Latest / The PE Podcast / How Much Will Private Equity Pay for My Business? | Jesse Welch, MidCap Global
Transcript
- 0:00Joshua Wilson: So, Jesse, I know people have these conversations with you in the world of private equity, these business owners, and they go, Well, exactly how much will you know someone pay for my business?
- 0:10Joshua Wilson: Right.
- 0:10Joshua Wilson: So, like, what are your thoughts when someone asks that question?
- 0:14Jesse Welch: Yeah, well, they're gonna pay less than the LOI says.
- 0:16Jesse Welch: So the the headline price is real.
- 0:18Jesse Welch: It's not like a fake price, but it's Frankenstein's together from a couple different sources.
- 0:23Jesse Welch: I think understanding how they get there is helpful.
- 0:26Jesse Welch: So when a private equity buyer or most sophisticated buyers, when they look at your business, they're gonna look at your EBITDA, which is roughly your operating profit, they're gonna multiply it.
- 0:35Jesse Welch: And that multiple depends on a few different things: your growth, how big you are, what systems you have in place, how much of your revenue is recurring, whether or not the business is gonna run without you.
- 0:46Jesse Welch: And what they do is they test that EBITDA.
- 0:48Jesse Welch: So they have accountants and analysts, they do a what's called a quality of earnings or a QOE.
- 0:55Jesse Welch: And basically they're gonna make sure that your profit is real.
- 0:59Jesse Welch: They're gonna test it.
- 1:00Jesse Welch: And every time they reject an ad back, you know, they're trimming a little meat off of your price.
- 1:05Jesse Welch: So, for example, if they if they trim a 200K off of that EBITDA and you have a 5x multiple, that's a million dollars that comes off of your price.
- 1:13Jesse Welch: And they do that so they don't have to negotiate the price, they just let the math do it.
- 1:17Jesse Welch: Then they structure everything up.
- 1:19Jesse Welch: I don't really see very many all cash offers under 40 million EBITDA.
- 1:23Jesse Welch: The example, I have a business that did just this a while ago.
- 1:28Jesse Welch: So they had about $3 million in EBITDA.
- 1:30Jesse Welch: They had a 6X multiple, so seems like an $18 million headline.
- 1:35Jesse Welch: Well, 20 of that was supposed to roll into the new company as equity, $3.6 million.
- 1:40Jesse Welch: So that's money that the owner was only gonna see if the company sold again.
- 1:45Jesse Welch: They had a $2 million seller note, which also sat behind the bank note that they had.
- 1:50Jesse Welch: They weren't gonna get any of that for five years.
- 1:53Jesse Welch: And then there was a $2 million earnout.
- 1:55Jesse Welch: And I the earnout was pretty fair.
- 1:58Jesse Welch: Those are those are very common.
- 1:59Jesse Welch: Um, you know, that only gets paid if the business hits the targets that they set after closing.
- 2:06Jesse Welch: So they also had a million dollars that sat in escrow that was held back just in case they found something they didn't like about the business.
- 2:12Jesse Welch: So on that particular deal, the wire, the actual cash at closing was $9.4 million, somewhere in that range, which was just over half of that headline number.
- 2:21Jesse Welch: And that's pretty common from what I see, unless you have a really, really spectacular business that somebody's desperate to get, like a strategic or something.
- 2:29Jesse Welch: 50 to 60% cash at closing is relatively normal.
- 2:32Jesse Welch: So when people ask me that question, there's really three things you you want to know.
- 2:35Jesse Welch: You got to know what the multiple is attached to your business and who who decided it.
- 2:40Jesse Welch: Was it your multiple or was it their multiple after their diligence?
- 2:43Jesse Welch: How much cash is it closed?
- 2:45Jesse Welch: Because that's the only number you're guaranteed to get.
- 2:47Jesse Welch: And then what has to happen in order for you to get the rest?
- 2:50Jesse Welch: Because it's it's always hurdles that they're putting in your way.
- 2:53Jesse Welch: So how much they broadcast and how much they actually pay at closing can be two very different numbers.