Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / Friday World Cup Predictions, Mbappe vs Messi Goals, MLB Best Bets & More!

Transcript

Friday World Cup Predictions, Mbappe vs Messi Goals, MLB Best Bets & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

0:00
Speaker 1: All right, Friday is here. That means it's a pres
0:04
Speaker 1: free zone. They are on the best betting show ever
0:07
Speaker 1: and you will not see three happier people in the
0:10
Speaker 1: world than you are right now as the one and
0:13
Speaker 1: only Art the Caesar in the House live from the
0:16
Speaker 1: Westgate in Las Vegas. Carmine, I refuse to lose Bianco.
0:21
Speaker 1: I'll tell you a little bit more about that. L
0:23
Speaker 1: though pictures are worth a thousand words. They say here gentlemen,
0:27
Speaker 1: always a pleasure to see you here, as we've got
0:31
Speaker 1: more World Cup action coming up.
0:32
Speaker 2: Full slate Major League Baseball.
0:35
Speaker 1: We do have a couple of WNBA games on tap here.
0:40
Speaker 1: So Art, let's dive in on this Friday with how
0:44
Speaker 1: did you do last night?
0:46
Speaker 2: As a team?
0:46
Speaker 1: USA looked all right there in the first what couple
0:50
Speaker 1: of minutes of that match last night, but then you
0:53
Speaker 1: know they brought people in from the stands. It felt
0:56
Speaker 1: like the play in the second half had you guys.
0:58
Speaker 3: Do It was a good day the Bucks and I
1:00
Speaker 3: mentioned yesterday between Germany and the United States, we needed
1:04
Speaker 3: one of those teams to lose outright. Despite the games
1:07
Speaker 3: really not meaning you know, much to either team, the
1:10
Speaker 3: public still came in and bet Germany. They bet the
1:12
Speaker 3: United States, they put them in all the parlays. They
1:15
Speaker 3: both lose outright, So that was a really good result
1:17
Speaker 3: for US. Yankees also lost, So good day, good day,
1:20
Speaker 3: and good night for the Bucks.
1:22
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, Yankees.
1:23
Speaker 1: Yankees lost by shooting themselves every chance. Imagine being a
1:27
Speaker 1: guy that goes vi Ben, doesn't give up an earned
1:30
Speaker 1: run and loses.
1:31
Speaker 2: Amazing.
1:33
Speaker 1: All right, so we've got that's an interesting night last night,
1:37
Speaker 1: positive for the books. That doesn't mean tonight will be
1:40
Speaker 1: that way. So talk to us here Art. What are
1:43
Speaker 1: you seeing sharp betting wise today on the slate?
1:48
Speaker 3: Absolutely, Let's start with Major League Baseball. They took the Nationals,
1:52
Speaker 3: we took the Rays. They also took the under in
1:55
Speaker 3: the Yankee game under nine minus one fifteen. The one
1:58
Speaker 3: WNBA game they hit was they took Golden State the Valkyrie.
2:01
Speaker 3: They're at home. They took plus one and a half
2:03
Speaker 3: plus one. World Cup not really sharp action. But the
2:09
Speaker 3: thing we need to avoid today in the World Cup
2:11
Speaker 3: is the over in the France game. They've bet that
2:13
Speaker 3: up pretty heavily. It was three minus one ten, it's
2:16
Speaker 3: now three over minus one thirty. A couple of people
2:19
Speaker 3: have been taking shots with Norway plus four to twenty
2:23
Speaker 3: five at the highest. It's now plus three seventy five
2:26
Speaker 3: on the three way line, So probably need France actually
2:29
Speaker 3: to win outright with all that dog money that's coming
2:32
Speaker 3: in on Norway.
2:33
Speaker 1: Interesting too, I mean, I don't know, karm, Yeah, France
2:37
Speaker 1: at a buck sixty, you feel it's like, wow, we
2:39
Speaker 1: gotta be able to get that. But you're seeing you're
2:41
Speaker 1: seeing a lot of Norway money art, right, is that
2:44
Speaker 1: we're expecting a little laid down. Well, shocker, France is
2:48
Speaker 1: gonna lay down. That is an absolute shocker there, Karma
2:53
Speaker 1: minus one sixty.
2:54
Speaker 2: Well, we ever see France at that price again, car.
2:58
Speaker 4: Like, unless they're playing uh, Germany or which they could
3:02
Speaker 4: face in the next round or the round the sixteen
3:06
Speaker 4: or sorry, yeah, the round sixteen or Spain Argentina, that's
3:10
Speaker 4: the only time you're gonna see him at that price.
3:12
Speaker 4: But yeah, they're they're betting the over. I'm not touching
3:16
Speaker 4: this game other than the fact that in the rundown, Joe,
3:20
Speaker 4: I've got an interesting play on this game. We're going
3:25
Speaker 4: to talk about officials on this one as well too.
3:28
Speaker 4: But France just needs a draw and they have the
3:33
Speaker 4: they win the group and move on, and early in
3:36
Speaker 4: Holland believe it or not.
3:38
Speaker 2: Says.
3:40
Speaker 4: Prior to this game, he goes, this is a meaningless game.
3:43
Speaker 4: He goes, we're both into the knockout stages. We really
3:46
Speaker 4: don't care.
3:47
Speaker 2: I think he's laying.
3:50
Speaker 4: A little bit of the thing there that they don't care. Yeah,
3:53
Speaker 4: I believe they care.
3:54
Speaker 1: Playing possum, Yeah exactly what in Shock but art the
3:59
Speaker 1: bucks are we're all over that. I mean, we start
4:02
Speaker 1: with Australia and you know in Paraguay landline, Hey, you
4:06
Speaker 1: two need a draw, so not for not So you
4:09
Speaker 1: guys already taking that into consideration in the risk room.
4:13
Speaker 2: Oh absolutely.
4:14
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, if it's especially in these soccer
4:16
Speaker 3: games where the result of a draw can benefit both teams,
4:19
Speaker 3: and that's basically the way they're going to play it.
4:21
Speaker 3: You know, we mentioned before we came on the show.
4:24
Speaker 3: When the draws are that low price wise, they're probably.
4:28
Speaker 2: Gonna hit Yeah.
4:29
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know what I mean, you're normally seeing. Yeah,
4:31
Speaker 3: they're that low for a reason. You normally see draws
4:34
Speaker 3: in the upper two hundreds, lower three hundreds. Sometimes in
4:38
Speaker 3: these wacky games they could be even higher. So when
4:41
Speaker 3: you see a draw plus one forty plus one thirty,
4:44
Speaker 3: most likely they're going to hit.
4:45
Speaker 1: So we've got we got some interesting money there to
4:48
Speaker 1: say the least there Wnba. By the way, Caitlin Clark
4:52
Speaker 1: has already been ruled out for tomorrow's game against LA
4:56
Speaker 1: And what did you see here today? I mean there's
4:58
Speaker 1: only well, how many games are it? Three games?
5:00
Speaker 2: I think tonight in a wnba.
5:01
Speaker 3: Art, Yeah, three games, like I mentioned, really, the only
5:04
Speaker 3: thing we saw Sharpwis was the Valkyrie. He took a
5:07
Speaker 3: little bit of money at home plus one and a
5:08
Speaker 3: half plus one.
5:09
Speaker 1: All right, now, you said UFC earlier too, back interesting
5:14
Speaker 1: of they're all getting to be a little head scratching
5:17
Speaker 1: these cards here. But what are your guys telling us
5:19
Speaker 1: about sharp Betts in the UFC?
5:21
Speaker 3: Here our sharp UFC guys. On two, he's on Manuel Torres.
5:26
Speaker 3: He laid minus one ten, that's now up to minus
5:29
Speaker 3: one twenty five. And he took a shot on a
5:31
Speaker 3: dog Eric Nolan plus one fifty five. It's now plus
5:35
Speaker 3: one thirty five.
5:36
Speaker 2: All right, there you go some UFC as well.
5:39
Speaker 1: So timing to dive into our parlay of the day here,
5:44
Speaker 1: and I cannot recall exactly how we did yesterday, Art.
5:48
Speaker 3: Can you I know my game got reined out? I
5:51
Speaker 3: had the Cardinals, so had the Cards. Yeah, I had
5:54
Speaker 3: the Cardinals. That game got reined out. I'm not one
5:57
Speaker 3: hundred percent sure how we.
5:58
Speaker 2: Did, Karm hated you do.
6:00
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go out on record and say pre
6:02
Speaker 1: has probably screwed us.
6:04
Speaker 2: What are you thinking? You went anyway, Carm yesterday? So
6:07
Speaker 2: I don't know did you hit yours?
6:11
Speaker 4: I don't think either one of my players started the game.
6:14
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna go with no.
6:16
Speaker 1: All right, So we had a lot of rain outs
6:18
Speaker 1: there ye void bets?
6:20
Speaker 2: Yeah it. We gave you four plays and only pres lost.
6:23
Speaker 1: That's great, all right, So let's start from scratch here, Art,
6:27
Speaker 1: talk to us, my man?
6:28
Speaker 2: Where are you? Where are you going today?
6:31
Speaker 3: It's basically a pick on. Give me the Yankees. They'll
6:34
Speaker 3: win game two here in Fay.
6:35
Speaker 1: I'm still disgusted, beyond disgusted with that game last night.
6:40
Speaker 1: How about you, Carm, Where are you going for our
6:42
Speaker 1: parlay in today?
6:44
Speaker 4: We're going plus money. We're going on a World Cup
6:47
Speaker 4: game today. Cape Verdi or Cabo Verdi, as they're called
6:53
Speaker 4: in Saudi Arabia to drop plus two thirty five. The
6:57
Speaker 4: game's pretty much split. It's all plus money. Each team
7:01
Speaker 4: on three way line is plus one seventy the draws
7:04
Speaker 4: at plus two thirty five. Cape Verde needs a draw
7:08
Speaker 4: and they are into the knockout stages, so they've got
7:13
Speaker 4: two draws thus far. If you remember Spain neil nil
7:16
Speaker 4: and a two to two game with Uruguay. Another draw here.
7:21
Speaker 4: They're into the knockout stages. I'll take the plus two
7:23
Speaker 4: thirty five, all.
7:24
Speaker 1: Right, plus two thirty five there, I'm gonna go with
7:26
Speaker 1: the Orioles here today. Trevor Rodgers is a new guy
7:30
Speaker 1: since he hit the IL and came off of it.
7:33
Speaker 1: I mean, hell, he dominated the Dodgers last time out.
7:37
Speaker 1: I think you'll be able to handle the Gnats at
7:40
Speaker 1: home here. By that Nats bullpen is something special.
7:43
Speaker 2: Aren't they? Yeah? They are good times. There. There is
7:47
Speaker 2: your parlay of the day. There.
7:50
Speaker 1: Of course, we got predictive markets. We'll do the whole
7:53
Speaker 1: MLB rundown. Carl will go over all the games today
7:56
Speaker 1: here in the World Cup.
7:57
Speaker 2: We'll hit the mail bag. In the meantime, Art get
7:59
Speaker 2: the hell out of here.
8:01
Speaker 1: We will see you again next week, Man should be
8:04
Speaker 1: should be a fun one as we get a little
8:06
Speaker 1: bit closer. Although they'll drag this World Cup thing out
8:09
Speaker 1: until at least August. No Art, I mean, come on,
8:12
Speaker 1: oh yeah, yeah, we'll rein outs, they'll be lightning delays.
8:15
Speaker 2: We'll have to.
8:16
Speaker 1: Maybe they'll land a few more teams between now and then.
8:20
Speaker 1: Anything to drag it out, Art get out of here.
8:22
Speaker 1: Always a pleasure, brother, Thanks for swinging by. All right,
8:26
Speaker 1: car Mine, we've got we got a few things to.
8:29
Speaker 2: Go over here.
8:30
Speaker 1: First and foremost, let's talk Karm about your night last night,
8:35
Speaker 1: because it was pretty special. Man three and zero, I
8:39
Speaker 1: believe is what you went yesterday? Is that correct?
8:43
Speaker 2: Yeah?
8:44
Speaker 4: Five percent winner in the first one, which was the
8:47
Speaker 4: Germany Ecuador game. Two goals in the opening nine minutes
8:51
Speaker 4: of that game, and then I had to wait till
8:53
Speaker 4: about the eightieth minute or something for the third one.
8:57
Speaker 4: Numerous chances, but a winner four percent winner on Netherlands
9:02
Speaker 4: minus one first half and they easily covered that one.
9:06
Speaker 4: And then the over in the USA game, even with
9:09
Speaker 4: the USA sitting some players. I knew that there would
9:13
Speaker 4: be plenty of scoring in that one, and Turkea got
9:18
Speaker 4: the fortunate ninety ninth ninety ninth minute, nine minutes of
9:23
Speaker 4: extra time when they hold up the sign that only
9:26
Speaker 4: says seven minutes of extra time the ref, I guess
9:30
Speaker 4: the ref had TURKEA yeah, but three three two final
9:34
Speaker 4: there and three to no nights, so we picked up
9:36
Speaker 4: twelve units. I'm pretty happy about that.
9:40
Speaker 1: Yeah, I beg on because I saw this love and
9:42
Speaker 1: around here where you started off. If that wasn't a
9:46
Speaker 1: eight and one eight, no you start nine and oh
9:49
Speaker 1: you started off. Then you know, you got a couple
9:52
Speaker 1: of bad names, and then everybody all of a sudden
9:55
Speaker 1: stuck a fork in you.
9:56
Speaker 2: But apparently you weren't too happy with that. Huh, No,
10:01
Speaker 2: I wasn't.
10:03
Speaker 4: I saw the tweet yesterday from wajer Talk saying I
10:05
Speaker 4: was third amongst the kappers in the World Cup and
10:09
Speaker 4: now I'm first the coppers, and you know, I mean
10:13
Speaker 4: like good old day. I say, I said to them,
10:16
Speaker 4: you know, put this graphic up and include the goat
10:20
Speaker 4: in it. I thought the goat would be me. Unfortunately
10:23
Speaker 4: it is Michael Jordan instead, so I can't blame them
10:27
Speaker 4: for that one.
10:29
Speaker 2: The guy used the goat wrong. Smart I would have
10:32
Speaker 2: took Pele. I would have talked.
10:34
Speaker 1: I would have taken a lot of people as the goat,
10:37
Speaker 1: but certainly not MJ although he probably owns a soccer team,
10:42
Speaker 1: like he owns a what a NASCAR and f one
10:44
Speaker 1: t like what else does he own here? So but
10:47
Speaker 1: great job karm brushing it, my friend, which means we
10:52
Speaker 1: got to talk about some of the after what we
10:56
Speaker 1: saw yesterday.
10:57
Speaker 2: Not a lot of not a lot of change your mind.
11:00
Speaker 1: I'm going to guess right, We've got France coming up
11:03
Speaker 1: here today. But we have covered some of these future
11:06
Speaker 1: markets pretty well. But as far as you're concerned, right,
11:11
Speaker 1: we're still looking at the favorites being the favorites, although
11:15
Speaker 1: some of the matchups are laid out now for the
11:19
Speaker 1: knockout rounds. Anything there interests you, Any any potential upsets
11:25
Speaker 1: in the knockout round with teams that we should concentrate on.
11:30
Speaker 4: It's, you know, the one that I think really stands
11:34
Speaker 4: out to me. You know, it kicks off tomorrow with
11:36
Speaker 4: Canada and that's why I'm wearing the Canada jersey or
11:40
Speaker 4: on Sunday, actually on Sundays the first knockout stage game
11:44
Speaker 4: Canada at Sofi Stadium against South Africa, and then I
11:53
Speaker 4: think it's after that. There's is basically like two on Monday,
11:57
Speaker 4: three on Tuesday, three on Wednesday. I believe the one
12:00
Speaker 4: that stands out is the Mexico one. Mexico draws Ecuador,
12:06
Speaker 4: and if you watch the game, Ecuador a straight Germany
12:09
Speaker 4: started all twelve, sorry, all eleven starters. Joe, their normal
12:14
Speaker 4: starting lineup for Germany was out there for this one,
12:18
Speaker 4: and they scored two minutes into the game, and you're
12:21
Speaker 4: just thinking, if you're an Ecuadorian fan, this is not
12:25
Speaker 4: going to turn out well for us. But they score
12:28
Speaker 4: five minutes later, tie the game up, and then win
12:31
Speaker 4: it late in that game. And now they get they
12:35
Speaker 4: get Mexico, and they can beat Mexico. I honestly believe
12:39
Speaker 4: that they can go to Azteca Stadium and beat Mexico. Now,
12:44
Speaker 4: a lot of people tell you Mexico's only lost twice
12:47
Speaker 4: lifetime at his Texas stadium, but we're not talking the fifties, sixties, seventies,
12:52
Speaker 4: and eighties. Is soccer here. It is a new era
12:56
Speaker 4: of soccer, and this Ecuador team can play some phenomenal defense.
12:59
Speaker 4: They shut Germany after that opening goal, and Germany mustard
13:04
Speaker 4: nothing else to the rest of the game. They can
13:06
Speaker 4: do the same here. It's going to be a defensive battle,
13:08
Speaker 4: likely a low scoring game. And it wouldn't surprise me
13:11
Speaker 4: if this Ecuador the ectuor Mexico game goes to extra
13:16
Speaker 4: time and eventually penalties. I can see that as that happening.
13:21
Speaker 4: But I would I would sprinkle on Ecuador to pull
13:24
Speaker 4: off the upset here.
13:26
Speaker 1: You think, all right, so you like Ecuador to possibly
13:29
Speaker 1: to get the was a grand they were celebrating. O. Yeah,
13:33
Speaker 1: after that game where they're not gone, they were.
13:36
Speaker 2: They were pretty happy. And that one.
13:39
Speaker 4: I went to a game Joe this summer earlier this summer,
13:43
Speaker 4: I think it was, and it was a friendly Ecuador
13:46
Speaker 4: in Canada at BMO Field where six of the World
13:50
Speaker 4: Cup games are being played, and it was eighty to
13:55
Speaker 4: ninety Ecuadorians. The stadium was yellow. You would be surprising
14:01
Speaker 4: if they come out fully dressed, pants, shirts, hats, flags.
14:08
Speaker 4: It is like a World Cup game for them, and
14:10
Speaker 4: it's a friendly and they were out there in full force.
14:13
Speaker 4: I was the minority. I really was in a Canadian
14:17
Speaker 4: jersey in Canada with that many fans. But you gotta
14:21
Speaker 4: love them, yea and they're gonna be in Mexico. They'll
14:23
Speaker 4: find a way to be at s Teca Stadium, and
14:27
Speaker 4: that the stadium is going to be Ecuadorians and Mexicans,
14:30
Speaker 4: and that atmosphere is going to be absolutely electric.
14:33
Speaker 2: I love it. Yeah, we got it. Should be a
14:35
Speaker 2: lot of fun.
14:36
Speaker 1: Now we're starting to get a better understanding of who's
14:39
Speaker 1: who and what's what. And we got a couple of
14:42
Speaker 1: markets here, karm that I found interesting, kind of off
14:46
Speaker 1: the beaten path, and one of them, you know, I
14:49
Speaker 1: head to head markets I found fascinating. And one of
14:52
Speaker 1: them is who's going to score more goals? Or sorry,
14:55
Speaker 1: the total goals? In fact, we'll go to this market here.
14:59
Speaker 1: How many total goals in the World Cup are we
15:03
Speaker 1: going to get?
15:03
Speaker 2: Now?
15:03
Speaker 1: I've seen a couple of places that are actually keeping
15:07
Speaker 1: at one hundred and seventy seven total goals so far
15:11
Speaker 1: in the World Cup. This feels this is interesting, Margaret
15:14
Speaker 1: car I don't know what the history tells us on this,
15:17
Speaker 1: but are we ahead of schedule here this World Cup?
15:22
Speaker 1: Are we seeing more goals? Three hundred and two point
15:25
Speaker 1: seven I guess is what they're forecasting here, But what's
15:29
Speaker 1: the rate of goals? Are we seeing a lot more
15:31
Speaker 1: than use world here?
15:32
Speaker 4: Car, Yeah, we're what sixty games into the World Cup.
15:38
Speaker 4: As far as like let's say, let's even talk about
15:40
Speaker 4: like over unders, if you're using like the flat number
15:42
Speaker 4: of two and a half there have been the over
15:46
Speaker 4: is thirty three, the under is twenty seven. There's they've
15:50
Speaker 4: played sixty games thus far, and normally in a normal
15:54
Speaker 4: World Cup it's sixty four games, and the last two
15:59
Speaker 4: World Cups, I've believe the number landed on one seventy
16:02
Speaker 4: seven and then one seventy nine. This World Cup, after
16:05
Speaker 4: sixty games, there have been one hundred and seventy seven
16:08
Speaker 4: goals scored thus far, and there's still forty four more
16:11
Speaker 4: games to go, so it is gonna it's going to
16:15
Speaker 4: be a squeaker, but it likely gets. The difference here
16:18
Speaker 4: is we're into the knockout stages now, Joe, and we
16:22
Speaker 4: don't have those the minnos that are advancing into the
16:26
Speaker 4: knockout stages, the teams that you know like Courrousel where
16:30
Speaker 4: Germany beats them seven to one, or teams like you know,
16:34
Speaker 4: Spain running up to score against other teams. So we're
16:36
Speaker 4: getting much better teams into the knockout stages, and maybe
16:40
Speaker 4: not for the round of thirty two because we're going
16:42
Speaker 4: to get eight to third place teams. But once we
16:45
Speaker 4: get into the round of sixteen, that's where I think
16:49
Speaker 4: it's slows to a crawl. So it is it's a
16:52
Speaker 4: tough one whether we get there or not. One hundred
16:55
Speaker 4: and twenty three goals across what forty four games?
16:58
Speaker 2: Forty four games? Yeah, which I guess of what three? Yeah,
17:03
Speaker 2: So that's great.
17:04
Speaker 1: I mean two ninety plus is the favorite and eighty
17:08
Speaker 1: three cents. But to your point, I mean, are we
17:11
Speaker 1: going to get three hundred? It's trending to about three
17:14
Speaker 1: hundred and three goals, But again, you know.
17:17
Speaker 2: Fifty seven cents here.
17:18
Speaker 1: If we get three hundred and more goals, three hundred
17:21
Speaker 1: or ten, you know, this feels like kind of a
17:23
Speaker 1: no market across the board here, car because unless something
17:27
Speaker 1: ridiculous happens from this point on, I don't know, are
17:32
Speaker 1: we averaging that many goals here?
17:35
Speaker 4: Well, we're averaging right now. We're we're averaging two point
17:39
Speaker 4: ninety five goals per game. So again, if you look
17:43
Speaker 4: at the average and there's forty four games left, that
17:46
Speaker 4: means there's going to be another one hundred and twenty
17:48
Speaker 4: nine point eight goals, so one hundred and thirty goals,
17:52
Speaker 4: so on top of the one hundred and seventy seven
17:55
Speaker 4: that we have, so that's three oh seven. But again
17:59
Speaker 4: you have to factor in the fact that the thing
18:01
Speaker 4: that the bottom dwellers are done, all the fourth place
18:04
Speaker 4: teams are gone. So it stands to reason that the
18:09
Speaker 4: games from this point forward are going to be lower
18:11
Speaker 4: scoring games. So the one change I think obviously that
18:17
Speaker 4: offsets it is as far as the goals market goes,
18:21
Speaker 4: it is it's not based on ninety minutes plus injury time.
18:26
Speaker 4: It is total goal scored, which includes extra time as
18:31
Speaker 4: well too. So a game that is one to one,
18:34
Speaker 4: you're going to get at least a third goal, possibly
18:38
Speaker 4: a fourth goal, because you it's not a golden goal thing.
18:41
Speaker 4: It's thirty minutes to fifteen minute halves, so you have
18:45
Speaker 4: to sort of factor that into it. But there's gonna
18:49
Speaker 4: be some there's gonna be some low scoring games in
18:52
Speaker 4: the knockout stages, and there's gonna be some games that
18:54
Speaker 4: go to extra time nil nil and go to penalty kicks.
18:57
Speaker 4: Along the same lines, we're starting to see some low totals,
19:00
Speaker 4: and just look at some of the games Joe still
19:03
Speaker 4: to be played today and tomorrow. As Art mentioned, there's
19:07
Speaker 4: a couple of games with low draws. Yesterday Australia and
19:12
Speaker 4: Paraguay the total was one and a half and it
19:14
Speaker 4: finished nil nil. We talked about that. The exact price
19:17
Speaker 4: on nil no was plus three eighty. You now have
19:20
Speaker 4: tomorrow Algeria and Austria. The total there is.
19:24
Speaker 2: One and a half.
19:26
Speaker 4: You have a game I think is it later or
19:28
Speaker 4: it's ourry Egypt and Iran later today it is tonight
19:34
Speaker 4: another game with a low total because a draw gets
19:38
Speaker 4: gets them into the knockout stages. So for everyone that
19:43
Speaker 4: you get a low scoring game, you're going to need
19:46
Speaker 4: obviously a bunch of goals in another game to maintain
19:50
Speaker 4: that two point ninety five average.
19:53
Speaker 1: I'm going no, I'm going now across the board on
19:56
Speaker 1: all of those there's something else are going to be
19:58
Speaker 1: correct here, So I don't mind that market And I
20:02
Speaker 1: mentioned the head to head mark and I thought this
20:04
Speaker 1: one was fantastic here, karm because what's better than Messi
20:09
Speaker 1: versus in bape On, who is going to have more
20:12
Speaker 1: tournament goals?
20:13
Speaker 2: Now?
20:14
Speaker 1: Messi I believe has five and Bope's got four, so
20:18
Speaker 1: he's only a goal ahead. But we're talking fifty seven
20:21
Speaker 1: cents for Messi to have more goals when it's all
20:24
Speaker 1: said and done than in my or The tie is also.
20:28
Speaker 2: Interesting at nine cents.
20:30
Speaker 1: They are in carb so I guess at this point
20:33
Speaker 1: we're wondering which one of these teams and which one
20:36
Speaker 1: of these guys will have more opportunities to score goals
20:40
Speaker 1: because the way it maps out, are these two ever
20:42
Speaker 1: playing one another here?
20:44
Speaker 4: Karm I haven't seen the projection because I think it
20:50
Speaker 4: becomes clear clearer today only because France is pleaned today
20:54
Speaker 4: and you know, if they were to lose obviously in
20:57
Speaker 4: this to Norway today, they their their path to the
21:03
Speaker 4: finals is much different than whether they win obviously as
21:06
Speaker 4: being a second place team, so well, it'll be clear
21:10
Speaker 4: where they are in the bracket after today's early game
21:13
Speaker 4: to get a better indication. But uh, it's strictly ahead
21:17
Speaker 4: to head, so it doesn't even factor in those ones
21:19
Speaker 4: like Vinnie Junior who's on four goals. Uh, there's I
21:23
Speaker 4: think three three different players that are on four goals,
21:26
Speaker 4: but Argentina's only scored five goals through two games and
21:30
Speaker 4: all of them have been Messi. So it's like, I
21:34
Speaker 4: got you guys covered. I got you guys covered. Don't
21:37
Speaker 4: I'm just gonna keep scoring. You guys just stand around
21:41
Speaker 4: and feed me the ball for for a while.
21:43
Speaker 1: Chance they both end up with the same amount of
21:46
Speaker 1: goals at nine cents.
21:47
Speaker 4: Carm it, they could, you know, I mean, as far
21:53
Speaker 4: as the Golden Boot goes, which this isn't. This is
21:56
Speaker 4: not the Golden Boot. This is just just tournament goals.
22:00
Speaker 4: The Golden Boot factors in assists, yep, as the tiebreaker, right,
22:05
Speaker 4: so if you know, if they end up on seven
22:08
Speaker 4: each hypothetically, and I think that's what happened in the
22:12
Speaker 4: twenty twenty two World Cup because I had killing Mbappe
22:15
Speaker 4: to win the Golden Boot and he won it, and
22:18
Speaker 4: I think it was based on assists was the tiebreaker.
22:20
Speaker 4: So it is normally you would think the man with
22:26
Speaker 4: the most assists in the world in soccer, he holds
22:30
Speaker 4: the record. Lino Messi would have some assists in this tournament,
22:33
Speaker 4: but they've only scored five goals and he's got all
22:35
Speaker 4: five of them.
22:36
Speaker 2: So to your point, Messi.
22:39
Speaker 1: It doesn't have I mean, there are goals that are
22:41
Speaker 1: going to be stolen from Mbope. It is not just
22:44
Speaker 1: Mbabe on France that is scoring goals.
22:47
Speaker 2: Here to your.
22:48
Speaker 1: Point about Messi, it's either Messy or bust at least
22:52
Speaker 1: that's the way it has lined up so far.
22:55
Speaker 2: So I don't know. I guess that's why he's fifty
22:58
Speaker 2: seven cents to the yes.
22:59
Speaker 1: That he will or more goals than a babe, because
23:02
Speaker 1: nobody else has shown an ability to steal goals from him.
23:06
Speaker 4: Yeah, and you know the thing that I think that
23:09
Speaker 4: you have to look at Joe as well too in
23:11
Speaker 4: this one. Is okay, so you have the you have
23:14
Speaker 4: the game against Norway today and we'll and we'll see
23:18
Speaker 4: what Imbabe is able to do against Norway. But then
23:21
Speaker 4: you have to look at tomorrow. Tomorrow Argentina plays bottom
23:25
Speaker 4: of the group Jordan, and they're a big favorite in
23:31
Speaker 4: that one. Doesn't Messi play the full ninety minutes in
23:34
Speaker 4: that game? Yepant. Normally the way it works is when
23:39
Speaker 4: Messi starts a game, he does not want to come
23:41
Speaker 4: off right.
23:42
Speaker 2: It is it was.
23:43
Speaker 4: It's always been like that at Barcelona, It's always been
23:45
Speaker 4: like that. At Inter Miami. When he starts a game,
23:49
Speaker 4: he does not want to come out of a game
23:51
Speaker 4: unless there's some tightness in the hamstrings or what have you.
23:56
Speaker 4: He doesn't cover the field like he once did. He's
24:00
Speaker 4: adopted his game. He's reinvented himself, so he doesn't have
24:03
Speaker 4: to go as he did in Barcelona, drop back, pick
24:08
Speaker 4: up the ball in his own end and proceed.
24:12
Speaker 2: He literally I don't want.
24:13
Speaker 4: To call him a floater, because the guy's the goat,
24:16
Speaker 4: but he could literally wait at midfield and then start
24:19
Speaker 4: his attack from that point forward. So the chances of
24:21
Speaker 4: him getting injured against a team like Jordan, I don't
24:24
Speaker 4: see it happening, but the chances of him scoring a
24:26
Speaker 4: couple of goals and maybe even three against Jordan could
24:28
Speaker 4: very well happen.
24:30
Speaker 1: Love this love this market had to head there, Karm,
24:32
Speaker 1: You that's great. Sometimes you don't think about those markets here,
24:36
Speaker 1: but those are great markets here at this point. So
24:40
Speaker 1: a couple of predictive markets total goals and who scores
24:43
Speaker 1: more goals there were in the head to head always
24:47
Speaker 1: a good time. But now, Karm, we got to break
24:50
Speaker 1: down those games coming up here in the World Cup rundown.
24:52
Speaker 1: We'll do the same with Major League Baseball. But first
24:55
Speaker 1: of course it is time to look at the pres
24:58
Speaker 1: and a leotard, which made it is time for some
25:01
Speaker 1: business here.
25:02
Speaker 2: Calm, so kick us off. Tell us exactly what you.
25:06
Speaker 1: Got rolling here heading into the weekend over at wager
25:09
Speaker 1: talk dot com.
25:11
Speaker 4: Yeah, he must be golfing. And if you've golf with him, Joe,
25:14
Speaker 4: you know that his his best club is the foot wedge.
25:18
Speaker 2: Yes, he uses it quite.
25:20
Speaker 1: Often, but that's somebody's got ballot then press, I'll tell
25:25
Speaker 1: you that.
25:26
Speaker 2: Yeah.
25:28
Speaker 4: So, fresh off the yesterday's card, we have three plays
25:31
Speaker 4: up today at wager talk, including I think they're I
25:36
Speaker 4: think they're all three percent. Yeah, they're all three percent
25:39
Speaker 4: plays in this one. No four percent best bets and
25:44
Speaker 4: uh a five percent playloaded for Saturday and a five
25:48
Speaker 4: percent playloaded for the knockout stages. So if you pick
25:52
Speaker 4: up that World Cup package which is one twenty nine,
25:55
Speaker 4: but you use coupon code WC twenty and I think
25:58
Speaker 4: that code expires on SAD, so you might want to
26:01
Speaker 4: take advantage of it. Now, you get an additional twenty
26:03
Speaker 4: dollars off, So you get the trimming package for one
26:06
Speaker 4: hundred and nine dollars. I close every single play right
26:08
Speaker 4: through to the and including the finals.
26:11
Speaker 2: Love that carm love it, love it.
26:13
Speaker 1: Lockloaded myself Major League Baseball here today, I have got
26:19
Speaker 1: three plays up in fact that are getting posted. One
26:22
Speaker 1: is there, Two more are coming. You can get the
26:26
Speaker 1: package of all three at one price there over at
26:30
Speaker 1: wager talk dot com.
26:31
Speaker 2: That's the way to do it.
26:33
Speaker 1: We also have some breaking news here is that appears
26:36
Speaker 1: the New York Mets have seen enough of their head coach.
26:40
Speaker 1: Mendoza has just been fired because while they suck, and
26:43
Speaker 1: I don't really know that it has anything to do
26:45
Speaker 1: with the coach, but he is gone. But we've got
26:49
Speaker 1: those plays coming for you over at wager talk dot com.
26:54
Speaker 2: All right, car, I'm.
26:55
Speaker 1: Gonna run down quick here some Major League Baseball play
27:00
Speaker 1: says the Mets thing is absolutely hilarious. Who saw that coming?
27:07
Speaker 1: Just about everyone. They've been screaming about that for days.
27:10
Speaker 1: But let's dive in here. We'll do a quick MLB
27:13
Speaker 1: rundown and it'll start with Paul's schemes on the mound
27:16
Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh. The problem with that is the Pirates don't
27:20
Speaker 1: win Paul Skiing starts anymore, they don't score enough runs,
27:24
Speaker 1: and all the money has come in on Pittsburgh, Abbott
27:27
Speaker 1: going for the Reds while Abbits actually, look at his
27:31
Speaker 1: last two starts here, guys, he was rough early last
27:34
Speaker 1: two starts.
27:34
Speaker 2: He has cleaned it up in a.
27:36
Speaker 1: Big, big way, including a big win against the Yankees
27:39
Speaker 1: last time out. But yeah, gonna go ahead and take
27:45
Speaker 1: schemes here Astros at the Tigers, Arrogetty taking on Montero,
27:50
Speaker 1: who's been much better than people think. Arraghetty has gotten
27:54
Speaker 1: lit up here a little bit. I like the Tigers
27:55
Speaker 1: at home there. We told you about Trevor Rodgers. That's
28:00
Speaker 1: my favorite player. Over the Nats, Rangers and Blue Jays.
28:03
Speaker 1: Eovaldi taking on Patrick Corbin. I don't know what it
28:06
Speaker 1: is with the Blue Jays. They get runners on base
28:08
Speaker 1: and can't score.
28:10
Speaker 2: I don't know.
28:10
Speaker 1: Go figure, I'll take the Rangers in that one, Diamondbacks
28:15
Speaker 1: and Rays. Zach Allen's on the mound, which means I'm
28:19
Speaker 1: taking the raised team total up and over Yankees at
28:22
Speaker 1: the red I've screw you Yankees.
28:24
Speaker 2: I'm so disgusted in you. Philly's at the Mets.
28:27
Speaker 1: Well, even with Zach Wheeler on the mound, I guess
28:30
Speaker 1: I gotta take the Mets because while they just fired
28:32
Speaker 1: their manager. Although I have no idea what a Thornton is.
28:36
Speaker 1: He's pitching for the Mets, hell would it. Let's take
28:38
Speaker 1: the Mets, Mariners and the Guardians there, Louis Castillo versus Cantillo.
28:43
Speaker 1: Neither team can hit water if they fell out of
28:45
Speaker 1: a boat under for me. There, Cubs and Brewers, it's
28:49
Speaker 1: miss day for Milwaukee. The Cubs are sending out Colin diarrhea,
28:56
Speaker 1: and the Brewers will win that one easily. White Sox
28:59
Speaker 1: and Royal Boy, two teams going in the wrong direction.
29:02
Speaker 1: I'll take the under in that one. I will take
29:04
Speaker 1: the Twins and Todzz Bradley over the Rockies. I'll take
29:08
Speaker 1: the Marlins over the Cardinals. I'll take the Dodgers over
29:12
Speaker 1: the Padres. The Athletics and Angels to an under, and
29:16
Speaker 1: the Giants and Braves also.
29:19
Speaker 2: To an under. And there you go.
29:20
Speaker 1: That's your Major League Baseball rundown calm. Nine thousand games
29:26
Speaker 1: that mean nothing in the World Cup. Here, yay, you
29:29
Speaker 1: break them down for us here, You got it all right.
29:34
Speaker 4: Let's start with the Norway Franks one. I get that
29:37
Speaker 4: they're bit betting the total. Much like Art said in
29:40
Speaker 4: this one, I'm gonna go a different way with this one.
29:43
Speaker 4: Michael Oliver, and if you're familiar with the Premier League,
29:46
Speaker 4: you're familiar with Michael Oliver or Champions League. He just
29:50
Speaker 4: loves to dole out the penalties. So I will go
29:53
Speaker 4: with will there be a penalty awarded in this game?
29:57
Speaker 2: Yes?
29:57
Speaker 4: Plus one seventy five. Senegal and Iraq goals will be
30:03
Speaker 4: the order of the day. In this game, Senegal is
30:06
Speaker 4: a huge price minus four seventy five. You can't take that,
30:09
Speaker 4: but what you can do is take Senegal to win
30:12
Speaker 4: and over two and a half goals minus one sixty
30:15
Speaker 4: five that's available at DK and at fan Duel Cape
30:20
Speaker 4: Verde and Saudi Arabia the draw plus two thirty five.
30:23
Speaker 4: That was the one I mentioned in our opening segment
30:26
Speaker 4: on the parlay.
30:27
Speaker 2: Of the day.
30:28
Speaker 4: Kate Verdi just needs a draw to get into the
30:31
Speaker 4: knockout stages. That'll be a huge accomplishment for them, so
30:35
Speaker 4: I will look for them to get it done at
30:37
Speaker 4: plus two thirty five. Uruguay and Spain, I'm taking the
30:41
Speaker 4: under in this game. I get it. Spain deadly team,
30:44
Speaker 4: but Uruguay needs at least a point a win or
30:48
Speaker 4: a draw to get into the knockout stages or they're
30:50
Speaker 4: going home. So I'm going to look for them to
30:54
Speaker 4: play compact defensive and try and keep this a scoreless
30:58
Speaker 4: for as long as possible. Under two and a half
31:00
Speaker 4: in that game Egypt and Iran. Yeah, the writings on
31:05
Speaker 4: the wall in this game the draw plus one sixty
31:08
Speaker 4: draw favors both teams. I can see that happening here.
31:12
Speaker 4: And finally New Zealand and Belgium and what is likely
31:15
Speaker 4: to be the blowout of the day. Give me over
31:17
Speaker 4: three and a half goals. I think Belgium is gonna
31:21
Speaker 4: send the New Zealand home in a bad way. Here,
31:26
Speaker 4: give me over three and a half goals. This one's
31:28
Speaker 4: gonna have at least four in it.
31:30
Speaker 2: Interesting stuff there, Carr.
31:33
Speaker 1: You know I saw earlier it was a plus money
31:35
Speaker 1: both teams to score in that game there. It's not
31:38
Speaker 1: like Belgium some sort of lockdown defense. So I don't
31:43
Speaker 1: know how confist the New Zealand get one in there?
31:45
Speaker 1: Can we get both teams to score if we're looking
31:47
Speaker 1: at an.
31:47
Speaker 4: Over, Yeah, it's tough. I don't think they will. I
31:51
Speaker 4: think if you look at the betting line, you just
31:54
Speaker 4: see it Belgium is a big favorite as well too.
31:58
Speaker 4: They haven't really performed thus far in this tournament, but
32:02
Speaker 4: much like a lot of the European teams, they sort
32:04
Speaker 4: of build throughout the tournament and start to look a
32:07
Speaker 4: little bit better. I think that's what happens with this
32:10
Speaker 4: Belgian team. This is a game in which I believe
32:13
Speaker 4: with Doku will be back in the lineup for them.
32:16
Speaker 4: He offers a lot of pace on the wing, They're
32:20
Speaker 4: gonna get balls into the box. I think they're going
32:22
Speaker 4: to score plenty of goals in this one, or at
32:25
Speaker 4: least I hope they do so over three and a half.
32:28
Speaker 4: I don't want to stay up till eleven o'clock to
32:30
Speaker 4: watch a one to one draw.
32:33
Speaker 1: I agree, well, in the Spain game, how about that one?
32:36
Speaker 1: This was also reasonably priced here. I mean Spain, I
32:40
Speaker 1: feel is going to get one both teams to score
32:44
Speaker 1: minus one, fifteen one ten somewhere in that ballpark.
32:47
Speaker 2: Does Jergo I get on the board? Here is the question?
32:51
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's see you know, if we're looking at like
32:55
Speaker 4: the and I'm going to have a quick look at
32:56
Speaker 4: it now, the exact score market for this for this game,
33:02
Speaker 4: I would think that one of the lowest prices, excuse me,
33:05
Speaker 4: on this one, is likely to be the one to
33:08
Speaker 4: one score line on this one, because I think it's
33:12
Speaker 4: always tough to keep Spain off the off the score sheet.
33:16
Speaker 4: So you look at these the prices, and the one
33:20
Speaker 4: nill for Spain is plus four seventy five. The next
33:23
Speaker 4: lowest price is the one to one draw at plus
33:26
Speaker 4: five point fifty. Like that, that seems to that seems
33:31
Speaker 4: to pretty much highlight what is going to happen here Uruguay.
33:35
Speaker 4: The defensive mistake cost them that game against Cape Faraday
33:39
Speaker 4: where the goalie came out, the defender tried to pass
33:42
Speaker 4: it back and it ended up into an empty net
33:45
Speaker 4: and that cost them three points or essentially two points.
33:49
Speaker 4: They would be on four points right now. Into the
33:52
Speaker 4: knockout stage. Is now they have to do the unthinkable,
33:54
Speaker 4: which is beat Spain in a game. Spain is good.
33:59
Speaker 4: With a draw, they win the group. Yeah, so I'm
34:02
Speaker 4: looking at it that maybe this is one of those
34:06
Speaker 4: backdoor or back room handshakes. Guys. One one serves us both,
34:11
Speaker 4: nobody gets injured, no yellow cards, and we go home happy.
34:15
Speaker 4: The under is getting a lot of love right now.
34:20
Speaker 4: So it's at minus one thirty or minus one forty
34:24
Speaker 4: on the under.
34:25
Speaker 2: Love that all right, there we go, Carm.
34:27
Speaker 1: We got some soccer coming up here today, of course,
34:30
Speaker 1: heading into the weekend matchups galore here. We'll figure it
34:34
Speaker 1: all out after tonight as we head in. So plenty
34:38
Speaker 1: going on there in the mail Bagcarm. A lot of
34:41
Speaker 1: folks there thanking you, appreciating all the World Cup knowledge
34:46
Speaker 1: here that you've been coming on the show and hanging
34:48
Speaker 1: with us here for the last couple of weeks.
34:50
Speaker 2: But it's just getting it's just getting good here. Knockout stages.
34:54
Speaker 2: We'll be here. What starting Sunday, I guess is the
34:57
Speaker 2: first round? Is that?
34:58
Speaker 4: What it is, Carm, Sunday the second placed games from
35:03
Speaker 4: Group A and B, which in this case are the
35:06
Speaker 4: surprising South Africans and Canada. And it is crazy that
35:13
Speaker 4: the the enormous South Korean population that is in LA
35:19
Speaker 4: they've just sold off their tickets. They're like, I don't
35:22
Speaker 4: want to go watch these two teams.
35:26
Speaker 2: It's a long path.
35:30
Speaker 4: Listen, There's there's still a path. There's still a path
35:32
Speaker 4: for South Korea to get into the knockout stages. So
35:36
Speaker 4: it is not as if they have been eliminated from
35:38
Speaker 4: this tournament, but they will not be playing in California
35:42
Speaker 4: should they get in Right now, right now they are
35:45
Speaker 4: having played their three games, they are sixth ranked amongst
35:50
Speaker 4: the twelve teams, with three points and a minus one
35:55
Speaker 4: gold differential. The problem here exists is that Algeria is
35:59
Speaker 4: playing off Austria. If the game and the game is
36:02
Speaker 4: priced at plus one thirty for a draw. If Algeria
36:06
Speaker 4: was somehow surprising win that game, they leap frog South Korea.
36:12
Speaker 4: Scotland are likely they're holding onto the eighth spot, Joe,
36:15
Speaker 4: they're likely to get bounced the Verde with a draw
36:18
Speaker 4: today knocks out Scotland and assumes one of the spots.
36:24
Speaker 4: Then you have Congo, who Dominican Republic of Congo, who
36:31
Speaker 4: are on one point. A win by them today in
36:35
Speaker 4: their final game and they play Uzbekistan, so we should
36:39
Speaker 4: probably expect them to win that game four points puts
36:42
Speaker 4: them into the knockout stages knocks out another team. And
36:45
Speaker 4: then finally Senegal, oh have no points and a minus
36:50
Speaker 4: three goal differential. If they beat Iraq by three clear
36:54
Speaker 4: goals today, they jump into a knockout state. Each spot
37:01
Speaker 4: a third place spot on goal differential because there'll be
37:04
Speaker 4: at zero, which knocks out Scotland, which knocks out South Korea,
37:08
Speaker 4: which knock and knocks out lately Algeria as well too.
37:12
Speaker 4: So South Korea needs about seventeen different things to happen
37:17
Speaker 4: for them to get in, but their fans are hopeful.
37:21
Speaker 1: I love it, absolutely love it all right, so much
37:24
Speaker 1: more coming up next week, guys. Obviously, as the fun
37:28
Speaker 1: is over in the group stage, it'll be all about
37:32
Speaker 1: as we head into July. Hard to believe here, but
37:34
Speaker 1: the good news is, guys, as we get to July,
37:38
Speaker 1: football will be a little over a month away and
37:41
Speaker 1: all the craziness will begin once again. But carm appreciate
37:45
Speaker 1: it is always great job. This week, make sure you
37:48
Speaker 1: head over to karms page take advantage of that opportunity
37:51
Speaker 1: to partner up with them now through the end of
37:54
Speaker 1: the World Cup. Go grab those three Major League Baseball
37:57
Speaker 1: plays we got locked and loaded for you over at
37:59
Speaker 1: wag talk dot com, and then come back and join
38:02
Speaker 1: us again for another edition next week on Monday of
38:05
Speaker 1: the best betting show ever. Cash the tickets. We'll see
38:09
Speaker 1: you again next week, guys. Appreciate it.