they almost pulled off the upset. And they already
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: beat linden Wood on the road too, so there is
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: the potential that they don't take linden Wood that seriously.
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: Although when the team's lost four games in a row,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: usually they're gonna try to show up and finally get
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: a win. But that was a big game where they
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the upset against UT Martin, and again
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: linden Wood did already.
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: They did already beat.
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: Linden Wood on the road, so they might overlook them
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: for that reason. Linden would just lost at home to
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville. I think they will show up for a
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: little bit of road revenge here where more I think
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: it might be that Little Rock overlooks them. But the
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: concern with linden Wood here is that they do have
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Martin, Simo, and Tennessee State all on deck. Those
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: are the top three teams in the conference all on deck.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: So the worry is that they might still look past
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: a Little Rock a little bit for that reason. So
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play the game, but I would lean
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: towards Lindenwood. Little Rock did flip from plus one to
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: a pick them and looks like they're like a small
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: favorite here now. But I would lean towards linden Wood
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: as a small underdog here. If you can get like
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: a point or so on that probably the way I
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: would look or a money line price or whatever. Not
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be on my card though, but I think Lindenwood
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: is the better side there.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: Abilene Christian in Utah Valley.
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley is still the best team in the whack,
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: and the only time they played Abilene Christian they did
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: lose pretty disgustingly by seventeen on the row, and Abilene
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: Christian's not having a good season, so I kind of
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: expect Utah Valley to bounce back here and get the
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: win and probably the cover here this time in revenge.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: Abiline Christian is not going to overlook them though. They've
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: lost five.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Games in a row, including losing in their last game
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: to a pretty ugly Southern Utah team, So that would
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: be my concern with that is that Abilie Christian is
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: still not going to overlook Utah Valley. I would probably
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: prefer laying the points in that one. The money's not
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: really agreeing. Utah Valley dropped from thirteen and a half
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: to thirteen, seventy five percent of the tickets and ninety
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on Abalan Christian, So that's
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: the information for you. There not really a strong read,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: but I thought it was just interesting to talk about
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: dirty sock.
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right, Ohio State and Maryland.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: There is this big ten game on Fox Sports one
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: at eight thirty pm Eastern. Ohio State is coming off
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: a decent game against Wisconsin. I mean, the game wasn't
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: really that close down the stretch, but they also do
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: have Michigan on deck in revenge and Ohio State Michigan
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: that is a huge thing. So given this setup, in
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: the fact they have a third road game in four
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: games and they have to travel to the East Coast
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: for this to play this very weak Maryland team that
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: nobody's really paying attention to.
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: I don't love how it sets up for Ohio State.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: Maryland just got blown out back at home by Purdue
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: and just staying at home, so you gotta think they're
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: gonna show up here. At least they've They've been embarrassed
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: in their last two games, man losing by over forty
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: at Michigan State and then losing by thirty at home
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: to Purdue.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: This Maryland team is way down this year.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: They suck, I know, but the only way that I
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: could look at this game would be a fade Ohio state.
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: Ohio State is up from seven to seven and a half. Here,
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be public eighty nine percent of the tickets
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: and only eighty three percent of the cash on them.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: It'll be a TV game, so the line will probably
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: be a bit skewed towards Ohio State as well. You
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: could kind of make the argument they're in a sandwich spot.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: It is a weird travel spot. At the very least,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: I would have to take the points with Maryland. Like
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: I said, if I was gonna play that game Western
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Illinois at Tennessee Tech just for brad Tennessee Tech, Yeah,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: I probably agree with this one. They just pulled off
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: an upset over Tennessee State in state rival Tennessee State,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: who's second in the conference.
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: That was definitely a pretty.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Sizable upset there for Tennessee Tech seven and a half
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: point underdogs there, So yeah, they pulled off the upset there.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Now they get this Western Illinois team that they beat
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: on the road already. Western Illinois they don't even have
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: a win.
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: In conference yet.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: They are really really pitiful, so it's definitely gonna be
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: really easy to overlook them. And Eastern Illinois is at
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: least a revenge game for Tennessee Tech. That's their next game,
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: even though Eastern Illinois is not good, but they did
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: beat Tennessee Tech at least, so I guess you could
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: make the argument they're gonna look ahead to that one possibly,
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree with Western Illinois here, but I
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: mean it's it is very, very ugly. But yeah, Western
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: Illinois did just get embarrassed at home by forty points
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: against you team, Martin. I know that's the best team
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: in the conference, but nobody wants to lose by forty points,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: so I think they will at least try to show
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: up and try to win this game. I don't disagree
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: with that one. Tennessee Tech up from eight to eight
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, I would take the points with
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: Western Illinois.
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: I don't want to.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not on my card, but yeah, that
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: would be the way that I lean at the very least.
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: And then Utam Martin is coming off that escape against
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Little Rock, so usually that team will show up with
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: more focus here. But the problem is they're facing a
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: bad Southern Indiana team they already beat by double digits
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: on the road, so there is still the possibility they
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: just look right past this team. They got Morehead and
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: linden Wood on deck, and those are at least two
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: competitive teams in the conference.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: So I don't really love it for UT Martin here.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: Southernland Indiana is really bad, but they are coming off
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: a couple losses at home. Might be good for them
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: to just get out of there, try to focus, try
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: to get a win or something that. I don't think
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: they're gonna win, but they might be able to cover.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Martin up from eleven to eleven and a half
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: here this game. I probably would look towards taking the
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: points with Southern Indiana there, but I don't know because
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: UT Martin is off that escape so I don't know.
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: But it is a really low total, so it could
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: be a pretty ugly game and tough for them to
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: cover a number like that. I know I've had Tennessee
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: Martin a couple of times this year, but not as
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: a favorite of that magnitude. And then I probably would
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: need to Tennessee State as well. They're up from nine
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten and a half against Eastern Illinois.
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State off of that bad upset loss to Tennessee Tech.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: I just talked about they might be bounced back mode
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: coming into this, and they also actually lost at Eastern
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: Illinois already, so Tennessee State, they don't have too many
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: conference losses and that's one of them, so they have
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: a chance to.
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: Avenge that loss.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: So I think they will show up with a solid
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: amount of focus here. I mean, Eastern Illinois is not
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: really gonna overlook them either with three losses in a row,
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: but they're a pretty bad team. The only way that
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: I would be able to play that game would be
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: to lay it with Tennessee State. All right, ESPN two
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: has an American Conference game here between Memphis and UAB.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: People are not gonna really want Memphis, I don't think
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: at this point, even though they do have that name recognition,
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: their record is just real ugly, So I think people
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: are gonna have a tendency to want UAB here. But
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: UAB is not favored by much, favored by less than
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: home course at two and a half, So the oddsmakers
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: are telling you Memphis is actually the better team here.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: They have had a pretty difficult schedule. I mean, some
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: of their out of conference schedule is pretty difficult. Memphis,
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: they haven't been great in conference, so they are coming
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: up a very ugly home loss to Tulane, where I
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: thought that was a bit of a tricky spot because
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Memphis had blown out Florida Atlantic the prior game, which
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: is a pretty satisfying win. Tulane is very overrated, but
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Memphis somehow lost to them as a pretty big favorite,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: so again, I think it might have been because of
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: the sandwich nature of that spot between FAU and UAB.
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: So I think they will show up for this game,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: especially because they're in a bounce back spot now after
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: that loss. I don't believe these teams have played each other.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: I think this might be the only time they play
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: this year. UAB should probably show up as well, though.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, they did just get a couple of wins,
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: but beating North Texas is not a great thing this year,
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: So I think both teams will show up. But you
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: might see a little bit of extra motivation to Memphis.
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: And the line does look a little bit weird. It's
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: actually one and a half right now, consensus UAB up
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: from one to one and a half.
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: Basically, pick the winner. It's gonna look way too easy
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: to play UAB, and the oddsmakers are telling you they're
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: not actually the better team.
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: So I lean Memphis in that one. Money seems like
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: it agrees with that. Fifty seven percent of the tickets
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: are ond UAB eighty three percent of the cash on Memphis.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: I agree with Memphis in that one. You see Santa Barbara,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: you see Davis in the Big West. You see Santa Barbara.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: They're on a nice role here, man. They've won five
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: games in a row. They came off beating the previous
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: conference champs. You see San Diego, who are basically playing
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: themselves out in the conference here, man, but they're still
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're that bad of a team still.
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: You see San Diego.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: But you see Santa Barbera's on the rise, man, and
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: now they're playing a you See Davis team that actually
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: beat them at You see Santa Barbara. So we got
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: road revenge here for You see Santa Barbara coming into
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: this one, and they're on a nice role here, coming
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: out of an easy win over Fullerton.
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: In their last game, Cal State Fullerton.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: So I don't think they're gonna overlook you see Davis
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: maybe because that literally was their last loss that they
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: took was at home to you see Davis. That was
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: their only home loss in conference, so I don't see
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: them overlooking this game, even though they do have a
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: big game against UC Irvine on deck, who are the
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: conference leaders.
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: So there is still the concern about the look ahead there.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: But you see Davis is right behind them in the
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: standings too, so I don't see them overlooking them for
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: those reasons. You see Davis should show up as well.
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: They're coming off an easy winever cal State Bakersfield. But
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: you see, Santa Barbara is the better team, and I
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: would have to lean that way, but you're getting less
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: value on them now. The money looks like it is
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: coming in on that side and agreeing with me. They're
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: up from two to four here, so Oddsmaker's telling you
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: they're the substantially better team here.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: Laying points like that on the road, sixty two percent of.
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: The tickets, sixty six percent of the cash on you
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: see Santa Barbara. I do not disagree with it, though
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: I would lay it if I was gonna play that game.
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: All right, what else do you got? Well, I don't know,
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: I mean.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: Some of these big yeah, I don't know, are these
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: big sky games that interesting? I mean Northern Colorado and
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: weaber State might be Northern Colorado is not as bad
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: as the record looks. As I keep saying, they have
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: finally given themselves some momentum with two straight wins. They're
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: going to Weaver State, who already beat them in Northern Colorado,
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: so there is a little bit of a road revenge
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: angle here. I expect Northern Colorado will show up here.
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: Weaber State is coming up a pretty ugly loss though
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: at Sacramento State, so I don't see them overlooking this
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: game either though, even though they did beat Northern Colorado
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: on the road and Northern Colorado is the better team,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: they're favored on the road here, I would probably lean
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: that way. They're up from one to one and a
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: half basically here, I would probably lean that way just
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: because they are. Yeah, they are in revenge mode there,
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: even though I don't know that Weaver State would really
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: overlook them, but taking the better team in a game
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: like that it makes sense.
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: And then we do have Idaho. Montana State might be
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: the most competitive of these matchups because Idaho is near
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: the top of the conference.
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: They've been playing decently. They just broke a couple of
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: game losing streak with a win against Northern Arizona. It
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: is a third straight road game for them, though, which
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: is not gonna be easy, and they actually beat Montana State,
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: who is their opponent tonight, at home already, so Montana
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: State may show up with a little bit more focus
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: here in this one, even though I think Montana State
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: actually covered at Idaho. I think Idaho might have been
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite in that one.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: I forget though, but Montana State is coming up losing
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: Portland State.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: Now, that was a big game.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: Portland State's atop the conference, so you could make the
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: argument they're gonna be hung over after that, but I
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: think it depends how close the game was, and it
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: was fairly close down the stretch. It was within five
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: points late, so I guess I could see that argument
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: of the hangover spot there. The market Reid is kind
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: of pointing towards Idaho with a little bit of a
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: drop on Montana State as a three point favorite, though
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a good opinion.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: On this one though.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: I was slightly leaning towards Montana State though, because they
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: did already take that loss to Idaho, but I don't know,
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: thinking about it a little bit more, maybe because Idaho.
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think covered in that first game. Idaho should
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: be focused here as well.
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe I do actually somewhat lead towards Idaho getting the
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: points out of they think about it a little bit more.
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, So I don't know.
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: Those are the big Sky games that are more competitive
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: that had some interest. CBS Sports has Jacksonville State at
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky kind of an ugly Conference USA game, even
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: though Jacksonville State is closer to the top of the conference.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky is not too bad though. Jacksonville State just
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: lost a three game winning streak with a loss at
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: Missouri State, where I think they were about four and
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: a half point dogs in that one, and they played
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: pretty tough against Missouri State, who's near the top of
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: the conference as well. Now on a third straight road game,
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: and they have a revenge game against Kennesaw on deck.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: So I kind of worry about Jacksonville State here, man,
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: that this might not be the best spot for them.
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: They also already beat Western Kentucky by nine, no excuse me,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: eleven at home, so there's a little bit of a
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: revenge mode for Western Kentucky here.
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: Two, there is the possibility of.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State overlooking them, even though Western Kentucky is actually
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: the better team. Interestingly enough, as the Osbakers are actually
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: telling you, like, why would they be laying points and
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: they have almost a worse record and their conference record
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: is worse, well, the Osbakers are telling you they're actually
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: the better team.
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: Western Kentucky just.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: Broke a four game losing streak with a win on
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: the road. It was it was a good win against
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: the Middle Tennessee that I think it was probably an upset,
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: but Middle Tennessee, I mean, I don't think teams are
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: just taking them seriously at this point really though, because
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: they're they just got a bad record, even though I
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: think Middle Tennessee is one of the unluckiest teams.
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: In the country.
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: Uh Like, I think they're a lot better power ratings
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: wise than the record looks. But these teams don't really
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: think about that type of thing. So I think that
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: win is just a good confidence building win for Western
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: Kentucky coming into this one.
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: I think the spot sets up.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: Better for Western Kentucky here erasing their losing street. Jacksonville
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: State already beat them once. Looks like Jacksonville State is
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: setting up as a public underdog here too. Sixty seven
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, only fifty two percent of
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: the cash Western Kentucky down from five to four and
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: a half. Here, I would lay the points with Western
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Kentucky if I was gonna play that one.
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: That's a TV game there.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: And then we have my last play of the day
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: on college basketball, because they do have one more Hindian
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: what's up?
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Man? The last play best bets here for college of basketball? Weird?
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: This one is real ugly, man. I'm a little bit
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: concerned about it, but it's about the spot. We're gonna
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: take cal State Bakersfield plus sixteen and a half and
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: kind of hope that you see Irvine is gonna slow
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: this thing down because Irvine is is at this point
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: they're the best. I think they're the best team in
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: this conference at this point, probably maybe Hawaii. The money
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: looks like it's agreeing with me on this. By the way,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: Irvine did initially go up to sixteen and a half.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: We have sixty seven percent of tickets in ninety eight
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on bakers Field, And.
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: Where I'm going with this is mostly the situation.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: This is a sandwich spot that you See Irvine is
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: in man as they just beat you See San Diego
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: on the road two games ago in a.
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: Very competitive matchup.
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: Mean you see San Diego of course won the conference
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: last year and did it by beating you See Irvine
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: in the final, and Irvine had been one of the
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: better teams in the conference for years leading into this.
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: That was a huge revenge game for U See Irvine.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: That was a big game, but they did not suffer
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: a let down in the next game because they got
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: to host Hawaii, who was up the conference in Irvine.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: With beating Hawaii, he took sole possession of first place
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: in the conference. So those are two massive wins for
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: U See Irvine. Now they got Cal State bakers Field here,
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: who they already beat on the road of the They
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: only beat them by four, but still they did beat
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: them on the road. Although the one concerned I guess
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: is that they were eleven and a half way favorites
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: and only got by by four. So I know that
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: is an angle that sometimes I use where when a
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: team is a big favorite in the first conference matchup,
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: if they fail to cover, sometimes they will take that
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: team seriously. But I still don't see it here man
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: coming off two monster wins like that, and the fact
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: they did win on the road against Bakersfield already, and
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: up next they have the team that's next in the
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: standings basically tied with a y half game behind them.
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: You see Santa Barbara.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: That's who they play next, So that's gonna be a
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: huge game up next.
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: So this is absolutely a sandwich spot.
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna take Bakersfield in this one, even though, yes,
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: I realize they're really really bad. I know they're on
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: a huge skid right now.
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: They're on a six game skid.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: But we don't even win this game. We just need
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: them to cover. But I think since they've lost six
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: games in a row, at least I think know you're
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: gonna get some effort of them. At the very least.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: They put in some effort in their most recent game
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: against UC Davis, only losing by eight. There were five
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: and a half point dogs in this one, so they
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: didn't cover. This is at home at cal State bakers too.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: It was a fairly close game for them. So yeah,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: I know they're coming off a decent performance against a
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: decent team, but they're not gonna overlook. You see Irvine here, man,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: so I think you'll at least get an effort out
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: of them. Here, I'm looking at Kenbom's numbers. Actually he
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: does have Hawaii is better up than you see Irvine
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: by about twenty ranking spots. You see Irvines very good
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: on defense, but they're very lopsided.
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: They don't score well.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: They're twenty eighth defensively according to Kenbomb, but their offense
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: is pretty bad outside of the top two fifties. So
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: that's not great when you're trying to cover a massive
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: number like this, right, Like, that's more the style. Team
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: is going to be playing a low scoring game, right
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: because they can't score, But they also are really good defensively,
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: and that's kind of what we want here. We want
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: this to be an ugly scoring game where we can
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: just get this Bakersfield team to just get in with
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: under this number here, because obviously I'm not saying they're
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game, although I would still put like
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: maybe one percent of the bet on the money line
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: just to do it. But you see, Irvine's a mid
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: tempo team, but because of their lack of offense, they
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: don't play in these high scoring games man, And they
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: are a little bit lucky according to ken Bum at
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: one forty seven.
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: Bakersfield is also lucky.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately, according to Kent Bomb like they shouldn't even be
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: worse than what their record is, but both teams are
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: kind of on the lucky side of things, so I'm
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: gonna consider that to be a bit of a wash.
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: Bakersfield does like to play fast, but Irvine is probably
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: gonna slow the game down a bit for that reason.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: But I like that more because if it's if Irvine
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: wants to slow the game down more and points are
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: gonna be more to premium, let them do it, because
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: that means it'll be more difficult, I think for them
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: to cover a number like this. Bakersfield, I know they're
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: really bad on both sides of the ball. They're outside
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: of the top three hundred both offense and deepfense.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: I get it.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: There's not much to like, but what we like is
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: the spot here man. And then it seems like the
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: money might actually be agreeing with me now, and the
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: total is not particularly high at one forty four and
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: a half, so I think we're gonna we might get
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: a situation where points are gonna be somewhat at a
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: premium so hopefully we can get a situation where Bakersfield
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: can hopefully, you know, if they can hit like high
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: fifties in a game like this, they might be able
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: to cover.
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: So hopefully we can get that.
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: Man, And yeah, I think that's pretty much all I
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: was gonna talk about as far as these games today.
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: What we do have Charloton at cal Baptist. Cal Baptist
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: is actually pretty much tie atop the whack with Utah
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Value right now, so they're probably the second best team
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: in the whack. They're coming off a win over ut
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: Arlington otherwise a decent win because ut Arlington was actually
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: tied with them basically or ahead of them actually in
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: conference standings, and they beat Utah Valley the game before
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: that too, so Cal Baptists coming off two pretty big wins. However,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: they did lose on the road to Tarleton already, so
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: they might actually show up for Tarleton just for that reason.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: But they could be in a letdown spot here. Tarleton
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: is coming into this on a bunch of losses in
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: a row whatever. This is six straight losses, including a
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: home loss to Utah Tech which was real ugly, So
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I would probably lean towards Tarleton, and
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: that went towards the letdown spot for cal Baptists throughout
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: from nine and a half to ten. Looks like it's
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: gonna be an ugly game with a total of one forty,
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: so not necessarily a gaining want. We want to lay
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: a ton of points, fifty percent of tickets, fifty four
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Tarleton. So the money looks
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: like it is kind of agreeing with Tarleton. I won't
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: disagree with that, but that's it for college basketball for.
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: Me, man, So you got my opinions there, And.
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: Again, if I was gonna add any other plays, I
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: think it would be, uh, Drexel and.
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on outside, man.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: I hear a bunch of stupid horns beeping or whatever Drexel,
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: and then I think maybe.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: Omaha. I like those two. So yeah, I mean, do
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: with that info what you want.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: I guess maybe those are a couple of the stronger
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: opinions that I would have there, Although it looks like
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: the money's coming into North Dakota now in that North
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: Dakota and Omaha game, So I don't know, but there's
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: no way I would play North Dakota off of that
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: monster upset.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: So all right, hockey, last hockey, last.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: NHL day before we get a two week break for
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: the Olympics, which at least again it gives me a
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: little bit less to have to do, so it gives
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: me a break. Pittsburgh at Buffalo is the first game up.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is coming off two straight losses here, maybe there'll
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: be in a little bit of a bit of a
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: bounce back mode here. They're having to play a third
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: game in four day's, all all in different cities. And
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: they did play the Islanders into overtime any game where
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: I liked the spot for the Islanders in that one,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: and they did get the done, but it was a
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: close game, and the Islanders have played well this year.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: So Pittsburgh, they're gonna have to play a big after game.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: Two games in a row here in different cities. That
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: doesn't make it that easy, but the spot is worse
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: for Buffalo here. Buffalo is returning from Florida, and I
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: know it was a quick Monday Tuesday road trip, but
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: they are playing a third game in four days as well,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, and they're having to travel back
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: up from Florida, and they upset Florida when they were
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: down there, and they almost upset Tampa Bay, losing an
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: overtime pretty much in brutal fashion in that game. So
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: I do think the spot is worse for Buffalo for
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: those reasons, and it is technically a return home spot,
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: although it's not like they were away from home that long.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: But I think that the hangover spot for them is
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be worse coming up that Tampa Bay game, Plus
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: the travel is worse, whereas Pittsburgh is staying in the
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: state of New York, so I would lean to Pittsburgh
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: in this game. Buffalo is down from minus one thirty
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: to minus one to nineteen. They're gonna be the public side.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: It looks like seventy four percent of tickets and cash on.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: I still don't really buy either of these teams being
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: particularly great, to be honest, but in that spot, I
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh is the lean on New York Islanders at
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: New Jersey Islanders are staying in the New York area,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: so not much of a travel spot here. They're playing
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days with the first game
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: haven't been in Washington though, so it is technically third
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: game in four days. All in different cities, but again
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: with the last two just being in Queen's and then
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: going to New Jersey, not really much of a trip there.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: They did just beat Pittsburgh in overtime. Now I don't
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna consider that to be a big
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: win or not, but I think the main factor here
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: is they might not take New Jersey seriously because what
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: happened the last time the Islanders played in New Jersey.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: Oh well, the Islanders beat them nine to nothing at
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: the Islanders back on January sixth in Queens, So they
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: might not take.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: New Jersey seriously for that reason.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: In New Jersey might have a bit of an extra
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: motivation here because that was one of their most embarrassing
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: losses that they've ever had, man probably, so I.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Like New Jersey in this one.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: And they're also coming off another embarrassing loss where they
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: got shut out at home yet again against Columbus, and
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: now they're staying at home off of that, they've lost
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: four or five games. They also are a bit more
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: rested because they had a big well not a big break,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: but they had two days off prior to that Columbus game,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: so they're more rested here too, So The only way
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: I could look at this game is to.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: Play the Devils. I kind of like it.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: Actually, this is one of the stronger opinions for me
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: and hockey today. It's not the play that I have,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: but I like it. The Islanders are down for minus
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: one to ten to minus one on eight. Seventy nine
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets are on the Islanders, fifty two percent
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: of the cash on New Jersey. My hesitation is really
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: just how bad of a spot is it really for
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: the Islanders. But they just might not take the Devil seriously.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: So yeah, money agrees with me on the Devils. I
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: that is the only way I would look at that
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: game is Devil's money line. Carolina is at the Rangers.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: We get another Rangers home here, where the Rangers have
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: been futurd at home. Carolina's coming up two straight wins
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: that they barely got by auto one their last game.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: They do have to travel up to New York though,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: for this one final game before the break, so maybe
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: they're not going to be down to do that. They
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: did just play the Rangers at home back on December
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: twenty ninth and had to go to overtime to beat them.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: But I don't know how seriously they're going to take
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: this trip up to New York, Man, to be honest,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: because Carolina might just be okay coasting into the break
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: At this point for the Rangers, they've lost six of
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: seven games, they've lost three more games in a row.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: They haven't played since January thirty first, so they've had
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: a big break here, man, And that's good when you're losing.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: I think having a break is a good thing because
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: you get to bust out of that losing momentum. So
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean towards the Rangers here,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: even though they are really bad at.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: Home six fourteen and four at.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: Home unbelievably bad, and Carolina is pretty solid on the
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: road at fourteen.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: Seven and four.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: But in a spot like this, I think I have
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: to lean towards the Rangers. But I'm not gonna get
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: there with it either.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: I just can't do it.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: But you're getting a huge underdog price with them, so
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: you might be able to find a puck line that's
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: at a pretty reasonable price there. For them to come
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: within one goal seems like a reasonable ask here. Carolina
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: down for minus two twenty to minus two h five,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: that's how bad the Rangers are and how much disrespect
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: they're getting in the market. Now Carolina is a massive
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: road favorite against them. Carolina is one of the best
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: teams in hockey though, so that's also part of the
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: reason why that's the case.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be a public side.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: It looks like eighty eight percent of the tickets ninety
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on Carolina for now. We'll
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: see how that shakes out, but probably I would be
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: looking to the Rangers puck line there. Next game up
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: is my actual play.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: So let's go to it. Man.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be right back on the Philadelphia Flyers again.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: They treated us well, I think in their last game,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: but we're.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: Doing it again.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia, Philadelphia fly All right, we're gonna fade Ottawa here.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: Ottawa just lost a four game win streak, and you
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: know I talk about when teams lose win streak sometimes
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: it'll hang them over. They're playing a third game in
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: four days, all in different cities where they won at Pittsburgh,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: had to go down to Carolina on Monday Tuesday. Now
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: before the break, they come back up and they have
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: to play this Philadelphia team.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: It's been struggling.
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I see it, man, even if
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: it is gonna be oh Mark back in net year,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: and they did win both of his games since he
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: came back, but and he is definitely their best goal,
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: that is true. But I don't like the spot man.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: A lot of times when a team loses the win streak,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: they'll be hungover. And the way they lost that win streak.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: They lost at Carolina by one goal in a close game,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: but the game was tied three to three in the
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: final like five minutes of the game basically, and they
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: gave up the game winning goal.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: To Carolina at that point.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: That is brutal after Ottawa had erased a three to
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: one deficit in the game too, So pretty brutal way
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: to lose that game for Ottawa. So I do not
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: like how they roll into this game, ma'am. And for Philadelphia,
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: they just broke a losing streak, so they're on the
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: opposite end of momentum here where they had a four
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: game losing streak and ended it with that win over Washington.
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: So we got the win with them in that game.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: It was a good setup and I think it is
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: again actually because they're staying at home and they had
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: two days off coming into that game, so they're more
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: rested here and they've had way less travel. They've been
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: at home since January thirty first and had a break
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: in between there, so the spot is way better in
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: my opinion for the Flyers here. That's what we're gonna
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: go with the Flyers, or my one play today in hockey.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: The market read looks like it's all over it. You'll
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: be able to get a decent underdog price on them.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: It's a money line play here. Autaw is up for
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty to minus one thirty five, sixty nine
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets around Ottawa, eighty percent of the cash
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: coming back on Philly though, so I expect at some
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: point this line's gonna start dropping back towards Philly.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to get into that range.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: Drid go Oh, you got to make your own puck
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: line or whatever. Uh, but yes, I like the Flyers
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: in that one again. All right, Florida, excuse me, Nashville
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: and Washington first. Sorry, That Florida Tampa Bay game is
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: probably the best game of the night, though. Nashville is
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: coming into this off of playing last night and losing
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: an overtime for us.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: Pissed off about it. Still, it was a back.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: And forth game, crazy high scoring game against a pretty
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: decent Minnesota team, went into overtime.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: I just don't like this man.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: Now Nashville has to travel to Washington before going into
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: the break off of that huge effort. Doesn't look good
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: to me for Nashville. For Washington, they did not play yesterday.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: They lost to Philadelphia on their last game, but they
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: are playing a third game in four days with travel
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: between all of that. But Washington to Philadelphia is not
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: a huge travel leg, so I don't think that's that
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: big of a deal.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: They're back at home.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: Yes, it will have revenge against Philadelphia after the break,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: but I don't think that matters. They're coming home off
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: of a loss. They did lose a winning streak with
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: that loss. But based on what Nashville did yesterday, in fact,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: they have to travel to a spot where maybe they
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: don't even want to be there.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: I would have to lean towards Washington here.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: But the money is all over Nashville in this game,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: and I do not understand it at all.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: I would not want to do that.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: Washington dropped for minus one ninety to minus one fifty
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: seven here. I don't know if there is a goaltending
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: switch here or whatever, but I don't even think Washington
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: has a huge disparity between their goalies. Anyways, I don't
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: know what's going on here. Sixty three percent of the
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: tickets on Washington, eighty seven percent of the cash on Nashville.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: So there's a huge market read on Nashville here, but
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: I don't understand it. And if I don't understand it,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: I won't play the game. And I actually lean in
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: the opposite way towards Washington based on how I handicap it.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: So that game I'm definitely leaving alone.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: Florida at Tampa Bay, huge game on Hulu. This is
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: a big game.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: Man. If these teams don't like each other, they're both
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: in Florida.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: Of course, Tampa Bay is now the better of the
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: two teams, so they've overtaken Florida after Florida won the
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: Stanley Cup the last two years. Maybe Florida will be
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: playing with a little bit of a chip on their shoulder.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: But the problem is, Florida just beat my Boston Bruins
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: in a crazy shootout.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: Win last night.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: After the Bruins actually came back in that game to
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: tie the game from down.
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: Two goals and fell just short.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: Brews are gonna need this Olympic break, man, after going
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: all out in those two Florida games. At least they
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: have the break now they're not having to play a
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: game coming off those two games, because that was crazy.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: Florida did get the win and they broke a four
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: game win streak, but they're on a back to back
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: having to go to Tampa Bay and that was a
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: wild game against the Bruins last night. So I not
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: the Minnesota while So I don't know if it's a
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: great spot for Florida here, man, even though generally I
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: would say yeah, they probably have a chip on their
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: shoulder here playing against Tampa Bay after Tampa Bay has
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: now become the better team in Florida.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay has won four games in a row.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: They had a crazy shootout with the same final score
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: I think six to five or was it.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: Five to four for Florida last night.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember whatever, yes it was, but almost
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: the same score. Tampa did do that, and then Tampa
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: beat Buffalo after that in overtime. But Tampa they've been
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: staying in Tampa this whole time, So the spot to me,
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: it does look a little bit better for Tampa on
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: no travel and a day off here, and you know,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: maybe they consider that game against Buffalo to be an escape,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: although probably Florida's game last night was an escape as well.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: The money is all coming in on Florida, hear, so
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: the market Reid is saying Florida. But I have a
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: lot of concerns with it. Tampa Bay down for minus
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: two twenty to minus one seventy five on the money
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: line here, sixty seven percent of tickets on them, seventy
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash coming back on Florida. Again,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: I worry about it, and I think Florida is probably
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: I think Bobrovski played last night, so it's probably not
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be him in nets, so they're probably going with Tarsov,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: who's not their better goaliese. So that's that would be
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: a concern for Florida as well. And I don't know
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: if Tampa's gonna go with Vassilevsky again or not going
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: into the break. Maybe based on the line movement here,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: maybe they're they're switching it back to Johansson for this game,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: and maybe that's why the line moved like that. I
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: don't know, but I can't really see a Florida play
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, even though I think they do
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: consider themselves to kind of be a little brother at
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: this point against Tampa Bay.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: I just don't like the spot.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: But the money is all over Florida, seventy nine percent
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, a sixty seven percent of
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: the tickets on Tampa.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: Do with that information what you.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: Want, but I you know, my slight opinion would be
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: in the opposite direction. But I think I have a
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: stronger opinion on Washington than on Tampa Bay. There, and
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: then we have LA at Vegas. Probably a good thing
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: for LA. They get to go out on the road
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: because they stink at home and they just lost that
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: game yesterday against Seattle.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: We got the win there.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: That was a terrible spot for LA, returning home from
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: a long road trip off a huge game to finish
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: the road triven with this game looming on deck.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: Awful spot.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: I know Seattle was in the back to back, but
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: they got it done for us. They had their primary
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: goaliean net for us there as well. I'm pretty sure
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: my man from the Boston area to Cord.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: So now the Kings are.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: On a back to back, they do have to travel
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: to Vegas, but you know, I mean, maybe it's not
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: that bad of a spot for them because they're looking
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: to bounce back here. I think they were overlooking their
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: opponent yesterday Seattle. Don't think it matters which goalie they have,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: the kind of alternate between the two, and the Kings
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: are a lot better on the road. Like I said,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: they're fifteen seven and seven on the road, and they're
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: way worse at home. So the Kings are definitely better
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: on the road. The Knights haven't been that great at
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: home really thirteen eight and seven, so they have had
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: a lot of overtime games, a lot of overtime losses
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: They're not like a dominant home.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: Team at the very least Right now for Vegas, they're
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: coming into this game off of breaking a loser streak.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: They actually played yesterday as well, they broke a five
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: game losing streak with an easy win over Vancouver. Though,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: so given the fact that La does have a travel here,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: Vegas is in a spot where it might be a
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: positive spot as well.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: With some new.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: Momentum probably leaned Vegas here but the money is coming
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: in on the Kings. Vegas down for minus one forty
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: five to minus won twenty five, sixty percent of tickets,
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on the Kings.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: I don't quite.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: Love it, man, But the oddsmakers are telling you something here.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: With Vegas now being basically less almost less than home Ice.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: Here they're telling you there's not much of a disparity
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: between these two teams right now, which is kind of
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: an insane thing to think about. So the line does
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: make it look a little bit too easy to play
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: Vegas in that game.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away, But again, do with all this information
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: what you want. Let's go to NBA, which handicapping the
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: NBA today is not something that I love. There's just
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: a lot of moving parts, a lot going on in
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: the NBA today. The first game up is Washington at Detroit,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: and my standard read on this is that Detroit is
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot. Washington, of course, didn't get anything
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: done for us the other night. They got blown out
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: by the Knicks when they caught the Knicks in a
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: bad spot.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: Didn't even matter.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: But now Washington, you gotta worry about all these trades
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: that just happened, because when teams have all these new
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: faces coming in, it takes a while to adjust to
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: it and you have to get chemistry. So I worry
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: about that a little bit with Washington having new guys
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: coming in here. So that might be a concern for
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: Washington here, although they're coming off a blowout loss, and
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: you got to think that maybe going out on the
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: road will be a good thing and that they should
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: at least focus on Detroit. Whereas Detroit they just beat
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: Denver that was a nice win on Tuesday, and they
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: have the Knicks upcoming on tomorrow on Prime, so they're
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: pretty much in a sandwich spot here. So Detroit is
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: definitely not in a good spot. But looking at the line,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: it's dropped a little bit from We'll dropped from seventeen
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: to fifteen here with the Pistons sixty three percent of
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, sixty five percent of the cash.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: Now with the Pistons, you.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: Know, I'm pretty tempted to give out a play on
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: the Wizards again here. Some of it is going to
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: depend on what's going on with Cad Cunningham, because he's
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: of course the key player for the Pistons here, and
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: he might not in this game just because I guess
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: he has a wrist thing, but it's more like injury management.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: But if he's out, does that mean that Detroit's really
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: gonna step up their game against Washington? Or are they
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: still gonna overlook Washington? And that's kind of the question here, man,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: because I do like Washington. Otherwise, I think it's a
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: pretty bad spot for Detroit to be honest, I think
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: It.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: Typically i'd be on Washington in this game, but now
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: I'm like, you know, I don't know.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: Should I be? Is the question?
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: Because I do have one play here, but I'm tempted
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: to give this out as a play despite all these
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: moving parts.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: Let me see what the trade actually evolved for Washington here. Uh, well,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: the Wizards traded for Anthony Wait do they get Anthony Davis?
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: They did, but that doesn't matter because he's not gonna play. Yeah,
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: So you know what, I think maybe we can play
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: Washington here because the main piece of that trade was
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: Anthony Days.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: But he's clearly not gonna play.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: He has who I don't even know when the last
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: time he played was, and I guess Washington got exhum
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: from Dallas in another trade. But he's not gonna play either.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: He's hurt, so it doesn't even matter.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: Really. These guys are out anyway, so I don't think
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: that matters. Man. Yeah, Davis has been out for over
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: a month.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know when he's coming back, but yeah, I
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: don't think there's any way he's coming back. Like he's
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: not gonna play tonight, So you know what, let's do it.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: If Cunningham is not gonna play, and the word comes
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: out that he's not gonna play, the line might actually
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: drop a little bit.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: So I think maybe.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: Taking Washington now makes sense. If it's announced that he's
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: gonna play, there is that worry, then maybe the Pistons
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: will wind up being a bit of a bigger favorite.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: So that's the risk. It's like, when do you want
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: to play this game?
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: Is the question?
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: You can get fifteen right now though on on Washington.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: You know what, let's do it, even though they're really
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: on my bad side right now, we'll do Washington plus fifteen.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna wind up with five plays here hanging.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: I apologize I'm putting in the banner right now. Streamyard
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: is not.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: Not being good right now? All right, there we go.
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: All right, we'll do it. Washington plus fifteen. There's that play,
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: all right. Brooklyn is at Orlando. This is a pretty
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: ugly game, man. Brooklyn did get pretty much destroyed by
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: LA and their last game was a terrible spot for Brooklyn. Though,
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: returning home from a long road trip, the money was
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: seemingly indicating on Brooklyn as kind of being the professional side.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: I didn't like it, you know me. I'm just gonna.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: Avoid these teams returning home, even if they're playing a
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: good team like the Lakers. They got smacked anyway. The
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: Lakers have had Austin Reeves back for a little while
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: now too.
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: By the way, but.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: Now that Brooklyn's coming off that, you know, another bad loss.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: It was in a bad spot. Maybe it'll be good
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: for them to leave again going on the road play Orlando.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: Orlando hasn't been playing very well. But Orlando probably should
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: show up in this game as well. But they are
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: turning on from a road trip. Although it was a
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: quick road trip. It was just Sunday Tuesday, losing both
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: games to San Antonio and Oklahoma City. You know, I
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: like to fade teams are turning on from long road trips.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: But when you're only gone for a couple of days,
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: stuff doesn't really a pile up at home to do.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: Although Brooklyn is still not really a team that's gonna
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: draw your focus.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: When you've lost two games in a row and your
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: only game up next is Utah, I don't know, man.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, the money is still coming in of the
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: nets in this one. The Magic are down for eleven
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten and a half here, sixty
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: five percent of tickets on them, sixty seven percent of
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: the cash on the nets. So the market reed is
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: saying the nets here. I'm not gonna disagree with that,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: but I don't want anything to do with it.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: I don't see a strong situation here at all.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: I think it might just be more a numbers play.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: Got to check to see if Wagner's playing. He's not playing,
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. I don't know when he's coming back,
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: but it would have been a reverse injured player spot
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: if he was coming back for Orlando, but he's still
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: out Utah at Atlanta. Utah just ended a losing streak
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: with a win, so they had a long losing streak.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: They'd lost I think six games in a row, and
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: they finally got a win over Indiana, so I think
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: that will give them some momentum moving forward. It wasn't
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: like a huge win that's gonna set up a letdown spot.
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: So I like it when a team gets a win
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: like that, it can propel them forward breaking.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: A losing streak.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: But the problem is, we gotta see like these new
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: pieces that Utah got, like are they gonna play or not.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Jaron Jackson especially is like the biggest guy that they
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: got here. He's not playing yet, so we don't have
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: to worry.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: About that for Utah.
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: So there shouldn't be a concern for Utah tonight about
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: like the chemistry shifts and stuff that might go on.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: For Atlanta, they got a decent win on the road
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: against Miami.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: They're returning home from a road trip.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: Now that was a road trip that started on Saturday
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: to the thirty first. It was only a two games
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: road trip, still a road trip return though, where they
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: they were away for you know, close ish to a week,
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: so they still might be a little bit unfocused coming
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: into this one. And they got a hot Charlotte team
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: on deck and then Minnesota, so it is possible they
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: overlook Utah.
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: I like the fact that Utah.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: Kind of broke that momentum there, so I would prefer
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: taking the points with the Jazz in this game if
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. Hawks are down from eleven
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: to nine and a half here, so some market movement
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: already against the Hawks here sixty six percent to take
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: a sixty nine percent of the cash on the Hawks,
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: so the cash percentage it looks like it might be
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: coming back on the Hawks. The Hawks did just trade
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Porzingis away, although he wasn't really playing that much anyway,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how big of a deal that
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: really is. He went to Golden State. The Hawks got Kuminga.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: I guess. I don't know if he's gonna play tonight.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if that matters that much. Oh wait,
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: did they get Kaminga.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: I don't even know.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah they did, and Buddy healed, but I think they're
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: both out today anyway, so that's not gonna really matter.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: But I would lean to the Jazz in that game.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: Chicago at Toronto is on Amazon Prime. Chicago coming up
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss against a yannisless Milwaukee team not great,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: Chicago might try to even up the road trip here,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: finishing the road trip going to Toronto. I think they're
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused, even though they do have Denver next.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: Toronto's been playing decent this year. Chicago needs a win
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: of some kind, so I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: this game. Toronto's coming off a very close call yesterday
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota, so Toronto could be in a bit of
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot after that. Mean, even though they're only
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: a couple point underdogs, that was a big game for them.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: So I would only look towards the Bulls in this game.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: The Bulls, of course, were doing stuff at the trade
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: deadline as well. The Raptors are an eight and a
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, with Juice now sixty eight percent of
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: the tickets around them fifty four percent of the cash
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: on the Bulls. I agree with the Bulls in that
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: one could be a hangover spot there, and it's a
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: back to back for Toronto, which I don't love, although
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: they're at least staying at home Chicago, you know, I mean,
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm tempting to make this play here,
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: but we do. Chicago having made some trades here as well.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: Josh Giddy looks like he's out again. Let me see
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: what's the situation with Giddy? No, wait, he's not on
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: the injury report. Why why is it listening? Him is
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: out again?
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: Here? Yeah, he's not playing, So I don't know what
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: the deal is here. Hold on. He he didn't play
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: in the Milwaukee game and they still lost that game though,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: so that was really the injured player theory spot. He
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: didn't play and they still lost.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: But I believe didn't the Bulls just trade away like
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: White and Yeah, so they're like their players won't even
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: be here really, So the Bulls are gonna be a
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: pretty thin roster wise here, man, because they traded White
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: and I think they traded one of the other guys
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, And these guys they got in
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: return might not be there yet. So that's weird. So
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: the Bulls actually gonna have kind of a big chemistry shift.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: So I think I have to stay away from that game,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: but I do lean to the Bulls in that game
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: still based on the situation Charlotte at Houston, then Charlotte
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: coming off that game where they somehow escaped and they
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: got that win over New Orleans and pushed our play
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: on the seven and probably beat a lot of people
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: that had the six and a half. That definitely pisses
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: me off. I thought it was a great spot to
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: play New Orleans. But Charlotte was able to get the
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: job done and continue their momentum here seven wins in
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: a row.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: They're not going to overlook Houston.
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: They do have a couple of days off, which might
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: be a concern because that might hurt their momentum a
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: little bit. But starting a road trip here with momentum
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: coming off kind of a bad game. They should show
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: up for Houston. Houston's on a back to back, and
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: they actually got pretty much blown out at home by
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: the Celtics last night, which is pretty crazy. A really
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: good game for the Celtics last night. Didn't expect that,
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: So Houston did lose when they were favored, but it
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: was to a pretty good Celtic team, and they do
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: have Oklahoma City on deck, so the spot isn't exactly
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: great for Houston here, So you know, I mean, I
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: think I probably leaned towards the Hornets in this one.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: Rockets are down from four to three here.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: It looks way too easy to lay the points with Houston. Ah,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: they'll bounce back. They lost to the Celtics. You know,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: people probably still not totally buying into the Hornets there
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: just looking at their overall record. But the Hornets are
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: pretty legit, and the Oswigers are telling you the Hornets
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: like they're actually telling you the Hornets are better than
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: the Celtics right now. Because the Rockets were like five
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: point favorites last night.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: That's great.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, some of it is probably because of the
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: back to back, though, like I don't think the Oswigers
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: are really saying that.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: I think that would be a little bit too far.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: But I think the Rockets are a little bit short
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: change on the line because of the back to back.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: But the money's still coming in on Charlotte sixty two
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Houston, seventy nine percent of the
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: cash on Charlotte. I'll agree with it, but it's it's
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: not gonna make my card.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: The next game up.
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: As my final plan, we're gonna take the Dallas Mavericks
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: plus seven.
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: We're gonna fade San Antonio.
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: They're on a back to back and they were playing
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: late at night last night and they had a huge
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: win again against Oklahoma City, becoming Oklahoma City's nemesis and
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: winning four out of the five games against them this year.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: Crazy huge win for San Antonio last night.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: Now in a back to back, they got to go
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: to Dallas and play a Dallas team, but they only
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: played once at the beginning of the year and they
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: did beat them, so they might not take Dallas seriously.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: Of course, Dallas did trade a couple guys away, but
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: I don't think it matters because they weren't playing anyway.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: Anthony Davis and excell them.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: It doesn't matter if they traded those guys because they
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: weren't playing anyway, so I don't think that matters as
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: far as this game is concerned. I don't think Dallas
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: will have whatever new players they got yet, so I
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: think it's fine. There won't be any like chemistry shit
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: for anything like that.
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: These teams are.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: Actually playing twice in a row, home and home, but
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: this simply I think this is a big letdown spot.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: After San Antonio reproved themselves after they had lost a
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: game to Oklahoma City in the prior game against them,
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: the Dallas is on a four game losing streak. They're
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: back at home, they did lose to the Celtics in
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: their last game. They lost at Houston in a close game.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: The game before that, they lost to Charlotte close to
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: the game before that. They lost some Minnesota the game
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: before that, until the Lakers in a close game the
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: game before that. So this stretch for Dallas is not
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: as bad as it looks like. None of those teams
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: are bad so and most of those losses were close,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: so Dallas is not actually playing that poorly.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: Now now they're staying at home. They did have a
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: pretty big break before.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: That Celtics game, so they're the more rested team coming
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: into this too. Yeah, we'll take the points with Dallas
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: in this one. Public is definitely on the Spurs seventy
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, only seventy two percent of the
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: cash on them. They're up from six to seven here.
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: I think you can get the plus seven in this one.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: I like it. Dallas is the play in that game.
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: Now we have Golden State at Phoenix, the second game
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: of the Amazon Prime doubleheader. Golden State coming off losing
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: really bad to Philadelphia, losing by almost twenty at home
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: to Philadelphia, So maybe Golden State will show up here.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: They did trade away Kuminga, but he was kind of
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: a head case there, so that might actually help that
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: they got rid of him and now they know what
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: they're doing. I doubt that Porzingis is gonna play for
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: them yet, but I don't think that really. I mean,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: Kuminga hadn't played until Butler went down, so I don't know.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: So it probably doesn't really matter for Golden State here.
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: Now. Golden State, yeah, they're going on the road.
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: Might be good for them, just get out home, go
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: on the road, play a prime game. I don't really
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be looking ahead to the Lakers here,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: so I think they should show up. Phoenix is coming
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: of a nice win at Portland. Portland's been playing alright.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: Coming back home. I don't know if they're gonna overlook
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: the Warriors. I mean, the Warriors are old and kind
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: of in disarrayed though, so I don't know. Phoenix doesn't
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia up next, and they did already beat Philadelphia on
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: the road not that long ago, so yeah, maybe both
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: teams will show up for this. The Suns look like
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: they're kind of getting the money right now. They drop
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to six. They're the public
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: side because the public just doesn't really like what they're
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: seeing out of the Warriors recently, and the fact the
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: Warriors are kind of an old injured team now seventy
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty se percent of the cash on the Suns. Interesting,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: the osbikers are telling you the Suns are this much better.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: Than the Warriors.
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: The fact there are six and a half point home
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: favorites and you don't get a lot of home court
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: advantage in the NBA. I guess I would lean to
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: the Suns in that game of both teams do show up,
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: but I don't have a strong opinion on that. And
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: then the seventy six ers are at the Lakers to
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: finish this off. Philadelphia coming into this on a nice
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: five game win streak here.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: They've been hot.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: They just won at Golden State in what was probably
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: an upset I'm guessing, let me see. Uh, Yes, there
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: were four and a half point underdogs, so Golden State's
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: still getting some respect from the market there. Philadelphia is
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: of course moving on without Paul George because he's suspended,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: but they've been fine so far without him. You know,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: sometimes he doesn't play anyway, and he's a little bit
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: of a head case, you gotta think that they will
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against the Lakers. The Lakers
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: did get Reeves backs, maybe they will be playing a
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: little bit better now.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: That he's back. But the Lakers are returning home from
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: a long road trip. Man. They've been on the road
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: since January twentieth.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: This is one of the longest road trips that I
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: think I've ever seen, an eight game road trip where
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: they've been on the road for whatever that is, more
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: than two weeks.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: That's just insane, dude.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: So the fact they're returning home from that and they
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: went basically all over the country, you know what I
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: always talk about.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: That's a bad spot.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: When a team returns home from a road trip of
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: that magnitude and something has been piling up to do
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: Horrible spot. Actually.
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: And they do have Golden State up next. I don't
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna overlook that because it is a
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: TV game, and then Oklahoma City, San Antonio all coming
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: up after that. Those are all Western Conference games and
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: they're all televised in some way too, So there is
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: a possibility they overlook Philadelphia here, Philadelphia's already in California
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: coming up a very satisfying win, but with momentum, I
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: think I would have to lean to the Sixers in
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: The money is all over.
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: The Lakers though, from three and a half to four
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: sixty tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on the Lakers.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: No possible way that I could be on the Lakers
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: in that return home spot like that. Absolutely not. I
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: would be leaning the other way towards the Sixers. But
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: it's not a play for me, and that's gonna do it, man,
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out everybody the play senday one more time.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: College basketball UMass Lowell plus one and a half, CS Bakersfield,
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: cal State Bakersfield plus sixteen and a half. See what
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: numbers you can get on those Flyers money line and
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: hockey NBA ugly ugly underdog Washington Wizards are going right
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: back to it. I like abuse, man, We'll let my
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: abuser do it again. And Dallas plus the points the seven.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: Hopefully you can get on that one. That's gonna do it.
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: Thanks everybody for hanging out. Learn it Towe on Twitter,
• 1:31:46
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• 1:31:47
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• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: betting content there. Learn to toad there as well.
• 1:31:54
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• 1:32:00
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• 1:32:02
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• 1:32:04
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• 1:32:06
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• 1:32:09
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• 1:32:09
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• 1:32:13
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• 1:32:15
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• 1:32:16
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• 1:32:19
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• 1:32:22
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• 1:32:23
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• 1:32:26
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• 1:32:29
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• 1:32:34
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• 1:32:36
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• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. I appreciate everybody. Peace to have
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: a good Thursday.