Latest / Safe Aerospace Podcast / Scientist: What 112 UAP Videos Can't Tell Us | Ravi Kopparapu
Transcript
- 0:00Suddenly you
- 0:00see when the grid is rotating.
- 0:03A fast moving object crossing across.
- 0:05There you go.
- 0:06What did you do. On this video?
- 0:08So now we are looking at video of 113
- 0:11in the pursuit data release.
- 0:13We try to obtain the range
- 0:14and the speed
- 0:15basically to know what kind of an object
- 0:17could potentially do that.
- 0:18We actually use some sort of a
- 0:21AI analysis.
- 0:22And also
- 0:23we did our own equations
- 0:24to make sure that we did.
- 0:26Whatever we did is consistent
- 0:27with what we are seeing.
- 0:28However,
- 0:29as you can see from the on the screen,
- 0:31much of the information is redacted.
- 0:33One of the work that I'm
- 0:35I'm doing is techno signatures work,
- 0:36which is to look for
- 0:37technology outside Earth.
- 0:39What do you think's going on here?
- 0:40What do you believe is happening here?
- 0:42Do you think we're all spinning our tails
- 0:44on bird videos?
- 0:46That's what is motivating me.
- 0:48I really want to know if there is
- 0:50someone out there.
- 1:04Hello, everyone.
- 1:04Welcome back
- 1:05to another episode of Americans for
- 1:07or excuse me, the Safe Aerospace podcast.
- 1:10My name is Ryan Graves.
- 1:12Honored to have Ravi here
- 1:13sitting across the table from me.
- 1:16I think we've known each other
- 1:17for about five years now or so, and,
- 1:21we'll let him introduce himself
- 1:22here in a moment.
- 1:23But first off,
- 1:24I just want to thank all of you.
- 1:26It's been absolutely wild
- 1:28to see the response to this show.
- 1:32There's been a ton of views.
- 1:33We have a lot of great subscribers,
- 1:35and I've been reading
- 1:36as many of the comments I can,
- 1:38but there's been tens
- 1:39of thousands of them,
- 1:41and it's been hard to keep up, but,
- 1:43keep them coming.
- 1:44We are constantly trying to improve.
- 1:47You guys have been providing
- 1:48some great feedback for us.
- 1:50So continue to do that.
- 1:51If you haven't yet,
- 1:52please, please subscribe to the channel.
- 1:54It really does help us out.
- 1:55It really helps the algorithm.
- 1:57And all of that allows us to go
- 1:59make more of these interviews.
- 2:02We have hundreds
- 2:04and hundreds of these that we can have
- 2:07if we have your support in making them.
- 2:08And we're excited to bring these to.
- 2:11I'm hoping four times a month,
- 2:14assuming the schedules align.
- 2:15But there's
- 2:15a lot of incredible information
- 2:17out there
- 2:17that we're super excited to share
- 2:19you with.
- 2:20Share with you.
- 2:22In this conversation,
- 2:23I'll be introducing you to
- 2:24Robbie here briefly.
- 2:26As I said,
- 2:27we've worked together for a while.
- 2:28Ravi is a member of the UAP
- 2:30Scientific Council
- 2:31and a scientist and his own.
- 2:32Right.
- 2:34But he's going to give us
- 2:35a little background today
- 2:36on what has been released
- 2:37through the pursuit program.
- 2:39Why it may
- 2:39or may not be as useful as we might hope.
- 2:42And what other information
- 2:44might be surrounding that data
- 2:45that would be more useful
- 2:47that hopefully we can get our hands on.
- 2:48So with that, Ravi.
- 2:50Nice to have you here. Oh. Thanks, Ryan.
- 2:51Thanks for having me.
- 2:52It's really great to see you.
- 2:54Yeah. So let's. Let's go.
- 2:56You know, way back, I guess.
- 2:58I think it was 20, 20.
- 3:01If memory serves,
- 3:02when we started working together to form
- 3:05what became the UAP Integration
- 3:07and Outreach Committee
- 3:08within the American Institute
- 3:10of Aeronautics and Astronautics
- 3:12or the UAP, IOC.
- 3:15You were my
- 3:15co-chair for a period of time with that.
- 3:18Maybe we can start there
- 3:20just describing how we came together,
- 3:21how we intersected.
- 3:23Oh, yeah. Absolutely.
- 3:24I think it's 2021, August 6th.
- 3:26I have kind of I remember that because,
- 3:29at that time
- 3:30we've published a few articles, wrote
- 3:32few articles
- 3:33supporting the
- 3:33scientific analysis of UAP.
- 3:36And thanks to you and your
- 3:40work on
- 3:41New York Times,
- 3:42I think three years before that,
- 3:44before pre-pandemic,
- 3:45there was this article about,
- 3:46you know, fighter pilots
- 3:48encountering these ups.
- 3:50And at that time,
- 3:51we were not too much interested in that.
- 3:53But then when I read that
- 3:55and I thought, okay,
- 3:57these fighter
- 3:57pilots are actually the scientists
- 3:59or the astronomers of the field.
- 4:01So if they are saying
- 4:03that they have seen something,
- 4:04there must be something to it.
- 4:05And then so we started,
- 4:07you know,
- 4:07reading a little bit of background
- 4:09and digging a little bit and seeing.
- 4:11And then we thought that
- 4:12there were a lot of,
- 4:14misinformation and
- 4:16dismissals at the same time.
- 4:18And we wanted to write
- 4:19a few articles about,
- 4:21hey, you know, it's
- 4:22okay to actually do some sort of,
- 4:24some sort of a scientific analysis
- 4:26on the, on this topic.
- 4:28If you want to dismiss it
- 4:29or if you want to believe it,
- 4:30you actually need
- 4:31to do something about it.
- 4:32And that was
- 4:33when we wrote those articles.
- 4:34One of them was in Washington
- 4:36Post in 2021.
- 4:37And because of that article,
- 4:40at Stanton from air
- 4:43asked us to ask me to come over
- 4:45and then give a talk at one of the AI,
- 4:48meetings.
- 4:49And that's when I met you.
- 4:50And you are also
- 4:52the speaker,
- 4:52I think, one of the plenary speakers
- 4:54for that. Right? Yeah.
- 4:55And then that was when we met. Yeah.
- 4:57And that's that's how we kicked that,
- 4:58that process off.
- 5:01I've been
- 5:01I've been chairing that committee,
- 5:04since it was formalized.
- 5:06And I've just recently stepped down
- 5:09along with my co-chair.
- 5:10I see a look of disappointment
- 5:11on your face,
- 5:12but ultimately the time has come.
- 5:14It was supposed to be generally
- 5:15a two year appointment.
- 5:16It was about five years or so.
- 5:17But I'm proud to report
- 5:19that the new leadership.
- 5:21Is off and running
- 5:23with a lot of steam right now.
- 5:24And ultimately,
- 5:25you know, as a leader,
- 5:26when you create an organization,
- 5:28I think, you know,
- 5:28one of the biggest measures of success
- 5:30you can have
- 5:31is having that organization
- 5:33in a place
- 5:33where you can turn it over to
- 5:34someone else,
- 5:35and it continues to expand
- 5:36and grow with the initial vision.
- 5:38And I think that's exactly
- 5:40what's going on.
- 5:40So my mind me stepping down was,
- 5:42you know,
- 5:43the last act of success that we can have
- 5:46with that group.
- 5:46And I'm excited to see where
- 5:48it goes here in the future.
- 5:50What any
- 5:51just, you know, maybe just briefly.
- 5:53Anything else
- 5:53you want to talk about
- 5:54from the air side
- 5:56before we kind of move on
- 5:57to your background?
- 5:58I think I found,
- 6:01extremely skilled and extremely kind
- 6:04people at AI
- 6:05and very interested people
- 6:07in this particular topic, at least.
- 6:08I'm really glad that
- 6:09AI as a as an organization
- 6:11is interested in this topic,
- 6:13because we need some scientific,
- 6:17input from experts.
- 6:18We come from basic sciences, whereas AI
- 6:21as technical expertise on this
- 6:23and also scientific expertise together.
- 6:25And so having that kind of a blend
- 6:27is really important.
- 6:28I'm really glad AI is doing this. Yeah.
- 6:30You know,
- 6:31I give I give their leadership
- 6:32a lot of credit
- 6:34for having the foresight
- 6:35to engage on this topic
- 6:36as early as they did.
- 6:38You know,
- 6:38I worked pretty closely
- 6:39with their leadership and,
- 6:41you know, really their motivation
- 6:42was, hey, you know, we're
- 6:45we've been kind of
- 6:46just doing our thing for,
- 6:47you know, a number of years,
- 6:48a number of decades now.
- 6:49And ultimately,
- 6:50just like any other organization,
- 6:51if you don't keep up with the times,
- 6:53then you're going to fall behind.
- 6:54You're going to decay
- 6:55and weather
- 6:56and not be what you used to be.
- 6:58They they thought the UAP conversation
- 7:01and engaging.
- 7:02It was a way for them to maintain,
- 7:04you know, currency.
- 7:05If you will
- 7:06remain current
- 7:07in the eyes of the public
- 7:09on, you know,
- 7:10interesting, unique challenges
- 7:11that face the aerospace industry.
- 7:14And I don't think that's changed.
- 7:15I mean, that was,
- 7:16you know, you said 2021,
- 7:19that I think is as true now
- 7:22as it was then.
- 7:23You know,
- 7:23the conversation hasn't gone away.
- 7:24The number of problems and challenges
- 7:26that face
- 7:28our understanding of this
- 7:29and the ways that we can help
- 7:30not just the public understand,
- 7:32but I think in a lot of ways
- 7:33help the government understand
- 7:34what's going on.
- 7:36Those challenges
- 7:37are just as numerous today
- 7:38as they have been in the past.
- 7:40So we've even seen
- 7:41new leadership at the air come and go.
- 7:43And I think there's thesis remains
- 7:46continues remain correct.
- 7:48So a lot of props to them
- 7:49for that foresight.
- 7:51You don't typically see
- 7:52large organizations
- 7:54that are as conservative,
- 7:55I guess, as an engineering group
- 7:57make those types of leaps
- 7:58that early in a conversation.
- 8:00Yes, I totally agree with everything
- 8:02useless said.
- 8:04Your five years
- 8:05tenure was one of the best
- 8:07I've had, and I'm
- 8:08sure next five years or next many years,
- 8:11I'm really looking forward
- 8:12to be involved in the A activities
- 8:15you will be activities.
- 8:16Well, you know,
- 8:17for those listening out here,
- 8:18I get a lot of emails and questions
- 8:20about how
- 8:21different folks
- 8:22with different backgrounds
- 8:23can get involved.
- 8:25If you're an engineer,
- 8:26if you're a scientist
- 8:27and you're
- 8:28looking for ways to
- 8:30improve your understanding
- 8:31on this,
- 8:32working on actually writing
- 8:33papers, building detection kits,
- 8:37check out
- 8:37the air UAP, IOC,
- 8:40the website last check was UAP ioc.org.
- 8:46And you can send an email
- 8:47and you can join the monthly meetings
- 8:49and get involved
- 8:50with those efforts directly.
- 8:53I'll still be attending those meetings
- 8:55and joining the group
- 8:56just as a member
- 8:57instead of one of the leadership.
- 8:59Well, let's let's talk
- 9:00a little bit about, you know,
- 9:01what's your professional background?
- 9:03What's your scientific background?
- 9:04Why why are we listening to you?
- 9:06You know, talk about this
- 9:07from a scientific perspective.
- 9:08Okay, great.
- 9:09So, I have so I'm a scientist,
- 9:12planetary scientist
- 9:13at NASA Goddard currently.
- 9:16Before that,
- 9:17I was a research scientist at Penn State
- 9:20State University.
- 9:21And then I did work on various topics,
- 9:25and I did my PhD from LSU Go Tigers.
- 9:30And on
- 9:32Legault Gravitational-Wave
- 9:33Observatory, it's
- 9:34the Laser
- 9:34Interferometer
- 9:35Gravitational-Wave Observatory,
- 9:37essentially, to find these gravitational
- 9:39wave ripples of space time.
- 9:40And I used to
- 9:41work at the observatory
- 9:42and at the university.
- 9:45And then.
- 9:46Leo itself, they had their own.
- 9:48Right.
- 9:49So there's a Department of astronomy
- 9:51and physics and astronomy at LSU.
- 9:53And I did my best over there,
- 9:54and I used to work at the department,
- 9:57and also I used to visit the observatory.
- 9:58We used to have
- 9:59these things called observation runs.
- 10:01So they need
- 10:02they needed people to take shifts
- 10:06every eight hour
- 10:06shifts to monitor the observatory
- 10:09to see how it is going on.
- 10:10And it was a really great experience
- 10:12for me as a student at the time to
- 10:13be part of that group.
- 10:16And then once I was done with it
- 10:18and I went to a move
- 10:19to Penn State for my postdoctoral, work,
- 10:23at that time, I got interested in,
- 10:26exoplanets,
- 10:27and I started working with a few folks
- 10:30at Penn State
- 10:32in addition to my own work
- 10:33on gravitational waves.
- 10:34And eventually
- 10:35I moved away from there
- 10:37to exoplanet work.
- 10:39What yours is.
- 10:40So in 2010.
- 10:42Remind me,
- 10:43when was the first exo planet discovery?
- 10:45Oh, okay.
- 10:46So if you want to know
- 10:48when was the first exoplanet
- 10:50discovered around a sun like star?
- 10:51That was back in 1995.
- 10:53Okay,
- 10:54but if you
- 10:54the first exoplanet
- 10:56confirmed exoplanet
- 10:57discovered around any kind of star,
- 10:59and that was around
- 11:00a pulsar or a dead star was back in 1992
- 11:03from Penn State astronomer.
- 11:04So. Well, okay.
- 11:06Actually,
- 11:07that's actually earlier than I thought.
- 11:08But there was like
- 11:09this big up
- 11:10tick right
- 11:11when we started detecting them,
- 11:12like pretty pretty often. Yes.
- 11:15Was that around the time
- 11:16that you were transitioning this field
- 11:17you were seeing this
- 11:18was maybe a more active field
- 11:19at this time. Right.
- 11:20So that that's a really good question.
- 11:22And it all
- 11:23it's a very coincidental thing.
- 11:25Around 2008,
- 11:272010 was when I started
- 11:29getting interested in exoplanets
- 11:30because they were
- 11:31there's a very drip,
- 11:32drip,
- 11:33observational discoveries
- 11:34of these exoplanets.
- 11:36But then in 2009, NASA launched
- 11:38Capital Space
- 11:39Telescope,
- 11:40which was
- 11:41trying to find a bunch of exoplanets.
- 11:43And one of the main goals of Kepler's
- 11:46telescope was to find planets
- 11:47in the habitable zone
- 11:48around other stars, the place
- 11:50where liquid water could sustain and,
- 11:52you know, have life.
- 11:54Life like ours anyway. Life?
- 11:55Yeah, carbon based life.
- 11:56Carbon based life essential.
- 11:58So they it was launched in 2009,
- 12:01and that was
- 12:01when the floodgates were open
- 12:03for exoplanet discoveries.
- 12:04And Kepler did an amazing job.
- 12:07And four years later,
- 12:08one of its reaction wheels went bad.
- 12:10And then they somehow NASA engineers,
- 12:14I give kudos to them.
- 12:15They figured out how to even
- 12:17make it work even after the
- 12:19this problem.
- 12:20And then we had an extended mission.
- 12:22And so they were at that time
- 12:24and thousands of planets were discovered.
- 12:25And I was like,
- 12:26oh, this is the exact time
- 12:28I should get involved.
- 12:29And that's when I got involved in
- 12:31exoplanet work.
- 12:32Let me pull us off
- 12:33track for a minute here.
- 12:34So just a fun thought.
- 12:36Yeah.
- 12:37You know, I've often,
- 12:42Sorry,
- 12:43I've often been a little disappointed
- 12:45in the primary search
- 12:47activities of SETI utilizing, you know,
- 12:50looking for radio waves around stars,
- 12:54because that was a primary communication
- 12:56methodology for, you know,
- 12:58let's call it 40 years, 50 or 60 years,
- 13:01you know, as human beings.
- 13:04Radio waves, of course,
- 13:05drop off at one over R squared,
- 13:08or is it cuz, you know, it's squared.
- 13:09Yeah, yeah.
- 13:11Square non-linearly
- 13:14relatively limited range.
- 13:17I can't help but wondering now
- 13:19that we're almost in a new world here
- 13:22with artificial intelligence.
- 13:24You know, in 150 years,
- 13:26you know,
- 13:27there's going to be vastly
- 13:28more intelligence.
- 13:29I think that would be artificial
- 13:32than perhaps human. Right.
- 13:34And so perhaps, like the mistake
- 13:36of only looking for radio waves,
- 13:38it might be a mistake
- 13:39to only look for biological life
- 13:41like ours in a very narrow
- 13:43window around a star.
- 13:44Or perhaps the universe is made up of
- 13:47much more intelligent life
- 13:49that's artificial or electrical
- 13:51in nature, etc., etc..
- 13:53Where would the search zones be for that?
- 13:55Right?
- 13:55So I just can't but wonder if,
- 13:57you know, we're making the same mistake
- 13:59again, always anthropomorphizing
- 14:01what aliens are going
- 14:02to look like or what,
- 14:04where we're going to find things,
- 14:05when every time we have
- 14:06a new scientific discovery
- 14:07that breaks
- 14:08those old molds,
- 14:09we still continue
- 14:10to look for what we expected in the past.
- 14:12Okay.
- 14:12So I am so glad you asked this question
- 14:15because and I'm
- 14:15so glad we went a little bit of track,
- 14:17but this is one of
- 14:18the most important things.
- 14:19And I have I'll address several
- 14:23aspects of the question that you asked.
- 14:24One of the first ones is,
- 14:26you know, city has done
- 14:28is been there for decades, and we haven't
- 14:31yet found any confirmed signal.
- 14:34It's a timescale issue also. Right.
- 14:36So we have when were the first radio
- 14:39observations are radio
- 14:41communications have taken place
- 14:42maybe 70 years, 80 years? Okay.
- 14:44That was when back in the 40s, 30s,
- 14:47maybe 50s. Right.
- 14:49It's a movie contact is correct.
- 14:50It was
- 14:51it wasn't
- 14:51the airing of one of the Nazi Germany
- 14:54or the games. 1997.
- 14:57Yeah, yeah.
- 14:57So so even if you take that one
- 14:59and probably maybe 100 years almost now.
- 15:01Right. So we are about 90 years or so.
- 15:03Okay.
- 15:04So the Industrial Revolution
- 15:05started 200 years ago approximately.
- 15:08And so we actually started doing things,
- 15:10inventing technology
- 15:11that we could potentially,
- 15:13you know,
- 15:13use it to build radio communications.
- 15:16200 years ago,
- 15:17the whole human civilization,
- 15:20if you consider
- 15:21civilization as the
- 15:22first agricultural revolution
- 15:24that started probably around
- 15:269000 years ago or 8000 years ago,
- 15:29before that, we are
- 15:30we were no different than animals,
- 15:32any other animal on the planet.
- 15:34And considering that we have done,
- 15:38even if you take the 10,000 years
- 15:39of human
- 15:40civilization
- 15:41and 10,000 years versus 50 years, that's
- 15:45that's like me saying, okay,
- 15:47I want to take a bus in Austin.
- 15:49And if I stay there
- 15:50and I waited for two seconds.
- 15:52Ryan, I haven't seen a bus in this town.
- 15:54Also,
- 15:54there are no busses in the Austin,
- 15:56so this is the time scale problem.
- 15:58So that's one aspect of it
- 16:00we should probably look
- 16:01and look for in different ways
- 16:02of doing it.
- 16:03And people you
- 16:05what you mentioned
- 16:05about anthropomorphic forces
- 16:07in the entire thing
- 16:08about what could a technology look like
- 16:11if you ask someone, find it.
- 16:12Years ago in the medieval ages,
- 16:14what would be an advanced technology?
- 16:15So your biggest chariot they can
- 16:17think about
- 16:19perhaps?
- 16:19Yes.
- 16:20And that one to so few
- 16:23a hundred years ago,
- 16:24people were building,
- 16:26they were
- 16:27thinking that the biggest structures on
- 16:28the planet were pyramids.
- 16:30And so they were saying, oh,
- 16:31we should look for pyramids
- 16:32on other planets.
- 16:35And Panama Canal
- 16:36was one of the biggest things
- 16:37at that time.
- 16:37Or we should look for canals.
- 16:39And this is what happened
- 16:40when people were looking at Mars.
- 16:41They saw this
- 16:43things on the planet and they thought,
- 16:45oh yeah, they should be.
- 16:46They probably are,
- 16:48you know, alien
- 16:49beings, their war of the worlds,
- 16:50things like that.
- 16:51And that's why we should look
- 16:53for these kind of canal features.
- 16:54So every generation has their own
- 16:58impression
- 17:00of what could an alien
- 17:01technology will look like.
- 17:03So right now
- 17:04AI is the most popular thing.
- 17:05So we think that
- 17:06a civilization might be get.
- 17:08And maybe 50 years ago
- 17:10radio communications
- 17:11were the popular things.
- 17:12And that's when we started
- 17:13looking for radio communications.
- 17:15It is really hard to predict what could
- 17:18a civilization
- 17:19be using based on our current technology?
- 17:21We are
- 17:22minds are not used to
- 17:23that kind of advance.
- 17:24I'll say there's probably one thing
- 17:25they actually are using, which is energy.
- 17:27Yeah, exactly.
- 17:29We should focus on the energy
- 17:31because every civilization,
- 17:32if it's one, wants to expand,
- 17:35they have to use energy.
- 17:36What kind of energy?
- 17:38Well, a more efficient energy.
- 17:39And they have to follow thermodynamics.
- 17:42Basically waste heat.
- 17:44The waste heat will be there.
- 17:45And so if we can couple these
- 17:47two things
- 17:47energy and wasted,
- 17:48we have to find some sort of an evidence
- 17:50of what kind of a signature
- 17:52we should be able to think about
- 17:53what kind of signatures
- 17:54they would be emitting.
- 17:56Well, even,
- 17:57you know, just just for fun here.
- 17:58I mean,
- 17:59when I hear the word waste,
- 18:00I think of unused or unprocessed, right?
- 18:02We might
- 18:03imagine a more advanced civilization
- 18:05that has the ability to recoup all that
- 18:07heat and reuse it. Right.
- 18:09Is that challenge?
- 18:10Does that challenge
- 18:11the laws of thermodynamics?
- 18:12I don't know, right.
- 18:14So I'm fortunately from the current laws
- 18:17of thermodynamics, we know there must be
- 18:20some sort of a waste
- 18:21coming out from somewhere. Okay.
- 18:24And that's what we need to look at
- 18:26with the current laws of physics
- 18:27we know of.
- 18:28And of course,
- 18:29there's a Carter Chef scale which judges
- 18:31how much energy
- 18:32a civilization uses
- 18:34based off of whether it can capture
- 18:35near 100% of its Earth's
- 18:37energy output
- 18:38or its planet's energy
- 18:39output, its solar system
- 18:41vis a vis its sun energy type three.
- 18:44Would it be galactic energy?
- 18:46I have, of course, can't help
- 18:47but wonder if there's more clever ways
- 18:49to generate or capture energy that
- 18:52might be on a
- 18:54scale, on
- 18:54a quantum
- 18:55scale, perhaps, versus us
- 18:56just looking at the great big
- 18:57glowing
- 18:58object in the sky and assuming
- 19:00that's what everyone uses as well.
- 19:01Yes, I'm glad you mentioned
- 19:03your scale there.
- 19:03Is this a scale one, two and three?
- 19:06Currently,
- 19:07Earth seems to be around
- 19:08close to one type one.
- 19:10Yeah,
- 19:11I think that's our next goal, right?
- 19:13We're probably like a 0.4
- 19:14I would imagine.
- 19:15Or I think that might even be generous.
- 19:17Yeah.
- 19:17You know, I think Carl Sagan
- 19:19I could be wrong.
- 19:19Someone can correct
- 19:20me said we are probably somewhere
- 19:22close to 0.7 or so of on the scale, so.
- 19:27Yeah, probably.
- 19:29But I wouldn't put too much into that
- 19:32scale civilizations because again,
- 19:34when they use that much energy,
- 19:35they should be releasing
- 19:36some sort of waste heat.
- 19:37And there were searches
- 19:39done to look for these.
- 19:40You know,
- 19:40there's also this Dyson sphere
- 19:42where you can collect
- 19:42all the stellar light
- 19:44in sphere around it. Right.
- 19:45There's a Star Trek episode also Trekkie.
- 19:49And so we
- 19:50there were some
- 19:51searches to see this waste heat
- 19:52coming out of this usage of energy,
- 19:54and we haven't found any galactic scale
- 19:56or stellar level scale,
- 19:59wasted energy resources yet.
- 20:01We found it.
- 20:02But then there is even
- 20:03a fundamental issue
- 20:04with that kind of thinking as well.
- 20:06Why would we want to?
- 20:08If you use start,
- 20:09you start using this
- 20:10kind of energy expansion.
- 20:12You would eventually warm your own planet
- 20:15to a,
- 20:16you know, to a place
- 20:17where it would be really
- 20:18could be really hard.
- 20:20And there's a couple of papers
- 20:21that we published
- 20:22with my colleagues,
- 20:22and my colleagues
- 20:23also did the same
- 20:24similar work on this one.
- 20:26And so is it a sustainable
- 20:28usage of energy to warm your planet
- 20:31just because you want to use?
- 20:32Hopefully civilizations might be,
- 20:35you know, thinking about this
- 20:37and maybe they'll be clever
- 20:38enough not to go to this expansive usage,
- 20:41exponential usage of energy.
- 20:42Maybe they'll figure out
- 20:44fusion energy
- 20:44might be a better option,
- 20:46a portable fusion energy.
- 20:48I haven't really thought
- 20:49about the uses of energy,
- 20:51like directly
- 20:53being linked
- 20:54to the warming of the planet.
- 20:56I assume that there's energy,
- 21:00that is
- 21:01released in the space
- 21:02around a planet, right?
- 21:04Or is that it's not at all.
- 21:06It's because there's just not enough mass
- 21:08to transfer the.
- 21:09Yeah.
- 21:10So the energy of what?
- 21:11Of heat itself. Right.
- 21:13So if it would be true if we
- 21:15if you had no atmosphere,
- 21:16I mean, we could just radiate to space
- 21:18and then be done with it. Great.
- 21:19But then fortunately or
- 21:21unfortunately we have an atmosphere.
- 21:23And so when you release
- 21:25that heat, that heat
- 21:26gets trapped into these greenhouse gases,
- 21:29carbon dioxide or methane, or.
- 21:30So the capture of, of, of our atmosphere
- 21:34exceed any releases that you know
- 21:36you have. Okay.
- 21:37That makes sense.
- 21:38Everything that will
- 21:39that's keeping us alive
- 21:40might be the one that might kill
- 21:41us if we do that. Yeah. Good.
- 21:44Okay.
- 21:44Well, thanks. Thanks for that.
- 21:45Anything else you want to say
- 21:46on that front for me?
- 21:47We get back to your educational
- 21:49pathway here. Oh, yeah. So we.
- 21:50One of the work that I'm doing,
- 21:52I'm doing is techno
- 21:53signatures work,
- 21:54which is to look for
- 21:56technology outside Earth.
- 21:57And we have several ideas about how
- 21:59what could we potential technology
- 22:01could look like.
- 22:02How can we observe them.
- 22:04It's more
- 22:04we want to try to
- 22:05to be an observational science
- 22:08when, you know,
- 22:09can we look for theoretical
- 22:10a theoretical one? Right.
- 22:11So we're not just imagining
- 22:13scale civilizations
- 22:14but actually looking for those
- 22:16kind of things, pollution kind of things.
- 22:18Radio communication.
- 22:19So there's
- 22:20the search is going on all fronts
- 22:22and hopefully I don't know when, but
- 22:24hopefully we'll soon discover
- 22:27at some point.
- 22:27Well, let's, let's,
- 22:28let's define what a techno signature is.
- 22:31Yeah. Good.
- 22:32It's a sign of an advanced technology
- 22:35that, we could potentially detect.
- 22:38It's a manifestation.
- 22:39So I would say that
- 22:41there is a lot of city work going that
- 22:43search for extraterrestrial intelligence.
- 22:45Intelligence is hard to detect remotely
- 22:47or even on our planet.
- 22:48If you don't see if you actually go do
- 22:52experiments in there. Right.
- 22:53So I would
- 22:54I think there are
- 22:55there is this notion
- 22:57in our city community
- 22:58that we should also consider Ceti,
- 23:01which is search
- 23:01for extraterrestrial technology.
- 23:03Technology is easy
- 23:04to detect that intelligence.
- 23:06So that's why we focus more on techno
- 23:07signatures
- 23:08rather than intelligence right now.
- 23:10Can you imagine a
- 23:12intelligent species
- 23:13that does not create technology?
- 23:16Yeah, we have many
- 23:17that intelligent species on our Earth.
- 23:19Well, I guess that's fair to say,
- 23:21but is a measure of how intelligence
- 23:23something is,
- 23:24how much technology it makes.
- 23:26So there are some,
- 23:28intelligent animals on our planet
- 23:30that make a few tools
- 23:32out of the things available around them.
- 23:34Crows, ravens.
- 23:36They can make tools,
- 23:38use tools to get what they need.
- 23:40Chimpanzees, apes.
- 23:41They can do it. Some of the
- 23:45dolphins, they make
- 23:46tools out of water as well.
- 23:48And so they use their surroundings
- 23:50to make tools for their own needs.
- 23:51So yeah. Okay, okay.
- 23:53Fair enough.
- 23:54I'm just trying to
- 23:54imagine a hyper intelligent species
- 23:56that perhaps is not progressing
- 23:57along the technological right
- 24:00improvement path. Like we are. Right?
- 24:02We seem to be,
- 24:03as a species,
- 24:04inexcusably linked
- 24:05to technological developments,
- 24:07for better or worse,
- 24:08perhaps towards our own suicide of fact.
- 24:10Right?
- 24:12I guess, you know,
- 24:12it's more it's hypothetical, I guess.
- 24:15But if you thought about it.
- 24:16Yeah, it is.
- 24:17So I think you're getting the question
- 24:19of what is different
- 24:20between an intelligent species
- 24:22like humans and other intelligent
- 24:23species on Earth,
- 24:25because, you know,
- 24:26we have intelligence
- 24:27if you on a broad scale,
- 24:30the difference is that we
- 24:31are actually changing the planet
- 24:33when we with our technology.
- 24:35And so those are the technological
- 24:37kind of species or intelligent
- 24:39techno signatures
- 24:40that we might be looking for.
- 24:42So when we look for techno signatures
- 24:44and when we look for advanced intelligent
- 24:47civilizations, a planet wide impact
- 24:50that a technology could create
- 24:52is what we should be observing.
- 24:53Otherwise, we would be no different
- 24:55than any other animal that has some
- 24:57some sort of
- 24:57an intelligence on the planet.
- 24:59Okay.
- 24:59Let me ask you some some quick
- 25:00questions here in a row. So
- 25:03Robbie is looking
- 25:05through his tools and he detects a,
- 25:10absolutely conclusive proof
- 25:11that there are radio
- 25:13waves of a decodable
- 25:15intelligent communication format around
- 25:18Alpha
- 25:20Centauri.
- 25:22Or the observation
- 25:24through an optical sensor of.
- 25:25No kidding, a craft
- 25:26flying around a planet,
- 25:27you know, somewhere else away from us.
- 25:30Techno signature.
- 25:32I wouldn't announce it as a technique.
- 25:34So this is where my scientific,
- 25:37training comes kicks in
- 25:39because I
- 25:41publish a paper based on that analysis.
- 25:43If I'm really sure that I have seen
- 25:45something really cool,
- 25:47then I'll write a scientific paper
- 25:48and then I'll publish it,
- 25:49and I'll be very, very careful
- 25:51saying that what I found,
- 25:53what my data shows,
- 25:55and I wouldn't speculate on what.
- 25:57I agree with you.
- 25:58Well, tragically speaking, right.
- 26:00It is like a definitional,
- 26:02example
- 26:03that would be an example of potentially
- 26:05a techno signature, right? Yes.
- 26:06What about if we observe a craft
- 26:09or handful of craft coming
- 26:11towards our solar system, that we're
- 26:13half of that year away from us?
- 26:15And as you pointed at our star,
- 26:16would that be considered
- 26:17a techno signature. If,
- 26:20we get confirmation from multiple
- 26:23lines of evidence and multiple teams,
- 26:25I would say
- 26:25that's would be an interesting
- 26:27and consistent with what you said.
- 26:29What if.
- 26:30We looked at Pluto
- 26:32one day
- 26:33and saw that
- 26:33there was a completely bizarre,
- 26:35unknown foreign
- 26:36satellites or group of satellites
- 26:38operating around Pluto?
- 26:39Would that be a techno signature?
- 26:42Yes.
- 26:42If those objects are
- 26:44not following the natural laws of,
- 26:47I would say I.
- 26:48Mean technological satellite,
- 26:49not just a body orbiting.
- 26:51Oh, okay. Yeah.
- 26:53So if somehow we figured out
- 26:55that if it is technological
- 26:56and then we again
- 26:59have a good confirmation on it,
- 27:00I would be excited.
- 27:03What if we discovered
- 27:04that there were some
- 27:06incredibly ancient ruins on the moon?
- 27:08Would that be a techno signature?
- 27:12Yeah, I mean, I would
- 27:13if we
- 27:14get a good confirmation
- 27:15as solid evidence,
- 27:16I would say, yeah,
- 27:17if we can date them to,
- 27:19you know, before our civilization,
- 27:21then yeah, I would say.
- 27:23That would be coming all the way in.
- 27:25Right.
- 27:26We see a bunch of strange objects
- 27:27flying around fighter jets
- 27:29off the eastern seaboard
- 27:31be considered a techno signature.
- 27:34We, we have to know
- 27:36that it is
- 27:37a techno signature
- 27:38for using different lines of evidence.
- 27:40I would I'm trying to be really careful
- 27:43here.
- 27:44Yeah.
- 27:44If it is something
- 27:45anomalous, I would say
- 27:46it would be a good techno
- 27:48signature that we know of.
- 27:49So I you're making my point to your face.
- 27:52As I get closer and closer to Earth,
- 27:54it seems like the conversation
- 27:55of techno signatures
- 27:56get more uncomfortable
- 27:57the closer and closer to earth
- 27:59that you get, right?
- 28:01How does NASA view
- 28:02the study of techno signatures?
- 28:04So NASA has supported
- 28:06a lot of work on techno signatures.
- 28:08It's considered as one of the subsets
- 28:10of biosignatures.
- 28:11Techno technology
- 28:12has to arise from biology.
- 28:15Even if we say, oh yeah, well,
- 28:16how about artificial intelligence
- 28:18creating technology?
- 28:19But AI has to be created by something,
- 28:21and someone is a biology
- 28:23before it creates even more technology.
- 28:26And so biological evolution
- 28:28probably is needed and so considers
- 28:31techno signatures
- 28:32to be a part of a bio signature
- 28:34work as well. There's not a fun research.
- 28:36What's what's the history of NASA
- 28:37funding techno
- 28:38techno signature research
- 28:40within our solar system?
- 28:42So we have we have a broad portfolio,
- 28:46as I can't speak for anything
- 28:49officially from NASA side,
- 28:51but I would say that
- 28:52I've we got some projects funded on
- 28:56looking for techno signatures,
- 28:57work related to techno signatures
- 28:59and within.
- 29:00Related work, some some work related.
- 29:03Okay.
- 29:04On theoretical, you know,
- 29:07expectations of what a techno
- 29:08signature might look like.
- 29:10There's also some observational aspects.
- 29:13They are funded to look for data
- 29:14in the telescope,
- 29:15like Kepler space telescope
- 29:17for within the.
- 29:18Looking outside the solar system.
- 29:21Within the solar system.
- 29:22I mean, we can use,
- 29:25we can use archival data from
- 29:27the missions
- 29:28and look for any kind of anomalies
- 29:30that we might be looking.
- 29:31But there is actually,
- 29:32I don't say particularly for NASA,
- 29:34but there is
- 29:35there are several people
- 29:36in the community,
- 29:37techno signature community,
- 29:38looking for any kind of anomalous,
- 29:41features on moon using the LRO,
- 29:43the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter data
- 29:46using machine learning techniques.
- 29:48And same thing can be done
- 29:49with Martian archival data as well. Yeah.
- 29:52And so
- 29:53those kind of things are happening
- 29:55outside the planet. Yeah.
- 29:57And then
- 29:58of course, within our atmosphere,
- 30:00NASA has been pretty stodgy
- 30:02in their involvement
- 30:03in the UAP conversation.
- 30:06Different term
- 30:08representing and talking
- 30:09about the same thing.
- 30:10Of course, there's
- 30:11no scientific consensus
- 30:13that that is the case.
- 30:15What's your experience been
- 30:16with the UAP topic
- 30:18as you worked around NASA?
- 30:20So I have had a good support from my,
- 30:24management and everyone.
- 30:25And so they completely separate,
- 30:27as is evidence
- 30:28with the part of the things
- 30:29that I've been doing
- 30:30with the UAP work
- 30:31and publishing papers related to that.
- 30:33So the management has been at least my
- 30:36supervisors and the line management
- 30:38has been really supportive of that.
- 30:40Do you think NASA in general
- 30:41is supportive of this conversation,
- 30:43or do you think it's
- 30:44generally they're willing to let you
- 30:46go out on a bit of a lease
- 30:48to explore something?
- 30:49Or do you think there is broad
- 30:50acceptance or not?
- 30:52Acceptance is the right word,
- 30:53but openness to this topic.
- 30:54So as a science topic,
- 30:56I would say there is a good encouragement
- 30:58on this particular one.
- 30:59And also NASA has commissioned a up,
- 31:04task force
- 31:04few years ago
- 31:06collecting different
- 31:06kind of people around it.
- 31:08So they have done some work on that.
- 31:10And as,
- 31:11as, as the techno signature
- 31:13work is considered,
- 31:14this is we
- 31:15one of the hypothesis
- 31:16that we want to explore
- 31:18for the Up
- 31:19is this techno signature topic.
- 31:21So in that way,
- 31:22I would say that
- 31:23there is some kind of a support for us.
- 31:26Okay.
- 31:27The hook.
- 31:28Yeah.
- 31:31All right.
- 31:31Let's let's move on a little bit.
- 31:33You're now
- 31:35on the UAP Scientific Advisory Council.
- 31:38Yeah.
- 31:39How are you finding that?
- 31:41It's there are really good
- 31:44people in there,
- 31:44and it's exciting
- 31:46to be part of the People Science Council,
- 31:49where similar thinking
- 31:51people are there
- 31:51with different expertise.
- 31:53And I'm really glad we have a
- 31:56good leadership.
- 31:58In terms of IV lobe, we should be able to
- 32:01hopefully we'll get some sort of data
- 32:03that we could analyze.
- 32:05Yeah.
- 32:05So that's you know, that's
- 32:07part of the rationale that I had
- 32:09for recently joining this committee.
- 32:12As of a couple of weeks ago.
- 32:15Oh, I was really, by the way,
- 32:16I was really excited you were there.
- 32:18I was super excited that you
- 32:20you joined the council and.
- 32:21Thank you.
- 32:22I, you know, I,
- 32:24I think I'm the only member
- 32:25lacking a PhD.
- 32:28In traditional fields,
- 32:29I say my experience in the cockpit
- 32:31might qualify me for something similar.
- 32:33But, at the end of the day,
- 32:35you guys are being tasked
- 32:36with analyzing primarily
- 32:39what seems to be military imagery.
- 32:42Camera data, etcetera, etcetera.
- 32:45And there's a lot
- 32:46that, you know, can be determined
- 32:49or ruled out or understood
- 32:51without having to go
- 32:52through a laborers process of reverse,
- 32:55you know,
- 32:55doing the reverse physics
- 32:56to try to understand it
- 32:57from first principles. Right.
- 32:59How these systems work, how they guide,
- 33:01how they fuze, how they queued,
- 33:03how are these systems targeted,
- 33:04what systems are used?
- 33:07And I hope to be able
- 33:08to provide some perspective to the wider
- 33:11data network
- 33:12that supports
- 33:13any one of these tiny slivers of videos
- 33:15that have been coming out.
- 33:16And we'll talk about that
- 33:17more in a minute.
- 33:18And on the other hand,
- 33:20at Americans Are Safe
- 33:21Aerospace, we've been continuing
- 33:23to receive a lot of reports.
- 33:25And actually, I'm
- 33:26going to take a moment here
- 33:27to talk to all of
- 33:28you guys out there listening.
- 33:31I am seeing some incredible
- 33:33reports in the comment sections.
- 33:36Thank you for putting that in.
- 33:38I highly encourage you
- 33:39to go to Safe aerospace.org
- 33:41and submit the reports there directly.
- 33:45Sometimes there's a piece of information
- 33:47that will follow up
- 33:48and ask for that
- 33:49you hadn't thought to include.
- 33:50That's very important
- 33:51for helping us understand these cases.
- 33:54We've been seeing a massive
- 33:55uptick in report
- 33:55since we've started this podcast.
- 33:57We've got 48 reports
- 33:58just in the past 12 days or so.
- 34:01So please keep that up. Go to
- 34:04submit those reports.
- 34:07Submit them on the comments too
- 34:08if you want.
- 34:08But we're going to
- 34:09probably follow up with you
- 34:10and try to
- 34:11get you to push it over to our website
- 34:13so that we can get that in the database
- 34:15in front of our analyst eyes,
- 34:16so that we can fully understand
- 34:19the details and nuances of the case.
- 34:22But with that, that quick caveat.
- 34:25You know, there are
- 34:26there's still, you know,
- 34:27veterans and military folks
- 34:28that come to us say, hey,
- 34:29I've been capturing a lot of this stuff.
- 34:31Some of it,
- 34:32if what they're reporting is accurate
- 34:34or very highly detailed.
- 34:36And the exact, you know,
- 34:37file names
- 34:38and locations of these are available
- 34:42for follow up.
- 34:43And so my hope is that
- 34:45once the ODI or whomever is,
- 34:49guiding the conversation
- 34:50within the Scientific Council
- 34:53allows the proper clearances
- 34:54and access
- 34:55to this information,
- 34:56then you guys will have some more
- 34:57interesting data to look at.
- 35:01And I say more data,
- 35:02more interesting data
- 35:03because as a as was concluded,
- 35:07maybe concludes a strong word,
- 35:09but as you've identified
- 35:10in a recent paper
- 35:11that you've created with your colleague,
- 35:14you've shown that a lot of these, files
- 35:18that are being released
- 35:19to the pursuit program
- 35:20just simply don't have enough
- 35:22detail and context.
- 35:23There are two unbounded to truly draw
- 35:26any type of,
- 35:28distinctions from. Is that fair to say?
- 35:30Would you like to comment on that?
- 35:31Yeah. So dairy.
- 35:33There are a few videos
- 35:34that we analyzed
- 35:35the from the past year data release.
- 35:39Some of them,
- 35:41the at least the few videos
- 35:43that we looked at
- 35:45seem to be consistent with
- 35:46some of the known objects
- 35:47that we have around here, like birds and,
- 35:50you know,
- 35:51and but some of them
- 35:52we couldn't figure out
- 35:53based on the available data
- 35:55because most in fact,
- 35:57most of the data was redacted
- 35:59from these videos.
- 36:00So we could only put ranges of
- 36:02what could it be,
- 36:03ranges on the speed ranges
- 36:04on how far they could be.
- 36:06And that kind of confuses
- 36:07what kind of an object
- 36:08we can make it out.
- 36:10Yeah.
- 36:12Well, we're going to take a look
- 36:13at a couple of those videos
- 36:14here in a moment.
- 36:15But first I want to just kind of
- 36:18provide a little landscape of
- 36:21how this whole thing works
- 36:22when people get something on a sensor.
- 36:25And it's not for every circumstance.
- 36:26And some of the videos
- 36:28we're going to see here
- 36:28might have been more coincidental
- 36:30than, you know, a fully,
- 36:32prosecuted target.
- 36:33But when you're trying to
- 36:37employ on a target,
- 36:38right, it's not simply
- 36:40it pops up on your screen
- 36:41and you pull the trigger.
- 36:42There's a process.
- 36:43This is
- 36:43somewhat of an engineering process.
- 36:45And each one of the steps
- 36:46has massive amounts
- 36:47of tools and considerations
- 36:49and resources spent on it.
- 36:51And the general process
- 36:53is that you're going
- 36:53to find something right.
- 36:55And you might get a blip of something.
- 36:58A submarine might hear a ping, right.
- 37:00And you don't know the range of that ping
- 37:02necessarily off of one of it.
- 37:03You don't know how it's
- 37:04moving necessarily.
- 37:06An aircraft might receive jamming
- 37:09from a general location,
- 37:10but you can't tell how far away
- 37:13that jamming is on that bearing.
- 37:15Right?
- 37:16So you find something in the next
- 37:18step is to fix it.
- 37:19Like where is that
- 37:20in three dimensional space. Right.
- 37:22And then once you're able to do that,
- 37:26you're going to
- 37:26then track
- 37:27that object,
- 37:28you're going to fix it over time, right,
- 37:30so that you can monitor it.
- 37:33What you're done.
- 37:35Fixing it over time, tracking it.
- 37:38You're going to target it.
- 37:39And target doesn't mean
- 37:40that you pull the trigger.
- 37:41Target doesn't mean you just miraculously
- 37:43claim that it's an enemy.
- 37:44It's a process
- 37:45that you go through in order
- 37:46to make an assessment
- 37:47as the trigger puller,
- 37:49whether that is truly
- 37:50something that fits your,
- 37:53rules of engagement.
- 37:54Right? Is this,
- 37:57does this thing have the flight
- 37:59characteristics of a 737
- 38:02and did it take off
- 38:03from a civilian airport?
- 38:05Right.
- 38:06And it's flying at civilian air
- 38:07speeds and altitudes
- 38:08and on an expected track.
- 38:10Probably not
- 38:11something you want to target.
- 38:12Is this a fighter sized
- 38:14object maneuvering at 1.8
- 38:16mark with his nose at me,
- 38:18taking off from a known hostile base?
- 38:20Right.
- 38:21And there's many other tools
- 38:22that we use and considerations.
- 38:24And it gets in the classified territory
- 38:26pretty quick,
- 38:27so I don't want to get into it too much.
- 38:29But generally speaking,
- 38:30there is a process to say, okay,
- 38:31this is
- 38:32something that we've
- 38:34identified as a hostile
- 38:35and we were going to target it.
- 38:37And then the next step of that,
- 38:38that process is to actually engage
- 38:40that target, right.
- 38:41That's positioning yourself,
- 38:43your weapons systems, your,
- 38:46your wingman and other people
- 38:48to actually pull that trigger
- 38:49and support
- 38:50that engagement until it's concluded.
- 38:54That's the engaged portion.
- 38:55Then at the very end.
- 38:56How do you know what you did
- 38:57was successful, right?
- 39:00I have a fighter size object on my radar.
- 39:04Maybe it's close enough
- 39:05to look through through
- 39:06my infrared system.
- 39:07It's probably not.
- 39:09I'm going to pull the trigger.
- 39:10I'm going to engage it.
- 39:11I'm going to guide that missile in,
- 39:13and then I'm going to check.
- 39:14Is that radar contact gone?
- 39:16Right.
- 39:18Is it
- 39:19going off of mine
- 39:20and my my colleagues radar. Right.
- 39:22And that's one way to assess it.
- 39:24If we're attacking something
- 39:25on the ground.
- 39:27We do a BDA battle damage assessment.
- 39:32I think they actually changed
- 39:33term to be a J.
- 39:34But I forget what that one means.
- 39:36They're always changing terms.
- 39:38All right.
- 39:38So, hey, did we did
- 39:39we strike that ship with enough force
- 39:41to get a mission kill or a target kill?
- 39:44Right.
- 39:45If we
- 39:45drop a bomb on the deck of an
- 39:47aircraft carrier, no one could take off.
- 39:48That's a mission kill.
- 39:50If we sink the aircraft carrier. That's.
- 39:51You know,
- 39:52that's a full target kill, right?
- 39:53So you want to make that assessment
- 39:55and be able to use that information
- 39:56for planning, follow up
- 39:58attacks or things of that nature.
- 40:00And as is often the case with warfare,
- 40:04distance is comfort. Right.
- 40:05And so these
- 40:07the finding and the fixing
- 40:08and the tracking
- 40:09and the targeting
- 40:10all happens from very far away,
- 40:12and at least in my personal experience,
- 40:14is happening with,
- 40:15you know, our very
- 40:16sophisticated radar systems.
- 40:19In fact, the engage is happening.
- 40:20Of course,
- 40:21you know,
- 40:21primarily with our radar systems as well.
- 40:24And so all that information,
- 40:26which has to do with a location
- 40:31fixing, tracking, and really
- 40:34the object
- 40:35to something
- 40:35happening at range
- 40:36with sophisticated sensor systems.
- 40:39What has been disappointing to me
- 40:40with the information
- 40:41released from the pursuit
- 40:42program is that information
- 40:45that's being released
- 40:46is the stuff at the end of the chain,
- 40:48which is,
- 40:51the assessment.
- 40:52Right? Or
- 40:55if it's an error server
- 40:56is maybe the engagement. Right.
- 40:58We use our Fleer pods to laser targets,
- 41:00and we drop a bomb and guide
- 41:01a guide a bomb onto the laser. Right.
- 41:04So these are not things
- 41:05that are designed to be,
- 41:06like super sharp, crisp optical systems.
- 41:09They're designed to guide a bomb
- 41:10onto a building in F-18.
- 41:12We rarely use the,
- 41:16the flier for any type of, like,
- 41:18high fidelity imaging type work.
- 41:19It's just not we do.
- 41:20There's better systems now,
- 41:21and I'm sure they're better, but,
- 41:24they're not the primary tools
- 41:25for this type of work.
- 41:27Furthermore,
- 41:28I really just described one asset to you
- 41:31utilizing their tools
- 41:32to go through that process.
- 41:34But there's often, often a half dozen
- 41:36airborne objects.
- 41:37Right. Other aircraft.
- 41:39There's ships.
- 41:41And I'll just generally say,
- 41:43without giving ourselves in trouble,
- 41:44they're all connected.
- 41:45Right.
- 41:46And everyone's sharing information.
- 41:48And when one person has a radar lock,
- 41:50everyone else is getting
- 41:51that information as well.
- 41:53And so for any one release on pursue,
- 41:56there might be six other radar systems
- 41:58that have been observing that object
- 42:00for potentially 30 or 40 minutes.
- 42:03Right.
- 42:04But what's coming out is a clip
- 42:06that's 4 to 5 or six seconds long.
- 42:08And as we're going
- 42:09to discuss here in a minute,
- 42:10so unbounded that
- 42:11you can't really tell anything
- 42:12useful from that information.
- 42:14So my general question is one,
- 42:16I understand that this type of radar data
- 42:22should be classified.
- 42:24It should not be just fully released.
- 42:26The question is
- 42:27why don't advisory boards.
- 42:29And this is rhetorical.
- 42:30So I feel like you need to answer this.
- 42:31But why?
- 42:33Why does the advisory board
- 42:34only get this tiny amount of information
- 42:36that is scientifically unusual
- 42:39and yet factually, I know,
- 42:42and I think every operator
- 42:43that's been in
- 42:44where I have sat knows
- 42:46that there's much more sophisticated
- 42:47data out there.
- 42:48Why not provide the security clearances
- 42:51to a group
- 42:51with the scientific credentials
- 42:53that is within the UAP
- 42:54Scientific Council,
- 42:56so that they can see that data
- 42:58and have an operator like myself.
- 43:00Whichever you join,
- 43:01walk them through this,
- 43:03what's called the F2, t2, e a kill chain
- 43:06to show them how these targets
- 43:07are getting found,
- 43:09how they're getting fixed,
- 43:09how they're getting tracked,
- 43:10and how they're getting targeted
- 43:12as friendly or enemy aircraft,
- 43:13because those decisions are being made
- 43:14based upon all those data.
- 43:16What's being released isn't the data
- 43:18that is useful for that type of analysis.
- 43:20And yet
- 43:20that's what you're stuck doing
- 43:22an analysis on.
- 43:23You're right.
- 43:24So it's not what we get.
- 43:27It's what's available
- 43:28for us to and analyze.
- 43:30These are this is all publicly available.
- 43:32Pursue data. Right.
- 43:34And so one of the main motivations I'm
- 43:38I'm I hope
- 43:39I am actually conveying this accurately
- 43:43based on what I work with our
- 43:46colleagues in the Science
- 43:47Advisory Council.
- 43:48One of the things we want to do
- 43:50with this
- 43:50publicly available data
- 43:51is to develop tools,
- 43:52analytical tools,
- 43:54even if it is a redacted
- 43:55data, to see, okay,
- 43:57what is it
- 43:57that we can do
- 43:58with the minimal information
- 44:00we have right now?
- 44:01And we will know what we won't know
- 44:04what we don't know.
- 44:05And so that will give us an idea about,
- 44:08okay, what are the
- 44:09this is our first time doing
- 44:10this is not our day job actually. Right.
- 44:12So this is something
- 44:13that we are entering into new territory.
- 44:15When you are entering into this kind of
- 44:16a new territory where you are the expert,
- 44:19we have to go
- 44:20very, very slowly
- 44:21and try to develop
- 44:22the tools that we want to develop
- 44:23with the available data.
- 44:25If there is more data available,
- 44:26which is what we definitely need,
- 44:30we would be more than thrilled
- 44:31to have that kind of a built in access.
- 44:34But again,
- 44:35we would be publishing a paper on that.
- 44:37And so this kind of
- 44:39analysis would be out.
- 44:40And if someone else want to reproduce
- 44:42and they say, hey, you know,
- 44:42how do you know you need this, right?
- 44:44Then we can say, okay,
- 44:45here are our analysis tool.
- 44:47Here is the data we can give you.
- 44:48You go and go and analyze this
- 44:50and then see
- 44:51if you can reach the same conclusion.
- 44:53If you agree with us, great.
- 44:55If you don't we'll figure out
- 44:56what's happening.
- 44:57So that's where I think we we have to be.
- 45:00Well first too, is that
- 45:02it's actually not that
- 45:03complex of a problem
- 45:04at the end of the day to do this in real
- 45:06time even. Right.
- 45:09Like I said, every aircraft
- 45:10talks to each other.
- 45:11The ships talk to each other.
- 45:13It would be relatively trivial
- 45:14for a defense contractor to build a box,
- 45:17more or less a modem
- 45:19that plugs into that network,
- 45:20that monitors
- 45:21everything that all those aircraft
- 45:23and ships are seeing real time,
- 45:24and basically create an algorithm
- 45:26to scan it for abnormal radar contacts.
- 45:30I've pitched this
- 45:31to several government agencies.
- 45:33If you're listening.
- 45:35I know that it's
- 45:37you don't even really
- 45:38have to have to build it.
- 45:39You could just level
- 45:40leverage a ground based station to,
- 45:42to plug into and monitor
- 45:43this type of information.
- 45:44But it's it's
- 45:45not some magical process
- 45:47that requires us to retrofit
- 45:48an aircraft and,
- 45:49you know, burn gas all day.
- 45:50It's simply as simple
- 45:52as basically plugging into the
- 45:54to the grid
- 45:54and just monitoring it
- 45:56for the information that you want.
- 45:57I think if the Trump White House,
- 46:00if Stephen Miller is interested
- 46:01in actually
- 46:02doing this right, that's probably
- 46:03your best bet of getting real time data
- 46:05on this basically anywhere.
- 46:06At least the Navy operates
- 46:08and their force
- 46:09and others use
- 46:10pretty much the exact same system.
- 46:12And it's not it's not only aircraft.
- 46:14So, just something
- 46:16I want to put out there.
- 46:19Well, let's let's get into
- 46:21maybe we can pull up the first video
- 46:23first, maybe
- 46:24just a quick rundown on the paper
- 46:25that you guys
- 46:27put out while we pull up the first video.
- 46:30So, yeah.
- 46:31So there are a few videos
- 46:33that we've analyzed
- 46:34from the pursuit
- 46:35data release
- 46:36we downloaded
- 46:36that few of us investigated it.
- 46:38So now we are looking at video of 113
- 46:43in the pursuit data release,
- 46:45where you can see
- 46:46this targeting grid on top of it.
- 46:49And then suddenly you'd see
- 46:51when the grid is rotating,
- 46:53a fast moving object crossing across.
- 46:55There you go.
- 46:56There's one there.
- 46:59And then the video.
- 47:01Let's just stop here for a minute.
- 47:02Sure. Let's go back to the beginning.
- 47:04I'll explain what we're looking at here.
- 47:06Yeah. Right there.
- 47:06Just pause it right there.
- 47:08So this is a pretty standard
- 47:1130 degrees.
- 47:12Well it's about
- 47:15a it's not the best dive.
- 47:17I'll say he's
- 47:18at about 17 degrees nose down.
- 47:20But generally he's coming in
- 47:22to straight for target.
- 47:23Right now
- 47:23he's got his picture down at 30 degrees.
- 47:25At the center of that circle down
- 47:26there is essentially
- 47:29where the bullets are going to go. Okay.
- 47:31There's a tape on that
- 47:33which we can't really see
- 47:33right now
- 47:34that essentially unwinds
- 47:35to show the range. Right.
- 47:36And there'll be a point where,
- 47:38all right, once it crosses this,
- 47:39this part of the ticker,
- 47:40now you can fire in the bullet.
- 47:42You're going to have the kinetic energy,
- 47:43the need to go
- 47:43where I say they're going to go.
- 47:45And then there's a point where it says,
- 47:46hey, you're too low,
- 47:47you need to pull out.
- 47:49What this looks like
- 47:49is he's coming in a target.
- 47:51He's like I said,
- 47:51this is pretty shallow at the moment.
- 47:53I think he was deeper earlier
- 47:54at some point.
- 47:55But he's drawing that pepper down,
- 47:57and then he shoots
- 47:58and he's going to pull off,
- 48:00and then he's going to do
- 48:01about 120 degrees over bank
- 48:03and pull back down
- 48:04to his desired altitude
- 48:06in like a practice environment.
- 48:08And then he's going to kind of come back
- 48:09and do another pass and go down
- 48:11and he's gonna pull up
- 48:11and he's going to
- 48:12loop down to the proper altitude
- 48:14and kind of keep going down.
- 48:15That's generally
- 48:16what we're looking at here, although
- 48:18it's a little tough
- 48:19to tell the details on the paper.
- 48:21I'm not 100% sure the platform here.
- 48:25It's either
- 48:26but so it doesn't really matter anyways.
- 48:28But so that's what we're seeing here.
- 48:30How are they doing this?
- 48:32They probably dropped a waypoint
- 48:34on the target.
- 48:35So a GPS location
- 48:37that's showing up somewhere in their HUD,
- 48:38or they have a visual idea
- 48:41of what they want to shoot.
- 48:43Right.
- 48:44This is a this is a HUD footage.
- 48:45This is an infrared.
- 48:47This is basically a black
- 48:48and white recording of the hut itself.
- 48:51And so the targeting pod is
- 48:53kind of a non-issue here.
- 48:54So what I just talked about
- 48:56about having radar and doing a target,
- 48:58you know, X miles away
- 49:00and all this type of stuff doesn't apply
- 49:01for this one necessarily.
- 49:02This was kind of like a a happenstance
- 49:06type circumstance.
- 49:07I just kind of
- 49:07want to put that caveat there.
- 49:08So let's let's play it again
- 49:09and see what we see here.
- 49:20There you go.
- 49:22And then we see
- 49:24some little object
- 49:25zipped right in front of the HUD.
- 49:27Which one would be terrifying as a pilot.
- 49:29Right.
- 49:29So
- 49:31when you do this, presuming everything
- 49:34you know, I'm giving my best guess here.
- 49:35I don't know where this is.
- 49:36I don't know precisely what platform.
- 49:40Frankly, the ticker tape on the strafing
- 49:42gun looks a little strange to me,
- 49:43and I might be slightly off that.
- 49:45That is a strafe.
- 49:46And not just a release,
- 49:47especially because it's below,
- 49:50the velocity vector.
- 49:51Because typically,
- 49:52at least in 18,
- 49:53the bullets come out
- 49:54the top of the nose, right?
- 49:56So your nose is always
- 49:57deeper than where the bullets are. Right?
- 49:59If you have a pod enough 35, for example,
- 50:02then the ticker would be below
- 50:04the velocity vector,
- 50:05which is that
- 50:05little circle in the middle there.
- 50:07So there's some things
- 50:07I'm not sure about here, but
- 50:09wherever this was,
- 50:10if this was in training,
- 50:11I'll say then they're operating
- 50:13what's called a restricted space.
- 50:14And, you know, when we operate on
- 50:17that term
- 50:17gets used a little loosely
- 50:18sometimes in the up topic,
- 50:21a restricted space or,
- 50:22excuse me,
- 50:23the area off the coast of Virginia Beach
- 50:25where our
- 50:26operating where
- 50:26we're having these instances people off
- 50:28often like the Ferdows restricted space.
- 50:31It's really
- 50:31not it's a military operating area
- 50:33where civilians can fly through it.
- 50:35It's just very dangerous
- 50:36for them to do it,
- 50:37and they'll
- 50:37basically get routed around it by ATC
- 50:39unless they basically ignore ATC request,
- 50:42because that's really what it is.
- 50:43But they're putting themselves in danger.
- 50:45But when we do bombing and strafing
- 50:47and all that good stuff at a range,
- 50:49it is actually a restricted space,
- 50:51like you will get intercepted.
- 50:52Potentially you'll get arrested
- 50:54when you land that type of thing. Right?
- 50:55So nothing should be out there
- 50:58that you're not expecting.
- 51:00No. Cessna is bumbling through.
- 51:02And to see something
- 51:04pop up when you're in a
- 51:06what looks like a 30 degree
- 51:08dive, just starting that over bank,
- 51:11would be would be pretty terrifying.
- 51:13I mean, that's pretty much a near miss.
- 51:15It's hard to say, obviously,
- 51:16how far these objects are.
- 51:19And we'll talk about,
- 51:20you know, your assessment of that.
- 51:21But for me, my pilot,
- 51:23I seeing this happen
- 51:24and the speed
- 51:25at which they're going
- 51:26across the hood,
- 51:27I would say that
- 51:29these are probably within 1000ft
- 51:33of the aircraft that that's just my like,
- 51:36my eyesight, you know, telling me that.
- 51:39You mean the rate,
- 51:40the distance of the object,
- 51:42the this object from the airborne
- 51:45instrument is zero, zero feet is one.
- 51:48Yeah.
- 51:48Those whatever those two objects are,
- 51:50if there are two.
- 51:51They are actually
- 51:52I think it's a video interlacing.
- 51:53Okay. Yeah.
- 51:55Yeah.
- 51:56I mean,
- 51:56when I see
- 51:56something move that fast across my HUD,
- 51:58it's not 20 miles away moving at Mach,
- 52:01you know, 50,
- 52:02it's probably moving at somewhere
- 52:04between 100
- 52:05and maybe 200 knots and 1000ft.
- 52:08And then my relative motion
- 52:09adding to that. Right.
- 52:10Which is pretty aggressive
- 52:11here, as you can see.
- 52:14I'll watch it in full time here.
- 52:16There you go. Yeah.
- 52:17So I would say
- 52:18like for me as a pilot,
- 52:19like, wow, I just had in your mouth like,
- 52:20that's what,
- 52:20that's what comes to my mind.
- 52:22So I'll stop talking now.
- 52:23What did you
- 52:24what did you do on this video?
- 52:26Oh, well, so we tried to obtain the range
- 52:28and the speed,
- 52:29basically to know what kind of an object
- 52:31could potentially do that.
- 52:32And taking into account the, the air,
- 52:35air, instrument as well.
- 52:39However, as you can see from
- 52:41the, on the screen,
- 52:43much of the information is redacted here.
- 52:45And so what we try to do
- 52:47is analyze this frame by frame.
- 52:51To see we need to know the field of view
- 52:54in actual units of,
- 52:56you know, units of kilometers
- 52:58or meters or whatever it is.
- 52:59However, we don't have any of
- 53:00that information.
- 53:01So we can do the objects range as well,
- 53:05the ground speed.
- 53:06Also, we cannot say anything about it.
- 53:08And so we try to do this
- 53:10whole screen analysis by using the pixel.
- 53:13How many pixels are
- 53:14there across the screen
- 53:15and how many pixels
- 53:17per second
- 53:17object was crossing across the screen.
- 53:20And so this is the
- 53:20that's probably the best thing
- 53:22that we can potentially do,
- 53:24given the lack of any other actual
- 53:27relative value
- 53:29in terms of the actual units
- 53:30for the distance
- 53:31and the speed of the object.
- 53:32The trick here.
- 53:33So again, maybe it'd be useful.
- 53:35That's why I have military Aviator
- 53:37on your console.
- 53:38Yeah, many jets have a setting in them
- 53:41that allow you to set me
- 53:42with of that velocity vector
- 53:44that's in the middle,
- 53:45so that when you are looking at a object
- 53:48at a certain range, if it's the same size
- 53:51as the width of your velocity vector,
- 53:54then you know
- 53:55the object is at a certain distance
- 53:57for a normal fighter sized object.
- 53:59Okay. All right.
- 54:00And so again
- 54:01I don't know what this platform is.
- 54:03It's typically set
- 54:04kind of set it and forget it.
- 54:05It's not something
- 54:06you update every flight.
- 54:07But if you're going to manual
- 54:08you would be able to
- 54:10compare that object
- 54:11to the width of that velocity vector
- 54:13in the middle of the circle
- 54:14with the lines
- 54:14coming off of it, and say, okay,
- 54:17if this object was at,
- 54:18say, 5000ft in front of me,
- 54:21then it would be this size.
- 54:23So we do have this kind of analysis
- 54:26as a plot in our paper
- 54:28to bound the ranges of the speed
- 54:30and the sizes of the object.
- 54:32And unfortunately,
- 54:34because we were able to only do this
- 54:37on the pixel level
- 54:38and the frame level analysis,
- 54:39it's it's
- 54:40the bounds are quite large
- 54:42anywhere from a bird flying to anything,
- 54:44because it could be very close
- 54:45to the platform
- 54:46that you're talking about.
- 54:48And we don't even know
- 54:48what the platform is in the first place.
- 54:50It could
- 54:51I mean, you could say it's a fighter jet,
- 54:53it could be a drone,
- 54:55you know, scouting the landscape.
- 54:58We don't know.
- 54:58I don't think drones do dive attacks,
- 55:00but I could be wrong.
- 55:01Well, so that's
- 55:02why your expertise is needed in here?
- 55:04Because we don't.
- 55:05The information is very
- 55:07sparse in this case.
- 55:08And so
- 55:09we could potentially do what we could
- 55:10potentially do is bound the ranges
- 55:13of the range of the object
- 55:14and the speed of the object in terms
- 55:15of what it could potentially be,
- 55:17and it can be anywhere from
- 55:19like you just mentioned about Mach
- 55:20then thing going at very far away.
- 55:23Or it could be a bird flying very close.
- 55:25And that's the
- 55:26those are the best bones we can do.
- 55:27Did you,
- 55:28did you come to any like hard boundaries.
- 55:31So those are the boundaries.
- 55:34Because that's.
- 55:35That's essentially
- 55:36what we could say anything about it.
- 55:39Lack of any other information.
- 55:41This was because there is no background
- 55:43image that we can base it upon different
- 55:46depending on the scale
- 55:47to make a scale of the object.
- 55:50If there is some structure
- 55:51in the background,
- 55:52we can estimate the structure size
- 55:54and then potentially
- 55:55have some sort of a relation between
- 55:57how could how large
- 55:59the structure could be.
- 56:00And then, you know.
- 56:02If you know how big the object is,
- 56:05well,
- 56:05if you know how far away it is,
- 56:07then you can say how fast it's moving.
- 56:08Yes.
- 56:09What what are the potential
- 56:10sizes of objects that we know of
- 56:12that could travel that far, that,
- 56:14you know, that high speed
- 56:15and those altitudes?
- 56:17We could also get
- 56:18how far the platform, the distance
- 56:20between the platform
- 56:21and the object, or the ground
- 56:22speed of the object itself.
- 56:24If we know the range,
- 56:25if we know the field of view,
- 56:26if you know,
- 56:27you know how fast the object is going,
- 56:28all of that information.
- 56:30As a modern fighter,
- 56:31which I believe it is,
- 56:33I have every confidence that is.
- 56:36Well,
- 56:36I'll say this, I'd say
- 56:37it's probably like a
- 56:38at least a 75% chance that
- 56:41whatever this object was,
- 56:42was captured on their radar.
- 56:45They weren't looking at their
- 56:46radar during this regime of flight.
- 56:48They wouldn't have seen it,
- 56:49but it's very likely
- 56:50that one they might have seen it
- 56:52before they even started that dive.
- 56:54Right.
- 56:55And while they're pulling out, adjusting,
- 56:57going across their nose, it's
- 56:59very likely
- 57:00that this did appear on their radar.
- 57:03Yeah.
- 57:03So you might also notice that when it's
- 57:08crossing the left redacted box,
- 57:12we don't see it coming out of that.
- 57:17Step through that.
- 57:18So if you go to the.
- 57:19Box timestamp 52
- 57:21seconds, 54 seconds or so
- 57:23or we
- 57:24could potentially probably be missing.
- 57:26So by the way this is not an eye
- 57:28analysis that we did.
- 57:29We actually used some sort of a
- 57:32AI analysis.
- 57:33And also we did our own equations
- 57:35to make sure that we did
- 57:37whatever we did is consistent
- 57:38with what we are seeing.
- 57:39So for example here,
- 57:41you can see that object
- 57:42going into this redacted box on the left,
- 57:45but I don't see it in in this case,
- 57:49anything else.
- 57:50Seems to be skipping a bit.
- 57:51Do you think it could just simply be that
- 57:52the relative motion was so high
- 57:54they just skipped off the screen
- 57:55type thing. That is consistent with what
- 57:59seems.
- 58:00At least that
- 58:00seems to be consistent with
- 58:01what do you think?
- 58:02And I don't know what
- 58:03that object could potentially be.
- 58:08Because we don't exactly know
- 58:09the size of that object.
- 58:11It's for me
- 58:12when I see this, I think, okay,
- 58:14I don't have any explanation for what
- 58:15this is.
- 58:16Do what I categorize this
- 58:18as potential techno signature. No. Right.
- 58:20It's just,
- 58:21you know, I fear that if the, the
- 58:25the government wants to be unhelpful
- 58:27in this endeavor,
- 58:28there's a ton of ambiguity.
- 58:31They can just pump into the conversation
- 58:33by just having
- 58:34any silly thing that is not immediately
- 58:38and pumping it out and saying,
- 58:39well, this is a UAP
- 58:40now, and just flooding the zone
- 58:42with a ton of low quality and big U.S.
- 58:46BS, for lack of a better word, birds and,
- 58:49you know, debris or,
- 58:50you know, whatever this is.
- 58:53So I don't know
- 58:54where I'm going with that.
- 58:55Just that's my fear
- 58:56in this conversation, right?
- 58:57I mean. I think I mean, you you you do.
- 59:00I think at one time we have
- 59:01a, you know, gentleman, David Gray,
- 59:03who's literally talking about there
- 59:04being craft and hangars.
- 59:06At the other end of the spectrum,
- 59:07the government is giving us,
- 59:09you know, a single blob going past,
- 59:11you know, HUD footage.
- 59:12I would really like to know
- 59:13what kind of objects these are.
- 59:15And I would like to know
- 59:16a really good data to make an actual,
- 59:19you know,
- 59:20analysis and probably conclusions
- 59:22on what these potentially could be.
- 59:24But this, this,
- 59:26this video
- 59:26at least gave us some sort of analysis
- 59:28tools that we could put up
- 59:30in case we ever receive
- 59:31a good amount of data from,
- 59:33from somewhere.
- 59:35I mean, we've.
- 59:36I've interviewed people on this podcast
- 59:38and there's,
- 59:38you know, a dozen more
- 59:40who have claimed that they have,
- 59:41you know,
- 59:43minutes long footage of spheres
- 59:46that will take up this whole screen
- 59:48in high fidelity
- 59:50Fleer footage, optical footage,
- 59:52infrared footage
- 59:53that pretty much as clear
- 59:54as you might want it to be.
- 59:56I know where those files are.
- 59:58I provided the locations of those files,
- 1:00:01so let's release some of those.
- 1:00:02Ryan,
- 1:00:03that kind of data is my dream to have.
- 1:00:06All right.
- 1:00:07Anything else
- 1:00:07you want to say about this video?
- 1:00:09This is the first kind of,
- 1:00:11analysis we did.
- 1:00:12This is one of the papers,
- 1:00:13the first paper
- 1:00:13we published on this particular data
- 1:00:16to show how we could potentially do
- 1:00:17the analysis.
- 1:00:18There is also another,
- 1:00:21video.
- 1:00:22I forgot the the data number here.
- 1:00:25There's also
- 1:00:26there's a ship in the background
- 1:00:27if you can pull that up.
- 1:00:29Let's start from the beginning.
- 1:00:31Yeah.
- 1:00:31This is another video of pier 149 with
- 1:00:35a ship in the background,
- 1:00:36and you can see a object
- 1:00:38crossing across the screen.
- 1:00:39So there you go.
- 1:00:40You see this object right away
- 1:00:41crossing across the screen.
- 1:00:43And then
- 1:00:44it's bright and had the bright dot.
- 1:00:49We could see what?
- 1:00:51We don't know what it is.
- 1:00:52We don't have any other kind of data.
- 1:00:54However, we now have something.
- 1:00:57One more thing in this particular video.
- 1:01:00This is again a video,
- 1:01:01a ship in the background.
- 1:01:03And so we know how big ships could
- 1:01:05potentially be,
- 1:01:06what kind of ships they are.
- 1:01:08Because it's pretty clear in this case.
- 1:01:10And so we can estimate
- 1:01:11the size of the ship.
- 1:01:13And based on that we can actually
- 1:01:15see how far or how much.
- 1:01:18The, the
- 1:01:19potential ranges range
- 1:01:20for this particular object could be.
- 1:01:22And based on the size of the chip
- 1:01:24and how fast the object is moving
- 1:01:26across that distance
- 1:01:28of the length of the ship.
- 1:01:30And we did some analysis on that one.
- 1:01:32And again, lack of anything else,
- 1:01:35we might be a little bit
- 1:01:37tighter bounce on this
- 1:01:39on the kind of object uses.
- 1:01:41But beyond that we don't
- 1:01:42we can't say anything else.
- 1:01:44You don't necessarily know
- 1:01:45the range of the object from the ship,
- 1:01:47although. No we don't.
- 1:01:49You might be a little
- 1:01:50make some, some good guesses.
- 1:01:53Presumably this is white hot.
- 1:01:55They have a lot of details of the footage
- 1:01:57blocked out,
- 1:01:58but based off of the steam
- 1:01:59coming out of the top of the ship
- 1:02:01being white,
- 1:02:01I would assume that this is a white
- 1:02:03hot type image.
- 1:02:04So this object would be hot
- 1:02:06compared to its surroundings, right?
- 1:02:08Right. It could be.
- 1:02:09I mean,
- 1:02:10there are several objects
- 1:02:11that would be in the sky
- 1:02:12that could be potentially hot.
- 1:02:14I mean, it could be a bird, for example,
- 1:02:16crossing across the sky.
- 1:02:19Do you?
- 1:02:20I know you've recently done some work on,
- 1:02:24finding flickering or repeating patterns
- 1:02:27in some of these small objects
- 1:02:28and comparing them to potential.
- 1:02:32The flapping speeds of of birds, right.
- 1:02:35You can see the change in the IRS
- 1:02:37as it's flapping around.
- 1:02:39I know you guys haven't done
- 1:02:39a formal study on this one yet,
- 1:02:41or at least that's my understanding.
- 1:02:42But do you
- 1:02:43see any of those indications,
- 1:02:45any kind of repeating pattern in this?
- 1:02:47So now that we discuss
- 1:02:49and we are seeing this
- 1:02:50on the big screen, eye to my eye
- 1:02:52right now,
- 1:02:53there seems to be some sort of
- 1:02:55a flickering here.
- 1:02:56But I have to talk with my colleague
- 1:02:58Jacob Mishra and see,
- 1:03:00you know,
- 1:03:00if he can do a similar analysis
- 1:03:01that we did for the new
- 1:03:03paper that we published. From
- 1:03:05the ship, if we can.
- 1:03:06That is a
- 1:03:08looks like an extended object
- 1:03:10on the on this pixel site because it's,
- 1:03:13it's crossing across the frames
- 1:03:14pretty fast. Yeah.
- 1:03:15So
- 1:03:17did you bound the velocity
- 1:03:19in this one at all?
- 1:03:21Again, there is a there's a
- 1:03:23we made a bounded plot on the on this
- 1:03:26for this particular object.
- 1:03:27Again, it's it could be a bird.
- 1:03:29It's useful. Yeah.
- 1:03:31It's either a bird
- 1:03:31or some sort of
- 1:03:32a drone or something like.
- 1:03:34Do you guys
- 1:03:35have any idea what type of ship
- 1:03:37or the nationality of that ship?
- 1:03:39So we did.
- 1:03:40I have to look at the actual name,
- 1:03:44the class classification of the ship.
- 1:03:45But yes, we do.
- 1:03:47We do mention that in the in the paper.
- 1:03:49And probably we,
- 1:03:50we estimate the length
- 1:03:51to be about 150 to 200ft across the land.
- 1:03:55So and based on the. Target right there,
- 1:03:59I'm.
- 1:04:00See, you are seeing it as a target.
- 1:04:02I'm seeing it as a data
- 1:04:05I we don't it looks like it's in
- 1:04:08of course in the water.
- 1:04:09And we don't know where
- 1:04:10this potential location could be.
- 1:04:14But there was another
- 1:04:15in the more recent paper.
- 1:04:18Not from this.
- 1:04:20There is a flickering,
- 1:04:21the flickering of the birds.
- 1:04:23I think we kind of
- 1:04:24identified where the location
- 1:04:25is somewhere near Kuwait.
- 1:04:28For that, for those objects.
- 1:04:29And we even some of the council
- 1:04:31members are very avid bird watchers,
- 1:04:34I think, as a hobby.
- 1:04:35So they will try to find out
- 1:04:37what kind of birds they are.
- 1:04:38Why would they would be there
- 1:04:39at that location,
- 1:04:40what is their migration history
- 1:04:42and so on. So that was kind of a fun.
- 1:04:45And now that we want
- 1:04:46we were looking for birds in this
- 1:04:48kind of videos.
- 1:04:49But they come out to be like that. Okay.
- 1:04:53Anything else you want to say
- 1:04:54on this video?
- 1:04:55This is
- 1:04:56I think
- 1:04:57if you if you had only this particular,
- 1:05:01access to only this particular
- 1:05:02part of the video, not the ship,
- 1:05:04there is no way
- 1:05:05we would have said anything about it
- 1:05:06unless we did the flickering.
- 1:05:09Yeah.
- 1:05:10Analysis
- 1:05:11that I have to ask
- 1:05:12our colleagues in the council
- 1:05:13and see if we can do
- 1:05:14a flickering analysis
- 1:05:15to see if we can even more,
- 1:05:16better identify this as a bird or not.
- 1:05:20This, or I guess, is
- 1:05:23a unmanned system.
- 1:05:27Obviously.
- 1:05:28Perhaps not, obviously, but tracking the,
- 1:05:30the boat
- 1:05:31and then seeing something interesting
- 1:05:33and just kind of scanning here
- 1:05:34whether this was on the radar or not.
- 1:05:37I don't know.
- 1:05:38And, you know,
- 1:05:39this kind of gets into
- 1:05:40why they don't want to release.
- 1:05:41I mean, there's so many reasons why
- 1:05:42they don't want to release,
- 1:05:45radar data, but
- 1:05:47one is
- 1:05:48you don't want your enemy
- 1:05:49to know how small of an object
- 1:05:50you can track, right?
- 1:05:51Maybe that is a drone from an adversary.
- 1:05:54And they're watching our unmanned drone
- 1:05:58at 20 or 30 zero zero zero feet.
- 1:06:00Call it.
- 1:06:01I'm just making this up ten miles away,
- 1:06:04and they'll be like, oh,
- 1:06:05he detected and tracked our drone
- 1:06:07that we know was such and such distance
- 1:06:10and has this radar cross-section.
- 1:06:11Therefore, you know,
- 1:06:13we'll add that to our data
- 1:06:14set that
- 1:06:15we know they can track us
- 1:06:16at this range, employ on us.
- 1:06:18So how would they know that this platform
- 1:06:21is tracking their drone.
- 1:06:24Because we're releasing them
- 1:06:25through pursue.
- 1:06:28Okay. Yeah.
- 1:06:29All right. Yeah.
- 1:06:31Or if we, you know, reacted to it, such
- 1:06:34as we turn to go chase it,
- 1:06:35to keep it in in observation
- 1:06:37perhaps, but.
- 1:06:38Yeah, but but primarily because
- 1:06:40because of what we're seeing right now
- 1:06:42in front of us.
- 1:06:43All right.
- 1:06:44This is a quite interesting,
- 1:06:47video as well.
- 1:06:47This is PR 135
- 1:06:49where you can see some sort of a tower,
- 1:06:51and then you see these objects,
- 1:06:55floating across the screen.
- 1:06:56And then there's a tracking.
- 1:06:59We found that
- 1:07:00there is brightness flickering.
- 1:07:03And then also
- 1:07:04we try
- 1:07:05to see
- 1:07:05what is the freak
- 1:07:06beat frequency or the frequency
- 1:07:08at which this flickering is happening.
- 1:07:10And we kind of,
- 1:07:13figured out that it's
- 1:07:13consistent with the birds.
- 1:07:16Okay, well, we see
- 1:07:18we're seeing a lot of crazy motion
- 1:07:19right now.
- 1:07:20I would suspect that what this is, is
- 1:07:23movement from the camera system
- 1:07:26that's tracking it versus
- 1:07:27the objects themselves moving.
- 1:07:29There's probably
- 1:07:29not a way to determine that.
- 1:07:32But I would presume that birds
- 1:07:34aren't necessarily flying like that.
- 1:07:36I don't know what. Your thoughts.
- 1:07:37I think. They are.
- 1:07:39So there are like we
- 1:07:42if you look at our paper we have actual
- 1:07:45data on how,
- 1:07:46what is the beat frequency of these,
- 1:07:49you know, objects
- 1:07:50and they
- 1:07:51fall somewhere
- 1:07:52between 3.5Hz to ten hertz, consistent
- 1:07:55with what birds would do at that height.
- 1:07:58And somehow one of our
- 1:08:01some of our colleagues in the council
- 1:08:03figured out
- 1:08:04this is at a particular location
- 1:08:06in Kuwait.
- 1:08:07And this is also consistent
- 1:08:09with what kind of birds they could be.
- 1:08:12The that location.
- 1:08:14There's
- 1:08:14probably a mathematical model
- 1:08:16that you can come up with that
- 1:08:18gives you a confidence level
- 1:08:20that, based off of the way
- 1:08:21the objects are maneuvering
- 1:08:23in relation to each other, it's
- 1:08:24consistent with how other bird flocks
- 1:08:26fly as well.
- 1:08:27We I think we do
- 1:08:28mention this in the paper
- 1:08:29that the formation sequence
- 1:08:31seems to be consistent.
- 1:08:32We didn't actually do
- 1:08:33a mathematical model,
- 1:08:34I think,
- 1:08:35but this seems to be consistent with how
- 1:08:36they are
- 1:08:37clustering together
- 1:08:38in their formation flying.
- 1:08:40For these kind of birds.
- 1:08:43I mean.
- 1:08:44I think the most
- 1:08:46definite giveaway at this
- 1:08:47point is the flickering rate
- 1:08:49seems to be falling in the range
- 1:08:52of how birds would be.
- 1:08:54Birds wings would be flapping.
- 1:08:57And this one, I'm
- 1:08:58not sure whether this was acquired.
- 1:09:02With a radar,
- 1:09:03or they were looking at the tower
- 1:09:05and happened to see these fly by.
- 1:09:06But you know, as a pilot,
- 1:09:09radars are getting pretty darn
- 1:09:11good, right?
- 1:09:11I mean, you have stealth technology
- 1:09:14that reduces the radar
- 1:09:15cross-section of these craft
- 1:09:17to very small size
- 1:09:18objects, small enough
- 1:09:19where, you know,
- 1:09:21your radar would be expected to pick up
- 1:09:23birds and other things like that.
- 1:09:24I would want to see instead of just,
- 1:09:27you know,
- 1:09:28we basically have these icons,
- 1:09:30you know, call them squares on our screen
- 1:09:33with different velocities and altitudes
- 1:09:36and a velocity vector
- 1:09:37moving around in a group
- 1:09:38and very hard to make sense of. Right.
- 1:09:39And they're two dimensional.
- 1:09:40And then have to look at my other screen
- 1:09:42to see the vertical view, right.
- 1:09:44And see how these things
- 1:09:45are moving vertically.
- 1:09:46It would make sense to me
- 1:09:47that you would want to bake
- 1:09:48these algorithms in and say,
- 1:09:50be able to say, hey,
- 1:09:50with a high degree of confidence,
- 1:09:52these are birds, right?
- 1:09:54This is, you know, a seven, three, seven.
- 1:09:56This is a MiG or whatever.
- 1:09:59Because that's where this is going.
- 1:10:01The amount of information
- 1:10:02that a pilot receives
- 1:10:03has to get condensed down
- 1:10:05and formatted
- 1:10:06so they can make
- 1:10:07timely decisions with it.
- 1:10:08And it's not just birds
- 1:10:10and anything else out there.
- 1:10:11Enemies are employing
- 1:10:12sophisticated jamming technologies.
- 1:10:15They are
- 1:10:15expected to launch drones and decoys,
- 1:10:19not just little quadcopters, but,
- 1:10:22you know, pretty massive drones that,
- 1:10:27call it half the size of a fighter
- 1:10:29that are expendable. Right?
- 1:10:30And they'll want to send those out,
- 1:10:31and some will probably have missiles
- 1:10:32and some of them might not.
- 1:10:35But it's going to be such a complex
- 1:10:36information space.
- 1:10:37I think the work that you
- 1:10:38guys are doing to develop some of these,
- 1:10:42I guess inferences of what
- 1:10:43these could be,
- 1:10:44could actually be a useful technology to
- 1:10:47incorporate
- 1:10:48into some of these
- 1:10:49either current or future
- 1:10:51radar systems and,
- 1:10:53and not just the radar system,
- 1:10:54but the data that fuzes it together
- 1:10:56and helps a pilot actually
- 1:10:57make good decisions out there.
- 1:10:58I would say that would be awesome
- 1:11:01if we could potentially
- 1:11:02have that kind of,
- 1:11:03usability
- 1:11:04for the tools that we are developing
- 1:11:05from the council.
- 1:11:07I would also,
- 1:11:08I think
- 1:11:08it would be important
- 1:11:09to point out that these
- 1:11:12videos, these are all mostly in the air,
- 1:11:15many of them infrared.
- 1:11:18I'm probably sure that there are other,
- 1:11:23electromagnetic sensor observations
- 1:11:25as well, not just infrared,
- 1:11:27maybe in optical.
- 1:11:28And one of the most important things
- 1:11:30as a science
- 1:11:31analysis is to have multi sensor data
- 1:11:34so that you know for sure what at least
- 1:11:37you can even more tightly bound
- 1:11:40what kind of things we are looking at.
- 1:11:42I wish we have that kind of data.
- 1:11:44And I'm hoping we would get multi
- 1:11:46sensor data at some point.
- 1:11:49It's it's a weird regime.
- 1:11:51You know,
- 1:11:52as much as I talk about radars
- 1:11:53and other things,
- 1:11:55the bottom line
- 1:11:56is that
- 1:11:56the mission security around a craft
- 1:11:58is an extremely important consideration.
- 1:12:01And the way that we fight wars
- 1:12:03might actually involve us.
- 1:12:04At least aerial wars
- 1:12:05might involve us
- 1:12:06getting closer than we might do now.
- 1:12:11I, I don't really want to get into it
- 1:12:12too much.
- 1:12:13I don't want to cross any thresholds.
- 1:12:14I shouldn't, but,
- 1:12:16long story short, is being able to
- 1:12:19suss out
- 1:12:20what is worth going
- 1:12:21after was not whether it's from the radar
- 1:12:23or whether it's from a sensor
- 1:12:25like we just saw
- 1:12:26is continuing
- 1:12:28to be extremely important, right?
- 1:12:29These aren't
- 1:12:30necessarily tools
- 1:12:31that are going away in favor
- 1:12:33of more sophisticated radars.
- 1:12:34There's I'll just say a lot of space
- 1:12:36to play across all of these
- 1:12:38and obviously can be
- 1:12:40a very confusing environment up there
- 1:12:42in an actual war, right?
- 1:12:43When people are trying to
- 1:12:44actually deceive you,
- 1:12:46you can only imagine
- 1:12:47how difficult that would be,
- 1:12:48especially when you're an aircraft
- 1:12:49with six missiles on you.
- 1:12:51You know,
- 1:12:52maybe even if you're lucky, right?
- 1:12:53You only got so many shots
- 1:12:55you can take there.
- 1:12:56And enemy doesn't
- 1:12:57have to fool you
- 1:12:57that many times,
- 1:12:58you know,
- 1:12:59before you're basically
- 1:13:00just a paperweight up there. Yeah.
- 1:13:02So are there any hot spots that
- 1:13:05I was just thinking
- 1:13:06that we could potentially
- 1:13:08think about within the.
- 1:13:09I know these are all very mission
- 1:13:11relevant and not available publicly,
- 1:13:15but if there are some hot spots
- 1:13:17within the United States
- 1:13:18or around the United States that we,
- 1:13:20you know,
- 1:13:20civilians can deploy
- 1:13:21their own instruments,
- 1:13:23then that would be an independent data,
- 1:13:25because that's the data
- 1:13:26that we can actually share
- 1:13:27with everyone,
- 1:13:28including the instrument calibration.
- 1:13:31What kind of instruments?
- 1:13:32They come and go.
- 1:13:32It seems some of the hot spots, you know,
- 1:13:34I mean,
- 1:13:35there was a period of time
- 1:13:36where pilots were detecting
- 1:13:38objects, spheres
- 1:13:40between about 2000
- 1:13:418000ft near LaGuardia for a couple
- 1:13:43of months.
- 1:13:45Then that stopped.
- 1:13:46It was
- 1:13:46nearly one of the approach
- 1:13:47ends of one of the runways.
- 1:13:50You know,
- 1:13:51there's kind of your more traditional
- 1:13:52hot spots out west that seemed there
- 1:13:54always seems to be something going
- 1:13:55on, you know, especially around
- 1:13:56nuclear facilities or bases.
- 1:14:00The short answer is,
- 1:14:00I think that's exactly
- 1:14:01where the conversation needs to go.
- 1:14:03Instead of this retrospective
- 1:14:04about what happened
- 1:14:0512 months
- 1:14:06or eight months ago,
- 1:14:07getting out in the field
- 1:14:09at some of these spots,
- 1:14:10collecting real data
- 1:14:11and start that inner cycle right of,
- 1:14:14hey, what can we learn?
- 1:14:15What new tools do we need?
- 1:14:17And start fielding those technologies
- 1:14:19and capabilities sooner and sooner.
- 1:14:22For me, it's not just, you know,
- 1:14:23your scientists
- 1:14:24are the greatest respect for you
- 1:14:26and what you do.
- 1:14:28I'm an operator.
- 1:14:29My job isn't to admire the problem
- 1:14:30over a long period of time.
- 1:14:31My, you know,
- 1:14:32my priorities and is to deal
- 1:14:35with the situation
- 1:14:37x and x and manner as possible.
- 1:14:39Right?
- 1:14:41And often with incomplete information.
- 1:14:44And, you know,
- 1:14:45especially when we're
- 1:14:46having sightings around
- 1:14:48military training ranges
- 1:14:49or critical infrastructure
- 1:14:51or just commercial air traffic, it's
- 1:14:55one thing to understand
- 1:14:56that that's happening
- 1:14:57and admire it for 12 months.
- 1:14:59It's another thing
- 1:14:59to get that information
- 1:15:00back to the operator, who has to deal
- 1:15:02and work in that environment
- 1:15:04so that they can mitigate that threat
- 1:15:06or that risk, that
- 1:15:07whatever that is poses. Right.
- 1:15:08And it might simply be
- 1:15:10like in some of these cases, birds.
- 1:15:13Right. It it might be.
- 1:15:14And then you can get that information
- 1:15:16back to them
- 1:15:16and then train those aviators
- 1:15:19and say, here's what not to look for.
- 1:15:21Don't you know,
- 1:15:22now you don't have to worry
- 1:15:23about employing this now.
- 1:15:24You're not off mission
- 1:15:25because you're looking at something
- 1:15:26that you think is interesting.
- 1:15:27When it's something prosaic.
- 1:15:29And either of these cases,
- 1:15:30it's super important for me
- 1:15:32personally to close out loop
- 1:15:34as fast as possible.
- 1:15:35And I think you have to do that
- 1:15:36by getting out there
- 1:15:37and getting real data faster
- 1:15:39and and bring it to the right. Folks.
- 1:15:41I completely agree with you.
- 1:15:42I'm with you on that one.
- 1:15:43More data,
- 1:15:44more obvious data that we can have
- 1:15:46and multi sensor data as well
- 1:15:48because we want to know
- 1:15:49and and someone like you
- 1:15:51who's an expert in this kind of a
- 1:15:53sensor data analysis.
- 1:15:54We come from a science background
- 1:15:57scientist background to see
- 1:15:58how can we apply
- 1:15:59basic scientific principles
- 1:16:01and analysis tools to do it.
- 1:16:03But then there is this kind of
- 1:16:04a, you know, perspective
- 1:16:06that you can provide.
- 1:16:07Hey, you know,
- 1:16:08that looks like, you know, a F-18
- 1:16:11full of you.
- 1:16:12I was like, okay, that's great.
- 1:16:13Now, that information is really,
- 1:16:15really is what we needed.
- 1:16:16So I'm really glad that you are.
- 1:16:19You're in the science console right now.
- 1:16:21Well, hopefully
- 1:16:22it can be a productive council,
- 1:16:23but unfortunately I think
- 1:16:24it can only be productive
- 1:16:25with the amount of with mountain,
- 1:16:27the type of information that it receives.
- 1:16:29I frankly haven't been overly impressed
- 1:16:31with the amount of information
- 1:16:33it has received,
- 1:16:35especially considering
- 1:16:36how much information I suspect
- 1:16:38is is there.
- 1:16:38But perhaps
- 1:16:40we'll wait and see if that changes here.
- 1:16:42I would. Be thrilled to have more data.
- 1:16:44Well.
- 1:16:45Let's let me switch
- 1:16:46the gear here a little bit. Yeah.
- 1:16:48This is the part that
- 1:16:49scientists always hate.
- 1:16:52I'm going to ask you about some beliefs.
- 1:16:55I know it's a dirty
- 1:16:56word for a scientist,
- 1:16:57but no scientist
- 1:16:59is expected to be an atheist, right?
- 1:17:01Every scientist can still have beliefs.
- 1:17:03Yeah.
- 1:17:04It's separate
- 1:17:05from what you can scientifically prove.
- 1:17:07What do you think's going on here?
- 1:17:09What do you believe is happening here?
- 1:17:11Do you think
- 1:17:11we're all spinning
- 1:17:12our tails on bird videos?
- 1:17:15So what.
- 1:17:17I'm hearing from people like you,
- 1:17:19who I really respect.
- 1:17:20And because you are in the field
- 1:17:22actually doing things,
- 1:17:22and you are not expecting
- 1:17:24to see these kind of things at all,
- 1:17:25and then suddenly something shows up
- 1:17:27and then you can't explain it.
- 1:17:29And if I do the same thing,
- 1:17:32I mean, consider the roles are reversed.
- 1:17:34If I see something out in the night sky
- 1:17:37using my telescope
- 1:17:37and suddenly report it,
- 1:17:38and someone says, oh, you know,
- 1:17:40it must be some kind of
- 1:17:41a, you know, thing that you did.
- 1:17:44How would I feel?
- 1:17:46So I want to start from that point.
- 1:17:48I want to see, okay, why
- 1:17:51you have seen something
- 1:17:52and you may have some information
- 1:17:54regarding that.
- 1:17:55I want to start with that belief.
- 1:17:57So I go directly to the sources
- 1:17:59rather than going to some sort of
- 1:18:01a, you know,
- 1:18:02YouTube video of something happening.
- 1:18:04I'll say Ryan has seen something.
- 1:18:06He's a respectable guy.
- 1:18:07So I want to go and talk to him
- 1:18:09and then I'll see what
- 1:18:10what kind of information
- 1:18:11or data that he can provide.
- 1:18:13That's the first.
- 1:18:14When you talk about belief,
- 1:18:15that is a belief. I believe in you.
- 1:18:17I believe that you have seen something.
- 1:18:19Let's try to figure out together.
- 1:18:21And that's
- 1:18:22when I bring my science background.
- 1:18:24You bring your expertise
- 1:18:25back information.
- 1:18:26And that's when we work together.
- 1:18:28That's the first step. Belief.
- 1:18:31I would say I would start with.
- 1:18:32Well let me. Okay.
- 1:18:34Well let's go on and step two then. Yeah.
- 1:18:37Let's be fair here.
- 1:18:38Your entire career,
- 1:18:40you know, entire career,
- 1:18:41but a large majority of your career
- 1:18:42has been about finding other planets,
- 1:18:45techno signatures.
- 1:18:46Now you have an interest in U.P, UAP.
- 1:18:49Where does it come from?
- 1:18:51I mean,
- 1:18:51do you think we're alone
- 1:18:52in this universe?
- 1:18:53Statistically?
- 1:18:55No, I mean,
- 1:18:56statistically, of course,
- 1:18:56we all understand the big universe, but,
- 1:18:58I mean,
- 1:18:59you've really shaped your life
- 1:19:01around the conversation
- 1:19:02of there
- 1:19:02being other intelligence out
- 1:19:04there is this, you know,
- 1:19:06is this an underlying motivation?
- 1:19:07Do you want to find the others
- 1:19:09that we've always met and to help answer?
- 1:19:11The biggest question
- 1:19:12I think that humanity has.
- 1:19:14Is that what your motivation is?
- 1:19:15Of course,
- 1:19:16of course I
- 1:19:17my motivation is to find life everywhere.
- 1:19:19And I want to see how we can,
- 1:19:22as a humanity, can find life elsewhere.
- 1:19:25We we think
- 1:19:27we are with people around here.
- 1:19:29I have you as a friend here,
- 1:19:30so I know I'm not alone here.
- 1:19:33But when you
- 1:19:33consider the entire humanity,
- 1:19:36we are alone.
- 1:19:37And so isn't it
- 1:19:39weird that we are in a neighborhood
- 1:19:40where there's.
- 1:19:41There are no neighbors at all?
- 1:19:42And then we are the only people or,
- 1:19:45you know, species here?
- 1:19:46That's what is motivating me.
- 1:19:48I really want to know
- 1:19:49if there is someone out there. And.
- 1:19:51But that doesn't cloud the judgment.
- 1:19:53You have to.
- 1:19:54You have to go through the
- 1:19:56I mean, I don't want to myself.
- 1:19:57Oh yeah, sure.
- 1:19:58I want you know,
- 1:19:59because I believe I want to go find it.
- 1:20:01No, I want to find it. Then I'll believe.
- 1:20:03So I'm coming from
- 1:20:05my scientific
- 1:20:05training comes from that side
- 1:20:06and that gives me in check.
- 1:20:08Of course,
- 1:20:09I know it's it's
- 1:20:10it's one of the,
- 1:20:11you know,
- 1:20:12bias is such a dirty word in science,
- 1:20:14and you want
- 1:20:15to protect yourself from that.
- 1:20:16But then the day we are all humans
- 1:20:18and it is such a fundamental,
- 1:20:20important question.
- 1:20:21It's, in my opinion,
- 1:20:22probably one of the reasons that,
- 1:20:24you know, they're religions and what,
- 1:20:26you know, other belief structures that,
- 1:20:28you know,
- 1:20:28where we're not the only things there.
- 1:20:32Do you think
- 1:20:32we'll get an answer in your lifetime
- 1:20:35one way or the other?
- 1:20:37Whether it's techno
- 1:20:38signatures around another star system
- 1:20:40or whether an answer to what UAP are.
- 1:20:42Personally, if you
- 1:20:44if you ask me, not as a, you know,
- 1:20:47a scientist everywhere, you know, at a
- 1:20:50an organization personally I think.
- 1:20:51Yes.
- 1:20:53I think
- 1:20:54within our lifetime
- 1:20:55there might be some clues.
- 1:20:57We just talked
- 1:20:58about how
- 1:20:59poorly we can bounce some problems.
- 1:21:01Can you try to bound that any tighter?
- 1:21:03Do you think this is something
- 1:21:05that we could
- 1:21:05with our technology advancement
- 1:21:07that we're on now.
- 1:21:07So that could happen in ten years
- 1:21:09and 50 years?
- 1:21:10Maybe that's pushing the boundaries
- 1:21:12of your lifetime, 50 years.
- 1:21:13But I mean,
- 1:21:14that's a very small sliver of time
- 1:21:16in the grand scheme of things.
- 1:21:17Yes, I think in the next few
- 1:21:20I would put a large pound
- 1:21:22in terms of my own lifetime.
- 1:21:23In the next few decades,
- 1:21:24I think there might be a good
- 1:21:27because of the kind of things
- 1:21:28we are doing.
- 1:21:29And then imagine this
- 1:21:31many of the discoveries
- 1:21:33that we have had, at least
- 1:21:34in this
- 1:21:34astronomical discourse,
- 1:21:35because that's my field of study.
- 1:21:38Many of them have been discovered
- 1:21:40because,
- 1:21:42because of,
- 1:21:43not because we are looking for them.
- 1:21:45They just happen.
- 1:21:46Nature just showed it to us.
- 1:21:48And so these are
- 1:21:49the surprising discoveries
- 1:21:51that we might be able to get.
- 1:21:52And I'm very confident that,
- 1:21:55you know,
- 1:21:55we might be
- 1:21:56we might have a good,
- 1:21:57surprising discovery pretty soon.
- 1:21:59Yeah. Cool.
- 1:22:00Well, let's leave it there. Abby.
- 1:22:01Thanks for coming out to Austin
- 1:22:02and joining me here.
- 1:22:03And it's great to run into you again,
- 1:22:05my friend.
- 1:22:05It was real pleasure,
- 1:22:06Ryan, seeing you again.
- 1:22:07Thank you for inviting me.
- 1:22:08Thank you. Yeah.
- 1:22:10All right. Wonderful.
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