Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Trump's $5,000 Dividend vs Crypto Market 📉 Technical Analysis with Tim Warren

Transcript

Trump's $5,000 Dividend vs Crypto Market 📉 Technical Analysis with Tim Warren · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Unlimited inflation starting to rain down on us today. We're
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: going to be breaking that down because there is a
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: lot starting to move into the market. But before we
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: do that, I want to thank our sponsor. That's iTrust Capital,
• 0:09
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• 0:12
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• 0:16
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• 0:20
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• 0:22
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• 0:25
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• 0:28
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• 0:31
  Speaker 1: So just use our link down below. It's going to
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: give you a $ 100 funding reward.
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: To get started.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: And you're going to have to start tax planning soon.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: And IRAs are one of the diversification things that you
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: should be doing to set yourself up for success. Let's
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: just jump right into it. I want to bring in
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Tim Warren to kind of help me out today. And
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: we're going to also take a look at several tokens
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: out there. So let's welcome in Tim Warren.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: How are you, Tim?
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: I'm doing good, Paul. How are you doing?
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Doing great.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: Listen, if you guys are not checking out Tim's channel,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: jump over to Tim Warren Trades right there on YouTube.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: You guys can find him there. Does a great job
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: on covering everything. I see you even covered laptops, so
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: that was an interesting one.
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: Our meme coin's dead.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: A lot happening on that front, but we're going to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: get into a few things before we get started. I
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: want to lead off with just a little bit of
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: a reminder because last night there were more promises, but
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: As everybody knows, we had the $ 5, 000 Doge dividend tied
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: and that never happened. The $ 2, 000 tariff dividend, the $ 1, 000
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: payments for ACA subsidies, the 5,000 Trump dividend now is
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: in play if Republicans win the midterms. So now they're
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: holding the midterms hostage on this. And I got to
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: play a clip for you before we get your comments
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: on this, but let's go to this clip.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: Take a look.
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: And here is my promise.
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: If the Republicans win the House of Representatives and the
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: United States Senate, I will issue a dividend to every
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: adult citizen in the United States of.
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: America for $ 5, 000.
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: It will be called the Trump dividend.
• 2:11
  Speaker 5: Trump dividend to raise some eyebrows.
• 2:13
  Speaker 6: And it raised my eyebrows and both hands went up
• 2:16
  Speaker 6: at the same time.
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: But if I can hear the critics' heads exploding.
• 2:19
  Speaker 5: The president is bribing voters to vote for Republicans to
• 2:22
  Speaker 5: take over the House, and then he's bankrupting the country
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: because the deficit in debt is huge and inflation would
• 2:30
  Speaker 5: come back if this comes into play. So how do
• 2:32
  Speaker 5: you answer those criticisms?
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: We're taking in an extraordinary amount of revenue.
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: Those penalties have generated a lot of revenues.
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: They've helped us pay down debt. Clearly has no interest
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: in bringing debt under control. I think that's the message.
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: For the market.
• 2:44
  Speaker 7: Yeah, that's the important instinct.
• 2:46
  Speaker 8: He's trying to control yields and bring them down. Let's
• 2:49
  Speaker 8: take a close look here at Besson's reaction again. I
• 2:54
  Speaker 8: don't know if he was ready for that one.
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: If my Republican senator wins, I'm getting five grand. That's
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: pretty direct and simple and straightforward.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: I think that's math that everybody understands, Martha.
• 3:05
  Speaker 9: Yeah, I think it is too.
• 3:06
  Speaker 6: We're all doing the math, so we'll get your calculator out.
• 3:08
  Speaker 6: I can do it for you. It's roughly $ 1.
• 3:10
  Speaker 8: 35 trillion.
• 3:15
  Speaker 6: Where's the money going to come from when you've got
• 3:18
  Speaker 6: a 6% deficit and debt to GDP over 120%? That's
• 3:23
  Speaker 6: about 5% of US GDP, one-fifth equivalent of all federal
• 3:28
  Speaker 6: spending annually.
• 3:30
  Speaker 7: More than defence. More than the interest payment at the moment.
• 3:33
  Speaker 7: How far is that $ 5, 000 going to go when diesel
• 3:35
  Speaker 7: is more than $ 2. 20 more expensive, gas is more than
• 3:38
  Speaker 7: $ 1 a gallon more expensive....
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: I'm working my ass off to get you oil and gas.
• 3:46
  Speaker 7: People who are taking out mortgages facing hundreds of dollars
• 3:49
  Speaker 7: more on their monthly payments because of that.
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: $ 5, 000.
• 3:53
  Speaker 7: In that context may not actually go very far.
• 3:57
  Speaker 6: Where's the extra money going to come from? I ask
• 4:01
  Speaker 6: all of you out there, whatever your political persuasion is.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: Where is the money going to come from?
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: So is this just, you know, it's just more, you know,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: I feel like it's more, you know, Fake promises coming
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: out of the White House right now.
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: Paul, I can make the sound of where the money's
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: coming from. Yeah, it goes.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Oh, well, yeah, you could do that. Yeah, you could
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: do that. Well, hey, you know, Trump's not done. OK,
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: it wasn't only the 5000. There's more. We got more
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: for you guys. So, yeah, we got we got more.
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: We got more. Take a look.
• 4:35
  Speaker 10: Today, I'm very thrilled to make an important announcement. Our
• 4:39
  Speaker 10: administration is doing the right thing and giving the money
• 4:42
  Speaker 10: back to the people who were.
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: Wrongly ripped off.
• 4:45
  Speaker 10: Nearly 1 million hardworking Americans in 30 states will soon
• 4:49
  Speaker 10: be getting refunds.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: Of $ 500.
• 4:51
  Speaker 10: Each with a check sent to their home address. In
• 4:56
  Speaker 10: many cases, these refunds will cover the entire spike in
• 4:59
  Speaker 10: your insurance. The rebates are going out in just a
• 5:02
  Speaker 10: few weeks. Thank you very much.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: All right, so we're going to get some cash back
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: supposedly for your insurance. Enormous increases that everybody's been paying.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: So just nonsense because most of this is just not
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: going to happen, could not happen in any way. But
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: at the same time, it just makes the Republicans look bad.
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it does. It does make Republicans look bad. It
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: makes anyone who thinks about it rationally look bad. I
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: think what he's banking on, though, Paul, is that there
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: are idiots who don't know what they're looking at. And
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: they're going to think, oh, if I vote for this,
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: if this side wins, because again, I asked the question,
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: is this even legal? Can you even do this? You
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: can't pay people to vote a certain way. But technically,
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: the way he worded it is as long as Republicans win,
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: it doesn't matter if you voted Democrat. It doesn't matter
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: if you didn't vote. You get $ 5, 000. Here's what he's
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: not telling you, though, Paul, anybody, is that he doesn't
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: have the authority to just authorize this. The same thing
• 5:59
  Speaker 3: as those Doge dividends or any of the other ones.
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: He has to get Congress to pass it. And even
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: if Republicans held the House and the Senate, even Republicans,
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: I think you're not going to find a widespread.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: Oh, there's no way.
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: Complete agreement on this. So at the end of the day,
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: it's kind of– in my opinion, it's a false promise
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: that later on either A, Democrats win and he just
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: gets to blame the Democrats and, oh, the Democrats are
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: so bad they kept you from getting $ 5, 000, or B,
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: it passes and then he used it to further divide
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: the Republican Party where he says, oh, I wanted to
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: do this for you, but even these fake Republican senators
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: are voting against it. It's just like– It's just another
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: hype tool. I mean, Trump does it. Other Republicans do this.
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: Democrats do it. This is just nasty politics. And unfortunately,
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: there will be some people who think it's true and
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: then will be heartbroken when it doesn't come to be.
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: I don't know if it's going to be. I don't
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: know if Republicans are going to win, but they had
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: to win both to get this. I doubt that's going
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: to happen.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Well, likelihood right now, I mean, the House, I think,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: is all but lost. The question is the Senate of
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: where that plays out.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, pop. Coming in on this as well.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: But he looks at it simply as, hey, the more
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: money that he hands out, back to your point, most
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: likely printer, the entire Bitcoin gold and land is going
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: to go. Which is the key for a lot of
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: this around commodities. Hey, I want to talk about the
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: Bitcoin situation because we saw a pump. that was significant enough,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: I think, that set the market up into a bull
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: run thesis. That, of course, has retraced back some because
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: of the likely odds of a rate hike. We'll talk
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: about that in a second. I want to play this
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: clip for you, and then I want to get your
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Bitcoin review.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: Take a look.
• 7:43
  Speaker 9: Is this something where Bitcoin's surge is indicative of the
• 7:46
  Speaker 9: rest of crypto?
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: And then can it last?
• 7:49
  Speaker 9: So the initial spike was on a liquidation of shorts.
• 7:53
  Speaker 9: And we've seen a follow through on the spot side
• 7:55
  Speaker 9: where we've seen open interest grow is on the call
• 7:58
  Speaker 9: is on the option side with with call skew, meaning
• 8:00
  Speaker 9: people are buying upside and the actual futures volume or
• 8:03
  Speaker 9: the futures OIs come off. So it's kind of been
• 8:05
  Speaker 9: a healthy rotation for Bitcoin. The rest of the market
• 8:09
  Speaker 9: has seen a substantial amount of leverage enter the systems.
• 8:12
  Speaker 9: It's incredibly high in altcoins broadly, so ex-Bitcoin. We're approaching
• 8:17
  Speaker 9: leverage levels last seen in October 2025, just before we
• 8:21
  Speaker 9: had a very large liquidation and a pretty substantial move
• 8:25
  Speaker 9: lower in the market. I'm not saying that this move
• 8:26
  Speaker 9: isn't sustainable. I'm just saying you should proceed with a
• 8:29
  Speaker 9: lot of caution. Don't fall into this feeling of, I've
• 8:32
  Speaker 9: missed a move. Let me pile in now. We should
• 8:34
  Speaker 9: be treading cautiously.
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: But optimistically.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: All right, so key words there, tread cautiously, but optimistically.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: You look at the 82K high right there on that
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: week that.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: Happened back on September 3rd.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: When you look at the chart right now, Tim, where
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: are you playing this in terms of the downtrend that
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: we're seeing on Bitcoin right now?
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: When I look at the charts, It's actually kind of
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: funny because everybody right now is so bearish right now.
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: And again, I'm bearish in the sense of I'm shorting
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: the markets. But when you zoom out and you take
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: a look at perspective, when you look at the news
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: that's come out over the last couple of days, you
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: would think that Bitcoin is just falling apart right now.
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, 77,000 within the last two weeks doesn't
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: seem that great. But go back three, four weeks ago.
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: Go back over here into mid-August. If I told you
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: in mid-August that we would be in the middle of
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: September at $ 77, 000 per coin, You would be ecstatic. And
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: so what I'm actually looking at right now, one of
• 9:30
  Speaker 3: the reasons why I'm convinced that we're going to see
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: another higher low, whether somewhere here in the 75K range
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: or maybe even back down towards 70 before the next bounce.
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: is because the news right now is terrible. Everything, even
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: what we saw this morning with the PPI data convincing
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: bettors that we're going to have interest rate hikes here
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: next week, and yet the price is still hovering in
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: just a little flat zone right here that we've been
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: in for the last couple of weeks. That actually shows
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: me that bulls are holding up quite well. and bears
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: don't have as much power like the bears are roaring
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: really loud right now but they're not striking they're not
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: going in and putting their money where their mouth is
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: just yet uh let's see what happens as price probably
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: continues to drop here that's what i'm betting on But
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: go back and look at what we saw happen back
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: in the bull market of 2023. People were acting like
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: 2023 was nonstop bullish.
• 10:23
  Speaker 8: No.
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: If you go back over here, we broke through the
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: bear market trend line. We broke the 200 moving average.
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: We had a couple of weeks of really bullish action.
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: And then Bitcoin had a nice little correction right here.
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: We went from 25 back down to 19.6%. And people
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: were freaking out. And then we just bounced off the
• 10:40
  Speaker 3: 200 and the bull market took off. I think we
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: could see something very similar happen once again. You can
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: even kind of see the same type of movements and
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: looks that we had back in January 23. A move
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: back down to 70K and hit that 200-day moving average
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: would make a lot of sense.
• 10:55
  Speaker 10: All right.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: So just to kind of reiterate what you just mentioned earlier,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: because a lot of people may not be aware of this,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: and that is the August PPI inflation came in, rises
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: to 5.4. This is above expectations of 5.3. Core PPI
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: rose to 4.6. This was the highest since June 2026.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: So these are numbers, I think, that is causing the
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: movement that we've seen on the potential for Fed rate hike.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: You tweeted on this, Tim. And it says, while year-over-year
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: PPI was high today, the month-over-month PPI actually beat and
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: matched expectation. Kind of net neutral report, your opinion. And
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: if you look at the chart on the likelihood of
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: a Fed rate hike, because this is going to have
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: some real significance. I'll kind of zoom in on that, guys.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: That's setting at around 60% right now on a quarter. Bip,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: where do you stand on this in terms of a
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: rate hike or a pause?
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so like I said in that tweet, everyone was
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: focusing on the one report that was hot, but there
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: was actually four numbers. There was year-over-year PPI, and then
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: there was core PPI. There was month-over-core PPI, and there
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: was month-over-month regular PPI. Of the four of them, two
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: of them matched expectation. One beat expectation. One was hot
• 12:07
  Speaker 3: and exceeded expectation. That's why I said that's net neutral.
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: But here's the other bigger detail. If you don't know
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: what PPI is, PPI is pretty much measuring the inflation
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: of like the suppliers. So when they're buying their goods
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: and services. The Fed looks at PPI. It's not that
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: PPI is ignored, but PPI is what you would call
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: a leading indicator, not the defining indicator. CPI is more
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: important to the Fed when they make their decisions. That's
• 12:32
  Speaker 3: what we get tomorrow. That's the customer inflation. And I
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: still think there's reason to be hopeful or believe that
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: we can match expectation or even maybe beat expectation. But
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: what I'm seeing right now, Paul, that even maybe confirms
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: that to me Like I said, I would say today,
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: when you don't just look at a freaky headline where
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: someone shows the one metric that was higher than expectation,
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: when you look at the fact that the PPI data
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: was actually neutral, but the odds are jumping up of
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: a rate hike, but the price is not. It's almost
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: like people want to go to these betting sites to
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: bet on it, but they're not running to exchanges to
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: sell off. Tomorrow can flip this on its head. Tomorrow's
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: CPI data could come out neutral or beat expectations. And
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: all of a sudden, we're having a show tomorrow and
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: we're saying, oh, the Fed's not going to raise rates now.
• 13:19
  Speaker 3: And all of a sudden, things start rallying once again.
• 13:21
  Speaker 3: I'm going to hold off to make my official judgment
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: till tomorrow when the data comes out. But my gut
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: right now, Paul, as we're recording this video, my gut
• 13:30
  Speaker 3: says manipulation is still at play. They really want people
• 13:33
  Speaker 3: bearish right now because tomorrow's information, which some people already
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: know the numbers of, could end up being a lot
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: better than what people think.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: Okay, all right. So if that were the case, obviously
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: a pause would be in order.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: The one thing that makes me a little nervous here, Tim,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: of course, is the fact that we're seeing a $ 100
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: barrel of oil.
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: That is the breakthrough right now.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: And this concerns me because this gets into those areas
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: where things can get heated very quickly. And if we
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: start to continue to see this, I mean, we've seen
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: analysts now pointing to $ 120. And if we start seeing
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: $ 6 and $ 7 drops, a gallon gas again here in
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: the U.S. Obviously, I think this is bad timing right
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: now going into the midterms, but it also put a
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: lot more pressure, I think, on the Fed as well.
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: So that is a concern.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: I want to go to a clip here because this
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: clip is Morgan Stanley talking about how higher oil will
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: actually kind of put rates at risk.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: Take a look. Higher oil and rates remain the main
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: risk to equities. in the mid-sem. It's a wall of worry.
• 14:36
  Speaker 11: This is our call for the whole year, which is
• 14:38
  Speaker 11: that earnings are going to be better than people expected.
• 14:39
  Speaker 11: It was even better than we thought, quite frankly. And
• 14:42
  Speaker 11: we've been derating all year. So it's not as if
• 14:44
  Speaker 11: the market is ignoring all of these risks. It's just
• 14:46
  Speaker 11: been digesting it in a way where it's not as
• 14:48
  Speaker 11: obvious to the casual observer. And to me, that's really
• 14:51
  Speaker 11: the story.
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: It's this transition now.
• 14:53
  Speaker 11: We're going from an early cycle recovery from the recession
• 14:56
  Speaker 11: of a year ago. We had all the rotation now
• 14:58
  Speaker 11: to the mid-cycle areas, the quality rotation That's very typical.
• 15:02
  Speaker 11: So I don't really see anything that's troubling to say
• 15:04
  Speaker 11: there's some end of cycle calamity that's going on here.
• 15:07
  Speaker 11: The market's dealing with all these risks, but we do
• 15:09
  Speaker 11: worry a little bit in the short term about oil prices.
• 15:12
  Speaker 9: All right.
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: So they are worried about oil and that is still
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: a significant one. You know, we've got a few days
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: left before an FOMC meeting. We've got, you know, obviously
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: a CPI coming out. That may be the real tale
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: that changes the dynamic in the market.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: So everybody's going to be watching that one closely.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: But if rate hikes were to occur, and you consider
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: what's going on with Circle right now as a stock
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: in general, where would you play Circle if rate hikes
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: go up? Because I mean, this is going to most
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: likely drive stablecoin yields up if we do see a
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: rate hike.
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: That's a good point. I don't know if I've really
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: thought through it that much as far as how it
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: affects Circle. I'm definitely more paying attention to altcoins. But
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: at the end of the day, if rate hikes go up,
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: that just will be a hurt to risk assets as
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: a whole. When it comes to Circle, I don't know.
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: I mean, obviously, you're talking about USDC. That could end
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: up doing quite well as people want to move back
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: into cash. And then that chance going into a stablecoin
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: would count as being cash. So there's a chance that
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: ends up being net positive for them. What I wanted
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: to comment on the video you just had right there,
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: that was Morgan Stanley talking, right? There was a representative
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: of Morgan Stanley. I never trust when big banks get
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: on television and try to push a narrative because they
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: are incentivized for this retail investors, their clients to be confused.
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: And so they, I'm not saying they always pay to
• 16:42
  Speaker 3: be on it, but like they own the media, right?
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: They control when they talk and when they're quiet and
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: what they say. And even anyone who backtracks some of
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: the negative and positive statements made by some of these
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: bigger banks over the last year and some change, you
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: don't have to go back years and years, 12 months.
• 17:00
  Speaker 10: Yeah.
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: They, they have a track record of getting on television
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: and assuring people that everything's okay. Right before a major
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: dip or telling everybody, watch out. We couldn't be able
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: to have a massive crash here. And then everything spikes
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: back up. So to me, I'm not saying because that
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: this interview, we have to go back up. I'm just saying,
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: it's curious that they're sending the representatives to, to fear
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: monger on television. They know that, I mean, they know
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: that people like you and me are going to grab
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: these headlines and talk on them. Even if we disagree
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: with them, they know we're going to spread this word
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: and they're counting on sheep to, to just fall in
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: line and respond how they respond. And a lot of
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: times they're doing the exact opposite with their money. So,
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: but I've been in a place here recently, if I'm
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: bullish and then I see one of these banks come
• 17:42
  Speaker 3: out and the representative says, Oh, everything's looking really good.
• 17:45
  Speaker 3: I kind of become like, Oh, maybe I'm off. Maybe
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: I got this one wrong. But when I'm bullish and
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: they come out and they get bearish, I kind of
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: get my feet digging the sand. I'm like, yeah, I'm
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: going to continue to believe that the bottom is in
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: for Bitcoin. I'm not saying we can't drop to 70K,
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: but I think the way they're talking about this fear
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: mongering about oil prices going up. If everyone thinks oil
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: prices are going to go up, that means retail is
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: going to sell and it's the perfect excuse for Wall
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: Street to buy the dip and make money at the
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: expense of retail. The scariest thing in the world is
• 18:14
  Speaker 3: when it's obvious there's a problem, but everybody still seems
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: so confident. That to me would be a very scary situation.
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: But with the banks putting people on TV saying, uh-oh, uh-oh,
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: this isn't looking good. AI might be over. That to
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: me says they just don't want retail aping in right
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: now because I think they want to save space for themselves.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, so a couple of things there. Earnings continue to.
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Drive the market.
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: We do know that. It looks like it's not slowing down.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: If you look at the S & P earnings history,
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: even over the last, really since 2010, it's been going
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: up like almost 26%.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: So you've got that.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: And of course, what Morgan Stanley was talking about is
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: that they felt like the market is still going to
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: be in this earnings cycle, but they're concerned about oil.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: So it was actually, I think it was a bullish
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: take at the same time being concerned about where oil
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: and energy could drive the market. The other thing that
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: could drive the market here, Tim, of course, is what's
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: centered around clarity.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: But we'll get to one.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Thing that could play on this, because I want to
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: kind of get your opinion on gold versus Bitcoin. But
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: here was Besant talking about clarity, really right down to
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: the wire here. And I don't know, I'm still trying
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: to find people that are still bullish that clarity is
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: going to go through because almost everyone I'm talking to
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: is very concerned this doesn't happen.
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: What's your take on it right now?
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: My take on it right now is it sounds like
• 19:43
  Speaker 3: it will be a Donald Trump decision. What we heard
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: even Republican senators say the other day is that they're
• 19:48
  Speaker 3: concerned that the Democrats are not going to vote in
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: support of it because of ethics, rules and stuff that
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: apply to President Trump. Is Trump going to play hardball
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: and say, no, I'm not going to just bow down
• 20:01
  Speaker 3: and just do whatever the Democrats want and then stick
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: his nose in the sand and then we get no passage?
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: Or will he say, fine, whatever. I want this to pass.
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: I want my legacy to do well. I want crypto
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: to do well. I'm willing to sacrifice gains I've made
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: and let this pass. We'll see if that plays out
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: that way. The good news is, is what Brian Armstrong
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: came out and said today. Because Brian Armstrong two months
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: ago told everybody that Hey, if Clarity doesn't come in
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: the United States, if there's not regulation, Coinbase is going
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: to leave and go overseas. So there was a little
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: bit of a fear there. It's like, man, we got
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: to get this passed or some of the best companies
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: in America will leave. He came out today assuring people,
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: even if the Clarity Act does not pass, regulation is
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: coming for crypto in the United States via the SEC
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: and CFDC. So my biggest takeaway, Paul, is like I
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: told someone, don't take these numbers I'm about to say
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: as like my predictions. But If the Clarity Act passes,
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: Bitcoin might make it to $ 500, 000 in the next bull market.
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: If Clarity Act doesn't pass, Bitcoin probably still makes it
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: to $ 300, 000, right? Not that those are my exact numbers,
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: but my point is, we're going to be bullish over
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: the next couple of years. The question is, how bullish?
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: And that's where the Clarity Act becomes important.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Well, first of all, just to make sure everybody understands
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: that when Congress comes back, they still have to go
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: through cloture, which is really the gateway through Thune. And
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: here's a clip when Trump was mentioning Thune, which I
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: think is interesting what happened.
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: Take a look.
• 21:27
  Speaker 4: John Thune is here from the Senate.
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: Where's John?
• 21:30
  Speaker 4: Where's John? No, no, John is working hard.
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: He's got great opposition.
• 21:38
  Speaker 4: He's got great opposition from the Democrat Schumer and these guys.
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: They're terrible. He's going to have great success.
• 21:45
  Speaker 4: You watch.
• 21:46
  Speaker 3: Maybe more important even than the Trump dividend.
• 21:50
  Speaker 4: Please pretend that I'm running and get out and vote
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: on November 3rd or sooner.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: All right, so Thune gets booed there. So it is clear,
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: I think, that Trump kind of skirted around the idea of, hey,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: we need to get this through.
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: So he kind of put Thune on the spot.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: So we'll see how this plays out with, I mean,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: because with Besant still pushing Who knows? But I think
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: you are right. I think the market is prepared either way.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: They're prepared for an SEC CFTC structure or they're prepared
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: for something coming out of Congress going forward.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: And let's play this out through.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: The end of the year, because obviously midterms and the
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: lack of clarity may be real. But yet at the
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: same time, the market may be prepping up for this.
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: So where would ETH be end of year?
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so I love what Ethereum's chart has done recently.
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: It has one additional technical indicator that Bitcoin does not
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: have yet that I think is a pretty strong evidence
• 22:52
  Speaker 3: that Ethereum's bottom is in. Bullish divergences have come. We
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: beat the bear market trend line. We've beaten the 200
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: moving average. But Ethereum has a higher high than the
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: previous high in the bear market back in April.
• 23:02
  Speaker 11: Right.
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: So you break that structure, that bearish structure, you break
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: the trend and you feel really good about a big move. Now,
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: I had Ethereum dropping down as well. I mean, I'm
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: in Ethereum short now that I'm technically in profit on,
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: but just not by a lot. Because Ethereum is just
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: kind of pausing real quick. And if you take a
• 23:19
  Speaker 3: look at what we're looking at right here, Ethereum with
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: this explosive move and then just a boring little sideways movement,
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: that looks a lot like a bull flag. Like that
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: looks a whole lot like a bull flag is developing
• 23:30
  Speaker 3: there for Ethereum. I still think it would make sense
• 23:33
  Speaker 3: for it to cool off and come back down here
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: in the next couple of days or next week or two.
• 23:38
  Speaker 3: I've got some levels, two ones I'm looking at. First
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: one in the world at 2250, 2270. There's a sizable
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: breaker block at that level. The other one would be,
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: of course, move back down towards 2000, not quite to it,
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: but 200 and moving average retouch. I'd be looking for
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: movements there. But end of year. I don't think it's
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: crazy to say Ethereum could be back in the world.
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: I'm going to be a little hesitant to predict a
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: new all-time high, but I don't think it's crazy to
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: say we're back above 3,500 and potentially making pushes up
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: towards 45 to 4,700, back towards those highs of the
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: fall of 25.
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: That's a big push.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: 45 to 4,700 would be a significant move.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: On the market.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: You look at, okay, so I want to jump over
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: to DEX volume because there's a lot happening on Uniswap.
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: You look at where Robinhood's heading, but look at these
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: DEX volume numbers right here on Uniswap V4, V2. We've
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: already seen kind of the growth right here on V3
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: and V4.
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: Significant.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: And you look at where Robinhood is heading on this.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: When you look at Uniswap, and we've talked about this,
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: it's been a pick on our channel for a while.
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: Would you look at Uniswap long-term in comparison to, say,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: something like, well, let's compare it over to Solana?
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there's better potential for Uniswap. So if
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: you're an ROI person, you're just saying, hey, what can
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: I trade for the next year? There's a chance that
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: Uniswap has a better return on investment. I think fundamentally,
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: I think Solana is the safer pick.
• 25:04
  Speaker 9: Yeah.
• 25:05
  Speaker 3: I think balancing those two, ROI versus security, is important.
• 25:09
  Speaker 3: But I like Uniswap. I hold Uniswap. And this is
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: something we were looking for breakouts here a couple of
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: weeks ago. We had this orange line was when I
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: was looking for a big breakout on. Obviously, we've exploded.
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: I think it's too soon to call Uniswap an official
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: bull trend just yet because it's kind of hard. I
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: would say maybe making a move above $ 10, $ 10. 20- ish would
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: confirm the bull trend. But really great momentum. has come
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: in here for Uniswap. I'm trying to make sure. Yeah,
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: I mean, you go back over here. It was a
• 25:39
  Speaker 3: weird bull market period between 23 and 26 for Uniswap.
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: But the 200 moving average is moving in the right direction.
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: We got a lot of momentum kind of building there. Yes,
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: we're overextended right now. So I would not be buying
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: Uniswap right this second. I do think this is another
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: opportunity to wait and get a daily buy signal. I
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: don't even have to pull up a lot of indicators here.
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: I think the first level I'd be watching is around 480.
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: a former support level that we blasted through, or sorry,
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: a former, yeah, support level turn resistance. Now, could we
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: come back and bounce on that level once again? That'd
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: be an area to watch here. But no matter where
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: we hit, I'm looking at my oscillators. Give me a
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: 50 line on the RSI or a 30 with the
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: next daily buy signal, and I'll be looking at my
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: next swap purchase.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: So around $ 470 there, guys, if you're not in the
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: token and you're thinking, hey, maybe this is something that might.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: Be a target for you.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Look at the overall market of centralized exchanges. You compare
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Robinhood to Coinbase. And let's say you were going to
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: just play it on the open stock market. Forget X
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: stocks or going into perps. Which one would you pick,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: hood versus coin?
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, this is one we made this pick in our
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: community months ago. I want to say this was something
• 26:53
  Speaker 3: we chose back in May when we were building a
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: beginner friendly portfolio. We included stocks and we were looking
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: at hood and we were looking at Coinbase and we
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: went with hood.
• 27:03
  Speaker 8: Right.
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: So our first purchase on hood was back over here
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: in the world of seventy five dollars. take a look
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: at where coin was back in May. You're looking at
• 27:11
  Speaker 3: more of a high. Coin was at 211. So anyone
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: who bought coin instead of hood, you're down a sizable
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: amount versus if you bought hood, you're up a sizable amount.
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: So we made the right choice here. My reason why
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: is because there was so much convoluted hating of Robinhood
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: back in 2021 because of their stuff with AMC and
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: with Stonks. It's not that I don't like Coinbase, right?
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: I have a Coinbase account. I actually hold a decent
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: amount of crypto in Coinbase. I think Robinhood's making a comeback,
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: and I think that you're going to have way more
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: retail investors who don't care about the centralized, decentralized arguments.
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: They don't care about this stuff. They look at the
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: fee structures. I think Robinhood has better fee structures than Coinbase.
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: It's more friendly towards people coming from the TradFi space.
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: I just had a hunch. I think Hood is going
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: to have a better bull run than Coinbase. That doesn't
• 28:00
  Speaker 3: mean Coinbase is going to be terrible. It just means Hood,
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: I think, is going to outperform it. And also, watch
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: that video.
• 28:07
  Speaker 8: It's crazy.
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: He's absolutely right. There's no difference between the ETF. I
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: don't own ETS. I'm not saying I don't understand why
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: people buy ETS, but I'm like, I would rather just
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: own Bitcoin or own Ethereum. If you buy the ETF,
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: you should understand, yeah, you're getting the value of Bitcoin
• 28:20
  Speaker 3: or the value of Ethereum, but you're not getting what
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: makes Bitcoin and Ethereum special in the same way that's
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: going to be the same world with tokenized assets.
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: Well, tokenized, I think, this is a bit different.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: This is about access for tokenized assets. I think that's
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: the challenge that Wall Street is having with this because
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: it's turning these markets into 24-7 global markets versus what
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: we see right now.
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: Now, granted, that's going to change most likely.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: But even then, to a certain extent, you're still going
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: to have places around the world that want to play
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: on the U.S.
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: Markets.
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: And this is going to be one of the ways
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: to do it for sure.
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: Hey, I want to go to the- You're going to
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: be trading control. You'll be trading control for ease of access, right?
• 29:01
  Speaker 8: Exactly.
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: You won't get the whole control, but you will be
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: able to get in and out faster, more efficiently, more creatively, cheaper.
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: It's what you're signing up for.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, for sure.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: Let's go to our lightning round, which you guys, if
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: you're not aware, this is where Tim and I and
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: some of our guests go through really fast questions and
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: where we stand on some of the situations that are
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: hitting the markets big time. Republican voters will believe Economic
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: relief is coming. Do you think that is the case?
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that I mean, I know there are
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: people in my life who I call it Trump derangement
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: syndrome on both directions, people that love him and hate him.
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: They both have Trump derangement syndrome. Republicans will believe. that
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: this is coming. And then when it doesn't happen, they'll
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: just agree with whatever the excuse is. Okay.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: I am more on the no. Maybe not.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Maybe the charade is up.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: SEC will pump the market the same night that Clarity
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: vote Closure clarity vote fails.
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: What do you think?
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: Well, you know, you're starting off with a will word there.
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: There's not an if, not an if word in it. Yeah,
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: I think the SEC and the, you know, hold on.
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: The question says the same.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the vote fails. So what happens to the market?
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: Based on the SEC's saying, okay, we're going to roll.
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: I'm going to vote no. I'm going to vote no.
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: But if this question was like the day after or
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: two days after, I'd say yes. But I think they'll
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: allow the markets to respond. Okay. And it'll allow those
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: who believe to scoop up and buy the dip before
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: the run.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: I'm in the middle on that one. Zcash flips hyperliquid.
• 30:43
  Speaker 10: No.
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: Oh, boy. Here we go. I'm going to say yes.
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: I think Zcash flips it.
• 30:50
  Speaker 10: Yeah.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: Solana flips XRP if Clarity doesn't pass.
• 30:55
  Speaker 9: No.
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: Well, how close is that right now? I don't even
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: know how close it is.
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: It's close.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, Solana has actually flipped it once in and out.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: Are you looking at CoinMarketCap?
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm looking at MarketCap. 58 versus 85. Huh. That
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: is closer than I thought. No, I'm going to still
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: say no. I'm going to still say no. I think
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: they both get an initial bad response.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: Both get a.
• 31:18
  Speaker 8: Okay.
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm in the middle on that one. I don't know.
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Now you got me thinking. I kind of think that
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: it's going to flip it. I think it's going to
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: flip it if we see it, but we'll see. After
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: clarity fails, Trump will announce epic strategic reserve nonsense to
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: win over crypto.
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: You guys, your whole team is just so, the wording
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: of this question, just writing it in there, it's not
• 31:44
  Speaker 3: going to come. Are you guys betting on Polymarket? I
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: think that's where all the volume is coming.
• 31:52
  Speaker 8: From.
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yes. I think he will continue to push the
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: buttons and blame and try to win any support he
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: can get.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: I'm with you on that one.
• 32:02
  Speaker 8: Okay. Yeah. All right.
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: What happens first? 88,000 Bitcoin or gold 5K?
• 32:04
  Speaker 9: Oh, man.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: I'm going to just answer for you.
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: I actually wonder, I think, I actually, I might say gold.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: Oh, okay. You're in my camp. I think gold hits
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: 5K first. Yeah, I think that's a doable. All right,
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: here we go. We got some other ones here.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: Netanyahu winning the election will move the market up or down?
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: I think down. I mean, I don't think that, I
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: think the majority of the world does not like that man.
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: So I'm going to say down.
• 32:38
  Speaker 8: All right.
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: So you're going to say down? I'm going to go up.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: I'm going to go up.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: Banks will go extra crazy if rate hikes increase stablecoin yields.
• 32:54
  Speaker 8: Oh, come on.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: You know, they're going to go nuts if stablecoin yields
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: go to 6%.
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: They'll get crazier. So let's say yes, because I guess
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: they're already crazy. So they'll go even more. Yeah. Okay.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: More crazy.
• 33:04
  Speaker 7: All right.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: D-Gen season begins the day after Clarity cloture fails.
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: D-Gen season. No, I think the D-Gen season is going
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: to have to wait a beat before things make sense.
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: I don't think you start the special run with D-Gen.
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: D-Gen is the follow-up to, hey, there's been some nice things.
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: I think we're already in D-Gen season. I mean, you've
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: got Laptop launching ridiculously along with many others. Let's forget
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: about what we're going to most likely see after. And
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: I think there's some projects waiting in the wings.
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: So I'm going to go yes.
• 33:39
  Speaker 9: All right, here.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: FOMO app growth is proof that Coinbase is fumbling at
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: winning over the D-Gens.
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: See, I don't know much about this one. FOMO app
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: growth is proof.
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 33:53
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I'll just go straight.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: Down the middle. I'll answer it, Greek. I'll put you
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: on a no answer on that one.
• 33:59
  Speaker 10: Yeah.
• 34:00
  Speaker 5: All right, Tim.
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: Listen, it's good to chat with you. I love doing
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: the charts. Thank you so much for coming in today.
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: We appreciate it.
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: Yes, sir. Thanks for having me, Paul.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: If you like this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: a comment down below and also join our free private
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: member group.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: The link is in the description.